Impact On Pharma Sector During and Pre Pandemic. FSCL Report
Impact On Pharma Sector During and Pre Pandemic. FSCL Report
LEARNING
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During the Project work, we found all of them to be sincere and committed to the Project Work.
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2
DECLARATION
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
First and foremost we would like to sincerely thank to our institute INDIRA
INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT, PUNE for giving us the opportunity to work
on this project as a subject for the semester II .Secondly we would like to thank our
subject guide DR. NEETAL VYAS, for providing us the directions needed
throughout the course period. We are also thankful to our project mentor, DR.
NEETAL VYAS for giving us guidance to do this research project on “Impact on
stock market during and pre pandemic" Her experience and knowledge has helped
us immensely in successful completion of this project.
Working on this project has been a great learning experience. We are thankful to
all concern people who have played active role in successful completion of this
project.
Thank you
TABLE OF CONTENTS
2 REVIEW OF LITERATURE 11
3 OBJECTIVES 21
4 RESEACH METHODOLOGY 23
5 DATA INTERPRETATION 25
6 FINDINGS 45
7 CONCLUSION 47
8 LEARNINGS 49
9 REFERENCES 50
10 APPENDIX 51
“IMPACT ON STOCK MARKET DURING AND PRE
PANDEMIC”
ABSTRACT
The outbreak of COVID-19 has affected the entire global financial market in an
unprecedented way. Due to the disruptions that emerged in the global market; the
financial market of India also reacted to the pandemic and witnessed sharp volatility.
Given the COVID-19 situation, this research empirically investigates the impact of
COVID-19 on the Indian stock market. Using daily closing prices of indices such as
Nifty and Sensex, this study examines the volatility of these indices over the period 3rd
September 2019 to 10th July 2020. Further, the study has attempted to make a
comparative analysis of the return of the stock market in pre-COVID-19 and during the
COVID19 situation. GARCH model is used to capture the volatility of the indices.
Findings reveal that the stock market in India has experienced volatility during the
pandemic period. While comparing the results with that of the pre-COVID-19 period, we
find that return on the indices is higher in the pre-COVID-19 period than during COVID-
19. The return of both the stock market reached the bottom line during the first lockdown
period, which is from24th March to 6th April.
The research investigates the impact of the lockdown period caused by the COVID-19 to
the stock market of India. The study examines the extent of the influence of the
lockdown on the Indian stock market and whether the market reaction would be the same
in pre-and during-lockdown period caused by COVID-19. Market Model Event study
methodology is used. A sample of 5 companies listed on Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE)
are selected at random for the purpose of the study. The results indicate that the market
reacted positively with significantly positive Average Abnormal Returns during the
present lockdown period, and investors anticipated the lockdown and reacted positively,
whereas in the pre-lockdown period investors panicked and it was reflected in negative
AAR. The study finds evidence of a positive AR around the present lockdown period and
confirms that lockdown had a positive impact on the stock market performance of stocks
till the situation improves in the Indian context.
CHAPTER-1
INTRODUCTION
Stock Market can be defined as a platform that facilitates Trading. Securities Contract
Regulation Act 1956 ( SCRA ) defines Stock Market as ; “ anybody of individuals,
whether incorporated or not constituted for the purpose of assisting, regulating or
controlling the business of buying, selling or dealing in securities”.
The Bombay Stock Exchange :- BSE was established in 1875. BSE is the oldest stock
exchange in Asia and is India’s first stock exchange. BSE is the Stock Exchange to be
recongnised under the SCR Act, 1956. SENSEX is the benchmark Index of BSE. It is an
integral component of the “$1 trillion” club, having the largest Market Capitalization
value at $2.2 trillion.
The National Stock Exchange :- NSE was founded in 1992. It started trading operations
in 1994. It started Internet trading in Index Futures in 2000. Nifty-50 is the benchmark
Index of NSE. The NSE, unlike other Indian Stock Exchanges, is a tax-paying company
incorporated under the Companies Act, 1956. It has been promoted by leading financial
institutions and banks to provide automated and modern facilities for trading, clearing
and settlement of securities in a transparent, fair and open manner and with countrywide
access.
Regulator of Stock Market in India :- SEBI ( The Securities and Exchange Board of
India ) is the designated regulatory body for the finance and investments market in India.
The board plays a vital role in maintaining stable and efficient financial and investment
markets by creating and enforcing effective regulation in India’s financial marketplace.
SEBI has three functions rolled into one body : legislative, judicial and executive.
Functions performed by Stock Market : -
2.Pricing of Securities – The stock market helps to value the securities on the basis of
demand and supply factors. The valuation of securities is useful to investors, government
and creditors.
3.Safety of Transactions – In stock market only the listed securities are traded and stock
exchange authorities include the companies name in the trade list only after verifying the
soundness of the company.
4.Better allocation of Capital – The shares of profit making companies are quotes at
higher prices and are actively traded so much companies can easily raise fresh capital
from stock market. The stock market also offers attractive opportunities of investments in
various securities. These attractive opportunities encourage people to save more and
invest.
The announcement of the lockdown period for computing the abnormal returns (AR), for
each of the stocks, the average abnormal returns (AAR) of the sample of 5 companies
and the cumulative average abnormal returns (CAAR) around the date of stocks in the
sample. A comparison of pre-lockdown, and present lockdown period AAR% returns and
T statistics are calculated and compared.
The study undertakes to determine any significant positive AR associated with the
lockdown period around the event dates and the speed with which the information
relating to lockdown announcements is absorbed into the security prices in the market.
The study examines the extent of influence of the lockdown period due to COVID-19 on
the Indian stock market and the impact on the market sentiments between pre- and
present lockdown period.
This research covers daily returns data of ten leading pharmaceutical companies
enlisted with the NSE. They are Aurobindo Pharma Ltd, Cadila Healthcare Ltd, Cipla
Ltd, Divis Laboratories Ltd, Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories, Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd,
Lupin Ltd, Sun Pharmaceutical Ltd, Torrent Pharmaceutical Ltd, and Wockhardt Ltd.
These companies were selected on the basis of their respective market capitalization.
The daily return data of the selected stocks from 3rd September 2019 to 28th February
2020 was duly considered for this research. It consists of 123 daily price observations
of 10 pharmaceutical companies (i.e., 123*10 observations) listed with NSE. Likewise,
the NIFTY return for the above time period was also calculated.
Chris kay The “performance reflects continued profitable business growth in a market
that is gradually recovering from the impact of the global pandemic,” Shanghvi said in a
statement. “Most of our businesses have done well -- our global specialty sales have
continued to show an improving trend and have crossed pre-Covid levels.” The Covid-19
outbreak has also helped drive gains in sector stocks in 2020 after two years of muted
returns, with investors betting on the possibility of India emerging as a key player in
vaccine development and global supply. The S&P BSE Healthcare Index advanced 61%
last year, the most among the nation’s sector sub-indexes and the best for the gauge since
2009. However, it’s down more than 4% so far this year, compared with Sun’s 1.8%
decline in the same period.
Ben hobson Shares in Torrent Pharmaceuticals are currently trading at 2627.15. But to
assess whether the price is likely to fall or rally over the next 12 months, we need an
objective way of telling whether it's able to withstand economic shocks and ride out
market volatility. To do that, it's worth looking at the profile of the stock to see where its
strengths are.
Importantly, we're interested in finding impartial ways of looking at Torrent
Pharmaceuticals – something that takes emotion out of the analysis...Promisingly, there
are indications that it scores well against some important financial and technical
measures. In particular, it shows signs of being a high quality, strong momentum stock.
Research shows that high quality stocks tend to be resilient, cash-generating businesses
that can compound investment returns over time. Likewise, strong momentum in price
and earnings can be a pointer to positive trends that have the potential to continue.
Ujjval jauhari Cipla’s performance in the US market too has improved Cipla’s stock
surged nearly 8 per cent on Friday, following the recall of Albuterol — a respiratory
product by its competitor Perrigo, in the US — over concerns that some units may not
dispense properly because of clogging issues. This move is expected to benefit both
Cipla and Lupin. Cipla is estimated to gain additional $20 million sales during
September-December 2020 following the recall by Perrigo say analysts at a foreign
brokerage. Also there could be more gains beyond the period as company gains market
share and could lead to 4-6 per cent earnings upside feel analysts. Even if one goes
beyond this news, Cipla’s performance has seen improvement and prospects look equally
good. Even as India’s pharmaceuticals market (IPM) continues to see pressure on growth
because of Covid-led disruptions, Cipla has impressed the Street with its outperformance.
In August, the drug major recorded 8.4-per cent growth, as against 2.2-per cent decline in
the IPM, on the back of a strong chronic portfolio and Covid-19 management drugs. The
IPM decline in August was driven by 5.3-per cent contraction in the acute segment, while
chronic drugs grew by 4.8 per cent year-on-year.
Dr Reddy's Laboratories expects its overall performance to be "quite volatile" in the
current fiscal with uncertainties related to COVID-19 set to increase during the period,
the company said in its Annual Report for 2019-20.Commenting on the outlook for North
American Generics (NAG) business, the company said its current priority includes
accelerating new product launches and increasing the market share of existing products.
The strategy is to significantly expand portfolio and ensure the right cost structures for
products to be able to compete in this highly competitive market, the drug firm noted.
Stocks like Dr Reddy’s, Cipla and Cadila Healthcare have already gained 10-14% this
month so far.
Nifty Pharma, which has climbed 4% in April so far, has now beaten the benchmark
Nifty index for two consecutive months. Analysts expect pharma stocks to keep climbing
and outperform Nifty over the medium term.
Nifty Pharma ended 2020 up 61%, outpacing the Nifty’s 15% rise. However, in January
and February, it lost 6% and 2% respectively as the covid curve appeared to have
flattened out. This month so far, the index has gained around 4%, while the Nifty is down
about 3%.
Sun Pharma
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries' stock has given 62.6 per cent return so far this year since
January 30. The scrip of the firm with a market capitalisation of Rs 1,18,644.18 crore
touched a 52-week high of Rs 512.55 on June 9. The stock hit a low of Rs 315.2 on
March 23. Sun Pharma reported a 37.12 per cent decline in its consolidated net profit to
Rs 399.84 crore for the quarter ended March 2020, mainly on account of one time
exceptional loss.
Cipla
The company with Rs 51,641.66 crore valuation has given stock market investors a
return of 95.1 per cent in the given period. The share price hit a 52-week high of Rs 696
on June 22. The stock hit a low of 356.75 on March 13. Cipla reported a 33.32 per cent
year-on-year (YoY) drop in consolidated net profit at Rs 238.49 crore for the March
quarter.
Torrent Pharma
Torrent Pharmaceuticals' stock has given a return of 51.6 per cent. The stock of Rs
40,924.63 crore company hit a 52-week high of Rs 2679.45 on April 9. The stock hit a
low of Rs 1,767 on March 19. Torrent Pharmaceuticals reported a consolidated net profit
of Rs 314 crore for the quarter ended March 31, mainly on account of cost control and
productivity improvements.
Cadila Healthcare
Cadila Healthcare stock has given 62.4 per cent return so far this year since January 30.
The scrip of the firm with a market capitalisation of Rs 36,245.60 crore touched a 52-
week high of Rs 383.65 on June 15. The stock hit a low of Rs 236.3 on March 12. Cadila
Healthcare reported a 14.82 per cent decline in consolidated net profit to Rs 391.90 crore
for the quarter ended on March 31, 2020.
In the two COVID-19 vaccine candidates from India, ZyCov-D vaccine by Zydus Cadila
recently received approval for human clinical trials from the Drug Controller General of
India (DGCI). It has got the nod for Phase II, III trials.
CHAPTER-3
OBJECTIVES
To understand how the stock market functions and the performance of Pharma
sector on their stock prices.
To understand the impact of during and pre pandemic on the stock focusing on
Pharma industry.
To perform the fundamental analysis of the top 5 companies of the Pharma sector
CHAPTER -4
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
CHAPTER-5
DATA INTERPRETATION
87,283
76,343
65,192
47,381
13,900.58
13,329.00
12,803.21
8,005.00
7,790.40
3,350.66
2,186.40
2,130.70
1,476.20
1,116.77
Su n P h ar m a Cipla (c r ) To r r en t P h ar m a D r R ed d y (c r ) Zyd u s C ad i l l a
(c r ) (c r ) (c r )
ANALYSIS
Referring to the above analysis, the conclusive result is that Covid -19 has brought boon
to the pharmaceutical companies mentioned above and bane to the same hand –in –hand.
As CIPLA is justifying in net profit and net sales the other side we have SUN PHARMA
is leading the market capitalisation.
Shareholding Pattern
Sun Pharma
Analysis :
Study of the shareholding pattern of a company is a very important part of fundamental
analysis. The shareholding pattern is a determinant of the market capitalization of the
stock and is an indicator of whether the stock valuation is justified or not. The
Shareholding Pattern of Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. presents the Promoter's
holding, FII's holding, DII's Holding, and Share holding by general public and others.
Promoters unpledged 0.39% of shares in last quarter. Total pledge stands at 8.62% of
promoter holdings. Promoters holding remains unchanged at 54.48% in Mar 2021 qtr.
FII/FPI have decreased holdings from 12.19% to 11.67% in Mar 2021 qtr. Number of
FII/FPI investors increased from 741 to 762 in Mar 2021 qtr. Mutual Funds have
increased holdings from 10.99% to 11.93% in Mar 2021 qtr. Number of MF schemes
remains unchanged at 42 in Mar 2021 qtr. Institutional Investors have increased holdings
from 33.03% to 33.29% in Mar 2021 qtr.
Cipla
Analysis :
Study of the shareholding pattern of a company is a very important part of fundamental
analysis. The shareholding pattern is a determinant of the market capitalization of the
stock and is an indicator of whether the stock valuation is justified or not. The
Shareholding Pattern Cipla Ltd. presents the Promoter's holding, FII's holding, DII's
Holding, and Share holding by general public and others. Promoters have increased
holdings from 36.7% to 36.73% in Mar 2021 qtr. FII/FPI have increased holdings from
22.08% to 23.25% in Mar 2021 qtr. Number of FII/FPI investors increased from 1056 to
1072 in Mar 2021 qtr. Mutual Funds have decreased holdings from 15.58% to 14.64% in
Mar 2021 qtr. Number of MF schemes decreased from 275 to 262 in Mar 2021 qtr.
Institutional Investors have increased holdings from 40.03% to 40.43% in Mar 2021 qtr.
Torrent
Analysis :
Study of the shareholding pattern of a company is a very important part of fundamental
analysis. The shareholding pattern is a determinant of the market capitalization of the
stock and is an indicator of whether the stock valuation is justified or not. The
Shareholding Pattern Torrent Pharmaceutical Ltd. presents the Promoter's holding, FII's
holding, DII's Holding, and Share holding by general public and others. Promoters
holding remains unchanged at 71.25% in Mar 2021 qtr. FII/FPI have decreased holdings
from 11.96% to 11.37% in Mar 2021 qtr. Number of FII/FPI investors decreased from
490 to 464 in Mar 2021 qtr. Mutual Funds have decreased holdings from 6.9% to 6.47%
in Mar 2021 qtr. Number of MF schemes decreased from 29 to 26 in Mar 2021 qtr.
Institutional Investors have decreased holdings from 20.04% to 19.71% in Mar 2021 qtr.
Dr Reddys
Analysis :
Study of the shareholding pattern of a company is a very important part of fundamental
analysis. The shareholding pattern is a determinant of the market capitalization of the
stock and is an indicator of whether the stock valuation is justified or not. The
Shareholding Pattern Dr Reddys Laboratories Ltd. presents the Promoter's holding, FII's
holding, DII's Holding, and Share holding by general public and others. Promoters have
increased holdings from 26.73% to 26.74% in Mar 2021 qtr. FII/FPI have decreased
holdings from 29.13% to 29.03% in Mar 2021 qtr. Number of FII/FPI investors
decreased from 807 to 738 in Mar 2021 qtr. Mutual Funds have increased holdings from
13.28% to 13.31% in Mar 2021 qtr. Number of MF schemes increased from 40 to 41 in
Mar 2021 qtr. Institutional Investors have increased holdings from 43.85% to 43.94% in
Mar 2021 qtr.
Cadila Healthcare
Analysis :
Study of the shareholding pattern of a company is a very important part of fundamental
analysis. The shareholding pattern is a determinant of the market capitalization of the
stock and is an indicator of whether the stock valuation is justified or not. The
Shareholding Pattern Cadila Healthcare Ltd. presents the Promoter's holding, FII's
holding, DII's Holding, and Share holding by general public and others. Promoters
holding remains unchanged at 74.88% in Mar 2021 qtr. FII/FPI have decreased holdings
from 5.24% to 5.23% in Mar 2021 qtr. Number of FII/FPI investors increased from 247
to 253 in Mar 2021 qtr. Mutual Funds have decreased holdings from 7.54% to 6.41% in
Mar 2021 qtr. Number of MF schemes remains unchanged at 28 in Mar 2021 qtr.
Institutional Investors have decreased holdings from 17.15% to 16.72% in Mar 2021 qtr.
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
RATIO ANALYSIS
LIQUIDITY RATIOS :
LEVERAGE RATIOS :
TURNOVER RATIOS :
CHAPTER-7
CONCLUSION
CHAPTER-8
LEARNINGS
REFERENCES
APPENDIX