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Statistics S3 Exam Paper Analysis

(1) The machine fills bottles with mineral water. A random sample of 100 bottles was taken and the volume of water in each bottle was measured and coded. The sample mean was 1008.47 ml and the sample variance was 13.510.09. (2) The null hypothesis is that the mean volume is 1010 ml and the alternative hypothesis is that the mean volume is not 1010 ml. (3) Using a significance level of 5%, the critical region is values more than 1.96 standard deviations above or below 1010 ml.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
133 views28 pages

Statistics S3 Exam Paper Analysis

(1) The machine fills bottles with mineral water. A random sample of 100 bottles was taken and the volume of water in each bottle was measured and coded. The sample mean was 1008.47 ml and the sample variance was 13.510.09. (2) The null hypothesis is that the mean volume is 1010 ml and the alternative hypothesis is that the mean volume is not 1010 ml. (3) Using a significance level of 5%, the critical region is values more than 1.96 standard deviations above or below 1010 ml.

Uploaded by

baojia chen
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Please check the examination details below before entering your candidate information

Candidate surname Other names

Centre Number Candidate Number

Pearson Edexcel International Advanced Level


Time 1 hour 30 minutes Paper
reference WST03/01
Mathematics
 

International Advanced Subsidiary/ Advanced Level


Statistics S3

You must have: Total Marks


Mathematical Formulae and Statistics Tables (Yellow), calculator

Candidates may use any calculator permitted by Pearson regulations. Calculators


must not have the facility for symbolic algebraic manipulation, differentiation and
integration, or have retrievable mathematical formulae stored in them.
Instructions
•• Use black ink or ball-point pen.


If pencil is used for diagrams/sketches/graphs it must be dark (HB or B).
Fill in the boxes at the top of this page with your name,

••
centre number and candidate number.
Answer all questions and ensure that your answers to parts of questions are clearly labelled.
Answer the questions in the spaces provided


– there may be more space than you need.
You should show sufficient working to make your methods clear. Answers without


working may not gain full credit.
Values from the statistical tables should be quoted in full. If a calculator is used instead of


the tables, the value should be given to an equivalent degree of accuracy.
Inexact answers should be given to three significant figures unless otherwise stated.
Information
•• A booklet ‘Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables’ is provided.


There are 7 questions in this question paper. The total mark for this paper is 75.
The marks for each question are shown in brackets
– use this as a guide as to how much time to spend on each question.
Advice
•• Read each question carefully before you start to answer it.

••
Try to answer every question.
Check your answers if you have time at the end.
If you change your mind about an answer, cross it out and put your new
answer and any working underneath.
Turn over

P72906A
©2023 Pearson Education Ltd.
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*P72906A0128*
1 A machine fills bottles with mineral water.
The machine is checked every day to ensure that it is working correctly. On a particular

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day a random sample of 100 bottles is taken. The volume of water, x millilitres, for each
bottle is measured and each measurement is coded using
y  x  1000

The results are summarised below

 y  847     y 2  13 510.09

(a) (i) Show that the value of the unbiased estimate of the mean of x is 1008.47
(ii) Calculate the unbiased estimate of the variance of x
(4)
The machine was initially set so that the volume of water in a bottle had a mean value
of 1010 millilitres.
Later, a test at the 5% significance level is used to determine whether or not the mean
volume of water in a bottle has changed. If it has changed then the machine is stopped
and reset.
(b) Write down suitable null and alternative hypotheses for a 2-tailed test.
(1)
(c) Find the critical region for X in the above test.
(4)
(d) Using your answer to part (a) and your critical region found in part (c), comment on
whether or not the machine needs to be stopped and reset.
Give a reason for your answer.
(2)
(e) Explain why the use of σ 2  s 2 is reasonable in this situation.
(1)
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(Total for Question 1 is 12 marks)

5
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2 The table shows the season’s best times, x seconds, for the 8 athletes who took part in
the 200 m final in the 2021 Tokyo Olympics. It also shows their finishing position in
the race.

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Athlete A B C D E F G H

Season’s best time 19.89 19.83 19.74 19.84 19.91 19.99 20.13 20.10

Finishing position 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Given that the fastest season’s best time is ranked number 1


(a) calculate the value of the Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient for these data.
(4)
(b) Stating your hypotheses clearly, test, at the 1% level of significance, whether or not
there is evidence of a positive correlation between the rank of the season’s best time
and the finishing position for these athletes.
(4)
Chris suggests that it would be better to use the actual finishing time, y seconds, of these
athletes rather than their finishing position.
Given that

S xx = 0.1286875    S yy = 0.55275    S xy = 0.225175

(c) calculate the product moment correlation coefficient between the season’s best time
and the finishing time for these athletes.
Give your answer correct to 3 decimal places.
(2)
(d) Use your value of the product moment correlation coefficient to test, at the 1% level
of significance, whether or not there is evidence of a positive correlation between
the season’s best time and the finishing time for these athletes.
(2)
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(Total for Question 2 is 12 marks)

9
 *P72906A0928* Turn over
3 A mobile phone company offers an insurance policy to its customers when they
purchase a mobile phone. The company conducted a survey on the age of the customers
and whether or not claims were made.

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A random sample of 1200 customers from this company was investigated for 2020 and
the results are shown in the table below.

Claim made No claim


Total
in 2020 made in 2020
17 – 20 years 24 176 200

Age 21 – 50 years 48 652 700


51 years
14 286 300
and over
Total 86 1114 1200

The data are to be used to determine whether or not making a claim is independent
of age.
(a) Calculate the expected frequencies for the age group 51 years and over that
(i) made a claim in 2020
(ii) did not make a claim in 2020
(2)
The 4 classes of customers aged between 17 and 50 give a value of
(O  E ) 2
 E  7.123 correct to 3 decimal places.
(b) Test, at the 1% level of significance, whether or not making a claim is independent
of age. Show your working clearly, stating your hypotheses, the degrees of freedom,
the test statistic and the critical value used.
(7)
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 *P72906A01328* Turn over
4 A research student is investigating the number of children who are girls in families with
4 children.

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The table below shows her results for 200 such families.

Number of girls 0 1 2 3 4

Frequency 15 68 69 38 10

1
The research student suggests that a binomial distribution with p = could be a
2
suitable model for the number of children who are girls in a family of 4 children.
(a) Using her results and a 5% significance level, test the research student’s claim.
You should state your hypotheses, expected frequencies, test statistic and the critical
value used.
(8)
The research student decides to refine the model and retains the idea of using a binomial
distribution but does not specify the probability that the child is a girl.
(b) Use the data in the table to show that the probability that a child is a girl is 0.45
(2)
The research student uses the probability from part (b) to calculate a new set of
expected frequencies, none of which are less than 5
O  E 
2

The statistic  E
is evaluated and found to be 2.47

(c) Test, at the 5% significance level, whether using a binomial distribution is suitable
to model the number of children who are girls in a family of 4 children.
You should state your hypotheses and the critical value used.
(4)
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5 Claire grows strawberries on her farm. She wants to compare two brands of fertiliser,
brand A and brand B.

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She grows two sets of plants of the same variety of strawberries under the same
conditions, fertilising one set with brand A and the other with brand B.
The yields per plant, in grams, from each set of plants are summarised below.

Mean Standard deviation Number of plants

Fertiliser A 1377 17.8 50

Fertiliser B 1368 18.4 40

(a) Stating your hypotheses clearly, carry out a suitable test to assess whether the
mean yield from plants using fertiliser A is greater than the mean yield from plants
using fertiliser B.
Use a 1% level of significance and state your test statistic and critical value.
(7)
The total cost of fertiliser A for Claire’s 50 plants was £75
The total cost of fertiliser B for Claire’s 40 plants was £50
Claire sells all her strawberries at £3 per kilogram.
(b) Use this information, together with your answer in part (a), to advise Claire on
which of the two brands of fertiliser she should use next year in order to maximise
her expected profit per plant, giving a reason for your answer.
(3)
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(Total for Question 5 is 10 marks)

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 *P72906A02128* Turn over
6 A garden centre sells bags of stones and large bags of gravel.
The weight, X kilograms, of stones in a bag can be modelled by a normal distribution

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with unknown mean μ and known standard deviation 0.4
The stones in each of a random sample of 36 bags from a large batch is weighed.
The total weight of stones in these 36 bags is found to be 806.4 kg
(a) Find a 98% confidence interval for the mean weight of stones in the batch.
(4)
(b) Explain why the use of the Central Limit theorem is not required to answer part (a)
(1)
The manufacturer of these bags of stones claims that bags in this batch have a mean
weight of 22.5 kg
(c) Using your answer to part (a), comment on the claim made by the manufacturer.
(2)
The weight, Y kilograms, of gravel in a large bag can be modelled by a normal
distribution with mean 850 kg and standard deviation 5 kg
A builder purchases 10 large bags of gravel.
(d) Find the probability that the mean weight of gravel in the 10 large bags is less than
848 kg
(3)
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Question 6 continued
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 *P72906A02328* Turn over
Question 6 continued
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Question 6 continued
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(Total for Question 6 is 10 marks)

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 *P72906A02528* Turn over
7 At a particular supermarket, the times taken to serve each customer in a queue at a
standard checkout may be modelled by a normal distribution with mean 240 seconds
and standard deviation 20 seconds.

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There is a queue of 3 customers at a standard checkout.
Making a reasonable assumption about the times taken to serve these customers,
(a) find the probability that the total time taken to serve the 3 customers will be less
than 11 minutes.
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(b) State the assumption you have made in part (a)
(1)
In the supermarket there is also an express checkout, which is reserved for customers
buying 10 or fewer items. The time taken to serve a customer at this express checkout
may be modelled by a normal distribution with mean 100 seconds and standard
deviation 8 seconds.
On a particular day Jiang has 8 items to pay for and has to choose whether to join a
queue of 3 customers waiting at a standard checkout or a queue of 7 customers waiting
at the express checkout.
Using a similar assumption to that made in part (a),
(c) find the probability that the total time taken to serve the 3 customers at the
standard checkout will exceed the total time taken to serve the 7 customers at
the express checkout.
(4)
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Question 7 continued
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Question 7 continued
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(Total for Question 7 is 8 marks)

TOTAL FOR PAPER IS 75 MARKS

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*P72906A02828* 

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