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Wr19uhso9 CoalMonthlyReviewMar2411

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22 views14 pages

Wr19uhso9 CoalMonthlyReviewMar2411

Uploaded by

raviarya.ism
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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CONTENTS

Snap Shot | Global Prices (USD/MT) 1

Snap Shot | Domestic Prices (INR/MT) 2

Non Coking Coal 3

Coking Coal 4

Met Coke 5

Pet Coke 6

Indian Statistics (Production/Export/Import) 7

Global Statistics (Production/Export/Import) 8

Global Price Indicators 9-10

Currency Indicators 11
Coal Monthly Review | Mar-2024

Snap Shot | Global Prices (USD/MT)

Assessment Feb'24 Jan'24 Dec'23 Nov'23 Oct'23 Sep'23

Non Coking, CNF Gangavaram, India, RB3 (4800 NAR), S.Africa $82 -4 - 12 - 25 - 32 - 21

Non Coking, CNF Gangavaram, India, RB2 (5500 NAR), S.Africa $96 -6 - 13 - 24 - 31 - 20

Non-Coking, CNF Kandla, India, 4800 GAR, Indonesia $85 -1 -3 -1 -2 +6

Non-Coking, CNF Vizag, India, 5000 GAR, Indonesia Origin $90 0 -2 -1 -1 +6

Non-Coking, CNF Kandla, India, 4200 GAR, Indonesia $69 -1 -3 -2 -3 +5

Non Coking, FOB Richards Bay, South Africa, RB1 (6000 NAR) $92 -4 - 12 - 24 - 37 - 26

Non-Coking, FOB Kalimantan, Indonesia, 4800 GAR $74 0 -1 0 -1 +7

Non-Coking, FOB Kalimantan, Indonesia, 3600 GAR $42 0 -1 -1 -1 +5

Non-Coking, FOB Kalimantan, Indonesia, 3400 GAR $37 0 -1 -1 -1 +5

Non-Coking, FOB Newcastle, Australia, 5500 NAR,0-50 mm $98 +3 +4 0 - 10 +5

Non-Coking, FOB Baltimore, USA, 6000 NAR,0-50 mm $70 -3 -5 -7 - 10 -8

Coking Coal, CNF Paradip, India, HCC 64 Mid Vol, Australia ,0-40mm $277 - 12 - 15 0 - 10 + 13

Coking Coal, CNF Paradip, India, Semi Soft, Australia $164 -5 -9 -4 - 36 - 28

PCI, CNF Paradip, India, Low Vol PCI, Australia $182 -6 - 10 - 19 - 36 -9

Anthracite Coal, CNF Paradip, India, Anthracite, Russia ,0-13 mm $171 +4 -4 -4 0 + 20

Coking Coal, FOB Hay Point, Australia, Premium HCC $316 - 16 - 10 -6 - 38 + 14

Coking Coal, FOB Hay Point, Australia, Semi Soft $149 -5 -6 -2 - 35 - 27

PCI, FOB Hay Point, Australia, Low Vol PCI,0-40mm $168 -4 -6 - 16 - 34 -7

Coking Coal, FOB Hampton Roads, USA, Low Vol HCC,0-40mm $264 -1 -8 +8 -1 + 23

Met Coke, CNF Hazira, India, 64% CSR, China ,25-90mm $359 -7 - 16 -7 - 12 + 20

Met Coke, CNF Haldia, India, 64% CSR, Japan origin $374 +4 +4 +4 +4 + 16
Nut Coke, CNF Vizag, India, Colombia-origin, Nut Coke, Colombia ,10-30
$354 +4 +4 +4 +4 + 16
mm
Met Coke, FOB Tianjin, China, 64% CSR,25-90mm $316 - 11 - 30 - 12 - 18 +6

Met Coke, FOB Tianjin, China, 62% CSR,25-90mm $312 - 11 - 30 - 12 - 18 +6

Pet Coke, CNF Kandla, India, 6.5% Sulphur, US,0-50 mm $117 0 -8 - 17 - 13 - 15

Pet Coke, CNF Vizag, India, 9% Sulphur, Saudi Arabia,0-50 mm $120 0 -8 - 17 - 14 - 16

Prices considered on monthly average basis.

Copyright@ 2009-2024 Pg | 1
Coal Monthly Review | Mar-2024

Snap Shot | Domestic Prices (INR/MT)

Assessment Feb'24 Jan'24 Dec'23 Nov'23 Oct'23 Sep'23

Non Coking, Portside, Ex-Gangavaram, India, RB2 (5500 NAR), S.Africa ₹8,600 - 464 - 864 - 2,008 - 2,739 - 1,850

Non Coking, Portside, Ex-Vizag, India, RB3 (4800 NAR), South Africa ₹7,300 - 592 - 1,100 - 1,996 - 2,378 - 1,562

Non Coking, Portside, Ex-Paradip, India, RB3 (4800 NAR), South Africa ₹7,400 - 508 - 959 - 1,871 - 2,178 - 1,385

Non Coking, Portside, Ex-Kandla, India, 4200 GAR, Indonesia ₹6,133 + 33 - 17 - 217 - 157 + 471

Non Coking, Portside, Ex-Navlakhi, India, 3400 GAR, Indonesia ₹5,117 + 17 + 17 + 17 + 167 + 517

Non Coking, Portside, Ex-Vizag, India, 5000 GAR, Indonesia ₹7,900 + 75 - 100 - 550 - 410 + 25

Non Coking, Portside, Ex-Kandla, India, 6900 NAR, US ₹11,625 - 375 - 375 - 1,335 - 1,375 + 750

Non Coking, Portside, Ex-Paradip, India, 6000 NAR, Russia ₹10,425 - 615 - 975 - 655 - 575 + 200

Met Coke, Exy-Jajpur, India, Blast Furnace-grade,25-90 mm ₹34,000 - 500 - 1,375 - 3,000 - 4,250 - 1,100

Met Coke, Exy-Gandhidham, India, Blast Furnace-grade,25-90 mm ₹33,500 - 500 - 875 - 2,500 - 3,875 - 1,100

Met Coke, Exy-Rajkot, India, Foundry-grade,+90 mm ₹36,500 0 - 750 - 2,600 - 4,000 - 1,700
Pet Coke, Exw-Koyali, Gujarat (Rake), Fuel, Indian Oil Corporation,0-50
₹11,470 - 710 - 1,610 - 2,510 - 2,060 - 2,520
mm
Pet coke, Exw-Jamnagar, Gujarat, Fuel, Reliance Industries,0-50 mm ₹13,172 0 - 374 - 1,337 - 488 - 1,157

Prices considered on monthly average basis.

Copyright@ 2009-2024 Pg | 2
Coal Monthly Review | Mar-2024

Non Coking Coal

Monthly Average Price Table


FOB
FOB FOB FOB
Richards
Kalimantan, Newcastle, Baltimore, Sentiments
Bay, South
Indonesia Australia US.
Africa
RB3 (4800 0-50 mm, 0-50 mm,
Month 4200 GAR
NAR) 5500 NAR 6000 NAR
Dec-22 92 126 138 170

Jan-23 85 116 134 140

Feb-23 74 98 128 113 What happened

Mar-23 74 97 124 96 • Indonesian thermal coal prices edged down to


$57/t in February'2024.
Apr-23 72 92 122 94

May-23 69 82 114 84 • South African coal prices fell m-o-m in


February'2024 to $63/t.
Jun-23 55 68 89 71

Jul-23 52 69 90 69 What may happen

Aug-23 51 77 88 72
• The South African thermal coal prices are
anticipated to pick up on supply constraints at
Sep-23 52 91 93 78
RBCT.
Oct-23 59 100 108 80

Nov-23 58 92 98 77 • Indonesian thermal coal prices may pick up as


demand from India is expected to rise towards
Dec-23 58 78 94 75
mid of March’24 due to onset of summer.
Jan-24 58 68 95 73

Feb-24 57 63 98 70

Note:

BCD - 1%, AIDC - 1.5%


FOB prices in USD/MT.

Copyright@ 2009-2024 Pg | 3
Coal Monthly Review | Mar-2024

Coking Coal

Monthly Average Price Table


FOB Hay FOB Hay FOB Hay FOB
Point, Point, Point, Hampton Sentiments
Australia Australia Australia Road, US
HCC 64 Mid 0-40mm, Low 0-40mm, Low
Month Premium HCC
Vol Vol PCI Vol HCC
Dec-22 263 244 253 261

Jan-23 315 293 302 294

Feb-23 368 336 330 326

Mar-23 346 309 308 316 What happened


Apr-23

May-23
274

232
243

206
240

203
265

233
• Australian Premium HCC prices dropped by 5%
in February 2024 to $316/t FOB.
Jun-23

Jul-23
230

232
202

200
192

174
211

221
• US coking coal prices fell marginally m-o-m in
February 2024 to $264/t, FOB.

Aug-23 253 220 157 215


What may happen
Sep-23

Oct-23
302

354
248

272
175

202
241

265
• Australian coking coal prices are anticipated to
fall on reduced downstream steel demand
Nov-23 322 261 184 256 from India.

Dec-23 326 274 174 272

Jan-24 332 273 172 265

Feb-24 316 262 168 264

Note:
FOB prices in USD/MT.

Copyright@ 2009-2024 Pg | 4
Coal Monthly Review | Mar-2024

Met Coke

Monthly Average Price Table


Exw-Jajpur, CNF Hazira, Nut Coke, CNF Exw-Tangshan,
Sentiments
India India India China
25-90 mm, Blast 25-90mm, 64% 10-30 mm, Nut 25-50mm,
Month
Furnace-grade CSR, China Coke, Colombia Quasi-Grade I
Dec-22 38,500 399 468 2,790

Jan-23 41,600 438 445 2,740

Feb-23 44,000 443 430 2,700 What happened

Mar-23 42,830 437 458 2,700 • Met coke prices edged down m-o-m to INR 34,000/t
for blast furnace grade Exw-jajpur.
Apr-23 40,900 417 465 2,540

May-23 37,830 364 465 2,130 • Domestic met coke prices are still expensive
compared to imported material.
Jun-23 35,500 307 431 1,880

Jul-23 33,900 310 380 1,920 • Merchant cokeries are operating at reduced capacity
due to high coking coal prices.Also, few cokeries have
Aug-23 33,000 329 380 2,140
been shutdown temporarily.
Sep-23 35,100 339 338 2,110
What may happen
Oct-23 38,250 371 350 2,260

Nov-23 37,000 366 350 2,230 • Indian met coke prices may fall further unless coking
coal prices are reduced enough for cokeries to fetch
Dec-23 35,380 375 350 2,420
margins.
Jan-24 34,500 366 350 2,310

Feb-24 34,000 359 354 2,210

Note:
5% GST
Incl-tax
Domestic prices in INR/MT. CNF prices in USD/MT. Domestic prices in RMB/MT.

Copyright@ 2009-2024 Pg | 5
Coal Monthly Review | Mar-2024

Pet Coke

Monthly Average Price Table


Exw-Koyali,
Exw-Jamnagar, CNF Mundra, CNF Kandla,
Gujarat (Rake), Sentiments
Gujrat India India
IOCL
0-50 mm, Fuel, 0-50 mm, Fuel, 0-50 mm, 9%
0-50 mm, 6.5%
Month Indian Oil Reliance Sulphur, Saudi
Sulphur, US
Corporation Industries Arabia
Dec-22 17,380 17,810 174 175

Jan-23 17,150 17,650 175 177

Feb-23 16,950 17,730 181 179

Mar-23 17,180 17,650 162 163 What happened


Apr-23

May-23
14,420

12,980
16,510

14,640
145

130
145

126
• RIL has kept prices stable on monthly basis at INR
13,170/t.
Jun-23

Jul-23
11,800

11,400
13,230

11,860
108

114
106

114
• US pet coke prices were largely unchanged in
February 2024 at $117/t.

Aug-23 12,610 13,180 127 127


What may happen
Sep-23

Oct-23
13,990

13,530
14,330

13,660
132

131
132

130
• Indian pet coke price may witness upward rise on
rising infrastructure demand.However, financial year
Nov-23 13,980 14,510 134 134 end may inhibit the increase.

Dec-23 13,080 13,550 125 125

Jan-24 12,180 13,170 117 117

Feb-24 11,470 13,170 117 117

Note:
GST 18%, TCS 0.1%
Domestic prices in INR/MT. CNF prices in USD/MT.

Copyright@ 2009-2024 Pg | 6
Coal Monthly Review | Mar-2024

Indian Statistics (Production/Export/Import)

% Change M-
Product Unit Quantity Latest Month Quantity Previous Month Total 2023
o-M
Production

Crude Steel MnT 12.51 January'24 12.14 December'23 3.05 137.08

Hot Metal MnT 7.55 January'24 7.36 December'23 2.58 85.21

Sponge Iron MnT 4.50 January'24 4.39 December'23 2.51 48.49

Non Coking Coal MnT 90.15 February'24 93.39 January'24 -3.47 903.56

Coking Coal MnT 6.43 February'24 6.35 January'24 1.26 65.03

Met Coke MnT 3.91 January'24 4.07 December'23 -3.93 45.26

Pet Coke MnT 1.10 September'23 1.25 August'23 -12.00 11.57

Lignite MnT 3.86 February'24 4.04 January'24 -4.46 42.07

Export

Pig Iron MnT 0.06 December'23 0.02 November'23 200.00 0.30

Met Coke MnT 0.01 December'23 0.02 November'23 -50.00 0.12

Import

Non Coking Coal MnT 14.81 February'24 14.45 January'24 2.49 176.41

Coking Coal MnT 4.68 February'24 5.18 January'24 -9.65 54.61

PCI Coal MnT 1.25 February'24 1.01 January'24 23.76 15.53

Anthracite MnT 0.12 February'24 0.12 January'24 0.00 1.88

Met Coke MnT 0.34 February'24 0.36 January'24 -5.56 3.83

Pet Coke MnT 1.43 February'24 0.81 January'24 76.54 11.90

Copyright@ 2009-2024 Pg | 7
Coal Monthly Review | Mar-2024

Global Statistics (Production/Export/Import)

Previous % Change M-
County Product Unit Quantity Latest Month Quantity Total 2023
Month o-M
Production

China Coal MnT 455.59 December'23 454.36 November'23 0.27 5167.75

China Met Coke MnT 41.28 December'23 40.37 November'23 2.25 489.54

Indonesia Coal MnT 46.95 December'23 66.56 November'23 -29.46 743.63

Japan Met Coke MnT 2.20 December'23 2.15 November'23 2.33 27.73

South Africa Coal MnT 20.79 November'23 20.28 October'23 2.51 214.23

Ukraine Met Coke MnT 0.22 August'22 0.19 July'22 15.79

Export
Non Coking
Australia MnT 15.24 February'24 17.05 January'24 -10.62 199.39
Coal
Australia Coking Coal MnT 12.24 February'24 10.80 January'24 13.33 147.93

China Met Coke MnT 0.79 December'23 0.81 November'23 -2.47 8.87
Non Coking
Indonesia MnT 27.46 January'24 32.41 December'23 -15.27 352.96
Coal
Indonesia Coking Coal MnT 1.98 January'24 3.14 December'23 -36.94 24.87

Indonesia Met Coke MnT 0.13 January'24 0.45 December'23 -71.11 1.57
Non Coking
South Africa MnT 5.61 January'24 6.14 December'23 -8.63 63.04
Coal
United Non Coking
MnT 3.45 December'23 3.19 November'23 8.15 38.92
States Coal
United
Coking Coal MnT 3.81 December'23 3.82 November'23 -0.26 46.53
States
United
Pet Coke MnT 4.12 December'23 2.29 November'23 79.91 38.49
States
Import
Non Coking
China MnT 15.33 December'23 14.66 November'23 4.57 148.22
Coal
China Coking Coal MnT 11.46 December'23 9.92 November'23 15.52 102.51

China Met Coke MnT 0.01 December'23 0.01 November'23 0.00 0.24
Non Coking
Japan MnT 11.14 January'24 10.47 December'23 6.40 113.60
Coal
Japan Coking Coal MnT 2.94 January'24 2.59 December'23 13.51 39.79
Non Coking
Pakistan MnT 0.58 February'24 0.89 January'24 -34.83 5.83
Coal
Non Coking
South Korea MnT 7.93 December'23 5.65 November'23 40.35 88.79
Coal
South Korea Coking Coal MnT 2.36 December'23 2.62 November'23 -9.92 24.15
Non Coking
Turkey MnT 2.69 January'24 3.37 December'23 -20.18 34.89
Coal
Turkey Coking Coal MnT 0.75 January'24 0.19 December'23 294.74 4.53

Copyright@ 2009-2024 Pg | 8
Coal Monthly Review | Mar-2024

Global Price Indicators

Copyright@ 2009-2024 Pg | 9
Coal Monthly Review | Mar-2024

Global Price Indicators

Copyright@ 2009-2024 Pg | 10
Coal Monthly Review | Mar-2024

Currency Indicators (USD)

Copyright@ 2009-2024 Pg | 11
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