Green Finance's Impact on China
Green Finance's Impact on China
Abstract
The rapid economic growth of a country like China is leading to an increase in energy
consumption. The fight against pollution and the pursuit of economic expansion are always
incompatible goals. Green funding is one approach that successfully tackles this problem. In
order to investigate the geographical effects and interaction among green finance,
contaminants, the the growth of the economy, this study uses information gathered in China
to construct a spatial simultaneous equation. It goes on to examine the possibility that all of
these variables are internal. Here is what the empirical results show: Green finance has an
advantageous effect on the growth of the economy, thereby leading to more investments in
environmentally conscious finance. As environmental issues emission levels increase, more
spending with green finance is needed. Green support does have an influence on pollution
emission levels in terms of administration. The correlation between GDP growth and
pollutant emissions is inverted shaped like a and academics call it a financial knowledge
curve (FKC).
Keywords
Introduction
Several industries' economic operations froze or halted production after the Corona illness
epidemic in 2020, which began at the tail end of 2019 and spread like wildfire. It is the belief
of several experts (e.g., Werikhe, 2022; Zakari et al., 2022; Smol, 2022; Feng et al., 2022)
that environmental concerns may be brought up alongside the commencement of economic
activity by businesses and companies. A green revival of the global economy (Galanakis et
al., 2022) and an appropriate means by which nations might achieve sustainable development
objectives would characterise such a scenario. In addition to a carbon-free economy, green
economic recovery may bring about green culture, modernity, globalisation, job
development, and a decrease in environmental problems including drought, global warming,
ozone depletion, and melting polar ice caps. However, the energy transition—the shift from
fossil fuels to green fuels—will be developed and the global economy's reliance on non-
renewable energy consumption will be decreased if nations are pushed to adopt the idea of
green economic recovery. Green economic recovery that reduces economies' reliance on
fossil fuels will bring about peace and tranquilly, which is a humanitarian outcome, if we
think of non-renewable energies, primarily crude oil, as the source of economic crises (oil
shocks), political tensions, and even wars among nations worldwide (Li et al., 2020;
Johnstone and McLeish, 2020).
In spite of all the good that would come out of a green economic recovery, the most
significant obstacle will be getting enough money to fund green initiatives. There is a lack of
interest from private investors in green initiatives because of their poor profitability and
lengthy return periods. A critical challenge is the inadequacy of funding to build a variety of
green projects, which is particularly true for governments in developing nations that lack the
resources to fully fund all of their economic initiatives. During the Corona period, this
problem grew quite serious. Since the government's spending on healthcare and treatment
soared while their capital shrank substantially. Consequently, emerging and eco-conscious
nations must find a way to make up for these shortcomings. Using green finance methods is
one of the most important and cutting-edge strategies to fix this (Bhatnagar and Sharma,
2022). A strategy that may help poor nations invest in green projects with less risk and more
efficiency is green finance. Investors from the private sector are drawn to green initiatives
due to this benefit (Taghizadeh-Hesary and Yoshino, 2019). Consequently, green project
engines will run more efficiently when the private sector is involved.
If we want to increase resource efficiency, green funding is the way to go. The most
significant issue that human cultures have faced due to inefficient resource usage in recent
decades is the planet's resource depletion (Kedir and Hall, 2021). Walden (2020) and
Bhagaloo et al. (2022) point out that there has been a clear pattern of abuse in the exploitation
of these resources over the last several decades, and that their use is not efficient. The same is
true for subsurface resources and freshwater. Resource efficiency has the potential to enhance
industrial methods and innovations, decrease energy intensity, lessen emissions of
greenhouse gases, create jobs, and preserve the planet's ecosystem. It would be feasible to get
the aforesaid benefits by using green finance strategies and enhancing resource efficiency.
However, there is a positive and statistically significant correlation between green economic
growth and green funding. Investment in environmentally friendly projects will rise thanks to
the green finance mechanism, leading to green economic development that is not already
present. Jobs, more welfare, green technology-based economic structures, and fewer air
pollution-related fatalities are all attainable goals of green project execution. Green economic
growth and sustainable development are now within reach, thanks to the brightening of the
economic outlook brought about by advances in renewable energy. According to Huang et
al., 2022a, and 2022b, nations that are concerned about the environment may benefit from
green financing, which can help advance green innovation. Modernization, reduced energy
intensity, and green technology are the results of green innovation. By supporting
environmentally friendly initiatives, green financing may boost green development drivers in
low-income nations, according to Zhang et al. (2022). Economic sectors including electricity
generation, transportation, and the residential sector may all benefit from green growth
drivers' ability to build green infrastructures, which in turn can create green features.
This work makes a significant contribution in three areas: To begin with, this piece
takes into account not only the components that affect green finance, environmental
contamination, and economic growth, but also how these three interact with one
another. As a second point, there may be geographical implications among green
financing, environmental pollution, and China's economic growth; nevertheless, most
current research on this topic relies on panel models or dynamic panel simultaneous
equations. Using spatial simultaneous equations, this paper will thoroughly examine
the endogeneity issues brought about by the interaction, and then make more robust
findings and provide more thorough recommendations by taking all three factors into
account spatially. Thirdly, there is a dearth of literature on general and household
pollution, with the majority of studies concentrating on industrial pollution. This
paper uses sulphur dioxide, COD, smoke, and dust emission data as environmental
pollution indicators. The total pollution is split into industrial pollution and life
pollution, and each of these is examined independently to examine the impact of
green finance on governance. In two respects, this article is lacking. To start, we think
our conclusion is unaffected by the fact that the relevant data in China was only
updated till 2022. Even if things are different now than they were before, the change
is not major. The results obtained are still quite useful as a benchmark. We look
forward to doing more research on emerging patterns in green financing,
environmental contamination, and China's economic growth whenever the data is
updated. Second, while there are several ways to quantify green finance, the one
utilised in this article—the overall investment in pollution control—is just one of
them. As an additional indicator for assessing green finance, we will think about
creating a green finance development indicator that incorporates green investment,
green bonds, green insurance, and green credit in future studies.
……………………..
The second body of research examines how green finance instruments interact with a variety
of different factors. According to Sun et al. (2022), the prior study in this area focused on the
connections between green economic development, resource efficiency, and green financing.
Desalegn and Tangl (2022) surveyed the literature on the effects of green financing on
environmentally conscious and socially equitable economic development. The main findings
provided further evidence that green financing may help advance environmentally conscious
economic expansion. According to Huang et al. (2022a), 2022b), green fiancé has the
potential to boost green economic development by attracting more environmentally conscious
consumers and businesses. This conclusion was supported for the BRICS economies by
Mngumi et al. (2022), who used a panel quantile regression technique to examine yearly data
for these nations from 2005 to 2019. The research by Zhou et al. (2022) showed that green
fiancé promoted fintech innovation, which in turn increased the pace of green economic
development. The ability of green financing to upgrade the industrial structure raises the
production potential of a country's industrial sector, which in turn leads to a higher green
economic growth rate, according to Wang and Wang (2021), the leading cause of the positive
impact of green financing on green economic growth. Green financing has the potential to
significantly boost both economic growth and environmental quality, according to research
by Zhou et al. (2020) that concentrated on China's provinces.
Liu et al. (2022) examined the E7 economies' statistics in relation to resource efficiency.
They learned that green financing may boost FinTech initiatives, which in turn lead to
efficiency gains in energy use and financial inclusion. Green financing's effects on energy
efficiency in different parts of China were investigated by Wang and Wang (2022) using the
Tobit model. Green technology advancement finance has a good effect on energy efficiency
levels, according to the main results. Green financing and China's rich resource endowment
were investigated by Wang et al. (2022). Between green financing and ecological efficiency,
they discovered a U-shaped inverted relationship. Nonetheless, our results are consistent with
those of Zhou and Xu (2022), who found, for the Chinese scenario, an inverted U-shaped
association between green funding and ecological progress.
First, green financing has the potential to encourage economic growth, as illustrated in Figure
1. This is the most obvious manifestation of the connection between green financing and
economic development. As a means of guiding market capital flow, green finance optimises
resource allocation to ensure high-quality economic development that does not negatively
impact the environment. This is achieved through promoting technological innovation, the
attainment of economic growth objectives through the optimization and renovation of
business structure, leading to an improvement in total factor production efficiency. Secondly,
ecologically conscious funding might be more encouraged in industrialized nations. As the
state of prosperity keeps getting better, green initiatives and industries will attract more
opportunities for growth. In addition to bolstering the robust growth of green finance, they
will encourage the prudent and effective use of designated money for ecological environment
conservation.
H1: Green financing and economic growth are complementary to one another.
In line with the environmental Kuznets theory, environmental quality has a tendency of first
declining before improving with the robust expansion of the economy. The short-term effect
of investing in green environmental protection is to reduce financial support for polluting
businesses, which will slow their growth. Economic development will be affected by
environmental governance, which means it will slow down. Green finance has helped the
green environmental protection sector financially and opened up new channels of business
financing in the long term. Investment in environmental protection has a substantial
beneficial impact on economic development, and there are circumstances in which the
relationship betwixt credit and the situation may create a impeccable rhythm. Businesses'
bottom lines will see a dramatic improvement if environmental protection monies are put to
good use. The environmental Kuznets theory has come true, thanks to green financing, which
is driving efforts to enhance both economic development and environmental quality. Hence,
we suggest the following presumptions:
H2: The environmental Kuznets theory predicts that as green financing expands, pollution
levels would rise.
There are two angles from which to view the effect of green money on pollution in the
environment. On the one hand, green environmental protection funds encourage energy-
intensive businesses that pollute the environment to speed up their transition to cleaner
practices, prioritise environmental concerns in their investment and management decisions,
and ultimately cut back on their pollution and energy consumption. Conversely, when
pollutant emissions are high and environmental quality is low, the government responds by
implementing environmental control measures and increasing funding for green
environmental protection. This, in turn, forces the improvement of light-green credit to some
degree, and the development of green finance is promoted by increased government
investment in environmental protection.
H3: Both green financing and the need to improve environmental quality serve to push back
against environmental damage.
Fig. 1. The The green lending process, economic growth, and contamination
3. Data sources and the development of the model
Sources used for this article's statistics include the Wind, the China Statistical Year book, and
the Statistical Yearbooks of Provinces, Cities, and Municipalities. This article uses data from
2002 to 2022 as the most recent environmental contamination statistics are only available up
to 2022.
We choose the following variables needed for empirical study based on what is available and
what is reflective of the data and literature that already exists.
first, variables that rely on other variables
Due to varying understandings of "green finance," consensus on any one set of indicators has
been difficult to achieve. Based on the work of Mao (2013) [30] and Wei (20 23) [3], we
substitute the amount spent on polluting abatement for green finance. Total investments in
pollution control include urban infrastructure for the environment, the control of historic
pollutant resources, and an ecological security budget of the "Three Synchronous"
construction project. Businesses' ecological bonds & commercial banks' sustainable loans are
the main greener financial products that help with conservation of energy, emission
reduction, and environmental enhancement. This article chooses to measure green lending in
terms of per person green investment instead of the overall amount since this method more
closely matches genuine development; One indicator of contamination of the environment is
the discharge of pollutants per capita. The following are substances that have been found in
EP: rISO2, rLSO2, rSO2, rICOD, rLCOD, rCOD, rISD, rLSD, and rSD. All sulfur dioxide
emissions (industrial, daily, and total), CO2 demand, smoke and dust greenhouse gases, and
demands for chemical oxygen are computed on a per capita basis; gross domestic product is
used to measure the growth in the economy. An nation's financial fulfillment and the income
position of its residents are measured by per capita GDP, which may provide an improved
view of the normal rate of economic growth.
Since investments in environmental preservation are considered a public expenditure in the
green finance equation, their marginal cost could go down or stay the same. Consequently,
there might not be much of an increase in investments in such places where the population
density is high (Yin and Xu (2011)).More investment in environmental protection is possible
in regions with greater per capita fiscal income levels since these monies are more reliably
spent (Zhang, Wang and Zhou (2016) [31]); A perverse correlativity "substitution effect" on
environmental investments financing would result from the fact that education spending takes
up a certain portion of public expenditure.
An rise in the tertiary sector's share in the economy leads to a decline in pollution levels
since, according to the pollution equation, this sector's growth is less polluting than that of the
primary and secondary sectors (Huang, 2010); The "uncertainty hypothesis," FDI has been
the subject of three competing hypotheses, two of which are the "the degradation nirvana
hypothesis" and the "our waste halo hypothesis." Different studies have come to different
conclusions: There is some evidence that foreign direct investment (FDI) has a positive
impact on emissions (Zhang 2016 [31]), but there is also some evidence that FDI has adverse
effects on the environment (Ding and Li 2012 [32]). Research and development (R&D) can
lead to advancements in technology and creativity, that can in turn reduce pollution levels
and may even have a dampening effect on pollutants in the environment (Wei and Pan
(2016)).
Social capital, physical assets, and labor input all hold a favorable ramifications for the
economy (Huang, Chen, 2011; Yang, Wu, and Zhang, who is 2004; Huang and Lin, the year
2013).
m m
m ∑ ∑ ω pq ( Xp − x́ ) ( Xq − x́ )
p =1 q=1
L= m m m (5)
∑ ∑ ω pq ∑ ( Xp − x́ ) 2
p =1 q=1 p=1
Here, L is the Moran the index, M is the number of examples, or Xp and Xq are the matrix
elements that correspond the discovered belief of the self-correlation changeable of sections o
or the components q, respectfully. This is the mean numerical quantity of the uncertain X that
has been measured. The possible values of the Moran index range from -1 to 1.
Results show that "per capita green finance investment and per capita sulphur dioxide
emissions are endogenous variables of per capita GDP" with a 99 percent chance, and a test
statistic of 11.87465 in the economic evolution equation. We can see that the null hypothesis
is rejected in both the sulphur oxide impurity equality and the greenish credit equality.
Table 2. Validation of endogenous variables for rGDP, rSO2, and rGF.
Equalization Depedent Endogenously Statistics Inspection
Variable Independent Variable outcomes
Formula for the rGDP rGF、rSO2 11.86464** Reject
monetary growth of *
a nation
Sulfur dioxide rSO2 rGDP、rGF 8.62448*** Reject
pollution equation
Sustainable rGF rGDP、rSO2 6.24626*** Reject
financing formula
Similarly, at the 1% level of significance, all of the test findings (refer to Tables 3 and 4) may
be used to reject the initial hypothesis. In other words, CO2 demand, smog, and dust are all
examples of endogenous factors that could interact with green funding and economic growth.
Table 3.Examining the endogenous nature of rGDP, rCOD, and rGF.
Equalization Depedent Endogenously Statistics Inspection
Variable Independent Variable outcomes
Formula for the rGDP rGF、rCOD 12.22644** Reject
monetary growth *
of a nation
COD pollution rCOD rGDP、rGF 11.82466** Reject
equation *
Sustainable rGF rGDP、rCOD 6.28646*** Reject
financing formula
Hence, we may construct a geographic continuum equation and include endogenous variables
for analysis: green financing, environmental pollution, and economic growth.
5.2. Evaluating the findings of tests for self-correlation in space and for distinguishable
tests
In 2017, there was a high connection between GDP per capita, in preservation of the
environment, and pollutant eject per capita, as demonstrated in Table 5. The significant
growth of the Leger index L2 relative to L lends credence to this.
Table 5 shows the 2017 Mean Index L and L2 of green banking investing, pollutants released
per individual, and GDP per capita.
rGF rSO2 rCOD rSD rGDP
L 0.112*** 0.064*** 0.041*** 0.082*** 0.142***
(4.644) (2.416) (2.246) (2.228) (4.628)
L2 0.242*** 0.242*** 0.242*** 0.242*** 0.282***
(4.028) (2.442) (2.618 (2.812) (4.622)
The geographical simultaneous equation reveals that out of the three equations (economic
evolution, environmental pollution, and green finance investment), the exogenous factors
outnumber the endogenous ones. All three equations satisfy the recognisable test
requirements and are overidentified.
4.3. Analysis outcomes from spatiotemporal simultaneous equations
When looking at how pollution affects green finance, there is no correlation between the
COD pollution per capita and green finance the investment per capita, but there is a positive
correlation between sulfur oxide pollution per capita and particle emission levels per capita.
As GDP per capita increases, there are more resources offered to administration and use,
which in turn affects environmentally friendly finance. Meanwhile, green finance initiatives
are receiving increasing funding to improve the state of the environment, which is a response
to the rising demand for material items caused by people's quest of happiness.
When looking at the regional impact of green financing, the area weighing coefficient is
adverse and of statistical significance since local governments often participate in "free rider"
behavior with these funds.
In line with Yin (2011), The ratio of the size of the populace has a negative value, and it
becomes simpler to collect and treat pollutants produced in production and life at greater
densities. The cost of green financial investment to mitigate pollution decreases per capita as
the population grows. The local fiscal spending coefficient is positive, which is in line with
what Zhang et al. (2016) found [31]. A more prosperous area is one in which local
government spending is higher. The effectiveness of pollution control measures will be
directly correlated to the eco-friendliness of the financing used for them. The fact that local
education expenditure has a lower coefficient supports Zhang's (2016) [31] claim that green
monetary development and education expenditures share a substitution influence. If the total
budget stays the same, increasing funding for green finance will inevitably mean less money
for other initiatives.Take a look at Table 6.
As a result, pollutants and prosperity followed the well-known EKC rule, which states that
there is a strong turned Ushape relationship between per capita GDP and expel of sulphur
oxide, COD, smoke, and dust. The relative turning points were 7.84 million yuan, 6.12
million yuan, and 5.45 million yuan. Investing in green finance on a per capita basis has a
negative effect on emissions of sulphur dioxide, smoke dust, and COD; however, the effects
of COD and vapor debris square measure non statistically important. Green financing has a
strong treatment impact on sulphur dioxide but a poor effect on the other two pollutants; the
only coefficient that passes the 5% significance test is that of sulphur dioxide.
Pollution has a diffusive influence on the environment, as seen by the positively-shaped
spatial weighting factors of COD, fume and rubble expel, and per capita sulphur oxide.
The tertiary sector has a negative percentage coefficient and produces negligible amounts of
pollution to the environment. Improving the pollution situation in the environment may be
achieved by increasing the share of tertiary industries. As predicted by the "pollution halo"
theory, FDI's negative coefficient significantly reduces emissions of non-COD pollutants. In
addition to increasing the quantity of green financial investment for pollution control, FDI
may introduce cutting-edge manufacturing technology and management approaches, which in
turn can lower pollution emissions. Economic growth has a technological influence, as
measured by a negative R&D spending and the fact that technical upgrading and innovation
may restrict environmental degradation with major governance implications. This finding is
in line with that of Selden (1994) [34], who found that the emission of three contaminants is
negatively correlated with population density.
Green financing has more of a positive than a negative influence on economic growth, which
is reflective of the overall effect of encouraging economic development. In addition to
reducing pollution in the short term, green financing may spur economic growth and
development by funding innovations in industrial technology and the building of necessary
infrastructure, both of which are important for environmental protection. Environmental
pollution has a detrimental effect on economic growth as seen in Table 7, with sulphur oxide
and fume and debris release having a considerable perverse effect on per capita GDP and
COD having no important influence.
Table 7.A mathematical model for contamination in the environment and its empirical
outcomes.
Depedent Variable rEP
rSO2 rCOD rSD
rGDP 224.6*** (6.12) 62.44*** (6.64) 128.48*** (4,62)
rGF −0.226** (−2.22) −0.061 (−1.02) −0.0206 (−0.26)
rGDP2 −14.86*** (−6.46) −4.082*** (−8.62) −14.82*** (−6.88)
WrEP 1.426*** (6.02) 1.264*** (6.48) 1.228*** (4.01)
T −6.220*** (−4.66) −0.846** (−2.42) −4.288*** (−4.68)
lnFI −42.12*** (−6.04) −2.684 (−1.64) −26.84*** (−4.82)
lnR −24.62*** (−4.86) −16.48*** (−6.46) −22.21*** (−2.28)
lnD −42.46*** (−4.62) −8.842*** (−2.68) −16.28* (−1.68)
_cons 846.24*** (6.48) 84.28** (2.26) 486.4*** (4.86)
Table 11. Findings from a thorough examination of the formula related to polluting the
environment.
Explain Variable rEP
rSO2 rCOD rSD
rGDP 264.26*** (10.26) 40.26*** (6.26) 100.26*** (6.26)
rGF −0.244*** (−6.01) −0.0284 (−0.46) −0.0624 (−0.86)
rGDP2 −12.48*** (−4.22) −0.0248 (−0.64) −6.488*** (−4.86)
WrEP 1.284*** (6.46) 1.262*** (4.48) 2.048*** (6.24)
T −6.246*** (6.86) −1.268*** (−4.26) −4.268*** (−4.28)
InFI −28.48*** (−6.84) −2.646 (−0.86) −18.28*** (−6.48)
InR −46.26*** (−8.28) −16.28*** (−8.26) −21.48*** (−6.28)
InD −48.26*** (−4.28) −8.286*** (−4.102) −18.82*** (−8.06)
_cons 466.64*** (4.66) 126.48*** (4.68) 426.68*** (6.04)
Table 12.Findings from an in-depth assessment regarding the growth equation's resilience.
Explain Variable rGDP
rSO2 rCOD rSD
rGF 0.1066*** (2.66) 0.0684** (2.02) 0.0686** (1.88)
rEP −0.00164*** (−6.28) −0.00248* (−1.66) −0.00284*** (−8.28)
WrGDP 0.0684*** (2.88) 0.0846** (2.24) 0.0846** (2.16)
InL 0.204** (2.46) 0.246*** (4.28) 0.0462 (0.24)
InK 0.166*** (4.86) 0.0846 (1.02) 0.142*** (4.26)
E 0.0642** (2.22) 0.162*** (4.88) 0.0628** (2.26)
_cons −1.266*** (2.88) −2.468*** (−8.88) −0.408 (−0.68)
The findings show that the control and core variables of the spatial simultaneous equation are
statistically very close, with constant positive and negative estimation coefficients; this bodes
well for the robustness of the empirical study.