Landslide Susceptibility in Giri Watershed
Landslide Susceptibility in Giri Watershed
Raghuveer Negi1* • Saraswati Prakash Sati2 • Deepak Kumar1 • Sanjay Singh Rana1
1
  Department of Geology, DBS (PG) College Dehradun (Uttarakhand)
2
  Department of Basic and Social Sciences, College of Forestry, Ranichouri, Tehri Garhwal, Garhwal U.K.
(VCSGUUHF Bharsar, Pauri Garhwal)
3
  Department of geology, School of Earth Science, HNB Garhwal (Central) University, Srinagar (Garhwal)
Uttarakhand
Abstract: The slope instability in the Himalayan terrain is a common phenomenon which is caused by a
combination of the ongoing seismicity and climate variability (extreme weather evets). In addition to this, in the last
few decades, the anthropogenic intervention in the form of various developmental activity (roads, hydropower
projects, expansion of urban sectors etc.) have posed serious threat to slope stability. In this study we have evaluated
the terrain status for landslide susceptibility in a monsoon fed Giri Watershed. An attempted has been made to
decouple various causative factors of landslides susceptibility of the region using remote sensing and GIS
techniques. Employing the Frequency ratio and the information value methods, the study observe that increasing
incidences of landslides occur along the drainage in the lower valley sides, along the linear developmental activities
and settlement areas. Further the study observed a broad correlation between rock formation, lineaments, vegetation
types, and slope steepness.
Keywords: Landslides susceptibility • Frequency ratio methods • Information value methods • Remote sensing •
Giri Watershed • Northwest Himalaya
Introduction
Himalayan eco-system is known for its inherent                vulnerability, the human intervention particularly,
vulnerability that is attributed to its evolutionary          changes in the land use land cover pattern over the
history. Continental-continental collision caused             last couple of decades have aggravated the already
by northward drifting Indian plate gave rise to this          over pressurized eco-system. One of the major
youngest and loftiest mountain chain (Dewey and               threats to the Himalayan ecosystem and its
Bird 1970; Dewey and Burke 1973). Compression                 inhabitants are the landslides which every year
is still going on and accumulated stress is                   impact the various infrastructures. Although the
occasionally released in the form of earthquake               whole Himalayan ranges are prone to landslides,
shocks (Yin 2006; DeMets et. al.1994; Singh et                however, situation become worse in the
al. 2002).). Innumerable earthquake visits the                watersheds that are located in the vicinity of major
Himalaya which made the terrain highly                        boundary thrusts. Landslide involves downward
vulnerable and superimposed on the natural                    and outward movements of slope-forming
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J. Mountain Res. P-ISSN: 0974-3030, E-ISSN: 2582-5011
Vol. 16(1), (2021), 45-59           DOI: https://doi.org/10.51220/jmr.v16i1.5
materials due to gravitational force by a variety of    have been initiated in the recent times (Sundriyal
motions like falling, sliding, flowing and any          et.al., 2015; Kundu et al., 2017; Kumar et al.,
combination of the above (Cruden and Varnes,            2017; Sah et al., 2018; Sharma and Mahajan
1996). Enormous researches on the slope stability       2018). The preset study is in continuation of such
in precarious Himalayan terrain have been               efforts to assess the slope sensitivity and the
undertaken (e.g. Sati et al., 1998; Sarkar and          causes of slope instability in the Giri Watershed
Kanungo, 2004; Sati et.al., 2011; Devkota et al.,       (GW) which is considered to be one of the most
2013; Kanungo and Sharma, 2014; Sundriyal               landslide prone watershed in the region. The
et.al., 2015; Kundu et al., 2017; Kumar et al.,         objective is to determine the Landslides
2017; Sah et al., 2018). The consequences of            Susceptibility (LS) of the GW in order to map the
landslides became much hazardous if they occur          landslide-prone areas along with suggesting some
along the roads or across the lower order streams       preventive measures.
because they not only disrupt the much-required
connectivity (if roads are involved), but impound       Study area
the streams causing temporary blockades.
Breaching of such blockades gives rise to high          The Giri River is one of the major tributaries of
magnitude flash floods also called as the               Yamuna River which originates at Kupper near
Landslide induced Lake outburst floods (LLOFs)          Shimla. It has a watershed area of 2625 km²
(Rana et al., 2007). Over the last couple of            covering Shimla and Sirmour districts. Along its
decades, incidences of cloudburst leading to flash      course the river is joined by multiple tributaries
floods and landslides are showing an increasing         such as Jalal River, Aasan River, Baseri River,
trend. Himachal Pradesh endowed with rich               Choti Nadi before the Giri river meet the Yamuna
biodiversity and sustain one of the highly              river near Ponta Sahib (Fig.1). The Giri River
profitable tourism industries but also highly           supports irrigation for the farming in the region
evolved horticulture in the country particularly        and there is a proposal for the Renuka hydropower
grown on the precariously stabilized slopes on the      project.     The GW lies between latitudes
lesser and Higher Himalaya. Aided to this is the        30°26'29"N to 31°15'9"N and longitudes
growing pressure of human settlements which is          77°22'35"N to 30°43'49" N (Fig.1). Elevation
impacting the natural resource base thus adversely      ranges from 404m to 3620 m. The major of
augmenting the terrain sustainability. Further,         aspects of the slopes ranging from south to
seismic activity although varies spatially,             southwest thus receives adequate insolation
however, after 1905 Kangra earthquake, the              during day and hence fairly vegetated. Due to the
terrain has not witnessed a major earthquake            topographic variability the climate ranges from
which is impending implying that the region lies        subtropical in the valleys and becomes temperate
in the seismic Gap (Khattri and Tyagi 1983).            in the higher reaches. The Average annual rainfall
However, numerous tremors of less to moderate           based on 37 years Indian Metrological Station
magnitude are observed every year in the region,        data during 1980-2017 spread over the GW is
showing that the area is seismically active (Paul et    1040 mm out of which around 80% occur during
al. 2019). In view of this, it is pertinent to assess   Indian Summer Monsoon (June to September).
the terrain vulnerability for the safety and security   The lithology of GW (Fig 2) comprises rocks
of the local inhabitants particularly the threat        belonging to Siwalik (Outer Himalaya), Lesser
posed by the growing incidences of landslides in        Himalayan       metasedimentary      and    higher
the Himalayan region for which many studies             Himalayan Crystalline. These are separated by the
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J. Mountain Res. P-ISSN: 0974-3030, E-ISSN: 2582-5011
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Main Boundary Thrust (MBT) and Main Central             Himalayan sequence in GW is made up of
Thrust (MCT). Besides this, the subisidiary Jutogh      conglomerate,          Shales,       Limestoneand
Thrust (JT) and Chail Thrust (CT) traverses             Dolomite(Srikantia and Sharma 1971; Auden,
through (right about the rocks). The outer              1934;Saklani 1971; Jain 1971; Thakur 1992). The
Himalayan lithology is dominated by Subathu             Higher Himalayan Crystalline rocks includes
sand stone shaleand limestone (Mathur 1980)             gneisses, phyllite, limestone, metavolcanics,
while Siwalik group rocks are dominated by              quartzite and granite (Thakur 1992).
sandstones and clays (Thakur 1992).The lesser
Fig 1                                                   Fig 2
Fig 1: The map showing the Giri Watersheds along with major settlements. (Inset are the location of the
Study area with respect to India and Himanchal Pradesh.
Fig 2: Broadly geological and major structural details of the Giri Watershed. Note that the watershed
encompasses rocks of Higher Himalayan Crystalline in the north and the Siwalik sedimentary succession
in the south (modified after Thakur and Rawat 1992).
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53F/1,2,5,6,7,9,10,11 with 1:50,000 scale and on        Image, a total of 710 major landslides were
Google earth. Landcover map (Fig 5) was                 marked with the help of centinel-2 and in Google
prepared from centinal-2 image of 10m resolution.       Earth, while after field validations of landslides
The lithology and structural maps (Fig 2) are           642 landslides were finally left since during
prepared from published data (Thakur and                fieldwork it was observed that many dumping
Rawat1992). Lineaments Map (Fig 8) has been             zones were also marked as landslides which after
prepared from centinel-2 image and Google Earth         fieldwork have been removed from final inventory
Image. The road and landslides have been                map of landslides (Fig 6).
digitized from SOI toposheet and Google Earth
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Fig 5                                              Fig 6
Fig 5: LULC map of GW prepared using Centinal-2 satellite image
Fig 6: Landslide inventory Map prepared using Centinal- 2 satellite image and Google earth.
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                          Fig 7                                       Fig 8
Fig 7: drainage buffer map of GW used as causative factor for LS mapping
Fig 8: Lineament map of GW prepared from Centinal-2 imageries
                                                  was converted into a raster of 15×15 meter size
Landslide inventory                               which has converted the training dataset of
Landslide inventory map (Fig6) is prepared using  landslides into a total of 10745 pixels. Landslides
10 m resolution Centinal-2 image aided with       have covered a total area of 2.934746km². During
Google Earth, followed by field validation. Total the field visit, it was observed that maximum
642 landslides were considered and digitized      landslide was found in lower GW of larger size
which have been divided into two datasets as 449  while in upper watershed some small size
landslides in the training dataset (70%) and 193  landslides on moderate to steep slope. Maximum
landslides in the validation dataset (30%) based  landslides in GW have been observed proximal to
on random selection. Landslides inventory map     the streams and roads.
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Fig 9                                                    Fig 10
Fig 9: Road buffer map of GW, different buffer zone shown by different color scheme
Fig 10: GW Field photograph showing some of the landslides inblaini-krol units (A1) and (A2) are
the landslides are along Satuan and Renukaji road, (B) Landslides between Rajban and Satuan, (C)
and (C1) landslides near Chandani (near Renukaji).
                                                       the premises that “past and present are the best
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping                       key for future” (Dai and Lee 2001; Shano et.al.
There are quantitative, semi-quantitative and          2020). In the present study we used BSA which is
qualitative methods used for LS mapping.               based on inductive logic that suggests that “if the
Quantitative approach includes the Statistical,        situation in all observed cases than the situation
Determination,      Probability    and      Artificial holds in all the cases” (Shano et.al. 2020). There
intelligence approaches. Statistical approach          are many those have applied the probabilistic
includes the Bivariate Statistical and Multivariate    model approach in a different part of the world
Statistical approach. Bivariate Statistical approach   (Lee et al. 2004; Pradhan and Lee 2010; Yalcin et
(BSA) includes three methods (Frequency ratio,         al. 2011; Mohammady et al. 2012; Sharma and
Information value and weight of evidence), BSA         Mahajan 2018; Samanta et.al. 2018; Silalahi
rest on analytical logic, this approach is based on    et.al.2019).
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Fig 11: landslides susceptibility map prepared by (A) FR method, and (B) IeV method for GW.
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Fig 12: AUC for FR and IeV methods showing SRC (blue line) and PRC (red line) revealing
interpretation for fitness of the LS methods, (A) for FR method, and (B) for IeV
Information Value (IeV)                                 Where Mi/M is the ratio of landslides pixel per
The method ascertains the landslides potential          class to the total landslides pixel and Ni/N is the
area (Yin and Yan1988; Van Westen 1993). The            ratio of pixel of causative factor class to the total
method employs calculation of landslides pixel          pixel of causative factor. The X in the equation (6)
and causative factor (Sharma and Mahajan 2018).         is reclassified causative factor map according to
The negative value of IeV represent the low and         their IeVvalue.
negative correlations of causative factor and
positive value represents the strong and positive       Results and discussion
correlation (Van westen et. al. 1997; Shano et. al.
2020). IeV is calculated using equation (5) and         Application of frequency FR
landslide susceptibility index (LSI) through            The final susceptibility maps (Fig11) are prepared
equation (6).                                           in ArcGIS 10.3 using equation (1) and (4). The
IeV=ƩLog [       ](5)                                   map is dived into five classes of susceptibility (i)
                                                        very high, (ii) high, (iii) moderate, (iv) low and
LSIIeV = X1+X2+X3+………….Xn                    (6)        (v) very low. Higher value of FR indicates the
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strong association of landslides to the causative       landslides in comparison to the other classes of
factor class, the calculation of FR method is given     land use (table 1). Similarly slopes proximal to
in the table 1. It has been observed that the highest   major and minor structures (thrusts and
FR value is associated with Road buffer (~ 50 m         lineaments) T shows high FR value with in the
from the road) (Table 1) and is inversely               200 m buffer (Table 1).Thus, based on FR
proportional to the increase in buffer beyond 50 m      methods, 7.75% area lies in very high LS zone,
(Fig 9). Road in Himalayan terrain are considered       12.65% area in the high, 23% in moderate, 29% in
as one of the important causative factors in            the low, and 27.5 % area in the very low class of
triggering slope instability if care is not taken for   susceptibility zone (Fig 11).
the inherent fragile geology, unstable alluvium         Application of information value (IeV)
and nature and type of vegetation cover (Fig 10).       methods
Further, we observed that the lower valleys (400        The IeV methods have been applied for the
to 1080 m) showed a significant correlation with        selected ten causative factors for analysis and
the landslides FR value (Table 1) implying that         evaluation of LS map for the GW using equation
the slopes below 1080 m are more susceptible to         (5) and (6). All the used causative factors and
slope destabilization. Similarly, compared to the       their IeV value are listed in the table 1 and the
tributary valleys, the trunk valley (Giri river)        susceptibility map is shown in the Fig 11. Around
shows high correlation with landslides frequency        47% of landslides pixels are found in the Blaini-
(Table 1). Lithology exerts first order control due     Krol unit having IeV as 0.5 showing strong
to spatial variability in the lithology which in turn   correlation with landslides. The Subathu, Tal, and
influence the slope stability due to different          Nagthat units have 0.60, 0.7, and 0.1 IeV
strength parameter and density of discontinuity         respectively showing a good association with
which leads to the different degree of                  landslides. Chail, Jutogh, Simla, Chor Granite,
susceptibility to landslides. The geological            and Chandpur units have relatively negative
formation associated with the Tal, Subathu,             correlation with the landslides, (table 1).
Blaini-Krol, and Nagthat units show higher              According to the slope classes division, the
correlation to the landslide frequency (FR value as     45°−60° (0.16) and 60°−75° (0.6) class shows
4.56, 3.95, 3.28, and 1.24; Table 1). There seems       high correlation in comparison to other classes of
to be a good correlation between the degree of          slope. Slope aspect classes i.e South, Southwest,
slope and frequency of landslides. It has been          and West indicate higher correlation showing IeV
observed that the slopes of 45°−60° has low FR          0.17, 0.23, and 0.06 respectively. While other
value (1.44) whereas as it increases to 3.77 on         classes of slope directions indicate comparatively
60°−75°.Similarly, the slope aspect also seems to       lower association with landslides in the GW (table
have some influence on the LS as a good                 1). Concave class (52% of landslides pixel) of
correlation is observed on slopes trending South,       curvature thematic layer indicate strong
Southwest and West (FR value 1.48, 1.70 and 1.5;        correlation with landslides in comparison to flat
Table 1). Curvature profile shows higher                (3% pixel of landslides) and convex (46% of
correlation with the negative curvature value i.e       landslides pixel falls in this class) classes
concave curvature have significant correlation          according to IeV (table 1). Elevation class 404 m-
with landslides (FR value 1.09). Land use               1088 m (0.7 IeV and 62% of landslides pixel falls
practices and their impact on landslides in the         in this class) class indicate higher value of IeV
settlement, agriculture, fellow land, river and         and good association with landslides in
scrubs class have higher correlation with the           differentiation of other elevation classes. The
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impact of LULC classes show strong correlation          buffer zone shows strong correlations with all
with the agriculture, settlements, fallow land, river   classes except the above 300m buffer zone the
and scrubs while as expected a weak correlation is      IeV (Table 1). The drainage network of GW has
observed with dense forest (table 1). Similar to        strong correlation with the buffer zone of the
FR, a strong association of landslides within           above 150m showing IeV of 0.35. The final LS
buffer of 50 m (0.78) which decrease as the             map (Fig 11) obtained through the IeV method
distance of road buffer increases (e.g., 100 m;         reveals 31% area in very low zone, 31% area in
0.60, 200 m; 0.4, and 300 m; 0.30). Whereas             low zone, 20% area in moderate zone, 9% area in
above 300 m it is negative (-0.06). The lineaments      high zone, and 9 % area in very high zone of LS.
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