Executive Summary

Electricity Supply
Business Plan
PT PLN (Persero) 2013 - 2022
CONTENTS

PURPOSE AND SCOPE RUPTL 1

BUSINESS GROWTH AND CURRENT CONDITIONS OF ELECTRICITY SUPPLY 1

SHORT-TERM RESPONSE EFFORTS 2

AVAILABILITY OF PRIMARY ENERGY 2

POWER SYSTEM PLANNING POLICY AND DESIGN CRITERIA 2

POWER DEMAND FORECAST 3

PLANS FOR ADDITIONAL POWER GENERATION 4

CO2 EMISSION PROJECTION 6

CARBON FINANCE PROJECT 7

DEVELOPMENT PLAN FOR TRANSMISSION AND SUBSTATION 7

INVESTMENT NEEDS 9

JAVA-BALI SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT PLAN 9

SUMATERA SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT PLAN 15

WEST KALIMANTAN SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT PLAN 19

SOUTH, CENTRAL AND EAST KALIMANTAN SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT PLAN 22

NORTH SULAWESI SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT PLAN 26

SOUTH SULAWESI SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT PLAN

DEVELOPMENT PLAN FOR NEW AND RENEWABLE ENERGY

27

31
2013 - 2022
DEVELOPMENT PLAN FOR ISOLATED POWER SYSTEMS 32

RISK ANALYSIS 32

CONCLUSION 33

Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022 iii

PURPOSE AND SCOPE RUPTL

e Electricity Supply Business Plan (RUPTL) by PT PLN (Persero) for the period 2013 - 2022 has been issued
to fulfill the mandate of the Government Regulation No.14/2012 on Power Supply Operations and to serve as
guidance for the development of power infrastructure to meet electricity demand within PLN business areas
in an efficient and well-planned manner, in order to prevent inefficiencies from starting at the planning stage.
RUPTL covers electricity demand load forecasts, generation capacity expansion plans and the development
plans related to transmission, substations and distribution. Projected electricity demand has been prepared
for each province and electricity system, including the electricity systems in remote islands across the region.
Development plans for generating capacity, transmission and substation are also for their respective projects.

Electricity demand forecasts are prepared to project the electricity needed to support economic growth tar-
geted by the government and to take into consideration population growth.

e development of generation capacity has been planned to meet the growing demand for electricity, reserve
margin and to the extent possible, based on the principle of lowest cost. Utilization of local energy sources is
also prioritized, especially renewable energy such as geothermal and hydropower. Several projects have been
confirmed as undertaken as a PLN project or independent power producer (IPP) project, whilst some projects
have not been designated as either a PLN or IPP project. is is intended for PLN to decide a later stage, with
the approval of the Government, whether a project is implemented as a PLN or IPP project.

e development of the transmission system is planned to strike a balance between generation capacity and
power requirements efficiently to meet certain reliability and quality criteria. In electricity systems as large as
Sumatera and Java, an extra high voltage transmission line has been planned for the transmission system, to
form the backbone of the electrical system.

BUSINESS GROWTH AND CURRENT CONDITIONS OFELECTRICITY SUPPLY

In the last five years, between 2008 and 2012, PLN’s business has continued to grow. Electricity sales in-
creased from 128 TWh in 2008 to 172 TWh in 2012, the number of customers increased from 39 million in
2008 to 50 million in 2012 and the electrification ratio increased from 62.3% in 2008 to 75.9% in 2012.

e electricity landscape by September 2013 can be described as follows: As of September 2013 the installed
capacity of PLN power plants and IPPs in Indonesia was 40,533 MW, consisting of 31,815 MW in Java-Bali
and 8,718 MW in Sumatera and East Indonesia, excluding 2,933 MW of rental generating units. Generating
capacity in Sumatera and East Indonesia is barely sufficient to meet the electricity needs of the community,
but there can be a shortfall when there is disruption to the power supply or a plant needs to undergo routine
maintenance. For example, the electricity system of North Sumatera operates for almost the whole year
without backup operation and often faces shortfalls in electricity supply, resulting in the operation of many
2013 - 2022
liquid fuel generating plants. e South Sumatera system also experiences a similar issue, suffering from
shortfalls in electricity supply for most of the year. is situation also occurs in several other areas, such as
East Kalimantan, South Kalimantan, Southeast Sulawesi, Minahasa-Gorontalo, Palu, Lombok, Ambon, Ternate
and Jayapura. Smaller deficits are also observed in other smaller electricity systems. In Java and Bali, there is
enough generating capacity to meet the power requirements. However, certain operational issues were faced
in 2012, such as insufficient gas supply for PLN’s power plants, over-loading of many transformers, as well as
the increasing transfer of power from Central Java/East Java to West Java, which resulted in voltage in the
system transmission during peak-load periods.

Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022 1

 SHORT-TERM RESPONSE EFFORTS

e problems in electricity supply that need to be addressed are an urgent need to meet electricity demand in
areas that lack electricity supply, replacing oil-fired plants with a non-petroleum fuels and to electrify regions
where there is no supply of electricity.

Certain actions that have been taken in West and East Indonesia, including rental of generation capacity,
purchase of electricity from small-scale IPPs, partnership/co-operation with local governments, purchase of
excess power, acceleration of the development of coal-fired power plants as stipulated in PR71/2006, build-
ing of transmission lines, securing continuity of primary energy supply and installation of solar power plants.
Short-term measures in the Java - Bali system include acceleration of the procurement of 150/20 kV trans-
former and 500/150 kV interbus, adding generating capacity in Bali, accelerating the commissioning of subma-
rine cables in Java-Bali 150 kV circuits 3 and 4 and installing shunt capacitors in the Jakarta system to improve
voltage levels.

AVAILABILITY OF PRIMARY ENERGY

Coal resources of 120 billion tonnes and reserves of 28 billion tonnes in Indonesia are the basis for the plan-
ning of the development of coal power plants, both coastal power plants using coal at market prices, as well
as mine-mouth power plants using low-rank coal at cost price plus a margin.

For natural gas, although Indonesia has large reserves amounting to 165 TSCF, in reality there is insufficient
gas available for power generation. In fact, the supply of gas to the existing power plants has been and will
be declining such that a deficit in gas supply is expected if there is no new gas supply. In the year 2012, the
LNG FSRU plant in Jakarta commenced supply of LNG to power plants in Jakarta during peak load periods. e
price of gas in LNG form is relatively high and is only economically viable if used for generation at peak load.
Faced with such a gas supply situation, the RUPTL only plans for 2 units of 800 MW Combined cycle gas-fired
power plant classes, with the expectation that one unit will received gas supply from the Cepu block, while the
gas supply for the other unit is to be determined. LNG for power generation will also be developed in Arun,
which will supply peaking power plants in Arun and Pangkalan Brandan and existing power plants in Belawan.

Continuing on the topic of gas, the RUPTL plans a smaller number of peaking power plants that will utilize
LNG or CNG in East Indonesia. e base load requirements will be met by the planned development of coal
fired power plants, while gas supplies will be used for peaking power plants wherever possible, to avoid the
use of oil.

A large number of plants utilizing renewable energy on large scale, such geothermal and hydro powers, have
also been planned in the RUPTL.

POWER SYSTEM PLANNING POLICY AND DESIGN CRITERIA

Interconnection System
RUPTL

Power system planning is optimized from an economic perspective, with the objective of achieving a configu-
ration of the development of plants which provide the lowest total NPV of the electricity supply cost, while
still meeting certain reliability criteria. e cheapest configuration is obtained through an optimization process
or objective function that includes capital costs, fuel costs, operation and maintenance costs and the cost of
energy not served. Simulation and optimization is done by using a model called WASP (Wien Automatic Sys-
tem Planning).

e reliability criteria used in the planning process is a Loss of Load Probability (LOLP) which is less than 1
day per year. is means the probability of peak loads exceeding available generating capacity is less than

2 Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022

0.274%. Calculation of generation capacity based on the LOLP produces a reserve margin, which depends on
the generation unit size, availability factor of each unit, number of units and type of units.

In the Java-Bali system, the LOLP of < 0.274% is equivalent to a reserve margin of ≥ 25 - 30% of net gen-
eration capacity. When expressed in terms of installed capacity, the reserve margin required is approximately
35%.

For East Indonesia and West Indonesia, the reserve margin is set at about 40%, in view of a smaller number
of generating units, a larger unit size relative to peak load, a higher level of de-rating and a higher growth rate
compared to Java Bali.

As part of the optimization process, renewable energy generation capacity, particularly geothermal and hydro-
power, is treated as a ‘fixed system’ (permitted to enter the grid with no economic optimization required) at
the time the project is put into commercial operation.

Small Non-Interconnected/Isolated Systems

Power generation planning for isolated small systems do not apply probabilistic methods and the economic
optimization process, but use the deterministic method. In this method, the planning was based on a N-2 cri-
teria, i.e. the minimum reserve must be greater than the two largest generation units. e reserve is defined
as the difference between the total generation capacity of existing power plants and peak load.

Transmission Planning Criteria

e transmission planning is carried out using both a static and dynamic reliability criteria N-1. e static N-1
criteria requires that when there is an outage in a transmission circuit due to a disruption or maintenance, then
the remaining transmission circuits must be able to distribute the overall load, so the continuity of electrical
power supply is maintained. e dynamic N-1 criteria requires that in the event of a three-phase short-circuit,
followed by the loss of a transmission circuit, then there should not be a loss of synchronization between that
group of generators and other groups of generators.

Generally, the criteria applied in the RUPTL is that there is a need for additional transformer capacity when the
loading of the transformer reaches 70% - 80%.

POWER DEMAND FORECAST

Between 2013 and 2022, electricity consumption in Indonesia is expected to increase from 189 TWh to 386
TWh, with an average growth of 8.4% per year, as shown in Figure-1. e number of costumers is projected
to increase from 54 million to 77 million by 2022, an increase of 2.7 million per annum. e additional custom-
ers will increase the electrification ratio from 79.6% to 97.7%. Regionally, the electricity demand in Java-Bali
is expected to increase from 144 TWh to 275 TWh, growing at a rate of 7.6% per annum. Demand in East
2013 - 2022
Indonesia is expected to grow more rapidly, increasing from 18 TWh to 46 TWh, a growth rate of 11.2% per
annum, while demand in Sumatera is expected to grow from 26 TWh to 66 TWh, a growth rate of 10.6% per
annum.

Figure-2 shows that in the Java-Bali system, industrial customers account for the largest portion of total con-
sumption, an average of 38.5% of total sales. In East Indonesia and Sumatera, the proportion of consumption
by industrial customers is relatively smaller, at 11% and 15.8% respectively. By 2022, residential customers
would dominate sales, accounting for 62% of sales in East Indonesia and 55 % in Sumatera.

Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022 3

 Figure-1. Map of Power Demand Growth in Indonesia through Year 2022

450,000 300,000
Indonesia Jawa-Bali
400,000
250,000
350,000

300,000 200,000

250,000 Industrial
Industrial 150,000
200,000
Public Public
150,000 100,000
Business Business
100,000
50,000
50,000 Residenal Residenal
- -
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Indonesia
70,000 50,000
Sumatera Eastern Indonesia
45,000
60,000
40,000

50,000 35,000

30,000
40,000 Industrial
Industrial 25,000 Public
30,000
Public
20,000 Business
Business
20,000 15,000

Residenal 10,000 Residenal

10,000
5,000

- -
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Figure-2. Power Demand Growth Composition by Customer Group in Indonesia Regions (GWh)

PLANS FOR ADDITIONAL POWER GENERATION

RUPTL

To meet the growing power demand, an additional generating capacity of 59.5 GW for the whole of Indonesia
is required, an average growth rate of 6 GW per annum, as shown in Figure-3. e RUPTL plans for PLN and
IPPs to develop 16.9 GW and 25.5 GW of capacity respectively, with the remaining 17.1 GW currently unal-
located, i.e. projects where developers and funding sources have not been established.

4 Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022

 12.000

Unallocated
10.000 IPP
2.555
PLN
8.000 2.689

6.000
3.435
1.026
6.838
2.084 1.954 3.274
4.000 - 2.003
878 6.410
-
314 96 1.506 1.391
729
2.000 3.948 1.535
2.518 2.908 2.919
2.013 1.869 2.003
1.234 1.244
- 55 90

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Figure-3. Additional Generation Capacity Requirement (MW)

Figure-4 shows the additional generation capacity required, by plant type. New coal-fired power plants will
dominate the additional generation capacity to be developed, accounting for 37.9 GW, or 63.8% of the planned
additional capacity. Planned combined cycle gas-fired power plants amount to 5 GW of capacity, or 8.4 %. For
renewable energy, the largest planned additional capacity relates to hydropower at 6.5 GW, or 11.0% of the
total additional capacity, followed by geothermal at 6.0 GW, or 10.2%. Of this planned additional capacity,
around 16.6 GW will be in West Indonesia and around 11.5 GW in East Indonesia. In West Indonesia, there is a
510 MW hydroelectric project Batang Toru to be developed by the private sector, and in East Indonesia there
is also a 450 MW hydropower project Karama which will be developed by the private sector. For the Java - Bali
system, additional power is about 31.5 GW, or an average of 3.2 GW per year, including 353 MW of mini-hydro
and 50 MW of wind turbine power plants.

12,000

10,627

10,000
9,154

8,000
7,473

6,053

2013 - 2022
5,948
6,000 5,449 5,348

4,000 3,786

2,831 2,838

2,000

-
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

CFPP HEPP GeoPP CCPP GT/GEPP Others

Figure-4. Additional Generation Capacity by Plant Type (MW)

e energy mix for power generation in 2022 for Indonesia is projected to be 65.6% coal, 16.6% natural gas
(including LNG), 11.0% geothermal, 5.1% hydroelectric and 1.7% oil and other fuels as shown in Figure-5.

Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022 5

 500,000

450,000

400,000

350,000

300,000
GWh

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

-
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Import Biomass Solar/Wind/Hybrid HSD MFO LNG Gas Coal Geothermal Hydro

Figure-5. Projected Electricity Production by Fuel Type for Indonesia

Table-1 shows the energy mix for Indonesia from 2013 to 2022.

Table-1. Projected Primary Energy Requirement

No, Fuel Type 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
1 HSD ( x 10^3 kl ) 6,679 6,007 4,711 3,414 2,651 1,740 1,812 1,757 1,862 2,019
2 MFO ( x 10^3 kl ) 1,267 1,238 1,599 1,544 1,185 183 191 190 194 212
3 Gas (bcf) 387 396 412 447 448 400 366 357 354 375
4 LNG (bcf) 92 87 119 147 174 242 244 245 258 269
5 Batubara (10^6 ton) 59 71 83 94 106 114 120 131 143 151
6 Biomass (10^3 ton) 1 80 286 474 693 738 745 752 761 770

CO2 EMISSION PROJECTION

System planning process in RUPTL 2013 - 2022 doesn‘t take into account the CO2 emissions cost as one of
variable costs. However, this doesn’t mean that RUPTL ignoring the CO2 emissions reduction. It can be seen
from the number of geothermal and hydropower power plants candidate set into the electrical system even
though they are not the lowest cost solution. e use of supercritical boiler technology and ultra supercritical
in Java also prove that PLN concerned with the efforts to reduce CO2 emissions from power generation.
RUPTL

e amount of emissions is calculated from the amount of fuel used and converted into CO2 emissions (in
tonnes of CO2 ) by using a multiplier factor (emission factor) issued by the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change ).

Figure 6 shows the CO2 emissions that would be generated with electricity production and fuel mix as shown
in Figure 5. From Figure 6 it can be seen that CO2 emissions in Indonesia will increase from 165 million tons
in 2013 to 339 million tonnes by 2022. Of the 339 million tons of emissions, 294 million tons (87%) comes
from burning coal.

6 Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022

 Million tCO2
350

300

250

200

150

100

50

0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Biomass HSD MFO LNG Gas Coal

Figure-6. CO2 Emission per Fuel Type (Indonesia)

Average grid emission factor for Indonesia in 2013 was 0.766 kgCO2/kWh, will increase to 0.846 kgCO2/kWh
in 2017 and will further decline due to the operation of geothermal and hydro projects so that the average grid
emission factor in 2022 became 0.773 kgCO2/kWh.

CARBON FINANCE PROJECT

PLN will utilize carbon finance opportunities through the UNFCCC or outside the UNFCCC framework. Carbon
finance project implementation will be applied to all activities within the PLN, which has the potential to obtain
carbon finance.

Since the year 2002 PLN is aware of funding opportunities of carbon through the Clean Development Mecha-
nism (CDM) and do some assessment of potential CDM projects, and results to date PLN has signed several
ERPA (Emission Reduction Purchase Agreements). In addition PLN also develop projects through the VCM
(Voluntary Carbon Mechanism).

2013 - 2022
Since the expiration of the first commitment of the Kyoto Protocol by the end of 2012, the use of carbon
finance will be adjusted to the new carbon financing mechanisms, both within and outside the UNFCCC frame-
work of the UNFCCC.

DEVELOPMENT PLAN FOR TRANSMISSION AND SUBSTATION

e planned development of the transmission system for the period 2013 - 2022 includes the development
of the transmission system with a voltage of 500 kV and 150 kV in the Java-Bali system, and systems with
voltage of 500 kV, 275 kV, 150 kV and 70 kV in East Indonesia and West Indonesia. Generally, the construc-
tion of the transmission system looks to achieve compatibility between the upstream generation capacity and
the downstream portion of the power demand in an efficient manner. In addition, it also looks to overcome
bottlenecks and improve service voltage.

e development of 500 kV transmission lines in Java is generally intended to transmit power from new and
expansion plants and to maintain the N-1 reliability criterion, whether static or dynamic. On the other hand,
the development of 150 kV transmission lines is intended to maintain the N-1 reliability criterion and the as-
sociated transmission, in relation to the new 150 kV substations.

Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022 7

 14.000

12.000

10.000

8.000

6.000

4.000

2.000

-
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

70 kV 150 kV 250 kV DC 275 kV 500 kV DC 500 kV AC

Figure-7. Requirement for Development of Transmission Lines by Voltage (kms)

25.000

20.000

15.000

10.000

5.000

-
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
70/20 kV 150/20 kV 150/70 kV 250 kV DC
275/150 kV 500 kV DC 500/150 kV 500/275 kV

Figure-8. Requirement for Development of Substations and Transformers by Voltage (MVA)

RUPTL

e development of 500 kV transmission line in Sumatera is intended to form the backbone of the transmis-
sion system, bringing together the interconnections in the eastern corridor of Sumatera. Large-scale power
plants and load centers in Sumatera will be connected to this 500 kV transmission system. is transmission
system also will transmit power from regions with rich and inexpensive primary energy sources (e.g. Sumbag-
seland Riau) to regions which lack an affordable primary energy source (e.g. Sumbagut). In addition, a 500 kV
transmission line will also be developed in South Sumatera as a feeder electricity supply from the mine mouth
power plants to the converter station for the HVDC transmission line, which will connect Sumatera and Java.

8 Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022

e development plan for the transmission system in Indonesia by 2022 involves a projected 57,132 kms and
134,435 MVA of substation and transformer as shown in Figure-7 and Figure-8.

INVESTMENT NEEDS

e development of generation, transmission and distribution infrastructure requires an investment of

US$71.1billion for PLN projects alone and a total of US$125.2 billion when combined with the power projects
expected to be implemented by the private sector/IPPs, with annual disbursements as shown in the Figure-9.

20.0
PLN power plant : US$ 37,2 billion
18.0 IPP power plant : US$ 54,1 billion
Transmission : US$ 19,4 billion
16.0 Distribution : US$ 14,5 billion

14.0
Total PLN : US$ 71,1 billion
12.0 Total PLN+IPP : US$125,2 billion

10.0

8.0

6.0

4.0

2.0

-
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Total Investment PLN Total Investment PLN+IPP Power Plant PLN+IPP

Transmission Distribuon Power Plant PLN

Figure-9. Investment requirement for the development of electricity

To date, many PLN projects have been financed through loans obtained from overseas (two-step loan). How-
ever, since 2006 the role of this kind of financing has begun to decline and financing by issuing bonds (both
local and global) has been increasing. e 10,000 MW Fast Track project was fully financed by loans to PLN,
backed by a guarantee from the Government. Lately, PLN has once again tried to obtain loans from multilateral
and bilateral financial institutions to fund power projects, such as the Upper Cisokan pumped storage and the
Sumatera-Java HVDC transmission line.
2013 - 2022
JAVA - BALI SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT PLAN

e additional generation capacity to be developed over the period of 2013 - 2022 for the Java - Bali system is
31.5 GW, or an average increase in capacity of 3.2 GW per year, including small-scale mini-hydro power plants
of 353 MW and wind power plants of 50 MW. e capacity of PLN will increase by as many as 8.3 GW, or 26%
of the total planned additional capacity. Private sector participation represents a large proportion of the total
planned additional capacity, i.e. 15.6 GW, or 50%, while unallocated projects amount to 7.5 GW, or 24%. Of the
types of power generation, coal-fired power plants will represent the majority of additional capacity to be de-
veloped, at 22.6 GW, or 71.8%, followed by combined cycle gas-fired power plants with a total capacity of 3.2
GW, or 10.0% and gas-fired plants with total capacity of 0.2 GW, or 0.7 %. As for renewable energy, additional
capacity consists of geothermal at 2.8 GW, or 8.9%, hydro electric at 2.6 GW, or 8.4%, and other plants of 0.05
GW, or 0.2%. e breakdown of power generation development in the Java-Bali system is shown in Table-2.

Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022 9

 Table-2. Power Generation Development Plan in the Java - Bali System

PROJECTS 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Energy Sales GWh 144,010 157,183 170,232 183,486 197,293 211,527 226,314 241,805 257,968 274,850
Growth % 8.8 9.1 8.3 7.8 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.8 6.7 6.5
Energy Production GWh 163,501 178,009 192,714 207,605 223,336 239,235 255,816 273,475 292,238 312,111
Load Factor % 78.4 78.5 78.6 78.7 78.8 78.9 79.0 79.1 79.2 79.3
Gross Peak Load MW 23,801 25,880 27,982 30,106 32,346 34,605 36,957 39,458 42,112 44,919

GENERATION
CAPACITY
Net Capacity MW 29,053 29,028 29,028 29,028 29,028 29,028 27,997 27,997 27,997 27,997
Installed Capacity MW 30,285 30,261 30,261 30,261 30,261 30,261 29,229 29,229 29,229 29,229
PLN MW 24,625 24,601 24,601 24,601 24,601 24,601 23,569 23,569 23,569 23,569
Retired/Mothballed -200 -25 0 0 0 0 -1031 0 0 0
IPP MW 5,660 5,660 5,660 5,660 5,660 5,660 5,660 5,660 5,660 5,660

PLN On-going and

Committed
Pelabuhan Ratu CFPP 700 350
Pacitan CFPP 630
Tj. Awar-awar CFPP 350 350
Adipala CFPP 660
Indramayu #4 (FTP2) CFPP 1,000
Upper Cisokan PS HEPP
1,040
(FTP2)
Sub Total PLN On- MW
1,680 1,360 - - 1,040 - - - - 1,000
going & Committed
IPP On-going and
Committed
Celukan Bawang CFPP 130 250
Banten CFPP 625
Sumsel-8 MT CFPP 1,200
Sumsel-9 MT (PPP) CFPP 600 600
Sumsel-10 MT (PPP) CFPP 600
Cilacap exp CFPP 614
Madura 2x200 MW CFPP
400
(FTP2)
Jawa Tengah (PPP) CFPP 950 950
Rajamandala (FTP2) HEPP 47
Patuha (FTP2) GeoPP 55 110
Kamojang-5 (FTP2) GeoPP 30
Karaha Bodas (FTP2) GeoPP 30 110
Tangkuban Perahu 1 GeoPP
110
(FTP2)
Ijen (FTP2) GeoPP 110
Iyang Argopuro (FTP2) GeoPP 55
Wilis/Ngebel (FTP2) GeoPP 110 55
Cibuni (FTP2) GeoPP 10
Tangkuban Perahu 2 GeoPP
60
(FTP2)
Cisolok - Cisukarame GeoPP
50
(FTP2)
Ungaran (FTP2) GeoPP 55
RUPTL

Wayang Windu (FTP2) GeoPP 220

Dieng (FTP2) GeoPP 115
Tampomas (FTP2) GeoPP 45
Baturaden (FTP2) GeoPP 220
Guci (FTP2) GeoPP 55
Rawa Dano (FTP2) GeoPP 110
Umbul Telomoyo (FTP2) GeoPP 55
Gn. Ciremai (FTP2) GeoPP 110
Gn. Endut (FTP2) GeoPP 55
Sub Total IPP On-going MW
- 185 280 1,269 272 3,350 2,815 110 220 400
& Committed

10 Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022

 Table-2. Power Generation Development Plan in the Java - Bali System
continued
PROYEK 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
PLANNED ADDITIO-
NAL CAPACITY
Jawa-1 (Load Follower) CCPP 800
Jawa-2 (Load Follower) CCPP 800
Muara Tawar Add-on CCPP
650
Blok 2,3,4
Muara Karang Peaker CCPP 450
Grati Peaker CCPP 300 150
Pesanggaran Peaker GEPP 50 150
Karangkates #4-5 HEPP 100
Kesamben HEPP 37
Kalikonto-2 HEPP 62
Jatigede (FTP2) HEPP 110
Matenggeng PS HEPP 450 450
Indramayu #5 CFPP 1,000
Lontar Exp #4 CFPP 315
Jawa-1 (FTP2) CFPP 1,000
Jawa-3 (FTP2) CFPP 660 660
Jawa-4 (FTP2) CFPP 1,000 1,000
Jawa-5 (FTP2) CFPP 1,000 1,000
Jawa-6 (FTP2) CFPP 2,000
Jawa-7 CFPP 1,000 1,000
Iyang Argopuro GeoPP 220
Cisolok - Cisukarame GeoPP 110
Ungaran GeoPP 140
Dieng GeoPP 110
Bedugul GeoPP 10
Gn. Lawu GeoPP 165
Arjuno Welirang GeoPP 110
Sub Total Planned
MW - 50 450 600 1,225 2,450 3,869 4,110 2,450 1,855
Additional Capacity
Total Additional
MW 1,680 1,595 730 1,869 2,537 5,800 6,684 4,220 2,670 3,255
Capacity
TOTAL INSTALLED
MW 31,965 33,536 34,266 36,135 38,672 44,472 50,124 54,344 57,014 60,269
CAPACITY
TOTAL NET CAPACITY MW 30,733 32,303 33,033 34,902 37,439 43,239 48,892 53,112 55,782 59,037

e breakdown of the planned development for Java - Bali power system above indicates that the net reserve
margin varies between 16 - 36%, with the lowest reserve margin occurring in 2015 (18%), 2016 (16%) and
2017 (16%), due to delays some IPP projects such as Sumsel 8 coal-fired power plant (2x600MW), Central Java
coal-fired power plant (2x950 MW), Madura coal-fired power plant (2x200 MW), Java-1 coal-fired power plant
(1x1,000 MW), Java-3 coal-fired power plant (2x660 MW) as well as some geothermal power plants amounting
to 400 MW. In anticipation of lower reserve margins in 2015 to 2017, steps have been taken to address the
2013 - 2022
issue.

e Muara Karang combined cycle gas-fired power plant (450 MW), Grati combined cycle gas-fired power plant
(450 MW), Pesanggaran gas engine power plant (200 MW) and Java-1combined cycle gas-fired power plant
(800 MW) and coal-fired IPPs such as Celukan Bawang power plant (380 MW), Banten power plant (625 MW)
and Cilacap expansion (600 MW) should be operational over the period 2014 - 2017, to ensure that the re-
serve margin is maintained and does not decline.

Plants that undergo changes are as follows: (i) Changes in plant type and unit size: Muara Karang open
cycle gas-fired power plant (400 MW) to Muara Karang combined cycle gas-fired power plant (450 MW) and
the Grati open cycle gas-fired power plant (300 MW) to Grati combined cycle gas-fired power plant (450 MW),
as combined cycle gas-fired power plants are more efficient and are able to operate on a daily start-stop basis
as a peaker plant, (ii) Capacity of Java-1 and Java-2 combined cycle gas-fired power plants to increase from
750 MW to 800 MW, to keep abreast of the latest technology that is more efficient, (iii) Changes in location:

Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022 11

 Location of Java-6 coal-fired power plant from Bojonegara to Karawang, (iv) Addition of new planned generat-
ing capacity: Java-7 coal-fired power plant (2x1,000 MW), (v) plants removed from the RUPTL: Semarang open
cycle gas-fired power plant (150 MW) as the period of validity of the loan had expired and was not renewed,
and Kamojang 6 geothermal plant (60 MW) in view of the results of the study of the PGE reservoir show that
it is not possible to develop the Kamojang 6 geothermal power plant, but only to develop the Kamojang 5
geothermal power plant (30 MW).

e locations of coal-fired power plants and combined cycle gas-fired power plants are subject to change in
accordance with developments in project preparation, including the availability of gas supply.

SRLYA BANTEN MTWAR

~ ~~ PLTU PLTU 4x1.000 MW
2x1.000 MW PRIOK
MKRNG
CLGON DKSBI IDRMYU
KMBNG BKASI CBTUBRU

BRAJA CWANG CBATU

TMBUN PLTU 2x1.000 MW
TJATI B
GNDUL
CIBNG
DEPOK
XBOGOR PLTU 1x1.000 MW
CRATA
PLTU 2x660 MW JATENG IPP
MDCAN GRSIK
CSKAN PS SGLNG

BDSLN UNGAR
UJBRG TANDES
NGBNG
PMLNG
SBSLN
SBBRT
CGRLNG
TASIK
RWALO GRATI
SOLO
CLCAP IPP ADIPALA PITON
PEDAN
KDIRI
BANGIL

NEW ANTOSARI

Legend:
Existing Power Plant in 500 kV
~ Planned Power Plant in 500 kV
Existing 500 kV S/S
Planned 500 kV S/S
Existing 500 kV EHV
Planned 500 kV EHV

Figure-10. Plans for Strengthening 500 kV Transmission in Java – Bali

e development of the 500 kV transmission in Java is generally intended to evacuate power from new and
expansion power plants, to maintain both the static and dynamic N-1 security criterion,while the development
of the 150 kV transmission is intended to maintain the N-1 security criterion and the transmission associated
with the new 150 kV substation.

e plans for development of the 500 kV transmissions in Java-Bali are shown in Figure-10. Considering the
development of EHV transmission lines and HV transmission lines are often delayed due to licensing, ROW
and social issues, as well as the urgent need for additional power, there is a need for PLN to take steps to
increase transmission capacity soon. e development of EHV transmission line using the new route would
take a long time, while the reconductoring of several sections of the 500 kV and 150 kV transmissions would
take a shorter time.

Construction of the 500 kV transmission is intended to evacuate power from large-scale coal-fired power
plants such as Adipala, Indramayu 4 and 5, Central Java, Java-1, Java-3, Java-4, Java-5, Java-6, Java-7, Java-
Bali Crossing to transfer from Paiton to the load center in Bali, pumped storage hydropower Upper Cisokan
and Matenggeng, as well as several other new plants.
RUPTL

e 500 kV EHV transmission lines to undergo reconductoring are New Suralaya-Bojonegara-Balaraja (2018)
and Old Suralaya-Balaraja-Gandul (2019).

e new 500 kV transmission development plan for EHV transmission lines includes Tanjung Jati B-Pemalang-
Indramayu - Cibatu, Balaraja - Kembangan - Duri Kosambi and Duri Kosambi - Muara Karang - Muara Tawar for-
ming looping EHV transmission lines in North Jakarta, to strengthen and improve the reliability and flexibility of
the system operation in Jakarta. A 500 kV HVDC transmission interconnection between Sumatera-Java will also
be built, to distribute power from the mine mouth power plants in South Sumatera to the load centers in Java.

12 Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022

 PLTU LONTAR
3 x 300 MW

TELUK JAKARTA
TNAGA

MKRNG
TNAGA II KAPUK
PRIOK PLTU 4x1.000 MW
SPTAN PLNDOB MTWAR
PLNDOA
SPTAN III MKRNG ANCOL
MKRNG III
SPTAN II
TGBRU II GNSRI
SOETA KMYRN KDSPI II
ANGKE MGBSR II PLPNG JGC MRNDA
PSKMS TGBRU DMGOT HRPDH
GRGOL KTPNG MGBSR KMYRN II KLPGD
TGRNG III CKRNG
RWBUAYA TTNGI KDSPI
GBLMA
MAXIM DRKSB GMBRU PGLNG II CBTUBR
KBSRH PKRNG
New GPOLA
JTAKE Old BKASIUTRA
CKNDE CKUPA GRGOL II BDKMY
TGRNG PGSAN PGLNG
SMBRT II DKTAS
DKTASII GBLMA-2 BKASI II
SPINML CLDK PLMAS PGDNG SKTNI
KBJRK KARET MGRAICIPNG II BKASI
BLRJA LIPP NewOld
STBDI CIPNG KESA KSBRU
O
PGDGSTEEL
BNTEN LIPP ALMSTRA NSYAN II AGP IISMBRT
O II KMBNG
LAUTS SNYAN AGP PCRAN2 FAJAR
PNCOL II
MLNIUM NSYAN DNYSA II TMRSD PDKLP
Old
CITRA PNCOL
PWRSTEL MPANG
DNYSA CIKRNG
TGRSA BKSPWR
HVDC
CSW CSW II JTWRG
DRTGA
CWANG TMBUN II
JBEKA
LEGOKLKONG MRT TMBUN
CWANGBR TMBUN
PTKNG RJPKSI
TGRSA II PDNDH II
CSW III/ MNTUR
LKONG II BNTRO II Psmede GDMKR CBATU
CSENG KMANG
LKONG PDNDH
LKONG III/BSD
RGNAN
BNTRO

SRPNG BNTRO III JTNGN

GDRIA

GNDUL
DPBRU
JTNGNII/
CBBUR
CBATU
LEGEND : CLGSI II/
DEPOK III
EXISTING 500 KV S/S CMGIS II JONGGOL
CLGSI
NEW 500 KV S/S CMGIS ASPEK
CIBNG
EXISTING 150 KV S/S
NEW 150 KV EXISTING BGORX
NEW 150 KV S/S FOR HV CUSTOMER CIBNG II SGLNG
SCBNG
EXISTING 70 KV S/S CLGON
SNTUL ITP

TSMYA BGBRU
KDBDK

Figure-11. Plans for Strengthening of 500 kV Transmission in Jakarta

To strengthen the system supply in Jakarta, construction has been planned for a EHV transmission line for the
Duri Kosambi - Muara Karang - Priok - Muara Tawar section (looping EHV transmission line for north Jakarta
route) as shown in Figure-11. e new EHV transmission line will also improve the reliability and flexibility of
operation of the power systems in Jakarta and Bekasi.

2013 - 2022

Figure-12. Projected composition of Electricity Production by fuel type in Java - Bali

Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022 13

 Figure-12 shows that coal will be the main primary energy used, representing 70% of all production in 2022,
followed by natural gas (including LNG) 17%, geothermal 9%, hydro 3% and fuel oil in very small proportions
(1%). e proportion of fuel oil utilized in 2013 was about 3.5% but will decrease to very low levels by 2022.
is decrease can be achieved if alternative fuels are available at levels as planned and fullest efforts are made
to reduce electricity production costs. Contribution of natural gas will decline from 21% in 2013 to 10% in
2022 due to no certain additional gas supply expected to materialize. e contribution of LNG is relatively sta-
ble at around 6-7% until the year 2022, to operate peaking power plants and ‘must run’ plants. Contribution
by geothermal energy was only 5% in 2013 and will rise to 9% by 2022.

Table-3 shows the gas supply based on current contracts. From Table-3 it shows that the supply of gas for the
next 10 years is likely to decline, especially for Priok, Muara Karang, Muara Tawar, Gresik and Grati. Tambak
Lorok and Pesanggaran (Bali) have been using fuel oil to-date and they are expected to obtain gas supplies
from new sources. Demand for gas for power generation in Java-Bali is shown in Table-4. In the coming years,
there will be additional planned gas-fired generating capacity as follows: Pesanggaran gas engine power plant
200 MW (2015), Grati combined cycle gas-fired peaker plant 450 MW (2015/16), Muara Karang combined
cycle gas-fired peaker plant 450 MW (2016), Java-1 combined cycle gas-fired power plant (in Gresik) 800 MW
(2017), which is expected to receive gas supply from the Cepu block; as well as Java-2 combined cycle gas-
fired power plant (alternative in Grati) 800 MW (2018), which has yet to establish its gas supply.

Table-3. Gas Supply Situation for Java - Bali Power Generation

bbtud
No Power Plant Supplier 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
1 Muara Karang and PHE ONWJ (GSA) 100 110 110 110 110
Priok
PGN - Priok (GSA-IP) 30 30 30 30 30 30 - - - -
FSRU PT NR (GSA) 192 207 176 136 136 136 229 229 197 197
Total 322 347 316 276 276 166 229 229 197 197
2 Muara Tawar PERTAMINA - P Tengah (GSA) 25 25 25
PGN (GSA) 79 41 41 41 41 41
MEDCO Ex-Keramasan/SCS Field 20 17
MEDCO Lematang/Singa Field 35
SWAP JOB Jambi Merang 25 25 26 21 21 25 26
Additional from PHE (Potential) 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
Swap Program FSRU West Java (Potential) 30 35 40
Swap Premier (Potential) 5 3
Total 179 182 134 92 92 96 56 30 30 30
3 Cilegon CNOOC (GSA) 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80
PGN (GSA) 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
Total 110 110 110 110 110 110 110 110 110 110
4 Tambaklorok PCML - - 48 116 116 116 116 89 70 70
SPP (GSA-IP) - 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50
Total - 50 98 166 166 166 166 139 120 120
5 Gresik PHE WMO ex-Kodeco 123 98 104 83 64 49
Hess (GSA) 89 87 78 75 72 70 70 69 69 69
Kangean Energy Indonesia 130 130 60 60 60 60 53 50 43 43
Media Karya Sentosa 11
Wali Nusa Energi 17 12 12 12 4 4
Petronas-Bukit Tua (Potential) 12 43 51 19 9 - - - -
RUPTL

Santos Peluang Field (Contract Process) - 25 25 17 10 - - - -

Exxon/Pertamina Cepu Block (Potential) 100 100 100 100 100 100
Total 370 339 322 306 336 302 223 219 212 212
6 Grati Santos Oyong (GSA-IP) 40 40 40
Santos Wortel (GSA-IP) 30 30 30 20 14 1
Sampang Mandiri Perkasa (GSA-IP) 17 17 17 17 17 17
Pasuruan Migas (GSA-IP) 3 3 3 3 3 3
Total 90 90 90 40 34 21 - - - -
7 Pesanggaran Sengkang LNG (Potential) 30 30 20 20 - - - -
Total - - 30 30 20 20 - - - -
Total Gas Supply for Power Plants in Jawa - Bali 1,071 1,118 1,101 1,019 1,034 881 783 727 668 668

14 Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022

From Table-4, there could be a shortage of gas supply to some power plants due to the decline in the supply
of gas for the next 10 years. To prevent this, there must be a follow-up to extend existing gas contracts and
to seek new sources of gas.

Table-4. Gas Balance for Power Plants in Java - Bali

bbtud

No. Power Plant MW 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
1 Muara Karang 1) 2,077
Gas Demand 164 150 140 127 124 122 123 122 124 122
2 Tanjung Priok 1,923
Gas Demand 168 197 176 169 163 159 157 156 181 205
Gas Supply 140 140 140 140 110
LNG Supply 192 207 176 136 136 136 229 229 197 197
Surplus-Deficit 0 0 0 -20 -42 -145 -51 -49 -109 -131
3 Muara Tawar 2) 2,662
Gas Demand 179 182 179 201 201 202 160 162 164 159
Gas Supply 179 182 134 92 92 96 56 30 30 30
Surplus-Deficit 0 0 -45 -110 -109 -106 -104 -132 -134 -129
4 Gresik 3) 2,979
Gas Demand 301 290 284 269 242 236 236 237 240 245
Gas Supply 301 290 284 269 208 174 103 100 93 93
Surplus-Deficit 0 -34 -63 -134 -137 -147 -152
5 Tambak Lorok 1,234
Gas Demand 50 98 166 166 166 166 139 120 120
Gas Supply 50 98 166 166 166 166 139 120 120
Surplus-Deficit 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4
6 Grati ) 2,014
Gas Demand 90 90 90 96 89 160 161 161 164 174
Gas Supply 90 90 90 40 34 21
Surplus-Deficit 0 -56 -55 -139 -161 -161 -164 -174
7 Cilegon 740
Gas Demand 110 110 110 110 110 110 110 110 110 110
Gas Supply 110 110 110 110 110 110 110 110 110 110
Surplus-Deficit
8 Pesanggaran 250
Gas Demand 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20
Gas Supply 30 30 20 20
Surplus-Deficit -20 -20 -20 -20
9 Total Jawa-Bali
Gas Demand
Gas Supply
Surplus/Deficit -
1,012
- 1,012
0
1,069
1,069
0
1,108
1,063
-45
1,168
982
-186
1,116
876
-240
1,176
723
-453
1,133
663
-470
1,107
608
-499
1,123
549
-574
1,156
549
-607
2013 - 2022
Note:
1) Includes Muara Karang combined cycle gas-fired power plant 450 MW
2) Includes Muara Tawar Add-on Blocks 2,3,4 combined cycle gas-fired power plant 650 MW
3) Includes Java-1 combined cycle gas-fired power plant 800 MW
4) Includes Java-2 combined cycle gas-fired power plant 800 MW

SUMATERA SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT PLAN

Table-5 shows the power supply and demand balance of the Sumatera power system. e power system in
Sumatera is planned to achieve a reserve margin of 65% by 2022, which is lower than the reserve margin in
the RUPTL 2012 - 2021, which had planned to achieve a reserve margin of 70% in 2018. Potential burden on
Sumatera could be higher than planned. With reserve margins that are high enough, it is possible to accom-
modate such potential high loads. However, if the reserve margin is lower than 40 %, it would be necessary
to control the load.

Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022 15

 e new power plant development plan on Sumatera system includes the following: Sumut-1 coal-fired power plant
300 MW (COD 2017); Sumut-2 coal-fired power plant 2x300 MW (2020/2021); Sumbagsel-1mine mouth coal-
fired power plant 2x150 MW (2018/2019); Bengkulu coal-fired power plant 2x100 MW (2019); Sumbagut-2 gas
turbine/engine power plant 250 MW peaker (2018) Sumbagut-3 gas turbine/engine power plant 250 MW (2018);
Sumbagut-4 gas turbine/engine power plant 250 MW (2018); and Meurebo-2 hydropower 59 MW (2020).

Table-5. Power Generation Development Plan in Sumatera

Projects Unit 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Demand
Energy Production GWh 28,935 31,603 34,918 38,562 42,599 47,047 52,981 57,456 63,539 70,312
Load Factor % 70 69 69 69 70 70 71 72 72 73
Gross Peak Load MW 4,742 5,227 5,770 6,316 6,912 7,561 8,288 9,288 9,916 10,961
Supply
Installed Capacity MW 5,722 5,607 5,492 4,832 4,542 4,384 4,384 4,384 4,384 4,384
Net Capacity MW 4,711 4,672 4,542 4,019 3,849 3,742 3,742 3,742 3,742 3,742
PLN MW 3,126 3,093 3,093 2,960 2,795 2,773 2,773 2,773 2,773 2,773
Rental MW 728 728 688 298 293 208 208 208 208 208
IPP MW 857 851 761 761 761 761 761 761 761 761
Retired & Mothballed (PLN) MW 90 33 - 133 166 22 - - - -
Additional Capacity
PLN ON-GOING & COMMITTED
Tarahan (FTP1) CFPP 200
Meulaboh (Nagan Raya) #1,2 (FTP1) CFPP 110 110
Teluk Sirih #1,2 (FTP1) CFPP 112 112
Pangkalan Susu #1,2 (FTP1) CFPP 220 220
Riau (FTP1 Amandment) CFPP 220
Pangkalan Susu #3,4 (FTP2) CFPP 200 200
Sungai Gelam (CNG/Peaker) GEPP 92
Duri GEPP 112
Arun (Peaker) GT/GEPP 200
Batanghari CCPP 30
Keramasan CCPP 80
Hululais (FTP2) GeoPP 55 55
Sungai Penuh (FTP2) GeoPP
Peusangan 1-2 HEPP 88
Asahan III (FTP2) HEPP 174
Masang-2 (FTP2) HEPP 55

RENTAL
Dumai CFPP 240
Lampung (Sribawono + Sutami) GT/GEPP 200 -200
Payo Selincah GT/GEPP 50 -50
Tanjung Jabung Timur GT/GEPP 100 -100

ADDITIONAL RENTAL
(Diesel/GT/GEPP)
Sumbagut MW 165 265 -175 -255
Sumbagselteng MW 50 80 -130

IPP ON-GOING & COMMITTED

Banjarsari CFPP 230
Keban Agung CFPP 225
Sumsel - 5 CFPP 150 150
RUPTL

Sumsel - 7 CFPP 150 150

Riau Kemitraan (PLN-TNB-PTBA) CFPP 1,200
Jambi CFPP 400 400
Gunung Megang, ST Cycle CCPP 30
Lumut Balai (FTP2) GeoPP 55 55 110
Ulubelu #3,4 (FTP2) GeoPP 55 55
Sarulla I (FTP2) GeoPP 110 220
Muara Laboh (FTP2) GeoPP 110 110
Rantau Dadap (FTP2) GeoPP 110 110
Sorik Marapi (FTP2) GeoPP 80 160
Seulawah Agam (FTP2) GeoPP 55 55
Rajabasa (FTP2) GeoPP 110 110
Suoh Sekincau (FTP2) GeoPP 110 110
Sipoholon Ria-Ria (FTP2) GeoPP 55

16 Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022

 Table-5. Power Generation Development Plan in Sumatera
continued
Projects Unit 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Wai Ratai (FTP2) GeoPP 55
Sarulla II (FTP2) GeoPP 110
Simbolon Samosir (FTP2) GeoPP 110
Danau Ranau (FTP2) GeoPP 110
Bonjol (FTP2) GeoPP 165
Scattered Sumut MHPP MHPP 25 25 46
Wampu (FTP2) HEPP 45
Semangka (FTP2) HEPP 56
Hasang (FTP2) HEPP 40
Merangin HEPP 350
Peusangan-4 (FTP2) HEPP 83
Batang Toru (Tapsel) HEPP 510
PLANNED ADDITIONAL CAPACITY
Meulaboh (Nagan Raya) #3,4 CFPP 200 200
Sumut-1 CFPP 300
Sumut-2 CFPP 300 300
Sumsel-1 MT CFPP 300 300
Sumsel-6 MT CFPP 300 300
Sumbagsel-1 MT CFPP 150 150
Bengkulu CFPP 200
Banyuasin CFPP 230
Aceh GTPP 25
Riau CCPP 50
Lampung Peaker GT/GEPP 200
Jambi Peaker GT/GEPP 100
Riau Peaker GT/GEPP 200
Sumbagut-1 Peaker CCPP/MGU 250
Sumbagut-2 Peaker (Arun) CCPP/MGU 250
Sumbagut-3 Peaker (Medan) CCPP/MGU 250
Sumbagut-4 Peaker (Medan) CCPP/MGU 250
G, Talang GeoPP 20
Kepahiyang GeoPP 220
Simonggo-2 HEPP 90
Meureubo-2 HEPP 59
Ketahun-3 HEPP 61
Kumbih-3 HEPP 42
Sibundong-4 HEPP 32
Total Additional Capacity HEPP 667 1,801 990 666 819 2,699 1,275 1,887 1,330 1,840
Total Installed Capacity MW 6,389 8,075 8,950 9,956 10,485 12,471 13,701 15,588 16,918 18,758
Total Net Capacity MW 5,378 7,140 8,000 9,143 9,732 11,829 13,059 14,946 16,276 18,116
MW

e development of transmission lines in Sumatera will form the transmission backbone 500 kV interconnec-
tion system that unites the corridors of Sumatera in the east. e centers of large-scale generation and load
centers in Sumatera will be connected to this 500 kV transmission system. is transmission also will transfer
2013 - 2022
electricity from power plants in the areas with adequate cheap primary energy source (Sumbagsel and Riau) to
areas which lack a primary energy source (Sumbagut). e addition of 500 kV transmission is also developed
in South Sumatera as a feeder supplier of electricity from the mine mouth coal fired power plant to the HVDC
transmission converter station which will connect the islands of Sumatera and Java.

e development plan in RUPTL 2013 - 2022 for the transmission system will see significant change to the
network topology with the establishment of the 275 kV and 500 kV interconnection system in Sumatera. e
development is also done to meet the growing demand in the form of additional transformer capacity. Deve-
lopment to improve the reliability and debottlenecking which is also planned in some systems, such as the
plan to build a second circuit and reconductoring several sections in the Sumbagsel and Sumbagut transmis-
sion systems.e plan for a 275 kV interconnection in Sumatera is programmed to be implemented entirely in
2017. In addition some substations and 150 kV transmission are being constructed to take over the load of
diesel generators to interconnected systems.

Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022 17

 e development plan of the power system in Sumatera is shown in Figure-13.

22
21
2017 20
2017
1 24
2017 25
2 18
3
23
No GI 275 kV COD 17
2018 16
1 Sigli 2016 2014
19
2 Meulaboh 2016
2018 2020
3 Lhokseumawe 2016 15
4 Sarulla 2015
5 Payakumbuh 2015 4 2016 2015
6 Kiliranjao 2015 2016
14
7 Muara Bungo 2015
8 Bangko 2015 2015
2018
2016
9 Lubuk Linggau 2015 5 27
10 Lahat 2015 13
11 Gumawang 2014 2018
12 Muara Enim 2016
6
13 Betung 2015 2015
14 New Aur Duri 2015 7 2017
2016 12
16 New G. Sak2015 8
17 P. Sidempuan 2017
18 Simangkok 2014 2014 11
19 Galang 2013 No GI 500 kV COD 2014
20 Binjai 2013 12 Muara Enim 2016 9
21 Pangkalan Susu 2013 14 New Aur Duri 2016 10
2018 28
22 Ulee Kareeng 2016 15 Rengat 2016
23 Rantau Prapat 2018 26
16 New G. Sak2016
26 Lumut Balai 2014 23 Rantau Prapat 2018
27 Sungai Lilin 2015 24 Medan (S.Rotan) 2018
28 Lampung 2018 25 Kuala Tanjung 2018

Figure-13. Development Plan of Transmission System in Sumatera

e projected fuel mix for electricity production in Sumatera in 2022 would be 49% coal, 17% natural gas,
11% hydro, 1% oil and 22% geothermal as shown in Figure-14.

80,000

70,000

60,000

50,000
GWh

40,000

30,000
RUPTL

20,000

10,000

-
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Import Biomass HSD MFO LNG Gas Coal Geothermal Hydro

Figure-14. Projected Composition of Electricity Production by Fuel Type in Sumatera

18 Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022

 Fuel requirements in Sumatera from 2013 to 2022 are presented in Table-6, and plans for the supply to gas
power plant in Sumatera are presented in Table-7.

Table-6. Fuel Requirement in Sumatera

No. Fuel Type 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
1 HSD ( x 10^3 kl ) 2,846.8 2,444.0 1,454.6 843.9 765.4 185.7 180.5 174.3 174.9 170.3
2 MFO ( x 10^3 kl ) 393.0 294.6 328.1 190.8 105.9 9.5 10.0 10.5 - -
3 Gas (bcf) 67.1 74.8 79.5 93.2 95.4 93.6 77.9 78.9 80.9 82.3
4 LNG (bcf) 1.0 1.5 17.1 35.8 29.0 46.5 54.3 54.2 53.5 55.1
5 Coal (10^6 ton) 4.6 6.8 9.8 11.6 12.7 13.9 15.7 18.3 20.3 20.9
6 Biomass (10^3 ton) 0.7 79.9 285.8 474.1 693.1 738.3 744.8 752.2 760.7 770.2

Table-7. Gas Supply for Power Plants in Sumatera

No Power Plant Supplier 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
1 Aceh Timur Medco Blok A - - - - 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0
Belawan, P. Pasir, Kambuna 5.0 - - - - - - - - -
2 Sumbagut-1 dan FSRU LNG Tangguh - - 47.5 92.1 92.1 92.1 92.1 92.1 92.1 92.1
Arun PEP Benggala 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 - - - - - -
3 Teluk Lembu Kalila Bentu 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0
PLTMG Rawa Min- Petroselat Rawa Minyak - 2.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0
4
yak Bengkalis (Potensi)*
5 PLTG sewa Jabung Petro China (Potensi) - 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0
PEP - TAC (Own Opera- 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 - - - - -
6 Sungai Gelam
tion)
Payo Selincah, PEP - TAC Sungai Gelam 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 - - - - -
7
Simpang Tuan Perusda Jambi 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 -
8 Payo Selincah, Energasindo 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 - - - -
Batanghari Jambi Merang 20.0 20.0 18.0 16.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 - - -
9
Jakabaring (CNG) PDPDE Sumsel 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 - -
10 Indralaya Medco E&P Indonesia 21.0 10.0 17.0 - - - - - - -
11 Talang Duku PGN 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 - - -
12 Borang Medco E&P Indonesia 18.0 18.0 - - - - - - - -
13 Keramasan Medco E&P Indonesia 15.0 - - - - - - - - -
Pertamina EP 15.0 15.0 15.0 - - - - - - -
14 Gunung Megang
Medco E & P Indonesia 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 - - - -
Borang Pertamina EP (Asri Gita) 31.0 31.0 31.0 31.0 31.0 - - - - -

15 PLTMG Duri, Duri

Relokasi, Riau Jambi Merang 25.0 26.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 27.0 27.0 - - -
Peaker
16
17
18
PLTGU Duri
Rengat
Lampung Peaker
Jambi Merang
Jambi Merang
FSRU Lampung (Potensi)
3.0
-
3.0
-

-
16.0
3.0
-
16.0
3.0
12.5
16.0
3.0
12.5
16.0
3.0
12.5
16.0
3.0
12.5 12.5
-
-
12.5
-
-
12.5
2013 - 2022
-
-

19 Lampung Sewa PGN (Potensi) - 38.0 38.0 38.0 38.0 38.0 - - - -

Total 232.0 247.0 304.5 327.6 328.6 287.6 220.6 142.6 139.6 139.6

WEST KALIMANTAN SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT PLAN

e current installed capacity in West Kalimantan is 335 MW (including rental capacity) which all plants are
using fuel oil, so operating costs are very high. Additional generation capacity in West Kalimantan is still in the
planning stage, with the exception of Fast Track Phase 1 – Parit Baru (2x50 MW) and Kura-kura (2x25 MW)
coal-fired power plants are under construction and expected to be operational by 2015.

PLN and Sarawak Electricity Company (SESCO) have signed a Power Exchange agreement (PEA) which sets
out plans for PLN to purchase electricity to supply West Kalimantan from Sarawak for 50 MW flat (as base-
load) and at peak load PLN can purchase up to 230 MW, starting from early 2015 until 2019. In the long term

Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022 19

 it is possible that such purchase of electricity from Sarawak will only be during peak loads. is will enable PLN
to defer the need for peaking plants which run on expensive fuel. However, to avoid excessive dependence
on electricity supply from Sarawak, the construction of a gas turbine/engine power plant of 100 MW in 2017
has been planned.

e power supply and demand balance of the West Kalimantan system (Table-8) indicates that the reserve
margin will reach 51% by 2020. is situation is still acceptable considering that coal-fired power plant pro-
jects in West Kalimantan are at a risk of delays for various reasons andthere is no take-or-pay clause at peak
periods in the Sarawak interconnection.

Table-8. Power Generation Development Plan in West Kalimantan

Projects 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Demand

Energy Production GWh 1,371 1,632 1,855 2,373 2,907 3,302 3,675 4,088 4,544 5,040

Load Factor % 67 67 66 66 66 66 66 66 67 67

Peak Load MW 234 280 319 413 506 575 636 703 776 856

Supply

Installed Capacity MW 335 434 136 79 131 139 139 139 139 139

Net Capacity MW 270 360 123 71 119 126 126 126 126 126

PLN MW 105 105 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30

GTPP-HSD PLN (Siantan) MW 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30

Diesel-MFO PLN (Sei Raya

MW 61 61 - - - - - - - -
& Siantan)

Diesel-MFO PLN (Sei Wie

MW 14 14 - - - - - - - -
& Sudirman)

Interconnected isolated
MW - - - 41 89 96 96 96 96 96
system

Rental MW 164 254 93 - - - - - - -

Retired & Mothballed (PLN) MW - - 75 - - - - - - -

Additional Capacity

PLN ON-GOING AND

COMMITTED

Pantai Kura-Kura (FTP1) CFPP 55

Parit Baru (FTP1) CFPP 100

Parit Baru (FTP2) CFPP 100

IPP ON-GOING AND

COMMITTED

PLANNED ADDITIONAL

CAPACITY

Kalbar - 1 CFPP 100 100

Kalbar - 2 (new proposal) CFPP 200 200

Peaker GT/GEPP 100

Nanga Pinoh*) HEPP 98

Pade Kembayung HEPP 30

Power Purchase dgn SESCo 275 KV 180

(Peaking)

Power Purchase dgn SESCo 275 KV 50 -50

(Baseload)
RUPTL

Total Additional Capacity MW 0 0 385 100 200 100 0 150 200 128

Total Installed Capacity MW 335 434 471 514 766 874 874 1,074 1,274 1,402

Total Net Capacity MW 270 360 508 556 804 911 911 1,061 1,261 1,389

Interconnection with Sesco can be extended, but only for peaking, after Kalbar-2 coal fired power plant in operation

20 Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022

Development plans for the transmission network in West Kalimantan up to the year 2022 amount to 2,812
km, which include: construction of a new 150 kV transmission line associated with the Fast Track coal-fired
plants, coal-fired IPP and hydro projects. Development of the existing 150 kV transmission line to scattered
locations in West Kalimantan systems is also planned in order to meet the reliability criteria (N-1) and to
overcome bottlenecks in delivery, improve voltage and operational flexibility. Construction of 275 kV West
Kalimantan - Sarawak transmission interconnection will reap economic benefits of the energy exchange when
there is a marginal cost difference between the two systems. e development of the interconnection is also
useful as a contingency in the event that the construction of new plants is delayed. West Kalimantan system
development plan is shown in Figure-15.

SARAWAK
(MALAYSIA)
ARUK BIAWAK

SAMBAS SERIKIN
KUCHING
2013
Ke GITET
PLTU P. Baru (FTP2) JAGOI Matang
BABANG BATU KAYA
2x50 MW – 2016 KALIMANTAN
TIMUR
U TEBEDU
SINGKAWANG
BADAU PUTUSSIBAU
BENGKAYANG ENTIKONG 2020
PLTU P. Kura-Kura (FTP1) 2014
U PLTA Pade Kembayung PLTU Sintang
2x27,5 MW – 2015 3x10 MW – 2022 3x7 MW – 2015

A
MEMPAWAH NGABANG
2014
55 km SANGGAU
2016
PARIT BARU
PLTU P. Baru (FTP1) SIANTAN TAYAN U
2x50 MW – 2015 2013
U U SINTANG
2016 PLTA Nanga Pinoh
PLTG/MG Peaker G GB 2x49 MW – 2022
100 MW – 2017 U SEKADAU
KOTA BARU SEI RAYA 2016
2015
A
PLTU Sanggau
2x7 MW – 2013 /14 NANGA PINOH KALIMANTAN
2018 TENGAH

PLTU Kalbar -1
2x100 MW – 2018/19 GI. K0TA BARU
2019
PLTU Kalbar -2
2x200 MW – 2020/21

PLTGB Sewa Tayan

SUKADANA
6 MW – 2013 SANDAI
2017 2017
ke
Kalteng

PERENCANAAN SISTEM
PLTU Ketapang PT PLN (Persero )
U KETAPANG PETA JARINGAN
2x10 MW – 2016 2017 PROPINSI KALIMANTAN BARAT
PLTU IPP Ketapang / GI 500 kV Existing / Rencana U / U PLTU Existing / Rencana
2x6 MW – 2016 GI 275 kV Existing / Rencana G / G PLTG Existing / Rencana
/
96 km

/ GI 150 kV Existing / Rencana P / P PLTP Existing / Rencana

/ GI 70 kV Existing / Rencana A / A PLTA Existing / Rencana
/ GU / GU
GI 500/275 kV Existing / Rencana PLT GU Existing / Rencana
/ GI 500/275 /150 kV Existing / Rencana MG /MG PLTMG Existing / Rencana
/ GI 275/150 kV Existing / Rencana M /M PLT M Existing / Rencana
KENDAWANGAN / GI 150/70 kV Existing / Rencana D / D PLT D Existing / Rencana
2020
T/L 70 kV Existing / Rencana Kit Existing
/
/ T/L 150 kV Existing / Rencana Kit Rencana
/ T/L 275 kV Existing / Rencana KALIMANTAN
/ T/L 500 kV Existing / Rencana Edit Desember 201 3 SELATAN

Figure-15. Transmission System Development Plan in West Kalimantan

e fuel mix for electricity production in West Kalimantan is presented in Figure-16. e role of each primary
energy can be explained as follows: (i) in 2013, because of the lack of new power generation capacity besides
fuel oil, electricity production using fuel oil reached 1,498 GWh. In line with the operation of coal-fired power
plant and imports of electricity from Sarawak, the use of fuel oil as the primary fuel in the West Kalimantan
2013 - 2022
power system can be further reduced; (ii) Hydro power resources are found in the Nanga Pinoh area, so a 98
MW Nanga Pinoh hydropower plant has been planned, to be operational by 2022; (iii) ere are also plans
to ship LNG from Batam to West Kalimantan, which will be used to supply peaker plants 100 MW with gas
demands of 5 bbtud.

Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022 21

 6.000

5.000

4.000
GWh

3.000

2.000

1.000

-
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Import HSD MFO LNG Gas Coal Geothermal Hydro

Figure-16. Projected composition of Power Generationby Fuel Type in West Kalimantan

SOUTH, CENTRAL, NORTH AND EAST KALIMANTAN SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT

PLAN

e South-Central Kalimantan (Kalselteng) system and North - East Kalimantan (Kaltimra) system have suffered
power supply shortages for many years. To improve the power shortage situation, PLN has introduced both
short-term and long-term solutions. Short-term solutions involve rental of diesel engine generating units, while
long-term solutions involve the planning and development of a number of coal fired power plants, gas fired
power plants and hydroelectric power plants. In reality, however, many of these power generating projects have
faced problems and as such, project completions have been delayed from the initial schedule. As a result, the
additional power generated from the short-term solution (rental of diesel engine units) has not been able to suf-
ficiently improve the power shortage situation, due to the rapid growth of demand for power. In addition, main-
tenance of existing power plant machinery could not be carried out as planned because these plants have to be
operated continuously. Also, some potential customers with high power demand could not be served.

Currently, the power generation capacity of PLN and IPP power plants, including rental diesel engine units and
excess power, in the South, Central, North and East regions of Kalimantan (Kalseltengtimra) is 815 MW, with
peak load at 847 MW, excluding the Asam-asam coal fired power plant units 3 and 4, which are expected to be
operational in 2013. In addition, the portion of power generation plants operating on oil fuel in Kalseltengtimra
is still high, hence the power generation cost remains high.

A large number of additional power plants have been planned in anticipation of project delays. is is reflected
in the power balance of the Kalseltengtimra system, where the annual reserve margin is 33% to 53%, other
RUPTL

than in 2015, when the reserve margin is only 22% of the net available capacity. Reserve margins are esti-
mated to be highest in 2019 if all projects are completed on time. However, based on PLN’s experience to
date, the success rate of power generation projects is relatively low, particularly in Kalimantan. e steam
turbine IPP project, which had been planned to be operational by 2012 - 2014, has been delayed by one year.
PLN Muara Jawa/Teluk Balikpapan coal fired power plant (FTP1) is estimated to be delayed by one year, while
Pulang Pisau coal fired power plant is estimated to be delayed by two years.

From the above, it can be seen that the reserve margin is relatively high (up to 53%). is is intended to provide
greater certainty to the people South Kalimantan, Central Kalimantan, East Kalimantan and North Kalimantan
that the electricity supply in these regions will be adequate.

22 Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022

 During the period 2013 - 2022, additional 2,957 MW of new generation capacity from both PLN and IPP has
been planned, including those already in the procurement process and under construction. e additional new
generation capacity comprises of coal fired power plants (1,925 MW), gas turbine/engine peaker plants (795
MW), hydroelectric plants (120 MW) and combined cycle gas turbine power plants (117 MW). Power generation
development plan in Kalseltengtimra is shown in Table-9.

Table-9. Power Generation Development Plan in Kalseltengtimra

PROJECTS 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Kalselteng - Kaltim Interconnection 2016
Kalselteng-Kaltim-Kaltara Interconnection (2018)
Demand
Energy Production GWh 5,154 6,304 7,744 8,495 9,376 10,545 11,390 12,277 13,178 14,190
Load Factor % 69.5 69.5 69.8 69.7 70.8 71.2 71.5 71.6 71.8 71.9
Peak Load MW 847 1,036 1,266 1,391 1,511 1,690 1,819 1,956 2,095 2,252
Supply
Installed Capacity MW 970 969 862 682 335 390 390 390 390 390
Net Capacity MW 815 814 708 527 299 354 354 354 354 354
PLN 388 394 400 400 238 272 272 272 272 272
IPP 428 420 308 128 61 82 82 82 82 82
Retired & Mothballed 21 - - - 143 - - - - -
Additional Capacity

PLN On Going & Committed

Pulang Pisau (FTP1) CFPP - - 120 - - - - - - -
Asam Asam (FTP1) CFPP 130 - - - - - - - - -
Bangkanai (FTP2) GT/GE/CCPP - - 155 70 70 - - - - -
Kaltim Peaking (APBN) GTPP 100 - - - - - - - - -
Muara Jawa/Teluk Balikpapan (FTP1) CFPP - 220 - - - - - - - -
Sampit CFPP - - - 50 - - - - - -
IPP On Going & Committed
Senipah GTPP 82 - - - - - -
Embalut (Expansion) CFPP - 50 - - - - - - - -
Senipah (ST) CCPP - - - - 35 - - - - -
Planned Additional Capacity
Kalsel Peaker 1 GT/GE/CCPP - - - 200 - - - - - -
Kalsel Peaker 2 GT/GE/CCPP - - - - - - - - 50 -
Kaltim Peaker 2 GT/GE/CCPP - - - 100 - - - - - -
Kaltim Peaker 3 GT/GE/CCPP - - - - - - - - 50 -
Kelai HEPP - - - - - - - - - 55

2013 - 2022
Kusan HEPP - - - - - - - - - 65
Kalsel (FTP2) CFPP - - - - 100 100 - - - -
Kalselteng 1 CFPP - - - - - 100 100 - - -
Kalselteng 2 CFPP - - - - 200 - - -
Kalselteng 3 CFPP - - - - 50 50 - - - -
Kaltim (FTP2) CFPP - - - - 100 100 - - - -
Kaltim (Mine Mouth) CFPP - - - - - 55 - - - -
Kaltim 3 CFPP - - - - - - - 150 150 -
Kaltim 4 CFPP - - - - - 100 - - - -
Total Additional Capacity MW 312 270 275 420 555 505 100 150 250 120
TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY MW 1,282 1,551 1,719 1,959 2,167 2,727 2,827 2,977 3,227 3,347
TOTAL NET CAPACITY MW 1,127 1,396 1,565 1,804 2,131 2,691 2,791 2,941 3,191 3,311

e development plan of the Kalseltengtimra 150 kV and 70 kV transmission system is intended to meet elec-
tricity demand growth and to connect isolated systems to the grid. e transmission system is also intended
to support regional development to ensure availability of power supply, given the establishment of the North
Kalimantan province, which will result in increasing electricity demand.

Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022 23

 e transmission development plan in Kalseltengtimra in Figure-17 and Figure-18 include: Construction of a
new 150 kV transmission line related to accelerated coal fired power plants under the Fast Track 1 projects,
as well as accelerated coal and gas fired power plants under the Fast Track 2 projects, coal-fired and open
cycle gas-fired IPP projects, gas turbine/engine peaker plants, and hydroelectric plants; Development of 150
kV transmission in dispersed locations to connect isolated electrical systems, to overcome bottlenecks in the
electrical power distribution to meet reliability criteria (N-1), improve service voltage and increase operational
flexibility; Construction of 150 kV transmission systems associated with development of industrial estates as
directed in the MP3EI (Master Plan for Development of Economy and Industry) in East Kalimantan, i.e. from
Sangatta to the Maloi industrial zone; 150 kV transmission projects which are required and expected to be op-
erational in due course include: the section connecting Tanjung (South Kalimantan) – Kuaro – Petung – Karang-
joang (Kaltim) in 2016, to connect the Kalselteng and Kaltim systems; and the section connecting Bangkanai
gas turbine/engine plants – MuaraTeweh – Buntok – Tanjung in 2014,to connect the Bangkanai gas turbine/
engine plants to the Kalselteng system.

With the establishment of the North Kalimantan province, it is expected that the electricity demand in the next
few years will grow higher, especially in big cities: Tanjung Selor (the province’s capital) and Tana Tidung and
Malinau (regency capital cities). e North Kalimantan Interconnection System in Kalseltengtim is a 150 kV
transmission network connecting Muara Wahau – Tanjung Redep – Tanjung Selor and is expected to be ready
in 2018.

SYSTEM PLANNING
PT PLN (Persero)
SOUTH AND CENTRAL KALIMANTAN SYSTEM

/
SS 500 kV Existing / Plan
SS 275 kV Existing / Plan
CF

GT
/ CF
/ GT
CFPP Existing / Plan
GTPP Existing / Plan
2013
2013
/
/ SS 150 kV Existing / Plan GEO / GEO GEOPP Existing / Plan
/ SS 70 kV Existing / Plan H / H HEPP Existing / Plan Bangkanai GEPP 140 MW – 2015
/ SS 500/275 kV Existing / Plan CC CC
CCPP Existing / Plan Bangkanai GT/GE PP 2x70 MW – 2016/17
/
/
SS 500/275/150 kV Existing / Plan GE
/
/ GE GEPP Existing / Plan 2015
2015 to
/
SS 275/150 kV Existing / Plan MH / MH
MHPP Existing / Plan
SS 150/70 kV Existing / Plan D / D
Diesel PP Existing / Plan Melak SS
/ T/L 70 kV Existing / Plan PP Existing (East
/ T/L 150 kV Existing / Plan PP Plan Puruk Cahu Kalimantan)
/ T/L 275 kV Existing / Plan ACSR 2x240 mm2 GE
/ T/L 500 kV Existing / Plan Edit November 2013
ACSR 2x240 mm2
D 47 km - 2015
2xZebra
2013
2013
96 km - 2016 50 km - 2014

D Muara Teweh
Kuala Kurun
D
to
ACSR 2x240 mm2 Kuaro SS
110 km - 2014
ACSR 2x240 mm2
2012
2012 (East
Kalimantan)
Kalselteng 1 CFPP
120 km - 2016 2012
2012
2x100 MW – 2018/19
CF Buntok
2011
20
011 D
ACSR 2x240 mm2
130 km - 2014 2 ACSR 2x240 mm2
ACSR 2x240 mm2
65 km - 2013
2010
2010
142 km - 2013
Kasongan D
Parenggean Kalsel CFPP (FTP 2)
Palangkaraya
2x100 MW – 2017/18 Tanjung
CF
D New
Nangabulik
Pangkalan ACSR 1x240 mm2 ACSR 2x240 mm2 Palangkaraya
Banteng Sampit 80 km - 2013 Amuntai
172 km - 2014
CF D
D
CF

Sukamara ACSR 2x240 mm2 Barikin

Pulang Pisau CFPP Selat
Pangkalan Bun 2x60 MW – 2015 120 km - 2015
Sampit CFPP
CF 2x25 MW – 2016
CF Rantau

ACSR 1x240 mm2 Kusan HEPP

Pangkalan Bun CFPP 65 MW – 2022
69 km - 2022
2x7 MW
Kayutangi Kotabaru
Kalselteng 3 CFPP
H Batu Licin
2x50 MW – 2018 CF Seberang Ulin H
Barito ACCC 460 mm2
Trisakti
2011
2011
Riam Kanan HEPP
3x10 MW 37 km - 2015
Mantuil Cempaka
Bandara Satui
ACSR 2x240 mm2
124 km - 2013
Pelaihari
Asam-Asam CFPP (FTP 1) Asam-Asam 1,2 CFPP
2x65 MW – 2013 2x65 MW
Kuala Pambuang CFPP
2x3 MW - 2016 CF
Kalselteng 2 CFPP CF
200 MW – 2017
RUPTL

Figure-17. Transmission System Development Plan in South and Central Kalimantan

24 Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022

 SABAH (MALAYSIA)
BRUNEI DARUSSALAM

ACSR 2x240 mm2

26 km - 2017
Tidang Pale
Malinau
2
ACSR 2x240 mm
102 km – 2017
Tanjung Selor CFPP
Tj. Selor CF 2x7 MW – 2014
GE
Tanjung Selor GEPP
ACSR 2x240 mm2 15 MW – 2015
80 km - 2015
SARAWAK Tj. Redep CF
Lati CFPP
3x7 MW – 2015
(MALAYSIA) CF

Tanjung Redep CFPP

2x7 MW – 2014
Kelai HEPP H
55 MW – 2022 Talisayan
ACSR 2x240 mm2
120 km - 2017

Muara Wahau
Embalut (Expansion) CFPP Maloi
1x50 MW – 2014 ACSR 2x240 mm2
80 km - 2017 Kaltim Peaker 3 GT/GE PP
Kaltim 4 CFPP Sepaso 50 MW – 2021
100 MW – 2018
Sangatta Kaltim CFPP (FTP2)
G 2x100 MW – 2017/18
CENTRAL Bontang CF
WEST GT
Kaltim Peaking GTPP
KALIMANTAN 2x50 MW – 2014
KALIMANTAN Melak Kota Bangun New Smd
to Bangkanai CF Sambera Kaltim (Mine Mouth) CFPP
GT/GE PP 2x27.5 MW – 2018
(Central Sambutan
SYSTEM PLANNING ACSR 2x240 mm2 Kaltim 3 CFPP
PT PLN (Persero) Kalimantan) 100 km - 2015
NORTH AND EAST KALIMANTAN SYSTEM 2x150 MW – 2020/21
Karangjoang CF
SS 500 kV Existing / Plan Sepaku Senipah GTPP
/
CF
/ CF CFPP Existing / Plan GT
SS 275 kV Existing / Plan 2x41 MW – 2014
GTPP Existing / Plan Kariangau CC
/
/ SS 150 kV Existing / Plan
GT

GEO
/ GT
/ GEO GEOPP Existing / Plan ACSR 2x240 mm2 CF G Manggarsari Senipah (ST) CCPP
CENTRAL
SS 70 kV Existing / Plan 155 km - 2015 New Balikpapan
/
/ SS 500/275 kV Existing / Plan
H / H HEPP Existing / Plan Industri 35 MW – 2017 SULAWESI
CC
/ CC
CCPP Existing / Plan
/ SS 500/275/150 kV Existing / Plan GE / GE GEPP Existing / Plan Petung Kaltim Peaker 2 GT/GE/CC PP
/ 100 MW – 2016
SS 275/150 kV Existing / Plan MH / MH
MHPP Existing / Plan Longikis
/
SS 150/70 kV Existing / Plan D / D
Diesel PP Existing / Plan Kuaro ACSR 2x240 mm2
Muara Jawa/Teluk Balikpapan CFPP (FTP1)
/ T/L 70 kV Existing / Plan PP Existing 47 km - 2015
2x110 MW – 2014
/ T/L 150 kV Existing / Plan PP Plan Komam
/ T/L 275 kV Existing / Plan To Tanjung SS Grogot SOUTH SOUTH
/ T/L 500 kV Existing / Plan Edit November 2013 (South Kalimantan)
KALIMANTAN SULAWESI

Figure-18. Transmission System Development Plan in North and East Kalimantan

Demand for High Speed Diesel (HSD) and Marine Fuel Oil (MFO) in the Kalseltengtimra system is expected
to trend downwards, from 598,000 kiloliters in 2013 to 69,000 kiloliters in 2022, while the use of coal will
increase from 1.5 million tons in 2013 to 6.5 million tons in 2022. e volume of gas utilization in the form of
CNG and LNG will also increase from 3 bcf in 2013 to 22 bcf in 2022. Electricity production from hydro-power
will also increase from 106 GWh in 2013 to 580 GWh in 2022.

Projected composition of power generation by fuel type in Kalseltengtimra is shown in Figure-19.

16,000

14,000

12,000

10,000
2013 - 2022
GWh

8,000

6,000

4,000

2,000

-
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Solar/Hybrid HSD MFO LNG Gas Coal Geot Hydro

Figure-19. Projected Composition of Power Generation by Fuel Type in Kalseltengtimra

Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022 25

 NORTH SULAWESI SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT PLAN

e planned additional new generating capacity in North Sulawesi is relatively large, as can be seen from the
annual reserve margin, which lies between 34% and 58%. A high reserve margin of 58% has been planned
due to uncertainty of completion of the Kotamobagu I and II geothermal power plants. In 2013 and 2014, the
reserve margin is relatively low. is is mainly due to delays to several projects, namely the Sulut 1 coal-fired
power plant, Minahasa combined cycle gas turbine or gas turbine/engine peaker plant, Lahendong V and VI
geothermal plants, which are behind the original schedule. e power generation plan for North Sulawesi is
shown in Table-10.

New power generation capacity planned during the period 2013 - 2022 is 1,087 MW, consisting of coal fired
power plants (675 MW), geothermal power plant (120MW), gas fired turbine/engine peaker with gas storage
(250 MW) and hydro-electric plants (44 MW).

Table-10. Power Generation Development Plan in Northern Sulawesi

Projects 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Demand Sulut - Gorontalo - Tolitoli Interconnection
(2016)
Energy production GWh 1,777 2,000 2,182 2,536 2,787 3,075 3,391 3,740 4,119 4,539
Load Factor % 65 65 66 65 65 66 66 66 66 67
Peak Load MW 311 349 379 445 487 535 587 645 708 777
Supply
Installed Capacity MW 386 386 386 282 195 195 195 195 195 195
Net Capacity MW 336 336 336 232 168 168 168 168 168 168
PLN 22.6 MW 227 227 227 227 164 164 164 164 164 164
IPP 5.3 MW 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Rental MW 104 104 104 - - - - - - -
Retired & Mothballed - - - - 63 - - - - -
Additional Capacity
Rental
Amurang (2x25) Rental CFPP CFPP 50
PLN On Going & Committed
Gorontalo (FTP1) CFPP 50
Sulut I (FTP1) CFPP 25 25
IPP On Going & Committed
Molotabu CFPP 20 -
Gorontalo (Terkendala) CFPP 12*)
PLANNED ADDITIONAL CAPACITY
Tolitoli CFPP 15 30
Sulut 3 CFPP 100
Sulbagut 1 CFPP 50 50
Sulbagut 2 CFPP - 100 100
Sulbagut 3 CFPP 60
Poigar 2 HEPP 30
Sawangan HEPP 12
Minahasa Peaker GT/GE/CCPP - 150
RUPTL

Gorontalo Peaker GT/GE/CCPP 100

Kotamobagu 1, 2 (FTP2) GeoPP 40
Kotamobagu 3, 4 (FTP2) GeoPP 40
Lahendong 5 (FTP2) GeoPP - 20
Lahendong 6 (FTP2) GeoPP - 20
Total Additional Capacity MW 20 0 50 240 175 180 92 50 100 180
TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY MW 406 406 456 592 680 860 952 1,002 1,102 1,282
TOTAL NET CAPACITY MW 356 356 406 542 653 833 925 975 1,075 1,255

26 Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022

e projected composition of power generation by fuel type in North Sulawesi from 2013 to 2022 is shown
in Figure-20. e role of oil for power generation in North Sulawesi in 2013 is remain high, at around 732
GWh (41%). From 2015, the use of oil for power generation is expected to be reduced and replaced by natural
gas with the availability of combined cycle gas-fired/gas-fired turbine/engine peaker using LNG/CNG gas and
coal-fired power plants. Coal-fired power generation will increase from 278 GWh (16%) in 2013 to 2749 GWh
(62%) in 2022. From 2016, power generated from coal will be higher than geothermal plants after most of
the coal-fired power plant projects become operational. Power generated from geothermal plants will increase
from 552 GWh (31%) in 2013 to 791 GWh (18%) in 2022, when Lahendong IV-V and Kotamobagu geothermal
plants become operational. Oil consumption in North Sulawesi will continue to decline from 197,000 kiloliters
in 2013 to 9,000 kiloliters in 2022, after the non-oil power plants become fully operational.

e use of coal is expected to increase from 172,000 tons in 2012 to 1.73 million tons in 2022, or an increase
of 10 times. LNG will be used from 2016 at 3 bcf and will increase to 4 bcf in 2022. LNG will be used to ope-
rate peaking power plants. e use of geothermal energy will continue to increase from 552 GWh in 2013 to
797 GWh in 2022. e increase in hydropower is relatively small since the potential is low - from 215 GWh in
2013 to 369 GWh in 2022.

5.000

4.500

4.000

3.500

3.000
GWh

2.500

2.000

1.500

1.000

500

-
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

HSD MFO LNG Gas Coal Geothermal Hydro

Figure-20. Projected composition of Power Generation by Fuel Type in Northern Sulawesi

2013 - 2022
SOUTH SULAWESI SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT PLAN

e integration of the Sulbagsel system which comprises Central Sulawesi (Sulteng), West Sulawesi (Sulbar),
South East Sulawesi (Sultra) and South Sulawesi (Sulsel), is planned to be completed in 2014. Presently, the
Central Sulawesi system relies on supply from Tawaeli 2x15 MW coal-fired IPP, PLN and rental diesel engine
plants. In 2014, additional supply will be obtained from Poso hydro power plant after the 150 kV transmission
line between Poso hydro power and New Palu is in operation. e Sulteng and Sulbar systems will be intercon-
nected with the Sulsel system through the Poso – Palopo 275 kV transmission line and the Silae – Pasangkayu
150 kV transmission line. With this interconnection, the use of coal-fired power plants on a larger scale can be
implemented in Central Sulawesi.

e Sulsel system receives sufficient supply of power from the Jeneponto coal-fired IPP, Barru coal-fired plant
and Poso hydro power plant. In the Sultra system, the shortage of power has not been fully resolved due to
the lack of reliability of Kendari 2x10 MW coal-fired power plant (Fast Track 1 Project), which still requires im-

Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022 27

 provement. To overcome these power shortages, short-term efforts are being made to improve the reliability
of the Kendari coal-fired power plant and to accelerate the Wotu – Malili – Lasusa – Kolaka – Unaaha – Kendari
150 kV transmission line project, which is currently under construction.

In order to meet long term electricity needs over the period of 2013 - 2022, non-oil power plant projects with
a total capacity of 3,639 MW in System Sulbagsel have been planned. ese projects consist of hydro power/
mini-hydro power plants (1,392 MW), coal-fired power plants (1,475 MW), combined cycle gas-fired turbine/
engine plants (600MW) and geothermal power plants (95 MW). Within the plan includes the Karama 450 MW
hydro power project in West Sulawesi. Karama is a hydro power project involving an unsolicited IPP procur
ement process which will be carried out by the PPP scheme. e power generation development plan for Sul-
bagsel is shown in Table-11.

Table-11. Power Generation Development Plan in South Sulawesi

Projects 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Sulsel interconnection with Palu (2014) and Sultra (2016)
Demand
Energy Production GWh 5,776 6,892 8,066 9,491 10,431 11,474 12,482 13,849 15,014 16,191
Load Factor % 63 63 63 64 65 65 65 65 65 65
Gross Peak Load MW 1,042 1,241 1,451 1,690 1,842 2,013 2,186 2,426 2,626 2,830
Supply
Installed Capacity 1,533 1,495 1,490 1,270 1,140 909 909 935 935 935
Net Capacity MW 1,396 1,366 1,361 1,141 1,013 835 835 861 861 861
PLN MW 370 379 379 379 380 202 202 228 228 228
IPP MW 695 695 695 695 633 633 633 633 633 633
Rental MW 331 293 288 68 - - - - - -
Retired & Mothballed 25 - - - - 178 - - - -
Additional Capacity
PLN On Going & Comitted
Sulsel Barru #1 (FTP1) CFPP 50 - - - - - - - - -
Nii Tanasa/Kendari #2 (FTP1) CFPP 10 - - - - - - - - -
Nii Tanasa/Kendari (Expansion) CFPP - 10 - - - - - - - -
Scattered MHPP MHPP - - 4 6 - - - - - -
IPP On Going & Committed
Sengkang (GT 22) GTPP 60 - - - - - - - - -
Sengkang (ST 28) CCPP 60 - - - - - - - - -
Mamuju CFPP - - - 50 - - - - - -
Tawaeli Expansion CFPP - - - 30 - - - - - -
PLANNED ADDITIONAL CAPACITY
Makassar Peaker GT/GE/CCPP - - - 300 150 150 - - - -
Punagaya (FTP2) CFPP - - - 200 - - - - - -
Jeneponto 2 CFPP - - - - - 225 - - - -
Kendari 3 CFPP - - - - - 100 - - - -
Sulsel Barru 2 CFPP - - - - 100 - - - - -
Sulsel 2 CFPP - - - - - 200 200 - - -
Palu 3 CFPP - - - - 100 - - - - -
Sulsel 3/Takalar CFPP - - - - - - - - - 200
Wajo GEPP - - 20 - - - - - - -
Poso 2 HEPP - - - - - - - - 66 66
Poko HEPP - - - - - - - 117 117 -
Konawe HEPP - - - - - - - - 50 -
Watunohu HEPP - - - - - - - - 15 -
Bakaru 2 HEPP - - - - - - - 126 - -
Karama Baseload (Unsolicited) HEPP - - - - - - - 100 - -
RUPTL

Karama Peaking (Unsolicited) HEPP - - - - - - - - 350 -

Bonto Batu (FTP2) HEPP - - - - - - 110 - - -
Malea (FTP2) HEPP - - - - - - - 90 - -
Bora Pulu (FTP2) GeoPP - - - - - - - - - 55
Marana/Masaingi (FTP2) GeoPP - - - - - - - - - 20
Lainea GeoPP - - - - - - - - - 20
Scattered MHPP MHPP - 19 21 34 38 - - - - -
Total Additional Capacity MW 180 29 45 620 388 675 310 433 598 361
TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY MW 1,713 1,703 1,744 2,143 2,401 2,846 3,156 3,615 4,213 4,574
TOTAL NET CAPACITY MW 1,576 1,575 1,615 2,015 2,274 2,771 3,081 3,540 4,138 4,499

28 Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022

Apart from power distribution from the power supply center to the demand center, the transmission system
also aims to build an interconnection among sub-systems, connect isolated electrical systems to the grid,
overcome any bottlenecks, and to meet the N-1 reliability criteria.

e transmission system development plan in Sulbagsel system (Figure-21) is as follows: 275 kV transmission
line connecting Karama hydro power plant – Mamuju – Enrekang – Sidrap – Makassar (Daya Baru) – Bantaeng,
together with a 275/150 kV EHV substation, to evacuate 450 MW of power from the Karama plant; 275 kV
transmission line connecting Enrekang – Palopo, in anticipation of the Poso II hydro power, to be developed
simultaneously to improve system stability (especially Kendari), as well as gain operational flexibility; 275 kV
EHV substation at Enrekang to evacuate power from Bonto Batu, Poko, Malea, as well as Bakaru II hydro
power and channeled to the load center through the 275 kV Enrekang – Sidrap – Makassar – Bantaeng trans-
mission line.

Minahasa Peaker GT/GE/CC PP Bitung Diesel PP

150 MW – 2015/16 57 MW
Sawangan HEPP
12 MW – 2019
G Likupang
Lopana Diesel PP
10 MW Paniki

Amurang CFPP Teling Ranomut Bitung D

Sulut I CFPP (FTP1) 2x25 MW Tasik Ria H Kema
Sawangan
2x25 MW – 2016/17
Amurang Rental CFPP Tomohon CF
Tolitoli CFPP Gorontalo CFPP (FTP1) 2x25 MW - 2016 GEO GEO Tonsealama
3x15 MW – 2016/17 CF
Leok 2x25 MW – 2015
Sulbagut 2 CFPP CF D Kawangkoan
CF Sulbagut 1 CFPP 2x100 MW – 2021/22 GEO
Tolitoli 2x50 MW – 2019/20 Lopana
Sulut 3 CFPP
EAST CF
Lolak
2x50 MW - 2018
Bintauna
KALIMANTAN GORONTALO CF Buroko
Otam
H Lahendong I&II GeoPP
2x20 MW
Lahendong III&IV GeoPP
Isimu
Bangkir 2x20 MW
GEO
Moutong Marisa D Botupingge Lahendong V&VI GeoPP
2x20 MW – 2017/18
G
Tilamuta CF
CF
NORTH SULAWESI Poigar 2 HEPP
Molibagu 32 MW – 2019
Telaga Diesel PP
24 MW
Tambu Gorontalo Peaker GT/GE/CC PP Kotamobagu I GeoPP
100 MW – 2017 Molotabu CFPP 2x20 MW – 2022
2x10 MW – 2013
Kotamobagu II GeoPP
Gorontalo Energy CFPP 2x20 MW – 2022
2x6 MW – 2014
Sulbagut 3 CFPP
2x30 MW – 2018

Palu 3 CFPP
2x50 MW - 2018 Tawaeli Expansion CFPP
2x15 MW - 2016
Ampana CFPP
Marana/Masaingi (FTP2) GeoPP 2x3 MW–2016
CF 20 MW - 2022
CF
GEO

Borapulu (FTP2) GeoPP

Silae Diesel PP Silae 55 MW - 2022 Bunta
D Luwuk CFPP
45 MW Talise Ampana CF
CF
2x10 MW–2016

Palu GEO
Luwuk
Baru

Poso
Toili

CENTRAL GE
Luwuk Peaker GEPP
Pasangkayu SULAWESI 2x10 MW–2016/18

Poso HEPP
3x65 MW
H
WEST Poso 2 HEPP
H Tentena
2x66 MW – 2021/22
SULAWESI Kolonedale

Topoyo Karama (Unsolicited) HEPP

450 MW – 2020/21
Mamuju (FTP2) HEPP
2x25 MW - 2016

Mamuju H
Baru
Malea HEPP Malili to to
CF
2x45 MW – 2017 Barru SS
Mamuju Wotu Sidrap SS
Pangkep
Bungku
Bakaru II HEPP
2x63 MW – 2020 Tonasa
Tello GTPP
123 MW
H
Palopo
SOUTH EAST

2013 - 2022
H Makassar Peaker GT/GE/CC PP
Bonto Batu HEPP 300 MW-2016 Maros
Makale 2x50 MW – 2017 SULAWESI 150 MW-2017
Bosowa
150 MW-2018 G Mandai
Polman HH H Wotunohu HEPP Tallo G Daya Kima
Majene Lasusua
15 MW – 2021 Lama
Bakaru Enrekang Bontoala Daya Baru
Kendari/Nii Tanasa CFPP Tello
H Konawe HEPP
2x10 MW Panakukang
Poko HEPP 2x25 MW – 2021
2x117 MW – 2020/21 Siwa Kendari (Expansion) CFPP Tanjung Sungguminasa
1x10 MW - 2014 Bunga
Bakaru 1 HEPP
Pinrang Sidrap SOUTH Kendari 3 CFPP
2x63 MW Pare
D SULAWESI H CF
CF

CF
2x50 MW – 2018 to
Takalar to
Sengkang GTPP (GT 22) Kolaka Laenia GeoPP Tallasa SS
Sengkang Kendari P 2x10 MW - 2022 CFPP
60 MW – 2013 Unaaha
GT
CC
Sulsel Barru CFPP GE Sengkang CCPP (ST 28)
2x50 MW 60 MW – 2013
CF Soppeng
Sulsel Barru 2 CFPP CF Wajo GEPP
2x50 MW - 2016 20 MW – 2015
Barru Raha (FTP2) CFPP
2x3 MW – 2016
Andolo
Bone
Raha 2 CFPP
2x3 MW – 2018
Pangkep
angkep
a Tonasa
T
Tona
ona
CF
Maros Kajuara Raha
Bosowa
Bos Kasipute
T oD
Tello Bau-Bau CFPP Wangi-Wangi CFPP
G 2x7 MW - 2014 2x3 MW – 2015/16
Daya Baru
Sungguminasa
asa
a Sinjai
Bau-Bau CFPP
CF
2x10 MW – 2014/15
CF
Bau-Bau 2 CFPP
CF CF
Bantaeng 2x10 MW – 2018/19 CF
Jeneponto Bulukumba Bau-Bau
Tallasa
Sulsel 2 CFPP Bantaeng
2x200 MW – 2018/19 Punagaya CF Smelter
Sulsel-3/Takalar CFPP CF CF
2x100 MW – 2022
Punagaya CFPP (FTP2)
2x100 MW – 2016
Jeneponto CFPP SYSTEM PLANNING
2x100 MW PT PLN (Persero)
SULAWESI SYSTEM
Jeneponto 2 CFPP
2x100 MW – 2016 SS 500 kV Existing / Plan
/
CF
/ CF CFPP Existing / Plan
/ SS 275 kV Existing / Plan GT / GT GTPP Existing / Plan
/ SS 150 kV Existing / Plan GEO / GEO GEOPP Existing / Plan
/ SS 70 kV Existing / Plan H / H HEPP Existing / Plan
/ SS 500/275 kV Existing / Plan CC CC
CCPP Existing / Plan
/
/ SS 500/275/150 kV Existing / Plan GE / GE GEPP Existing / Plan
/
/
SS 275/150 kV Existing / Plan MH / MH
MHPP Existing / Plan
SS 150/70 kV Existing / Plan D / D
Diesel PP Existing / Plan
/ T/L 70 kV Existing / Plan PP Existing
/ T/L 150 kV Existing / Plan PP Plan
/ T/L 275 kV Existing / Plan
/ T/L 500 kV Existing / Plan Edit December 2013

Figure-21. Transmission System Development Plan for Sulawesi

Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022 29

 Development of the 150 kV transmission line associated with coal-fired power plants, hydro power plants, gas
turbine/engine plants and interconnection among sub-systems will be carried out as part of the establishment
of the Sulbagsel integrated system. e 150 kV transmission line extending to scattered locations is intended
to overcome the transmission bottleneck, improve service voltage and operational flexibility, and meet the
reliability criteria (N-1).

e development of the transmission grid throughout Sulawesi for the period 2013 - 2022 covers 7,751 kms
and requires investments of US$1.082 billion.

Projected power generation in Sulbagsel from 2013 to 2022 is shown in Figure-22. Power generation from
oil in 2013 is expected to remain high, at 1,250 GWh (22%). However, beginning from 2018, power gene-
rated from oil will be replaced by power generated from natural gas in the form of LNG when the Makassar
gas turbine/engine peaker plant and coal fired power plant become operational. Power generated from gas
fired power plants will increase nominally but decrease in terms of percentage, i.e. from 1,693 GWh (33%) in
2013 to 2,902 GWH (18%) in 2022. is is due to additional capacity from gas fired power plants (Sengkang
combined cycle gas-fired plant) owned by the private sector and peaker power plants running on LNG. Power
generated from coal fired power plants will increase from 1,706 GWh (30%) in 2013 to 9,160 GWh (57%) in
2022. Power generated by hydropower will increase from 1,127 GWh (20%) in 2013 to 3,650 GWh (23%) in
2022 when several hydropower projects become operational, namely Bonto Batu, Malea, Karama, Bakaru II,
Poko, Poso II, Konawe and Watunohu.

Oil consumption in the Sulbagsel system is expected to decrease from 297,000 kiloliters in 2013 to 57,000
kiloliters in 2022 after non-BBM plants become operational. e use of coal will continue to increase from
1.06 million tons in 2013 to 5.6 million tons in 2022, or an increase of 5 times. e volume of natural gas
usage, including LNG, will also continue to rise from 13 bcf in 2013 to 24 bcf in 2022. LNG will only be used
for operating peaking power plants. Production from geothermal plants amounting to 479 GWh will commence
in 2022. e use of hydropower will increase sharply given the construction of many new hydro power plants,
increasing from 1,127 GWh in 2013 to 3,650 GWh in 2022, or an increase of 3 times.

16,000

14,000

12,000

10,000
GWh

8,000

6,000

4,000
RUPTL

2,000

-
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Solar/Hybrid HSD MFO LNG Gas Coal Geothermal Hydro

Figure-22. Projected Composition of Power Generation by Fuel Type in Sulbagsel

30 Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022

 Meanwhile, the gas supply for power plant in East Indonesia power system can be seen in Table-12.

Table-12. Gas Supply for Power Plant in Eastern Indonesia

No Power plant Gas Supplier 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
1 Sei Raya LNG PLN Batam (Plant) 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
2 Pontianak Peaker LNG PLN Batam (Plant) 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0
3 Bangkanai Salamander 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0
4 Kalsel Peaker Salamander (Potential) 5.0 8.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.0
5 Bontang Salamander Lapangan Tutung 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0
(Potential)
6 Bontang Total Bontang 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
7 Tanjung Batu TAC Semco 4.0 4.0 4.0 - - - - - - -
8 Sambera VICO (Potential) - 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 - - - -
9 Kaltim Peaker JOB Simenggaris (Potential) 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0
10 Nunukan Pertamina EP TAC Sembakung 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5
11 Nunukan 2 Medco South Sebuku Bengara 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5
(Potential)
12 Tarakan GSA Pertamina EP 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0
13 Tarakan Manhattan KI 2.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0
14 Tanjung Selor Perusda Nusa Serambi 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
Persada
15 Senipah Total Senipah 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0
16 Minahasa Peaker LNG Sengkang 6.0 6.0 6.0
17 Gorontalo Peaker Donggi (Potential) 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0
18 Morowali Tiaka (Potential) 5.0 5.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0
19 Sengkang Energy Equity Epic (Sengkang) 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0
20 Makassar Peaker LNG Sengkang 5.0 10.0 15.0 23.0 23.0
21 Lombok Peaker Marine CNG dari Gresik 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 9.5
22 KTI Scattered LNG Sengkang (Potential) 3.0 3.0 3.0 4.0
Perusda Salawati (Potential) 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0
Sorong Petrochina (plant) 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
BP Berau (Potential) 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
Total 51.5 130.0 145.5 170.3 207.3 215.3 176.3 175.3 174.3 177.0

DEVELOPMENT PLAN FOR NEW AND RENEWABLE ENERGY

PLN has prepared a development plan for New and Renewable Energy (EBT) as shown in Table -13. e deve-
lopment plan comprises of 1) Mini hydro power plants: PLN encourages the development of mini-hydro plants
by the private sector to meet the local demand and to be distributed to the PLN grid 2) Wind turbine generat-
ing plants: As the potential for wind power in Indonesia is limited, the development of wind turbine generating
2013 - 2022
plants will be limited to areas with wind power potential 3) Biomass: PLN intends to build biomass power
plants if PLN has control over the biomass supply. PLN cooperating with several local government for biomass
industry pioneer 4) Marine energy: While the potential of marine energy is estimated to be large, the techno-
logy and economics of marine power plant development are still unknown, hence PLN will conduct small scale
pilot tests as research and development projects 5) Biofuel: Depending on the readiness of the biofuel market,
PLN is prepared to utilize biofuel if it is available 6) Solar power plants: PLN will develop solar plants in 1,000
locations/islands, especially in outlying and isolated areas to improve the electrification ratios.

Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022 31

 Development of Solar Power Plants

Taking into account the wide geographical distribution of the population and difficulties in reaching remote
areas, PLN plans to build solar power plants as follows: centralized/communal solar power plants (indepen-
dent or hybrid operating mode); small scale and dispersed solar home systems (solar panel + LED lamps with
battery), limited to provinces where application of renewable energy is still low and in areas where there will be
no conventional electricity available within 5 years. e development of these solar power plants is intended to
electrify remote areas as soon as possible, avoid utilization of oil if they are served by diesel engine generating
units, and to reduce the generation costs in certain areas where transportation of oil is very expensive, e.g.
around the mountain peaks of Jayawijaya Papua. e electrification program with solar home systems or “su-
per energy saving” lantern (SEHEN) is not a capacity development program for the power system. e SEHEN
electrification program is intended to be a temporary program and is limited to areas with low electrification
ratios, such as in West Nusa Tenggara, East Nusa Tenggara and Papua, after first conducting a feasibility
study. e SEHEN program can be substituted by centralized/communal solar power plants. e construction
of solar power plants and installation of solar home system will be preceded by a feasibility study.

Table-13. Development Plan for New and Renewable Energy

New and
renewable
No Capacity 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Total
energy power
plant
1 MHPP MW 33 42 96 149 237 192 186 156 190 200 1,481
2 Solar Power MWp 6 104 75 54 36 60 75 75 75 75 634
3 Wind Power MW - - 50 20 20 20 30 40 50 50 280
4 Biomas PP MW 48 10 15 20 30 40 50 50 50 50 363
5 Ocean PP MW - - 1 - 1 3 3 5 5 10 28
6 Biofuel PP ousand Kilo 15 400 400 500 500 600 600 600 600 600 4,815
Liter
Total MW 87 156 237 243 324 315 344 326 370 385 2,786

DEVELOPMENT PLAN FOR ISOLATED POWER SYSTEMS

Besides the 6 interconnected power systems, there are more than 100 isolated systems spread throughout
the Eastern Indonesia region. e systems are spread over the provinces of Maluku, North Maluku, Papua,
West Papua, West Nusa Tenggara, East Nusa Tenggara and Riau Islands. Even in islands where the power sys-
tems are interconnected, there are isolated systems such as in Nias, Belitung, Buton, Selayar, Karimun Jawa,
Bawean and many other islands.

RISK ANALYSIS

Based on the probability and impact if the risks occur, the risks have been mapped as shown in Figure-23. e
assessment of the risks and impact have been conducted with qualitative method based on PLN’s experience
in carrying out similar programs in the past, and PLN’s experience in handling such risks in the past.
RUPTL

Determination of the risk impact is based on the impact to company cash flow and the impact on smooth
operation of the company.

32 Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022

 Very High

PROBABILITY RATE High

Medium

Low

Very Low

Not Significant Minor Medium Significant Disaster

IMPACT SCALE

Description :
EXTREME RISK : HIGH RISK :
3 Limited funding capability risk 1 Change in electricity sector order/policy risk
4 PLN and IPP project completion delay risk 2 Unrealized electricity tariff rationalization risk
5 Unconformity power plant and transmission line risk 6 Non-oil primary energy supply constrain risk
10 Increase of primary energy price risk 7 Electricity consumption higher than demand projection risk
8 Power plant and transmission performance degradation risk
9 Transmission line system bottlenecking risk
11 Environmental risk
12 Disaster risk

Figure-23. Mapping Long-Term Risk Profile for 2013 - 2022

CONCLUSION

Assuming the economic growth during the next ten years average 6.9% and increasing from actual electricity
2013 - 2022
demand in 2012, projected electricity sales in 2022 are estimated to reach 387 TWh or a growth rate of 8.4%
over the next 10 years. Peak load in 2022 is projected to reach 64 GW. To meet electricity demand, the deve-
lopment of new power plants during the period 2013-2022 with total capacity of 60 GW has been planned.

In line with the development of aforementioned power plants, the development of 57,100 kms of transmis-
sion system will be required, consisting of 5,600 kms of 500 kV AC EHV transmission lines, 1,100 kms of 500
kV HVDC transmission lines, 462 kms of 250 kV HVDC transmission lines, 6,400 kms of 275 kV AC transmis-
sion lines, 39,600kms of 150 kV HV transmission lines and 3,900 kms of 70 kV HV transmission lines. Addi-
tional transformer capacity required include 134,000 MVA consisting of 72,900 MVA 150/20 kV transformers,
3,700 MVA 70/20 kV and 35,700 MVA 500/150 kV inter-bus transformers (IBT), 17,100 MVA 275/150 kV
IBT, 480 MVA 150/70 kVIBT, 4,000 MVA 500/275 kV IBT and 600 MVA 250 kV DC. In anticipation of electric-
ity sales growth during the period 2013 - 2022, it will require additional 224,800 kms of medium voltage grids,
217,200 kms of low voltage grid and 35,600 MVA of distribution transformer capacities.

Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022 33

 e overall investment required for power generation, transmission and distribution for the period 2013 –
2022 to meet the requirement of electrical power infrastructure development in Indonesia is US$125.2 billion,
consisting of power generation investment (including IPP) of US$ 91.3 billion, transmission system investment
of US$ 19.4 billion and distribution system of US$ 14.5 billion.

e funds for PLN investment will be met by the State Budget (APBN) in the form of Government equity parti-
cipation, new loan, and internal funds. PLN’s internal funding capacity is limited and as such, all funds required
for investment will be obtained from debt. PLN’s investment needs to be supported by increasing capacity
for self-funding and maintaining the ratio of debt to PLN’s assets, so that it would continue to support the
development of electrical power supply. e role of APBN each year will be significant because it is politically
difficult to raise electricity tariff to a level higher than the basic generating cost (BPP) in the near term.
RUPTL

34 Executive Summary Electricity Supply Business Plan 2013 - 2022