COVID-19 Impact on Mauritius Economy
COVID-19 Impact on Mauritius Economy
Assessment of COVID-19
in Mauritius
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 2
Drafted by:
Ewelina Pusz
Riad Sultan
Aveeraj Peedoly
Monica Pudaruth (Research Assistant)
Editing:
George Outa
DISCLAIMER
This publication covers the period up to October 31, 2020. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure accuracy, the possibility of errors or omissions
cannot be excluded. All rights reserved. Any use of information, in full or in part, should be accompanied by an acknowledgement of UNDP Mauritius
as the source.
Table of Contents
List of Tables 4
List of figures 4
List of Boxes 4
Acronyms 5
Acknowledgements 7
Executive summary 8
01. Introduction 10
2. Impact on Economy 13
2.1. Macro-economic aggregates 15
2.2. Sectoral performance 18
2.2.1. Industrial sector 19
2.2.2. Tourism 21
2.2.3. Labour market 23
3. Impact on Households 27
3.1. Household income and debt 29
3.2. Food security and basic provisions 32
3.3. Education service delivery 34
3.4. Health 35
3.5. Intra-household dynamics during the lockdown 37
6. Conclusions 66
Annex 1: Economic Indicators and baseline for 2019 68
Annex 2: Input-Output Model 70
Annex 3: Survey method and statistics 71
Annex 4 : Bibliography 72
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 4
List of Tables
List of figures
List of Boxes
Acronyms
EU European Union
IO Input-output
WB World Bank
Acknowledgements
This report was developed with the technical The preparation process was widely consultative,
leadership and financial support of the United including the participation of several ministries
Nations Development Programme (UNDP), as part and institutions, namely: the Ministry of Finance,
of the advocacy efforts of the wider United Nations Economic Planning and Development; Ministry of
System led by the Resident Coordinator to support the Gender Equality, Child Development and Family
socio-economic response and recovery efforts to the Welfare; Ministry of Social Integration, Social Security
Covid-19 pandemic. UNDP wishes to acknowledge and National Solidarity; Ministry of Labour, Human
the financial support of the Government of Japan Resource Development and Training; the National
that facilitated the entire process. Empowerment Foundation (NEF); Mauritius Police
Force; Statistics Mauritius; University of Mauritius;
The report was guided by a core technical team Mauritius Council of Social Services (MACOSS);
that was nominated by the United Nations Country FoodWise Mauritius; Lovebridge Mauritius; Rainbow
Team and chaired by the UNDP Senior Economist Foundation; Prevention Information Et Lutte Contre
and the Head of the Socio-Economic Development Le Sida (PILS); Aides, Infos, Liberté, Espoir, Solidarité
Unit of UNDP in Mauritius. The core technical team (AILES); Collectif Urgence Toxida (CUT); Association
included representation from the International Kinouétél; WE Empower; Women in Networking
Organisation for Migration (IOM), UNDP, United (WIN); Mauritius Co-operative Agricultural Federation
Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), UN Women, World Ltd; Fact Sheet; and Mauritius Export Association.
Bank and the World Health Organisation (WHO). The
comprehensive household survey that informed the Special appreciation goes to the citizens of Mauritius
report was designed and analysed with technical for their unconditional participation in the household
support from the UNDP’s Crisis Bureau in New survey amidst pressures to cope with the pandemic.
York in order to enable comparability with surveys
conducted globally for assessing the impacts of the
COVID-19 pandemic.
Executive summary
This report provides an initial assessment of the of 2020 relative to 2019, respectively. Real estate
impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Mauritius. activities (-1.2%), financial and insurance activities
It was undertaken as part of the efforts to respond (0.2%), and public administration (-6.7%) were less
to the UN Secretary General’s call on the UN impacted. Without the Government’s financial
system to support countries in responding to the support, the impact on the output could have been
pandemic. The report utilizes a combination of even worse. The fall in tourism would have led to an
household survey data collected by UNDP during additional fall in GDP of around 9% in 2020 relative to
the aftermath of the lockdown, with historical data 2019 corresponding to 51,000 jobs at risk. Similarly,
on macro-economic and sectoral aggregates, and a fall in manufacturing exports (excluding food and
key informant interviews with sector experts. The beverages) of 10% relative to 2019 would have led
novelty of this report, in part, pertains to the effort to to a fall in GDP by 0.5%, while a fall by 30% would
capture household behaviour and their assessment lead to a fall in GDP by 1.5% , associated to 4,000
of the efficacy of immediate recovery support, during and 12,000 jobs at risk respectively. The sectors
and after lockdown, and assessing the impacts on such as public administration, education, health and
the poorest of the poor - a segment of the population transport, where the Government is directly involved,
often not captured in national surveys. The are more resilient and will likely play a critical role
assessment captures the short-term, medium-term in sustaining a significant proportion of domestic
and long-term impacts of the pandemic at macro, consumption demand.
sectoral and household levels.
At the household level, Government recovery
At the macro level, declining exports and Foreign measures were instrumental in cushioning
Direct Investment (FDI) will continue to affect the the population from the severe impacts of the
growth in the long term. The World Bank and IMF pandemic. Households are highly satisfied with the
project that the main trading partners of Mauritius measures introduced by the Government such as
will record negative growth in 2020 which will likely social distancing, mask wearing, hygiene increase,
result in further fall in exports and FDI. Real GDP wage assistance scheme, food pack distribution,
declined by 33% during the second quarter of 2020 and the debt repayment moratorium, among others.
compared to the same period in 2019. The negative No major disruption in food supply was observed
impact on GDP would have been worse, at around after the lockdown, although poor households
40%, had the Government not intervened with relief reported some difficulties in accessing basic
measures. The unemployment rate, that has been provisions. Widespread and timely support from
stable during the past five years at an average of the Government, civil society and communities to
7.1% reached 10.3% in July. The largest effect was felt vulnerable groups have contributed not only towards
in the informal sector where employment during the building resilience but also to the maintenance of
lockdown fell by 89,200 compared to 40,200 in the social peace and harmony.
formal sector.
Nevertheless, there is a need to monitor the
At the sectoral level, high levels of vulnerability situation, particularly among the poorest and the
were observed in manufacturing, accommodation most disadvantaged groups. Overall, households
and food, construction, entertainment and registered a 25% fall in income with the worst
recreation sectors. These sectors registered a fall impact felt in households that largely depended on
of 43.6, 98.1, 89.4 and 85% in the second quarter the tourism sector – 70% of which survived on less
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 9
than half of their usual incomes. People adjusted cohesion. To this end, sustaining domestic demand
to decreasing purchasing power by various means. and social support will be the key towards recovery.
Households relied on less and cheaper food, Continuous efforts to dynamise the economy, in
used savings, and reduced proportion of meals. particular the manufacturing and services sectors,
However, the poor households responded to lower remain crucial at the moment. In this respect, the use
income differently by purchasing food on credit or of innovations in ICTs and digital technologies such
seeking assistance from relatives and/or friends. An as tele and online medical care, online education,
attempt to capture the coping strategies of the poor online shopping and innovative delivery systems,
households, often not enrolled in the Social Register, among many others, could bring new competitive
revealed that close to 97% of the households spent edge to the industries and impove efficiency of
all their income on necessities during the lockdown access to consumers. Businesses, especially
while about 40% sold assets and 27% purchased SMEs and women owned enterprises, would also
food on credit. Children in 62% of these households benefit from acceleration in digital transformation.
were not able to access online classes in contrast to An investment into value chain and smart and
85% attendance recorded in the National Household sustainable agriculture that would eventually lead
Survey (NHS); thus, posing significant challenge to the transition into sustainable and green agro-
in closing the gap in access to education to break industry should also be considered.
the poverty cycle among the vulnerable. As part of
efforts to close this gap, free internet services and It is essential to observe the impact on women,
2,570 tablets are being provided to families in the vulnerable groups, and households at different
Social Register of Mauritius (SRM) by the Government. strata of the society as the economic systems
The period also registered an increase in incidents respond to the new normal, and to ensure
of domestic violence by 33%, with 93% of the cases that no one, especially the poor, is left behind.
perpetruated against women. Unfortunately, most Protection of jobs in affected sectors, assistance
of these cases were not reported to authorities, with to struggling enterprises, employability, reskilling
37.5% of victims having kept it to themselves and and redeployment of retrenched workers are likely
62.5% preferring to confide in other people. Among to grow in importance. The implementation of the
the poorest of the poor, the incidence of domestic National Training and Reskilling Scheme (NTRS) by
violence was 9% being twice as high as among the the Government targeting 9,000 unemployed citizens
respondents in the NHS. is therefore in line to protecting jobs and creating new
ones. A national contingency or response plan could
Amidst its challenges, the COVID-19 pandemic be formulated, with emphasis on the poor and most
has created an opportunity for the population and vulnerable groups, building on the experience of the
decision-makers to reflect on the functioning of pandemic. The on-going collaboration between the
the Mauritian society, to identify its strengths and Government of Mauritius and the United Nations on
weaknesses and to build back better. The complexity the COVID-19 Socio-Economic Recovery Plan (SERP)
of these COVID-19-induced new social dynamics provides a good starting point for conversation on
would require more attention in the coming months. multi-sectoral response to crises.
The risk of job losses and falling income streams are
essentially the main concern of the majority of the
population and precarity can adversely affect social
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 10
1
Introduction
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 11
The COVID-19 pandemic is an unprecedented Following the global directive of the UN Secretary
global health crisis that has had far reaching General to support countries to effectively respond
economic and social implications worldwide. and recover to the pandemic, this report assesses
The inevitable stringent lockdown measures, the socio-economic impact of COVID-19 in Mauritius.
coupled with the dynamics at the global scale, The novelty of this report pertains to 1) analysis
have resulted in several constraints in many undertaken at two levels including the first tier that
countries affecting sectors across the board. The captures the impact of the pandemic on the macro-
Republic of Mauritius is not spared. The impacts economic aggregates, select sectors of the economy,
of the pandemic in Mauritius are clearly visible on and households, and the second that assesses the
individuals, communities, and the economy, most of resilience of households through articulation of
which are synonymous with the experiences of other coping mechanisms in the face of the pandemic; 2)
countries globally. the use of a household COVID-19 study collected
4 months after lock down that captured household
Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Mauritian behavior, impact, resilience and effectiveness of
economy was on a steady growth trajectory, government interventions during and after the
with Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate lockdown; and 3) an assessment of conditions of
estimated at 3% in 2019 supported by sustained other vulnerable individuals not enrolled in the
household consumption growth, a significant rise in Social Register of Mauritius. The selection of these
public investment and net external demand. Within groups was based on the geographic locations and
a well-diversified economy, the construction and was assisted by NGOs. Given the complexity of the
services sector were the main contributors of GDP. issues, and the collection of survey data, the report
The positive trajectory of structural transformation has exceeded the expected timeline. However, the
of the economy had helped maintain the downward findings are based on data collected specifically
trend of the unemployment rate from 6.9% in 2018 for this study and provide an assessment which can
to 6.7% in 2019. The Balance of Payments recorded inform decision makers.
a surplus of Rs 32.8billion in 2019. Higher exports of
goods and gross international reserves coupled with The report is structured as follows. In section 2,
a lower gross external debt contributed to the easing an assessment of the shocks (during and post-
of the external vulnerabilities of the economy. lockdown) from the COVID-19 pandemic is conducted
on the economy, applying both a macroeconomic
Being a small island economy, whose outward and sectoral analysis. It ends with an impact on
looking development trajectory has bound itself the labour market and employment. This section
to the global economy, Mauritius bears the brunt uses the IO model and secondary statistics where
of shocks whose impact can be far reaching on applicable. Section 3 focuses on the impact at
society. While it is clear that the pandemic changed household level using the NHS and PHS as well as
the entire landscape, with: closure of international qualitative interviews. Section 4 details the responses
travels and global economic activity including and coping strategies of the pandemic at household
tourism on which the Mauritian economy is largely level and provides a concise analysis of Government
dependent; restrictions on public, private and measures. Section 5 elaborates on pertinent issues at
household activities, there is still limited evidence the level of the community, including an assessment
on the short-term, medium-term and long-term of the impact of vulnerable groups (children, elderly,
impacts that this pandemic may have posed people living with HIV and migrant workers).
across sectors.
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 12
MAR C H
of COVID-19
24
Sanitary curfew
Stay at Home
30
AP R I L
30
01 Borders open
OC TO B ER
2 weeks quarantine
requirement
NOVE M BE R
07 453 10 416 27
Cases of Death Recovered Active
COVID-19 cases
recorded
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 13
Impact on
2
Economy
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 14
Summary:
A B C
• The disruption of economic • Without the Government stimulus, • The shock had a direct effect
activities due to the lockdown the fall in GDP the first quarter of on accommodation and food
had significant impact on output. 2020 relative to 2019 would have services, textile and other
been 40% lower instead of the manufacturing sectors, while
reported 33%, and almost 51,000 the vulnerability of agriculture,
jobs would have been at risk. wholesale and retail trade was
due to the indirect linkages to the
hard-hit sectors.
D E F
• Some sectors such as • Short-term stabilization, • New sectors such as the ocean
construction were hit because stimulating domestic demand economy could be considered
of the interruptions; the main and social support is essential to strongly to drive the economy in
effects of pandemic are likely to sustain the economy during the the longer term.
be felt in coming months as the difficult economic situation.
investment take a
downward trend
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 15
2.1. Macro-economic
aggregates
1 — The Household Budget Survey (2017) shows that food and beverages,
housing, water, electricity, gas and fuels, and health-related expenditure
amounts to 52% of household consumption expenditure on a monthly
basis. Using this allocation, the assessment assumes that the Wage
Assistance Scheme and the Self-Employed Assistance Scheme are
mainly spent on these items with the following percentages: 71.1% on food
and beverages, 21.5% on housing, electricity, water, gas and fuels and
7.4% on health-related items. Food and beverages are further allocated to
farming, processed foods, and wholesale and retail trade.
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 16
FIGURE 2.1.
Other Services
Recreational, cultural and sporting services
Services of membership organizations
Education services
Public administration and other services
Other business services
Telecommunications services
Sugar cane
Forestry
Products of agriculture
Source: IO model
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 17
Comparison 2nd quarter 2019 The largest relief of Government support on employment
was registered as farming, retail and trade services;
and 2nd quarter 2020 livestock industry; fisheries, and agriculture livestock.
Overal the stimulus was indirectly sustaining around
Reported Statistics Without Government financial 13,000 jobs.
support (estimation)
BASIC PRICES
REAL GDP AT
-32,9% -40,1%
Figure 2.2.
Source: IO model Appendix 1 shows the inflation rates from 2017 to 2020.
The headline inflation rate was 0.8% in February and has
since increased to 2.1% in October.
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 18
While the lockdown has wide ranging economic effects Figure 2.3 compares the quarter-to-quarter percentage
which extend beyond the devastating health effects, change in value-added from 2019 to 2020. The
the economic impacts in the post-lockdown period lockdown led to a fall of 2.9% in agricultural value-added
reflects multiple shocks to the economy from both the in the 1st quarter, followed by a further fall of 11% in the
supply and demand side. The impact depends on the 2nd quarter. This was driven by a decline in sugarcane
degree of integration with the world markets and the and food crops production that recorded a reduction of
inter-industry linkages of the Mauritian economy. This 8.5 and 11.4% in the 2nd quarter, respectively. The food
report identified three main external shocks, including: crops sector is of high interest given its contribution to
1) the immediate impact on the tourism sector is very food security especially at a time of crisis. Some sectors
visible with a fall in tourist arrivals and earnings; 2) such as manufacturing, accommodation and food,
Mauritius, having strong trade and investment linkages, construction, entertainment, and recreation, showed high
is likely to be affected significantly through a reduction vulnerability. These sectors recorded respectively a fall
in the production of export-oriented enterprises; and 3) a of 43.6, 98.1, 89.4 and 85% in the second quarter 2020
decline in FDI is an inevitable shock from pandemic. relative to 2019. Others, including real estate activities
(-1.2%), financial and insurance activities (0.2%), and
public administration (-6.7%), were less impacted.
Figure 2.3.
However, the real estate activities and financial and stimulated through Government financial support.
insurance activities may exhibit a different trend when However, several sectors such as the accommodation
the external shocks of the pandemic are fully internalised and food service and export-oriented sectors are subject
in the future months. to external shocks which are likely to continue in the
post-lockdown period.
The future trends (post-lockdown period) would depend
on aggregate domestic demand and the latter be
U.K.
U.S.A.
South Africa
Italy
Spain
Netherlands
Figure 2.5.
Source: IO model
Figure 2.6.
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
% change in taxes products
0% 0%
-0,5%
(net of subsidies)
-1,0% -0,5%
-1,5%
-2,0% -1,0%
-2,5%
-1,5%
-3,0%
-3,5% -2,0%
-4,0%
-4,5% -2,5%
Source: IO model
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 21
2.2.2. Tourism
The tourism sector contributed 8.2% of GDP in 2019 With the fall in tourism from April 2020, the total
directly and 23.8% indirectly5. It accounted for 22 % arrivals for the year would stand at 310,000 and
of employment, 60.3% of services exports and 35% of tourism earnings would fall to around Rs18 billion in
total exports. Mauritius is extremely vulnerable given its 2019. The direct impact would be felt in sectors where
high dependency on tourism and the sector is the most tourist expenditure was normally distributed. These
affected one. The total tourist arrivals for the year 2019 were accommodation services (55.1%), followed by air
stood at 1383,488 with earnings of Rs63,107 million. and sea passenger transport services (12.5%), food
The Bank of Mauritius had forecasted Rs65 billion for and beverages (8%), land transport services (5.6%),
the year 2020 without the pandemic. The fall in foreign recreational-based activities (4.4%) and other tourism-
earnings from the loss of tourism arrivals remains a major related consumption goods and services8, where indirect
concern for the economy. Travel bans meant no tourist impacts will be felt in these sectors as well.
earnings from April to October 2020 until the air travel
was eased, yet easing of travel will still not guarantee The fall in tourism expenditure would impact
recovery in the short to medium term (figure 2.7) given the indirectly on other economic sectors as their demand
second wave of infections in major markets or Mauritius would also decrease, thereby creating multiple
as well as the mandatory quarantine requirements for round of decreasing output. The value-added of the
inbound travellers. accommodation services sector would fall by 77%, air
and water services sector by 30%, food and beverages
In 2019, 34.5% of tourist arrivals originated from Europe, by 27%, entertainment and recreational sector by 9% and
34.4% from Africa and 28.7% from Asia. The main land transport services by 9%. The main indirect impacts
countries of origin are United Arab Emirates (19%), were felt in the agricultural sector (-16%), food processing
Reunion Island (17.7%), France (15.3%), South Africa (-14%), water (-12%), electricity (-11%), business activities
(12.3%), United Kingdom (6.1%), India (4.7%) and Germany (-8%). The total economic impact of the pandemic from
(4.6%)7. the tourism sector for 2020 is estimated at 9% of GDP.
Figure 2.7.
6.000
5.000
Tourist earnings (Rsm)
4.000
3.000
2.000
1.000
0
May.19
May.20
Feb.19
Feb.20
Aug.19
Nov.19
Aug.20
Nov.20
Mar.19
Mar.20
Dec.19
Dec.20
Sep.19
Sep.20
Jan.19
Jul.19
Jan.19
Jul.20
Jun.19
Oct.19
Jun.20
Oct.20
Apr.19
Apr.20
Tourist earnings (Rsm) Forecast Source: Bank of Mauritius (forecasted trend has been added)
Figure 2.8.
Other services
Financial intermediation
Public transport
Forestry
Fish processed
Electricity
Water
Products of agriculture
Accommodation services
Source: IO model
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 23
The employment situation has been stable during the the same period. In fact, according to Statistics Mauritius
past years although marked by some persistent gender and World Bank’s first round of the RCMPHS in May
and age disparities in employment and earnings. The 2020, the inactive population increased substantially by
unemployment rate averaged around 7.1% over the 64% from 205,100 to 336,900 of which 1 in 5 reported to
last 5 years, with a modest improved rate to 6.9% in have worked before the lockdown and to have stopped
2019. However, disruptions in the labour market have working because of the lockdown. This work consists
expanded due to the impact that the pandemic has mainly of non-continuous or temporary employment
imposed on productive sectors of the economy. generally in the informal economy. The main sectors
in which they were employed include manufacturing
Figure 2.9 depicts the number of men vs. women (19.2%), wholesale and retail trade (14.6%); construction
employed in each economic sector in 2019. It provides (13.6%) and private households (10.4%), which generally
the basis for estimating the impact on women and the constitute informal occupations. As the following chart
vulnerability vis a vis COVID-19. indicates, during the lockdown period, the fall in informal
sector employment was more pronounced as compared
By May, employment fell by 129,400 i.e. by slightly to formal employment. While formal employment fell by
above 24% compared to the situation in the first 40,200, informal sector employment declined by 89,200
quarter of 2020. In parallel, the unemployment rate (above 59%).
shot up by 3% points from 7.2% to 10.2% by May 2020.
Likewise, activity rates declined sharply by 16.4 % over
TABLE 2.1.
Employment, Unemployment and economic activity (both sexes) in population aged 16-64 and not in full-time education.
Employed Unemployed Labour Force Unemployment Rate (%) Activity Rate (%)
Adapted from Statistics Mauritius and World Bank RCMPHS Oct 2020
Figure 2.9.
Sugarcane Male
Other
Water supply
Accomodation and
food service
Financial and
insurance activities
Professional, scientific and...
Public administration
and defence
Human health and
social work...
0 20 40 60 80 100
Figure 2.10.
Jun 106.500
366.600
May 61.600
343.800
Q120 150.800
384.000
Source: IO model
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 25
According to Trade Union officials interviewed in the In the public discourse on the New Normal brought
context of this study, there have been many abusive about by the pandemic, there were many predictions
dismissals and/or non-payment of wages than what amongst decision makers and observers that the
have been registered at the Ministry of Labour, as country could potentially hit the 100,000 mark in
some employers found it hard to manage their overhead terms of unemployment (See e.g. Le Mauricien 01 May
costs with their labour costs. The first to have lost their 2020; L’express Jul 6 2020) which was estimated as
jobs accordingly were those whose employment was an unemployment rate of above 19%. The fact that the
already precarious and with no formal contracts. Tourism- unemployment rate has thus far been contained to 10.3%
related occupations which have disproportionately been is an illustration that the impacts have at least thus far
affected by travel restrictions and absence of tourists, been contained. However, the sustainability of business
wholesale and retail, construction and, cleaning and and the preservation of employment in some of the
security services are some of the main sectors where occupational sectors which have been the hardest hit
representations had been made with trade unions. in the medium term are open to question. Supporting
Employees on short-term contracts, mainly women and enterprises, jobs and income are particularly necessary
youth, had been particularly vulnerable to these in order to avert a downward spiral which can affect the
abusive practices. economy and society alike.
In the worst-case scenario (without the wage assistance The employment impact on the tourism sector (without
scheme), 30% decline in manufacturing exports could the wage assistance scheme) is likely to be felt mostly
have led to about 12,000 jobs at risk while a decline of in the accommodation services (22,000), air and water
60% could have resulted in an additional 11,000 jobs at transport services (9,700) and food and beverages
risk (Figure 2.11). (4,300) sector. The total employment (direct and indirect)
at risk without the Government measures is likely to be
51,000 in 2020 (using 2019 as baseline).
PANEL A PANEL B
-5.000
-5.000
-10.000
Change in employment
-10.000 -15.000
-15.000 -20.000
-25.000
-20.000
-30.000
-25.000 -35.000
Figure 2.12.
Products of agriculture
Forestry
Sugar Cane
Live animals and animal products
Fish and other fishing products
Ores and Minerals
Meat, fruit, vegetables, oils and fats
Fish processed
Sugar
Yarn and thread; woven and tufted textile
Knitted or crocheted fabrics; wearing apparel
Other manufacture goods
Construction and construction services
Wholesale and retail trade services
Food and beverage serving services
Accommodations services
Transport services: water, air, supporting and auxiliary
Land transport excl. public transport
Public transport
Electricity
Water supply
Financial intermediation, insurance and auxiliar services
Real estate services
Telecommunications services; information retrieval
Other business services
Public administration and other services to the community
Education services
Health and social services
Sewage and refuse disposal, sanitation and other...
Services of membership organizations
Recreational, cultural and sporting services
Other services
-25.000 -20.000 -15.000 -10.000 -5.000 0
Source: IO model
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 27
3
Impact on
Households
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 28
Summary:
A B C
• There was no major disruption in • Psychological effects such as • The model of delivery of
food supply after the lockdown anxiety, depression and sleeping education services was effective
although the poorest households disorder were reported to all among households that received
still reported a difficulty to buy segment of the population, but it, but the poor still require
basic provisions; food and water, mostly among poor households. significant support to access
and housing remain priority for online services.
this category.
D E
Figure 3.1.
Other manufacturing
Construction
Wholesale and retail trade
Land transport
Food service activities
Accommodation and hotel
Information and communication
Finance and insurance
Other business services informal
Administrative and support services
Public administration
Education
Human health and social work
Other service activities
TABLE 3.2.
Sources of income (December 2019-August 2020)
t-statistics for
Sources of Income Dec-19 Aug-20
mean difference
1 Income from household farming or fishing 3.16 4.14 -2.00**
2 Income from a household business (other than farming or fishing) 11.44 12.17 -1.13
3 Income from a paid job (held by a household member or yourself) 61.31 55.47 4.33***
4 Foodstuff produced by the household from farming, raising animals or
0.24 0.73 -1.41*
fishing
5 Support from other households in the country 1.95 2.68 -1.34*
6 Income from properties, investments or savings 5.84 6.08 -0.33
7 Private pension 4.62 5.11 -1.41
8 State pension or other Government support 25.79 26.52 1.00
9 Charity from NGOs or other charitable organizations 0.49 0.24 -0.09
Figure 3.2.
Close to 39% of households had debt, 20.4% of which
were unable to finance them in the coming months due
to COVID-19, while only 40% could only sustain debt
Ability to service household debts
servicing for the next 1 to 2 months. A larger proportion by gender
of female heads of households reported significant
challenges in servicing debt compared to their male Don’t know 7,01
counterparts. It is expected that this effect combined
with other structural and systemic barriers to women’s
participation in paid labour markets may result in an For more than 6 months 21,02
increased feminisation of poverty in the country.
No 19,11
Source: IO model 0 5 10 15 20 25
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 32
Figure 3.3.
10
BANANA
CHILIES
MAIZE
-10
BEANS & PEAS
CAULIFLOWER
BRINJAL
PINEAPPLE
-20
CREEPERS
MIXED VEGETABLES 4
-30
TOMATO OF WHICH HYBRID
-40
-50
-60
-70
Figure 3.4.
Humanitarian assistance
After lockdown
Before lockdown
Own production / farming
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Humanitarian assistance
During lockdown
Purchasing from
local markets
Hunting / gathering /
catching
3.3. Education
service delivery
COVID-19 has severely disrupted the education sector 2020) result. Overall, close to 90% of the households
from pre-primary, secondary to tertiary education. were satisfied with the new mode of delivery. However
For the majority of Mauritian students, school, college only 38% among the poorest of the poor households
and university closures during the lockdown signified accessed these services. Although these results must be
a move of about 94% of households with at least one interpreted with caution given the small sample involved,
student, to remote learning through computers, laptops, this result mirrors a critical gap in the design and delivery
tablets and smartphones, which is consistent with 85% of educational programmes that reached poor children.
revealed in the October 2020 SM/WB RCMPHS (Oct
Figure 3.5.
Households’ responses on education
NHS PHS SATISFACTION FROM ONLINE SURVEY
6% 7% 8% 2%
17%
30%
31% 62%
64% 53% 20%
Very dissatisfied
Source: SEIA household survey
Figure 3.6.
Time spent by households facilitating Parents were unable to devote adequate time to online
education, evidenced in close to 50% allocating 5
child’s education hours or less each week facilitating children learning.
This can be partly attributed to capacity challenges and
None the combination of remote working with other household
activities.
N/A
TIME SPENT
0 - 5 hours
3.4. Health
Anxiety
National
household survey
Depression
Poor
household survey
Sleeping
problems
Emotional
problems
Stomach
problems
Other
Fever
Fatigue
Indigestion
Headache
Aggressiveness
Detrioration
in health
0 20 40 60 80 100
Figure 3.8.
The pandemic has highlighted inequalities in health
care, especially in the lockdown. About 77% of the Access to health services
households required the services of pharmacies during
the lockdown, 16% of whom could not get access to
pharmacies. The support of relatives and friends were Public health system
sought for the necessary medication. Furthermore, 27%
sought services from the health system: 18.5% visited
the public health service, 7% had recourse to the private
health system and 1.2% had online doctor consultation Private health system
service.
There is a worldwide concern that resources may be Online doctor consultations services
allocated to fight the COVID-19 to the detriment of
other treatment services. A recent survey of the WHO 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
in 155 countries during a 3-week period in May, finds
that the COVID-19 pandemic could seriously disrupt the
prevention and treatment services for non-communicable
diseases (NCDs)12. The WHO warns that this situation
National household survey Poor household survey
is of significant concern because people living with
NCDs are at higher risk of severe COVID-19-related
illness and death. The NHS reveals that households had Source: SEIA household survey
difficulties in accessing services related to mental health,
immunization, NCDs, and to a lower extent, infectious
diseases and child health treatments.
Mental health
Inmunization
Non-communicable
diseases treatments
Infectious
diseases treatments
Child health
Maternal health
Reproductive health
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Domestic violence
Confinement has significantly impacted on domestic
violence as noted from the significant increase in
the number of cases reported at the Family Support
Bureau of the Ministry of Gender Equality and Family
Welfare. During the lockdown period 20 March to 30
May 2020, 520 cases were officially reported of which
some 93% were female victims, of which 111 female
survivors left the conjugal roof during the lockdown. Figure 3.10.
250
200
150
100
50
Jan.18 Mar.18 May.18 Jul.18 Sep.18 Nov.18 Jan.19 Mar.19 May.19 Jul.19 Sep.19 Nov.19 Jan.20 Mar.20 May.20
Source: SEIA household survey
Data from the NHS reveal that some 4.5% of the Figure 3.11.
sample have experienced some sort of violence
during the lockdown, women being disproportionately
Violence onto female respondent by her
represented. 7.4% respondents experienced violence at relationship with perpetrator
home during the lockdown. Among the poorest of the
poor, evidence from the survey data indicates that nearly
9% of respondents experienced some sort of violence at
home during the lockdown. The incidence of domestic 7%
violence in this socio-economic category appears to
be two-fold that of the mainstream population. The
7%
Chart below shows a breakdown of the perpetrators
of violence against the female respondents from the
NHS, highlighting that while Intimate Partner Violence 13%
accounted for 73% of domestic violence as a classic
gender-based phenomenon, in no less than 27% of 60%
cases, violence has been perpetrated by grand-children
(13%); children (7%); mother-in-law (7%).
Distribution of
household activities
The lockdown set in motion several transitional have spent more time (37%) or significantly more time
behaviours and practices to adjust to confinement. (21%) on household chores as compared to 40% for their
Generally, both women and men spent more time than husbands. Only 8% of husbands spent ‘significantly
usual on domestic and care responsibilities, leisure more’ time preparing meals. The same trend was
and personal and/or household activities. Majority of observable for childcare and education.
respondents (an average of some 72% for both males
and females) spent more household quality time. There
was also was increased use of social media, talking
online/phone, watching TV, indulging in hobby shows
across gender. Overall, women (43%) engaged more in
exercises compared to men, while unhealthy practices
such as drinking alcohol and smoking cigarettes were
pronounced among men.
Figure 3.12.
Other 5% 88%
Other 80%
Responding to
4
COVID-19: the quest
for resilience
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 41
Summary:
A B C
• Households rely on less and • Households are highly satisfied • Government recovery measures
cheaper food, using savings, with the measures introduced by such as wage assistance
reduced proportion of means, to the Government such as social schemes and food packs have
adjust to decreasing purchasing distancing, wearing of mask and also been highly effective and
power, but poor households increasing hygiene. efficient. Almost all respondents
have adjusted differently by in the random survey of the poor
purchasing food on credit, households have received food
seeking assistance from relatives, packs and they were highly
friends, etc. satisfied with both the quantity
and variety.
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 42
Spent savings
Sold vegetables
0 10 20 30 40 50
4.2. Risk communication erroneous practices that increase the spread of the virus
and ultimately result in poor physical and mental health
and sources of information outcomes among individuals13. In Mauritius, rumours have
led to panic buying of groceries and stationeries, which
disrupted the supply chain. Such a situation exacerbated
demand-supply gaps and food insecurities among
individuals with low socioeconomic status and other
The nature of a pandemic such as the COVID-19 can vulnerable populations. Risk communication is therefore
trigger fear or put the population at risk if they are critical for developing effective health preparedness
not aware of the situation. Misinformation and rumours strategies and eradicating unhealthy social perceptions,
regarding COVID-19 can mask healthy behaviours (such in the event of an outbreak. An effective risk
as hand washing, social distancing etc.) and promoting communication, in general, means that all related risk
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 43
messages can be presented and shared to participants in concern is related to the high percentage of the PHS who
a risk communication process openly and timely, aiming rely on ‘word of mouth’ for information (70%). Still, 23%
to rectify the knowledge gap between the originators of households from NHS also relies on word of mouth.
of information and those receiving the information, Word of mouth was defined in the questionnaire to
and adjust the public’s behaviour to cope with the risk respondents as information, which being communicated
proactively14. In Mauritius, a Committee was set by the through relatives, friends, neighbours and colleagues.
PMO to inform the population on a timely basis, while the While the use of social media and internet sites have
Ministry of Health had a website and a dedicated line to proven effective during the lockdown15, word of mouth,
respond to queries. especially for the poor households increases the risk
of misinformation. A need is felt to develop an effective
The NHS and the PHS reveals that the main source of risk communication strategy for Mauritius on COVID-19
information during the lockdown was television (88% measures, especially during a lockdown, which could
of NHS and 79% for PHS) and radio (64% for NHS and reach all areas and segments of the population.
54% for PHS). A high percentage of the respondents Dedicating outreach to women and more specifically to
from NHS (43%) also reported social media (43%) and female headed households is deemed useful.
internet sites (21%) as main source of information. A
Figure 4.2.
Radio
Social Media
Word of mouth
(family, friends, neighbors, colleagues)
Internet sites
Newspapers
Door-to-door campaign
Posters
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Source: SEIA household survey National Households Survey Poor Household Survey
13 – Tasnim, S., Mazumder, H., Hossain, M. M. 2020. Impact of rumors 15 – Yasir, A., Hu, X., Ahmad, M., Rauf, A., Shi, J., and Nasir, S. A. Modeling
or misinformation on coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in social media. Impact of Word of Mouth and E-Government on Online Social Presence
Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health 53(3):1-5. during COVID-19 Outbreak: A Multi-Mediation Approach. International
14 – Zhang, L., Li, H., Chen, K. 2020. Effective Risk Communication for Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. Vol. 17, no. 2954,
Public Health Emergency: Reflection on the COVID-19 (2019-nCoV) pp. 1-21.
outbreak in Wuhan, China. Healthcare MDPI, vol. 8 (64); doi:10.3390/
healthcare8010064.
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 44
Almost 10% of households have members moving The main reasons advanced by respondents were the
around during the lockdown most of the time, and need for supplies, seeking medical assistance and
around 56% reported going out a few times. The high assistance to others. However, the survey reveals that
percentage still prevails for the poor households (44%). almost 17% from the NHS reported that they did not have
sufficient information while 15% believe it was not the
right measure. Almost 31% revealed that they found it too
difficult to be confined.
Figure 4.3.
Risky behaviour
Always
A few times A few times
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
3% 7% 6% 2% 4% 4%
A few times
11%
Several times
Never
27%
57% 79%
Most of the time
Always
4.4. Efficacy of
institutional arrangements
Figure 4.4.
-90 1
Pr ( Received wage assistance)
-9
Pr ( Received wage assistance)
-9
-7 -7
-5 -5
-3 -3
-1 -1
0 50 100 0 5 10
Monthly household Income Rs(000s) Household Size
1
Among respondents who hold some form of debts, 7%
Pr ( Received wage assistance)
-9
applied and received a moratorium for repayment.
The remaining either did not ask for it (63%) or were not
-7
aware of the possibility (28%). Around 2.5% of this group
did apply but their application was rejected. Comparing
-5 the NHS and PHS, it is observed that a bigger percentage
of poor households have received support (cash, food
-3 and other kinds) from friends, relatives, NGOs, religious
groups, members of political parties, among others.
-1
0 10
Self - employed and domestic workers
16 – Logit regression
Receive Wage Assistance -2.14 - 0.03 Monthly Income (0.010)*** + 0.57 (Household Size) + 0.87 (Private employment)
(0.368) (0.093)*** 0.035***
Pseudo R2=0.12, n=412; LR chi square 57.03
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 46
Figure 4.5.
Local government
National Government
MRA
INGO / NGO
UN Agency
Community organizations
Friends / relatives
Religious groups
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Figure 4.6.
Figure 4.7.
Workfare program
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
5
Impact on the
community
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 49
Summary:
A B C
• Widespread support from • There is a need to monitor the • Confinement has brought
Government and civil society situation particularly among about significant increases in
to vulnerable groups have those who face social exclusion interpersonal violence including
contributed to building resilience as precarity can be a threat to domestic violence and certain
and maintenance of social peace social stability. forms of crime such as thefts
and harmony. and burglaries.
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 50
Confinement brought about a range of disruptions participants were also critical of the exploitive prices
in social life some more radical than others and which farmers were putting on their vegetables in
which people had to learn to contend with. The some regions.
qualitative data obtained indicates that far from being
a homogeneous experience, there are important Food vendors of local comfort fast-foods (rotis and
variations in terms of how people according to social dhollpuris; Chinese noodles and dumplings) which had, in
class, occupational group, gender, age, region have the words of one participant “almost become delicacies
experienced it. An important segment of the population since confinement” were also gradually getting back in
had to juggle with reductions in income and adopt strict business albeit in clandestine manners.
austerity measures in order to make both ends meet.
Some participants from lower income backgrounds In one Focus Group Discussion, one participant
for instance mentioned that rationing, contenting highlighted that in his neighbourhood, a hairdresser living
with minimum and ensuring that food is not wasted close by would take appointments on Whatsapp and
were common during the time. In the same vein, one go to people’s places for his services. Likewise, another
participant explained that in her household, during the informant highlights other covert micro-entrepreneurial
lockdown “it was only on Sunday that they would make activities around food-making and vending through
a special meal with chicken or meat as they could not informal support networks.
afford it.” Not many low-income households could save
up based on their earnings as these barely matched the These coping strategies were in some ways supporting a
household living expenses. However, those who lived in timid but gradual recovery of sustaining livelihoods.
the rural regions could more easily draw from backyard
gardens, and poultry rearing than those from the urban Those on the social register of Mauritius who live in
regions – due to limitations of space. extreme poverty were provided with food-packs and the
role of NGOs, faith-based organisations and benefactors
Employees in some of the worst-hit sectors as well in providing further assistance has helped to mitigate
as workers operating in the informal sector who used the impacts.
to work as masons, domestic workers, etc. found it
particularly hard to cope and were among those who These perspectives contrast sharply with those from a
were eagerly awaiting a denouement in order to restart more comfortable socio-economic background who had
their activities. Coping strategies such as gardening been able to store provisions, and who did not have
and mutual assistance with close kins and neighbours immediate financial concerns due to professional and
became common. financial stability. In fact, some interviewees from this
background would allude to life in confinement ‘as the
In fact, in relation to the evolution of the number of best days of their lives’ being similar to be on leave from
cases in the community and the gradual stability which work. For this social group, the end of the lockdown was
Government measures and public cooperation were not particularly welcomed. The extensive social networks
bringing, an important coping strategy which began to of this social group enabled the mutual sourcing and
emerge particularly in the rural regions, was a renewal assistance of fresh vegetables and diary from farmers
of the spirit of solidarity. In fact, even within the stages of who could no longer supply to closed hotels and
the lockdown where the spread was under control, there restaurants at a rebated price. The experience of going
were in many places concerns that people had started shopping was not one of taking strict necessities or of
engaging back in small business activities such as counting their money at the counter to ensure they have
vegetable, eggs and fruit selling. Farmers were back in enough to pay – but rather one of abundance and which
the fields. Some participants even argued that the quality as one participant states – “the highlight of the day was
and variety of the vegetables and even local fruits like to showcase on Facebook and boast about the meal we
pineapples that they were getting were of much better learnt to make following recipes on the internet.”
quality and taste than under normal times. In fact, one However, it is also worthwhile to note that many
explanation for this is that under normal times, these entrepreneurs and family businesses who were doing
are meant for export or for hotels and restaurants. Some well for themselves had due to lack of orders found
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 53
5.2. Preservation
of social cohesion
“”
disruptions caused, particularly during the lockdown.
…at this moment in time when we were going on the field for
food packs and vegetable distribution, it was Mauritianism which
came first, hunger has no religion, we strived to help all those
who needed help… In some regions, there were mainly creoles, in
others there were Muslims or Hindus, we distributed whatever we
could without discrimination.
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 55
Solidarity and mutual assistance were argued to be Complementing the extensive support of the Government
pronounced not only in rural regions but even in urban through the distribution of food-packs to those on the
localities despite the generally more impersonal SRM, persons with severe disabilities and inmates of
relationships which prevail in the towns. There is much Residential Care Homes and Shelters, some NGOs
anecdotal evidence of how kinship or friendship-based focused more specifically on their client-base. For
networks across the island, centred around the social instance, Lovebridge focused on its beneficiaries which
media, enabled the swift supply and distribution of fresh involved some 350 families (1500 individuals including
produce and dairy products from the villages to more than 800 children) in some 65 localities across the
the towns. 9 districts of Mauritius).
One interviewee who resides in a Flat in Vieux Quatre- However, there were many other NGOs (including
Bornes, for example, explains how the entire community faith-based organisations) and social workers which
of residents used their personal networks across the worked relentlessly across the whole Island braving
island to obtain and distribute fresh vegetables and administrative challenges particularly obtaining of
commodities which were scarce to find as a result WAPs and liaison with local forces-vives and community
of panic buying. “Many of my neighbours are just leaders; practical and logistical concerns including
acquaintances, we bump into each other in the lift or sourcing of supplies and transportation; while also
in the car park, we were not very close, each one for ensuring that their volunteers and employees are
himself…But during the confinement, it was something adequately equipped to distribute food supplies and
else, we all came together… I knew someone who masks. However, there have been criticisms from some
could provide eggs or freshly baked bread, another local community leaders that some pockets of poverty
one knew where to get hydroponic products (lettuce, have received more supplies than others. Some NGOs
English cucumber, pepper), another one had contacts have in fact acknowledged that based on their locus
at the filling station for those who needed gas…So by of activities, the pockets of poverty which were more
communicating our needs and helping each other we accessible have indeed been treated more favourably
never felt like we were in short supply of anything…” than those which were geographically or road-access-
wise more remote. A more centralized dashboard with
the relevant coordination across well-intended NGOs is
acknowledged to have circumvented this problem and
allows for a more equitable voluntary distribution of
supplies to the needy.
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 56
5.3. Crime
during lockdown
Nonetheless, in spite of the attempts to support the that can be given they would take…Some of us have
community and the needy through the difficult phase of helped…but they would come back…We don’t want to
the lockdown, there were inevitably some people who encourage this…When we don’t give, they come in the
resorted to illicit and illegal coping strategies. It emerged yard and they take…We didn’t want to get into trouble…
from FGDs and across many interviews, for instance, that They have nothing to lose, we do…We called the police
in many places across the Island, vegetable plantations and they come for patrol but many of us have already
were being looted. Some interviewees from the urban lost stuff which are not necessarily valuable…”
regions of Rose-Hill and Beau-Bassin reported that
during the lockdown, there were many cases of people Similar testimonies can be found in other regions of
outside the neighbourhood loitering and neighbours had the Island. In fact, some videos of people stealing
experienced the disappearance of different items in their construction materials in houses under construction
yards from gas cylinders to bicycles and even fruit trees or renovation went viral on social media during the
and flower pots which they suspect could have been lockdown. However, while many of these cases have
resold. In the words of a participant, “…At first there were not been officially reported in the words of a participant
people we have never seen in the region…They must “given the hassle to deal with the police and the more so
be from ‘Cite B…’, and with their masks, even if they during this period”, there have been cases which have
are captured on camera, it is not easy to recognize been officially recorded as discussed below:
them…If you come out and ask what they want they
ask for help…their children do not have food, anything
Official records
Figure 5.1.
1.200
1.000
800
600
400
200
0
Mar.20 Apr.20 May.20 Jun.20
Figure 5.2.
1.600
1.400
1.200
1.000
800
600
400
200
0
Jan.18 Apr.18 Jul.18 Oct.18 Jan.19 Apr.19 Jul.19 Oct.19 Jan.20 Jun.20
Survey data
The picture emerging from the nationally representative 5.3 a), while 10% feel unsafe in their neighbourhood after
household survey indicates that 9.5% of the sample have COVID-19 (Figure 5.3b) indicating the impact of these
reported affirmatively to the question as to whether there crimes on their feeling of safety.
‘have been any crimes in your neighbourhood’ (Figure
Figure 5.3.
9,5% 10%
43%
90,5% 47%
Figure 5.4.
Although there are certainly common experiences according to pre-existing inequalities and vulnerabilities.
of confinement, it is also clear that the impacts of This section outlines some of the main ways in which the
confinement are far from homogeneous but rather following vulnerable groups have been impacted.
different social groups have been impacted differently
The Poor
While it is estimated that 10% of Mauritian households A snapshot of the impacts of COVID-19 on this segment
or roughly 33,600 households live below the relative of the population has been provided by the survey of the
poverty line (Lovebridge 2020) those living in extreme poorest of the poor. Some key highlights are
poverty in Mauritius (which is the focus of the Survey provided below:
of the Poorest of the Poor) are estimated at 1.2% of
the population. As of April 2020, this social group of
roughly 10,300 households comprising some 40,000
beneficiaries were registered on the Social Register of
Mauritius (SRM). The Social Register is a vital element of
the Marshall Plan against poverty established in 2016 to
scale up efforts to eradicate poverty.
Box 5.2. Some key highlights from the Survey of the Poorest of the Poor
Selected areas Baie du Tombeau, Benares, Centre de Flacq, Chemin Grenier, La Gaulette, Pamplemousses, Port-Louis Ward1,
Poste de Flacq, Richelieu, Terre Rouge, Triolet
Of your monthly income, how much would you say you spend on your necessities? Freq. Percent
All of it 68 97.14
Other 1 1.43
How prepared financially would you be should there be another lock-down? Freq. Percent
Have you ever had to go to bed on an empty stomach because of lack of money to buy food? Freq. Percent
Never 29 41.43
Sometimes 34 48.57
Very often 7 10
The above revealing statistics confirm that those in extended up to Dec 2020. Considering the prevailing
extreme poverty were ill-equipped to confront the effects socio-economic situation, Government has approved
of the lockdown. Although, as shown earlier, assistance the extension of the social contracts of eligible families
has been provided by Government and NGOs to mitigate up to June 2021 depending on their monthly derived or
the impacts of the lockdown on this social group, limited assessed income.
access to secure employment and in particular the
inability to save up for times of need make this group Concerns over how far education is valued among this
particularly vulnerable to shocks like confinement. social group as well as the resort to illicit and illegal
The relatively short spell of the confinement may not activities which appear to have increased further from
have fundamentally affected the progress made in survey findings reported earlier point towards the need
terms of poverty alleviation since 2016. However, the for more efforts to avoid a worsening of the situation of
challenges for the social and financial empowerment this community.
of this vulnerable group and their upliftment from the
social exclusion remain high, given the fact that this Another important concern is the sensitive issue of the
group is disproportionately female-headed with limited ethnic dimension which extreme poverty and social
opportunities for sustainable wage-employment in exclusion have historically taken which has the potential
the formal sector. It is noted that due to the outbreak to affect social cohesion of a multi-ethnic social fabric if
of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Social Contracts with not properly managed.
SRM families which were to expire in June 2020 were
Women
Across the world, it is widely acknowledged that As evidence from this study indicates, the severity of the
the pandemic has brought about differential gender impacts known to be happening elsewhere appear to
impacts with a general tendency that women are have been mitigated in Mauritius. As mentioned before,
being hit harder (See e.g. OECD 2020; UNDP 2020 ). the successful handling of the crisis and the relatively
In countries where deep-seated patriarchal beliefs and short stalling of economic activities and the recovery
practices continue to prevail, where gender continues to which Mauritius has subsequently witnessed has to a
be an important mediator in occupational segregation large extent cushioned the impacts in terms of female
or job tenure and security, with a bearing on income unemployment with the exception of some sectors which
inequalities; where domestic roles and responsibilities, have been particularly vulnerable to the lockdown such
or authority patterns and agency continue to be more as retail and tourism-related activities.
favourable to males; women and girls shoulder a
disproportionate brunt of the pandemic. Even worse, However, there are important challenges ahead as
when gender as a structure of disadvantage intersects women who have lost their jobs or who have chosen to
with other characteristics such as unemployment, put job-seeking on hold may find it increasingly hard
poverty and social exclusion, ethnic minority status, age, to get back into paid employment as they will have to
disability, among others, this exacerbates both gender compete with a larger number of unemployed men.
disparities and intra-women inequalities making the
challenge to address these inequalities even The older female workforce, particularly in blue-
more colossal. collar work, is widely known to be averse to reskilling
and are at best condemned to compete for menial
In Mauritius although the female population is higher occupations often under precarious conditions. The
than the male population – albeit slightly – and although encouragement of micro-enterprises has tended to
girls systematically outperform boys at primary, lead to a mushrooming of low-end products such as
secondary and tertiary educational levels, there is an handicrafts, pickles and foodstuffs and with the return
underrepresentation of women in the labour force, an from these activities being unlikely to sustain a decent
overrepresentation of women among the unemployed livelihood. Limited access to collaterals including finance
– in spite of being relatively more qualified – as well and assets have thus far accounted for important gender
as inequalities of pay and access to positions of power. inequalities in self-employment. Sectors of employment
Some stylised facts about women and economic which are unaffected, and which are even likely to
participation are provided in Appendix 3. expand, including in the Science Technology and
Innovation Sectors, tend to attract male graduates rather
The gendered implications of the pandemic have than female graduates. All these limitations require
been treated across this report looking mainly at the appropriate social and mindset engineering as well
differential impacts on unemployment, gender dynamics as relevant technical and financial support in order to
within the household including gender-based violence prevent a deterioration of existing gender inequalities in
and the distribution of domestic tasks and the care the labour market.
economy. A summary of the main impacts is provided in
the following explanations:
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 61
Children
Another important aspect of this study has been to children witnessing violence between their parents and
examine the experiences of children through the caregivers have increased’17.
episode of lockdown. Confinement has inevitably
affected children in many ways which remain to be The salient features of how children have gone through
thoroughly investigated as a multidisciplinary research COVID have been identified through informant interviews
exercise of its own. As summed up by the Global complemented by secondary data including official
status report on preventing violence against children, statistics and reports. The informant interviews were
‘The COVID-19 pandemic and the physical distancing done with children themselves, primary and secondary
measures imposed in response to it have greatly school teachers, police officials, officials of Resident Care
increased the risk of intra-family violence and online institutions, Government officials and social workers,
abuse. School closures have impacted more than 1.5 while the secondary data statistics and reports included
billion children and youth. Movement restrictions, loss the recently launched Ombudsperson for Children's
of income, isolation, and overcrowding have heightened Office which has a detailed section on its initiatives for
levels of stress and anxiety in parents, caregivers and ensuring that the rights of children are protected during
children, and cut families and individuals off from their the lockdown. The findings of the combined sources of
usual sources of support. Reports of child abuse and of information are as outlined below.
17 – WHO, 2020,p.v5
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 62
37
Information Service [GIS], 2020), there have been
463 cases of child abuse over the period 20 March
to 13 May 2020. The Ministry of Gender Equality and
Family Welfare in collaboration with the Mauritius
Police Force intervened in all reported cases to provide
relevant support and protection to the victims (GIS,
2020). Accordingly, 37 children required placement
into residential care institutions over this period and
Children required placement into residential
COVID-19 testing was carried out prior to their placement.
care institutions and COVID-19 testing was
While more in-depth research is required on issues such
carried out prior to their placement.
as the nature, profile, causes and consequences of
abuse against child-victims, in general, key informants
report that reported cases are generally from families
where there are a host of problems including broken
families, mal adjustment or rebellion of children against Elderly
step-parents and often exacerbated by economic
hardships which have been further compounded by the
Given the lack of quantitative data, specifically on the
impacts of the lockdown as described earlier.
socioeconomic impacts of the lockdown on the elderly,
interviews with opinion leaders and 3 FGDs with
different senior citizens associations in different towns
Children in Residential Care and villages of the island have been conducted in order
Institutions and Youth Centres to obtain an indicative picture. Among the key themes
which emerged was the overall sense of fear of catching
the disease, particularly in the early stages of the
Considerable efforts were also made by all actors, lockdown, as educational and sensitization campaigns
including the Ombudsperson for Children’s Office, emphasised that the elderly were particularly vulnerable
the Ministry of Gender Equality through the Child to COVID-19.
Development Unit, the police through the Brigade pour
la Protection des Mineurs, as well as NGOs in order While socio-economic background determined the level
to ensure that children in situations of conflict with of economic preparedness and ability to cope with the
the law or who are in Residential Care Institutions did effects of lockdown and of getting regular supplies of
not lack material, educational and emotional support necessities, there was an overall consensus that the
during the confinement period. An important challenge efforts made by Government to physically bring the
in the early days of the total lockdown was to obtain old age pensions in the community and even dispense
WAPs for RCI Managers and staff in order to ensure that seasonal flu vaccines at their doorsteps were invaluable
the children were properly attended to. Some RCIs had in limiting their exposure to risks of infection.
some problems to control older children who were not Access to care which is so important for elderly
receptive to the new lockdown arrangements and the dependents has been a major concern during the
sanitary measures. However, with the intervention of the confinement. In some cases, it is reported that
OCO through site visits, these situations were resolved. households who employ elderly-care givers to stay with
chronically ill elderly members in the household have
had to do without their services until the confinement
Children with Disabilities was lifted often not having the required skills and ability
to perform this task. Those elderly people who relied on
support from relatives or kins for access to basic supplies
An important area of concern during confinement
such as gas cylinders or food items on account of limited
pertained to a gap in terms of support for children with
mobility have been particularly helpless during the total
conditions like autism where the effects of confinement
lockdown period. Given that the nuclear family set up is
were particularly harsh. Some representations were
the norm, many elders have faced isolation from their
also made to the Ministry of Education, regarding the
close ones. As one participant argues “The worst for me
exclusion faced by hearing or sight-impaired students
was to be away from my grand-daughter… I used to go to
while most students could assist the educational
her place to drive her to school and back…talking on the
programmes essentially designed for the mainstream.
phone is not the same”.
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 63
“”
The worst for me was to be away
from my grand-daughter… I used
However, it was also highlighted that many elderly
people were unable to engage in their usual routine
which disrupted their physical and emotional balance.
For instance, some elderly women in one of the FGDs
mentioned that for years they used to meet for religious
chanting and that attending and cleaning a nearby
to go to her place to drive her to Kovil- temple was a central feature of their lives but
school and back…talking on the the inability to do so left them with a void. For senior
citizens who used to go out for footing or other physical
phone is not the same. activities, again, confinement was a major problem, some
highlighting the concern that during confinement they
struggled to control their medical conditions such as
diabetes and Hypertension.
The elderly people who were not conversant with
technology were particularly excluded from the
There was also a bleak picture for elders, men and
sense of community which social media and social
women who were confronted with chronic health issues.
networking sites provided during these difficult moments.
In addition, there have been reports of abuse from the
Furthermore, it was also a missed opportunity for the
part of their family members as a result of compatibility
elderly to engage in online shopping at their convenience
issues. There have been anecdotal reports of tension
without needing to take risks of leaving the house.
and conflicts over trivial matters as confinement over
such a lengthy period of time-tested relationships,
The FGDs also revealed that many elderly people who
particularly among elderly people and their in-laws,
have smartphones have seen an opportunity to learn
sapping morale and psychology of the elderly.
and maximise the potential and functionalities of these
Another dark side of the picture pertains to the different
devices for being in touch with what is happening. In
categories of elderly people with the oldest old being
particular, elderly people from middle class backgrounds
even more vulnerable and dependent on others for
upwards who tend to be more IT-literate or educated
care and support. More particularly, given that the
have been able to stay connected throughout the
life expectancy of women is higher than of men, there
confinement thus drawing on the benefits which ICTS
have been many elderly widows who have arguably
have – information, entertainment, communication as
been particularly isolated and dependent on others for
well as online transactions.
meeting their practical if not psychological needs.
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 64
Migrant workers
Bangladesh, India, China and Madagascar are the main However, it is also noteworthy that in an interview with
countries from which most of these workers come from. A Trade Union Leaders Reaz Chuttoo and Jane Ragoo
trend which has been noted recently has been a gradual from the CTSP (Confederation Travayere Secteur Prive)
defeminization of the expatriate workforce – women it surfaced that the treatment of foreign labour was
making only 6200 workers compared to 10,000 in 2014. uneven. Complaints received at their office, as well as
their own inquiries, indicate that in some companies
Preliminary data from one FGD with Bangladeshi workers employing Bangladeshi workers, there have been some
employed in construction reveal that during confinement, gross disrespect of these workers’ rights including giving
they spent their time in their dormitories. They received them just a percentage of their salary. According to the
their basic salaries and arrangements for their food CTSP, as compared to (francophone) Malagasy workers
supplies were made by their employers. While they who can read and understand French newspapers
could not send remittances home at the end of the month which are more commonly available locally than English
of March, they could do so towards the end of April newspapers, Bangladeshi workers are not adequately
and May. These remittances are quintessential for the literate and therefore could not interpret what their
survival of their families back home. entitlements were.
From the perspective of the participants in this FGD This has allegedly led to abuse by some unscrupulous
there were no complaints from themselves or their fellow employers. CTSP further adds that the decline in orders
workers in their respective companies. However, they in some factories which employ Bangladeshis and the
argue that they are aware of other companies where limited revenue in terms of overtime which Bangladeshi
due to lack of business, their employers have delayed workers rely on to make both ends meet, explain the need
in giving them their wages. One participant also stated for them to also seek extra work in bakeries, shops or in
that Bangladeshi workers have been told to be cautious domestic work after office hours in the aftermath of the
of taking food items from volunteers during confinement confinement period.
because this has in some occasions been used against
the employers as argument that they were not treating
their employees correctly.
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 66
6
Conclusions
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 67
Mauritius has performed impressively in managing agricultural practices such as community and
the spread and impacts of the pandemic. By rapidly backyard gardening could improve food self-
containing the virus through closing our border and sufficiency especially for the poorest.
implementing a lockdown response, it has prevented
widespread infection, and an overburdened health 4. Promoting the social economy is also vital: While
system. Strong and immediate government relief there are several NGOs, philanthropic organisations
measures have cushioned the economy and enabled and volunteers that provided support and extended
a swift return to normalcy. Overall, the strategy of the outreach work of social services to the most
putting people first through a prompt and multi-pronged needy, there are clear avenues for the development
approach together with the cooperation of the civil of social enterprises, with the twin objectives of
society has also ensured social cohesion. Further, the wealth creation and sustainable development, with
confinement heavily impacted individuals who lost jobs a focus to generate opportunities to SMEs, women,
and business, although the impacts would have been and youth in the supply chain. It is observed that
worse without Government recovery support which has a COVID-19 Solidarity Fund has been set up with
been acknowledged by this report for its effectiveness. objective to assist those affected by the pandemic
and financial support are provided to programmes,
As the country advances its efforts to manage the projects and schemes related to COVID-19 including
impacts of the pandemic, this report recommends social entrepreneurship and associated public
additional reflections in the following areas: health issues.
1. A national contingency or crisis response plan 5. Gender Responsiveness: The response should be
could be formulated in a participatory and gender-responsive while addressing the protection
inclusive manner, with emphasis on the poor of workers, reinforcing social protection measures
and most vulnerable groups, and building on towards the poor and vulnerable, addressing
the experience of the recent pandemic. Better deepening social inequalities and social exclusion.
outreach strategies for the poor in case of another
emergency or crisis, improving access to the 6. To protect households in extreme poverty, it
most needy aid coordination including work and is important to develop a real-time monitoring
movement permits for aid delivery agencies, system that ensures the inclusion of vulnerable
setting up a food bank, facilitating access to people in planning and response. Building
online education for the poorest households and better data is important for better policy advice.
building capacity for women to support their kids’ Multidimensional poverty and poverty mapping
learning, in line with online medical consultations are critical to assist in proper intervention policies
and e-prescriptions are some of the contingency in social protection. Additionally, regular food
planning elements revealed by the study. insecurity evaluations and mapping of real-time
vulnerability are important to monitor changes and
2. The continued efforts to dynamize existing target the most vulnerable households. In the last
economic sectors, especially manufacturing Government budget speech, it was announced
and services, remain crucial. The use of ICT that a National Database for Vulnerable Groups
and digital technologies across sectors is the will be set-up to cover both absolute and relative
momentum to bring new competitive edge to poverty cases. This will help in enhancing policy
the economy. Businesses, especially, SMEs and effectiveness in the fight against poverty.
women entrepreneurs, among others, would require
acceleration in digital transformation. The need to In conclusion, it is important to note that this study
encourage and harness Science Technology and has provided a snapshot over a limited reference
Innovation in areas such as telemedicine, online period. Given the dynamic and evolving nature of this
education, online shopping and innovative delivery phenomenon, more particularly the prevailing second
systems should be further developed. waves in Mauritius’ foreign markets, there is a need for a
close monitoring of the situation and the repercussions
3. The Government should continue with efforts in on the local economy. It is also imperative to frequently
the development of sustainable value chain and monitor the welfare dynamics imposed by the pandemic
smart agriculture models which will eventually to safeguard the population against possible exclusions.
lead to a sustainable and green industry. In this
respect a well-structured training and awareness
programme may be envisaged with time-bound
targets that could involve all strata of society.
While grass root initiatives are important, innovative
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 68
Macroeconomic indicators
Source: 1Digest of National Accounts (Statistics Mauritius, various issues), 2World Bank Indicators (World Bank)
Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply 1.7 1.7 1.6
Water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation activities 0.4 0.4 0.4
Wholesale & retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles 12.2 12.4 12.5
Public administration and defence; compulsory social security 6.3 6.2 6.2
Each industry ( j=1...n) which uses xi as input is assumed to employ a production technology such that the quantity
consumed, xij , is proportional to that industry ‘s output17, x j , with a technological coefficient axj . This can be written
as:
n
Xi= Σaij xj+ Yi (4)
j=1
Equation 4 is an economy-wide production system involving n number of industries. When there is a rise in demand
for a product in a industry, output in that industry will rise. This is called the ‘direct effect’. It also leads to a rise in
demand in inputs used in its production; this in turn, leads to an increase in demand for output in other industries
which will generate successive round rises in demand for other products and employment, creating a multiplier effect
of input and output requirements. This is referred to as the ‘indirect effect’. Equation 4 can be used to estimate the
output and employment multiplier effect. Using matrix terminology, equation (4) can be written as:
x=Ax+y (5)
a11 a12 ... a1n x1 y1
a21 a22 ... a2n x2 y2
if A is the technological matrix such as x= and y=
... . .
an1 an2 ... ann xn yn
x=(1-A)-1y (6)
The elements of (1-A)-1 provides the direct and indirect effects on output from a unit change in sectoral final demand
in a particular sector. Based on equation (8), the output impact analysis can be calculated:
∆ x=(1-A)-1 ∆ y (7)
The direct and indirect change in employment potential due to a unit change in a sectoral final demand would be L is
vector of employment coefficients. Given by:
∆ e=L(1-A)-1 ∆ y (8)
18 – This type of production technology assumes ‘constant returns to scale’ Source: The materials are based on Miller, R., Blair, P. (2009)
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 71
Port Louis
1% Full time
(permanent contract)
38%
Student / child
6%
3% Unemployed
Retired
13%
Part time jobs
Self employed
13% 26%
Family workers
The Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of COVID-19 in Mauritius 72
Annex 4 : Bibliography
[1] http://budget.mof.govmu.org/budget2020-21/2020_21budgetspeechEng.pdf
[4] World Bank 2020. Poverty, Equity & Equity and Macroeconomics, Trade & Investment Global Practices. Current
Account Balance (% of GDP) -17.1% for 2020, -8.8% for 2021, -6.2% for 2022.
[5] IMF 2020. Work Economic Outlook, A long and difficult Ascent. October International Monetary Fund,
Washington DC.https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2020/09/30/world-economic-outlook-october-
2020#Statistical%20Appendix
The forecast for current account balance is -12.7 for 2020, -10.7% for 2021 and -4.9 for 2025.
[6] World Bank Statistics Mauritius 2020. Monitoring the Socio-Economic Effects of COVID-19 on Mauritian
Households, Based on the 1st Round of the Rapid Continuous Multi-Purpose Household Survey (RCMPHS – May
2020).
[7] The Household Budget Survey (2017) shows that food and beverages, housing, water, electricity, gas and fuels,
and health-related expenditure amounts to 52% of household consumption expenditure on a monthly basis. Using
this allocation, the assessment assumes that the Wage Assistance Scheme and the Self-Employed Assistance
Scheme are mainly spent on these items with the following percentages: 71.1% on food and beverages, 21.5%
on housing, electricity, water, gas and fuels and 7.4% on health-related items. Food and beverages are further
allocated to farming, processed foods, and wholesale and retail trade.
[9] Figures are deflated using Consumer Price Index using December 2019 as the base.
[12] IMF World Economic Outlook June 2020, and the World Bank
[14] This corresponds to SITC section 6 Manufacturing goods classified by materials and section 8 Miscellaneous
manufacturing articles
[19]https://statsmauritius.govmu.org/Documents/Statistics/ESI/2020/EI1553/RCMPHS_May-July%2020.pdf
[20] Ibid.
[22] Australian Government Looking after your mental health during coronavirus (COVID-19) restrictions. https://www.
health.gov.au/news/health-alerts/novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-health-alert/ongoing-support-during-coronavirus-
COVID-19/looking-after-your-mental-health-during-coronavirus-COVID-19-restrictions.
[23] Ahmed et al. 2020. Impacts of the societal response to COVID-19 on access to healthcare for non-COVID-19
health issues in slum communities of Bangladesh, Kenya, Nigeria and Pakistan: results of pre COVID and COVID-19
lockdown stakeholder engagements. BMJ Global Health, vol. 5, no. 8, pp.1-17.
[24] WHO COVID-19 significantly impacts health services for noncommunicable diseases https://www.who.int/news/
item/01-06-2020-COVID-19-significantly-impacts-health-services-for-noncommunicable-diseases.
[25] The Chi2 statistics is 0.29 with prob. of 0.59; being statistically not significant, the null hypothesis (no relationship)
is not rejected.
[26] The Chi2 statistics is 12.9 with prob. of 0.00; being statistically significant, the null hypothesis (no relationship) is
rejected.
[27] Tasnim, S., Mazumder, H., Hossain, M. M. 2020. Impact of rumors or misinformation on coronavirus disease
(COVID-19) in social media. Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health 53(3):1-5.
[28] Zhang, L., Li, H., Chen, K. 2020. Effective Risk Communication for Public Health Emergency: Reflection on the
COVID-19 (2019-nCoV) outbreak in Wuhan, China. Healthcare MDPI, vol. 8 (64); doi:10.3390/healthcare8010064.
[29] Yasir, A., Hu, X., Ahmad, M., Rauf, A., Shi, J., and Nasir, S. A. Modeling Impact of Word of Mouth and E-Government
on Online Social Presence during COVID-19 Outbreak: A Multi-Mediation Approach. International Journal of
Environmental Research and Public Health. Vol. 17, no. 2954, pp. 1-21.
Receive Wage -2.14 - 0.03 Monthly Income + 0.57 (Household Size) + 0.87 (Private
Assistance (0.368) (0.010)*** (0.093)*** employment)
0.035***
[32] http://budget.mof.govmu.org/budget2020-21/2020_21budgetspeechEng.pdf