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Quiz 3 Sol

1) The document provides calculations for valuing a firm using a discounted cash flow model. It solves for the operating margin of a generic office (9.64%) and calculates the value/sales ratio. 2) It provides calculations to value oil reserves, including the value of developed reserves, undeveloped reserves on a DCF basis accounting for development lags, and inputs for an options pricing model to value the reserves. 3) It lists the inputs and calculations for an options pricing model to value undeveloped oil reserves, including annual production, present value of reserves, development costs, rights period, variance in oil prices, and riskfree rate.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
73 views

Quiz 3 Sol

1) The document provides calculations for valuing a firm using a discounted cash flow model. It solves for the operating margin of a generic office (9.64%) and calculates the value/sales ratio. 2) It provides calculations to value oil reserves, including the value of developed reserves, undeveloped reserves on a DCF basis accounting for development lags, and inputs for an options pricing model to value the reserves. 3) It lists the inputs and calculations for an options pricing model to value undeveloped oil reserves, including annual production, present value of reserves, development costs, rights period, variance in oil prices, and riskfree rate.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 54

Spring 1999

Problem 1
VS = AT Operating Margin * (1- Reinvestment Rate) * (1 + g)/(WACC - g)
Reinvestment Rate = g / ROC = g / (AT Operating Margin * Sales/Capital)
Let the margin for Generic Office be x,
VS for Generic Office = 1.5 = x (1-.05/2x)(1.05)/(.10-.05)
Solve for x,
x = (1.5*.05+(.05/2)*1.05)/1.05
x= 9.64%
HK's after-tax operating margin = 9.64% (1.05) = 10.13% ! I also gave full credit if you added 5% to get 14.64%
HK's VS ratio =.1013 (1-.05/2*.1013)(1.05)/(.10-.05) = 1.6023

Problem 2
a. Value of Developed Reserves = 100,000 * (300-200) * (PV of Annuity, 5 years, 9%) =
b. Value of Undeveloped Reserves (on DCF basis)
Value of oil in the ground = 40,000 * (300-200) * (PV of Annuity, 9%, 12.5 years) =
Value of oil in the ground allowing for development lag = 29,309,311/1.08 =
Fixed cost of development =
DCF Value of Undeveloped reserves =
I also gave full credit for a number of variations, including
a. Assuming that costs and prices are in present value dollars, in which case the value of reserves is [500000*(300-200)]/1.08 = 46,296,296
c. Inputs for Option Pricing Model
y = Annual Production Revenue/Reserves = 40,000/500,000 = 8.00%

S = PV of reserves discounted back by development lag = $ 27,138,251


K = Upfront Cost of Developing Reserves = $ 50,000,000
t = Period for which firm has rights = 15
Variance = Expected variance in ln(gold prices) = 0.09
r = Riskfree rate = 6.00%

d. The developed reserves will become less valuable, since oil prices are down.
The undeveloped reserves may become more or less valuale depending upon whether the effect of S or the effect of variance is greater on the option value.
gave full credit if you added 5% to get 14.64%
! Note that if you do not adjust the reinvestment rate, you
get 1.575.

$ 38,896,513

$ 29,309,310.89 ! 40000 barrels a year for 12.5 years


$ 27,138,250.82
$ 50,000,000.00
$ (22,861,749.18)

6,296,296

! Many of you used 1/15. You actually lose more because


your production potential is much higher.
! Full credit also for $ 46,296,296

! Use forward looking variance

eater on the option value.


Problem 1
Adjusted EBIT = 1500- 100 = 1400
Adjusted EBIT (1-t) = 840
- Reinvestment = 336
FCFF 504 Tax rate = 480/1200 = 40% (Do not divide b
will result in a double counting of the interes
Total Beta = 0.80/0.5 = 1.6 which is already being counted in the cost of
Levered beta = 1.6 (1 + (1-.4)(3/7)) = 2.01142857
Cost of Equity = 6% + 2.01 (4%) = 14.04% Use total beta rather than illiquidity discount,
Cost of Capital = 14.04% (.7) + 7% (1-.4)(.3) = 11.09% insufficient information for such a discount.

Value of private firm = 504 (1.05)/(.1109-.05) = $ 8,692.51

Problem 2
Present Value of FCFF from developed reserves = 300 (PVA,10 years, 9.375%) $ 1,894
Cost of Capital = 12%(25/40) + 5% (15/40) = 9.38%
Value of undeveloped reserves = 4000 - 1894 = $ 2,106 ! Do not subtract from the value

Problem 3
d1 = -0.15 N(d1) = 0.4404
d2= -0.90 N(d2) = 0.1841

Value of Equity = 400 (.4404) - 800 exp (-.06*6) (.1841) = $ 73.41


Value of Debt = 400 - 73.41 $ 326.59
Interest rate on debt = (800/326.59)^(1/6) - 1 = 16.08%
Default spread on debt = 16.08% - 6% = 10.08%
1200 = 40% (Do not divide by EBIT. That
ouble counting of the interest tax benefit
being counted in the cost of capital)

ather than illiquidity discount, since you have


mation for such a discount.

o not subtract from the value of equity.


Problem 1
BigName NoName Brand Name
After-tax Margin 12% 6% ! ROC = After-tax operating margin *
Sales/ Capital 2 2 ! Reinvestment rate = g/ ROC
ROC 24.00% 12.00%
Reinvestment rate 16.67% 33.33%
Value/Sales 2.08 0.832
Value 10.4 4.16 6.24

Problem 2
Net Income 2 ! Remember to subtract after-tax expense = 2.6 - 1(1-.4)
ROE 20.00%
Total Beta 2.75
PBV = 1.94
MV of Equity = 19.4

Problem 3
S= 106.698524
K= 131.698524
t= 12
Variance = 0.0225
Riskless rate = 5%
cost of delay= 0.08333333 ! I think you can also make a reasonable case for 1/8 if you arg
that competition would kick in after the 8th year.
! In fact, you can even make a reasonable case for it being 0. If
0 and want to justify it, give me your reason…
ax operating margin * Sales/BV of capital
rate = g/ ROC

= 2.6 - 1(1-.4)

ase for 1/8 if you argued

case for it being 0. If you entered


Problem 1
First, clean up the market value of equity for the cross holdings
Total market value of equity = 3000 ! 150 *20
- Value of equity in Coleman Holdings = 500 ! 20% of 2500
- Value of equity in Silicon Tech = 1200 ! 60% of 2000
Value of Equity in Steel business = 1300

Next clean up the debt for the consolidated debt from Silicon
Value of debt = 2000
- Value of Debt in Silicon Tech = 500 ! Silicon Tech's debt is consolidated in balanc
Value of debt in Steel business = 1500

Finally, clean up the EBITDA


Consolidated EBITDA = 700
- EBITDA of Silicon Tech = 300
EBITDA of Steel Business = 400

EV of Steel Business = 2800


EV/ EBITDA of Steel Business = 7.00

Problem 2
a. Estimated PS in year 5 = 3.5 ! Net margin = 10%; 1.5 + .2 (10) = 3.5
Estimated Equity value in year 5 = 1750 ! 3.5 * 500
b. Total beta = 2.25
Cost of equity = 14.00%
c. Value of equity today (going concern) = $908.90 ! 1750/1.14^5
Survival adjusted equity value = $363.56 ! 908.90 * .40
debt is consolidated in balance sheet

10%; 1.5 + .2 (10) = 3.5


Problem 1
a. Unlevered beta = 1
Total beta = 2.5
Cost of equity = 15.00% ! Use total beta because buyer is not diversified
Return on capital = 0.175 ! 280/1600
Reinvestment rate = 0.22857143 !4%/17.5%

EBIT (1-t) $280.00


- Reinvestment $64.00 ! 22.86% of EBIT (1-t)
FCFF $216.00

Value of firm = $2,042.18 ! 224 (1.04)/(.15-.04)

b. Unlevered beta = 1! IPO valuation: use market beta


Cost of equity = 9.00%
Return on capital= 0.15 ! Using reestimated return on capital
Reinvestment rate = 0.26666667 ! 3.5%/15%
EBIT (1-t) $240.00 ! Reestimate operating income with 40% tax rate
- Reinvestment $64.00 ! 23.33% of 240
FCFF $176.00

Value of firm = $3,660.80 ! 176 (1.04)/(.09-.04)

c. There should be an illiquidity discount in the private transaction but not on the IPO.

Problem 2
Part a
Value of commercial product = $88.63
Value of R&D = $45.00
Total = $133.63

Market value of firm = $240.00


Value of patent = $106.37

Part b
If the firm develops the patent today, you will replace the option value above with the NPV
NPV = $49.39
Change in value = -$56.98 ! 49.39 - 106.37
New firm value = $183.02 ! 240 - 56.98
Problem 1
a. Intrinsic price to book ratio = 0.83333333 ! (ROE - g)/ (COE -g); ROE =8%, Cost of equity = 5+4%
Stock is undervalued slightly.
b. if the market is correct
Price to book ratio = .8 = (.08-.03)/(r-.03)
Solving for r, Cost of equity = 9.25%

Problem 2
Levered beta = 1.56
EV/Sales based upon regression= 2.028 ! 0.30 + .08 (15/100) - 1.2 (1.56) + .12 (20)
Actual EV/Sales ratio = 2.5 ! (200 + 100 -50)/100
Stock is overvalued by 23.27% ! Divided the actual by the expected value

Problem 3
Total beta = 3! Sale in a private transaction. Divided beta by correlation.
Cost of equity = 17.00% ! 5% + 3*4%
Reinvestment rate = 0.4 ! G/ROC = 4%/10%
Status quo value of firm = $ 6.92 ! 1.5 (1-.4)/(.17-.04); I don't need a (1+g) because 1.5 is
Value of 25% stake in firm = $ 1.73

With a doubled return on capital


Reinvestment rate = 0.2 ! Doubled return on capital only on new investments. So e
Optimal firm value = $ 9.23 ! 1.5 (1-.2)/(.17-.04)
Value of 51% stake in firm = $ 4.71

For IPO valuation


Market beta = 0.9
Cost of equity = 8.600% Since this is an IPO valuation, y
Status quo value = $19.57 ! 1.5 (1-.4)/(.086-.04)
Optimal firm value = $26.09 ! 1.5 (1-.2)/(.086-.04)
Value per non- voting share = $4.89
Value per voting share = $5.54 !4.89+.2(26.09-19.57)/2
8%, Cost of equity = 5+4% = 9%)

1.56) + .12 (20)

pected value ! You cannot compare the predicted value to the average for the sector. That tells you very little.

. Divided beta by correlation.

need a (1+g) because 1.5 is next year's income

nly on new investments. So existing operating income unaffected

nce this is an IPO valuation, you have to revalue the company with a market beta.
or. That tells you very little.
Problem 1
Gloria Inc. Generic Brand Name Value
After-tax Operating Margin 0.15 0.075
Return on Capital 0.25 0.125
Reinvestment Rate 0.2 0.4
EV/Sales 2.4 0.9
Enterprise Value $ 2,400.00 $ 900.00 $ 1,500.00

Problem 2
Cost of equity = 10.0% ! Use market beta since this is for initial public offering
Part a. Under existing management
EBIT (1-t) $ 5.00
Return on capital = 0.1
Reinvestment Rate = 0.4 ! 4./10
Value of firm = $ 50.00 ! No surprise here. If you earn your cost of capital, MV = BV

Part b. Under new management


EBIT (1-t) $6.50
Return on capital = 13.00%
Reinvestment Rate = 30.77% ! 4/13
Value of firm = $75.00

Value of control = $5.00 ! (100 - 75) *.20

Value per non-voting share = $10.00 ! Divide status quo value by total number of shares
Value per voting share = $12.50 ! Add Value of control/ Number of voting shares
for initial public offering

your cost of capital, MV = BV

tal number of shares


r of voting shares
Problem 1
EV/Sales = After-tax operating margin ( 1- g/ ROC)/ (Cost of capital - g)
1.20 = .10 (1 -.04/ ROC)/ (.09 - .04) ! There are other ways to get to the same s
Solving for return on capital, we get 3000 = 250 (1-.04/ROC)/ (.09-.04)
Return on capital = 10.00% ! While technically you do not need a (1+g
I did give full credit to those who used it.
Problem 2
Bank PBV ROE
Hibernia Bank 1.25 16%
Bancomer 1.1 14%
North Fork Bank 0.9 12%
North Fork Bank is the most
undervalued bank…..

If we use the regression, PBV Predicted PBV


Hibernia Bank 1.25 1.2 Overvalued
Bancomer 1.1 1.1 Correctly valued
North Fork Bank 0.9 1 Under valued

b. Low Price to book, high ROE, low risk, high growth

Problem 3
Corrected income = $300,000.00 ! Subtracted out rent (75,000), accounting
After-tax income= $180,000.00 Why subtract out the dentist salary? If you
practice for something that does not belong
Total beta = 2.4 ! 0.80*3 business. You could be a non-dentist, buy
Cost of equity = 13.85%
! On the total beta calculation, I did give fu
Value of practice = $1,549,367.09
r ways to get to the same solution. You could set up firm value
04/ROC)/ (.09-.04)
ly you do not need a (1+g) in the numerator since I have given you next year's operating income
edit to those who used it.

rent (75,000), accounting expense (25,000) and dental salary of 150,000.


t the dentist salary? If you don't, you will be paying a premium to the owner of the
ething that does not belong to him. Another way to think of this is as a pure
ould be a non-dentist, buy this business and hire a dentist to work for you for 150,000…..

ta calculation, I did give full credit if you assumed that the R squared was 33% and took the square root of it.
square root of it.
Problem 1
a. Tax Rate: The higher the tax rate, the lower the EV/EBITDA multiple should be (not higher)
b.
EV/EBITDA = 2.26 + .1513 (Tax Rate) + .2156 (Return on Capital) – .1335 ! You cannot change the s
EV/EBITDA = 7.9059

Problem 2
Market value fo equity = 1800
Net Income next year = 1500

MV of Equity/ Forward Earnings = 1.2 ! 1800/1500


PE =1.2 = Payout Ratio / (.10 - .04) ! Cost of equity = 10%; Growth rate = 4%
Payout ratio = 7.20%
Return on equity = g/ (1- Payout ratio) = 4.31% ! Loser company but dem's the breaks…

Problem 3
Total Beta = 1.2/.4 = 3 ! Market beta/ Square root of R squared
Cost of equity = 5% + 3*4% = 17.00%
Reinvestment rate = 0.25 ! G/ ROC
Value of firm = $66.21

Cost of equity to publicly traded firm = 0.098 ! Investors in publicly traded firm are diversi
new return on capital = 0.18 ! I also gave full credit if you adjusted the gr
New reinvestment rate = 0.16666667
Value of firm = $ 151.47 ! Only the growth rate or reinvestment rate w
Value of 51% = $ 77.25 Existing operating income remains unchange
not higher)

You cannot change the sign on a regression coefficient if you don't agree with it.

wth rate = 4%

y but dem's the breaks…

blicly traded firm are diversified.


credit if you adjusted the growth rate upwards to 4.5%

h rate or reinvestment rate will be affected….


ng income remains unchanged.
Problem 1
Enterprise value = Equity + Debt - Cash
2500
EV/Sales = 1.25 ! 2500/2000

b. Estimated ROC = 0.075 ! Assumed book equity = 1000


b. If the market value is right,
EV/Sales = Expected operating margin next year/(1-RIR) (Cost of capital -g)
1.25 = 0.075(1- .03/.075)/ (Cost of capital - .03) ! After-tax Margin = 150/2000
Solving for the cost of capital,
Cost of capital = 6.60% ! If you assume a 5% return on capital, this number will b

Problem 2
Market value of equity of parent company = 650 ! 1000*10 - 0.1*500 -0.75*400
Debt of parent company = 300 ! 500 -200
Cash of parent company = 50 ! 150 - 100
Enterprise value of parent company = 900
EBITDA of parent company = 150 ! 250 -100
EV/EBITDA for parent company = 6! 900/150

Problem 3
C. Best combination: Low P/BV, Low risk, High growth, High ROE

b. Expected price to book for company A = 0.8


Actual price to book ratio = 1.25
Company is overvalued by apprroximately 36.00%

c.
PBV of C = 1.2 = 0.80 + 0.75 X - 0.5 (1)
Solving for X
ROE for company C would have to be 12%
The ROE would have to be approximately 12%… it is actually 20%
! The book value of capital was missing on this problem. So, I gave full credit to any book
value of capital that was rasonable. The solution assumes that the book value of equity
is $ 1 billion and the book value of capital is $ 2 billion.

on capital, this number will be lower (5.4%)

000*10 - 0.1*500 -0.75*400 ! Did not net out cash of consolidated sub: -0.5 point
! Got parent EBITDA incorrect: -0.5 to -1 point
! Other computational errors: -0.5 point each

! One point for D and F. They were close but failed one one dimension (D on growth and F on risk)

! Mechanical errors: -0.5 point

! Used intrinsic equation: -1 point


! Set up equation in way to make solution impossible: -1 point
! Mechanical erorrs: -0.5 point
! Did not use any reinvestment: -0.5 point (No ROC would support this)
! Reinvestment rate wrong (given your ROC): -0.5 point
! Failed to consider operating margin: -0.5 point
! Other mechanical errors: -0.5 point each

h and F on risk)
Problem 1
Current price to book ratio = 1.5 Used wrong cost of equity
Current cost of equity = 9% Math error: -0.5 point eac
Expected growth rate= 3%
PBV = 1.5 = (ROE -g)/ (Cost of equity -g)
1.5 = (ROE -.03)/ (.09-.03)
ROE = 12%

b. New ROE incorrect: -1 po


Book equity increases by = 20% New cost of equity incorre
New return on equity = 10.00% ! Old ROE/ (1 + Capital increase)
New cost of equity= 11% ! Riskfree rate + New ERP
New price to book ratio = 0.875 ! (10%-3%)/(11%-3%)

Problem 2
Company Primary sharePrice/Share Net Income # Options Value/option
Zap Tech 100 $20 $100 10 $10
InfoRock 500 $6 $150 80 $1.50
Lo Software 80 $5 $20 20 $0.50

Market Cap Net Income PE Ratio Diluted EPS Diluted PE


Zap Tech $2,000 $100.00 20.00 $0.91 22.00
InfoRock $3,000 $150.00 20.00 $0.26 23.20
Lo Software $400 $20.00 20.00 $0.20 25.00
Lo Software is the cheapest stock. It's modified PE ratio is the lowest.

Problem 3
Value of private firm = 2000 Used EBIT (1-t) as FCFF:
EBIT (1-t) next year = 300 Reinvestment rate wrong:
Reinvestment rate = 20% ! g/ ROC = 3/15 = 20% Math errors: -0.5 point ea
FCFF next year = 240

To solve for the cost of equtiyt used: ! Market beta computation


Value of firm = 2000 = 240/ (r - .03)
Cost of capital = Cost of equity = 15%
Cost of equity = 15% = 4% + Beta (5%)
Total beta used = 2.2
Market beta = 1.1 ! Total beta * Correlation with the market
Cost of equity = 4% +1.1*5% = 9.50%
Correct value of the firm = $ 3,692.31 ! 240/ (.095-.03)
ed wrong cost of equity: -0.5 point
th error: -0.5 point each

w ROE incorrect: -1 point


w cost of equity incorrect: -1 point

Using regular PE completely misses the options oustanding: -2 points


Using diluted PE treats all options as equal: -1 point

Total Equity Modified PE


$2,100 21.00
$3,120 20.80
$410 20.50

ed EBIT (1-t) as FCFF: -1 point


nvestment rate wrong: -0.5 point
th errors: -0.5 point each

Market beta computation wrong: -1 point


Problem 1
Part a
Return on capital = 0.15 ! Aftertax operating margin* Sales/Bv oF Capital
Reinvestment Rate = 0.2 ! g/ ROC
EV/Sales Ratio = 1.333333333 ! AT Oprating Margin (1-RIR)/ (Cost of capital -g)
Part b
New Return on Capital = 0.16 ! 0.08 *(1.5*1.3333)
Reivestment Rate = 0.1875
EV/Sales Ratio = 1.083333333
New EV = 1.444440833 ! Remember that revenues are higher by 33.33%
Value of the firm increaases by about 8.33%

Problem 2
SunTrust SouthEast
Market value of equity $150.00 $100.00
Book Value of equity $90.00 $80.00
Expected Net income next year $18.00 $12.00
P/BV 1.666666667 1.25
ROE 20.00% 0.15

If SunTrust Bank is fairly valued,


P/BV = 1.6667 = (.20-.03)/(Cost of equity -.03)
Cost of equity = 0.132

Valuing SouthEast Bank with this cost of equity


Intrinsic P/BV = 1.17647059
Actual P/BV = 1.25
Overvalued by 6.25%

Problem 3
Expected EBIT(1-t) 170 ! 200 - 50 (1-.4)
Reinvestment rate = 0% ! Because growth is zero
Value to undiversifed investor = 850
Cost of equity to undiversified investor = 20.00%
Impliws Total Beta = 2.666666667
Correlation with the market = 40%
Market beta = 1.066666667
Cost of equity = 10.400%
Value of business = $ 1,634.62
Sales/Bv oF Capital !Did not compute return on capital: -1 point
! Math errors: -1/2 point
/ (Cost of capital -g)

! Did not recompute sales/cap ratio: -1/2 poitn


! Did not recompute value: -1/2 point

e higher by 33.33%

! Wrong cost of equity: -1 point


1 Did not compare to actual P/BV: -0.5 point

! After-tax operating income wrong: -1 point


! Did not compute correct cost of equity: -1 point
! Did not adjust for market beta: -1 point
Problem 1
Current EV/Sales Ratio = 1.7 ! Ignored reinvestment rate
Reinvestment Rate= 0.15 ! Growth rate/ ROC 1 Math errors: -0.5 point ea
EV/Sales = After-tax margin (1-RIR)/ (Cost of capital -g)
1.7 = After-tax margin (1-.15)/(.09-.03)
After-tax margin = 12.00%

After-tax margin (Generic) = 6.00%


Current sales/capital = 1.67 ! ROC/After-tax margin of Slim Joe's
Return on capital (Generic) = 10.00%
Reinvestment rate = 0.3
EV/Sales ratio 0.70

Problem 2
Lugano Stulz
Market value of equity 9000 13000 ! EV computed incorrectly:
Book value of equity 4000 6000 ! EBITDA computed incorre
+ Market value of debt 5000 5000 ! Did not consider ROC or ta
Book value of debt 4500 4500
- Cash 1500 2000
- Market value of minority holdings 1500 1000
Book value of minority holdings 500 500
+ Market value of minority interests 1000 3000
Book value of minority interests 400 1000
Tax rate 40% 20%
Net Income 600 1200
Interest expenses 500 500
EBIT 1500 2000 ! Net Income/ (1-t) + Interest expenses
DA 500 1000

EV = 12000 18000 ! MV Equity + MV Debt - Cash - MV Mino


EBITDA 2000 3000 ! EBIT +DA
EV/Ebitda 6.00 6.00
ROC= 12.86% 18.82%
Since Stulz has a hgher ROC, lower tax rate and trades at the same multiple, it is cheaper.

Problem 3
PBV = (ROE-g)/(Cost of equity -g)
For publicly traded firms
1.6 = (.12-.04)/ (Cost of equity -.04)
Cost of equity = 9.00%
Given riskfree rate = 4% and ERP =5%
Beta = 1
Total beta = 2.5 ! Beta/ 0.4
Cost of equity = 16.50%

PBV ratio of Seacrest = 1.28


gnored reinvestment rate = -1 point
Math errors: -0.5 point each

! Did not recompute return on captial: -1 point


! Math errors: -0.5 point each

V computed incorrectly: -0.5 to -1.5 points


BITDA computed incorrectly: -0.5 to -1 point
id not consider ROC or tax rate in making judgment: -0.5 point

1-t) + Interest expenses

V Debt - Cash - MV Minority Holdings + MV Minority Interests

! Did not solve correctly for beta: -1 point


! No total beta computation: -1 point
! Math errors: -0.5 point each
Problem 1
a. Intrinsic PE = 0.60/(.08-.02) = 10 ! All or nothing (Ok if you use
b.
Estimated value for equity = $ 1,000.00
- Value of options $ 50.00 ! 10*5 !Used diluted number of shar
Value of equity in common stock $ 950.00 !Did not subtract out value o
Value per share $ 9.50 ! 950/100 ! Did not divide by actual num

Problem 2 KMD RAD holdings KMD just steel


Value of equity = $ 9,000.00 $ 3,000.00 $ 6,000.00 ! Net out 60% of market valu
Debt $ 5,000.00 $ 3,000.00 $ 2,000.00
Cash $ 2,000.00 $ 1,000.00 $ 1,000.00
EBITDA $ 2,100.00 $ 700.00 $ 1,400.00

Enterprise Value $ 7,000.00


EV/ EBITDA 5.00
The steel business is fairly valued.

Problem 3
Corrected after-tax EBIT 50
After-tax Operating margin = 0.05
Total Beta = 3 ! 1.2/0.4
Expected growth = 0.1
Estimated EV/Sales = 0.5
Estimated EV = $ 500.00
ll or nothing (Ok if you use (1+g) and get 10.2…)

sed diluted number of shares = -1.5


d not subtract out value of options = -1 point
id not divide by actual number of shares: -1 point

! EBITDA for steel business wrong: -1 point


et out 60% of market value of RAD ! Equity value of steel business wrong: -1 point
! Added minority interest or subracted it : -1 point
! Other errors: -0.5 point each

! Did not adjust margin correctly = -1 point


! Did not get total beta = -1 point
! Other errors: -0.5 to -1 point
Problem 1
Business EBIT DA Invested CapiMedian EV/EBITDA for sector
Real estate $150 $50 $500 $6
Travel $35 $5 $240 $10
Spa services $100 $20 $600 Not available

a. Grading template
Market value of equity = 2200 ! Did not compute curren
+ Debt 800 ! Did not compute EV of
- Cash 500
Enterprise value = 2500
- EV of real estate 1200
- EV of Travel 400
EV of Spa Services 900
EBITDA of Spa Services 120
EV/EBITDA 7.5

b.
Cost of capital = 8% ! Return on capital incorr
Expected growth rate = 2% ! Ignored reinvestment:
Return on capital = 10% ! 100 (1-.4)/600 ! Other errors: -0.5 poin
Reinvestment rate = 20.0%
Intrinsic EV = 816 ! Gave full credit if you got 800 (no (1+g)
Intrinsic EV/EBITDA = 6.8
The business is overvalued at 7.5 times EBITDA

Problem 2
With patent Without patent
Operating margin 15% 7.50% ! Did not back out margi
Return on capital 25% 10% ! Did not compute reinve
Expected growth rate 3% 3% ! Other errors: -0.5 poin
Cost of capital 9% 10%
EV/Sales 2.2 0.75
To solve for the current after-tax margin,
EV/Sales = 2.2 = After-tax margin (1- .03/.25)/(.09-.03)
After-tax operating margin = 15.00%

Problem 3
Forward PE ratio for public firms 12.5 ! Did not back out implie
Cost of equity of public firms = 9.00% ! 3% + 1 (6%) ! Did not compute total b
Expected growth rate = 3.00% ! Did not compute reinve
Implied ROE = 12.00% ! 12.5 = (1- .03/ROE)/ (.09-.03) ! Other math errors: -0.5

To value private firm


Total beta = 3.33333333 ! 1/.30, since buyer is undiversified
Cost of equity = 23.00%
ROE = 0.24 ! Twice public company ROE
Expected growth rate= 3%
Reinvestment rate = 0.125
PE = 4.375
Value of equity = $87.50 ! 20*4.375
DA for sector

ading template
id not compute current EV correctly: -0.5 point
id not compute EV of businesses correctly: -0.5 point

eturn on capital incorrect: -0.5 point


gnored reinvestment: -1 point
ther errors: -0.5 point each

id not back out margin from existing EV/Sales: -1 point


id not compute reinvestment: -1 point
ther errors: -0.5 point each

id not back out implied ROE correctly: -1 point


id not compute total beta: -1 point
id not compute reinvestment: -1 point
ther math errors: -0.5 point
Problem 1
Sales EBITDA EBIT Net Income BV of equity
Farm Equipment $10,000 $1,500 $1,000 $400 $3,000
Financing $2,000 $650 $650 $100 $1,000
Entire firm $12,000 $2,150 $1,650 $500 $4,000
For farm equipment business
Return on capital = 13.33% Grading template
Expected growth rate = 3% 1. Used pre-tax return on capital: -1/2 p
EV/EBITDA = 5.90983333 2. Math error on regression equation: -1
EV = $8,864.75 3. Incorrect ROE: -1/2 point
4. Math error on regression equation: -1
For financial service arm 5. Used wrong cash in equity value com
Return on equity = 10.00% 6. Used wrong debt in equity value com
Expected growth rate = 3%
PBV ratio = 1.2
Estimated value of equity= $1,200

Overall equity value


EV of farm equipment = $8,864.75
+ Cash $500
- Debt $2,000
Value of equity in farm equipm $7,364.75
+ Value of equity in financing $1,200
Value of equity in firm $8,564.75
Value per share $10.71

Problem 2
ROE = 12.50% 1. Did not set up to solve for ROE : -1 p
Cost of equity = 10% 2. Did not correct for BV of equity chang
Stable growth rate = 2.50% 3. Math errors: -0.5 point each

Trading PBV= 0.9 (I gave full credit even if you read the q
If PBV = 0.90 = (ROE - .025)/(.10-.025) The PBV ratio then becomes 1.33*0.9 =
Imputed ROE = 9.25% The increase in invested capital is small
Increase in BV of equity = 35.14%

Problem 3
1 2 3 4 5
Revenues $5.00 $7.50 $10.00 $12.00 $12.50
After-tax operating income $2.50 $0.75 $1.25 $1.80 $2.00
FCFF $0.05 $0.25 $0.50 $0.90 $1.20
Terminal value $21.46
Beta 3 3 2 2 1.2
Cost of equity 21.00% 21.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00%
Cumulated cost of equity 1.2100 1.4641 1.683715 1.93627225 2.22671309
PV $0.04 $0.17 $0.30 $0.46 $10.18
Value of firm/equity $11.15
Part b
Cost of equity 10.20% 10.20% 10.20% 10.20% 10.20%
PV $0.05 $0.21 $0.37 $0.61 $13.94
Value of firm/equity $15.18
Offering price $14.00
Value gained $1.18
BV of Debt Cash Cost of equity Cost of capital
$2,000 $500 9% 7.50%
$3,000 $500 8% 6.20%
$5,000 $1,000 8.80% 7.00%

return on capital: -1/2 point (Gave full credit if you did not net out cash)
regression equation: -1/2 point
E: -1/2 point
regression equation: -1/2 point
ash in equity value computation: -1/2 point
ebt in equity value computation: -1/2 point

p to solve for ROE : -1 point


ct for BV of equity change: -1 point
-0.5 point each

t even if you read the question as 90% of intrinsic value.


en becomes 1.33*0.9 = 1.197
nvested capital is smaller then, about 8.7%

1. Did not compute correct costs of equity: -1 point


2. Did not use compounded cost of equity: -1/2 point
3. Terminal value wrong: -1/2 point

10.20% 1. Did not compute correct cost of equity: -1 point


2. Did not compute change in value: -1 point
3. Math errors: -1/2 point
Problem 1
Market value of equity = 1000
Market value of debt = 250
Debt to capital ratio = 20%
Cost of capital = 9.00%

EV/Invested Capital = 1.25


Expected growth rate = 3%
Return on capital = 10.500% EV/IC = (ROC -g)/ (Cost of capital -g)

If the firm earns its return on capital


EV/Invested Capital = 1
Estimated EV = 1000
- Market value of debt = 250
Value of equity = 750 Many of you compared the enterprise value of 1
Equity is overvalued by (1000-750)/750 = 33.33% you need to subtract out debt.

Problem 2
Return on equity = 12.50%
Market value of equity = 6000
Book value of equity = 4000
PBV ratio = 1.5

PBV =0.145+7 (.125)+6*X


Solving for X
Reg Cap/ Risk Adj Assets = 0.08
Risk adjusted assets = 50000

After sale of mortgage bank


Net Income 300
Book value of equity = 2000
Return on equity = 0.15
Risk adjusted assets 20000
Reg Cap/ Risk adj assets 0.1
Price to Book ratio = 1.795
Market value of equity = 3590
Value per share = $11.97

Problem 3
Expected CF next year = 10
VC's value for the firm = 100
Expected growth rate = 3%
Imputed cost of capital = 13%
Imputed Beta (for VC) = 2
Market Beta = 1.2
Cost of capital = 9.00%
Value of firm in IPO = $166.67
! EV to Inv Cap ratio wrong: -0.5 point
! Equation for EV/Inv Cap wrong: -1 point
! Other math errors: -0.5 point

! Error on estimated EV: -0.5 point


! Did not subtract out debt: -0.5 point
(Computed percentage under or over pricing on Enterprise value)
mpared the enterprise value of 1250 to the estimated EV of 1000, but
tract out debt.

! ROE incorrect: -0.5 point


! PBV equation set up incorrectly: -0.5 point
! Error on backing out ratio: -.5 point

! Did not adjust net income: -0.5 point


! Did not adjust book value of equity: -1 point
! Did not adjustt risk adjusted assets: -0.5 point
! Did not estimate new market value of equity: -1 point

! Did not estimate back out cost of capital: -1 point


! Error on getting VC beta: -1 point
! Error on computing new market beta: -1 point
Problem 1
Step 1: Compute the cost of capital for generic snack companies
EV/Sales = 1.8
Return on capital = 12.00% ! After-tax Operating Margin * Sales/Capital
Reinvestment Rate = 25.00% ! g/ ROC
EV/Sales = After-tax Operating Margin * (1-Reinvestment Rate)/ (Cost of capital -g)
1.80 = .08 (1-.25)/(Cost of capital -.03)
Cost of capital = 6.33%
Step 2: Compute the EV/Sales ratio for Moana Foods
After-tax operating margin 16.00%
Return on capital = 24.00%
Reinvestment Rate = 12.500%
EV/Sales = 4.20
Step 3: Compute the proportion due to brand name value
EV/Sales (Generic) = 1.8
EV/Sales (Moana Foods) = 4.20
Brand name effect = 2.4
Brand name % of value = 57.14%

Problem 2
Next year's Expected
Revenues EBITDA
Best-fit regression
growth(using comparable companies in se
Technology $1,000 $400 15.00% EV/Sales = 1.25 + .5(EBITDA
Hotels $2,000 $200 4.00% EV/EBITDA= 3.30 +42.5(EBIT
Corporate Expenses $0 $75 2.50%

Predicted EV/Sales for technology = 3.25


Predicted EV/EBITDA for hotels = 8.75

Revenues EBITDA Predicted EV


Technology $1,000 $400 $ 3,250.00
Hotels $2,000 $200 $ 1,750.00
Corporate Expenses $0 $45 -$ 900.00
Overall Enterprise value = $4,100

Actual Enterprise value = $4,600.00


Don't break up the company. The broken up EV is lower than the consolidated EV.

Problem 3
Private retailerPublic retailer
Correlation with the market NA 0.45
Return on equity 20% 10%
Expected growth rate 2.50% 2.50%
Illiquidity Discount 15% NA

Payout ratio 87.5% 75.0%

PE for public company = Payout ratio/ (Cost of equity -g)


15 = .75/(Cost of equity -.025)
Cost of equity = 7.50%
Beta for public company = 0.9
Beta for private company = 2
Cost of equity for private company = 13.00%
PE for private company = .875/(.13-.025) = 8.3333
PE after illiquidity discount = 7.0833
* Sales/Capital

comparable companies in sector)


/Sales = 1.25 + .5(EBITDA/Revenues) + 12.0 (Expected Growth Rate)
/EBITDA= 3.30 +42.5(EBITDA/Revenues) + 30.0 (Expected Growth Rate)
Problem 1
Assets Liabilities
Cash $100 Debt $200
Other current assets $150
Fixed assets $650
Equity $800
Equity investment in Caligula (10%
owned) $100
Total Assets $1,000 Total $1,000

Part a
Invested Capital = $800 ! Debt + Equity - Cash - Equity Investment in Caligula
Enterprise value = $1,200 ! Debt + MV of equity - Cash - MV of Equity Investmen
EV/Invested Capital = 1.50

Part b
EV/Invested Capital = (ROC -g)/ (Cost of capital -g)
Cost of capital = 8.00%
Expected growth rate = 2.00%
Return on capital = 11.00%

Problem 2
Division Revenues EBITDA Net Income BV of Equity
Steel $800 $200 $80 $300
Chemicals $600 $200 $120 $200
Finance $600 $350 $100 $250
Total Company $2,000 $750 $300 $750

Division EBITDA/SalesEstimated EV/Estimated EV


Steel 25.00% 2.00 $1,600
Chemicals 33.33% 2.50 $1,500
Total $3,100
- Debt of divisions $500
Value of equity in divisions $2,600
ROE PBV Estimated Equity Value
Financing 40.00% 4.00 $1,000

Total value of equity = $3,600


Value per share = $24.00

Problem 3
Comparable (public) companies
Expected
cash flow
Company Business next year Market Beta Correlation with market
Sigma Inc. Technology $80.00 0.8 0.4
Precision Mfg. Manufacturin $25.00 0.8 0.2
Risk free rate = 2.00%
Equity Risk Premium = 5.00%
As stand alone companies to undiversified owners
Company Expected cashTotal Beta Cost of equityValue
Sigma Inc. $80.00 2.00 12.00% $800.00
Precision Mfg. $25.00 4.00 22.00% $125.00
Total $925.00
As a combined company to you
Combined businesses $105.00 1.6 10.0% $1,312.50
Premium over stand alone values = $387.50
As % of value = 41.89%
Grading Template

1. Enterprise value wrong: -1/2 to -1 point


ty Investment in Caligula (BV) 2. Invested capital wrong; -1/2 to -1 point
- MV of Equity Investment in Caligula (20% of 750)

1. Did not set up EV/Inv Cap ratio correctly: -1.5 points


2. Math errors: -1/2 point each

Debt (Book & Market)


$200
$300
$500
$1,000

1. Steel business EV wrong: -1/2 point


2. Chemical business EV wrong: -1/2 point
3. Financial Services business Equity Value wrong; -1/2 point
4. Did not subtract right debt: -1 point
5. Math errors: -1/2 point each

rrelation with market


1. Values of stand alone companies wrong: -1/2 point each
2. Did not compute total beta for combined company: -1 point
3. Value of combined company wrong: -1/2 point
4. Math errors: -1/2 point each
y: -1.5 points

wrong; -1/2 point

-1/2 point each


d company: -1 point
Problem 1
CommerzBank SunClaims
Net Income $ 80 $ 120
Book Value of Equity $ 500 $ 1,000
Price to Book Ratio NA 1.25
Return on equity 0.16 0.12
Price to Book Ratio for SunClaims = 1.25 = (.12-.02)/(Cost of equity -.02)
Cost of equity = 0.1
Price to Book Ratio for CommerzBank 1.75
Estimated Market Value for Equity = $ 875

Problem 2
Most Recent year In year 5
Revenues $ 50 $ 1,000
EBITDA $ (30) $ 80
Debt Outstanding $ - $ 500
Expected growth rate in revenues 80% 15%

Expected EV/EBITDA in year 5 = 25 !=13+80*.15


Expected Enterprise Value in year 5 = $ 2,000 ! 80*25
- Expected Debt in year 5 = $ 500 ! You have to subtract debt from FV
Expected Value of Equity = $ 1,500
Value of equity today = $ 602.82 ! Discount back 5 years at 20%

Problem 3
Steel Hotels Corporate
Revenues $ 1,000 $ 1,500 $ -
EBITDA $ 150 $ 300 $ (50)
EBIT (1-t) $ 75 $ 150 $ (30)
Cost of capital 8.00%
Steel Hotels Estd Value
Peer Group EV/EBITDA 6.00 8.00
Estimated EV $ 900.00 $ 2,400.00 $ (500.00)

Problem 4
Return on capital = 20.00% ! 10/50
Reinvestment Rate = 10.00% ! g/ROC
EBIT (1-t) next year $ 10.00
FCFF next year $ 9.00

Market Beta = 1.20


Total Beta = 2.00
Cost of equity = 14.00%
Value of business = $ 75
- Illiquidity Discount $ 15
Value to private buyer = $ 60
Grading Template

1. Did not solve for cost of equity: -1 point


2. Did not use right PBV set up: -1 point
3. Did not compute ROE correctly: -1/2 point
4. Used net income as cash flow: -1 point
5

1. Used current year's expected growth rate: -2 points


2. Error In estimating EV/EBITDA: -1/2 point
3. Did not subrtact out debt from forward EV: -1 point
4. Did not discount back to today: -1 point

btract debt from FV

5 years at 20%

1. Did not price steel business correctly: -1/2 point


2. Did not price hotel business correctly: -1/2 point
3. Did not value corporate correctly: -1 point
4. Math errors: -1/2 point

$ 2,800.00

1. Did not compute reinvestment rate: -1 point


2. Did not comptue total beta: -1 point
3. Forgot illiquidity discount: -1/2 point
4. Math errors: -1/2 point each
Problem 1
Papillon Bank Average French Bank
Price to Book NA 1.5
Return on Equity 15% 12%
Expected Growth Rate (in perpetuity) 3% 3%
Exp Net Income next year $ 150.00
First, back out the cost of equity for banks
PBV = (ROE - Cost of Equity)
Cost of equity = 9.00%
Next, estimate the price to book for Papillon Banks
Papillon's price to book = 2.00
Finally, estimate the book equity and market equity for Papillon
Book Equity $ 1,000.00
Market Equity $ 2,000.00

Problem 2
Current In year 5
Revenue $ 100.00 $ 1,000.00
After-tax Operating Income $ (20.00) $ 150.00
Book Debt $ 150.00 $ 400.00
Book Equity $ (30.00) $ 600.00
Cash $ 20.00 $ 200.00
Cost of capital 15% 9%

ROIC -20.00% 18.75%


Expected Growth in Revenue - Next 5 ye 58.49% 3%

EV/Sales in year 5 = 2.99


EV in year 5 $ 2,990.00
PV of EV today $ 1,486.56
+ Cash $ 20.00
- Debt $ 150.00
Value of Equity today = $ 1,356.56
Value per share = $ 6.78

I did not like the following solution, but I gave you full credit, if you stayed consistent
EV/Sales (based on current) = 2.78
EV = $ 277.91
+ Cash $ 20.00
- Debt $ 150.00
Value of equity $ 147.91
Per share $ 0.74

Problem 3
Private company valuation $ 200.00
Cost of equity = 18%
Growth rate forever = 3%
Tax rate 20%
Riskfree rate = 3%
Equity Risk Premium = 6%

First, back out the expected FCFF next year from value
Value = 200 = X/ (.18-.03)
Expected FCFF next year = $ 30.00
Next, adjust this FCFF for missed salaries
Missed Salaries $ 2.50
After-tax Missed Salaries $ 2.00
Adjusted FCFF $ 28.00
Third, compue the total beta from the cost of equity
Cost of equity = 18%
Total Beta = 2.50
Finally, adjust for correlation to get to a market beta
Correlation with the market = 0.3
Market beta = 0.75
Public cost of equity = 7.500%
Finally, get the corrected value
Corrected FCFF 28
Corrected Cost of capital 7.500%
Corrected Value = $ 622.22
d consistent
Grading Template

1. Did not back out cost of equity for banking: -1 point


2. Did not incorporate effect of higher ROE: -1 pont
3. Did not go from PBV to equity value: -1 point
4. Math errors: -1/2 point each

1. Used wrong ROIC in regression: -1/2 to -1 point


2. Used wrong growth rate in regression: -1/2 point
3. Did not compute PV of terminal value: -1 point
4. Did not add "right" cash or subtract :"rihgt" debt: -1/2 point each
(You cannot subtract out the year 5 debt and add year 5 cash to your
Year 5 EV, because you will then have equity value in year 5, and you need
a cost of equity to discount it back. You are given only a cost of capital)

1. Did not back out FCFF next year: -1 point


2. Did not adjust for salary expense correctly: -1/2 to -1 point
3. Did not back out total beta: -1 point
4. Did not adjust to market beta: -1/2 to -1 point
5. Error in final valuation: -1/2 to -1 point
6. Math errors: -1/2 point

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