2024 EIResearch HigherEdFinancing ENG
2024 EIResearch HigherEdFinancing ENG
International
Research
Julian Garritzmann
on behalf of Education International
May 2024
About the author:
Julian Garritzmann
is Professor of Political Science at Goethe University Frankfurt, Germany.
He specializes on the politics of higher education and other social
investment policies. The over-arching topic of his research is how
countries reform their education and welfare systems in response to the
transition from industrial to post-industrial knowledge economies.
Julian Garritzmann
on behalf of Education International
May 2024
This work is licensed under a Creative Published by Education International - May 2024
Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-
ShareAlike 4.0 International License. ISBN 978-92-9276-006-9(PDF)
(CC BY-NC-SA 4.0)
Executive Summary
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Table of Contents
Executive Summary I
Table of Contents III
Outline and coverage of this report 1
A comparative analysis of education and research funding across countries and
trends over time 3
A trade-off between generalisation and detail 3
Public higher education spending in countries across the globe 4
Which governmental level is responsible for higher education funding? 6
Changes in public higher education funding? 8
What is the public higher education funding spent on? 14
Is it all performance-based now? 18
Private higher education funding 19
R&D expenditure 23
What explains variation in (public) education funding? A brief summary of what we
know about the political, economic, and social causes 26
Socio-economic factors 26
Actors 28
Institutions & path dependencies 31
So, what are favorable conditions for public spending on higher education? 32
Does education funding matter? A brief summary of what we know about the
consequences of education funding on inequalities and employment/staff 33
Funding and employment in academia 34
Conclusion & recommendations for future research 40
References 42
Appendix 47
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Figure 6. Total public spending on higher education per higher education student by world
region, 2006 and 2019 (in thousands of 2018 US-$, power purchasing parity) 10
Figure 8. Percentage change in total tertiary education spending per student 2019-2020 13
Figure 10. Financial student aid as a share of GDP in the “Global North” and “Global South”,
2006-2018 16
Figure 11. Public spending on financial student aid as a share of GDP and as a share of total
public higher education expenditure 17
Table 2. Average annual tuition fees (in US-$, PPP) for national students in 2019/20. 21
Figure 13. The Four Worlds of Student Finance: Tuition fees and subsidies. 23
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The way education and research are funded has large-scale consequences.
Section 4 of this report sketches some of these consequences, summarising
some of the key insights that economists, sociologists, political scientists, and
education scholars have produced on this topic. We will see, for example,
how the type of education funding is related to patterns of educational and
socio-economic inequalities, chances of upward mobility, and academic
research output. The report’s final section concludes by pointing at a number
of blind spots and “black boxes” that future work needs to address.
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just some examples. Money can also be allocated in different ways and
following different criteria; for example, funding can be performance-based
(depending on certain input or output criteria), be offered as project-funding,
as lump sums, and be distributed according to other formulas. What might
sound like technical details in fact has important consequences. Whether
funding is offered as grants or loans, for example, has crucial implications for
equality of opportunity and upward mobility, as children from lower socio-
economic families are much more likely to be incentivised to study by grants
rather than loans (cf. Garritzmann 2016).
The following overview and graphs are thus necessarily simplified and can
only highlight some of the main patterns. They should be read like a “map”
that offers guidance by simplifying reality. Accordingly, I will also focus on the
main patterns in the data and not try to describe each and every country’s
situation in detail.
1 http://data.uis.unesco.org/
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Need-based
Grants
Directly
to Higher Merit-based
Education
Institutions Family
allowances
Publicly subsidized
Central,
regional, local Loans
governments Publicly
guarantedd
Repayability
conditions
Not
performance-
Financial based
student aid Research-focused
Performance-
based
Teaching-focused
Public
Social impact-
based
Higher
education Up-front vs
funding deferred
Tuition fees
Universal vs
Households differentiated
Donation /
philanthropy Income-
contingent
Subject-
R&D spending specific
Type-A
Donations / vs Type-B
Companies Higher
Contributions
Education
Institutions
Education-related
taxation
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American countries (e.g., Chile, Costa Rica, Bolivia) and some Asian countries
and territories also stand out (e.g., India, Macao). We hardly find African
and South East Asian countries among the top-spenders. Most of these
countries appear at the bottom of the distribution, spending very minor
amounts on tertiary education. While there are some noteworthy exceptions,
we generally see a clear pattern where the rich “Western” countries spend
higher proportions on tertiary education than countries in other world
regions. Zooming in on the rich “Western” economies, we see that spending
is particularly high in Nordic Europe and the Anglo-Saxon countries (US,
Canada, UK); the amounts spent are lower in Continental Europe and even
lower still in Southern Europe and several of the richer Latin American
countries.
In many countries political authority does not lie only at the national/central
level; rather, sub-national political layers can also exist. In these so-called
“multilevel governance systems” authority over (higher) education can be
decentralised to lower levels, e.g. the regional or local level, or even to the
level of individual higher education institutions. This is the case in several
federal countries (e.g. Germany, the USA, Switzerland), but also in several
non-federal but decentralised states (cf. Garritzmann et al. 2021 for an
overview). In order to understand the funding dynamics well, we just need to
know which governmental level is the main spender.
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Figure 4 shows data on this for the OECD countries, where disaggregation
into the central/national, regional, and local level is possible. Figure 4 shows
that for most of the countries the central level is not only the most important,
but also the only public funder of higher education. There are some
countries, though, where the main spending level is the regional level. This
is especially the case in some – but not all – of the federal states (Belgium,
Germany, Switzerland, and partly in the USA and Brazil), but also in some
unitary states (Italy, France) and in semi-federal Spain. In most countries,
however, the national level clearly is most important, thereby also justifying
a focus on this level in this report. The local level is negligible in all countries
where we have data.
How has public spending on tertiary education changed over time? Has it
increased, decreased, or stagnated? Globally, there is a clear trend towards
more spending on higher education, in line with the notion that we develop
towards a global “knowledge economy”. Figure 5 shows the changes in total
public spending amounts on higher education between 2006 and 2018,
adjusted in purchasing power parity (PPP) so that they can be compared
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across countries and time. Globally, the amounts spent on higher education
have almost doubled between 2006 and 2018. Thus, governments spend
more and more public money on higher education. Below the surface of this
general trend towards higher spending, there are large differences between
world regions: from a global perspective, Europe and North America are
still the group spending the largest share, but their relative global share has
decreased from 60% in 2006 to 49% in 2018 (UNESCO 2022: 31). The largest
increases appear in (South) East Asia. This region’s share of the total global
spending has increased from 17% in 2006 to 25% in 2018 (ibid.). In terms
of public higher education funding, (South) East Asia is catching up with the
“West”.
Figure 5. Total public spending on higher education by world region, 2006-2018 (in
billions of 2018 US-$, power purchasing parity)
Source: Figure reproduced from UNESCO (2022: 31) Higher Education Global Data Report
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that have increased their spending further, while countries in regions with
lower spending have not increased or even decreased their amounts. Taken
together, Figures 5 and 6 thus show that most of the spending increases
in the non-“Western” countries can be attributed to them widening their
higher education participation, not (mainly) by spending higher amounts per
students. Put differently, while the non-“Western” countries are currently
undergoing a large-scale expansion of higher education (towards “mass-
education” systems), the “Western” countries underwent this massification
earlier and – while enrollment levels are still growing – focus on increasing
the quality of higher education by spending larger amounts per student.
Again, there is a lot of variation also within these broader country groups (cf.
e.g. OECD (2022) Education at a Glance 2022, Figure C1.3).
Figure 6. Total public spending on higher education per higher education student by
world region, 2006 and 2019 (in thousands of 2018 US-$, power purchasing parity)
Source: UNESCO (2022) Higher Education Global Data Report
Broad global comparisons like these are interesting and reveal important
global shifts, but they brush over a lot of intra-regional variation. To get
a closer look at this, Figure 7 zooms in on 16 countries that arguably can
be regarded as representatives of the different world regions, which are
also characterised by different kinds of education and welfare systems
(Garritzmann et al. 2022a, 2022b). In America, Canada represents the
liberal welfare states of North America, Argentina and Brazil the large and
rather wealthy Latin American countries, Peru the less advantaged Latin
American countries. In Europe, Sweden represents the social democratic
Nordic European welfare states, Germany the conservative continental
Europe welfare tradition, Italy the particularistic Southern European welfare
system, Estonia is chosen for the Baltics’ liberal welfare states, and Poland
for the Visegrád group with their so-called dependent market economies
and layered welfare system. China and India are chosen as the two Asian
“mega-states”, Japan represents the comparatively wealthy North East Asian
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2 For example, when we analyse the data in relation to countries’ GDP (to account for
differently strong economies), these shares might change not because of changes
in education spending but because of changes in the GDP. If, for example, there
was a sudden decline in GDP but education spending remained constant, this
would appear as an “increase”, although in reality no change might be noticeable for
students, educators, and other stakeholders in the education systems.
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into the countries’ financial accounting, which goes beyond the scope of this
overview paper.
Another interesting fact that Figure 9 reveals is that the respective share
going to teaching staff (i.e. “personnel whose primary assignment is
teaching or research [excluding student teachers, teachers’ aides and
paraprofessionals]”, cf. OECD [2022: 321]) and non-teaching staff (i.e. “other
pedagogical, administrative, and professional personnel as well as support
personnel”, cf. OECD [2022: 321]) also varies across countries: in Austria, the
share going to non-teaching staff is below 10 percent, while it is around 40
percent in the Baltic countries, and above 60 percent in Luxembourg. There
might be systematic differences behind these differences, for example that
some countries offer more non-teaching related services. But some of this
variation might simply be explained by differences in accounting practices,
e.g. the degree to which countries count staff like principals, guiding
counsellors, or others as “teaching” or “non-teaching” (cf. OECD 2022: 315).
This is even harder to distinguish in tertiary education (with its complex
and intertwined dynamics of teaching, research, and administration) than
in primary and secondary education. Thus, one should interpret the data
carefully.
Source: Own depiction, based on OECD (2022) Education at a Glance 2022, Table C6.2.
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Figure 10. Financial student aid as a share of GDP in the “Global North”
and “Global South”, 2006-2018
Source: Figure reproduced from Higher Education Strategy Associates (2022: 81).
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that spend more on student aid; spending is much lower in the conservative
Continental European welfare states, and even lower in Southern Europe,
North East Asia, and Latin America (cf. Garritzmann 2023: 128 for details).
As emphasised below, it is important to interpret this data with reference
to the respective level of tuition fees, though, as these are substantial in the
Anglo-Saxon countries, in North East Asia, and parts of Latin America, and
comparatively low or even non-existent in Nordic and Continental Europe.
Looking at other indicators, e.g. the share of students benefiting from
student aid or the generosity of these benefits creates a similar result (cf.
also Figure 13 below). Readers interested in even more detail can find fine-
grained data for the OECD countries in the respective “Education at a Glance”
reports and the EU’s “Eurydice” reports. Elsewhere, in my book “The Political
Economy of Higher Education Finance” (Garritzmann 2016) I discuss financial
student aid (and tuition fees) in length, offering fine-grained descriptive
analysis as well as an explanation for these differences, pointing at the crucial
role of political parties that dominated the respective countries during the
1950s-80s (see also Section 3 in this paper below).
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So far, this report has focused on public spending. Yet, private higher
education expenditure also plays a crucial role in some contexts. The two
main forms of private higher education expenditure are money spent by
students and their families (mostly in the form of tuition fees) and money
spent by companies on their employees’ skills. Figure 12 shows for the
wealthy OECD countries with the best data availability the share of tertiary
education expenditure by governments (i.e. what this report has focused
on so far), but also of private households, other private entities, and non-
domestic sources (this latter category includes “direct international payments
to educational institutions such as research grants or other funds from
international sources paid directly to educational institutions” [OECD 2022:
274] but is empirically negligible).
We see that in most countries public funding is the dominant form of higher
education funding – and has been so for many decades (Garritzmann 2016).
In almost all countries the public share is above 50 percent; in many it is
above 70 or even above 90 percent. Public spending dominates particularly
in Nordic Europe and in Western continental Europe. In contrast, private
spending is an important funding source in North America, in North East
Asia, in the UK, and in some Latin American countries. For some technical
reasons the private shares are even somewhat underestimated (as they
e.g. include net and not gross amounts, see OECD [2022: 268] for details).
Other countries fall in-between these poles, especially those in Central and
Eastern Europe and in Southern Europe. Looking at the types of private
spending, Figure 12 shows that these are mainly made up from spending by
households, i.e. by students’ and their families’ educational expenses, mostly
in the form of tuition fees.
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Given that tuition fees are the main form of private higher education funding,
Table 2 zooms further in on this. Table 2 shows the average annual tuition
fees (adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)) for national students in
2019/2020, differentiating further between tuition in public institutions
and private institutions, as well as between four levels of higher education
studies (ISCED 5-8). The first column in Table 2 shows the share of students
in private higher education institutions. Before interpreting this data it is
important to highlight that this data only reveals some of the empirical reality.
While Table 2 shows the average annual national averages, there is a lot of
variation around these means: in many countries tuition varies by region, by
higher education institution, by field of study, or even by individual student.
Thus, two students in the very same study program might pay quite different
amounts (cf. Garritzmann 2016).
Ignoring these details for now, let me highlight three take-aways from Table
2. First, we can distinguish two larger country groups: in some countries,
average tuition amounts are zero or rather negligible. This is the case in
Nordic Europe and Western continental Europe, confirming the patterns
observed in Figure 12. In a second group of countries, substantial tuition
amounts are due. These are the highest in the Anglo-Saxon countries,
in North East Asia, and in parts of Latin America. Here, average amounts
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between $5000 and $13000 are common – and given that these are
averages, the maximum amounts that some individuals pay are much higher,
often around $40,000 or $50,000 annually. Second, Table 2 shows that the
average tuition amounts are significantly higher in the private sector, which
usually is dependent on tuition-funding. This also implies that countries
with higher shares of private providers or trends towards more privatisation
witness higher average tuition amounts. We also find that while no tuition
Table 2. Average annual tuition fees (in US-$, PPP) for national students in 2019/20.
Source: Own compilation based on OECD (2021) Education at a Glance 2021, Table C5.1.
% of
ISCED 8 ISCED 8
students in ISCED 5 ISCED 6 ISCED 7 ISCED 5 ISCED 6 ISCED 7
independent (Doctoral (Doctoral
(Short-cycle (BA or (MA or (Short-cycle (BA or (MA or
private or or
tertiary) equivalent) equivalent) tertiary) equivalent) equivalent)
institutions equivalent) equivalent)
Denmark 0 0 0 0 0
Estonia 8 None for full-time students in programs in Estonian 9161 10994 10994
Turkey 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sweden 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Finland 48 0 0 0 0 0
Belgium
- French 0 191 808
community
Belgium
- Flemish 0 1239 1239 1239 620
community
New
10 3264 4584 5904 4931 4653 4376 6042
Zealand
United
26 3313 9212 12171 15727 31875 25929
States
England
12330
(UK)
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3 The analysis and arguments here focus on “regular students”. There is more
variation when we take a broader view. For example, some countries (even in
tuition-free Scandinavia) have recently introduced substantial fees for students
from non-EFTA (European Free Trade Association) countries and some countries
charge students when they enroll in a program after having completed a first Master
program already.
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Figure 13. The Four Worlds of Student Finance: Tuition fees and subsidies.
Source: Author’s compilation based on OECD (2021, 2022, 2023) Education at a glance reports. Note: All data is for
the year 2019/20, except countries in grey, where there is slightly older data.
R&D expenditure
the private sector is thus the main spender on R&D across countries. Figure
14 also reveals remarkable differences across countries, especially regarding
engagement of the private sector. While the public share varies between
0.07 and 1.12 percent of GDP, the private share lies between 0.05 and
3.75 percent and thus shows much more variation. A closer look exposes
a country grouping that we have also seen above in some of the other
data: public R&D spending is particularly high in North East Asia (especially
Korea, but also Japan) and in North-Western Europe (Scandinavia, Germany,
Switzerland, Austria). At the bottom of the list we find the Latin American
countries and most Central and Eastern European countries (except Estonia,
which spends considerably more, in line with its focus on a high-skill service
economy). Private R&D spending is also particularly high in North East Asia,
but also in the United States and Israel, and some European countries
(Germany, Belgium, Switzerland). In contrast, rather low private amounts are
spent once again in Latin America and Central and Eastern Europe. In a few
countries (Argentina, Chile, Greece, Latvia, Mexico, Norway, Russia, South
Africa) the public amounts even exceed the private amounts.
Figure 14. Gross domestic expenditure on R&D by government and business sector
as a share of GDP, in most recent year (2019, 2020, or 2021)
Source: Own depiction based on OECD 2023 MSTI database. Note: This data needs to be analysed with some
caution, as the definition of the spending categories differs to some degree between countries and as some values
are based on estimations (see the primary source for details).
Figure 15 allows for comparisons over time, starting for some countries as
early as 1980. Some facts appear noteworthy. First, just as with many other
types of spending (discussed above), most of the lines for R&D spending are
rather flat, indicating hardly any or only very slow change and rather strong
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Socio-economic factors
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parties, thereby indirectly also affecting the party politics of higher education,
as older societies also tend to have stronger conservative parties (see next
section).
Besides demographics, countries’ economic prosperity matters. An old
theory (“Wagner’s law”) predicted that as countries grow richer, they will also
increase public expenditure, including (higher) education. Empirically, the
relationship is less straightforward (Ansell 2010; Garritzmann & Seng 2016),
not least because education can also contribute to economic prosperity. But
there is evidence that public higher education funding follows the size of the
general budget: as countries’ total budgets increase, they also spend more
on higher education (Busemeyer & Garritzmann 2017, 2018; Garritzmann &
Seng 2016).
Relatedly, countries’ public debt situation also plays a role. Several economists
(e.g., Johnstone 2011; Jongbloed 2004; Vossensteyn 2009) expected that
as public debt levels rise, budgets will be squeezed, leading to less public
spending and a shift towards private funding. Empirically, there is some
evidence for this, as private education spending tends to increase when
public debt levels are high and/or are increasing (Garritzmann 2016). More
generally, we know that in times of fiscal austerity investments are more likely
to be cut than other types of spending (Breunig & Busemeyer 2012; Jacques
2021). This is one of the main reasons why higher education funding is also
affected by socio-economic crises that challenge public budgets (like the
Great Recession or the Covid-19 pandemic).
Fourth, structural socio-economic change matters, especially the crucial
shift from industrial to post-industrial knowledge economies (Garritzmann et
al. 2022a, 2022b; Jensen 2011). As countries deindustrialise and transition
to a larger dependency on high-skill sectors, their demand for more
academic skills grows, increasing political and socio-economic demand for
more higher education funding. While this association exists empirically, it
is far from deterministic, though, as not all countries have chosen a high-
skill social investment-focused growth strategy (Garritzmann et al. 2022a,
2022b; Hassel & Palier 2021). But it helps to explain why countries that
have deindustrialised earlier and to larger extents (e.g. Nordic Europe) have
expanded their higher education enrollment rates and funding levels more
than countries with slower deindustrialisation processes (e.g. Germany,
Slovakia, or Poland).
Another “mega-trend” with crucial implications has been globalisation, i.e.
the increasing internationalised flows of goods (trade), money (finance), and
people (migration). Early optimists believed that globalisation would spread
the value and importance of (higher) education in all countries around the
globe, contributing to a liberal, democratic, peaceful “world society”. This
has not materialised. The main reason is that the relationship between
globalisation and higher education funding differs across contexts: in general,
more globalised economies tend to spend more; but more advanced
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Actors
Governing political parties arguably are the most pivotal political actors. They
can shape and (re)design countries’ higher education policies, including
funding. One of the most established theories in political science, Power
Resource Theory, focuses on the difference between leftwing and rightwing
parties, arguing that these have different electorates and different ideologies,
which should result in different policy results: leftwing parties should favour
public education spending and oppose private funding, as education can
contribute to socio-economic upward mobility and equality of opportunity
(Castles 1989; Schmidt 2002). This might be all the more true in today’s
globalised economies where classical Keynesian demand-side policies are
increasingly infeasible for governments, shifting their focus to supply-side
policies like education (Boix 1998). Moreover, leftwing parties – at least in
the richer economies – might increasingly shift their focus to public higher
education funding, as a means to stretch electorally out to the middle class,
particularly the urban educated middle class (Busemeyer 2009).
At the same time, we know that children from more advantaged socio-
economic strata (SES) have a higher likelihood to attend higher education
than those of poorer or less educated backgrounds (Becker & Hecken
2009). High-SES children are also more likely to study in more prestigious
universities and often longer-term programs, making them the main
beneficiaries of higher education spending. Consequently, although higher
education of course can contribute to upward mobility, public higher
education spending can also reinforce or increase existing inequalities,
since tax-funded higher education is more likely to be used by higher socio-
economic groups – a pattern called “negative redistribution” or the Robin
Hood paradox. Unsurprisingly, Karl Marx (1978 [1890/91]) was one of the
first to notice and criticise this fact. Accordingly, some have argued that
political rightwing parties have a higher interest in public higher education
spending, as their traditional electorate is more likely to benefit (Jensen
2011).
This puzzle can be resolved, though, when distinguishing different kinds of
higher education funding. Over-simplifying to some degree, leftwing parties
are particularly interested in enhancing the opportunities of their electorate
to participate in higher education. Thus, they focus on policies that aim at this
goal, especially widening enrolment levels, increasing financial student aid to
disadvantaged students, and limiting or abolishing tuition fees (Garritzmann
2016). For example, the Democrats in the United States have introduced
several kinds of financial student aid to facilitate access to higher education,
such as the G.I. Bills or the Pell Grants. Similar bills have been passed under
Social Democratic leadership in Scandinavia (e.g. through generous grants,
housing allowances, and the like), as well as in Germany under the social
democratic government in the 1970s. Rightwing parties, in contrast, were
initially in favor of expanding access to higher education as it was mostly
their electorate that benefitted during the 1950s-70s (Ansell 2010), but have
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have been a highly lucrative investment for banks, which made fortunes
handing out loans and accordingly lobbied heavily for any change in this
system (Hannah 1996; Skocpol 1997; Mettler 2009, 2010; Garritzmann 2016).
Other important actors may include international businesses like Bertelsmann,
international organisations like the OECD, IMF, or World Bank, and associations
of university presidents. A review of higher education funding in Africa, for
example, points at the systematic influence of the World Bank and other
multilateral actors (Teferra 2013). For example, the World Bank advised most
African countries to focus on primary and secondary education expansion and
funding, rather than on tertiary education (ibid.). More generally, international
organisations can matter even when they lack material resources as they
can exercise “soft power” on policy-makers (e.g. by providing information,
benchmarking countries, offering best-practice examples, or through other
means) (Bieber & Martens 2011; Vögtle et al. 2011).
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So, what are favorable conditions for public spending on higher education?
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The report so far has described variation in the existing higher education
funding systems and explained the causes of these differences. This final
section looks at some of the consequences, summarising state-of-the-art
research on the effects of different higher education funding systems on
(in)equality, academic output, and employment conditions. Does it matter
how higher education is funded?
The brief answer is: yes. The type of higher education funding has
considerable implications for a range of important outcomes. To start with,
a larger literature explores the implications for educational outcomes, e.g.
enrolment rates, educational inequality, study competition rates, or other
outcomes. The relationship between funding and educational outcomes
is an old topic and has become very prominent since Nobel prize winner
Heckman’s (2006) studies on investments. I focus here on some of the most
recent work that has explored whether there really is a causal link between
public education funding and outcomes. In his reviews and analyses, Jackson
(2018; Jackson et al. 2021) concluded that, generally speaking, education
expenditure is related to better outcomes in the sense of increasing
completion rates, increasing test scores, and increasing continuation to
higher educational levels. For higher education, a number of evaluation
studies showed that the type of higher education spending has fundamental
consequences (see the reviews in Curs et al. 2007; McPhersson & Shapiro
1991, 1998, 2006). We know, for example, that higher private tuition amounts
increase educational inequality (Hilmer 2001; Coelli 2009; Hanley 2010) while
generous financial student aid – especially in the form of grants targeted to
low-SES children – decrease educational inequality (Dynarski 1999; Nielsen
et al. 2010; Steiner/Wrohlich 2012). The type of higher education funding
thus has considerable consequences for educational outcomes and (the
persistence of) educational inequality.
A second group of studies explore effects of higher education and R&D
funding on academic output, for empirical reasons mostly understood
in terms of quantifiable measures such as number of publications or
bibliometric analyses. Most of this work is focused on the U.S. or other
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The type of funding obviously also has important implications for those
employed in academia (in terms of salaries, job security, etc.). To start with,
studies reveal a positive relationship between the levels of research funding
and the number of researchers (Leydesdorff/Wagner 2009). Related work has
shown that under-funding also has consequences: Negash et al. (2019) show
that low salaries in Sub-Saharan Africa led academics to focus on undertaking
non-research activities. Unfortunately, to the best of my knowledge there
are hardly any studies that allow for causal interpretation of the findings and
the evidence remains correlational. Empirically, we can look at the number of
academic staff and their respective positions (senior, intermediate, junior) as
well as at the employment conditions.
As the simplest indicator, we can simply look at the number of academic
staff employed in higher education. Figure 16 shows the average number of
academic staff for up to 228 countries from 1975 until 2015. We see a steady
increase, especially steep since the turn of the millennium. While we cannot
interpret this evidence causally based on the figure alone, Figure 16 together
with the previously presented Figures show a correlation between increasing
public funding of higher education (and R&D) and increases in the number
of academic staff. The Eurydice reports confirm these patterns for the EU
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countries, as shown in Figure 17. Most countries have increased the number
of academic staff between 2000 and 2015, sometimes by 175% - only a
few countries (Czech Republic, Estonia, Finland) have (slightly) reduced the
number of academic staff.
Figure 16. Average number of academic staff in up to 228 countries around the
globe, 1975-2015.
Source: Own depiction, based on UN data “Academic staff in tertiary education (ISCED 5-8”; http://data.un.org/Data.
aspx?d=UNESCO&f=series%3aT_56).
Figure 17, moreover, sets this data in relation to the number of changes in
student enrollment numbers during the same period (2000-2015). We see
that enrollment numbers have increased in all countries, except Latvia. We
also see some correlation between both developments (Pearson’s r=0.59) as
staff and student numbers on average seem to go hand in hand. Yet, there
is quite some variation across countries: in some, staff and student numbers
have witnessed roughly similar magnitude of change (e.g. Germany, Belgium,
Hungary); in some, student numbers have increased (much) more strongly
than staff numbers (e.g. Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Finland, Romania,
Slovakia) indicating a worsening staff-to-student ratio; yet, in many countries
the percentage increases in academic staff have outpaced those of student
increases (Italy, Latvia, Malta, Norway, Poland, Slovenia, Spain, UK). In these
latter countries, the staff-to-student ratio has improved, at least as far as this
aggregate data tells us.
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Figure 17. Percentage change in the number of academic staff and number of
students, 2000-2015
Source: Own depiction based on Eurydice [2017]: 19-20.
Not all academic staff are in the same position. Some are more junior or
more senior; some have full-time positions, others part-time; some hold
permanent positions, others temporary. The OECD and Eurydice (2017) data
allow digging deeper into these dynamics. Figure 18 shows the respective
share of “senior”, “intermediate”, “junior”, and “other” academic staff in 2020.
We observe quite some variation. In some countries the share of senior staff
is very low, mostly below 20 percent, often below 10 percent. In Korea, in
contrast, the majority of academic staff is coded as senior. Also noteworthy
is that in some countries the share of junior staff is very large. This is most
extreme in Germany (where hardly anyone is “intermediate”), but also in
Costa Rica, Poland, and Hungary. Other countries have very low shares
of junior staff, especially in Australia and the Slovak Republic. The link to
spending patterns is not straightforward: on average, senior staff earn higher
wages, thereby a larger share of senior researchers should be related to
higher spending. Yet, it depends on the respective combination of senior,
intermediate, and junior staff. To take one extreme case, public spending
in Germany is below the OECD-average, yet it still manages to have rather
high academic output. Part of the reason is that much of this productivity is
made “on the backs” of temporally employed junior scholars, who make up a
large share of Germany’s higher education system, competing for rather few
more senior positions. Generally speaking, it is not the case that we find all
high-spending countries at one end and the low-spenders on the other, for
example. There is also no obvious link to public-private differences or the like.
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Appendix
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The table turned into a map as visible as Figure 2 of this document on page 6.
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