0% found this document useful (0 votes)
123 views27 pages

Fake News Impact on Tesla & Galena

This document summarizes a student research project analyzing the impact of fake news on company value using Tesla and Galena Biopharma as case studies. The student conducted a literature review on fake news and its potential effects in financial markets. They then analyzed how specific instances of fake news impacted the stock prices of Tesla and Galena. Finally, the student discussed the long-term consequences of fake news and how companies can better combat misinformation. The goal of the project was to understand how fake news can potentially influence company performance and investor decision-making.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
123 views27 pages

Fake News Impact on Tesla & Galena

This document summarizes a student research project analyzing the impact of fake news on company value using Tesla and Galena Biopharma as case studies. The student conducted a literature review on fake news and its potential effects in financial markets. They then analyzed how specific instances of fake news impacted the stock prices of Tesla and Galena. Finally, the student discussed the long-term consequences of fake news and how companies can better combat misinformation. The goal of the project was to understand how fake news can potentially influence company performance and investor decision-making.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 27

University of Tennessee, Knoxville

TRACE: Tennessee Research and Creative


Exchange

Supervised Undergraduate Student Research


Chancellor’s Honors Program Projects and Creative Work

12-2020

The Impact of Fake News on Company Value: Evidence from


Tesla and Galena Biopharma
David D. Parsons
University of Tennessee, Knoxville, [email protected]

Follow this and additional works at: https://trace.tennessee.edu/utk_chanhonoproj

Part of the Accounting Commons

Recommended Citation
Parsons, David D., "The Impact of Fake News on Company Value: Evidence from Tesla and Galena
Biopharma" (2020). Chancellor’s Honors Program Projects.
https://trace.tennessee.edu/utk_chanhonoproj/2328

This Dissertation/Thesis is brought to you for free and open access by the Supervised Undergraduate Student
Research and Creative Work at TRACE: Tennessee Research and Creative Exchange. It has been accepted for
inclusion in Chancellor’s Honors Program Projects by an authorized administrator of TRACE: Tennessee Research
and Creative Exchange. For more information, please contact [email protected].
The Impact of Fake News on Company Value: Evidence from Tesla and Galena Biopharma

David Parsons

Advisor: Dr. Roy Schmardebeck

Chancellor’s Honors Program Thesis


Table of Contents:

I. Abstract 1-2

II. Introduction 3-4

III. Review of Literature 5-11

IV. Case Analysis 11-17

V. Analysis of Research 18-21

VI. Conclusion 22-23

VII. References 24
Abstract: In recent years, the dissemination of disinformation with an intent to deceive or

mislead (i.e., fake news) has become more prevalent. Fake news is usually associated with

fabrications surrounding factual or relevant information trying to be framed as either much more

positive or much more negative than the reality of the truth would present. People often have ill

intent and are looking for personal gain in some way, as their purpose for writing the misleading

or false information and releasing it into the public. Over the last few years, the world has seen

what feels like an explosion of fake news due to social media and technological advancements

enabling news to be spread and accessed in a whole new way with no limits as to the different

areas fake news is attempting to invade and affect. Fake news can potentially impact the social,

political, and economic aspects of our world, and as the frequency of fake news continues to

increase, it propels fake news more into the spotlight of public relevancy. The issue of fake or

intentionally inaccurate news existing in the world has been around for ages, as many groups of

people have tried to mislead or deceive others using misinformation. However, as the world

becomes more and more interconnected and the accessibility to news becomes easier, it increases

the potential effects and risks associated with fake news being spread. This paper is designed to

analyze the risks and effects that can come from fake news in the business world and assess how

big an impact or significance it can play in the performance of the financial markets.

To better understand the impact of fake news on company value, it is essential to

understand the motives behind it while also considering the importance of fighting back against

fake news and refuting misinformation. With the vast increase in the amount of news available,

the relaxing of journalistic standards on what should be published, the shortening of the news

cycle, and the development of new platforms for spreading news, fake news is now more

prominent. In addition, these factors also raise the possibility that fake news can have a

1
substantial impact on company value. Investors throughout the world now have to properly

manage the threat of fake news and be constantly on guard against whether false or misleading

information will alter or affect their everyday decisions in their work.

Creating and spreading inaccurate information has been around for centuries, and has

always been an issue that people have had to deal with throughout time. The reason for the

increased frequency and reach of fake news centers around how our news world has developed

over time through technological advancements. Now people are able to access and share news in

real-time throughout their daily lives basically no matter their location. This allows those

spreading fake news to extend their reach and cause more damage. Social media has also created

a platform for everyone to output news that has the potential to now go viral and reach millions

of eyes. This new access to platforms is a positive development in a lot of ways for the world and

people, but it does come with unintended consequences such as enabling the quantity and

potential reach of fake news to increase drastically. Another issue that leads from this new issue

at hand, is how people operating within financial markets can detect fake news in a timely

manner while also being sure that they are in no way relying or making decisions dependent on

the news with ill intent or fabrications. This thesis aims to dive into and explain the motives

behind the new wave of fake news by analyzing specific examples while then analyzing how

much damage could potentially be caused by successful fake news attempts. It is then essential to

analyze the long term consequences that can result from fake news while also considering how

companies and people can better combat fake news and look to quickly ward off potential attacks

through proper responses and resulting actions. There is a need to tackle the complexity of the

current issue of fake news in the financial world and consider the role it will play in future years

while looking at what precautionary and reactionary decisions need to be made.

2
Introduction:

The development of social media platforms, as well as many other technological

advancements in the news world, has made the world much more interconnected and has

significantly changed the way financial information is accessed and used. The enhanced speed

and quantity of news available has changed the climate for news in the financial world and has

caused all people, including professionals, to adjust their methods of operation in financial

markets. There have been many benefits stem from the development of news and media

platforms such as lower information costs and less information asymmetry, but drawbacks and

risks have also been added to the mix. These negatives mainly derive from the increased

prevalence of fake news which now has a better chance of gaining traction and spreading before

it is proven to be inaccurate. Fake news is at more of a disadvantage than real, accurate news,

when it comes to the likelihood it is widely spread because anyone can publish false or

misleading reports using social media.

Fake news is not a new tactic altogether, but as it becomes more difficult to detect fake

news in real-time and stop the spreading of the misinformation. It was not long ago that major

newspaper publications actually went to print with headlines that read that the wrong person,

Thomas Dewey, had won the presidential election due to a confusion in tallying who won,

resulting in some people being misinformed for days before figuring out the real truth and seeing

the corrected results. Harry Truman was the actual winner and went on to become president and

have the infamous photo taken of him holding a newspaper that read “Dewey Defeats Truman”.

This is not an example of fake news that was intentional but still displays how much has changed

in the spreading and availability of news which is why more people now have the ability to

potentially create fake news stories that can cause consequences. Many professionals have been

3
aware of this evolving threat for some time which is why there is an abundance of research and

examples being written in academic journals and other pieces of writing in today’s world. In this

paper, the study will analyze the potential impact fake news can have while also detailing several

other factors in fake news such as how it can be detected and combatted in the financial markets

to mitigate the risk of deceitful news sources. The actual impact of fake news is something that is

tough to measure in financial markets and investors’ reliance and reaction to fake news is not

well documented. As time progresses and fake news creators look to create a more substantial

impact on the markets, it will fall onto regulatory bodies such as the Securities and Exchange

Commission (SEC) and industry professionals to be aware and alert of potential reliance and

usage of fake news, and be ready to respond with proper punishments and repercussions that

dissuade potential fake news creators in the business world to strive for fair financial markets.

This is why this issue has become such a popular and debated topic currently which has

led to many studies in this field. The research and studies that exist on fake news are not all

aligned, and the overall narrative is disagreed upon by many researchers which is why this paper

focuses on a broad range of studies completed to attempt to touch on multiple narratives and

opinions of fake news in today’s financial world In this paper, I first perform an overview of

academic research related to fake news, and then move into analyzing specific cases and

instances of fake news considering the potential main causes and effects of each situation. The

paper will then shift into an overall analysis of the current climate of fake news and lays out

conclusions drawn from the research on how companies can best take preventive and reactive

actions to mitigate the potential impact fake news can generate in the financial markets.

4
Review of Literature:

This section outlines existing research and provides evidence of the impact of fake news.

This paper draws from many different sources of information to provide context and will go into

further detail on the cases and examples analyzed for the purpose of this research paper. There

have been extensive discussions on fake news in the political world in current times as most

people have read about the potential Russian interference in the 2016 US presidential election

and how fake news was a tactic used on Facebook to potentially alter opinions. What is

discussed less, is the potential for financial effects that can stem from fake news. Just in the

example mentioned alone, it is easy to see the potential financial threat of fake news as an FBN

analyst was cited to have described the news becoming public that Russia used Facebook for the

spread of misinformation on the 2016 election as, “the straw that broke the camel’s back,” that

led to a 4.5% decrease in Facebook’s stock price on a Monday of trading (Deagon 2017). This is

an example of fake news reaching the financial market and playing a role that is not warranted. I

start with this example to show the connection between the more talked about political aspects of

fake news and how it can lead to financial repercussions.

There are plenty of other examples that are not politically derived where instances can be

seen of fake news playing a role in financial markets. A J.P. Morgan Chase quant, Marko

Kolanovic, supports the idea of fake news having a negative impact in the financial world and

stresses the potential threat. He describes fake news as to blame for the increased volatility of the

markets and cites political groups, analysts and others as “amplifying negative headlines to sow

discord and erode faith in markets” (Son 2018). He is not alone in his blaming of fake news as

many researchers are also supporting the claim of the importance fake news has played in several

5
specific examples of financial markets being swayed. This thesis will look at more specific

examples that fall under this category found in the research for this paper.

The financial markets as a whole can be greatly altered if a fake news story gains enough

traction and is widely spread and believed, which causes the potential for a great threat. This has

been evident all the way back to 2013 when the official Associated Press Twitter account

tweeted about two explosions injuring President Barack Obama. In minutes over $130 billion in

stock value was lost, yet soon after it was realized that the account had been hacked (Cheo

2018). This demonstrates the amount of damage that can be done with fake news that becomes

widely believed right upon creation.

As the news media climate has evolved over recent years and the speed and frequency of

news is stressed more than the validity and accuracy of that news, trends are developing where

there is a lower initial instinct to distrust information or be skeptical even though most people are

aware of the existence of fake news. However, this is a bit of a unique example as in this case the

reputation of the Associated Press itself contributed to the fake news reach rather than it having

to spread and reach consumers on its own.

An example of another platform being manipulated to spread fake news is discussed in an

academic journal where they tackle fake news articles uploaded to the website Seeking Alpha. In

this case, the issue is that the website’s editors are not able to identify fake news articles. The

SEC labeled many different articles as false or inaccurate saying that they were uploaded with

the intent to mislead and drive a stock price in a certain direction. There were other sites used for

fake news, but the SEC claimed the vast majority were being uploaded on Seeking Alpha with

the intention of affecting the markets in their favor. The journal outlines that after their study

they were able to conclude that fake news articles generated 83.4% more-page views than

6
legitimate articles. The study also came to the conclusion that the attempted use of fake news on

this website resulted in “widespread implications” in the financial markets in the short term

(Clarke et al 2019). The academic journal also looks at social media at the effects it can have in

exacerbating or enabling the spread of fake news. The paper stresses the criticisms social media

platforms have faced in dealing with fake news and even sometimes being accused of promoting

articles that are later found to be false or misleading. This will be a controversial topic for social

media in the coming years as people look for who to blame for the spreading of news intended to

be manipulative. The journal goes onto to later say that their findings would be useful to social

media platforms to draw from and institute a machine learning approach in attempting to

properly identify and then handle fake news (Clarke et al 2019). If social media platforms can

successfully implement technology that will accurately identify fake news posts, then this would

go a long way in raising their reputation and putting themselves in a safer position to stay out of

the public light for spreading misleading news.

Marina Niessner (2019) also touches on the event discussed above in a Yale Insights

publication. The writer outlines how the SEC has gone on record to announce that they are aware

of PR firms paying writers to write positive pieces on their companies and publish them on

investment websites to aid their stock price (Niessner). This is a clear example of manipulation

and using fake news for personal gain for companies which opens more questions and new

issues. This puts a premium on detecting fake news and the need for developing technology with

the capability to recognize and alert people about potentially fake news with a motive. In the

Yale Insight article, Marina Niessner continues to discuss fake news as she details other

consequences from the use of fake news. She is quoted as writing, “The study suggests that fake

7
news comes with a large cost not just for financial markets but for society in general. A lack of

trust in real news is a big problem.”

It is easy to see how fake news finding its way into news sources starts to blur the line of

the validity in news and starts to make consumers distrust and resent certain news outlets or news

in general. This has many implications as people begin to struggle with what sources to trust or

where to find information that is acceptable on which to base important financial decisions.

Pump and dump schemes are not new to the financial world, but as fake news grows and

becomes harder to detect, the effectiveness of these schemes is increasingly becoming a major

problem . Dating back to 2015, there is another example outlined in the Washington Post where

the SEC charged a Scottish Trader with securities fraud for false tweets about a semiconductor

manufacturer and a medical research firm that were designed to cause sharp drops in the

companies’ stock price and in return making the individual tweeting the false tweets money. A

similar outcome is also detailed in the article where a Canadian couple used their website to

falsely inflate stock prices resulting in them making $2.4 million (Ferraro et al 2019). Examples

like this are in abundance in today’s world as so many people now have the potential to have a

platform where they can spread a message.

This is an empowering feature of news media, but it is easy to see how this has translated

to so many problems and led to so much manipulation of markets. An academic journal in the

North American Journal of Economics and Finance performed a whole study focusing on the

effects of fake news through hoaxes used to manipulate Twitter’s stock price and found very

telling information. Not only did the hoaxes affect the price, but the paper concludes that the

traders aware of the hoax even adapted their work and preferred to trade in equity over option

8
markets. The paper continues writing, “This result has implications for isolating informed trading

around actual news events (Brigda et al 2017).

This is not the only example of someone stressing the implications of fake news as in an

academic piece titled “Fake News: Evidence from Financial Markets” the writers’ detail how

their study led to their conclusion that fake news also increases the abnormal trading volumes

and changes stock prices temporarily, especially for small firms. This then had a “significant

spillover” effect to all news as fake and true news were both now met with distrust on platforms

found with fake news (Kogan et al 2019). This makes sense that consumers would start to

develop distrust with news sources, but this brings about tougher conditions for news outlets.

Fake news, as examples have shown, can be hard to detect in real-time and as people fail to

detect it when it occurs, it only furthers the deterioration of the relationship between consumers

and news outlets. This makes it much harder to operate in financial markets and causes great

concern moving forward. The academic journal also discusses the impact social media and other

forms of newer developing news platforms has made on fake news saying, “With the explosion

of largely unmonitored shared information platforms, such as social media, blogs, and other

crowd-sourced content, the potential influence of fake and biased news is a growing concern”

(Kogan et al 2019). This ties in with almost all the research in this study as the effect social

media and the changing news platforms has on the potential for misleading news is discussed

throughout any conversations surrounding fake news in modern times.

The article continues on to discuss social media referencing the problems they have if

they want to flag and make people aware of fake news on the platforms. It is a very delicate

balance between shutting down the spreading of false stories on social media and limiting

someone’s free speech and use of the platform. This brings many issues into play with how

9
social media will fight fake news moving forward and how it will attempt to better identify

misleading posts before they are widespread and cause damage. People, for the most part, are

aware of these major issues surrounding fake news in social media, and the academic journal

goes on to discuss how the distrust level in news in social media is higher and had less

translation to normal media outlets that are more trusted. This will be a delicate balancing act for

social media platforms to monitor fake news and its effects while keeping a platform that can be

trusted and used by everyday people.

This is not to say that the distrust in news is only existent in social media platforms

however, as there has never been a time like this in the news world where there is so much

misinformation in existence that it leads to seeing people gaining advantages or altering

decisions just because they are one of the people that is aware that a story is fabricated or

slanted. In a separate study done on fake news, scholars stress the importance of having a

deliberate mindset to properly deal with fake news. The study discusses the reliance on fake

news and the change in that reliance as it starts to become apparent that the story was fake

originally. This greatly influences people’s decisions in financial markets with significant

consequences which is why it becomes apparent the potential impact fake news can have and

why it is essential to raise awareness and handle fake news accordingly (Grant et al 2019).

The financial industry is seeing financial professionals’ habits and working styles change

as fake news grows, demonstrating the threat it poses and attention it calls for to correct. I

discussed these changes with a certified financial planner, not to be named, that stressed how

much the fake news climate has altered the way he is able to do his job and the number of trusted

sources of information. It also directly correlates to how financial professionals handle their

clients, as they are always on guard against fake news or skeptical of decisions being made by

10
these financial professionals while still being fooled by certain fake news stories that are not

detected. There are so many dynamics to the development of fake news and all the different

areas it affects that make it hard to understand the full impact. The next section of this paper will

detail two unique instances of companies being involved in fake or misleading news, and case

analysis will be performed to measure the impact and results that came from the individual

examples.

Case Analysis:

In this section, there are two unique cases investigating the potential effects of fake news

and the significance of the impact it can make on a stock price. The companies under observation

for this analysis are Tesla, an automotive company, and Galena Biopharma, a small

pharmaceutical company. The two companies are very different in size and in fields of operation

which was done in an attempt to analyze fake news’ potential effect no matter the size of the

company or industry in question. The two cases also differ in terms of the tactics used, as the two

cases analyze two different strategies used by people looking to manipulate the stock price. This

paper will now begin diving into the situation that occurred with Galena Biopharma and how

they were affected by an instance of fake news.

Galena Biopharma is a pharmaceutical company, like many other companies, believed

that they had a strategy that would raise their stock price and lead them to financial gain. The

strategy Galena Biopharma enacted was similar to other companies outlined in this paper and

was a way to artificially inflate their stock price. Galena Biopharma decided to pay companies to

write and promote so-called “independent analysis” articles of their firm that were then

strategically placed in reputable online outlets such as Seeking Alpha, Forbes, and Motley Fool

(Merle 2017). The company paid over $460,000 a month for these articles to be published and

11
shared over an extended period of time around 2013 and 2014. The then CEO, Michael Ahn, was

able to sell around 796,000 shares of Galena while it was in the phase of being artificially

inflated leading to major profits for him personally (Keown 2017). The company was discovered

by the SEC of paying for these positive analyses in an attempt to manipulate their stock price and

has since settled with the SEC for an undisclosed amount while Michael Ahn was charged by the

SEC. Looking at the effects of the articles, it is undetermined when the articles exactly began,

but the study will analyze the stock price of Galena around the time period in question. As of

August 12, 2013, Galena’s stock price was around $55,555, but as 2013 progressed the stock

price started to rise substantially. Galena reached its peak price around the middle of January

when the price went over $210,000 showing substantial growth. This is around the time that the

former CEO decided to sell his shares and gain such a large profit. By the middle of April

Galena’s stock price was back at 56,456 and leveled off or decreased for the rest of the year in

2014. As you can see, this was a pretty successful pump and dump scheme for Galena in the

short term, but from the chart attached below it seems as though the scandal and charges brought

by the SEC in the coming years were much more detrimental to Galena’s stock price long term.

This is the impact of fake news in today’s world and the ability to create an opportunity to

artificially inflate a company’s stock price based on short term news. Even though the sites used

to promote the articles were not in compliance and did not know of the scheme taking place,

their site was still used as a way to exploit the market, as they were unable to identify or keep the

manipulative articles from their sites. It is a positive to see that there are consequences for

manipulation attempts such as this one, as the long-term future of Galena was put into jeopardy

and negatively affected by the results of the scheme being found by the SEC as you can see in

the chart below showing the long term changes in stock price. However, this still is a clear

12
example of the danger posed in today’s world through using the media to manipulate markets,

and it is not the only example as the SEC charged dozens of other companies for using similar

strategies and being effective in manipulating stock prices.

Figure 1 - Overview of Galena Biopharmas’ Stock Price

The next example will look at is the automotive company Tesla, founded by the infamous

Elon Musk. This example is vastly different than the previous, as Galena used fake news as a

way to enact a pump and dump scheme while Tesla, in this case, is the victim of fake news. On

January 7, the day before the CES 2019 convention which is described as a “Global Stage for

Innovation” a video went viral on twitter over an incident surrounding Tesla. The video posted to

Twitter by an account with the twitter handle of “@Shanghaijayin”, which had an unknown

owner, alleged to show a Tesla autonomous driving car crashing into a robot prototype at the

CES convention (Atkinson 2019). The original tweet has since been deleted, but below is an

attached tweet of a twitter user with the name “PromoBot” who also shared the video. It was not

long before the video went viral and was surrounded by debates and scrutiny over self-driving
13
cars the next day. The issue with this story is that it turned out that the video was completely

fake. Tesla quickly refuted the video pointing out that they do not have a fully autonomous, self-

driving, model yet and upon further investigation was able to prove that the video was faked.

Looking at the impact this example of fake news had on a major American company

starts with detailing the price before the incident occurred. As you can see in the chart below

also, Tesla’s stock was showing an incremental increase in the days leading up to the event, but

the day in question, in this case, is January 8. On this day, the stock price opened at around

$341.96 per share, but then hit a low of $321.01 in the middle of the trading day before closing at

a price of $335.35. It can be seen from the first chart that on this day that the video went viral on

Twitter that there was a significant dip before the price corrected and went back to its previous

trend of increasing. A large part of this is most likely due to Tesla’s ability to quickly and

obviously disprove the video and prove that it was faked. This brings into question though what

would have happened if they were not able to disprove the video and if continued to go viral and

influence stock price for more than a period of one day. Also, even with the quick correction

from Tesla and the quick correction in stock price, the right investor with the right strategy in

place could have still profited off the short downturn. I have also attached a second chart below

showing the months before and after the tweet went viral which seems to show that the video had

little impact in altering Tesla’s value in the long run. It is only when the time period is broken

down and analyzed by the period directly surrounding the event that the effects appear briefly.

While this is the initial reaction and subsequent reversal happened quickly, financial markets are

depended on to be accurate and fair all the time so even this small adjustment caused by the viral

video raises concerns.

14
It is unsure whether this example was targeted at influencing Tesla’s stock price or if

there were other motives. Some people suggested that the timing and event that the video

supposedly occurred leads them to believe that the video was designed to influence the public

perception in general surrounding self-driving cars. Whether either option is true, it is still

alarming seeing people intentionally deceive and create videos designed to spark a reaction using

social media. No other platform published the video in a way that posed it as true which is

surprising that it was still able to create national attention just from one twitter user. Social media

platforms are becoming more involved all the time in the way people get their news and the

number of people that use social media as a whole. The larger that number of users continues to

grow in the future will only further the potential impact stories of this nature can have on stock

prices and in business industries in general. The impact social media can have is changing and

evolving every day as it is a platform were very little in terms of accountability and verifiability

is required.

Figure 2 – Summary of Tesla’s Stock Price

TESLA STOCK PRICE


Open High Low Close

360
350
340
330
PRICE IN $

320
310
300
290
280
270
1/2/19 1/4/19 1/6/19 1/8/19 1/10/19 1/12/19 1/14/19

15
Figure 3 – Tesla’s Stock Closing Stock Price Before and after the Fake News

Closing Price of Tesla Shares


400

350

300

250
Price in$

200

150

100

50

Figure 4 – Screenshot of a Secondary Source of the Fake News Tweet

16
Analyzing the two cases comparative to each other, there are very little in terms of

similarities. Tesla was the victim of a fake news incident that negatively impacted their stock

price but only for a brief period. They were able to effectively set the record straight and correct

the deceitful video in a timely manner which resulted in their stock price not being affected by

too significant of an amount. They also were the victim of using social media to spread fake

news rather than actual online publications. Galena Biopharma was on the opposite side of a fake

news scandal as they were the culprit and potential beneficiary. Galena capitalized on an

opportunity that they thought they could exploit without being detected but was caught. This act

of paying people to pretend to write supposed neutral analyses of the company is illegal as it is

trading with knowledge not available to the public, and while the CEO was able to profit from

the scheme, those involved were eventually caught and charged. It does bring into question

whether others are participating in similar behaviors but not getting caught. This is likely to

appear in most people’s mind which is where the distrust in the news media in general starts to

arise. As fake news continues to increase in frequency, it brings into question what people can

trust, and what news sources are dependable and can be immune to publishing false or

misleading news. Social media already has the reputation of users needing to be careful what

they read and believe, but with fake news becoming more rampant, this trend could lead to news

sources being approached with a similar mindset. The more people are able to be successful with

similar schemes surrounding fake news, the more people will try to also manipulate financial

markets in the future which is a cause for major concern for our financial industry. This paper

will continue to discuss these issues moving forward in the next analysis section looking at the

research as a whole.

17
Analysis of Research:

After sorting through the vast amount of information available for research on fake news

in financial markets, and analyzing our two unique cases, certain predominant trends and threats

emerge that stand out in terms of the threat level moving forward. In terms of the actual effects,

fake news can cause on financial markets, it can be seen how the frequency of attempts at using

misleading news in today’s world demonstrates that at least the people guilty of creating the fake

news believe it can be effective. There would not be such a drastic increase in the sheer volume

of examples of people attempting to manipulate financial markets if the ones generating the

inaccurate news were not sold on the effectiveness of this strategy. The world is seeing more

cases all the time where people are committing crimes just through the generation of slanted

news to achieve financial gain, which clearly shows that fake news is a big enough problem that

it will have to be addressed and dealt with moving forward as technology and our world continue

to progress. However, once it is clear that the trend is not going away on its own, the issue can

move onto questioning how it can be addressed while also detailing the significance and

potential impact it can have on the world.

The main concerns that start to become clear for the financial industry are how

susceptible the markets can be to fake news and then asking why the current environment has

become a place where fake news is so prevalent. Starting with the first concern, experts and

professionals must consider how significant an impact fake news can potentially have on the

financial world to understand the size of the threat they are facing. It is clear in our studies that

most of the schemes and plans designed around fake news focus on trading or benefiting

financially generally in the short term. It was discussed earlier how fake news generally diffuses

faster than truthful news which can be a good aspect but can also be negative. What is happening

18
is that people are generating stories, inaccurate and accurate, at such a high rate that the news

cycle is shortening more all the time which is leading to multiple issues. First, some people are

starting to feel like that the time it takes to disprove fake news stories is sometimes not worth the

effort to refute it because of how quickly some of the stories will dissipate organically. An added

concern can be that efforts to refute the misinformation can unintentionally extend its lifetime,

thereby unintentionally giving it more credibility.

But with this mindset, more people are able to take advantage of the markets by just

putting out article after article that may not be completely true or may contain fabrications. With

the information overload, they can fly below the radar of experts who would be able to disprove

their stories with facts. What this leads to is that people start to become distrustful of all news

which is why the reputation of the national media is being called into question more frequently

all the time. Now with the major issues identified of fake news stories mainly focusing on

manipulating markets, benefitting the short term financially, while also creating distrust for all

news, the issue can now move to start to address how these problems can be solved.

I do not believe from all the research and cases analyzed that fake news has a major

effect in the financial markets over the long term as usually the facts come out and are proven

and the market adjusts. However, people being able to manipulate in the short term is still a key

problem. Professionals and all people participating in financial markets must be aware of the

potential for fake news which leads back into the earlier academic journal that discussed how a

deliberate mindset can help mitigate the effects of fake news. If users and consumers are aware

of fake news and are more attentive to what sources they are getting their news from, then that is

a good first step in validating the accuracy of news. It would also be a safeguard for people to be

on the lookout for short term news that seems to be too shocking to be true.

19
However, I believe the main burden of this issue with fake news falls on professional

news media outlets. The journalistic standard of accuracy with a commitment to balanced, non-

sensationalized, presentation of issues over and above everything else in the news world has

faded through the years. In today’s world, competition pushes media outlets to be the first to

print or report on a story without fact-checking, even when the truth has not been fully revealed.

There are fewer and fewer corrections from news writers or media outlets which demonstrates

how the faster turnover rate in the news world is chipping away at the accountability of the news

sources. If someone writes a story that has implications in the financial markets, then they should

have to put their name behind that piece of work and stand behind it even if it is later deemed to

be inaccurate. If the reputation of someone is put on the line with each new story, then that

greatly lowers the chances that they will fabricate or mislead. If people are more demanding of

this type of news reporting, then it leads to news media being forced to respect each story and

spend more time validating their work, knowing that if they do not then customers will go

elsewhere for news. The number of reputable news sources that a person can bank on being

accurate is falling every day as it is seen in the examples of how hacking and failure to identify

fake news can lead to people being successful in misleading consumers causing a total distrust in

news. Moving forward, society as a whole will have to combat this by being more demanding of

news outlets and holding them accountable as this paper has discussed in this study.

Not all the blame is on the news sources though, as another question that arises with the

issue of fake news is why people are so susceptible to fall for fake news. This issue was

discussed in a New York Times article where it was stressed, “This is not just an academic

debate; it has real implications for public policy” (Pennycook 2019). In the article, they look at

multiple sides to the debated issue of why people fall for fake news but that it comes down to

20
one aspect: reasoning. The article is quoted, “Our results strongly suggest that somehow

cultivating or promoting our reasoning abilities should be part of the solution to the kinds of

partisan misinformation that circulate in the media.”

In today’s world where the quality and reliability of the news have potentially been

degraded, it becomes essential for constant reasoning from consumers. With social media and

other platforms, the news can be so widely spread in such a short amount of time that even if

there are unverified or outright false claims in a piece of news it can still impact many people

who are not aware of the inaccuracy. This should lead individuals to be much more skeptical of

news stories and induce them to search for ways to corroborate claims made, especially if they

have financial implications. Behavior is also such a key determinant in achieving success in the

financial markets and as I have spoken to professionals in the financial world that is where a lot

of their concerns have gone because of fake news. The speed and prevalence of the news, good

and bad, has made it easier to fall victim to fake news and shoot for short term gain causing

detrimental effects to the long-term investment success. Especially as certain volatile events are

happening, it is becoming more important for individuals to keep this deliberate mindset and

attack news with skepticism and reason before letting emotion get the best of oneself and falling

victim to manipulation.

As the future progresses, these will be the driving forces and factors in the news world

and how it relates to the financial industry. There has never been a time where a shift was needed

back to more meaningful journalistic principles, as well as the financial industry being aware of

manipulation and combatting it through reason and looking for short term schemes using fake

news and exposing them.

21
Conclusion:

Charlie Munger, a successful American investor and business partner to Warren Buffet,

has a quote that I believe is very applicable to this issue of fake news in today’s world and it

says, “Show me the incentives and I will show you the outcome.” Fake news has proven to be

effective in the short term for people looking for financial gain by exploiting the current news

climate. It is easy to see in the Galena Biopharma case how misleading and manipulative a

company can be to make the news surrounding a company seems legitimate while being just an

elaborate scheme, and it is known that there are many others looking to achieve similar benefits

through the generation of misleading news. It is now time for adjustments and corrections to be

made on both sides, from the news outlets and the consumers, to be aware and on guard for how

to solve this problem.

Looking at the potential suggestions for solutions or ways to limit the risk of fake news,

companies need to have preventative measures in place by maintaining active presences in social

media and other developing news platforms where they are able to constantly be on guard

against fake news instances that seek to cause them harm. If they are called into question or

become the victims of fake news, then they must be ready to respond with counter-information

refuting the claims. The amount of data that companies can store on their business is expanding

all the time through some of these same technological advances that aid fake news. This should

allow them to be in a better position to quickly asses their data on the issue in question and then

respond in a timely and understandable way that keeps fake news from spreading to mass

amounts of people. If companies and groups of people who are being targeted by fake news are

able to explain the truth behind the story quickly and with real accurate data, then the misleading

22
news will be much more likely to fade away which can drastically lower and mitigate the

potential impact it could have on the company financially.

News sources must become more reliable and dependable in the accuracy of the news

that is shared on their platforms, while consumers have to start doing a better job at

corroborating their news and acting based on their findings. Social media is a major enabler to

the fake news trend. One potential solution requires each person to become more responsible and

aware of the existence of misleading news and become more selective on what is shared or what

sources they use to make their investment decisions. This issue is not going away in the future as

the news and financial world continue to develop and grow while more people gain a platform

each day. The increased access to news and news platforms in everyday lives must be handled

with respect and treated properly to enable people to receive the benefits of the new technology

that is changing the news climate, but while also keeping intact the fairness of American

institutions such as the financial markets.

23
References:

Atkinson, Claire. “Fake News Can Cause 'Irreversible Damage' to Companies - and Sink Their
Stock Price.” NBCNews.com, NBCUniversal News Group, 25 Apr. 2019.
Brigda, Matt and Pratt, William, “Fake News”, August 2017, The North American Journal of
Economics and Finance, Volume 42, ScienceDirect.
Cheo, James. “Fake News Can Make - or Break - Stock Prices.” The Business Times, The
Business Times, 5 Apr. 2018.
Clarke, Jonathan and Chen, Hailiang and Du, Ding and Hu, Yu Jeffrey, Fake News, Investor
Attention, and Market Reaction (September 2019). Information Systems Research,
Forthcoming; Georgia Tech Scheller College of Business Research Paper No. 18-29.
Deagon, Brian. “What Caused Facebook Stock To Drop The Most In 10 Months?” Investor's
Business Daily, 26 Sept. 2017.
Ferraro, Matthew and Chipman, Jason. “Perspective | Fake News Threatens Our Businesses, Not
Just Our Politics.” The Washington Post, WP Company, 8 Feb. 2019.
“Galena Biopharma - Stock Price History: SLS.” Macrotrends,
www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/SLS/galena-biopharma/stock-price-history.
Grant, Stephanie M. and Hodge, Frank Douglas and Seto, Samantha C, Can a Deliberative
Mindset Prompt Reduce Investors’ Reliance on Fake News? (August 28, 2019). Hilburg,
Jonathan. “A Tesla Struck and ‘Killed’ a Robot at CES-or Did It?” Archpaper.com, 16
Jan. 2019, archpaper.com/2019/01/tesla-killed-robot-ces/.
Keown, Alex. “SEC Cracks Down on ‘Fake Biotech News.’” BioSpace, BioSpace, 12 Apr. 2017.
Kogan, Shimon and Moskowitz, Tobias J. and Niessner, Marina, Fake News: Evidence from
Financial Markets (April 15, 2019).
Merle, Renae. “Scheme Created Fake News Stories to Manipulate Stock Prices, SEC Alleges.”
Los Angeles Times, Los Angeles Times, 5 July 2017.
Niessner, Marina. “Does Fake News Sway Financial Markets?” Yale Insights, 28 June 2018.
Pennycook, Gordon, and David Rand. “Why Do People Fall for Fake News?” The New York
Times, The New York Times, 19 Jan. 2019.
Son, Hugh. “Why Are Markets so Volatile? JP Morgan's Quant Guru Thinks 'Fake News' Is to
Blame.” CNBC, CNBC, 8 Dec. 2018.

24

You might also like