Maryland
Republican Presidential Primary
Image and Ballot Testing
February 19-20th, 2023
% % %
Favorable 56% Favorable 63% Donald Trump 33%
Unfavorable 29% Unfavorable 17% Ron DeSantis 27%
Unsure 16% Unsure 20% Larry Hogan 18%
Nikki Haley 6%
Mike Pence 1%
Mike Pompeo 2%
Tim Scott 1%
Undecided 12%
% % %
Ron DeSantis 39% Donald Trump 59% Ron DeSantis 59%
Donald Trump 35% Larry Hogan 32% Larry Hogan 26%
Undecided 26% Undecided 10% Undecided 15%
%
Full Support 48%
Support Policies 33%
Don't Support 14%
Unsure 5%
Critical Crosstabs:
Column % Female Male Column % HS College Grad+ Column % Conserv. Moderate Liberal
Favorable 58% 53% Favorable 68% 49% 40% Favorable 66% 32% 34%
Unfavorable 26% 31% Unfavorable 17% 31% 47% Unfavorable 17% 53% 57%
Unsure 16% 16% Unsure 15% 20% 13% Unsure 16% 15% 9%
Column % 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Dont
Column % Full Supp. Supp. Pol. Unsure
Supp.
Favorable 50% 64% 48% 56% 57%
Favorable 90% 31% 6% 22%
Unfavorable 45% 17% 31% 28% 26%
Unfavorable 4% 38% 91% 27%
Unsure 5% 19% 21% 16% 16%
Unsure 5% 31% 3% 51%
Column % 4 3 2 1 0 Column % Baltimore DC Salisbury Pittsb.
Favorable 55% 62% 51% 57% 44% Favorable 53% 57% 74% 57%
Unfavorable 28% 20% 34% 30% 44% Unfavorable 31% 27% 16% 32%
Unsure 16% 18% 16% 13% 13% Unsure 17% 16% 10% 11%
Column % 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Favorable 55% 54% 52% 61% 49% 66% 56% 51%
Unfavorable 31% 26% 36% 21% 31% 20% 17% 41%
Unsure 14% 20% 12% 18% 20% 14% 27% 9%
Critical Crosstabs:
Column % Female Male Column % HS College Grad+ Column % Conserv. Moderate Liberal
Favorable 59% 67% Favorable 63% 66% 60% Favorable 72% 46% 24%
Unfavorable 16% 17% Unfavorable 14% 16% 22% Unfavorable 9% 31% 48%
Unsure 24% 16% Unsure 22% 17% 19% Unsure 18% 22% 28%
Column % 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Dont
Column % Full Supp. Supp. Pol. Unsure
Supp.
Favorable 54% 87% 62% 69% 56%
Favorable 69% 77% 13% 53%
Unfavorable 16% 4% 21% 17% 18%
Unfavorable 9% 9% 61% 17%
Unsure 30% 9% 17% 14% 26%
Unsure 21% 14% 26% 30%
Column % 4 3 2 1 0 Column % Baltimore DC Salisbury Pittsb.
Favorable 65% 66% 62% 61% 54% Favorable 66% 60% 49% 58%
Unfavorable 18% 16% 18% 16% 13% Unfavorable 18% 16% 13% 16%
Unsure 18% 19% 20% 22% 33% Unsure 16% 24% 38% 26%
Column % 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Favorable 68% 58% 70% 30% 65% 66% 49% 54%
Unfavorable 14% 15% 21% 14% 16% 15% 23% 18%
Unsure 18% 27% 9% 56% 19% 19% 28% 27%
Critical Crosstabs:
Column % Female Male Column % HS College Grad+ Column % Conserv. Moderate Liberal
Donald Trump 33% 33% Donald Trump 41% 31% 21% Donald Trump 41% 15% 15%
Ron DeSantis 24% 30% Ron DeSantis 26% 28% 28% Ron DeSantis 30% 23% 3%
Larry Hogan 19% 17% Larry Hogan 12% 20% 26% Larry Hogan 8% 37% 55%
Nikki Haley 9% 4% Nikki Haley 6% 6% 8% Nikki Haley 6% 9% 5%
Mike Pence 2% 1% Mike Pence 1% 3% 1% Mike Pence 1% 2% 0%
Mike Pompeo 1% 2% Mike Pompeo 2% 1% 2% Mike Pompeo 1% 2% 0%
Tim Scott 1% 1% Tim Scott 1% 1% 2% Tim Scott 1% 2% 0%
Undecided 12% 12% Undecided 12% 11% 12% Undecided 12% 9% 22%
Column % 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Dont
Column % Full Supp. Supp. Pol. Unsure
Supp.
Donald Trump 42% 18% 25% 32% 39%
Donald Trump 63% 6% 1% 11%
Ron DeSantis 19% 52% 32% 30% 18%
Ron DeSantis 21% 46% 6% 22%
Larry Hogan 15% 10% 26% 16% 18%
Larry Hogan 1% 18% 71% 32%
Nikki Haley 17% 0% 2% 7% 7%
Nikki Haley 4% 8% 9% 12%
Mike Pence 0% 0% 1% 3% 1%
Mike Pence 1% 2% 2% 3%
Mike Pompeo 0% 4% 0% 1% 2%
Mike Pompeo 2% 2% 0% 2%
Tim Scott 3% 2% 1% 1% 0%
Tim Scott 1% 2% 0% 0%
Undecided 4% 14% 13% 10% 14%
Undecided 8% 16% 12% 19%
Critical Crosstabs:
Column % 4 3 2 1 0 Column % Baltimore DC Salisbury Pittsb.
Donald Trump 35% 34% 29% 36% 25% Donald Trump 30% 34% 56% 39%
Ron DeSantis 27% 25% 27% 32% 20% Ron DeSantis 29% 27% 13% 21%
Larry Hogan 16% 15% 23% 18% 13% Larry Hogan 20% 15% 11% 11%
Nikki Haley 4% 6% 8% 3% 27% Nikki Haley 6% 8% 1% 2%
Mike Pence 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% Mike Pence 1% 2% 2% 0%
Mike Pompeo 2% 2% 0% 2% 0% Mike Pompeo 2% 1% 1% 0%
Tim Scott 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% Tim Scott 1% 1% 1% 0%
Undecided 13% 15% 10% 8% 15% Undecided 11% 12% 14% 26%
Column % 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Donald Trump 28% 39% 26% 59% 27% 39% 45% 30%
Ron DeSantis 33% 17% 28% 14% 25% 28% 24% 27%
Larry Hogan 17% 19% 27% 14% 15% 12% 14% 21%
Nikki Haley 6% 8% 3% 0% 13% 6% 7% 2%
Mike Pence 2% 0% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2%
Mike Pompeo 1% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Tim Scott 2% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 2%
Undecided 10% 10% 14% 11% 18% 12% 9% 11%
By Trump Opinion By DeSantis Opinion
Undec- Undec-
Column % Overall Column % Overall
ided ided
Favorable 57% 56% Favorable 74% 63%
Unfavorable 24% 29% Unfavorable 11% 17%
Unsure 19% 16% Unsure 14% 20%
By Gender By Age By Education
Undec- Undec- Undec-
Column % Overall Column % Overall Column % Overall
ided ided ided
Female 49% 51% 18-34 4% 11% HS 46% 46%
Male 51% 49% 35-44 12% 10% College 29% 30%
45-54 18% 16% Grad+ 25% 24%
55-64 22% 25%
65+ 44% 37%
By Race By Ideology By Congressional District
Undec- Undec- Undec-
Column % Overall Column % Overall Column % Overall
ided ided ided
Full Supp. 33% 48% Conserv. 71% 68% 1 23% 27%
Supp. Pol. 45% 33% Moderate 24% 29% 2 11% 13%
Dont Supp. 14% 14% Liberal 5% 3% 3 18% 15%
Unsure 7% 5% 4 2% 2%
5 19% 12%
By County 6 17% 18%
By Last 4 Primaries
Undec- Undec- 7 4% 6%
Column % Overall Column % Overall
ided ided
8 6% 6%
4 29% 26% Baltimore 56% 59%
3 33% 25% DC 33% 33%
2 21% 25% Salisbury 7% 6%
1 13% 21% Pittsb. 4% 2%
0 5% 3%
Critical Crosstabs:
Column % Female Male Column % HS College Grad+ Column % Conserv. Moderate Liberal
Ron DeSantis 34% 44% Ron DeSantis 32% 41% 50% Ron DeSantis 37% 44% 30%
Donald Trump 37% 33% Donald Trump 43% 31% 24% Donald Trump 42% 20% 9%
Undecided 28% 23% Undecided 25% 27% 27% Undecided 20% 36% 61%
Column % 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Dont
Column % Full Supp. Supp. Pol. Unsure
Supp.
Ron DeSantis 40% 63% 42% 41% 29%
Ron DeSantis 25% 64% 29% 32%
Donald Trump 46% 20% 27% 34% 40%
Donald Trump 64% 11% 1% 13%
Undecided 14% 16% 31% 25% 31%
Undecided 11% 25% 70% 55%
Column % 4 3 2 1 0 Column % Baltimore DC Salisbury Pittsb.
Ron DeSantis 37% 36% 43% 42% 33% Ron DeSantis 41% 39% 22% 29%
Donald Trump 34% 39% 29% 36% 49% Donald Trump 32% 36% 58% 42%
Undecided 29% 25% 27% 23% 18% Undecided 27% 26% 20% 29%
Column % 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Ron DeSantis 46% 28% 41% 18% 39% 40% 25% 45%
Donald Trump 32% 44% 22% 61% 32% 41% 51% 29%
Undecided 22% 28% 37% 21% 30% 20% 24% 27%
Critical Crosstabs:
Column % Female Male Column % HS College Grad+ Column % Conserv. Moderate Liberal
Donald Trump 59% 58% Donald Trump 72% 52% 42% Donald Trump 71% 33% 23%
Larry Hogan 30% 33% Larry Hogan 21% 35% 48% Larry Hogan 19% 60% 44%
Undecided 11% 9% Undecided 7% 13% 10% Undecided 10% 7% 33%
Column % 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Dont
Column % Full Supp. Supp. Pol. Unsure
Supp.
Donald Trump 63% 67% 51% 61% 58%
Donald Trump 93% 37% 1% 36%
Larry Hogan 32% 31% 39% 28% 31%
Larry Hogan 4% 47% 88% 45%
Undecided 5% 2% 11% 11% 12%
Undecided 3% 17% 11% 18%
Column % 4 3 2 1 0 Column % Baltimore DC Salisbury Pittsb.
Donald Trump 57% 64% 55% 59% 58% Donald Trump 56% 62% 73% 47%
Larry Hogan 29% 27% 40% 30% 36% Larry Hogan 35% 29% 15% 32%
Undecided 14% 9% 6% 11% 7% Undecided 10% 9% 12% 21%
Column % 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Donald Trump 59% 54% 54% 66% 61% 66% 63% 49%
Larry Hogan 31% 34% 38% 28% 30% 26% 29% 38%
Undecided 10% 12% 9% 6% 9% 8% 8% 13%
Critical Crosstabs:
Column % Female Male Column % HS College Grad+ Column % Conserv. Moderate Liberal
Ron DeSantis 54% 64% Ron DeSantis 64% 60% 49% Ron DeSantis 70% 39% 16%
Larry Hogan 28% 23% Larry Hogan 22% 27% 32% Larry Hogan 16% 48% 44%
Undecided 18% 13% Undecided 15% 13% 19% Undecided 15% 14% 40%
Column % 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Dont
Column % Full Supp. Supp. Pol. Unsure
Supp.
Ron DeSantis 54% 84% 54% 66% 51%
Ron DeSantis 73% 64% 5% 41%
Larry Hogan 27% 14% 28% 22% 30%
Larry Hogan 8% 25% 81% 46%
Undecided 19% 2% 18% 12% 19%
Undecided 18% 11% 15% 13%
Column % 4 3 2 1 0 Column % Baltimore DC Salisbury Pittsb.
Ron DeSantis 60% 62% 54% 57% 71% Ron DeSantis 58% 64% 42% 58%
Larry Hogan 27% 22% 29% 27% 21% Larry Hogan 29% 21% 23% 11%
Undecided 14% 16% 17% 16% 8% Undecided 13% 15% 35% 31%
Column % 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Ron DeSantis 59% 56% 60% 51% 58% 67% 52% 50%
Larry Hogan 22% 32% 28% 15% 31% 17% 31% 33%
Undecided 18% 13% 12% 35% 11% 16% 17% 17%
Critical Crosstabs:
Column % Female Male Column % HS College Grad+ Column % Conserv. Moderate Liberal
Full Support 48% 49% Full Support 63% 41% 30% Full Support 60% 21% 16%
Support Policies 33% 34% Support Policies 25% 38% 43% Support Policies 30% 44% 14%
Don't Support 15% 13% Don't Support 8% 15% 24% Don't Support 5% 29% 65%
Unsure 5% 5% Unsure 4% 6% 4% Unsure 4% 5% 5%
Column % 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Dont
Column % Full Supp. Supp. Pol. Unsure
Supp.
Full Support 67% 45% 35% 50% 48%
Full Support 100% 0% 0% 0%
Support Policies 23% 47% 37% 36% 29%
Support Policies 0% 100% 0% 0%
Don't Support 5% 7% 19% 12% 17%
Don't Support 0% 0% 100% 0%
Unsure 5% 1% 8% 2% 6%
Unsure 0% 0% 0% 100%
Column % 4 3 2 1 0 Column % Baltimore DC Salisbury Pittsb.
Full Support 48% 51% 44% 48% 55% Full Support 45% 50% 69% 44%
Support Policies 33% 31% 37% 33% 28% Support Policies 34% 34% 19% 45%
Don't Support 15% 11% 15% 15% 12% Don't Support 16% 12% 9% 11%
Unsure 4% 6% 3% 5% 5% Unsure 5% 5% 2% 0%
Column % 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Full Support 52% 47% 36% 76% 47% 50% 53% 45%
Support Policies 30% 32% 43% 9% 35% 37% 26% 28%
Don't Support 14% 14% 18% 12% 11% 9% 15% 22%
Unsure 4% 7% 3% 3% 7% 4% 6% 4%
Methodology and Demographics
% % %
Fielded On: February 19-20, 2023
18-34 11% Female 51% HS 46%
-
35-44 10% Male 49% College 30%
Method: Mobile Text Response and 45-54 16% Grad+ 24%
Landline Interviews 55-64 25%
- 65+ 37%
Population & Sample Description:
1,007 Likely Presidential Primary Voters
-
% % %
MoE: +/- 3.58%
White 91% Conserv. 68% 1 27%
- Non-White 9% Moderate 29% 2 13%
Weighting: Age, Gender, Education Liberal 3% 3 15%
Level, Race, and DMA 4 2%
5 12%
- 6 18%
For information, contact: 7 6%
Ryan Munce 8 6%
President % %
co/efficient 4 26% Baltimore 59%
[email protected] 3 25% DC 33%
2 25% Salisbury 6%
1 21% Pittsb. 2%
0 3%
