An Optimal Reliabilityand Maintainability Designofa Searching System
An Optimal Reliabilityand Maintainability Designofa Searching System
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To cite this article: Won Young Yun , Goeun Park & Young Jin Han (2014) An Optimal Reliability
and Maintainability Design of a Searching System, Communications in Statistics - Simulation and
Computation, 43:8, 1959-1978, DOI: 10.1080/03610918.2013.815771
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Communications in Statistics—Simulation and ComputationR , 43: 1959–1978, 2014
Copyright © Taylor & Francis Group, LLC
ISSN: 0361-0918 print / 1532-4141 online
DOI: 10.1080/03610918.2013.815771
In this article, we deal with an optimal reliability and maintainability design problem of a
searching system with complex structures. The system availability and life cycle cost are
used as optimization criteria and estimated by simulation. We want to determine MTBF
(Mean Time between Failures) and MTTR (Mean Time to Repair) for all components
and ALDT (Administrative and Logistics Delay Times) of the searching system in order
to minimize the life cycle cost and to satisfy the target system availability. A hybrid
genetic algorithm with a heuristic method is proposed to find near-optimal solutions
and compared with a general genetic algorithm.
1. Introduction
Recently, weapon systems such as aircraft, battle tanks, and ships have become more
complex and their technologies more advanced because it requires performing a lot of
missions during their life cycle. As a result, the operational and maintenance costs of
weapon systems have been increasing gradually. For performing missions successfully,
highly reliable weapon systems need to be developed as well as effectively and efficiently
maintained periodically. Also, the system performances need to be evaluated accurately and
system availability and life cycle cost are often used as key measures because two measures
are influenced by system operation characteristics, maintenance, and logistic activities.
Additionally, it is important to design an optimal reliability and maintainability for weapon
systems from the beginning phase of the system design and development. In realistic
models, it is difficult to obtain reliability and maintainability solutions of components in
weapon systems by analytical method because the systems consist of many components
and system reliability structure may be complicated. Also, the time to failure of each
component may follow different failure distribution. In this situation, simulation can be
a good alternative because it can describe real system behavior based on the operational
scenario and provides various statistics about the system behavior or critical components
from a reliability/availability point of view.
1959
1960 Yun et al.
Landers et al. (1991) analyzed the mission reliability of complex systems. In order to
estimate the mission reliability and the performance capabilities of the voice communica-
tion system in the F17 fighter aircraft, a discrete-event simulation model was proposed.
Yanez et al. (1997) proposed a functional diagram model to describe complex system struc-
tures, and a simulation tool was developed to evaluate reliability and availability of a mine
hunter system. Yun et al. (2008) proposed an object-oriented simulation model to estimate
reliability, availability, and maintainability of multi-function systems with complex struc-
tures. Chung (2009) developed a simulation system for evaluating operational policies of
multi-indenture multi-echelon (MIME) systems. The proposed simulation model was de-
veloped using the object-oriented method and explained through various diagrams such as
class diagram and state transition diagram. For complex large-scale systems such as rolling
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stock systems, power plants, a simulation method is used to assess their performances and
Park et al. (2011) dealt with a preventive maintenance (PM) scheduling problem for a
rolling stock system in the railway system, especially KTX (Korea Train eXpress) and a
commercial RAM simulation S/W, AvSim was used to describe the operational scenario
of KTX and estimate the system availability and life cycle cost. Borogonove et al. (2000)
studied maintenance strategies for power plants and used Monte Carlo simulation to model
the system operation with imperfect repair for evaluating the system maintenance strategies.
However, simulation methods give only various statistics of system performance mea-
sures and it needs appropriate optimization methods to find optimal solutions for the
optimization problem. The reliability and maintainability design problem is one of impor-
tant optimization and engineering issues for which a lot of studies exist (refer Kuo et al.,
2001). The reliability and maintainability of components in the system are often optimized
by using meta-heuristic algorithms when simulation methods are used and Gen and Kim
(1999) reviewed genetic algorithms which were applied to solve various reliability design
problems such as the reliability design problem of redundant systems. Hsieh et al. (1998)
considered a reliability design problem in series, series-parallel, and bridge systems and
a genetic algorithm was proposed to simultaneously determine the reliability of compo-
nents and the redundancy allocation for maximizing system reliability. Gupta et al. (2009)
studied a redundancy allocation problem in a series system with interval values of relia-
bility of components and proposed a genetic algorithm to find the near-optimal solution
for maximizing the system reliability. Moghaddam et al. (2008) dealt with a redundancy
allocation problem in series-parallel systems. A genetic algorithm was proposed to find the
best redundancy strategy for subsystems maximizing the system reliability.
In this article, we deal with a reliability and maintainability design problem for a
searching system and want to determine MTBF and MTTR of all components and ALDT
of the searching system optimally. Firstly, we analyze the searching system such as the
physical structure and reliability structure between components. The operational scenario
of the searching system is also analyzed to build the simulation model for estimating
the system availability and the life cycle cost. Next, a hybrid genetic algorithm with a
heuristic method is proposed to find near-optimal design alternatives for reliability and
maintainability of components in the system and numerical results are studied to compare
the proposed hybrid genetic algorithm with the general genetic algorithm. This article is
organized as follows: In Section 2, we introduce a searching system as a research target
system and show the reliability structures in the searching system. A simulation model is
proposed to estimate the system performance measures in Section 3 and a simulation-based
optimization procedure with a hybrid genetic algorithm is explained in Section 4. Next,
numerical examples are studied to investigate the effect of model parameters to optimal
Optimal Ram Design of a Searching System 1961
solutions and compare the hybrid genetic algorithm with the general genetic algorithm in
Section 5. Finally, Section 6 concludes the article.
objects because it does not emit its own pulse. While the active sensors usually do not work
because their own pulse of sound to detect the marine objects is omitted and it results that
they can be exposed to the other searching systems. Thus, active sensors only work when
necessary but otherwise is kept in standby during the mission period.
A searching system performs a lot of missions and one or more functions are required to
carry out a mission. Many different components are also required to support these functions
simultaneously and they can have various reliability structures. In order to keep high system
availability, there are some components with more complex reliability structures such as
standby and k-out-of-n structures in the searching system (Rausand and Høyland, 2004).
For example, electronic cabinets are also one of the most important components to carry out
search functions successfully because they support all sensors in the searching system. Thus,
electronic cabinets need to be replaced by reserved components immediately at failures.
Figure 1 shows an example of a standby structure between sensors and electronic
cabinets in a searching system. Both sensor A and electronic cabinet 1 are needed for
function 2, and sensor G and electronic cabinet 3 are needed for function 4. If an electronic
cabinet among cabinet 1 and 3 fails (the right case of Figure 1), the remaining electronic
cabinet covers two sensors together until the failed electronic cabinet is repaired.
The passive and active sensors in the searching system also consist of several com-
ponents with k-out-of-n structure. Figure 2 shows an example of the k-out-of-n structure
between components in the sensor A and the sensor B fails when at least three components
(k = 3) are failed among n components.
The system availability and life cycle cost are key measures to evaluate the system
performances and often used as optimization criteria. The system availability is influenced
by reliability and maintainability of components in the system, and it is important to
Figure 1. Standby structure between sensors and electronic cabinets (Example) 49 × 17 mm (300 ×
300 DPI).
1962 Yun et al.
There are several repair models by the state (age) of the component after repair. The
simulation system uses three repair models known as perfect repair, minimal repair, and
imperfect repair (see Pham and Wang, 1996 for details).
• Perfect repair: The age of the components after repair is as good as new.
• Minimal repair: The age of the components after repair is as bad as old.
• Imperfect repair: There are two kinds of imperfect repair models. The first is where
the state of the system is as good as new with probability p or the same as before with
1 – p after all repairs (Nakagawa, 1979a, 1979b). The second one is an age reduction
Optimal Ram Design of a Searching System 1963
model where each repair proportionally reduces the age of the components (Brown
et al., 1983).
as an object that operates by changing states over time and there are several different
types of process in the simulation system (Garrido, 1998). The process approach has
several elements as the simulation clock, the event list, the timing routine, the initialization
routine, the library routine, and report routine to execute simulation. For an example,
simulation begins at time 0 and the system state and the event list is initialized by the
initialization routine. Next, the simulation main routine invokes the timing routine for
determining the next event type and the event routine for updating the state of objects.
Figure 3 shows the logical relationships among routines in simulation (Law and Kelton,
2000).
Figure 3. Flow of discrete-event simulation system using the next-event time advance approach 84 ×
65 mm (300 × 300 DPI).
1964 Yun et al.
• In the mission state case, the state of the current mission changes from RUN to
IDLE if STOP event occurs because system statistics are only related to the current
mission and the statistics of the mission completed do not need to be collected. Thus,
we assume that the system perform the next mission immediately after passing a
specified period of the current mission even if the state of the current mission is
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DOWN.
• In the function state case, the states of functions RUN and DOWN depend directly on
the state of the current mission, RUN or DOWN while IDLE depends on whether the
next mission requires the function or not. For an example, the state of a function that
does not need to perform the next mission changes from RUN to IDLE. Otherwise,
its state is RUN.
• In the component state case, the state of the component after repair depends on
whether functions that support the current mission require the component or not.
The state of the available component changes from IDLE to RUN if at least a function
requires the component. Otherwise, its state keeps IDLE.
The simulation system provides a module to build the operational scenario consisting
of missions for the searching system. The operational scenario is a sequence of missions
and its length is the sum of the length of missions included in the scenario. The length of
missions can be constant or random variables.
The procedure to build the operational scenario in the simulation system is as fol-
lows; first, we define components, functions, and missions and give information on re-
liability and maintainability of each component such as failure and repair distributions,
repair model, etc. Second, we define relationships between components, functions, and
missions. For example, we should specify components required for each function and
functions necessary to perform each mission and can consider several reliability struc-
tures as series, parallel, k-out-of-n, and standby structures in these relationships between
three units. Finally, we define the length of each mission and build an operational sce-
nario that is a sequence of several missions. In particular, the operational scenario can be
a predetermined or random sequence of missions. In a predetermined sequence case, the
system performs missions enrolled in the operational scenario sequentially. In a random
sequence case, the next mission can be determined randomly and the transition probabil-
ity matrix (discrete-time Markov chain) can be used to model the random sequence of
missions.
Figure 4. The optimization procedure for reliability and maintainability of the searching system
49 × 29 mm (300 × 300 DPI).
In order to determine optimal MTBF and MTTR values of all components and ALDT
value of the searching system, the simulation-based optimization procedure with a hybrid
genetic algorithm for an optimal reliability and maintainability design of the searching
system is proposed as following Fig. 4. First, we input reliability and maintainability data
of all components after building the simulation model for the operational scenario of the
searching system, and set the target system availability. Second, alternatives for MTBF and
MTTR values of components and ALDT of the searching system are generated through
a hybrid genetic algorithm with a heuristic method and the system availability and life
cycle cost are estimated by simulation. If the current solution satisfies the target system
availability, the current solution is the global best solution. Otherwise, it goes back to the
second step in order to generate alternative solutions.
Figure 5 describes the flow of a hybrid genetic algorithm which combines a genetic al-
gorithm with a heuristic method after mutation to improve design alternatives. In subsection
4.3, we explain steps in the hybrid genetic algorithm in detail.
availability.
n
Fi
Min TCj = RCi × + DCi + (ICMTTRi + ICALDT i ) + PEj (1)
i=1
L
Table 1
Notation for a general genetic algorithm
Notation Definition
i Index of component (i = 1, . . . , I)
j Index of alternative (j = 1, . . . , J)
l Index of generation (l = 1, . . . , L)
e Allowable gap
TCj Life cycle cost of alternative j
RCi Repair cost of component i
Fi Number of repair for component i
L System life cycle
DCi Development cost of component i
ICMTTRi Investment cost for MTTR of component i
ICALDTi Investment cost for ALDT of component i
AT Target availability
Aj System availability of alternative j
PEj Penalty cost of alternative j
Optimal Ram Design of a Searching System 1967
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Subject to AT − ε ≤ Aj ≤ AT + ε (2)
P Ej = (l + 1) × {TCj × (AT − Aj )} (3)
There are three genetic operators in the genetic algorithm that exist as crossover,
mutation, and selection operations in order to keep the balance between exploration and
exploitation in search space. For generating new chromosomes by exchanging genes of two
chromosomes, the two-cut-point crossover is used as shown in Figure 7.
The mutation operation selects one gene of a chromosome with mutation rate and
replaces MTBF and MTTR of the component and ALDT of the searching system depending
on whether the target system availability is satisfied. Figure 8 shows how a new chromosome
is created from a parent chromosome through the mutation operation (pM = 0.3).
We apply a deterministic adaptation for mutation ratio. The deterministic adaptation
takes place if the value of a strategy parameter as mutation ratio is changed by some
deterministic rule (Gen et al., 2008). Equation (4) shows mutation ratio of the current
generation if we assume the mutation ratio will decrease from 0.5 to 0.2 as the number of
Step 1–4: If AM STDA ≥ AM STD , set the selected j as optimal then terminate the
heuristic. Otherwise if AM STDA < AM STD , go to “Step 1—5”.
Optimal Ram Design of a Searching System 1969
Table 2
Notation for a hybrid genetic algorithm with a heuristic method
Notation Definition
k Index of mission (k = 1, . . . , K)
n Index of component type (n = 1, . . . , N)
CType n Type of component with index n
θ Random number (0 < θ < 1)
AC Estimated system availability of current alternative
Ak Availability of a mission
AM STD Standard deviation of mission availability
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Step 3–5 Compare AkI /TCI of each CType n . Then, improve MTBFCi ,
MTTRCi , and ALDTCi as MTBFCIi , MTTRCIi , and ALDTCIi at “Step
3-2” of CType n that has the largest AkI /TCI .
Step 3–6 Estimate AM STD of improved alternative at “Step 3–5” by simulation
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Step 4–5 Compare AkD /TCD of each CType n . Then, decrease MTBFCi , and
increase MTTRCi , and ALDTCi as MTBFCDi , MTTRCDi , and ALDTCDi
at “Step 4–2” of CType n which has the smallest AkD /TCD .
Step 4–6 Estimate AM STD of decreased alternative at “Step 4-5” by simulation
then compare it with AM STDA .
Step 4–7 If AM STDA ≥ AM STD , set the decreased alternative as optimal then
terminate the heuristic. Otherwise if AM STDA < AM STD , go to “Step
2”.
5. Numerical Examples
For numerical examples, a searching system that consists of 86 components is considered
and the exponential distribution is used for failure and repair distributions of all components.
We assume that ALDT of the searching system follows a lognormal distribution (3.5,
0.25) and ALDT in wartime is 50% of ALDT in peacetime. The input reliability and
maintainability data of each component are as shown in Table 3.
Table 4 shows information of PM for the searching system.
Optimal Ram Design of a Searching System 1971
Table 3
Input reliability and maintainability data of components
Repair Repairable
CType n Description MTBF MTTR model probability
CType 1 Components of Sensor A EXP(138) EXP(36) Perfect 1.0
CType 2 Components of Sensor B EXP(146) EXP(44) Perfect 1.0
CType 3 Components of Sensor C EXP(160) EXP(40) Perfect 1.0
CType 4 Components of Sensor D EXP(40) EXP(34) Perfect 1.0
CType 5 Components of Sensor E EXP(152) EXP(44) Perfect 1.0
CType 6 Components of Sensor F EXP(96) EXP(40) Perfect 1.0
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Table 5 shows the system structure of the searching system. For instance, we need
sensor F components, which have a standby structure with electronic cabinet 3 and 2 for
Function 3.
All components can be improved up to 60% from the given initial MTBF and MTTR.
In ALDT case, all components can be improved up to 50%. The repair (RCn ), development
(DCn ) and investment (ICMTTRn and ICALDTn ) costs are assumed as quadratic functions of
MTBF, MTTR, and ALDT of all components and an example of components in the sensor
A (CType 1 , n = 1) is given as below:
We consider three types of operational scenario for the searching system. Figures 9 and
10 describe operational scenarios during the wartime and peacetime periods, respectively.
In order to perform missions stochastically during the system life cycle, a mission
transition probability matrix is used to select the next mission from the current mission as
shown in Table 6.
The simulation length is 10 years (87,600 hours) and the number of replication is 10.
The parameters for the genetic algorithm are as follows; crossover ratio (0.7), mutation
ratio (changed from 0.5 to 0.2 using deterministic adaptation), population size (100), and
generation size (100). The allowable gap, ε, is 0.005. Allowable standard deviation of
mission availability for the heuristic procedure in the hybrid genetic algorithm, AMk STDA ,
is 0.05.
Table 4
Preventive maintenance for the searching system
Table 5
System structure of the searching system
Component
# of Sensor Electronic
Operation Duration components cabinets
type Mission (hour) Function (k-out-of-n) (Main, Sub)
War Mission 1 90 Function 1 None None
Mission 2 117 Function 2 Sensor A (10 out of 14) Electric Cabinets (1, 2)
Sensor B (8 out of 11) Electric Cabinets (1, 2)
Sensor C (16 out of 21) Electric Cabinets (2, 1)
Sensor D (4 out of 7) Electric Cabinets (2, 1)
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Figure 10. Operational scenario during peacetime period 73 × 7 mm (300 × 300 DPI).
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Table 6
Mission transition probability matrix
M01 M02 M03 M04 M05 M06 M07 M08 M09 M10 M11 M12 M13 M14 M15
M01 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
M02 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
M03 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
M04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
M05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
M06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
M07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
M08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
M09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
M10 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20
M11 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20
M12 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.20 0.20 0.20
M13 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.20 0.00 0.20 0.20
M14 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.00 0.20
M15 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.00
1973
1974 Yun et al.
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Figure 11. Life cycle costs for different system availability target during wartime period 64 × 43 mm
(300 × 300 DPI). (Color figure available online.)
Figure 12. Life cycle costs for different system availability target during peacetime period 64 ×
43 mm (300 × 300 DPI). (Color figure available online.)
Optimal Ram Design of a Searching System 1975
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Figure 13. Life cycle costs for different system availability target during war/peacetime period 64 ×
43 mm (300 × 300 DPI). (Color figure available online.)
Figure 14. Life cycle costs for different initial scale parameter during wartime period 64 × 43 mm
(300 × 300 DPI). (Color figure available online.)
1976 Yun et al.
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Figure 15. Life cycle costs for different initial scale parameter during peacetime period 64 × 43 mm
(300 × 300 DPI). (Color figure available online.)
Figure 16. Life cycle costs for different initial scale parameter during war/peacetime period 64 ×
43 mm (300 × 300 DPI). (Color figure available online.)
Optimal Ram Design of a Searching System 1977
and investment costs to use highly reliable and maintainable components for satisfying the
system availability target. The hybrid genetic algorithm has 4% lower total life cycle cost
on average than the general genetic algorithm in CASE 1.
6. Conclusion
In this article, we dealt with a reliability and maintainability design problem for a searching
system with complex reliability structures such as standby and k-out-of-n reliability struc-
tures to keep higher system availability. The system availability and life cycle cost is one of
key measures to evaluate the system performance and was used as optimization criteria in
this article. However, it is not easy to obtain them by analytical methods due to the mathe-
matical difficulty and then the simulation method is used to estimate the system availability
and the life cycle cost for evaluating alternative solutions. When developing the simulation
model, an object-oriented design tool and a discrete-event simulation model was used. The
operational scenario of the searching system was also analyzed to express the operation en-
vironment of the searching system through the simulation model. For generating alternative
solutions of MTBF and MTTR values of all components and ALDT of the searching system,
a hybrid genetic algorithm with a heuristic method was developed to improve the quality
of the solutions. Using numerical examples, we compared the performance of a general
genetic algorithm with the hybrid genetic algorithm and the hybrid genetic algorithm has
4% lower life cycle costs on average than the general genetic algorithm. For further stud-
ies, we will consider more complex reliability structures such as consecutive k-out-of-n to
describe relationship between components of the searching system in detail.
Acknowledgments
This research was supported by Basic Science Research Program through the National
Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) funded by the Ministry of Education, Science and
Technology (No.2010-0025084).
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