Solutions To Problems: Basic
Solutions To Problems: Basic
( Pt − Pt −1 + Ct )
P5-1. LG 1: Rate of return: rt =
Pt −1
Basic
($21,000 − $20,000 + $1,500)
a. Investment X: Return = = 12.50%
$20,000
($55,000 − $55,000 + $6,800)
Investment Y: Return = = 12.36%
$55,000
b. Investment X should be selected because it has a higher rate of return for the same level
of risk.
(Pt − Pt −1 + Ct )
P5-2. LG 1: Return calculations: rt =
Pt −1
Basic
Investment Calculation rt(%)
A ($1,100 − $800 − $100) ÷ $800 25.00
B ($118,000 − $120,000 + $15,000) ÷ $120,000 10.83
C ($48,000 − $45,000 + $7,000) ÷ $45,000 22.22
D ($500 − $600 + $80) ÷ $600 −3.33
E ($12,400 − $12,500 + $1,500) ÷ $12,500 11.20
b.
Possible Probability Expected Return Weighted
Outcomes Pri ri Value (%)(ri × Pri)
Camera R Pessimistic 0.25 20 5.00
Most likely 0.50 25 12.50
Optimistic 0.25 30 7.50
1.00 Expected return 25.00
Camera S Pessimistic 0.20 15 3.00
Most likely 0.55 25 13.75
Optimistic 0.25 35 8.75
1.00 Expected return 25.50
c. Camera S is considered more risky than Camera R because it has a much broader range of
outcomes. The risk–return tradeoff is present because Camera S is more risky and also
provides a higher return than Camera R.
b.
Market Probability Expected Return Weighted Value
Acceptance Pri ri (ri × Pri)
Line J Very Poor 0.05 0.0075 0.000375
Poor 0.15 0.0125 0.001875
Average 0.60 0.0850 0.051000
Good 0.15 0.1475 0.022125
Excellent 0.05 0.1625 0.008125
1.00 Expected return 0.083500
Line K Very Poor 0.05 0.010 0.000500
Poor 0.15 0.025 0.003750
Average 0.60 0.080 0.048000
Good 0.15 0.135 0.020250
Excellent 0.05 0.150 0.007500
1.00 Expected return 0.080000
c. Line K appears less risky due to a slightly tighter distribution than Line J, indicating a lower
range of outcomes.
σr
P5-7. LG 2: Coefficient of variation: CV =
r
Basic
7%
a. A CVA = = 0.3500
20%
9.5%
B CVB = = 0.4318
22%
6%
C CVC = = 0.3158
19%
5.5%
D CVD = = 0.3438
16%
b. Asset C has the lowest coefficient of variation and is the least risky relative to the other choices.
Chapter 5 Risk and Return 93
Expected Return
n
Rate of Return Probability Weighted Value r = ∑ ri × Pri
ri Pri ri × Pri i=1
n
(3) Standard deviation: σ = ∑ (r − r )
i =1
i
2
× Pri
ri r ri − r ( ri − r )2 2 Pr i ( ri − r )2 × Pri
Expected Return
n
r = ∑ ri × Pri
Rate of Return Probability Weighted Value
ri Pri ri × Pri i =1
n
(3) Standard deviation: σ = ∑ (r − r )
i =1
i
2
× Pri
ri r ri − r ( ri − r )2 Pri ( ri − r )2 × Pri
0.10 0.300 −0.20 0.0400 0.05 0.002000
0.15 0.300 −0.15 0.0225 0.10 0.002250
0.20 0.300 −0.10 0.0100 0.10 0.001000
0.25 0.300 −0.05 0.0025 0.15 0.000375
0.30 0.300 0.00 0.0000 0.20 0.000000
0.35 0.300 0.05 0.0025 0.15 0.000375
0.40 0.300 0.10 0.0100 0.10 0.001000
0.45 0.300 0.15 0.0225 0.10 0.002250
0.50 0.300 0.20 0.0400 0.05 0.002000
0.011250
d. Summary statistics
Since Projects 257 and 432 have differing expected values, the coefficient of variation should
be the criterion by which the risk of the asset is judged. Since Project 432 has a smaller CV, it
is the opportunity with lower risk.
Expected Return
n
Rate of Return Probability Weighted Value r = ∑ ri × Pri
ri Pri ri × Pri i =1
n
b. Standard deviation: σ = ∑ (r − r )
i =1
i
2
xPri
ri − r ( ri − r ) 2 Pr i σ2 σr
Based on standard deviation, Asset G appears to have the greatest risk, but it must be measured
against its expected return with the statistical measure coefficient of variation, since the three
assets have differing expected values. An incorrect conclusion about the risk of the assets
could be drawn using only the standard deviation.
standard deviation (σ )
c. Coefficient of variation =
expected value
0.1338
Asset F: CV = = 3.345
0.04
0.2278
Asset G: CV = = 2.071
0.11
0.1483
Asset H: CV = = 1.483
0.10
As measured by the coefficient of variation, Asset F has the largest relative risk.
98 Gitman • Principles of Managerial Finance, Brief Fifth Edition
Expected
Asset L Asset M Portfolio Return
Year (wL × rL) + (wM × rM) rp
2010 (14% × 0.40 = 5.6%) + (20% × 0.60 = 12.0%) = 17.6%
2011 (14% × 0.40 = 5.6%) + (18% × 0.60 = 10.8%) = 16.4%
2012 (16% × 0.40 = 6.4%) + (16% × 0.60 = 9.6%) = 16.0%
2013 (17% × 0.40 = 6.8%) + (14% × 0.60 = 8.4%) = 15.2%
2014 (17% × 0.40 = 6.8%) + (12% × 0.60 = 7.2%) = 14.0%
2015 (19% × 0.40 = 7.6%) + (10% × 0.60 = 6.0%) = 13.6%
∑w
j =1
j × rj
b. Portfolio return: rp = Return
n
0.0005
σF = = .000167 = 0.01291 = 1.291%
3
100 Gitman • Principles of Managerial Finance, Brief Fifth Edition
0.0005
σ FH = = 0.000167 = 0.012910 = 1.291%
3
c. Coefficient of variation:
CV = σ r ÷ r
1.291%
CVF = = 0.0738
17.5%
0
CVFG = =0
16.5%
1.291%
CVFH = = 0.0782
16.5%
d. Summary:
Since the assets have different expected returns, the coefficient of variation should be used to
determine the best portfolio. Alternative 3, with positively correlated assets, has the highest
coefficient of variation and therefore is the riskiest. Alternative 2 is the best choice; it is
perfectly negatively correlated and therefore has the lowest coefficient of variation.
Chapter 5 Risk and Return 101
c. Only nondiversifiable risk is relevant because, as shown by the graph, diversifiable risk can
be virtually eliminated through holding a portfolio of at least 20 securities that are not positively
correlated. David Talbot’s portfolio, assuming diversifiable risk could no longer be reduced
by additions to the portfolio, has 6.47% relevant risk.
102 Gitman • Principles of Managerial Finance, Brief Fifth Edition
P5-18. LG 5: Betas
Basic
a. and b.
c. Asset B should be chosen because it will have the highest increase in return.
d. Asset C would be the appropriate choice because it is a defensive asset, moving in opposition
to the market. In an economic downturn, Asset C’s return is increasing.
Stock Beta
Most risky B 1.40
A 0.80
Least risky C −0.30
b. and c.
d. In a declining market, an investor would choose the defensive stock, Stock C. While the
market declines, the return on C increases.
e. In a rising market, an investor would choose Stock B, the aggressive stock. As the market
rises one point, Stock B rises 1.40 points.
104 Gitman • Principles of Managerial Finance, Brief Fifth Edition
n
P5-20. LG 5: Portfolio betas: bp = ∑w
j =1
j × bj
Intermediate
a.
Portfolio A Portfolio B
Asset Beta wA wA × bA wB wB × bB
1 1.30 0.10 0.130 0.30 0.39
2 0.70 0.30 0.210 0.10 0.07
3 1.25 0.10 0.125 0.20 0.25
4 1.10 0.10 0.110 0.20 0.22
5 0.90 0.40 0.360 0.20 0.18
bA = 0.935 bB = 1.11
b. Portfolio A is slightly less risky than the market (average risk), while Portfolio B is more
risky than the market. Portfolio B’s return will move more than Portfolio A’s for a given
increase or decrease in market return. Portfolio B is the more risky.
P5-22. LG 5, 6: Personal finance: Beta coefficients and the capital asset pricing model
Intermediate
To solve this problem you must take the CAPM and solve for beta. The resulting model is:
r − RF
Beta =
rm − RF
10% − 5% 5%
a. Beta = = = 0.4545
16% − 5% 11%
15% − 5% 10%
b. Beta = = = 0.9091
16% − 5% 11%
18% − 5% 13%
c. Beta = = = 1.1818
16% − 5% 11%
20% − 5% 15%
d. Beta = = = 1.3636
16% − 5% 11%
e. If Katherine is willing to take a maximum of average risk then she will be able to have an
expected return of only 16%. (r = 5% + 1.0(16% − 5%) = 16%.)
Chapter 5 Risk and Return 105
b. and d.
Case
Analyzing Risk and Return on Chargers Products’ Investments
This case requires students to review and apply the concept of the risk–return tradeoff by analyzing two
possible asset investments using standard deviation, coefficient of variation, and CAPM.
( P − Pt −1 + Ct )
1. Expected rate of return: rt = t
Pt −1
Asset X:
Cash Ending Beginning Gain/ Annual Rate
Year Flow (Ct) Value (Pt) Value (Pt – 1) Loss of Return
2000 $1,000 $22,000 $20,000 $2,000 15.00%
2001 1,500 21,000 22,000 −1,000 2.27
2002 1,400 24,000 21,000 3,000 20.95
2003 1,700 22,000 24,000 −2,000 −1.25
2004 1,900 23,000 22,000 1,000 13.18
2005 1,600 26,000 23,000 3,000 20.00
2006 1,700 25,000 26,000 −1,000 2.69
2007 2,000 24,000 25,000 −1,000 4.00
2008 2,100 27,000 24,000 3,000 21.25
2009 2,200 30,000 27,000 3,000 19.26
Asset Y:
Cash Ending Beginning Gain/ Annual Rate
Year Flow (Ct) Value (Pt) Value (Pt – 1) Loss of Return
2000 $1,500 $20,000 $20,000 $ 0 7.50%
2001 1,600 20,000 20,000 0 8.00
2002 1,700 21,000 20,000 1,000 13.50
2003 1,800 21,000 21,000 0 8.57
2004 1,900 22,000 21,000 1,000 13.81
2005 2,000 23,000 22,000 1,000 13.64
2006 2,100 23,000 23,000 0 9.13
2007 2,200 24,000 23,000 1,000 13.91
2008 2,300 25,000 24,000 1,000 13.75
2009 2,400 25,000 25,000 0 9.60
n
2. σr = ∑ (r − r )
i =1
i
2
÷ (n − 1)
Asset X:
Return Average
Year ri Return, r ( ri − r ) ( ri − r ) 2
2000 15.00% 11.74% 3.26% 0.001063
2001 2.27 11.74 9.47 0.008968
2002 20.95 11.74 9.21 0.008482
2003 1.25 11.74 12.99 0.016874
2004 13.18 11.74 1.44 0.000207
2005 20.00 11.74 8.26 0.006823
2006 2.69 11.74 9.05 0.008190
2007 4.00 11.74 7.74 0.005991
2008 21.25 11.74 9.51 0.009044
2009 19.26 11.74 7.52 0.005655
0.071297
0.071297
σx = = 0.07922 = .0890 = 8.90%
10 − 1
8.90%
CV = = 0.76
11.74%
Asset Y:
Average
Year Return ri Return, r (ri − r ) (ri − r ) 2
2000 7.50% 11.14% −3.64% 0.001325
2001 8.00 11.14 −3.14 0.000986
2002 13.50 11.14 2.36 0.000557
2003 8.57 11.14 −2.57 0.000660
2004 13.81 11.14 2.67 0.000713
2005 13.64 11.14 2.50 0.000625
2006 9.13 11.14 −2.01 0.000404
2007 13.91 11.14 2.77 0.000767
2008 13.75 11.14 2.61 0.000681
2009 9.60 11.14 −1.54 0.000237
0.006955
110 Gitman • Principles of Managerial Finance, Brief Fifth Edition
0.006955
σY = = 0.0773 = 0.0278 = 2.78%
10 − 1
2.78%
CV = = 0.25
11.14%
3. Summary statistics:
Asset X Asset Y
Expected return 11.74% 11.14%
Standard deviation 8.90% 2.78%
Coefficient of variation 0.76 0.25
Comparing the expected returns calculated in Part (a), Asset X provides a return of 11.74%, only
slightly above the return of 11.14% expected from Asset Y. The higher standard deviation and
coefficient of variation of Investment X indicates greater risk. With just this information, it is difficult
to determine whether the 0.60% difference in return is adequate compensation for the difference in
risk. Based on this information, however, Asset Y appears to be the better choice.
4. Using the capital asset pricing model, the required return on each asset is as follows:
Capital asset pricing model: rj = RF + [bj× (rm − RF)]
From the calculations in Part (a), the expected return for Asset X is 11.74%, compared to its required
return of 11.8%. On the other hand, Asset Y has an expected return of 11.14% and a required return
of only 10.8%. This makes Asset Y the better choice.
5. In Part c, we concluded that it would be difficult to make a choice between X and Y because the
additional return on X may or may not provide the needed compensation for the extra risk. In
Part (d), by calculating a required rate of return, it was easy to reject X and select Y. The required
return on Asset X is 11.8%, but its expected return (11.74%) is lower; therefore Asset X is
unattractive. For Asset Y the reverse is true, and it is a good investment vehicle.
Clearly, Charger Products is better off using the standard deviation and coefficient of variation, rather
than a strictly subjective approach, to assess investment risk. Beta and CAPM, however, provide a
link between risk and return. They quantify risk and convert it into a required return that can be
compared to the expected return to draw a definitive conclusion about investment acceptability.
Contrasting the conclusions in the responses to Questions c and d above should clearly demonstrate
why Junior is better off using beta to assess risk.
Chapter 5 Risk and Return 111
In Situation 1, the required return rises for both assets, and neither has an expected return above the
firm’s required return.
With Situation 2, the drop in market rate causes the required return to decrease so that the expected
returns of both assets are above the required return. However, Asset Y provides a larger return
compared to its required return (11.14 − 9.20 = 1.94), and it does so with less risk than Asset X.
Spreadsheet Exercise
The answer to Chapter 5’s stock portfolio analysis spreadsheet problem is located in the Instructor’s
Resource Center at www.prenhall.com/irc.