QUIRINO MEMORIAL MEDICAL CENTER
Center for Neurologic Science
Clinical Outcome of Patients with Concomitant Covid19 Infection
and Acute Stroke Admitted in QMMC
Lester de Pedro Dimzon, MD
Author
Lex Lycurgus N. Castillo, MD
Adviser
December, 2021
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I.RESEARCH TITLE
Clinical Outcome of Patients with Concomitant Covid19 Infection
and Acute Stroke Admitted in QMMC
II.PROPONENTS
NAME AND SIGNATURE
PROJECT LEADER ______Lester D. Dimzon, MD____
RESEARCH ADVISER _ Lex Lycurgus N. Castillo, MD__
RESEARCH STATISTICIAN ____________________________
COOPERATING AGENCY/ ____________________________
COMPANY(IF ANY)
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III. INTRODUCTION
Stroke is the second leading cause of death and a major cause of disability
worldwide. Its incidence is increasing because the population ages (1). In the
Philippines, there are limited data on the epidemiology of stroke, which is a problem
common to many countries in Southeast Asia (2). However, it is also the second leading
cause of death in the country with a prevalence of 0·9%; ischemic stroke comprises
70% while hemorrhagic stroke comprises 30% (3).
Presently the entire world is devastated by COVID 19 pandemic brought about
by SARS-CoV2 Virus and has been active well up to now before January of 2020 when
its pathogenic potential exploded full force in Wuhan (4). The first case in the
Philippines was identified on January 30, 2020 (5). A recent systematic review and
meta-analysis of 108,571 COVID-19 patients, in 1106 of whom ischemic or hemorrhagic
stroke occurred, yielded an overall pooled incidence of acute stroke in COVID-19
patients of 1.4% (6). According to the panel of the World Stroke Organization, the risk of
ischemic stroke during COVID-19 is around 5% and COVID-19-related hemorrhagic
strokes are far less common (7).
In a recently published Philippine CORONA STUDY done by Espiritu et al with
37 participating hospital, showed that the proportion of patients who had covid19 with
an acute stroke is approximately 3.37%, wherein 2.41% had cerebral infarction and
0.93% have hemorrhagic stroke (8).
The rate of thrombotic complications in patients with severe COVID-19-related
pneumonia admitted to an ICU was reported to be as high as 49%. COVID-19 has been
associated with several coagulation abnormalities such as elevated rates of D-dimer,
prothrombin time found to be modestly prolonged, and thrombocytopenia is
inconsistently associated with COVID-19 severity (9).
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D-dimer represents the activation of coagulation and fibrinolysis systems. It is
usually used in clinical practice to exclude a diagnosis of deep vein thrombosis (DVT)
and pulmonary embolism (PE) and confirm diagnosis of disseminated intravascular
coagulation (7). Some researchers reported that increased D-dimer level independently
predicted poor outcome in patients with acute ischemic stroke (10). Elevated D-dimer
level has been identified as a useful predictor for mortality in patients with COVID-19
and several studies demonstrated its prognostic potential and optimal cutoff value (11).
Thus, this study will be conducted to determine the clinical outcome of patients
with concomitant covid19 infection with acute ischemic stroke or with intracerebral
hemorrhage admitted in QMMC.
IV. OBJECTIVES
General Objective
To determine if there’s a significant difference in the clinical outcome of patients
with concomitant COVID19 infection and acute ischemic stroke or intracerebral
hemorrhage as compared to those who are covid19 negative stroke patients
admitted at Quirino Memorial Medical Center.
Specific Objectives
To determine stroke type as to:
Acute ischemic stroke
Intracerabral hemorrhage
To determine the stroke severity of the patient based on NIHSS Score upon
admission as to:
- Mild (NIHSS 1-4)
- Moderate (NIHSS 5-20)
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- Severe (NIHSS 21 and above)
To determine the clinical outcome of patients with concomitant COVID19
infection and acute ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage and those who
are covid19 negative stroke patients.
- Mortality Rate
To determine if there is a significant difference the clinical outcome of patients
with concomitant COVID19 infection and acute ischemic stroke or intracerebral
hemorrhage to those who are covid19 negative stroke patients admitted at
Quirino Memorial Medical Center.
V. SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY
The findings of this study may prove beneficial to the following:
Patients with concomitant COVID19 infection and acute ischemic stroke. The
results of the study may provide valuable information on identifying patients who are at
high risk for thrombosis. With the available data, prognosis of high-risk patients may be
improved by early initiation of antithrombotic prophylaxis both mechanical and
pharmacologic if without contraindications.
Patients with concomitant COVID19 infection and intracerebral hemorrhage. The
results of the study may provide valuable information on identifying patients who are at
high risk. With the available data, prognosis of high-risk patients may be improved by a
multispecialty approach including early referral to a neurosurgeon if with indication.
Clinicians. This study may help physicians in developing clinical guidelines or
pathways especially in the emergency room which includes D dimer as part of the initial
biomarkers to be requested for patients who has a concomitant COVID19 infection and
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acute ischemic stroke. This study may also guide physicians in identifying high risk
patients for thrombosis.
Government Institutions. The findings of this study may guide health policy maker
in crafting policies directed towards the provision of improved health care services
specifically in the prevention and early diagnostics or screening of patients who are at
risk or exposed. Policies directed also for the improvement of all our tertiary government
hospitals with brain specialty capability which provides quality but cost-effective care to
the patients.
Researchers. The results of this study may be used as baseline information or
support to researches on topics similar to what is currently undertaken. The information
provided may be used to support proposals related to the topic presently under study.
CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK
Independent Variables Dependent
Outcome
Variable
Stroke Type Mortality rate
NIHSS Score
Figure 1. Interplay of variables
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REVIEW OF RELATED LITERATURE
In the rapidly evolving COVID-19 pandemic, many patients presenting with acute
ischemic stroke may be potentially infected with the SARS CoV-2 agent thus all stroke
patients in areas with high prevalence of community transmission should be considered
potential cases (9). In a recent systematic review and meta-analysis showed that the
overall pooled incidence of acute stroke in Covid19 patients is 1.4%. However, it is
STILL UNCERTAIN if What proportion of these strokes are related to COVID infection,
and what proportion are incidentally related only (6).
But in some studies, a characteristic pattern of stroke is seen in many COVID-19
patients. Most were younger and less likely to have hypertension and previous stroke
and usually a Large artery occlusion with a characteristic pattern of multiple arterial
territories which is reported in 43% of cases (6). But in a study done by Querishi et al
entitled Acute Ischemic Stroke and COVID-19, an Analysis of 27676 Patients. They
analyze 54 health care facilities using the Cerner deidentified COVID-19 dataset. They
found out that Patients with COVID-19 (compared with those without COVID-19) who
developed acute ischemic stroke were older, more likely to be Black, and had a higher
frequency of hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, atrial fibrillation, and congestive
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heart failure. They added that Acute ischemic stroke was infrequent in patients with
COVID-19 and usually occurs in the presence of other cardiovascular risk factors (12).
However, the Increasing overall proportion of patients with LVO is due to a decrease in
hospital referral of stroke patients with minor symptoms due social distancing and stay-
in-shelter recommendations (13). In another study, in covid19 patients with ischemic
stroke, 45% were cryptogenic stroke followed by cardioembolic in 22% (6). But the
surprisingly high proportion of cryptogenic strokes in these population was attributed to
the limited resources and time to complete a thorough investigation in such patients at
high risk of dying in a healthcare system under high pressure (13).
The high frequency of ischemic stroke in young subjects with COVID-19 and a
paucity of vascular risk factors raises the possibility that mechanisms peculiar to
COVID-19 may be responsible (14). In a study done by Tan et al, they stated that AIS
severity in COVID-19 patients are typically at least moderate (NIHSS score 19±8), with
a high prevalence (40.9%) of LVO and a high mortality rate (38.0%) was reported (1).
Yamakawa et al, added that Frequent cryptogenic stroke and elevated d-dimer level
support increased risk of thromboembolism in COVID-19 associated with high mortality
(3). Thus, COVID-19 patients with AIS present with greater D-dimer levels. Thresholds
for outcomes prognostication should be higher in this population (11).
Strokes in patients with COVID-19 may be due to usual causes such as
atherosclerosis, hypertension, and atrial fibrillation (14). But the mechanisms that
appears to be directly related to COVID-19 is multifactorial. In some patients they could
be related to conventional stroke mechanisms as previously mentioned with COVID-19
acting as a trigger. Others may be directly caused by COVID-19 infection through
specific pathophysiological mechanisms (6).
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In fact, in a recently published review article last June 2021 from the European
Journal of neurology entitled Covid 19 and Ischemic Stroke. They enumerated 4
possible pathophysiological axes seem to be related to thromboembolism and stroke in
patients diagnosed with COVID-19: immune-mediated thrombosis and
hypercoagulopathy, alternative renin-angiotensin system (RAS) pathway, cardio
embolism and COVID-19–associated cardiopathy, and SARS CoV-2–mediated damage
of the neurovascular unit (13).
D-dimer is a soluble fibrin degradation product that results from ordered
breakdown of thrombi by the fibrinolytic system. Numerous studies have shown that D-
dimer serves as a valuable marker of activation of coagulation and fibrinolysis.
Consequently, D-dimer has been extensively investigated for the diagnosis of venous
thromboembolism (VTE) and is used routinely for this indication (15).
Before COVID19 pandemic, there were several studies correlating D dimer levels
and acute ischemic stroke. In a study done by Takeo et al., they concluded that a high
D-dimer level on admission could help predict unfavorable outcomes in patients with a
minor ischemic stroke with large vessel occlusion (4). In addition, Yuan et al., stated
that high D-dimer levels may be associated with the risks of total stroke and ischemic
stroke, but not with hemorrhagic stroke and a high D-dimer levels on admission may
predict adverse clinical outcomes, including all-cause mortality, 5-day recurrence, and
90-day poor functional outcomes, of patients with AIS or TIA (5).
In terms of coagulation dysfunction in COVID-19 patients, it insidiously drives
progression to severe illness and fatal outcome, and is characterized by elevated D-
dimer and thrombi in the veins and arteries. The high level of D-dimer in COVID-19 is
triggered by excessive clots and hypoxemia. In addition, D-dimer elevation is frequently
observed in COVID-19 patients with severe disease, and correlates significantly with
mortality (7).
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Lee et al. reported that 20–55% of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 have
laboratory evidence of coagulopathy, with increased levels of D-dimer to above twice
normal, slight prolongation of prothrombin time (1–3 s above normal), mild
thrombocytopenia, and in late disease, decreased fibrinogen levels. A D-dimer level
above 4 times normal was associated with a 5-fold increase in the likelihood of critical
illness (14).
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
STUDY DESIGN
This is an ambi-directional cohort study
STUDY POPULATION
A. Inclusion Criteria
All service 19-year-old patients and above admitted with radiologically
diagnosed stroke (infarct/hemorrhage) using non-contrast cranial CT scan
or cranial magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with or without a
concomitant laboratory confirmed COVID19 infection on RTPCR.
B. Exclusion Criteria
Patients who are 18 years old and below
Patients who are discharged against medical advice (DAMA) or
transferred to other institution during the study
The patients will be selected as per protocol based on the inclusion and
exclusion criteria.
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SETTING/LOCATION
The study will be conducted at Quirino Memorial Medical Center, Quezon City.
SAMPLE SIZE CALCULATION
All patients as described in the inclusion criteria will be included in the study
STUDY VARIABLES
In this study, the clinical outcome of patients with acute ischemic stroke or
intracerebral hemorrhage with or without a concomitant COVID19 infection will be
classified into two:
1. Survivor – A patient who met the inclusion criteria and was discharged alive.
2. Non-survivor – A patient who met the inclusion criteria and died as a direct
cause of both diseases.
DEFINITION OF TERMS
The National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) - is a widely accepted,
clinically-validated measurement of stroke severity. The NIHSS score is defined as the
sum of 15 individually evaluated elements, and ranges from 0 to 42. Stroke severity
may be categorized as follows: no stroke symptoms, 0; minor stroke, 1–4; moderate
stroke, 5–15; moderate to severe stroke, 16–20; and severe stroke, 21–42 (16).
Disease Severity Classification of Patients with Probable or Confirmed COVID-
19:
A. Mild Disease 1. Symptomatic patients presenting with fever, cough, fatigue,
anorexia, myalgias; other non-specific symptoms such as sore throat, nasal congestion,
headache, diarrhea, nausea and vomiting; loss of smell (anosmia) or loss of taste
(ageusia) preceding the onset of respiratory symptoms with NO signs of pneumonia or
hypoxia.
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B. Moderate Disease 1. Adolescent or adult with clinical signs of non-severe
pneumonia (e.g. fever, cough, dyspnea, respiratory rate (RR) = 21-30 breaths/minute,
peripheral capillary oxygen saturation (SpO2) >92% on room air) Child with clinical
signs of non-severe pneumonia (cough or difficulty breathing and fast breathing [ < 2
months: > 60; 2-11 months: > 50; 1-5 years: > 40] and/or chest indrawing).
C. Severe Disease I. Adolescent or adult with clinical signs of severe pneumonia
or severe acute respiratory infection as follows: fever, cough, dyspnea, RR>30
breaths/minute, severe respiratory distress or SpO2 < 92% on room air Child with
clinical Signs of pneumonia (cough or difficulty in breathing) plus at least one of the
following: a. Central cyanosis or SpO2 < 90%; severe respiratory distress (e.g. fast
breathing, grunting, very severe chest indrawing); general danger sign: inability to
breastfeed or drink, lethargy or unconsciousness, or convulsions. b. Fast breathing (in
breaths/min): < 2 months: > 60; 2-11 months: > 50; 1-5 years: > 40.
D. Critical Disease - Patients manifesting with acute respiratory distress
syndrome, sepsis and/or septic shock:
1. Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) a. Patients with onset
within 1 week of known clinical insult (pneumonia) or new or worsening
respiratory symptoms, progressing infiltrates on chest X-ray or chest CT scan,
with respiratory failure not fully explained by cardiac failure or fluid overload
2. Sepsis a. Adults with life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a
dysregulated host response to suspected or proven infection. Signs of organ
dysfunction include altered mental status, difficult or fast breathing, low oxygen
saturation, reduced urine output, fast heart rate, weak pulse, cold extremities or
low blood pressure, skin mottling, or laboratory evidence of II. coagulopathy,
thrombocytopenia, acidosis, high lactate or hyperbilirubinemia b. Children with
suspected or proven infection and > 2 age-based systemic inflammatory
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response syndrome criteria (abnormal temperature [> 38.5 °C or < 36 °C);
tachycardia for age or bradycardia for age if < 1 year; tachypnea for age or need
for mechanical ventilation; abnormal white blood cell counts for age or > 10%
bands), of which one must be abnormal temperature or white blood cell count.
3. Septic Shock a. Adults with persistent hypotension despite volume
resuscitation, requiring vasopressors to maintain MAP > 65 mmHg and serum
lactate level >2 mmol/L b. Children with any hypotension (SBP < Sth centile or >
2 SD below normal for age) or two or three of the following: altered mental status;
bradycardia or tachycardia (HR < 90 bpm or > 160 bpm in infants and heart rate
< 70 bpm or > 150 bpm in children); prolonged capillary refill (> 2 sec) or weak
pulse; fast breathing; mottled or cool skin or petechial or purpuric rash; high
lactate; reduced urine output; hyperthermia or hypothermia (17).
DATA COLLECTION PROCEDURES
This will be an ambi-directional analysis of charts of patients selected from
hospital records based on inclusion and exclusion criteria, admitted from April 1, 2020 to
September 31, 2021. Data of the selected patients will be collected from the medical
records by the researcher. A data collection form with be utilized and each patient will
have an identity code. General data, clinical, and radiographic findings and outcome of
patients noted in the medical record will be analyzed. Primary outcome will be assessed
as survivor and non-survivor.
All data gathered will be tabulated and reviewed by the researcher and a
statistician. The data sheets will be kept confidential by the researcher until all data
have been interpreted, after which they will be shredded after a year. No other person
has access to the documents, laboratories and other files of the study other than the
researchers, statistician and reviewers involved.
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TARGET TIME PERIOD
The study will be conducted from April 1, 2020 – September 31, 2021.
DATA PROCESSING AND ANALYSIS
The data obtained will be organized and coded. Raw data will be stored to
prevent loss. The data will be encoded and analyzed using the Statistical Package for
Social Sciences (SPSS) software. Interpretation of the analyzed data followed based
on the tables prepared.
For analysis of data, both descriptive and inferential analyses will be done, hence
descriptive and inferential statistics will be used. The risk ratio will also be determined.
Descriptive statistics will include frequency and percentage to present clinical
and demographic variables of the respondents. Frequencies, percentages and means
will be used particularly in the tabular presentation of clinical and demographic profile of
the patients.
For inferential analysis, non-parametric statistics will be used specifically Chi-
square test for goodness of fit. The level of significance was set at 95% confidence
interval.
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DUMMY TABLES
Table 1. Demographic Profile of Patients with Concomitant COVID19 infection and
Acute Ischemic Stroke
Outcome
Total Survivor Non-survivor
Demographic profile
f % f % f %
AGE
19-45 yo
Above 45 yo
Total
SEX
Male
Female
Total
Table 2. Clinical Profile and D-dimer Level of Patients with Concomitant COVID19
infection and Acute Ischemic Stroke
Outcome
Clinical Profile Total Survivor Non-survivor
f % f % f %
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Stroke Type
Infarct
Hemorrhage
Stroke Severity
Mild
Moderate
Severe/Critical
Table 3. Demographic Profile of Patients and Outcome
df Chi-square Sig Decision
value
Age x outcome
Sex x outcome
Table 4. Clinical Profile of Patients and Outcome
Clinical profile df Chi-square Sig Decision
value
Stroke type x Outcome
COVID19 positive x
Outcome
Stroke severity x Outcome
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ETHICAL CONSIDERATIONS
The identity of the patients included in this study will be kept confidential and only
coded numbers instead of names will be used to assure anonymity of the source. All
data will be encoded in a secure laptop with password and only the researcher and
statistician have access to them. The data gathered will be saved during the entire
duration of data processing, writing of final paper until the final presentation of research.
Once the final research output has been presented and approved by the research
committee, all records and raw data will be destroyed after a year. The data contained
in the laptop will be deleted and all notes pertaining to the study will likewise be
discarded by shredding.
Significant data and results of this study may be presented to the medical
community, and may be used as baseline for future researches, and may be also cited
as reference for other related studies. The anonymity of participants will be kept with
utmost confidentiality when research is shared during presentation in scientific forum or
when submitted for publication. In all instances, strict confidentiality will be maintained,
and no information that will identify the patient as participant will be disclosed.
An informed consent is no longer required from the participants as the data
gathered are all part of the routine interview and examination of the patients on initial
consult and succeeding follow-up.
GANTT CHART FOR TIMETABLE OF ACTIVITIES
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Reserach Specific Expected Duration by month
phase Activities outcome
J F M A M J J A S O N D 2022
Making of the Finish it by
research 5-7
proposal months
(Introduction to
methodology,
then have it
checked and
approved by
Research and
Ethics
committee)
Phase 2: Data Once approved Finish it
collection by Ethics until
committee, December
collection of 2021
data starts
(reviewing of
medical
records)
Phase 3 : Data entry, For 1-2
interpretation months
Data and analysis
interpretation (together with
and analysis the statistician)
Phase 4 : Finalizing the For 1-3
manuscript months
Final
Manuscript
writing
BUDGET
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Expenditure/Item Amount in Peso
Materials and supplies 3000-4000
(bond papers, folders,
paper clips, etc)
Printing, photocopy, binding 3000-4000
of research proposal/final
manuscript
Statistician 5000-10000
Others 5000
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