World Methanol2015
Supply
2016
and
2017
Demand
2018 2019
CAGR
2020E 15-20E
Supply
Nameplate Capacity 122,357 126,628 132,537 136,468 146,551 153,110 4.6
Adjustments 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Capacity 122,357 126,628 132,537 136,468 146,551 153,110 4.6
Macro Operating Rate 64.5% 67.1% 66.7% 67.2% 67.1% 64.6%
Production 78,869 85,028 88,428 91,746 98,281 98,900 4.6
Imports 24,195 26,680 26,668 26,993 29,911 29,711 4.2
Total Supply 78,869 85,028 88,428 91,746 98,281 98,900 4.6
Demand
Formaldehyde 21,017 21,832 22,546 23,836 24,637 24,734 3.3
Acetic Acid 5,994 6,096 7,105 7,363 7,554 7,553 4.7
Methyl tert-Butyl Ether (MTBE) 9,748 10,111 10,469 10,985 11,156 10,925 2.3
Methyl Methacrylate 1,648 1,687 1,733 1,782 1,755 1,762 1.4
Dimethyl terephthalate (DMT) 467 473 478 476 472 470 0.1
Methanethiol (Methyl Mercaptan) 503 513 528 545 533 544 1.6
Methylamines 1,522 1,558 1,600 1,649 1,690 1,718 2.5
Methyl Chloride (Chloromethane) 2,099 2,165 2,243 2,344 2,437 2,500 3.6
Alternative Fuels
Gasoline Blending & Combustion 11,323 12,269 12,195 12,125 13,422 12,904 2.6
Biodiesel 1,383 1,831 2,844 3,005 3,291 3,474 20.2
DME 3,844 3,935 3,292 2,982 3,052 2,890 -5.5
Fuel Cells 8 8 9 9 12 13 11.4
Methanol-to-Olefins 16,200 19,218 20,353 20,886 24,571 25,651 9.6
Others 3,465 3,330 3,430 3,726 3,717 3,762 1.7
Total 79,221 85,025 88,828 91,713 98,300 98,900 4.5
Exports 24,195 26,680 26,668 26,993 29,911 29,711 4.2
Total Country Demand 79,221 85,025 88,828 91,713 98,300 98,900 4.5
Net (351) 3 (400) 33 (19) -
MMSA Global Methanol Supply and Demand Balance
2015 - 2020E Others
180,000 Methanol-to-Olefins
Fuel Cells
160,000 DME
Biodiesel
140,000 Gasoline Blending & Com-
bustion
Methyl Chloride
120,000 (Chloromethane)
Methylamines
-000- metric tons
100,000 Methanethiol (Methyl
Mercaptan)
80,000 20E = 4.5% Dimethyl terephthalate (DMT)
AG R 15 - Methyl Methacrylate
nd C
60,000 Dema Methyl tert-Butyl Ether
(MTBE)
Acetic Acid
40,000 Formaldehyde
Total Capacity
20,000 Production
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020