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Impact of Medicare on Elderly Milwaukee County Residents
What is Medicare?
Medicare is a federal healthcare social welfare program. It is a health insurance programs
tailored towards enabling the elderly, 65 years and above, to access health care quite easily. It
has been in place since 1966 and is one of the oldest surviving social welfare programs.
What are its objectives and effects?
The policy is meant to provide create healthcare access to disadvantaged elderly
population and a subset of younger individuals. One of its anticipated effects is an increase in
elderly healthcare access. The other effects is to reduce healthcare cost burden in families that
have elderly people within their midst (Davis and Reynolds 392).
Data analysis
In conducting the analysis of the effects there are various variables that would be used
including the age of the principal participants. Other variables will include the average income of
the household, medical conditions that the participants suffer from and the number of medical
facilities at their disposal. The data bounds (area of collection) would only be collected within
the county level due to ease in collecting and analyzing data from one county as opposed to
using data from different regions (Newhouse and McGuire 360).
Testing for Medicare effects
In analyzing the effects of Medicare it is best to consider the impacts using dynamic data panel
modelling. This is because there are more than two variables under study and thus present a
complexity challenge which dynamic panel data can easily solve. Additionally, some of the
variables such as household income and age carry a mundane for of correlation therefore to
avoid auto recursion a lagged out formula is required (Blundell and Bond 117).
The Arellano-Bond GMM estimator using the formula below would be prudent in this case
Iit=β1Iit−1+β2Kit+β3Xit+uit
Where;
Iit represents the gross derivable impact of Medicare on the population
Iit−1 represents the time lagged derivable impact of Medicare on the population
Kit represents a matrix of the inherent variables.
Xit is the matrix of the controlled lagged variables
References
Blundell, Richard, and Stephen Bond. "Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic
panel data models." Journal of econometrics, vol. 87, no. 1 (1998): 115-143.
Davis, Karen, and Roger Reynolds. "The impact of Medicare and Medicaid on access to medical
care." The role of health insurance in the health services sector. NBER, 1976. 391-436.
Newhouse, Joseph P, and Thomas G McGuire. “How Successful Is Medicare Advantage?” The
Milbank Quarterly 92.2 (2014): 351–394.