Fba 120
Fba 120
PROF. C. O. A. AWOSOPE
DR. T. O. AKINBULIRE
MR. M. ODEKUNLE
MR. M. S. LADAN
BUS220 Module
CONTENT
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6. Study Session 6: The Use of Set Theory in Explaining Basic Probability Concepts
LIST OF REFERENCES
General Introduction
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Business Mathematics, as the name implies, is the basic mathematical knowledge you need
in the day-to-day activities in your organization. It involves direct application of
Mathematics to business and economics because it enhances reasoning power, problem
solving skills and the ability of the students to think.
This work has three modules comprising nine Study Sections in Module One, eight Study
Session in Module Two and nine Study Sessions in Module Three. You are expected to
study each of the study sessions carefully.
MODULE ONE
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1. State the rules of differentiation and apply the in solving deferential problems
Introduction
Concept and meaning of differentiation: The concept of differentiation is important as it has
a lot of applications in many areas of human activities. Differential calculus is given a
special attention because of its use in finding critical values such as marginal revenue and
point of maximum profit or minimum cost. In this study session, you will learn how to
actively differentiate using some basic rules.
1.1 Definition
Formally, differentiation is the process of finding the derivation of a function.
Example:
ii) y =3x5
Solution:
i. y = 2x3 + 4x5 – 5x6
ii. y = 3x2
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= 6x – 5x–3
= 6x
Example:
Here let U = 3x + 2 ;
V = 4x2 + 3x ;
36x2 + 34x + 6
Example:
i) y = 2 + x3 ii) 3 + 4x
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4x x3 + 2x + 6
Solution:
i) Y= 2 + x3
4x
= 12x3 – 4x3 – 8
16x2
= (8x3 – 8)/ 16x2
(ii) y = 3 + 4x
x3 + 2x + 6
Solution:
i) y = (x - 2)5
Let u = x – 2 ; =1
then
Y = U5 ; = 5U4
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= 5U4 = 5 (x-2)4
then y = U 4 = 4u3
= 4 (3x2 – 4)3 . 6x
= 24x (3x2 – 4)3
Rule V: Implicit Function
Example:
Differentiate the following implicitly:
i) x3 + y2 = 8 ii) 4 y2 – 3x2y2 + 2y = 0
Solution:
i) x3 + y2 = 8
2y = - 3x2
then
4y2 – 3x2y2 + 2y = 0
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Example:
ii) Y = X3e2x
Solution:
i) Y=
Let t = 2x2 + 3 ; dt =
dx
then y = et ; dy = et
dt
= et . 4x
e
ii) y = X3e2x
dy = X3 (2e2x) + e2x (3x2)
= 2x3 e 2x + 3x2e 2x
1. x5 –x4 + 3x2
2. x2 (2x3 – 5)
3.
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□ 1. y = x5 – x4 + 3x2
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□ 2. y = x2 (2x2 – 5)
= 10x4 – 10x
□ 3. y =
2.
3. Loge(2x + 3)
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Introduction
Having learnt the rules of differentiation in session 1. You will now learn that the second-
order derivative which is one of higher derivatives where successive differentiations are
carried out. The process of differentiating a function more than once is called successive
differentiation.
Example:
i) y = 4x6
ii) y = 3x4 – 2x3 + 2x2 – 5
Solution:
i) y = 4x6
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second derivative,
1. 2x5 – 3x4
2. x6 + 4x2
3. 6x3 + 4x2 + 5
□ y = 2x5 – 3x4
□ y = x6 + 4x2
□ y = 6x3 + 4x2 + 5
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Summary of Study Session 2
In this study session, you have learnt how to find the second derivative of a function from
its first derivative.
Introduction
The focus here is on the business areas of application such as marginal cost and revenue,
points of maximum profit or minimum cost, and elasticity of demand. You will also learn
about the maximum and minimum values of a function such as maximizing profit or
minimizing cost.
We have the following procedure for the determination of maximum and minimum values
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of a function, y = f(x) if it exists.
Step 1: Obtain the first derivative and set it equal to zero, i.e dy/dx = 0
minimum point.
On the other hand, if d2y = 0, higher derivative (the second) can be used to divide. This is
called point of inflexion.
∏=S–C
= -2000p + 13000
dp
– 2000p + 13000 = 0
P = 13000 = 6.5
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2000
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But = –2000 (which is less than zero)
q = quantity demand
Then, the average cost (AC) = and the marginal cost (MC) =
i.e R = pq
Then,
And the
Example:
Determine the minimum average cost if the cost function is given by C = 72 x – 20x2 + 4x3.
Also obtain the marginal cost at the point of minimum average cost when x is the number
of units produced.
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Solution:
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3
Given C = 72x – 20x2 + 4x
AC = = 72 – 20x + 4x2
i.e -20 + 8x = 0
x = 20/8 = 5/2
MC = dc = 72-40x + 12x2
Example:
R = 200x-2x2 and the cost Function C= 2x3-57x2. Where x is the number of units produced
and disposed.
Solution:
= 200x-2x2- (2x3-57x2)
using
X = 20 or –5/3
P = 10-x-x2
P = 10-x-x2
but
§ The price of a product is given by 155 – 3x and the cost function is given by C = 100 +
5x + 10x2, where x is the number of units produced and sold. Find the revenue function.
§ The revenue and cost function of a company are given as Revenue (R) = 370x – 2x2 and
Cost (C) = x2 + 10x + 40 , where x is the number of units produced. Find the marginal
revenue when 10 units are sold.
= (155 – 3x) x
= 155x – 3x2
= N330
lf the revenue function for the production of a commodity is given by 315q – 5q2, find the
production level that will yield maximum revenue.
(R) = 200q – 2q2 and the cost function (c) = 2q3 – 57q2 at 10 units level of activities.
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Introduction
You have learnt about functions in your BUS 210. You will learn about the function containing two
or more variables called Multivariable function in this session. You will also learn how to apply this
multivariable function in real life situations.
4.2 State different formulae that can be used to find limit of a function
4.1 Definition
A variable y is said to be a function of one variable, following there exists a rule that
assigns to each real number x in a set a unique real number y or f(x). x = independent
and y = dependent. Therefore f(a) = is the value of y or f(x) at point a.
The domain (region) of function f(x, y) is the set of all ordered pairs (x, y) of real
numbers for each variable f(x, y) that can be evaluated.
ii) S.I. = PRT/100, where P= principal, R = interest rate per annum, T = period of time.
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iii) Amount, A = P + PRT/100 = P(1 + RT/100)
iv) Compound interest, CI = P (1 + R/100)n – P
v) Amount = P (1 + R/100)n
vi) Mean (arithmetic) = ∑ni=1 Xi/n
vii) Mean (geometric) = n√(XiX2……Xn)
Example:
Solution:
4.2 Limits
The limits of f(x) as independent variable x tends to point a equals f(a) = L.
In general,
1. = ± .
2. = k where k is a constant
3. =K .
× or ÷ g(x) = × or ÷
a/b
4. =[ ]a/b
1. Direct substitution
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2. Cancellation
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3. Rationalization
4. L’Hopital’s rule
Examples:
When finding the limit of a function as independent variable x→∞, action is taken such that
∞/∞ or ∞/a is not obtained.
For example,
3
– x/(2x8 + 3x + 5); divide through by x8
3
/x8) - (x/x8)]/[2 + (3x/x8) + (5/x8)]
6
– 5x2 + 2)/x3 = 6
(4 – 5x-4 + 8x-6)]/x3 = = 2.
2
For example, – 25) =
where,
F(x) = 2 – (x – 1)1/2 f1(x) = -1/2(x – 1)-1/2
G(x) = x2 - 25 g1(x) = 2x
-1/2
/2x
= 1/40
= = f1(x)
This is the definition of the gradient, slope y of a line. Therefore the slope of the tangent at
point (x, f(x)) of the curve of f(x) is the derivative of f(x) at x, that is:
Slope = = = fi(x)
In general,
1. If y = f(x) = axn
Then = fi(x) = naxn – 1
= [3x2 + 3]/[x3 + 3x – 4]
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Then =V +U
6. If y = U/V
Then =
7. Higher derivatives
y = f(x), y1 = = f1(x)
yn = dny/dxn = fnx
8. Differentiation of Implicit Functions
These are functions in which its x and y are not separable, that is, y cannot be
expressed explicitly as a function of x.
for example, Find of 5x2y – 2xy2 = 3
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` Introduction
In this session, you will learn the steps of applying multivariable functions to real life
situations. You will learn higher order derivatives, higher order partial derivatives and
application to business in this session.
= 0, d2y/dx2< 0.
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R = revenue function
c. Fixed cost (The company budget is fixed regardless of whether the company
produces or not, that is, overhead, rent interest on loan and so on).
d. Variable cost ( This depends on production).
e. Total variable cost = variable cost/unit × quantity produced or sold.
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TVC = VC × Q
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VC = variable cost, Q = total quantity
f. Total cost, TC = FC + TVC
FC = fixed cost
g. Profit = R – C or TR – TC
h. Average cost = TC/Q
i. Marginal cost, MC =
C = cost function
j. Maximum profit occurs when MC = MR
=
C = consumption, I = income
n. Marginal propensity to save MPS = 1 – MPC
In many applications and subjects, the dependent variable is a function of more than one
variable. For example, f(x, y):
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z = u1/7, z1 = 1/7u-6/7
= .
Product rule:
Z = f(x, y) = u.v
=v + u , where y is constant
Quotient rule:
Z = f(x, y) = u/v
= v - u /v2
=v - u /v2
Partial derivatives of more than two variables f(x, y, z, t) = 3xyt + 2x2y3z + 4z2t3
= 15x4y4, = 12x5y3
Marginal profit = extra profit made from selling one additional unit of a product
Profit, π = f(x, y) derived from selling x and y units of products. That is if π = f(x, y)
= 0.001x3y4. The marginal profit at producing units of (30, 40) is
= 0.001y4(3x2) = 0.003x2y4
= 0.004(30)3(40)3 = ₦6912000
For example, if cost function of producing x and y quantities of two products is C = 2xy2 +
3x3y3
The marginal cost of product x = = 2y2 + 9x2y3
3 = 0.003y 4 = 0.003x
y = 3/0.003 = 1000units x = 4/0.003 = 1333.3 units
The production level at the average cost or unit be minimized = (x, y) = (1333.3,1000) units
Marginal utility of utility function u = f(x, y)
Is which is the marginal utility of consuming x goods or services
If the utility function of a consumer u = f(x, y) = 0.023x2y + 12xy3 for engaging services x
and y.
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= 648x3y
Marginal demand is the change in demand for a product or service as a result of a specific
change in price.
= -5, =3
ExPx = +
= %∆Qx/%∆I = (∆Qx/Qx)/(∆I/I)
= × I/Qx
Cross price elasticity measures the change in quantity demanded of good A to changes in
the price of another good.
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Study Session 6: Definition of Integration
Introduction
Integration is concerned with the reverse of differentiation though it is not merely a matter
of putting into reverse the technique for differentiation. You have learned a technique for
differentiating, for example, the function (3x2 + 2)4 as it stands, but can you integrate this
function without first expanding it? It might be difficult for you to do that. Then, you
should know that integration is less open than differentiation in terms of giving systematic
treatment.
In this session, you will learn the definition of integration and how to start with the
differential coefficient and work back to find the function from which the differential
coefficient was derived.
6.1 Define and use correctly all the key words printed in bold
6.1 Definition
If the derivative of a given function is given, you can find the function having that
derivative. For instance, you know that the derivative of x2 is 2x ie if y = x2, . So, if
you wish to find the function whose derivative is 2x, x2 is the correct answer. That is
y = x2 + c
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You should also know that 2x is the derivative of x2 1, x2 – 5, x2 +200, and so on or
generally, x2 + c, where c is called the constant of integration. Therefore, if you wish to find
the function whose derivative is 2x, x2 + c is the best general answer. The value c can be
determined if you are given more information. You should note that any variable could be
used in place of x.
The differential is written by the side of the function to be integrated in order to indicate
the independent variable with respect to which the original differentiation was made, and
with respect to which you are to integrate. Hence, means that is to be
integrated with respect to x.
1.
2. If .
That is .
Examples:
Integrate each of these integrals with respect to x:
a. 12x5 b. c. d.
Solutions:
Note that c can be any constant called constant of integration as stated earlier.
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b.
Note:
c.
d.
Note: You can check the answers by differentiating each of the given integrals as shown
below:
a.
b.
c.
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d.
You should note that the differentiation of any constant gives zero. So c in all the cases
above is zero. You can see that you got the function back by differentiating the integral and
this shows that integration is reverse of differentiation.
a. x3 b. 15t2 c. -6x-4 d.
□ a.
□ b.
□ c.
□ d.
Try the ITQs and confirm that you have found the functions correctly before you proceed to
the next section. You can check the answers by differentiation.
1. 3x 2. 2x-3 3. 4. 5.
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Introduction
In study session 1, you learnt that integration is the reverse of differentiation. If you have
forgotten what you learnt in that study session, you can go back and make sure you
understand all the materials presented there.
In this study session, you will learn how to actively integrate using some basic rules, but
these rules will be treated in separate units. In this study session, you will study the Rule 1
of integration and how to apply it in solving some problems.
stated in the study session 1. Now, and must always be written together. The
function to integrate is called the integrand and it is written between the integral sign
as . The is written to show that the function called the integrand is to be integrated
7.2 Rule 1
The rule states that the integral of a sum of a finite number of functions is the sum of
their separate integral with the addition of a constant. You will integrate each
expression one by one and add or subtract accordingly.
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Examples:
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2
1. Integrate x -5x+3 with respect to x.
2. If the interest rate of a company is given by and if the rate is , find
Solutions:
1. .
From example 1, we break the function up into the sum of parts whose integrals are
obtained easily by integrating each expression independently.
Since the interest rate is (1,2), we substitute x =1 and y = 2 in the solution above, we get
2 = 12 + 1 + 0
2=2+c c=0
We substitute c = 0 in the solution, we find that
In this case, the value of c = 0 but that is not always the case, since we know that c can be
any constant.
§ Find
, we obtain
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Did you first try the problem on your own? Did you solve the entire problem correctly?
Mark your answers and determine your score. If you have scored less than 2 out of 3, you
should go over the study session again; otherwise solve your self assessment questions.
1. Find
2. Find
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Introduction
You are getting familiar with the idea of integration. You have just studied Rule 1 of basic
integral formulae. In this study session, you would learn certain ways of resolving
integrands into simple functions which can now be easily integrated.
8.2 Divide out numerator of the same or higher degree than the denominator
8.3 Recognise the function whose numerator is the derivative of its denominator
8.1.1 Rule 2
Integration of exponential with ‘e ‘ as the base is repeating the whole value divided by the
differentiation of the power and log base.
Note:
Integration of .
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This result is infinite. You should recall that by the rule for differentiation of a logarithmic
function, the differential coefficient of or .
Therefore, .
If
Therefore,
Based on the integration above, you should also note that the integration of a function
whose numerator is the derivative of its denominator is the logarithm of the denominator
with ’e’ as the base.
Examples:
2. Integrate a. b.
Solution:
1. a.
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b.
You can see from the above examples that example (b) has log base 7, and that is why
we have to divide it also as the rule stated.
2. a.
You can see in example 2 that differentiation of denominator is equal to the value at the
b.
1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
□ 1.
□ 2.
□ 3.
□ 5.
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8.1.2 Rule 3
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If the numerator is the same or higher degree than the denominator, you divide out first
before integrating. The interest here is to remould the given algebraic function in such a
way you can apply some rules we have considered earlier to carry out the integration.
Examples:
Find the following integrals:
1. 2. 3. Integrate
Solutions:
Note that .
3.
Since the numerator is greater than the denominator, you divide to split up the fraction
You should notice that we have used the methods of integration available to us so far to
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evaluate the last integral. You can equally use remainder theorem you learnt in BUS210
to split the fraction in example 3 above.
1. 2. 3.
□ 1.
□ 2.
1. 2. 3.
1. 2.
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Introduction
The rules studied in study session 8 are a little bit complicated. You need to apply
remainder theorem, you studied in BUS210 to simplify a certain fraction into its component
fraction before you go on to integrate the problem.
In this session, you would study the rule that involves the use of partial fraction to simplify
before the integration can take place. We consider fractions of which the denominators are
of the second or higher degree. Alternatively, if in the fraction to be integrated the
numerator is of the same or higher dimensions than the denominator, the fraction can first
be simplified. We would study this rule under some sub-headings.
9.2 Recall some standard integrals by solving integration problems using them
Note that each unrepeated linear factor of the form ax+b in the denominator of a rational
function, corresponds to a fraction of the form: ,where A is a constant to be found.
Examples:
1. 2. 3.
Solutions:
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Let
You can use any of the equations to determine your B. Substituting back in the equation
above, we have:
Let
3. , Let
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; Let
2. ;
3. ; A = -1 and B = 2
The method of resolving denominators of this kind is the same as when there are only two
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factors as we have studied earlier. Here, the number of fractions will correspond to the
number of factors.
Examples:
Integrate
Solution:
Now, let
Let
Again, let
Let
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Table 9.1 Some Standard Integral Formulae
S/N
1.
2. ,
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
There are lots of other integration formulae contained in some other relevant textbooks.
You can check them up. Note also that there are situations when it may be impossible to
express the required integrals in standard form.
1. 2.
□ 1.
Note that
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□ 2.
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.
Note that
1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
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MODULE TWO
APPLICATION OF INTEGRATION, VECTORS, MATRICES
AND MATHEMATICS OF FINANCE
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Introduction
You need to change variables and apply substitution methods you studied in your secondary
school before you can carry out integration under methods of integration.
In this session, you will study integration by substitution, integration by parts and
application of integration. We shall examine integration by substitution before proceeding
to integration by parts and then the application.
Sometimes, we need to change variables and substitute other variables before we can
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solve a given integration problem.
Examples:
Solution:
Since
Expanding, we have:
Factorising, we have:
2. Given: ,
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Hence,
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are functions x.
where
Examples:
Solution:
Let
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2. , let
Marginal cost is defined as differentiation of total cost with respect to output (in units).
That is: and so, , where k is an arbitrary constant. (At x = 0,
C = fixed cost) and total cost of n units = and cost of nth unit = .
Marginal Revenue
Differentiation of Total Revenue with respect to output (in units) is defined to be marginal
revenue. That is, and so , where k is an arbitrary constant
Profit Function
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Examples:
1.
3.
at x = 0, P = -5000,
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§ A curve passes through the point (-2,8) and its gradient function is . Find the
equation of the curve.
§ The marginal revenue function of a firm is . Find the revenue and demand
function.
□ Let
(Application of L.C.M.)
At x = 0, R = 0;
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So,
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(by finding the L.C.M.)
Demand Function
A particle moves in a straight line such that its acceleration after time t s is ams-2, where
. If its initial velocity was 3ms-1, find an expression for s, the distance (in m)
travelled from the start in t s.
Introduction
In the study of physical phenomena, we come across different quantities, such as time,
temperature, speed, length, mass, area or volume of a body, etc. These quantities are
defined completely by a single number or magnitude with appropriate units. For example,
the mass of a body can be specified by the number of grams and time by minutes, etc. Such
quantities are called scalars. There are, however, certain other quantities called vectors,
which cannot be expressed completely by their magnitude only but also by the direction in
which they operate. Examples of such quantities are: velocity, acceleration, force,
momentum, displacement, etc.
In this session, you will learn the definition of vector, its representations and the basic
vector types.
Learning Outcomes
At the end of this study session, you should be able to:
2.1 Define vector as a quantity that is expressed completely by magnitude and direction
2.1 Definition
Vectors are those physical quantities that have their units of measurements expressed in
both magnitude and direction. For example, while an ordinary quantity, or scalar, can be
exemplified by the distance 6 km, a vector quantity can be exemplified by the term 6
km north. You can also represent vectors by directed line segments, such as B in figure
2.1. The length of the line segment is a measure of the vector quantity, and its direction
is the same as that of the vector.
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Further illustration of the meaning of vectors you can put out is by making vector say, a
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or A (see fig. 2.1) to indicate the motion of a boat in the course of a given interval of
time, if it were moving through still water; vector b or B, will show the drift or flow of
the current during the same period of time. The actual path of travel of the boat under
the influence of its own driving force and of the current is represented by vector c.
The best way you can represent a vector is with the help of a directed line segment.
Suppose A and B are two points, then by the vector we mean a quantity whose
magnitude is the length AB and whose direction is from A and B as in figure 2.2.
B
A and B are called the end points of the vector In particular A is called the initial
point and B is called the terminal point. Sometimes you can express vector by a
single letter a (which is always written in bold type, to distinguish it from a scalar).
Some other times, however, you may write the vector a as or ᾶ.
The modulus (absolute value) or magnitude of a vector is a positive number you can
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use for measuring of the length of the line representing it. Modulus of a vector a is
denoted by |a| or by the corresponding letter a in italics.
You will identify two vectors that are equal if and only if they have the same magnitude
and the same direction.
Example:
if = , then
A vector whose magnitude is in unit (i.e. a magnitude of 1) is called a unit vector and is
generally denoted by â. We will always use the symbols i, j, k to denote the unit vectors
along the x, y and z axes in three dimensions. If a is any vector, then a= where is a
unit vector having same direction as that of a.
A vector with zero magnitude (and any direction) is called a zero vector or a null vector.
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For example, in Figure 2.3 if the point B coincides with the point A, then the vector
becomes the zero vector . The zero vector is denoted by the symbol O.
The vector which has the same magnitude as that of a vector a, but in opposite
direction, is called negative of a, and is denoted by -a.
Example:
B
B
A
A
A free vector is not restricted in any way. It is completely defined by its magnitude and
direction and can be drawn as any one of a set of equal-length parallel lines. Most of the
vectors you shall learn in this lesson are free vectors.
A line vector slides along its line of action, e.g. a mechanical force action on a body.
This has the same initial point and is also called concurrent vectors.
Examples:
(i) A velocity of ’110 km/h due North’ is a vector quantity as against a speed of 100
km/h which is a scalar quantity.
(ii) A temperature of 90oC is a scalar quantity
□ Vector
□ scalar
□ vector
Before we conclude this session, solve the self assessment questions below:
Introduction
In session 2, you learnt that a vector is a physical quantity that has both magnitude and
direction. You also learnt the difference between a vector quantity and a scalar quantity,
some examples of scalar and vector quantities and the difference in their unit of
measurements. You can now also represent a vector quantity diagrammatically. We also
treated what modulus of a vector is and state some of the vector types. For better
understanding of our next session you can go back to session 2 for a quick revision and
make sure you understand all the materials presented there.
In this study session, you will learn how to actively carry out vector algebra using some
basic rules to solve some basic algebraic problems.
Learning Outcomes
At the end of this session, you should be able to:
3.4 Solve Dot Product, Cross Product and Triple Product problems
(i) At some point (usually in middle school or high school) students are taught basic
algebra because the mathematics they have known up to that point, arithmetic, cannot solve
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most real-world problems. For example, a student may be asked to find the speed required
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to travel 33 miles in 60 minutes. Knowledge of Arithmetic alone is not sufficient to solve
this problem.
(ii) During high school, students begin to realize that even algebra cannot solve
problems that incorporate two-dimensional space; so they learn trigonometry and
geometry. For example, if a student is trying to find the amount of concrete needed to fill a
cone-shaped hole, simple algebra alone will be of little help.
(iii) Geometry and trigonometry are however very difficult to apply in many situations.
Vector algebra was invented in order to solve two-dimensional and three-dimensional
problems without the use of cumbersome geometry.
Although it is possible to use ordinary trigonometry and geometry to solve most of the
mathematics problems you are likely to encounter, Vector algebra operations are much
easier to express with familiar nomenclature. For example, the statement C = A + B is a
typical vector algebra expression. Many of the rules learned in basic algebra also apply in
vector algebra. For example, you can add the same vector to both sides of an equation; you
can divide both sides of an equation by a number, and so on.
An operation of addition is defined for vectors when the sum of two vectors A and B which
is the vector C as shown in Figure 3.1a. You place the initial point of B at the terminal
point of A and make C the vector running from the initial point of A to the terminal point of
B. You can then write, C = A + B.
C A A-B
B
B
A
You will be able to identify the difference (A - B) of two vectors A and B as the sum of A
and (-B) i.e. A - B = A + (-B). The vector A - B is the vector running from the tip of B to 73
the tip of A. See Fig. 2b. You can also see from the figure that B + (A - B) = A.
Scalar is used to contrast with the word “vector”. It is customary, in any context where
vectors and real numbers are both being discussed, to refer to real numbers as scalars.
The product of a vector A by a scalar m is a vector mA with magnitude |m| times the
magnitude of A and with direction the same as or opposite to that of A, m could be positive
or negative. If m = 0, mA is the zero vector.
(1) A = a1 i + a2 j + a3 k
The vectors a1 i, a2 j, and a3 k are the component vectors of A in the x, y and z directions
respectively. a1, a2, and a3 are the x, y and z components of A. The magnitude or modulus
of A is therefore:
here, =a
a1, a2, and a3 represent the magnitudes of the projections of vector A on the x, y and z axes
respectively.
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Figure 3.2:
Magnitude of Vector
or
The sum of two vectors expressed in analytical form is obtained by adding corresponding
components i.e. if A = a1 i + a2 j + a3 k and B = b1 i + b2 j + b3 k, then:
3. mA = Am
4. n(mA) = (mn)A
5. (m + n)A = mA + nA
6. m(A + B) = mA + mB
7. A + 0 = A (Additive identity)
These laws enable us to treat vector equations in the same way as ordinary algebraic
equations. For example, if A + B = C then by transposing A = C - B. 75
A position vector is a vector that extends from the origin of the coordinate system to some
point (x, y, z) in space i.e. the vector:
r = xi + yj + zk
or
r = (x, y, z)
6. If A∙B = 0 and A and B are not zero vectors, then A and B are perpendicular.
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where θ is the angle from A to B and u is a unit vector perpendicular to the plane of A and
B and so directed that a right-handed screw driven in the direction of u would carry A into
B.
1. A×B = -B×A
6. If A×B = 0 and A and B are not zero vectors, then A and B are parallel.
Dot and cross product multiplication of three vectors A, B and C produces meaningful
products of the following forms:
1. (A∙B)C
Let A = a1i + a2j + a3k , B = b1i + b2j + b3k and C = c1i + c2j + c3k . Then:
which is equal to the volume of a parallel piped having A, B and C as edges, or the negative
of this volume, accordingly as A, B and C do or do not form a right-handed system.
A∙(B×C) = (A×B)∙C i.e. the dot and cross can be interchanged without changing the
value.
In the scalar triple product A∙(B×C), the parentheses are sometimes omitted and it is
written A∙B×C or A×B∙C . It is sometimes denoted simply by [ABC]. It is also called the
box product.
Note that
(A∙B)C A(B∙C)
A×(B×C) (A×B)×C
(1)
1.
3.
In this work, a single bar is used to denote a vector norm, absolute value or complex
modulus, while a double bar is reserved for denoting a matrix norm.
(2)
The -norm of vector v is implemented as Norm [v, p], with the 2-norm being returned by
Norm[v].
(3)
The most commonly encountered vector norm (often simply called "the norm" of a vector,
or sometimes the magnitude of a vector) is the L2-norm, given by
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(4)
79
This and other types of vector norms are summarized in the following table, together with
the value of the norm for the example vector v = (1, 2, 3).
-norm 3.742
-norm 3.302
-norm 3.146
-norm 3 3.000
We have:
Hence θ =
= oi + 3j + k
= 3j + k
= 4i - j + 8k
Use the self-assessment questions below and the in-text questions above, to assess your
level of understanding of vectors.
In case you have any other challenges, please consult other vector textbooks and discuss
with your lecturer.
A, B, C are three points with position vectors given by you to show that they form a right
triangle and right angled at C.
a = 2i - j + k
b = i - 3j - 5k
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c = 3i - 4j - 4k
81
Note: When you have completed the exercise, compare your s answers with the ones at the
back of the booklet.
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Introduction
In mathematics, a matrix (plural matrices, or less commonly used matrixes) is a rectangular
array of numbers, symbols, or expressions. The individual items in a matrix are called its
elements or entries. An example of a matrix with six elements is
Matrices of the same size can be added or subtracted element by element. The rule for
matrix multiplication is more complicated, and two matrices can be multiplied only when
the number of columns in the first equals the number of rows in the second.
83
In the matrix A above, the horizontal and vertical lines are called rows and columns
respectively. The numbers in the matrix are called its entries or its elements. For you to
specify the size of a matrix, the matrix with m rows and n columns would be called an m-
by-n matrix or m × n matrix, while m and n are called its dimensions. Thus matrix A, is a 4-
by-3 matrix.
Matrix X with one row (a 1 × n matrix) is called a row vector, and matrix Y with one
column (an m × 1 matrix) is called a column vector. Any row or column of a matrix
determines a row or column vector, obtained by removing all other rows or columns
respectively from the matrix. For example, the row vector for the third row of matrix A is
When a row or column of a matrix is interpreted as a value, this refers to the corresponding
row or column vector. For instance, if you say two different rows of a matrix are equal, you
mean that they determine the same row vector.
4.3 Notation
In order to identify an entry in a matrix, we simply write a subscript of the respective
entry's row followed by the column.
In matrix A below, we write a23 to denote the entry in the second row and the third column.
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One way to remember that this notation puts rows first and columns second is to think of it
as reading a book. You always read sideways first, just as you always write the rows first. 84
When you are done, your eyes move downward. A23 indicates the row number 2 first, then
the column number 3.
Examples:
Test your understanding of what you done on matrices so far and practice these;
What is the matrix notation to denote the entry in the bottom right corner of G?
Solutions
3x3
55
G33
Having understood what has been done so you may now learn about equality of matrices.
If A=B then we understand that x = 34 and y = 54, since corresponding elements of equal
matrices are also equal.
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§ If
□ In providing solution to this problem you have to use your ability in matrices
notation to form a row and column matrix.
In the matrix above, you observe that, first row represents the number of students in college
A, college B, college C respectively. Second row represents the number of students who
answered all the examination questions in three colleges respectively. And the third row
represents the number of students who got full marks in the three colleges respectively.
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Summary of Study Session 4
In this session, we have defined a matrix, show its notations and the order of the matrix.
The in- text questions are provided to test you on these. In case there are some grey areas
that you are yet to understand properly, discuss such with your lecturer.
1. If
A = (Aij)
Where i = 1, 2, 3 and j = 1, 2
B=
iii) In matrix B, element B21 is equal to 222 iv) Matrix A and B are equal.
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Note: When you have completed the task, check the correct answers in the appendix.
87
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Introduction
In this session you find out that familiarization with the different types of matrices and their
properties makes it easier for you to be able transpose and solve other matrices related
problems.
Definitions
You must have noticed how matrix has been used as a collection of numbers arranged into a
fixed number of rows and columns. Here, we highlight the ability of the types and
properties of matrices in transposition and the basic operations of various types in solving
matrices problems.
Example:
Example;
A rectangular matrix is formed by a different number of rows and columns, and its
dimension is noted as: mxn.
Example:
Example:
Example:
In an upper triangular matrix, the elements located below the diagonal are zeros.
90
Example:
In a lower triangular matrix, the elements above the diagonal are zeros.
Example:
Example:
Example:
Example:
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I= 91
A2 = A.
A2 = I.
Given matrix A, the transpose of matrix A is another matrix where the elements in the
columns and rows have switched. In other words, the rows become the columns and the
columns become the rows.
(At)t = A
(A + B)t = At + Bt
(α ·A)t = α · At
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(A · B)t = Bt · At
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5.2 Symmetric and Skew-Symmetric Matrix
A square matrix A = [aij] is said to be symmetric if its (i, j)th element is the same as its (j,
i)th element.
i.e. A = AT
Example:
if .
Then,
A = AT
A square matrix A = [aij] is said to be skew-symmetric if the (i, j)th element of A is the
negative of the (j, i)th element of A
i.e. A T = -A
Then,
Therefore, AT = -A
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A = −At.
A · At = I.
□ To multiply a matrix by a single number, you have to make sure that each individual
element of the matrix is multiplied by that factor, that is
It also means that, in reverse, you can take a common factor out of every element - not just
one row or column but the entire matrix:
You have learnt here that a matrix can be squared only if it is itself a square matrix, that is,
the number of rows equals the number of columns.
Since, A=
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A2= . = =
94
In this session you have learnt the identification of the various types of matrices, explored
transposition of matrices by symmetric and skew symmetric, identified properties and
perform basic operations of types of matrices.
Here are some self-assessment questions that could assist in your further understanding of
the study session.
When you have completed the task, compare your answers with the ones provided in the
appendix
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Introduction
This study session will once more put to the test your proficiency in the basic algebra
operations; addition, subtraction and multiplication that you have learnt over the years both
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in arithmetic and mathematics. In this session, division of matrices is not treated but left for
96
further studies. You would also be tasked to apply your understanding of transposition of
matrices you did in Study Session 5 in solving inverse of matrices.
6.4 Identify the properties addition, subtraction, multiplication and inverse of matrices.
Given two matrices below, of the same dimension, A = (aij) and B = (bij), the matrix sum is
defined as: A + B = (aij + bij). That is, the resultant matrix's elements are obtained by
adding the elements of the two matrices that occupy the same position.
1. Closure:
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A + (B + C) = (A + B) + C
3. Additive identity:
A+0=A
4. Additive inverse:
A + (−A) = O
5. Commutative:
A+B=B+A
Examples:
Solution:
.
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Given a matrix, A = (aij), and a real number, k R, (k element of real number R) the
product of a real number by a matrix is a matrix of the same dimension as A, with each
element being multiplied by k.
That is:
k · A=(k aij)
Example:
a · (b · A) = (a · b) · A; A Mmxn, a, b
a · (A + B) = a · A + a · B; A,B Mmxn , a
(a + b) · A = a · A + b · A; A Mmxn , a, b
1 · A = A; A Mmxn
Two matrices A and B can be multiplied together if the number of columns of A is equal to
the number of rows of B. That is:
Mm x n x Mn x p = Mm x p
The element cij of the product matrix is obtained by multiplying every element in row i of
matrix A by each element of column j of matrix B and then adding them together. Example:
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99
1. Associative:
A · (B · C) = (A · B) · C
2. Multiplicative Identity
A·I=A
3. Not Commutative:
A·B≠B·A
4. Distributive:
A · (B + C) = A · B + A · C
Examples:
Solutions:
In this example you would see that multiplication of matrices is not commutative by having
answers that are not the same.
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= 100
(At · B) · C
Solution:
We first consider the dimensions of each matrix to see whether they conform to matrices
notation operations
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(B · Ct ) · At
C t2 x 3 · Mm x n
A · A-1 = A-1 · A = I
(A-1)-1 = A
(A t)-1 = (A -1)t
Construct a matrix of type M = (A | I), that is to say, A is in the left half of M and the
identity matrix I is on the right. See illustration below,
102
Using the Gaussian elimination method to transform the left half of A to the identity matrix,
located to the right, and the matrix that results in the right side will be the inverse of matrix:
A-1. Here r3, r2 and r1 mean rows 3, 2 and 1 respectively.
r2 - r1
r3 + r2
r2 - r3
r1 + r2
(−1) · r2
Examples:
103
Solution:
Using the Gaussian elimination method, transform the left half of A, in the identity matrix,
located to the right, and the matrix that results in the right side will be the inverse of matrix:
A-1
Note: care should be taken to remember to multiply each minor of A11, A12… A33, by a
x 3 dimension matrix.
Therefore C =
STEP 3; You have to write down the transpose of C to obtain the adjoint (adj) of A.
adj A = CT =
STEP 4; You divide the elements of adj A by the value of , i.e. 28, to arrive at A-1.
That is A-1 =
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STEP 5; the inverse of square of the original matrix A can also be put as
105
A-1 =
I guess this was quite interesting. Work through some of the in-text and self-assessment
questions on your own and see how far you have understood this unit.
□ =
§ Given the following matrices, find A – B and A – C, or explain why you cannot.
&
□ A and B are the same size, each being 2 x 3 matrices, so you can subtract working
entry- wise:
However, A and C are not the same size, since A is 2 × 3 and C is 2 × 2. So this subtraction
is not defined.
+ =
106
□ First, I'll simplify the left-hand side a bit by adding entry-wise:
+ =
= =
Since matrix equality works entry-wise, you can compare the entries to create simple
equations that you can solve. In this case, the 1, 2-entries tell you that x + 6 = 7, and the 2,
1-entries tell you that 2y – 3 = –5. Solving, you will get:
x+6=7
x=1
2y – 3 = –5
2y = –2
y = –1
You have been able to identify in this session that matrices are added entry-wise,
Subtraction works entry-wise, too. This is always the case: To be able to add two matrices,
they must be of the same size. If they are not of the same size (if they do not have the same
"dimensions"), then the addition is "not defined". In order to multiply matrices, you have
also observed that we follow rules of matrices multiplication.
Introduction
This is an extension of the number systems in BUS 210. It deals with the arrangement of
numbers and other areas to be covered in Business Mathematics. In this unit, you will learn
the sequence of formulation of numbers and identify the difference between sequence,
series and progressions. You should also be able to solve problems using them.
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Learning Outcomes
At the end of this study session, you should be able to:
7.3 Formulate the number sequence with reference to the terms position.
7.5 Solve simple problems in day to day business activities relating to sequence, series
and progressions.
7.1 Sequence
A sequence is defined as a set of values which is growing or declining with some regular
patterns.
It is denoted by tn where t represents the value and n a natural number represents the
positions of the value.
t₁ ,t₂ , t₃ , t₄..., tn
e.g. 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 ..., n
or f (n) = n
where n = 0, ..., n.
Examples:
2, 6, 18, 54
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2, 6, 18, 54...
109
1, 4, 7, 10
1, 4, 7, 10...
2, 4, 6, 8...
3, 9, 27, 81...
Example 1:
Solution:
(i) 2, 4, 6, 8
Common Factor = 2.
Attaching position n to this common factor using any of the mathematical sign descriptions.
i.e. – addition
- subtraction
- multiplication.
- division
From these, one looks for the one which gives a definite solution to the value given above
Applying all the above, it should be noted that the multiplication procedure suits all the
values indicated above. 110
i.e. 2*n
tn = 2n
t₁ is when n = 1
t₁ = 2(1) = 2
t₂ is when n = 2
t₂ = 2 * 2 = 4
t₃ is when n = 3
t₃ = 2 * 3 = 6 etc.
tn = 2n
If tn = 2n
t₁₅ = 2 * 15
= 30.
Example 2:
Solution:
3, 9, 27, 81...
Common factor = 3.
i.e. tn =3ⁿ
t₁ = 3¹ = 3
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t₂ = 3²= 9
111
t₃ = 3³= 27
tn = 3n.
If tn = 3ⁿ
t₅₀ is when n = 50
t₅₀ = 3⁵⁰
Example 3:
Solution:
The two will now be combined together to get the tn representing the sequence.
Thus :
tn = (-1)n+1 or (-1)n-1
or tn = (-)n+1 or (-)n-1 .
tn= 1/n²
= (-1)ⁿ⁺¹ * 1/n²
i.e. for t₁ = 1
when n = 1
t₁ = (-1)¹⁺¹ 1/12 = 1
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for t2 = ¼
112
when n=2
for t₃ = 1/9.
when n = 3
t₁₀ is when n = 10
= (-1)¹¹* 1/100
= -1/100
7.3 Series
Series is obtained by adding the terms of a sequence. It is the sum of a sequence.
A finite series is the one that has the last term or definite number of terms. The sum of first
n terms of a sequence is called a finite series.
An Infinite series is the one that has no last term. i.e. it is an unending series.
Sn = S ti
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7.4 Progression
113
A progression is a sequence or series of numbers with a constant difference or ratio
between the successive terms in the sequence or series.
Progression forms a special sequence whose terms follow a definite pattern. Thus, the
special sequences are the
(iii) 1, -2, 3, -4, 5, -6; (a) (-1)ⁿ-¹n (b) (-1)ⁿ⁺¹(-n) (c) -n (d) n.
(iv) 1, -1/4, 1/9, -1/16...; (a) (-1)ⁿ1/n² (b) (-1)ⁿ1/n (c) (-1)ⁿ-¹ 1/n² (d) (-1)ⁿ-¹n²
2. (i) Which type of progression is this? 1,1/3,1/5,1/7? (a)HP (b)AP (c)GP (d)AGP.
(iii)A geometric progression has a first term and a common difference. (true of or false).
Introduction
In study session 7, you have learnt about formation of numbers with reference to their
positions. This session deals with the area of special sequence which is used in day-to-day
business activities. These are Arithmetic Progression, Geometric Progression, Harmonic
Progression and Arithmetic – Geometric Progression.
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Learning Outcomes for Study Session 8
At the end of this session, you should be able to:
The progression is generated by a continual addition of the common difference d to the first
term a.
Thus, the nth term or last term of an Arithmetic progression is deduced as follows:
Fist term = a = a+0d i.e: the coefficient of d = 0, position of the term is n=1
Third term = a + d+d = a + 2d i.e. the coefficient of d =2, position of the term is n=3
Fourth term = a + 2d +d = a+ 3d i.e. the coefficient of d=3, position of the term is n=4
Following the same pattern, therefore, the nth term can be given as
nth term = a + (n-1) d i.e. the coefficient of d=n-1, position of the term is n=n
2Sn = n {a + a + (n-1)d
Sn = n/2 {a + a + (n-1) d}
Sn = n/2 (a + a+ (n-1) d
S n= n/2 (a +Ln}
Sn = n/2 (2a + (n-1)d ) can be used if the series is an Infinite series or sequence
Example:
The nth term of an AP is 9-15n. Find the first term a, tenth term and the common
difference (d).
Solution:
nthterm = Ln = 9 – 15n
First term is when n = 1
t₁ = 9 – 15 (1)
= - 6.
since Ln = 9-15n
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= 9 – 150
= -141
since it is an AP
a = -6
t₂ = 9 – 15 (2)
= 9 – 30
= -21
= - 21 – (- 6).
= - 21 + 6
= -15
Arithmetic means
First term = a – d
Second term = a
Third term = a + d
where
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118
Geometric Progression
This is a series in which each of its terms increases or decreases by some constant ratio
called the common ratio r
Thus each term of a GP is obtained by multiplying the preceding terms by a constant ratio
r.
First term = a.
Second term = ar
The nth term of a GP is used in financial arithmetic in the areas like compounding and
discounting.
Geometric Series
Sn = a + ar + ar ²+ ar ³ ... + (1)
Sn – rSn = a - arⁿ.
Sn (1-r) = a (1 - rⁿ).
Sn = for r < 1
or
Sn = for r > 1
Sum of GP to Infinity
Since Sn = a(1-rⁿ)/(1-r)
S¥ = a(1-r¥)/(1-r).
S¥ =a /(1-r)
Geometric mean
R = y/x or z/y
y/x = z/y
y²=xz
y = √xz
Thus, the positive or negative sign is chosen for the geometric mean according to whether
the sign of x and z are positive or negative.
In general if x₁, x₂, x₃... xn are in GP, then the geometric mean is
GM = (x₁* x2*x₃)¹/ⁿ.
Example 1:
The second and the fifth month salaries of Bola were ₦700 and ₦5,600 each. You are
required to
Solution:
ar⁴/ar = 5600/700.
r3 = 8
r = √8. =2.
Incremental ratio = 2
ar =700
a (2) = 700
a = 700/2
a = ₦350
s₅ = a(r⁵-1)/(r-1)
=350 (2⁵-1)/2-1
= 350 (32-1).
= ₦ (350)(31)
=₦10,850.
= 350/1-2 or 350/2-1
= ₦350.
Harmonic Mean
This is the sequence in which the reciprocal of the terms forms an Arithmetic progression.
HM = n/(S(1/xi)
This is a Harmonic progression because the values in the denomination of the fraction 1, 2,
5, and 7 form an AP.
A sum of money is shared among nine people such that the first person gets ₦75, second
person gets ₦150, the third person ₦225 etc.
A clerk’s salary started at ₦2,300:00 per annum. A rise of ₦150 is given at the end of each
year; find his total salaries in 12yrs.
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LOC establishes an investment starting with ₦12,500 each year for a period of five years at
5% compound interest. Calculate the worth of the investment after nine years.
You as an individual have won a contract to supply 109,200 units of a product to DLI. DLI
wants final delivery in 12weeks. You have estimated that production in the first week will
be 8000 units, but that by employing more hands, output will rise by 200units each week.
Will you be able to complete the contract within the expected time given by DLI?
MODULE THREE
APPLICATION OF MATHEMATICS OF FINANCE AND
BASIC PROBABILITY
3.1 Apply the basic concepts of mathematics of finance in solving business problems
3.2 Identify the concepts of probability and use them in business mathematics problem
solving
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Introduction
Mathematics of finance or financial mathematics deals with the problems of investing
money or capital. Since the main purpose of any business organization is to make profit, the
investor requires compensation mainly for two reasons.
This compensation can be referred to as the Interest paid on the money invested.
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This interest referred to can be Simple or Compound i.e. We have Simple Interest and
Compound Interest.
Simple interest arises when interest accruing on an investment is paid to the investor as it
becomes due and its is not added to the capital balance on which subsequent interest will be
calculated.
Compound interest arises when the accrued interest is added to the capital outstanding
and it is this revised balance on which interest is subsequently earned. Thus the
discounting process i.e. fundamental to Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) calculations is
analogous to compound interest in reverse where the calculation of the Present Value (PV)
is the mechanics behind DCF.
This is the amount of money that is initially being considered. It may be an amount to be
invested or loaded or of the cost of machinery. It is denoted as P
Accrued Amount
This is a term applied generally to a principal amount after some has lapsed for which the
interest has been added or calculated. If is denoted by A.
Rate of Interest
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Interest is the name given to the appropriate amount of money which is added to the
principal. It is expressed as a percentage rate per annum. It is denoted by i or r. 125
This is the number of time periods over which an amount of money are being invested or
borrowed.
Simple Interest
This is where any interest earned is not added back to the principal amount invested.
Example 1
This can also be done using the formula for the simple interest calculation.
The discounting process, i.e. fundamental to Discounted calculation Cash Flow (DCF)
calculation is analogous to compound interest in reverse.
Note that the Compound Amount can also be referred to as the Final Amount
Accumulated or Terminal Value. 126
Example 2:
Thus if this process continues, the Future Value at the end of the nth year is given by CA or
FV = 1000 (1+0.1)ⁿ.
CA or FV = P(1+i)ⁿ
This indicates that the amount at the end of successive year form a Geometric Progression
with common ratio (1+i)
Example 3:
Mr. X places ₦2000 on deposit in a bank earning 5% compound interest per annum
Solution:
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CA = P(1+ i)ⁿ
127
(i) After one year.
i.e. n =1
P = ₦2000
i = 5% = 0.05.
CA = 2000 (1+0.05)¹
= 2000(1.05)
= ₦2100
i.e. n=2
CA = P (1+i)ⁿ
= 2000(1+0.05)².
= 2000(1.05)²
= ₦2205
i.e. n = 3
CA = P(1+i)ⁿ
=2000(1+0.05)³
=2000(1.05)³.
= ₦2315.25
After 1 year
CI = CA-P
=2100-2000
= ₦1000
After 2 years
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CI = CA-P
128
= 2205 - 2000
= ₦205
After 3years
CI = CA – P.
= 2315.25-2000
= ₦315.25
1.3 Discounting
Having said that people have a time preference for money and should prefer to receive
money sooner rather than later, it is inappropriate to give the same value to similar sums
receivable at different times over the life of a project. This is what traditional methods of
investment appraisal do as illustrated in the context of the payback period. Because of
investors rates of time preference for money, a more suitable method of investment
appraisal reduces the value of later cash flows (discount them) to find that sum with which
one could be equally happy now as a given receipt due in several years’ time. Thus, the
calculation of the present value is what was illustrated with the compound interest
calculation. In corporate decisions, the required rate of return might well be referred to as a
cost of capital.
A man invests ₦1000 to earn a compound interest of 10% per annum. How much would he
expect his total investment to be worth after 3years?
The compensation that investors require for being exposed to various types of investment
risk is known as ____
Time value of money applications frequently calls for the determination of the ___ of an
investment cash flows as a result of the effects of the _____
The process of computing Future Value involves projecting the ____ forward on the basis
of appropriate _____ to the end of the investment life.
In a time-line diagram for solving time value of money, cash outflows, otherwise known as
____ are given ____ signs while cash inflows, known as _____are given ___ signs.
The rate of interest the investor actually realizes as a result of compounding is known as
____while the one quoted by the financial institutions is known as _____.
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Introduction
You have learnt mathematics of finance in session one and in this session, you will learn
how to calculate the present and future values of a given cash flow.
Thus of CA = S = P(1+r)ⁿ
P = S / (1+r)ⁿ
PV = S / (1+r)ⁿ.
The Present Value (PV) is the cash equivalent now of a sum receivable or payable at a
future date. Since discounting is so widely used in business problems, Present Value (PV
tables) are available for computations.
The table provides a value (the discount factor) for a range of years and discount rates.
Thus, the discount factor is the factor by which the future sum (FV) is multiplied to get a
Present Value.
n = number of years.
Time 0 1 2 3 n years
The discount factor for the time t=0 is always 1, therefore it is not included in
the table.
Example:
Calculate the present value of the given cash flows using 15% discount rate.
Time 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Cash flow (60,000) (10,000) 15000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000
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The above cash flow may represent the outflows and inflows of a particular investment
project.
Thus, when an amount P is invested for n years at r % annual interest with continuous
compounding , the amount P will grow to a Future Value or Accumulated Value of
A = Peⁿr
It should be noted here that the money is being invested as a series of equal payment and
not a single principal amount.
Let the amount invested at the beginning of each of the five years (5year) = ₦x.
Thus,
where Sn = ₦100,000.
when Sn = ₦100,000
a = x(1.14)⁵
r = 1.14
n=5
Sn = a(rⁿ-1)/r-1
100,000 = {x(1.14)⁵(0.9254)}/0.14
x=1000,000 (0.14)/(1.14)⁵(0.9254)
=14000/(1.14)⁵(0.92554)
=14000/(1.9254)(0.9254)
= ₦7,8547.38
How much must be invested today at 0% to have ₦100 in 3yrs? (a) ₦77.75 (b) ₦100.00 (c)
₦126.30 (d) ₦87.50
An analyst estimates that ABC’s earning will grow from ₦3:00 a share to ₦4:50 per share
over the next eight years. The rate of growth in ABC’s earnings is closest to (a)4.9%
(b)5.2% (c)6.7% (d)7.0%.
If ₦5000 is invested in a fund offering a rate of 12% p.a. approximately, how many years
will it take for the investment to reach ₦10,000? (a)4yrs (b)5yrs (c)6yrs (d)7yrs.
Introduction
You have learnt a lot of calculations involving financial mathematics starting from session
one to session two. In this study session, you will also learn a lot of calculation in nominal
and effective interest rate.
It is also referred to as the Nominal Yield or True Investment Rate. This will always be
greater than the nominal rate. i.e.
Note that the standard method of determining the APR is to make the effective time period
equal to the compounding period and actually compound over a period of one year.
The discrepancy between the Nominal Rate and the Actual Percentage Rate (APR) gets
larger as the number of years increase.
Thus the Effective Rate or APR is defined as the rate which when compounded annually
gives the same amount of interest as a nominal rate compounded several times.
Given the Nominal Annual Rate of interest, the effective or Actual Percentage Rate can be
calculated using the following formula.
ARP = {1+(i/m)}ᵐ - 1
Example 1:
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10% nominal rate is compounded quarterly. What is the Effective Rate or APR?
Solution:
APR = (1+i/m)
m=4
i = 10% =0.1
APR = (1+0.1/4)⁴ - 1
= (1+0.025)⁴ - 1
= 1.025⁴ - 1
= 0.1038
10.38%
i.e. 10% nominal rate compounded quarterly is equivalent to 10.38% effective rate,
Example 2:
Solution:
APR = (1+i/m)ᵐ - 1
where m =semi-annually = 2
i = 20% = 0.2
APR = (1+0.2/2)² - 1
= (1+0.1)² - 1
= (1.1)² - 1
= 1.21-1
= 0.21
21%.
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3.2 Annuities
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An annuity is a sequence of fixed equal payments (receipts) made over uniform time
intervals.
Annuity arises when the cash flows received or paid out are constant for all years. It may
range from weeks to months or years.
Examples of annuities include weekly wages, monthly salaries, insurance premiums, rental
of properties, house purchase, mortgage payment, pension, sinking fund payment, etc.
Types of Annuities
(i) at the end of the payment intervals. This is known as Ordinary Annuity e.g. salary
(ii) at the beginning of the payment intervals. This is referred to as Due Annuity e.g. Rent
payment
(i) begin and end on fixed dates. This is referred to as Certain Annuity.
(ii) depend on some events that cannot be fixed. This is known as Contingent Annuity.
(c) Perpetual Annuity is the one that carries on indefinitely. This includes Ordinary
Annuity
This is an annuity paid (received) at the end of the payment interval. Payment or receipt
commences in one year’s time. It is also known as immediate annuity. It is among the
most common annuities. e.g. personal loans paid at the end of each month but with initial
deposit.
Example
For a four year payment of #300 made annually as annuity payment, the annuity pattern of
an ordinary annuity will be made as follows:
Year 0 1 2 3 4
Annuity - 300 300 300 300
Due Annuity
This is an annuity which may be paid or received at the beginning of payment (receipts)
intervals. e.g. advance payment (receipts) intervals. i.e. advance payment in saving scheme.
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Since the first sum arises immediately, the cash flow of the first sum arises in year zero e.g.
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For a four year payment to be made as due annuity, then the cash flow pattern is as follows.
Year 0 1 2 3 4
Certain Annuity
This is a common annuity whose term begins and ends on a fixed date. A good example is a
hire purchase with initial deposit and then equal monthly payments payable at the end of
each month.
Contingent Annuity
This is a type of annuity whose term may depend on some events that cannot be fixed such
as pension scheme received until death.
Perpetual Annuity
This is the annuity that carries on indefinitely. The perpetuity discount factor is 1/r –
1/r(1+r)n. When n gets very large (i.e.¥), the term 1/r(1+r)ⁿ gets very small and will be
zero when n = ¥.
FV = A(1+r)ⁿ -1
r = Discount rate.
n = number of years
A = Flow of annuity.
From the information given above on Perpetual Annuity, the Perpetuity Discount factor =
1/r. Present value of an Annuity
If a debt is incurred over a fixed period of time subject to a given interest rate, a sinking
fund can be maintained to mature to the outstanding amount of the debt.
Example
If #2000 is invested at the end of each year for 5 years at 8% compound interest. What is
the accumulated amount at the end of the 5yrs?
Solution:
_The first contribution to the fund will earn interest for 4 yrs.
_ The second contribution to the fund will earn interest for 3 yrs
_The third contribution to the fund will earn interest for 2 yrs.
_The fourth contribution to the fund will earn interest for 1 yr.
_The fifth contribution to the fund will earn interest for 0 yr.
n=5
Sn = 2000(1.08⁵-1)/1.08-1 140
= 2000(1.4693-1)/0.08
= 2000 (0.4693)/0.08
=938.6/0.08
= ₦11,732.50
Note that : If the instalments are paid into the fund at the start of each year instead of the
end. The first term will become 2000(1.08)⁵ and the last term is 2000(1.08)¹. Each term is
therefore increased by a factor 1.08. Therefore, the total (accumulated amount) will be
= ₦11,732.50*1.08
= ₦12,671.10
Amortisation
The term amortization can be used to mean the repaying of a debt by regular instalments as
with mortgage. Such repayments consist partly of interest and partly repayment of some of
the loan. The amount of each instalment remains constant but as the amount of the
outstanding debt decreases, the proportion of the instalment which goes to paying the
interest decreases and the proportion which goes to paying off the outstanding debt
increases.
From the point of view of the lender (mortgager) this is equivalent to an annuity. The
lender invests a lump sum in the borrower (mortgager) and receives a regular income in
return.
Cash flows that occur at the end of each compounding period is known as ………………
while the one that occurs at the beginning of each period is referred to as……………….
A financial instrument that pays a fixed amount of money at set intervals over an infinite
period of time is known as (a) Perpetuity, (b) Due, (c) certain, (d) sinking fund.
Compute the APR if the nominal rate is 12% for the following periods.
Semi-annually
Quarterly
Monthly
Daily
Compute the Future Value of a single sum of ₦2000 cash flows at the end of 5 years using
an interest rate of 12% compounded.
Semi- annually
Quarterly
Calculate the Present Value of an investment which gave ₦647.68 at the end of 10yrs if it
earns an annually compounded rate of return of 8%.
Calculate the Future Value of a ₦300 investment at the end of 10yrs if it earns an annually
compounded rate of return of 8%.
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Introduction
The concept of probability is intended to provide a numerical measure of the likelihood of
an event’s occurrence. Probability is measured on a scale of ZERO to ONE. At the
extremes of this range, a probability of ZERO implies that the occurrence of the event is
impossible i.e. it is certain not to occur, whereas a probability of ONE implies that the event
is certain to occur.
Learning outcomes
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4.2 Identify probability as a value that ranges between zero and one
4.3 define the following probability terms: random experiment, basic outcomes and
sample space
Example:
If the probability of an event A occurring is 0.8 and the probability of another event B
occurring is 0.4, then since 0.8 is nearer 1.0 than 0.4, then we say that event A is more
likely to occur than event B. Or since 0.4 is nearer ZERO than 0.8, we say that the
uncertainty of event B occurring is higher than that of event A.
For example:
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You should note that a random experiment involves an action taking place.
In each of the above experiments, it is easy to see that it is possible to specify, before hand,
all the possible outcomes that might arise. These are listed for each example as follows:
The set of all these basic outcomes exhausts all possibilities and it is called the sample
space of the random experiment.
Solution:
S = {1,2,3,4,5,6}.
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What can you make of this statement: two events have equal probability of 0.6?
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Introduction
You have learnt what probability is all about in Study Session 4.In this session, you will
learn how to determine number of elements in a sample space based on the coin
experiment, how to generalise that and the fast way to list the elements from coin
experiment.
5.1 Determine the number of elements of the sample space based on coin experiment.
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experiments
5.4 List the elements of sample space involving two dice as a matrix
The process obeys the binary law of arranging numbers. Thus, the number of elements
contained in such sample space is MN where M = 2 (always) and N = the number of coins
tossed or the number of times such a coin is tossed.
Examples:
1. If one coin is tossed once, M=2, and N=1 i.e. number of elements in the sample
space is obtained as:
n(S) = MN = 21 = 2,
i.e. S = {H,T}
2. If one coin is tossed twice or two coins are tossed once, M = 2 and N = 2
i.e. n(S) = MN = 22 = 4
and so on.
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5.2 The Quicker Way of Listing Samples Space Elements Involving Coin
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Experiments.
Note that in listing all the elements of the sample space, it becomes easier to exhaust all
outcomes in which “H” is the beginning letter before outcomes with letter “T” beginning
will follow. For example, in the 3-coin example, outcomes in which “H” is the beginning
letter are HHH, HHT, HTH, HTT. All these 4 outcomes exhaust the outcomes in which
letter “H” is the beginning letter and these four outcomes form the 50% of all the outcomes
of the sample space. The remaining 50% are the outcomes in which letter “T” is the
beginning letter. All that need to be done now is to re-visit the earlier listed four outcomes
putting T where there is H and putting H where there is T. That is for HHH, we will have
TTT; for HHT we will have TTH; for HTH, we will have THT and for HTT we will have
THH. Thus, the sample space for the 3-coin example is
Example:
Tossing a coin 4 times or tossing 4 coins once puts M=2 and N=4 giving n[S] = MN = 24 =
16
Since half of 16 is 8, then these 8 outcomes with letter “H” being the beginning letter
exhaust all the outcomes in this category. To obtain the remaining outcomes where letter
“T” is the beginning letter, we proceed as before by re-visiting the above listed 8 outcomes
putting T where there is H and putting H where there is T. i. e.
Occasions do arise when two dice are involved in an experiment. The listing of elements of
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the sample space in this case is more involving than the case of rolling a die. Possible
outcomes of an unbiased die are six digits 1 to 6. When two dice are involved, it means we
have to arrange the two groups of outcomes in such a way that will prevent any confusion.
The easiest way to carry this out is to resort to arranging the outcomes in a ¨matrix¨ form in
which the outcomes of the first die will occupy the ¨vertical¨ space while the second die
will occupy the ¨horizontal¨ space. The arrangement will look like this:
1 2 3 4 5 6
You can see that a cell ´houses´ two digits: the first digit is the outcome of the first die
while the second digit is the outcome of the second die. That is, if a cell has 2,3 as its
elements, it means the digit ¨2¨ is the outcome of the 1st die while the digit ¨3¨ is the
outcome of the 2nd die, etc. The matrix of the outcomes of the two dice is the sample space
for the two-dice experiment.
In all, you will notice that there are thirty-six two-digit cells. From this matrix, we can
generate the matrix in which each cell houses the sum or the difference or the product of the
two digits.
Example:
If two dice are rolled, list the sample space whose elements are the sums of the two digits.
Solution:
1 2 3 4 5 6
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- letter H
- letter T
a. odd b. Even
Introduction
You need to revise your set theory study session before studying this session. Remembering
what you did in your set theory session will assist you to gain better knowledge in this
session. You will learn how Euler-Venn diagram is used in probability.
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Learning Outcomes of Study Session 6
At the end of this session, you should be able to:
6.1 Draw Euler-Venn diagram to illustrate the intersection and the union of two sets, the
empty set and the complement of a set.
6.2 Use the Euler-Venn diagram to explain the concepts of mutually exclusive and
collectively exhaustive events
6.3 Identify the condition under which two events can be compatible or incompatible.
That is, if A and B are two events in the sample, their intersection, denoted by A∩B, is the
set of all basic outcomes in the sample space that belong to both A and B. Thus, in the
language of set theory, the intersection A∩B occurs if and only if (iff) both A and B occur.
Pictorially, this is represented by Euler-Venn Diagram. Fig 6.1 shows the diagram for pairs
of set A and B. In part (a) of the figure, the rectangle S represents the sample space (or the
universal set) while the two closed figures (circles) denote the two events A and B. So, for
example, a basic outcome belonging to A will be inside the corresponding figure. The
shaded area, where the figures (circles) intersect, is A∩B.
Clearly, a basic outcome will be in A∩B if and only if it is in both A and B. Thus, in
rolling a die as described above, the outcome “6” belongs to the two events “number
divisible by 2” and “number divisible by 3”.
The two events may not have anything in common in which case the figures will not
intersect as in part (b) of figure 6.1 Such events are said to be mutually exclusive.
Consider two events A nd B. If in a throw of a die, A is the event: “odd numbers shows”
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and B is the event: “even number shows”, it is easy to see that nothing is common to both A
153
and B. Hence figures A and B will not intersect. Thus, we can conclude that if events A
and B have no basic outcomes in common, they are said to be mutually exclusive events
and their intersection A∩B is said to be the empty set. It then follows that A∩B (= null set
or ɸ or { } ) cannot occur.
S S A∩ B
A B A B
2, 4 6 3 1,3,5
2,4,6
1, 5
a b
(b) A and B are mutually exclusive i.e. nothing is common between them.
A B
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Fig. 6.2: Euler-Venn
Example 1:
In a throw of a die experiment, the outcomes 2,3,4 and 6 all belong to at least one of the
events: “number divided by 2” or “number divisible by 3”.
It is possible to have a collection of several events whose union is the whole sample space
S. Since every basic outcome is always contained in S, it follows that every outcome of the
random experiment will be in at least one of this collection of events. These events are then
said to be collectively exhaustive i.e. events A and B are collectively exhaustive if the
contents of both events constitute the sample space. In the rolling of a die, If A = {1,2,5},
then Ā (i.e. complement of A) is {3,4,6}, you can see that AUĀ =S={1,2,3,4,5,6}.
Example 2:
a. If a die is rolled, the events “number shown is at least 2” and “number shown is at
most 4” are together collectively exhaustive – i.e. at least one of these two events must
occur.
Thus, the characteristics of all basic outcomes contained in a sample space are as follows:
- all these basic outcomes are both mutually exclusive and collectively
exhaustive.
- these outcomes are such that one must occur but not more than one can
simultaneously occur.
b. If event A is “number shown is even”, in a throw of a die, then numbers that are not
even are not contained in A but they are contained in the sample space. These elements
form a set Ā known as the Complement of A. Clearly, the events A and Ā are mutually
exclusive (i.e. no basic outcome can belong to both) and collectively exhaustive (i.e. every
basic outcome must belong to one or the other). Fig 6.3 illustrates the complement of A.
Ā
A
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Example 3:
In an earlier example: A is the event “number shown is divisible by 2” and B is the event
“number shown is divisible by 3”. Then:
A = {2,4,6}, B = {3,6}.
A∩B = {6}
The Union of A and B is the event “number is either divisible by 2 or by 3 or both and so:
AUB = {2,3,4,6}.
Note that events A and Ā are mutually exclusive since their intersection is the empty set
and collectively exhaustive, since their union is the sample space S; that is:
AUĀ = {1,2,3,4,5,6} = S
the experiments?”. If the answer is “yes”, then the events are compatible, otherwise they
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are incompatible.
§ Let a coin be tossed four times.
Let A be the event “at least three Heads” and let B be the event “at least three Tails”
□ Events A and B could happen separately in two separate experiments but could not
happen in the same experiment since if you get at least three Heads, you can have at most
one Tail (This is because there are maximum of four spaces to be occupied by Heads or
Tails or both in this type of experiment.)
§ Let C be the event “exactly two Heads” and let D be the event: “the 4th toss is a
Tail”. Are C & D compatible?
□ Yes, they are compatible, since it is possible for both events to happen. For
instance, you could get three outcomes out of the four available. i.e. HHT(T) or HTH(T) or
HHH(T) in which the 4th toss is a Tail.
A coin is tossed five times. Which of the following pairs of events are incompatible?
c. All the odd tosses are Heads and three Tails together
d. Three Heads on the first three tosses and tails on the last three tosses
Introduction
Often times, interest is not particularly in the basic outcomes themselves, but in some
subset of all the outcomes in the sample space. For example, if a die is rolled, an event that
BUS220 Module
might be of interest is whether the resulting basic outcome or number is EVEN (i.e. a result
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that will occur if one of the basic outcomes 2,4 or 6 arises). Such sets of basic outcomes
are called events. An event is a part of the points in the sample space defined by a given
rule. It is formally defined as follows: An event (E) is a set of basic outcomes from the
sample space and it is said to occur if the random experiment gives rise to one of its
constituent basic outcomes.
7.1 Define an event as a part of the points in the sample space and recognize the event
7.2 Define probability as a ratio of the number of points in the event to the number of
7.1 Event as a Part of the Points in the Sample Space and its Rule
This is explained with the example below:
Example
A die is rolled once, write down the sub-sample space for obtaining
(i) exactly 3 (ii) less than 3 (iii) less or equal to 3 (iv) greater than 3 (v) greater or
equal to 3
Solution
ii. less than 3 (<3) i.e. all elements that are less than 3 i.e. S2 {1,2} i.e. only two
elements
iii. less or equal to 3 (≤3) i.e. all elements up to 3 or from 3 downwards. i.e. S3 =
{1,2,3}
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iv. greater than 3 (>3) i.e. all elements greater than 3 i.e. S4 = {4,5,6}
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v. greater or equal to 3 (≥3) i.e. all elements from 3 upwards i.e. S5 = {3,4,5,6}
n( E )
p (E) = n( S )
where n (E) = no. of different ways that the event can occur
Note that this method is applicable to situations that are known even without performing
any experiment. For example, we know that throwing a coin will result in either a Head or
a Tail.
Example:
A trader stocks baskets of potatoes, oranges, carrots and garden eggs with a basket
containing 20 pieces of each fruit. Currently in her stock are 3 baskets of potatoes, 16
baskets of oranges, 30 baskets of carrots and 11 baskets of garden eggs. If a basket of fruits
is chosen randomly for inspection, what is the probability that the basket contains (i)
potatoes? (ii) oranges? (iii) neither garden eggs nor carrots?
Solution:
Since the basket of fruits is chosen at random, each separate basket of fruits (of any type)
can be regarded as a single equally likely outcome. Thus, we have an equally likely
outcome set and the definition for the theoretical probability can be used.
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The number of outcomes in total is the total number of fruit baskets which is 3+16+30+11
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or 60
3 1
i.e. P (basket of potatoes) = 60 = or 0 . 05
20
16 4
ii. P (basket of oranges) 60 = = 0 .27
15
iii. The number of baskets that are not for garden eggs and carrots = 60 – 41 = 19 =
3+16
19
P (neither garden eggs or carrot baskets) = 60 = 0 .32
f (E)
= ∑f
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is the total frequency i.e. the number times that the experiment was performed.
Examples:
1. If out of 200 orders received so far this financial year, 40 were not completely
40
satisfied, then the proportion 200 or 0.2 is the empirical probability that the next
3.
Number of children
0 1 2 3 4 5 or more
Number of families 12 28 22 8 2 2
Use the information in the above table to calculate the relative frequency i.e. probability
that another family of this type will have
Solution:
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Here = 74, i.e. the number of times in which the experiment: “determine the number of
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children in a single family” has been repeated.
(i) The probability that another family of this type will have just 2 children is the
proportion of families that have 2 children:
f (2 children ) 22
= 0 . 297
i.e. p (2 children) - ∑f = 74
First, you determine what the “whole” list of outcome is. Then you determine which of
these outcomes “qualify” or belong to the “part” list specified by the conditional statement.
For example, if a coin is tossed three times and you are told that at least one of the three
tosses was a Head, what is the probability that exactly two of them were Heals?
7
The question is: “In what part of this 8 of the time do we get exactly two Heads?
3
• HHT, HTH, or THH happens 8 of the time. 163
7 3
The second question is: “what part of 8 of the time is this 8 of the time? The answer
is:
3 7 3 8 3
÷ = ´ =
8 8 8 7 7
This is the conditional probability of exactly two Heads given that at least one Head has
occurred.
(i) List all outcomes corresponding to the “whole” or the given condition.
(ii) Add their chances or probabilities – the sum is the probability of the “whole”.
(iii) List all of those outcomes which “qualify” or belong to the “part”.
(iv) Add their chances – this sum is the chance of the “part”.
(v) Divide the “part” chance by the “whole” part.
(b) Mathematical Expression for Conditional Probability
Viewed midstream, suppose that we are interested in a pair of events A and B and we are
given the extra information that event B has occurred. A question of interest is: “what is the
probability that A occurs, given that B has occurred? This is the notion of conditional
probability as discussed in section 4.3a. The basic idea is that the chance of any event
occurring is likely to depend on whether or not other events occur.
Illustrative Example
A manufacturer planning to introduce a new brand may test-market the product in a few
selected stores. He may be much more confident about the brand’s success in the wider
market if it is well accepted in the test market than if it is not. This means that this
company’s assessment of the probability of high sales will therefore be conditioned by the
test market out come.
• If I know that interest rates were going to fall over the next year, I would be far
more bullish about the stock market than if I believed that interest rate would rise. This
means that my probabilistic assessment of the likely course of stock prices is conditioned
by what I know or believe, about interest rates.
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(A ∩B)
P(A/B) = P( B) with P(B) > 0 ……………. 7.1
Example:
1. A hamburger chain found that 75% of all customers use mustard, 80% use ketchup, and
65% use both. What is the probability that
(i) a ketchup user uses mustard?
Solution:
Let A be the event: “customer uses mustard” and B the event: “customer uses ketchup” so
that
P (A) = 0.75, P (B) = 0.80 and = 0.65
(i) The probability that a ketchup user uses mustard is the conditional probability of
event A, given event B:
P ( A ∩B ) 0 .65
i.e. P (A/B) = = = 0. 8125
P( B ) 0 .80
(ii) In the same way, the probability that a mustard user uses ketchup is the conditional
probability of event B given event A, i.e.
P ( A ∩B ) 0 .65
P (B/A) = = = 0. 8667
P( A ) 0 .75
2. A die is tossed twice. Given that the sum is greater than 7, what is the probability of
getting a pair?
Solution:
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First get the sample space. The sample space is a matrix of outcomes shown as
2 2, 1 2, 2 2, 3 2, 4 2, 5 2, 6
3 4 5 6 7 8
3 3, 1 3, 2 3, 3 3, 4 3, 5 3, 6
4 5 6 7 8 9
4 4, 1 4, 2 4, 3 4, 4 4, 5 4, 6
4 6 7 8 9 10
5 5, 1 5, 2 5, 3 5, 4 5, 5 5, 6
6 7 8 9 10 11
6 6, 1 6, 2 6, 3 6, 4 6, 5 6, 6
7 8 9 10 11 12
Note that the matrix shows digit appearances on the dice faces and the sum of these digits
appearances.
- The number of elements contained in the sample space of “the sum is greater than 7” is
15, hence probability is 1536.
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- The number of elements contained in the sub-sample space of “getting a pair” is 3, hence
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probability is 336
3 1
336÷ 1516 = = = 0.2
15 5
For a throw of a die, write down the sub-sample space for obtaining (i) an even number (ii)
an odd number (iii) a prime number (iv) a number divisible by 3 (v) a number between 1
and 4 inclusive.
A wholesale stationer stocks Heavy (2B), medium (HB), fine (2H) and extra fine (3H)
pencils which come in packs of 10. Currently in stock are 4 packs of 3H, 15 packs of 2H,
40 packs of HB and 10 packs of 2B. If a pack of pencils is chosen randomly for inspection,
what is the probability that they are (i) medium? (ii) heavy? (iii) not very fine?(iv) neither
heavy nor medium?
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(i) What is the probability of winning a major prize with a single ticket?
An insurance company estimated that 30% of all automobile accidents were partly caused
by bad roads, and that 20% of all automobile accidents involved bodily injury. Further, of
those accidents that involved bodily injury, 40% were partly caused by bad roads
(i) What is the probability that a randomly chosen accident was partly caused by bad roads
and involved bodily injury?
(ii) If a randomly chosen accident was partly caused by bad roads, what is the probability
that it involved bodily injury?
(iii) What is the probability that a randomly chosen accident was not partly caused by bad
roads and did not involve bodily injury?
Introduction
BUS220 Module
You have learnt some basic things about probability in the previous sessions. In this
session, you will learn mutually exclusive, independent events and application of addition 168
and multiplication rules of probability.
8.1 Define and distinguish between mutually exclusive and independent events
On the other hand, two events are independent if, when one happens, the chance that the
other happens is unchanged. Independence often arises in an experiment where the chance
service is unchanged at each stage i.e. drawing with replacement, and the events pertain to
different stages of the experiment. Mathematically speaking, independent events are
characterized by the fact that the probability of their intersection is the product of their
individual probabilities.
Suppose I believe that the probability of event A occurring is P(A). I am now given the
extra piece of information that event B has occurred. If this does not change my view about
the likelihood of the occurrence of event A, my conditional probability assessment P(A/B)
will be the same as P(A). I will have concluded that the knowledge of the occurrence of
event B is of no use in determining whether or not event A will occur i.e. event A is no
more or less likely to occur when event B does than otherwise.
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Let A and B be two events. From the arguments above, these two events are independent if
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and only if
P(A B) = P(A). P(B)
From the conditional probability concept developed in section 7.3(b), we have that
P ( A∩ B )
P(A/B) = P( B )
• P(B/A) is the conditional probability of event B occurring given that event A has
occurred.
• this definition can be used to check whether or not a pair of events are independent.
Example:
If it is estimated that 48% of all bachelor’s degrees are obtained by women and that 17.5%
of all bachelor’s degrees are in business. Also, 4.7% of all bachelor’s degrees go to women
majoring in business,
• Are the events “Bachelor’s degree holder is a woman” and “Bachelor’s degree in
business” independent?
Solution:
Let A and B denote these respective events. Then
P(A) = 0.48, P(B) = 0.175 and P(A B) = 0.047
P(A) .P(B) = (0.48) (0.175) = 0.084
But P(A B) = 0.047
Since 0.084 = 0.047,
then the events A and B are not independent.
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The dependence of these events can be seen from the conditional probability calculation:
P ( A∩ B ) 0 . 047
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P(A/B) = = = 0 . 269
P( B ) 0 . 175
P ( A∩ B ) 0 . 047
or P(B/A) = = = 0 . 098
P( A ) 0 . 48
Thus, only 26.9% of business degrees go to women whereas women constitute 48% of all
the degree recipients.
Only 9.8% of women who got degrees major in business whereas Bachelor’s degrees in
Business constitute 17.5% of all the degree recipients.
It should be noted also that the two events are not mutually exclusive since P(A/B) = 0.
i.e. P ( A ) = 1 – P(A)
In the earlier section, we showed that if A and B are mutually exclusive, the probability of
their union is the sum of their individual probabilities. We now want to find the probability
of their union when the events are not mutually exclusive
Using Euler – Venn Diagrams, we can see that
(a)
and (b)
S or U
A A
AÇ B AÇ B
(c)
Also the events A and are mutually exclusive and their union is AUB.
(d)
(e)
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This is known as the addition rule of probability. Notice that the rule implies that the
probability of a union is not the sum of the individual probabilities unless the events are
mutually exclusive, that is unless the probability of the intersection is zero.
Example:
A hamburger chain found that 75% of all customers use mustard, 80% use ketchup, and
65% use both. What is the probability that a particular customer will use at least one of
these?
Solution:
Let A be the event “customer uses mustard” and B the event “customer uses ketchup”.
If A and B are two events, then the meaning of or P(A and B) is quite precise in
probability terms. It stands for the probability that A and B occur.
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Also
Further, if A and B are two independent events, then the probability that A and B occur, i.e.
, can be calculated as the product of P(A) and P(B) because
Introduction
Counting the numbers of basic outcomes in the sample space and in the event of interest is
usually difficult. For these types of difficulties, the use of ordering, permutations and
combinations comes handy.
Example 1:
6! = 6 x 5 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1, etc.
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Note that 0! = 1
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Example 2:
In how many possible orderings can the three letters A, B and C be arranged?
Solution:
The total number of possible orderings = 3! = 3 x 2 x 1 = 6 ways
The number of permutation nPx of x objects chosen from n is the number of possible
arrangements when x objects are to be selected from a total of n and arranged in order. This
number of ways is
n n!
Px=
( n− x )!
Example 1:
5 5! 5! 5x4x3 !
P2 = = = = 20
(5− 2)! 3! 3!
Example 2:
3 3! 3!
This means P2 = (3− 2 ! = 1! = 3x2x1= 6 ways
)
giving 6 arrangements
i.e. AB BC CA
BA CB AC
9.3 Combination Concept
Unlike permutation, order is not important here; that is, a repetition is not permitted here,
since we are interested in the number of different ways that x objects can be selected from n
(where no object may be chosen more than one) but are not concerned about the order. In
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example 6.3.2, it is noticed that the second row is just a re–arrangement of the first row and
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may therefore be ignored. i.e. we now have only:
AB BC and CA (i.e. only 3 ways of selecting two letters from three letters without
considering order or there are thus three possibilities for selecting two objects from a group
of three). This number of possible selections is called the number of combinations and it is
denoted by nCx read as n combination x where x objects is to be chosen from n.
Thus, the number of combinations (i.e nCx) of x objects chosen from n is the number of
possible selections that can be made. This number is
n
n! P
n
C n= = x
x!( n− x) ! x!
Example 1:
Two items are to be chosen from 8 items of which 3 are defective. Find the probability that
one of them is defective and the other is non-defective.
Solution:
8 8! 8x7
Choosing 2 from 8 items = C 2 = 2 ! 6 ! = 2 = 28
3 3!
Choosing 1 defective from 3 defective ones = C 1= 1 ! 2! = 3
Example 2:
A student is required to answer three questions out of five in a DLI examination in which
question one is compulsory. In how many ways can this be done?
Solution:
If out of 5 questions, one is compulsory, then there are 4 questions left out of which the
student is to answers two.
4 4 ! 4x3
no of ways of doing this is C2 = = = 6 ways
2! 2! 2
Here the number of times a letter appears in the work plays a significant role. Consider the
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following examples:
Examples:
In how many ways can the word “STATISTICS” be arranged?
Solution:
Repetition or no repetition, the word STATISTICS contains 10 letters. It means there are
10! ways of arranging this.
But S appears 3 times i.e. in 3! Ways
T appears 3 times i.e. in 3! Ways
I appears 2 times i.e. in 2! Ways
The effective number of ways of arranging the word STATISTICS is
10 ! 10 x9x8x7x 6 x5x 4 x2
=
3!3 !2 ! 3 x2x 2
= 10 x 9 x 8 x 7 x 5 x 2 = 50, 400 ways.
The terms ¨ordering¨, ¨permutation¨ and¨ combination are explained. How the process of
ordering constitutes permutations is discussed. Permutations and combinations are
distinguished. Examples are solved to illustrate the principles enunciated.
Self Assessment Questions (SAQs) for Study Session 9
A consumer of beer is asked to rank, in order of preference, the taste of 6 brands of beer.
(ii) find the probability of selecting any particular one, if each is equally likely to be
picked.
(b)If an individual who is truly different, selects a specific ordering for the first three places
BUS220 Module
LIST OF REFERENCES
1. Perry R. Hinton ( 2004): Statistics Explained, Routledge New York, USA
3. Ken Black ( 2009): Business Statistics for Contemporary Decision Making, John Wiley
& sons, USA.
6. Thomas H. Wonnacott, Ronald J. Wonnadt ( 1990): 4th edition, “John Wiley & Sons,
USA.
7. Teresa Brandley (2006): Essential Statistics for Economics, Business & Management,
John Wiley & Sons, USA.
10. Soma Garg & Arun Julka (2010). Business Mathematics and Statistics. Taxmaa
Publication (P.) Ltd, New Delhi.
12. K. A. Stroud; (1995). Engineering Mathematics (fourth edition). Macmillan Press Ltd,
Hampshire RG21 6XS and London. Pg. 324 - 348
13. http://www.math.com/tables/oddsends/vectordefs.htm
BUS220 Module
APPENDIX
Study Session 1:
1. y = 4x5 – x4 + 3x2 – 1
3.
Study Session 2:
1. y = x8
2. y = 3x5 + 4x3 – 2x
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3. y = 12x3 – 6x2
Study Session 3:
1. Price (R) = 200q – 2q2
Cost (C) = 2q3 – 57q2
Profit = Revenue – Cost
= 200q – 2x2 – (2q3 – 57q2)
= 200q + 55q2 – 2q3
when q = 10
Profit = 200(10) + 55(10)2 – 2(10)3
= N5,500
2. Revenue (R) = 315q – 5q2
Marginal Revenue, dR = 315 – 10q
dx
At maximum revenue dR/dq = 0
i.e. 315 – 10q = 0
:. Q = 31.5 units
Study Session 6:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
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Study Session 7:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
When y = 5, x = 1, we have
Study Session 8:
1.
2.
3.
4.
Study Session 9:
5
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9 ;
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183
Study Session 1:
2.
When t = 0, s = 0
3.
4.
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184
At x = 0, FC = 0 ie P = 0
0 = 0 – 0 + k, k=0
Study Session 2:
(i) Vector is a physical quantity that has both magnitude and direction
(ii) velocity, force, and displacement
(iii)
A Figure 5
(iv) |a|
(v) Unit, zero and free vectors
Study Session 3:
(a) i) a . b = (2i +2j - k) . (3i - 6j + 2k)
= (2 . 3 + 2 . (-6) + (-1) . 2)
= 6 - 12 - 2 = -8
ii) a b = (2i +2j - k) x (3i - 6j + 2k)
= - i - 2j - 6k
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= c - b = (3i - 4j - 4k) - (i - 3j - 5k)
= 2i - j + k
= c - a = (i - 3j - 5k) - (3i - 4j - 4k
= i - 3j - 5k
BC = =
AC = =
But, AB =AC + BC,
Also, AB2 = AC2 + BC2 i.e. = +
This implies that ABC is a right angled triangle at C
Therefore angle C = 90
Study Session 4:
1. a11 = 2, a22 = 1, a33 = 1, a31 = 4, a12 = 1, a23 = 0, a32 = 2, a21 = 0
2. i) 1, 4, 6 ii) 1, 9, 7 iii) 0, 0, 0
3. The correct answer is, matrix A has 3 rows and not 2 columns; that is 3 rows each
with 2 elements. This adds up to 6 elements not 5.
The dimension of matrix B is 4 x 2, which means that matrix B has 2 rows and 4
columns and not 4 rows and 2 columns.
BUS220 Module
Element B21 refers to the first element in second row of matrix B, which is equal to 555
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but not 222.
Matrix A and B cannot be equal because, we do not know anything about the entries of
matrix A. They are just unknown for us. Moreover, their orders also are different.
Study Session 5:
1. (i) A = therefore, AT =
(ii) AT = =
2. Since a scalar matrix is a diagonal matrix in which the diagonal elements are equal, (i),
(iii) and (iv) are scalar matrices.
3. You understand that matrices are either upper triangular (the elements located below the
diagonal are zeros) or lower triangular (the elements above the diagonal are zeros),
therefore (i), (ii) and (iv) are triangular matrices.
Study Session 6:
1. If the two matrices are equal then the corresponding elements are equal too, thus we
have
a = 5, a + c = 4, b - 2d = 1 and 2b = 6.
c = -1
b=3
d=1
BUS220 Module
Thus, the two given matrices will be equal if a = 5, b = 3, c = -1 and d = 1; which is the case
187
here.
Study Session 7:
1. (i) C (ii) B (iii) A (iv) C
2. (i) A (ii) True (iii) False (iv) False (v) False (vi) True (vii) False.
Study Session 8:
1. (i) 675 (ii) 3,375 2. 37,500
3. 75 4. 419,391.6027 5. a =- 1/9, b= 1/3 6. Yes.
Study Session 1:
1. 1,331
2. positive
4. risk premium/Interest.
Study Session 2:
1. C
2. B
3. B
4. C
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Study Session 3:
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1. Annuity
2. Ordinary annuity, Due annuity.
3. A
4. (i) 12.36% (ii) 12.55% (iii) 12.68% (iv) 12.75%.
Study Session 4:
1. It means the two events have equal chance of occurring.
2. For tossing two coins, the sample space = {HH, HT, TT, TH}
3. (a) Even sub-sample space = Se = {2, 4, 6}
(b) Odd sub-sample space = Se = {1, 3, 5}
Study Session 5:
1 (a) No of elements in the sample space = M,N
= MN = 25 = 32
(b) Elements that begin with letter H have the following subset:
S2= {TTTTT, TTTTH, TTTHT, TTHTT, THTTT, TTTHH, TTHHT, THHTT, TTHHH,
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THHHT, THTHT, THHTH, THTHH, THTTH, TTHTH, THHHH} (16 basic outcomes)
S= {S1, S2}
Study Session 6:
1. (a) (i) to (iv) are proofs.
(b) (i) to (iii) are Euler-venns diagrams that can be found in the text.
2. * They are compatible
* They are compatible
* They are incompatible
* They are incompatible
Study Session 7:
1. (i) {2, 4, 6} (ii) {1, 3, 5} (iii) {2, 3, 5} (iv) {3, 6} (v) {1, 2, 3, 4}
2. (i)
3. (i)
4.
Study Session 9:
1. (a) (i) 720 possible ways
(ii)
(ii)
190
2. 90720 ways