Learning Material-Project Management
Learning Material-Project Management
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Learning Materials
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Project Management
December 2020
The learning materials were developed for capacity building activities to strengthen subregional
connectivity in East and North-East Asia through effective economic corridor management. ESCAP East and
North-East Asia Office worked with Dr. rer. oec. habil. Norbert Wagener (Professor, WSL School of Logistics,
Poznan Potsdam) in developing the learning materials.
Disclaimer
The views expressed in this document are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views
of the United Nations Secretariat. The opinions, figures and estimates set forth in this document are the
responsibility of the authors and should not necessarily be considered as reflecting the views or carrying the
endorsement of the United Nations. The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this
document do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United
Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area, or of its authorities, or concerning the
delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Mention of firm names and commercial products does not imply
their endorsement by the United Nations. The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on
the maps do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. This document is issued
without formal editing.
• How to prepare and to manage projects by objectives using the logical framework approach
(LogFrame)
• The role of infrastructure master planning and assessment and prioritization of projects
• How to conduct a feasibility study for infrastructure projects
• The concept of Integrated Logistics Centers / Freight Villages as an investment case in rail
corridors
• Cost Benefit Analysis and assessment of external costs
Learning Outcomes
After completing this training module and recommended readings, the participants will be
able to:
• Understand the LogFrame approach for effective preparation and management of projects
• Understand the importance of knowing the stakeholders of a project and how to win their
cooperation
• Recognize the importance of master planning and feasibility studies in project preparation
• Understand the structure and methodology of feasibility studies in infrastructure projects
• Explain the benefits of Integrated Logistics Centres / Freight Villages and their cargo
generating and intermodal functions in rail corridors
• Know essential preconditions for a successful preparation of feasibility studies for
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infrastructure projects
• Understand the difference between financial and economic appraisal and how to assess
external costs of infrastructure projects
Reference Readings
• EuropeAid Project Cycle Management Guidelines/ European Commission: Bruxelles, 2004.-
158 pages.- pages 57 – 73
http://ec.europa.eu/europeaid/sites/devco/files/methodology-aid-delivery-methods-project-
cycle-management-200403_en_2.pdf
• Guide to Cost – Benefit – Analysis of Investment Projects – Economic appraisal for Cohesion
Policy 2014 – 2020/ European Commission: Brussels, 2014. – 364 pages.- pages 25 - 126
https://ec.europa.eu/regional_policy/sources/docgener/studies/pdf/cba_guide.pdf
• Handbook on the external costs of transport / European Commission: Brussels, 2019. – 287 pages
https://ec.europa.eu/transport/sites/transport/files/studies/internalisation-handbook-
isbn-978-92-79-96917-1.pdf
• Comprehensive Planning of Eurasian Transport Corridors to Strengthen the Intra- and Inter-
Regional Transport Connectivity Study Report / UN ESCAP: Bangkok, 2017. – 210 pages
https://www.unescap.org/resources/comprehensive-planning-eurasian-transport-corridors-
strengthen-intra-and-inter-regional
• Integrated Logistics Centers – Experience from North America and Options for China
/ L.C.Blancas, G.Ollivier, R.Bullock.- in: China Transport topics No. 13,. The World Bank,
Washington DC.- April 2015. – 8 pages
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/23494
• The LogFrame Handbook / The World Bank: Washington, n.y. .- 112 pages
https://www.afdb.org/fileadmin/uploads/afdb/Documents/Evaluation-Reports-_Shared-With-
OPEV_/00158077-EN-WB-LOGICALFRAMEWORK-HANDBOOK.PDF
• UN ESCAP. Comprehensive Planning of Eurasian Transport Corridors to Strengthen the Intra-
and Inter-Regional Transport Connectivity. December 27, 2017. 210 p.
https://www.unescap.org/resources/comprehensive-planning-eurasian-transport-corridors-
strengthen-intra-and-inter-regional
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Learning Materials on Project Management
Abbreviations
B/C ratio Benefit – Cost - Ratio
CAPEX Capital Expenditures
CBA Cost Benefit Analysis
CBR Cost – Benefit - Ratio
ENPV Economic Net Present Value
FNPV Financial Net Present Value
FV Freight Village
LogFrame Logical Framework
OPEX Operation Expenditures
PLC Public Logistics Centre
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Learning Materials on Project Management
1 Project Management.................................................................................................................................................................. 9
1.1 The Project Approach ................................................................................................................................................... 9
1.2 The LogFrame Approach...........................................................................................................................................10
1.3 The Analysis Stage ........................................................................................................................................................12
1.4 The Planning Phase .....................................................................................................................................................15
1.5 Case Study: Railway Project Rail Baltica ............................................................................................................21
References ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 46
7
Figure 1. Two Phases of the LogFrame Approach...............................................................................................12
Figure 2. Stakeholder Analysis, Example “River Pollution” .............................................................................14
Figure 3. Problem Analysis, Example “River Pollution” .....................................................................................15
Figure 4. Objective Tree and Strategy Selection, Example “River Pollution” ........................................16
Figure 5. Information contained in the LogFrame Matrix ..............................................................................17
Figure 6. Key Elements of a LogFrame Matrix, Example “River Pollution” .............................................18
Figure 7. Defining the Project Objectives ................................................................................................................19
Figure 8. Activity Schedule for Operational Planning, Example “River Pollution”.............................20
Figure 9. Project stages of the RAIL BALTICA sector between Kaunas and Lithuania/Poland
border ......................................................................................................................................................................21
Figure 10. Logistics Centre Hierarchy .........................................................................................................................23
Figure 11. General Appearance of a Freight Village...........................................................................................25
Figure 12. Top 20 EU Freight Villages..........................................................................................................................26
Figure 13. The project sponsors ....................................................................................................................................30
Figure 14. Location of FV Vilnius ...................................................................................................................................31
Figure 15. Contents of the Feasibility Study for the Vilnius FV.....................................................................31
Figure 16. Layout Plan Vilnius FV ..................................................................................................................................32
Figure 17. Benefits of the Vilnius Freight Village ..................................................................................................33
Figure 18. Steps of a Project Appraisal ......................................................................................................................37
Figure 19. Reference periods by sector.....................................................................................................................40
Figure 20. Financial Analysis Results of an Infrastructure Project (Example) .......................................41
Figure 21. Economic Analysis Results of an Infrastructure Project (Results) ........................................43
Figure 22. Macro-Location of the FV Berlin South ..............................................................................................49
Figure 23. Layout plan of the FV Berlin South (Großbeeren) ........................................................................50
Figure 24. Multi Criteria Analysis for Determining Location .........................................................................51
1 Project Management
The purpose of this Chapter is to give an introduction into the essentials of project management and
to provide with the LogFrame Concept a set of tools to enable responsible managers, officers and specialists
to better understand how to prepare and how to plan projects effectively.
What is a Project?
“A project is a series of activities aimed at bringing about clearly specified objectives within a defined
time-period and with a defined budget.” (European Commission, 2004, p. 8)
Project Management
“Is the practice of initiating, planning, executing, controlling and closing the work of a team to achieve
a specific goal and meet specific success criteria in a specified time. The primary challenge of the project
management is to achieve all the project goals within the given constraints.” (Phillips, 2003, p. 1)
Project Management acts within the primary constraints of scope, time, quality and budget.
Civil Engineering On site, remote from home office, massive capital investments,
several contractors working together, rigerous management
of progress
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Management and business Further development of companies, e.g. IT projects, re-
change projects structuring, mergers, organization, strategy projects, not
tangible products
Scientific research projects Pure scientific research, consume vast amounts of money, last
for many years, intended outcome are unclear, aim to extend
human knowledge, extremely high risks, clear budgets
needed
The Logical Framework Approach (LFA) was developed in the late 1960s to assist the US Agency
of International Development to improve its project planning and evaluation systems. It was designed to
address three basic problems, namely:
• Planning was very vague, without clearly defined objectives that could be used to monitor and
evaluate the success (or failure) of a project;
• Management responsibilities were not clear; and
• Evaluation was often an adversarial process, because there was no agreement as to what the
project was really trying to achieve.
Since then the LFA has been adopted as a project planning and management tool by most
multilateral and bilateral development agencies, for instance by the German Agency for International Co-
Operation (GIZ). The EC has required the use of LFA as part of its Project Cycle Management system since 1993,
and it provides a set of tools to undertake assessments of project quality.
Although formats, terminologies and tools of the LFA have been modified over time, however, the
basic analytical principles have remained the same. Knowledge of the principles of LFA is therefore useful for
all staff involved in the design and delivery of projects.
The LFA should be understood as an aid for structured thinking. It allows information to be analysed
and organized in a structured way, so that important questions can be asked, weaknesses identified and
decision makers can make informed decisions based on their improved understanding of the project
rationale, its intended objectives and the means by which objectives will be achieved.
Box 1 LogFrame
The Logical Framework Approach (LFA) is an analytical process and set of tools used to support
project planning and management. It provides a set of interlocking concepts which are used as part
of an iterative process to aid structured and systematic analysis of a project or programme idea.
It is useful to distinguish between the LFA, which is an analytical process (involving stakeholder
analysis, problem analysis, objective setting and strategy selection), and the Logical Framework
Matrix (LFM) which, while requiring further analysis of objectives, how they will be achieved and the
potential risks, also provides the documented product of the analytical process.
The Logical Framework Matrix (or briefly the Logframe) consists of a matrix with four columns and
four (or more) rows, which summarise the key elements of a project plan, namely:
The Logframe also provides the basis for determination of resource requirements (inputs) and costs
(budget). (European Commission, 2004, p. 57)
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Figure 1. Two Phases of the LogFrame Approach
Projects do not simply fall from heaven, nicely packed “I am your project”. Usually at the beginning
we are faced with a complex and severe problem or bunch of problems which require to be solved. For
instance:
The challenge is how to solve these kinds of complex problems by structured, well planned and
focused activities which bundle all elements – namely by projects. How to come out of the problem cloud
and how to find the right allies to tackle these problems?
Stakeholder Analysis
First, it is necessary to identify stakeholders and assessing their capacities to support or to hinder a
project. “Stakeholders” are any individuals, groups of people, institutions or firms that may have a significant
interest in the success or failure of a project. The basic idea behind a stakeholder analysis is that different
groups have different concerns, capacities (power) and interests, and that these need to be well understood
and addressed in the process of problem identification, objective setting and strategy selection.
The key questions asked by stakeholder analysis are ‘Whose problems or opportunities are we
analysing’; ‘Who will benefit or lose out and how?; ‘What are the interests and the capacities to support or to
hinder the project?’ The ultimate aim is to help in maximizing the social, economic and institutional benefits
of the project for target groups and ultimate beneficiaries, and in minimizing its potential negative impacts
(including stakeholder conflicts). We should give an answer to ‘Which actions are appropriate to address the
interests of the different stakeholders?’ (see also (European Commission, 2004, p. 61))
As a result of a stakeholder analysis we get a clear picture who has the capacities and the motivation
to support the project (allies), who is afraid of negative impacts on his interests and would hinder the project
(adversaries) and who is undecided and waiting (fence sitters). We understand their motivation and can
develop measures to : consider interest; inform; involve stakeholders in the course of the project planning and
implementation; and generate acceptance and buy-in (to make it “their project”).
The following example (Figure 2) illustrates the LogFrame Approach concerning the problem of
“River water is deteriorating”, a typical environmental problem in many developing countries. Waste from
households and from industry is released into the river and worsens the water quality, with adverse effects on
human health of the local population and the income of the fishermen.
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Figure 2. Stakeholder Analysis, Example “River Pollution”
Problem Analysis
“If you know the real cause of a problem, you know the solution.”
The main problem we want to tackle should be broken down into a cause–effect relationship
(problem analysis, see Figure 3). That means the negative effects should be listed above the problem in an
effect-tree and for each effect we try to find the real cause and visualize them under the problem in a cause-
tree. Often the real cause is not seen at the first glance. Then it helps to ask “5 x Why?”. This analysis should be
exercised preferably in a brainstorming discussion, including stakeholders. At the beginning of this discussion
it is important to frame and to quantify the problem and to define the scope of the problem clearly.
Once the causes have been clearly identified we can derive from each cause an objective which
should be achieved by a project or by other activities (e.g. immediate actions, more comprehensive programs
etc.). We transfer causes into objectives and results to be achieved by interventions. At this stage we are still
neutral to concrete solutions because there might be several alternatives to assess and to choose from in the
further course of project planning. The result of the analysis phase is an objectives-tree with general objectives
and desired, concrete results (See Figure 4).
In a following step the intervention strategy shall be determined. Which causes we want to tackle
with our strategy? Which objectives we want to achieve? Which activities do we plan to achieve these
objectives?
To determine the frame for our strategy it has been proven useful to agree upon certain decision
criteria.
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Selection criteria can be, for example:
The selected strategy will then be used to formulate the LogFrame matrix (first column) as it
determines the objectives for a project.
Once we have selected the objectives and results which shall be achieved by a strategy, we can
proceed in defining these results further by identifying indicators and ways of verification. Necessary
assumption / preconditions shall be discussed at this stage.
Often the LogFrame Matrix contains an additional line with activities which lead to the desired
objectives. The following (Figure 5) shows the typical outline of a LogFrame matrix.
As a result, all relevant entities and stakeholders get a well-structured overview of the key factors of
the project and their linkages. The LogFrame Matrix has proved to be an effective tool for strategic planning
and monitoring of projects. Also important is the process which leads to this result because all parties
involved in planning undergo an essential well-defined process about the objectives, results and ways of
achieving these elements, coming to an agreement in the process.
The LogFrame Matrix for our example “River Pollution” is shown in Figure 6.
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Figure 6. Key Elements of a LogFrame Matrix, Example “River Pollution”
When the Logframe matrix is complete, it is then possible to identify activities (which may or may
not be included in the matrix itself already). These activities are major action fields which shall be broken
down into more detailed tasks.
Then activities and tasks shall be planned according their timing and according to their
interdependencies. A time-active-plan (Gantt diagram) is the result of this exercise (Figure 8).
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Figure 8. Activity Schedule for Operational Planning, Example “River Pollution”
Following that resources shall be allocated to each of the activities and tasks. Resources
include manpower, costs, facilities.
http://ec.europa.eu/europeaid/sites/devco/files/methodology-aid-delivery-methods-project-cycle-
management-200403_en_2.pdf (pages 57 - 87).
Exercise Choose a challenging problem which is important for your country, your company or administration
or for you personally. You can do this exercise in a group or individually.
The RAIL BALTICA is an ambitious rail project within the EU TEN-T programme and has the objective
to construct a European gauge double track electrified railway line over 870 km from the Polish border to
Tallinn (Estonia) through Lithuania and Latvia. This will avoid time consuming and expensive transfer of
passengers and freight from the European 1425 mm gauge rail system to the Russian 1520 mm gauge rail
system. The first decisions were taken in 2011, completion of construction works is planned for 2026. (For
further information see (RB Rail AS, 2020)
Feasibility studies were made for the whole line and for different sections (Figure 9). These studies
laid the ground for further detailed planning and construction works.
Figure 9. Project stages of the RAIL BALTICA sector between Kaunas and Lithuania/Poland border
Read: Learn more about the railway project RAIL BALTICA from the official project website
https://www.railbaltica.org/
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Watch the Learn more about the RAIL BALTICA
Videos
project status,
jobs and contribution to economy
care for the environment
the new stations
https://info.railbaltica.org/en/discover-rail-baltica?utm_source=railbaltica.org&utm_
medium=banner&utm_campaign=Discovery_Rail_Baltica_S1
The development of international freight corridors (e.g. the New Silk Route Europe – Asia, the Russia-
Mongolia-China-Economic-Corridor and the Trans European Network) requires efficient intermodal logistics
centres along the corridors. These centres serve as intermodal interfaces, provide a variety of different logistics
service functions and act as cargo generators.
The definition of the term intermodal logistics centre differs between countries and implies
different functionalities. A common or even standardized terminology does not exist. This diversity reflects
the high dynamic of the logistics sector but also the immaturity of the research field and the semantic
segmentation between different countries and regions. For instance, the term Transport-Logistics Centres
or just Logistics Centres is used by the European Association Europlatforms. Freight Village is used in the
U.K., Güterverkehrszentrum (GVZ) in Germany, also translated as Freight Village. In France, the term Platform
Multimodales/Logistiques prevail while in Italy the term Interporti and in Spain the term Ciudad Del
Transporte are used. (Wagener, 2017, p. 274)
Perhaps, more important than the term used is the understanding of the functions of logistics
centres and that they differ in their scope, functionality and size. For the purpose of this materials, we follow
the typology of Higgins, Ferguson and Kanaroglou (Higgins, 2012) which bases on a comprehensive literature
review, including the logistics centre hierarchy developed by Notteboom and Rodrigue (Notteboom, 2009, p.
12).
According to this hierarchy we can distinct between three stages: (1) 1st Level Warehousing &
Distribution Cluster (individual warehouse, private logistics centre, container yard), (2) 2nd Level Freight
Transportation & Distribution Cluster (Freight Village, Inland Port, Dry Port), (3) 3rd Level Gateway Cluster
(Mainport Terminal) (Figure 10). Especially for landlocked countries and for big agglomerations and hinterland
regions the 2nd level, the Freight Village concept, is most interesting to bundle cargo for fast and efficient
intermodal transport connections to large seaports as international gateways.
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Box 2 Freight Village
A Freight Village (FV) is a large, designated real estate, where independent companies working
in freight transport, trade logistics and supplementing services can settle and where a change of
transport units between transport modes can take place in an intermodal terminal.
A freight village provides a host of various services such as warehouses, value adding services,
customs, maintenance workshops, petrol station, banking, offices and an intermodal terminal for
handling cargo and other services. The FV acts as a cluster of various logistics service providers located
within a secure premise where a range of supporting services is offered.
Through this clustering of logistics companies at one hand, an optimum allocation of public
investments into infrastructure (roads, rail, other facilities) is ensured and a scattering of settlements is
prevented to achieve spatial planning objectives. On the other hand, private companies benefit from the
availability of ready-to-settle land plots, easy access to highways and rail connections as well as the possibility
of a 24/7 operation. Clustering also results in higher efficiencies and lower logistics costs through “productive
neighbourhood” and synergies in co-operation networks within the FV.
The role of a freight village is one that is enhanced by its strategic location and made diverse by its
functionality. On one hand, an FV acts as a hub for transhipments for the bundling of cargo between different
modes of transports, promoting interregional trade and therefore acts as an inland hub and gateway. On the
other hand, the FV allows for the promotion of businesses and economic activities in the region as it provides
a logistics platform for the regional industry.
State authorities usually initiate master planning of Freight Villages. The development of Freight
Villages is realized in co-operation between public authorities (infrastructure) and private investors
(warehouses). It is open and public.
Sharing access to other facilities, equipment and services is another distinguishing feature of a FV.
These facilities are available and easily attainable on a common access basis by all companies involved in the
activities. These include customs and quarantine services, truck cleaning area, post office and conference and
training rooms. Some operators use their own facilities and services while others hire facilities and pay for
services from other providers.
Moreover, some freight villages provide certain services to cater for social needs of the people
working there by including bus services, parking facilities, restaurants, canteens and child-care facilities. Such
services may not be provided initially in the FV but as it develops and attracts more businesses and operators
to warrant their use.
The third distinguishing factor is the centralized management and ownership structure. The state
authorities initiate the master planning of FV while cooperation between public authorities and private
investors further initiates the development of the FV.
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Long term investments, growth of the village as well as short term maintenance of its infrastructure
are handled by the FV management, similar to the role of a port authority/corporation.
In the FR Germany in 2010, there were 35 Freight villages which comprise in total 1,300 enterprises
with 52,000 employees. That is, on average, almost 1,500 employees per Freight Village. Traffic effect
and ecological benefits result from the shift of traffic from the inner cities to the suburban FV. For
instance, the transfer of nine logistics companies from the inner city of Berlin to a FV resulted in a
reduction of inner-city long-distance traffic of about 870 trucks per day. (LUB ISL, 2010, pp. 33,48)
The average size of FV is 140 ha in Germany. The price of fully developed land plots ranges from 10€ to
200 €/sqm, in average 60 €/sqm. The average utilization is 50%. According to German experience on
average one Euro invested by the public initiates four Euro private investments.
The Concept of Freight Villages is a success story in Europe and has been adopted in many other
countries taking into consideration special national and regional particularities. The ranking of EU Freight
Villages shows the regional distribution and different development stages.
This would be a good time to read carefully the case study on the Freight Village Berlin - South. (Refer
to Case Studies section at end of the module)
From past experiences of more than 25 years, we can infer several lessons learnt. The findings are
empirical and result from practical experiences in more than ten projects across five countries (from (Wagener,
2017, pp. 277 - 280))
To stimulate the use of multimodal transport and to promote a more coordinated development of
logistics areas, a concerted action of the stakeholders in a master planning process is required. Stakeholders
are the state, municipalities, railways, ports and private property developers as well as logistics companies. The
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coordinated development of designated logistics areas with multimodal connectivity and with land available
at reasonable prices will create a win-win-situation for all stakeholders.
•Land availability
The availability of large real estates of 100 hectares or more at locations suitable for logistics is a
key issue and very often a bottleneck. Public developers face the challenge to decide between available,
but sub-optimum places and optimum but not available locations. In Germany, the general construction
law allows the municipality as public developers to establish a so-called development plan (B-Plan) where a
certain area is determined and planned for use which is of a public interest. In this case, private owners of land
plots transfer their land to the public developer. They can sell or get compensated. In Lithuania, such a legal
provision did not exist, for which reason a special law for Public Logistics Centres was established.
High public investments and financing costs can be limited through a revolving financing scheme.
The development of the real estate in phases allows a stepwise approach. During the first phase, the first land
section can be developed and land plots can be sold. The revenues gained from these sales are invested into
the development of the next section of the estate. This stepwise approach reduces risks, allows a lower credit
line and lower financing costs.
In order to make best use of intermodal and other infrastructure facilities and to create synergy
effects between the companies, a careful zoning and selection of investors is important. “Synergetic
Neighbourhood” is realized best if companies which could co-operate in a supply chain are located within a
vicinity. For instance, around an intermodal container terminal, container depots, container freight station,
repair shops and companies with container freight should be settled. For this reason, FV developers, especially
ports, tend to control settlements tightly and prefer to conclude long term lease contracts instead of selling
the land plots.
•Integrated Logistics Centers – Experience from North America and Options for China / L.C.Blancas,
G.Ollivier, R.Bullock.- in: China Transport topics No. 13,. The World Bank, Washington DC.- April 2015.
– 8 pages
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/23494
•Intermodal Logistics Centres and Freight Corridors - Concepts and Trends / N.Wagener.- LogForum
Scientific Journal of Logistics, Poznan: 2017, 13 (3), pages 273-283
https://www.logforum.net/volume13/issue3
Exercise Discuss if and how the concept of Freight Villages could be of interest for Mongolia.
・Why?
・Where?
・Which functionalities?
・Which connections?
・Who should develop?
・Which benefits?
・Which challenges?
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2.4 Case Study: Establishing a Public Logistics Centre in Vilnius / Lithuania
In the first decade of the 2000, the government of Lithuania decided to establish a network of Public
Logistics centre in Lithuania in order to promote the national economy, to develop Lithuania as a logistics hub
in Europe North–South and East—West Pan-European corridors and to strengthen rail transport in intermodal
transport.
In 2008/2009, a feasibility study was conducted by a consortium consisting of E&Y Baltic, IPG and
W&H on behalf of the Lithuanian Railways (LG). This study showed the economic feasibility to establish a
Public Logistics Centre near Vilnius in the vicinity of the city of Vaidotai and the LG marshalling yard. This
feasibility study was also the basis for application for EU cohesion funds financing.
Later in the implementation of the project, a separate company “Vilniaus Logistikos Parkas Vsj” was
founded to develop and to manage this Freight Village. Shareholders are the Lithuanian Railways and the
Vilnius Municipalities.
Vaidotai was selected due to two factors: the railway lines passing by in close vicinity (the Vaidotai
railway cargo marshalling yard is the largest in Lithuania) and the Southern Vilnius ring road that is planned
to be built nearby. It will be possible to move rail cargo quickly and conveniently from the port of Klaipėda to
Vilnius, Belarus, Ukraine and other destinations.
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“The geographic location Freight Village is extremely convenient as it is located in Vilnius (Vilnius
accounts for about 40% of Lithuania’s GDP) and borders with Poland and Belarus which at the moment is
suffering from the lack of warehouses but has great potential.
The planning and realization of infrastructure projects is a very complex process which:
• relates to different stakeholders (enterprises, users, population, politicians, environment, taxpayers,
financing institutions etc.)
• involves different state authorities which are responsible for the provision of public infrastructure
and for financing within their scope of responsibility
• different political institutions which are responsible for setting the policy and the legal framework
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• includes several steps and iterations from the first needs identification to realization.
• In general, the process consists of the following phases and steps:
Policy Phase
• Transport Policy
• Transport Strategy
• Set up of a Standardized Appraisal Methodology
Planning Phase
• Elaboration of detailed project plans
• Submission of project plans
• Approval of projects by governmental authorities
• Public involvement and consultation
• Environmental Assessment
• Decision on Project Plans
Realization Phase
• Construction
• Ex post Appraisal (objectives met?)
A feasibility study is an investigation or review that serves to decide whether the implementation of
a project which should lead to a specific goal under the given conditions can be realized or not.
With the help of a feasibility study, it can be decided in advance whether a project should really
be carried out. If this decision was only made after the actual project planning, the costs and time of direct
project planning would be lost.
Institutional Setup
What is the institutional setup for managing the project and for managing the investment after
completion of the project? What is the business model? What is the involvement of state and private
investors?
Market Analysis
What is the demand (present, forecast) for the project? What about achievable prices, fees,
willingness to pay by users?
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Financial Appraisal
Financing, cost-benefit-assessment from a private investor point of view
Economic Appraisal
Monetization of external effects, cost-benefit-assessment from a society point of view
Implementation
Timetable, activities, resources
Are the necessary resources available (e.g equipment, personnel, time, licenses, knowledge, etc.)?
Often a feasibility study is a project itself before the intended project starts. Often feasibility studies
are realized by external consultants or group of consultants which combine the necessary expertise in the
different disciplines of civil engineering, financial accounting, marketing, management and environmental
protection. To carry out, a feasibility study may last 6 to 12 months.
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The following section explains these steps in more detail. For further readings (European
Commission, 2014).
The first step aims to describe the social, economic, political, institutional and legal context in which
the project will be realized. The socio-economic context is of particular importance hence it influences the
monetization of external effects and the forecasts of future trends. It is obvious that, for example, the user
benefits of time savings through an improved infrastructure largely depend on the GDP per capita and the
level of wages. Also, the forecasts depend on the dynamics of economic growth and circumstances of a
country.
The project should be appropriate to the context in which it takes place, i.e. the rules and socio-
economic conditions and the political objectives of the country should be considered adequately.
The definition of a project should be complete and should ensure that no essential feature or
component is left out (“half bridge is not a bridge”).
The project objectives should then be defined in relation to expected results (needs). To the extent
possible, project objectives should be quantified through indicators and means of verification. (see LogFrame
in Chapter 1).
At this step, important preconditions and input data for the following steps should be determined.
This relates, for instance, to the time horizon of the project, the financial and social discount rates and the
types and (standard) values for external effects (e.g. value of time, operating costs, external environmental
costs etc.).
As a very precondition for a project appraisal (CBA), the technical solution(s) should be described
and the demand must be analysed.
Once the project is defined, the next step is to carry out a demand analysis, both through desk
research (secondary data) and through on field studies and surveys (primary data) (e.g. traffic counts,
interviews). The demand analysis not only provides forecast data on the quantitative demand but also on
achievable prices and revenues. From this demand forecast, data and determination of the required future
capacities are possible (capacity planning) which is of significant influence to the required technical solution
(e.g. two lane or four lane road).
Depending on the scope of the project, technical solutions need to be identified. Very common is
the approach to assess three options:
Along with the description of the technical solutions, an environmental impact assessment (EIA)
should be carried out to identify risks and countermeasures concerning environmental issues (e.g. the routing
of a railway line should consider nature protected areas).
A simplified cost-benefit-analysis should be carried out to identify the best solution which should be
detailed further. This includes a more detailed design, cost estimates and an implementation schedule.
To assess the project’s profitability, a Financial Analysis is carried out from the project owner’s point
of view. The objective is to assess the project financial sustainability and to calculate the project cashflow.
At the beginning, it is important to define the lifetime of the project which determines the number
of years for which the cashflow is calculated and which also determines the residual value of the investment
after the project lifetime (Figure 19).
39
Figure 19. Reference periods by sector
The determination of a financial discount rate is also important at this stage. This discount rate
reflects the interest rate for capital investments in comparable situations. In state funded projects, this
discount rate is usually fixed for a certain period to ensure comparability of different “competing” projects (e.g. 4 %).
The annual cashflow includes all inflows of money (as construction costs, operating costs and
financing costs) as well as outflows (such as revenues and the residual value) of the project.
The decisive criterion for financial appraisal is the FNPV Financial Net Present Value, which is the
discounted value of the cash flow over the project’s lifetime. It is calculated as:
St is the balance of cash flow at time t, at is the financial discount factor chosen for discounting at
time t and i is the financial discount rate.
Another criterion is the FRR Financial Rate of Return. The FRR is defined as the discount rate that
produces a zero FNPV, i.e. FRR is given as the solution of the equation:
While the FNPV is expressed in money terms the FRR is a pure number which allows to compare
different projects. The higher the FRR, the higher the return of the project and the shorter the payback period.
If the FRR is lower than the applied discount rate or is below zero, then the project will not cover the costs and
a private investor would not carry out this investment.
When the FNPV is zero or below, then a project is not profitable and private investors would not
invest into this project. This is usually the case with infrastructure projects which consumes vast amounts of
money, have a very long lifespan and often generate no or little financial revenues.
But from society’s point of view, this kind of projects may be in the public interest because they
generate positive external effects, for instance, reduction of travel times, modal shift or less operating costs
for users or positive environmental effects. In this case, it should be assessed to what extend the project
contributes to welfare.
The key concept is the use of shadow prices to reflect the social opportunity costs of goods and services
instead of prices observed in the market, which may be distorted. Such distortions are manifold, for instance:
Some prices include fiscal requirements (VAT, import duties, other indirect taxes)
Non-efficient markets (state subsidies for energy, monopolistic prices)
For some effects, no prices are available (air pollution, time savings).
41
The international practice of the conversion of market prices to shadow prices and the evaluation of
non-market-impacts (where no market prices exist) is explained in (European Commission, 2014, p. 54)
The shadow prices should be determined according to the type of effects a project may have. In the
European Union and in some EU member countries as in FR Germany Transport Infrastructure Master Plans
exist, where infrastructure projects undergo a standard appraisal process which bases on a National Traffic
Flow Forecast (passenger, freight) and standard values for Economic Appraisal. This allows a standardized
comparison of all projects and an adequate prioritization.
The EU Handbook on external costs in transport contains shadow prices for different modes
of transport of the following effects: accident costs, air pollution costs, climate change costs, noise costs,
congestion costs, costs of well to tank emissions, cost of habitat damage, other external costs. See for further
details (European Commission, 2019)
In principle, the calculation methodology of an Economic Appraisal is the same as in the Financial
Appraisal. It bases on a social discount rate and the project related economic cost-benefit over the project’s
evaluation period (lifetime) and stream over cash flow analysis.
It is important to understand that all inputs and outputs of the project, including external effects (e.g.
noise, pollution etc.) should be monetized, even if there are no market prices.
Once all project costs and benefits have been quantified and monetized, it is possible to measure
the economic performance of the project by calculating the following indicators:
• Economic Net Present Value (ENPV): the difference between the discounted total social benefits
and costs
• Economic Rate of Return (ERR): the rate that produces a zero value for the ENPV
• B/C ratio: the ratio between discounted economic benefits and costs
“The difference between ENPV and FNPV is that the former uses accounting prices or the
opportunity cost of goods and services instead of imperfect market prices, and it includes as far as possible
any social and environmental externalities. This is because the analysis is done from the point of view of
society, not just the project owner. Because externalities and shadow prices are considered, some projects
with low or negative FNPV(C) may show positive ENPV.”
source: European Commission, 2014, p. 65
The following chart shows the results of an Economic Analysis of an infrastructure project (freight) at
one glance.
https://www.unescap.org/sites/default/files/Intergovernmental%20Agreement%20on%20Dry%20Ports_
English.pdf
This would be a good time to have a look into a cost-benefit-amalysis of a rail project.
Guide to Cost – Benefit – Analysis of Investment Projects – Economic appraisal for Cohesion Policy
2014 – 2020/ European Commission: Brussels, 2014. – 364 pages.- pages 113 -125 case study rail project
https://ec.europa.eu/regional_policy/sources/docgener/studies/pdf/cba_guide.pdf
Every investment may face uncertainties, especially infrastructure projects with relatively long
project periods. Therefore, a risk assessment including a sensitivity analysis should be carried out as part of a
cost-benefit appraisal.
43
The sensitivity analysis helps to identify the ‘critical’ variables of the project. Such variables are
those whose variations, either positive or negative, have the largest impact on the project’s financial and/or
economic performance. (European Commission, 2014, p. 67)
In transport projects, the following variables usually are under risk to change during the project
implementation:
• Value of time (often with 70% of all benefits the most important variable)
• Rate of increase of traffic over time
• Investment costs
• Fares / tolls etc.
• Costs of accidents
Variations of the relevant variables are assessed concerning their impact on the Financial and on the
Economic Appraisal.
Guide to Cost – Benefit – Analysis of Investment Projects – Economic appraisal for Cohesion Policy
2014 – 2020/ European Commission: Brussels, 2014. – 364 pages.- pages 25 - 100
https://ec.europa.eu/regional_policy/sources/docgener/studies/pdf/cba_guide.pdf
The list of projects under the framework of establishing the economic corridor Mongolia-Russia-China
contains:
“Conduct feasibility study of Complex renovation and development of Central railway corridor (Ulaan
Ude-Naushki-Sukhbaatar-Ulaanbaalar-Zamiin Uud-Erlian-UlaanTsav-
Janchkhuu-Beijing-Tianjin), install building double-track railway line, and electrification.” (Please see
figure below, source (S.Gankhuyag, 2019))
There is about 1.5–2.0 million tonnes of transit traffic moving to the PRC through this corridor.
The main track is 900 km long, with the entire length single-tracked and non-electrified. Capacity
expansion for this rail corridor is planned by the operator.
(Asian Development Bank, 2017, pp. 33-35)
45
References
[Zugriff am 05 11 2020].
• LUB ISL, 2010. Effekte der Güterverkehrszentren (GVZ) in Deutschland. Berlin: Bundesministerium für Verkehr,
Bau und Stadtentwicklung.
• Notteboom, T. &. R. J., 2009. Inland Terminals within North American and European Supply Chains. Transport
and Communication Bulletin for asia and the Pacific, Issue 78, pp. 1-39.
• Phillips, J., 2003. PMP Project Management Professional Study Guid. s.l.:McGraw Hill Professional.
• RB Rail AS, 2020. Rail Baltica. [Online]
Available at: https://www.railbaltica.org/
[Zugriff am 10 11 2020].
• RB Rail AS, 2020. Rail Baltica Interactive Map. [Online]
Available at: https://info.railbaltica.org/en/interactive-map/tracks/kaunas-lithuanianpoland-border
[Zugriff am 10 11 2020].
• S.Gankhuyag, 2019. Mongolia Russia China “Economic Corridor” - Meeting on Best Practices in Corridor
Development and Management for the Benefit of LLDCs and Transit Countries. Ulaan Bator: Ministry of Foreign
Affairs of Mongolia.
• Vilnius Logisics Park, 2016. Vilnius Freight Village - Information Flyer, Vilnius: s.n.
• Vilnius Logistics Park, 2020. Vilniaus Logistikos Parkas - Location. [Online]
Available at: https://www.logisticspark.lt/en/index.php?nodeidtree=tree_8
[Zugriff am 10 11 2020].
• Wagener, N., 2017. Intermodal Logistics Centres and Freight Corridors - Concepts and Trends. LogForum,
13(3)(https://www.logforum.net/volume13/issue3), pp. 273-283.
47
Case Study: Freight Village Berlin South (Großbeeren)
Background information
It is located at the high-speed rail route Berlin – Halle. The container terminal within the FV connects
the FV to the South (Leipzig, Munich), the North Sea ports of Bremerhaven and Hamburg as well as Russia /
CIS and the Ruhr area, all by rail.
The municipality of Großbeeren (9,000 inhabitants) has taken the role of the FV’s infrastructure
owner, while the project development agency is taken over by IPG GmbH, a regional medium sized real estate
development company.
The operator of the rail / road container terminal is the Deutsche Umschlaggesellschaft Schiene
1
Straße (DUSS) which is the daughter company of German Railways (DB). The company operates and builds
terminals and loading facilities at the interface of the modes of transport.
The unique selling proposition (USP) of the FV Berlin Süd Großbeeren is the vicinity to the German
capital with 3.5 million inhabitants. Located about 6 km away from the city border, it hosts a variety of
distribution centers of FRC in Berlin and of warehouses for contract logistics for Berlin based industrial
companies. Clusters are FMC, refrigerated and temperature controlled good and pharmaceuticals.
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Figure 23. Layout plan of the FV Berlin South (Großbeeren)
In the 1990s, the State government of Brandenburg developed a masterplan for developing Freight
Villages around Berlin. The main objective was to move heavy traffic and forwarding warehouses in Berlin into
the surroundings. Within a State Development Plan, the possible macro locations were identified.
Major stakeholders were: Figure 24. Multi Criteria Analysis for Determining Location
The municipality of Großbeeren did not have the required capacities to develop and to manage
such a large project. As such, it contracted a professional and experienced private real estate development
company. This company acts as a trustee (agency) on behalf of the municipality and organized all planning
and construction activities as well as marketing. This approach proved to be successful.
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4 Stepwise development and financing
The total public investment accounted for 90 million €, about 48% of which were used for land
acquisition. The municipality financed through bank loans at preferential interest because of its status. The
financing took place in a stepwise approach. First phase involved land being developed and then sold; and
through payback of development costs, the next phase could start. The municipality can develop only on
a cost recovering scheme. The major benefits for the municipality include the creation of workplaces and
generation of income through a considerable annual corporate tax from the companies.