9:50 Stage of Deliv.

& Day (flux

trades)

🔑 What was the stage of delivery price was in during the macro… and what day
was it? Was there news (retracement)? And was the reversal AT/around
10am or BEFORE 10am macro (like 9:40ish). How can we frame entries
around this?

The most basic categorization are as follows.

CATEGORY
1: RETRACEMENT AT 10am (entry @ or after) [Watch for Simple PO3 in the 20
mins]
2: REVERSAL at 10am (entry before, possibly after)
Exclusion to these would mostly be low probability days, 10am news, and mondays.

Classifications (Using Stages of Price Delivery)

A: Reversal AT 10am (within a couple mins) (entry before or after)

B: Reversal PRIOR to 10am (around 9:40ish and 9:50 provides Low risk entry
2022 model)
C: Consolidation Stage (around 9:30ish probably) (expansion comes after) (order
block)
D: Simple Retracement Stage [Parent Dealing Range] (MONDAY)
E: Expansion Stage (Typically from 9:30 slight Judas Swing OR SMT
DIVERGENCE → T.S. at 10:30
F: Retracement Stage from NEWS @ 10am (Can create Judas Swing here) [Parent
Dealing Range] BEST TO AVOID THESE EARLY ON

9:50 Stage of Deliv. & Day (flux trades) 1

 We can further classify these using a Judas Swing that is expected to form between
9:30 and 10:00. There are three possibilities…

9:30 open creates run on stops from pre-market; purge & revert (Retracement or
Reversal @10)

9:40ish before macro, Macro creates LRB/LRS (Retracement @ 10am)

10:00 Finally sweeps stops, most likely creates H or L of session. (Reversal @

10am)

This is probable when 9:30 fails to run expected liquidity targets.

Can enter before, scalping pts (not holding) before the reversal. Or waiting till
after.

Be careful of this starting the first curve for the 10:30 MMXM. Best to take
partials quick and within premium, unless highly confident it will reverse to 9:30
open.

If timing the SECOND reversal, watch what we do at around 10:15ish.

RIGHT before or @ 9:50 sweeps stops and starts leaving. Can see EXPANSION
during macro w no/hard entry).

If efficiently delivered, LRLR

If inefficient (FVG at bottom or multiple on the way up) HRLR

If we see SMT prior to 10am, most times price will come to sweep it out again. (can
create high probability 10:30/10:45 entry towards that NYAM H / L.

🧠 It is still important to understand the HTF Draw on Liquidity. If we have a

strong bias and it is not met, then it could counteract these scenarios.
If not met, this (most likely) creates retracement entries @ 10am

9:50 Stage of Deliv. & Day (flux trades) 2

 🧠 Review the market.
Is there enough data @ 9:50 for us to take a trade in the first 10 minutes of
the macro?
If not, then wait for after 10:00 to frame a trade.

IF WE DO NOT SEE ANY REVERSAL BETWEEN 9:30 and 10:30, then expect a
Turtle soup reversal after consolidation at top/bottom into 50% of the dealing
range.

Simple way of determining 10:30

- MMXM framework with SMR around 10:20ish. (Short term reversal @10 into
prem/discount of current dealing range from equities open.)

-Continuation entry
-Possible Reversal (mostly present when 10am doesn't)

This then means we are expecting some sort of MMXM to form in the process of the
stops being swept. Use this as framework to form a trade. Can also pair this with the
RTH Gap for even further Bias.

🧠 Using the MMXM, can use the Time-Fib from breaker to further increase
precision for entry and possible terminus price and time

This Breaker could form at the bottom clearly on the 1m, or you may have
to switch to a higher timeframe to see the breaker… THIS WILL CAUSE A
RETRACMENT near the expected 1m terminus, for further HTF
expansion into target. Can be identified by a large expansion move
towards HTF liquidity, without clear retracements…. zoom out to see the
breaker and apply (most likely multi-day) time fib for high probability
session (if it lines up with News at the -2 to -2.5 range, then you could
see distribution towards the target).

9:50 Stage of Deliv. & Day (flux trades) 3

 Further Data on 9:50 Classifications (Unfinished)

A CLASSIFICATION:
Failed Judas at 9:30 - 9:50ish. Entry typically happens post 10am (only exception to
enter outside of macro)

F CLASSIFICATION

Which liquidity pool did we most recently run out?

What is the current dealing range Discount vs Premium

If we are already expanding, expect a retracement back into the range for another
distribution leg. ESPECIALLY if price got close to running stops, then retraced.
(LONDON H.L)

Deep Retracements at 10am for continuation

Typically you see it start at around 9:50, then we expand in the original direction. These
are harder to spot, but it is very important to implement HTF Bias with this one.

Author: flux trades

Please credit ICT for his concepts and me if you decide to share this pdf elsewhere of
the public discord.
NOT FOR RESALE

9:50 Stage of Deliv. & Day (flux trades) 4