Coffee Barometer 2023
Coffee Barometer 2023
Barometer
2023
Content
1. Introduction 2
2. Coffee trade 5
3. Resilient livelihoods 13
4. Coffee brew index 21
5. Towards mandatory compliance 37
6. Conclusion 45
Sources 50
Endnotes 51
List of abbreviations 52
Bibliography 53
Colophon 56
Coffee
Barometer
2023
As we look towards the future, 2030 stands as the new horizon for delivery, replacing
the previously set target of 2020, which passed without much notice. Once again, an
opportunity for the coffee sector to transform theory into action and make substantial
progress towards a sustainable and equitable future. Governments, companies, and civil
society continue to embrace initiatives geared towards “sector transformation” - curbing
tropical deforestation, respecting human rights, and mitigating the impacts of climate
change. Their commitment to collaborative efforts holds the promise of achieving tan-
gible socio-economic and environmental solutions on a significant scale.
The 2023 edition of the Coffee Barometer aims to increase understanding of the scale,
depths and complexity of the main sustainability discussions, by weighing the evidence,
debunking rhetoric, and revealing what is going on at sector level. By doing so the report
establishes a direct connection with the evaluation of corporate sustainability strategies,
as presented in the new Coffee Brew Index on our website: www.coffeebarometer.org
Part 2. The importance of ensuring that coffee income contributes to the well-being,
and livelihoods of millions of farmers in Africa, Asia, and Latin America. To flourish, these
farmers should be able to generate a living income, making their farms economically
viable and ecologically sustainable.
Part 3. An examination of the sustainability policies and strategies in place at the top
eleven coffee roasters, along with a critical assessment of the role and contribution of
each roaster.
Coffee price
Starting from early 2021 and continuing through late 2022, the price of coffee wit-
nessed a steady rise, culminating in the ICO indicator C price reaching a ten-year high of
US 244 cents/lb in February 2022.1 This upward trajectory can be attributed to various
factors, including adverse weather conditions such as a sudden frost that impacted key
coffee-growing regions in Brazil in July 2021, leading to increased shipping container
costs, and the International Coffee Organization reducing the global 2020/21 cof-
fee surplus to a 22-year low in early 2022 (ICO, 2023b). However, in recent months,
the global market price of coffee has experienced a significant decline, reaching an
18-month low of US 145 cents/lb in January 2023, and now hovering around US 180
cents/lb. Meanwhile, the cost of producing coffee has been steadily increasing, primar-
ily driven by rising labor costs and the increasing prices of inputs such as fertilizers and
pesticides. In recent years, inflationary pressure and fluctuations in exchange rates are
adding to this upward trend.
The global price of coffee is determined based on the supply and demand dynamics
within the global market. Arabica coffees are primarily traded on the New York Stock
Exchange, while Robusta coffees are traded on the London Stock Exchange. These
Figure 1. Average Arabica and Robusta price 7
Arabica
5
Robusta
2
PRICE in US$/kg
0
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
markets operate through two main mechanisms: current or physical markets and
future contracts. The issue is that most market activity is not trading coffee that exists
today, but coffee futures. Futures contracts are essentially agreements to purchase
a set amount of coffee (37,500 pounds) at a specific price when the contract expires.
This mechanic allows end‑buyers (like large‑scale roasters) to buy future shipments of
beans when the price is low if they expect the price to rise in the future when they need
those beans. It also allows investors and speculators to buy futures low, then sell high
down the road, leading to greater liquidity in the market. This system is well-established
and accepted around the world as a way to determine the price of coffee. Unfortunately,
producers can get ‘trapped’ by the C market price, meaning it becomes the final price
for their coffee, rather than the baseline price.
The C price discovery mechanism in the market distinguishes relatively little between
characteristics of quality and origin-specific traits. At the consumers’ end of the
spectrum, the retail price of roasted and ground coffee seems to evolve independently
from the green (unroasted) coffee C price. While retail prices tend to follow the peaks
in the C price, they do not undergo equivalent downward adjustments during periods of
8 low C prices. This asymmetric price transmission means that during troughs in the C
price, retail prices for roasted coffee remain high on supermarket shelves. Also, US retail
consumption market data confirms this: roasted coffee witnessed an average price
increase of 98% from 1982 to 2018, whereas the C price experienced a decline of 27%.
(NewForesight, 2021).
Coffee production
Despite coffee being cultivated in over 50 countries worldwide, the global market is
heavily reliant on the bulk coffee supplies from just a few countries. In 2022, Brazil
alone was responsible for a staggering 40% of the world’s coffee production, while Viet-
nam has become the uncontested second largest producer, contributing 20%. Addition-
ally, just three countries—Colombia, Indonesia, and Honduras— contribute to a quarter
of global coffee output. The export share of the other 45 countries has significantly
declined in comparison to the top 5 producers, most notably in Central America and
West and East Africa, which have become less influential in international coffee trade.
This concentration of production has been driven by the industries’ desire to leverage
economies of scale, particularly crucial in low-margin businesses where cost efficiency
is paramount.
This shift in dynamics has substantial implications. Nations with lower production
levels often depend heavily on coffee exports as a crucial economic pillar, such as GDP
growth, rural employment, tax revenue, and export earnings. A broad basis also contrib-
utes to a rich variety of flavors and qualities. Furthermore, nurturing a diverse range of
coffee origins could potentially serve as a pivotal factor in safeguarding the long-term
sustainability and resilience of the coffee supply chain, especially in light of the pro-
jected impacts of climate change and loss of biodiversity.
Coffee consumption
Europe is the largest coffee consumer market accounting for 2.54 million tons of coffee
in 2022 (EU27), equal to 24% of the total world consumption of coffee. The US is second
at 16%, an equivalent of 1.66 million tons in 2022. Brazil, known as the largest producer
and exporter of coffee, is the third largest consumer market in the world consum-
ing 1.36 million tons of coffee, or 13% of total world consumption. Notably, Europe’s
consumption levels in 2022 returned to pre-pandemic levels, matching the figures
recorded in 2018. The growth rate in Europe remained modest at just 0.1% year-on-
Figure 2A: Global green coffee trade 2022
Africa 11 % 8% Africa
3% Central America
Consumption / Import
9
Production / Export 25 % Asia and Pacific
South America 48 %
18 % North America
7,3 % Uganda
Africa 13 %
Ethiopia, Tanzania, Kenya, Côte d’Ivoire, Cameroon
Colombia
Peru
Other countries
year. North America showcased a similar recovery pattern to Europe, with consumption
surpassing pre-pandemic levels in 2022. The region’s consumption demonstrated a
year-on-year growth rate of 1.3% in 2022. In contrast, coffee consumption in the Asia
Pacific region experienced a year-on-year growth rate of 3.1%.
While the majority of consumers in established markets purchase their coffee from
supermarkets for home consumption, retail dynamics are rapidly changing. Consum-
ers are increasingly willing to pay a premium for convenience and unique experiences,
gravitating towards single-serve options like Nespresso capsules, Keurig K-Cup pods,
10 and ready-to-drink coffee beverages. By 2020, more than 40% of US consumers
owned a single-cup coffee brewing system. In 2022, coffee pods accounted for 16% of
the EU27 market in terms of volume, reflecting their significant presence in the coffee
industry. While other formats (like roast and ground) dominate the market, it is worth
noting that coffee pods contribute to a substantial portion of total retail sales, repre-
senting 40% in value terms within the EU27 region (ECF, 2023).
Conventional coffee accounts for 70% of world consumption leaving a large share of
world production with limited traceability and ease of substitution for roasters to other
origin countries (TFCLI, 2020). While there seems to be a growing awareness of and
concern about sustainability among consumers (Eurobarometer, 2020), the global
market share of more “sustainable options” remains limited. Among the identified bar-
riers are an information asymmetry between consumers and producers, higher prices,
the dominance of established consumption routines, information overload, and lack
of transparency and trust (Terlau and Hirsch, 2015). As a credibility attribute, sustain-
ability is not perceivable per se. Consequently, consumers have to look for cues that
indicate the sustainability performance of a product or brand.
Sustainability standards
To overcome the barriers to sustainable consumption, Voluntary Sustainability Stan-
dards (VSS) stand out as the tool to increase transparency and trust in sustainability-
related product attributes and to foster sustainable consumption behavior (Fernandes
Martins et al., 2022). Well-known examples of VSS in the coffee sector include
Fairtrade, Rainforest Alliance and the Organic certification, all of which promote better
conditions in coffee production practices. They bring the function of coordinating and
regulating the sustainability characteristics of global coffee production to the fore.
Third-party auditing and, increasingly, the use of technologies, such as satellite images
and remote sensing in the deforestation space, contributes to monitoring and enforcing
compliance (Heldt and Beske Janssen, 2023). However, quantifying the effectiveness
and impact of VSS remains complex and debated (Rubio-Jovel, 2022). There are deeply
rooted structural problems that can only be solved with the involvement of all relevant
public and private actors, as well as mandatory rules.
Figure 3. Overview market share VSS 2017 / 2019 / 2021
192 560
307 770
293 923
160 370 11
252 412
257 420
230 558
394 670
438 846
365 859
590 1.084
658 1.235
536 2.365
594 1.607
732 1.623
285 400
310 450
312 460
2017 x1000MT
2019
2021
Numerous studies have shed light on their prevalent inequality within these coffee value
chains (Utrilla-Catalan et al., 2022). The specific situations in coffee-producing coun-
tries vary widely, but two common factors loom over the future of the coffee production.
Firstly, coffee farmers continue to grapple with poverty and precarious living conditions.
Secondly, there is an urgent need to adapt to shifting climate patterns, coupled with the
imperative to address the sector’s carbon emissions.
Living income
Living income is finally getting traction on the sector’s sustainability agenda. The
concept of living income has become widely recognized and influential, with many
actors in the coffee industry embracing it. A network of organizations and initiatives
has emerged, amplifying the momentum behind the pursuit of living income. Within
the coffee sector, platforms such as the Global Coffee Platform (GCP), the Sustainable
Coffee Challenge (SCC), and the Coffee Public Private Task Force (CPPTF) have placed
living income as a top priority.2 The Living Income Community of Practice frequently
highlights examples of how the coffee sector is a central subject for discussion, infor-
mation sharing, and capacity building.
Figure 4. Country overview living income - coffee income 15
Brazil
Vietnam
Colombia
Indonesia
Honduras
Ethiopia
India
Peru
Uganda
Guatemala
· In 8 out of the 10 countries, the average coffee income is at or below the poverty line.
· Brazil stands out as the only country where the average producer earns a net coffee
income that surpasses certain living income estimates.
· Uganda has the largest gap to living income, with an average coffee producer earning
$88 per year from coffee, in contrast to living income reference values ranging from
over $2,000 to nearly $6,000.
Living wage
Coffee is a very labor-intensive crop, with the majority of work dedicated to hand-
harvesting; a meticulous process aimed at preserving the quality of the beans. Within
the coffee sector, there are various tasks that are gender-specific, leading to an over-
representation of women in roles such as harvesting and post-harvest processing,
including drying and hand-sorting the beans. Despite the significant number of workers
employed in the coffee industry (e.g., 2.6 million in Ethiopia, 1.5 million in Indonesia, and
1.44 million in Vietnam), the issue of providing living wages for workers remains largely
overlooked. Available research indicates that farmworkers in the coffee industry receive
wages that do not adequately meet their fundamental needs (Pindeo Caro, 2020). The
findings further reveal that these wages not only fall below the national averages, but
also fall below the average wages paid in the broader agricultural sector.
Monthly wages for coffee workers are influenced by the number of hours worked. Firstly,
many workers in the coffee industry are hired as casual labor on a daily or task basis,
which does not cover a full month of employment. Secondly, a considerable portion of
workers are engaged in harvesting, where payment is based on the quantity of coffee
harvested per day (Verité, 2022). Female workers comprise nearly half of total employ-
ment in the sector, yet they earn significantly less than their male counterparts (ILO,
2020). This disparity can be attributed, in part, to the relatively high number of women
working as unpaid family workers.
Climate change
A recent analysis conducted by the Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI) paints a dire
picture, revealing that climate change has the potential to slash global Arabica cof-
fee production by a staggering 45.2%, while global Robusta production could suffer a
Figure 5. Theoretical household net income for a 1 ha farm
Inspired by: Hochberg, A. and Bare, M. (2021). Strategies to enhance coffee farmers’
incomes: Rainforest Alliance experience and research. p. 7. Rainforest Alliance.
17
$ 3.20 $ 1,032 $ 2,063 $ 3,094 $ 4,125
Yield (kg/ha)
23.5% decline (Dzebo and Adams, 2022). With climate change, significant portions of
land used for coffee cultivation are anticipated to become unsuitable by 2050, particu-
larly for Arabica coffee. Efforts to ensure sustainable coffee production must consider
the preservation and conservation of forests and other ecosystems, recognizing their
ecological significance and the potential negative consequences of their conversion into
coffee plantations.
Achieving a delicate balance between meeting the global demand for coffee and preserv-
ing biodiversity while upholding and reinforcing essential ecosystem services requires
meticulous planning. This involves implementing robust conservation strategies and
promoting the sector-wide adoption of responsible land-use practices, such as regen-
erative agriculture and agroforestry. Key coffee-producing regions will likely significantly
reduce. For instance, in Brazil›s Minas Gerais and São Paulo States, regions that account
for a significant portion of the country’s coffee output, the proportion of land suitable
for coffee farming could plummet from 70-75% to a mere 20-25%. In Goiás, the viabil-
ity of coffee cultivation may cease altogether. Other renowned coffee-growing regions
will also face the imminent threat of a sharp reduction in suitable coffee-growing areas.
Warming temperatures and shifting rainfall could sharply reduce the production in Costa
Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Mexico, and Vietnam (Dzebo and
Adams, 2022). Although coffee production could potentially relocate to other elevations
in many countries, the expansion of coffee cultivation into previously untouched regions
poses a significant threat to vital ecosystems that store vast amounts of carbon and
biodiversity, and as such provide valuable services for local communities and humanity at
large. In numerous countries where coffee is grown, a substantial portion of the projected
suitable land for coffee production in 2050 is currently covered by forests, and unfortu-
nately, these areas often lack sufficient protection measures (CI, 2020).
The historical expansion of coffee farms, which often replaced forests, has been a
significant driver of deforestation and environmental degradation (Branthomme et al.,
(2023). Over the past two decades, approximately 130,000 hectares of forested land
has been lost each year to coffee cultivation, resulting in an estimated annual emis-
sion of around 45 million tCO2e (Pendrill et al., 2019). The continuous global demand for
coffee further exacerbates the threat of converting forested areas into coffee planta-
tions. For example, in Indonesia’s Bukit Barisan National Park (Williams, 2021). When
forests, typically habitats for many endangered animal species, are cleared for coffee
farming, the carbon stored in trees is rapidly released as CO2. While not all coffee farms
18 are established on recently deforested land, the greenhouse gas emissions associated
with land use change (LUC) can reach up to 35kgCO2e/kg of roasted coffee, even when
distributed over several years (Vilagomez et al., 2022).4
In recent years, forest conservation has gained significant traction on the global political
agenda, resulting in a surge of collaborative initiatives involving both public and private
actors. These efforts aim to achieve the SDGs and align with the objectives of the Paris
Accord as well as the Global Biodiversity Framework, concurrently promoting carbon
neutrality and preserving forest ecosystems. Considering that coffee consumption
is projected to exceed 200 million bags, possibly by 2030 (Ralph, 2022), significant
changes in the production, trade, and consumption stages are inevitable. Sustainable
consumption and production are explicitly addressed by the UN as vital pillars in the
SDGs (UN, 2015). The recent IPCC report (IPCC, 2023) strongly emphasizes the impor-
tance of demand-side solutions to alter consumption patterns and mitigate climate
change. The EU27, the world’s largest coffee market, has explicitly included coffee
among the seven agricultural commodities covered by the EU Deforestation Regulation
(EUDR), which is set to come into effect in 2024 (see chapter 5).
Agroforestry
Nature-based solutions offer a potential pathway forward. These solutions encompass
actions and policies that leverage the resources provided by nature to protect and re-
store ecosystems, while simultaneously addressing societal challenges (Gomes, 2020).
In addition to exploring strategies like transitioning to climate-adapted coffee varieties,
farmers have the option to adjust the management practices of their coffee systems
to mitigate the impacts of climate change. The issue of fundamentally transform-
ing the entire agricultural production system continues to be a topic of discussion and
disagreement within the industry. Additionally, a key point of contention revolves around
the allocation of investment costs and who will bear the financial burden.
This shift in farming practices holds the potential to address the environmental chal-
lenges associated with coffee production and enable the cultivation of coffee in a more
sustainable and climate-resilient manner. Since coffee is a perennial crop that lasts for
20 to 30 years, it is an issue of long-term planning and investing. Clearly, agroforestry
should not be seen as a substitute for natural forests, but rather as a means to restore
degraded landscapes. Agroforestry has the potential to contribute to global restoration 19
efforts and store vast amounts of carbon, potentially amounting to millions of metric
tons.
Moreover, within the context of the coffee industry’s objectives, which have predomi-
nantly concentrated on the reduction of emissions, a new development is emerging.
Guidance emanating from the Science Based Targets Initiative (SBTi), tailored specifi-
cally to companies with a large ecological footprint due to emissions originating from
land use, allows companies to invest in carbon removals within their supply chains. This
encourages companies to allocate resources towards the mitigation of carbon by the
uptake of carbon insetting efforts across the industry. Companies are challenged to as-
sess their broader ecological impacts, encompassing factors such as biodiversity, land
utilization, water management, and similar facets. The guidelines of formulating and
delineating objectives for addressing these multifaceted aspects are currently being
While there are 124 species of coffee, we rely on just two for 99% of our coffee consump-
tion: arabica and robusta. Arabica is a cool-tropical plant with a mean annual temperature
requirement of around 19⁰C. It is vulnerable to increasing global temperatures and coffee
leaf rust, a fungal disease that has severely impacted coffee plantations in Central and South
America. Robusta grows at low elevations in wet-tropical conditions and requires an average
annual temperature of 23⁰C and is resistant to certain strains of coffee leaf rust. However,
robusta falls short in its flavor and is widely regarded as inferior to arabica, with the majority
of its production used for instant coffee. In 2021, researchers of Kew announced the discov-
ery of stenophylla coffee in Sierra Leone. It grows wild in hot-tropical areas at low eleva-
tion, only 400 m above sea level. While stenophylla grows and crops under similar climatic
conditions to robusta, it has a higher mean annual temperature requirement of 24.9⁰C, which
is 1.9⁰C higher than that of robusta, and a substantial 6.2–6.8⁰C higher than arabica. Cof-
fea stenophylla is classified on the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species as ‘Vulnerable’, so
efforts are urgently required to safeguard the future of the species in the wild. Further work
is required to fully evaluate its potential as a climate resilient, high-value crop species and
breeding resource, including claims of drought tolerance and resistance to coffee leaf rust.5
4
Coffee brew index 21
These leading companies provide a wide range of coffee products, including traditional
roast and ground coffee, single-serve options, espresso beans, and instant coffee. It is
worth noting that some of these roasters hold a higher value share compared to their
volume share, indicating their dominance in premium coffee segments such as single-
serve capsules or the out-of-home market. Conversely, roasters with a reverse share
equation typically compete in the more affordable roast and ground coffee segment
(see detailed company overviews on our website: www.coffeebarometer.org).
Some of the largest coffee roasters in the world are now positioning themselves as
sustainability leaders, making ambitious commitments and engaging in partnerships
and multi-stakeholder initiatives. These firms often narrowly interpret sustainability as
improving efficiency and competitiveness of business in a globalizing world economy of
increasing scarcity, ever-higher risks, and opaque supply chains. Challenging the effi-
ciency-focused narrative of corporate sustainability is not an easy task. The promises
and claims made by these roasters are alluring, and expectations from regulators, civil
society, consumers, and investors are rising. Stakeholders increasingly demand that
companies monitor and address human rights and environmental risks in their global
supply chains. Over the past two decades, this demand has given rise to numerous
initiatives and guidelines promoting responsible business conduct in the coffee industry.
These initiatives range from company-level commitments to voluntary sustainability
standards (VSS), multi-stakeholder programs, and due diligence guidelines developed by
international organizations, to mandatory supply chain regulations enforced by govern-
ments.
The starting point of this chapter is the realization that little detail is known about the spe-
cific sustainability strategies of the major coffee roasters. Without well-defined strategies
and reporting mechanisms that encompass crucial elements like transparency, traceabili-
ty, supplier engagement, monitoring, and sector collaboration, companies will be unable to
effectively address the social and environmental impacts within their coffee supply chains.
Keeping this in mind, we recognized the imperative to develop a novel approach for evalu- 23
ating and scoring the sustainability efforts of the main global coffee roasters and retailers.
What makes this approach innovative is that it surpasses a mere checklist of sustainability
topics being addressed. Instead, it assesses the level of maturity of these engagements
and the extent to which they are integrated into the core of the business and its decision-
making processes. In this edition of the Coffee Barometer, we introduce the Coffee Brew
Index, which focuses on these essential aspects required to achieve sustainable develop-
ment in four critical areas: Sustainability Strategy, Social Conditions & Inclusion, Environ-
ment, and Sustainable Purchasing & Economic Conditions.
Our assessment reveals that while the majority of companies have overarching strategies
and sustainability activities in place, comprehensive tangible, measurable and time-bound
goals and objectives remain limited in many cases. The maturity of individual company
coffee sustainability strategies varies, influenced by diverse factors such as company
size, available resources and financial drivers, stakeholder interests, and company culture.
Yet the progress made by leading companies using readily available tools and systems
demonstrates that the goals are attainable. Implementing sustainable business practices
in the coffee industry requires adjusting existing business practices, leveraging knowledge
and employing approaches that are already known and tested (Sellare et al., 2022).
Methodology
Documentation: To conduct the assessment, we assessed the contents of corporate
annual or sustainability reports, as well as any accompanying documents or sets of public
information directly linked to these reports. Our decision to focus on these sources aligns
with the principles outlined in the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) and its associated
guidance, which emphasizes the importance of easy accessibility to relevant information.
During the review process, we observed that certain companies present their sustainabil-
ity information in well-structured annual reports, providing easily accessible data on key
material topics. However, other companies have less organized information, requiring the
compilation of fragmented reports to complete the assessment. Our evaluation highlights
the importance of transparent sustainability reporting, encompassing all aspects of
Governance, Environment, Social, and Economic (ESG) factors in a comprehensive pack-
age that is easy to understand and digestible for the general public. It is worth noting
that four - out of the eleven - companies, namely Lavazza, Melitta, Tchibo, and Massimo,
have not published sustainability reports for the year 2022 as of the date of conducting
Figure 7. Coffee Brew Index
24
Nestlé
Lavazza
Starbucks
Melitta UCC
J.M. Smucker
Massimo Zanetti
Strauss KraftHeinz
Engagement process: Following the completion of the review, we shared the individual
assessments with the respective companies and extended an invitation for them to pro-
vide feedback. Acknowledging the valuable contribution made by companies in engaging
with our assessment, we are grateful for the proactive involvement and comments pro-
vided by the majority of roasters. Regrettably, we must note that Kraft-Heinz is the only
company that did not respond to our invitations to participate in the evaluation process. 25
Assessment approach, scoring and limitations: The assessment aimed to gauge the
level of maturity of each company regarding sustainability issues within the coffee supply
chain. Companies were awarded higher scores if they demonstrated clear strategies en-
compassing various dimensions of sustainability, specific time-bound goals, investments,
and activities integrated into their supply chains, as well as continuous monitoring and
public reporting on their sustainability objectives.
In acknowledging this is our first attempt to score the performance of each company, we
recognize the following limitations in our efforts:
A current bias towards a «more is better» approach in select assessment areas. For ex-
ample, higher scores were assigned for more certified volume, increased engagement with
MSIs, and a broader range of investments in specific sustainability thematic areas. We
recognize that certifications are not always tied to better sustainability performance and
that more engagements do not necessarily speak to the quality or depth of those engage-
ments. We understand the shortcomings of this current scoring methodology and intend
to evolve over time to better evaluate the quality and depth of these engagements and
investments.
For many companies in our assessment, it was not always clear whether investments with
farmers or their corresponding communities were tied directly to the supply chain or even
origins from which the company sourced. Sometimes engagements were made in general
“coffee communities” and it was therefore difficult to assess whether sustainability en-
gagements and investments were “in the supply chain”, especially when companies made
investments through their foundations. Ideally, in a fully integrated and mature strategy,
sustainability investments and engagements would be embedded in the business and
within the supply chain. This is another shortcoming of this current assessment that we
intend to evolve over time– the fact that we were unable to tease out some of these details
regarding supply chain investments, may unintentionally distort some results.
26
Nestlé
Lavazza
Starbucks
Melitta UCC
J.M. Smucker
Massimo Zanetti
Strauss KraftHeinz
Strategy
27
Sustainability strategies
In this section, we look at both the overall corporate and coffee-specific sustainability
strategies. Given the prominence of all these roasters in the global coffee industry, we
would expect them to have individual coffee sustainability commitments as well as
cohesive strategies to support the sector (even if the company is active in other prod-
ucts beyond coffee), but this expectation was not always met. While companies tend to
disclose their broader strategies, specific and comprehensive background information
is not always readily available in their public sources. Corporate disclosures often lack
depth and quantified detail when it comes to strategic elements. For instance, there
seems to be a disconnect between the identification of sustainability risks and working
towards tangible results through the combination of VSSs, company codes of conduct,
and supply chain investments.
All coffee roasters rely on outsourced coffee production, often located in regions where
human rights abuses and exploitation of natural resources are potential concerns.
While most companies have overarching sustainability strategies that outline their spe-
cific thematic commitments, they often lack comprehensive, tangible, measurable, and
time-bound goals, and objectives. This pattern is a consequence of voluntary sustain-
ability regulations and reporting practices that grant companies the freedom to choose
their own sustainability strategies and disclosures. On a positive note, some companies,
such as Nestlé, JDE Peet’s and Starbucks, provide information that, while sometimes
incomplete, allows for a better understanding, setting an example that verifiable infor-
mation at the outcome level is indeed possible.
While company policies and strategies include concrete objectives, these are often
expressed in terms of implementing activities rather than setting comprehensive and
robust targets linked to broader impacts. Ideally, coffee-specific sustainability strate-
gies would involve farm-level investments and activities that are embedded into supply
chains based on identified risks and local needs. The level of public transparency plays
a critical role here in assessing these strategies, yet none of the companies provide
financial estimates of their yearly sustainability portfolio, which could provide insights
into their efforts to address sustainability risks in their coffee supply chains. This may
indicate that companies consider transparency in this aspect optional or, even worse,
that they themselves lack access to such information.
Figure 8b. Coffee Cup Index: social
28
Nestlé
Lavazza
Starbucks
Melitta UCC
J.M. Smucker
Massimo Zanetti
Strauss KraftHeinz
Our first assessment results reveal that 5 out of 11 companies across social, environ-
mental, and economic pillars still rely on ad hoc and one-off projects and investments
that are not necessarily part of a larger overarching coffee sustainability strategy. These
initiatives are sometimes associated with corporate charitable efforts. As mentioned
above in the ‘Limitations’ section, it was difficult to tell in some cases whether these
projects were actually embedded in the supply chain, requiring further investigation to
determine their alignment. It remains unclear whether this lack of transparency stems
from limited knowledge of supply chain traceability or the immaturity of strategic
engagement at this stage. Comparisons with thematic results presented in subsequent
paragraphs indicate that while most companies provide some information on policies, 29
risks, activities, and goals at the farm level, they tend to remain vague on strategic
sustainability aspects, such as trading practices, fair price setting, or farmers› living
incomes.
Social
Most companies do not disclose information regarding policies that tackle identified
human rights risks in their coffee supply chains, and they fail to describe changes in
the nature of human rights issues over time. It is evident that reporting can only play a
supportive role by ensuring the disclosure of meaningful information. Achieving cor-
porate accountability requires a different approach, one that specifies companies legal
responsibilities based on human rights due diligence, as outlined in chapter 5.
Figure 8c. Coffee Cup Index: Environment
30
Nestlé
Lavazza
Starbucks
Melitta UCC
J.M. Smucker
Massimo Zanetti
Strauss KraftHeinz
Environment
31
Our assessment demonstrates that Nestlé, JDE Peet’s and Starbucks are, compared
to the others, the most advanced in their inclusion of deforestation as a material risk
within their sustainability strategies. However, the overall quality and depth of de-
forestation policies and commitments varies (Wardell et al., 2021). Very few roasters
have policies that meet best-practice requirements as set out by the Accountability
Framework initiative (AFi), such as clear target and cut-off dates as well as necessary
management systems to ensure progress. Instead of assuming responsibility at the
company level, many address the issue in their Supplier Code of Conduct or sourcing
policies, placing the responsibility on suppliers to ensure deforestation-free coffee. The
level of information provided by companies about their deforestation policies seems to
correspond with the low percentage of companies referencing or not referencing their
progress in the producing countries. This poor performance explains the apprehension
among private sector actors regarding the forthcoming EU Deforestation Regulation (as
discussed in chapter 5).
Figure 8d. Coffee Cup Index: Economic
32
Nestlé
Lavazza
Starbucks
Melitta UCC
J.M. Smucker
Massimo Zanetti
Strauss KraftHeinz
Economic
33
Despite companies making bold claims in their public communications regarding their
commitments, this part of the assessment proved to be the most challenging for the
companies to answer, resulting in disappointingly low overall scores. As a result, it
does not come as a surprise that the disclosure of sourcing policy outcomes reflects a
general trend of companies failing to provide relevant and specific details. For example,
very few companies share up-to-date public information about their certification and
verification processes, sustainability premiums and long-term contracts, let alone their
supplier base.
GCP
CPPTF
SCC
Multi-stakeholder accountability
Over the past two decades, the concept of multi-stakeholder initiatives has surged in
prominence as a governance approach. It has become the default method for address-
ing complex issues, with corporate partnerships and voluntarism taking center stage.
Notably, MSIs now play a vital role in achieving the Sustainable Development Goals and
implementing the Paris climate agreement. MSIs are hailed as a means to tap into the
abundant human, material, and financial resources of the private sector and other non-
state actors, mobilizing shared resources that complement public efforts (Herlin, 2021).
MSIs, such as the ICO Coffee Public Private Task Force (CPPTF) Working Group, the 35
Global Coffee Platform (GCP), and the Sustainable Coffee Challenge (SCC) bring togeth-
er governments, civil society, and private sector actors. Consequently, MSIs effectively
legitimize the role of companies as primary actors in global coffee sector governance,
enabling them to shift their public image from being contributors to the problem to
champions of the solution (Hart et al., 2021). This allows them to portray themselves
as “taking action” while conveniently sidestepping the more complex and contentious
issues. For example, in individual company strategies, the membership of a MSI is often
used as a proxy to claim engagement with thematic subjects, such as deforestation-
free supply chains or living income benchmarks. This approach becomes apparent
through the lobbying endeavors of industry associations like the European Coffee
Federation (ECF), as they engage with the EU policymakers. In their lobbying efforts,
the ECF emphasizes the activities of MSIs related to human rights and environmental
concerns, aiming to showcase the proactive involvement of the private sector (eg. ECF,
2022, 2022a, 2022b).
One might expect civil society to challenge how corporations are reshaping the sus-
tainability narrative in the different MSIs. However, as partnerships deepen and NGOs
become entangled in webs of corporate and governmental fundraising schemes, an
increasing number of NGOs seem to accept, or at least refrain from openly criticizing,
the corporate sustainability narrative (Anheier et al., 2019). For example, this is evi-
dent when evaluating the degree of NGO participation in the consortium responsible
for producing the Coffee Barometer over the past decade. The absence of inclusion
and engagement with local civil society, labor unions, and indigenous organizations
in producing countries reflects a lack of commitment to fostering robust account-
ability within these frameworks (IPES-Food, 2023). Addressing the challenges at hand
requires nimble accountability structures and metrics to assess cumulative impact; a
facet currently lacking in MSIs (Haque, 2020). For instance, establishing baselines for
sustainable business practices, such as the GCP sourcing snapshot and equivalence
mechanism, will be crucial to foster collective impact (see Box 2).
Box 2 GCP Equivalence Mechanism
The GCP Equivalence Mechanism (GCP EM) is a framework established by the GCP to assess
the comparability of sustainability schemes to the Coffee Sustainability Reference Code
(GCP, 2022). This code acts as a basic industry standard for economic, social, and environ-
mental sustainability in global green coffee production and primary processing. Through the
Equivalence Process, GCP evaluates whether a sustainability scheme adheres to both the
36 Code and a set of operational criteria encompassing governance, standard-setting, as-
surance, data, and claims requirements. Recognized schemes are classified as either GCP
Baseline Coffee Code equivalent 2nd Party or 3rd Party assurance. Currently, a total of 19
sustainability schemes have received recognition from GCP. Among them, five schemes have
achieved equivalence with 3rd Party assurance, while 14 schemes have obtained equivalence
with 2nd Party assurance. All recognized schemes are eligible to participate in the GCP Col-
lective Reporting on Sustainable Coffee Purchases.
The rise of company sustainability verification schemes, including in-house schemes, has
primarily been propelled by the introduction of importer-country due diligence legislation.
This legislation poses a fundamental challenge to the traditional approach of coffee trad-
ing, which has historically prioritized financial and logistical considerations over factors like
origin and production methods. As a result, many companies are now investing in efforts to
improve traceability back to the farm level and evaluate the associated risks of procurement.
While it is commendable to see the GCP’s efforts to align and establish a common language
for enhancing sustainability practices, it is crucial to critically evaluate the increasing number
of sustainability schemes that have varying levels of support, market share, and account-
ability mechanisms. As it presently stands, GCP’s EM is a compilation of ostensibly “equiva-
lent” systems. It falls short in the provision of any supplementary insights pertaining to the
evaluation outcomes for each distinct scheme. The notion of even establishing a semblance
of comparability or a benchmark among the various schemes is lacking. In its current form
GCP’s EM is unable to fulfill its intended purpose of aiding stakeholders in navigating the
intricate array of diverse schemes, thus inadvertently enabling a competitive race to the
bottom. As the industry embraces diverse sustainability schemes, it becomes imperative to
assess their respective contributions and the degree to which they address critical challeng-
es such as social equity, environmental conservation, and economic viability. It is essential to
strike a balance between fostering collaboration and standardization within the coffee indus-
try while ensuring that sustainability initiatives are both meaningful and credible.
5
Towards mandatory 37
compliance
Introduction
In our examination of coffee roasters’ sustainability strategies and reporting, it was
striking to discover the widespread lack of transparency coupled with inadequate
disclosure (see figure 7). For instance, despite the well-established presence of volun-
tary sustainability initiatives in the coffee sector, the procurement of certified coffee
appears to stagnate (see figure 3). It has also been clear that the implementation of
VSS, in isolation, lacks the potency to foster an alternative that economically benefits
producers, upholds workers rights, and addresses climate change adaptation (Partiti,
2022).
Regulations, if well-designed, have the potential to catalyze a shift in the coffee sec-
tor, reshaping the very nature of the current business models. Compliance with these
regulations often requires thorough monitoring of coffee supply chains and the ability
to demonstrate the effective implementation of due diligence measures (Wuttke et al.,
2022). In contrast to voluntary guidelines and frameworks, these laws provide compre-
hensive accountability and enforcement mechanisms that include penalties, remedies
for rights violations, the potential exclusion from public tenders and, in some cases,
even civil liability. It is crucial to emphasize the risk linked to these legislations, wherein
industry players might transfer compliance costs, ultimately burdening coffee farmers.
In order to prevent such a scenario, the industry should take a proactive stance in their
support to small-scale producers to avoid further marginalization.
In the period from 2015 to 2022, an array of consuming nations spanning North
America, Oceania, and Europe have set forth enacted legislative measures intended
to enhance the environmental and social sustainability of businesses operating within
(agricultural) supply chains.6 Specifically within the European Union, the largest global
coffee importer, the sector’s business model stands to be directly influenced by the 39
regulatory transformations largely stemming from the EU’s Green Deal (Rudloff, 2022).
The most notable legislations to call out are the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR),
Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD), the Forced Labor Regulation and
the Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD).
Deforestation regulation
Undoubtedly, the legislative measure exerting the most influence on the European
coffee industry is the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR), which became effective in
June 2023. Roasters and traders have been given a timeframe of 18 months to imple-
ment the new rules (31 December 2024), with micro and small enterprises granted an
additional six months. The EUDR aims to address the issue of deforestation and forest
degradation, associated with products traded in the EU market. The EUDR requires
companies to ensure that the products they place on the EU market, or export from it,
are not associated with deforestation.7 This new regulation introduces mandatory due
diligence rules for operators and traders involved in the production and trade of various
commodities, including coffee, cocoa, rubber, palm oil, cattle, wood, and soy (see figure
10), (Treanor Basik and Saunders, 2021). To do so, companies will be required to provide
a due diligence statement, outlining the product;
A is produced in a deforestation-free manner, meaning the land used for production has
not undergone deforestation or forest degradation after the specified cut-off date of
December 31, 2020 and;
B complies with all relevant applicable laws, including those related to human rights and
the rights of indigenous peoples in the country of production.
Information
collection
Assess risk
EU legislation pipeline
While the EUDR and CSRD have already been enacted this year, the coffee industry is
anticipating the ongoing development of various other EU legislations that will soon be-
come applicable to its operations. For instance, in June 2023, the European Parliament
adopted its position on the Corporate Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD), a proposed
directive that will enforce mandatory human rights and environmental due diligence re-
quirements on companies. The aim of the CSDDD is to provide legal clarity and prevent
fragmentation by establishing rules on corporate due diligence obligations, directors›
duties, and civil liability.
The CSDDD underscores the need for tangible measures in the day-to-day business
operations to address sustainability issues. In order to fulfill their due diligence obliga-
tions, companies will need comprehensive and relevant data concerning their supply
chains. The scope of human rights and environmental impacts within the CSDDD is
quite broad. It encompasses, notably, the right to a living wage. Several NGOs, com-
panies and governments have advocated for the inclusion of living income as well,
to ensure smallholders and self-employed workers are fully protected by the CSDDD
provisions. Likewise, several stakeholders have called for an obligation that compels
companies to review their procurement practices as an integral component of the
due diligence mandate in the CSDDD. It could introduce specific elements that enable
rights-holders to seek remedy and enforce their rights: the possibility to submit well-
founded concerns to regulatory authorities, to activate the complaints mechanisms
that companies are required to establish in adherence to the directive, and to file civil
complaints. If properly implemented, these represent major steps towards empowering
upstream stakeholders in agricultural supply chains. Consequently, the CSDDD has the
potential to actualize the coffee sector’s commitments aimed at enhancing the liveli-
hoods of coffee producers.
The legislative progress of the CSDDD is currently under development. Although the
formal approval of the directive might take place in early 2024, taking into account the
transposition timelines, coffee companies operating within the EU will likely be obli-
gated to adhere to the requirements beginning in 2026.
42 Furthermore, on September 14, 2022, the EU Commission unveiled its proposal for
a Regulation that introduces a ban on the introduction and distribution of products
manufactured through forced labor within the EU market, as well as their export from
the EU market (EC, 2022) This proposal is currently undergoing evaluation by both the
European Council and Parliament and will require joint endorsement. Under this regula-
tion, companies (regardless of their jurisdiction) are prohibited from introducing prod-
ucts produced under forced labor conditions into the EU market or exporting them from
the EU. To accomplish this, competent authorities of the Member States are mandated
to evaluate the likelihood of forced labor infractions based on available data and, when
deemed necessary, to initiate investigations into the relevant products and compa-
nies. In the event that a product is determined to be manufactured using forced labor,
national authorities are mandated to dispose of it, unless companies can substantiate
the eradication of forced labor from their supply chains. Considering the multitude of
allegations surrounding forced labor incidents in various countries within the coffee
supply chain, this regulation holds significant pertinence for the coffee sector.
A new reality
While legislation possesses the capability to establish equitable conditions and stimu-
late innovation, the ongoing legislative advancements within the EU, particularly ex-
emplified by the EUDR, have encountered significant opposition or hesitancy within the
coffee industry ICO, 2023c). The coffee sector has consistently opposed the incorpora-
tion of coffee within the EUDR framework, contesting the stipulated 7% deforestation
attribution to coffee within the EU regulation (Naranjo, 2023).9
Similar to the majority of EU legislations, the formulation and acceptance of the EUDR
is the result of a decade-spanning policy dialogue and advocacy undertakings involving
EU institutions, civil society, and industry representatives. This endeavor encompassed
an array of impact studies, public consultations, formulation of stances, and public
events. Within this context, the European coffee industry, represented by the European
Coffee Federation (ECF), remained largely absent from the policy dialogue. In contrast,
companies within the cocoa sector exhibited significantly higher levels of involvement,
articulation, and proactive participation throughout the entire legislative development
trajectory, even preceding the crystallization of a concrete proposal (Voice Network,
2019). Only as the legislative process advanced into its latter stages did the coffee
industry advocacy movement begin to engage in a more dynamic manner.
As the EUDR becomes a fixed reality, the industry must promptly acknowledge the
novel circumstances that demand adaptation for effective operation within the Euro-
pean market. Swift preparation is imperative to meet impending deadlines, requiring
the implementation of rigorous measures across their business operations and supply
chains across all sourcing points. It is evident that numerous companies encounter
substantial shortfalls in terms of EUDR readiness. Essential traceability data remains
elusive or inaccessible, and a multitude of stakeholders lack resilient management
systems to systematically evaluate and alleviate deforestation hazards present within
their supply chains.
43
Mitigating adverse effects
While compliance with the EUDR will undeniably impose a burden on companies, it is
crucial to acknowledge the uncertainties it creates for the governments of produc-
ing countries and, most significantly, for the millions of small-scale coffee farmers. A
distinct risk linked to the EUDR, highlighted by both industry and civil society, lies in the
absence of a thorough evaluation of its implications on smallholder producers prior to
its enforcement. At the same time, as flagged by Ivorian cocoa smallholders and CSOs,
the increased traceability, requested by the EU as part of the EUDR, is needed to tackle
the complexity of supply chains, which oftentimes is detrimental for smallholders (On-
gidef, 2022).
Despite the clear legal responsibility for compliance falling on traders, roasters, and
retailers within the EU, there is a significant risk that industry actors shift costs, obli-
gations, and administrative burdens onto small-scale farmers in order to access the
European coffee market. However, globally there is little experience on how to balance
these heightened mandatory due diligence measures with the inclusion of smallholders
or cooperatives into export supply chains. In view of the impending EUDR requirements,
the coffee industry has to exhibit unwavering and proactive engagement to alleviate the
concerns of small-scale coffee farmers and leave no space for ambiguity. In its January
2022 ‘reactive statement’ the ECF reiterated: “The ECF and its members are commit-
ted to increasing transparency and traceability along the coffee supply chain” and
that the role and wellbeing of smallholder farmers the coffee supply chain “is a para-
mount concern to the coffee sector as a whole and should remain a priority in the new
Regulation’s implementation” (ECF, 2022a). Now that the regulation is in effect, it is
up to the coffee sector to uphold this commitment. It is essential to underscore that the
financial burden and obligations inherent to the implementation of the legislation will
not be shifted onto their shoulders. A possible way to do so is through pre-competitive
collaboration on data norms and interoperability of data management and traceability
systems, which can maximize efficiency and avoid duplication of work and costs for
suppliers (Quynh Chi and Meulensteen, 2023).
At present, the world’s largest coffee roasters are positioning themselves as leaders
in sustainability, making ambitious commitments and participating in multiple MSIs. 47
Their sustainability goals encompass 100% sustainable sourcing, 100% deforestation
free, 100% carbon neutrality, and 100% recycling. The promises and claims made by
these roasters are alluring, and expectations from regulators, civil society, consumers,
and investors are rising. While some individual companies may be performing better
than others, our Coffee Brew Index reveals that most companies are not yet taking the
actions necessary to fulfill the existing sector commitments in addressing social and
environmental risks. It is important to recognize that for these companies, their actual
sustainability strategy is narrowly focused on improving efficiency and competitiveness
within a globalized economy characterized by scarcity, increasing risks, and opaque
supply chains.
Without a clear strategy and robust reporting mechanisms in place to address the main
challenges in the coffee sector –including elements like transparency, traceability, sup-
plier engagement, monitoring, and sector collaboration – companies will be unable to
effectively address social and environmental impacts in their coffee supply chains. For
example, very few companies share up-to-date public information about their certifi-
cation and verification processes, sustainability premiums and long-term contracts, let
alone their supplier base. Such information is vital for engaging in meaningful discus-
sions about the progress of individual companies and the overall advancement of the
sector.
This strategic behavior is evident in industry lobbying efforts and corporate strategies,
48 often citing MSI membership as evidence of engagement in specific areas such as zero-
deforestation or ensuring a living income for producers. Furthermore, there has been a
noticeable shift in the discourse surrounding sustainability within the coffee industry.
It has become increasingly intertwined with quality management and risk mitigation
within the coffee supply chain. This situation becomes apparent through the inclusion of
many different sustainability guidelines and internally managed verification and trace-
ability systems within the GCP 2.0 equivalence mechanism. Rather than raising the bar
and encompassing a comprehensive strategic approach at sector level, this mechanism
concentrates on farm-level sustainability, thereby narrowing the definition of sustain-
able coffee production. Consequently, the focus shifts away from systemic issues such
as the uneven allocation of risk and reward. This contributes to a growing imbalance in
the bargaining power dynamics between coffee buyers and coffee producers and mis-
directs attention towards factors like price, farm profitability, pricing, and the necessary
transformative changes required to trading practices beyond the farm level.
While the various EU due diligence regulations present an opportunity to advance sus-
tainability in the coffee sector, caution must be exercised to avoid unintentionally ex-
acerbating the existing vulnerabilities faced by small-scale coffee farmers. Unrealistic
expectations of substantial progress within the coffee sector neglect the fact that most
producers are struggling to meet their basic needs. Unfortunately, our experience with
VSS shows that roasters often shift the burden of responsibility and costs of imple-
mentation onto farmers and producing countries. Acknowledging and addressing these
fundamental issues is critical for achieving meaningful progress. While mandatory due
diligence with robust enforcement mechanisms is probably key to progress, it should
also foster collaboration between producers and importers, providing small-scale
farmers with the necessary support and resources to meet the required standards.
An integrated approach, supported by substantial financial assistance from the coffee
industry, and the enforcement of local regulations, is essential for effective implemen-
tation. The goal is to find a “smart mix” of voluntary and mandatory instruments that 49
promote development and ensure the well-being of coffee producers and their commu-
nities (Schleifer and Fransen, 2022).
Sources
For further insights into the thematic sustainability strategy assessment, including comprehensive
information on the scoring and methodology, please visit our website: www.coffeebarometer.org
1 ICO indicator C price: For research purposes and to get a better overview of the worldwide price
development for coffee, the ICO indicator prices represent and track prices of four main types of
coffee qualities: 1. Colombian and mild Arabicas, 2. other mild Arabicas, 3. Brazilian and other natural
Arabicas, 4. Robustas.
3 These country averages do not consider household income derived from sources other than coffee.
Within each country, there are producers who perform significantly better or worse than the average
figures suggest. Like many small-scale farmers, coffee producers have multiple income streams.
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strategies, such as food produced on the farm, can contribute significantly. This can result in a total
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