Sustainability 11 03837
Sustainability 11 03837
Article
A Comparative Analysis of Fuzzy TOPSIS and
Geographic Information Systems (GIS) for the
Location Selection of Shopping Malls: A Case Study
from Turkey
Ceren Erdin and Halil Emre Akbaş *
Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Yildiz Technical
University, 34210 Istanbul, Turkey
* Correspondence: [email protected]
Received: 15 May 2019; Accepted: 11 July 2019; Published: 14 July 2019
Abstract: Multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) techniques are increasingly being used for the
problem of location selection, which directly affects the long-term success of a company. Besides these
techniques, with the advantage of handling both spatial and non-spatial data, geographic information
systems (GIS) also represent a useful method for selecting the appropriate location for different kinds
of facilities and sites. In this respect, this study aims to compare the results of a MCDM technique,
fuzzy technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS), and GIS for the location
selection of shopping malls in Turkey. According to the results of both fuzzy TOPSIS and GIS, the
Marmara region was determined as the best alternative for shopping malls in Turkey.
1. Introduction
Decision making is a process that involves scientific approaches in determining the options in
overcoming negative issues that are experienced in the operation of any establishment and selecting
the best among these options. The modern approach of running a business makes it indispensable to
use scientific approaches that are improved and suitable for today’s conditions in the decision-making
process. Making accurate decisions requires sufficient knowledge of the system where problems are
experienced and, most importantly, requires developing a reliable mathematical model (algorithm)
that represents the problem or problems well. The secret of corporate success today is considered to be
the diversity of the scientific approaches that are used in decision-making processes. Moreover, rapid
developments and competitive conditions also make it indispensable to act together when solving
problems and as well as use modern technological processes.
In this context, location selection, which provides a methodological framework to identify the
rules and criteria for the space deployment of production, trade and service activities, has been
considered to be an important research theme and has attracted a growing attention of researchers
from various scientific disciplines. Additionally, due to its significant and long-term effects on business
risks, costs and revenues, location selection also represents one of the most important strategic business
decisions [1–4]. The location selection process, which involves identification, analysis, evaluation
and selection among alternatives, is influenced by many quantitative and qualitative criteria or
factors such as investment costs, human resources, the availability of acquirement material, natural
conditions, infrastructure conditions, proximity to the raw materials and market, market size and
demand conditions, firm strategy and rivalry, related and supporting industries, etc. [3–8]. In this
sense, it can be easily said that location selection represents a typical multi-criteria decision-making
(MCDM) problem [3–5,9–11].
As an advanced and a widely used subdiscipline of operations research, MCDM basically
represents a decision-making technique that can be used to evaluate a number of alternatives by taking
into account multiple and usually conflicting criteria that may be quantitative or qualitative, and aims
to provide support to the decision maker for making the choice between alternatives [9,12–14]. In
this framework, MCDM can be defined as the process of evaluating alternatives for the purpose of
selection or ranking via utilizing a number of qualitative and/or quantitative criteria that have different
measurement units [15].
MCDM involves a set of techniques such as min-max, max-min, ELECTRE, PROMETHEE,
TOPSIS, fuzzy TOPSIS, compromise programming, analytic hierarchy process (AHP), fuzzy AHP,
data envelopment analysis, and goal programming, that can be used for comparing and prioritizing
multiple alternatives and finally selecting the best-fit choice [16]. Among these techniques, for the
solutions to location problems that contain vague and incomplete data and linguistic variables, fuzzy
decision-making techniques have been attracting growing attention [12,17].
On the other hand, it should be stated that these techniques are not suitable for spatial data [18]. In
this context, with the advantage of handling both spatial and non-spatial data, geographic information
systems (GIS) have been applied for solving location problems [18–20]. GIS represent computer-based
tools that can be used for maintaining, managing, integrating and analyzing spatial data from different
sources. GIS allow us to store, edit, manipulate and analyze geographically referenced data to generate
interpretive maps and related statistics relevant for decision making [11,14,21]. In this sense, one could
say that although MCDM and GIS have developed independently, they actually support one another
and their combination generates more useful and reliable information that makes it possible to reach
accurate decisions, especially in the case of location selection [11,14,22].
Starting from this point of view, this study intends to compare the results of a MCDM method
and GIS. More specifically, it is aimed to analyze the results of a fuzzy TOPSIS method and GIS that
were applied to the problem of location selection for shopping malls in Turkey.
In Turkey, the first modern shopping mall opened in Istanbul in 1988 [23–25]. From that date, the
number of shopping malls in Turkey has been increasing significantly [26,27]. According to a recent
report, the number of shopping malls, which was 12 in 1995, reached 400 as of July 2017 [28]. The
increase in population and income, the changing leisure and consumption patterns, the modernity
provided by the shopping malls and macro-level changes in the political, economic and social
environments of Turkey are seen as the main reasons for this significant increase in the number of
shopping malls [25,26,29–31]. As stated by Tabak et al. [25], these developments are still continuing
and creating a severe competition in the sector. In this framework, investigating the most suitable
location for shopping centers represents a difficult task for investors in Turkey [30].
Furthermore, from the sustainable development perspective, the economic, environmental and
social impacts of shopping malls’ locations on retail and urban systems have been well recognized
especially in the urban planning literature [29,32,33]. The economic dimension of sustainable
development simply indicates that the location of a shopping mall should make it possible to
achieve and sustain high profitability in the long term. From a broader perspective, the shopping
malls should also provide economic opportunities such as employment, chances to start up new
businesses and an increase in trading volume as well as household income for the community that
they serve [34,35]. With regard to the environmental aspect of sustainable development, the locations
of shopping malls have a direct impact on the amount of carbon emissions and energy consumptions
sourced from transportation. Additionally, out-of-town shopping malls in particular have increased
traffic load and occupy a higher amount of green areas in recent years [32,35]. Therefore, the location
of shopping malls should minimize these negative impacts. Finally, regarding the social dimension of
sustainable development, out-of-town shopping malls isolate and exclude households without cars,
the elderly and lower income households and have negative impacts on the vitality of traditional town
Sustainability 2019, 11, 3837 3 of 22
centers and shopping streets; thus, the locations of shopping malls should also enhance social inclusion
and social vitality in local shopping spaces [32,34,35]. In this framework, in the process of determining
the optimal location for shopping malls, investors need to synchronize economic, environmental and
social aspects to achieve the goals of sustainability [36].
The rest of the paper is structured as follows. The next section presents the related literature and
theoretical framework. Section 3 describes the materials and methods. The results are discussed in
Section 4 and, finally, Section 5 contains concluding remarks.
2. Literature Review
Retail site location has been considered to be one of the most important factors affecting the
retailer’s success or failure for a number of reasons. First of all, the location of a store or a shopping
center makes the products or services available to customers; thus, good locations are likely to attract
large numbers of customers. Additionally, considering the rapid increase in the number of retail stores
and shopping malls, with nearly identical product and service offerings, slight differences in location
can have a substantial effect on sales performance and profitability. Finally, the disadvantages or
problems of an initially wrong decision in retail store location are extremely difficult to overcome as
the location decision represents a long-term, fixed investment which is immobile and unique [37–39].
Given the importance of the issue, retail location decision has become the subject matter of
different disciplines such as marketing, urban sciences, economics, geography, applied mathematics
and geomarketing and different retail location theories, models and procedures have been proposed.
In this sense, it is possible to say that retail location theory is comprised of four broad theoretical areas
that are central place theory, spatial interaction theory, land value theory and the principle of minimum
differentiation [38,40–45].
Central place theory provides a powerful explanation of the spatial structure of retail facilities
and considers the behavior of consumers and retail firms in a spatial market. In the framework of
this theory, distance to the supply point and transportation costs are the most important factors. It
is predicted that the longer distance from the supply point will reduce the demand for a good or a
service since customers will choose the nearest retailer [38,42,46–48]. Land value theory, which is
also known as bid rent theory, stems from Alonso’s seminal land use model and asserts that since
the supply of land is fixed, the location of different activities will depend on competitive bidding for
specific sites and, consequently, all urban sites are occupied by the activities that are capable of paying
the highest rentals. In this sense, it can be argued that retailers intend to pay higher rents to gain
more and higher profile customers and the higher the returns for a retailer, the higher the rent that
the retailer is able to pay [41,42,49,50]. The principle of minimum differentiation theory proposes that
closeness to rivals is more important than closeness to consumers. In this framework, it is suggested
that a given number of retailers operating in the same sector will show a superior performance if they
are clustered together [41,47,49].
Finally, spatial interaction theory discards the main assumption of the central place theory which
argues that consumers will choose the nearest retailer and propounds that consumers place more
importance on the attractiveness of alternative shopping areas than their distances [39,40,48]. Gravity
models, which are based on Newton’s law of universal gravitation, have been widely used to represent
spatial interactions in the field of retail location. The first gravity model was proposed by Reilly. In this
model, by utilizing size and distance between consumer and facilities as the attractiveness variables, he
measured the probability of consumer patronage at one facility in a two-facility competition. According
to Reilly’s model, centers of higher attractiveness—often identified with size—draw customers from
greater distances than less attractive ones. This model proposes that customers trade off the cost
of travel with the attractiveness of alternative shopping opportunities and has been widely used to
estimate the intermetropolitan trade areas of shopping centers and [11,39,44,51]. Huff contributed to the
location theory by extending Reilly’s model to multifacility competition and using revealed preference
approach to analyze retail store choice [39,51]. Huff argued that consumers choose competing shopping
Sustainability 2019, 11, 3837 4 of 22
areas as the basis of their overall “utility”. He formulated the utility of a store as the function of its size
and distance. In this framework, it is suggested that the utility of a facility is positively correlated to
its size and negatively related to its distance [11,22,39,41,44,52]. Huff’s probabilistic model of retail
gravitation has been considered as one of the most widely used models in retail location studies [53,54].
In the framework of spatial interaction theory, by including a set of other attractiveness variables along
with size, Nakanishi and Cooper (1974) [55] extended Huff’s model and proposed the multiplicative
competitive interaction (MCI) model. This model is considered as a more general form of Huff’s
model and incorporates both subjective variables such as consumer evaluation of store image, store
appearance, service quality, visibility and brand recognition and objective variables such as number
of checkout counters, credit card services, number of sections and size [39,43,44,56]. As a result of
Nakanishi and Cooper’s demonstration that the parameters of MCI models can be easily estimated by
ordinary least square methods, these models have become one of the most popular models in the field
of retail location selection [39,44].
Based on the theories and models discussed above, it can be easily said that retail location selection
represents a decision-making problem with multiple criteria. In this sense, MCDM methods have
also been applied to the location selection of shopping malls in the retail location literature. These
studies mainly focus on identifying multiple criteria for shopping mall location selection [11,57,58]. For
instance, Cheng et al. [57] presented the comparison of analytic network process (ANP) and analytic
hierarchy process (AHP) for shopping mall location selection based on twenty-four criteria under
seven categories. They concluded that ANP is a powerful tool to solve the decision problem if the
decision model is substantially affected by interdependent relationships.
Zolfani et al. [58] proposed a hybrid MCDM model to evaluate potential alternatives for shopping
mall location selection. Based on an extensive literature review and experts’ opinions, they selected
seven main criteria such as total cost, population and economic characteristics, environmental
consideration, potential continuous development and flexibility, accessibility and transportation,
investor’s competency and attractiveness. In order to prioritize and calculate the relative importance of
the criteria, a stepwise weight assessment ratio analysis (SWARA) was applied and potential location
alternatives were evaluated using the weighted aggregated sum product assessment (WASPAS) method.
The authors suggested that this integrated approach can also be utilized to solve other location selection
problems. Önüt et al. [30] proposed a combined MCDM approach for selecting a suitable shopping
center site in Istanbul. In this approach, the fuzzy AHP technique was applied to determine the
weights of the criteria and fuzzy TOPSIS was used to rank the alternative locations. The results of
the study indicate that the proposed approach provides a practical methodology to rank alternatives
with respect to multiple conflicting criteria for the large-scale problems. In another empirical research,
Yavuz and Deveci [59] employed two different MCDM methods, fuzzy TOPSIS and fuzzy VIKOR, to
determine the most suitable location for the shopping center in another city of Turkey, Erzincan. They
found that the results of the two techniques indicate a similar ranking of alternative locations.
The theories, models and procedures mentioned above focus on developing location models and
place a special emphasis on geodemographic factors. In this sense, GIS have been increasingly used for
the purpose of location selection [11,60]. Based on a review of advances in location science and the
important contributions of GIS, Murray [61] introduced that GIS have supported location modelling in
four main areas: input, visualization, problem solution and theory advancement. In the context of
shopping mall location selection, Cheng et al. [19] presented the application of GIS by demonstrating
an illustrative project to create features related to household incomes, demand points, etc., and to set
queries to find solutions for four common location problems: minimum distance, maximum demands
coverage, maximum incomes coverage, and optimal center. They concluded that multi-layer maps
created by GIS software enable decision makers to reach more accurate solutions for problems.
More recently, ELSamen and Hiyasat [62] examined shopping mall location selection in the area
of West Amman in Jordan by utilizing GIS tools. Their results indicate that the area under stay has an
Sustainability 2019, 11, 3837 5 of 22
excessive number of shopping malls; thus, it suffers from excessive oversupply. In this sense, they
recommended the area outside the borders of the studied area for new shopping mall establishments.
In the context of Turkey, Bayar [63] investigated suitable locations for shopping malls in Ankara
based on retail sector and consumer behavior reports. Similarly, upon loading semantic (socio economic)
data on geographical (spatial) data, Erdin Gundogdu performed a detailed analysis with GIS, in
Istanbul [64] and on a geographical region basis in Turkey [65,66].
Based on the literature mentioned above, it can be easily said that both MCDM methods and
GIS can provide proper solutions for shopping mall location problems. However, the results of
fuzzy TOPSIS, a popular MCDM method, and GIS have never been compared, to the knowledge of
the authors.
Hence, the main area of work for fuzzy decision making is making decisions under uncertainty.
This is because the researcher has linguistic values at hand instead of numerical values related to the
criteria, alternatives
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3.3. Fuzzy
3.3. Fuzzy Multi-Criteria
Multi-Criteria Decision
Decision Making
Making
The fuzzy
The fuzzy sets
sets theory
theory had
had significant
significant contributions
contributions on on multi-criteria
multi-criteria decision
decision making
making (MCDM),
(MCDM),
and decision
and decision analysis
analysis has
has become
become oneone ofof the
the most
most suitable
suitable fields
fields for using this theory. By including
including
fuzzy sets
fuzzy sets in
in the
the MCDM
MCDM process,
process, aa great
great advancement
advancement was was achieved
achieved inin the
the field
field of
of MCDM,
MCDM, and and fuzzy
fuzzy
MCDM was
MCDM wasdeveloped.
developed.Although
Although thethe
classical MCDM
classical MCDM methods assume
methods that thethat
assume weights
the and priorities
weights and
of criteriaof
priorities are precisely
criteria known, they
are precisely fall short
known, in modelling
they fall problemsproblems
short in modelling that are encountered in reality.
that are encountered
Fuzzy
in MCDM
reality. Fuzzy methods,
MCDM in additionintoaddition
methods, allowingtothe use of linguistic
allowing the use ofvariables
linguistic invariables
assessingin criteria and
assessing
alternatives,
criteria also provide also
and alternatives, effective results
provide by quantifying
effective results by uncertain data.uncertain
quantifying Especially, in facility
data. location
Especially, in
problems,
facility the conventional
location problems, MCDM methods are
the conventional considered
MCDM as less
methods effective
are in dealing
considered with
as less the vague
effective in
nature of the linguistic assessment. In this sense, fuzzy MCDM methods have
dealing with the vague nature of the linguistic assessment. In this sense, fuzzy MCDM methods have been attracting an
increasing
been interest
attracting in the fieldinterest
an increasing of facility location
in the [17].
field of facility location [17].
3.4. Fuzzy
3.4. Fuzzy Numbers
Numbers
The term
The term ‘fuzzy
‘fuzzy number’
number’ is is used
used to to discuss
discuss uncertain
uncertain numerical
numerical valuesvalues such
such asas “close
“close to
to 10”
10” or
or
“about
“about 7”. A fuzzy
7”. A fuzzy number
number is is aa fuzzy
fuzzy network
network quantity
quantity thatthat is
is the
the generalized
generalized form
form ofof the
thereal
realnumber
number
r. Here, it is a measure of how far A(x) approaches r in value. In this case,
r. Here, it is a measure of how far A(x) approaches r in value. In this case, A(r) would be equal to A(r) would be equal to 1.
1.
Fuzzy sets
Fuzzy sets are
are defined
defined by by membership
membership functions,
functions, and and aa membership
membership function
functionshown
shownas µÃ (x)
as μà (x)
takes values in the closed interval
takes values in the closed interval of [0, 1]. of [0, 1].
If µÃ (x)
If μà (x) ==0,
0,the number xx is
thenumber isnot
not aamember
member of of the
the set;
set;
If µÃ (x)
If μà (x) ==1,
1,the number xx is
thenumber is aamember
member of of the
the set;
set;
and in other cases, the presence of x in the
and in other cases, the presence of x in the set is defined set is defined as as fuzzy.
fuzzy.
As the value of µÃ (x) is closer to 1, the membership
As the value of μà (x) is closer to 1, the membership level of level of the element xx in
the element in the
the set
set increases.
increases.
While there are different ways of expressing fuzzy numbers,
While there are different ways of expressing fuzzy numbers, generally triangular generally triangular and trapezoidal
and
fuzzy numbers are prevalently used.
trapezoidal fuzzy numbers are prevalently used.
For example,
For example, the the triangular
triangular fuzzy number ÃÃ is
fuzzy number is aa special
special type
type ofof fuzzy
fuzzy number
number thatthat is
is defined
defined byby
three real numbers, and it is expressed as à = (a1,
three real numbers, and it is expressed as à = (a1, a2, a3) (Figure 1).a2, a3) (Figure 1).
x < a1
0,
x−a1
a2 −a1 , a1 ≤ x ≤ a2
µA (x) =
a3 −x
a3 −a2 , a2 ≤ x ≤ a1
x > a1
0,
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Table 1. Linguistic variables used in evaluating the criteria and the corresponding triangular
fuzzy numbers.
Table 2. Linguistic variables used in evaluating the alternatives and the corresponding triangular
fuzzy numbers.
Step 4: After choosing the appropriate linguistic variables, decision makers determine the
importance weights of the criteria as shown in Table 3 and evaluate the ratings of alternative locations
with respect to each criterion. The ratings of seven alternatives under six criteria are presented in
Table 4 [4,73].
Decision Makers
Criteria
D1 D2 D3
C1 VH H VH
C2 H VH H
C3 MH M MH
C4 H MH MH
C5 MH MH MH
C6 VH VH H
Decision Makers
Criteria Alternatives
D1 D2 D3
A1 G VG G
A2 W MW ÇW
A3 MW W W
C1 A4 M MG MG
A5 G G MG
A6 VG VG VG
A7 G G VG
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Table 4. Cont.
Decision Makers
Criteria Alternatives
D1 D2 D3
A1 G G G
A2 W MW W
A3 MW W W
C2 A4 M G MG
A5 MG G G
A6 VG G VG
A7 G G G
A1 G G G
A2 M W M
A3 MW W W
C3 A4 W MW MW
A5 G MG G
A6 VG G VG
A7 G G G
A1 G MG G
A2 W WG MW
A3 MW W W
C4 A4 MW M M
A5 G G G
A6 VG G VG
A7 G G G
A1 VG G VG
A2 W MW W
A3 W M M
C5 A4 M MG MG
A5 MG G G
A6 VG VG VG
A7 VG G VG
A1 G VG VG
A2 MW W MW
A3 W M M
C6 A4 M MG G
A5 G G MG
A6 VG G VG
A7 G VG G
At this step, the ratings of alternatives and weights of criteria are also aggregated. Assume that a
decision committee has K decision makers, then the aggregated ratings of alternatives and weights of
criteria can be calculated as follows, respectively:
1h 1 i
xij = xij + e
e xK
x2ij + ... + eij
K
1h 1 i
ej =
w ej + w
w eKj
e2j + ... + w
K
where e xK
ij
eKj are the rating and the importance weight of the Kth decision maker, respectively.
and w
Based on the equations above, the aggregated fuzzy weights of the criteria were calculated as in
Table 5 [4,73,102,103].
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Criteria 3.5.Weights
Fuzzy TOPSIS Method
C1 Regional Development (0.833,0.967,1.000)
The TOPSIS method is an MCDM method that is based
C2 Economy (0.767,0.933,1.000)
Sustainability 2019, 11, x FOR PEER REVIEW of decision points to the ideal
7 of 21solution. The ideal solution is
C3 Transportation (0.433,0.633,0.833)
C4 Population Density the criterion, while
(0.567,0.767,0.933) the negative ideal solution is formed by t
Sustainability 2019, 11, x FOR PEER REVIEW
the processes of alternative selection, the best alternative wo
3.5. Fuzzy TOPSIS Method C5 Tourism (0.433,0.633,0.833)
C6 Cultural Structure ideal solution and the farthest from the negative ideal solutio
(0.833,0.967,1.000)
The TOPSIS method is an MCDM method 3.5. Fuzzy that is based
TOPSIS on the main principle of the proximity
Method
In the classical method of TOPSIS, the performance valu
of decision points to the ideal solution. The ideal solution is formed by the best accessible values of
This step involves The TOPSIS
constructing method is precise
an MCDM numbers.
method This
that isisalternatives
why it
based oncannot
theasmaininaccount
principlefor of
uncer
the
the criterion, whileStep the5:negative ideal solution is formed the by the fuzzyworst decision
valuesmatrixof the for ranking
criterion. During
Table of decision points to the ideal determining
solution.
6 [104,105].selection, the best alternative would be the one that is the closest to the The the weights
ideal and
solution qualitative
is formed by criteria.
the bestAs the cur
accessibl
the processes of alternative
the criterion, while the negative life ideal
situations
solution fall is
short
formed in terms
by the ofworst
modelling,
valuessubjective qua
of the criteri
ideal solution and the farthest from the negative ideal solution [70].
the processes
Table 6.ofFuzzy
alternative are
decisionselection,usually
matrix. theexpressed with linguistic
best alternative would bevariablesthe one [71].that For this
is the clor
In the classical method of TOPSIS, the performance values and the weights of criteria consist of
ideal solution and the farthestmethod from the where uncertainty
negative and ambiguity
ideal solution [70]. prevail (fuzziness
precise numbers. This Ais1 why it cannot A2 account for A3 uncertainty A4 caused by Ahuman 5 judgmentA6 in A7
In (0.33,1.67,3.67)
the classical method ofTOPSIS,
of numerical the data for decision
performance values making
and the [72]. A decision-m
weights of criteria
determining the weights and qualitative criteria. As the current practices with precise data in real-
C1 (7.67,9.33,10.00) (0.33,1.33,3.00) (4.33,6.33,8.33) (6.33,8.33,9.67) (9.00,10.00,10.00) (7.67,9.33,10.00)
C2 (7.00,9.00,10.00) precise (0.33,1.67,3.67)
(0.33,1.67,3.67) numbers. This is why makers
(5.00,7.00,8.67) evaluate
it (6.33,8.33,9.67)
cannot and
account rank alternatives
for uncertainty
(8.33,9.67,10.00) in the case
caused
(7.00,9.00,10.00) by of uncertai
human ju
life situationsCfall short in terms of(2.00,3.67,5.67)
(7.00,9.00,10.00) modelling, subjective qualities
(0.33,1.67,3.67) and the (6.33,8.33,9.67)
(0.67,2.33,4.33) weights of these qualities (7.00,9.00,10.00)
(8.33,9.67,10.00)
3 determining the weights andasqualitative
fuzzy TOPSIS.
criteria.Several
As the authors
current have proposed
practices withfuzzy TOP
precise d
are usually expressed
C4 with linguistic
(6.33,8.33,9.67) variables [71].
(0.67,2.33,4.33) For this reason,
(0.33,1.67,3.67) researchers
(3.67,5.67,7.67) developed
(7.00,9.00,10.00) a TOPSIS (7.00,9.00,10.00)
(8.33,9.67,10.00)
C5 (8.33,9.67,10.00) life situations
(0.33,1.67,3.67) fall short
(2.00,3.67,5.67) in termsTOPSIS
(4.33,6.33,8.33) method proposed
of(6.33,8.33,9.67)
modelling, subjective by [73],
qualities
(9.00,10.00,10.00) where
and the
(8.33,9.67,10.00) theweights
fuzzy positiv
of thes
method whereC6uncertainty and ambiguity
(8.33,9.67,10.00) prevail
(0.67,2.33,4.33) (fuzziness),(5.00,7.00,8.67)
(2.00,3.67,5.67) which uses linguistic variables
(6.33,8.33,9.67) instead (7.67,9.33,10.00)
(8.33,9.67,10.00)
are usually expressed with linguistic (1,1,1) and (0,0,0) respectively.
variables [71]. For this reason, researchers developed
of numerical data for decision making [72]. A decision-making process where multiple decision
method where uncertainty and ambiguity In recentprevail years, (fuzziness),
many researchers which uses havelinguistic
used thevariabFuzzy
makers evaluate and rank alternatives in the case of uncertainty based on multiple criteria is defined
Step 6: At this step, theofraw data are data
numerical normalized
for decisionin order
problems. to make
making The
[72].comparisons
determination
A decision-making across
of thecriteria.
best location
process wherefor amultip
wide r
as fuzzy TOPSIS. Several authors have proposed fuzzy TOPSIS methods. This study used the fuzzy
The normalized fuzzy decision matrix
makers is constructed
evaluate and rank asalternatives
inas
Table
solar 7 [4,105,106].
power
in the plants
case of[74], logisticsbased
uncertainty centers on[75–77],
multipledistribu
criteria
TOPSIS method proposed by [73], where the fuzzy positive and negative solutions were taken as
as fuzzy TOPSIS. Several authors facilities
have[82–84],
proposed hospitals [85], landfills
fuzzy TOPSIS methods. [86], This
stations
study[87] an
used
(1,1,1) and (0,0,0) respectively. Normalized fuzzy decision
Table 7.method
TOPSIS proposed [73],matrix.
byFuzzy TOPSIS
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alternative from A* and
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7. Forming the weighted normalized fuzzy decision matrix,
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These steps are briefly explained below: 11. Ranking the alternatives based on their closeness coefficients.
(A6) and Aegean (A7) regions, were accepted as alternat
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practices
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4.474 matrix,1.454 1.567 3.175 4.209 4.676 4.485
ing the values of A* and
d
the distance of each alternative
i * + A՟,
d i from A* and A՟ ,
6.507 6.343 6.348 6.452 6.543 6.424 6.518
ngthethe distancecoefficient
closeness CC
of each alternative 0.688
from A* and
of each alternative
i A՟ and
0.229
(CCi), , 0.247 0.492 0.643 0.728 0.688
eng the closeness
alternatives basedcoefficient
on theirof each alternative
closeness (CCi), and
coefficients.
the alternatives based on their closeness coefficients.
Step 11: Finally, based on the closeness coefficients, the ranking order of the location alternatives
are briefly explained below:
ps are briefly can
explained be determined. As shown in Table 9, based on the closeness coefficients (CCi ), the ranking order of
below:
ommittee consisting of three expert decision makers (D1, D2, D3) was formed for
Ation committee the location alternatives occurs as follows:
selection.consisting of three expert decision makers (D1, D2, D3) was formed for
cation
officialselection.
geographical regions of Turkey, which consist of the Mediterranean (A1),
A6 > A7 = A1 > A5 > A4 > A3 > A2
he
atolia (A2),geographical
official Eastern Anatolia regions (A3),of Black
Turkey, Seawhich
(A4), consist
Central of the Mediterranean
Anatolia (A5), Marmara (A1),
Anatolia
n (A7) regions,(A2), Eastern
were It Anatolia
accepted (A3),
asthat Black Sea locations
alternative (A4), Central the Anatolia (A5), Marmara
is shown the alternative A6for was thelocation best option selection
as it had the highest relative distance
ean (A7) regions,
step, the evaluation were accepted as alternative locations for the location selection
forcriteria
facilityare determined.
location As the
selection. determination
Moreover, the closed of the interval
criteria that
of [0, 1] was divided into five equal
his step, theofevaluation
evaluation alternative criteria
locations are determined.
has a direct As the on
impact determination
the accuracy ofand
thequality
criteriaof that
sub-intervals for determining the existing assessment statuses of the alternatives based on their
or evaluation of alternative locations has a direct impact on the accuracy and quality of
closeness coefficients, and linguistic variables were defined for all sub-intervals (Table 12) [102].
According to Tables 11 and 12, A6 , A1 , A7 and A5 were found acceptable, A4 was found advisable
with low risk, and A3 and A2 were found advisable with high risk.
Sustainability 2019, 11, 3837 13 of 22
• Spatial Analyst
• Spatial Statistics
• Data Management
• 3D Analyst
In evaluation, first of all, vector (polygon) databases showing city borders of Turkey and vector
(spot) databases showing city centers were created. Subsequently, fields were created for changes to
spot database and values of variables estimated for each city were entered into these fields. Finally, the
Sustainability 2019, 11, 3837 14 of 22
scores for each city for the selection of an optimal shopping mall location were calculated by using the
following formula, which was created based on experts’ views:
The selection priority of optimal shopping center location was determined as relative percentages
that were calculated based on the assumption that Istanbul is the city with the highest priority, which is
100. The relative percentages were interpolated statistically to the entire country based on cities (with
the vector-raster conversion). In this study, the overall score for each geographical region is calculated
as the sum of the scores of the cities determined by the studies explained above. The priorities of seven
Sustainability 2019, 11, x FOR PEER REVIEW 14 of 21
official geographical regions in Turkey based on their overall scores are presented in Table 13.
Table 13. Ranking order of geographical regions.
Table 13. Ranking order of geographical regions.
Geographical Region Overall Score Ranking
Geographical Region Overall Score Ranking
Marmara 140.81 1
Marmara
Central Anatolia 140.81
70.14 2 1
Central Anatolia 70.14 2
Mediterranean
Mediterranean
48.17
48.17
3 3
Aegean
Aegean 37.87
37.87 3 3
Southeastern
Southeastern Anatolia
Anatolia 32.94
32.94 4 4
Black SeaSea
Black 27.30
27.30 5 5
Eastern Anatolia
Eastern Anatolia 26.41
26.41 6 6
Figure 2.
Figure Graphical representation
2. Graphical representation of
of the
the Marmara
Marmara region
region (2D).
(2D).
4.3. Comparison of the Results of the Fuzzy TOPSIS and GIS-Based Analysis
The location selection problem is a very important problem for an investor and decision maker
that has controversial outcomes. In decision-making processes, the database to be formed needs to
consist of multidimensional and reliable data. As these data may be real numbers, they may also be
Sustainability 2019, 11, 3837 15 of 22
4.3. Comparison of the Results of the Fuzzy TOPSIS and GIS-Based Analysis
The location selection problem is a very important problem for an investor and decision maker
that has controversial outcomes. In decision-making processes, the database to be formed needs to
consist of multidimensional and reliable data. As these data may be real numbers, they may also be
linguistic variables in the case of uncertainty. In order to make a rational decision on this reliable
database that is formed, the decision-making process should involve up-to-date scientific approaches
and technological opportunities.
According to Table 14, which compares the results of “Fuzzy TOPSIS” method and the analysis
results based on numerical data in the GIS environment, the results of both methods indicate that the
Marmara region was ranked as the best option for shopping malls in Turkey. On the other hand, there
are some similarities and differences in the remaining rankings obtained from fuzzy TOPSIS and GIS.
5. Conclusions
The main purpose of this study is to compare the results of the fuzzy TOPSIS method and
GIS, which were applied to determine the best location for shopping malls in Turkey. The official
geographical regions of Turkey (Mediterranean, Southeastern Anatolia, Eastern Anatolia, Black Sea,
Central Anatolia, Marmara and Aegean) were accepted as alternative locations and in the process of
the implementation of the fuzzy TOPSIS method, linguistic variables such as regional development,
economy, transportation, population density, tourism and cultural structure were determined as the
decision criteria. On the other hand, for the GIS process, which utilizes a geographical database
that contains all administrative provincial boundaries, roads and all geographical information that is
needed for Turkey in its entirety, semantic data including the numbers of shopping malls in every city,
the numbers of shopping malls in neighboring cities, rent prices, quality of life, safety and population
density were uploaded for city centers.
The results of both fuzzy TOPSIS and GIS show that Marmara Region is the most optimal location
in the case of shopping malls in Turkey. One possible explanation for this result is that Marmara region
is the most developed region of Turkey and has favorable conditions in terms of the criteria taken into
consideration in the implementation of both fuzzy TOPSIS and GIS processes.
On the other hand, two methods generated different results with regard to the ranking order of
the other six regions. There are some possible explanations for these controversy results. First of all,
criteria and their importance weights that are used in TOPSIS methodology are determined based on
the experts’ opinions. Hence, the results of TOPSIS method are affected by the subjective assessments
of the individual decision makers. On the other hand, the spatial data utilized by GIS are precise and
objective since they can be measured. Furthermore, GIS allow the use of more inclusive criteria as they
can be integrated with other information systems [135].
As the solution to facility location problems requires multi-criteria, various MCDM methods have
been applied to solve these problems. Among these methods, fuzzy TOPSIS has several advantages
such as providing consistent results with criteria evaluation changes, simplified calculations and good
computational efficiency, capability of handling uncertainty through linguistic variables. Furthermore,
it also provides efficiency in dealing with tangible criteria and larger numbers of alternatives, a
meaningful performance measurement for each alternative and a clear distinction between the
alternatives [4,141–145]. Here, it should be also noted that this method suffers from several limitations.
First, fuzzy TOPSIS is not suitable for solving hierarchical problems, since a hierarchical structure
between the main criteria and sub-criteria is not taken into consideration by this method. Second, an
Sustainability 2019, 11, 3837 16 of 22
efficient procedure is required to determine the relative importance of different criteria with respect to
the objective [4,144,146].
As mentioned earlier, GIS tools have become very popular for retail location selection decisions
among both academics and practitioners. The main advantages of GIS are their ability to integrate
large quantities of spatial and non-spatial information; to generate and communicate results easily and
rapidly by means of attractive and informative digital maps; and to evaluate more alternatives than
manual systems [62,129,135,136]. Considering these advantages, Suárez-Vega et al. [11] state that GIS
provide a broader vision with regard to the possible locations and powerful assistance to the decision
makers and Cheng et al. [19] assert that GIS represent one of the most appropriate tools, especially
for shopping mall location selection. However, the lack of analytical and modelling functions to
incorporate forecasts, objectives, costs and benefits has been considered as the major weakness of the
existing systems [129,136].
In conclusion, it was shown that the opportunities provided to the decision makers in the GIS
environment had a significant share in solving location selection problems by the visualization, analysis
and production of data in the “Numerical Geographical Database” of the geographical software
platform. In this sense, a combination of MCDM techniques and GIS can provide an effective tool for
facility location selection decisions.
Author Contributions: In this paper, contributions of authors are given as follows; “conceptualization, H.E.A.;
methodology, C.E.; investigation, C.E.; data curation, C.E., writing—H.E.A. and C.E.; review and editing, H.E.A.
Funding: This research received no external funding
Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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