Unit 8
Unit 8
AGRICULTURE
Structure
8.0 Objectives
8.1 Introduction
8.2 Growth of Indian Agriculture (1950-2012): An Overview
8.3 Future Growth of Agriculture – Some Issues
8.3.1 Productivity Growth
8.3.2 Investment in Agriculture
8.3.3 Decline in Area
8.3.4 Institutional Weaknesses
8.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you will be able to:
point out the importance of agriculture in Indian economy;
identify the issues and concerns in Indian agriculture;
describe the nature and dimension of various issues;
assign priorities to various issues for policy making;
highlight the growing significance of high value of agricultural
commodities; and
analyse the reasons for persistence of crisis in Indian agriculture. 5
Sectoral Developments
8.1 INTRODUCTION
Since independence, considerable progress has been made in the sphere of
agricultural development in the country in terms of increase in crop production and
productivity, technological developments and crop diversification. There were,
however, periods of ups and downs in the growth of agriculture during the period
of sixty years. After the initial euphoria lasting during the First Plan and a part of
the Second Plan, growth rate in agriculture began to stagnate and even went
down. Since the mid-1960s, growth rate began to move up, gathered momentum
again during the 1980s, and decelerated considerably in the 1990s. The deceleration
in the growth during the 1990s and the subsequent decade is more pronounced
in the case of foodgrains and it raises concerns from the point of view of food
security. Moreover, it casts doubt regarding the future growth prospects of the
economy, which depends largely upon the growth performance of agriculture. As
a primary source of livelihood, agriculture is becoming increasingly un-remunerative
and un-sustainable; the economic and social consequences are there for all to see
— agrarian crisis, large-scale migration to the cities, farmers’ suicides and the like.
In some essential food products, such as pulses and edible oils, our import
dependence is well-established, and it is a matter of time before regular imports
become inevitable. A proper understanding of the factors shaping the past trends
in the growth path holds the key for designing the future strategy of development.
No strategy of economic reform and regeneration in India can succeed without
sustained and broad-based agricultural development. Such development is critical
for raising general living standards, alleviating deep-seated rural poverty, assuring
food security, generating a buoyant market for expansion of industry and services
and making a substantial contribution to the national export effort. This unit brings
forth some of the important issues which deserve more detailed analysis.
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Policy emphasis shifted from institutional factors to technological factors in the Issues and Concerns of
Indian Agriculture
mid-1960s. India took advantage of the biological innovations in High Yielding
Varieties (HYV) of wheat and rice and adopted a new strategy known as Green
Revolution. Two factors influenced this policy change. First, Indian economy was
under severe stress due to stagnant yield during the first three years of the Third
Five Year Plan.; Secondly, possibilities for bringing additional area under cultivation
were almost exhausted. In contrast to the pre-Green Revolution period, the second
period which started from the mid-1960s witnessed rapid modernisation of Indian
agriculture. The new agricultural technology provided avenues for private investment
in agriculture. In order to overcome the selectivity bias of the strategy, government
introduced area and target group specific programmes in the 1970s. Food
Corporation of India was established in 1965 to secure a strategic and commanding
position for the public sector in the food grain trade. The Central government
expenditure on subsidies increased phenomenally in the recent past.
Growth Performance: Indian agriculture achieved respectable progress over the
last six decades. It achieved an annual growth rate of 3 per cent in the pre-Green
Revolution period and 2.7 per cent in the subsequent period. Food grain production
increased from 55 mt in 1950-51 to 152.4 mt in 1983-84 recording an annual
growth rate of 2.7 per cent. Irrigation was the most important source of food grain
output growth. Researchers have attributed one-half to two-thirds of the increase
in food grain production directly to irrigation. Despite the good performance of
food grain sector, within it, pulses which are a major source of protein, performed
badly. Production of pulses increased from 8.40 mt in 1950-51 to 12.89 mt. in
1983-84 recording an annual growth rate of 1.27 per cent. Economic reforms
were expected to give a fillip to agriculture. However, in reality, this has not
proved to be the case. The growth rate in the immediate post-reforms plan period
were 2.5 per cent in the Ninth Plan, 2.4 per cent in the Tenth Plan, and estimated
3.4 per cent in the Eleventh Plan. The growth in output was driven by yields. Not
surprisingly, the pattern of annual compound growth rate of yields is similar to that
of output. The growth rate of yields was lower in the post-reform era than in the
pre-reform era.
Studies on the comparative performance of agricultural sectors between pre and
post green revolution periods brought out several striking features. First, the two
periods differ in their sources of agricultural growth. The first period relied heavily
on the expansion of cropped area, while the second period on yield improvements.
In the case of non-food grain crops, both area and yield contributed to their
growth. Market forces seem to have favoured their area expansion. Secondly, in
the post green revolution period, wheat experienced an acceleration in its output
growth whereas most of the other crops particularly coarse cereals, pulses and
oilseeds experienced deceleration. Thirdly, crop output tended to be more sensitive
to rainfall in the post green revolution period. The most striking feature of the
agricultural growth is that it tended to widen inter-regional disparities.
The following inter-related features may have to be noted in the current phase for
policy formation.
1) There is a clear evidence of some growth in agricultural output over the past
six decades. However, the progress is crop and region specific. Hence, there
are signs of widening of inter-regional inequalities. There does not appear to
be any major breakthrough in developing HYVs suitable for the diverse
rainfed regions.
2) There is no marked improvement in the per capita availability of food grains. 7
Sectoral Developments The advances in food grain production is mostly used for reducing imports
and building stocks.
3) The recent phase is marked by improvement in real wages in almost all states
some of which have also experienced employment expansion. Prosperous
regions like Punjab and Haryana recorded decline in real wage and low
employment expansion. Punjab has also shown a peculiar characteristic of
increase in average size of holding in the recent past.
There has been greater recognition for regionalisation of Indian agricultural planning
in the recent past. Attempts are being made to concentrate on agro-climatic
features, particularly, soil type, climate including temperature and rainfall and its
variation and water resources. The Planning Commission has commenced to prepare
agricultural planning strategies at the level of 15 agro-climatic regions.
Investment in Agriculture: In view of the falling rate of capital formation in
agriculture during the 1980s, there is now a fear over whether even the modest
growth performance in agriculture would be maintained in future. This fall is also
reflected in the proportion of plan outlays on agriculture. There is fortunately no
decline in absolute terms. But proportionately, there is now less resource flow to
agriculture from Plan Outlays. The gross capital formation in agriculture and allied
sectors has increased from 13.1 per cent of the GDP in agriculture in 2004-05 to
20.1 per cent in 2010-11.
Credit flows to Agriculture: The Reserve Bank of India has observed that in
spite of quantitative expansion, the credit system has suffered from four major
weaknesses: (i) weak recycling of credit, (ii) poor deposit mobilisation, (iii) ineffective
lending, and (iv) poor loan recovery. The weaknesses are so serious that the credit
system for agriculture is not sustainable on its own, and unless continuously propped
up by the State by committing vast resources from outside the system, it will
crash. In spite of pumping more credit into agriculture, the quality of credit
has not improved. Credit flows to agriculture and the rural sector have also
tended to be concentrated in a few regions and on well-to-do farmers and
businessmen in rural areas. A related fact is that the functioning of the credit
institutions in the formal sector, i.e. Rural Financial Institutions (RFI) is far from
satisfactory. RFIs are not advancing credit to agriculture at the rate warranted by
the increased requirement of credit with the larger use of purchased inputs. Rural
Financial Institutions, particularly commercial banks, advance three reasons for
their unsatisfactory performance in rural areas. These are: (i) low absorptive capacity
in rural areas, (ii) high transaction costs, and (iii) greater risks.
Price policy for agricultural produce: With a view to encourage higher
investment and production and safeguarding the interest of consumers the price
policy for agricultural commodities seeks to ensure remunerative prices to growers
for their produce. The price policy also seeks to evolve a balanced and integrated
price structure in the perspective of the overall needs of the economy. With this
aim, the Government announces minimum support prices (MSPs) for major
agricultural commodities each season and organises purchase operations. Supply
response studies have generally shown that agricultural output is much more
responsive to availability of the right technology and inputs like irrigation and
fertilizer, than merely to price. Price policy, however, has to play a supportive role
though not as a prime instrument. If the price regime is discouraging, technology
adoption can be slow. In India, price incentives are offered both by continuously
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increasing procurement prices in line with changes in costs and terms of trade, and Issues and Concerns of
Indian Agriculture
by increasing subsidies on inputs like fertilizer, credit, irrigation, and electricity.
Problems of Agriculture: A available alternatives in terms of single choices like
(a) low output prices combined with low input prices involving subsidies, vis-à-
vis (b) high output prices combined with high input prices with no subsidies, would
not do justice to the complexities involved. There could be further alternatives of
subsidies for some vis-à-vis for all. There are considerations of equity, efficiency
and environmental soundness.
Institutional failures are even more glaring: Studies at the ground level from
all parts of the country, and more so from the regions where input use is increasing
rapidly, suggest that there is a disproportionate use of all inputs on the farms,
leading to increased liability of the farmers. This trend can be traced largely to the
non-availability of technical know-how and inadequate support provided by
extension institution.
In the present circumstances, the thrust of the policy should be on encouraging
improvement in the productivity of the crops grown in the dry regions and on small
farms, mainly coarse cereals, pulses and kharif oilseeds. Measures to encourage
productivity in the dairy sector is equally important for these groups. These regions
can have a comparative advantage in dairying based on open grazing due to large
areas of cultivable wasteland and goucher land, provided a massive programme
of land development is taken up in these regions. Only when the small farmers
broadly reach their self sufficiency level, and start generating surpluses from their
traditional crops and enterprises, should diversification to input intensive high value
crops and enterprises be encouraged. Our immediate task should be to encourage
self-provisioning rather than market exposure as far as small and marginal
farmers are concerned.
The growth of agriculture and allied sectors is still a critical factor in the overall
performance of the Indian economy as it accounts for about 58 per cent of
employment in the country (as per 2001 census). Moreover, this sector is a
supplier of food, fodder and raw materials for a vast segment of industry. Hence
the growth of Indian agriculture can be considered a necessary condition for
‘inclusive growth’. More recently, the rural sector (including agriculture) is being
seen as a potential source of domestic demand, a recognition that is even shaping
the marketing strategies of entrepreneurs wishing to widen the demand for goods
and services. The real challenge in agriculture sector is to enhance capital investment
in the sector both by public and private sector in a sustained way. Sixty per cent
of our net sown area is still rainfed. Various studies indicate that the potential of
rainfed areas has not been fully utilised. A targeted development of rainfed areas
should be prioritised. India’s 60-year quest for land reform, for example, remains
incomplete. The age-old obsession with land ceilings should now be replaced with
methods that aid land consolidation, without which supply will remain constrained
and productivity and wages low. Average farm size has already shrunk to less than
1.2 hectares; most are tiny pieces that are uneconomical to till. The consolidation
of these minuscule portions of land into viable holdings can spur investment in
productivity-enrichment measures, notably irrigation, which will boost overall farm
production.
To conclude, raising farm productivity with adequate focus on rainfed areas,
diversification of Indian agriculture from just crop farming to livestock,
fisheries and poultry and horticulture while simultaneously addressing 9
Sectoral Developments environmental concerns should be the focus for the agriculture sector. Higher
levels of investments are required for not only increasing farm productivity but also
creating adequate infrastructure for transport, storage and distribution of agricultural
produce. The continued lackluster performance of Indian agriculture has been a
source of concern. The question foremost on people’s mind is what or where
would be the next breakthrough in Indian agriculture. A complete lack of reform
and a paucity of investment stand out as the most significant among the several
factors that have subdued agricultural growth, especially since the 1990s. Marketing
and other reforms are necessary to meet the ever-growing requirement of agri-
products and prepare agriculture to face the challenges posed by human and
environmental factors. Modernisation of agricultural markets and connecting them
with much-needed supporting infrastructure and institutions are also urgently needed.
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Issues and Concerns of
8.5 PERSISTENCE OF CRISIS IN INDIAN Indian Agriculture
AGRICULTURE
Srijit Mishra and D. Narasimha Reddy have stressed that agriculture needs to be
seen in a larger context where not only production but also producers are equally
important. Today, both are in crisis. There are two dimensions to the current crisis
in Indian agriculture — the agricultural and the agrarian. The former is a
developmental crisis that lies in the neglect of the sector arising out of poor design
of programmes and inadequate allocation of resources. The latter is a livelihood
crisis threatening the very basis of survival for the vast majority of the population
dependent on agriculture. On the one hand, there is a neglect of farming, and
on the other hand, there is a neglect of farmer. The two dimensions are inter-
related in the sense that the problem at the larger structural context cannot be
separated from the problem that the individual farmer faces. What is worrying is
that this crisis in agriculture, which has been there for nearly two decades now,
is taking place at a time when the overall Indian economy has been witnessing a
high growth.
There has been an increase in marginalisation of holdings. In 2001, from the
total operational holdings, more than three-fifths were with less than 1 hectare of
land and for nearly one-fifth the land size was between 1 and 2 hectares. Farmers’
suicides, which, like indebtedness, are symptomatic of the larger crisis, have been
showing an increasing incidence and continue to remain much higher than those by
non-farmers. There is need for institutional structures to organise the farmers to
help them address their concerns and problems. Concurrently, unlike the green
revolution technology that began with large farmers in resource-rich areas,
community managed sustainable agriculture focusing on marginal and small farmers
in resource-poor dry and drought-prone areas needs to be promoted. At a time
when returns to cultivation have been decreasing, there is an increasing dependence
on the market for inputs. The failure of research and extension service, which
is striking in case of crops/cultivation in rain-fed/dry land areas, has resulted in
reliance on the unregulated input seller, leading to supplier-induced demand.
Rural poverty is strongly associated with the state of agriculture. Suicide is
a symptom of the larger crisis, and its absence does not in any way indicate the
absence of a crisis. The increasing incidence of farmers’ suicides is symptomatic
of the agrarian crisis, but it is also a manifestation of the agricultural crisis. It
indicates that for every farmer committing suicide, there are hundred thousands
more in crisis. Further, the larger malaise or the agrarian/agricultural crisis is not
just limited to regions reporting higher suicides, it is much more widespread.
8.8 EXERCISES
i) Critically analyse major institutional obstacles coming in the way of improving
the conditions of Indian agriculture.
ii) What suggestions will you suggest for sustainable growth of Indian agriculture.
What steps have been taken by the government in this regard?
iii) Explain the nature of crisis in Indian agriculture and what steps are required
to meet the challenge.
iv) How is high value food commodities helpful to smallholders? Suggest measures
to improve infrastructure facilities for these high value commodities.
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Issues and Concerns of
8.10 SOME USEFUL BOOKS Indian Agriculture
Chand, Ramesh, S.S. Raju and L.M. Pandey (2007): Growth Crisis in Agriculture,
Economic & Political Weekly, June 30.
Mishra, Srijit and D. Narasimha Reddy (2011): Persistence of Crisis in
Agriculture: Need for Technological and Institutional Alternatives (in India
Development Report, 2011, edited by D.M. Nachane, Oxford University Press,
New Delhi).
Rao, P. Parthasarathy, P.S. Birthal and P.K. Joshi (2006): Diversification towards
High Value Agriculture, Economic & Political Weekly, Vol. XLI, No. 26, June
30.
Report of the National Commission on Agriculture (1976): Ministry of Agriculture,
Government of India, New Delhi.
Saggar, Mridul (1992): Issues and Concerns in Indian Agriculture, Reserve
Bank of India Occasional Papers, Vol. 3, No. 3, September.
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