Ai For Decision Support
Ai For Decision Support
Review
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: Wearable sensors enable down range data collection of physiological and cognitive performance of the
Received 4 June 2022 warfighter. However, autonomous teams may find the sensor data impractical to interpret and hence influence
Received in revised form 17 February 2023 real-time decisions without the support of subject matter experts. Decision support tools can reduce the burden
Accepted 1 March 2023
of interpreting physiological data in the field and incorporate a systems perspective where noisy field data can
Available online 5 March 2023
contain useful additional signals. We present a methodology of how artificial intelligence can be used for model-
Keywords:
ing human performance with decision-making to achieve actionable decision support. We provide a framework
Remote physiological monitoring for systems design and advancing from the laboratory to real world environments. The result is a validated mea-
Cognition performance sure of down-range human performance with a low burden of operation.
Artificial Intelligence © 2023 Sports Medicine Australia. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Decision Support
Practical implications by utilizing wearable sensors and ambient detection. This real-time
monitoring of an individual's physiological and cognitive status can po-
• Raw data from wearable sensors and remote physiological monitoring tentially aid in tactical decisions down range. For example, heart rate
is not actionable in an operational setting. monitors allow estimation of an operator's physical performance and
• The burden of monitoring sensors can be reduced with AI models. energy systems during exercise/exertion. However, heart rate alone
• Decision support systems can increase the knowledge, skills and abil- does not facilitate an actionable RT-PSM system due to secondary effects
ities of operators in the field. such as: physical load; body position (e.g., laying vs standing); recovery
• Autonomy can be increased when using decision support tools for from recent exercise; sleep status; emotional state (e.g., relaxed vs
human-machine teaming. afraid); dehydration; digestion of food/ingestion of ergogenic aids
(e.g., caffeine); core temperature (e.g., vasodilation from temperature
or blood loss) and possible viral infection.
The challenge of interpreting human performance data from a RT-
1. Decision-support system
PSM system can be solved by incorporating it into a decision support
system (DSS). A DSS combines sensor data with artificial intelligence
In safety-critical professions (e.g., warfare, aerospace, firefighting,
(AI) models to deliver problem solving, actionable choices and
piloting, space travel, air traffic control, and sports) individuals must
observation.1 This article proposes a framework to determine the devel-
make rapid tactical decisions based on many data sources. Real time
opment of an AI assisted DSS including RT-PSM and reviews common
monitoring of an individual's physiological and cognitive status can po-
goals of DSS, including that the system should:
tentially aid the speed and accuracy of tactical decisions. Recent devel-
opments have combined sensors with artificial intelligence (AI) to
deliver precision medicine with individualized metrics of health and • Be low burden to for operator time, cognitive load and physical
performance. distractions2
Remote Physiological Status Monitoring (RT-PSM) systems use sen- • Be low size, weight and power (SWaP)
sors to measure and calculate health and performance of an individual • Be context aware of the current situation
• Augment the operators' knowledge, skills and abilities (KSA)3
⁎ Corresponding author. • Be based on an appropriate underlying hierarchy of models
E-mail address: [email protected] (B.K. Russell). • Share information from a database of decision-relevant information
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsams.2023.03.001
1440-2440/© 2023 Sports Medicine Australia. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
B.K. Russell, J. McGeown and B.L. Beard Journal of Science and Medicine in Sport 26 (2023) S40–S45
• Provide information that aligns with the decision-maker's expecta- In the next section we discuss the application of artificial intelligence
tions and mental model4 (AI), as a systems-based computational tool that can learn the complex
• Support judgments rather than replace them relationships between system inputs and outputs without explicit
• Operate at a high level of trust.5 programming.22
Decision-making is a problem-solving activity that yields a solution. A model in the context of computer science refers to software code
Several Naturalistic Decision Making (NDM) models have been that performs a function. AI models can achieve human level accuracy
developed,6 one of which is referred to as the Recognition-Primed Deci- performing certain cognitive tasks. These models range from simple
sion Model (RPM).7 Briefly, the RPM hypothesizes that people use their classification models (e.g., cats vs dogs), regression models calculating
prior experiences to build a repertoire of patterns, including training, continuous variables (e.g., human activity recognition from acceleration
not just real-world experiences. These patterns include relevant cues or heart rate from plethysmograph waveforms) to more complex com-
and suggest typical types of reactions for that type of situation. If a com- putations including probabilistic decision making. Broadly, AI models
mander, for example, needs to make a decision, they quickly match are split into supervised or unsupervised learning algorithms. Super-
the situation to learned patterns and visualize how that same course vised AI models require labeled data to learn patterns that differentiate
of action will play out in the current context. When there is a clear categories (e.g. cat vs dog). Unsupervised models determine correla-
match and the mental simulation suggests that a previously used so- tions which assist with labeling and dissemination in decision making
lution would work in the current context, the commander will carry systems.10
out that action. Therefore, decision-making in-the-field is a blend of Deep learning is a subset of AI that automatically learns complex re-
intuition and analysis. lationships between high dimensional inputs to determine the most im-
In 1995, John Boyd 8 first presented the now well-recognized portant features related to the outputs of interest.11,12 Deep learning
OODA loop of human decision making (Fig. 1). The OODA loop con- models are commonly described as opaque, or “black box” models as
cept describes decision-making as a cycle between observations, they offer a high degree of predictive accuracy at the expense of
orienting, deciding and acting. Basically, as a situation evolves the explainability of the underlying relationships between inputs and out-
decision-maker observes, with attention primarily focused on the puts. Trust is important when using predictive models and typically in-
current problem. Orientation focuses observations based on prior ex- volves explainability and validation results. Table 1 provides a subset of
perience and knowledge drives the focus. It is here that the observa- computational models ordered by explainability. AI and decision sup-
tions are processed. Decisions and actions are based on the current port tools requiring trust have been used successfully in fields such as
information and knowledge of possible choices. The tempo of the bioinformatics13,14 and neuroradiology.15,16
OODA cycle is critical in situations where the goal is to out-think an In the subsequent sections of this discussion, we describe a frame-
opponent (e.g., during a battle, on a football field, medicine-where work of how AI/deep learning can aid in the exploration and develop-
the opponent is the illness or disease). ment of a DSS.
Other recent research and theoretical endeavors have focused on
human “anomaly resolution” by individuals and groups. For example, 4. Finding the signal in environmental complexity with AI
Woods9 defined an iterative process composed of recognition, trouble-
shooting, response, and contingency management. To resolve an anom- A systems theory perspective assumes the whole is greater than the
aly, it must first be detected. This involves recognizing anomalous data sum of its parts. Ahn17 described the systems perspective succinctly by
or an anomalous situation. The source of the anomaly must then be di- stating “the systems perspective is rooted in the assumption that the
agnosed through troubleshooting. This is where prior experience or forest cannot be explained by studying the trees individually”. A defin-
training has established expectations that focus attention to what is rel- ing feature of the systems perspective is how environmental factors
evant. The initial interpretation and response affects how the anomaly that introduce variability within the system are viewed. Rather than
will progress. viewing this variability as nuisance noise to be methodologically
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B.K. Russell, J. McGeown and B.L. Beard Journal of Science and Medicine in Sport 26 (2023) S40–S45
Table 1
Explainability listed by examples of computational approaches.
controlled or removed, a systems perspective views this “noise” as a smooth surface. Russell19 showed these waveforms could be used by
crucial component required to predict behavior within the system. Tra- an AI model to detect signals such as surface type, slope, activity type
ditional laboratory assessment protocols require an intervention with a and fatigue.20 The environmental signal was noise for activity recogni-
measurable outcome (e.g., jump height or Stroop Effect). Commonly, tion but the signal of interest when detecting surface type.
field studies will utilize a battery of tests and determine which were
sensitive to the protocol load after completing the protocol. However,
5. A hierarchical system of models
these interactive tests are not practical for operators in the field as
they are distracting and require cognitive and physical interaction. Al-
Implementation of decision support typically involves multiple AI
ternatively, ambient detection observes an individual's performance at
models. Crump21 discusses an AI stack for implementation of an ethical
a task to compute an output value, e.g., the timing from keyboard use
medical decision support system based on the ISO 7 layer stack used in
can be combined with an AI model to determine cognitive fatigue.18 A
communications engineering. A decision support system is imple-
decision support tool can integrate this information to reduce interac-
mented in an hierarchical architecture, such as the OODA loop, with
tion and only require cognitive burden when guiding attention to an
computed information being passed up and feedback loops generating
anomaly and assisting with decision support.
new data for lower stages. Each stage of the decision making process
Consider the example waveforms presented in Fig. 2, from Russell,19
can be considered as a hierarchy of opportunity for computational
illustrating an acceleration waveform of a person running outdoors
tools to assist the human operator. Observation is automated through
down an incline on a smooth sealed road versus a dirt track. The
sensor data collection including ambient detection22 to reduce the
shape and silhouettes of each waveform demonstrate that running on
need for additional activities. AI models can assist with orientation by
a dirt track introduces more complex gait mechanics compared to a
interpreting data, often better than a human, by tirelessly observing
time series data such as accelerometery and determining higher order
features such as fatigue. The decision state is typically modeled with a
Bayesian approach to probabilistically determine which information is
required to differentiate between decisions using the highest positive
predictive value. Actions are chosen by an expert systems model
(Fig. 3).
The following section provides practitioners with a systematic
methodology for identifying valid, non-invasive performance measures
for the prediction of real-world task performance decline so that useful
countermeasures, such as decision support or information integration,
may be proactively provided.
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B.K. Russell, J. McGeown and B.L. Beard Journal of Science and Medicine in Sport 26 (2023) S40–S45
methods from simulation to the field suggests that either different who is piloting a robotic arm located on the outside of the ISS. The astro-
cognitive processes are being assessed or that the complexity of op- naut is being exposed to microgravity, a high workload, possible vision
erations have not been captured. In many cases, technology selection changes, elevated CO2 in the cabin atmosphere, an audience of millions,
is based on cost, availability, or successful application in another do- etc. All stressors should be identified.
main. Little attention is given to determining how changes in activity
or sensor profiles compare to the individual's (or group's) tasks at 6.4. Align stressors with critical tasks
hand, what cognitive or motor abilities are needed to accomplish
those tasks, the stressors currently being experienced, or how per- Next, determine how performance has been compromised with ex-
formance or those tasks are affected by the individual or combined posure to each stressor alone, and in concert.35 This alignment is based
stressors. on the published, scientific literature. For example, elevated CO2 has
been shown to affect visuo-motor abilities needed to adjust the robotic
6.2. Define safety-critical tasks arm position.36 Therefore, sensors indicating elevated CO2 could
communicate with technology that adaptively provides additional
Each position in a profession has specific roles and responsibilities. visuo-motor guidance. As another example, imagine a scenario where
Task analysis, performed by a trained human factors specialist, identifies a single fighter pilot must navigate to a specific target in a well-hidden
the tasks that must be supported for a particular position. If tasks in- location to eliminate a threat. To find the location may take several
clude safety-critical mental effort or critical decisions, then a cognitive hours at which time he will be running low on fuel, and he is not
task analysis (CTA) should be performed. CTA uncovers what the indi- equipped with a water canteen. Both time–pressure and dehydration
vidual needs to know (e.g., information needs) and strategies used to have been shown to affect spatial navigation, even in expert pilots.37
think through the decision. In addition to helping define a sensible per- Whenever possible, the correlation between the field stressors and the
formance metric, CTA is invaluable for training development, interface specific real-world task identified should be validated.
design and procedure development. In summary, knowledge of specific safety-critical tasks and known
Once a complete CTA has been performed, pinpoint those tasks that stressors that affect performance on that task can help define a prag-
are performed during safety-critical operations. For example, a TRACON matic performance metric. It is likely that a combination of measures
arrival air traffic controller must often integrate visual information from will be needed. Additionally, knowledge about potential degraded per-
a variety of displays (e.g., arrival rates, aircraft speeds, wind, the time, formance can be used a priori to make design decisions and to deter-
projected arrivals). Therefore, visual information integration is a candi- mine effective countermeasures.
date ability to monitor for performance decline and/or for which to de-
velop technological support. 7. AI research and development framework
6.3. Define stressors A challenge when developing AI models with wearable sensor data
is how to efficiently and effectively handle the sheer volume of data
The specific stressors the population will be exposed to prior to and that these sensors provide. The researcher and developer have choices
during the time-frame of the critical decisions should also be deter- on what sensor types to use, how frequently data should be sampled,
mined. Imagine an astronaut on the International Space Station (ISS) stored, transmitted, or analyzed. Often the raw sensor data is too
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B.K. Russell, J. McGeown and B.L. Beard Journal of Science and Medicine in Sport 26 (2023) S40–S45
Table 2 use operational tasks as a stimulus to replace protocols. AI can use envi-
Research protocol for AI enabled models. ronmental noise as signal and expert decision making can bring com-
Stage Decision or task Description plex probabilistic decision-making down range increasing the
1 Determine mission Outputs required to be valuable to the operator
knowledge skills and abilities of operators.
outputs and the mission. Establish how these Adapting to field conditions has challenges that, if overcome, prom-
requirements will be quantified. ise to increase performance, without adding additional burden to re-
2 Select Clinical Used for AI model training and validation mote autonomous operators down range. Field noise is both a
Assessment Battery
challenge and a stimulus for the ambient detection of response to the
3 Determine field Representative data for different scenarios,
protocol for data sufficient collection of assessment battery to stimulus when assessing performance or other parameters. Data collec-
collection enable high resolution of AI training tion for research with AI modeling requires special field protocols. This
4 Data Collection Tools To be used by research staff on field, that may be systems approach offers the promise of decision support tools aiding
fatigued and distracted with intermittent power, the warfighter operating autonomously down range in the near future.
data logging and communications
5 Label Data Add labels to data to enable AI model to learn
6 Protocol study Perform prototype study on low subject Funding information
numbers to prove functionality of the protocol,
tools and computational models. No grants or financial contributions were made for this paper.
7 Large study Perform field trial to validate the research.
8 Deploy Deploy fieldable tool
Declaration of interest statement
verbose for system limitations including battery power, storage capacity B. L. Beard is employed by NASA Ames.
or communication bandwidth. The trade-offs require local analysis to J. McGeown is implied by The Matai Institute.
deliver higher level information for onward transmission, e.g., a plethys- B. K. Russell is a research associate of SPRINZ, and contractor to NASA
mograph (PPG) 100 Hz 2 channel signal from a wrist device is used to Ames
calculate and store blood oxygen (SpO2) versus heart rate at 1 Hz.
Validation of opaque AI models requires black box testing under Acknowledgements
many representative scenarios to guarantee performance in uncon-
strained environments. With AI development these data are required The work presented here was informed by research into clinical
at the beginning of the research to train the model and also at the end decision support systems for deep space missions by the NASA Human
of the project to validate performance. AI enabled human performance Research Program, Exploration Medicine Capability, NASA Ames
monitoring requires a method to gather data in the field to both train Research Facility.
the AI model and validate its performance. This ‘black box’ approach dif-
fers from reductionist science in that it asks the question: Transparency declaration
“Can an AI model accurately predict outputs with a given dataset
This article is published as part of a Supplement entitled ‘Macquarie
and, if so, what data is required to find the signal?”
University [MQ] Military Biomarker Symposium 2022’ supported by
A process is required to develop an AI model including input data the Defence Science and Technology Group (DSTG). Funding for the
representing real world use cases, outputs valuable for intended use, Symposium was provided by Office of Naval Research Global through
and comparison gold standards to both train the model and validate the Collaborative Science Program. Additional funding was provided
performance. Field considerations for the team collecting data in remote by the NSW Defence Innovation Network, Smartabase/Fusion Sport,
environments should take into account: spare parts due to lack of resup- and Vicon.
ply, fatigued and distracted research assistants, safety, environmental
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