Mark Scheme (Results)

October 2017

Pearson Edexcel International A Level

in Statistics S2 (WST02/01)
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October 2017
Publications Code WST02_01_1710_MS
All the material in this publication is copyright
© Pearson Education Ltd 2017
 General Marking Guidance

• All candidates must receive the same treatment.

Examiners must mark the first candidate in exactly the
same way as they mark the last.
• Mark schemes should be applied positively. Candidates
must be rewarded for what they have shown they can do
rather than penalised for omissions.
• Examiners should mark according to the mark scheme not
according to their perception of where the grade
boundaries may lie.
• There is no ceiling on achievement. All marks on the mark
scheme should be used appropriately.
• All the marks on the mark scheme are designed to be
awarded. Examiners should always award full marks if
deserved, i.e. if the answer matches the mark scheme.
Examiners should also be prepared to award zero marks if
the candidate’s response is not worthy of credit according
to the mark scheme.
• Where some judgement is required, mark schemes will
provide the principles by which marks will be awarded and
exemplification may be limited.
• Crossed out work should be marked UNLESS the candidate
has replaced it with an alternative response.
 EDEXCEL IAL MATHEMATICS

General Instructions for Marking

1. The total number of marks for the paper is 75.

2. The Edexcel Mathematics mark schemes use the following types of

marks:

• M marks: method marks are awarded for ‘knowing a method and

attempting to apply it’, unless otherwise indicated.
• A marks: Accuracy marks can only be awarded if the relevant method
(M) marks have been earned.
• B marks are unconditional accuracy marks (independent of M marks)
• Marks should not be subdivided.

3. Abbreviations

These are some of the traditional marking abbreviations that will appear in
the mark schemes.

• bod – benefit of doubt

• ft – follow through
• the symbol will be used for correct ft
• cao – correct answer only
• cso - correct solution only. There must be no errors in this part of
the question to obtain this mark
• isw – ignore subsequent working
• awrt – answers which round to
• SC: special case
• oe – or equivalent (and appropriate)
• dep – dependent
• indep – independent
• dp decimal places
• sf significant figures
•  The answer is printed on the paper
• The second mark is dependent on gaining the first mark

4. All A marks are ‘correct answer only’ (cao.), unless shown, for
example, as A1 ft to indicate that previous wrong working is to be
followed through. After a misread however, the subsequent A marks
affected are treated as A ft, but manifestly absurd answers should
never be awarded A marks.

5. For misreading which does not alter the character of a question or

materially simplify it, deduct two from any A or B marks gained, in
that part of the question affected.

6. Ignore wrong working or incorrect statements following a correct

answer.
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
1(a) 200 − µ
= −1.6449 M1 A1
0.2
µ = 200.3 awrt 200.3 A1
(3)
(b) X~B(8, 0.05) B1
P( X ≥ 3) =1 − P( X ≤ 2) M1
= 1 – 0.9942
= 0.0058 awrt 0.0058 A1
(3)
(c) Y~Po(3) B1
P(Y > 5) =1 − P(Y ≤ 5) M1
= 1 – 0.9161
= 0.0839 awrt 0.0839 A1
(3)
Notes Total 9
1(a) 200 − µ
M1 ± = ± z value, |z| > 1
0.04
A1 for a correct equation with compatible signs and z = 1.6449 or better
A1 200.3 (condone awrt 200.3)
Note: M1A0A1 is possible
(b) B1 writing or using B(8, 0.05)
M1 writing or using 1 − P( X ≤ 2)
A1 awrt 0.0058
(c) B1 writing or using Po(3)
M1 writing or using 1 − P(Y ≤ 5)
A1 awrt 0.0839
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
2(a) 10 M1
k ∫ (12 s − 20 − s 2 )ds[ = 1]
2

 s3 
10 A1
k 6 s 2 − 20 s −  [= 1]
 3 2
 200 56  dM1
k + = 1
 3 3 
256
k=1
3
3 A1cso
k= 256
(4)
(b) E(S) = 6 B1 (1)
10

(c) E(S2) = k ∫ (12 s 3 − 20s 2 − s 4 )ds M1

2
10
3  4 20 s 3 s 5 
= 3s − −  A1ft
256  3 5 2
= 39.2
Var (S) = 39.2 – 62 = 3.2 M1
s.d (S) = √3.2= 1.7888 dM1 A1

∴ standard deviation = £1788.85 awrt £1790 A1ft

(6)
(d) 3
10

∫
256 7.1
(12 s − 20 − s 2 )ds M1

= 0.2989 = 0.3 (1 dp) A1

(2)
(e) P(X ≤ 5) = 0.8822
P( 5 < X ≤ 6) = P(X ≤ 6) – P(X ≤ 5) M1
= 0.9614 – 0.8822
= awrt 0.079 A1ft

P(6 < X ≤ 12) = 1 – P(X ≤ 6) = 0.0386 M1

Bonus earnt = 1000 × 0.0792 + 5000 × 0.0386 M1
= £79.20 + £193.00
A1
= £272.20 awrt £270
(5)
Total 18
 Notes
n +1
2(a) M1: attempting to integrate, at least one integral s → s , ignore limits and does not
n

need to be put equal to 1

A1: correct integration, ignore limits and does not need to be set equal to 1
M1: dependent on first M being awarded, use of both limits and setting equal to 1
Must see an intermediate line of working for this M1 mark to be scored
A1 cso (condone use of x instead of s, condone missing ds, etc.)

(b) Ignore (£)6000 if 6 is seen

(c) n +1
M1 attempting to integrate s2‘their f(s)’ k ∫210 (12 s − 20 s − s )ds . s → s
3 2 4 n

A1ft correct integration (or correct ft integration of s2‘their f(s)’)

M1 using E(S2) – [E(S)]2
M1 dependent upon previous M1 for square rooting Var(S) (Var(S) must be > 0)
A1 awrt 1.79 (allow exact equivalent)
A1ft awrt 1790 (dependent on all method marks scored for 1000 × their s.d.)

(d) M1 correct expression and attempt to integrate with correct limits (ft their f(s))
10 7.1
3 3
256 7∫.1 256 ∫2
(12 s − 20 − s 2
) d s or 1 − (12 s − 20 − s 2 )ds

A1 awrt 0.3

(e) M1 Writing or using P(X ≤ 6) – P(X ≤ 5) or a correct expression for P(X = 6) i.e.
12C6(‘their (d)’)6(1 –‘their(d)’)6 where X ~ B(12, “their ans to (d)”)
A1ft awrt 0.079 (allow f.t. their answer to (d))
M1 Writing or using 1 – P(X ≤ 6), where X ~ B(12, “their ans to (d)”)
M1 1000 × “their 0.0792” + 5000 × “their 0.0386”
A1 awrt £270 (2sf)

NB if they use 0.2989 they can gain full marks.

12 
M1: P(X = 6) =   ( 0.2989 ) (1 − 0.2989)6
6

6
A1: = 0.078254… awrt 0.078

M1: P(6 < X ≤ 12) = 1 – P(X ≤ 6) = 0.0378589…

M1: Bonus earnt = 1000 × 0.078254… +5000 × 0.0378589…
= £78.25 + £189.29
A1: = £267.54 (allow 267.55) awrt £270
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
3(a) 1 − P ( B ≤ 9)
P ( B ≥ 10 ) = M1
= 1 – 0.7166
= 0.2834 awrt 0.283 A1
(2)
(b) Expected number of weeks = 0.2834 × 50 =
14.2 accept 14 M1 A1
(2)
(c) P ( B ≥ n ) < 0.04 where B ~ Po(8)
P ( B > 12 ) =
0.0638 M1
P ( B > 13) =
0.0342
∴13 A1
(2)
(d) H0: λ = 8(80) H1: λ > 8(80) B1
Y~N(80, 80) M1M1
 94.5 − 80 
P (Y ≥ 95 ) = P  Z >  M1 dM1
 80 
= P (Z > 1.62) A1
= 0.0526
Do not reject H0 M1
There is no evidence that reducing the price of a Birdscope has increased A1cso
demand.
(8)
Notes Total 14
3(a) M1 For writing or using 1 − P ( B ≤ 9 )
A1 awrt 0.283
(b) M1 for their (a) × 50
A1 awrt 14 (isw if 15 follows from awrt 14.2)

(c) M1 for any of these three lines (oe)

A1 13
(d) B1 both hypotheses. Allow λ or µ , 8 or 80
M1Using Normal with mean 80
M1 Using Normal with mean = variance. Does not need to be 80. May be seen in the
standardisation calculation.
M1 ±  ( 95 or 95.5 or 94.5) − their mean 
 
 their sd 
M1 dep on previous M1 being awarded. Using a continuity correction 95 ± 0.5
94.5 − 80
A1 correct standardisation and tail. Award for Z > or Z > awrt 1.62 or a
80
correct probability
M1 A correct statement – do not allow contradictory non contextual statements.
Follow through their Probability/CR and H1. If no H1 given then M0
A1 cso (all previous marks awarded) and a correct statement containing the word
demand (oe).
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
4(a) α −6
= 0.6 M1
α
α = 15 A1
(2)
(b) 10 − 4 2
P( 4 < X < 10) = , = oe M1, A1
15 5
(2)
(c) Mean = 10 B1
10 3 20
Standard deviation = or awrt 5.77 or B1
3 12
(2)
(d) P ( Y − 4 < 2 ) = P (2 < Y < 6) M1
1
= A1
5
(2)
(e) (i) 4 4
[P( X in middle 4cm) × P( Y in middle 4cm) = ] × M1
15 20
4
= A1
75
(ii) 5 10 1
[P( X in middle 5cm) × P( Y in middle 10 cm) =] × = M1 A1
15 20 6
1 5 dM1A1
[P( within 5 cm of the sides of the screen) =] 1 − =
6 6 (6)
Notes Total 14
(a) α −6 6
M1 = 0.6 (oe) or = 0.4 (oe)
α α
(b) 10 − 4
M1
their (a)
(d) M1 Writing or using P (2 < Y < 6)
(e)(i) 4 4
M1 ×
their(a) 20
4
A1 or awrt 0.0533
75
(ii) 5 10
M1 ×
their(a) 20
1
A1 or awrt 0.167
6
dM1 dep on previous M1 for 1 – “their 0.167”
5
A1 or awrt 0.833
6
(20×𝛼)−𝑛
SC M0A0M1A0 for (20 × 𝛼) − 50 or (20×𝛼) where 0 < n < 300 n ≠ 50
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
5(a) F(6) = 1
4k (12 − 7 ) =
1 M1
1
k= A1
20
2
3 4 ( 2α − 7 )
α − 2α −= M1
α 2 − 10α + 25 =
0
(α − 5 ) 2 =
0
α =5 A1cao

P(4.5 < X ≤ < 5.5) = F(5.5) – F(4.5) M1

= 4×
1
20
1
(
× (11 − 7 ) − × 4.52 − 9 − 3
20
) dM1
31
= or 0.3875 or awrt 0.388 A1
80
(7)
(b) 1
 20 ( 2 y − 2 ) 3≤ y ≤5 M1

 2
f ( y) 
A1ft
= 5< y≤6
 5
 0 otherwise A1
 (3)

Notes Total 10
(a) M1 Using F(6) =1 to get a linear equation in k i.e. 4k (12 − 7 ) =
1
1
A1 or 0.05
20
M1 Using F(𝛼) ie α 2 − 2α −= 3 4 ( 2α − 7 )
A1 cao 5
M1 writing or using F(5.5) – F(4.5)
M1 dep on previous M1 for subst 4.5 and 5.5 into the appropriate lines
(allow ft for their value of α which may mean both values are
substituted into the same line)
31
A1 or awrt 0.388
80
Correct answer only scores 5 out of 7
Correct answer without finding α can score 5 out 7
(b) condone use of < in place of < or vice versa throughout
M1 attempt to differentiate x n → x n−1
A1ft either 1st or 2nd line correct (ft their value of k and α) allow use of k and α
A1 fully correct including 0 otherwise
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
6 1 5  M1A1
X~ N  n, n 
 6 36 
 1  M1 dM1
 49.5 − n 
P( X < 50) = P  Z < 6 
 5 
 n 
 36 

1 M1 A1
49.5 − n
6 = −2.4
5
n
36

1 5n
49.5 − n =
−2.4
6 6

n − 2.4 5 n − 297 =
0 M1 A1

2.4 5 ± (2.4 5) 2 + 4 × 297

n= M1
2
= 9 5 or awrt 20.1

n = 405 only A1cao

Notes Total 10
1
M1 Using Normal with mean n
6
A1 Using Normal with mean and Var correct
 ( 48.5 or 49 or 49.5 or 50 or 50.5) − their mean 
M1 ±  
 their sd 
M1 dep on previous M1 being awarded for using a continuity correction
49 ± 0.5 or 50 ± 0.5
( 48.5 or 49 or 49.5 or 50 or 50.5) − their mean
M1 setting = z value |z| > 2
their sd
A1 A correct equation with compatible signs with z value awrt 2.4
M1 rearranging to get a 3TQ in n or n
A1 for a correct 3TQ equation in n or n e.g. n − 2.4 5 n − 297 = 0
M1 Solving (allow one slip in an expression) their 3TQ leading to n = or n =
2.4 5 ± (2.4 5) 2 + 4 × 297
e.g. n = or 9 5 or awrt 20.1
2
A1 cao with all previous marks scored.
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