ISB - Co2014 Consulting Case Book - Frameworks
ISB - Co2014 Consulting Case Book - Frameworks
Note: The following section has been compiled by Nishant Kedia, Vijayalakshmi Vaithianathan,
Pranav Mathur and Sarvesh Rathi. This is a concise version of important frameworks that were
used by them. However we would recommend you to go through the earlier case books as well
to cover all possible case approaches used over the years.
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I - Profitability Framework
Profitability cases are the most common type of cases that you will see. The importance of the
case stems from the fact that profit-making is the final goal of every business problem. It is
always recommended to think on first principles when you approach a case-problem. Here we
will try to run through the anatomy of a profitability case.
Breaking profitability down to its simplest components is the key in consulting cases. Dividing
profitability into components such as revenue and cost can be helpful in discovering the causes
of a less than favorable bottom line. It is to be noted that many a time, the interviewer will not
specifically mention the type of the case. The candidate is expected to follow a sequence of
logical steps by gathering information (by asking relevant questions). The structure shown
above will be useful in exploring how to go about exploring the case.
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The profitability problem is very vast and generally comes in varied dimensions. Thus, scoping
of the problem becomes very important in order to make a structured headway in the case.
This could be done by asking a sequence of logical questions. The idea behind these questions is
two-folds – a) to scope the problem, b) to gather relevant information available with the
interviewer.
1. What is the magnitude of loss/profit? Since when has the trend occurred?
Also, it is noteworthy to inquire if profits are declining or profitability has been affected. (These
are two different things. Profits are merely a difference of Revenues and Cost, while
Profitability is a measure of profit margin.
Q2) Ask if gross margin/operating margin or net margin which is facing the decline?
Now, going ahead with the framework, we first define profits as ‘Revenues – Cost’. Thus, it is a
function of two drivers. We deep dive into one driver and hold on to the second one for the
time being.
Q3) What is the target of profit / profitability? Any other constraints or secondary objectives
(e.g. market share)?
Q4) Is there a timeline that the company wants to solve the problem in?
Q5) Just to get a background of the company, I would want to know the product mix and
revenue streams for the company.
Q6) Ask for data on trends of each product and ascertain the product(s) which is leading to the
problem.
Q7) Is the profitability problem across the industry and trends for the product? If problem is
across the industry ask for context
• Demand
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- Macroeconomic factors
- Changing priority of customers – change in demographics
- Regular market disruptions
• Supply
Define and reiterate the statement: Improve Profits in X product from A% to B% by n years.
- The problem may lie in two areas - revenue and costs. What are the trends of
revenues (up or down) and costs (up or down)?
- Depending on the response, choose which one to go in first and take buy-in of
interviewer
REVENUES
Revenues are dependent on two factors –
1. Average Price - Thus, if revenue side has been affected then either Average Price across the
product mix has decreased (majorly due to competition or company policy). Quantitatively, we
can see that
Here, the advice is to stick to first principles and be aware of the fact that price of the products
in the product mix and total number of products could also affect the revenues.
Internal factors
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o Company tried to reduce price to increase revenues but it backfired
o Increased price because costs increased
o Transfer pricing (may be relevant if problem is limited to a division of a company)
External Factors
o Price war
o Other stakeholders demanding more in value chain e.g. – increased distributor margin
o Government regulation (price cap)
o Customer preference changed. Had to reduce price
Resolution:
- Product Differentiation
1. Better features
2. Better brand
3. Better packaging
2. Bundle Pricing
R&D Costs
Manufacturing/servicing/construction costs – Fixed and Variable Costs
Break-even costs, WACC
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- Bundling & Cross selling
- Consolidation: Acquire other markets players – Charge premium price, Have more units sold.
If Product/Service mix – volume has changed, Identify which product’s relative volume increase
has led to overall revenue decrease. For that product, following parameters could be assessed –
• Training adequacy
-Curriculum
-Frequency of training
2. Volume
Ascertain changes in number of units sold. The two potential reasons for a volume decline are –
Market Share = %Aware X %Preference Buyers X %Available X % Time for adoption X %Repeat
Purchase
• Price
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• Product
• Promotion
Awareness
Knowledge/Perception
Consideration
Preference
Loyalty
Advocacy
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• Place
Share of Distribution (Accessibility) – Penetration, trade mix, lead time, distributor
margin (agency problem), sales force (less or not trained), Skill and will of sales force
Market Size
Decline
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Are you the only supplier and constrained by supply?
Are the SKUs being offered being liked by consumer? Change in consumer
preference for another SKU
Solution:
Short term
Increase distributor margins
Target new segments
Long Term
Launch new SKUs
COSTS
Following approaches can be used for cost analysis:
a. In a high fixed cost business there is very high temptation of price wars (Remember
MADM fundas). For Fixed Costs, following considerations need be made –
Capacity Utilization
Increasing the scale of business/manufacturing – What causes it?
Complex Product: High Costs - What causes it?
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Remember it can be a product specific problem or a product mix problem something such as
that we are selling more of higher cost product
Albeit simpler, FC and VC approach is considered limited in considering the entire set of costs
related problem. Here Value Chain analysis helps us to consider all the costs in detailed.
Inbound Outbound
Raw Material warehousing Manufacturing Distribution Customers
logistics logistics
The value chain depicted above represents a manufacturing setup. However, thinking on first
principles one can easily construct a value chain for any business mentioned in the case. For
starters, think of Suppliers, Distributors (inbound/outbound), storage/warehouses, end
customers (VERY IMPORTANT)
In case one particular head has highest % say 50% or more then you can ask the
interviewer that you would want to look at this head to start with.
Many a time there might not be one major head and there could be two heads with
30%-30%split. In these cases you’ll need to explore both heads and also see that the
profitability decline could be partly because of one and partly because of another.
o If says same price, ask about efficiency of utilization – conversion ratio/wastage/efficiency for
us. If efficiency is improved => less RM lead to reduced costs
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Specification
o Substitution (Different Raw Material)
o Cheaper material - indigenization/rationalization?
Quantity
o Value engineering (Use lesser Raw Material)
Per unit price
o Same Supplier
Better Negotiation/Bulk Order – Can you provide something in return for
a better price?
Time of Sourcing (Opportunistic) – Buying when prices are low
o Alternate supplier
Currency Hedging – Use forwards/futures if prices are expected to rise.
Also use call or put options for the variable part of future
Standardization of Parts– ordering more of same type of good
Backward Integration
Cheaper supplier - china etc?
Inbound Logistics:
o Do you and your competitor use the same Mode of Transportation?
o Do you incur the same rates and same overall cost?
o Explore Distance Travelled – could be that the rates are same but your factory is
further away from the supplier base.
o Are you ordering at the Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) – Trade of between Set
up cost, holding cost and expected demand
Production/Operations
o Explore Labour cost and efficiency vis-a-vis competitor.
o Inventory Cost (EOQ)
o Overheads such as Electricity/Rent same or higher?
o Machine Utilization: % Downtime - High?
Machine broken? Maintenance/spare cost
Power outage?
Labour unavailability?
Total availability will be a function of (% of time labour, % time machine
available, % Idle time)
o Resolution – additional dimensions:
Outsource
Economies of Scale/Learning curve
Labour cost arbitrage
Distribution/Outbound Logistics:
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Explore same as (Inbound)
Post Sales Cost:
o Installation
o Service or Warranty cost?
Gross margin is same but Operating margin has reduced:
o Marketing & Administration – SG&A
o R&D cost
o Restructuring cost
o Licensing and regulatory costs
If NOPAT is down
o Depreciation & Amortization
o Interest Expense
o Tax rates – which geographies (VAT) does our company operate in?
o Inventory Write off
o Gains/losses or external investments
o Loss due to some catastrophic event.
SUMMARY
You may ask other questions as well depending on the problem type. Once you get a grip of the
problem start structuring your analysis as indicated below –
1. Market –
2. Customer –
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Segment customers
3. Competitors -
Segment competitors
Now proceed with the framework outlined above to identify the root cause of the problem
Market entry cases can be quite tricky if the basic factors such as basis of entry, company’s As-Is
position etc. are not understood properly.
This framework broadly outlines the major considerations in a market entry case. Different
portions of the framework may be important for different problems depending on case in
point.
1. Situation Analysis
2. Value chain Analysis
3. Industry Attractiveness
4. Entry Strategy
1. Situation Analysis
Situation
Analysis
Motive Expectation
Current business/
- Profit, Market Share, Current Customers - Target profit,
products
geographic expansion? market share,
geogrpahy etc.
- Which part of
value chain?
- Timeline?
If the situation analysis culminates into finding which part of value chain is appropriate for
entry, value chain analysis needs to be done.
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2. Value Chain analysis
After sales
Parameters Sourcing Manufacturing Distribution
services
Market Size
Sales Growth
Profitability
Competition
Customers
Technology/skills
Investment required
Value of Synergy
That part of value chain must be chosen which maximizes profits of the firm. It must be
in-line with the firm’s primary objective
3. Industry Attractiveness
Once the firm’s objective and its role in the market entry is understood it is essential to
evaluate the industry attractiveness. It has two major components:
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Industry Attractiveness
Increase in either of the parameters compensates for the decrease in the other for a threshold
level of attractiveness. A curve can be plotted as shown below:
Fundamental Attractiveness
Enter
Do not
enter
Competitive Positioning
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4. Entry Strategy
Entry Strategy
Mode of Entry
Resources Required
- Greenfield
- Financing
- Franchise
- Technology
-M&A
- Manpower
- Joint Venture
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Why? – Objective of investment: direct return from investment, incentives in the
current business, synergies, etc.
What? – What is the target rate of return from investment
When? – Timeline of investment
Once the expectation setting is done, rationale to make an investment can be evaluated as
follows:
•Financial
•Revenues, revenue growth
•Profits, profit growth
•Debt/Equity
•Price per share/ Earnings per share (P/E)
• Operational
•Products & Services
Target's •Capabilities - Sourcing, manufacturing technology, distribution, IP etc.
Potential • Management
•Vision
•Skill
Only if the industry is attractive, target has high potential and expected return from the
investment (from all sources) exceed target ROI, investment is justified.
The following framework can be used to analyze increasing sourcing costs and make
recommendations for reducing the same:
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Sourcing costs
Supply Demand
Value chain analysis is an extremely useful tool to solve many business problems. The basic idea
here is to understand different parts of the value chain and look for abnormalities/inefficiencies
at each leg of the value chain.
A general value chain structure is as follows (some parts may not be relevant for certain
industries):
After
Demand Warehous Logistics Manufact Logistics Distributi
Sourcing (outbound)
Sales
Forecasting ing (inbound) uring on
service
A few important questions to ask under each part of the value chain will result in insights for
problem solving:
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Demand Forecasting
Sourcing
Warehousing
Manufacturing
Logistics
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Efficiency of transport (TAT, load factor, quantity transported per trip etc.)
Distribution
VI - Pricing Framework
Product
Pricing
Start with the basic questions on the product, company, customers. Ask specific questions on
the product like –
2. Who is the consumer and who is the customers (customer and consumer can be different)
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Once you understand the nature of the product, then try to assess what kind of pricing
methodology would work best (in any case you should price the product based on all the
methods and give your final recommendation based on a price range based on the three
methods)
Tips:
1. Many pricing problems are masked ‘market size’ estimation problems. When the
conversation goes in that direction, ensure you specify that you’d calculate the market size
before pricing the product
2. There’s no single price – Always offer a price range. Mentioning the sensitivity metrics in
calculations would fetch additional brownie points.
4. Topics like bundling and other innovative prices (discount scheme etc.) will fetch brownie
points
5. Price the product based on consumer psychology (for example - use $5.99 as the price to
indicate that consumers are more willing to buy at $5.99 instead of $6)
The following are the main steps to evaluate a case which for an acquisition:
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List down some criteria to select the businesses to acquire and rank them. This
approach can be used either when there are multiple businesses to select from or same
business but different companies to select from. Some criteria could be as follows:
o Synergies from costs
o Synergies from customers in terms of revenue – you can add a wow factor that
you would generally be cautious here since revenue synergies are hard to
materialize
o Level of competition
o Extension of existing strengths into the new business
o Use of existing competitive advantage
o Risks in the business
Compute the net benefit of such acquisition based on the costs incurred to acquire
them v/s the potential synergies that could be realized. Remember to mention that
estimating synergies is a tricky business (this is the wow factor here)
Once you have identified the synergies you would like to focus on the valuation
o Discounted cash flows method
o Market multiple method (has the issues associated being a historical number and
also the possibility of being inflated)
The next thing that you would want to focus on is how you plan to finance the
acquisition
o Finance acquisition through stock – to be used when the acquiring company
stock is overvalued
o Finance acquisition through cash (a combination of equity and debt) - to be used
when the acquiring company stock is undervalued
o Finance acquisition through both stock and cash
The next step would be to perform the due diligence and then consummate the
transaction.
Prioritization Matrix (2 by 2’s): Can be used to evaluate any project/R&D activity. There are
number of ways to do the same a few are outlined below –
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Guess Estimates: Do not neglect this section and be thoroughly prepared with the same. A
guess estimate can be asked in multiple ways, even while solving a normal profitability case.
Once you have completed the guess-estimate then try to include the following to make your
analysis much richer –
a. Verification of data – Identify a few sources from where you can get the right numbers to
further refine your estimate.
b. Sensitivity Analysis – Conduct a basic sensitivity analysis and identify the most critical
assumptions you made.
Such an extended analysis shows that you have thought through all the assumptions made and
are not arbitrarily using any number to estimate. Although the numbers do not matter here but
having a basic sense of the numbers used and identifying the potential areas of over/under
estimating helps a lot.
Sales Force Effectiveness: You may use this to identify the reason for low sales force output.
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Sales Force
Effectiveness
Motivational Efforts/Skills
Organization
Incentives Career/Growth
Structure
Recognition/Awards
Sourcing Strategy: Such types of cases are relatively rare however can be solved using a
standard approach outlined below –
Sourcing
Strategy
Same Raw
Backward
Material Wastages Centralized Govt
Integrate
sourced
Quantity
New Suppliers
Bundling
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