10
The world is now multipolar but with United States–China rivalry as one
     of its major axes. As of now, India’s best strategy is surely to continue with
     its delicate balancing act between the two. With China, it should cooperate
     economically, as it has done in supporting the Brics Bank and the Asian
     Infrastructure Investment Bank as a junior partner, but at the same time
     build enough strength, conventional or ‘asymmetric’, to deter China from
     military adventurism. With the United States, it should keep the possibil-
     ity of an alliance open but not enter into a formal pact unless it became
     absolutely necessary. (This is because India does not see eye to eye with the
     United States on many issues. There are good reasons to preserve strategic
     autonomy unless a major conflict with China seems imminent.)
         Should India start thinking of itself as a potential ‘Great Power’? The
     term was used by the former US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice in
     New Delhi in 2005, and harks back to 19th century Europe. Despite India’s
     growing international significance, deliberate pursuit of Great Power status
     would surely be unwise, if not foolish. New Delhi has many major domestic
     challenges to keep it fully occupied for a long time to come. Moreover, the
     fundamental source of India’s power is going to be economic. If India can
     maintain high growth rates and use that growth to achieve widespread pros-
     perity within a democratic system, its national security, broadly defined,
     will improve, and with that, its global influence will inevitably grow. The
     role of foreign policy should be to ensure that the balance of power in the
     country’s neighbourhood, as well as India’s diplomatic alliances and foot-
     print, are such as to enable and reinforce India’s pursuit of high-quality and
     rapid economic development. More ambitious foreign policy goals would
     either obstruct the achievement of this objective or would be attained quite
     naturally in the course of time by achieving it.
     READER’S GUIDE
     The book has five parts. Part I is introductory. Chapter 1 (the present chap-
     ter) sets the stage and explains briefly what the book is about and what it is
     not about. Chapter 2 is a broad-brush review of India’s post-independence
     history and economic performance. Chapter  3 defines the aims of eco-
     nomic development, and weighs up the roles of the state and the market in
     achieving them.
        Part II focuses on the challenge of accomplishing rapid growth. Chapter 4
     begins with an introduction to the sources of growth in India, and proceeds
     to examine one of these, viz. capital accumulation, and the ‘animal spirits’
     that drive it. Chapter 5 analyzes India’s ‘employment problem’ and how it
     [ 10 ]  Setting the Stage