Enabling Transmission
Asset Management
Analytics
Bhavin Desai
Senior Program Manager
T&D Asset Management Analytics
[email protected]
704.804.1188
© 2018 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Power Deliver Asset Management
Effective Use of Resources to Create Value
**“a structured, integrated series of processes aligned with business goals and values and designed to minimize the life-cycle
costs and maximize the life cycle benefits of asset ownership, while providing required performance levels and sustaining the
system forward”
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**Source: EPRI Guidelines for Power Delivery Asset Management (1010728) © 2018 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Data Based Actionable Intelligence
Advanced knowledge, technologies, and tools to enable utilities to make
informed decisions regarding the asset life-cycle
Industry focal point for collaboratively sharing
asset data to make better decisions
Acquire Maintain
Asset Analytic algorithms and visualization for
Lifecycle assets
Dispose Operate
Asset management framework, metrics and
implementation guidelines
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© 2018 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Industrywide T&S Asset Performance And Failure Database
At a Glance – as of June 2018
Asset In-service Records Removed from Service* Total Number of Records Number of Utilities
Connector** 127 127 20
Glass/Porcelain Insulator 8,600 8,600 45
Line Arrester 59 59 6
Polymer Insulator 1,368 1,368 83
Bushing 67 67 7
Circuit Breaker** 61,340 12,101 73,441 12
Station Arrester 36 36 5
Transformer** 58,224 8,129 66,353 36
Extruded Cable** 17 17 11
Extruded Joint** 8 8 5
Extruded Termination** 15 15 10
Wood Poles** 2,038,254 6
Disconnect Switches 7,911 2,004 9,915 2
CCVTs 9,459 1,084 10,543 4
Conductor 2,814 131 2,945 6
*Failure, Impending Failure, Type Issue, Upgrade, Assessment
**A portion of these records are being processed
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© 2018 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
System where members can view and
store their failure information Compare performance with aggregate
Online System –
idb.epri.com
Ability to make selections using filters
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© 2018 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Advanced Analytics Using Industry wide Equipment Failure And Performance Data (Sparse Data Analysis)
UTT Main Load Tap
Plot Legend Bushing Unknown Other
RMT Body Changer
550
LR-65
TC-525 100%
T 90%
MB 80%
LR-72
70%
60%
TLH-21
TLS
LR-48 50%
TLH 40%
LR-68 30%
LRT-200
20%
10%
V2a
UVT
RMV 0%
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000
Typical Gas Values – Performance Assessment – by Design, Failures by Component
Transformers And Tap Changers Sub-Components and Problems
Plot Legend In-Service Failures
In-service Failed
50
45
1. Transformers 40
35
MEDIAN AGE
30
2. Tap Changers and Bushings 25
20
15
3. Circuit Breakers 10
5
0
4. Insulators
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
5. Wood Poles Relative Performance By
Age Profile (Demographics)
Manufacturers
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© 2018 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Power Transformer Expert System (PTX)
Measurements Basis for Asset Management Decisions
• DGA
• Oil Quality
• Furans
• Routine Electrical
• LTC DGA & Oil
Quality
• LTC Operation EPRI
Count PTX
Algorithms
(Rule-based)
Design
Information
• Manufacturer
• Vintage
• Nameplate Data
Transformer
Readily Belief & Likelihood of Fault Fleet Risks –
Available Data Conditions Present Short Term/Long
Term
Integrates decades of expert knowledge in a rule-based framework.
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© 2018 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
PTX Deployment History
28
15
Utilities That Utilities That Utilities That
Integrated Perform Use EPRI To
with IT Periodic Implement
Systems Desktop
Analysis
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© 2018 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Operating Spare Transformer Requirement
Assessment
Substation 1 Substation 2 Substation 3
Development and application of simulation based
model to different transformer groups (e.g. 250 MVA
230/115 kV) to evaluate current spare stocking levels.
Transformers In Different
Positions
Value Time, Cost, Risk
Independent assessment of spare levels provides
0.20
validation of utility’ internal spares assessment Spares In Storage
0.18
methodology
0.16
Provide Technical Basis For Justifying Higher Spare 0.14
Levels
Probability
0.12
Storage Location 1 Storage Location 2
PROBABILITY
0.10
Status 0.08
Currently implemented in R 0.06
Prototype applied at four utilities
0.04
0.02
Collecting utility feedback on meaningful ways to 0.00
present simulation results 0 Spares 1 Spare 2 Spares 3 Spares
Number of spares
NUMBER OF SPARES
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© 2018 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Transformer Asset Management Analytics
Industry wide Transformer Spares Strategy Model Integrating EPRI Analytics In
Power Transformer Expert
Database Development Third Party Asset Health
System Software
Systems
- Contains over 55,000 - In use at several - Funded by 8 utilities - Integrated at 8 utilities
in-service and 7,000 utilities - Prototype method - In-progress at 3
failure records - Performance validated applied at 4 utilities additional utilities
- Opportunity: using blind test - Example:
- Data mining and approach Technical Basis
statistical analysis - Transformer condition For Justifying
- Replacement assessment tool – unit Higher Spare
rates as well as fleet Levels
- Uncover
issues
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© 2018 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Circuit Breaker Asset Management Analytics
Performance Analysis Maintenance Ranking Replacement Ranking Removal Rates
- Corrective - Using Readily - Risk Based Approach - Statistical Analysis of
Maintenance Data Available Data, Identify To Help Identify In-service And
mining and Statistical Specific Maintenance Replacement Removal Records To
Analysis to Uncover Candidates And Candidates Develop Technical
Differences In Necessary Tasks Basis For Capital
Performance By Planning
Family, Make, Model
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© 2018 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Fleet Management Strategy Development
Industry wide Database
Economics
Failure Rates
Fleet Technical Basis
Management Capital and
Plan O&M Budgets
Condition
Indices
Business Rules
Asset Health Algorithms
Action
Effectiveness Metrics
Value:
• Provides technical basis for allocating budgets with measured risk
• Metrics to assess decision effectiveness
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© 2018 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Overhead Transmission Wood Pole Fleet Management
Investigate Performance of Different Wood
Species:
– Hazard rates in different climates/environments
– Different treatment types
– Changes in inspection criteria –
Contractor to contractor variation
Contractor variations over time
– Degradation models from data with multiple
inspections of same poles
Collect and analyze:
– Pole demographic data
E.g. age, wood species, in-service date
– Inspection results Wood Pole Reject Rate Modeling
E.g. date of inspection, reject status, other
observations
– Replacement history
E.g. which, when and why
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© 2018 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Polymer Insulator Population Assessment
1. Potential degradation conditions, affected location and failure modes
2. Estimated onset time and likelihood
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© 2017 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Circuit Breaker Asset Power Transformer Expert Polymer Insulator Population Asset Health – Station and
Management Analytics (s/w) Systems (s/w and DLL) Assessment (s/w) Line Arresters (approach)
Asset Management
Asset Health – Protective Analytics Asset Health – Disconnect
Relays (approach) Switches (approach)
Asset Health – Overhead Lines Ground Grid and Steel Structure Transmission Wood Pole Analytics
Connectors & Conductor (approach) Corrosion Management
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© 2018 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Together…Shaping the Future of Electricity
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© 2017 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
