Early Warning and Response Systems in Conflict Prevention
Early Warning and Response Systems in Conflict Prevention
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If conflict is well managed the parties will develop a common approach about the speed
and dimension of the changes they want. If it’s badly managed, then the conflict will
probably become violent. We can deal with conflict through prevention, management
and resolution to deter its occurrence, reduce escalation and transform relationships.
2. Approaches in Conflict Resolution
There is no approach to dealing with conflict. However, different approaches selected
usually designed to address a particular conflict situation based on the stage and type
and, more importantly looking into the outcome. Let’s have a look on the following
approaches.
2.1 Conflict Prevention
Conflict prevention is a broad term which includes many ACTIONS that can be
taken to prevent conflict from escalating into a violent outbreak. These are
initiatives designed to pre-empt the outbreak of violence. It is divided into two
categories; namely Operational and structural prevention. It is also about
forecasting, evaluation and publicity of the problem. According to UN; “Conflict
prevention is to maintain international peace and security, and to that end to take
effective collective measures for the prevention and removal of threats to the peace
and for the suppression of acts of aggression or other breaches of the peace and to
bring about by peaceful means and in conformity with the principles of justice and
international disputes or situations which might lead to breach of the peace” The
shift toward structural prevention (UN,1995 Report), strengthening of the UN
system capacity for conflict prevention called for a comprehensive conflict
prevention strategy directed at poverty and underdevelopment…The key to
averting conflicts was sustainable human development …and integrated approach
to human security is needed.
Conflict prevention includes interventions such as:
2.1.1 Preventive Diplomacy
“Actions to prevent disputes from arising between parties, to prevent existing
disputes from escalating into conflict and to limit the spread to the latter when
they occur”. While on the other hand, Diplomacy is the application of
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intelligence and facts to the conduct of official relations between governments
of independent States, extending sometimes also to their relations with
dependent territories between governments and independent institutions. The
conduct of business between states by peaceful means.
Preventive Diplomacy is a non-forcible action made by all actors to prevent all
conflicts between the parties concerned from becoming violent, deteriorating
and spreading and to prevent them from becoming armed conflicts being likely
to endanger international peace and security. In 2000 Millennium Report noted
that “There is no near-universal agreement that says prevention is preferable to
cure, and that strategies of conflict prevention must address the root causes of
the conflicts not simply their violent symptoms. And that includes’
confidence-building measures,
Fact-Finding Missions
Early Warning and Response system
Demilitarized Zones
Sanctions and Embargoes
Political and Organization Sanctions
The Early Warning Response Systems are particular aspects of preventing violent
conflict. Early warning Response system is a process that alerts decision-makers to
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the possible outbreak, escalation and occurrence of violent conflict. 1 The EWS
provides clear understanding of the nature and impacts of violent conflict. It
involves the constant collection and analysis of data on conflicts by systematic
monitoring and reporting conflict indicators. Early waring and response systems
refers to an invaluable tool within a wide area of actions for conflict prevention,
mitigation and peacebuilding. It is an action research that tries to predict the
occurrence of violent conflict and the implementation of initiatives to prevent the
violent conflict. It is:
Part of conflict prevention that attempts to prevent the outbreak of violent
conflict;
Conflict prevention that consists of two actions: predicting the occurrence of
violent conflict (early warning) and the implementation of policy suggestions
to prevent violent conflict, based on early warning assessments (early
response).
According FEWER (1997), CEWERS refer to; “The systematic collection and analysis
of information coming from areas of crises for the purpose of: a) anticipating the
escalation of violent conflict; b) the development of strategic responses to these crises;
and c) the presentation of options to critical actors for the purposes of decision-
making.” While OECD/DAC (2009) defines CEWERS “Early warning is a process that
(a) alerts decision makers to the potential outbreak, escalation and resurgence of
violent conflict; and (b) promotes an understanding among decision makers of the
nature and impacts of violent conflict.”2
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A more recent definition, recognizing the application of EWS throughout the conflict cycle is the 2009 OECD/DAC one “Early
Warning is a process that (a) alerts decision makers to the potential outbreak, escalation and resurgence of violent conflict and
(b) promotes an understanding among decision makers of the nature and impact of violent conflict.”
19 Adapted and modified from OAS and UNDP (2016). p. 12.
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OECD (2009), ‘Preventing Violence, War, and State Collapse: The Future of Conflict Early Warning and
Response’
(Paris: OECD/DAC).
13 Ibid.
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Adapted and modified from OAS and UNDP (2016). p. 12.
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EARLY a signal is issued timely providing decision makers sufficient time for
prevention measures to be activated and eruption/escalation
avoided.
WARNING Concise and evidence-based information is signaled by the system in
order to anticipate a crisis situation, prevent their outbreak and
mitigate their impact. An effective signal is one that gives due
consideration on how the warning is presented, is easily understood
and meets the needs of intended recipients.
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stakeholders who have vested influence on the conflict dynamics both
internally and externally
CEWERS monitor behaviourial difference in communities and it acts a mirror
to latent conflict situations. The systems work well if it is inclusive and well -
coordinated with local community’s volunteers, civil society organizations,
religious institutions, national and local government structures and
international partners.
CEWERS serve as conflict analysis tool design to analyze the root causes of
violence at the early phases; such as crisis in political, economic and security
structures. The local stakeholders are able to acquire situational responsive
data to deal with inter-communal conflicts, security and safety and
protection issues. The information acquired may include peace disturbances,
sexual violence, destruction of property, or even interpersonal conflicts.
In the later conflict circle, the systems alert decision-makers and other
relevant stakeholders on the serious threats of the potential conflict
happening and thus providing recommendations for action through policy
making process to support conflict prevention and peace building. they can
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Operationalization of CEWERS require human expertise, central political
will and support with highly technical level; proper education/technical
know-how on indicators and response mechanisms of CEWERS. For
example, Peace Committees at the local level should be organized with
concise knowledge on accountability and policymaking systems.
Insufficiency investment in policies of building a local infrastructure for
genuine culture of conflict prevention, management and resolutions;
subsequently into peacebuilding since government and community
structures are dysfunctional by the conflict and corruption leading often to
ineffective implementation of recommended strategies/response.
Most of the less developed communities lack technological know-how and
infrastructure which impede clear communication and team work between
local peace actors.
Lack of insufficient financial contribution and commitment by government
and peace actors towards the operationalization CEWERS in their
respective areas of intervention.
Lack of awareness on how to increase the responsiveness of CEWERS
through policy education. Civil society has a central role to play through
sharing of experiences and best practices from other project interventions
of conflict prevention and peacebuilding. Local communities and Civil
Society should be mindful of political influences and constraints regarding
the implementation of the CEWERS.
Reference
https://onpolicy.org/the-importance-of-conflict-early-warning-and-
response-systems-in-conflict-prevention-in-africa/