Semiconductor Supply Chain Resilience
Semiconductor Supply Chain Resilience
SEMICONDUCTOR
SUPPLY CHAIN
DISCUSSION PAPER
2 Resilience of the Semiconductor Supply Chain
1 2 3 4 5
CONTENTS
Technology is all around us. From the visible to the invisible. CHAPTER 1
Introduction 3
And never has the power of technology been greater, not just to
CHAPTER 2
make things easier, but to make things better. It is the tool that
The driving force behind digitalization 4
enables us to shape our world and enriches our lives.
A complex, capital-intensive, and global supply chain 5
Pandemic-fueled demand for chips 6
Technology brings us together.
It connects us.
CHAPTER 3
Unprecedented expansion of manufacturing capacity 7
And these connections power innovation,
Construction challenges 9
foster creativity, and drive discovery.
Delivery of capital equipment and spare parts 9
Initial tooling andservice logistics 9
We know our partners operate in a dynamic and fast-changing market
and need to deliver the latest advancements around the world – safely, CHAPTER 4
reliably and quickly. This requires resilient and flexible supply chains to Futureproofing the supply chain 11
ensure that goods reach their destinations intact and on time. Acceleration of digitalization initiatives 12
Build stronger partnerships 13
We also offer multi-modal, specialized solutions to transport invaluable Develop resilient product and inventory strategies 14
machinery and precious parts, leveraging our own network that connects more Navigate to zero environmental impact 15
than 220 countries and territories globally. Technology connects people.
CHAPTER 5
Insights for chip manufacturers 16
Logistics connects the world.
Insights about increasing supply chain resilience 17
Connecting you.
3 Resilience of the Semiconductor Supply Chain
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AUTHORED BY
Alexander Gunde,
President Technology
Sector at DHL Customer
Solutions and Innovation
Boris Finselberg,
Global Lead DHL
Semiconductor
Logistics at DHL
Customer Solutions Peter Rolfes,
and Innovation Director Sector Development
at DHL Customer Solutions
and Innovation
4 Resilience of the Semiconductor Supply Chain
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THE DRIVING FORCE adult spends more than 12 hours a day interacting directly
with electronic devices 6. In 2022, Gartner expects sales of
current decade, with the semiconductor sector becoming a
trillion-dollar industry by 2030 2. Most of that growth will
BEHIND DIGITALIZATION
PCs, tablets and mobiles phones to reach 1.9 billion units 7. be driven by three sectors, McKinsey says: investments in
processing and data storage capacity needed to run emerging
Each of those products is likely to contain multiple AI-powered services; new generations of connected devices
semiconductor components, including processors, memory and the infrastructure needed to support them; and the
chips, wireless communication devices, sensors, and a collection radical changes underway in the automotive sector 2.
of simpler parts. Altogether, the global semiconductor
industry sold a record 1.15 trillion units in 20218. The sector’s Of those, it is the automotive industry that is
recent performance has been boosted by the coronavirus expected to be the biggest single source of
crisis, which increased demand for digital services, $1 growth for the semiconductor industry.
e-commerce infrastructure, and tools for remote working. trillion Today’s cars are already packed with
global semiconductor electronics, with between 1,000 and
The growth of the semiconductor industry revenue in 3,500 chips used to control multiple
2030
is expected to continue in the coming functions 1. The shift to electric powertrains
years, although progress may be bumpy. and the addition of advanced self-driving
By the middle of 2022, for example, features could result in an eight-fold increase
semiconductor demand had begun to in the semiconductor content of some vehicles. And the
slow in the face of lower consumer automotive sector’s share of total semiconductor demand
demand and as companies sought to
1,000 to 3,500 could rise from 8% today to as much as 15% in 2030 2.
cut their pandemic-era inventories. chips in every car
1.9
billion
PCs, tablets and mobile
phones to be sold
in 2022
1200
6-8%
1000
800
7%
600
400
200
2011 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Forecast 2022-2030
70
The journey of a chip might begin in the US, where silicon completed by highly specialized organizations, taking advantage the world. For example, 92% of global fabrication
To assemble
dioxide is mined and refined before it is shipped to Japan to be of know-how built up over decades. Different generations of capacity for the most advanced sub-10-nm a singe chip requires
border
melted down and grown into a giant single crystal called an semiconductor technology are often described by the chips is in Taiwan 3. The rest is in South Korea. crossings
ingot. That ingot might then be sliced into wafers in South approximate size of their smallest features, a dimension known These advanced factories are getting more
Korea, before being shipped to a foundry (fab) in Taiwan. At the as the ‘technology node’. This size has shrunk dramatically from expensive too. For example, TSMC’s most
fab, equipment from Europe is used to etch the circuits for
multiple chips onto each wafer, based on designs created by
around 50 micrometers (μm) in the 1960s to just a few
nanometers (nm) today.
advanced fab dedicated to 3-nm chips is
expected to cost as much as $20 billion 9.
1,000+
process steps
multiple US and European technology suppliers.
12
or more
countries
DESIGN WAFER PROCESSING ASSEMBLY & TEST FINISHED GOODS DC OR DISTRIBUTOR END CUSTOMERS
1
3 3
3
2 4 4
5 4
9
8
6
Supply Center
Foundry (RDC / GDC)
1. A UK firm licenses the IP on application process architecture 6. The wafers may be shipped to fabs in Taiwan and turned into
integrated circuits
2. A US-based fabless firm designs the chip
Assembly
7. Individual chips are separated and packaged by an Assembly & Design & Testing Distributor
3. Highly advanced manufacturing equipment is developed
Testing in Malaysia (A&T) 6 7
by companies in the US, Europe, or Japan
8. The chip is shipped to the smartphone OEM’s assembly
4. Silicon dioxide is mined and refined in the US and sent to Japan to be
partner in China, to be incorporated into a circuit board inside the Capital
melted down and grown into a giant single Equipment /
crystal called an ingot
phone
Spares 3
9. The smartphone is sold to a customer in the US
5. That ingot might then be sliced into wafers in South Korea
Source: Semiconductor Industry Industry Association (SIA), Boston Consulting Group (BCG): Strengthening the Global Semiconductor Supply Chain in an Uncertain Era
6 Resilience of the Semiconductor Supply Chain
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SEMICONDUCTOR SALES IN 2019 BY APPLICATION FORECASTED VS. ACTUAL SALES GROWTH IN % (2020)
PC 67 +11
¹Products include memory, microcomponents, logic, analog, discrete, optoelectronic, and sensors/
actuators. ²Includes Chinese inventory effect; growth rate without inventory expected to be -4 to
-8 %. ³Graphics processing unit. ⁴As of December 2019. The estimates for 2020 were calculated
using a 2019 baseline, and percentages have been rounded.
Source MckKinsey, IHS, Strategy Analytics
7 Resilience of the Semiconductor Supply Chain
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EXPANSION OF
capable of etching the smallest transistors on the largest example. These new fabs are likely to encourage players
wafers can cost more than $20 billion 3 and take two years or from other parts of the semiconductor value chain to set
longer. The big chipmakers must also invest billions of dollars up nearby, including suppliers of raw materials and capital
PLANNED EXPANSIONS OF
SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CAPACITY
Japan, Taiwan
Arizona (US)
India
Texas (US)
India Germany
Vietnam
Texas (US) Japan
Indonesia Texas, Idaho (US)
Malaysia India
Hungary
Singapore India
Malaysia
Malaysia Japan
Malaysia
France
Italy
Japan
Japan
Texas (US)
China
Arizona
Japan
Texas (US)
40
Netherlands – manufactures the most advanced
transportation logistics Shipping
extreme ultraviolet (EUV) equipment needed containers
to produce today’s most advanced chips.
20
Engineering and
Ad-hoc deliveries
transport design Trucks
The limited availability of capital
3
equipment is a significant challenge Boeing 747
Site requirements to today’s wave of fab construction. cargo aircraft
The equipment for each chip production
to move all its components of most
line takes several years to manufacture advanced EUV machine which
and requires thousands of components from contains 100,000 parts
highly specialized suppliers. ASML reports that
it shipped only 42 EUV systems in 202112.
CONSTRUCTION CHALLENGES Transporting the machines from factory to fab is also a challenge.
Large capital projects are notoriously difficult to complete At greenfield sites, semiconductor companies and their The most advanced system requires 40 shipping containers,
on time and on budget. For the semiconductor industry, suppliers need to establish significant new logistics capacity 20 trucks, and three Boeing 747 cargo aircraft 13 to move all its
the current surge in activity will be especially challenging. to support construction activities. That means new multi- components. And once all that equipment is in place at a new
The construction of multiple facilities in parallel will place modal transportation capabilities, including air, sea, and site, the process of assembly, test, and setup can take several
additional loads on project planning, project management, road freight, as well as warehouse space for the staging and months. This is followed by a further ramp up period as the line is
and project delivery resources, and some of this activity will preparation of equipment prior to installation. Demand for equipped with tooling for specific products and the fab operator
take place in geographical areas where there is no established warehousing near semiconductor facilities is optimizes its production and quality control processes.
ecosystem for advanced manufacturing for sub-5-nm particularly acute, competing for the same space. During these critical early phases of production,
24+
chips (e.g., in the US state of Ohio, equipment and tooling suppliers will work closely
and in France and Germany). The volume and variety of logistics activities with the fab, and they must have access to a
Months duration required during the construction of a major comprehensive local supply of spare parts
Efficient and well-coordinated $20 of new fab
construction
semiconductor facility can be formidable. and equipment to support their customers.
logistics is a critical element of
any major construction project.
billion: One recent mega-fab project, for example,
involved almost 28,000 square meters of dedicated
Cost of the most
For semiconductor plants, the warehouse space and an additional 60,000 square
products and materials that must
advanced fabrication
plants (fabs) meters of yard space. These facilities can handle almost 13,000
INITIAL TOOLING AND
be delivered to the site fall into separate shipments, ranging in size from 2-kg parcels to 50-ton
SERVICE LOGISTICS
three broad categories. First, there are items of capital equipment delivered on chartered ships. On During the operating life of a fab, equipment
commodity items such as concrete or average, 20 heavy or oversized items, outside the sizes of items providers will remain on hand to support, maintain,
steel beams. Second, there are general industrial products such transportable by standard equipment, can be delivered every and repair their equipment. The service level agreements
as chillers, storage tanks, and gas handling equipment. These week. Each of those movements requires detailed planning and between suppliers and customers are stringent, with response
may be sourced from local, regional, or global suppliers and may the use of cranes and other specialist handling equipment. times measured in minutes or hours rather than days. To deliver
be large, out-of-gauge items that need specialist transport assets that level of support, equipment makers will hold spare parts
and handling equipment. Finally, there is the highly specialized inventories at forward stocking locations or warehouse facilities
equipment used to make the chips. This consists of delicate, close to the customer. Suppliers face significant competition for
high-value items that require extremely careful handling. the critical warehousing locations close to newly constructed
fabs, which tend to be in short supply. They also require rapid and
efficient transport links back to their home operations.
10 Resilience of the Semiconductor Supply Chain
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An integrated, flexible end-to-end approach with a strategic set of services for construction projects based on site,
project type and customer segment
THREE QUESTIONS FOR
LOGISTICS SERVICES BORIS FINSELBERG, GLOBAL LEAD
■
■
International and domestic transportation
Special equipment
■
■
Air Freight Carriers
Ocean Freight Carriers
DHL SEMICONDUCTOR LOGISTICS
■ Staging or FG / SL warehousing ■ Road Special Equipment Providers
■ Project management, CT / LLP and VAS ■ Warehouse Providers
What are the key challenges in fab construction on track during project execution. Finally, a big part
from the logistics perspective? of the challenge in global projects like these is the
OPERATIONAL SUPPORT
In any big construction project, being on time and on need to manage multiple vendors of logistics
■ Engineering and transport design
■ Ability to provide labor / HR budget is always the big challenge. Fab construction services. That’s something that specialist logistics
■ Site requirements
T
raining, safety and permitting management
is especially complex, with many construction service providers do every day.
■
■ Vendor management
■ IT systems
phases, numerous moving parts, and the need to
COMMERCIAL STAKEHOLDER MANAGEMENT coordinate many different logistics For semiconductor construction projects,
processes within tight time win what are the key requirements you
€
■ Menu of Services ■ Transport Management
■ O
wner or Contractor Furnished and ■ Warehousing dows. And right now, the industry should look for in a logistics service
Contractor Installed Equipment ■ LLP / Control Tower faces the added complication of provider?
■ S
takeholder / Contact Matrix Trade Compliance
running multiple major An experienced provider should be
■
CHAPTER 4
FUTUREPROOFING
“We are moving away from a world of availability
(of materials) to a world where we need
In time, newly constructed fabs will ease today’s chip To better understand how companies are adapting their
shortages and the transport market will recover. Only a few supply chains, we conducted interviews with supply chain
in the industry believe that the latest wave of disruptions will leaders from different sectors, including the automotive,
be the last, however. Having learned some difficult lessons consumer electronics and semiconductor industries. During
during the pandemic, supply chain managers are now making these interviews, we identified multiple approaches that these
wide-ranging changes to increase flexibility and resilience. companies are using to futureproof their supply chains.
ACCELERATION OF
DIGITALIZATION INITIATIVES
Knowledge is power in the supply chain. When participants The data companies collect from their suppliers, customers,
know exactly what is happening, or about to happen, in and logistics providers is becoming increasingly granular too.
their supply chains they can make faster, more effective One of the interviewed companies is investing in telematics
HOW LOGISTICS CAN CONTRIBUTE
operational and strategic decisions. Even before the systems with GPS trackers so it can see the precise, real-time Logistics players can assist the supply
pandemic, many organizations were working to improve location of critical inbound components while they are in transit. chain data revolution in several
the flow of information across their supply chains using ways. First, they can provide timely,
digital tools. Those efforts have now gone into overdrive. That sort of rich data enables the creation of much more detailed, detailed data on the status of
dynamic models of the supply chain. Leading companies are shipments, inventories, and transport
For most organizations, transparency begins at home. Supply now applying advanced analytical tools, using simulation assets. Additionally, they can provide
chain managers told us that accelerated digitalization was a top systems such as ‘supply chain digital twins’, for example, to information for critical shipments such as GPS location,
priority during the pandemic, second only to the operational derive valuable operational and strategic insights. They use temperature, and shock measurements and more
challenge of keeping supply chains flowing amid large-scale these systems in scenario planning to identify potential sources detailed visibility into warehouse operations. Leading
disruptions. Companies have increased their investment of disruption and evaluate different mitigation and response providers already run their own operations on advanced
in digital tools to track orders, production processes, and strategies. They are also analyzing data in real time to spot digital platforms, allowing them to make customer- “In 2019, supply chain visibility
inventories. A big focus for many interviewed companies was problems early and trigger appropriate responses. Additionally, specific data available via appropriate interfaces. was a nice-to-have. In 2022,
the integration of data from multiple systems across different these digital tools can help companies to better predict Those providers can also offer platforms that help supply chain visibility has become
geographies, legacy systems and external partners. One key product demand, define suitable inventory levels, and optimize their customers achieve greater visibility and derive
lesson of the recent disruptions is that knowing the status of transportation networks to reduce emissions and costs. new insights from logistics data. Additionally, logistics
a must-have.”
your direct (Tier 1) suppliers is no longer enough. Companies providers can combine visibility of multiple transport Peter Dressler, Vice President Logistics,
also need to understand the situation far upstream in the Finally, digitalization and automation can also increase modes into one overview, making it easier for companies Infineon
supply chain, allowing them to spot potential problems much the efficiency of logistics operations, for example through to switch between different transport modes.
earlier, especially for the key Tier 2, 3, and 4 suppliers. Many implementation of warehouse robots. While very few
companies are trying to improve visibility of the inventory expect or aim for dark warehouses without any workers Moreover, the logistics sector has been investing in
levels of their suppliers to better assess the overall robustness in the foreseeable future, usage of robots and increased advanced analytical capabilities, for example to optimize
of their supply chains. And as supply chain decision-making warehouse automation can support with labor shortages its own operations. Leading logistics players are now
becomes ever-more reliant on rich digital data, organizations and support warehouse workers with repetitive tasks. extending these offerings into the broader supply chain,
are striving to improve the accuracy and speedy availability of helping customers find smart solutions for operational
that data. For one of the interviewed companies, a big focus challenges, improve the design of their logistics networks,
has been achieving a consolidated overview of the supply and optimize inventory levels for their warehouse
chain ready at the touch of a button. Many of the supply chain operations.
managers we interviewed consider digitalization to have been
a key enabler of agility and resilience during the pandemic and Logistics providers can also provide direct
an area which has been accelerated in the past two years. operational support to their customers, for
example by running supply chain control
Some companies are now establishing dedicated control towers on their behalf. These control
towers to monitor and manage their integrated, digitalized towers can provide the customer
supply chains. With a clear view of the end-to-end supply with a consolidated overview of all
chain, these control towers provide a range of levers at the their transport operations, integrating
user's fingertips to help companies overcome shortages and “We need to get much better data from different suppliers.
delays. They can facilitate expedited transport of critical
understanding of our
parts, for example, and pull inventory from alternative Finally, logistics providers can offer
warehouses or production locations, shipping from
supply chain at Tier 2, 3 and 4 level.” automation solutions, for example through
anywhere to anywhere to ensure orders are fulfilled. Jean-Francois Salles, Vice President Global Supply Chain, implementation of warehouse robots.
Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi (RNM) Alliance
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One consumer electronics manufacturer we interviewed set to become the norm. When supplies are limited, for example, important role in our resilience supply the same products from multiple production
locations, run several simultaneous construction
highlighted the importance of strong relationships with its manufacturing and supply chain teams need to work closely strategy and increase projects, or seek to replicate best practice supply chain
own suppliers, such as chip manufacturers to be able to secure with their sales and marketing colleagues to manage customer
the flexibility of our operations.” management across facilities in different regions.
critical delivery of chips in times of supply chain scarcity. expectations, maintain service levels, and protect margins.
This sometimes goes beyond firm order commitments to Russell Shimp, Executive Director, Lenovo
include prepayment to secure necessary production capacity
14 Resilience of the Semiconductor Supply Chain
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NAVIGATE TO ZERO
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT
Most major companies are now committed to the target Switching from carbon-intensive air freight to rail or ocean
of net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by the middle freight is one option, if the supply chain is set up to handle
of the century, and some want their supply chains to the longer transport times required. That approach works
become carbon neutral by as early as 2030. Additionally, well for less time-sensitive, build-to-stock products and
a key focus of many interview participants was not only lower-value commodity items. One company we interviewed
reducing the carbon emissions but also the environmental uses ocean freight for recovering transport packaging and
impact of manufacturing processes, including reducing customer-returned products to its own facilities, even at the
the use of water, chemicals, and virgin materials. cost of slightly longer lead times. Another area of focus is
the optimization of packaging. Much of the packaging used
Some companies are looking at refurbishing used products, across the semiconductor supply chain is single use, incurring
reusing parts of products which cannot be refurbished, for significant financial and environmental costs.
example for product repair, recycling materials recovered “We need to make our supply In the case of large capital equipment used in
from end-of-life products, and safely disposing of any semiconductor foundries, for example, the cost
remaining materials. These steps have both environmental
chains more efficient and of the single-use crates required to protect
and economic advantages, as companies can reuse existing less emissive at the same time.” machines in transit can equal the cost of
parts and materials instead of producing them new. Jean-Francois Salles, Vice President Global Supply Chain, shipping them. Switching to reusable
Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi (RNM) Alliance containers for this application could cut
While transport- and warehousing-related emissions logistics costs dramatically, and the
often represent only a small part of the overall emissions right designs would also improve
of the interviewed companies and their suppliers, many protection and simplify handling.
companies mentioned that their sustainability targets
became additional KPIs for their supply chain operations.
HOW LOGISTICS CAN CONTRIBUTE
To reduce emissions, companies first need to understand Logistics players can support
the source of the emissions. That is no trivial task, especially their customers’ sustainability
for such complex, global supply chains often spanning initiatives in several important
different continents and multiple transport modes. ways. First, they can fill the
information gap by providing data on
The first step towards reduction of the overall demand emissions related to transportation
for transportation is optimizing the transport network. and warehousing. Second, they can help those customers
One of the companies we interviewed aims to reduce road minimize the impact of both new and existing supply chains
transport-related emissions in its supply chain by as much by optimizing routes, loads, and transport modes. Third,
as 30% by better optimizing its transportation network and they can help to identify quick-win areas where emissions
sourcing. Many companies are aiming to source materials can be reduced without significant additional cost.
and components (whenever possible) more locally.
Logistics and transport companies are also investing in
Where products, components, and materials do need to sustainable technologies from electric trucks and zero- “At Google, our goal is to achieve
travel, they will need low or zero carbon way of doing so. emissions warehouses to low-emission fuels for ships net zero emissions across
Several companies we interviewed are already exploring and aircraft. Logistics companies can collaborate with
changes in their logistics practices designed to minimize their customers to develop new closed-loop logistics
all of our operations and value
emissions, for example by using electric vehicles for last-mile chains for reusable packaging and end-of-life product chain by 2030.”
deliveries and alternative fuels, such as sustainable aviation recovery. Additionally, logistics companies can support Carolin Seward, Vice President of Custom Silicon
and maritime fuels (SAF and SMF), LNG and hydrogen. customers' circular economy initiatives, for example by Sourcing and Operations, Google
providing product repair and refurbishment services.
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CHAPTER 5
KEY TAKEAWAYS
INSIGHTS FOR CHIP MANUFACTURERS
The last three years have highlighted the importance of the
semiconductor industry. First the coronavirus crisis drove a HOW LOGISTICS CAN CONTRIBUTE
spike in demand for many product categories. Then the rapid TO FAB CONSTRUCTION
post-crisis economic recovery created additional demand
pressure in a value chain that was already operating at full
capacity. The resulting component shortages, price increases, n Define the scope of work during the construction phase
and long lead times have adversely affected semiconductor and initiate the development of an operational business
customers in multiple sectors. Now the industry – and its model for logistics processes with the project owner
customers – are striving to increase manufacturing capacity and the assigned construction company
and improve the resilience of supply chains, applying lessons
learned during the pandemic to build systems that can n Offer network and bespoke solutions for transportation
mitigate shocks and support sustained long-term growth. of capital equipment, out-of-gauge products, wafers,
and finished goods
Chip manufacturers are making significant investments in new
production facilities, aiming to increase overall capacity and n Support inventory concepts and warehousing /
reduce the geographic concentration of critical production laydown solutions for efficient supply chains and
capabilities. All major chip manufacturers are currently in the resilience
process of constructing multiple fabs in different geographies
across the world. Construction of a single fab has always been a n Foster transparency across the entire ecosystem
challenging, expensive, and time-sensitive process with multiple through digitalization of the logistics process and tier-n
moving parts, and a single delay can have a cascading effect on supplier engagement
the whole project. The simultaneous construction of so many
fabs in so many places significantly compounds this complexity. n Offer commercial models which support the different
parties in the ecosystem, for example aligned
Logistics companies can add value by playing a more active incoterms, payment terms, and rate management
role across the multiple stages of the process, including the
construction phase, the end-to-end manufacturing process, and n Facilitate collaboration between different parties and
final distribution of semiconductors. A logistics provider can contribute to the achievement of customers’
support and add value at every different stage of the process. sustainability targets
17 Resilience of the Semiconductor Supply Chain
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Develop resilient
product and
inventory
strategies
Accelerate
digitalization Build stronger
initiatives partnerships