The Kashmir dispute between India and Pakistan began at partition in 1947 and involves competing claims over the territory of Jammu and Kashmir. India controls approximately two-thirds of the region, including the Kashmir Valley, while Pakistan controls a third, including Azad Kashmir. The dispute remains unresolved despite several UN resolutions calling for a plebiscite to determine the will of the Kashmiri people. Violence in Kashmir has escalated at various points since partition, including an armed insurgency against Indian rule that began in 1989. Recent tensions have been exacerbated by attacks on Indian security forces claimed by militant groups based in Pakistan.
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Kashmir Issue
The Kashmir dispute between India and Pakistan began at partition in 1947 and involves competing claims over the territory of Jammu and Kashmir. India controls approximately two-thirds of the region, including the Kashmir Valley, while Pakistan controls a third, including Azad Kashmir. The dispute remains unresolved despite several UN resolutions calling for a plebiscite to determine the will of the Kashmiri people. Violence in Kashmir has escalated at various points since partition, including an armed insurgency against Indian rule that began in 1989. Recent tensions have been exacerbated by attacks on Indian security forces claimed by militant groups based in Pakistan.
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Kashmir issue:
“There is no greater tyranny than that which is
perpetrated under the shield of law and in the name of justice” Montesquieu. Introduction: The Jammu and Kashmir dispute referred to as Kashmir dispute is the core issue between Pakistan and India that has strained relations between the 2 countries since Aug 1947. It is also a known fact that the perceptions of India and Pakistan about what constitutes the dispute are totally different. Pakistan regards it as an unfinished agenda of the partition of the sub-continent in 1947. India on the other hand regards it as a territorial issue and asserts that Jammu and Kashmir is an integral part of India and that Pakistan is occupying Indian Territory. The impasse has resulted with India occupying 2/3rd of the territory of Jammu and Kashmir and Pakistan administering 1/3rd with an UN recognized ceasefire line separating them. Pakistan has always maintained the stance for holding a plebiscite in Kashmir as stipulated in a UN resolution. India after abrogation of Article 370 of its constitution has stripped Kashmir of its status of an independent state. The move has strengthened India’s stance at international level giving it flexibility to move around legal obligations. Pakistan utilizing its political, diplomatic and economic resources can move around only so much bearing limited fruits as India enjoys cordial diplomatic relations with major powers. Importance of Kashmir: Kashmir has been referred to as the most dangerous place on Earth, The prospects of 2 nuclear powers facing off across such a comparatively small space is frightening. The 3 major wars have been fought over the years only heighten the fear that now exists given their advanced technology. Global and regional implications aside the instability and lack of any conclusive resolution to the political dispute have left the population of Kashmir divided and uncertain about their future. Geography of Kashmir: The state of Jammu and Kashmir is landlocked region with a total area of 2, 22,236 sq.km. Of this 78,114 sq.km falls under Pakistan administered Kashmir and 37,555 sq.km under China. In addition to this 5,180 sq.km of J&K territory were ceded to China by Pakistan under the March 1963 Sino-Pak boundary agreement. The state’s share a 221 km international boundary with Pakistan in the Jammu region and 365 km with China along Ladakh. The line of Control which divides the Indian and Pakistan administered parts of Jammu and Kashmir is 1001 km long border. History: The modern state of J&K evolved from the Dogra heartland in Jammu as the home of many different ethnic groups and a diverse set of cultures. In 1834 Ladakh was conquered and incorporated into the state. Baltistan was conquered and annexed by the Dogras in 1840. The valley of Kashmir joined in 1846 when the British sold it to the Sikh ruler Gulab Singh for 7.5 million rs. In 1935 Gilgit was leased to the British for 60 years. The British terminated the lease in 1947. Aksai Chin came under the Chinese control in 1962 following the Sino Indian war that year. Poonch joined the state in 1936 as the result of a judicial agreement. After their 1st war over Kashmir in 1947-48 India and Pakistan signed a cease fire agreement on Jan 1st 1949 and Pakistan went to war over Kashmir again in 1965 and the resulting line of control divided old Jammu and Kashmir into 4 political units: Ladakh and Jammu and Kashmir valley (Indian administered Kashmir) Azad Kashmir (Pakistan administered Kashmir) Northern areas i.e. Gilgit,Baltistan (administered by Pakistan) Aksai Chin (Controlled by China) History of conflicts: State of Jammu and Kashmir consist of Valley which is dominated by Muslim, Laadakh which is dominated by Buddhists and Jammu which is dominated by Hindus. After the 1st Angelo-Sikh war of 1845-46 Kashmir was ceded to the EIC under the Treaty of Lahore and after a short while the British then sold it to Maharaja Gulab Singh for an amount of 7.5 million Rs under the Treaty of Amritsar. Gulab Singh was succeeded by Pratab and Hari Singh respectively. The Sikh rulers of the state were tyrannical towards their Muslim subjects. They closed the Srinagar Jamia Masjid, banned cow slaughter and Azan and imposed heavy taxes on the Muslims. Consequently the first Muslim uprising took place in Doda district in 1931 which was brutally crushed by the Sikhs. In 1931 Sheikh Abdullah formed the All Jammu and Kashmir Muslim Conference which was later renamed ass National conference in 1939. In 1934 the first legislative assembly of Kashmir was formed. In 1947 when the partition took place according to the principle of religious majority and geography Kashmir was naturally to be annexed with Pakistan. However the Sikh Maharaja thought that a delay in accession will be helpful in remaining independent. Meanwhile Kashmiri Muslims sensing his intentions rose against him and were joined by the tribesmen from Pakistan. The Maharaja called Indian army for help but India promised help on the condition that the Maharaja sign an instrument of Accession which was signed on Oct 25 1947 and Indian forces landed in Kashmir on Oct 27 1947. Due to the insurgency India took the issue to UN on Jan 1 1948. Following the formation of UNCIP the UNSC resolution of April 24 1948 came into being and stated that both India and Pakistan desire that the question of accession of Jammu and Kashmir should be decided through the democratic method of free and impartial plebiscite. Over the next 4 years 4 new resolutions were passed by the UN which called for the withdrawal of forces by both Indian and Pakistan for the holding of a free and fair plebiscite. 11 proposals for demilitarization were also presented which were accepted by Pakistan and rejected by India. On July 23rd 1962 UNSC tried to pass a resolution that would enable the council to impose its decision regarding plebiscite in Kashmir on both the parties. Russia vetoed it to favor India. In the wake of 1971 war India and Pakistan signed the Simla agreement. Indians accuse that under this agreement Pakistan accepted LOC as an international border and the dispute to be settled bilaterally. However the facts are that this agreement did not alter the status of Jammu and Kashmir as a disputed territory because: 1. Para 6 of the agreement list a final settle of Jammu and Kashmir as one of the outstanding questions awaiting a settlement. 2. Para 4 (ii) talks of a line of control as distinguished from an international border. Furthermore it protects the recognized position of either sides. 3. Article 1 (IV) refers to the Kashmir issue when it talks of the basic issues and causes of conflict which have ruined the relations between the 2 countries for the last 25 years. In 1987 following a controversial state election in Kashmir the Kashmiri people rose up against the Indian government and a people’s revolt began. During 90’s almost 100k Kashmiris lost their lives a vast majority of whom were civilians. Currently 750 million Indian security personnel are deployed there that means one Indian soldier for every 3 Kashmiris. In 1999 Kargil conflict again brought Kashmir to limelight. This dispute continues till date and is now considered a flash point between the 2 countries. Population distribution in J&K: Jammu total 15.29 lac: 1. 107489 Muslims 2. 1289240 Hindu 3. 133229 Others Ladakh total 1.33 lac: 1. 19057 Muslims 2. 88635 Buddhist 3. 22882 Hindu 4. 2913 Others Srinagar total 12.79 lac: 1. 1238829 Muslims 2. 42450 Hindu Kargil total 1.40 lac: 1. Hindu 10341 2. Buddhists 20126 3. Others 2296 Events that led up to the conflict: In 2016 a series of violent protests erupted in the Muslim- majority Kashmir valley in the Indian administered state of J&K. It started with the killing of Burhan Wani a militant commander of the Kashmir based Hizbul Mujahideen by Indian security forces on July 8 2016. After his killing anti-Indian protests started in all 10 districts of the Kashmir valley. Protesters defied curfew with attacks on security forces and public properties. Curfew was imposed in all 10 districts of the valley on July 15 and mobile services were suspended by the government. Kashmir valley remained under 53 days of consecutive curfew which was lifted from all areas on August 31st however was re imposed in some areas the next day. J&K police and Indian paramilitary forces used pellet guns, tear gas shells, rubber bullets as well as assault rifles resulting in the deaths of more than 90 civilians with over 15k injured. 2 security personnel also died while over 4k personnel were injured in the riots. On 14 th Feb 2019 a convoy of vehicles carrying security personnel on the Jammu and Srinagar highway was attacked by a vehicle borne suicide bomber at Lethopra in the Pulwama district J&K. The attacke resulted in the deaths of 49 CRPF personnel and the attacker. The responsibility for the attack was allegedly claimed by Islamist militant group Jaish-e-Mohammed. The attacker was Adil Ahmad Dar a local from Pulwama district and an allegedly member of Jaish-e-Mohammed. India blamed Pakistan for the attack which Pakistan condemned and denied. Kashmiri students living in other parts of India faced backlash after the attack including violence and harassment and eviction from their homes. On 26 Feb 2019 India claimed that 12 Mirage 2000 jets of the IAF crossed the LOC and dropped bombs into Balakot, Pakistan. India also claimed that it attacked a Jaish-e- Mohammed training camp and killed a large number of terrorists reported to be between 300 and 350. Pakistan claimed that they quickly scrambled jets to intercept the IAF jets which dropped their payloads in forest bordering areas to quickly return over the LOC. On 27 Feb 2019 PAF conducted airstrike in J&K in retaliation for the Indian airstrike the day before. Both Pakistan and India agreed that no damage was caused by Pakistan’s airstrike. However in an ensuing dogfight between Indian and Pakistan jets 2 Indian Mig-21 jets were shot down by Pakistan and one of the plane’s pilot was captured. Pakistan released the pilot on 1st March 2019 as a good will gesture. Following this India deployed tens of thousands of additional Indian troops and everything was shut down after which the government stunned everyone by saying it was revoking nearly all of the articles which had been the basis of Kashmir’s complex relationship. How it all began: India/ BJP led government reversed the special status of Kashmir given in the Indian constitution (Article 370 & 35A). The special status given to Kashmir was primarily under 2 articles: Article 370: With the exception of defense, foreign policy, communication and currency which will be with New Delhi rest of the affairs will be with Kashmir and they will be autonomous in this matter. Article 35A: Every non-Kashmiri Indian citizen was not allowed to have a domicile of Kashmir or its citizenship. Citizenship would be only given based on domicile which would be given based on property i.e. if they have property in Kashmir they would get the citizenship. Indians cannot have the privileges of citizenship in Kashmir such as voting in Kashmir, contesting election in Kashmir for any form of government, becoming a member of the public service commission of Kashmir etc. Following the abrogation of article 370 and 35-A the dynamics of Kashmir would now verge towards establishing a status quo by India along the Line of Control. India’s action with respect to Kashmir highlight the fact that India wanted to drag the Kashmir issue to that extent where Pakistan is diplomatically and politically weak enough to yield before India’s will. Policies adopted by Modi Government: The policies adopted by Modi for reversal of this special status were: Legal policies: Governor of Kashmir advised the president of India to issue an ordinance in which the special status of Kashmir should be reversed by removing the articles 370 and 35A. Ordinance is an executive order but has the power of law for 3 months and is always issued by the president. If within 3 month the parliament endorses it becomes a law, if not it is considered null and void and dies down. Following the instructions of the governor the president issued the ordinance and was endorsed by the Indian parliament (lok Sabha and Rajiya Sabha) by 2/3rd majority. Administrative policies: The special status of Kashmir has been taken away. Not even that the status of a state is also taken away and has been converted/divided into 2 union territories namely Jammu and Kashmir valley which would have its own elected assembly and government but the governor would be more powerful and the government would be basically a puppet government. Second union territory namely Ladakh which would not have its own assembly and government but would be governed by a deputy governor who would be the all in all. All the means that directly the President would control Kashmir and would be the all in all. Even if we agree that one country one law even though according to UN it is not India’s territory and is disputed but still Modi has not only removed the special status of Kashmir but also removed the status of a state from Kashmir. Secondly the restriction on citizenship in Kashmir for Indians and non-Kashmiri has been taken away and abolished. Now any Indian can become the citizen of Kashmir. How? If any Indian is allowed to purchase land in Kashmir meaning they would be given its domicile and eventually its citizenship and ultimately they would be able to join and entertain all the benefits and privileges that the Kashmiri citizens are given. The other part is that there has been imposed prolonged curfew. Since August 5th 2019 there is nonstop curfew in Kashmir which is the longest ever in the history of Kashmir which was not even lifted off during the cold seasons of December, January and Feb during which the life stops in Kashmir due to cold weather. Also there is communication black out i.e. mainstream media is closed both national and international, electronic or non-electronic. Similarly social media, telephone service (certain areas restrictively open i.e. only for incoming calls but over whelming closed) closed. Excessive use of force by India military and para military troops under special protection act. There are around 900 thousand military and para military troops deployed in Kashmir. 700 thousand plus troops were deployed before reversing the special status. An addition 1 lac 80K were then brought after reversing. Total population of Kashmir 8 lac meaning 1 military troop for 1 citizen. Police is not mentioned here. The military and para military has the policing power. They enjoy special powers i.e. they can capture any individuals which is the job of the police, any person could be picked up and taken and imprisoned for 2 years without any charge. All these are under special protection act. 13 thousand plus Kashmiris have been picked up along with their political leadership that was in favor of Pakistan such as PDP and National conference. Security personals are not responsible in court of law for killing or violating any other human right violation and are not answerable for it. Political policies: Meaning within India and Kashmir. First the Kashmir based policies were that India claimed that Kashmir political leadership were corrupt. They did not play their role in the development of socio economic areas of Kashmiri people and instead made themselves billionaires such as National Conference led by Sheikh Abdullah etc, PDP led by Mufti legacy. Therefor to bring socio economic development in Kashmir it is a must to get rid of this political leadership at national level and can only be done when the role of the center is increased in Kashmir as till now center has only limited power regarding matters of money, defense etc. In 2014 elections in Kashmir BJP political mantra was this and also that one country one law why special status. In addition Modi government at national level continued to follow the hinduotwa policy i.e. Hindu superiority. One of the demand of hinduotwa was to remove the special status of Kashmir. In 2019 they had the same policy and was this time one of the key point of electoral manfestative. In addition in 2014 mission 44 was planned which fortunately failed. In this mission BJP to secure 44 seats out of 87 seats in Kashmir. In short they wanted simple majority and then would collation government with independent members and would then remove the special status by passing a resolution from the Kashmir assembly. BJP managed to only get 27 seats. During this election only 2% people voted. It was a fully engineered election still though they managed only to get 27 seats. In Dec 2018 before going to national elections in 2019 in India governor rule was imposed. Diplomatic policies: To reduce/neutralize international backlash Indian government used its economic card very well. Neither US nor UK nor France nor Germany nor even Muslim countries like UAE, KSA and Iran opposed India. The reason for this was because of the economic importance of India for the respective countries. India is the 2nd largest market for US defense goods after KSA. After Japan and China India is the 3rd largest exporting market for US goods. Citizen of US industrialists have been installing their industries in India. The same applies on other European countries and other Middle Eastern countries. India has been on the major exporting market for countries like KSA, Iran etc. In addition they have major investments in India. E.g. 26% share bought by KSA in reliance. In addition to this Modi stance was that this reversal was an internal matter of India and no one would be allowed to intervene of interfere in the internal matters of India. Thirdly they argued that the unrest in Kashmir was caused due to involvement of Pakistan. They tried to externalize the Kashmir issue. Modi government like his tried to blame to Pakistan e.g. like Pulwama attack, Uri attack even though it was later proved that it was locally done. They also did Arial strikes in Pakistan which was a failed attempt in Feb 2019. Similarly in 2016 they did surgical strikes which was wrongfully claimed and was proved by Pakistan. Thus this was how India successfully portrayed the Kashmir freedom movement as terrorism a global environment was in its favor. Indian Narrative: Supporters: The supporters of Modi and the one who want a strong central known as centralists and followers of hinduotawa supported the procedure adopted by Modi stating that the special status given to Kashmir is reversed just as it was added in the constitution i.e. article 370 was added in the constitution in 1949 through presidential ordinances endorsed by the parliament. Similarly 35A was added in 1954 through presidential ordinance endorsed by the Parliament. Both were brought in through this procedure and were removed through the same procedure. This is one of the argument given by them. The other argument that was given was that when Kashmir assembly is not in session and there is governor rule/raj, the governor has the power to advice the president to issue an ordinance and that is what he did. Hence India used its legal power. Thirdly one country one law no special status and everybody is equal so why should Kashmir have a special status being a part of India. These were the opinion of the supporters. In addition they also claim that the decision of the Maharaja Hari Singh to accede to the Indian Union regardless of its circumstances is final and legal and it cannot be disputed. If there is any unfinished business of partition it is the requirement that Pakistan relinquish control of the part of Jammu and Kashmir that it illegally occupies. They also claim that the UN resolution calling for the will of the people are no longer tenable because Pakistan has not fulfilled the precondition of withdrawal from the territory it occupied through aggression. According to them one of the major problems in the Kashmir issue is one of terrorism sponsored by Pakistan. Against: In turn the ones who opposed them were federalists those who want weak centers strong unit, seculars who want that religion should not have role in government, liberals, international jurists a.k.a legal experts. They state that the legal procedure adopted by Modi is illegal and is not constitutionally correct. Though it was added through a presidential ordinance and endorsed by parliament in 1949 and 1954 but it can only be reversed by the will of the Kashmiri public and Kashmir elected representative assembly which consist of Kashmiri public and which represent the will of the Kashmiri public. If the pass a resolution with 2/3rd majority which would then go to upper house which would also have to pass it with 2/3rd majority and then the president would have to sign it and this is the legal procedure. Only then will the special status of Kashmir be reversed. Secondly they state that during governor raj the governor does have the power to issue an ordinance but on matters of administrative and financial issues and not constitutional issues. Thirdly they argue that the way the special status was reversed is violation of the accession treaty which was signed between ruler of Kashmir Maharaja Hari Singh and Indian governor general in which India agreed and promised that Kashmir would retain and enjoy its special status with the exception of 4 matters. It was also stated in this treaty that non-Indian citizens would not be given citizenship in Kashmir. They also argue that it is violation against the fore fathers of Indian constitution because Mr Nehru the then PM of India 1954 added 35A and said on the floor of the lok Sabha said, “Special status given to Kashmir is iron-clad.” What he meant by it was that it was permanent and center could not reverse it. It could only be reversed with the will of the Kashmiri people and their 2/3rd majority. The international jurist further argue that reversing the special status and implementing the Indian administrative laws in Kashmir is even the violation of UN charter i.e. 1949 UN resolution of UN security council in which they said that neither India not Pakistan are allowed to make administrative changes in Kashmir and that is exactly what Indians did by giving Non-kashmiri’s the right of citizenship and purchasing properties. Pakistani Narrative: Pakistan has always supported Kashmiris struggle in letter and spirit. They have maintained that J&K has been a disputed territory. Response of Kashmiri’s: For the first time in History of Kashmir all the political leadership has turned against India. They would always be divided into 2 major categories: That are against India that are a combination of political parties consisting of Gillani sab, Asyan andrabi, Yaseen Malik etc. They have always been in favor of independence from India and part of Pakistan Those who were in favor of India e.g. PDP, National conference and consists of Mehbooba mufti. They have even turned against the Indians as stated in her tweet and press conference that reversing the special status of Kashmir has made me realize not going with Pakistan in 1947 on the basis of 2 nation theory was a blunder made by our elders which the present generation of Kashmir is suffering for. She was the Ex Cm of Indian occupied of Kashmir. Umar Abdullah and Farooq Abdullah had almost the same opinion that there was only 1 major reason for Kashmir to be with India which was its special status and Modi has stabbed us in the back and we would fight till the end to get this special status back. Resultantly the political leader was imprisoned under the special protection act. In addition the intensity of the response is unknown because there is media blackout and curfew and communication black out but still there are numerous instances that there is intensified response of the public. 13K plus Kashmiri’s have been picked up. The opposition leader in Indian parliament Ghulam Nabi Azad after visiting Jammu and Kashmir said, “The prisons in Kashmir are full. The rest houses in Kashmir are being declared as jail. There are unidentified houses that have been converted to jails. Many of the Kashmiri’s have been transferred to jail in other parts of India.” Once the curfew is lifted the intensity of the reaction will be known but India is not lifting the curfew. Response of the world: Majority of the countries did not oppose India but some did such as China, Turkey, and Malaysia. Major Powers can do little as India for them in economic terms is the single largest trading partner with its growing economic prospects as compared to Pakistan that is currently facing a crumbling economy. China can only help Pakistan to the extent that it can support the Kashmir cause under the guidelines of the UN while it lacks any significant influence over New Delhi itself. Russia and India have a significant bilateral relationship. The changing tilt of India towards the US and the emerging political and military relationship between Pakistan and Russia can come into play for Pakistan during the current scenario however it should be kept in mind that Russia’s tilt towards us is minimal. However despite all this there has been certain responses by the world such as: UN Security Council after 54 years brought forward the issue of Kashmir. A meeting was convened twice after 54 years. Its statement included its curfew must be lifted, human violations must be stopped, both countries should solve the problem of Kashmir together. UN security general (UNSG) said it again and again the same thing International court of Justice press release said that the reversal of special status and human rights violation is not only the violation of UN charter but also the violation of Indian constitution, we are looking forward to the decision of Indian Supreme Court. Till today Supreme Court is quiet and will remain quiet. UN human rights commission said that curfew is the human right violation and the international community should force the Modi government to stop it. The amnesty commission said the same. Genocide watch 2019 December report stated that Modi government is involved in organized killings and crimes against Kashmiris. Media organizations such as BBC, CNN, Al-Jazeera etc is of the same opinion President Donald Trump offered to mediate the issue of Kashmir. Response of Pakistan: Pakistan’s parliamentary special Kashmir committee has neglected the Kashmir cause at political and diplomatic level. It has suffered a major loss at the international level in the content of propagating Indian political and military atrocities in the region. Kashmir being a major water source to the region hold a key strategic importance for Pakistan. However despite all this Pakistan has had their fair share of opportunities and they have seized it correctly. Severing relations with India. Downsizing diplomatic relations by calling back our high commissioner and sending back their high commissioner. We closed our borders with India i.e. all crossing points. We closed the train services. Around 800 million dollars imports from Pakistan to India were stopped. We are not allowing India to use its airspace. Indian PM and President has repeatedly requested Pakistan to allow India to use their airspace. For the 1st time Pakistan has comparatively adopted a much comprehensive approach to counter Modi. We downsized our relations with India. This was a hard core step. In addition Pakistan has been continuously launching protests across Pakistan, Rallies in AJK especially from Muzaffarabad to Rallies which got international coverage and even UN representatives came, PM Khan spoke in the rallies in Muzaffarabad, Protest in UK in front of Indian high commission which had Pakistani’s, Sikhs, Kashmiris. In addition we have had protests in different parts of the world e.g. Berlin etc. The driving force was government of Pakistan. We accessed the international media and made them write articles i.e. in Al-Jazeera, Washington times, World times etc. We accessed humanitarians and made them write articles. New York time in its history for the first time gave pectoral representation of 4 pages and 8 sides about the story of Kashmir. Respective leaders of countries who were allies and non-allies were approached so that governments and parliamentary members of that country could be influenced. The foreign ministry of Pakistan played a vibrant role. They arranged protests. They succeeded in bringing the Kashmir dispute on international forum especially the UN Security Council platform after 54 years. Also it was brought in OIC. The foreign minister of Pakistan and President of Kashmir played a major role in bringing Kashmir issue in UK. The PM of Pakistan Mr. Khan has played a leading role in internationalizing the Kashmir dispute once again. The Modi government also played a role by using of force and removal of special status of Kashmir but the PM played a bigger role because Mr. Khan used the global forums quiet effectively to uphold the Kashmir issue against India. The speech of Mr. Khan in UNGA for 23 minutes was excellent. In UN general assembly he did side line meetings with 70 different leaders. In world economic forum platform he successfully/ vibrantly used it and also did side line meetings. He personally accessed the world political leaders of almost all the countries. The PM said that he would become the voice of Kashmiris and he has been trying to be the voice of Kashmiris for some time. Pakistan engaged with the international community including the US, China, Russia, EU and the Arab states to urge India to lessen the hostility, reduce military and air force alert level and demobilization of its military assets across the LoC and the international border with Pakistan. Kashmir issue solutions: Overall there had been some 49 different kinds of solutions for Kashmir issue but no one has been accepted. Few popular ones were: 1. Owen Dixon Plan: Sir Owen Dixon a judge of the Australia high court came to the sub-continent in 1950 proposed: Hindu Majority Jammy and Ladakh to be annexed with India AJK and Gilgit Baltistan were to be retained by Pakistan While in the valley after a referendum the areas north of river Chenab shall join Pakistan and those located shouth shall join India. 2. Chenab Formula: It was presented in 1960’s which would see Kashmir divided along the line of river Chenab. This would give the cast majority of land to Pakistan and the entire Muslim majority valley would be brought in to Pakistan. Under this plan 6 districts of Kashmir valley i.e. Srinagar, Baramulla, Budgam, Kupwara, Pulwama and Anantang are to be granted sovereign status except for foreign policy. POL and the northern areas would become part of Pakistan. In return India would get the Hindu dominated districts of Jammu, Kathua and Udhampur as well as Ladakh. The LOC would shift east wards to include Pooch, Rijouri and Doda to Pakistan and be deemed the international border. 3. Musharraf’s 4 point formula. In 2006 General Musharraf who believed both Pakistan and India would have to retreat from positions held since 1948 came up with 4 point formula. This 4 point solution to Kashmir issue included the demilitarization and self-governance with joint supervision mechanism. The 4 point formula included: Kashmir should have the same borders but free movement across the region be allowed for people on both sides of LOC. There should be self-governance or autonomy but not independence Region should be demilitarized i.e. phased wised withdrawal of troops from the region. A mechanism should be devised jointly so that the road map for Kashmir is implemented smoothly. Musharraf’s 4 point formula brought 5 major shifts in Pakistan decades long stand on Kashmir. These 5 major changes were: Setting aside the UN’s resolution on plebiscite Self-governance substation for self-determination Pakistan’s advice to Kashmiris to talk to new Delhi Forsaking religion as criterion Accepting the LOC provided it is combined with joint management an issue pre-eminently liable to compromise He suggested 4 step approach for implementation of solution. There should be an agreement that Kashmir is the central problem between the 2 states Identification of those loci and plans that are unacceptable to the other side Take up considerations of other proposals Solutions acceptable to Pakistan, India and Kashmiri people should be agreed There was also an appraisal clause in the Musharraf formula that after 7 or 15 or more years it would be discussed to the people and if they agree with it the arrangement will be deemed as final settlement on the Kashmir problem. But if they say no then another mechanism will have to be advanced to determine the desire of the people in all these regions comprising of Jammu and Kashmir and India and Pakistan. Thus there are certain obstacle in implementing 4 point formula of Musharraf especially when Musharraf himself is not in power but the fact remains there that Musharraf 4 point formula showed the willingness of Pakistan from its historical stance of seeking a plebiscite for Kashmiri people according to the UN resolutions. 4. PM Nawaz Sharif 4 point solution. PM Nawaz Sharif addressed the 70th session of UNGA on Sep 30 2015. He proposed a 4 points agenda to initiate peace with India. Pakistan and India formalize respect 2003 understanding of complete ceasefire on LOC Pakistan and India reaffirm they will not resort to or threat to use force Steps to demilitarize Kashmir Steps to withdraw troops from Siachen. What can Pakistan do? It’s up to Pakistan to devise a solution to the Kashmir issue. There is significant decrease in support of Kashmiri struggle and there is subsequent division on Kashmiri armed resistance by India including mainstream political leadership. Pakistan can use electronic and print media along with diplomatic and political platform to further the implications of Kashmir issue. Pakistan for a long time has shown military restraint toward Indian aggression in Kashmir along the LoC but it should be understood by New Delhi not to test our resolves any further. While Pakistan holds significant military capability to engage Indian military the only reason for abstaining from exercising a military option is to avoid a conflict that would result in the suffering of the millions of people in the region. Pakistan has the following options: Projecting the hard image of India. Modi government has repeatedly given an opportunity to Pakistan and the world leaders to comment or to make an opinion of India. India is being governed by RSS led ideology hinduotwa. BJP is the off-shot of RSS and is faithfully following its ideology. RSS promotes Hindu nationalism that India is for Hindus and not for the members of other religions. Muslims and Christians are either invaders, settlers or converters and that is why they should not have equal citizenship rights. Indian government/ state must promote Hinduism in India. Indian state must expand beyond its borders or its original borders I.e. full South Asia. They also want to destroy the mosques. There are 1400 + mosques. These all are the ideology of RSS and BJP within their written document. Gandhi was killed by the then leader of RSS. They were banned and came forward with multiple names. The rise of BJP b/w 1985-1989 was because in Gujrat assembly there were 2 seats of BJP in 1985 and in 1988 it was 89 seats because they continued to follow the policy of hinduotawa. Their main point was to demolish the Babari masjid and make in its place the Ram Mandir. The increasing hinduotawa or Hindu nationalism in Hindu judiciary especially in judiciary court. All the political leaders of BJP have been from RSS e.g. Wajpayee, Anterior minister amit shah, PM Modi etc. In 2019 citizenship act was amended and the amendments was that anyone who settled in India 5 or more years ago would be given citizenship but not to Muslims. The Muslims of Asam would prove their identity according to the National register of citizenship (NRC). Amit Shah says after Asam this will apply on Bengal. Their main idea is to convert a Muslim majority state into Hindu majority state. Modi is trying to convert Muslim majority state into Hindu majority state by bringing demographic change in Kashmir by removing the restrictions of citizenship and now any Indian can become the member of Kashmir. As per UN resolution 1949 India is bound for a referendum but in present Kashmir 67% + population is of Kashmir. If now referendum is done or was done before it won’t be in India favor that’s why they arnt conducting the referendum. India is trying to become a member of the UN Security Council and can’t become a member until it keeps on violating this resolution. So India wants to bring demographic change before the referendum. Hence we should access every international body. International civil society should be approached through diplomats, delegates, social and main media and even lobbyists to draw their attention towards the unprecedented difficulties being faced by Kashmiri women, children and men. Human rights violation is the weak point for India. We have to score on this point and are scoring on this point in the past 3-4 years. We have to continue pressurizing India on this point. International human rights organization should be requested and convinced to further emphasize the importance of ending all violations and need for visit of neutral entities. Undertake purely diplomatic actions. Stronger diplomatic moves to send out delegates to all important world capitals to table a resolution at the UNSC. Political and military leadership should immediately embark upon visit to friendly and neutral countries to sensitize them about the likely outcomes of the recent Indian move. Before tabling any resolution at the UNSC hectic efforts would be required to discuss the likely statement with all permanent and non-permanent members. Keeping Kashmir struggle alive. There has been heavy induction of fresh troops by India in the IOK. With total media blackout these troops maybe decapitating the young Kashmiri leadership thus delivering a mortal blow to the freedom movement. The more days they get to undertake this ominous operation the chances of survival of existing freedom struggle leadership will keep diminishing. It gives India clear advantage in troop ratios giving them the capability to overwhelm some territories at least temporarily and then ask the world to arbitrate. Confidence Building measures. There is severe trust deficit between Pakistan and India. Both countries don’t trust each other. Hence international community should play a role to minimize this trust deficit. There are certain low hanging fruits i.e. issues that don’t cause hate between the 2 countries, should be used to build trust. Siachin and Sir Creek are such issues which were inch close to being solved but the then PM of India was assassinated. Similarly Gen Musharraf and Manmohan Singh were nearing solving this issue but again it suffered a set-back. Hence these 2 are certain issues which can be solved first and then proceeded towards Kashmir. Pakistan needs to restore its credibility. Pakistan as a nation has lost its credibility. Recently Modi laid the foundation of Ram Mandir in Babri Masjid. People in Pakistan condemned it calling it a fascist government. However in Islamabad recently a mandir was planned to be built and as soon as it was to be implemented upon people went and destroyed the location. This ruined our credibility when the news reached international community. There is no difference between what we are doing and what they are doing. Secondly we preach human rights whereas ourselves we don’t give them. Thirdly our government instead of doing something serious about it are playing blame game and trying to over throw the other government. The damage that was caused due to the stance of our minister of aviation about fake licenses was immeasurable. There is serious leadership crisis. We don’t have people who can think beyond their personal interests. In addition there is terrorism. No country has suffered so much from terrorism like that of Pakistan. India is using all of this against us. What Can the World do? The international community needs to jump in as this is no longer a regional issue but a global crisis as all its implications are global. Hence its solution also lies in global. They need to apply restrain on India against its provocations. USA, EU, Britain all have to play their role in it. At the heart of this problem lies the issue of Kashmir hence till Kashmir remains unresolved the 2 countries will always have a possibility of entering into an armed conflict which will eventually turned into a nuclear stand-off. The way Kashmir issue can be solved is by direct way i.e. both countries should sit and discuss a solution which is acceptable to both countries. The international community should play their role in this. Future of Kashmir cause: The future of Kashmir struggle is in disarray. There was a research done by a foreign university who created a stimulation of the possibility of a war between India and Pakistan and its repercussions. The document states that researchers warn that India Pakistan war could kill 100 million immediately. The year is 2025 and militants have attacked India’s parliament killing most of its leaders. New Delhi retaliates by sending tanks into AJK. Fearing it will be overrun Islamabad hits the invading forces with its battlefield nuclear weapons triggering the deadliest conflict in history with temperatures not seen since last ice age. The mushroom cloud will be so thick and over lapping that sun rays for the next 10 years will not be able to penetrate it hence the mentioning of global cooling. Similarly recently Al-Jazeera while conducting an interview with PM IK was asked a question that could the 2 countries enter into a nuclear war and the PM answered yes. Another important personality named Henry Kissinger stated that if there could be a nuclear war between any 2 countries it could be India and Pakistan. Pakistan will continue, as has been the case throughout history, to extend its moral, political and diplomatic support to the people of the Kashmir. Pakistan is prepared to discuss the issue openly with an open heart for a meaningful discussion with the Indian side if it is prepared. Pakistan will continue to raise the issue and only time will tell what the outcome will be. Conclusion: For preservation as a community people of Kashmir have no option but to resist unlawful actions of India. In their darkest hour Pakistan cannot leave them to Indian devices. Islamabad thus should project the Kashmir issue to the world with a renewed vigor. Time for aggressive diplomacy is now. There are various proposals aimed at resolving the dispute and the issue needs to be solved quickly and everyone needs to play their part because Kashmir is a flash point between India and Pakistan and if things continue the way they are it will ultimately result in a nuclear stand-off that will cause damage not only to the region but also globally.