Social: Identity, Violence and Power
Social: Identity, Violence and Power
STUDIES
IN THE
SOCIAL
SCIENCES
Identity, Violence
and Power
Mobilising Hatred, Demobilising Dissent
Guy Elcheroth and Stephen Reicher
Identity Studies in the Social Sciences
Series Editors
Margaret Wetherell
The Open University
Milton Keynes, United Kingdom
Valerie Hey
University of Sussex
Brighton, United Kingdom
Stephen Reicher
School of Psychology and Neuroscience
University of St. Andrews, St. Andrews
United Kingdom
Identity brings together work on core social categories such as social class,
race, ethnicity, gender, disability and sexuality. This series investigates the
ways in which social and personal identities are lived and performed in
spaces and contexts such as schools, work places, clinics, homes, com-
munities, streets, politics and public life, and explores a range of theo-
retical, methodological and epistemological debates over, for example,
the demise of essentialist models, the rise of ‘identity politics’ and the
relationship between psychological and social processes. Identity research
has been the vehicle for some profound reflections on the nature of new
and emerging social and cultural forms and the impacts of globaliza-
tion, transnationalism, postcolonialism and multiculturalism. This series
welcomes critically and theoretically-informed work in a variety of areas
including nationhood, family, gender and class, as well as on issues of
identity and space, media representations of identity, social inclusion and
exclusion and social identity theory.
Identity, Violence
and Power
Mobilising Hatred, Demobilising Dissent
Guy Elcheroth Stephen Reicher
Institute of Social Sciences School of Psychology
University of Lausanne University of St Andrews
Lausanne, Switzerland St Andrews, United Kingdom
of making too stark a distinction between fixity and fluidity. There are
periods when social categories and social relations do indeed remain con-
stant over extended periods and periods where they go through rapid
changes. Which one discovers is a matter of timing. In general terms,
it would be wrong to treat either as the norm. Rather, we need a more
historicised approach which allows us to identify and analyse the turning
points where social relations lose (or gain) their fluidity and where iden-
tity constructions become frozen (or unfrozen).
When we do take an historical view—whether in relation to our own
studies of the former Yugoslavia and of India, or indeed of elsewhere—it
becomes abundantly clear that, at different times, the cleavages in social
relations have been based on different social categories: sometimes people
confront each other in terms of nation and sometimes in terms of class,
or caste, or religion or ethnicity. Multiple differences have therefore to be
forgotten and multiple conflicts have to be put on hold before a critical
mass of people can think or act together in terms of any one of these, still
more before one can take it as self-evident that there is a long history of
conflict between Hindus and Muslims, Serbs and Croats, or whatever
other groups are seen as trans-historical entities.
So how are categories reconfigured? How could social relations become
frozen along ethnic lines and ethnicity become a matter of life and
death—as they did in Vukovar or in Sarajevo, in Ayodhya or in Gujarat,
or in many other places at different times in history?
Back in 2008 an impression arose which evolved into a critical thesis
that led us to re-assess the existing evidence and re-analyse our own. Such
dramatic disruption of the normal fluidity of collective identities cannot
just happen spontaneously. It requires such a violent shock to the system
that the fundamental ways in which we are able to relate to others are
changed and hence we begin to think and talk of the cleavages between
self and other, ‘us’ and ‘them’, in new ways. And not only must the shock
be violent but also violence is a powerful means of achieving such a
shock. Even if you never previously saw yourself and others in terms of,
say, religious identities, if you are attacked as a Muslim—or even hear
of others attacked as Muslims—can you afford to ignore the possibil-
ity that you, your family, your friends might be positioned as a Muslim
in future encounters? Can you therefore afford to avoid acting as if you
Preface vii
were a Muslim, thereby confirming others view of you as such and hence
fuelling a vicious spiral? Unwillingly, perhaps, but no less effectively, the
awful realities of violence affect the identities through which we organise
our everyday world.
This insight might seem relatively modest and mundane. But the more
we thought about it and the more we considered the implications, the
more the fabric of received wisdom on conflict and intergroup relations
began to unravel. Traditionally, conflict is seen as an output of identity
processes. There are two broad variants of this. On the one hand it is
argued that longstanding identities generate animosities that, given the
power to act, will result in violence. So, notably in the former Yugoslavia,
it is argued that the state may have temporarily suppressed the ancient
hatreds between groups in the region. But once that state dissolved,
people could express their hatreds in ways that still haunt the imagina-
tion. On the other hand it is argued that those with power and influence
deliberately invoke antagonisms between groups and deliberately incite
violence which ordinary people are incapable of resisting.
The three terms here—identity, violence and power—are ones that we
retain and which are central to our analysis. But we reconceptualise their
relationship. Instead of putting either identity or power at the start of
the process—as inbuilt features of our psychological make-up which all
too easily generate antagonism towards outsiders or conformism towards
cynical leaders—we also treat them as outcomes. Equally, instead of put-
ting violence at the end of the process we also place it at the start. Instead
of conceptualising a simple linear relationship between terms, we exam-
ine the multiple configurations of identity, violence and power. Violence
thereby becomes much more than the tragic end of the play. Above all, it
is the shock that serves to create and consolidate identities and thereby to
transform power relations during the next act.
However, one cannot alter the way in which identity, violence and
power relate to each other without rethinking these core constructs them-
selves. Our approach to each construct lays much more stress than usual
on meta representation and communication. That is, who we are, what
we think and what we do is as much a matter of what we think others are
thinking as of what we think ourselves, and also of what we think others
will allow us to do. It follows that reconfiguring identities may be best
viii Preface
We have described how we set out to write in 2008. Back then, we thought
that our argument might be pushing at an open door. Our focus was to
be on a set of intriguing conundrums that arise once one follows through
a constructivist view of identity: How can such fluid and malleable things
Preface ix
guilty.” More prosaically, the notion that conflict arises out of a clash of
engrained identities has gained renewed legitimacy in public discourse
and policy decisions concerning war and peace. It has become a readily
available grid through which to understand and respond to contempo-
rary conflict.
Accordingly, what we had thought to be easily dealt with in terms
of a background to our studies has now become far more controversial.
What might once have been an open door has become stiff with age and
far more effort is needed to shift it. We could no longer just state a set of
assumptions about the constructed nature, and hence the contingency,
of identity, violence and power. We were in danger of using a language
to explain the world just at the point that the world was moving beyond
that language. The fear that our words would not even speak to a new
generation of students and scholars, for whom the book was primarily
intended, began to haunt us.
This fear led us to revise our manuscript to be more explicit about the
problems with fatalistic conflict theories. Accordingly, the first part of
the book spells out our criticisms of models that treat group identities as
immutable, conformity within groups as natural, and hostility between
groups as unavoidable. As we have already intimated, there are two vari-
ants of this view and we devote a chapter to each: Chapter 1 looks at the
idea that ordinary people are doomed to hate those from different groups
and leaders can, at best, mitigate the worst excesses; Chap. 2 looks at the
idea that ordinary people are doomed to follow leaders who incite them
to hate those from different groups.
The second part then provides a systematic outline of our own position
based on three key constructs: identity, violence and power. This involves
rethinking both how each of these relates to the others and also how the
construct itself should be understood. So, in Chap. 3, we start with i dentity
as something that is created through shared social practices and hence is
transformed through the disruption of existing practices. In Chap. 4 we
turn to violence as a particularly potent means of achieving such disrup-
tion and hence of reconfiguring the map of social identities and social
groups. Finally, in Chap. 5, we address power—more specifically, the role
of leadership and power politics in managing violence and identity.
Preface xi
In the third part, this conceptual model is applied to three case stud-
ies. In Chap. 6 we dissect the dynamics of religious violence in parts of
India. In Chap. 7 we examine ethnic violence in the former Yugoslavia.
In Chap. 8 we analyse anti-war protest in the UK, and more specifically
in Scotland, in reaction to the military invasion of Iraq. Since parts of
these case studies have been published before as journal articles, we were
able to present the findings here without disrupting the flow of the book
with too much methodological detail. We also opted to integrate each
case study with new, so far unpublished, material that extends both the
empirical and the conceptual reach of our analysis.
The changes of recent years have led us not only to alter the structure and
stress of our argument but also to reconsider its impact and implications.
As lines of public debate shifted so that discourse that had been perceived
as extremist became normalised, we were led to become more reflexive
about the way that we—as social scientists—refer to the mainstream and
to the margins in public controversies. As, like everyone else, we were
continuously taken by surprise by the new givens and developed an ever
more uncomfortable feeling of running behind events, we were forced to
confront a foundational question: What exactly is our analysis for? After
all, the conventional justification of scientific analysis is that it allows us
to predict what will happen. If we (like everyone else) so obviously fail in
prediction, then what on earth is the point of what we are doing?
To address such deeply troubling questions, let us consider a further
case which is, as we write, still unfolding. We refer to Burundi, whose past
and present plights are largely ignored despite the fact that something like
a quarter of a million people were killed in past atrocities, c ulminating in
1972 and 1993, and that, over the last year alone a further quarter of a
million people have fled the country in fear of further violence.
At one level, the latest bout of violence was clearly foreseen. When the
first author travelled to Burundi in early 2014, the country seemed safe.
It was perfectly possible to talk in a relaxed manner with local researchers,
aid workers and activists. Many people spoke openly. Some of them were
xii Preface
happy to air their differences about the challenges facing Burundian soci-
ety in its attempts to deal with a legacy of violence. It was easy to travel
around the country and to visit commemoration sites, each of which told
a different story about the nature of this past violence. But among well-
informed locals, few expected this to last. With surprising consistency
and great precision many conversations alluded to the prospect that the
current period of calm and tolerance would come to an end within 18
months, to be replaced by a new period of heightened tension.
They were right. After President Pierre Nkurunziza decided to ignore
the two-term limit on office and, in April 2015, announced his inten-
tion to seek a third term, there were massive protests in the streets of
Bujumbura (the Burundian capital), a radio crack-down, a failed coup
attempt, and, eventually, vicious repression of the anti-third-term oppo-
sition. That is also when the flow into exile began. But if many people
foresaw these tensions starting from a long way off, there was a limit to
their prophetic powers. Once conflict had started, no one could tell how
it would develop. Everyone was perplexed as to how the next day might
turn out.
It was as if an understanding of the simple power calculus between the
main actors, a glance at the electoral calendar, and an awareness of past
events (elections in Burundi have repeatedly been tainted by violence)
was enough for well-informed observers to predict that a crisis would
occur, and even when it would occur. Just like clockwork, the president
would try to cling on to power, his rivals would cry foul and an almighty
stooshie (to use an evocative Scottish word for conflict) would break out.
But once events were in motion—once social forces had been moved
out of a stable equilibrium into a state of volatility—then the smallest of
causes could produce the largest of effects. It then became all but impos-
sible to spot what was coming and where things were going.
Strangely enough, as knowledgeable locals became more perplexed,
international observers became more certain about the focus of concern.
They had one question: Would the crisis lead to an outbreak of ethnic
violence? So, on 13 May 2015, while the coup attempt was still unfold-
ing, CNN splashed the headline “Amid fears of ethnic violence, coup
attempt reported in Burundi”. Meanwhile, the International Business
Times announced, “Africa watches Burundi coup to see if conflict spreads,
Preface xiii
that increases the odds of the predicted outcome. Our prophecies may
end up as self-fulfilling in themselves or, more plausibly and more prob-
lematically, condoning the prophecies made by the most powerful con-
flict actors (those who are in the best position to make their prophecies
become true). The underlying issue here is that, if we accept that identi-
ties and conflicts are constructed and contingent rather than natural and
inevitable, and if we also accept that identities can be rooted in the way
we will be seen by others as much as in the way we see ourselves (like
those who fled for fear of being apprehended as Tutsis) then we can never
be certain of providing an innocuous definition of events. We are not like
taxonomers defining reality from the outside. We are, whether we like it
or not, insiders who are part and parcel of the conflict process. If we take
ethnic categories as givens, and if anyone takes us seriously, then people
will increasingly expect to be seen in ethnic terms and act accordingly.
One reaction is to insist that no one takes academics seriously or even
notices our obscure scribblings. Quite apart from the ironic nature of a
defence of academia based on the fact that academics are useless, the claim
tends to deny certain historic realities. Over the last two centuries, social
scientists have been at the very core of various national projects and cer-
tain disciplines—history, of course, but also anthropology, archaeology
and others—arguably arose precisely in order to sustain such projects. But
also, as we shall see at various points in the book, politicians have explicitly
drawn on academic analyses (e.g., ethnic conflict is inevitable) to draw
policy conclusions (e.g., there is no point in intervening to try and stop it).
The second lesson we learn from Burundi takes us from the war of
words to the war on words and on those who spread the word. Much
of the early conflict surrounded control of the radio, the country’s only
mass media. Indeed mass protests in Bujumbura were triggered when the
government decided to close down the privately owned station, Radio
Publique Africaine, which had been supporting opposition to Nkurunziza’s
third-term presidential bid.
The subsequent 13 May coup against Nkurunziza began with an
attempt to seize the capital’s main radio station, where the rebellious
soldiers were met by loyalist troops. The two army factions exchanged
gunshots before the rebels, realising their inability to take control of the
station, decided to surrender. The radio station was damaged during the
Preface xv
short bout of fighting. State forces then took advantage of the resulting
confusion in order to destroy Bujumbura’s remaining four main radio
stations. While the domestic media were forcibly silenced, the interna-
tional media remained silent out of disinterest. Little space for collective
discussion remained. Burundians were left without appropriate means of
coordinating their understanding of the new realities. Because the gov-
ernment had declared that there was no crisis, it became difficult even to
talk about the events without being open to accusations of treason. In
terms which we will develop further in due course, people were left in a
state of epistemic isolation.
The situation brings to mind Foucault’s use of Bentham’s panopticon as
a metaphor for the operation of power. This refers to a structure whereby
an authority at the hub can see all those arranged around the rim, but
these people cannot see each other. They are therefore held in the gaze of
that authority without being able to draw upon their fellows for support.
In such a situation, where communication between people is excluded, it
becomes impossible to counter the voice of authority. Authority thereby
retains the unique capacity to define events, to construe identities and to
shape collective action. If only it were possible to break down the parti-
tions between those around the rim, things would be very different.
And with these thoughts in mind we can begin to return to the point
of writing this text. The first purpose of any words should be to open up
conversations—in this case concerning the nature of conflict. If there is
one thing we would hope to achieve with this book, it would be to bring
people together in new configurations to address received truths and con-
sider new perspectives. It is for this reason that we have deliberately written
our book in a way that transcends traditional d isciplinary boundaries. We
have also sought to make the book as clear and as lively as possible in
order to be accessible for those outside the academy who have to handle
and live with the many conflicts which cleave our world: practitioners,
politicians and the interested public. We have tried to avoid jargon where
possible, to define it where not, and to use theory only as far as it sheds
light on phenomena of broader interest. Our hope is that, even if readers
disagree with some of our analyses, they will feel that they have at least
found out something about conflicts in the world and something that
helps them in questioning the available explanations of conflict.
xvi Preface
Back to Perplexity
The second question is how did we get from ‘Sunni and Shia’ to ‘Sunni
against Shia’? Is a mention of identity sufficient to account for conflict? Is
invoking identity and past conflicts between those of different identities
enough to trigger present violence—at least when there was sufficient
power to turn malevolent intentions into actions? Is violence a tragic but
unintended outcome of identity dynamics or is it a critical component
of those dynamics?
In sum, our aim (like the court jester or the poet) is principally to pro-
vide new angles for looking at the familiar and making it seem surprising.
Where there was complacency we wish to bring unease. Where there was
certainty, we wish to bring perplexity. It is not simply that we have no
aspiration to play prophets. If anything, we aspire to escape from an age
of prophecy. Certainty closes down the future. It keeps us on the straight
and narrow. We prefer to think about the future as open, to envision mul-
tiple possibilities, to facilitate debate and, hence, extended choice over
which of these possibilities are worth pursuing. To the same end, we aim
to expose the means by which academics, activists or autocrats seek to
close down our options. Violence, we contend, is prime amongst these.
Part I Critique 1
Part II Model 71
Conclusion 243
Index 261
List of Figures
xxv
List of Tables
xxvii
xxviii List of Tables
In the Orson Welles film Mr. Arkadin, the eponymous hero recounts a
fable:
And now I’m going to tell you about a scorpion. This scorpion wanted to
cross a river, so he asked the frog to carry him. No, said the frog, no thank
you. If I let you on my back you may sting me and the sting of the scor-
pion is death. Now, where, asked the scorpion, is the logic in that? For
scorpions always try to be logical. If I sting you, you will die. I will drown.
So, the frog was convinced and allowed the scorpion on his back. But, just
in the middle of the river, he felt a terrible pain and realized that, after all,
the scorpion had stung him. Logic! Cried the dying frog as he started
under, bearing the scorpion down with him. There is no logic in this! I
know, said the scorpion, but I can’t help it—it’s my character. Let’s drink
to character.
This fable applies well to the topic of our book. The simplest story about
violence between groups is that violence is just what groups do. It might
not be palatable. It might not seem logical. Often, indeed, those who
attack others are themselves consumed by the ensuing violence. But
Today, a generation raised in the shadows of the cold war assumes new
responsibilities in a world warmed by the sunshine of freedom but threat-
ened still by ancient hatreds and new plagues.1
The biggest single element behind what has happened in Bosnia is the
collapse of the Soviet Union and of the discipline that that exerted over the
ancient hatreds in the old Yugoslavia. Once that discipline had disappeared,
those ancient hatreds reappeared, and we began to see their consequences
when the fighting occurred. There were subsidiary elements, but that collapse
was by far the greatest. (Hansard, 23rd June 1993, col. 324)
Both comments were made against the backdrop of the war raging in
Bosnia–Herzegovina, whose atrocities alarmed Western public opinion
and urged Western intellectuals to re-work their analytic concepts. The
year following the end of the war, 1996, Samuel Huntington published
his famous article on the Clash of Civilizations, to which we shall return in
detail later in this chapter. The language used in this article has provoked
much controversy since its publication, in academic and non-academic
circles alike. But despite all sceptic voices, Huntington appeared to have
generated a widely available frame, to which many have come to refer
again in more recent years, in a global context of mounting tensions.
Prominent voices have come to claim that the clash of civilisations is now
materialising.
Following the shooting of French cartoonists in Paris in January 2015,
and the subsequent international stigmatisation of religious censorship in
the name of Islam, Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan issued the following
warning: “Despite all our efforts to prevent it, the clash of civilisations
thesis is being brought to life”. The year before that, a Huffington Post
essayist had argued that “We should have seen it all coming”, alluding
to the sombre prophecies spelt out in Huntington’s article: “The future
(the article) describes has become our present and the challenges it raises
will continue to define the global order for decades to come” (Johnson,
2014).
The same year, former French Minister of foreign affairs Dominique
de Villepin gave an address at the World Cultural Forum. He took this
opportunity to comment on the way reality had surpassed the fears he
had prominently expressed more than a decade earlier, when France
did not follow the United State’s call to invade Iraq. In February 2003,
Villepin had warned against the consequences of an invasion of Iraq in a
resounding speech given at the UN Security Council, wondering whether
6 Identity, Violence and Power
In Iraq today, the national feeling almost disappeared behind ethnic and
religious identities. But such identities exist only as differences from each
other. They become hysterical, incompatible and intolerant of all diversity.
The cult of identity is a selfish and brutal vision of the world than can lead
to the most terrible crimes.
There are actually two remarkable things about Cohen’s argument. The
first is that it introduces a notion of “inadequate truth”: the idea that
even when complex accounts are analytically accurate, it can still be mor-
ally wrong to utter them. The second lies in the implied logic that their
hate constrains our reality. Cohen perceives (on whatever basis) “tens of
millions of Muslims” who believe there is a battle between Islam and
the West, and he therefore infers there is no other choice left than to
accept the battle as a fact. Doing so, the editorial appears to call for a
1 Hateful Groups and Weak Powers? 7
That wild beast, which lives in man and does not dare to show itself until
the barriers of law and custom have been removed, was now set free. The
signal was given, the barriers were down. As has so often happened in the
8 Identity, Violence and Power
history of man, permission was tacitly granted for acts of violence and
plunder, even for murder, if they were carried out in the name of higher
interests, according to established rules, and against a limited number of
men of a particular type and belief … (1945, pp. 282–283)
There are very different ways, however, of explaining the rise in eth-
nic or religious violence since the end of the Cold War. The same year
as Huntington published his Clash of Civilizations article, Brubaker and
Laitin (1998) published a theoretical paper that identified as the key fac-
tor the disappearance of macro-political cleavages between capitalism and
communism. This removed any political incentive to frame conflicts ideo-
logically and consequently enhanced the relative payoff of ethnic conflict
frames. After 1991, a rebellion fought in the name of communism would
no longer recruit international allies to the side of the insurgents. However,
if one fought in the name of overturning ethnic repression or in order to
achieve national self-determination, then it might be possible to recruit the
support of ethnic ‘kin groups’ in other states and of members of the ethnic
diaspora. It might also win the support of third-party neutrals and interna-
tional human rights organisations.
There is much to recommend such an approach. First, it doesn’t treat
conflict as inevitable, nor does it treat the framing of conflict in terms of
particular group memberships as inevitable. Rather, it sees such categories
as resources, which are actively invoked for the purposes of mobilising
support. It therefore points to the importance of leadership. It also looks
to the importance of the contemporary context (and not only events of
the past) in determining which categories are employed, and, more to
the point, which categories are successfully employed. It therefore opens
up an investigation into why and when the appeals of leaders succeed
in mobilising the masses. The question, then, is not whether a culture
provides tales in which an evil ethnic foe is set against a virtuous ethnic
ingroup. Such tales are indeed widely available. The question is rather
why and when these tales are taken up, woven into political rhetoric, and
why they momentarily work (cf. Nirenburg, 1996).
But we are getting ahead of ourselves. We shall discuss such questions
in detail in later chapters. For now our point is that approaches such as
that of Brubaker and Laitin, for all the respectful recognition they have
1 Hateful Groups and Weak Powers? 9
gained among peers, appear not to have decisively shaped the way most
people, policymakers and media commentators think about conflict, or at
least about how they talk about conflict in public. They are still eclipsed,
in political communication and public debates, by those who read the
present as the eruption of a long and troubled past. While constructivist
thinking over the past decades undoubtedly had a profound impact on
the social sciences, and on conflict studies in particular, it does not appear
to have had a similar impact beyond academia.
At first glance, this might be understood as a consequence of aca-
demics’ lack of ability, perhaps of motivation, to get the more complex
stories out and make them relevant to those interested in dealing with
real-world problems—the ivory tower cliché. But, as many examples
throughout this book will illustrate, the problem might as well reside
in a form of ambiguity within the academic field itself. While very few
social scientists at present would enthusiastically self-declare as ‘primor-
dialists’, or argue in their theoretical writings that identity is immu-
table, many do adhere to research practices that treat their research
subjects as if they had one overarching and stable group belonging,
which orients their perspective on the world—one that informs the
research design and data analysis.
In our post-Cold War world, where the loudest and most powerful
voices describe conflict in ethnic terms, it therefore becomes ever more
critical for social scientists to ask why there has been such a turn rather
than to follow it ourselves. That is why, in what follows, we treat the three
prevailing narratives of collective identity formation as metaphors. In so
doing we express our understanding that they are better seen as frames
which guide and limit the evidence collected about the nature of identity,
rather than as a reflection of the evidence itself.
tions in total, whose boundaries largely overlap with those of the main
world religions: “Western, Confucian, Japanese, Islamic, Hindu, Slavic-
Orthodox, Latin American and possibly (sic) African civilisation” (p. 25).
One might think that such an approach would open the way to a
rather more flexible approach to categories. After all, our biology and our
biological relatedness to others may be fixed, but, especially in an increas-
ingly globalised world with massive movements of populations from con-
tinent to continent, one’s ‘civilisation’ would seem more open to change.
But that is not Huntington’s own view. He suggests that we can no more
overcome barriers based on civilisation than those based on biology. This
is because of the very long history that produced them—a history that
reaches back much farther than particular political belief systems which
prioritise alternative categories—such as class. In part because of this his-
tory, civilisational identities act as fundamental filters which affect all
aspects of the ways in which people perceive and experience social reality.
Huntington provides a long list to underline his point:
In the former Soviet Union, communists can become democrats, the rich
can become poor and the poor rich, but Russians cannot become Estonians
and Azeris cannot become Armenians. In class and ideological conflicts,
the key question was ‘Which side are you on?’ and people could and did
1 Hateful Groups and Weak Powers? 13
choose sides and change sides. In conflicts between civilisations, the ques-
tion is ‘What are you?’ That is a given that cannot be changed. (p. 27)
At this point, for all their seeming differences, the civilisational and the
kinship accounts of identity become all but indistinguishable. Although
they use different means to do so, both essentialise identity as necessary,
eternal and inescapable. In the end, the story is the same. You can mask
them for so long, you can seek to replace them with more contingent
categories, but in the end people will revert to fundamental cleavages.
Hence, Huntington uses the past tense to refer to those ‘class and ideo-
logical conflicts’ which are now consigned to the dustbin of Soviet histo-
ries. He uses the present tense for ‘conflicts between civilisations’ which,
because they have very old roots, are far more relevant for the present and
future. On this basis he is able to present a map of Europe dating back
to 1500, which marks the “eastern boundary of Western Christianity”
(p. 30), and use it both to explain conflicts at the end of the twentieth
century and also to prophecy that the “next world war, if there is one, will
be a war between civilizations” (p. 39).
The third metaphor, the games metaphor, may seem to sit very oddly
with the two we have just discussed: ethnicity as kinship and ethnicity
as civilisation. To start with, whereas these others root conflict in the
differences between groups (and the differences in what they believe in,
care for or aspire to), the games metaphor roots conflict in similarities of
belief, value and aspiration. It is because we want the same thing—but
can’t all have it—that we fight others for the commonly desired prize.
Moreover, whereas kinship and civilisation approaches explain inter-
group relations in general, and conflict in particular, through the past,
games approaches situate their explanations firmly in the present. It
is not the trans-historical essence of the group that matters—it is the
particular set of circumstances they find themselves in which matter.
As circumstances change (and it is in the nature of circumstances to do
14 Identity, Violence and Power
so), a games approach suggests that group relations will change. Indeed,
this was the core point that the classic ‘games’ studies sought to show. In
effect, then, the core challenge we all face is not the primordial ethnic
or cultural group but rather (to borrow the famous quote which Harold
Macmillan may or may not have actually uttered) “events, my dear boy,
events”.2
According to the games metaphor, intergroup relations are essentially
structured like sports competitions. The whole point of a football team
in a football league, say, is to play against and to win over other teams.
Players could try to get along with each other and avoid competition, but
at that point they would cease playing football and being league teams.
So, it is argued, once competition is part of the very definition of the
group context, then rivalry and distrust and even hostility seem derived
almost as a logical consequence. Such theories are often referred to as
‘realistic’ conflict theories because they assert that intergroup hostility is
neither irrational nor accidental but rather based on an objective reality
of conflicting interests. The only way our team can win the game is to
make their team lose. We therefore want them to lose, we try to make
them lose and we rejoice at their misfortune.
The foundational and prototypical studies in the ‘realistic conflict’ tra-
dition are those conducted by Muzafer Sherif and his colleagues in the
late 1940s and early 1950s using American boys at summer camps—most
famously, the 1954 ‘Robbers Cave’ study (Sherif, Harvey, White, Hood
& Sherif, 1961/1988). The whole point of these studies was to use the
camps as a blank canvas, creating groups that had never existed before,
which had no history at all (let alone a history of antagonism), and then
creating different relations between them to see what would ensue. So, in
the 1954 study, the boys were divided into two groups: the Rattlers and
the Eagles. At first, they didn’t know of each other’s existence, but then
they were brought together in competitive games: baseball, tug-of-war
and so on. This immediately created animosity. Friendship choices across
groups were strikingly rare; the boys began to stereotype members of the
other group in derogatory terms. They began to denigrate them and their
As-Macmillan-never-said-thats-enough-quotations.html.
1 Hateful Groups and Weak Powers? 15
If an outside observer had entered the situation after the conflict began …
he could only have concluded on the basis of their behaviour that these
boys (who were the ‘cream of the crop’ in their communities) were either
disturbed, vicious or wicked youngsters. (Sherif & Sherif, 1969, p. 254)
This work and these words have had considerable influence across the
social sciences. Somehow ironically, they have been taken on board by
ethnic theorists when they formulated ethnic competition models. These
view interethnic conflict as grounded in objective conflicts of interest,
typically over the share of economic rewards (e.g., Olzak, 1992). The
scarcer a resource, and the more a resource is valued, so the more com-
petition and the more antagonism there will be between ethnic groups.
Hence, prejudice, hate crimes and interethnic violence flourish where
there is economic scarcity and/or high immigration flows.
But even if these theories borrow the games metaphor to explain when
groups conflict, they remain fundamentally at odds with games theo-
ries in explaining what groups conflict. So, whereas Sherif saw groups as
defined and constituted by the game, ethnic competition theorists intro-
duce a notion of groups as prior to the game, as defined long before any
game has ever started.
That is, Sherif saw group boundaries, memberships, solidarities and
antagonisms as essentially arbitrary. They are created by the ways in
which people are put in competitive (or co-operative) relations within
the situation itself. Thus, when the social structure is such that a gain for
the Rattlers is a loss for the Eagles (and vice versa), people see themselves
and others in terms of those groups. But when, later in the study, Sherif
16 Identity, Violence and Power
altered the structure such that the Rattlers gained when the Eagles gained
(and vice versa), an inclusive group emerged and antagonism diminished.
By contrast, ethnic competition theorists presuppose that group
boundaries, memberships, solidarities and antagonisms will always be
along predefined ethnic lines. All competition does is determine whether
relations between groups will be more or less toxic. But prejudice and
conflict, when they do occur, won’t be between any old (or rather, any
young) groups, but, in the first place, between natives and immigrants or,
more generally, between people born into different nations or culturally
defined groups.
On the whole, such theories (unlike realistic conflict theories) don’t
explicitly address why co-operation and competition would operate on
predetermined ethnic groups. They just take it as a given that this is the
case. When the question is posed in practice, the answer falls back on
assumptions about biological relatedness or about long-standing cultural
processes. That is, in practice, the games metaphor tends not to be used
in its ‘pure’ form, but in a more or less implicit amalgam with one of the
other two metaphors that we have been discussing.
We can, however, reject arguments because they don’t account for the
evidence—either suggesting things we know not to be so or else denying
things that we know to be the case. When it comes to the three meta-
phors, there are at least four such bases on which to express doubt.
news programme ‘Today’. She explained how she had fled the violence in
Sarajevo and now lived in London. Even so, she still always had a suitcase
packed under her bed in case she had to flee. The interviewer expressed
surprise. With the casual ethno-centrism of the English, he pointed out
that London is not Sarajevo and we don’t engage in barbarities such as
ethnic cleansing here. The woman replied by explaining how, when she
grew up, Sarajevo was a byword for cosmopolitanism. It was modern
and vibrant and effortlessly diverse. Ethnicity meant nothing to her; she
didn’t even know if most of her friends and schoolmates were Muslim or
Orthodox or Catholic. That is why, when the conflict and the divisions
came, they were all the more devastating. They came as lightning from a
clear blue sky. If it could happen in Sarajevo, she concluded, it can hap-
pen anywhere.
We will examine exactly how such ethnic division was produced in
Sarajevo, seemingly out of nothing, in future chapters. For now our point
is that the assumption that ethnic/civilisational conflict is inevitable—or
at least, once it starts, it is bound to continue—leads not only to over-
generalizations but also to under-generalizations. It breeds not only
pessimism or even fatalism about the inevitability of conflict in some
circumstances, but also complacency about the impossibility of conflict
in other circumstances. It is hard to say which is worse.
violent conflict is more likely between two states of the same ‘civilisation’
(according to Huntington’s criteria) than between two states of different
civilisations. Remarkably, this relationship even holds when controlling
for geographic proximity (Henderson and Tucker) or for the existence of
a common border between the two states (Chiozza). The point is clear
and deserves stressing: throughout the era of nation states, a country is at
less risk of becoming involved in a war with another state from a ‘different
civilisation’ than with an equally remote state from the ‘same civilisation’.
This may seem decisive enough to justify scepticism about the civilisa-
tion metaphor, but there are data to buttress the argument more gener-
ally. If one turns one’s attention from relations between states to relations
within states, the kinship metaphor would suggest that increased ethnic
diversity would lead to more conflict. But again, the evidence points in the
opposite direction. Østby (2008) reports that diversity does not increase
the risk of civil violence. It is only where there are social inequalities
between ethnic groups that there is more violence. Wimmer, Cederman
and Min (2009) make a similar point. Analysing data from all indepen-
dent states of the world since the end of World War II, they show that,
once one controls for the magnitude of exclusion from political power of
certain ethnic groups, ‘linguistic fractionalisation’ (which is often used as
an indicator of ethnic diversity in comparative analyses) is only margin-
ally related to the outbreak of violence.3
Finally, the relationship between migration rates and anti-immigrant
prejudice, central to the game metaphor in ethnic competition theories,
appears to be inconsistent at best. It is true that Semyonov, Raijman and
Gorodzeisky (2006) found cross-sectional evidence that anti-foreigner
sentiment was higher in European countries with high rates of non-
European immigration in 1988, 1994 and 1997. But in 2000 the rela-
tionship had disappeared. In the United States, Scheve and Slaughter
(2001) looked at three different time points and found no difference in
3
One could add that the indicator of ethnic diversity is less exogenous and the relationship more
circular than it might look at first glance. If most people in France speak French today this is pre-
cisely an outcome of the fact that linguistic identities that were important until the nineteenth
century have been forgotten together with the grievances that opposed the groups. In the former
Yugoslavia, Serbo-Croat has been replaced by four new languages after the war, that is, violence and
nationalism created the languages, and not linguistic diversity the violence.
1 Hateful Groups and Weak Powers? 21
Let us turn, now, from the empirical evidence (or lack thereof ) for con-
flict theories to their conceptual underpinnings. As we have seen, the
three metaphors rest on the general claim that groups have an inherent
tendency to conflict with each other. The point is actually often taken as
so self-evident as to require no justification. However, on those occasions
where the argument is warranted, two authors in particular tend to be
referenced: Sherif for his boys camp studies and the resultant realistic
conflict theory, and Tajfel for his minimal group studies and the resultant
social identity theory (Tajfel, Billig, Bundy & Flament, 1971; Tajfel &
Turner, 1979). In both cases though, there is a problem of partial findings
being presented and of specific claims being extracted from the broader
theoretical framework of which they form a part. This way, caricatures of
the seminal studies and theories have replaced the real thing, and argu-
ments are advanced in the name of these theories which are at odds with
their original intentions.
In the case of Sherif, the focus is so exclusively on how competition
produces conflict that it is forgotten how his key point was to show that
conflict is contingent, dependent on how people are set against each other
in particular social systems and how conflict can therefore be overcome.
It is also forgotten that, even where there is competition and conflict,
Sherif didn’t see this simply as a matter of relations between the two
groups. He also examined how intergroup competition can create new
22 Identity, Violence and Power
which one can compare oneself positively is the number of points one’s
group is allocated. In the minimal group studies, then, differentiation
necessarily means giving more points to one’s own group. However, Tajfel
has always been very clear about the dangers of generalising from the
specific behaviours in a study rather than examining how the underlying
process might operate differently in different settings:
What is, however, important is a clear realization that the ‘general’ case is
an impossible myth as long as human beings behave as they do because of
the social expectations with which they enter an experiment—or any other
social situation. If these expectations are shared—as they always are by defi-
nition to some degree in any social context—I shall obtain data from my
experiment which are neither ‘general’ nor ‘individual’. The observed regu-
larities of behaviour will result from the interaction between general pro-
cesses and the social context in which they operate. Without the knowledge
of this context the data may be irrelevant to the confirmation or the falsifi-
cation of a hypothesis. (Tajfel, 1972, p. 74)
In the case of the minimal group studies, this argument plays out at
two levels. First, whereas the process of differentiation may play out as
financial discrimination in the highly constrained setting of the experi-
ments, it may play out in many different ways in different group con-
texts. Indeed, the substantive outcomes of the differentiation process will
always depend on the natures of the groups involved, the things that they
value and therefore the dimensions along which they seek to compare
themselves. In some cases that might result in behaviours that bring the
other group down (we want to be harder, stronger, richer), but equally, in
other cases it might result in actions which benefit the outgroup (we want
to be more generous, kinder, more loving). So whereas differentiation
means discrimination in the minimal group studies, this will not always
be so and groups will not always discriminate against each other.
At the second level, social identity theory does not suggest that members
of groups always differentiate themselves from outgroups. Whether they
do or not depends upon a series of structural and ideological factors such
as the possibility of m ovement between different social groups (perme-
ability), and the legitimacy and the stability of intergroup relations. Social
identity theory, then, is definitely not a theory of (inevitable) intergroup
24 Identity, Violence and Power
Now, let us consider still more closely the assumption that conflicts are
driven by ethnicity, and that violence is motivated by ethnicity. Ethnic
conflict accounts are fundamentally rooted in a way of representing the
protagonists in a conflict as Serb and Croat, Hutu and Tutsi, Hindu and
Muslim—whether or not they are, whether or not they see themselves
as such, and whether or not this is relevant to what they do. Thus, when
the conflict is between different groups it is often assumed that religious
differences are the true underlying cause of conflict. When, say, a Muslim
worker confronts a Hindu moneylender, it is assumed that it is the reli-
gious (rather than the economic) category that counts. When a Hindu
attacks a Muslim, it is seen to be about the fact that they don’t like that
the other is of a different religion rather than about more immediate tem-
poral concerns. Once you have found your generic Hindu and generic
Muslim, enquiry can stop, for that in itself is enough to explain violence.
However, as our previous examples illustrated, people do not always
view the world and themselves through ethnically tinted spectacles.
We all have many group-based identities—as a Catholic, as Swiss, as a
socialist, as a football fan, say—and these will become salient in different
contexts. It follows equally that the way I categorise others will change
according to context: the same individual who I may see as an outgroup
Protestant in one context, I may see as an ingroup Swiss in another. No
one can be classed as ingroup or outgroup in general terms. We can only
make these judgements in specific contexts.
But even if people do see themselves in ethnic terms, and even if they
were to feel antagonism towards each other because of ethnic differ-
ences, that still would not get us very far. It certainly would not explain
any violence that occurred. This takes us back to a point we have made
before. Even in the most extreme cases of ethnic conflict, violence is never
a constant. It doesn’t happen all the time; it doesn’t happen in every place.
1 Hateful Groups and Weak Powers? 25
conflict. But this is not to say that they are irrelevant full stop. For what
they lack in explanatory power they make up for in pragmatic impact.
In order to clarify our point about exoneration, let us ask the questions:
Who according to the three metaphors, are the perpetrators? Who is
responsible for doing the killing and for letting it happen? These seem
like obvious questions, but actually they are rather hard to answer. If pas-
sionate hatreds and violence flow from ethnicity or civilisation, then all
1 Hateful Groups and Weak Powers? 27
trial, it is intriguing to see how close his own line of defence sometimes
comes to the analysis of scholars like Petersen.
In the hearing of 16 October 2012, Karadzic declared:
The critical point of this defence is, of course, that the Serbian masses
perceived that they were facing a “threat of genocide” before Karadzic
himself “even said a word”. They spontaneously “saw where things are
going”, when other ethnic groups supported ‘Ustasha’ (i.e., fascist) or
‘Islamic’ parties. They understood the dangers posed by these other
groups, and acted to pre-empt those dangers without needing any guid-
ance from Karadzic.
Far from being a war-monger or genocidaire, then, Karadzic presented
himself to the court as a peace-loving group therapist, who had writ-
ten poetry for children, and cherished personal friendships with Muslims
and Croats. If there was any violence perpetrated by Bosnian Serbs, it
occurred in self-defence against the threats and aggression from the other
communities. It occurred despite, and not because of, Karadzic’s leader-
ship, so he was not responsible for his people’s deeds. If one believes his
words, collective violence did not occur as a consequence of the power
that Karadzic exerted over his people, but as a consequence of the limits
of his power.
A second example makes the relationship between social scientific
accounts and (legal) accountability even more explicit. Before the ICTY
turned its attention to Karadzic, Dario Kordij and Mario Cerkez (the
former a Bosnian Croat political leader, the latter a military commander)
1 Hateful Groups and Weak Powers? 29
Contrary to the assertions made by Dr. Allcock in his expert report, who
claimed that (…) Franjo Tudjman somehow single-handedly engineered or
produced ethnic tension in Croatia, what the data suggests is that prior to
Franjo Tudjman even being on the scene, the sense of ethnic distance arose
of its own accord, from the bottom up, and whatever factors led to it cer-
tainly they were not and cannot be attributed to Franjo Tudjman.
Mestrovic went on to argue that, to the extent that the Croatian elites
did have anything to answer for, it was a sin of omission, not commis-
sion. It was not that they communicated a nationalist vision, but rather
that, as the old certainties were collapsing, they failed to communicate an
alternative vision. As a result “a vacuum was created in which formerly
communist nations were looking to the west that was not prepared to
give them guidance and nationalism was, so to speak, the logical alterna-
tive. But my point is that this nationalism arose from a bottom up as a
way to fill this vacuum precisely because there was no top down or centre
guidance”.
At the end of the trial, Dario Kordij and Mario Cerkez were found
guilty of crimes against humanity. In this particular case the judges did
not appear to be convinced by the attempt to shift accountability away
from individual leaders and towards the masses. But the very fact that the
attempt was made and that the ICTY had become a theatre of sociologi-
cal controversy provides a telling illustration of how scientific debates can
become a life-and-death matter for leaders.
If such bottom-up arguments serve to deny the immediate responsibil-
ity of local leaders in creating antagonism and violence, they also serve
to absolve more distant leaders from the responsibility of doing anything
to stop the violence. We have already shown how John Major and Bill
30 Identity, Violence and Power
these authors embarked on a slippery journey when they applied not only
the analytic techniques but also the causal models of their own disciplines
to nothing less than the explanation of ethnic violence in India and the
former Yugoslavia. From an academic perspective, the journey appeared
successful since their findings made it into a Science article in 2008. In
this article, Lim, Metzler & Bar-Yam, used an analysis of concurrent spa-
tial patterns between local ethnic mixing and ethnic violence to propose
that conflict reflects “the natural dynamics of type separation, a form
of pattern formation also seen in physical or chemical phase separation
(p. 1541)”. That is, with the same regularity as a stone falling through
water, proximity means violence and separation means peace. There is as
much sense in trying to fight this natural law as there would be in leaping
off a cliff and hoping gravity will not work. Ethnic segregation is neces-
sary to prevent violence and not just as a response to it.
We are not suggesting that any of these authors are cynical or politi-
cally motivated in what they propose. Indeed, our point is that their
conclusions (which certainly are congenial to others who are politically
motivated) are the logical conclusions which flow from the fatalistic
premises inherent in the kinship, civilisations or games metaphors used
to think about groups. If Kaufmann, Lim and others were right about the
nature of groups, then they would also be right that we face a stark choice
between endless ethnic war and apartheid.
If that was the choice, many might be tempted to choose apartheid,
as the lesser of two evils. But let us not lose sight of the fact that ethnic
separation in places such as the former Yugoslavia and India is a terrible
evil in many different ways. It institutionalises the outcome of ethnic
cleansing. It durably disrupts multi-ethnic social ties, including between
close friends and relatives. It prevents the contacts between ethnic group
members, which might otherwise reduce the prejudices between them.
It grants no right of return to people who have been illegally and vio-
lently expelled. It officially endorses and structurally supports definitions
of identity promoted by the architects of mass killing and persecution. It
renders the presence of ‘ethnic outsiders’ intolerable.
This is a long litany, to which we need to add the fact that, even if
the rhetoric of separation is ‘separate but equal’ we know from apart-
heid South Africa that, in practice, separation means consigning the less
1 Hateful Groups and Weak Powers? 33
formed, when civilisations emerged or when the teams were made. The
notion of ancient hatreds typically expresses nothing else than the fact
that the origin of conflict is projected into the same mythical era as the
foundation of groups themselves. From that time on, groups are imag-
ined to be prisoners of absurdly tragic spirals of violence, whereby each
group sees itself as responding to previous offences of the other: ‘we see
our attack on you as a response to your attack on us and a way of pre-
empting your future attacks, although we can anticipate that you might
see our attack as an unwarranted provocation revealing our vicious nature
and necessitating a defensive reaction …’ Like Sisyphus rolling his rock
up the hill, we are all fated to repeat this futile pattern forever.
Our arguments against such fatalistic conflict theories have been both
analytic and normative. Analytically, we have shown how they only gain
credibility by selectively focusing on the few cases where they seem to
apply. But this ignores the fact that there are many more cases where they
don’t apply and that, overall, there is little to suggest that ethnic diversity
makes conflict more likely. Moreover, even in the cases that are cited as
support, fatalistic conflict theories explain very little about the phenom-
ena—not when they happen, not where they happen, not the forms that
violence takes, not even the choice of who is and who isn’t targeted.
Normatively, we have shown how these approaches serve to limit
responsibility for extreme crimes and how they point to policy options
that are literally worse than useless—they make future crimes more likely.
How do we deal with ethnic violence? By structuring the world ever more
in terms of ethnicity and thereby creating the world that ethnic cleansers
dream of?
One of the places where the analytic and the normative come together
most obviously has to do with the issue of leadership. Leaders are in the
business of guiding how we interpret the world and hence how we should
act in it. So, by presupposing or obscuring the issue of how violence is
interpreted, fatalistic conflict theories deny or obscure the role of leaders
in violence. If we are programmed to see the world in particular ways,
then leaders become simultaneously innocent and redundant.
As we will show in the next chapter, there certainly are those who do
so emphasise the importance of leadership that they reduce followers to
1 Hateful Groups and Weak Powers? 35
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2
Evil Leaders and Obedient Masses?
Let us now turn things around—in more senses than one. If, as we argued
in the previous chapter, one cannot explain violent conflict in terms of the
deep-seated hostility that members of groups have for each other, then
perhaps it has more to do with people doing what others tell them to do.
Perhaps conflict is a reflection of the will of elites as channelled through
the masses, rather than the will of the masses themselves. Perhaps the
perpetrators of violence are simply obeying orders, which only reflect
the motives of those who give the orders—and do not reveal more about
those who carry them out than their propensity to obey, albeit sometimes
in a shockingly thoughtless way.
In such a perspective, the role of leadership appears under a radically
different light to what we’ve seen so far. If most people are reduced to the
role of subservient followers, leaders command the masses rather than
accommodate to them. They do not merely adapt to the course of histori-
cal events, shaped itself by complex factors. They make history.
A strong version of history as a tale of either great or greatly evil leaders
can be read in Stoessinger’s (2007) Why Nations Go to War. In this book,
Stoessinger discusses the reasons for many past wars, including the 1990s
2.1 S
tanley Milgram and the Study
of Obedience
Before Milgram had started his studies in December 1961, the strong
and simple assumption was that perpetrators must be peculiarly vicious
people. They could not be just like the rest of us but rather had to have
severely twisted profiles, idolising the powers above them and brutalising
those below them; craving rigid order and hating ambiguity; demanding
conformity and determined to eliminate deviance (and deviants). In the
terms of the most influential such theory, they had to have authoritarian
personalities (Adorno, Frenkel-Brunswik, Levinson, & Sanford, 1950).
Milgram’s studies marked an irrevocable break with the previous com-
mon sense that extreme brutality must be related to extreme personalities.
His studies showing how people with very ordinary personalities were led
to disturbing levels of cruelty are amongst the few which have gone beyond
the disciplinary boundaries of psychology to have influence across the aca-
demic world. They are amongst even fewer which have impacted on public
consciousness, for even if people do not recognise Milgram’s name, many
do recall those studies in which people delivered massive electric shocks to
innocent victims under the orders of an experimenter.
Being so well known, there is no need to provide more than a brief
outline of the experimental set-up (see Milgram, 1974 for a full account,
and Blass, 2004, for an account of the history leading up to the stud-
ies). Participants were invited to take part in a set of studies ostensibly
about the role of punishment in learning. Once at the laboratory, they
drew lots with another participant (actually a confederate of Milgram’s)
to determine who would be allocated the position of teacher and who
that of learner—although the draw was rigged so that the real participant
was always the teacher. After this, the learner was strapped into an electric
chair. The teacher then read out a series of word pairs which the learner
had to remember. Following this, the teacher gave the first word of a pair
followed by four possible options and the learner had to respond with
the correct match. Each time an error was made, the teacher delivered
an electric shock, the level of shock escalating by 15 volts for each subse-
quent error, all the way up to 450 volts.
42 Identity, Violence and Power
In fact, of course, the electric shock machine was bogus. But Milgram
choreographed the studies to make them realistic. The learner responded
consistently at different shock levels, expressing pain at first, then com-
plaining of a heart condition and demanding to be released, then escalat-
ing these complaints and demands and finally falling into an ominous
silence. Throughout, the experimenter impassively asked the partici-
pant to continue the study and, should the participant show resistance,
employed a pre-scripted set of four ‘prods’ to try to get them to con-
tinue. Only if resistance continued after the fourth prompt was the trial
terminated.
So would people deliver what they believed to be large and potentially
lethal electric shocks to a victim whose sole offence was to make an error
on a memory task? Certainly very few of those who Milgram questioned
believed so in advance. Of a sample of 110 people (39 psychiatrists, 31
college students and 40 middle-class adults), none believed that they
would go all the way, no one believed that they would go beyond 300
volts (labelled, on the ‘shock machine’ ‘intense shock’) and, on average,
they believed that they would go up to around 135 volts (somewhere
between ‘moderate shock’ and ‘strong shock’). When questioned about
the behaviour of others, they predicted that few people would go beyond
150 volts and only a tiny pathological fringe of about one person in a
thousand would continue to the end point.
But when it came to the actual results on what came to be known as
the ‘new baseline study’ (actually experiment 5 out of the 18 variants that
Milgram describes in his 1974 book), fully 65 % of participants went all
the way, and the mean shock level was between 360 and 375 volts. To
invoke a much over-used metaphor, these were findings which shocked
the world. But if Milgram had uncovered a phenomenon of great con-
sequence, finding an explanation of that phenomenon proved altogether
more troubling.
In the first publication of results from his studies in the Journal of
Abnormal and Social Psychology (1963), Milgram discusses 13 possible
contributory factors—and in later publications he adds yet more. This
discussion acknowledges that the participant is conflicted, torn between
two competing voices (the experimenter and the learner) and two com-
peting obligations (to heed authority and to avoid harming our peers).
He considers the various factors which increase the prestige of authority
2 Evil Leaders and Obedient Masses? 43
the entire set of activities carried out by the subject comes to be pervaded
by his relationship to the experimenter; the subject typically wishes to per-
form competently and to make a good appearance before this central fig-
ure. He directs his attention to those features of the situation required for
such competent performance. He attends to the instructions, concentrates
on the technical requirements of administering shocks, and finds himself
absorbed in the narrow technical tasks at hand. Punishment of the learner
shrinks to an insignificant part of the total experience, a mere gloss on the
complex activities of the laboratory. (p. 143)
Zimbardo’s prison study was even more shocking [than Milgram’s research],
if only because the students assigned to play guards were not instructed to
be abusive, and instead conformed to their own notions of how to keep
order in a prison.
We would take slight issue with this formulation. The suggestion is not
that people simply enacted their idiosyncratic notions of Guard (or
Prisoner) behaviour. Rather, they carried out socio-cultural notions of
what the role entails. The point is that, according to Zimbardo, you don’t
even need an authority figure to stand over you and police conformity
to the existing social order. Human psychology ensures that people will
police themselves. We are all born conformists. We act in ways that repro-
2 Evil Leaders and Obedient Masses? 45
duce the status quo. Human beings have an inner conservatism which
keeps the social system going.
The view of people as inherently conservative goes hand in hand with
a view of people as essentially passive—and the more conservative, the
more passive. This is true both of masses and of elites. Thus, the whole
point of Milgram’s misleadingly named ‘agentic state’ analysis is that peo-
ple lose agency. They simply enact the will of others. But, ironically, the
fact that people are held to enter this state in the presence of authority
means that the authority figure doesn’t need to do anything in particular
in order to secure compliance. The business of leadership is reduced to
simply ‘being there’. And, as we have just argued, Zimbardo’s formu-
lation extends the argument still further: people are driven by external
forces even in the absence of authority, and authorities don’t even need to
be there in order for the systems and norms they represent to be upheld.
In such a world, social change is rendered all but impossible.
When, over three decades later, Zimbardo (2007) published The
Lucifer Effect, he re-asserted this perspective, and went even further in
his stance to seek agency—and hence, accountability—elsewhere than
among the immediate perpetrators. Interestingly, when Zimbardo
explains the methodology underlying his book, he emphasises the need
to build charges against “senior military officers” and their accomplices
in the “civilian command structure” (rather than against low-ranked sol-
diers)—but mainly for pragmatic reasons pertaining to the “limits of our
legal system”, which demands that individuals and not situations or sys-
tems be tried for wrongdoings:
Despite tremendous effort and what appear to be our best efforts stretching
over hundreds of years, discrimination, oppression, brutality, and tyranny
2 Evil Leaders and Obedient Masses? 47
remain all too common features of the human condition. Far from having
escaped the grip of human ugliness in the civil rights revolutions of the
1960s, we seem only to have increased the overall level of chaos, confusion,
and intergroup truculence during the post-civil rights era and the resolu-
tion of the cold war. (p. 3)
our disposal, we turn to reflect upon the causes of the horrendous abuses
and torture of prisoners at Iraq’s Abu Ghraib Prison by the U.S. Military
Police guarding them. The allegation that these immoral deeds were the
sadistic work of a few rogue soldiers, so-called bad apples, is challenged by
examining the parallels that exist in the situational forces and psychological
processes that operated in that prison with those in our Stanford prison.
(Zimbardo, p. XII–XIII)
In the context of the Abu Ghraib trial, the fact that only a very small
number of soldiers were judged provoked a debate as to whether they
were really exceptionally ‘bad apples’ or just chosen scapegoats—whether
through their trial, all ordinary soldiers who had been similarly perverted
by the system were symbolically tried. By contrast, there has been one
recent judicial experiment where the masses were literally put on trial.
Consistent with Rwanda’s political option not to leave participation in
the genocide unpunished, between 2002 and 2012 an estimated 700,000
suspects have been tried by 250,000 specially elected judges (McKnight,
2014) in local Gacaca proceedings, whose ad hoc procedures were created
when the country had to face the unprecedented challenge of bringing
to justice about a tenth of its entire population. In that context, Strauss
(2006) collected his own testimonies among perpetrators. Among the
reasons for taking part in the genocide, Strauss highlighted obedience:
confessed perpetrators is that they were following orders and that disobedi-
ence would have led to punishment or even death. This sounds like egre-
gious self-absolution from admitted killers, but Straus makes us take it—and
them—seriously. (Waldorf, 2007, p. 268)
Shall we take perpetrators seriously when they tell us that they only fol-
lowed orders—knowing that this is their best chance to be granted miti-
gating circumstances? And how shall we judge the theories that do take
seriously perpetrator’s narratives of their own role in atrocities? These
questions take on yet another dimension when the person claiming to
have only followed orders is in effect a high-ranking official holding a key
position in a genocidal chain of command.
what the man had done and how he seemed, lay at the core of Arendt’s
reports from the trial and her famous book Eichmann in Jerusalem first
published in 1963. It generated what, for Arendt, was the key lesson
of the trial and the key message of her analysis, that is, “the lesson of
the fearsome, word-and thought defying banality of evil” (1963/1994,
p. 252, emphasis in the original). It was the only time the phrase ‘banal-
ity of evil’ appeared in the text, but the phrase has come to dominate our
understanding of human atrocities ever since.
Arendt does not only argue that ordinary people do have the capacity
to do extraordinary harm, she also provides an account of the processes
which can lead to such harmdoing. The problem, she argues, is cogni-
tive rather than moral. Perpetrators do what they do through thought-
lessness. They become so fixated on the process of doing their jobs—on
being trustworthy bureaucrats—that they lose sight of the consequences
of their actions. Their focus is on how well they fulfil the demands put
upon them as opposed to how they impact others. Their aim is to be
good followers rather than good human beings. In Arendt’s own words,
Eichmann was someone who obeyed orders and who obeyed the law: he
“had no motives at all. He merely, to put the matter colloquially, never
realized what we was doing” (1963/1994, p. 287).
However, it was no accident that at his trial, Eichmann appeared as an
insignificant, mild and fastidious bureaucrat. This was a deliberate strat-
egy, agreed with his lawyer, to confound the expectations of the prosecu-
tion. As one analyst acerbically observes: “in suggesting that [Eichmann]
was ‘merely thoughtless’ [Arendt] in fact adopts the very self-presentation
he cultivated” (Vetlesen, 2005, p. 5; see also Cesarani, 2004). Moreover,
Eichmann was not the first to adopt such a strategy. Neitzel (2007) has
unearthed a fascinating archive containing secret recordings of German
prisoners of war in British hands during World War II. In their unguarded
conversations, senior officers are aware that they may be held culpable for
their part in the Holocaust and they discuss ways of avoiding responsibil-
ity—including the argument that they were merely ‘following orders’.
Moreover, they realise that, for the argument to stick, all have to agree to
the same line.
The interpretation of a text is not always in the hands of the author.
In Arendt’s case, the interpretation of Eichmann in Jerusalem and the
52 Identity, Violence and Power
‘From the sixties on, a kind of synergy developed between the symbol of
Arendt’s Eichmann and the symbol of Milgram’s subjects, invoked in dis-
cussing everything from the Vietnam War to the tobacco industry, and, of
course, reflecting back on discussions of the Holocaust’. (p. 137)
question of why one condition, as described above, has been picked out
and described as a ‘baseline’. In fact, in the different conditions, the
percentage of people who are fully compliant with the experimenter
and who continue shocking to the end of the scale varies from 0 % to
100 % (Reicher & Haslam, 2012). There is no principled reason to pick
out one of these studies and claim it is more foundational than the rest,
and therefore to characterise the level of compliance in that study as
more characteristic than the others. That is, the studies provide no basis
for privileging conformity over resistance (or vice versa). Rather, seen in
the round, they raise the question of when people comply in the face of
authority and when they resist.
The same goes for the Stanford Prison Experiment—although here the
argument is made more difficult by the fact that we only have a partial
record of what exactly happened. Nonetheless, even from the materials
that are available in the public domain (e.g., Zimbardo, 1989, 2007) it is
clear that the received account is, once more, very partial. Far from being
universally passive, the Prisoners at first acted together to challenge the
authority of the Guards. Indeed, by the end of the first day they were
dominant and until the end of the study some Prisoners continued to
rebel, albeit now they were more isolated. Equally, far from accepting
their role, many of the Guards were deeply uneasy about their authority.
Some actively sided with the Prisoners, some sought to be scrupulously
fair, and there is only one clear example of a Guard being systematically
brutal (see Zimbardo, 1989; Reicher & Haslam, 2006).
Once again, this leads us to shift from asking ‘why do people conform?’
to ‘when do people conform and when do they resist?’ In order to address
this latter question, Reicher and Haslam ran a study using a system of
Guards and Prisoners in a simulated prison setting. The study was not a
replication of Stanford, but rather introduced a number of interventions
which were designed to inform the question of when people rebel. Even
more than in Zimbardo’s study, the Guards became divided over their
use of authority and the Prisoners united in rejecting their subordination.
This led to a reversal of the original power relations and ultimately to a
collapse of the Prisoner-Guard system.
When the study was published, Zimbardo critically reacted, pointing
out the artificiality of the setting: “what is the external validity of such
2 Evil Leaders and Obedient Masses? 55
events in any real prison anywhere in the known universe? In what kind
of prisons are the prisoners in charge? How could such an eventuality
become manifest?” (2006, p. 49). This is a fair challenge, but it is actually
remarkable how easy it is to find evidence of resistance in prisons, even
to the extent of prisoners effectively running the system (e.g., Carroll,
2006; McEvoy, McConnachie, & Jamison, 2007; Mariner, 2001). Even
in the most repressive of settings (perhaps particularly in such settings)
prisoners are able to be in control. Take, for example, the case of Robben
Island where Nelson Mandela was for long imprisoned. Mandela writes:
“ultimately we had to create our own lives in prison. In a way that even
the authorities recognized, order in prison was preserved not by ward-
ers but by ourselves” (1994, p. 464). Moreover, Mandela provides some
insights into how such control was achieved—insights which, as we shall
see, will prove very helpful in our later discussions:
against orders. The extent of this belief was revealed after the war when,
speaking to a fellow Nazi, he insisted that:
Eichmann and his ilk did not come to murder Jews by accident or in a fit
of absent-mindedness, nor by blindly obeying orders or by being small cogs
in a big machine. They worked hard, thought hard, took the lead over
many years. They were the alpinists of evil. (2002, p. 279)
There may be something very specific about the structure of the Hitler
State—and the Fuhrer’s aim to set his underlings to compete against each
other rather than unite against him—which required Nazi functionaries
to be such active conformists. Still, there are intriguing similarities with
observations from psychological research made in completely different
contexts. A conversation between two of the participants in the Stanford
Prison Experiment, one the most brutal of the Guards, dubbed ‘John
Wayne’ for his aggressive swagger, the other one of the Prisoners that he
tormented, illustrates this point. The conversation occurred after the end
of the study and ‘John Wayne’ (or rather, David Eshelman, to give him
his real name) asked, “what would you have done if you were in my posi-
tion?” The erstwhile Prisoner replied:
58 Identity, Violence and Power
I don’t know. But I don’t think I would have been so inventive. I don’t think
I would have applied as much imagination to what I was doing. Do you
understand? … If I had been a guard I don’t think it would have been such
a masterpiece. (Zimbardo, 1989)
This tallies with Eshelman’s own account where he claims that he was
running his own ‘experiment’, trying out new forms of abuse and see-
ing how people would respond. In other words, he could be said to have
been ‘working towards the experimenter’—not mechanically doing the
bidding of another but actively creating innovative ways of carrying out
his task. Albeit on a totally different scale of brutality, this tallies with
contemporary accounts of Nazi conformity. Yet, of course, it is based on
a single anecdote and it would be rash to hang too much explanatory
weight upon it. So it makes sense to turn again to Milgram’s studies, both
because of the systematic nature of the evidence and because of the sig-
nificance of these studies in underpinning the ‘banality of evil’ account.
There are many indications from Milgram’s own data which give the
lie to his claim that “punishment of the learner shrinks to an insignificant
part of the total experience”. Perhaps the most dramatic evidence derives
from Milgram’s filmed record of the sessions.1 In these one can see the
participants agonise over what to do. They certainly show awareness of
the learner’s predicament. They alert the experimenter to his expressions
of pain, his demands to be released, his silences. They argue and remon-
strate with the experimenter and seek reasons to justify terminating the
study (see Gibson, 2011, 2014 for a detailed analysis of their discursive
strategies). They sigh and sweat and giggle nervously. And when, at the
end, the learner emerges to reveal that he has not suffered, they show
massive relief. It lacks all credibility to suggest that the learner is insig-
nificant to them.
If such descriptive evidence is deemed insufficient, it is complemented
by quantitative evidence that points to exactly the same conclusions.
Thus, an analysis of the points at which participants are most likely to defy
the experimenter points to the 150- and 315-volt points—respectively
1
Many of these can be found online. See, for instance, Milgram’s own film Obedience at http://
veehd.com/video/4751627_Obedience-The-Original-Milgram-Experiment-1962-nYx64—espe-
cially the segment from 22 mins to 39 mins which shows a trial almost in its entirety.
2 Evil Leaders and Obedient Masses? 59
the points at which the learner first asks to be let out of the study and
first states categorically that he is “no longer part of the experiment” (see
Milgram, 1974, pp. 56–7 for a full transcript of what the learner says at
the various shock levels). Evidently, participants are paying attention to
the learner.
But equally, the participants are listening carefully to what the experi-
menter says. They are not simply in thrall to anything he says. Thus, the
different prods used to urge people on are differentially efficacious. Most
obviously, three of the prods can be read as requests (“please go on”) or
as justifications (“the experiment requires that you continue”). Only one,
the fourth and final prod, is unambiguously an order (“you have no other
choice, you must go on”) (see Milgram, 1974, p. 21, emphasis in the
original). The evidence that is available suggests that the use of the fourth
prod in particular led to heightened disobedience. Moreover, in a recent
replication (Burger, 2009), every time that the fourth prod was used,
disobedience ensued. Now, it is arguable that this has nothing to do with
the content of the prod, but simply an order effect—that is, by the time
it comes to the experimenter having to urge people on for a fourth time,
nothing they say would be effective. So, in a recent study, Haslam, Birney
and Reicher (2014) have untangled order from content, using different
prods in different conditions of the study. Still we find that prod 4 incites
greater disobedience. In the light of this evidence it seems that, what-
ever the Milgram studies do show, they certainly don’t demonstrate that
people always obey orders. Quite the contrary. People are making active
choices between the experimenter and the learner based on precisely how
each addresses them.
This argument has implications for the experimenters as well as the par-
ticipants: once the former acknowledge that the latter are discerning and
that they actively weigh what the experimenters do, then experimenters
can no longer rest on their laurels. Once it is clear that just ‘being there’
is not enough, we need to attend to what authorities have to do and say
in order to secure compliance. We have to attend to their activity as well
as that of the participants. A number of recent studies have done precisely
this. They unpick all the careful work that Milgram undertook—and had
his experimenter undertake—in order to ensure that participants kept
shocking. This includes the bureaucratic structure of the study (Russell,
60 Identity, Violence and Power
2014), the design of the shock machine and the wording used to describe
different shock levels (Russell, 2011), the careful choice of personnel to
act as the experimenter and the learner, respectively (Russell, 2013), the
various forms of contractual obligation that participants had to accept
before they began the study, the careful scripting of the prods, the ways
that, at times and seemingly with Milgram‘s consent, the experimenter
would depart from the script during the study (Gibson, 2011, 2014),
as well as the broad moral justification for the studies, couched within a
discourse of scientific progress.2
In sum, whether we are dealing with conformity or resistance, with par-
ticipants/masses or experimenters/authorities, everyone is actively involved
in making sense of the situation and determining what should be done.
Moreover, the activity of the mass and of the authorities is interdepen-
dent. It is because ordinary people actively weigh what is said to them that
those who aim to influence them need to couch their words and actions so
carefully. Equally, it is because different sources of influence address them
with plausible and powerful arguments that ordinary people must work at
choosing between them. So how do they decide? What determines which
of the many voices that surround them people eventually heed?
A third and final problem with the natural conformist assumption is
then that it does not allow these simple but fundamental questions to be
addressed or answered. As we will now see, the reasons for this failure largely
stem from the assumption’s one-sidedness in relying solely on internal psy-
chological mechanisms to explain why and when people do conform.
2.6 C
onformity, Resistance and the Problem
of Epistemic Isolation
When Milgram’s experiment was moved from the prestigious Yale labo-
ratories to an office building in downtown Bridgeport and the experi-
menter was introduced as working for an unknown private organisation
2
The study was introduced as an important investigation into the topic of learning and of how
much punishment is best to aid learning. When participants came to the laboratory it was stressed
that: “we know very little about the effect of punishment on learning, because almost no truly sci-
entific studies have been made of it in human beings” (Milgram, 1974, p. 18).
2 Evil Leaders and Obedient Masses? 61
rather than for the University, the percentage of people who were fully
obedient decreased from 65 % to 47.5 %. When the ‘experimenter’ was
introduced as another ‘ordinary person’, obedience decreased further
to 20 % and when there were two experimenters who disputed as to
whether shocks should be given, no one fully obeyed. Indeed, no one
went beyond point 11 (165 volts) of the 30-point scale (450 volts). That
is, as the experimenter’s scientific authority becomes less clear and more
contested so people follow his instructions less. Or, in other words, peo-
ple’s willingness to obey depends in part on the epistemic capital of the
authority.
But equally, obedience depends upon the epistemic capital of the par-
ticipant. Consider the following interchange between the experimenter
and Jan Rensaleer, an industrial engineer and a participant in one of the
early studies:
placing the victim in another room not only takes him father from the
subject, it also draws the subject and the experimenter relatively closer.
There is an incipient group formation between the experimenter and the
subject, from which the victim is excluded. The wall between the victim
and the others deprives him of an intimacy which the experimenter and the
subject could feel. In the Remote condition, the victim is truly an outsider,
who stands alone physically and psychologically. (1974, p. 39)
is the notion that the extent to which people are in contact or else isolated
from each other—and whose communications are privileged over oth-
ers—is of central importance to how they understand who they are and
what they should do. Alone with the experimenter, participants are sub-
ject overwhelmingly to their relationship with him. It is not simply that
this has the cognitive effect of rendering their common inclusion within
a scientific enterprise more salient. It is also that this has the pragmatic
effect of shielding the participant from any alternative perspective which
challenges the experimenter’s account of scientific progress and what that
justifies. In a phrase, epistemic isolation lends epistemic certainty to the
perspective of authority.
When it comes to epistemic isolation, there is another relationship
which is equally important, if not more so, as that between participants
and learners. It is one that is largely hidden in Milgram’s studies because
the design generally involves just one participant at a time, whereas, out-
side the laboratory, there are often many of us together in the face of
authority. That is, in these studies, participants are isolated from their
fellow participants. They have no knowledge of what their peers think
and do. They don’t know if it is normal to privilege the interests of sci-
ence or of the ordinary person. As Milgram acknowledges, they also
don’t know if shocking is bizarre behaviour or if not shocking would be
bizarre. In this state, they are again confronted only with the position of
the experimenter and the way they are positioned by him. They have no
counterweight with which to challenge that positioning. Except in one
condition.
In the so-called two peers rebel condition, the subject is in a room with
the experimenter and (as the name suggests) two peers who co-operate in
administering the task—these supposed peers being yet more confeder-
ates of Milgram. At the 150-volt point, one of these peers withdraws from
the study. The others are told to continue without him. At the 210-volt
point the other peer withdraws. Again, the remaining (authentic) partici-
pant is told to continue. In this condition only 10 % of these participants
are fully obedient. Significantly, perhaps, only three pull out when the
first peer rebels. Twelve pull out when the second peer rebels. One way of
interpreting this is to say that in order to defy authority it is not enough
to witness examples of defiance; it is necessary to establish a consensus
64 Identity, Violence and Power
2.7 Conclusion
In this chapter we have considered another simple but powerful expla-
nation of intergroup conflict—and more particularly of the harm that
people are capable of inflicting in such conflicts. As with the explanations
66 Identity, Violence and Power
discussion, the reason why conformity has been of such concern to those
within social psychology and those beyond—indeed to all who live in
the shadow of the Nazi Holocaust and succeeding genocides. Third, to
power: the power to shape identities, in particular by creating settings in
which people are led to meet each other as foes or friends, and the power
that derives from shaping identities. Once again though, it is important
to examine the reciprocal relationship between constructs: how violence
derives from the ways that identity is defined and controlled, but also the
way in which violence serves as a means of gaining power over identity
and defining it in ways that establish particular people as authoritative.
In the following chapters, we will interrogate identity, violence and
power, and the links between them, in much more detail. For now, we
can conclude our discussion so far on a note of qualified optimism. There
is no part of the human substance which impels us, either directly or
indirectly, towards harming others. Rather, as Todorov has argued, “good
and ill are of ‘one substance’ with human life because they are the fruits
of our freedom, of our ability to choose at every point between several
courses of action” (2004, p. 26). Nonetheless, we can examine the fac-
tors that constrain our choices. Even if these do not determine the out-
come, they can make it easier or more difficult to conform or rebel; they
can strengthen or weaken, reinforce or undermine different orientations.
While these factors become consequential by the way that they work on
our psychology, they themselves exist beyond us, between us, in the ways
that we are dispersed and organised in the social world.
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Part II
Model
3
Identity: The Group as a Collective
Performance
In the previous chapters, our argument was developed in two steps. First,
we discussed the challenges arising when public discourse or scientific
analysis of political violence takes an ethnic or ‘civilisational’ turn. We
added our voice to those who plead for vigilance such that we avoid tak-
ing descriptions of events in terms of (say) ‘ethnic conflict’, ‘ethnic vio-
lence’ or inferred ‘ethnic hatred’, as an explanation of these events. We
concluded that a non-circular analysis needs to take a step back and,
instead of taking ethnic or cultural categories for granted as the primary
units of analyses, we need first of all to explain how these categories came
into being. Or rather, we need to show what makes people accept such
categories as ‘real’ in the pragmatic sense that they provide a grid for inter-
preting social experience and for giving a direction to social behaviour.
In the second chapter, we then criticised a pervasive model of why
people accept and act on particular versions of category and category rela-
tions—that is, the notion that human beings are somehow programmed
to obey authority, no matter how cruel those authorities might be and
how brutal their instructions.
The main problem with both approaches is that they transform spe-
cific instances into general rules. Certainly, ethnic hostility occurs at
some times and in some places. But it doesn’t always happen and it takes
specific political forces and social processes to make it occur. Equally,
toxic obedience occurs, but it is far from ubiquitous and one can find
ample evidence of dissent events in the classic studies used to highlight
obedience phenomena.
In Chap. 2, we introduced the notion of epistemic isolation as a key
pre-requirement for toxic obedience: people conform unconditionally to
a particular authority when the understandings of that authority stand
uncontested and they are sealed off from any opportunity to act jointly on
the basis of alternative understandings. In this chapter, we will develop a
similar argument about hostility between groups: before a set of people will
act together as a coherent ‘us’ against a hostile ‘them’, the range of interpre-
tations of social reality must be radically curtailed so as to exclude anything
which questions who ‘we’ are, who ‘they’ are, and how the two interrelate.
In the next chapter, we will go on to discuss the specific role of vio-
lence in bringing about situations of extreme epistemic isolation where
alternatives to ingroup conformity and outgroup hostility are difficult
to conceive and impractical to act upon. For now, let us examine more
closely how epistemic isolation or else epistemic co-ordination affect the
terms in which conflicts are experienced, and why the balance between
the two is at the heart of the matter.
A few years ago, together with Willem Doise, we tackled the theo-
retical problem of epistemic co-ordination, focusing on how separate
individual representations of the world become integrated into social
representations (Elcheroth, Doise & Reicher, 2011). We argued then,
and still argue today, that the general mechanisms governing how peo-
ple co-ordinate to understand and transform their social worlds can be
conceptualised adequately by articulating the two traditions of thought
that have developed under the banners of social representation theory,
originating in the works of Serge Moscovici (1961, 2008), and of social
identity theory, originating in the work of Henri Tajfel (1975, 1981)
and developed by John Turner, Hogg, Oakes, Reicher & Wetherell
(1987).
We identified four defining characteristics of social representations:
shared knowledge, meta-knowledge, enacted communication and world-
making assumptions. In the following passages, we now propose a revised
version of the critical passages in the 2011 article, elaborated for present
purposes to make more explicit the indivisible relationship between social
representations and social identities. We show how these same four char-
acteristics relate to the way identities are made, un-made and re-made,
through co-ordinated knowledge, experience and behaviour. That is, we
explain identity processes by reference to social practices—practices that
speak to each other, become possible by communication and constitute
acts of communication themselves.
3.2 S
hared Knowledge: Identity as Epistemic
Co-ordination
The first premise of our approach is that what shapes social behaviour
is shared social knowledge. This is true in two connected senses. On the
one hand, what counts is not our idiosyncratic experience but our knowl-
edge of things that are experienced at a collective level. There is evidence,
for instance, that belief and action are less a function of whether ‘I am
unemployed’ or else ‘I have suffered from discrimination’, but more of
whether ‘we suffer high levels of unemployment’ or ‘we are the subjects of
discrimination’ (Elcheroth, 2006; Kinder, 1998; Mutz, 1998).
78 Identity, Violence and Power
share with others. This is all the more important as people need to make
their social environments intelligible if actions are to be organised into
meaningful sequences. Where the world cannot be rendered intelligible,
the psychological consequences are generally severe: stress, strain, a sense
of estrangement, a feeling of helplessness.
But even with these various practical, discursive and ontological limits
to the types of representations we produce together, there is still consid-
erable room for manoeuvre. The primary task is then to investigate the
complex and slippery processes by which people jointly produce specific
meanings.
3.4 E
nacted Communication: Identity as Joint
Performance
While Paluck’s study was about the impact of discourse diffused through
the mass media on consciously shared representations, words are not
always required to change beliefs about how relevant others experience
the world, and position themselves in the world. There are indeed a num-
ber of illuminating examples of how we will misunderstand the nature
of representations if we look at what people say to the exclusion of what
they do. A case in point is Jodelet’s (1991) classic work on representations
of madness. As she showed, people may not say that they think mental
illness is contagious, but the ways in which they separate their own crock-
ery from that of sufferers suggests otherwise.
But it is not just that practices are important in terms of communicat-
ing the perspective of others; it is arguable that they are more powerful
than explicit discourses to the extent that they are more silent. To hear
someone state things overtly (‘this is what people think’) always opens up
at least the possibility of disagreement (‘oh no they don’t). To see some-
3 Identity: The Group as a Collective Performance 83
All in all, our understanding of social reality, of other people and of the
ways they relate to us, is not only constructed through social communi-
cation (at both interpersonal and mass media levels) but equally derives
from the accumulation of concrete experiences that fill an ordinary life.
These experiences provide us with a sense of interdependence with other
people. All of us have concretely experienced the fact that others can con-
firm or challenge our viewpoint, can support or impede us, can sustain or
harm us. Correspondingly, we have all developed interpretative strategies
for distinguishing between who might do the one and who might do the
other. Obviously, those interpretative activities draw upon shared narra-
tives that render our idiosyncratic experiences meaningful. But, equally,
these narratives are rendered relevant and plausible through recurrent
patterns in the concrete organisation of social interactions. That is, the
social narratives which are offered to people as frames of interpretation
need to make sense of mundane experiences. They need to help us to act
appropriately in various social situations. In Gramsci’s formulation, they
need to have practical adequacy (see Sayer, 1979).
The key point here is that narratives and practices are not in opposi-
tion. Each is powerful to the extent that it is complemented by the other:
what is said highlights what is done, and what is done makes sense in
terms of what is said. And what binds narratives and practices together
are social institutions. These both tell stories about how the world needs
to be organised and also organise the social world. They structure social
interactions in particular ways and they create regularities in collective
experience which leads people to gain a common feeling that particular
forms of social interdependency are authentic realities. They thereby give
credibility to accounts of social relations which presuppose such forms of
interdependency. In other words, institutionalised social structures allow
narratives about collective identities to sound plausible and become rel-
evant in the light of concretely experienced patterns of interdependence.
To be somewhat more concrete and to continue with the themes intro-
duced above, the Nazi ideology of Adolf Hitler as the supreme leader
of a homogenous ethnic German nation from which Jews (among oth-
ers) were totally excluded was both the subject of a relentless ideological
assault (Kershaw, 1987) and also inscribed in a series of institutionalised
practices, from the mundane realities of the ‘Heil Hitler’ salute (which
3 Identity: The Group as a Collective Performance 85
all ‘ethnic’ Germans were required to give, but which Jewish people were
explicitly prohibited from giving—see Allert, 2009) to the exclusion of
Jewish people from trades and professions, and to the expulsion of Jewish
people from their homes and homelands—ultimately to the death camps.
There is one final point we wish to make about narratives, practices
and the nature of/relations between social groups. That is, these exist in a
dynamic and developing relationship which depends not only upon dif-
ferences of understanding but also upon commonalities of understanding
between these groups. Take, for instance, the Hindu who deliberately
provokes a riot by throwing a dead pig on the steps of a mosque in India.
This act is performed on the basis of understanding the narrative lens
through which it will be viewed by the Muslim community (a funda-
mental act of desecration), the consequent practices to which it will give
rise in this community (collective anger and violence), and how this in
turn will be viewed by the Hindu community (the barbarity and threat
of the Muslim ‘other’) and feed into their practices (retaliatory violence
and communal retrenchment).
On the one hand, then, we see how practices feed into narratives
which generate new practices, which in turn affect narratives … and so
on. On the other hand, we see (ironically) that the ability to create vio-
lence in this way occurs not despite but because of a shared heritage
and accurate presumptions about interpretative activities across religious
groups. In this sense, common understandings and collective awareness
are organised as sets of dialogues enveloped in practices (see Marková,
2003; Gillespie, Cornish, Aveling and Zittoun, 2008), where opposite
positions and antithetical ‘themes’ are enacted all the more effectively
when both sides are able to understand the core of both lines of argument.
3.5 W
orld-Making Assumptions: Identity
as Collective Agency
Common understandings of the world and collective awareness hence
not only arise from social practices, they also often make possible those
social practices (and only those social practices) that then sustain them.
Effective nationalism creates the national categories that it assumes
86 Identity, Violence and Power
(see Reicher & Hopkins, 2001). Seeing someone as an enemy can lead
us to treat them in ways that make them behave as an enemy. Therefore,
we need to be precise about the meaning of ‘social context’. Any read-
ing of the problem solely in terms of the question ‘how do people give
meaning to what is already out there?’ misses the most interesting point.
Social and historical contexts are not just sets of external background
factors that impact shared representations, but are themselves realities
brought into existence through such representations.
This ontological stance is easily misunderstood or else misrepresented.
Hence, we must be clear about what is meant by this and what it implies.
The starting point is to appreciate that the day-to-day reality in which we
live is largely constituted by what Searle (1995) labelled institutional facts.
All aspects of our everyday lives—from the time we get up in order to get
to work, the traffic regulations which govern our drive to the office, the
rules which govern what we do once there, to the value of the money that
we earn—are part of a human-made world. Such institutional facts can
be defined by two properties. On the one hand, they exist only as a con-
sequence of human agreement; on the other, from an individual perspec-
tive, they appear as objective facts: (at least part of ) their consequences
are independent of subjective cognition.
Things like money, citizenship, degrees, classes, mortgages and crimes
would not exist if no one believed that they existed. Or, to be more pre-
cise, they would not exist if there were no storekeepers, border guards,
students, bankers or police officers acting on the basis of the belief that they
do exist. But then, it becomes important to make a key distinction. What
we are not implying is that, were an individual to deny these institutions,
they would go away. Changes in individual representations do not alter
the existence or essence of specific institutional facts. Were you to drive
on the wrong side of the road, try to use conch shells as currency or else
claim to live in your own independent republic with its own laws, you
would soon discover this. We are, therefore, not proposing an extreme
form of philosophical solipsism which is easily caricatured. What we do
assert, however, is that changes in shared representations can and fre-
quently do lead to changes in the institutional world.
The relationship between shared representations and institutional real-
ities is therefore bi-directional. On the one hand, formalised regulations,
3 Identity: The Group as a Collective Performance 87
the outside. It is at this latter level that political rhetoric largely exerts its
effect, altering what we believe about what others believe and specifically
believe about us; consequently, altering how we act towards those others
and hence how they act towards us; ultimately re-framing the organisa-
tion of the social world and hence the social categories which are able to
make sense of it.
version of who is the minority and who the majority. Sometimes even
the same leaders refer to different contexts at different moments, when
political opportunities and strategies change.
Once again, we can see how these matters are the very stuff of the rel-
evant conflicts. They should therefore be the focus of analysis, not only its
backdrop. Furthermore, while sometimes the goal of expressing a given
version of identity is to mobilise the collective toward a form of action, at
other times it can be ‘just’ to consolidate the identity. That is, rather than
being aimed at promoting a specific and immediate instrumental pur-
pose, identity is invoked to achieve, maintain or deepen a shared under-
standing that the group exists and that it has a specific culture (see Klein,
Spears and Reicher, 2007).
Finally, we need to look at the mobilisation of identity in order to
appreciate the critical role of mass communication, and hence of mass
media, in shaping collectivities and collective action. In political affairs in
general, and in large-scale conflicts in particular, the collective experience
of events is necessarily mediated, since no one can have a complete pic-
ture of the conflict by drawing only on his or her immediate perceptions,
or even those of his or her personal contacts. The media circulate explicit
narratives and discourse about conflicts, but also images and perspec-
tives that sustain (or contradict) these narratives. For example, Lipson
(2009) provides a systematic analysis of camera shots broadcast by the
BBC and by CBS during one week in the early stage of the invasion of
Iraq in 2003. He shows how ‘embedded journalism’ meant that British
and American troops were pictured up close. We see their facial features
and their emotions, making it all the easier to identify with them, with
their hopes and their fears. By contrast, shots of Iraqis tended to be rare
and at a distance. Only 20 % of pictures coming from Iraq displayed
locals and even then they were generally only of people in the mass, of
crowds, of soldiers running and shouting.
At this point, the critic might respond that people are media-savvy.
They are well aware of these devices and biases and are not swayed by
them. But that is of little comfort if the media work by affecting what we
think others think and, hence, what positions can reasonably be expected
to be shared. The fact that mass communication does not so much affect
what each of us feels and thinks in private does not imply that its impact
on what we are capable of doing collectively is not critical.
94 Identity, Violence and Power
Therefore, if you want to escape from the influence of the mass media,
it is not enough to switch your TV off. You also need to let your neigh-
bours know that you are doing so. This is precisely what inhabitants of
the small Polish city of Swidnik did in February 1982 (Crawshaw &
Jackson, 2010), during the early years of the ‘Solidarnosc’ protest move-
ment. Exhausted by the pro-regime news coverage of the state-controlled
television, which either entirely ignored or unilaterally delegitimised the
protest movement, an increasing number of Poles decided not to watch
the daily news broadcasts any more. In Swidnik though, people started
to realise that their private boycott would have much more impact if they
found a way to express it publicly. At that point, an increasing number of
residents started to go for a walk at exactly the time when the news was
transmitted. Some went so far as to take their televisions with them on
a pushchair or other improvised vehicle. This made it very clear to any
observer that ‘I am going for a walk at 19:30’ actually meant ‘I am not
watching the news’. The movement soon spread to other cities and the
regime eventually became so nervous about it as to impose a daily curfew
from seven o’clock, thereby obliging people to stay at home during the
news. At this point, the ruling elite was obviously not in a position to
make people watch the state-controlled news, let alone to make them
trust the news, but at least they could make it as difficult as possible for
each individual to be confident that other individuals had also switched
their TV off.
3.8 Conclusion
Our analysis of identity in this chapter has four key elements.
First, we argue against the notion that identities are fixed, set, immuta-
ble either for all time or at any particular point in time. Across time, iden-
tities are always fluid and always contingent on what they enable a set of
people to do together. As social practices change, old categories become
obsolete and new categories are formed. If, for a period of time, identities
do become frozen in a particular configuration, that is the exception to
the rule. That is what requires explanation. In short, identities are always
performed and our task is to elucidate the processes of their performance.
3 Identity: The Group as a Collective Performance 95
References
Allert, T. (2009). The Hitler salute. New York: Metropolitan Books.
Billig, M. (1995). Banal nationalism. London: Sage Publications Ltd.
Crawshaw, S., & Jackson, J. (2010). Small acts of resistance: How courage, tenac-
ity, and ingenuity can change the world. New York: Union Square Press.
Doise, W. (2002). Les représentations sociales : leçons du passé et défis
d’aujourd’hui : Social representations (Vol. 41, pp. 101–110). Presented at the
Conférence internationale sur les Représentations Sociales, Sage Publications.
96 Identity, Violence and Power
We now come to the heart of our concerns: the matter of violence. Where
prior research has tended to focus on the question ‘how is violence pro-
duced’ we argue that this needs to be complemented by asking ‘what is
produced by violence?’ Correspondingly, the core question in this chap-
ter is how violence serves to transform identity.
The performative model of collective identity, outlined in the previ-
ous chapter, proposes that a set of people will only perceive themselves
as being bound together by a common identity if they can concretely act
together in the terms defined by that identity. That is, identity is funda-
mentally about doing, not just about thinking. It follows that anything
which alters what people can do together will likewise alter their sense of
identity. Violence is just such a thing—in fact, it is a dreadfully effective
way of reshaping shared action.
To be slightly more formal, violence affects identity to the extent that
it re-patterns the social practices through which a group of people per-
form and uphold their common identities. In part, such transformation
might be achieved through the creation of new practices, or else by mak-
ing previously rare practices more common. For instance, Angus Calder
(1992) shows how, due to processes like the evacuation of children and
the use of public shelters during the Blitz, Britons in World War II were
able to come together across previously impenetrable boundaries of class.
Nonetheless, above all, violence operates in a negative way. By making it
more difficult for people to do certain things, or impossible to interact
with certain others, it contributes to the obsolescence and oblivion of the
identities sustained by these activities and interactions.
Collective identities in the aftermath of violence therefore represent
the bonds of solidarity and sociality that are left over once many, if not
most of, people’s ordinary social connections have been broken. They
are radical reductions of identity. As a consequence, one typical feature of
identities re-shaped by violence is their rigidity: by giving up alternative
ways to define themselves, people also lose—sometimes temporarily,
sometimes chronically—their capacity to navigate flexibly between a
variety of relevant identities. Therefore, violent turning points do not
simply provoke shifts from one prevalent form of identity to another;
they also transform the nature of identity, from something fluid into
something frozen.
This point about the loss of fluidity and the freezing of identities
through violence is sufficiently foundational for us to spend a consid-
erable portion of this chapter in illustrating and explicating it through
a concrete example. This concerns the siege of Sarajevo, to which we
already alluded in our first chapter. We choose this example because, if
identities came to be reduced to one single overarching (ethnic) dimen-
sion in the previously vibrant and cosmopolitan Sarajevo of the early
1990s, there is no fundamental reason why war could not produce the
same sombre outcome anywhere else.
Having worked through the Sarajevan case, we will then develop our
argument in two different ways. First, we will argue that the re-patterning
of practices and identities does not depend upon the actuality of war.
Things don’t have to be as bloody as they were in Bosnia for violence to
make a difference. Indeed they don’t have to be bloody at all. The mere
anticipation of violence can be sufficient to generate processes of trans-
formation. That is, believing that we might plausibly come under attack
from others can be enough to corrode our everyday practices—where we
go, who we talk to, who we interact with. We will show how our social
world and social identities begin to close down as soon as people behave
4 Violence: How Collective Shocks Transform Social Practices 101
How do people manage to leave Sarajevo? When they pass Croatian snipers
they raise two fingers (which is the Catholic way to cross oneself ), when
they pass Serbian snipers they raise three fingers (the Orthodox way to
cross oneself ), when they pass Muslim snipers they raise five fingers, the
whole hand (the Muslim way of praying), and when they finally get out
they raise one finger, the middle one (an expletive gesture). (Quoted by
Maček, 2009, p. 168)
The worst off in town were those people who were not linked to any of
the main religious communities. They had to face the shortages, dangers
and uncertainties of life during the siege without being able to count
on the solidarity of an organised community—a critical resource in the
chaos of war. Against this backdrop, it is not surprising that, during the
war years, an increasing number of Sarajevans attended religious services,
learnt how to pray in public as Catholics, as Orthodox, as Muslims or as
Jews, and started to celebrate religious holidays together with their fami-
lies, friends and neighbours. In this context, acts of devotion that might
initially seem foolish and irrational (such as gathering in front of the
Catholic cathedral after mass even though the space was openly exposed
to sniper fire) can be seen to make sense.
In short, the contingencies of survival under siege increasingly made
Sarajevans behave as if religion was a central part of their identity—
and exposed them to others acting as if religion mattered (possibly
more than life itself ). They thereby became increasingly aware of their
friends’, neighbours’, colleagues’ and comrades’ religious identity. They
also became more expert about the relevant markers of identity, allowing
them rapidly to tell an Orthodox Serb apart from a Catholic Croat, or a
Muslim.
More critically, perhaps, these developments in town had their repercus-
sions amongst those in the trenches defending the town. As the ethnic/reli-
gious polarisation proceeded apace, and as Sarajevan Muslims learnt of the
ethnic massacres in Eastern Bosnia, they began to consider that they too
might be at risk—again, not because of what it meant to themselves to be
‘Muslim’, but because of what it might have meant to others who catego-
rised them as ‘Muslims’. Moreover, without knowing exactly who might
see them as such and attack them as such, it began to make sense to view
others as ‘Serbs’. Solidarity in the trenches began to give way to distrust.
For the Serbs such distrust, and its implications, was equally corrosive.
Rather than remain under constant suspicion, many young Serbs chose
to quit the city’s defence forces and to move to the other side of the front-
line, to the ‘Serb-held’ neighbourhoods of the town, where they expected
to find a more accepting environment. But this only made the situation
worse, especially for those Serbs who remained behind.
4 Violence: How Collective Shocks Transform Social Practices 105
4.2 T
he Second World War Did happen
in Switzerland
In 2011, viewers of a French-language Swiss TV show elected General
Henri Guisan, who led the Swiss army during World War II, ‘Romand
of the century’. At one level, this might seem an entirely unsurprising
choice. Similar TV shows in other places had asked audiences to elect
their greatest figure of all time. De Gaulle was chosen as the greatest
Frenchman of all time. Churchill was elected as the greatest Briton of all
time. Being a World War II leader seems to convey a distinct advantage.
But, on reflection, the choice of Guisan is rather different to that of
De Gaulle or Churchill and might give us pause for thought. The first
difference is anecdotal and concerns the use of categories. Whereas De
Gaulle was a proud Frenchman who achieved for France and Churchill
was an emblematic Briton who achieved for Britain, Guisan was selected
as a great Romand (the western francophone region of Switzerland that
corresponds to the boundaries of the TV station’s audience). But his fame
is entirely due to the fact that he commanded the federal army, as a Swiss
general.
Once again, we see here the contingency and flexibility of social iden-
tities at work: how the same person or people can be defined in terms
of different categories (national, regional, etc.), how different definitions
of social categories are used as a function of different ways of organis-
ing social practices (since Switzerland has no national TV channel, but
rather different language channels for the different linguistic regions of
4 Violence: How Collective Shocks Transform Social Practices 107
in every generation there are those who stand against us. And in this generation
we must fortify our strength and independence so that we will be able to prevent
the current enemy from carrying out its plan. (Cited in Klar et al., 2013,
p. 135)
The important thing about this example is not just what is said, but the
context in which it is said: Holocaust Memorial Day. The Holocaust is
woven into Israeli society in a plethora of different ways: memorial days,
memorial sites, museums, statues, textbooks, films, trips. To take just two
telling statistics (both from Klar et al., 2013), in just one (relatively lib-
eral) newspaper, the term Holocaust (Shoah in Hebrew) appeared as often
as Israeli–Arab conflict. Every year, 16 % of the entire high school cohort
go on trips to the death camps, mainly in Poland. As Liebman and Don-
Yihya noted in 1983, the memory of the Holocaust is still omnipresent
in Israel, cutting across age, education and country of origin.
Another way of putting this—invoking the work of Billig, 1995—is
to say that memories of the Holocaust have become banal in Israel—not
in the sense of trivialising the event of course, but rather in the sense of
being so pervasive as to become embedded in all areas of life, as part and
parcel of what it means to belong to the Israeli nation. Billig gives many
powerful examples of the banality of nationhood—how it is presupposed
in terms of the way we talk about the weather, sporting results, what is
newsworthy (because it matters for the nation) and whether the news
is good or bad (because it does or does not serve the national interest).
When this occurs insidiously and continuously, and particularly when
the national interest is seen to be threatened, it can be used to far less
banal effect. To cite Billig himself:
As the Gulf and Falkland Wars indicated, forces can be mobilized without
lengthy campaigns of political preparation. The armaments are primed,
ready for use in the battle. And the national populations appear also to be
primed, ready to support the use of those armaments. (Billig, 1995, p. 7)
many US schools children literally rehearse around the flag every morn-
ing (singing their national anthem together), there are many other ways
that people can practise their banal nationalism in daily routines: by
expressing their joy when a fellow national wins a sports competition, by
commenting on the national weather forecast or by passing on news that
is important for the nation.
While it is perfectly possible (although potentially self-isolating) to
choose not to rehearse nationhood when it comes to sporting events,
to the weather or to the news, there are other areas of life where people
will find it much harder not to play their active part. Billig gives the
example of national currencies: Who could afford the luxury of not using
them (and why exactly would anyone do that)? When Croatia became
a sovereign nation-state in 1991, its government chose to label the new
national currency the ‘kuna’. As this was the name given to the currency
during World War II, when the ruling fascist regime perpetrated mas-
sacres against the Serb minority, many saw the new currency as a fascist
and anti-Serb symbol. Yet, inhabitants of the new Croatian state quickly
became used to enacting the reality of their (soon to be war-ridden)
national state several times a day by the small act of taking the kuna out
of their wallet. By the same token, they quickly became accustomed to
the ambiguities surrounding the definition of their national identity that
were materialised in the coins and banknotes they used.
This example, like the Israeli example, shows that the way in which
people rehearse their national identity not only serves to make the nation
real but also gives substance to that reality. It helps define the values and
the ideology of the nation, who is included and who is excluded, how
the nation relates to others and how others relate to it, who is seen as an
ally and who a threat. The same is true the other way round. The way a
nation prepares for potential threats from an outgroup serves to define the
nation itself. To act as if our country could come under existential threat
at any time is a powerful means of constraining social relations. That is, if
the recollection and re-enactment of past violence can r econfigure identi-
ties as much as actual violence, the same is true of rehearsing for future
violence. Cold War experiences are emblematic of this. They show how
communities can be profoundly transformed by a credible threat of mass
destruction—even when that threat never materialises.
4 Violence: How Collective Shocks Transform Social Practices 113
Extensive archival research conducted across the USA, Canada and the
UK by Davis (2007) shows how the nuclear threat by the Soviet Union
became a tangible reality for the Western public during the 1950s and
1960s through recurrent large-scale emergency civil exercises. Across the
USA, Canada and the UK, casualties of nuclear radiation, burning or
physical injury were made up with great attention for detail, in order to
increase the realism of these exercises.
In the USA, systematic civil defence training found its way into an
overwhelming majority of classrooms between 1950 and 1952. A gen-
eration of school pupils learnt and practised how to ‘duck and cover’ as
soon as a nuclear flash appeared, and thereby to protect themselves from
shockwaves in school, at home or outdoors. Most states implemented
curricular reform in the early 1950s to make sure that pupils acquired
the necessary knowledge to cope with the challenges of nuclear age, from
the chemistry of heat to international relations. But education was not
limited to children. In the early 1970s, American test families dug them-
selves into their own home-made shelters, thus demonstrating that it was
possible to protect yourself under your own steam in less than a day.
Apart from behaviour increasing the chances of physical survival fol-
lowing a nuclear strike, particular emphasis was laid on practising skills
that were deemed essential to prevent a breakdown of social order: obe-
dience to orders, not starting rumours and dispelling myths that could
cause panic. In the UK, Anna Freud advised families to “make quite a
confident ritual of air-raid precautions” (quoted by Davis, 2007, p. 109),
where everyone has a clearly assigned role—for example, children were to
take their teddy bears to the shelter—in order to foster everyone’s sense
of orderliness and security.
Overall, then, the goal of such mass dramas was not only to instruct
people how to survive individually in the aftermath of a nuclear explo-
sion, but also to instil in them a sense of civic responsibility. By rehearsing
for nuclear war, people were not only taught what an attack would con-
cretely mean to them in terms of physical survival, they were also given
an education in how they must be pro-active if they were to survive as a
community, to avoid group collapse and social paralysis. There was a clear
moral imperative not to let a social catastrophe—the breakdown of the
social fabric—add to the nuclear catastrophe and the destruction of the
114 Identity, Violence and Power
The key moral lesson, then, was that conformity is the key to survival
because individual fate depends upon the fate of the nation as a whole
and on state policies. This is exemplified in a script prepared by British
contingency planners for the BBC in November 1964, as part of a sim-
ulated emergency programme. The script has never been broadcast; its
main purpose was to raise awareness within the media on their role in
case of a nuclear attack. In the imagined scenario, the following text was
to be read immediately following the announcement that several regions
across Britain had come under attack by nuclear weapons:
Serious fires are raging in these places and there are very many casualties. Civil
Defence and other rescue services are doing everything they can to rescue sur-
vivors. Immediate retaliatory measures were taken by our own forces and there
have been no further attacks since 3 o’clock. (Quoted by Davis, 2007, p. 191)
text, political scientist Roger Petersen (2002) seemed to offer the aca-
demic book market exactly what it has been waiting for: a treatise on
ethnic violence, proposing a predictive theory about when one ethnic
group will violently target another.
In his book, Petersen argues that ethnic violence follows changes in
the objective relationships between ethnic groups brought along by new
state boundaries and/or shifts in the balance of resources available to the
respective groups. People will fight against ethnic outgroups when struc-
tural changes create new threats or frustrations incarnated by the out-
group target, or else when new opportunities to attack a specific target
group arise.
For Petersen, as for Davies, changing structural circumstances ulti-
mately drive collective behaviour, while collective emotions mediate the
process. To engage in joint aggressive action, all those involved need to
be driven by similar emotions, which in turn are provoked by similar
circumstances. These circumstances can take different forms. Sometimes
it is a matter of breeding antagonisms. Petersen argues that loss of relative
status breeds resentment. So, for instance, it was the fact that Bosnian
Croats and Bosnian Serbs became minorities in the new Bosnian nation-
state following the dissolution of the former Yugoslavia which would have
led to their attacks on the Bosnian Muslims. Sometimes it is a matter
of removing the constraints upon the expression of pre-existing resent-
ments (as in the ‘ancient hatreds’ narrative we have discussed in a number
of places). Thus, Petersen suggests that the reason why Serbs aggressed
against Kosovo Albanians in the wake of the dissolution of the former
Yugoslavia was basically because they (now) could.
Despite all the differences between Davies’ theory of revolution and
Petersen’s theory of ethnic violence, both seek to provide a predictive
framework for violent unrest which is concretised through the analy-
sis of structural factors, seen as the ultimate determinants of collective
behaviour. Both theories build upon the assertion that similarly changing
circumstances provoke similar motives among large enough groups of
people to account for mass mobilisation, be it against state authorities or
ethnic outgroups. In both cases, the structural circumstances are seen to
gain effect by the way that, in predictable terms, they unleash a kind of
convergent collective will. In this line of thinking, revolution or ethnic
118 Identity, Violence and Power
Some of the most interesting recent writing on the subject has argued that, far
from being inevitable, this war was in fact ‘improbable’—at least until it actu-
ally happened. From this it would follow that the conflict was not the conse-
quence of a long-run deterioration, but of short-term shocks to the international
system. Whether one accepts this view or not, it has the merit of opening the
story to an element of contingency. And it is certainly true that while some of
the developments I examine in this book seem to point unequivocally in the
direction of what actually transpired in 1914, there are other vectors of pre-war
change that suggest different, unrealized outcomes. (Clark, 2012, p. XXIX)
Third, what lay behind such lack of inevitability and contingency was the
fact that, repeatedly, actors were driven by their assumptions concerning
the intentions of others, that they acted in order to send a signal to oth-
ers, and that both intentions and signals were repeatedly misread. So, for
instance, when Russia finally decided to mobilise its troops it was because
it over-estimated the extent and aggressiveness of Austrian mobilisation.
This led Germany to perceive Russia as aggressive and mobilise in turn.
Thus, Clark refers to “the tendency we can discern in the reasoning of so
many of the actors in this crisis, to perceive oneself as operating under
irresistible external constraints while placing the responsibility for decid-
ing between peace and war firmly on the shoulder of the opponent”
(p. 519). Cumulatively, this produced a situation where everyone may
have been willing to fight, not because anyone wanted a war to happen
but rather due to what Clark terms “a defensive patriotism”:
the aetiology of this conflict was so complex and so strange that it allowed
soldiers and civilians in all the belligerent countries to be confident that
theirs was a war of defence, that their countries had been provoked or
attacked by a determined enemy, that their respective governments had
made every effort to preserve the peace. (Clark, 2012, p. 553)
But, however important the case, one might object that it is unique,
incomparable, unsuitable as the basis for a general argument. One might
further object that World War I is the quintessential case of a war fought
between national armies, led by a tiny elite through highly disciplined
chains of command, and in that respect very different from cases of civil
unrest, rebellion or communal violence, which rely much less on pre-exist-
ing forms of institutionalised hierarchy and order. It is therefore important
to look more systematically at multiple cases, and to look at intrastate
violence in particular, before drawing any conclusions about the respective
roles of structural factors or root causes, on the one hand, and chains of
events that develop a dynamic on their own, on the other.
In the early 1990s, Ted Gurr undertook just such a study in a quest
to identify structural factors that can predict minority group collective
action in its generality. The Minorities at Risk project involved expert
coding of the behaviour of 227 “politicised communal groups” across
90 nations, during the entire period from 1945 to 1989. This huge
and comprehensive data set allowed Gurr to ask questions such as: Are
people more likely to join a collective struggle for rights when these
rights are disrespected? Are groups that face greater disadvantage more
likely to take violent action? The conclusion can briefly be summed up
as ‘yes and no’.
Yes, minority groups that face higher economic or political disadvan-
tage are more likely to mobilise politically. They will raise grievances
more often and initiate various forms of social protest. But no, there is
no direct relationship between the magnitude of a group’s disadvantage
or experiences of discrimination, and the likelihood that this group will
ever be involved in violent rebellion:
4.4 Conclusion
In this chapter and the previous one, we have sought to disrupt the
standard narrative according to which identities and violence (and also
power—but we shall come to that in a moment) exist in a simple linear
relationship. To put it at its simplest, identities (somehow) produce vio-
lence. Identity is productive and violence is produced. Our argument is
that the relationship is much more nuanced, flexible and bi-directional.
Accordingly, in the last chapter we concentrated on how identity is pro-
duced (as well as being productive) and in this chapter we have focused
on how violence is productive (as well as being produced).
There have been three elements to our argument. The first has been to
show how violence re-configures identities by re-configuring the social
practices through which identities can be performed. The reason for this
is to do with the way that violence so radically alters the contingencies
of action. If I am aware that people defined in terms of membership of
another ethnic group (say a Serb) have attacked someone because they
were seen as a member of my ethnic group (say Muslim), can I take the
risk that any other Serb may not also see me as a Muslim and attack me
as such? Even if the probability is (at least initially) fairly low, for safety’s
sake, don’t I have to ignore the fact that this Serb is also a worker, a father,
a punk rocker and many other things besides, and act as if the ethnic
identity is what counts? Because the costs of not taking them as a Serb
and myself as a Muslim and getting it wrong (death) are incomparably
more severe than taking them as a Serb and myself as a Muslim and get-
ting that wrong (embarrassment).
What this example also tells us is that violence doesn’t just change the
identities we use; it closes down the possibilities of social practice and
thereby limits the identities we can enact. Violence is therefore some-
thing that limits us, which takes particular identities that correspond to
one mode of being and freezes them into our only possible ways of being.
The second element of the argument is that one doesn’t need actual
violence to freeze identities. The awareness of violence elsewhere, the
memory of violence past and the anticipation of violence in future can
become almost equally effective. It is important to clarify that this is not
a reversion to the ancient hatreds argument. Rather, the representation of
4 Violence: How Collective Shocks Transform Social Practices 125
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5
Power: The Role of Leadership at
Critical Junctures
a common social category, they are brought to act together on the basis
of common values, interests and goals. They are able to coordinate and
to support each other in reaching those goals. Identities, then, produce
social power.
Therein lies the reason why elites in particular spend so much time in
seeking to shape identities. Those who are in a position to define who we
are, what we value, what we desire and aspire to, and what we must do in
order to realise our aspirations, thereby create a world-making force and
put themselves in a position to wield it (see Reicher & Hopkins, 2001).
This makes the question of how one can make one version of categories
and identities stick, and marginalise all alternatives, a central one for both
theorists and practitioners.
In Chap. 4, our argument was that violence is one such means—and
a dreadfully efficient one. When violence divides people on the basis of
particular social identities, it becomes risky to act on the basis of any
other categories, sometimes even long after the violence has stopped. It
makes alternatives difficult in practice. Therefore, when the group is under
threat, it becomes easier for elites to eliminate dissent and demand that
the entire group rallies around them. Perhaps the most baleful example of
this is the decision of the 10th Congress of the Russian Communist Party
in 1921—in the midst of the civil war—to ban all factions and suppress
any opposition to the leadership. It is worth quoting from Lenin’s open-
ing speech to the Congress on 8th March:
1
Retrieved on 28th June 2016 from https://www.marxists.org/archive/lenin/works/1921/10thcong/
ch01.htm.
5 Power: The Role of Leadership at Critical Junctures 131
So, if it is true that identities are mobilised because they are the basis
of power, it might equally be true that the importance of violence in
producing and freezing identities is tied to the consequences in terms of
consolidating power.
In both of the previous two chapters, our argument has been premised
on the ways in which power—and particularly the power of elites—is
produced through violence and identity. Having shown this, in this chap-
ter we now look at the ways in which elites use their existing power in
order to organise, enable or incite violence, and thereby consolidate their
power for the future. Specifically, we discuss three ways in which leaders
can affect the occurrence of violence and use it for their own political
ends: by directly ordering violence, by avoiding measures to stop violence
or by creating a climate where violence appears unavoidable. While the
first two paths refer to the explicit power of leaders in an institutional
command structure, allowing them to create violent facts by commission
or by omission, the third path is special insofar as it refers to leaders’ sym-
bolic power. That is, it has to do with their capacity to invoke violence as
a plausible scenario and to do so in ways that make the actual occurrence
of violence more likely.
Before starting this discussion, it is important to identify two potential
traps. The first is the replacement of one form of fatalism with another:
to swap the claim that groups can’t help harming each other because it is
in their nature with the claim that leaders can’t help abusing their power
because that is in the nature of power. The second is to go to the oppo-
site extreme and to assume that, rather than being completely predeter-
mined, the exercise of power is completely undetermined, as if leaders
respond to each new set of events from scratch, with no preconceptions
or prior constraints. To avoid both traps, we will follow our discussion
of how leaders can promote violence with a consideration of the ways in
which long-term legacies both facilitate and constrain the ways in which
leaders can act. These histories provide a cumulative and large stock of
cards which leaders can choose to play (or not to play) when dealing with
events in the present. These choices are important, and leaders can take
different paths. But the stock of cards is still limited and so are the paths
down which leaders can take us.
132 Identity, Violence and Power
5.1 R
epressive Power: Making Violence
Happen
When NATO started its bombing campaign against Serbia in March
1999, it led to the longest suspension of public protest against President
Milosevic for years. Far from turning a demoralised public against its
leader—as Western strategists (at least officially) expected—the bombs
actually brought the Serbian people “unity from heaven”, as the New
York Times ironically commented (quoted by Mandić, 2008, p. 25). This
unity did not simply express itself by a suspension of regime-critical col-
lective action in Serbia. On the contrary, Mandić identified an impressive
313 events (rallies, marches, riots, concerts …) during the 11 weeks of
the bombing campaign. Overwhelmingly, these were public expressions
of support for the domestic regime. Most importantly, these supportive
demonstrations were as frequent in municipalities where oppositional
parties prevailed as elsewhere. As Mandić (2008, p. 36) puts it: “The war,
it seems, suspended internal divisions and encouraged unified support
for the state, at least provisionally”. After this episode, which was the
only time during the 1990s when the war was actually fought on the ter-
ritory of Serbia proper, it took months before the opposition could again
organise effective mobilisations against the regime. Milosevic remained
in power until October 2000, benefiting from the one last moratorium
on challenges to his weakened regime which had been brought about by
the NATO intervention.
The Serbian public’s reaction to NATO bombings is far from an excep-
tion. As early as 1964, Nelson Polsby gathered anecdotal evidence for so-
called rally effects in the USA. He concluded that, in times of war, conflict
and crisis, popular responses to the president are invariably favourable,
“regardless of the wisdom of the policies he pursued” (p. 25). Soon, this
claim was to be backed up by more systematic data (e.g., Mueller, 1970).
In 1978, Kernell showed how temporal fluctuations in US presidential
popularity from Truman to Nixon were systematically structured, among
other factors, by the wars the nation had fought. War entry typically pro-
voked substantive short-term increases in the president’s popularity—but
then this support progressively declined due to the negative effects of
mounting war fatalities on public support.
5 Power: The Role of Leadership at Critical Junctures 133
For decades, these findings set the benchmark for the way social sci-
entists looked at rally effects. However, in 2001, the field was shaken by
the work of Baker and Oneal (2001). Using a broader set of variables
and more flexible techniques of data analyses, they dismissed the popu-
lar notion of invariable, spontaneous and almost mechanical rally effects
when a nation goes to war. Instead, they pointed to the critical impor-
tance of political communication. Rally effects are likely when the US
government actively prosecuted a foreign military campaign and when
presidential statements and/or prominent media coverage drew attention
to and supported the conflict.
Analyses of rally effects in the UK, conducted by Lai and Reiter (2005),
similarly suggested that the variability of public reactions to international
crises may have been strongly under-estimated. While these authors did
find substantial rally effects for both the Falkland and Gulf wars, they
failed to do so for the Korean, Suez and Kosovo wars, as well as for the
generality of non-violent crises in which Britain was involved. These find-
ings led Lai and Reiter to conclude that “rallies seem most likely and larg-
est after the nation has been clearly attacked or challenged and when vital
national values are at stake, although admittedly it is difficult to delineate
uncontroversially what is and is not the national interest” (p. 266). Their
conclusion therefore leaves open the key question of when ‘the national
interest’ is perceived to be under threat (and why support for the nation’s
leadership is perceived as an appropriate means of containing the threat).
In sum, the political pay-offs of conflict are not as reliable or as durable
as once thought. But nor are they negligible. With astute communication,
the outbreak of war can boost internal political support for two to three
months (e.g., Lai & Reiter, 2005). Whether that pay-off is sufficient is a
highly political question. A year after NATO bombed Serbia, Milosevic
was out of power, ending his days in a prison cell in The Hague. Did
the few months breathing space he was accorded in 2000 make any dif-
ference to his regime? Equally, did the few months after the invasion of
Iraq in 2003, in which the British public rallied around Tony Blair (as we
shall discuss in more detail in Chap. 8), count for anything compared to
the years of public outcry which eventually forced him to resign in 2007?
A tentative answer is that these periods, as fleeting as they might be,
are of particular importance because they provide leaders with formidable
134 Identity, Violence and Power
windows of opportunity to create new and irreversible facts, and that these
windows are of particular importance at times of social and political flux. In
a stable period, then, three months support for a lifetime of political exile
might seem a poor bargain. But as old regimes are disintegrating and new
entities are coming into being, a short time may be sufficient to alter the
course of history. Then, the rally effects of war may prove critical in allow-
ing political elites to create new social facts that pursue their own agenda.
In the Serbian case, Gagnon (2004) has argued that the different wars it
had been involved in during the 1990s bought the elite the time that they
needed in order to convert their privileged party position in a collapsing
socialist state to a privileged economic position in an emergent capitalist
state. In such a period of rapid transition, by the time the rally effects had
begun to fade, the old apparatchiks had emerged as the new entrepreneurs.
Just as short-term rally effects can prove valuable in times of transi-
tion, it is arguable that they are equally valuable in times of trouble.
That is, weakened leaders might be especially tempted to deliberately use
armed conflict to divert attention from their bad handling of state affairs,
increase their popularity, marginalise their opponents and generally
restore their chances of remaining in power. This diversionary war hypoth-
esis has received considerable attention among analysts of international
relations. Attempts to test the hypothesis have produced mixed findings,
however. While single cases can be found in which domestic political
motives seem to explain a rush to war, systematic comparative studies
suggest either that the magnitude of internal problems is unrelated to the
likelihood that a state will go to war (Levy, 1989, 1998), or that there is
a relationship, but it has little to do with a motivation to divert public
attention (Gleditsch, Salehyan, & Schultz, 2008).
However, there is one notable exception to this general (lack of ) pat-
tern: time-series analyses focusing on the USA have shown that the coun-
try did go to war significantly more often in periods where the incumbent
administration was economically unsuccessful or when the president was
losing popular support in public opinion polls (James & Oneal, 1991;
Ostrom & Job, 1986).
As disappointing as the lack of more consistent findings might be,
there are a series of rather simple reasons why seeking domestic support
through foreign war is an implausible phenomenon within the current
5 Power: The Role of Leadership at Critical Junctures 135
interstate system. Given that positive rally effects are generally short-lived
and that they are generally overtaken by the negative impact of mounting
casualties, going to war against another state is only likely to bring very
short-lived political rewards to the elite, except when a rapid and suc-
cessful campaign can be expected. But very few states have the means to
attack another and count on a quick military victory, or have the political
and diplomatic resources to ensure that an attack will not provoke inter-
national sanctions or even military intervention against them.
If one adds to this the fact that even short-term rally effects are unlikely
in regimes whose leaders either have not been legitimated by general elec-
tions (Gelpi, 1997) or which are facing strong separatist tendencies (due
to the fact that much of the population may not see the conflict as their
own—see Chap. 8), then the range of state governments that are in a
position to expect rewards from diversionary interstate warfare becomes
remarkably small. The USA might be democratic, united and, above all,
militarily strong enough to be in that position, but few others are.
At this point it is worth emphasising that the arguments do not apply to
the diversionary war hypothesis in general, but specifically to diversionary
foreign wars. It is ironic, then, that most investigations of the hypothesis
are limited to such cases. One exception to this is the work of Tir and
Jasinski (2008). They have pointed out a number of good reasons why
weakened leaders might be much more tempted to direct diversionary vio-
lence against minority groups within a country, rather than against other
countries. First, there is generally no shortage of potential targets. Virtually
every country in the world has minorities and can invoke history to con-
stitute that group as a current threat of some sort. Ethnic primordialists
would probably agree with the statement that ethnic diversity and past
ethnic conflict are ubiquitous realities across all nations. Constructivists
might go even further and claim that the national ‘stock’ has no absolutely
defined boundaries, which implies that the range of groups in a nation is
theoretically infinite. All one has to do is invoke some arbitrary but share-
able marker (dress, accent, appearance ...) in order to identify a group as
such. Even the dullest of governments should have the wit to single out
some minority within the nation (in our current globalised world, immi-
grants always provide a handy candidate) and to associate them with some
kind of negatively laden collective experience within the nation.
136 Identity, Violence and Power
5.2 S
tructural Power: Letting Violence
Happen
The use of overt state force against minority groups is the most direct
but not the only way in which calculations and decisions by state offi-
cials impact the occurrence of violence against minorities. Sometimes the
decision not to act can be just as consequential as the decision to act. The
critical question is not only to know when those who control repressive
138 Identity, Violence and Power
forces will actively intervene to create violence, but also when they will let
violence develop by choosing not to intervene in order to stop it. Studies
of so-called ethnic riots illustrate this point.
These riots are generally thought of as spontaneous outbursts of vio-
lence, fuelled by popular anger. When violent mobs appear to spontane-
ously attack, injure and kill members of different ethnic groups, this is
often used as unarguable evidence for deeply ingrained ethnic resent-
ments which lie at the base of collective violence. Certainly, it is largely
because ethnic riots are interpreted in this way that they create and freeze
ethnic oppositions for the long term. How could people continue to
engage with neighbours of different ethnicity once these people have
shown their ‘true colours’ by participating in bloody riots?
However, such a perspective overlooks three important aspects of riot-
ing. The first is simply that bloody riots are very rarely spontaneous, even
if described as such. Rioting, like any collective action that requires a
tight synchronisation of the behaviours of many individuals, presupposes
some degree of coordination and common background knowledge (e.g.,
‘they have committed an outrage against us’, ‘they have attacked us’)—
which begs the question of where that knowledge comes from and pro-
vides space for it to be manipulated.
Second, the application of an ethnic frame to a riot often occurs after
the event, and not during it. As Ramanathapillai (2006) has shown
with anti-Tamil riots in Sri Lanka, complex and chaotic events are ret-
rospectively simplified and structured throughout politicised memories:
“Particular memories are selected, kept alive, and retold as a collective
way of understanding and relating the experience (…) For example, at
the time of the riots the stories of Sinhalese atrocities were widely told,
yet the stories of Sinhalese protecting Tamils were not retold in Tamil
political narratives” (p. 4).
Third, and perhaps most critically, the assumed relationship between
the intensity of popular anger and degree of violence in ethnic riots is
largely unfounded. Whether people are harmed in such riots—and, if so,
how many—rarely depends on the size or determination of the crowd
itself. It is generally much more a function of how state forces manage
the situation. Such is the conclusion reached by Wilkinson (2007) after
extensive research into ethnic riots in many historic and contemporary
5 Power: The Role of Leadership at Critical Junctures 139
The bulk of Wilkinson’s analytic effort then goes into disentangling the
relative contributions of ‘will’ and ‘capacity’ in the governments that
control repressive forces, with a focus on the states of twentieth-century
India. A first set of analyses led the author to rule out ‘capacity’ as a criti-
cal variable in this context:
half as high in contexts split into multiple groups than in those split more
cleanly into two groups. Together, these various findings suggest politi-
cians were much more easily tempted to let ethnic violence occur when
the resulting ethnic divisions could bring them victory in upcoming elec-
tions. Conversely, they were more motivated to suppress potential vio-
lence when electoral success was contingent upon building cross-ethnic
coalitions with smaller minority parties.
5.3 S
ymbolic Power: Inciting Others to Make
Violence Happen
There is a third way in which those who have (or contend for) political
power can influence the occurrence of collective violence. In addition to
deciding whether or not to order violence, or whether or not to let it hap-
pen, in their daily business they also face a seemingly much more trivial,
but sometimes just as consequential, choice: whether to invoke violence
or not. On 28 June 1989, Slobodan Milosevic chose ‘invoke’:
The lack of unity and betrayal in Kosovo will continue to follow the Serbian
people like an evil fate through the whole of its history (…) Six centuries
later, now, we are being again engaged in battles and are facing battles.
They are not armed battles, although such things cannot be excluded yet.
However, regardless of what kind of battles they are, they cannot be won
without resolve, bravery, and sacrifice, without the noble qualities that
were present here in the field of Kosovo in the days past. (Slobodan
Milosevic, 28 June 1989)
speech that they all heard together, the reason why their people had suf-
fered defeat 600 years ago was that there had been traitors in their midst.
The reason why they had to stand together now—literally and metaphor-
ically—was that the ‘lack of unity and betrayal’ that once brought an ‘evil
fate’ to them could under no circumstances be tolerated again.
United to face whom? Milosevic did not name current enemies, but in
the fourteenth century these had been foreign invaders of Muslim faith.
The medieval battle provides the context and pretext to refer to current
battles—and to specify that armed battles “cannot be excluded yet”. The
statement that “regardless of what kind of battles they are, they cannot
be won without resolve, bravery, and sacrifice” clearly signifies that Serbs
are expected to be prepared for all kinds of battles. Two years after the
speech, Serbs were fighting in Croatia against Croatian Catholics, the fol-
lowing year they were fighting in Bosnia against Bosnian Muslims and by
the end of the decade in Kosovo against Albanian Muslims. Milosevic’s
sinister prophecy had materialised more fully than the deepest pessimists
could have imagined in 1989. Would that have come to pass had there
not been a million Serbs—and beyond them, millions of people across
Yugoslavia and further afield—to hear the prophecy?
What we are saying here is that Milosevic was in the game of gen-
erating a ‘self-fulfilling prophecy’—a term initially coined by Merton
(1948), which he himself labelled the ‘Thomas theorem’, in homage to
early twentieth-century sociologist William I. Thomas: “If men define
situations as real, they are real in their consequences”. The first exam-
ple given by Merton to illustrate the theorem remains as timely in the
early twenty-first century as it was in the mid-twentieth century: a bank
becomes insolvent when its customers believe it is insolvent. Or, to be
more precise, insolvency results when a critical mass of customers does
what would be rational if the belief were to be true: they withdraw their
money from the bank. This behaviour will then lead others to believe that
the bank faces liquidity problems—or that it might be led to face them if
other people continue to behave this way—and hence to withdraw their
own money. At a certain point the assumption that the bank faces some
problems becomes true (no matter how false it might have been before).
Rumours can thereby create the realities they invoke, provided they
reach a critical mass of people and that there is a clear rationale for each
142 Identity, Violence and Power
of them to act as if the belief was true. Whenever rumours do not arise
by chance or accident, but because they serve the prophet’s interests, self-
fulfilling prophecies can be seen as a process of effective mass manipula-
tion. In part, this effectiveness is due to the fact that it is hard to denounce
claims which seem to be proven true by the course of events:
the Oslo agreement on 26–27 September. This figure would go into free
fall over the following days.
On 2nd October it had dropped already to 41 %. What had hap-
pened during the five days in between? On 28 September, Ariel Sharon,
then leader of the conservative opposition, visited the Temple Mount
in Jerusalem—a sacred site in both Muslim and Jewish traditions—and
provoked fury among Palestinian onlookers. Demonstrators started
throwing stones. The Israeli security forces responded forcefully. In
the following four days, riots took the lives of 45 people. Now the
political narrative of aggressive Palestinians could be supplemented
and seemingly confirmed by images of violent crowds. The notion
that Palestinians want to make war on Israel rather than make peace
appeared to be validated by the events. By 2002, after two years of vio-
lence, the proportion of Israeli Jews who still supported the Oslo peace
process had fallen to a mere 25 %.
power is embedded into multiple layers of history that span the years, the
decades and even the centuries.
Our first example concerns the political climate surrounding the pol-
icy that, arguably, has had the most far-reaching implications for the cur-
rent world order: the ‘war on terror’ led by successive US presidents. The
obvious turning point, which generated public support for this war, was
the attack on New York’s twin towers on 9/11/2001. For many, the events
of that day were quite sufficient to generate martial policies over the ensu-
ing years. But would these events have had quite so quick and so clear
an impact on US society and US policy had they not served to confirm
anxious expectations nourished well before?
In a public opinion poll conducted in 1986, 80 % of US citizens consid-
ered the danger of terrorism as ‘extreme’, and terrorism came out as people’s
prime concern (Zulaika, 2003). This was not only well before 9/11 but also
before the major terrorist incidents that preceded it—the bombing of the
World Trade Centre in 1993 and the Oklahoma bombing of 1995. Indeed,
only 17 people had been killed in terrorist attacks across the entire USA
over the previous five years compared to the approximately 150,000 people
who had been killed through non-terrorist violence over the same period.
To feed this concern, no less than 1322 books on terrorism were published
in the USA between 1989 and 1992 according to Zulaika (2003)—again,
before any major terrorist incident had taken place.
These figures illustrate that a ‘terrorist frame’ was highly available to
the US public long before mass terrorism actually struck the country. The
2001 attacks did not create this frame, but they validated it in the most
dramatic way. The subsequent funerals, remembrance ceremonies and
collective mourning then provided numerous opportunities to rehearse
the new patriotic script.
The rest of the story is well known: during the last months of 2001,
George Bush benefited from an outstanding rally effect, and his admin-
istration seized the opportunity to frame subsequent military campaigns
overseas, and restrictions of civil rights at home, as part of the ‘war on
terror’. When Bush announced the start of the war against Iraq to the
US public on 18 March 2003, he was able to refer to terrorism and so-
called terror states as inescapable realities: “The cause of peace requires
all free nations to recognize new and undeniable realities (…) a policy of
5 Power: The Role of Leadership at Critical Junctures 145
The third example takes us much further back into the past, to the
European medieval societies of the twelfth and thirteenth centuries.
Moore (2007) has identified this as a time when sporadic acts of perse-
cution were transformed into mechanisms that were a matter of policy,
were made systematic and became universally available. It was also a time
when a set of ideological justifications for persecution were developed.
In the process, the practice of persecution became largely independent
from the specific characteristics of any given targeted group, or from the
particular danger they were supposed to represent. The persecuting soci-
ety was born, with the “creation (…) of a single account of the victim
as enemy of God and society, which might be transferred at will to any
object, either as a class of persons already existing, such as Jews, whom
might seem desirable or convenient to persecute, or a new one, such as
sodomites or witches, which by an act of classification might be invented
for the purpose” (p. 160).
If it is independent of the characteristics of the victims, the phenomenon
has to be related rather to the motives of the persecutors and/or to the
functioning of society at large. The core of Moore’s argument is precisely
that the persecuting society came into being at the same point in time as
new elite groups arose, and sought to strengthen their power. It emerged
in a historic transition period, during which the relationships between
states and subjects were being redefined, and emerging bureaucracies con-
trolled ever more domains of people’s lives ever more closely. These societal
changes generated the need to justify more intrusive centralised powers, at
the same time as they generated a new class of people ready to do the job:
are more immediately intelligible and familiar will always start with an
advantage.
In sum, past legacies should be seen as part and parcel of the active
exercise of power. History does not entomb us, it does not condemn
us to repeating past mistakes, it does not substitute for agency. Rather,
invoking history is one of the principal ways in which people exercise
their agency.
5.5 Conclusion
In much analysis, antagonisms, hatreds and violence between people are
treated as errors, the result of inherent biases over which we have no
control, something we do not actively intend. Sometimes those biases
are attributed to the personalities of particular individuals, sometimes
to aspects of the psyche which we all have in common, sometimes to
histories we cannot escape. There is a plethora of such approaches for
which the worst of our actions derive from a fatal flaw in the human
condition—something we may all regret but for which no one can be
held accountable.
This chapter has challenged that viewpoint. We have started from the
premise that violence doesn’t ‘just happen’. It is made to happen. And we
look at the various ways in which elites can deliberately, knowingly and
systematically act to produce violence. Most directly, those who control
the state apparatus can use state forces to instigate violence, particularly
against internal minorities. Less directly, they can prevent state forces
from intervening when members of the majority take it upon them-
selves to attack the minority—thus both sending a signal that violence
is deemed permissible and making the expression of violence practically
possible. Least directly, leaders can incite the population to violence both
by words and acts—and most effectively by combining the two. That is,
certain groups can be portrayed as a threat and then provoked to anger
so as to create a consonance between discourse and reality. In laying out
these three paths to violence, we don’t suggest any priority between them
or indeed that in practice they can be clearly separated out. For instance
(as we will see in the case of India which forms the focus of the next chap-
5 Power: The Role of Leadership at Critical Junctures 149
ter), one may both instigate violence in the population and then ensure
that the police stand by and let pogroms proceed.
This chapter has also addressed the tricky and nuanced issue of the
relevance of the past to the present—seeking to navigate the narrow
channel between historical determinism (past events are recapitulated
in the present) and historical amnesia (past events are irrelevant to the
present). Our argument has been that the past is important insofar
as it is made relevant to the present. This isn’t automatic: which past
events are made relevant and how they are interpreted is an active
choice.
So now, we have arrived full circle. Going backwards from the end
we return to the start of our argument: leaders use their power to create
violence because violence is a particularly effective way of freezing people
into identities, and because the construction of identity is the source of
political authority and power. We have chosen to outline our argument
in a particular order, starting with identity, then looking at violence and
finishing with power. But that is an analytic choice. In fact there is no
starting point or end point to the process. One could enter or leave at
any point, and each term is both input and output to the others. Or
at least that is true in principle. In different societies at different times,
identities will be more or less set or fluid, violence will be more or less
endemic, the power of elites will be more or less established. Equally,
then, the concrete political opportunities, pay-offs and risks associated
with mobilising along ethnic or cultural lines—and their perception by
elite groups—vary across time and place. This means that, if we want to
study them, we need to take context seriously and to examine the relevant
processes by reference to specific contexts.
Our conclusions, then, are not just theoretical but methodological as
well. We have got just about as far as we can by taking a general com-
parative approach to the analysis. To progress further we need to look
at particular cases and to develop new methods for the analysis of case
histories, which concentrate on critical junctures where the world is in
flux and can develop along several radically opposed paths. We need
to examine the role of violence in determining which path is taken.
We also need to examine the role of leadership in these processes. The
third part of the book will now be devoted to three such case studies,
150 Identity, Violence and Power
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Part III
Case Studies
6
Riots, Religion and the Mobilisation
of Communal Hatred in India
(with-Rakshi Rath)
enemies and its traitors. This time, it was in a speech given in Mumbai
by the political leader of the BJP and the then Chief Minister of Gujarat,
Narendra Modi. This speech was given shortly after the city had become
the theatre of a series of train bombings on 11 July 2006 that left 189
people dead and several injured (for an account of the bombings, see Sayed &
Hakim, 2016).1 At one point in the speech, Modi asserted how he was
defeating Islamic terrorism and then quoted an anecdote comparing the
states of Gujarat and Assam, both with ‘Muslim’ neighbours (Pakistan and
Bangladesh), the former run by Modi and the latter by a Congress-led
coalition. He recalled his words to a local villager at a rally in Assam:
1
See http://www.thehindu.com/news/cities/mumbai/all-you-need-to-know-about-711/arti-
cle7640887.ece.
158 Identity, Violence and Power
and the speech function within it. We shall then broaden our focus and
show how the very opposition between Hindus and Muslims so often
portrayed as timeless, natural and inevitable is in fact none of these but
rather arises out of and draws upon specific struggles rooted in India’s
colonial past.
6.1 T
he Contemporary Scene: Politics
and Violence in Gujarat
In order to understand the role of religious violence and Hindu national-
ism in contemporary Indian society, it is critical to understand Modi’s
and BJP’s stronghold of Gujarat. And in order to understand the political
and social context in Gujarat, it is critical to understand the February
2002 riots.
In January 2001, the parliament of the VHP declared that the con-
struction of a temple would begin on 15 March 2002 on a highly con-
tested location in the Northern Indian city of Ayodhya. This had been
the site of the sixteenth-century Babri mosque, but, for the nationalists,
the mosque itself was built on an earlier Hindu sacred site, birthplace of
the god Ram. In 1992, a crowd of Hindu religious activists (kar sevaks)
had stormed the site and destroyed the mosque. The 2001 declaration
started a process whereby the VHP sought to mobilise kar sevaks once
more, this time to prepare the ground for a new building (International
Initiative for Justice in Gujarat, 2003).
On the 27 February 2002, one such group of volunteers was returning
home to Gujarat on the Sabarmati Express train. At Godhra station they
got into an altercation with Muslim tea vendors. Shortly after, the train
was brought to a halt outside the station and two train carriages were
set on fire. Somewhere in the region of 60 kar sevaks died. The details of
the event are highly controversial (see Nussbaum, 2007), but for Hindu
nationalists, the fire was deliberately started by a Muslim crowd.2
Over the following four days, there were attacks on Muslims in
19 districts of Gujarat. According to official figures 762 people were
killed. Other estimates put the toll considerably higher, in the region of
2000–3000. Well over 100,000 people were displaced (Human Rights
Watch, 2002; International Initiative for Justice in Gujarat, 2003). The
violence was swift and extreme. Women-pregnant women in particular-
far from being spared, seemed to have been deliberately targeted (Amnesty
International, 2005; Human Rights Watch, 2003; Sarkar, 2002).
While most narratives present the Gujarat riots of 2002 as a response
to the train burning, there is evidence that much had been prepared in
advance. The Human Rights Watch report is blunt in its summary:
The report then goes on to document the role of the police and of work-
ers and officials from Hindu nationalist organisations in various acts of
violence, such as the murder of the former member of parliament Ehsan
Jafri and some 64 others in Gulbarg Society, a Muslim neighbourhood of
Gujarat’s largest city, Ahmedabad. There is also evidence which points to
the organisation of violence prior to the 27 February. The attackers had
stockpiled weapons such as Liquefied Petroleum Gas cylinders and were
well resourced despite a general shortage. Muslim homes and Muslim
organisations had been marked out in advance (and in some areas, Hindu
houses were marked out with saffron symbols so as to be left alone).
The VHP made clear that they had lists of local Muslims and, in some
places, announced that certain areas would ‘burn’ months before they
did (Human Rights Watch, 2002; International Initiative for Justice in
Gujarat, 2003).
The nationalistic agitation that culminated in the Gujarat riots in
2002 was part of a broader movement that had shaken India over the
previous two decades and had shifted the domestic balance of power.
From the 1980s onwards, Hindu nationalist organisations like VHP
160 Identity, Violence and Power
and BJP attracted increasing support. Notably, the BJP rose from under
8 % of the national vote in 1984 to over 25 % in 1998. Moreover,
from 1998 to 2004, they were in power at the centre. Additionally,
the BJP was in power or else shared power in 14 different Indian states
including, significantly, Uttar Pradesh (the site of Ayodhya) in 1992
and Gujarat (the site of Godhra) in 2002. Alongside the rise of BJP
and allied organisations, there was a rise in communal violence: the
Muslim death toll of the 1980s was quadruple than that of the 1970s
(Ludden, 1996).
There are a number of explanations for the rise of BJP influence—and
Hindu nationalist influence more generally. One factor seems to have
been to do with changes in the political system which in turn have to
do with broader social changes. Ludden (1996) suggests that the old sys-
tem of political patronage, whereby local ‘headmen’ could deliver blocks
of votes to the Congress party, began to break down. In this context,
new ways of mobilising came to the fore, including attempts to mobilise
groups on an ethnic basis. Not only did this provide a space for the BJP,
VHP and others, but it also created a temptation for Congress and others
to act likewise. The stage was set for what has been called a ‘competi-
tive populism’, whereby different parties sought popular support through
street politics. To invoke Ludden again:
period 1999–2002 and was in danger of losing the state election due for
2003. Wilkinson concludes that:
At least some on the right seem to have calculated that communal tensions
and violence would reap electoral dividends for the BJP in the forthcoming
state elections. The result was that the state administration was at worst
highly partisan and at best inexcusably hesitant in preventing anti-minority
violence and in its willingness to call in central troops and paramilitary
forces to do the job for them. (2007, p. 19)
In the Gujarat state elections shortly after the riots, which beforehand
were thought to be hanging on a knife edge, the BJP swept the board.
Overall, they won 126 seats with 49.8 % of the vote as against the
Congress Party, which won only 51 seats with 39.3 % of the vote. What
is more, a district by district breakdown of the vote shows that the BJP
fared better in areas where there had been riots. As Kumar (2003) con-
cludes, “the BJP may accept it or not, but the landslide victory for the
party in constituencies affected by the communal riots do suggest that
the polarisation between the Muslim and the Muslim voters did work
largely in favour of the BJP” (p. 272).
Two simple points emerge from this description of the Gujarat con-
text. The one is that antipathy is mobilised by portraying certain groups
(notably Muslims) as a dangerous enemy. This has been a characteristic of
Hindu nationalist organisations since their inception (Tambiah, 1996).
The other point is that antipathy is mobilised in order to gain politi-
cal advantage—polarising communities and validating the nationalists as
defenders of embattled Hindus. But these conclusions raise further ques-
tions. How precisely is it that certain others are constituted as a dangerous
enemy? When and why will this lead people to hate and destroy—and just
why should invoking such antipathies be a means of garnering support?
In order to move forward on these matters, let us turn now from a gen-
eral account of twenty-first-century Hindu nationalism to an analysis of
Hindu nationalist agitational materials. Specifically, let us look first at the
VHP posters at the Magh Mela and then consider the key speech given
by Modi just after the 2006 train bombings in Mumbai.
162 Identity, Violence and Power
6.2 H
ow to Mobilise Intergroup Antagonism:
An Analysis of VHP Posters
Amongst the set of 16 posters we came across in the VHP tent, it was pos-
sible to distinguish a number of different types. Let us now consider these
in some detail, both how they differ and also how they work together in
telling an overall story (see Rath, 2016).
The first type of poster (of which there is just one example) portrays
India as a sacred Hindu territory. The poster depicts the God Krishna,
also known as the divine cowherd, emerging from the Himalayas into
an idealised landscape of rivers and plains. A headline proclaims that
‘the essence of India is the cow (or gau)’.3 The landscape is then made
up of multiple holy sites all of which are labelled with derivations of the
word ‘Gau’. Some of these sites are generic, like Gopuram, the intricately
carved towers at the entrance of South Indian temples. Some are spe-
cific places like the river Godavari which flows into the Bay of Bengal. A
speech bubble from Krishna draws the elements together. It reads, “the
term ‘gau’ is a symbol of sanctity, greatness and compassion in India. That
is why so many holy places in India start with the term ‘gau’.”
In this way, India is conflated with ‘Hindu’, and Indianness is conflated
with Hinduness (Hindutva). Certain groups are, by commission, sub-
sumed into the fold—thus, there is an image of the ‘Gautama’ Buddha
in the poster which represents Buddhism as part of Hinduism. Other
groups, notably Muslims and Christians, are excluded by omission.
In addition, Hindu India is represented as inherently virtuous. It
is a sacred space, a benign and bountiful space and a compassionate
space. Anything toxic must therefore be an imposition from the out-
side. Moreover, like desecrating a temple, those who threaten the land are
responsible for violating the sacred and destroying a site of virtue.
The second type of poster (of which there are three examples) depicts a
threat to India through images of violence done to the cow. In one poster,
the focus is on the threat itself. A cow is depicted tethered to a post, being
sprayed with scalding water. The headline reads, ‘Animals tortured before
clearly taking pleasure in what they do. The one says to the other, “She’s
the mother of the Hindus.” The headline denotes that this is meant as
a parable. It reads simply, “In the land of Gopal …” (another word for
Krishna, derived from Gau). The word ‘mother-fucker’ has been scrawled
as graffiti across the arms of the two butchers.
The other poster also depicts two Muslims standing over the prone
body of a cow—its legs bound and its throat slit. This time, though, one
of the figures (an attractive young boy) expresses concern, “Father, if it’s
really necessary to slaughter her, please speed it up. Look how the poor
thing is writhing in pain. I feel for her and her pain.” The father, a gross
figure with a large paunch standing with a bloodied machete in his hand,
replies, “Fool, stop talking like an infidel. If I do not torture her before
I kill her then, according to Islam, her meat would become haraam (for-
bidden) instead of halaal (edible).” A graffiti artist has again scrawled the
word ‘mother-fucker’ across his paunch.
In these posters, a peaceful, nurturant and virtuous India is beset by
the lascivious, sadistic Muslim other. Moreover, such sadism is not inci-
dental or accidental. It inheres in the very nature of Muslim culture.
Those who do not torture willingly and eagerly are not true Muslims.
This takes us to a fourth type of poster (of which, again, there is just one
example) which uses the historical figure of Shivaji to depict how enemies
should be treated. Shivaji was a seventeenth-century ruler from the cen-
tral Indian state of Maharashtra, who played a key part in the Hindu
nationalist imagination. He is represented as “a zealous Hindu warrior
fighting Muslim demons to create a Hindu nation-state” (Davis, 2004,
p. 1047), and his memory is sufficiently sacred that the translator of a
book (Laine, 2003) which simply reported historical controversies about
Shivaji’s parentage was attacked and publicly humiliated by a group of
Shiv Sena activists (a particularly militant Hindu nationalist grouping
whose name means ‘Army of Shivaji’).
In the poster, Shivaji stands between a cow and a Muslim butcher.
With his sword he slices off the butcher’s arm. Massive script at the top
of the poster proclaims, “Cow-killer deserves to be slain”. Lest anyone
misses the historical reference, the rest of the script reads, “Brave founder
of the Hindu kingdom, who chopped off the arm of the cow-murderer
butcher”. Note how, in contrast to the sadistic violence of Muslims,
6 Riots, Religion and the Mobilisation of Communal Hatred... 165
Shivaji’s violent act is depicted both as justified (the butcher deserves his
fate) and as positive (it is brave).
Putting together the various elements that we have encountered thus far,
they constitute a powerful and coherent narrative which weaves together
many of the historical threads in Hindu nationalist thought. The starting
point is a definition of the in-group in terms of Hindu nationhood. This
then leads to multiple acts of exclusion: those who are either non-Indian
or non-Hindu are constituted as an out-group. Muslims become strang-
ers in their own land. Next, these others are depicted not only as alien
but also as a serious threat. Because of their inherently vicious nature,
they are driven to destroy the well-being and indeed the very identity of
Hindu India.
We have seen how the Hindu Indian in-group is described verbally
in terms of sanctity and compassion. Equally, in images, there is a con-
trast between the way that outsiders (specifically Muslims) are depicted
as gross, salacious, physically repulsive and the way that Indians are por-
trayed as modest, ascetic and trim of body. In this way, the destruction
of such outsiders can be seen not merely as an act of self-defence but as
an act in defence of virtue. Violence is not just motivated (we must hate
them because they harm us) but justified (and by destroying them, we are
doing a good thing).
At first pass, it might seem paradoxical and contradictory to have a
series of posters in which, on the one hand, Hindus are defined in terms
of compassion and peacefulness, but, on the other, in which they are
enjoined to kill Muslims. In the context of the entire logic, however,
these two things are not contradictory. To the contrary, they actually
entail each other. Drawing a narrow definition of in-group boundaries,
thereby excluding sections of the population as out-groups, constituting
these out-groups as a threat and constituting the in-group as virtuous:
together these various elements lead irresistibly towards another, inter-
group antipathy and violence (see Reicher, Haslam, & Rath, 2008). They
flesh out the ‘how’ of mobilising intergroup hatred.
But there is something more. A fifth type of poster depicts another actor
in the drama. This is the Congress Party and the state that they created
after independence in 1947. There are six of these posters. Sometimes
Congress is represented on its own. In one instance, the symbols of the
166 Identity, Violence and Power
how, here, the contrast between the venal other and the virtuous Hindu
is particularly explicit).
Thus, as well as showing us how intergroup hatred is mobilised, this
analysis of VHP posters goes some way to showing us why. Why, that
is, should invoking a communal threat be a means of garnering political
support? The important point here is that by identifying a threat and
proposing a response to that threat, a claim can be made to acting in the
interests of the group and hence deserving to represent the group (see
Haslam, Reicher, & Platow, 2011 for an analysis of how being seen to ‘act
for the group’ is critical to effective leadership). But, equally importantly,
by identifying a threat which ones rivals do not identify or counter, one
can claim that they are not acting in the interests of the group and hence
do not deserve to represent it. In many ways the use of ‘threat’ discourse
is as much, if not more, about disqualifying rival contenders to influence
as it is about achieving one’s own influence. It is about demobilisation as
much as mobilisation.
This might seem a strange claim to make about an organisation like
the VHP which is not a political party, which does not stand for elections
and which does not have leaders who personally need votes to achieve
office. So, to investigate in more detail the ‘why’ of mobilising inter-
group antagonism and to show how this can be used to bolster one’s
political influence, let us shift source from the VHP to the BJP politician
Narendra Modi and let us also shift modality from poster to speech.
6.3 W
hy to Mobilise Intergroup Antagonism:
An Analysis of a Modi’s Speech
While attending the Dharm Sansad (religious parliament) of the VHP in
2008, we were handed a number of written documents and heard many
speeches. We were also given a video containing just one speech—origi-
nally delivered by Modi (then the Chief Minister of Gujarat, since 2014,
Prime Minister of India) on 17 July 2006 at Shanmukhanand Hall,
Mumbai. The written text and speeches included a set of proposals from
the President of the VHP, Ashok Singhal, on ‘Reinstating the Hindu
168 Identity, Violence and Power
nation’, ‘Hindu Unity’ and ‘Societal health and fitness’; Praveen Togadia,
General Secretary of the VHP, made a call to action and Kamlesh Bharti
of the Matrushakti (Motherpower) spoke about the perils facing Hindu
mothers. The only contribution by a party politician was Modi’s post-
Mumbai speech, ‘a challenge to terrorism’.4
The first thing to note is that all the speeches, Modi’s included, confirm
what our analysis of the VHP posters told us about the ‘how’ of mobilis-
ing antagonism. That is, they contain the self-same elements which build
up to the advocacy of violence as a defence of virtue. India is portrayed
as a virtuous Hindu space under grievous threat from many corners, but
particularly from a dangerous Muslim foe.
What distinguishes Modi is that his arguments are somewhat more
coded, using terms which are intelligible to an in-group audience but
which provide him with ‘deniability’ if accused of fomenting violence.
For a politician who may need to enter into coalitions in domestic poli-
tics and into alliances in international politics, this is critical (cf. Jaffrelot,
2013; Wilkinson, 2007).
Thus, for instance, where others declare that “This is Bharat (India)—a
Hindu Nation and it will remain a Hindu nation”, Modi states more
obliquely:
I, today, on the soil of Mumbai, have come with a very heavy heart. I can-
not imagine why, in a country like India, the innocent citizens of India are
thrown into the throes of death. What is the fault of those youth? What is
the fault of those mothers and sisters? Someone’s brother is snatched away,
someone’s beloved son is snatched away. A sister’s sindoor is wiped away.
The crucial word here is ‘sindoor’—the vermillion spot worn on the fore-
head uniquely by married Hindu women. Thus, Modi appears to talk
in inclusive terms about the ‘innocent citizens of India’ and in generic
terms about the mothers, sisters, brothers and sons of India. However, in
speaking of a sister’s sindoor, he indicates that his references to an Indian
people are limited to those who are also Hindu.
Equally, other speakers are quite open in declaring that Muslims are
a dangerous threat to the Hindu nation. Thus, Kamlesh Bharti of the
women’s ‘Motherpower’ (Matrushakti) wing of the VHP raises the spec-
tre of demographic domination through conversion and intermarriage.
She declares that if a Hindu woman marries a Muslim man, “her chil-
dren will become Muslims, and they will be known as enemies of our
Hindu nation”. Modi is also clear about threats to the Hindu nation. He
emphasises that as the Mumbai attacks demonstrate, there are threats to
life and limb. There are also threats to the economy, and the drugs trade
represents a threat to the health of the nation’s youth.
But when it comes to identifying the source of this threat, he is decid-
edly more circumspect. Ostensibly, the source is terrorism: armed ter-
rorism, financial terrorism, narco-terrorism. And while Modi stresses
that the terrorists are Muslims (“the world faces danger from Jihadi ter-
rorism”), he equally stresses that one should not conflate ‘Muslim’ with
‘terrorist’ (“every Muslim does not do jihad”). Nonetheless, this explicit
distinction is constantly undermined by insinuations that there is some-
thing about Islam which tends towards terrorism and makes everyone
into at least a potential terrorist.
For instance, Modi insists that “the terrorists aim to spread hatred in
the country. It is the responsibility of the citizens of the country not to
allow hatred to spread under any circumstances. Do not allow hatred to
spread under any circumstances. This is their aim.” Although he is speak-
ing in Hindi, he uses the Urdu term for aim—mansuba. Hence the ter-
rorist’s promotion of hatred is Islamicised and contrasted to the (Hindu)
citizen’s opposition to terrorism.
Or again, Modi raises the case of a young woman, Ishrat Jehan, who
was suspected (but not proved) to be a terrorist and was shot dead by the
police in his home state, Gujarat. He then observes that “just a while ago,
a TV reporter was saying that someone saw a girl planting the bomb. I
do not know what the truth is. Girls have been used.” In other words,
perhaps not all Muslims are jihadis, but any Muslim might be—females
as well as males, children as well as adults. From there, it is only a short
step to imply that all are—and need to be treated as—suspect. However,
Modi leaves it to the audience to complete this step, unlike others who
take it for them.
170 Identity, Violence and Power
I have not come to see the colour of the blood of those friends and sisters
who were martyred. They are all my brothers. What is his language? What
is his community? What is his attire? What is his faith? These have no
meaning for me. Each martyred brother is my Hindustani brother.
Closely linked to this, Modi also stresses that he acts for the group, never
for himself (or for the enemies of the group), even if this is at own incon-
venience or even his own danger. He insists, “Friends, I have promised,
while there is life within me, I will search these merchants of death one
by one and sort them out.” He then describes how this brings him the
hatred of the terrorists, their allies and their apologists. But he retorts,
rhetorically and poetically:
6 Riots, Religion and the Mobilisation of Communal Hatred... 171
Only those are afraid who die for their own image
I am that person who dies for India’s image
I do not care for my own image
Finally, Modi stresses that he does not just act for the group interest
but that he is effective in advancing the group interest. He does this in
various ways, notably by showing that he is prescient in identifying dan-
gers to the group. He tells a complicated story about going to the USA
in 1992 and explaining the dangers of terrorism, but being ignored—
then going back in 2003 and having the dangers of terrorism explained
back to him. More concretely, he outlines the tough anti-terrorist laws he
passed in Gujarat while others ignored the threat.
But overall, Modi spends more time on showing how his rivals are
not exemplary in-group members than showing how he is. Thus, the
anecdote about airport security starts with the observation: “Sometimes,
I am shocked, that these big leaders of ours, go to the airport, and if
someone dares to check them, then their eyes turn red. How dare they
check us? Do you not recognize us?” Such leaders clearly are not of the
people.
Equally, when Modi draws a contrast between himself, as someone who
works for India’s image, and others, who are only concerned with their
own, he clearly has Congress, the Communists and their allies in mind.
They do not act in the group interest. They do not pursue terrorism and
terrorists with sufficient energy. Indeed, he goes further: they actually col-
lude with terrorists if it is to their advantage. Modi illustrates this claim
with a number of examples. He claims that the Kerala Assembly, domi-
nated by the Left and by Congress, let all terrorists out of jail because
they wanted some as political candidates. He claims that in Tamil Nadu,
Congress entered into an alliance with a Muslim party which has terrorist
links. And he then tells a story involving the Congress-dominated United
Progressive Alliance (UPA):
Friends, the Bihar election. A supporting party of the UPA, in that elec-
tion, they used to roam around the election polls with a certain person.
Why did they roam? Because his face was like Bin Laden. He looks like Bin
Laden!—and this they showed to garner votes in Bihar!
172 Identity, Violence and Power
Further, Modi suggests that, even were they want to, his rivals (unlike
him) would be unable to advance the group interest. He refers to the
UPA Prime Minister Manmohan Singh as “a highly qualified doc-
torate who was leader of the World Bank”, competent in economics,
perhaps, but out of his depth when it comes to fighting terrorism.
He is weak, talking tough at home, but forgetting his commitments
once abroad. Indeed, Modi claims that the entire (non-BJP) political
elite are weak and fearful. “When they meet me personally”, he states,
“all these leaders speak the same words that I am speaking. The ones
that shout outside, when they come home, they pat my back.” This is
because as “the country’s leaders, they are scared to speak out against
terrorism”.
In sum, where Modi stands for and stands up for Hindu India, Singh,
his party and his parties allies do neither. This is all brought together in
the closing words of the speech. Modi first expresses his wish that the 200
dead souls in Mumbai will inspire 100 crore Indians (a billion, since a
crore is 10 million) to fight terrorism. Then he says,
I do not expect this from the Government at Delhi. Because even if the
soul tries, the soul will return broken hearted. That is why I am saying
this to the 100 crore citizens of this country. The country’s future has to
be decided by the country’s citizens. It is up to us to end this game
played by the merchants of death. We must do it. We will have to do it
together. And once again, I send my condolences to all the families who
were affected.
5
Thanks to Sammyh Khan whose thesis on Hindutva was invaluable in charting the history
and ideology of the Hindu nationalist movement.
174 Identity, Violence and Power
Hindus and Muslims, was earlier used to denote conflict between the
upper Brahman caste and non-Brahmans. The debate around the com-
munal question was centred as much on the so-called untouchables as on
religious minorities. Pandey’s argument is that the creation and consoli-
dation of differences between Hindus and Muslims was very much a cre-
ation of British colonialism. In part, this was a product of their orientalist
fantasies which saw primitive colonial subjects as locked into religious
fervour and which then led them to impose forms of governance which
treated people differently as a function of their religion.
In part, though, it also derived from indigenous reactions to colonial-
ism. Jaffrelot (2013) relates how many of the Indian intelligentsia became
fascinated by British success and by their achievements in scientific, tech-
nical, legal and social domains. Ram Mohan Roy, who in 1828 founded
the Brahmo Samaj (community of worshippers of Brahma, the creator)
was typical of these. He sought to unite and to revive indigenous society
on the basis of a reformed set of Hindu beliefs, claiming that there was
nothing inherently superior about Western Christian culture.
These ideas were further developed by Dayananda Saraswati and a new
organisation, the Arya Samaj (noble community), which he founded in
1875. But the Arya Samaj also took Hindu revivalism in important new
directions. Critically, it formed a link between culture, people and land.
In Jaffrelot’s (2013) terms, the noble people of the Vedas formed the
autochthonous people of ‘Bharat’, the sacred land below the Himalayas.
This incipient link between the original Indians and the Hindu text was
fateful. If nothing else it suggested that those who were not ‘people of the
book’ (even if there is some debate over which Hindu book this is) are
not properly Indian.
But also, while Hindu revivalism had always been torn between admir-
ing and fearing the British, Dayananda altered the balance increasingly
towards fear and threat of the ‘other’. The Arya Samaj became particu-
larly concerned with the conversion of Hindus to Christianity and even
invented reconversion ceremonies in order to combat it. But Dayananda
and his organisation also began to alter the balance in another way—that
is, in terms of defining the identity of the ‘other’ who is the source of
threat. Whereas the British and their Christian religion had been and
still remained a focus of concern, now Muslims began to loom larger in
176 Identity, Violence and Power
The religion of the cow is being destroyed. What crime has she committed
that she should be killed by non-believers. Hindu brothers are entreated to
watch over the cow in every village and every house. If they do not, the cow
will sadly breathe its last and disappear from the village. If you see a
Musalman with a cow, it is your duty [‘religion’—the word dharma stands
for both] to take it from him. It is also your duty [‘religion’] to write and
send on five patias. If you do not, you bear the sin of cow-slaughter. If you
do, it is equivalent to the gift of five cows. (p. 283, notes in brackets in the
original)
Other leaflets are yet more explicit, both about what should be done and
about the implications of not doing it. One declares that “you must loot
the houses of the Musalmans and kill the Musalmans”. It asserts that
“those who are Hindus have no choice” and says of anyone who demurs
6 Riots, Religion and the Mobilisation of Communal Hatred... 177
that “you do mount on your daughter, drink your wife’s piss, and mount
on your sister’s daughter” (pp. 284–285). In other words, exclusion and
violence are not simply the fate of the out-group, it is also the fate of dis-
sident in-group members. The declaration that Hindus have no choice is
not just an exhortation, it is a threat. Indeed one of the leaflets is explic-
itly aimed at those Hindus who shield Muslims in their houses. It tells
“Hindu brothers” that “all of you must turn out with your weapons”
(p. 284).
There is a point here that is so obvious that it almost seems superflu-
ous to mention it. Although, perhaps that very obviousness thereby leads
the point to be overlooked. That is, if Hindus were inherently inclined
to hate Muslims, they would not need such exhortations and such dire
threats to make them join in the violence. It becomes far simpler and
more plausible to argue (as we did in Chap. 5) that the violence does not
derive from preformed communal identities but rather serves to disci-
pline people into communal groups and to cohere around communalist
leaders. From this perspective, the argument that violence is natural is
not simply an innocent mistake. Rather it is a deliberate device for cover-
ing one’s tracks and denying one’s complicity in inciting violence.
This amalgam of representation, explanation and politics in accounts
of communal riots serves to link the colonial era to the closer past. At its
meeting of mid-March 2002, the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS—a
volunteer paramilitary Hindu nationalist organisation deeply involved in
the events of Ayodhya and Gujarat) adopted a resolution which stated
that “the reaction to this murderous incident in Gujarat was natural and
spontaneous. The entire Hindu society cutting across all divisions of
party, caste and social status reacted” (cited in Varadarajan, 2002, p. 21).
Or in the words of the VHP leader Pravin Togadia, “wherever there is
Godhra, there will be Gujarat” (ibid., p. 23).
Togadia continued, “In Gujarat, for the first time there has been a
Hindu awakening and Muslims have been turned into refugees. This is
a welcome sign and Gujarat has shown the way to the country.” That
is, the murderous rioting was not only naturalised, as in colonial times,
but actively celebrated. The difference between eras reflects the different
relationships to the groups involved in conflict. Whereas the British por-
trayed themselves as neutral arbiters, holding the ring and k eeping order
178 Identity, Violence and Power
between Hindus and Muslims, the RSS, Togadia and others in the Hindu
nationalist fold represent themselves as champions of the aggrieved
Hindu masses. So whereas the colonial narrative accords no precedence
to one side or the other in the dynamics of conflict, and stereotypes both
as equally violence-prone, the Hindu nationalists see the action as always
having an origin in the perfidious Muslim ‘other’. For Togadia and oth-
ers, Godhra was an organised conspiracy, provoked by the Pakistani secu-
rity services, whereas the subsequent riots were a spontaneous and natural
reaction.
In both the colonialist and the contemporary cases, then, a primordial-
ist or otherwise fatalistic account serves to remove responsibility for con-
flict from political actors. But whereas in the former case it justifies rule
of the civilised west over the primitive east, in the latter case it justifies
championing the innocent Hindu over the rapacious Muslim. In other
words, the accounts themselves are far from neutral or innocent. They are
not simply accounts of a political process, but they are an integral part
of the political process in terms of creating and of legitimating particular
types of rule.
6.5 Conclusion
In this chapter, we have examined the example of so-called communal
violence in India, combining secondary sources with primary analyses
of religious drawings and political discourse from the Hindu nationalis-
tic movement. All elements analysed converge on one point: the notion
that communal violence reflects ancient hatreds between Muslims and
Hindus simply does not stack up (just as the idea of ancient hatreds fails
to stack up in other sites we investigate in the book, notably the Balkans).
Not least this is because people have not seen themselves in terms of such
categories throughout history, and when they have, they have not always
seen the relationship between the categories in terms of opposition or
antagonism.
Where we find communal hatred and where we see instances of com-
munal violence, it is because communal categories have been brought
into being at a particular time and place. The riots we have described
6 Riots, Religion and the Mobilisation of Communal Hatred... 179
process, at the least by getting them to mark their own homes so they
wouldn’t be attacked, Muslims fled into their own enclaves in fear of
‘Hindus’ in general. The monolithic categories ‘Hindu’ and ‘Muslim’ and
the antagonism (or, at least, mistrust) between them became a material
reality. In line with the arguments we developed in Chap. 4, violence,
far from reflecting ancient hatreds between groups, was a most effec-
tive means of creating and freezing such group relationships. And, as our
argument went on in Chap. 5, it created the constituencies for the ideo-
logues of antagonism to represent and to draw upon to build their power.
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7
Ethnic Violence in the Former
Yugoslavia: From Myth to Reality
(with Sandra Penic)
During the early post-Cold War era, to much of the Western public, the
former Yugoslavia soon came to epitomise a representation of a world of
ethnic rivalry and primitivism abruptly revealed by the lifting of the Iron
Curtain. Tito’s rule over Yugoslavia has sometimes been depicted as akin
to the proverbial ‘lid on a cauldron’, eventually removed by Tito’s death
and the mounting weakness of the regime during the 1980s. International
media depictions of war in the former Yugoslavia have certainly played a
pre-eminent role in entrenching and popularising the notion that ethnic
conflicts are somehow part of a natural course of events. These simple
depictions contrast with the complexity that local populations experi-
enced, especially during the early war period. Where the battles were
fought in 1991 and 1992, things typically looked far less black and white.
There are many instances of collective behaviour that did not fit into
the ethnic hatred narrative, and sometimes there was active resistance to
ethnic categories of action imposed by politics and warfare. In Chap. 4
we already referred to the way the fighting parties in the trenches around
Sarajevo only gradually came to understand themselves and their enemies
as ethnically defined ‘Serb’ and ‘Muslim’ forces. But even once that was
the case, there were still times when people transcended the ethnic
trenches that separated them. Here is an example, narrated by a former
Sarajevan soldier:
The first years of the war I spent several months defending Sarajevo in a
trench that was only 50 meters from the Serbian army trenches. Between
us was an unmined, level meadow (…) After several nights of us listening
to and watching the enemy trench, one morning a man’s voice called out
from the other side, and astonished us, ‘Hey, you guys, let’s play a round of
soccer on the meadow! (…)
We played soccer with them every day. If someone had seen us at that time
they would have probably said we were insane. But looking back at that
time from the vantage point of today it seems to me we were more sane
than most people.
how the myth turned into reality. How did empirically unfounded, but
politically instrumental, beliefs trigger social processes that eventually
resulted in a situation where many people did experience ethnic conflict
as real in its consequences?
Changes in the social acceptance of mixed marriage provide telling
evidence concerning the scope of the phenomenon. In 1990-less than a
year before the war started in Croatia, and then in Bosnia-a representative
sample of adult residents of Yugoslavia were asked, in the Yugoslav Public
Opinion Studies (YPOS), whether they could conceive of marrying into
the various ethno-national communities that composed Yugoslavia. In
our re-analyses of these data, we calculated for each republic or province
the rate of majority members who expressed a positive attitude towards
marrying someone from the main minority group, or vice versa. The first
column of Table 7.1 shows findings for young adults in 1990. These find-
ings reveal a strong norm of acceptance of mixed marriage in the most
diversified parts of Yugoslavia: in Bosnia, Croatia and Vojvodina, a large
majority stated their willingness to marry across ethnic boundaries.
Ten years after the end of war in Bosnia and Croatia, the same ques-
tion was asked again to respondents from the same generation, as part
of the TRACES project. This survey was conducted in 2006 among a
representative sample of the cohort of people born between 1968 and
1974 across all countries of the former Yugoslavia (Spini, Elcheroth &
Table 7.1 Rates of acceptance of mixed marriage before and after the war, across
eight political entities (sorted by decreasing level of pre-war ethnic diversity)
Would you be willing to marry into the group of … ? (% Yes)
18–25 in 1990 (%) 32–38 in 2006 (%)
(Source: YPOS) (Source: TRACES)
Bosnia and 67 17
Herzegovina
Vojvodina 95 65
Montenegro 38 59
Croatia 63 22
Macedonia 14 6
Kosovo 12 3
Serbia 41 39
Slovenia 59 49
(Former) Yugoslavia 42 27
186 Identity, Violence and Power
7.1 H
ow Exclusive Ethno-national Identities
Became Social Facts
Responses to another question asked in the 1990 YPOS are instructive
about pre-war perceptions of social cleavages in the population. People
were asked to choose from a list in order to indicate where the great-
est intergroup inequalities lay in Yugoslavia. Only in Kosovo, which had
already been the theatre of ethnic riots and repression in the early 1980s,
did respondent put inequalities between ‘people from different nationali-
ties’ (which in Yugoslav terminology meant people from different eth-
nic backgrounds) in first place. In all the other republics or provinces,
ethnicity was only quoted as the fourth or fifth most important source
of inequality, ranking behind differences between ‘individual republics’,
7 Ethnic Violence in the Former Yugoslavia: From Myth to Reality... 187
‘political magnates and ordinary citizens’, ‘rich and poor’ and, in the
economically less endowed central and southern republics, between
‘employed and unemployed’ people. Thus, overall, people were more
concerned with political, economic and social inequalities, and with
inequality created by the federal system of distribution of wealth, than
with ethnic inequalities (Table 7.2).
But did widespread dissatisfaction with the federal system lead to
popular demands that it should be broken up? The YPOS data sug-
gest that it didn’t. In Slovenia, Croatia and Bosnia—which all declared
independence in the following two years—the most frequent call was
for more federalism, whereas only a relatively small minority supported
the separatist option (see Table 7.3). In Macedonia and Montenegro, the
most frequently expressed wish was actually to maintain the status quo.
Ironically, it was only in Serbia, which would subsequently fight for the
maintenance of the Yugoslav federation, where most people went for the
break-up option.
These historic survey data hence appear to contradict the notion that
there were strong bottom-up forces leading to the inevitable dissolu-
tion of the Yugoslav federation or to struggle between its constituent
ethno-national communities. But the most interesting findings arise from
a question where people were directly asked to assess the quality of rela-
tions between different national groups, across various contexts. In seven
out of eight political entities, people described these relations as on aver-
age better than satisfactory, as far as their own places of work and living
were concerned. (The exception was again Kosovo, where average answers
were located between ‘satisfactory’ and ‘bad’.) Strikingly, however, when
the same people were asked about the quality of ethnic relations in their
republic or province overall, their judgements were less favourable, and
when they were asked about Yugoslavia as a whole, their answers even
ranged between ‘bad’ and ‘very bad’ (Table 7.4).
There is thus a conundrum here. While everywhere except in Kosovo
people viewed interethnic relations within their personal sphere of expe-
rience as positive, the same people were convinced that elsewhere these
relations were far less rosy. This discrepancy raises the intriguing question
as to which other sources people relied on to form an opinion about the
Table 7.2 Perceived sources of inter-group inequality in pre-war Yugoslavia
Where do you personally think most inequality in Yugoslavia exists? (% who chose cleavage among up to two different answers)
(Source: YPOS 1990)
Between Between Between Between Between
Between political people of Between manufactural Between males believers
individual magnates and Between different employed and and non- young and and
republics ordinary rich and nationalities unemployed manufactoral and old females atheists
(%) citizens (%) poor (%) (%) (%) professions (%) (%) (%) (%)
Bosnia– 41 33 24 23 26 12 8 7 4
Herzegovina
Vojvodina 37 42 32 23 25 11 9 3 1
Montenegro 40 31 27 20 39 13 8 5 2
Croatia 28 37 34 27 16 15 8 4 5
Macedonia 33 35 31 22 30 13 9 4 1
Kosovo 27 31 12 66 22 4 2 4 1
Serbia 39 39 27 23 26 13 8 5 2
Slovenia 32 29 33 19 11 18 10 6 4
Yugoslavia 35 35 28 27 24 13 8 5 3
7 Ethnic Violence in the Former Yugoslavia: From Myth to Reality... 189
Table 7.3 Popular support for future institutional scenarios in pre-war Yugoslavia
In your opinion, what kind of state should Yugoslavia be in a near future?
(Source: YPOS 1990)
More Different
centralist Status More sovereign
(%) quo (%) federalist (%) states (%)
Bosnia–Herzegovina 3 37 43 16
Vojvodina 4 38 30 28
Montenegro 1 54 27 18
Croatia 1 20 63 16
Macedonia 3 54 31 12
Kosovo 2 10 49 40
Serbia 1 33 28 37
Slovenia 1 9 68 23
Yugoslavia 2 31 43 24
state of interethnic relations, and what led them to lend more credit to
alarming second-hand information than their own daily experience.
The findings shown in Table 7.1 already suggest that the discrepancy
between what people experienced and what they believed about inter-
ethnic relations actually prefigured a dramatic social change—a violent
190 Identity, Violence and Power
process through which people’s beliefs about ethnic tensions (and separa-
tion) became true. The findings reported in Table 7.5—which combines
responses from the YPOS sample in 1990 and from the TRACES sample
in 2006—provide insights into what happened to the sense of identity
among those who were in their formative years when Yugoslavia broke
up. The average response patterns show how Yugoslav identity become
obsolete. Interestingly, to many in the former Yugoslavia, affiliation to
Yugoslavia was seen as more important than any other (infra- or supra-
national) affiliations. That was still true in 1990 for young Bosnians,
Vojvodinians, Montenegrins and Macedonians. While Slovenes consid-
ered affiliation with their republic, and Kosovars with their province, as
more important than affiliation to Yugoslavia as a whole, mixed patterns
emerge for the two largest republics: affiliation with Croatia or Serbia was
seen in the corresponding populations as of equal importance to affilia-
tion with Yugoslavia.
A completely different picture emerges from the 2006 data: by
then, identification with the former Yugoslavia had lost its impor-
tance virtually everywhere. Only in Montenegro and Macedonia did
it still pass the threshold of ‘somewhat important’ on average. While
the obsolescence of Yugoslav identity was nearly ubiquitous, it was
replaced by different types of identity in different contexts. In those
republics which, after having declared war and (in the case of Croatia)
fought for their independence, had achieved in 2006 the status of
indisputable and internationally recognised nation-states, identifi-
cation with the new nation clearly prevailed. That was the case in
Croatia, Slovenia and Macedonia. In most other places, where the
confusion of political transition, state dissolution and war had not
yet been replaced by the certainties of a new triumphant nationalism,
more complex patterns arose. These generally involved simultaneous
identification at both the local (‘the place and region where I live’)
and global (‘Europe’/’the World’) levels.
As part of an interdisciplinary research programme, we had aimed to
document how war experiences in the 1990s transformed collective iden-
tities much more profoundly than the combination of a deep economic
depression, institutional disintegration and aggressive mass propaganda
in 1980s. The resulting findings have been compiled in an edited book
Table 7.5 Affiliation to different territorial entities, before and after the war
There are some types of affiliation that may be important for an individual. Please indicate the importance that you
attribute to each.
(reversed average responses on a 5-point response scale: 5-very important, 4-quite important, 3-somewhat important,
2-of little importance, 1-not important)
(Sources: YPOS 1990, TRACES 2006)
Place and region Republic/Province / (former)
where I live country Yugoslavia Europe World
Bosnia and Herzegovina 18–25 in 1990 3.0 3.1 4.0 3.9 3.6
32–38 in 2006 3.9 3.6 2.6 4.0 4.1
Vojvodina 18–25 in 1990 2.9 3.1 4.0 3.7 3.5
32–38 in 2006 3.3 3.3 2.7 3.7 3.8
Montenegro 18–25 in 1990 3.1 3.5 4.2 3.1 2.9
32–38 in 2006 4.0 3.2 3.5 4.2 4.2
Croatia 18–25 in 1990 2.8 3.2 2.9 3.3 3.3
32–38 in 2006 3.9 4.1 1.5 3.1 3.1
Macedonia 18–25 in 1990 2.8 3.0 3.5 3.1 2.6
32–38 in 2006 4.0 4.3 3.2 3.9 4.1
Kosovo 18–25 in 1990 3.4 3.9 3.3 4.0 3.6
32–38 in 2006 4.4 4.5 1.7 4.3 4.1
Serbia 18–25 in 1990 2.8 3.3 3.6 3.3 3.2
32–38 in 2006 3.4 3.4 2.5 3.8 4.0
Slovenia 18–25 in 1990 3.5 3.7 3.0 3.3 2.9
7 Ethnic Violence in the Former Yugoslavia: From Myth to Reality...
(Spini, Elcheroth & Biruski, 2013). They provide concrete insights into
the wartime dilemmas and constraints that left many people with a new
sense that ethnic affiliations matter. The bulk of these findings are based
on a survey completed in the spring of 2006 by a representative sample of
more than 6000 adults from all over the former Yugoslavia. Respomdents
completed life events calendars in which they reported retrospectively on
their experiences during the war (Spini et al., 2011).
On the basis of these data, the sociologists Gauthier and Widmer
(2014) were able to show how, for most people, the ‘decision’ to leave
the most war-affected regions in Croatia, Bosnia and Kosovo was directly
related to their religious affiliation. It is important to be precise here:
these decisions were influenced by people’s ties to particular religious cat-
egories that functioned as markers of ethnic identity and that made it
possible to distinguish among Orthodox Serbs, Catholic Croats, Muslim
Bosniaks and Albanians. They were not determined, however, by the
actual importance of religious identity in people’s lives: those who left
did not believe more strongly or practise their religion more frequently.
In another contribution, the demographers LeGoff and Giudici (2014)
have shown how, while in 1990 one out of seven marriages was ‘mixed’
(and the norm of mixed marriage was actively supported by institutional
policies), mixed unions had almost disappeared from the statistics by the
early 2000s. This was a combined consequence of three different pro-
cesses: separation, emigration and conversion (i.e., the re-labelling of the
identity of one of the partners).
These findings reveal that most people, when they encountered the
dilemma of remaining or leaving a war zone, and sometimes even their
spouse or family, acted as if ethnic identity was critical: they assumed that
those who might attack or else protect them would rely on markers of
identity to differentiate between foes and friends (even if religion was not
important to them in private). More generally, these findings provide a
sense of how many people were led to make difficult choices in an ambig-
uous environment: to leave everything behind, or to stay and comply
with the logic of combat. In this process, the cumulative consequences
of invidious individual choices then changed the environment in which
others made sense of the collective situation. As more and more people
7 Ethnic Violence in the Former Yugoslavia: From Myth to Reality... 193
began to take account of their own ethnicity-and the way their ethnicity
was perceived by others-in making decisions, so yet others were led to
think and act in ethnic terms. The acts of friends and neighbours were as
important in validating an ethnic frame as official propaganda. Once col-
lective behaviour had created new social facts, old norms became obso-
lete, and new norms of ethnic separation began to stabilise and acquire
prescriptive value.
7.2 K
eeping the Myth Real: Ethnic
Nationalism in Post-War Croatia1
On 15 April 2011, the Croat general Ante Gotovina was convicted by
the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia (ICTY)
and sentenced to 24 years of imprisonment. The verdict was based on
war crimes and crimes against humanity committed ten years earlier,
during so-called Operation Storm. For Serbs, Operation Storm was an
act of ethnic cleansing which forced nearly 200,000 of their compatriots
to flee. For Croats, it was a heroic battle which won the war and led to
the creation of their own sovereign nation-state.
Gotovina’s sentence provoked a massive outcry across Croatia. Nearly
all of the mainstream Croatian media portrayed the sentence as unjust,
and this attitude was shared by the overwhelming majority of Croats.
According to a poll conducted immediately after the verdict, 95 % of
Croats perceived the verdict as unjust and 88 % of them still saw Gotovina
as a hero (Jutarnji List, 2011). A year later, the Appeals Chamber of the
ICTY, by a tight majority of three to two, overturned the previous verdict
and acquitted Gotovina on formal grounds. The verdict was perceived
as highly controversial internationally and was criticised in unusually
blunt terms by the two dissenting members of the Appeals Chamber.
Judge Agius described the verdict as “confusing and extremely problem-
atic”, Judge Pocar as “contradicting any sense of justice” and “grotesque”
This section is adapted from Penic, Elcheroth, and Reicher (2016). Readers interested in more
1
following three items from a larger National Identity scale (Corkalo &
Kamenov, 2003): “There are many more capable people in my nation
than in others”, “In all historical conflicts with other nations my nation
was always right” and “A good member of my nation should not associate
with our enemies”.
Table 7.6 summarises the results of the analysis, which display three
different types of profile: (a) high national attachment with high glori-
fication: glorifiers; (b) high national attachment with low glorification:
critically attached; (c) low/average on both attachment and glorification:
detached. As can be seen from the table, the Serb sample is roughly evenly
split between the glorifiers (estimated at 40.9 % in the corresponding
population) and the detached (45.2 %), with a significant minority of
the critically attached (13.9 %). By contrast, the Croats are dominated
by the glorifiers (67.5 %), with a smaller group of the detached (25.8 %)
and a tiny group of critically attached people (6.7 %)—less than half as
large as in Serbia.
Second, there are differences in the relationship between modes of
attachment and collective guilt. Collective guilt acceptance was measured
through a five-item scale developed by Branscombe, Slugoski and Happen
(2004). Typical items on the scale are “I feel regret for my group’s harm-
ful past actions toward other groups” and “I can easily feel guilty for the
Table 7.6 Estimate of the population share for three types of identification in
Croatia and Serbia; with group means of attachment, glorification and collective
guilt acceptance
Croatia Serbia
Critically Critically
Detached attached Glorifiers Detached attached Glorifiers
Population 25.8 % 6.7 % 67.5 % 45.2 % 13.9 % 40.9 %
share
Attachment 3.66 5.96 6.05 3.31 5.95 6.00
0.76 0.64 0.72 1.03 0.70 0.79
Glorification 3.08 1.82 3.72 2.56 1.74 3.42
0.93 0.40 0.70 0.86 0.44 0.63
Collective 3.42 2.72 3.06 3.24 3.89 3.10
guilt 1.25 1.26 1.30 1.32 1.37 1.34
acceptance
196 Identity, Violence and Power
7.2.1 W
hy Is There No Space for Critical Patriots
in Post-War Croatia?
So why should there be such a difference between nations? What are the
critical elements of context which produce these differences? Why, more
specifically, is critical patriotism so scarce in Croatia and why aren’t criti-
cal patriots willing to accept the war guilt of the nation?
Perhaps the most obvious answer would be because, from 1991 to
1995, the war was fought on Croatian but not on Serbian territory.
As a consequence, the suffering was far greater for ordinary Croats
than for Serbs. Indeed several Croatian regions suffered tremendous
destruction and loss of life. However, while there is evidence that
victims of war are particularly reluctant to blame their own group
for past wrongdoings (Corkalo Biruski & Penic, 2014), the same
is not true for the broader communities from whom these victims
are drawn. Moreover, there is contrary evidence from comparative
studies showing that in the communities and regions most affected
by the war, the condemnation of war-related crimes and the call for
institutional justice is at its strongest (Elcheroth, 2006; Elcheroth &
Spini, 2009, 2014).2 Thus, war experiences in and of themselves are
2
Similarly, in the comparative data set which we used in this research (TRACES), collective guilt
acceptance is higher among Bosniaks in Bosnia than Croats in Croatia, although the former group
was on average more exposed to the war victimisation. In contrast, Macedonians show lower col-
lective guilt acceptance than both of the previous groups, although they are on average less
victimised.
7 Ethnic Violence in the Former Yugoslavia: From Myth to Reality... 197
policies towards Bosnia and Herzegovina and relations with the interna-
tional community; interethnic intolerance, ethno-centrism and national-
ism in his politics; irregularities during the privatisation process and the
economic decline of Croatia during the 1990s.
The guests on the show divided into supporters and critics of Tudjman’s
regime. Critics of the regime were represented by Zrinka Vrabec Mojzes,
editor of the independent radio station 101; Zlatko Zeljko, president
of the NGO ‘Juris Protecta’; and Prof. Milan Kangrga, philosopher.
Supporters of the regime were represented by Nenad Ivankovic, jour-
nalist, who wrote a biography of Franjo Tudjman; Ivan Vekic, Minister
of Internal Affairs from 1991 to 1992; and Eduard Bajlo, historian.
They differed substantially in their perception of recent Croatian his-
tory. In particular they expressed different views of the ‘Homeland War’
and of whether the Croatian side had committed war crimes. Whereas
the critics emphasised the direct responsibility of the Croatian political
elite for planning and executing such crimes, the supporters systemati-
cally denied that this was the case. For them, the Homeland War was
defensive, and while they acknowledged that some crimes might have
occurred, they represented them as individual acts committed out of
revenge or despair.
The following extract involves an exchange between Zrinka Vrabec
Mojzes and Ivan Vekic.
The obvious and striking aspect of this exchange is the way in which
the critic, Vrabec Mojzes, claims Croatian nationhood based on her citi-
zenship (a broader and more inclusive criterion than alternatives such as
ethnic background), the way that she repeatedly demands recognition of
that nationhood by her opponent, Vekic, and the way in which Vekic, on
four consecutive occasions, refuses to grant such recognition. But per-
haps more important is the way in which she identifies this refusal with
her status as a critic. Indeed it is striking how Vrabec Mojzes collectivises
the issue. She never addresses her personal status. She asks who are ‘we’
(the critics) if Vekic is Croat. She asks Vekic to imagine that ‘we’ (the
critics) are Croats. She insists that ‘we’ (the critics) are Croatian citizens.
Most explicitly she complains that ‘we’ are not viewed as Croats because
“we are critical towards crimes committed by Croats”.
This exchange shows that being a critic is linked to one’s national sta-
tus—or rather, being a critic is used to deny one’s national status, and
hence being a critical patriot becomes an impossible position. It sets up
the question for our main analysis of whether criticism is commonly used
to deny nationhood and how it is used to deny nationhood.
This broadcast immediately provoked a fierce debate amongst the Croatian
public and vehement disapproval from many quarters. Eventually, the
show was suspended for one month. The editor of the show and two
journalists received a formal warning. In addition, the editor of the show,
Denis Latin, as well as Zrinka Vrabec Mojzes, one of the critics on the
show, were placed under police protection following numerous threats.
But perhaps the most important reaction relates to what unfolded in the
Croatian Parliament over the next two days.
On 13 December 2005, the sitting of the Croatian Parliament was
initially scheduled to discuss a report on the affairs of Croatian Radio
Television (HRT) in 2004. In the event, much of the discussion was
devoted to the Latinica show of the day before. Several members of par-
liament demanded an official statement from the director general of the
HRT (who was present at the sitting). He declared that the programme
7 Ethnic Violence in the Former Yugoslavia: From Myth to Reality... 201
was unprofessional and that the competent HRT bodies would state their
position on the matter. He also stated that those responsible for the pro-
gramme would be sanctioned. Such was the interest in the discussion that
it was not completed by the end of its allotted time and an extension of
the sitting was agreed for the following day. Finally, the discussion fin-
ished with a rejection of the Report under consideration.
Our main analyses are based on a full transcript of a parliamentary
debate held on 13 and 14 December 2005. We conducted a thematic
analysis, which was focused on the representation of the critical voices
on the Latinica program, and the ways that this representation linked to
construals of the national community and the national interest. Three
broad thematic fields (or a priori coding categories) were distinguished as
a basis for coding the text: constructions of critical voices, constructions
of the nation and constructions of the international context.
The results of our qualitative analysis are summarised in Table 7.7. By
far the most common category of argument was “construction of critical
voices”, with 29 speakers and 62 individual statements (77 % of the total).
Critics were portrayed as distorting national values, as alien to the nation,
as hurting the nation and therefore as people who needed to be identified
and silenced. Arguments concerning the definition of the ingroup were
considerably less common (seven statements from six speakers represent-
ing 9 % of the total): they represented Croatia as Catholic, tolerant and
united behind its leaders. Arguments concerning the international con-
text were similarly sparse (11 statement from eight speakers representing
14 % of the total): here the focus was almost entirely on a Croatia sur-
rounded by powerful enemies—particularly the International Tribunal
sitting in judgement on General Gotovina at that moment—who are
aided and abetted by the critics.
7.2.3 H
ow Have Critical Patriots Been Silenced by
the Political Majority?
Already, we can glimpse the outlines of an overall argument: critics are not
true (i.e., loyal) Croats, but rather destroy the unity of the nation and attack
the nation at a moment when it is vulnerable to its international enemies.
202 Identity, Violence and Power
Table 7.7 Summary of the results of the thematic coding of the parliamentary
debate held on 13 and 14 December 2005
Number of Number of
Category arguments speakers
A. Construction of critical voices 62 29
1. What are they doing? (“A bad job”) 7 6
1.1. Critics … are misrepresenting the role of the 3 3
Homeland War.
1.2. Critics … are misrepresenting our national past. 4 4
2. Who are they? (“Alien individuals”) 29 18
2.1. Critics … are immoral and unprofessional. 11 8
2.2. Critics … are profiteers and opportunists. 3 3
2.3. Critics … are small elite that abuses its power. 3 2
2.4. Critics … do not have popular support. 4 4
2.5. Critics … are not part of the nation. 8 8
3. What are their intentions? (“To hurt us”) 18 10
3.1. Critics … are attacking the combatants of the 6 4
Homeland War.
3.2. Critics … are insulting Croatian people. 5 5
3.3. Critics … are attacking the foundation of the 3 3
Croatian state.
3.4. Critics … despise our independence. 4 4
4. How shall we treat them? (“To defend ourselves”) 8 8
4.1. Find the culprits. 4 4
4.2. Changing media policies. 4 4
B. Underlying construction of the national community 7 6
5. Who are we? (“The virtuous majority”) 7 6
5.1. We are Croatian catholic majority 2 1
5.2. We are tolerant and respectful of pluralism 2 2
5.3. We are united in national interests and loyal to 3 3
our leaders
C. Underlying construction of the international 11 8
context
6. What is at stake? (“Not to let internal opponents 11 8
play into the hands of external enemies”)
6.1. Critics are collaborating with the historical 3 3
enemies.
6.2. Critics are helping International Tribunal to build 8 6
accusations.
The President of the Parliament opened the session with a call to criti-
cise Latinica:
Yesterday’s show, gentlemen from HTV and ‘Latinica’, was one blasphemous
forgery of the Croatian history. Obviously biased, against all the principles
of the journalistic profession. (…) And the Croatian Parliament should cer-
tainly talk about it. (…) We should not allow that we, as the highest repre-
sentative body, do not speak out firmly and strongly about this and that we
should be bound by the alleged freedom of the media. It is not media free-
dom when the truth is falsified, it is not media freedom when the elementary
historical facts are represented in a disgusting, careless way, which irritates a
huge proportion of the Croatian people and Croatian citizens.
(Vladimir Seks, President of the Croatian Parliament)
There are three elements worthy of note here. To start with, in the very
first sentence of the debate, critical positions are represented as a “blas-
phemous forgery”. The notion of blasphemy sets up certain readings of
the Croatian past as sacred and hence as not amenable to alternatives.
Anyone who challenges these readings is therefore attacking the nation.
Equally—and this is the second element—anyone who does so is advanc-
ing a falsehood. Therefore, repressing such voices is not curtailing free-
dom, it is defending the truth. In this way, an attack on the critics does
not compromise the claim to be a freedom-loving nation and parliament.
Third, insofar as this is an attack on the nation and an attack on the
truth, it is opposed by (freedom-loving) Croats. If Seks uses a relatively
mild formulation to express this (the criticism “irritates”) and if he quali-
fies its application (to “a huge proportion” of Croats), others are both
harsher and less qualified. Thus, Zdenka Babic Petricevic of the ruling
HDZ argues that criticism “hurts” all true Croatians and Ivan Vucic,
another HDZ member, suggests that it “disgusts” them.
This opening argument was never challenged. Rather, it raised a num-
ber of issues which were addressed by other speakers throughout the
debate. The first of these issues is who are the critics and why are they
critical. Some of the interventions characterise them as lacking positive
qualities. They are stupid: “the lowest educated journalists in Croatia”
according to Independent member Slaven Letica. They are insignificant:
the ruling party (HDZ) member Kresimir Cosic refers to one critic as
204 Identity, Violence and Power
“such an obscure person”. They are vicious: Cosic also refers to critics
more generally as “indoctrinated and full of hate”.
This last comment raises the question of who they are indoctrinated
by and who they hate. The answer is that they serve alien interests. They
hate Croatia and Croats. For instance, in the next extract, the insinua-
tion by the right-wing HSP member Pejo Trgovcevic is that Latinica is a
foreign show:
Shows like this astound the Croatian public, and we ask, together with the
majority of the Croatian public, which television have we watched yester-
day? Are these shows from Croatian television or some other Television?
(Pejo Trgovcevic, HSP)
Indeed, even the title of the programme is challenged to insist upon this
alien character. With a play on words, the show is equated to the Serbian
rather than the Croatian language to exemplify its supposedly hostile
stance disguised as a national programme:
The next issue concerns the nature of the sacred: What is it precisely
which cannot be questioned by any true Croat, and which distresses
Croats if questioned? The answer lies in a double elision, the first ele-
ment of which is the wartime leader and first president, Franjo Tudjman.
Above, we noted how Kresimir Cosic referred to one critic as “obscure”.
But this obscurity was emphasised through a contrast with Tudjman’s
pre-eminence. Thus, Cosic marvelled at how Latinica could provide
public space for “such an obscure person to speak neither more nor less
than about the Father of the Nation”. The term ‘father of the nation’ is,
of course, redolent with significance. It denotes someone who has given
birth to the nation, someone who has unquestioned authority over the
nation, and someone with whom nationals have an intimate and highly
significant relationship. This, in part, explains why Croats would be upset
by criticisms of Tudjman for these are akin to insulting a beloved fam-
ily member. This is powerfully expressed by the following speaker, who
7 Ethnic Violence in the Former Yugoslavia: From Myth to Reality... 205
The final issue concerns the reason why it is so important to silence the
critics. In part, this may be self-evident: to the extent that they are seen
as attacking the (national) ingroup, this is bad in and of itself. However,
this is not the end of the story. On the one hand, these attacks were rep-
resented as doing real harm. Some of the media invoked the suicide of a
soldier—a ‘Croatian defender’ and hence a symbol of the nation—on the
evening that Latinica was broadcast. For example, one of the most popu-
lar daily journals ‘Vecernji List’ published this information on the front
page under the title ‘Killed himself because of “Latinica”’. The suicide
was attributed to the programme and, in some instances, was actually
seen as intended by the programme—that is, the aim of the critics was to
weaken or even destroy the nation. This argument was immediately taken
up by several speakers:
Yesterday’s TV show about which we spoke a lot today, achieved its goal. I
just received a text message—after watching Latinica yesterday, a Croatian
defender in Glina committed suicide using a bomb.
(Ivo Loncar, Independent)
7.3 Conclusion
So how, then, has the myth of ethnic war not only become real in its con-
sequences during the war, but been nourished and kept alive during the
post-war period? How, in post-war Croatia, have critical voices been mar-
ginalised, and their legitimacy to speak as members of the nation chal-
lenged? To summarise our findings, three key elements were involved.
The first was to sacralise certain events and individuals—specifically,
208 Identity, Violence and Power
the Homeland War and those, like Tudjman, who prosecuted it. These,
then, are not just incidental aspects of the nation which could be good
or bad. Rather they are essential to and foundational of the nation: the
war created the nation; Tudjman is the ‘father’ of the nation. It follows
that any attack on either suggests that the nation itself is essentially bad.
Such representations are not limited to the Croatian political elite—they
have been promoted by a range of public actors and institutions such as
the Catholic Church (Perica, 2002), the media (Kurspahić, 2003) and
the school system (Barunčić & Križe, 2006). Consequently, it becomes
impossible to sustain a critical stance which rests on the claim that candid
self-scrutiny serves to improve the nation (Hornsey, 2005).
The second element was to go from claiming that criticism was an
attack on the nation to a claim that criticism was damaging the nation.
In part, this involved attributing actual instances of harm (e.g., the sui-
cide of a soldier/‘national defender’) to the criticisms. In part, it involved
construing the nation as highly vulnerable due to external threats as con-
cretised in the ICTY, and in the person of General Gotovina standing
before the International Tribunal in The Hague. As a number of authors
have pointed out, invoking powerful enemies is a particularly powerful
way of demanding unity and outlawing criticism (see Chap. 5). That is,
by invoking enemies who constitute a serious threat to the ingroup, unity
is demanded and criticism is outlawed.
Thirdly, then, true Croats are represented as active loyalists: accord-
ing to some majority parliamentary members quoted in our analysis,
they don’t simply support the nation in principle, they rally for the
nation (or even organise rallies for the nation). Likewise, true Croats
are necessarily hurt, irritated and disgusted by anyone who is not loyal
at the nation’s hour of need. The corollary is that anyone who criticises
the nation (or even fails to be disgusted by such criticism) is not only
denied nationhood, they are constituted as active enemies of the nation
(they don’t have the country’s interests at heart, they knowingly provide
ammunition for enemies such as the ICTY); their goal is the destruc-
tion of national icons (such as Croatian soldiers) and the nation itself.
They have to be repressed.
We do not suggest that all these elements are necessary in order to
marginalise critical patriotism or that these are the only ways by which
7 Ethnic Violence in the Former Yugoslavia: From Myth to Reality... 209
The process whereby those who will not renounce their criticisms
are led to renounce their nationhood is well expressed by two famous
Croatian intellectuals: the writer Dubravka Ugresic and the philosopher
Boris Buden. After becoming a target of the nationalistic media and
Croatian public because of their critical attitudes about Croatian nation-
alism during the 1990s, both of them left the country. Ugrešić (2007)
explained that “(T)hey excluded me from their literary and other ranks …
I became a literary representative of a place that no longer wanted me.
I, too, no longer wanted the place that no longer wanted me. I am no
fan of unrequited love”. Buden (2000) was yet more explicit about the
interconnections between being excluded and discarding identity: “I am
not anymore a Croatian intellectual … I have experienced a definitive
exclusion, or separation, cutting of the umbilical cord that connected me
with the Croatian identity”.
What is most striking about the dialogue between regime support-
ers and regime critics in the TV show we analysed is that the latter did
not choose to dis-identify with Croatia. They did not aim to become
‘anti-Croats’. It was not a position that reflected their internal beliefs
and desires. On the contrary, they struggled to be recognised as fully
fledged members of the national community. The position of out-
siders was imposed upon them because that which they would have
chosen—critical attachment—was simply not available. This serves to
underline a point that has been imminent throughout our discussion.
That is, the relative incidence of critical patriots and national glorifiers
in Croatia cannot be understood as a matter of individual differences
(which is how differences in the mode of national identification are
normally approached—see, for example, Kosterman and Feschbach,
1998; Mummendy, Klink and Brown, 2001; Staub, 1997). Rather,
they reflect differences in the social availability of certain ideological
configurations of belief.
The struggle for the recognition of critical attachment as a legitimate
mode of identification thus unfolds at two different levels: (a) at a micro-
level, where people negotiate their version of identification with relevant
others through a myriad of individual decisions to express a particular
voice or keep silent; and (b) at a macro-level, where elites use their control
7 Ethnic Violence in the Former Yugoslavia: From Myth to Reality... 211
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214 Identity, Violence and Power
Football World Cup (where Scots have their own team) or to those of
the Olympic (where they compete for Great Britain); should they adopt
the perspective of the British or Scottish editions of the same TV chan-
nels when watching the daily news? Interestingly, Rutland, Cinnirella
and Simpson (2008) showed that, among Scottish students, identifica-
tion with both Scotland and Britain is remarkably stable across differ-
ent situations. This insensitivity to immediate contextual influences is
related to “the fact that Scottish and British self-categories are chroni-
cally accessible” (p. 268). Furthermore, as shown by Sindic and Reicher
(2009), in combination with particular understandings of intergroup
relations, social identification with Scotland anchors specific political
claims, like separatism.
In short, nationhood is more troubled and contested in Scotland
than in the rest of the UK and that may account for the greater oppo-
sition to the Iraq war. This troubled sense of nationhood is reflected at
the structural level in the shifting constitutional settlement between
Scotland and England. Since the creation of a devolved Scottish
Parliament in 1999, there has been an ongoing debate as to whether
the devolved settlement is adequate, whether the parliament should
have greater powers or whether there should be full independence.
Furthermore, if the issue of how Scottishness relates to Britishness is
at the top of the political agenda, it is equally salient at a psychologi-
cal level. This makes Scotland a particularly promising place in which
to examine how national categories are construed and how these are
used to argue for or against war.
In this chapter, we will present systematic analyses of how the Iraq
invasion of 2003 was understood in Scotland by both elites and by the
overall population. The first part includes all the contributions to four
Scottish parliamentary debates about the Gulf War which occurred
between January 2003 and June 2004—a total of 106 speeches. Using a
combination of qualitative thematic analysis and quantitative, multiple
correspondence analysis (MCA) we examine (a) the definitions of iden-
tity that were invoked to support pro- and anti-war positions, and the
extent to which they were rooted in the broader political culture; (b) con-
sistencies and differences between different contributors to the debate, in
relation to their party’s position on Scottish nationalism; and (c) shifts
8 British Warriors and Scottish Voters: When ‘Rallying the Nation’ 219
1
Another version of this study has previously been published in Elcheroth and Reicher (2014). The
present version has been simplified for the presentation of the quantitative material, but signifi-
cantly enriched with qualitative material as compared to the article version.
220 Identity, Violence and Power
two parts so we can see separately how moral and categorical arguments
respectively map onto this space.
As can be seen, the pro-war ‘liberation’ morality is associated with
an opposition between the world’s democrats and (isolated) autocrats,
which is subsequently resolved into the whole (democratic) world against
a single tyrannical figure, Saddam Hussein. The anti-war ‘aggression’
morality is associated with a division of the world into dominant and
subordinate groups: at the start of the debate, English war-mongers drag-
ging the Scots into conflict; later, social elites against ordinary people; or
a hegemonic USA/British West against Eastern/Arabic peoples.
To summarise, the pro-war discourse draws upon the ‘new world order’
narrative which has been prevalent since the first Gulf War and which in
turn draws upon anti-Nazi narratives: the entire civilised world against
8 British Warriors and Scottish Voters: When ‘Rallying the Nation’ 223
Before vs. after invasion
-1.0
JAN 2003
Undermining
settlement
-1.5
1.0
West vs Arab
Elites vs people
0.0
-2.5 -2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 vs World
-US 1.5
Democrats vs
autocrats -0.5
-1.0
Britan vs
-1.5 Scotland
Fig. 8.1 Moral principle positions and the timing of debates (above) as well
as social cleavage positions (below) according to their coordinates along two
dimensions defined by an MCA of their joint occurrences within parliamen-
tary interventions. Arguments related to the ‘home front’ appear in bold.
one mad dictator. The anti-war discourse draws upon the notion of a more
aggressive England imposing its will upon the communal Scots within
the political structures of the UK—a narrative which has become com-
monplace within Scottish political discourse (Reicher & Hopkins, 2001).
224 Identity, Violence and Power
In other words, both the anti-camp and the pro-camp are anchored in
familiar mainstream constructions.
There are two further aspects of the findings which speak to the rela-
tionships between the constructions of the one camp and those of the
other, and also the relationships between constructions within the same
camp.
First, as well as showing differences in structure between pro- and
anti-war speakers, our data also point to differences in the amount of
rhetorical effort they devote to different tasks. Opponents of the war
spend more time than supporters in sustaining their categorical con-
structions. They generate more arguments in favour of these definitions
and also more instances of each argument. Thus, 86 % of the category
arguments made before the invasion—and 88 % afterwards—are made
by anti-war speakers. Moreover, the ratio of categorical arguments to
moral arguments is 4.33:1 for those against the war and 0.44:1 for
those in favour of the war.
Second, further analyses were conducted to assess the collective con-
sistency across contributions stemming from those in the same political
party or else sharing the same broad political outlook. To this end, all
106 interventions were located along the two aforementioned dimen-
sions (pro- versus anti-war and time) and identified by the party affilia-
tion of the speaker. The contrast between separatist and unionist parties
shown in Fig. 8.2 is striking. Every single intervention by a speaker
from one of the three parties having Scottish independence on their
agenda (Scottish National Party, Scottish Socialist Party and Scottish
Green Party) takes an anti-war stance. Not one intervention deviates
from the message that an independent Scotland goes hand in hand
with opposition to the invasion of Iraq. In contrast, the unionist camp
is profoundly divided in the debates, both between and within parties.
The gap across the three parties is substantial; while conservative mem-
bers are the strongest supporters of the invasion, most liberal demo-
crats lean towards an anti-war position. Furthermore, members of the
ruling Labour Party cover the full spectrum of these positions in the
debate, from the purest pro-invasion stance (on the left of the graph) to
a marked anti-invasion view (on the right).
8 British Warriors and Scottish Voters: When ‘Rallying the Nation’ 225
Labour Party
Conservative Party
2 Liberal Democrats
Scottish National
Pary
Scottish Socialist
Pary
Before vs after the invasion
–1
–2
–3 –2 –1 0 1 2
Pro vs against the invasion
One of the clearest things to emerge from the MCA (see Fig. 8.1)
is the shift in category constructions that occurs from before the inva-
sion to when the invasion is imminent and after the invasion. More
precisely, there is a clear evolution in the anti-war camp where, pre-
invasion, the argument is organised around the Scotland—England
division. Later, it shifts to a series of other divisions, all based on the
opposition between the powerless and the powerful. In order to gain
more insight into the meaning of these shifts, it is helpful to consider
a set of extracts from the parliamentary debates. These are chosen from
226 Identity, Violence and Power
Extract 1: The troops and their commander in chief need our support
I am associated with 603 City of Edinburgh squadron of the Royal
Auxiliary Air Force. It is now public knowledge that many of its reservists
and countless others have been called up. It is my conviction that if the
Government, with the support of the House of Commons, asks our armed
services to act on behalf of the nation, it must be given our total support.
(James Douglas-Hamilton, Conservative Party, 13 March 2003a)
the matter at Westminster, but thus far they have not. So much for
democracy.
(Roseanna Cunningham, Scottish National Party, 16 January 2003b)
Before the war, anti-war arguments almost exclusively referred to the cat-
egorical opposition between British war-mongers acting against Scottish
230 Identity, Violence and Power
interests. Once the war starts, this shifts to a variety of oppositions such
as the USA against Iraq or, more generically, elites against ordinary peo-
ple. This shift may reflect the fact that the objective community of fate
created between Scottish and (mainly) English troops at war have made
anti-British rhetoric a high-risk operation for Scottish politicians. Aware
that their constituencies might resent them for creating division among
the troops who are fighting and risking their lives together, the MSPs
have become attentive to include all of the troops in their concerns and
hence to shift the precise terms in which they oppose the powerful to the
powerless.
To deepen this point, consider the following account from an anti-war
MSP, during the Scottish parliamentary debate of 16 January 2003:
to be that social and economic disadvantage that young Scots have been
and are still facing explains why, over a century, Scottish troops have
fought and suffered in disproportionate numbers in Britain’s wars: mili-
tary subjugation reflects and prolongs economic subjugation of Scotland
within the UK.
It is then instructive to contrast Extract 8 with Extract 9. During the
debate of 13 March 2003, just as troops were about to go into action and
at the point (as can be seen from Fig. 8.2) when the Scottish—English
division begins to be supplanted by other constructions of the powerless
versus the powerful, MSP Margaret Ewing, from the Scottish National
Party, stated:
At one level, this is very similar to the previous construction. Much work
is put into constituting the troops as ordinary people like you and me
in terms of who they are, where they live, what they do. Equally, there
is a clear contrast with the pro-war politicians who do not support the
troops and whose war is against the troops’ (and hence our) interests.
In this sense, there is a clear continuity between extracts. But there is
one obvious difference. There is no mention of Scotland or England or
Britain. The troops are not referred to as Scottish troops; they are troops
in general. Concern is not for some troops as Scots, but for all troops as
ordinary people. The government is not referred to as the Westminster
government but as the government full stop. Opposition is not to an
alien administration but to a powerful administration. So, this illustrates
232 Identity, Violence and Power
A final set of arguments takes the cleavage between the people and a nar-
row elite to an international level. From this perspective, the tragedy of
the UK becomes that its leadership is more connected to the attitude of
foreign elites than to the interests of the overall public. Many interven-
tions denounce the arrogance of US elites and their superpower policies,
often together with the submissive policies of the UK leadership. Extract 11
is a case in point.
While in the previous quote the argument was that Blair does not repre-
sent the national ingroup, here it is claimed that he works for a national
outgroup. The image of him sitting “in the rear passenger seat” in Bush’s
car expresses the idea that the head of government himself has lost con-
trol, and that alien interests now dictate British war policies—obviously,
a threatening prospect to all who are forced to embark on the trip.
8.2 T
he Invasion of Iraq and the Scottish
Voters
The second set of findings are based on secondary analyses of the SSA
survey, conducted in 2003 by the Scottish Centre for Social Research
amongst a representative sample of the Scottish resident population aged
18 and above. Most interviews were conducted in May 2003, although
some occurred up to September of that year.
A first analysis tested whether the way that respondents express their
national identities is related to their stance on the war. In the survey,
four items addressed the two dimensions of national identification which
are of interest here: level of identification (Scottish versus British) and
quality of identification (attachment versus pride). The precise wordings
were “How closely attached do you feel to Scotland/Britain as a whole?”
and “How proud are you of being Scottish/British?” War opponents were
defined as respondents who (strongly) agreed with the statement “Britain
was wrong to go to war with Iraq”.
The findings reveal a clear and distinctive pattern of national identifi-
cation among war opponents: attachment to Scotland net of pride (and
net of identification to Britain) substantially increases the likelihood of
holding an anti-war stance. An observed exponential logistic regression
coefficient of 1.39 (the 95 % confidence interval ranged from 1.09 to
1.76) means that the odds of opposing the war increase by more than
234 Identity, Violence and Power
Table 8.3 Multivariate predictors of the separatist opposition (above) versus the
Labour majority (below) vote: partial logistic regression coefficients
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4
Separatist vote
War opponents 1.50** 1.43* 1.23 1.13
(1.13–1.98) (1.08–1.91) (0.90–1.67) (0.82–1.55)
Readers of anti-war – 2.08*** 1.09 1.15
newspapers (1.39–3.10) (0.56–2.14) (0.58–2.29)
War opponents х – – 3.00* 2.81*
Readers of anti-war (1.28–7.08) (1.17–6.75)
newspapers
Attached to Scotland – – – 1.50**
(1.11–2.03)
Proud of being – – – 1.22
Scottish (0.90–1.67)
Attached to Britain – – – 0.91
(0.73–1.15)
Proud of being British – – – 0.57***
(0.46–0.70)
Labour vote
War opponents 0.86 0.88 0.42** 0.43*
(0.65–1.14) (0.68–1.17) (0.26–0.69) (0.26–0.71)
Readers of other – 1.29 0.82 0.76
newspapers (0.97–1.73) (0.57–1.19) (0.52–1.10)
War opponents х – – 3.06*** 3.22***
Readers of other (1.68–5.58) (1.76–5.89)
newspapers
Attached to Scotland – – – 0.96
(0.72–1.27)
Proud of being – – – 1.17
Scottish (0.86–1.60)
Attached to Britain – – – 1.25
(0.99–1.56)
Proud of being British – – – 1.09
(0.89–1.34)
Note: Values significantly higher than 1 indicate a positive relationship between
predictor and outcome variables, values significantly lower than 1 a negative
relationship, stars indicate p-values (*p < 0.05, **p < 0.01, ***p < 0.001) and
numbers inserted in brackets provide the boundaries of the 95 % confidence
interval of the logistic regression coefficient
times higher for war opponents than for those who supported the war
or who had no clear opinion (Model 1). The second model shows that
the strength of this association does not substantially differ after control-
ling for the effect of reading an anti-war newspaper. That is, the effect of
236 Identity, Violence and Power
personal opinion regarding the war is not mediated by the type of news-
paper read. However, the strong interaction effect introduced in Model
3 shows that personal opinion is moderated by newspaper exposure. Only
amongst the readership of an anti-war newspaper did personal opinions
against the war translate into separatist votes. Finally, Model 4 shows that
this pattern holds after controlling for multi-dimensional national iden-
tification, although Scottish attachment and British pride are correlated
with separatist voting (in opposite directions). To conclude, these analy-
ses highlight the fact that the newspapers which disseminated anti-war
positions played an important role in the mobilisation of war opponents
in favour of separatist parties. By contrast, further outcomes (not shown
here) suggested that reading newspapers that disseminated pro-war or
ambivalent positions did not affect the relationship between anti-war
opinions and separatist voting.
The lower portion of Table 8.3 displays equivalent models for voting
for the Labour Party in power. Again, the most significant outcome is the
strong interaction of personal opinion on the war and media exposure.
In this case, reading a newspaper with a supportive or ambivalent stance
regarding the war made the critical difference. War opponents who did
not read such a newspaper were significantly less likely to vote for the
Labour Party. Among the readership of these newspapers, however, the
effect became insignificant and was even reversed. Hence, newspapers
that disseminated pro-war positions appeared to play a role in the demo-
bilisation of war opponents and in all likelihood limited further electoral
losses for the ruling Labour Party.
8.3 E
lite Constructions and Popular
Understandings of War and Nation
To summarise the findings from the first part of our study, it is clear that
the discourse of the pro- and anti-war camps was constructed around
opposed versions of the groups and identities involved in the conflict.
The pro-war camp referred to a narrative of liberation in which war was
necessary to defend ‘ourselves’ and to alleviate the sufferings of others.
The anti-war camp proposed a narrative of aggression in which war was
8 British Warriors and Scottish Voters: When ‘Rallying the Nation’ 237
imposed on ‘us’ by others and was to our detriment. In other words, for
those in favour, this was ‘our war’, based on our values and advancing our
interest. For those against, this was ‘their war’, violating our values and to
the detriment of our interest.
These findings further highlight how the arguments of both the pro-
and anti-war camp are rooted in well-established common sense ways of
viewing the world. Those for the war use a notion of the civilised world
fighting an evil dictator which has become particularly powerful since
World War II, which was certainly central to narratives about the first
Gulf War (Herrera & Reicher, 1998) and which is widely disseminated
within and beyond the UK. Those against the war initially rooted their
opposition in the notion of Scotland’s domination by England within
the UK (and the UK parliament which endorsed the war), and later on,
this set up alternative ways of construing ‘our’ domination by the masters
of war. The significance of this ‘Scottish versus English’ construction is
not only its familiarity and ubiquity (especially during a Scottish election
campaign) but also the fact that it is relatively conventional. Thus, the
anti-war position in Scotland can be anchored in a mainstream view of
the world, and the nature of the debate is marked by the availability of a
respectable way of saying ‘it’s not our war’.
But it isn’t just that such a construction is available. Looking at the
argumentative context of the debate, we see, first, how much effort anti-
war speakers devote to setting up a category system that is congruent
with their stance on the war. Some four out of five of their arguments
were devoted to who is against whom in the conflict (in contrast to about
one out of three arguments only within the pro-war camp). Perhaps this
is due to the fact that the ‘official version’ supported by the ruling par-
ties in both Westminster and the Scottish Parliament, by their publicity
machines and by the majority of the media takes for granted that this is
‘our war’. In order to challenge their influence, great efforts are necessary
to expose and establish an alternative perspective.
Second, we see that these efforts were collective and that they were
conducted with great consistency. Every single intervention from a mem-
ber of a separatist party rooted their argument in the idea that this was
‘not our war’. In the first debate, this stance predominantly translated
into ‘England’s war not Scotland’s’. Then, in subsequent debates, they
238 Identity, Violence and Power
all drew on this to sustain other versions of ‘it’s their war’. No separatist
MSP stepped out of the line, which created a stark contrast to the politi-
cal cacophony displayed by unionist MSPs in general, and by members
of the ruling Labour Party in particular.
This takes us to the importance of the changing course of events.
While the separatists were consistent, they certainly weren’t inflexible.
As events changed, as the possibility of war became the near certainty of
war and then as troops entered into the firing line, so the precise nature
of the anti-war categories changed. Scottish-English gave way to other
versions of a bellicose and dominant ‘them’ imposing war upon ‘us’. The
important thing about theses shifts, we have argued, is that the earlier
division contrasts Scottish soldiers and their families to English (or Welsh
or Northern Irish) troops and their families. The latter includes all British
(and indeed allied) troops and their families as the ‘poor bloody infantry’
who are as ever traduced by their leaders in war. In making the shift, anti-
war proponents cannot be accused of fostering divisions amongst the
troops and thereby endangering them all. They cannot be dismissed as
talking irresponsibly and ignoring the new realities of war. By being both
consistent (in terms of their overall construction) and flexible (in terms of
the precise categories they use), these oppositional politicians apply what
have been classically shown to be the optimal conditions for contesting
the dominant viewpoint (Mugny, 1982).
Turning now to the second part of the findings, focusing on popular
opinion, there are two key findings that we wish to stress. The first is that
being anti-war is clearly related to seeing oneself as Scottish. However,
it is not just that anti-war respondents feel Scottish, but that they do so
without necessarily feeling pride in Scotland. This pattern is akin to what
some have dubbed ‘critical attachment’ or ‘constructive patriotism’ (see
Chap. 7). Often, however, critical attachment or patriotism is seen as
an individual orientation to the nation. Here we suggest that it is more
a matter of assimilating a prevalent discourse in Scotland, where being
critical is part of what it means to be Scottish (see Reicher & Hopkins,
2001). Rather than promoting a stance of ‘my country right or wrong’,
the anti-war elites advance a notion of Scots as a less bellicose people
who will challenge anything and anybody that violates their values—
and hence who challenge the official drive to war. Hence, we can see a
8 British Warriors and Scottish Voters: When ‘Rallying the Nation’ 239
8.4 Conclusion
To summarise, in this chapter we have shown the work done by political
elites in rooting their accounts of identity in various dimensions of con-
text. We have shown in particular how those challenging the status quo
are able to draw on a chronically available understanding of Scottish and
British interests as opposed, and how they spend more effort than those
defending the status quo in creating an explicit, consistent and flexible
240 Identity, Violence and Power
References
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Elcheroth, G., & Reicher, S. (2014). “Not our war, not our country”: Contents
and contexts of Scotish political rhetoric and popular understandings during
the invasion of Iraq. British Journal of Social Psychology, 53(1), 112–133.
Herrera, M., & Reicher, S. (1998). Making sides and taking sides: An analysis
of salient images and category constructions for pro- and anti-Gulf War
respondents. European Journal of Social Psychology, 28(6), 981–993.
Lewis, J. (2004). Television, public opinion and the war in Iraq: The case of
Britain. International Journal of Public Opinion Research, 16(3), 295–310.
Lipson, M. (2009). “If it wasn’t rolling, it never happened”: The role or visual
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and stance in war news: A linguistic analysis of American, British and Italian
television news reporting of the 2003 Iraqi War (pp. 140–169). London:
Continuum.
Mugny, G. (1982). The power of minorities. London: Academic Press.
Reicher, S., & Hopkins, N. (2001). Self and nation. London: Sage.
8 British Warriors and Scottish Voters: When ‘Rallying the Nation’ 241
group boundaries redrawn and new enemies created, when it serves the
political agenda of powerful elites. Here a more weighty literary analogy
can be made to George Orwell’s dystopian masterpiece 1984. As popu-
larly understood, this encapsulates the power of propaganda in the way
that, in a moment, the people of Oceania can be led to forget their hatred
of East Asians and transfer all animosity to the Eurasians.
However, our concern was less with the difference between these two
positions than with the things that they have in common. Put simply,
both provide a linear account of how we arrive at the same outcome:
collective violence. There is some dispute as to the ordering of variables
in this account: does identity come first and power only matters to the
extent that it affects the exercise of identity-based animosities, or does
power come first and identity only matters as a tool in the hands of
leaders? Or rather, to use a motoring metaphor, primordialists contend
that violence is the destination, identity is the driver, and power is the
vehicle. Instrumentalists also regard violence as the destination, but the
remaining two terms are shifted around: power drives, identity is driven.
Throughout this book, we have been highlighting how such concep-
tualisations constrain and construct the nature of the debate. They limit
our curiosity and thereby limit our knowledge. There is far more to dis-
cuss than which of identity and power is the driver and which is the
vehicle. There are so many more issues, so many more uncertainties and
so many more questions.
To start with, we need to interrogate the terms of the debate. In dif-
ferent ways, primordialists and instrumentalists take the nature of iden-
tity as a given in any particular dispute—the primordialists because they
tend to assume that people always see each other in terms of the same
categories whatever the situation, the instrumentalists because they tend
to assume that people will accept whatever categories are presented to
them by elites and are incapable of dissenting, let alone resisting. Yet, this
misses the basic point that, in many cases, the nature of the categories to
a dispute is contested and indeed much of the dispute (and certainly its
outcome) is about precisely what these categories are.
For instance, to invoke a significant moment in recent world history,
was the first Gulf War of 1991 about warmongers pursuing their inter-
ests regardless of the cost to the rest of the population or was it about
Conclusion
245
Violence is of interest not only in terms of what came before but also
because of the way it affects what lies beyond.
In other words, if we are to advance our understanding of collective
conflict and violence we need to address how violence not only arises and
escalates out of identity and power processes but how it also transforms
collective identities, how it shapes ongoing power struggles and how it
reshuffles our possible futures. That was the aim of the second part of our
text.
Towards Triangularity
A central aspect of our analysis has been to conceptualise terms in ways
that are much more relational and communicational than is conven-
tional. This starts with identity. Much research proceeds by asking people
to what extent they see themselves as a man or woman, as white or black,
as Scottish or Swiss, or whatever. If they choose to tick the appropriate
boxes on our questionnaires, we accept what they say and classify them as
‘high identifiers’. No one else is there to gainsay them.
But this is a strangely utopian world. In real life, we might well make
claims to certain identities, but then discover that what sounds entirely
reasonable to us sounds strange to others. If the first author of this book,
born in Luxemburg and living in Lausanne, defines himself as Swiss, his
claim might passed unchallenged at an international conference, but his
Swiss neighbours are likely to question how it goes together with the
colour of his passport, with the intonation of his French, or with his
inability to stand straight on a pair of skis. If the second author, born
in England and living in St. Andrews, claims Scottishness in an unmis-
takable English accent, will he be embraced by others as a fellow Scot?
Would he dare walk into a local pub wearing a kilt knowing that he could
be met with derision? Identity, then, is about more than self-perceptions
and self-definitions. Identities involve the ways we are positioned and
the ways we act in the world, which are as much about the ways others
treat us as the ways we see ourselves. Indeed, they are about the way we
anticipate that others will see and treat us and the way we constrain our
own claims as a result.
Conclusion
247
The Party said that Oceania had never been in alliance with Eurasia. He,
Winston Smith, knew that Oceania had been in alliance with Eurasia as short
a time as four years ago. But where did that knowledge exist? Only in his own
consciousness, which in any case must soon be annihilated. And if all others
accepted the lie which the Party imposed—if all records told the same tale—
then the lie passed into history and became truth. (Orwell, 19491)
Now, if both identity and power are, at least in part, constituted through
the ways that others relate to us, and through our ability to gain knowl-
edge of how they relate to us, then anything which changes such rela-
tions/knowledge of relations will serve to reconfigure identity and power.
This is how violence enters our account. For we argue that violence is
a particularly potent means of changing relations and communications
between people.
Consider, for instance, the case where Hindu extremists have ram-
paged through a street, attacking all the Muslims and leaving alone those
houses marked as Hindu, or the case where Serb vigilantes have gone
into a village, compelled local Serbs to divulge the location of the Croats
amongst them and then assaulted those so identified. After that, how
can things be the same again? The mere possibility that your neighbour
may identify you as a Muslim/Croat—with the terrible consequences
that ensue in a climate of violence—means that you are led to act with
the presumption that you may be viewed as such and also to see them
as a Hindu/Serb—even if you had never done so before. And, as you are
distanced from them and communication with them becomes difficult,
the possibility of breaching these presumptions fades further.
In effect, violence radically alters the contingencies of acting on the
basis of different self-definitions, and the implicit risk calculus they
superpose on social relations. If you act towards your erstwhile neighbour
as still your neighbour, and if you get it right, you will perhaps receive
a measure of companionship and support. But if you get it wrong, you
and your family may be killed in your beds. Even if the odds of getting
it wrong remain low in comparison with getting it right, the perceived
costs or benefits associated with either scenario can prevail over the odds.
In other words, the peculiarity of a violent environment resides in the
fact that it leads people to bet on the unlikely, and to align their behaviour
with the worst-case scenario. What is more, even if individuals opt for
bravery and decide to show solidarity with the new, ethnically defined,
other—treat them as what they have been so far, a simple neighbour—
members of their new (ethnic) ingroup might not let them do so, for fear
of supporting an enemy in their midst.
On the one hand, then, our argument involves a reconceptualisation
of violence as a driving force and not just as a product of prior forces, and
Conclusion
249
Learning from the World
Our three studies addressed three very different areas of conflict: firstly,
Hindu nationalism and communalist tensions in India; secondly, war and
ethnic violence in the former Yugoslavia; thirdly, mobilisations against
the invasion of Iraq in Scotland. The first and the most obvious point to
be made from all three analyses concerns the contested nature of social
categories and the centrality of such contestation to the nature of the
conflict. In the Indian case, the contestation concerns both what catego-
ries are involved, and how those categories should be defined. Or rather,
by redefining the meaning of the core category ‘India’, the nature of the
intergroup relations in which Indians are involved is changed. Thus, by
250 Conclusion
of all Hindus, while others don’t. In this instance violence was a tool
designed to help substantiate the claim that ‘we are of you, we understand
your experience, we act for you’—the key claims of effective leadership
(Haslam, Reicher, & Platow, 2011).
But if influence and power are outputs of invoking violence, this is
not to deny that the exercise of power is also an input to violent social
relations. Indeed, we saw how the Gujarat riots of 2002 are a classic exam-
ple of authorities condoning violence and failing to intervene against it.
As we have stressed, our aim is not to substitute one linear model of
identity-violence-power for another, but rather to discard linearity in its
entirety, to examine the ways in which each term relates to others in dif-
ferent ways at different points in time. Hindu nationalists both use power
to enable violence to occur and use this violence to consolidate power. As
we write, with the Bharatiya Janata Party (Indian people’s party—BJP)
in government and Narendra Modi in office as Prime Minister, it is a
depressingly effective strategy.
Moving now to the former Yugoslavia, we see even more clearly and in
more detail how violence becomes a driving force, specifically in reconfig-
uring identities. The figures are quite stark. Ethnic and religious identity
became entrenched only in the aftermath of violent conflict. Likewise,
forms of cross-ethnic solidarity, which were widespread in 1990, had all
but disappeared by 2006. To recap, perhaps the most dramatic of all our
figures concerns support for ‘mixed’ marriages (the most intense of soli-
darities). Over the period, this fell from 63% to 22% in Croatia and from
67% to 17% in Bosnia among young adults.
The point here, though, is that not only did war change social cat-
egories but also those categories stayed changed after the war was over.
It is not only present violence but also the shadow of past violence that
configures identity and power. That is particularly clear in our analysis
of post-war Croatia, as are the reasons. On the one hand, past violence
can always be invoked to support the narrative of a nation under siege,
always vulnerable, always under potential attack, where survival depends
upon further enforced solidarity. Those who criticise Croatia succour its
enemies and pain its defenders.
On the other hand, where violence forges a new identity (in this case
Croatian nationhood) then to question that violence or those who carried
252 Conclusion
out that violence is not to criticise a contingent aspect of the group, but
its very existence. It is impossible to both claim loyalty to the group and
to oppose the conditions of its formation. So individual critics are left
with one of two choices: either they stay silent or they place themselves in
exile. Either choice contributes to the epistemic isolation of other critics
and renders dissent ever more improbable.
Moving once more, this time to Scotland, we gain further insights
into the ways that particular constructions of identity gain purchase—
and also when they fail to gain purchase. For the first and most obvious
point here is that the ‘official version’ in support of the Gulf war, one
supported both by the UK government and by the devolved Scottish
government, gained only limited support. Between a third and a half
of the Scottish electorate declared themselves ‘angry’ or else ‘disgusted’
by the invasion. What is more, an analysis of political debates suggests
that this opposition is bound up with a rejection of the ‘official’ iden-
tity narrative. As we argue above, supporters of the war characterised
it as a defence of British democratic values against a foreign dictator;
opponents (at least initially) characterised it as an assertion of English
imperialism against a weaker foe.
So why did the dominant version fail, and why particularly in Scotland?
Three factors emerge as particularly important. The first is the way that
the oppositional narrative resonates with other familiar narratives. Ever
since the Thatcherite deindustrialisation of the 1980s hit Scotland’s tradi-
tional heavy industries particularly hard, there has been a strong sense of
Scotland as a victim of English domination. Scotland could be character-
ised as a victim of English colonialism (sometimes dubbed ‘the wretched
of the north’ in clear reference to Fanon’s, 1961/2004, classic anti-colonial
text). The anti-war position was easily assimilated to this familiar story.
Second, the opposition showed considerable rhetorical skill—witcraft,
to use Billig’s (1987) term—in expounding their position. They devoted
particular attention to establishing an alternative construction of iden-
tities to the mainstream and, unlike the mainstream, they were both
consistent (speaking with one voice) and yet flexible in adapting their
‘Goliath versus David’ construction to new circumstances once the war
had started. Consistency combined with flexibility constitutes the ideal
characteristics for minority influence (Mugny, 1982).
Conclusion
253
Third, there was a lively anti-war media in Scotland to let people know
that, if they opposed the war, they were not alone. Unlike the epistemic
isolation which curtailed dissent in Croatia, epistemic validation was
available in the Scottish context and where those against the war were
exposed to such validation (by reading the anti-war media) they were
willing to give political expression to their views.
So, bringing the case studies together, they underline not only the con-
tingent nature of identity, but also the inadequacy of a linear approach
to identity-violence-power. They sustain the need to treat violence as not
just a product but as productive of identity/power; They show how vio-
lence functions by altering epistemic relations between actors; and they
highlight the role of epistemic isolation in sustaining dominant narra-
tives, and hence the importance of maintaining and creating epistemic
fluidity in order to enable opposition. But there is one more key element
which we need to add to this list and which, like the contestation of social
categories, is evident in all three of the case studies.
That extra element is a fresh look at the dynamics of mobilisation,
which has been imminent throughout our discussions. Indeed, mobili-
sation occurs at multiple levels. To start with, insofar as categories are
not naturally given, particular categorical constructions are actively pro-
moted by leaders and active choices are made by followers as to whether
to accept or reject them.
Next, those categories create new constituencies (and destroy old
ones) which deliver the social power to impact the social fabric. In India,
the consolidation of a Hindu constituency has provided a route to state
power for the Hindu nationalist BJP. In Croatia, the occlusion of cleav-
ages based on political and economic inequality diffused the opposition
to Tudjman for a critical period and gave time for the old apparatchiks to
become new oligarchs. In Scotland, the formation of a nationalist con-
stituency that feels ill-served by the UK’s Westminster Parliament lies
behind the relentless rise of Scottish nationalism to the extent that, as we
write in 2016, parties supporting independence now have an absolute
stranglehold on the electoral landscape.
These successes illustrate the fact that the processes we describe do
not just create new constituencies, but consolidate particular individuals
and parties in leadership positions for those constituencies. By invoking,
254 Conclusion
Learning from Perplexity
Having summarised what we have learnt from our studies of specific
case studies, let us now conclude by considering the general lessons that
emerge from our overall analysis. We divide these into conceptual, meth-
odological, and practical implications.
Conceptually, we have sought to challenge models which are based on
identifying root causes and predicting outcomes. But why bother with
analysis if we cannot foretell the future? To borrow from a longstand-
ing critique of economics, aren’t we like the forecaster who cannot tell
you what the weather will be like tomorrow, who probably cannot tell
you whether it will rain today, but who can explain why you needed an
umbrella yesterday?
Our intellectual and practical cases are intermeshed. The reasons for
rejecting the root cause and prediction approach stem from our critique
of linear approaches to identity, violence and power. As we have stressed,
it is more helpful to view these as elements in an interconnected system
where each can be a precursor or an outcome, a moderator or a media-
tor to the others. Moreover, just as each element may impact the others,
so it may itself be impacted and change in the process. As a result, the
route through which one got into a particular configuration of elements
is not necessarily the best way out. It may not even be a possible way out
since, as one moves through the terrain of identity, violence and power,
the terrain itself is changed. Therefore, instead of undertaking the futile
Conclusion
255
But now, at the end of our book, perhaps we can go a little further.
While we still cannot predict outcomes, we can at least identify some
of the levers by which different configurations of identity, violence and
power may be brought about. That is, even if one cannot definitively
say what the outcome of a particular sense-making process will be, the
dynamic triangular model developed in this book points to specific
processes through which certain representations outweigh others, or new
alternatives open up. It invites analysts of social change or activists of
social justice to look more closely at what people think others think—
and at which new channels of communication must open in order to
make available the understandings of others. In the same way that our
model opens new questions, so it identifies new sites where efforts might
be more profitably applied in order to produce a less oppressive and less
violent world.
One direct implication concerns the relationship between generality
and specificity. In moving away from linear and predictive models, we
argue that the relationship between the elements of our model can take
many forms and can be dealt with in many different ways. The most
propitious explanation and the most effective response therefore depend
upon examining how a general analysis (e.g., of the involved psycho-
logical processes) plays out in specific contexts. Analyses of violence must
therefore always be situated rather than abstracted. This, then, takes us on
to the methodological lessons that we draw from this book.
On the one hand, it should be apparent, both from the evidence
adduced in our theoretical chapters and from our own empirical chap-
ters, that we are firm advocates of methodological pluralism. Different
approaches are necessary to ask different questions. For instance, survey
methods and statistical analyses are helpful in identifying general patterns
and their change across time, while close textual analysis helps us identify
the rhetoric constructions of identity and power which sustain those pat-
terns (driving change and/or flourishing when changes occurs). So, our
argument is to retain the broad nature of our methodological tool kit and
not to throw anything out.
On the other hand, we appeal for this tool kit to be made even broader
by including an approach that is much too rarely applied in social psy-
Conclusion
257
chological analyses: the case history study. Moreover, we don’t relegate case
studies to the background—as something which we perform in order to
inform subsequent and supposedly more definitive social psychological
studies. We see them as a full-fledged component of a research design in
their own right.
Case studies are the means par excellence by which we can examine
in their full richness how psychological processes manifest themselves in
specific social contexts and how they manifest themselves differently in
different social contexts. They expose our models to the harsh discipline
of the real world. They tell us whether our models are actually useful in
making sense of the phenomena we purport to explain, they let us know
whether the variables we manipulate in our experiments and the con-
structs we include in our questionnaires are actually relevant or impor-
tant to these phenomena and they alert us to errors of commission and
omission in our thinking. They allow us to develop as well as test out
existing models. It is therefore rare to conduct a case study and not be
forced to adjust these models a little bit at least. Case studies, in other
words, help us learn from the world—and not just declare to the world
that our hypotheses were right.
Case history studies are particularly valuable for examining relatively
rare and unpredictable phenomena such as those that concern us here.
Studying the critical processes through which the fluidity of collective
identity is temporality suspended or violently disrupted is highly chal-
lenging. Such events are a rare species indeed. The challenge is made even
greater by the fact that (by definition) turning points constitute transient
phenomena whose occurrence only becomes obvious in retrospect—when
the opportunity to make direct observations has already passed. As a
consequence, social psychologists need to enrich their methodological
expertise with the kind of instruments that historians resort to in order
to reconstitute past events: archival materials, testimonies and other oral
histories, retrospective surveys, secondary sources and so on. What is
more, we need not only to study the past but also to study how the legacy
of the past shapes the path from the present into the future; that is, how
collective memories shape present options (as well as how present agen-
das reshape collective memories).
258 Conclusion
References
Billig, M. (1987). Arguing and thinking: A rhetorical approach to social psychology.
Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Haslam, S. A., Reicher, S. D., & Platow, M. J. (2011). The new psychology of
leadership: Identity, influence and power. London: Psychology Press.
Conclusion
259
Herrera, M., & Reicher, S. (1998). Making sides and taking sides: An analysis
of salient images and category constructions for pro- and anti-Gulf War
respondents. European Journal of Social Psychology, 28(6), 981–993.
Mugny, G. (1982). The power of minorities. London: Academic Press.
Noelle-Neumann, E. (1984/1993). The spiral of silence: Public opinion—Our
social skin (2nd ed.). Chicago and London: The University of Chicago Press.
Orwell, G. (1949). Nineteen eighty-four. London: Secker & Warburg.
Index
A C
accountability, 26–33 case histories, 149, 247–57
ancient hatreds, 3–35 clash of civilizations, 5, 6, 8, 11
anti-war protest, 215–20, 224 Cold War
apartheid, 32, 88, 109 emergency rehearsal, 115
Arendt, Hannah, 50–3 collective agency, 85–8
authoritarian personality, 41 collective guilt, 195, 196,
196n2
collective memory, 18, 42, 106–12,
B 124, 143–8, 164
Balkan Ghosts, 30 colonialism
banal nationalism divide-and-rule, 145
and mobilisation, 217 in India, 148
in Croatia, 112 in Rwanda, 49, 82, 145
banality of evil, 50–3 communication
Billig, Michael, 17, 21, 79, 111, implicit, 79
112, 217 conformity bias, 43–8
Brubaker, Rogers, 8, 147 critical junctures, 129–50
Burgundian, 18 critical media, 9, 81
E H
elections, 135, 137, 139, 140, 161, Hindu nationalism
167, 216 Arya Samaj, 175, 176
epistemic isolation Indian Peoples Party (BJP), ix,
and discrimination, 77, 78, 80 156–61, 167, 172, 251,
and epistemic coordination, 77–80 253, 254
and media repression, 123, 136, revivalism, 175
186, 198, 209 Sangh Parivar, 179
in extermination camps, 55, 56, 64 World Hindu council (VHP),
in the Milgram experiment, 58n1 155–69, 177
ethnic Hobsbawm, Eric, 101, 118
competition theory, 20, 22 humanitarian aid, 103
conflict, 8, 11, 18, 24, 73, 75, Huntington, Samuel, 5, 8, 11–13,
135, 147, 183–6, 189 17, 20, 31, 116
Index
263
P
K Paluck, Elisabeth, 82, 239
kinship, 9–11, 13, 20, 32, 33 parliamentary debates, 218, 219,
225
perplexity, v–viii, xvi–xvii, 254–8
L persecuting society, 146
leadership, 8, 27–9, 34, 35, 39, Peterson, Roger, 27
45, 65, 107, 122, Pluralistic Memories Project, xx–xxi
129–50 power struggles, 10, 129–43
prediction, x–xiv, 6, 115, 254–5
primordialism, 3–26
M prisons, 55
Macek, Ivana, 102, 103, 105
mass media influence, 81, 82, 84,
90, 93, 94, 184, 211, 215, R
219, 239 rally effects
Milgram, Stanley, 40–5, 48, 52, 53, in Serbia, 132
58–64 in the UK, 133
Milosevic, Slobodan, 40, 132, 133, realistic conflict theory, 13–6, 21
140, 141 resilience, 53, 102–4, 217–8,
Minorities at Risk, 121, 136 229–33
264 Index
U
S Underground, 109
Sarajevo
siege, 100, 105
trenches, 104, 105, 183, 184 V
self-fulfilling prophecies, 141–2 violence, 3, 4, 6–8, 17–20, 24–35,
self-sustaining conflicts, 121 48, 73, 99–125
Sherif, Muzafar, 14, 15, 21, 22
social dominance theory, 46–8
social identity theory, 21, 24, 77 W
social representation theory war against terror, 221
meta-representations, 80–2 Wilkinson, Steve, 25, 138, 139, 160,
shared knowledge, 77–80 161, 168, 173
Stanford Prison Experiment, 43, 48, World War I
54, 57 outbreak, 40, 119
system justification theory, 46, 48
Y
T Yugoslav Public Opinion Studies
Tajfel, Henri, 21–3, 77 (YPOS), 185–91
terrorist threat
in US, 144
trial Z
Abu Ghraib, 48, 49 Zimbardo, Phil, 43–6, 48, 49, 54, 58