Why Most Traders Never Succeed PDF
Why Most Traders Never Succeed PDF
What you’re about to read are the most common reasons for
crippling failure, given by eighteen of the reputable traders
I’ve interviewed. While this guide is somewhat compact there’s
plenty of wisdom to absorb, so I encourage you to put in a few
reps, just to ensure you don’t brush over anything important.
Be great.
Aaron Fifield,
Chat With Traders
Here are the responses from eighteen high-performing
traders, I interviewed between January-August of 2015.
[Link] 5
Jerry Robinson
Swing trader · Investor · Economist · Best-selling author · Founder of FTM Daily
What’s the reason why most traders never succeed?
@FTMdaily
Although I’ve got to admit, the lifestyle is very good when you
succeed as a trader – you have the ability to work from anywhere
in the world. I’ll tell you a personal story about one of the very
first traders I met, it left this lasting impression on me. In fact
this might be the most motivating thing that drove me to become
a trader…
I met this older guy (who was probably in his late sixties), he
had a yacht which he lived on for 5-6 months out of the year,
with his wife. He would trade during the first few hours each
morning and close his computer by midday – he was done. He
would trade companies like Walmart and IBM, and he would
make $1,000-$2,000 each day using options. Because he had a lot
of money, when IBM or Walmart moved 10¢20¢ he would make
a lot of money with very low risk. I saw what he was doing I was
like, ‘You’ve got to be kidding, this is fantastic’. Because at the
time I was working a slob-job where I wasn’t happy and I’d think,
‘Man, I have to make my life something like this’.
excited by the forth the hard work that’s required to get there.
dream and I went through a period where I lost money for an entire year. It
vision of what was the worst time in my trading career; I could not make money
life could be to save my life. I was incredibly frustrated and I almost threw
as a trader, in the towel. And I think back on this time – what if I had done
that?!
but they don’t
build the This is one of the things that I tell new traders; do not give up if
bridge and set you really want this. If you really want to succeed, if you really
forth the hard want to have that lifestyle that you have in your mind then you
work that’s cannot give up, you have to continue. When you lose money you
lick your wounds and keep going, but if you stop trading then it’s
required to get
over. Now I will say this, if you don’t have a system that’s not my
there.”
recommendation to you, because you’ll continue losing money.
JERRY ROBINSON
Here’s the thing you must remember, the guys on Wall Street are
smarter than you, me and everybody that we know put together.
Or if they aren’t smarter than us, they’re certainly more slippery
than we are (that’s a cultural way of saying it, trading is a dirty
game). They see guys like you and me coming a mile away. When
we type in an order for 100 shares of a particular stock, they know
exactly who we are, and they know how to shake us out and take
our money.
give up, and to understand that you can’t do this without gaining
some knowledge and experience.
Aaron’s take:
Steve Burns
Options trader · Author of New Trader, Rich Trader · Founder of New Trader U
What’s the reason why most traders never succeed?
@SJosephBurns
You also need strict discipline to follow a trading plan. Without the
discipline to follow your plan, it becomes worthless. Regardless
of how good you are as a trader, if you don’t have the discipline
to maintain correct position sizing, and continue taking entries
and exits as specified in your plan, you’re not going to make it.
Aaron’s take:
Peter Zhang
Major in Quant Finance · Partner at Sang Lucci · CEO of Flammarion Capital Partners
What’s the reason why most traders never succeed?
@PZ_SL
I’ve seen these traders go down the spiral of, ‘I just need a better
* Give a man a fish and you feed him for a day. Teach a man to fish and you feed him for a lifetime.
[Link] 10
Then there are those who are really trying to trade; they may
open a prop account, seek out a good education, and they learn
some of the best practices. But a lot of times, the difficulty for
these traders is they may not be losing money, they’re just
scratch (floating around breakeven). Which may indicate they’d
be better off as a maker in the market versus a taker – meaning
they don’t cross the spread, and that’ll actually turn them onto
profitable trading.
Another issue for traders in this category is, they don’t learn real
stomach tolerance. So they always get stuck ordering position
lots of 200/500/1,000 shares. They haven’t come to terms with the
reason why they’re making mistakes, is because they don’t have
the right stomach tolerance. They can’t think in terms of, ‘If I
buy 1,000 shares at this breakout right now, I can make a couple
hundred dollars or breakeven. So maybe I should just buy 2,000
shares, because that’s how I’m going to make greater amounts of
money’.
to come to ego which prevents them from being successful. And many times
they’re taking trades while trying to match their ego with the
terms with the
next best trader.
fact that it’s
actually their It’s important to understand your own psychology, who you are
own ego which as a person, what your lifestyle is like, what your behavior is like
– and learn how to use this to your best ability.
prevents them
from being Personally, I know I hate breakouts. So if it’s a breakout market
successful.” I’m actually going to scale back. I like when the markets are
choppy, I’m a premium seller. Therefore I know when I should be
PETER ZHANG increasing my exposure and playing a little more aggressively –
if it’s my type of market.
Aaron’s take:
Zach Hurwitz
Equities trader · Trading coach · Systems developer · Founder of [Link]
What’s the reason why most traders never succeed?
@ZachHurwitz
“Rarely will It’s understandable that traders can’t choose one style easily
traders – where do new traders even begin? – and so they often let
[Link] 14
Aaron’s take:
Adam Ryan
Futures trader · Founder of Optic Trader
What’s the reason why most traders never succeed?
@OpticTrading
Part of the problem is, if you listen to what many educators are
saying, “Trading is so easy, look how I made a thousand dollars
with just 30 minutes of work,” and they really ram it down your
throat. Then you have people who get into trading, thinking
‘wow, this is going to be so easy’. Although once they get into it,
they quickly realize it’s not easy – in fact it’s extremely difficult
and they generally give up.
So I believe that many traders give up too soon, and that’s why
the majority never reach a high level of success.
[Link] 15
Aaron’s take:
Lance Beggs
Full-time futures trader · Part-time trading educator · Founder of Your Trading Coach
What’s the reason why most traders never succeed?
@LanceBeggs
The first one is their relationship with loss. People come from
different backgrounds and jobs where income is pretty secure.
But in this game you eat what you kill. If you do not perform today
and get a few kills, you do not eat, you make no money. Trading
is a performance activity in an environment of uncertainty, so
you need to expect losses. You need to accept that losses are just
part of the game, and you need to learn how to manage them.
That is something that traders often don’t understand, and you
can’t understand until you’ve got experience – so it takes time.
[Link] 16
LANCE BEGGS To summarize, many traders simply aren’t using the right process
for learning. They’re looking for the quick buck systems and not
treating it as a process of skill development. That’s probably the
main reason, but there are many more traps around – this is not
an easy game.
Aaron’s take:
a 100% win rate, nor do they need to. In fact, the majority of
professional traders are wrong more often than they’re right.
This is where effective risk management comes into play.
Jason Leavitt
Swing trader · Position trader · Founder of Leavitt Brothers
What’s the reason why most traders never succeed?
@JasonLeavitt
First of all, the traders that don’t succeed don’t have a plan. They
just don’t. They hope, they fantasize, they dream, and they want
things to go their way, but they don’t have a plan. They don’t
know what they’ll do if the market goes up, they don’t know what
they’ll do if the market gaps up, they don’t know what they’ll do
if the market gaps up and then sells off. They pretty much just
wing it…
They get into a position and they don’t know where their stop is,
they don’t know if it’s a short term trade or a long term trade,
they don’t know if they’re going to scale out, they don’t know if
they’re going to add a new position if it breaks out and then pulls
back. They literally just fly by the seat of their pants, because
[Link] 18
Even though 90% of the plan will never matter, at least they’ll
contemplate, ‘What will I do if the market does this,’ and, ‘what
will I do if the market does that?’ If they have ten of these
different scenarios that they’ve thought out, obviously most of
them are never going to happen, but going through the motion
of outlining a plan is an extremely helpful exercise.
All traders need to sit down and say, “What’s my plan for today?
What am I going to do if this happens? What am I going to do if
that happens?” Play devil’s advocate – that’s what they need to
do, but they don’t.
“They get into In addition to this, they don’t take a loss. When they get into a
a position that position that goes against them, they should get out, but they’re
goes against afraid of taking a loss, so instead of exiting they bargain and
negotiate with the market. They say, “If it can just go back up, I’ll
them, they
get out at breakeven,” and then it goes against them even more.
should get out,
Next they say, “Well if it can just go back up to where it was two
but they’re days ago, then I’ll get out with a small loss,” but it doesn’t go
afraid of back up, it keeps moving against them. Before they know it, a
taking a loss” perfectly normal loss turns into a huge loss. This creates a major
problem. Not only do they suffer because of the money that they
JASON LEAVITT lost, but also their confidence is shot, their emotions are shot
and it spirals from there…
So if you flip this around and you want to know how to become
successful:
• Make a deal with yourself that you will never let a small loss
turn into a big loss.
Aaron’s take:
John Welsh
Biotech trader · Fundamental analyst
What’s the reason why most traders never succeed?
@JohnWelshTrades
Aaron’s take:
execute your own trade ideas. You are not required to have
the same views as the majority. While it’s often hard to go
against the grain, just remember, most market participants
do lose money. Markets move money from the hands of many,
to the hands of a few.
Stuart McPhee
Equities + FX trader · Author of Trading In A Nutshell
What’s the reason why most traders never succeed?
@StuartMcPhee
should, and I’m going to say the word again ‘time’ – not investing
the time.
I play a lot of golf, which is one of the reasons why I don’t like
looking at a screen for ten hours a day. But I am not a professional
golfer, I don’t make one cent from playing golf. In fact it costs me
money; I recently bought a set of clubs that cost a lot of money,
and my membership fees cost a lot of money. While I don’t make
any money playing golf, and I’m not a professional – I still love
playing golf. BUT it’s a hobby.
“Too many And from what I see, too many traders treat trading as a hobby.
traders treat They enjoy it, they spend time doing it, they’re happy to do it,
trading as a but at the end of the day it costs them money. They don’t take
the next step of becoming professional. So to many, trading is a
hobby.”
hobby and not a profession. Golf for me is a hobby, but trading
STUART MCPHEE
demands more of my time and respect.
Aaron’s take:
Adam Grimes
Diversified trader · Systems developer · Author of The Art & Science of Technical Analysis
What’s the reason why most traders never succeed?
@AdamHGrimes
Aaron’s take:
results) along the way. By setting the bar artificially high, it’s
likely you’ll feel like a constant underachiever. But, also be
mindful not set the bar too low, as it’s healthy to push yourself.
Mike Bellafiore
Prop trader · Co-founder of SMB Capital · Author of The Playbook + One Good Trade
What’s the reason why most traders never succeed?
@MikeBellafiore
Aaron’s take:
David Bush
Quant trader · Systems developer · 1st Place winner of BattleFin
What’s the reason why most traders never succeed?
@Alphatative
“It’s a matter So your lenses constantly change while you develop as a trader,
of being but some people are just going to say, “You know, I just don’t
prepared to want to dig that deep, it’s too challenging. You mean I’m going
to have to look into my psychology, and examine my own belief
dig deep.”
system? Come on, that has nothing to do with trading…” But of
course it does, it has everything to do with trading. Especially as
a discretionary trader, since you’re more prone to succumbing to
biases, and usually with larger positions. So it’s a matter of being
prepared to dig deep.
than me. This way I’m exposed to more ideas, more knowledge,
and more perspectives, so I’m constantly exposing myself to new
ways of thinking. But I feel like this is more than some people are
up for, and to me, that’s probably the number one reason most
traders fail.
So if I can condense this down to two words, I’d say ‘digging deep’
– that’s what is required. But some traders are going to leave it at
a certain level and aren’t willing to push on to get to where they
could be.
Aaron’s take:
Ivaylo Ivanhoff
Swing trader · Position trader · Co-founder of Social Leverage 50
What’s the reason why most traders never succeed?
@Ivanhoff
I believe that if you learn one great setup, and trade it for the first
couple years you will become successful. Of course you still have
to know when to trade this setup, because there will be times
when you need to sit on the sideline and do nothing (your setup
won’t have an edge in certain market conditions). Over time
you’ll be able to start adding new setups. But in the beginning,
less is more – so you have to concentrate on one specific setup.
The best part is there are many working setups that are shared
for free in the public domain, and many great books that you can
buy for a small cost. This way you can take a working setup from
another trader that you know is already profitable, which you
can then tinker to fit your own lifestyle, or based on your own
study of past winners.
[Link] 29
Aaron’s take:
Brad Jelinek
Prop trader · Futures markets
What’s the reason why most traders never succeed?
@JelinBra
The first thing you must have is that desire and fight inside of
you – you have to really want to do this. Because as a trader,
everyone goes through tough times and dark days. But it’s that
knowingness and willingness to do anything it takes that keeps
you moving forward. You can’t defeat someone who keeps getting
up after every setback.
Aaron’s take:
• Trading will test you, and there will be moments when you’re
pushed to the verge of breaking point. So if you cannot uphold
a high-level of commitment, you will crumble when the going
gets tough. On the other hand, if you have a lionheart and an
undeniable passion for what you do, you’ll be unstoppable.
• When you hit a rough patch, reduce your position sizes. One
may be inclined to do the opposite as a way to reaccumulate
losses quicker, but in reality, this is how things escalate from
bad to worse – fast.
Andrew Falde
Options trader · Systems trader · Educator at SMBu
What’s the reason why most traders never succeed?
@AndrewFalde
One reason is, traders enter the market with a lot of confidence
because they are often smart, or they may be more intelligent
[Link] 31
“They have So in many areas of life, willpower will lead you to overcome the
to learn very issue at hand, and you’ll be rewarded with positive results. And
quickly their those who are attracted to the markets, have often experienced
this in one way or another...
willpower has
no place in the But when it comes to trading, they have to learn very quickly their
markets.” willpower has no place in the markets. Using their willpower
they say, “I’m going to hang on to this trade until I am right. I am
ANDREW FALDE going to will this system to work. I am going to will this trade to
work. I know I am going to be right”. This is the approach they
bring to the market, and the worst thing that could happen is
they get rewarded for it a few times. Lets say they call the top in
[Link] 32
Instead the mentality that works is, to know when you’re wrong,
and understand there’s nobody who can be right 100% of the time.
As soon as you’re wrong, and you get to a point that has exceeded
your expectation of what should happen, then you need to do
something about it.
[Link] 33
Aaron’s take:
• The worst thing that can happen to you, is you profit from
breaking your rules, because this means you’ll be more
inclined to do it again. Then before you know it, you’re trading
without a plan and every decision is based off of a gut feeling.
Brian Shannon
Swing trader · Author of TA Using Multiple Timeframes · Founder of AlphaTrends
What’s the reason why most traders never succeed?
@AlphaTrends
They want to get involved in the market right away, and they
see it as an opportunity to make easy money. When in fact, it’s
extremely difficult. Trading success first comes from having a
solid understanding of yourself.
combination them, they begin pulling up news, looking for other opinions and
their ego does not allow them to take a quick loser when they
of impatience
should.
and ego.”
Even though they went into the trade with a plan and said, “I’m
BRIAN SHANNON
going to cut my loss here,” their ego gets in the way and says,
“no, just buy a little more, it’s definitely going to bounce.” All
along, they’re compounding their problems.
So the reason why the majority fail comes down to, not
understanding their appropriate timeframe and being impatient.
Also, not learning the mechanics of how the market actually
trades, and not understanding the psychology of money flow
before they start the sizing up positions.
Aaron’s take:
Howard Lindzon
Trader · Investor · Hedge fund manager · Angel investor · Co-founder of StockTwits
What’s the reason why most traders never succeed?
@HowardLindzon
They don’t have the right mentorship, so they just give up.
Also the media drums into people that you cannot beat the
market. While I agree it’s not easy to beat the market, I don’t
think ‘beating the market’ should even be in your vocabulary – it
should be about ‘destroying the market’!
If you’re going to trade, why would you do this to earn 12% a year
when the S&P is 9% a year? I do this because I want to have years
of 80-100% returns, or greater.
[Link] 36
because they
Most of the time you can solve these problems now that you
have the wrong have podcasts etc, with people telling you the truth about their
expectations, own experiences, which you can learn from. This type of media
and started wasn’t as easily accessible in 1990 when I started, but now there
for the wrong is no excuse not to dig into a few podcasts, or try a few financial
sites and see if you can find a mentor through these channels.
reasons.”
Aaron’s take:
Peter Brandt
Legendary trader · Classical chartist · Author: Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader
What’s the reason why most traders never succeed?
@PeterLBrandt
They are afraid to lose – that’s the number one reason. I see so
many traders who are afraid to put on a position, because they’re
worried about being wrong.
The problem is, novice traders come into the futures markets
and they say, “My goodness, the margin on one contract of beans
is $3,000 and I have $30,000 in my account, I think I’ll buy 10
contracts.” Well, I buy one contract of beans for every $100,000
in my account, or 10 per $1,000,000. When I tell them this, they’re
shocked at how small I trade. So I believe a mistake that many
aspiring futures traders make, is trading way too large.
Aaron’s take:
Aaron Fifield
Chat With Traders
Listen to the full interviews
Jerry Robinson: [Link]/ep-001-jerry-robinson
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Most traders fail due to a combination of factors including the lack of a trading system, inadequate risk management, and an overestimation of their own abilities. Jerry Robinson emphasizes the absence of a systematic approach and the allure of potential wealth without acknowledging the required discipline and planning . Steve Burns highlights poor risk management and the lack of discipline to follow a trading plan as key reasons for failure . Personal ego, impatience, and inappropriate time frame understanding are also significant factors as noted by Brian Shannon, who explains that these psychological barriers often prevent traders from effectively managing their trades .
Having a trading system is fundamental for success, as it provides structure, consistency, and a clear framework for making informed trading decisions. Jerry Robinson emphasizes that a systematic approach helps traders focus on set rules rather than emotions or arbitrary decisions . Aaron Fifield adds that the absence of a concrete system often leads to arbitrary guesses and inconsistent performance, indicating that long-term success is built on the foundation of disciplined adherence to a well-structured system .
Unrealistic expectations can lead novice traders to take on excessive risks and become easily disillusioned, which can ultimately result in their departure from trading altogether. Howard Lindzon discusses that unrealistic goals, such as achieving market-beating returns regularly without adequate experience or risk management, can lead to frustration and unrecoverable financial losses. Proper framing of expectations aligns traders with achievable goals and sustainable growth strategies, essential for long-term trading success .
Lessons from failed traders highlight the critical importance of discipline in adhering to trading plans and systems. Steve Burns underscores that without the discipline to consistently follow a well-established plan, traders become susceptible to making impulsive decisions that can harm their portfolio. The experiences of those who've failed due to indiscipline illustrate that success in trading necessitates unwavering adherence to predefined rules and strategies, regardless of short-term distractions or emotional impulses .
The lure of potential profits can entice traders to enter the market prematurely without sufficient preparation, which often leads to failures. Jerry Robinson notes that new traders are often captivated by the success potential and lifestyle of trading but neglect the rigorous process and strategic planning required to achieve such success. This underestimation of necessary preparation causes them to enter trades without an adequate understanding of systems or market conditions, thereby increasing the likelihood of financial mistakes and eventual failure .
Personal ego and impatience can significantly impact trading outcomes by causing traders to make irrational decisions. Brian Shannon mentions that a combination of impatience and ego leads traders to deviate from their original trading plans, resist cutting losses promptly, and add to losing positions in hopes of a reversal. This behavior often exacerbates losses and hinders trading success . Ego prevents traders from acknowledging mistakes quickly, leading to financial and psychological setbacks .
Understanding the appropriate timeframe in the market is crucial for aligning trading strategies with personal characteristics and market conditions. Brian Shannon highlights that mismatched timeframes cause traders to act impulsively or remain in trades longer than suitable, often due to impatience and ego. Proper timeframe alignment ensures traders use strategies and manage trades in a manner that suits their psychological profile and market opportunities, reducing undue risk and enhancing potential for success .
Risk management is crucial for a trader's success because it prevents catastrophic losses that can deplete a trader's capital beyond recovery. Steve Burns illustrates how inadequate risk management led to the downfall of even the most successful traders, such as Victor Niederhoffer, due to the inability to withstand unexpected market events . Risk management involves strict discipline in position sizing and adherence to a trading plan, which without it, exposes traders to undo risks and potential failures .
Mentorship provides guidance, knowledge, and real-world insights that novice traders may lack. Howard Lindzon points out that lack of mentorship is a major reason why many traders give up. He argues that mentorship can help traders accumulate wisdom and avoid common pitfalls that can derail their trading careers, suggesting that engaging with experienced traders through podcasts and financial sites are viable options for gaining such mentorship .
Overconfidence can be detrimental to traders as it may lead them to underestimate market risks and overestimate their own capabilities. Andrew Falde explains that individuals who experience success in other areas might carry an unwarranted confidence into trading, believing their intelligence or prior achievements naturally equate to trading success. This overconfidence can result in inadequate risk assessment and deviation from trading strategies due to a false sense of market control, often resulting in significant financial losses .