Koo 2005
Koo 2005
Abstract
Many studies suggest that firms’ investments depend on the availability of internal funds. Firms
face financial constraints because external funds are more costly than internal funds in an imperfect
capital market. Financial liberalization plays the role of relaxing financial constraints on firms and
thereby reduces the sensitivity of investments to cash flow. This paper empirically examines whether
financial liberalization affects firms’ investment behavior. Using panel data on Korean firms, we find
that cash flow effects on investment decrease as financial markets are liberalized. In particular, small
and non-chaebol firms are found to gain most from liberalization. This implies that large and chaebol
firms are tending to lose their relative advantage in access to credit as liberalization proceeds.
# 2005 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
Most developing countries have initiated financial liberalization process in the past
decades. Financial liberalization has been implemented in both domestic and international
* Corresponding author. Tel.: +82 62 530 1551; fax: +82 62 530 1559.
E-mail addresses: [email protected] (J. Koo), [email protected] (K. Maeng).
1
Tel.: +82 16 609 5624; fax: +82 62 530 1559.
1049-0078/$ – see front matter # 2005 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.asieco.2005.02.003
282 J. Koo, K. Maeng / Journal of Asian Economics 16 (2005) 281–297
scopes. The former includes deregulation of interest rates and a reduction of directed credit
while the latter involves the opening of equity and bond markets.
The effects of liberalization in financial markets on economic growth have received
considerable attention in the literature. McKinnon (1973) and Shaw (1973) propose that
liberalization can promote economic growth. More recently, financial endogenous growth
models emphasize the role of financial development for growth. Among others, Bekaert,
Harvey, and Lundblad (2001) empirically show that equity market opening leads to an
increase in economic growth.
Despite a lot of empirical evidence on the association between financial liberalization
and economic growth, there is scant literature that clarifies the channel of liberalization
effect. In this paper, we focus on the relaxation of financial constraints that firms face as
a potential benefit of liberalization. External funding is more costly than internal
financing because of financial frictions arising from asymmetric information, managerial
agency problems, and transaction costs. Under such constraints to outside financing,
firms’ investments are affected by the availability of internal funds. Financial
liberalization, however, plays the role of relaxing financial constraints. Using various
developing-country data, Laeven (2003) found some evidence that financial liberal-
ization affected favorably the investment behavior of firms. Koo and Shin (2004)
recently argued that liberalization in Korean financial markets succeeded in reducing
financial constraints especially for small and non-chaebol firms that were severely
constrained before liberalization.
Most existing literature splits the sample into pre- and post-liberalization periods
according to an exogenous criterion and examines whether the degree of financial
constraints differs between the two periods. Financial liberalization has, however,
proceeded gradually and in multi-faceted ways. Furthermore, the pace of liberalization
sometimes reversed after a serious shock to economy. Immediately after severe
financial crisis hit the economy in the end of 1997, the Korean government started to
regulate financial markets again. To capture such a nature of financial liberalization,
we attempt to construct a continuous index by adopting a principal component
method.
The dataset consists of 371 listed firms during 1981–2002. We estimate the cash-flow
sensitivity of investment by applying the generalized methods of moments (GMM). The
main findings in this paper are: firstly, financial liberalization significantly reduces the
financial constraints confronted by firms. Secondly, the effect of financial liberalization on
financial constraints is stronger for small and non-chaebol firms than large and chaebol
firms. This suggests that various liberalization policies implemented in financial markets
helped firms to get wider access to external finance.
The rest of the paper is organized as following. Section 2 reviews the main literature on
firms’ investment under financial constraints. We also summarize some existing empirical
studies that investigate the effects of financial liberalization on investments. In Section 3,
we derive investment models in an imperfect financial market and discuss estimation
methods. We attempt to construct a financial liberalization index in Section 4. This
section also contains a description of the data and definitions of relevant variables.
Section 5 presents estimation results and an interpretation. The last section contains a
brief conclusion.
J. Koo, K. Maeng / Journal of Asian Economics 16 (2005) 281–297 283
2. Literature review
According to Modigliani and Miller (1958), a firm’s investment depends only on the
profitability of its investment opportunities. A growing body of literature, however, has
found that the firms’ investment depends on the availability of internal funds. Many
researchers attribute the effects of financial condition on investment to imperfections in
financial markets that Modigliani and Miller’s model ignores.
Two streams of literature investigate why investment is sensitive to internal funds in
imperfect financial markets.1 The first focuses on a non-negligible premium for external
finance that firms should pay. Myers and Majluf (1984) and Stiglitz and Weiss (1981)
demonstrate that the cost of external funds is higher than that of internal funds because of
the asymmetry of information between borrowers and lenders.2 Firms face a constraint in
financial markets because of a wedge between costs of internal and external funds. Under
such a financial constraint, firms tend to rely on internal funds to finance investment. The
second stream of literature attributes the importance of internal funds for investment to
managerial agency problems. As noted by Jensen and Meckling (1976), managers who are
not owners may pursue their own interests, not the stockholders’ interest. Jensen (1986)
argues that managerial discretion is likely to cause managers to spend all available funds on
investment projects.
A large body of literature has empirically examined whether imperfections in financial
markets influence firms’ investments.3 Most studies interpret the cash-flow effect on
investment as resulting from financial constraints.4 Fazzari, Hubbard, and Petersen (1988)
initially show that, utilizing the dividend–payout ratio as a measure of the financial
constraints faced by firms, investments of more financially constrained firms are more
sensitive to changes in cash flow. Since then, it has become a basic research methodology to
examine the difference in sensitivities of investment to cash flow between a priori
segmented firms. The existing empirical studies have used various segmenting variables to
identify unobservable degree of financial constraints, for example: group affiliation in
Hoshi, Kashyap, and Scharfstein (1991); firm size and age in Devereux and Schiantarelli
(1990); issuing commercial paper and bond ratings in Whited (1992); exchange listing in
Oliner and Rudebusch (1992); ownership structure in Schaller (1993); and country
characteristics in Bond, Elston, Mairesse, and Lundblad (2003).
Besides cross-sectional categorization, some researchers attempt to examine what
brings about temporal changes in the cash-flow sensitivity of investment, for example:
1
Stein (2001) reviews the main theoretical literature concerning both models of costly external finance and the
agency conflict model.
2
Some researchers pay attention on the extra transaction costs for issuing equity or bonds to explain why
external finance is more costly.
3
Schiantarelli (1996) and Hubbard (1998) provide extensive surveys of empirical literature, mainly about
financial constraints model. As Stein (2001) claims, there have been very few attempts to empirically distinguish
between the two classes of theories.
4
There is an ongoing debate between Kaplan and Zinglaes (1997) and Fazzari, Hubbard, and Petersen (2000)
about the interpretation of the cash flow sensitivities of investment.
284 J. Koo, K. Maeng / Journal of Asian Economics 16 (2005) 281–297
Many studies argue that financial liberalization causes the variations over time in the
responsiveness of investment to internal fund. Financial liberalization influence
asymmetric information and agency conflicts between managers and stockholders. In
particular, various liberalization policies play the role of reducing asymmetric information
problems in financial markets by improving banks’ screening ability. Also, managerial
agency problems are attenuated because financial institutions tend to monitor managers’
behavior more intensively.5 Developments in security markets and financial market
opening also result in a reduction of the cost of external financing. We thus expect that
financial liberalization reduces the wedge between the costs of external and internal funds
and thereby decreases the cash-flow effect on investment of financially constrained firms.
There are, however, mixed empirical evidence for the effect of financial liberalization
on firms’ investment. Examining panel data of a large number of firms in 13 developing
countries, Laeven (2003) concludes that financial liberalization relaxes financing
constraints on firms, especially small ones. Several studies report that financial reform
caused a reduction in financial constraints using an individual country data, for instance:
Harris, Schiantarelli, and Siregar (1994) for Indonesia; Gelos and Werner (2002) for
Mexico; Guncavdi, Bleaney, and McKay (1998) for Turkey; and Koo and Shin (2004) for
Korea. Forbes (2003) recently shows that the Chilean capital controls increased financial
constraints for small firms. Jaramillo, Schiantarelli, and Weiss (1996), however, fail to
provide evidence that financial reform in Equador served to ease financial constraints on
small firms. Using Chilean data, Hermes and Lensink (1998) also report that reforms did
not improve access of small and young firms to outside finance. In light of mixed empirical
findings, we need to further investigate the effect of financial liberalization on firms’
investment.
5
Rajan and Zingales (1998) claim that foreign investors have tendency to demand better corporate governance
to protect their investments.
J. Koo, K. Maeng / Journal of Asian Economics 16 (2005) 281–297 285
The investment model in this paper is closely related to Harrison et al. (2002), Love
(2003) and Forbes (2003). We will adopt both the Q-model and Euler model.
This specification assumes linear homogeneity in capital and investment and allows for
the persistence in investment ratio.
We assume rational expectations, so that the expectation operator is replaced with
realized values plus an expectational error. Substituting (3) and marginal adjustment cost
function derived from (4) into Eq. (2), we obtain the final equation as follows:
‘ I I
¼ c þ b1 þb Qit þ fi þ dt þ eit ; (5)
K it K it1 2
where f i is the firm-specific effect; dt is the time-specific effect; and eit is white noise.
According to this standard Q-model, a firm’s financial status does not affect investment. As
Modigliani and Miller (1958) state, only Q is a determinant of investment.
286 J. Koo, K. Maeng / Journal of Asian Economics 16 (2005) 281–297
We include a term measuring firms’ financial condition to Eq. (5) in order to test
whether financial constraints affect investment.
I I CF
¼ c þ b1 þb2 Qit þ b3 þ fi þ dt þ eit ; (6)
K it K it1 K it
where CF is the cash flow that captures firm’s internal financial position. Thus, a test for the
existence of financing constraints amounts to a test for the null hypothesis that b3 = 0 in
Eq. (6). If financial theory of investment is valid, we expect b3 is significantly positive.
To test whether financial liberalization reduces financial constraints, we add an
interaction term between cash flow and a measure of financial liberalization.
I I CF CF
¼ c þ b1 þb Qit þ b3 þb FLIt þ fi þ dt þ eit ;
K it K it1 2 K it 4 K it
(7)
where FLI is a financial liberalization index. If b3 > 0 and b4 < 0, it implies that, as the
degree of financial liberalization increases, the cash-flow sensitivity of investment
decreases. This implies that financial liberalization mitigates financial constraints on firms.
Next, we test whether the effect of financial liberalization on the cash-flow sensitivity
depends on the size of firms by estimating the following equation:
I I CF CF
¼ c þ b1 þb2 Qit þ b3 þb4 SMALLi FLIt
K it K it1 K it K it
CF
þ b5 LARGEi FLIt þ fi þ dt þ eit ; (8)
K it
where SMALL is a dummy variable whose value is one for small firms and zero for large
firms. Similarly, the value of LARGE is one for large firms and zero for small firms. We
expect that b3 > 0, b4 < 0 and b5 < 0. Comparing the absolute value of b4 and b5, we can
examine whether the effect of financial liberalization of the financial constraint is stronger
for small firms than large firms.
Similarly, we will estimate the following equation to investigate whether the affiliation
with business groups affects the effect of financial liberalization on the cash-flow
sensitivity of investment:
I I CF CF
¼ c þ b1 þb2 Qit þ b3 þb4 INDEPi FLIt
K it K it1 K it K it
CF
þ b5 GROUPi FLIt þ fi þ dt þ eit ; (9)
K it
where INDEP is a dummy variable for independent firms; and GROUP is a dummy
variable for chaebol firms. Comparing the absolute values of b4 and b5, we can examine
whether financial liberalization has stronger influence on the cash-flow sensitivity of
investment for non-chaebol firms than chaebol firms.
J. Koo, K. Maeng / Journal of Asian Economics 16 (2005) 281–297 287
6
Hayashi (1982) shows that the average Q that most studies adopt equals the marginal Q under very restrictive
conditions. Therefore, using the average Q instead of the marginal Q might cause measurement errors.
288 J. Koo, K. Maeng / Journal of Asian Economics 16 (2005) 281–297
In addition, we need to change the Euler equation in the linear form and eliminate the
expectation operator. Using a first-order Taylor approximation around the means to
linearize the term with Lagrange multipliers, we obtain:
I I S CF
¼ c þ b1 þb2 þb3 þ fi þ dt þ eit ; (16)
K it K it1 K it K it
where f i is the firm-specific effect; dt is the time-specific effect; and eit is white noise.
Eq. (16) is a baseline Euler equation model.
If a measure of financial liberalization as well as the cash flow affects the degree of
financial constraints, then (15) is modified into:
1 þ ltþ1 CF
¼ f0 þ ðf1 þ f2 FLIt Þ : (17)
1 þ lt K it
Dynamic investment models that we derive are likely to suffer from both endogeneity
and heterogeneity problems. The error term in investment model generally captures a
technology shock to the profit function. It is, however, known that many explanatory
variables such as sales and cash flow also depend on the technology shock. It means that
explanatory variables in the investment function may be correlated with the error term.7 In
7
Hayashi and Inoue (1991) argued that many explanatory variables of investment such as output and cash flow
depend on the technology shock, and are thus endogenous as well.
J. Koo, K. Maeng / Journal of Asian Economics 16 (2005) 281–297 289
Fig. 1. Financial liberalizations in Korea. Note: X1: interest rates liberalization, X2: foreign exchange liberal-
ization, X3: lowering of legal reserve ratio, X4: reduction of policy loans, X5: new banks entry, X6: capital
liberalization, and X7: the privatization of banks.
290 J. Koo, K. Maeng / Journal of Asian Economics 16 (2005) 281–297
8
For example, Koo and Shin (2004) investigate the liberalization date of seven important variables in Korean
financial markets and identify the date when all seven variables were liberalized. Most country studies employ the
similar method to find the liberalization date.
9
Laeven (2003) uses the sum of six dummy variables that capture financial reform as a financial liberalization
index. His index takes values between 0 and 6. Love (2003) also devises a continuous financial development
index, which is an average of five standardized indices of financial variables. Bandiera, Caprio, Honohan, and
Schiantarelli (2000) apply a principal component method to dummy variables that reflect the liberalization date of
eight variables to derive a single measure of financial liberalization.
10
Chun (2002) devises a measure of financial liberalization index and examines the effect of financial
liberalization on the aggregate consumption in Korea. The authors are grateful to Byung Chul Chun for providing
his data.
11
The variables considered in this paper are similar to the ones adopted by the previous literature. We excluded
prudential regulation considered in Koo and Shin (2004) and Bandiera et al. (2000) and included the liberalization
of foreign exchange market, instead. We did not allow for prudential regulation because it is difficult to obtain a
reliable data.
J. Koo, K. Maeng / Journal of Asian Economics 16 (2005) 281–297 291
Fig. 2 presents the plot of the FLI. As expected, the FLI increases gradually over time
but decreases in the period of last few years. The main reason for a recent decrease in the
FLI is an increase in government share of several private insolvent banks. Regulation in
financial markets was reinforced because of a strong restructuring program that was
implemented to overcome the currency crisis in the end of 1997. In 2002, the FLI increases
again since some government-owned banks were privatized through a merger with large
private banks.
Table 1
Variable definitions
Abbreviation Description
Kt Capital at the beginning of period t (=tangible fixed assets at the end of the period t1 1)
It Investment during period t (=Kt+1 + DEPRt Kt)
DEPRt Depreciation during period t
Qt Average Q at the beginning of period t (=(Bt + Et)/TAt)
Bt Book value of debt at the beginning of the period t
Et Market value of equity at the beginning of period t
TAt Total assets at the beginning of period t
CFt Cash flow during the period t (=net profit after-tax + depreciation during period t1 1)
St Sales during period t
FLIt Financial liberalization index at t
SMALLi =1 for small firms, =0 for large firms
LARGEi =1 for large firms, =0 for small firms
GROUPi =1 for chaebol firms, =0 for non-chaebol firms
INDEPi =1 for non-chaebol firms, =0 for chaebol firms
Table 2
Descriptive statistics for key variables (1981–2002)
I/K CF/K Q S/K Number of firms
All firms 0.280 (0.481) 0.335 (0.363) 0.573 (0.727) 3.642 (3.276) 371
Large firms 0.286 (0.478) 0.340 (0.346) 0.573 (0.748) 3.478 (2.913) 270
Small firms 0.257 (0.492) 0.318 (0.421) 0.572 (0.645) 4.253 (4.318) 101
Chaebol firms 0.307 (0.469) 0.282 (0.194) 0.571 (0.866) 2.796 (1.993) 36
Non-chaebol firms 0.276 (0.482) 0.342 (0.379) 0.573 (0.780) 3.752 (3.392) 335
Note. Numbers are the mean (S.D.) of variables.
According to these classifications, the number of large (small) firms is 270 (101); and that
of group (independent) firms is 36 (335).13
Table 2 provides the mean and standard deviation of each variable for 1981–2002 on
371 firms. Large and chaebol firms have higher investment-to-capital ratio than small and
non-chaebol firms. However, we find that sales-to-capital ratio for non-chaebol and small
firms is slightly higher than for large and chaebol firms. Non-chaebol and large firms
appear to hold more cash flow relative to capital.
5. Estimation results
Columns (1) and (2) in Table 3 present the basic GMM estimation results of investment
function for the whole sample period. We applied the GMM techniques to Eqs. (6) and (16)
in levels using the t 2, t 3, t 4, and t 5 lagged right-hand side variables as
instruments.14 Sargan test results for over-identifying restrictions indicate that the
13
The 35 out of 36 group firms are classified as large firms.
14
It is noted that Laeven (2002) and Koo and Shin (2004) also adopt the GMM-level estimation technique
because the individual firm effect is found to be weak in the Korean firm data.
J. Koo, K. Maeng / Journal of Asian Economics 16 (2005) 281–297 293
Table 3
Estimation results of investment model (baseline model)
Variables (1) Q-model (2) Euler equation (3) Q-model (4) Euler equation
*
Constant 0.065 (0.89) 0.218 (0.29) 0.177 (1.64) 0.096 (0.94)
(I/K)it1 0.115** (1.92) 0.130*** (2.39) 0.084* (1.60) 0.102** (2.02)
Qi 0.066*** (2.67) – 0.054*** (2.80) –
(S/K)it – 0.013*** (3.00) – 0.013*** (3.00)
(CF/K)it 0.304*** (4.92) 0.184*** (3.58) 0.387*** (4.89) 0.265*** (3.51)
FLIt (CF/K)it 0.057** (2.10) 0.051** (2.16)
m1 0.221 0.137 0.435 0.302
m2 0.058 0.096 0.074 0.139
Wald test 0.000*** 0.000*** 0.000*** 0.000***
Sargan test 0.151 0.292 0.285 0.411
Notes. (1) The t values are in parentheses. (2) Time dummies are included, but are not reported. (3) The
instruments include t 2, t 3, t 4, and t 5 lagged variables. (4) The m1 and m2 are p values of the test for
first- and second-order serial correlation. of residuals, respectively. (5) Wald test results present p value of test for
joint significance of coefficients. (6) Sargan test results present p value of the test for over-identification.
*
indicates significance at the 10% level.
**
indicates significance at the 5% level.
***
indicates significance at the 1% level.
instruments we adopted are valid. The p value of m1 and m2 test statistics also indicates that
little unobserved individual effects remain in the GMM-level estimation results. The joint
test result for the significance of explanatory variables shows that the model is satisfactory.
Firms are found financially constrained since the coefficient in CF/K is statistically
significant at the conventional level for both models. We also find persistence in firms’
Table 4
Estimation results of investment model (by categories)
Variables (1) Q-model (2) Euler equation (3) Q-model (4) Euler equation
Constant 0.164 (1.47) 0.086 (0.83) 0.207** (1.89) 0.134 (1.30)
(I/K)it1 0.085* (1.64) 0.102** (2.06) 0.085** (1.62) 0.100** (2.01)
Qit 0.056*** (2.87) 0.052*** (2.67) –
(S/K)it – 0.014*** (3.08) – 0.013*** (2.92)
(CF/K)it 0.391*** (4.80) 0.262*** (3.45) 0.394*** (4.97) 0.276*** (3.69)
LARGEi FLIt (CF/K)it 0.041 (1.37) 0.040 (1.51) – –
SMALLi FLIt (CF/K)it 0.097** (2.29) 0.070*** (2.42) – –
GROUPi FLIt (CF/K)it – – 0.166 (1.14) 0.177 (1.38)
INDEPi FLIt (CF/K)it – – 0.060** (2.20) 0.053** (2.26)
m1 0.426 0.291 0.458 0.346
m2 0.070 0.134 0.140 0.252
Wald test 0.000*** 0.000*** 0.000*** 0.000***
Sargan test 0.379 0.426 0.274 0.359
Notes. (1) The t values are in parentheses. (2) Time dummies are included, but are not reported. (3) The
instruments include t 2, t 3, t 4, and t 5 lagged variables. (4) The m1 and m2 are p values of the test for
first- and second-order serial correlation. of residuals, respectively. (5) Wald test results present p value of test for
joint significance of coefficients. (6) Sargan test results present p value of the test for over-identification.
**
indicates significance at the 5% level.
***
indicates significance at the 1% level.
294 J. Koo, K. Maeng / Journal of Asian Economics 16 (2005) 281–297
15
Laeven (2002) claims that financing constraints faced by small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) were
eroded in the 1990s because of Korean government policy to favor SMEs. Koo and Shin (2004) also show that
small firms got much wider access to the outside credit after liberalization.
J. Koo, K. Maeng / Journal of Asian Economics 16 (2005) 281–297 295
6. Concluding remarks
The impact of financial liberalization, which recently has been implemented in many
developing countries, has received much attention in the existing literature. This paper
investigates whether financial liberalization affects firms’ investments in Korea. We tested
for the hypothesis that financial liberalization had an impact on firms’ investment behavior.
The main empirical finding is that the financial constraint estimated by the cash-flow
sensitivity of investment decreases with financial liberalization. This implies that financial
liberalization improves firms’ accessibility to external finance. In particular, small and non-
chaebol firms that were more severely constrained seem to gain more from liberalization
than large and chaebol firms.
Numerous empirical studies have so far revealed that financial liberalization promotes
economic growth. However, the channels of financial liberalization on economic growth
should be further investigated. The empirical results of this paper shed light on potential
benefits of financial liberalization. We find that financial liberalization plays the role of
reducing the financial constraints on firms, and thus improving external financing for
investment.
Acknowledgements
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