Algeria Investment Opportunities Solar Power Europe Report 1bac971422
Algeria Investment Opportunities Solar Power Europe Report 1bac971422
Vice-Chair of the SolarPower Europe Emerging Markets Workstream: Karsten Schlageter, ABO Wind.
Coordinator of the SolarPower Europe Emerging Markets Workstream: Máté Heisz, SolarPower Europe.
Contributions and co-authors of the Solar Investment Opportunities in Algeria report: Myriam Fournier, Sungy; Ibtissem Hammi, Enel; Stefano Mantellassi,
Eni SpA; Federico Miccio, Eni SpA; Antoine Poussard, Finergreen; Hugo Savoini, Eni SpA; Paolo Travaglini, Eni SpA.
Market Intelligence: Raffaele Rossi, Michael Schmela, Christophe Lits, SolarPower Europe.
Acknowledgements: SolarPower Europe would like to extend special thanks to all the Workstream members that contributed to this report with their knowledge
and experience. This work would never have been realised without their commitment.
Project Information: The SolarPower Europe Emerging Markets Workstream was launched in March 2018 and since then has become an active working group
with more than 150 experts from more than 70 companies. The objective of the Workstream is to identify opportunities for business and cooperation, thereby
contributing to the energy transition in emerging markets outside Europe.
Contact: [email protected].
ISBN: 9789464444216.
Disclaimer: This report has been prepared by SolarPower Europe. It is being furnished to the recipients for general information only. Nothing in it should be
interpreted as an offer or recommendation of any products, services or financial products. This report does not constitute technical, investment, legal, tax or
any other advice. Recipients should consult with their own technical, financial, legal, tax or other advisors as needed. This report is based on sources believed
to be accurate. However, SolarPower Europe does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of any information in this report. SolarPower Europe assumes no
obligation to update any information contained herein. SolarPower Europe will not be held liable for any direct or indirect damage incurred by the use of the
information provided and will not provide any indemnities.
                                            3
    Table of contents
Foreword 5
                      1   Context                                                                                6
                          1.1.     Energy geography                                                             6
                          1.2.     Demographics                                                                 9
                          1.3.     Macroeconomic context                                                        9
                          1.4.     Business environment                                                        10
                          1.5.     Political and social context                                                11
                      3   Recommendations                                                                      23
                          3.1.     For Algerian policy makers                                                  23
                          3.2.     For investors                                                               24
                          3.3.     For Algerian businesses                                                     24
                          3.4.     For development finance institutions                                        24
List of Figures
List of Tables
The SolarPower Europe Emerging Markets Workstream was launched in March 2018 to identify new avenues
for business and cooperation, and to contribute to the global energy transition. Since its creation, the
workstream has continued to grow and now comprises 150 experts from more than 70 companies with a
significant portfolio of investments in emerging markets around the world.
Since March 2020, the workstream has operated exclusively online, though the strong hope is that this will soon
change. Member companies are involved in other Africa-focused initiatives such as the EU-Africa Sustainable
Energy Investment Platform, the renewAfrica initiative, and the International Renewable Energy Agency’s (IRENA)
Coalition for Action. Recently, workstream members have been engaging with the European Commission on
trade, development finance instruments and international energy diplomacy. They have also been working with
the IRENA, the International Solar Alliance, GET.invest, and various renewable energy associations to shape the
global energy transition.
In this report we are proud to present our findings on solar investment opportunities in Algeria. The report
provides a snapshot of Algeria’s business environment and major macroeconomic trends, while analysing issues
related to foreign investment barriers and the country’s political situation. Moreover, it maps out the Algerian
energy sector, including the energy mix, key stakeholders and developments, and the policy and legislative
framework governing investment. The research finds that, whilst Algeria has strong solar potential, there are
several substantial financial, regulatory, technical, administrative, and political roadblocks to harnessing it.
Therefore, the report puts forward recommendations for policy makers, investors, development finance
institutions and Algerian firms involved in renewable energy to take into consideration as the sector matures.
The Algeria report is the ninth in a series of SolarPower Europe market reports including: Mozambique; Senegal;
Cote d’Ivoire, Myanmar, Kazakhstan, India, Tunisia, and Latin America. All reports can be downloaded from
www.solarpowereurope.org, free of charge.
If you would like to be part of our activities, discover new solar business opportunities, and have a say in shaping
EU global policy, join Solar Power Europe’s Emerging Markets Workstream.
    1.1. Energy geography                                       the country which focus heavily on solar. The average
                                                                yearly irradiance value of the country is 2,000kWh/m2
    Algeria has vast potential for renewable energy
                                                                with high values especially in desert areas (over
    development, especially solar PV. Thanks to its
                                                                2,400kWh/ m2in some cases). The highest irradiance
    geographical position in the solar belt, the solar
                                                                can be found in Illizi district, where connection
    potential is one of the highest among MENA countries,
                                                                infrastructure is limited compared to the northern part
    and this is also reflected in the clean energy targets of
                                                                of Algeria.
    Based on a Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC)                                                                    The latest version of the Algerian wind atlas (Daaou
    assessment, Algeria has the largest onshore wind                                                                Nedjari et al., 2018) provides good insights about Algeria’s
    resources in Africa in terms of potential total installed                                                       windiest regions such as Hassi R’Mel, Adrar or In Salah
    capacity and net generation with 7,717.4 GW and                                                                 with average wind speeds of over 6.3 m/s (at 10m).
    24,980.2 TWh/year respectively (Whittaker, 2020).
FIGURE 2 MAPS OF WIND SPEED IN ALGERIA AT 80M (TOP) AND 10M (BOTTOM)
                                                                                                                                                                   wind speed
                                                                                                                                                                   (M/S)
                                                                                                                                                                         7.0
                                                                                                                                                                         6.5
                                                                                                                                                                         6.0
                                                                                                                                                                         5.5
                                                                                                                                                                         5.0
                                                                                                                                                                         4.5
                                                                                                                                                                         4.0
     0                         500                       1,000
                                                                                                                                                                         3.5
       km                                                                                                                                                                <3.0
                                                                                                                                                                   wind speed
                                                                                                                                                                   (M/S)
                                                                                                                                                                         8.5
                                                                                                                                                                         8
                                                                                                                                                                         7.5
                                                                                                                                                                         7
                                                                                                                                                                         6.5
                                                                                                                                                                         6
                                                                                                                                                                         5.5
     0                         500                        1,000
                                                                                                                                                                         5
       km                                                                                                                                                                <4.5
SOURCE: : H. Daaou Nedjari, S.Kheder Haddouche, A.Balehouane, O.Guerri. Optimal windy sites in Algeria: potential and perspectives, 2018.
       In recent years, Algeria’s growing financial needs have                                                           1.4. Business environment
       been increasingly met by resorting to international
                                                                                                                         The country suffers from several structural issues that
       reserves. These reached a maximum of 194 billion US$
                                                                                                                         compound an unfavourable business environment. On
       in mid-2014, or around three years' worth of imports.
                                                                                                                         the World Bank Doing Business 2020 report, Algeria
       Since then, foreign exchange reserves have been
                                                                                                                         ranks 157th out of 190 countries, far behind the rest of
       eroded by high import spending as well as a sharp drop
                                                                                                                         the MENA region. Its neighbours, Morocco, and Tunisia,
       in global crude oil prices, declining to 45.7 billion US$ as
                                                                                                                         were in 53rd and 78th respectively (World Bank Group,
       of September 2021 (IMF, 2021). Although this is
                                                                                                                         2020). The country scores especially poorly in access
       equivalent to 13-months of import cover, the pace of
                                                                                                                         to credit, protection of minority investors, trading
       depletion since 2014 is concerning. Nevertheless, the
                                                                                                                         across borders and property registration. Such
       government is unwilling to resort to the IMF or other
                                                                                                                         constraints limit investments that are badly needed to
       international creditors to meet its urgent liquidity needs,
                                                                                                                         sustain private sector growth and absorb the working
       as issuing external debt remains politically undesirable.
                                                                                                                         age population. Moreover, the economy is overly
       It is likely to issue more domestic debt financed by the
                                                                                                                         dependent on oil and gas and is dominated by a
       central bank, a practice used in the past and
                                                                                                                         bloated public sector, which has constrained the
       discontinued in 2019 to avert inflationary pressures
                                                                                                                         business environment and economic development.
                                                                                                                         To improve the business environment and to prop up
                                                                                                                         hard currency reserves by attracting inward foreign
                                                                                                                         investment, President Tebboune’s government
                                                                                                                         introduced a number of measures in 2020. These
                                                                                                                         included exempting non-strategic sectors from the
                                                                                                                         majority ownership ‘49/51 shareholding rule’, which
                                                                                                                         requires foreigners to partner with Algerian firms and
                                                                                                                         means that the majority stakeholder must be Algerian.
8 projections
                         4
     Annual change (%)
-2
-4
                         -6
                                                          2004
                              2000
2005
                                                                                             2009
                                            2002
2006
                                                                                                                                                                          2020
                                                   2003
2008
2022
                                                                                                                                                                                                             2025
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2026
                                                                                                                                                                                               2023
                                                                                                                                                                                                      2024
                                                                               2007
                                     2001
2010
                                                                                                                                       2015
                                                                                                                  2012
2019
                                                                                                                                                                                 2021
                                                                                                                         2013
                                                                                                                                2014
2016
                                                                                                                                                            2018
                                                                                                                                                     2017
                                                                                                           2011
                                                                                                                                           81
                                                 102
                            121                                                                                               113
       152                                                                                            158
                                                                     165                                          172
                                                                               181         179
   Starting a Dealing with Getting                              Registering   Getting   Protecting   Paying     Trading     Enforcing    Resolving
   business construction electricity                             property      credit    minority    texes      across      contracts   insolvency
                permits                                                                 investors               borders
SOURCE: World Bank Group, Doing Business 2020, Algeria Economy Profile.
Despite this positive development, the 49/51 rule still                                 Street protests, banned during 2020 as part of anti-
applies in a wide range of cases, including: retail                                     COVID19 measures, have, however, restarted and
activities, mining, oil and gas, power distribution and                                 continued in the first months of 2021, albeit with
transportation network activities; military and defence;                                smaller numbers. The power transition is still taking
railways; ports; airports; and some pharmaceutical                                      shape with the June legislative elections comprising
activities. The government also cancelled its right of                                  the latest stage in this process. A new Parliament and
first refusal on asset sales by foreign entities in Algeria.                            Government have taken office..
In addition, foreign companies investing in Algeria have
                                                                                        The establishment is aware of the need to modernise
been permitted to seek loans from foreign banks to
                                                                                        the country, and of the perils of abandoning old but
finance their investments. The government also
                                                                                        solid pillars of governance all at once. It is proudly
approved a new hydrocarbons law, improving fiscal
                                                                                        determined to go ahead preserving national
conditions and contract flexibility to attract new
                                                                                        companies, with no leaps forward. It has little to no
international investors.
                                                                                        trust in any external help that is not based at least on
                                                                                        relations among equals. The pandemic and the
1.5. Political and social context                                                       ensuing crisis have added a sense of urgency, but a
                                                                                        large internal consensus has been sought on
Algeria has been grappling with its “Second
                                                                                        economic change.
Revolution”, triggered in early 2019 by increasingly
large demonstrations against a fifth presidential term                                  These traits have been translated in practice. A new
for Abdelaziz Bouteflika. The ailing President had been                                 Constitution has then been approved. It gives greater
absent for years from public life. Protests were initially                              recognition to basic rights and tries to bridge public
limited to students and a few activists, but rapidly                                    demands for more openness in politics.
expanded within civil society in Algiers and in other
                                                                                        International relations will be a further area for change.
major cities. The turning point came when the Armed
                                                                                        Algeria has traditionally oriented itself towards
Forces supported the protestors’ demands.
                                                                                        European partners, and they will remain pivotal in any
Their intervention influenced the transition and in                                     scenario. However, it also has, excellent relations with
December Abdelmadjid Tebboune was elected and a                                         China, and balances its relations with Russia, as a
peaceful transfer of power followed.                                                    traditional ally, and the United States, with their
                                                                                        renewed interest in the Maghreb region.
     2.1. Energy sector overview                                                                   their share is expected to remain limited to ~7% of the
                                                                                                   energy mix by 2040 (Wood Mackenzie, 2021).
     Algeria’s energy mix consists almost entirely of fossil
     fuels, with gas accounting for ~63% and oil for ~36%                                          Today total final consumption is dominated by gas
     of total primary demand. Between 2000 and 2019,                                               (42%) and oil (45%) as well. Electricity’s share is 13%.
     total demand has grown at a Compound Annual                                                   In the future all fuels will grow in absolute terms, but
     Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4% from ~27 Mtoe to ~56                                                 the share of oil will remain stable through to 2040.
     Mtoe. Demand is set to grow to ~73 Mtoe at a CAGR of                                          Gas' share is expected to account for 38%. Electricity,
     1% by 2040 (Wood Mackenzie, 2021). Although                                                   instead, is expected to reach a share of 17% (Wood
     renewables - mainly solar - are entering the scene,                                           Mackenzie, 2021).
     FIGURE 5 TOTAL PRIMARY ENERGY DEMAND IN ALGERIA                                               FIGURE 6 TOTAL FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION IN
     2000-2040                                                                                     ALGERIA 2000-2040
100 80
             80
                                                                                                           60
                                                                                      7%
                                                                        2%
                                                                                                                                                                                 17%
                                                       1%
             60                                                                                                                                                     14%
                                     0.1%                                                                                                           14%
                                                                                                   Mtoe
     Mtoe
                                                                                     56%                   40                       13%
                                                                       62%                                                                                                       38%
                                                    64%                                                                                                             42%
             40                      63%                                                                                                            44%
                                                                                                                                   42%
                                                                                                           20
             20       61%                                                                                         10.6%                                                          45%
                                                                       35%           37%                            31%            45%              43%             43%
                                     36%            34%
                      37%                                                                                          57%
                      1.3%           0.4%           0.4%               0.4%          0.3%                          0.5%
               0                                                                                             0
                                                                                                                                                                                       2040
                                                                                                                            2000
2025
                                                                                                                                                                          2030
                                                                                                                                           2019
                                                                                            2040
                              2000
2025
                                                                              2030
                                             2019
SOURCE: Wood Mackenzie, Energy Transition Outlook, 2021. SOURCE: Wood Mackenzie, Energy Transition Outlook, 2021
60 150
50 125 37%
                                                                                                                                                                16%
        40                                                                      40%                 100                                                        0.4%
                                                                                                                                               8%
                                                                                                                                                                               2%
                                                                 23%                                                            1%
                                                                                              TWh
                                               12%
GW
        30                                                       0.8%            3%                   75
                                  2%
        20                                                                                            50                                                       83%             61%
                                                                                                                                             92%
                                                                 75%                                                          99%
                                               86%                              56%
                                96%                                                                           0.2%
        10                                                                                            25
                  5%                                                                                           96%
                 92%
                  3%              2%             2%              1.5%           0.5%                            3%
          0                                                                                             0
                                                                                                                                                                                     2040
                                                                                                                       2000
2025
                                                                                                                                                                      2030
                                                                                                                                      2019
                                                                                       2040
                         2000
2025
                                                                        2030
                                        2019
SOURCE: Wood Mackenzie, Energy Transition Outlook, 2021 SOURCE: Wood Mackenzie, Energy Transition Outlook, 2021
     Algeria is Africa’s largest gas producer (~91 bcm in        Wood Mackenzie’s forecast for the Algerian market
     2020, according to Eni World Energy Reveiw 2021).           includes several uncertainties. They have not yet fully
     About half of the gas produced is exported (in 2020         modeled the impact of Algeria’s latest energy policy
     ~40 bcm, according to Eni World Energy Reveiw 2021).        regulations that have the goal of increasing solar’s
                                                                 share in the energy market. Previous multi-GW solar
     Gas demand has been growing at a CAGR of 4%
                                                                 procurements have stalled or been cancelled and have
     between 2000 (~20 bcm) and 2019 (~41 bcm) and is
                                                                 been burdened by stringent foreign participation and
     expected to grow at a CAGR of 1% between 2019 and
                                                                 local ownership requirements.
     2040 reaching ~47 bcm (Wood Mackenzie, 2021).
     Growth has been mainly driven by the power sector.          Algeria presented a national programme for
     The maturity of key gas fields combined with delays         renewable energy and energy efficiency in 2011. This
     due to bureaucracy and lack of upstream investment,         set a target of installing 22 GW of renewable power
     increase the risk of short supplies. In the absence of      generating capacity by 2030 (12 GW for use within
     proper management of gas demand and supply, it may          Algeria and 10 GW for export). The government hopes
     become difficult for Algeria to meet its export             to harness the solar potential in the country, with solar
     obligations. Renewables, especially solar PV, could help    PV making up 37% of the national power supply by
     support power generation, freeing up more gas to be         2030 (LSE, 2021). However, current renewable
     exported (Wood Mackenzie, 2021). This is a key              capacity is still limited at 483 MW (SolarPower
     strategy for Algeria’s environment and economy, and         Europe, 2021). Afrik21 cites the lack of local technical
     is emphasised by the number of public bodies, like the      expertise, insufficient funding, and poor coordination
     Ministry of the Interior and Local Authorities, releasing   between stakeholders as obstacles to advancing the
     tenders for renewable energy projects (CEREFE, 2020).       renewable agenda (Afrik21, 2019).
TUNISIA
LIBYA
MAURITANIA
MALI
                                                                                                      RAS DJINET
                                                                                                   HAMMA                                       RAMDANE DJAMEL
                                                                                             APO           TIZI OUZOU           JIJEL         SKIKDA       EL KALA
                                                                                                                   DAR EL BEIDA                        EHD
                                                                              BENI MERED
                                                                                        OFA                     EL-KSEUR
                                                                               KHERBA                                                                                   FERNANA
                                                                                                    ALGER EST                      OUED
                                                          MARSAT          OUED SLY                                               ATHMANIA        EL KHROUB
                                                                                                           BOUIRA
                                                                                        KHEMIS     ARB BOURDJ BOU                                                 TAD
                                          ORAN                                                                             EHS
                                                                                                          ARRERIDJ                   BATNA      EL AOUINET
                                                                 RELIZANE          TIARET                                   BARIKA
                                                                                            BEROUAGHIA
                                                            ZAHANA                                                                       AÏN M’LILA             TEBESSA
                                                                                                                  M’SILA                           AÏN BEÏDA
                                                      SISI BEL                              ÄIN OUSSERA
                                                      ABBES          SAIDA                                                           BISKRA
                          OUJDA         TLEMCEN                                                 DJELFA
       MOROCCO                                                                                                                                  EL OUED
                                                                 NAAMA
                                                                                     TILRHEMT
                                                                                                                                        TOUGGOURT
                                                                                       HASSI R’MEL
                                                                                                              GHARDAIA
Station
     second one, launched in 2021, is currently in progress.                                             2.3. Actors, tariffs and regulatory framework
     This transition to solar PV-oil hybrid systems also has
                                                                                                         Algeria will strongly pursue the path of a necessary
     the advantage of freeing up more oil for export.
                                                                                                         transition from a hydrocarbons-centred model – and
     The public company Sonelgaz is acting in all the main                                               of revenues’ reallocation – to a more modern one,
     areas of the electricity sector and manages: (i) the                                                which comprises new energies. This would help the
     system operation through the Opérateur Système                                                      nation rebuild its reputation for regional leadership
     Electrique (OS), (ii) the transmission network through                                              that has diminished in the last 10 to 15 years.
     the Societé Algérienne du Gestion du Réseau de
                                                                                                         Over the last few years, the transition to renewable
     Transport de l'Electricité, (iii) the distribution network
                                                                                                         energies has been given new impetus through the
     and sale/retail activities through the Société Algérienne
                                                                                                         creation of dedicated state institutions. In 2019, in
     de Distribution de l’Electricité et du Gaz (SADEG).
                                                                                                         cooperation with Germany, Algeria established an
     Moreover, Algeria has strong interconnection systems                                                energy efficiency network, consisting of companies
     with Morocco and Tunisia. It is interconnected with                                                 from both the public and private sector, focused on
     Morocco via a single 400 kV line and two 220 kV lines                                               renewables and energy efficiency in industry. In
     with a tie line capacity of 1,500 MW.                                                               December 2020, together with the German
                                                                                                         international cooperation GIZ, Algeria set up a “green
     In addition, Algeria is also connected to Tunisia via one
                                                                                                         municipalities” programme, with the aim of promoting
     400 kV, one 220 kV, one 150 kV, and two 90 kV AC
                                                                                                         renewable and energy efficiency at municipal level
     lines, while an interconnection project with Spain is
                                                                                                         (Afrik21, 9 December 2020). Algeria and Germany have
     being explored. Algerian power grid can maintain the
                                                                                                         also set up a bilateral Energy Partnership to support
     power balance by itself.
     •   APRUE: The National Agency for the Promotion and        •   SKTM: SKTM develops and operates diesel
         Rationalization of the Use of Energy (APRUE) is             production plants and gas turbines in the Great
         responsible for coordinating and socialising the            South and hybrid solar PV installations throughout
         national energy management policy through the               the country.
         organisation of awareness campaigns for the
                                                                 The Electricity System Operator (OS): The OS is
         public, schools, and professionals, disseminating
                                                                 responsible for the operation of the electricty
         information and establishing projects with relevant
                                                                 production and transport network. In particular it
         actors in the private sector (Industries, Building,
                                                                 manages the balance between consumption and
         Transport). Since March 2021 (Executive Decree
                                                                 production, the security of the system and the
         N°21-106 of March 17, 2021), APRUE has been
                                                                 reliability and efficiency of the electricity supply. It also
         supervised by the Ministry of Energy Transition and
                                                                 focuses on the network’s development and the
         Renewable Energies.
                                                                 management of international interconnections.
     •   CREG: The role of the Regulatory Commission for
                                                                 •   The Algerian Company for the Electricity
         Electricity and Gas is to ensure the competitive
                                                                     Transmission Network (GRTE): GRTE is responsible
         and transparent functioning of the electricity
                                                                     for the development, operation and maintenance
         market and the national gas market, in the
                                                                     of the electricity transmission network at national
         interests of consumers and operators.
                                                                     level and the In Salah-Adrar–Timimoun pole
     •   CEREFE: The Renewable Energy and Energy                     (Southwest) as well as interconnections with
         Efficiency Commission contributes to national and           neighbouring countries. The network managed by
         sectoral development of renewable energies and              GRTE consists of 29,000 km of lines including
         energy efficiency. It also conducts periodic                more than 2,500 km in 400 kV.
         evaluations of national policy for the development
                                                                 •   The Algerian Electricity and Gas Distribution
         of renewable energies and energy efficiency.
                                                                     Company (SADEG): SADEG is responsible for the
     •   CDER: The Renewable Energies Development                    development, operation and maintenance of the
         Centre (CDER) is responsible for developing and             electricity distribution network. It is also
         implementing research and development                       responsible for the sale of electricity and gas. The
         programs around renewable energies, including:              company was created in 2017, after the mergers
                                                                     of the regional distribution companies (SDA, SDC,
         •   Establishing renewable energy pilot projects.
                                                                     SDO and SDE).
         •   Certifying and standardising equipment;
                                                                 •   Sonatrach: Sonatrach is the state-owned oil
             conducting feasibility studies, and providing
                                                                     company of Algeria. It is vertically integrated and
             expertise and consulting for Energy and Natural
                                                                     conducts operations all along the hydrocarbon
             Resources (ENR) projects.
                                                                     value chain. This includes exploring for and
         •   Organising training in renewable energies.              producing, transporting and refining hydrocarbons
                                                                     including oil and liquified natural gas. Along with
     Other stakeholders such as SONELGAZ (a state-
                                                                     Sonelgaz, it is the joint owner of the Algerian
     owned enterprise covering production, transmission
                                                                     Renewable Energy Company (SHAEMS).
     and distribution of electricity and transmission and
     distribution of gas) and its subsidiaries play a critical   •   The Algerian Renewable Energy Company
     role in the Algerian energy sector:                             (SHAEMS): SHAEMS was created by the Ministry
                                                                     of Energy Transition and Renewable Energies in
     •   Electricity Production Company (SPE): SPE
                                                                     April 2021. The company is due to become
         develops and operates thermal and hydraulic
                                                                     operational in late 2021. It will be owned jointly by
         installations. SPE supplies electricity to the
                                                                     Sonelgaz and Sonatrach and charged with
         national interconnected network and the In Salah-
                                                                     enacting Algeria’s plan for developing renewable
         Adrar-Timimoun hub (Southwest). At the end of
                                                                     energies for the production of electricity (Eco
         2019, the company managed 15.4 GW, nearly 70%
                                                                     Times, 2021).
         of the national production capacity.
                  SPE
           Algerian electricity
          production company                                                                 SADEG
               (Sonelgaz)                                                              Algerian electricity        Consumer
                                                                    GRTE
                                                                                          distribution             Residential
                                                                  (Sonelgaz)
                                                                                            company                 industry
                                            Tarif/PPA
                                                                                           (Sonelgaz)
            Other producers              Power Purchase
                                            Contract
Algerian electricity tariffs are fixed by the CREG and                   •     Triple Tariffs: Peak (5PM-9PM) / Full (6AM–5PM &
are the lowest in North Africa (AFSIA, 2021). In 2020                          9PM-10:30PM) / Night (10:30PM-6AM)
the price of electricity in Algeria was 0.039 US$/kWh,
                                                                         •     Double Tariffs:
whilst the world average was far higher at
0.136 US$/kWh. The most recent tariff decision                                 •   Peak (5PM-9PM) / Non-Peak (9PM-5PM)
(décision D/22-15/CD) was issued in December 2015.
                                                                               •   Day (6AM-10:30PM) / Night (10:30PM-6AM)
The Algerian tariff system includes several different
billing options:                                                         •     Progressive tariffs: same tariffs
     2.4. New developments for solar power                                          Over the past few years, Algeria has launched different
                                                                                    mechanisms to promote renewable energy such as:
     The country witnessed a slow start to the energy
     transition. In 2004 Algeria adopted the first renewable                        •   Feed in tariff programme, launched in 2014 and
     energy feed in tariff (REFIT) in Africa to speed up the                            abolished in 2016.
     adoption of renewable energy sources. The scheme
                                                                                    •   EPC tender, launched by SKTM in 2013, with the
     pertained to plants with power generation capacity
                                                                                        award of 23 different projects, totaling 318 MW, to
     exceeding 50 MW. However, it was never implemented.
                                                                                        Belelectric (85 MW) and Yingli Solar (233 MW).
     Despite the REFIT scheme, it wasn’t until 2016 that
                                                                                    •   CREG tender, launched in November 2018 and
     Algeria saw substantial solar PV installations. Growth
                                                                                        awarded in October 2019, awarded only a third of
     in the country’s annual market continued to rise to
                                                                                        targeted capacity (50 MW out of 150 MW) to a
     181 MW of new additions in 2017. However, this rise
                                                                                        consortium led by local module manufacturer
     tailed off between 2018 – 2020, with only 83 MW
                                                                                        Condor and Egyptian cable manufacturer,
     being added in total over this period. Despite this the
                                                                                        Elsewedy Cable, with a tariff of DZD 8.28/kWh
     future looks bright for Solar in Algeria, especially
                                                                                        (0.069 US$/kWh). However, this project is yet to
     following the announcement of a target of 15 GW of
                                                                                        enter the contract process.
     installed solar capacity by 2035, from the Minister of
     Energy Transition and Renewables in December 2020.                             •   EPC tender for hybrid diesel-solar projects, launched
     This is reflected in SolarPower Europe’s market data                               by SKTM in 2019, aimed at adding solar power to
     which predicts a year-on-year rise in annual                                       existing diesel generators. In total 50 MW, divided
     installations between 2021-2025, across all scenarios.                             into 5 batches of projects, with the following results.
     The high scenario forecasts that Algeria could become                              (See Figure 13 on the following page.
     a gigawatt-scale market as early as 2024 (SolarPower
     Europe, 2021).
FIGURE 12 ALGERIAN ANNUAL SOLAR PV MARKET - HISTORICAL DATA AND FORECAST FOR THE UPCOMING 5 YEARS
              1,800
                                                                                                          1,583
             1,600
1,400
1,200
             1,000
     MW
800 97%
WINNING BIDS
                                                                           TALMINE
                                                                           11 MW
                                                                           Lowest bid: 14.095 DZD/kWh
                                                                                                                                              LIBYA
                        TINDOUF
                        11 MW
                        Lowest bid: 13.436 DZD/kWh                                                 DJANET
                                                                                                   7 MW
                                                                                                   Lowest bid: 15.513 DZD/kWh
  MAURITANIA
                                                                                                        GUEZZAM
                                                                                                        9 MW
                                                   MALI                                                 Lowest bid: 14.458 DZD/kWh
NIGER
On January 16th, 2019, the Indicative Programme of                               The plans include aims to double installed capacity by
Capacity Demands for Electricity Production 2019-                                2028, continuing the rapid growth of new energy
2028 (CREG, 2019) was approved by the Ministry of                                generation plants.
Energy. It identified targets for all three grid
                                                                                 The main findings are summarised in Table 3 on the
connection areas and the basis for the new
                                                                                 following page.
installations (renewable and conventional).
      ELECTRICITY AREA       IN CONSTRUCTION [MW]    PLANNED RES [MW]      PLANNED                   TOTAL [MW]
                                                                           CONVENTIONAL [MW]
      RIN                    10,842                  5,150                 6,250                     22,242
      PIAT                   272                                           600                       872
      RIS                    349.3                   50                    200.7                     600
      Total                  11,463                  5,200                 7,051                     23,714
     SOURCE: CREG, 2019.
     We highlight the efforts made by the national electricity   In a session in parliament in March 2021, Minister of
     production company (Sonelgaz) and its subsidiaries to       Energy Transition and Renewables, Chems-Eddine
     increase global national production capacity.               Chitour, announced a partnership with Germany on
                                                                 renewables and green hydrogen that would make
     In August 2019, the Algerian Minister of Energy
                                                                 Algeria a pioneer. (Source: Algérie Presse Service,
     announced a plan to launch 22 solar projects of
                                                                 25 March 2021).
     400 MW each.
                                                                 In April 2020 Algeria was to sign an agreement with Dii
     In May 2020, the Minister of Energy, Arkab Mohamed,
                                                                 Desert Energy, regarding Desertec (Afrik21, 2020)- an
     announced plans for a huge 4 GW solar project (Tafouk
                                                                 initiative launched in 2009 by a group of companies,
     1), to be tendered in tranches of 800 MW per year
                                                                 including RWE, Siemens, E.On, that aims to exploit the
     between 2020-2024. However, no other
                                                                 huge solar energy potential of the deserts in North
     announcement has been made since then, and this
                                                                 Africa and the Middle East and export part of the
     plan appears to have been shelved for the time being.
                                                                 energy produced to Europe (Reuters, 2014). However,
     In March 2021, the Minister of Energy Transition and        the initiative’s goals have proved challenging to realise
     Renewables announced that in the summer of 2021 a           and it is perceived more as an ambition than a
     solar PV tender would be launched for a total of 1 GW,      concrete project by the energy industry.
     split into 10 lots, ranging from 80-180 MW each, in
                                                                 In July 2020, Algeria’s application for membership of
     southern provinces. (Source: Algérie Presse Service, 8
                                                                 the European Bank for Reconstruction and
     March 2021). This tender is to be the first in a series
                                                                 Development (EBRD) was approved, which could
     aimed at adding 15 GW of installed capacity by 2035.
                                                                 enhance prospects for investors. One of the goals of
     The first of these tenders was announced on
                                                                 the EBRD is to “promote sustainable supplies of
     30 September and is due to be launched by the end of
                                                                 energy” in the country. (EBRD,2020).
     October 2021, with the awarded PPAs lasting 20-25
     years. Initial pricing predictions ranged from              Almost all solar PV installed capacity is state owned
     0.036 US$/kWh to 0.051 US$/kWh (PV magazine, 2021).         (total was 483 MW in 2020), split in several plants
     The Algerian Renewable Energy Company (SHAEMS),             mostly in isolated areas in the southern part of the
     jointly owned by Sonatrach and Sonelgaz will retain an      country and with a capacity between 9 and 60 MW.
     option of a 25% stake in the SPVs that will own the
                                                                 Thus far, IPP investments have been very limited
     winning projects. In a bid to reassure international
                                                                 and the only large operating solar PV power plants
     investors and attract more established IPPs, the
                                                                 (10 MW) have been done by Condor Electronics JSC
     awarded PPAs will be designed according to
                                                                 and by Eni Spa/Sonatrach. The latter is a brownfield
     international standards, making it easier for investors
                                                                 installation aimed to supply power to the Bir Rebaa
     to repatriate dividends in international currency.
                                                                 North field, in the Berkine basin, which is operated by
     Furthermore, the requirements around local content
                                                                 Groupement Sonatrach Eni, a joint venture between
     usage will not be mandatory for the first tender and the
                                                                 Eni and Sonatrach.
     local industry's capacity will only slightly exceed 1 GW
     by 2022 (PV Magazine, 2021).
     Currently, retail power prices in Algeria are not cost-    3.2.   For investors
     reflective due to government subsidisation. However,
                                                                International investors have encountered difficulties
     there is no dedicated incentive scheme for renewable
                                                                gaining entry to the renewable energy market in
     energy. We recommend implementing an incentive
                                                                Algeria. The reasons behind this include the legal
     scheme for renewable energy that focuses, in
                                                                uncertainty surrounding the laws on foreign
     particular, on the C&I segment.
                                                                investments, the administrative burden in obtaining
     We welcome the softening of local content                  project authorisations, the low bankability of tenders,
     requirements in the upcoming 1 GW tender, making           and the lack of available financing.
     them optional. This will encourage investor
                                                                We recommend that investors seek dialogue with the
     confidence as they can use equipment that has been
                                                                institutions identified in this report to develop a
     certified with internationally recognised standards. In
                                                                mutual understanding of the barriers to investment.
     the same sense, we recommend a review and a
                                                                Relevant institutions include local authorities, which
     reduction of the local content requirements for future
                                                                are aware of these problems and of the mixed success
     tenders also, as they hamper international investment
                                                                of the different programs implemented so far, banks
     because the local PV market is not well established,
                                                                and development agencies active in the region.
     local producers do not always meet international
     standards, and the industry suffers from a lack of         However, several barriers remain, especially due to the
     production capacity. Work should also be undertaken        regulatory burden, a lack of clarity in the legal
     with local producers to help them comply with              framework and a low access to reliable information.
     international standards.                                   For these reasons, we strongly recommend to
                                                                investors to ensure that their contractors (advisors,
     The final hurdle for policy makers to address is related
                                                                EPC contractor, lender, etc.) have a track record in
     to financing. Currently, uncertainties remain on the
                                                                Algeria or are knowledgeable about the specificities
     terms and conditions for international financing (no
                                                                of this market.
     international financing has been authorized in the last
     15 years). We recommend removing all restrictions for      Finally, Algeria has stringent local content laws in
     international financing and enabling Development           place. This has a potential impact on quality
     Finance Institutions to establish a long-term presence     standards, which may differ from international best
     in Algeria. This way they can offer enhanced support       practices. We recommend that investors conduct a
     to renewable energy projects.                              thorough analysis of the local standards used and the
                                                                potential impact they may have on system
     Other financing issues surround local banks. Currently
                                                                performance and maintenance costs during the
     local banks do not have the long-term resources
                                                                design phase of a project. This will mean that a truer
     required for them to become viable lenders to
                                                                estimate of the project’s cost will be reflected in the
     renewable energy projects as the maximum loan
                                                                budget and that any pitfalls can be identified early and
     tenure stands at nine years and they lend almost
                                                                mitigated effectively.
     solely based on their deposits. We recommend that
     policy makers collaborate with local banks to draft
     new debt products that meet the needs of the               3.3.   For Algerian businesses
     renewable energy sector.
                                                                Several types of Algerian businesses can be involved
     Similarly, whilst there is appetite amongst local banks    in renewable energy projects: EPC and O&M
     to get involved in the renewable energy sector, they       contractors, local banks and suppliers of the PV
     often lack the expertise to provide competitive project    system and its components.
     financing. We recommend that policy makers help
                                                                The challenge for these stakeholders is taking
     develop dedicated renewables project financing
                                                                advantage of the large amount of capital required to
     capacity within local banks though providing training
                                                                develop renewable energy plants. Algeria may lack
     to financial advisors and building partnerships with
                                                                capital to achieve its ambitions in the sector and
     international banks and institutions.
                                                                therefore it would benefit from capital inflow from
                                                                foreign investors.
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