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Period Month Demand Forecast Error ABS Error %error Sq. Error U-Stat

The document summarizes forecast errors for demand over a 24 month period. Key metrics reported include mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 11.077%, mean squared error (MSE) of 663.8261, and a U-statistic of 0. A line chart shows demand was generally under-forecasted with forecast below actuals for most periods.

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Shahzad Solangi
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
29 views

Period Month Demand Forecast Error ABS Error %error Sq. Error U-Stat

The document summarizes forecast errors for demand over a 24 month period. Key metrics reported include mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 11.077%, mean squared error (MSE) of 663.8261, and a U-statistic of 0. A line chart shows demand was generally under-forecasted with forecast below actuals for most periods.

Uploaded by

Shahzad Solangi
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Period Month Demand Forecast Error ABS Error %Error Sq.

Error U-Stat
1 Jan 86 88
2 Feb 85 96 -11 11 12.94 121 1
3 Mar 96 103 -7 7 7.29 49 121
4 April 112 111 1 1 0.89 1 256
5 May 148 119 29 29 19.59 841 1296
6 june 131 126 5 5 3.82 25 289
7 July 131 134 -3 3 2.29 9 0
8 Aug 138 141 -3 3 2.17 9 49
9 Sep 146 149 -3 3 2.05 9 64
10 Oct 162 156 6 6 3.70 36 256
11 Nov 144 164 -20 20 13.89 400 324
12 Dec 180 172 8 8 4.44 64 1296
13 Jan 144 179 -35 35 24.31 1225 1296
14 Feb 190 187 3 3 1.58 9 2116
15 Mar 176 194 -18 18 10.23 324 196
16 April 174 202 -28 28 16.09 784 4
17 May 193 209 -16 16 8.29 256 361
18 june 201 217 -16 16 7.96 256 64
19 July 218 225 -7 7 3.21 49 289
20 Aug 194 232 -38 38 19.59 1444 576
21 Sep 221 240 -19 19 8.60 361 729
22 Oct 191 247 -56 56 29.32 3136 900
23 Nov 191 255 -64 64 33.51 4096 0
24 Dec 221 263 -42 42 19.00 1764 900
ME: -14.52174 Intercept: 80.66667
MAE: 19.04348 Slope: 7.576923
MAPE: 11.07716
MSE: 663.8261
U-STAT:

Chart Title
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n b r il y g p t v c n b r il y g p t v c
Ja Fe Ma Apr Ma june July Au Se Oc No De Ja Fe Ma Apr Ma june July Au Se Oc No De
Demand Forecast
t v c
Oc No De

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