Solutions
of kashmir dispute
1. The status quo
Kashmir has been a flashpoint between India and Pakistan for more than 60
years. Currently a boundary – the Line of Control – divides the region in two,
with one part administered by India and one by Pakistan. India would like to
formalise this status quo and make it the accepted international boundary. But
Pakistan and Kashmiri activists reject this plan because they both want greater
control over the region.
2. Kashmir joins Pakistan
Pakistan has consistently favoured this as the best solution to the dispute. In
view of the state’s majority Muslim population, it believes that it would vote to
become part of Pakistan. However a single plebiscite held in a region which
comprises peoples that are culturally, religiously and ethnically diverse, would
create disaffected minorities. The Hindus of Jammu, and the Buddhists of
Ladakh have never shown any desire to join Pakistan and would protest at the
outcome.
3. Kashmir joins India
Such a solution would be unlikely to bring stability to the region as the Muslim
inhabitants of Pakistani-administered Jammu and Kashmir, including the
Northern Areas, have never shown any desire to become part of India.
4. Independent Kashmir
The difficulty of adopting this as a potential solution is that it requires India and
Pakistan to give up territory, which they are not willing to do. Any plebiscite or
referendum likely to result in a majority vote for independence would therefore
probably be opposed by both India and Pakistan. It would also be rejected by
the inhabitants of the state who are content with their status as part of the
countries to which they already owe allegiance.
5. A smaller independent Kashmir
An independent Kashmir could be created from the Kashmir Valley – currently
under Indian administration – and the narrow strip of land which Pakistan calls
Azad Jammu and Kashmir. This would leave the strategically important regions
of the Northern Areas and Ladakh, bordering China, under the control of
Pakistan and India respectively. However both India and Pakistan would be
unlikely to enter into discussions which would have this scenario as a possible
outcome.
6. Independent Kashmir Valley
An independent Kashmir Valley has been considered by some as the best
solution because it would address the grievances of those who have been
fighting against the Indian Government since the insurgency began in 1989. But
critics say that, without external assistance, the region would not be
economically viable.
7. The Chenab formula
This plan, first suggested in the 1960s, would see Kashmir divided along the line
of the River Chenab. This would give the vast majority of land to Pakistan and,
as such, a clear victory in its longstanding dispute with India. The entire valley
with its Muslim majority population would be brought within Pakistan’s
borders, as well as the majority Muslim areas of Jammu.