Finance 101 Insead Lec 2
Finance 101 Insead Lec 2
Futures, and
Other John Hull
Derivatives Module 1.5
1
Futures Contracts
Exchange traded
Available on a wide range of underlying assets
2
Daily Settlement
Futures contracts are settled daily at the close of
trading
If the futures price has gone down the money is
transferred from the longs to the shorts
If the futures price has gone up the reverse happens
3
Closing Out A Futures Position
A trader can close out a futures position by
entering into offsetting contracts
In practice most futures positions are
closed out prior to the maturity month
4
Futures Price Converges to Spot Price
During Delivery Month
Futures
Price Spot Price
Time Time
(a) (b)
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Margin
A margin is cash or marketable securities deposited
by an investor with his or her broker
The balance in the margin account is adjusted to
reflect daily settlement
Initial margin and maintenance margin specified by
exchange
Margin must be brought up to initial margin when
the balance in the margin account falls below the
maintenance margin level
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Example of a Futures Trade
An investor takes a long position in 2
December gold futures contracts on June 5
contract size is 100 oz.
futures price is US$1650
initial margin requirement is US$6,000/contract
(US$12,000 in total)
maintenance margin is US$4,500/contract
(US$9,000 in total)
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A Possible Outcome
Day Trade Settle Daily Cumul. Margin Margin
Price ($) Price ($) Gain ($) Gain ($) Balance ($) Call ($)
1 1,650.00 12,000
1 1,641.00 −1,800 − 1,800 10,200
2 1,638.30 −540 −2,340 9,660
….. ….. ….. ….. ……
6 1,636.20 −780 −2,760 9,240
7 1,629.90 −1,260 −4,020 7,980 4,020
8 1,630.80 180 −3,840 12,180
….. ….. ….. ….. ……
16 1,626.90 780 −4,620 15,180
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A Key Differences Between
Futures and Forwards
9
Margin Cash Flows When Futures
Price Increases
10
Margin Cash Flows When Futures
Price Decreases
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Some Terminology
Open interest: the total number of contracts
outstanding
equal to number of long positions or number of short
positions
Settlement price: the price at close of trading
each day
used for the daily settlement process
Volume of trading: the number of trades in one
day
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Crude Oil Trading on July 13,
2012
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Collateralization in OTC Markets
It is becoming increasingly common for transactions
to be collateralized in OTC markets
Consider transactions between companies A and B
These might be be governed by an ISDA Master
agreement with a credit support annex (CSA)
The CSA might require A to post collateral with B
equal to the value to B of its outstanding transactions
with A when this value is positive.
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Collateralization in OTC Markets
If
A defaults, B is entitled to take
possession of the collateral
The transactions are not settled daily
and interest is paid on cash collateral
15
Clearing Houses and OTC
Markets
Traditionallymost transactions have been
cleared bilaterally in OTC markets
Following the 2007-2009 crisis, there has
been a requirement for most standardized
OTC derivatives transactions to be
cleared centrally though clearing houses
known as central clearing parties (CCPs)
16
Bilateral Clearing vs Central
Clearing
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Forward Contracts vs Futures
Contracts
Forward Futures
Private contract between two parties Traded on an exchange
Not standardized Standardized
Usually one specified delivery date Range of delivery dates
Settled at end of contract Settled daily
Delivery or final settlement usual Usually closed out prior to maturity
Some credit risk Virtually no credit risk
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