1.
The number of typing errors on a page follows a Poisson distribution with a mean of
6.3. Find the probability of having exactly six (6) errors on a page. (5 points)
μ = 6.3
x=6
e = 2.71828
P = (μ)x e-μ / x!
P = (6.3)6 (2.71828)-6.3 / 6!
P = 114.8126923 / 720
P = 0.1594620727 or 0.1594
2. One bag contains 6 red, 2 blue, and 3 yellow balls. A second bag contains 2 red, 4
blue, and 5 yellow balls. A third bag contains 3 red, 7 blue, and 1 yellow ball. One bag
is selected at random. If 1 ball is drawn from the selected bag, what is the probability
that the ball drawn is yellow? (5 points)
1 2 3 1 2 5 1 2 1
P=( )*( )*( )+( )*( )*( )+( )*( )*( )
3 3 11 3 3 11 3 3 11
6 10 2
P= + 99 + 99
99
18
P=
99
P = 0.1818
3. In a viral pool test it is known that in a group of five (5) people, exactly one (1) will test
positive. If they are tested one by one in random order for confirmation, what is the
probability that only two (2) tests are needed? (5 points)
1
Probability of positive test =
5
1−1 1
Probability of only 2 tests being needed = ( )
5 5
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4
P=
24
P = 0.16
4. If one ball each is drawn from 3 boxes, the first containing 3 red, 2 yellow, and 1 blue,
the second box contains 2 red, 2 yellow, and 2 blue, and the third box with 1 red, 4
yellow, and 3 blue. What is the probability that all 3 balls drawn are different colors? (10
points)
The 1st box contains 3 red, 2 yellow, and 1 blue balls.
3
The chance of obtaining one red ball from the first box is =
6
2
The chance of obtaining one yellow ball from the first box is =
6
1
The chances of obtaining one blue ball from the first box is =
6
The 2nd box contains 2 red, 2 yellow, and 2 blue balls.
2
The chance of obtaining one red ball from the second box is =
6
2
The chance of obtaining one yellow ball from the second box is =
6
2
The chances of obtaining one blue ball from the second box is =
6
The 3rd box contains 1 red,4 yellow, and 3 blue balls.
1
The chance of obtaining one red ball from the third box is =
8
4
The chance of obtaining one yellow ball from the third box is =
8
3
The chances of obtaining one blue ball from the third box is =
8
(R = red, Y = yellow, and B = blue.)
3 2 3 18 1
P(RYB) = ( )*( )*( )=( )=( )
6 6 8 288 16
3 2 4 24 1
P(RBY) = ( )*( )*( )=( )=( )
6 6 8 288 12
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2 2 3 12 1
P(YRB) = ( )*( )*( )=( )=( )
6 6 8 288 24
2 2 1 4 1
P(YBR) = ( )*( )*( )=( )=( )
6 6 8 288 72
1 2 1 2 1
P(BYR) = ( )*( )*( )=( )=( )
6 6 8 288 144
1 2 4 8 1
P(RYB) = ( )*( )*( )=( )=( )
6 6 8 288 36
1 1 1 1 1 1
P=( )+( )+( )+( )+( )+( )
16 12 24 72 144 36
34
=
144
= 0.2361 is the chance that three balls will be of different colors.
5. A basket of fruits contains eight (8) apples and ten (10) oranges. Half of the apples
and half of the oranges are rotten. If one (1) fruit is chosen at random, what is the
probability that a rotten apple or an orange is chosen? (5 points)
9
P (choosing rotten apple or oranges) = 18 )
¿
9 1
P= =
18 2
A rotting apple or orange has a 0.5 chance of being picked.
6. A small-time bingo card costs P100.00 for 5 games. The prize for the first three games
is P5,000.00, the fourth is P10,000.00 and the last prize is P20,000.00. If 1,000 bingo
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cards are going to be sold and you could only win once, what is the expected value of a
ticket? (10 points)
The probability of the prize 5,000
1 3 3
P1 = * =
1000 5 5000
The probability of the prize 10,000
1 1 1
P1 = * =
1000 5 5000
The probability of the prize 20,000
1 1 1
P1 = * =
1 000 5 5000
The expected value of a ticket:
3 1
E(X) = 100 * 0.999 + (100 - 5,000) * + (100 - 10,000) * + (100 - 20,000) *
5 000 5 000
1 44,500
= 99.9 - = 99.9 - 8.9
5000 5000
The expected value of a ticket is P = 91
7. You pick a card from a deck. If it is a face card, you will win P500.00. If you get an ace,
you will win P1,000. If the card you picked is red you get P100.00. For any other card,
you will win nothing. Find the expected value that you can possibly win. (10 points)
Card Probability
Red card which is Neither a face card not P (1)
an ace
Red Face card P (2)
Red Ace Card P (3)
Black Ace Card P (4)
Black Face Card P (5)
18
P(1) =
52
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6
P(2) =
52
2
P(3) =
52
2
P(4) =
52
6
P(5) =
52
18 6 2
The expected value we can possibly win: *(100) + (500 + 100) + (1000 + 100) +
52 52 52
2 6
(1000) +
52 52
= P242.31
P242.31 is the expected value that we can possibly win.
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