Factors Contributing To Project Schedule Delay in Rwanda Case of Horizon Construction LTD
Factors Contributing To Project Schedule Delay in Rwanda Case of Horizon Construction LTD
ABSTRACT
         Delays in the construction industry are a universal phenomenon and the construction
         industry in Rwanda has no exception. This research discusses the factors contributing to
         project schedule delay in Rwanda, the case of Horizon Construction Ltd, through the
         identification of gaps between theory and practice associated with delays in the completion
         of construction projects. This research aimed at examining the role of contractor, contract,
         project owner, and consultant factors in contributing to project schedule delay in Rwanda.
         This research's objectives were achieved by viewing many of the research and references
         for previous studies, which included study delay factors in many countries, and through set
         up of questionnaires to some project parties to identify the causes of the project delay. The
         population was made of contractors, consultants, and contracting firms involved in the
         projects were obtained from Horizon Construction Ltd. They were selected by random
         sampling and convenience sampling techniques. The primary data was obtained using
         questionnaires while the secondary data was gathered from the literature and review of
         project documents like Project handover reports and Project closure reports. Quantitative
         data were analyzed using computer software Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS)
         version 23.0 to enable mathematical computations. From the regression analysis, the most
         predator the research was contractor factor which indicated that its change contributed to
         the delay of the project at 81.6%, and the project owners’ factors contributes 71.9% to
         delay the project. The consultants contribute at 67.2% and the contract also contributes at
         56.2% to the delay of the project. The study recommends to the Project owner to have a
         thorough study on the adequate budget in line with the requirements and have a clear
         concept of what is needed on the project to avoid many changes along with the
         implementations which lead to change in scope and affects time and cost hence leading the
         project to delay. (Following the principle of triple constraints). Also recommends the
         project contractor to pay attention while contracting the projects through applying all
         project inputs, tools, techniques, and outputs (ITTOs) in all phases of the project (Initiation,
         Planning, Execution, Monitoring and Evaluation and close up). The study revealed that the
         delay contributed by a contractor was caused by inadequate planning, monitoring, and
         evaluation whereby the detected defects and errors along the project would have been
         identified before the kickoff of the project. And this leads to a stack of the schedule to first
         address the issue hence leading to the delay of the project.
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Introduction
         Project delays are considered as time lag in completion of activities from its specified time
         as per contract or can be defined as late completion or late start of activities to the baseline
         schedule, directly affecting specified cost (Pmalliance, 2018). Construction delay is a
         global phenomenon faced by many construction industries for this reason the magnitude of
         risk and unpredictability is very high in the building industries compared to other industries
         (Gardezi et al., 2018).
         According to (Abedi et al., 2017), eight hundred and forty-five of Kick starter top projects
         in the USA missed their targeted delivery dates. Jonathan and Arditi (2018), studied 50
         most funded projects around the USA and found that out of the studied projects; only 8 out
         of the 50 met their set deadlines. Successful execution of projects and keeping them on
         time and within budget depends on effective planning and scheduling right from the
         beginning.
         Chan & Kumaraswamy (2018), studied projects delays in Hong Kong. They observed that
         for projects to be deemed as having been successfully delivered, they should be on time,
         within budget, and expected quality, otherwise lack of any of these is deemed a project
         delay. An investigation by Odeyinka &Yusif (2010) shows that seven out of ten projects
         surveyed suffered delays. There are many factors that contributed to the causes of delays
         in construction projects. These range from factors inherent in the technology and its
         management, to those resulting from the physical, social, and financial environment.
         Delays can give rise to disruption of work and loss of productivity, late completion of the
         project, increased time-related costs and third-party claims and abandonment, or
         termination of the contract. Delays are costly and often result in disputes and claims.
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         The Auditor-General’s report for 2015/16. “Delayed and abandoned projects always come
         with a cost as it involves continuing to pay the entrepreneur and incurring extra payments
         caused by the rise in prices,” Kalihangabo said. Between 2013/14 and 2015/16 financial
         years, 98 contracts, worth Rwf 95.67 billion, were either abandoned or significantly
         delayed, according to the AG’s report. Some 24 of those contracts, worth Rwf13.39 billion,
         were abandoned and contractors disappeared after receiving payments of Rwf5.62 billion.
         The abandoned contracts were in the areas of infrastructure, including water, energy and
         roads, health, and agriculture. According to the 2012/2013 Rwanda national budget, 46%
         of construction projects were donor-funded, and worse again where the effort to increase
         taxpayers’ contribution to the budget has resulted in reducing the aid from 85% in 2000.
         Absent or inadequate risk assessment and management are, in themselves, an important
         source of risk for projects. Because, until now, no reliable measure has been available for
         estimating risk in urban construction projects, effective risk assessment, and management
         have been impossible, (Auditor general report, 2016). Kalihangabo said delayed work
         contracts have been rising from nine in 2014 to 16 in 2015 and soared to 73 in 2016, which
         she said is a problem as there are wasted funds, (Emmanuel Ntirenganya, 2017).
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H03: Project owner factors has no significant effect on Projects delay in construction
         Literature review
          Conceptual literature
         Conceptual literature are general or abstract ideas that express the factors contributing to
         project schedule delay phenomena to be studied. They are the subjects of inquiry and
         analysis that are of interest to users.
         The process of construction can be divided into three distinct and significant phases; the
         project conception phase, project design phase and the project construction phase.
         As stated by Chan & Kumaraswamy in 2017 a vast majority of project delay occur during
         the construction phase where many unforeseen circumstances and factors occur.
         Completing a construction projects within the estimated time and cost is an indicator of
         efficiency, but the process of construction is subjected to many unpredictable and
         changing factors which comes from different sources. These sources include
         performance of parties, resource availability, environmental conditions, and involvement
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         of other parties and contractual relations, thus the completion of the project within the
         estimated time is rare (Asaf, 2016).
         In Rwanda, between 2013/14 and 2015/16 financial years, 98 contracts, worth Rwf 95.67
         billion, were either abandoned or significantly delayed, according to the OAG’s report.
         Some 24 of those contracts, worth Rwf13.39 billion, were abandoned and contractors
         disappeared after receiving payments of Rwf5.62 billion. The abandoned contracts were in
         the areas of infrastructure, including water, energy and roads, health, and agriculture.
         Kalihangabo said delayed work contracts have been rising from nine in 2014 to 16 in 2015
         and soared to 73 in 2016, which she said is a problem as there are wasted funds, (Auditor
         General Report, 2016).
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         delays because the subsequent effect is the contractor inability to pay subcontractors and
         suppliers on time (Alinaitwe et al., 2013; Amoatey et al., 2015; Shehu et al., 2014). Most
         of the financial difficulties that contractors face in the construction business in Qatar are
         the result of a late payment made by the client because of the lengthy process while
         releasing the claimed fund (Jarkas & Younes, 2014).
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
         error,
         Remember that for this case N= 113 members, taking the confidence level of 95% that is
                                                                                 𝑵           𝟏𝟏𝟑
         with a permissible error of 5%, e=0.05. Therefore,𝒏 = 𝟏+𝑵(𝒆)𝟐 ,             𝒏 = 𝟏+𝟏𝟏𝟑(𝟎.𝟎𝟓)𝟐 =
               𝟏𝟏𝟑           𝟏𝟏𝟑         𝟏𝟏𝟑
                      =        =
         𝟏+𝟏𝟏𝟑(𝟎.𝟎𝟎𝟐𝟓) 𝟏+𝟎.𝟐𝟓𝟐𝟖 𝟏.𝟐𝟓𝟐𝟖
                                      = 88 respondents.
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         Reliability
         The Researcher achieved reliability by employing the test-retest reliability as a type of
         answers the question, to determine whether the scores would be stable over time.”
         Sometime later, the same test was re-administered to the same or highly similar group. The
         test was subject in three weeks later with a reliability coefficient of r = 0.70, giving
         evidence of consistency. This was developed by Lee Cronbach in 1951 for the uniformity
         of a test or scale, and normally expressed as a number between 0 and 1.
                                                           𝑁. 𝐶
                                               ∞=
                                                      𝑉 + (𝑁 − 1). 𝐶
         Where N is equal to the number of items, C is the average inter-item covariance among the
         items and V equals the average variance.
         Validity
         Evaluating the validity of a qualitative study by us of Content Valid Index (CVI) Content
         validity was also sought, is a scale developed by computing or ranking the relevant items
         in the instrument or questionnaire by checking their clarity, their meaningfulness in line
         with all objectives stated dividing by the total number of items (Neville, 2007). Content
         Validity is the degree to which an instrument has an appropriate sample of items for the
         construct being measured and is an important procedure in scale development. CVI is the
         most widely used index in the quantitative evaluation. According to Amin (2005), the CVI
         of above 0.6 is an appropriate validity.
         The content validity index of the questionnaire was 0.89 which is greater than 0.60 thus,
         the questionnaire was valid to provide information needed by the researcher.
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         Regression Analysis
         The model used in the study took the form below:
         Y= α+β1X1+ β2X2+ β3X3 +ę
         Where: Y= Project schedule delay.
         α= Constant Term
         β= Beta Coefficient –This measures how many standard deviations a dependent variable
         will change, per standard deviation increase in the independent variable.
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Correlation analysis
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         Results in Table 4.10 revealed that there was a positive and significant relationship
         between Contractor factors and projects delay (rho=0.663, p value<0.05). This implies
         that a unit change in the contractor factors in construction projects increases projects
         delay by 66.3%. Secondly, there was a positive significant relationship between
         consultant factors and projects delay (rho =0.358, p value <0.05). This implies that a unit
         change in consultant factors in construction projects increases projects delay by 35.8%.
         Thirdly, there was a positive and significant relationship between project owner factors and
         projects delay (rho =0.562, p value <0.05). This implies that a unit change in project owner
         factors in construction projects increases projects delay by 56.2%.
         Lastly, there was a positive and significant relationship between contract factors and
         projects delay (rho =0.342, p value <0.05). This implies that a unit increases in contract
         factors in construction projects increases projects delay by 34.2%.
         Regression analysis
         In regression the researcher analyzed the model summary, variances and coefficients of
         variables.
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         combined effect of the predictor variables or 82.4% of the variance in Projects delay is
         explained uniquely or jointly by the predictor variables).
         Table: ANOVA
Table: Coefficients
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         Table 4.13, revealed that holding contractors’ factors, Consultant factors, Project owner
         factors, contract factors to a constant zero, Projects delay would be 0.562. Indeed, this
         constant called y-intercept is not realistic but it is a needed parameter in the model.
         Also, a unit change in contractors factors, would lead to increase in projects delay by a
         factor of 0.816 which is the most predator of the research, a unit change in consultant
         factors, lead to increase in projects delay by a factor of 0.672 and a unit change in project
         owner factors would lead to increase in projects delay by a factor of 0.719 and a unit change
         in contract factors, lead to increase in projects delay by a factor of 0.572.The study also
         found that all the p-values were less than 0.05, this indicates that all the variables were
         statistically significant in influencing the projects delay.
         From the table 4.13, it clear that the most predator is contactor factors which is 0.816. This
         indicate how contactor skills in analyzing the project before kickoff contribute the
         completion of project on time. Contrary; if the contractor is unable to make a deep analysis
         of project, it will contribute to the delay of that project due to different problems raised
         during the execution of project.
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         Secondly, there was a positive significant relationship between consultant factors and
         projects delay (rho =0.358, p value <0.05). This implies that a unit change in consultant
         factors in construction projects increases projects delay by 35.8%.
         Summary on objectives three of the study: Summary of Contribution of project
         owner factors on the project schedule delay of Horizon Company Ltd.
         Thirdly, there was a positive and significant relationship between project owner factors and
         projects delay (rho =0.562, p value <0.05). This implies that a unit change in project owner
         factors in construction projects increases projects delay by 56.2%.
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         Lastly, there was a positive and significant relationship between contract factors and
         projects delay (rho =0.342, p value <0.05). This implies that a unit increases in contract
         factors in construction projects increases projects delay by 34.2%.
         Conclusion
         From the regression analysis, the most predator the research was contractor factors which
         indicated that changes in contractor factors contribute to the delay of project at 81.6%, it is
         followed by project owners’ factors which indicated that changes in project owners’ factors
         delay the project at 71.9%. Other factors like consultants contribute at 67.2% and the
         contract also contributes at 56.2%. According to the analyzed results, the Project owner
         factor contributes higher to project schedule delay seconded by the Project contractor
         factor.
         The study recommends to the Project owner to have a thorough study on the adequate
         budget in line with the requirements and have a clear concept of what is needed on the
         project to avoid many changes along with the implementations which lead to change in
         time and affects the cost hence leading the project to delay. (Following the principle of
         triple constraints scope, cost, and time).
         The study revealed that delay contributed by a contractor was caused by inadequate
         planning, monitoring, and evaluation whereby the detected defects and errors along the
         project would have been identified before the kickoff of the project. And this leads to a
         stack of the schedule to first address the issue hence leading to the delay of the project.
         From the results of the research the researcher concludes that there are different factors that
         contribute to the delay of construction projects which are contractor factors, consultant
         factor, project owner factors and contract factors.
         Recommendations
         As a researcher, I recognize the evolution in ideas based on technology industry and some
         scientists’ discoveries still going on in improving construction facilities around the world.
         The study considered only basic factors that hinder construction and feasibility in running
         projects schedule. With this in mind, we regret not having worked on every possible factor
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         that might come in line with construction activities in Rwanda and we encourage future
         studies to work on different factors rather than this study was able to.
         a.        The study revealed that project owners contribute to project schedule due to a lot
         of changes in the scope of project works and delays to pay contractors. Going forward I
         recommend project owners and contractors to set clear project work plans especially with
         scope, schedule, and cost.
         b.        Setup a strong and independent Change Control Board (CCB) that helps review and
         restrict changes from project owners. This will help regulate changes.
         c.        Engage project owners in all project phases, initiation, planning, implementation,
         monitoring and control and closure, this total involvement will help to attain continuous
         feedback hence reducing schedule delays in project.
         d.        The research recommends the contractors of the projects to always ensure validate
         scope before project implementation starts while ensuring proper monitoring and
         evaluation to reduce late defects detections which always results in lagging in project
         schedule.
         e.        Manage project schedule using crashing activities and schedule compression to
         enable catching up with planned projected schedule hence minimizing project schedule
         delays.
         f.        Ensure proper schedule management including but not limited to proper define
         activities, sequence activities and create work break down structure.
         g.        Involvement of subject matter experts that will guide the contractors on how well
         to manage project schedules.
         h.        Researcher recommends to the project contractor to pay attention while contacting
         the projects through applying all project inputs, tools, techniques, and outputs (ITTOs) in
         all phases of the project (Initiation, Planning, Execution, Monitoring and Evaluation and
         close).
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