Rumpf Et Al 2024 Leaking in Intimate Partner Homicide A Systematic Review
Rumpf Et Al 2024 Leaking in Intimate Partner Homicide A Systematic Review
review-article2024
TVAXXX10.1177/15248380241237213TRAUMA, VIOLENCE, & ABUSERumpf et al.
Review Manuscript
Abstract
Intimate partner homicides (IPH) are serious offenses by a heterogeneous group of offenders with diverse risk factors
that are too unspecific for the successful prediction of an offense. Recent research suggested several warning signs that
may precede IPH and enhance its prevention, but little is still known about “leaking.” Leaking comprises all offense-related
statements, behaviors, or actions that express the perpetrator’s thoughts, fantasies, ideas, interests, feelings, intentions,
plans, or positive evaluations of an own violent act or previous similar offenses prior to the own attack. This review aims to
identify the forms, recipients, and media of leaking as well as potential subgroup differences in cases of IPH. We identified
47 relevant publications via a systematic search of eight databases and additional methods. We included publications that did
not explicitly use the term, but described behaviors that could be interpreted as leaking. Up to now, leaking has not been
systematically researched in cases of IPH. Nevertheless, publications described several behaviors that are in line with our
definition of leaking and were categorized into five broader categories: (a) homicide announcements, (b) previous severe
acts of violence, (c) suicidal behavior, (d) planning activities, and (e) interest in similar offenses/offenders. Information on
recipients and media as well as subgroup differences was sparse. Leaking is relevant in IPH, but more systematic research is
needed to understand its potential role in future risk analyses procedures and prevention of IPH.
Keywords
domestic violence, predicting domestic violence, homicide, leaking
Intimate partner homicide (IPH) is a significant public health phenomenon may, therefore, also be helpful to prevent IPH.
issue not limited by nationality, social class, or religion (Garcia- Thus, the present review aims to give an overview of the current
Vergara et al., 2022; Graham et al., 2021; Messing et al., 2021; state of research on instances of leaking preceding IPH.
Monckton Smith, 2020): One in seven homicides worldwide is
committed by a current or former intimate partner (Stöckl et al.,
Intimate Partner Homicide
2013, for a review). Although the majority of all homicide vic-
tims are men, according to the Global Study of Homicide, Contrary to the widespread conception of a crime of passion,
women are the victims of IPH in 82% of the cases (United IPH mostly does not happen spontaneously, but marks the fatal
Nations Office on Drugs and Crime [UNDOC], 2019). escalation of a long-term conflict (Dobash et al., 2009; Greuel,
Nonetheless, with about 25%, the proportion of female offend- 2009; Monckton Smith, 2020). Thus, there may be opportuni-
ers in IPH is exceptionally high as compared to other homicidal ties for prevention and intervention. Consequently, research has
offenses (Choromański, 2020, for a case report; UNODC, aimed to identify risk factors of IPH: Community and societal
2019). Furthermore, there are additional victims, such as family risk factors, such as local density of domestic violence, local
members or new intimate partners, in up to 37% of IPHs income rank, or firearm restrictions, have been associated with
(Dobash & Dobash, 2012; Kafka et al., 2021; Smith et al., IPH (Chopra et al., 2022; Zeoli et al., 2018) but do not
2014). Because IPH has stable prevalence rates and an immense
impact on bereaved relatives, more research on its prevention is 1
Psychologische Hochschule Berlin, Germany
needed (Kapardis et al., 2017; UNODC, 2019). Recent research 2
Deutsche Hochschule der Polizei, Germany
has suggested that considering leaking, a specific warning sign 3
Polizeipräsidium Ravensburg, Germany
that points to the preoccupation with or planning of an offense
Corresponding Author:
prior to its execution, can be helpful in preventing homicidal Rebecca Bondü, Psychologische Hochschule Berlin, Am Köllnischen Park
offenses in public spaces (Bondü, 2012; Dudenhoefer et al., 2, Berlin 10179, Germany.
2021; Meloy & O’Toole, 2011; Tampe & Bondü, in press). The Email: [email protected]
2 TRAUMA, VIOLENCE, & ABUSE 00(0)
sufficiently explain which individuals commit IPH. Therefore, a positive evaluation or even the preparation of an offense,
it is important to consider individual and partnership-related risk similar offenses, or related topics (Bondü, 2012). According
factors or behaviors, such as gun ownership, the presence of to this definition, leaking is the overarching term that includes
children from previous relationships, separation, strangulation, threats, an interest in prior offenses, preparations of an
and threats with weapons (Graham et al., 2022; Matias et al., offense, and other offense-related behaviors. To be consid-
2020; Smith et al., 2024; Spencer & Stith, 2018 for overviews). ered leaking, the behavior must be potentially observable by
Most prominently, a history of intimate partner violence (IPV) third parties who might disapprove of an offense and dis-
preceded 67% to 75% of the IPH cases regardless of the offend- played within a time frame prior to the attack that would still
ers’ sex (Campbell et al., 2007). Nonetheless, these risk factors allow for an intervention (Bondü, 2012; Dudenhoefer et al.,
often lack predictive validity: For example, a history of IPV was 2021; Tampe & Bondü, in press).
not present in all IPH cases and far less than 1% of all IPV cases Leaking is considered a valuable warning sign for severe
ended lethally (Boxall et al., 2022; Rye & Angel, 2019). This violence in rare offenses without homogenous offender pro-
may explain why even risk assessment tools that were specifi- files (Bondü, 2012; Dudenhoefer et al., 2021; Meloy &
cally designed to predict IPH (e.g., Danger Assessment by O’Toole, 2011; Tampe & Bondü, in press): Although leaking
Campbell et al., 2009; Severe Intimate Partner Risk Prediction is considered to be rare in the general population, it was
by Echeburúa et al., 2019; H-Scale by López-Ossorio et al., observed prior to almost all cases of school shootings and
2021) fail to accurately predict IPH, especially within proposed terrorist attacks and, therefore, represents a more specific
categories of extreme danger (i.e., high cutoff scores; Garcia- risk indicator than other alleged risk factors (Bondü &
Vergara et al., 2022; Graham et al., 2021; Thornton, 2017). In Scheithauer, 2014; Tampe & Bondü, in press). It often
addition, these tools are rarely validated and mostly with sam- occurred repeatedly and over long periods of time, that is,
ples consisting only of male offenders in the U.S. and are, there- already in early stages in the development toward an offense
fore, not transferable to the relatively high proportion of female (Bondü, 2012; Niesse et al., 2021; Tampe & Bondü, in press;
offenders, from other countries or other atypical offender and Verlinden et al., 2000). Additionally, leaking was often com-
victim groups (Graham et al., 2021; UNODC, 2019). This municated to members of the later perpetrators’ family,
resulted in high false-negative rates (i.e., incorrectly labeling friends, or colleagues, but also to health care professionals or
persons as not being at risk of IPH) and low sensitivity of these internet users, thereby creating diverse opportunities to
risk assessment tools. However, most current risk assessment inform law enforcement authorities (Lankford et al., 2019).
tools were not designed to predict IPH in particular, but IPV Because in most cases leaking is not time-sensitive, it leaves
reoffending in general (Graham et al., 2021) and, therefore, use room to intervene. Importantly, both direct communications
common risk factors for IPV. When applied to IPH, this results of potential intentions to commit an offense as well as behav-
in high false-positive rates (i.e., incorrectly labeling persons as iors that reflect an interest in previous offenses, a positive
at risk of IPH) and low specificity of these tools. Thus, to enable evaluation or justification of such offenses, or a general
effective prevention, new approaches to assess the risk of IPH interest in related topics and weapons, are relevant signals
are required. More specifically, risk markers that are present for an impending offense (Tampe & Bondü, in press), par-
prior to almost every IPH (high sensitivity) but are otherwise ticularly if they occur in combination (Bondü, 2012).
rare (high specificity) would be helpful. One promising risk Because leaking is more frequent than fatal attacks, assess-
marker with these characteristics is leaking, the importance of ing the risk of an offense should consider its frequency, spe-
which has been highlighted by research on rare mass-casualty cific contents, and other criteria. These criteria need to
offenses in public spaces. distinguish between individuals who have acted on their
leakings (i.e., subsequently committed an offense) and who
have not (Bondü, 2012). Two recent risk assessment tools for
Leaking
terrorist attacks based on leaking contents and characteristics
The concept of leakage was introduced in the context of were indeed able to discriminate between these two groups,
school shootings as a direct or indirect announcement of an while showing both satisfactory specificity and sensitivity
impending violent act (O’Toole, 1999). Research on school (Niesse et al., 2021; Tampe & Bondü, in press).
shootings or mass murders distinguishes leakage and leaking Because leaking is an important starting point for the pre-
(Dudenhoefer et al., 2021). Leakage comprises any commu- vention of homicidal offenses in public spaces, it may also be
nication about an intended or planned offense to a third party relevant for similar offenses occurring within close relation-
(Meloy & O’Toole, 2011) and is one out of eight potential ships, such as IPH. Two studies reported leakage prior to
warnings signs that also include direct threats toward the vic- 37% of homicides in close relationships (Greuel, 2009;
tim or the identification with previous offenders (Meloy et al., Meloy et al., 2014). These studies, however, did not include
2012). Leaking includes all topic-specific statements, behav- other behaviors that would additionally correspond to the
iors, or actions by which potential perpetrators reveal their present definition of leaking and suggest a systematic analy-
fantasies, thoughts, ideas, intentions, or plans of committing sis of the available literature. For example, studies mentioned
an offense and signal an interest in, a preoccupation with, and a preoccupation with an offense, planning behaviors, threats,
Rumpf et al. 3
suicidal behavior, verbalized homicidal fantasies, or expres- encounters (e.g., one-night stands). We excluded studies that
sions of sympathy for IPH perpetrators (Boxall et al., 2022; did not provide information specific to IPH (i.e., samples
Chopra et al., 2022; Goussinsky & Yassour-Borochowitz, included cases of IPH and homicide of persons other than the
2012; Monckton Smith, 2020). partner), that used samples of offenders that were found not
Existing risk assessment tools already take some of these guilty by reason of insanity, and that addressed so-called
behaviors into consideration when aiming to predict the risk mercy killings.
for future IPH/IPV, such as death threats, strangulation, or
threats with weapons (Campbell et al., 2009; Echeburúa
Search Strategy
et al., 2009; Garcia-Vergara et al., 2022). As in cases of
school shootings and terrorism, however, there may be fur- First, we conducted a systematic search on PsycInfo,
ther forms as well as specific characteristics and contents of PsycArticles, Web of Science, PubMed, PubPsych, KrimDok
leaking that may signal a risk of an impending act and, there- (a German criminological database), and Google Scholar. The
fore, could increase the sensitivity and specificity of risk search string contained the following keywords combined
assessment tools. Considering the different aspects of leak- with Boolean operators “AND” and “OR”: “intimate partner
ing, therefore, is an innovative approach that may help to homicide*,” “domestic homicide*,” “spousal homicide*,”
improve risk assessment and management in relation to IPH. uxoricide*, femicide*, androcide*, familicide*, “family
Furthermore, potential victims, their children and loved annihi*,” leak*, “warning behavi*,” “warning sign*,” threat*,
ones, as well as professionals in touch with them, can be “risk factor*”, plan*, pathway*, “temporal sequencing*,” pro-
warned by the perception of leaking, life-saving measures gression*, stage*, chronolog*, and process*. We searched
can be initiated, and interventions targeting potential perpe- KrimLit, a second German criminological database, with an
trators can take place well in advance. adapted search string. Because Google Scholar limits the
number of characters per search, we used two separate search
strings containing the abovementioned keywords. Due to a
The Present Study multitude of results by Google Scholar, most of which were
This systematic review aims to provide an overview of the irrelevant for the present research question, we only included
current state of research on leaking prior to IPH, regardless studies that were relevant until we came across 100 subse-
of whether the behavior in question was labeled as leaking or quent irrelevant publications. Second, we identified articles
otherwise. Specifically, this research investigates the fre- through hand search and by screening references of relevant
quency of leaking prior to IPH, its forms, the media used for publications, particularly meta-analyses and literature reviews.
its communication, its recipients and witnesses, potential
subgroup differences (e.g., female vs. male perpetrators), as Identification
well as changes over time. The findings will be discussed
with regards to existing risk assessment tools, recommenda- After adjusting for duplicates (k = 387), the search strategy
tions for future action, and prevention efforts as well as resulted in a total number of 2,043 publications (Figure 1).
strengths, limitations, and gaps in the existing research. Two authors independently screened all titles and abstracts
with regard to the eligibility criteria by using an online tool
(Rathbone et al., 2015). Conflicts in ratings were resolved
Method through discussions between the authors. This resulted in a
total number of 126 publications for full-text screening. At
Inclusion Criteria least one of the authors screened all of these full-texts. We
This review followed the Preferred Reporting Items for excluded 79 publications that did not provide empirical data
Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines (Page (k = 16), specific information on IPH (k = 38), or information
et al., 2021). To identify potentially relevant publications, we on leaking (k = 16), or used the same dataset as an already
used a procedure involving multiple stages: We considered included publication without reporting additional informa-
descriptive and analytic studies, (multiple) case-studies, and tion (k = 9). This search strategy led to 47 articles for further
project reports on perpetrators who had deliberately killed or analysis (marked with * in the reference list).
attempted to kill their current or former intimate partners
(and additional victims). We only considered studies and
Data Extraction
reports that contained descriptions of behaviors that were in
line with the above presented definition of leaking and were For each publication, we identified the publication charac-
published in German or English between 1999 and 2022. teristics (authors, year of publication, publication form [e.g.,
This corresponds to the time period since the introduction of research report, peer-reviewed article]), the data collection
the concept of leaking (O’Toole, 1999). We included inti- procedure (i.e., descriptive or comparative, interviews, retro-
mate relationships between the victim and the perpetrator spective case analysis, analysis of media reports, country,
except for those imagined by the perpetrator and one-time and time span of data collection), the sample characteristics
4 TRAUMA, VIOLENCE, & ABUSE 00(0)
Figure 1. Summary of the identification and inclusion of relevant publications, according to the Preferred Reporting Items for
Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses procedure, Page et al. (2021).
Notes. Summary of identified forms of leaking including terms found in the literature, descriptive examples, and number of reporting publications (k).
Percent ranges are based upon publications that reported frequencies of offenders who displayed the corresponding form of leaking. Single percentages
indicate that either only one publication reported frequencies or that at least two publications reported similar frequencies. More detailed information
can be found in the Supplemental Material A. IPH = Intimate partner homicides.
Rumpf et al. 7
10 days up to 3 years prior to the attack (Anderson Eriksson et al., 2022; Farr, 2002; Goussinsky & Yassour-
et al., 2011; Enander et al., 2021) and reported in 4% Borochowitz, 2012; Monckton Smith, 2016, 2020; Taylor,
to 71% of the cases by 29 publications. Disclosures of 2009; Todd et al., 2020). The perpetrators’ family, children,
suicidal intent (i.e., by suicide thoughts, plans, threats) friends, acquaintances, and work colleagues were reported
were reported in 12% to 63% of the cases by 26 pub- to have noticed their intents to kill the victim, suicidality, or
lications. Preparations for suicide, such as obtaining search for a contract killer (Anderson et al., 2011; Boxall
or preparing weapons to do so or writing suicide notes et al., 2022; Hesselink & Dastile, 2015; Regan et al., 2007;
were reported in 30% to 39% of the cases by six pub- Sheehan et al., 2014). In some cases, general practitioners,
lications (Boxall et al., 2022; Enander et al., 2021; psychiatrists, or police officers also knew about the perpe-
Logan et al., 2013; Pottinger et al., 2019; Regan et al., trators’ homicide announcements or suicidality (Monckton
2007; Weeke & Oberwittler, 2017). Attempted suicide Smith, 2020; Regan et al., 2007; Sharp-Jeffs & Kelly, 2016).
was reported in 4% up to 25% of the cases by 16 pub-
lications (Cheng & Jaffe, 2021; Hamilton et al., 2013;
Pontedeira et al., 2020). Suicidality in context of the
Media of Leaking
intimate relationship can be considered leaking, No publication systematically analyzed the media through
because it is deeply intertwined with IPH: it functions which leaking was communicated. Case examples indi-
as a preparation, legitimization or motivation for IPH cated private conversations, telephone, text messages, kill-
and 14% to 56% of the perpetrators also killed them- ing gestures, written notes, and written plans for the later
selves or had planned to do so (Enander et al., 2021; homicide (Boxall et al., 2022; Farr, 2002; Logan et al.,
Glass et al., 2004; Goussinsky & Yassour- 2013; Monckton Smith, 2020; Sharp-Jeffs & Kelly, 2016;
Borochowitz, 2012; Sharp-Jeffs & Kelly, 2016; Sheehan et al., 2014; Todd et al., 2020; Weeke &
Sheehan et al., 2014). Oberwittler, 2017).
4. Planning Activities. Behaviors that were related to
planning, executing, or facilitating an offense were
reported in 9% to 75% of the cases by 17 publications
Subgroup Differences
and were evident a few hours up to 1 year prior to the Publications comparing male and female perpetrators report
impending act (Monckton Smith, 2020). More pre- mixed findings on gender differences in homicide announce-
cisely, drafting homicide plans (e.g., planning to dis- ments, suicidal behavior, and planning activities, with some
pose of the victim’s body, an alibi, or to leave the suggesting strong overlaps and some suggesting differences
country; stalking or attempting to isolate the victim; between men and women (Bridger et al., 2017; Enander
researching murder methods; Boxall et al., 2022; et al., 2021; Leygraf, 2015; Steck, 2005; Weeke &
Bridger et al., 2017; Monckton Smith, 2020) was Oberwittler, 2017). Requests for assistance in the offenses
reported in 8% to 54% of the cases by 10 publica- were more frequently reported for female (Adinkrah, 2000;
tions. Acquiring equipment for the offense was Hesselink & Dastile, 2015; Leygraf, 2015; Moen et al., 2016;
reported in 30% of the cases by six publications. Steck; 2005) than for male perpetrators. Severe violence—
Arming oneself, positioning a weapon at the intended especially nonfatal strangulation—was mostly reported for
crime scene, or carrying weapons were present in male perpetrators (Campbell et al., 2003; Jaffe et al., 2014)
42% of the cases (Pontedeira et al., 2020) and men- except for one publication that focused on female perpetra-
tioned by nine publications. Finally, searching for a tors in homosexual relationships (Glass et al., 2004). Three
person to assist the offense was observed in 15% to publications compared IPHs and familicides. Homicide
75% of the cases by seven publications. announcements and suicidal behavior did not significantly
5. Interest in Similar Offenses/Offenders. Only one differ between groups (Jaffe et al., 2014; Hamilton et al.,
study reported interest in similar offenses within one 2013; Weeke & Oberwittler, 2017). Two publications com-
of the included IPH cases (talking with friends about pared cases of IPH with and without the perpetrators’ subse-
“wife-killings” on at least two occasions) (Regan quent suicides. One study reported more frequent pre-offense
et al., 2007). suicidal behavior and no differences in death threats in IPH-
suicide perpetrators as compared to perpetrators without sui-
cide (Koziol-McLain et al., 2006). The other study reported
Recipients of Leaking the opposite pattern (Vatnar et al., 2019).
Studies often did not specify the recipients of leaking
(Bridger et al., 2017; Monckton Smith, 2020; Rye & Angel,
Discussion
2019; Toprak & Ersoy, 2017). Thus, they mostly had to be
inferred. The victim was explicitly mentioned as a witness This review highlights the present knowledge about leaking
of the perpetrators’ suicidal behavior or death threats by as a specific and valuable warning sign for IPH. Our findings
nine publications (Boxall et al., 2022; Enander et al., 2021; demonstrate a lack of systematic research on the concept in
8 TRAUMA, VIOLENCE, & ABUSE 00(0)
this field. However, frequent reports of behavior that can be a previous interest in weapons less relevant in cases of IPH as
considered as leaking, such as expressions of the intent to kill compared to other offenses.
the victim or threats with weapons, as well as a large number
of recipients of leaking show that leaking is also relevant in
IPH and may aid its prevention (see Table 3 for a summary of Media and Recipients
key findings). Although the media used for leaking are important, because
they may inform practitioners about where to best search for
Forms of Leaking in Cases of IPH and how to best ask for leaking and because written leaking
may provide valuable legal proof for a long term ideation for
The five forms of leaking were similar to those in homicidal an offense, only little information about them could be
offenses in public spaces (Bondü, 2012; Dudenhoefer et al., identified.
2021; Fein & Vossekuil, 1998; Tampe & Bondü, in press) Supporting previous research (Bondü, 2012;
and other close relationships (e.g., children as homicide vic- Dudenhoefer et al., 2021), the perpetrators’ family, friends,
tims; Greuel, 2009); particularly concerning announce- and work colleagues, as well as police officers and health-
ments, planning activities, suicidal ideation, and the interest care professionals were described as recipients of leaking.
in previous offenses/offenders. However, compared to Compared to terrorist attacks or school shootings, in which
research on school shootings and terrorist attacks (Bondü, the victims are often unknown to the offenders (Bondü,
2012; Meloy & O’Toole, 2011), the included studies did not 2012; Dudenhoefer et al., 2021), leaking in IPH can be
differentiate between recipients of homicide announcements expected to be more often directed toward the later victim
(e.g., Boxall et al., 2022; David & Jaffe, 2021). Thus, this itself (Greuel, 2009; Meloy, 2001). In these cases, leaking
form does not capture the difference between direct threats may be used to intimidate and control the later victim. This
(toward the later victim) and leakage (announcements com- enables victims to seek help early on (Campbell et al.,
municated toward a third party). Additionally, potentially 2003; Saxton et al., 2022) to try to prevent an offense. In
lethal acts in previous intimate relationships, however, have addition, there may be victim behavior that points to an
hardly been relevant in school shooting and terrorist attacks impeding offense to third parties, such as hiding weapons,
(although some terrorists have attempted or committed sev- arming oneself, or taking other precautions (Horn et al., in
eral attacks; Tampe & Bondü, in press) and deserve closer press; Karlsson et al., 2021; Messing et al., 2015; Sheehan
research attention. They may indicate a perpetrator’s gen- et al., 2014). Thus, future research on leaking in IPH should
eral willingness to commit IPH corresponding to the present pay more attention to victim behavior as well.
definition of leaking. It may be argued, however, that behav-
ior needs to point to specific offenses and victims to be con-
sidered leaking. Thus, it remains to be debated whether Subgroup Differences
potentially lethal acts in previous partner relationships This review highlights that leaking is relevant in several IPH
should be considered as leaking or a general risk factor in subgroups, such as IPH-suicides and familicides as well as
terms of a stable disposition toward violent behavior. male and female offenders (e.g., up to 75% of the female IPH
The different forms of leaking that were described by pre- offenders also showed leaking; Adinkrah, 2000). Results,
vious research on IPH may not cover the full spectrum of rel- however, were sparse and findings inconsistent, indicating
evant behaviors. For example, the creation of violent media the need for further systematic research. Potential differ-
(e.g., videos, audio files), essays, paintings, and victim lists, ences in leaking should also be examined between offenses
an evident interest in weapons, or the identification with pre- in current and former relationships, because they may have
vious attackers as described by research on other homicidal different implications for risk assessment in these cases
offenses (Bondü, 2012; Greuel, 2009; O’Toole, 1999; Tampe (Greuel, 2009).
& Bondü, in press) were not found. Particularly, an interest in
previous offenses and offenders that was important in terrorist
Criteria to Assess the Seriousness of Leaking
attacks (Tampe & Bondü, in press) was only sparsely men-
tioned in the literature on IPH. This may signal differences in Homicide announcements were found among up to 97% of
motives: Terrorist attacks often include the orientation toward the IPH perpetrators (Cunha & Gonçalves, 2019) and, thus,
an existing belief system that allows for the identification the most frequent form of leaking. However, such announce-
with previous offenders as warriors for the true cause; IPH is ments are by far more common than IPH (Cunha &
driven by personal motives related to specific victims Gonçalves, 2019; Meloy, 2001; Warren et al., 2008), high-
(Kivisto, 2015; Meloy, 2001). However, an interest in and lighting the need for further criteria that allow for a reliable
compassion for previous offenders (Greuel, 2009; Karlsson assessment of their seriousness. This requires research that
et al., 2021) may also have been merely overlooked by most compares the frequency, forms, contents, media, recipients,
research. Similarly, IPH is often committed with blunt force and other characteristics of leaking by later offenders and
or weapons at hand (e.g., knives; Matias et al., 2020), making persons who showed leaking, but did not put it into action
Rumpf et al. 9
Table 2. Items Measuring Leaking in Intimae Partner Homicide (IPH) or Intimate Partner Violence (IPV) Risk Assessment Tools.
Risk Assessment Tools 1. Homicide Announcements 2. Past Severe Violence 3. Suicidal Behavior
IPV
ODARA Threats to kill
DVRAG Threats to harm or kill
DVSI-R Use of weapons
DASH Threats to kill Attempts to strangle/ Threatened or attempted
Use of weapons choke/drown suicide
SARA Past use of weapons and/or Severe and or sexual Suicidal or homicidal ideation/
credible threats of death assault intent
IPH
DA Threats to kill Choking attempt Threatened or attempted
Use or threat of use of weapons suicide
H-Scale Suicide threats, ideas and
attempts
IPV and IPH
IRAD Specific threats to kill Strangulation Suspect suicidal
Use or threat of use of weapons
SIVIPAS Threats with weapons
Notes. Items of IPV/IPH risk assessment tools capturing leaking. Items have been assigned to categories of leaking as portrayed in Table 1. No indications
for planning activities or interests in similar offenses/offenders have been found in risk assessment tools. Past physical violence has not been included,
whenever its intensity was not further specified. DA: Danger Assessment (Campbell et al., 2009); DASH: Domestic Abuse, Stalking and Harassment and
honor based violence (Richards, 2009); DVRAG: Domestic Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (Hilton et al., 2008); DVSI-R: Domestic Violence Screening
Instrument Revised (Williams & Grant, 2006); H-Scale (López-Ossorio et al., 2021); IRAD: Idaho Risk Assessment of Dangerousness (Growette Bostaph
et al., 2017); ODARA: Ontario Domestic Assault Risk Assessment (Hilton et al., 2010); SARA: Spousal Assault Risk Assessment (Kropp & Hart, 2000);
SIVIPAS: Severe Intimate Violence Partner Risk Prediction Scale (Echeburúa et al., 2009).
(Bondü, 2012). Research on IPH has not addressed this issue reported. When informing the public about leaking, however,
so far, but previous research on school shootings and terrorist it should be emphasized that it is not always linked to future
attacks identified several criteria—different forms of leaking homicide and that an additional assessment of its seriousness
or specific leaking contents (Bondü, 2012; Niesse et al., is indispensable. This will guard against false reports, feel-
2021; Tampe & Bondü, in press)—that allowed for the reli- ings of insecurity, as well as stereotyping and discrimination
able distinction between these two groups. For this purpose, (Dudenhoefer et al., 2021).
future research should compare leaking in IPH cases with Although many cases of IPH involved prior police con-
nonfatal cases in which leaking was present. Legal case files tacts, structured risk assessment was rarely conducted
provide information from different sources, over long peri- (Hamilton et al., 2013; Koppa & Messing, 2021; Saxton
ods of time, as well as with regard to many different aspects et al., 2022). This highlights the need for mandatory risk
and could, therefore, be used as a data source. Considering assessment with efficient tools that allow one to success-
that later victims may frequently have been recipients of fully identify high-risk perpetrators, including women that
leaking, interviews with survivors of attempted IPH might currently often go unrecognized (mostly due to a strong
also provide valuable information. reliance on previous violence; Graham et al., 2021). The
integration of leaking into such tools may enhance their
predictive validity and allow for deriving tailored inter-
Practical Implications ventions, such as communicating the risk toward the vic-
Although leaking is a substantial warning sign that allows for tim or implementing safety plans or firearm restrictions, in
timely interventions, and although the perpetrators’ social cooperation with social services (Horn et al., in press;
network and the later victims often noticed leaking behavior, Messing et al., 2015; Zeoli et al., 2018). Up to now, only
they did not recognize its seriousness and/or forwarded their some aspects of leaking have been included into risk
concerns (Monckton Smith, 2020; Saxton et al., 2022; Vatnar assessment tools for IPV and/or IPH (Table 2). This
et al., 2017). This underscores the need to encourage the includes previous (attempts of) lethal violence and nonfa-
reporting of leaking for example to law enforcement authori- tal strangulation as indicators of a potential for severe vio-
ties. Tangible information about leaking may heighten the lence (see above), death threats, the use of weapons, and
chances of its identification, widen the range of individuals suicidal behavior for example in the Danger Assessment
that can respond to it, and increase the probability of it being (Campbell et al., 2009) or the Ontario Domestic Assault
10 TRAUMA, VIOLENCE, & ABUSE 00(0)
Critical Findings
• Leaking has not been systematically researched in IPH. However, publications described several behaviors by which perpetrators
expressed their thoughts, feelings, fantasies, plans, or intentions to commit IPH. These behaviors demonstrate the applicability of the
leaking concept to the context of IPH and were summarized into five groups, including: homicide announcements, previous severe
acts of violence, suicidal behavior, planning activities, and interest in similar offenses.
• Homicide announcements, including verbal expressions of homicidal intentions and threats with weapons, were the most frequently
reported form of leaking and found in up to 97% of IPH cases.
• Research on IPH does not capture the differentiation between threats and leakage, which is crucial for threat assessment.
• The review identified that next to the later victims, the perpetrators’ or victims’ family, children, friends, as well as professionals in
contact became recipients of leaking.
• Research on IPH did not pay attention to the media by which IPH perpetrators communicate their homicidal intentions.
• Subgroup differences in the perpetrators’ leaking were sparse. However, female perpetrators may more often ask for assistance in
carrying out the offense than men, whereas male perpetrators may more often express their willingness to kill the victim by previous
potentially lethal violence (e.g., nonfatal-strangulation) than women.
Research
• Future research is needed to assess leaking and its feasibility for the prevention of IPH. Other characteristics of leaking (e.g.,
forms or contents) should be considered to assess the seriousness of leaking, that is, the likelihood of the announcements to
be put into action.
• Further research is needed to examine potential differences in leaking among IPH subgroups, particularly among male and
female offenders.
• This review highlights the need to develop a uniform definition of leaking to ensure comparability of findings.
• There is a need to examine factors and conditions under which leaking will be reported to law-enforcement agencies and to
implement factors that increase reporting into primary prevention programs.
Risk Assessment (Hilton et al., 2010). The Spousal Assault as leaking by this review were not labeled as such in the pri-
Risk Assessment (SARA, Kropp & Hart, 2000) also con- mary studies. The potential observability of the relevant
siders homicidal ideation. However, these tools merely behavior by (disapproving) third parties was rarely reported,
note the presence or absence of these forms of leaking and calling into question whether it indeed corresponds to the
do not take into account their frequency, specific contents, definition of leaking (e.g., when conducting internet searches
media and development. Further potentially important for murder methods; Monckton Smith, 2020). Because the
forms—specifically planning activities and interests in studies included into this review often did not provide clear
similar offenses—have not yet been considered. Table 4 definitions of their behavioral categories and used different
highlights implications for practice, policy and research. data sources, it is uncertain whether their findings are compa-
rable. In addition, many publications relied on small, primar-
ily Western, male, heterosexual, partly overlapping samples
Limitations and Outlook (e.g., 8 publications referred to the 11-city case-control study
When interpreting the present findings, it should be kept in alone; e.g., Campbell et al., 2003; Farr, 2002; Glass et al., 2004,
mind that there has been no systematic research on leaking in 2008; Koziol-McLain et al., 2006; McFarlane et al., 1999;
cases of IPH to date, and that the relevant behaviors identified 2002; Nicolaidis et al., 2003), calling the generalizability of
Rumpf et al. 11
their findings to other samples (e.g., female perpetrators) into and Research (Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung),
question. Because the term leaking was not used in publica- Grant Nos. 13N16283, 13N16284, and 13N16285.
tions or abstracts, despite thorough screening, further relevant
publications may have been missed. In addition, the specificity ORCID iDs
of leaking for IPH is unknown, although meta-analyses found Tanita Rumpf https://orcid.org/0009-0001-4839-5529
that death threats, threats with weapons, suicidal intent, and Catharina Vogt https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9147-9210
nonfatal strangulation significantly heightened the risk for Kim Marie Zibulski https://orcid.org/0009-0003-0381-128X
IPH but not for nonlethal-IPV (Matias et al., 2020; Spencer &
Stith, 2018). Thus, future research should systematically Supplemental Material
examine leaking, its forms, contents, and other characteristics,
Supplemental material for this article is available online.
highlight frequent recipients, and explore changes in leaking
over time. Furthermore, future studies should consider addi-
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Rumpf et al. 15
Archives of Suicide Research, 22(1), 11–19. https://doi.org/10. Kristin Göbel, PhD, is a psychologist and currently a research assis-
1080/13811118.2017.1304307 tant at the Psychologische Hochschule Berlin. Her main research
Williams, K. R., & Grant, S. R. (2006). Empirically examining the interests are risk and protective factors for targeted violence and men-
risk of intimate partner violence: the revised domestic violence tal health in childhood and adolescence using person-centered
screening instrument (DVSI-R). Public Health Reports, 121(4), analyses.
400–408. https://doi.org/10.1177/003335490612100408
Thomas Görgen, PhD, is a Full professor at German Police
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[Dissertation, Drexel University]. University and holds the chair of Criminology and Interdisciplinary
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& Webster, D. W. (2018). Analysis of the strength of legal abuse and neglect in later life, violent offenses, management of
firearms restrictions for perpetrators of domestic violence and mass casualty incidents, criminalization in extended family struc-
their associations with intimate partner homicide. American tures, extremism and radicalization, and across topics questions of
Journal of Epidemiology, 187(11), 2365–2371. https://doi. prevention and early detection of crime.
org/10.1093/aje/kwy174
Kim Marie Zibulski, MSc, is a forensic and legal psychologist,
working research assistant at the police headquarters Ravensburg.
Author Biographies She is interested in the intersection of psychology, crime and police
Tanita Rumpf, MSc, is a psychologist and research assistant at the work, enhancing their collaboration through incorporating research
Psychologische Hochschule Berlin. Her research interests concern findings and scientific knowledge.
forensic psychology, particularly the prevention of intimate partner
homicides. Vanessa Uttenweiler, MA, is a criminologist and sociologist and
currently working as a research assistant at the police headquarters
Stefanie Horn, MSc, is a legal psychologist and research assistant Ravensburg. Her research interests include all forms of deviant
in the Department of Criminology and Interdisciplinary Crime behavior, forensic psychiatry, associated stigmata, and gender
Prevention at German Police University. Her research interests are differences.
in the field of child protection and the prevention of violence in
domestic settings. Rebecca Bondü, PhD, is a Full Professor at the Psychologische
Catharina Vogt, PhD, is a psychologist and research assistant in Hochschule Berlin, Germany. Her research interests include leak-
the Department of Criminology and Interdisciplinary Crime ing and other warning signs for homicide in the public sphere and in
Prevention at German Police University. Her general research focus partner relationships. She emphasizes the specific value of these
is on cooperation and conflict in different settings like leadership, warning signs for the prevention of such offenses and aims to trans-
policing, and client interactions. late the accordant research findings into practice.