COLD WAR HISTORY SERIES
Mao, Stalin and the
Korean War
Trilateral communist relations
in the 1950s
Shen Zhihua
Translated by Neil Silver
Mao, Stalin and the Korean War
This book examines relations between China and the Soviet Union during
the 1950s, and provides an insight into Chinese thinking about the Korean
War.
   This volume is based on a translation of Shen Zihua’s best-selling
Chinese-language book, which broke the Mainland Chinese taboo on pub-
lishing non-heroic accounts of the Korean War. The author combined
information detailed in Soviet-era diplomatic documents (released after
the collapse of the Soviet Union) with Chinese memoirs, official docu-
ment collections and scholarly monographs, in order to present a non-
ideological, realpolitik account of the relations, motivations and actions
among three Communist actors: Stalin, Mao Zedong and Kim Il-sung.
   This new translation represents a revisionist perspective on trilateral
Communist alliance relations during the Korean War, which sheds new
light on the origins of the Sino-Soviet split and relations between China
and North Korea. It features a critical introduction to Shen’s work and the
text is based on original archival research not found in any other book in
English.
   This book will be of much interest to students of Communist China,
Stalinist Russia, the Korean War, Cold War Studies and International
History in general.
Shen Zhihua is professor of history at East China Normal University and
Director of the Cold War History Studies Center on the Shanghai campus.
He is also an adjunct professor of history at Peking University. He is author
of several books on the Cold War in Chinese.
Neil Silver is a retired U.S. diplomat who worked in, on and around
China. He served in embassies in Beijing, Tokyo and Moscow, including as
Minister-Counselor for Political Affairs in Beijing and Tokyo, and in the
State Department, worked on Chinese, Japanese, Korean, and Southeast
Asian affairs.
Cold War History Series
Series Editors: Odd Arne Westad and Michael Cox
In the new history of the Cold War that has been forming since 1989,
many of the established truths about the international conflict that shaped
the latter half of the twentieth century have come up for revision. The
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ials that will help further the development of this new history, and it will
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Rethinking Theory and History in the Cold War
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British and American Anticommunism before the Cold War
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Europe, Cold War and Coexistence, 1953–1965
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Reinterpreting the End of the Cold War
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US Internal Security Assistance to South Vietnam
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Negotiating the Gaullist challenge
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Mao, Stalin and the Korean War
Trilateral communist relations in the 1950s
Shen Zhihua; translated by Neil Silver
Mao, Stalin and the
Korean War
Trilateral communist relations
in the 1950s
Shen Zhihua
Translated by Neil Silver
First published in Chinese in 2003 as “Mao Zedong, Stalin yu
Chaoxian zhanzheng” by Guangdong renmin chubanshe
[Guangdong People’s Publishers]
Revised edition published in 2007
First published in English in 2012
by Routledge
2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN
Simultaneously published in the USA and Canada
by Routledge
711 Third Avenue, New York, NY 10017
Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business
© 2012 Neil Silver
The right of Neil Silver to be identified as author of this work has
been asserted by him in accordance with sections 77 and 78 of the
Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988.
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or
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or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including
photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or
retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers.
Trademark notice : Product or corporate names may be trademarks or
registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and
explanation without intent to infringe.
British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data
A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Shen, Zhihua, 1950–
[Mao Zedong, Sidalin yu Chaoxian zhan zheng. English]
Mao, Stalin and the Korean War : trilateral communist relations in
the 1950s / [Zihuha Shen] ; translated by Neil Silver.
   p. cm. – (Cold war history series)
   Translation of: Mao Zedong, Sidalin yu Chaoxian zhan zheng.
   Includes bibliographical references and index.
   1. Korean War, 1950-1953. 2. China–Foreign relations–Soviet
   Union. 3. Soviet Union–Foreign relations–China. I. Title.
   DS918.8.S5413 2012
   951.904'22–dc23                                       2012000374
ISBN: 978-0-415-51645-7 (hbk)
ISBN: 978-0-203-11220-5 (ebk)
Typeset in Baskerville
by Wearset Ltd, Boldon, Tyne and Wear
Contents
    Translator’s acknowledgments and thoughts                      xi
    Introduction                                                    1
1   Stalin: from Yalta to the Far East                             17
    Soviet postwar foreign policy goals 17
    A juggling act: peaceful coexistence, world revolution and
       realpolitik 18
    From opportunistic cooperation to outright confrontation 21
    In Stalin’s eyes: Marshall Plan equals containment 25
    Stalin’s answer: Cominform conformity in Europe 26
    Relative Soviet moderation in the Far East 27
2   Korea: the evolution of Soviet postwar policy                  29
    The 38th parallel: a hastily drawn line 29
    Stalin loses his bid to gain a foothold in Japan 31
    Wartime Korean trusteeship planning 32
    Early Soviet occupation policy 33
    Soviet–American face-off in Korea 37
    Communist North Korea: born and nurtured 38
    Division cemented: the ROK and the DPRK are established 40
    Stalin sidesteps an alliance with the DPRK 41
3   China: twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy               44
    Moscow’s gains in Northeast China paramount 44
    Communists and Nationalists position for Civil War 45
    Roots of Moscow’s distrust of the Chinese Communists 47
    Chinese Communists try to anticipate Soviet postwar policy 47
    Stalin warns Chinese Communists against civil war 49
viii   Contents
    Chinese Communists deploy forces to Northeast China 50
    Conflicting Soviet signals 51
    Soviets react to specter of U.S. influence in Northeast China 53
    Under Nationalist pressure, Soviets restrict Chinese Communists 54
    Chinese Communists reassess policy in the Northeast 55
    Renewed Soviet–Nationalist tensions 57
    Forced to withdraw, Soviets tilt to the Chinese Communists 59
    Chinese Communists fill vacuum in the Northeast 59
    Enhanced Chinese Communist stature in Soviet eyes 62
    Moscow offers to mediate between Nationalists and Communists 64
    Mao wary of Soviet intent 66
    Chinese Communists advance, Stalin recalibrates 66
    Mao asks to visit Moscow, Stalin cautiously delays 68
4   Paving Mao’s road to Moscow                                          70
    Mikoyan’s secret visit to Mao’s headquarters 70
    Mongolia: Soviet Nyet on return to China 72
    Xinjiang: Soviets pledge non-interference 72
    Northeast China: feeling each other out 73
    Chinese Communists seek enhanced military and economic aid 74
    Mikoyan’s reaction to Chinese Communist policies 75
    Chinese Communist shifts after Mikoyan’s visit 76
    Liu Shaoqi delegation to Moscow disguised as a trade mission 79
    Fealty to Stalin proclaimed 80
    Chinese Communists reiterate need for Soviet aid 81
    Uncle Joe’s advice on Xinjiang 82
    The 1945 Soviet–Nationalist treaty and Northeast China 83
    Stalin rebuffs request for aid to liberate Taiwan 85
5   Mao’s trip to Moscow                                                 88
    Chinese economy in ruins 88
    Trip preparations 90
    Mao in Moscow 92
    A new year 95
    A new dawn 97
    Zhou arrives, hard bargaining begins 99
    Bones of contention 102
    Lingering Soviet dissatisfaction? 105
6   Stalin reverses his Korea policy                                    106
    Multiple plausible causes 106
                                                                     Contents   ix
    Korea: a place of Stalin’s choosing 107
    The 38th parallel: a high tension line 108
    Soviet “defensive” military assistance to the DPRK in 1949 110
    Divided counsel on unleashing Kim 111
    Moscow tells Shtykov: just say Nyet 113
    1950: a new year, a new Soviet calculus 114
    America and China factors in Stalin’s eyes 120
    Communist Chinese–North Koreans Talks in 1949 125
    China repatriates Korean soldiers in the PLA 127
    Kim informs Mao of war plans 130
7   North Korea crosses the 38th parallel                                    133
    Soviet support for North Korea’s war plan 134
    U.S. intervention: a surprise 135
    Soviet advisers and “Kim’s affair” 136
    China’s early reaction to the war 138
    Increasing the “China factor” 140
    Stalin reacts to the U.S. Inchon landing 142
    China’s response as the North Koreans fall back 144
    A last-minute (unheard) message to the Americans 145
    Kim asks for direct assistance 146
8   China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”                        149
    Mao’s October 2 message published by China 151
    Mao’s October 2 message from the Russian archives 152
    Two messages compared 156
    Soviets prepare to withdraw 158
    Stalin to Kim: it’s all up to Mao 159
    Zhou’s mission to the USSR 161
    Testing time for the new alliance 162
    Stalin’s last-minute surprise 172
    The push and pull of assistance 175
9   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation                                  178
    Soviet air cover arrives earlier than promised 178
    The Chinese air force: trouble getting off the ground 182
    Mao’s obsession: mobile warfare 182
    Stalin’s warning: the Americans are not foolish 183
    Massive Soviet military assistance to China 185
    Sino-Soviet economic relations take off 191
x   Contents
    Fighting without break: “Politics demand we break through the 38th
       parallel” 192
    China’s volunteers run out of steam 195
    UN ceasefire proposal: U.S. reluctantly agrees, China says no 196
    Pressure grows on Chinese and North Korean forces 197
    Stalemate: the war that wouldn’t end 198
    “Talking and fighting” 199
    The Korean endgame and beyond 203
    Notes                                                               204
    Selected bibliography and suggested further reading                 239
    Index                                                               241
Translator’s acknowledgments and
thoughts
I found Shen Zhihua’s Mao, Stalin and the Korean War at a local Chinese
book fair. I was impressed with its non-ideological, realpolitik analysis of
the relations among the leaders of China, the Soviet Union and North
Korea before and during the Korean War. An example of post-Mao, post-
revolutionary Chinese history and international relations writing, Shen’s
book sold about 100,000 Chinese copies in authorized and pirated edi-
tions, crossing the line between scholarly monograph and popular history.
I felt it should be available for foreign readers, both for its intrinsic value
as a key to understanding hitherto obscure “Red” diplomatic and political
maneuvering at the time of the Korean War, and as a window into how
some Chinese now write about what were once sensitive and even taboo
topics.
   This translation would not have been finished without the encourage-
ment and support of a number of individuals and institutions. First of all, I
have to thank Shen Zhihua for his consistent encouragement and help in
resolving a number of practical issues, from the English translation of
Russian and Korean names rendered into Chinese to the provision of doc-
uments not otherwise available to me. Likewise, I am deeply indebted to
Yang Kuisong for permission to adapt and use as an introduction his
review of Shen’s book.
   Throughout my translation project, two persons, Xia Yafeng and
Lauren Marcott, have served faithfully and diligently as readers and editor
ial advisers. Sarah Cheeseman skillfully edited the final text. I cannot
thank them enough for the help they offered, especially in my moments
of indecision about how to proceed in the face of editorial hurdles.
Despite their good advice, any errors are due to my own lack of diligence.
   Allen Whiting read my translation at a very early stage. His balanced but
encouraging comments about the virtues and defects of Shen’s book led
me to refashion Shen’s five chapters into nine thematically focused chap-
ters, cut tangential information and add other devices (see Endnotes). I
hope these changes will make this translation more accessible to readers.
James Hershberg’s curiosity about how Shen’s peers in China reviewed his
book led me to Yang Kuisong’s review and my decision to use it as an
xii   Translator’s acknowledgments and thoughts
introduction. I have done this to raise cautionary flags over some of Shen’s
analysis.
    Fortunately, two major sources of Chinese books and journals are in my
backyard, the Chinese collection in the Gelman Library of The George
Washington University and the Asian Reading Room at the Library of Con-
gress. Among the always helpful librarians at these collections, the Asian
Reading Room’s J. J. Zhang stands out as the most generous with his time
and advice.
    Though a long-distance relationship, some of my warmest regards are
for the researchers at the Slavic Reference Center at the University of Illi-
nois at Urbana-Champaign. After I stumbled over the Center’s notice in a
professional journal, I sent in a number of puzzling requests for the ori-
ginal Russian source of material used by Shen in vaguely sourced Chinese
translations, and held my breath. Amazingly, the Center’s researchers
tracked down the sources of this material, including an interview with
Stalin first published in LOOK! Thank you Kit Condill, Joe Lenkart and
Helen Sullivan.
    I wish to acknowledge and thank Christian Ostermann and the Cold
War International History Project (CWIHP) at the Woodrow Wilson
Center for International Scholars for permission to use in whole or in part
their translations of Russian documents that have been posted on the
CWIHP digital archive website. I also wish to thank the Cold War Interna-
tional History Project and the National Security Archive for giving me
access to copies of untranslated Russian documents.
    Many others have helped me with advice, encouragement and introduc-
tions along the way, notably Steven Levine, John Merrill, J. Stapleton Roy,
Kathryn Weathersby and Arne Westad.
    As I translated Shen’s book, I came to some conclusions. My suspicion
that some of Shen’s analysis of Stalin’s motives for supporting the war rests
on shaky ground has been well addressed in Yang’s introduction. Yang
also usefully pointed out that Mao Zedong and Zhou Enlai, in particular,
were drawn to the idea of joining the Korean War when the U.S. and its
allies were pinned inside the Pusan perimeter prior to the Inchon landing.
Shen subsequently explored this issue in great depth (in a 2009 Taiwan
journal article), reaching conclusions parallel to those outlined earlier by
Yang (see Selected Bibliography and Suggested Further Reading). It turns
out that while Mao and Zhou were intrigued with the idea of boosting
China’s international prestige by adding a “China factor” to the war at this
point, neither Stalin nor Kim Il-sung was eager for or even open to
Chinese military intervention before the Inchon landing sent North
Korean forces reeling northward. Though unfulfilled, Mao’s eagerness to
join the fight before Inchon undercuts to some degree the view generally
espoused by Shen, namely that China’s entry into the Korean War (albeit
after Inchon) reflected a realpolitik, national interest calculus versus an
ideologically motivated decision.
                             Translator’s acknowledgments and thoughts   xiii
    Finally, after plowing all available ground, Shen finds no strong evi
dence that Stalin briefed Mao on his reaction to Kim Il-sung’s entreaty to
war before Mao left Moscow in February 1950. Whatever the perhaps
forever unknowable facts, Mao seemed far from surprised when Kim came
to brief him about Stalin’s support for the war plan in May 1950. Though
it is only a feeling and not an established fact, it seems that Mao, and to
some extent Zhou Enlai, knew or suspected more than they were willing to
share with their Chinese leadership peers at key points prior to the out-
break of the Korean War. It also seems that Mao did not think deeply, if
he thought at all, about possible conflict between Kim’s war plan and
China’s own goal of “recovering” Taiwan at an early date.
    As Richard Haass commented about a more recent war: “All wars are
fought three times. There is the political struggle over whether to go to
war. There is the physical war itself. And then there is the struggle over
differing interpretations of what was accomplished and the lessons of it
all.”
                                                               Neil Silver
                                                          McLean, Virginia
Introduction
Yang Kuisong1
                                      -1-
After many twists and turns, Shen Zhihua’s Mao Zedong, Stalin and the
Korean War has at long last been published in China.2 This is good news in
the Chinese academic world. The Korean War occurred more than half a
century ago, and the leaders who were personally involved in the war are
now all dead. With the end of the Cold War and the collapse of the Soviet
Union, the archives of the main participants in the war, the Soviet Union
and the United States, have now both been opened. Foreign scholars have
enthusiastically published the fruits of their research in the newly opened
Russian archives. For some time, Chinese scholars have not been shy in
voicing their opinions, but it has, in fact, been very hard for them to
publish the results of their research openly in China. Shen was one of the
first Chinese scholars to work on the Korean War. His book demonstrates
his skill in collecting and using Russian archival material. Academic col-
leagues interested in the Korean War can now acquaint themselves with
the facts and conclusions culled by Chinese scholars from the trove of
recently declassified Russian documents.
    Shen focuses on the Soviet factor behind the outbreak of the war and
China’s decision to dispatch troops “to resist America and assist Korea.”
The book tries especially hard to explain the relationship of the Sino-
Soviet alliance concluded in February 1950 to the outbreak of the war four
months later, and the challenges posed to the new Sino-Soviet alliance by
reverses in the war. Frankly speaking, although this book does examine
the role and effect of the war on the then new Sino-Soviet alliance, it
mainly examines the Korean War, what Chinese call the “War to Resist
America and Assist Korea,” that is to say, why Kim Il-sung launched the
war, and why Mao felt he was compelled to deploy Chinese troops. What
role did Stalin play in all this? Why did he support the Korean War? How
did the Korean War break out? Why did China finally send troops?
    For many decades these questions have puzzled scholars and officials
worldwide. Even in China and the Soviet Union, two of the main protagon
ists, most leaders had no clear idea what had happened. The Korean War
broke out in June 1950. Only ten years later, in June 1960, even some who
2   Introduction
had been personally involved in discussions and decisions about the war
were not clear on the cause for the outbreak of the war and the back-
ground to China’s troop deployment. On June 22, 1960, Soviet Commu-
nist Party Chairman Nikita Khrushchev met in Bucharest, Romania with a
Chinese Communist Party delegation led by Politburo member Peng
Zhen. The two traded charges, with Khrushchev accusing Mao of sharing
responsibility for starting the war, and Peng categorically rejecting this
accusation.
   Let’s take a look at how they argued:
KHRUSHCHEV:     We can talk in this small group. The Korean War was started
   by North Korea, with the approval of the Soviet Union and China.
Peng: That’s wrong. We didn’t agree. I was involved in the Politburo dis-
   cussions. I know the issue.
Khrushchev: We’ve also seen the documents. Mao Zedong agreed.
Peng: I have to make two things clear: first, we didn’t know about the out-
   break of the Korean War beforehand, and, second, after the war
   started you sent your ambassador to our Central Committee, saying it
   was not possible for the Soviet Union to send its forces, and that Stalin
   was thinking of asking us to send troops.
Khrushchev: If at the time we had been in charge and not Stalin, this war
   would not have been fought, but if Mao Zedong had not agreed,
   Stalin would not have done what he did. The Korean War was
   launched only after Stalin and Mao Zedong both approved.
Peng: What you said is wrong. Comrade Mao Zedong was against the war.
   As Comrade Mao Zedong told Stalin in Moscow, if a war is fought, the
   issue won’t be South Korea, but rather the American imperialists. The
   issue won’t be whether or not South Korea can be captured, but
   rather whether North Korea can be held. Comrade Mao Zedong also
   shared this view with Comrade Kim Il-sung. After the Korean War
   started, Stalin said that if the Soviet Union sent in troops this would
   mean a world war, and he therefore asked China to send troops. And
   this is the reason we agreed to send troops. I was in the Politburo dis-
   cussions at the time.
Khrushchev: You’re talking about events that happened after the war
   broke out. The issue is that Stalin and Mao Zedong both signed off on
   launching the war.
Peng: What you said does not fit the facts. You’re just spinning a story. I
   was in the discussions. From start to finish, we believe it was Comrade
   Stalin who agreed. Comrade Kim Il-sung has the most authority to
   speak to this question.
Khrushchev: You’re probably younger than I am. How old are you?
Peng: Fifty-eight.
Khrushchev: You are younger than I am, but your memory is not as good
   as mine.
                                                                Introduction   3
Peng: My memory is very good. I remember very clearly, since I partici-
   pated in the Politburo discussions. We conveyed our views to Stalin.
Khrushchev: You’re a master of hindsight. Chinese are good at this.
Peng: You’re wrong. We actually said this to Stalin.
Khrushchev: He didn’t listen to what others said. He had already turned
   himself into an icon.
Peng: We were not satisfied with Stalin. We had our grievances. . . .
Khrushchev: (repeating himself ) Stalin and Mao Zedong jointly approved
   the Korean War.
Peng: That’s absolutely wrong. Comrade Mao Zedong offered his views.
   You can ask other comrades who participated in the discussions at the
   time. Then you’ll understand.
Khrushchev: Let’s not talk about the dead. I say the fault lies with Stalin
   and Mao Zedong.
Peng: Totally wrong. You have people who participated in the event and
   should be able to testify. I’ll say it again. What you say is completely
   wrong.3
Clearly, in 1960, in a restricted setting, Chinese and Soviet leaders acknow-
ledged privately that North Korea started the Korean War by attacking
across the 38th parallel. They were arguing about whom to blame for the
decision to start the war. Khrushchev held that Stalin and Mao jointly gave
the green light to Kim Il-sung to launch the war. However, Peng firmly
believed that Mao did not agree and even opposed starting the war, and
that China was kept in the dark about details regarding the actual launch
of the war.
   Shen’s book provides a relatively clear answer. It points out that all the war
planning and the implementation of the war plan was accomplished secretly
between Stalin and Kim Il-sung, that is, between Moscow and Pyongyang.
China neither participated in nor was informed in any detail about the war
plan and its implementation. Therefore, Khrushchev’s contention that Stalin
and Mao jointly signed off and jointly decided on launching the war is unten-
able. Second, however, Mao knew that Kim Il-sung had a war plan; Stalin
informed Mao of the plan. At Stalin’s request, Kim visited Beijing on May 13,
1950 to seek Mao’s views on launching the war. When Mao then had Premier
and Foreign Minister Zhou Enlai check Stalin’s intentions through Soviet
Ambassador Roshchin, Stalin told Mao that though he had approved the
North Korean military unification plan, “[T]he question should be decided
finally by the Chinese and Korean comrades together, and in case of disa-
greement by the Chinese comrades the decision . . . should be postponed
pending further discussion.”4 Clearly, after Stalin agreed to the North Korean
plan, Mao and his Chinese comrades did not object. Therefore, when
Khrushchev said that, “if Mao Zedong had not agreed, Stalin would not have
done what he did,” he was speaking factually.
   Sometimes history is complicated.
4   Introduction
                                      -2-
Why did Stalin on the one hand plan a war to unify Korea with Kim Il-sung
behind the backs of the Chinese while on the other hand insist that Kim
get Chinese approval? Stalin clearly could not ignore the Treaty of Friend-
ship, Alliance and Mutual Benefit that China and the Soviet Union had
concluded on February 14, 1950. As stipulated in the treaty, if either party
entered a state of war, the other party was bound to render effective assist-
ance. Though the Korean War might not directly involve the Soviet Union
in a state of war, as the main war planner, supporter and weapons sup-
plier, it could not avoid some risk. Furthermore, if anything went wrong in
the Korean War, it would bring a great deal of trouble to China just across
the Yalu River. Stalin could not act selfishly and completely ignore his new
ally, China.
   But people usually ignore another question. Why did Stalin approve a
Korean action that even Mao, who believed in “taking power through
arms, and resolving issues through war,” thought was somewhat risky? If
we want to be clear about this, we need to look at Shen’s analysis and nar-
ration of how Soviet attitudes toward Korea evolved in the years after the
end of World War II. If we pay close attention to this evolution, we dis-
cover that in the early postwar years Stalin had no intention of challenging
the United States in Korea. But the unexpected success of the Chinese
revolution and his new alliance with Communist China led Stalin to
change his cautious approach to Soviet policy in the Far East.
   Why was Stalin’s performance so different in Europe and Asia? Simply
put, for the Soviet Union, the postwar strategic center of gravity was in
Europe. Toward the distant Far East, Stalin’s policy was to stay on the
defensive. In accord with its demands at the 1945 Yalta Conference, the
Soviet Union would be satisfied acquiring special rights in Northeast
China and pocketing South Sakhalin and the Kuril Islands from Japan. As
the war drew to a close, Stalin made no special demand at Yalta regarding
Korea, and was ready to allow an independent Korean government, albeit
one “friendly” to the Soviet Union, to take over after the end of a postwar
U.S.–Soviet–British–Chinese four-power trusteeship in Korea.
   By 1948, the United States and the Soviet Union were locked in a sharp
confrontation in Europe, even as Soviet policy in the Far East remained
extremely cautious. In Asia, the Soviets did not see themselves as a match
for the United States. According to Shen,
    Stalin never considered setting up an Eastern European-style satellite
    state in Korea or North Korea. The Soviet Union first urged that Soviet
    and American forces withdraw simultaneously from the Korean penin-
    sula. Later, it announced that Soviet occupation troops would unilater-
    ally withdraw from North Korea, and promised to grant full,
    autonomous political power to the (North) Korean people to a much
    greater degree than it had granted in some Eastern European countries.
                                                               Introduction   5
    In order to avoid provoking the United States, Stalin even opposed dip-
    lomatic relations of an alliance nature with the Democratic People’s
    Republic of Korea, not to speak of accepting responsibility for its unifi-
    cation goal.5
                                       -3-
That Stalin did not want to provoke the United States in the Far East in
the immediate postwar period is not news. As remembered by many
Chinese (Communists) of an older generation, at the end of the Anti-
Japanese War (World War II), in 1945, Stalin opposed Mao’s revolution.
Those familiar with postwar Chinese Communist history know the story of
how the Soviet Red Army chased the Eighth Route Army out of the cities
in Northeast China when Chinese Communist forces entered the North-
east before the Nationalist Army. In the opinion of many Chinese Com-
munist leaders, until the spring of 1949, (when the Chinese Communists
were on the cusp of victory in the civil war), Stalin still feared U.S. inter-
vention in China and, therefore, promoted the idea that the Communists
and the Nationalists could divide and rule China north and south of the
Yangtze River, respectively.
   If Stalin feared American intervention in Asia, then why did he sud-
denly change his attitude in early 1950, and why was he then willing to run
the great risk of war with the United States by supporting Kim’s Korean
unification plan? Most scholars believe that President Harry Truman’s
January 5 and Secretary of State Dean Acheson’s January 12, 1950 state-
ments excluding the Korean peninsula and Taiwan from the U.S. Pacific
defense perimeter flashed a misleading signal to Stalin. Shen stakes out a
very different and very controversial view.
	Going against mainstream scholarship, Shen portrays the shift in
Stalin’s attitude toward Korea not as rooted in these U.S. leadership state-
ments, but rather in the Soviet leader’s analysis of the consequences of the
new Sino-Soviet alliance for Soviet interests.
    The role of the Chinese revolution and the Sino-Soviet alliance in
    spurring changes in Stalin’s Korean and Far Eastern policies, however,
    is not necessarily as thought by some scholars, namely, that since the
    Soviet Union felt its position in the Far East was now stronger, it
    follows that Moscow was more confident it could confront and defeat
    U.S. power on the Korean peninsula.
       Actually, the opposite was true. The change in the political regime
    in China and the signing of the new Sino-Soviet treaty made Stalin
    wonder if Soviet interests in the Far East were threatened or, possibly,
    even lost. . . . As far as Moscow was concerned, the establishment of New
    China was like a dual-edged sword. . . . The new alliance surely strength-
    ened Soviet political power in Asia. But, in establishing the alliance,
    Stalin was forced to give up most of the political and economic rights
6   Introduction
    and interests that he had wrested from Chiang Kai-shek in 1945. It is
    therefore possible to conclude that Stalin’s motive for changing his
    Korean policy in early 1950 was based on a desire to maintain and
    protect Soviet political and economic interests in Asia, especially in
    Northeast Asia. This was the crux of the issue for Stalin.6
What important rights might be lost? Based on articles in the 1950 treaty,
“In the short space of three years, the Soviet Union would lose” access to
the Pacific Ocean through control of the Chinese Changchun Railway and
the ice-free port of Lushun, rights that it had acquired at Yalta and in the
1945 Sino-Soviet treaty. As Shen argues:
    It would be obvious to Stalin that if war broke out on the Korean
    peninsula, whatever the result, the Soviet strategic goal in the Far East
    – acquisition of an ocean outlet and an ice-free port – would be guar-
    anteed. If the war ended in victory, the Soviet Union would control
    the whole Korean peninsula, and the ports of Inchon and Pusan
    would replace Lushun and Dalian. . . . Even if the war went poorly, the
    Soviet Union would achieve what it wished, since a tense situation in
    Northeast Asia would force China to ask Soviet forces to stay in
    Lushun and Dalian. Moreover, based on the new Sino-Soviet agree-
    ment, in the event of war, the Soviet Army had the right to use the
    Changchun Railway, and, if this happened, the Changchun Railway
    would, of course, remain under Soviet control.7
In analyzing Stalin’s thinking, Shen argues that the Soviet leader was fol-
lowing the Czarist Russian tradition of seeking an ice-free port on the
Pacific. This analysis is logical. Whether at Yalta, or in sending troops to
Northeast China, Stalin didn’t mince words. The Soviet Union’s war aim
vis-à-vis Japan was to restore the rights and interests that Czarist Russia had
lost in the 1904–05 Russo-Japanese War. The most important of these
rights was access to and use of an ice-free ocean outlet on the Pacific – the
port of Lushun in Northeast China.
    However, when considered together with the voluminous material that
Shen has appended to his book,8 it is clear that what is stated above is
merely one aspect of the story of early Sino-Soviet relations. After deeper
research, it seems that Shen has concluded that things were much more
complex than he originally thought. Most obviously, if Stalin feared that
China would quickly become strong and powerful, at a time when the
Soviet Union still had not recovered from the devastation of World War II,
why did he send so many experts and so much aid to assist poor, backward
China to establish its own industrial base? Stalin was not so generous to
the fraternal (Soviet satellite) nations of Eastern Europe.
    More importantly, if Stalin had not been willing to cede rights to the
Chinese Changchun Railway and Lushun port, he could have held out,
                                                              Introduction   7
sticking to the argument he had used when he first met Mao. If he had
held to the argument that scrapping the old Sino-Soviet treaty would cause
political and diplomatic problems for the Soviet Union, Mao likely would
have tactfully accepted this explanation. This would have been much
easier than launching a dangerous war. However, Stalin, not Mao, was the
first to propose that Soviet forces withdraw from Lushun. According to the
record of Mikoyan’s January 1949 discussions with Mao, and the exchange
of cables between Mao and Stalin, it is clear that the Chinese Communist
leadership believed that the Soviet military should not withdraw precipi-
tously from Lushun. Mao even repeated this request when he met Stalin in
Moscow. It was Stalin, with his strong memory of the February 1946 China-
wide anti-Soviet demonstrations (after details of a secret Yalta agreement
on Soviet rights in China were leaked), who realized that if the Soviet
Union continued to occupy Lushun with the Chinese Communists now in
power, this would undermine the image of the Soviet Union and the
Chinese Communist Party in Chinese public opinion. He therefore
expressed his intent to withdraw.
    The Soviet Union’s geographical position and its newly acquired global
great power status determined that it would do everything in its power to
gain unimpeded access to the Pacific Ocean by means of an ice-free Pacific
naval base. Even after the Korean War, the Soviet Union set up a long-
wave radio station in China, and proposed that the Soviet Union, China
and Vietnam establish a joint submarine force. And, as late as the 1970s, it
acquired a naval base on Camranh Bay in Vietnam. All of this was aimed at
affording its freedom of naval access to the Pacific. We therefore cannot
ignore this motive in Stalin’s support for the Korean War.
    But this was not the only reason, and I’m afraid not the main reason,
for the war. The risk and the price of resorting to war to gain or to hold
onto a warm-water ocean port were just too great. Moreover, Stalin was
always careful and calculating. He would surely understand that if the
Korean War was lost, and all of the Korean peninsula fell into American
hands, the Lushun naval base would be worthless. Moreover, should the
Americans stand at the Tumen River (on the northern border of North
Korea), the Soviets would fear that even the use of Vladivostok would
become problematical. What, then, would be the significance in keeping
Lushun? And, if the war was won, was there any guarantee a unified Korea
would lease its own ice-free ports? Even if it did, who could guarantee that,
like the Chinese, the Koreans would not one day want to control their own
ports?
                                     -4-
What, then, were the main reasons that impelled Stalin in 1950 to dare to
support the Korean War? We can delve into the circumstances confront-
ing Stalin based on Shen’s analysis in this book. After Stalin was forced to
back down from the Berlin crisis, he obviously felt that Soviet power was
8   Introduction
unable to openly confront the United States in Europe. Since U.S. pres-
sure in Europe and the Middle East was just too great, he turned in
another direction to divert U.S. power. In Asia, Stalin had formerly main-
tained a moderate policy, and had not created trouble. There had been
no place to turn for help in Asia, and he had feared the danger of a two-
front war. Now, however, he dared to plot an offensive and challenge the
Americans. He calculated that with the success of the Chinese revolution,
New China (the People’s Republic of China) could pin down American
power in Asia and lighten its pressure in Europe and the Middle East.
Stalin handed the Chinese Communists the responsibility for guiding and
assisting Communist parties in Asia,9 and, with this goal in mind, asser-
tively sought to help China restore its economy and build its industries.
    Mao, Stalin and the Korean War acknowledges this change in Stalin’s atti-
tude toward the Chinese revolution. Shen explains how prior to late 1948,
Stalin had suggested a compromise between the Nationalists and the Com-
munists in order to stabilize the situation in China and protect Soviet
rights and interests in Northeast China. However, as described by Shen,
with the unexpected Chinese Communist gains in the civil war, Stalin lost
little time in using every means he could, short of outright, open support,
to help his “Chinese comrades.”
    Why did Stalin attach so much importance to the victory of the Chinese
revolution? First, China was very big. As the largest country in Asia, the
victory of the Chinese revolution undoubtedly was a great blow and not
insignificant threat to American power in the Pacific. Second, China’s
example would inspire others. If the United States, which had provided
significant wartime assistance to Nationalist China, a strategically valuable
ally, did not dare to intervene in the end on behalf of the Nationalists,
would it dare intervene in other Asian national revolutions? If most Asian
countries emulated China and rose in revolution, would the United States
have the strength to match the Soviet Union?
    It seems clear that the victory of the Chinese revolution and the birth of
New China in October 1949, and then the Sino-Soviet alliance signed in
February 1950, shifted the Asian power balance between the Soviet Union
and the United States. It also changed Stalin’s hitherto consistently cau-
tious attitude on issues in the Far East. This is not to say that Stalin
changed from the defensive to the offensive overnight. Stalin would still
not allow the Soviet Union to take on great risks. However, he seemed to
believe that through China, and with China out in front, he could cause
trouble for the United States. And, therefore, he not only did not fear
China’s development, but on the contrary, he wanted to help China
achieve more rapid development, so it could spread its influence, promote
revolution in Asia and check the United States.
    Is there a basis to support this conclusion? Yes, there is. The most perti-
nent proof is that when Liu Shaoqi visited Moscow in July 1949, Stalin
explicitly proposed a division of labor between the two communist parties,
                                                              Introduction   9
with the Chinese Communist Party guiding and assisting other Asian com-
munist parties toward revolution through the example and experience of
the Chinese revolution. In fact, Stalin appeared more enthusiastic and
engaged on the issue of Asian revolution than his Chinese Communist
guests. For example, in January 1950, Stalin suddenly started to ignore real
conditions in Japan and India, and give gratuitous advice to the commu-
nist parties in these countries.
   On January 6, the journal of the Cominform10 (Communist Informa-
tion Bureau) criticized the Japanese Communist Party not only for failing
to oppose the American occupation of Japan, but also for its policy line
that as long as the U.S. occupation forces remained in Japan, Japan might
possibly peacefully adopt socialism.11 In reaction to this criticism, Japanese
Communist Party leaders defended their policy, arguing in print that the
Cominform had not considered Japanese conditions. At this point, Stalin
mobilized Mao Zedong to direct Renmin ribao (People’s Daily) to publish
an editorial supporting the Cominform’s position. The Chinese Commu-
nist Party flagship publication criticized the Japanese Communist Party’s
peaceful transition policy, telling the Japanese party that it “must instruct
the [Japanese] people in revolutionary spirit . . . launch a resolute struggle
against U.S. imperialism and . . . end the U.S. occupation and reactionary
rule.”12
   In the face of joint Soviet–Chinese pressure, the Japanese Communist
Party accepted Cominform advice and changed its policy. Its leaders went
underground, and the party turned from “peaceful revolution” to urban
and rural guerilla warfare. In the same period, buoyed by the success of
his new Chinese allies, Stalin launched a similar attack on the leadership
of the Indian Communist Party.
                                       -5-
Stalin was not radicalized overnight on the Korean issue just because he
signed a new treaty with China under which Lushun would revert to China
in a few years. As we have seen, from 1948 on, he began to reevaluate his
attitude and to gradually provide greater support for the Chinese Commu-
nists. But only in January 1950 did Stalin fundamentally change his policy
to promote revolution throughout Asia. Stalin’s shift from his previous
opposition to war in Korea to support for the North Korean invasion of
South Korea was part of this overall policy reversal.
   Why did this happen in January 1950 and not before or after? Shen is
certainly correct in stressing that this happened at this time because Stalin
had decided to conclude a new treaty with China. Before this, though
Stalin had a favorable view of the Chinese revolution, and, moreover, had
started to provide massive support to it from 1948 onward, he was still
extremely careful, fearing he might aggravate the British and Americans.
Therefore, he did all he could to hide his growing and now finally total
support for the Chinese Communists. Why was Stalin so fearful of the
10   Introduction
United States and Britain on Far Eastern issues? One key reason was the
Yalta Agreement, specifically with respect to the Soviet acquisition of
former Japanese territory. On December 16, 1949, the day Mao arrived in
Moscow, Stalin made this point clearly.
   Stalin told Mao that the 1945 bilateral treaty with the Nationalists was
concluded on the basis of the Yalta Agreement. And, the Soviet postwar
acquisition of South Sakhalin and the Kuril Islands was also based on the
Yalta Agreement. If the 1945 Sino-Soviet treaty was abrogated, and a new
bilateral treaty was concluded, said Stalin, this would undermine the Soviet
Union’s legal position, “since a change in even one point could give
America and England the legal grounds to raise questions about modify-
ing . . . provisions concerning the Kuril Islands, South Sakhalin, etc.”13
   Two weeks later, Stalin, caught in an historical vortex, finally thought
the issue through. On January 2, 1950 he sent then First Deputy Premier
Vyasheslav Molotov along with Politburo member Anastas Mikoyan to see
Mao to convey that he (Stalin) and the Soviet Communist Party Politburo
had decided to conclude a new treaty with China, the Yalta Agreement be
damned. Obviously, if Stalin wanted to depend on Chinese support, he
needed to establish an alliance relationship with Mao. If he rigidly
adhered to the Yalta Agreement, it would be impossible to transform
China into a truly significant ally. Compared with any lingering attach-
ment in Asia to the Yalta Agreement – which had already been shot
through with holes by the Chinese revolution – it was obviously now more
in the Soviet interest to sign a treaty with Mao. It was clear from the strug-
gle in Europe with the United States that it was only a matter of time
before the Cold War spread to the Far East. Without China’s support the
Soviet Union would be in a passive position in Asia. If Stalin wanted to
draw on China’s strength to check the United States in the Far East, he
could not remain bound by the Yalta Agreement. How could shrewd
Stalin let Mao go away disgruntled and not find a way to turn Mao into
his ally?
   The lure of the benefits from relations with China and the great hope
he invested in China’s revolutionary experience prodded Stalin to make
up his mind, bury his concern over any possible American and British
reaction, and sign a new treaty with China. And, only when he allied with
China and leaned on it to promote Asian revolution was Stalin in a posi-
tion to urge the Japanese, Indian and other Asian Communist parties to
follow China on the road to armed revolution. In this situation, when he
learned that Kim Il-sung had once again proposed to unify Korea by mili-
tary means, Stalin was inclined to change his formerly negative attitude
and agree without hesitation to Kim’s request.
   At a January 17, 1950 lunch, an agitated and excited Kim Il-sung first
told two Soviet Embassy counselors and then the Soviet ambassador that
following China’s successful liberation, the next issue was how to liberate
the people in southern Korea. He could hardly sleep at night when he
                                                           Introduction   11
thought of unifying Korea. But the last time he had visited Moscow and
raised the issue, Stalin had merely told him that he could counterattack
South Korea if Syngman Rhee’s forces attacked North Korea. The problem
was that Rhee had not launched an offensive attack and thus the issue of
Korean national unification had dragged on without resolution. He
needed to see Stalin again to seek guidance on the liberation of the South
by the People’s Army.
   In line with his existing instructions, Soviet Ambassador Shtykov replied
cautiously to Kim. But to Shtykov’s surprise, after receiving his report,
Stalin responded on January 30, 1950 that he now wanted to help Kim.
    I understand the dissatisfaction of Comrade Kim Il-sung, but he must
    understand that such a large matter in regard to South Korea such as
    he wants to undertake needs large preparation. The matter must be
    organized so that there would not be too great a risk. If he wants to
    discuss this matter with me, then I will always be ready to receive him
    and discuss it with him. Transmit this to Kim Il-sung and tell him that
    I am ready to help him in this matter.14
It’s not hard to see that the situation in Asia changed dramatically in
January 1950. The unexpected change flowed from Stalin’s decision to
abandon the Yalta Agreement and ally with China. All the subsequent
moves, his promotion of armed revolution in Japan and India, and his will-
ingness to help Kim Il-sung unify Korea through the force of arms, fol-
lowed from Stalin’s new sense of freedom of action in Asia.
                                     -6-
Since Stalin had decided to go on the attack, why did he not tell Mao, who
was then still in Moscow, that he was ready to help Kim?
    Shen offers some explanations.
    First: Since Mao had asked Stalin to assist in the liberation of Taiwan
and Stalin had turned him down, it would be very hard for Stalin to con-
vince Mao to agree to support military measures in Korea. And, pending
in-depth discussions with Kim, Stalin was not in a position to seek Mao’s
opinion on launching a war in Korea.
    Second: Stalin was worried that Mao would oppose his decision and,
should the situation become difficult, Mao would refuse to be drawn in
and would not accept Moscow’s direction.
    Third: Stalin would be keeping Mao in the dark only for a time. In the
end, Stalin would still seek Mao’s agreement, since he had to take precau-
tions against any possible U.S. intervention. As a countermeasure, Stalin
hoped that China would take responsibility and its military forces would
contend with any American threat.
    I fundamentally agree with Shen’s first point, but believe something
more needs to be said about his second and third points.
12   Introduction
   In July 1949 Stalin and Liu Shaoqi had agreed to a division of labor
between the Soviet and Chinese Communist parties, with the Chinese
taking responsibility for other Asian communist parties, and the Soviets
taking responsibility for communist parties on other continents. But there
was an important exception. Moscow had nurtured the North Korean
party, the Korean Worker’s Party, since the Soviet occupation of Korea,
and this remained a Soviet responsibility. In the division of labor in Asia,
Stalin was not required to consult China in any detail on the Korean issue.
   We cannot say with any surety that in the period before Stalin met Kim
and agreed on military action, Stalin did not tell Mao what was on his
mind because he lacked confidence in Mao. While Mao was in Moscow,
Stalin’s discussions with Kim were in the future, with a decision on an
offensive pending. Therefore, Stalin understandably would not at this
juncture tell Mao in any detail what he was thinking with regard to Kim’s
plan. At the same time, as far we presently know, there is no definitive
proof that Stalin and Mao did not discuss the Korean question in detail in
Moscow. In Mao, Stalin and the Korean War, Shen refers to the fact that
Stalin and Mao “possibly” discussed the Korean question or, again, “dis-
cussed the Korean question” in Moscow, but states that “details are
unknown.” Therefore, we have no basis to conclude that the two leaders
were in disagreement over Kim’s plan to unify Korea by force.
   Actually, on the basic principle of using military force in Korea, even if
we do not know what Stalin and Mao talked about, we can infer with some
certainty that there would be no basic disagreement between the two. To
say that Mao might oppose the offensive would mean at the most that he
would oppose the timing of an offensive. By 1950, like Stalin, Mao clearly
believed that the unification of Korea could only be accomplished through
a war of liberation. Mao spoke to the Koreans on this point a year earlier,
cautioning Kim Il-sung’s secret envoy, Kim Il, in April 1949 that no offen-
sive against the South should be launched in 1949, that a North Korean
offensive against the South could only be considered after the end of the
Chinese civil war, and only then after consultations with Moscow. And, in
spring 1950 Mao was mentally prepared to discuss the issue with Kim Il-
sung. In fact, when North Korean Ambassador Li Juyeon met with Mao
(likely in April 1950) to discuss Kim’s intended visit to see Mao, Mao told
Li that, “[If] you intend to begin military action against the South in the
near future, then [Kim and I] should not meet officially. In such a case
the trip should be unofficial.”15
   There is the question of when Stalin should report the situation to Mao
and whether he should consider the issue of secrecy. As Shen points out,
the Korean War was the first major international issue to confront the
Sino-Soviet alliance, and a major test of this alliance relationship. Further-
more, Korea adjoined China’s main industrial base in the Northeast.
There was every reason for Stalin to report to Mao that he and Kim were
ready to implement such an important military plan. But we need to
                                                             Introduction   13
understand that Stalin was a very cautious and calculating person. Before
even settling on the kernel of a plan through discussion with Kim, Stalin
would not lightly reveal his personal thoughts to others. And even when
the kernel of a plan was developed, Stalin would still carefully think
through the situation before deciding when to tell Mao. Thus, only after
Kim visited Moscow and Stalin and Kim agreed on an offensive did Stalin
instruct Kim to go to Beijing to talk with Mao and gain his acquiescence.
For Stalin, this was taking a big risk.
   Why do I say this? According to Anastas Mikoyan, Stalin trusted Mao
(by early 1949), but had no similar confidence that the Chinese Commu-
nist leadership as a whole was capable of protecting secrets. Mikoyan
recounts that in January 1949, when Stalin was consulting secretly with
Mao by cable on how to respond to Chiang Kai-shek’s request to the Soviet
Union, the United States and Britain to mediate between the Nationalists
and the Communists, U.S. Ambassador Leighton Stuart unexpectedly
acted first, telling the Nationalists that the U.S. did not want to mediate.
This produced a strong reaction in the Kremlin, where it was widely
believed there must have been a leak regarding the Stalin–Mao exchanges
on the mediation issue from within the Chinese Communist leadership.
Stalin specifically asked Mikoyan to convey the high importance he
(Stalin) placed in the protection of secrets by the Chinese Communist
Party. Although Mao told Mikoyan there was no possibility of a leak of his
exchanges with Stalin, Mikoyan was not convinced.16 In the same period,
Stalin received a report from his personal representative in China, I. V.
Kovalev, that the Chinese Communist leadership was internally compli-
cated, with some pro-U.S. tendencies.17 In view of this situation, we may
have reason to believe that Stalin did not strive to pull the wool over Mao’s
eyes. On the contrary, to prevent Mao from feeling he was not being taken
seriously, Stalin took the considerable risk, at least as he likely saw it, of
giving Mao a heads-up on the Korean War, a secret military move of major
significance.
   To come up with logical explanations for the actions of calculating
leaders, scholars often too easily ascribe the qualities of circumspection,
far-sightedness and command brilliance, in other words, the ability to plan
for every eventuality and weigh the merits of every possibility beforehand.
But, sometimes this does not accord with reality. Many historical events
actually occur based on accidental factors. Many historical figures were far
less crafty and sagacious than we believe today. To think that Stalin, before
the outbreak of the Korean War, had planned that if the United States
intervened, he would let China take the responsibility of sending troops to
confront the United States is, perhaps, to deify Stalin. This leads some
people easily to the misinterpretation that Shen agrees with the idea that
Stalin supported the Korean War in order to drag China into the war and
drive a wedge between China and the United States. And, this, in fact, is
not Shen’s viewpoint. In his book, Shen makes it very clear that before the
14   Introduction
outbreak of the war, and during the planning for the war, Stalin actually gave
very little careful thought to the possibility of a direct U.S. intervention.
   U.S. forces were stationed in South Korea from September 1945 until
June 1949. When the Korean War broke out, there was still a U.S. military
advisory group in South Korea helping to train South Korean forces.
Normal logic would dictate that if North Korea launched an offensive, and
South Korea faced a crisis, given the American government’s confronta-
tional attitude toward the Soviet Union in Europe and the Middle East,
there was a good possibility that it would intervene with its troops in Korea.
Most people today would view it as extremely logical to think that Stalin
would have planned from the outset to send the Chinese to confront the
Americans if there was a setback in the war.
   However, sometimes history is strange and puzzling. Looking through
all the documents and historical material, we can find no evidence that
Stalin ever considered the possibility that the U.S. would intervene mili-
tarily with its own forces. Kim Il-sung had even said that Stalin believed
that the Americans would not intervene. We can find no indication in the
blitzkrieg offensive plan devised by the Soviet generals who helped North
Korea plan for its offensive or in the reams of now available intelligence
and operational reports exchanged before the war between the Soviet
Union and North Korea that these two countries prepared in any way for a
possible U.S. intervention. This would be inconceivable had Stalin given
any thought at all to the possibility of a U.S. intervention. And this
explains perfectly why, before seeing Mao at Stalin’s request, Kim was so
confident that he did not need to ask China for any assistance. It also
explains why, after the war broke out and American forces intervened, as
Shen notes, Moscow and Pyongyang were so surprised, even to the extent
that Stalin did not know whether the North Koreans planned to continue
or temporarily halt their advance, and whether they would be frightened
by U.S. bombing. As a result, the advance of the Korean People’s Army
was clearly stymied, and, after occupying Seoul, it temporarily halted its
advance. To continue its offensive, a little over a week after starting the
war, the Korean People’s Army was forced on the fly to quickly and com-
pletely reorganize its command structure. This situation raises big ques-
tions about the theory that Stalin strived to use the Korean War to drive a
wedge between the United States and China.
                                         -7-
If Stalin wasn’t so brilliant and far-sighted on the Korean issue, what about
Mao? On the basis of currently available documentation, at the very least
Mao gave somewhat more thought to the possibility of foreign inter-
vention than Stalin. However, he fixated largely on Japan and not on the
United States. Shen quotes Mao’s comments on the issue in some detail.
In late April 1949, in meeting with the Director of the Political Depart-
ment of Korean People’s Army, Kim Il, Mao said that, when the Americans
                                                           Introduction   15
leave, if war breaks out on the Korean peninsula and drags on, Japan
might intervene. And, should the Americans leave Korea and the Japanese
not step in behind them, if the North launches an attack on the South, the
Japanese might still become involved, since “MacArthur can quickly send
Japanese troops and arms to Korea.”18 When Mao met with North Korean
Ambassador Li some weeks before Kim Il-sung’s May 1950 visit, he went so
far as to say that, “As regards the Americans, there is no need to be afraid
of them. The Americans will not enter a third world war over such a small
territory.”19
    As far as can be documented, Mao raised the possibility of a U.S. mili-
tary intervention on only one occasion, on May 15, 1950, while discussing
the North Korean plan with Kim Il-sung. Mao once again first asked about
the possibility the Japanese would intervene. Kim replied that there was no
possibility that Japan (i.e., the Japanese government) would get involved,
but he could not exclude the possibility that the U.S., still occupying
Japan, might dispatch 20,000–30,000 Japanese troops. However, said Kim,
the introduction of Japanese troops would have no decisive effect on the
progress of the war. If Japanese forces joined in the war, the Korean
People’s Army would fight even more fiercely. Mao said that under exist-
ing circumstances there was no possibility that Japan would get involved,
but should 20,000–30,000 Japanese troops join the fight, the war could
become protracted.
    Mao then changed the subject and suggested that if U.S. forces inter-
vened, China would send troops to help North Korea. Since the Soviet
Union had an agreement with the United States regarding the 38th paral-
lel, said Mao, it was not possible for Moscow to intervene, but China was
under no such obligation, and could help Korea. Kim tactfully declined
Mao’s suggestion, since he believed there was no possibility the Americans
would intervene. But Mao persisted, indicating that if North Korea
launched its war on the South after China occupied Taiwan, China would
be able to provide abundant assistance. But, since North Korea had
already decided to go to war, the two countries shared the task with
respect to the fight, so China agreed and would provide whatever assist-
ance was necessary.
    “Should American forces intervene, China will deploy its troops to help
Korea.”19 Mao said this and was prepared to do it. But his promise stirred
up considerable unease inside the Chinese Communist Party leadership.
As recounted in Mao, Stalin and the Korean War, Zhou Enlai’s July 2 discus-
sion with the Soviet ambassador conveyed a sense of the angst and dissatis-
faction in the Chinese leadership that the North Koreans had launched
their offensive without regard to the possibility of an American inter-
vention. But take a look at early August. When the North Korean offensive
had advanced toward Pusan and the Tsushima Strait, and was bearing
down on the U.S. Army, with only about 100 sq km to go, within the
Chinese Communist Politburo, there was a growing itch to join in the final
16   Introduction
fight. Mao stated that China should prepare to assist North Korea with its
People’s Volunteers. Even more ambitiously, Zhou Enlai said that, “To
gain victory, we need to add the China factor. After the China factor is
added, there may be a change in the international situation.” However, in
early October, when the whole war situation was reversed by the American
landing at Inchon, the main force of the Korean People’s Army was on the
point of collapse, and the U.S. and South Korean forces seemed on the verge
of quickly sweeping past the 38th parallel, most members of the Chinese
Communist Party leadership initially treated Mao’s proposal to deploy
Chinese forces with reserve.
   The step-by-step explanation of the process by which the Chinese
decided to join the war and the evolution of Chinese attitudes as described
in Mao, Stalin and the Korean War is convincing, logical, dramatic and on
target. Shen, by consulting and comparing a large number of Russian and
Chinese documents, along with memoirs of leaders during the Korean
War, has meticulously, boldly and engagingly sketched the whole process.
Though Shen is known as a specialist in Soviet studies, his grasp of the
background to Chinese decision-making and investigation into Chinese
psychology is his strongest point, surpassing his passages regarding the
motivations of Stalin and Kim. Perhaps, after all, it is easier for Chinese to
capture and describe the motivations of other Chinese than to fathom and
sketch the motivations of foreigners. This reminds us that despite the fairly
large release of Russian documentation on the Korean War, it is still very
hard to peer into Stalin’s internal world and to fully comprehend the
reasons for his miscalculations.
1      Stalin
       From Yalta to the Far East
Stalin played a pivotal role in two major events in East Asia in the mid-
twentieth century: the formation of the Sino-Soviet alliance, which lasted
in any practical sense for only a decade, and the Korean War, whose effects
have long outlasted the Cold War. Stalin’s influential role derived from his
leadership of the international Communist movement and the Soviet
Union’s enhanced global status as a result of World War II.
   In the immediate postwar years, Soviet policies toward both China and
Korea aimed to foster regional stability within the Yalta system, vital, in
Moscow’s view, to promoting Soviet economic interests and security goals
in the Far East. In this light, Stalin’s alliance with newly communist China
in February 1950 and his April 1950 green light for Kim Il-sung’s attack on
South Korea (in June) constituted sharp breaks with the strategies and
policies he had adopted in 1945.
   Until 1950, Soviet policies toward China and Korea were not closely
linked. But after Stalin decided in early 1950 that “there has been a shift
in the international situation,” his policies created – in actuality if not in
intent – an inherent link between his China and Korea policies. To grasp
the significance of this change, we need to delve into the origin and moti-
vation of Stalin’s early postwar policies in the Far East.
Soviet postwar foreign policy goals
With the end of World War II, twentieth-century international relations
entered a new phase. The early postwar years were a time of transition, of
realignments in the international political order and strategic redefini-
tions by all the major powers, setting the parameters for future events by
channeling the course the major powers would take. Consequently, an
appraisal of Stalin’s early postwar foreign policy and strategy can clarify
the evolution of Soviet policy toward China and Korea, including the
objective conditions and subjective motivations that led the Soviet Union
and Communist China to form their alliance.
   Scholars around the world have long probed Stalin’s postwar foreign policy
from two different viewpoints. One view is that Stalin had an aggressively
18   Stalin – from Yalta to the Far East
ambitious program, seeking to control and expand his spheres of influence.
The other view is that Stalin resorted to moderate, cautious and defensive
political countermeasures.1 Before the dissolution of the Soviet Union,
however, scholars representing these points of view, whether traditionalists or
revisionists, had virtually no access to Soviet archives; their conclusions were
based mainly on analysis of public statements and actions of Soviet leaders.
    Now, with Russia’s opening of its Soviet-era archives to foreign view,
scholars have begun to reexamine Stalin’s postwar foreign policy. Some now
believe that Stalin’s postwar behavior was eccentric and capricious, that
Soviet foreign policy was aimless and freighted with inertia, and that its pol-
icies toward both Europe and the Far East were “blind” and “lacked any
internal linkages.” Others believe that the political aim of Stalin’s foreign
policy was simply to protect Soviet vested interests and spheres of influence,
that he had no intention of fanning world revolution, that he did not want
to directly confront the West and that, for a time, he thought Soviet security
goals could be harmonized with the West in line with Yalta and Potsdam
principles. In this view, faced with an increasingly tense situation in relations
with the West, Stalin was at a loss over what to do. The Chinese Communist
victory in 1949 then had a major impact on Stalin, and the new Sino-Soviet
alliance in turn really stoked Soviet conflict with the United States.2
    These views, however, do not fully and accurately reflect the strategic
objectives of immediate postwar Soviet foreign policy. Without sketching
the meandering evolution of Stalin’s foreign policy in this period, it is
hard to understand the essence of Soviet foreign policy and the reasons
behind shifting Soviet policies toward China and Korea.
A juggling act: peaceful coexistence, world revolution and
realpolitik
Peering through the dense, roiling fog of history, we can discern three
strategic aspects or levels that shaped postwar Soviet foreign policy –
peaceful coexistence, world revolution and national security interests.
   First was peaceful coexistence. As Stalin said after World War II:
    In the most strenuous times during the war the differences in govern-
    ment did not prevent our two governments [the U.S. and the USSR]
    from joining together and vanquishing our foes. Even more so it is
    possible to continue this relationship in time of peace.3
This view was based on wartime cooperation, especially on the “Yalta
system” forged by the leaders of the United States, Great Britain and the
Soviet Union at the summit meeting held at Yalta on the Crimean penin-
sula in February 1945.
   The Yalta Conference shaped the postwar world order. After Germany’s
surrender, the Potsdam Conference in July 1945 confirmed and amplified
                                          Stalin – from Yalta to the Far East   19
the results of the Yalta Conference. Based on the reach of their political
and military power, the three major allied countries divided up what
became the spheres of influence of the Soviet Union in the East and the
United States and Great Britain in the West. Many scholars hold that Stalin
was satisfied with the Yalta system, both in form and content. The struc-
tures built into this system all fit well with Russia’s traditional national
security strategy of using space to buy time, i.e., creating broad buffer
zones around its national perimeter to guarantee sufficient time for
maneuver and preparation against possible threats.
   Later Georgian Communist Party First Secretary Akaki Mgeladze and
then Foreign Minister Vyacheslav Molotov told the following anecdote:
After the war, a map showing the new borders of the Soviet Union was
brought to Stalin’s dacha. Stalin pinned it to the wall and said to those
around him:
    Let’s take a look. What do we have here? In the north, everything is as
    it should be. Finland offended us, so we have pushed our border away
    from Leningrad. Poland’s coast has long been Russian territory! Now
    it’s ours again. Our Byelorussians now all live together, as do our
    Ukrainians and Moldovans. The situation in the West is normal.
As Stalin spoke, he turned and pointed to the Soviet Union’s eastern
border. “What’s the situation here? The Kurils are back with us, and Sakha-
lin is all ours. Just look at how good things are! Lushun is ours, as is Dalian.”
Stalin next drew a circle around China with his pipe. “The Changchun
Railway is also ours; there’s no problem with China or Mongolia.” Then he
pointed south of the Caucasus. “But I don’t like our border here.”4
    Stalin’s tour d’horizon puts the Soviet Union’s postwar situation in
good perspective.
    Except for Stalin’s disappointment with the border “south of the Cauca-
sus,” through the war and the Yalta system the Soviet Union had gained
new political rights and interests. From Finland through the three Baltic
states to Eastern Europe, and from the Near East to Mongolia, onto North-
eastern China, and the northern part of the Korean peninsula, and to the
islands north of Japan, Stalin had achieved Russia’s long-standing strategic
goal of building broad national security buffer zones all around it. There-
fore, Stalin, above all, needed to maintain peaceful coexistence with the
Western capitalist world. Only then could he guarantee the vested inter-
ests of the Soviet Union at the lowest possible cost.
    Yet, from the perspective of world revolution, the Soviet Union’s
highest strategic goal, peaceful coexistence was still only a temporary goal.
Stalin held that the socialist Soviet Union would inevitably eliminate the
capitalist world, and, further, that this historical mission of the Soviet
Union and the world proletariat could only be achieved through revolu-
tion. As Stalin put it prior to World War II,
20   Stalin – from Yalta to the Far East
    What do all these facts show? That the stabilization of capitalism is
    coming to an end, that the upsurge of the mass revolutionary move-
    ment will increase with fresh vigor . . . the bourgeoisie will seek a way
    out through a new imperialist war . . . the proletariat, in fighting capi
    talist exploitation and the war danger, will seek a way out through
    revolution.5
After the war, Stalin again proposed the theory of the general crisis of
capitalism, asserting that,
    Marxists have declared more than once that the capitalist system of
    world economy harbors elements of general crises and armed conflicts
    and that, hence, the development of capitalism in our time proceeds
    not in the form of smooth and even progress but through crises and
    military catastrophes.6
Capitalist crisis leads to war, war brings on revolution and revolution
upends the capitalist world; this is the logic of Stalin’s general crisis theory.
In line with this world view, Soviet foreign policy should be encompassed
within an overall system of world revolution, whether the world situation is
characterized by peace or war. If Stalin’s theory is followed to its logical
end, peaceful coexistence should be subordinated to world revolution; it
is only a partial, temporary goal within the overall strategic goal of world
revolution.
    But Stalin’s consistent guiding principle was to put Soviet national
security interests at the heart of his foreign policy and strategy. The theo-
retical basis for this guiding principle was Stalin’s “theory of socialism in
one country.” Therefore, with respect to basic Soviet foreign policy goals –
i.e., the promotion of Soviet national security interests – world revolution
was merely a means or perhaps a partial and temporary goal within its
external strategy. Under Lenin, the Russian Bolshevik party defined its
task as international revolution, liberating all of mankind through a world-
wide revolutionary upsurge, and even eliminating national borders. In
actuality, however, by the time Stalin emerged supreme, Great Russian
chauvinism was already deeply rooted in the Soviet Communist Party.
    Before the war, when the Soviet Union was surrounded by capitalist
states, Stalin held that the defense of Soviet national interests was not only
the starting point for Soviet foreign policy, but also the goal of struggling
proletariats and proletarian parties around the world. This belief enabled
Stalin to sign the Soviet–German Non-aggression Pact, ruthlessly divide
Poland, establish an “Eastern Front,” sign a Neutrality Pact with Japan,
launch a war on Finland under false pretenses and ultimately dissolve the
Communist International (Comintern).
    Stalin believed that Soviet national interests equated with the interests
of socialism and the fundamental interests of mankind. Therefore, his
                                        Stalin – from Yalta to the Far East   21
logic went, the interests of world revolution should be subordinated to
Soviet national interests. Whether and when the people of a country
should rise in revolution, and whether or not the Soviet Union should
support a given national liberation movement, depended on whether or
not a revolutionary movement was helpful in promoting Soviet national
interests. This was Stalin’s unwavering logic.
   To summarize, in Stalin’s three-dimensional structure of foreign policy
aims, Soviet national security always occupied the highest place. In dealing
with postwar international relations, depending on time and place, Stalin
sometimes used the need for peaceful coexistence as a reason to adjust
policy, and sometimes fanned world revolution for his political objectives.
These moves were always temporary and changeable; his goal was to guar-
antee Soviet national security interests. Everything was ultimately subordi-
nated to Soviet foreign policy aims.
From opportunistic cooperation to outright confrontation
From this starting point, Stalin’s postwar foreign policy evolved gradually
from maintaining great power cooperation and limited expansionism
toward stark bloc-on-bloc confrontation.
    Immediately after the war, Stalin wanted to maintain the cooperative
partnership that he had forged with the Western allies during the war in
order to strengthen political benefits the Soviet Union had gained in the
Yalta and Potsdam agreements. The passive Soviet reactions to the Greek
revolution, the Chinese revolution, the communist movement in Western
Europe and other issues in 1945 make this clear. Stalin maintained this
foreign policy direction based on the following considerations:
    First, as a result of World War II, the Soviet Union had become a polit-
ical and military world power, but still faced an enormous task of recovery
and development. Soviet postwar economic strength then was simply no
match for the Western countries led by the United States. The reconstruc-
tion task required cooperation with the United States and other Western
countries to assure the peaceful external environment needed by the
Soviet Union to rebuild and expand its devastated domestic economy.
    Second, Stalin’s policy of diplomatic cooperation was based on his
belief that for a period after the war, there was no possibility another
world war would erupt. Stalin formulated a two-tiered definition of a new
world war, either one between capitalist countries or one between capital-
ist countries and the Soviet Union. He argued that,
    [W]ar with the U.S.S.R. . . . is more dangerous to capitalism than war
    between capitalist countries; for whereas war between capitalist coun-
    tries puts in question only the supremacy of certain capitalist countries
    over others, war with the U.S.S.R. must certainly put in question the
    existence of capitalism itself.
22   Stalin – from Yalta to the Far East
But the Soviet Union would not attack the capitalist countries.7 Under
these conditions, it was crucial for the Soviet Union to continue to cooper-
ate diplomatically with the West.
   Third, the Yalta system guaranteed the Soviet Union’s postwar interna-
tional position and national security interests. As Stalin saw it, the Soviet
Union’s postwar spheres of influence were established through an inter-
national cooperative process with its (then) Western allies. In order to
uphold the Yalta system, Soviet foreign policy must be based on cooper
ation with the West.
   In sum, the Yalta system guaranteed the Soviet Union’s vested interests,
but they could be assured only by a cooperative policy. Yet divisions were
inherent in this cooperation. Latent conflict over national interests aside,
there were other reasons:
   First of all, owing to their differing ideologies, value systems and social
systems, the Soviet Union and the Western powers stood in diametrical
opposition. Their wartime alliance had been built on specific historical
conditions dictated by their joint opposition to common threats. With the
end of the war, their enemies were vanquished, and, therefore, the histor-
ical mission of their alliance and the reason for its existence was over.
   Next, though President Roosevelt and Stalin both advocated a policy of
cooperative great power global dominion, Roosevelt, having seen the draw-
backs of the post-World War I Versailles agreements, sought to ensure
peace and stability through organizations such as the United Nations.
Roosevelt aimed to use such organizations to coordinate international affairs
among the big powers. Roosevelt believed that American interests could be
assured by relying on American economic power and the Open Door policy.
But other Western leaders, notably Prime Minister Churchill, shared neither
Roosevelt’s political power nor his innovative thinking. On issues where
Roosevelt might tolerate or ignore Stalin, his successor, President Truman,
and other Western leaders were drawn to oppose Stalin. Roosevelt’s death
arguably darkened prospects for great power cooperation.
   Finally, by contrast with the intent that underlay Roosevelt’s coopera-
tive policy, the great power cooperation advocated by Stalin – at its core –
continued the traditional international practice of distributing the spoils
of war among the victors, in this case dividing up global spheres of power.
In substituting the Yalta system for the prewar Versailles agreements,
Stalin’s intent was to build a new world order based on shared Soviet–
American world dominion.
   Having been encircled for decades by the capitalist world, and seeing
itself constrained and discriminated against, the Soviet Union had long
nursed its lonely grievances. The rise of Russian revanchism as a result of
Czarist Russia’s defeat in the Russo-Japanese War (1904–05), of course, fed
into these feelings. As a result, Stalin’s World War II victories filled him
with a new feeling of superiority. As a victor, the Soviet Union could now
join in world domination. Because of this, and despite the fact that it
                                       Stalin – from Yalta to the Far East   23
pursued a policy of big power cooperation, the Soviet Union often showed
an itch to expand, especially in places not covered by the Yalta and
Potsdam agreements.
    Theoretically, if the Soviet Union and the West had scrupulously abided
by the principle of peaceful coexistence, even if the two sides could not
share the same kind of wartime alliance relationship, they still could have
at least maintained a normal cooperative relationship. However, owing to
the reasons noted above, in the new postwar world order, the standpoints
and viewpoints of the Soviet Union and the West were poles apart. Both
sides viewed the other as rivals, and did all they could to check and harm
the other side. Both sides jockeyed to strengthen their own international
position and to change the world to accord with their values and modes of
thought. As a result, it was hard to avoid rising discord and conflict.
    Conflict between the Soviet Union and the Western powers first arose
over Eastern Europe. Eastern Europe bordered the Soviet Union’s Euro-
pean heartland, and, historically, Eastern Europe had often been the cor-
ridor through which foreign enemies had invaded Russia. Consequently,
Eastern Europe was the key prize sought by Stalin in constructing Soviet
postwar security buffers and spheres of influence. The core of this policy
was to use the Soviet Red Army’s advance into Eastern Europe to support
Eastern European communist parties in setting up pro-Soviet governments
and Soviet-style structures. This gained at one stroke two great strategic
goals of Soviet foreign policy, guaranteeing its national security and pro-
moting world revolution. Therefore, on the question of Eastern Europe,
the Soviet Union would not yield an inch to the United States and the
Western countries.
    As early as the Yalta Conference Stalin had made it clear that he would
not tolerate any challenge to his power in Eastern Europe. He flatly
rejected the American proposal to replace the Soviet-sponsored Lublin
Provisional Government with an alternative Polish provisional govern-
ment. In September 1945 the Soviet Union similarly rebuffed an Ameri-
can request to reconstitute the Romanian and Bulgarian governments.
And, on the German question, the Soviet aim was to turn the Soviet zone
of occupation into a forward buffer to guarantee the security of the
western part of the Soviet Union. The Soviet Union sought to strengthen
its zone, to maximize its influence in Germany and to prevent the forma-
tion of a Western-leaning independent government in the Western-
occupied zones.
    The hard-line attitude of the Western powers toward Stalin’s actions in
Eastern Europe reflected their unhappiness and misgivings. But there was
little they could do under the Yalta system. Eastern Europe was now effect-
ively in the Soviet sphere of influence, and, even should the West react, it
would look weak.
    The issues that sparked conflict and led to policy changes on both sides
occurred in those areas that had not been defined or adjusted under the
24   Stalin – from Yalta to the Far East
Yalta agreements, most prominently, Turkey and Iran. It was in these areas
that Stalin expressed his own dissatisfaction, along with expansionist
intentions.
    Czarist Russia and the European great powers had historically contested
for control of the Near East. From the nineteenth century on, Czarist
Russia had single-mindedly sought to control the Dardanelles, the strait
linking the Black and Aegean Seas, and to gain an ice-free ocean port in
the Persian Gulf to the south in Iran. After World War II, Turkey and Iran
also occupied a fairly important place in Stalin’s foreign policy. If the
Soviet Union could gain political and economic rights and interests in
these countries, this would not only guarantee the security of its southern
border, but would also gain bases from which to make further moves
toward the Mediterranean Sea and Indian Ocean. However, under the
Yalta agreements, neither Turkey nor Iran was in the Soviet sphere of
influence. So Stalin’s designs evoked strong Western responses.
    Soviet pressure to gain footholds in Turkey and Iran had a major
impact on postwar relations between the Soviet Union and the West. Two
studies of these events8 led to the following conclusions:
    First, though Stalin’s actions in the Near East were motivated by the
Soviet Union’s desire to expand its sphere of influence in the region, he
did not want to change his fundamental policy of cooperation with the
West. He clearly did not foresee Western reactions to his actions when
they went beyond the Yalta agreements. Therefore, when faced with a stiff
attitude from the United States and Britain, the Soviet Union retreated
and compromised. The Soviet Union’s military withdrawal from Iran, like
its military withdrawals from Northeast China and, later, from North
Korea, showed that there were limits to Stalin’s expansionism. In these
situations, he wanted to avoid direct confrontation and conflict, especially
with the United States.9
    Second, the Soviet Union’s diplomatic moves strengthened coordination
and consensus in the West. The rise in the postwar position of the United
States and the decline in British and French power led to some contradic-
tions among the Western countries. This was evident in the fairly large dif-
ferences between the United States and Great Britain over the Turkish and
Iranian questions. But Soviet actions in this period caused all the Western
countries to feel under threat. This promoted Western unity. To some signi-
ficant extent, against the backdrop of the West’s long-standing, inherent
anti-Communist ideology, the Soviet Union’s postwar diplomatic actions on
its periphery strengthened Western collective consciousness and quickened
the formation of the Western anti-Soviet alliance.
    Third, the Soviet Union’s diplomatic actions hastened the revision of
Western policy toward the Soviet Union. The two Near East incidents
finally brought about the rupture of what was already a shaky cooperative
relationship between the Soviet Union and the West, deepening mutual
suspicion, hostility and confrontation. Churchill’s “Iron Curtain” speech,
                                        Stalin – from Yalta to the Far East   25
even with its strong ideological color, evoked no strong response in the
United States and in other Western countries. But American diplomat
George Kennan’s “Theory of Containment” and President Truman’s pol-
icies show that the Soviet Union’s actions in the Near East caused the big
Western countries to feel their own interests had been violated. This
brought about a revision in their policy toward the Soviet Union. The con-
frontations over Turkey and Iran thus paved the way toward formation of
antagonistic blocs between the Soviet Union and the West.
   Soviet setbacks in Turkey and Iran led Stalin to conclude that the Soviet
Union could no longer go it alone in international affairs, and that, to
contend with the United States and its Western allies, he needed to coord
inate and unite the power of the Soviet Union with the Eastern European
countries now under his control. Not long after the Soviet Union withdrew
from Iran, around the end of May and the beginning of June 1946, in talks
with Yugoslav and Bulgarian leaders, Stalin broached the idea of establish-
ing a Communist Information Bureau to coordinate policy. He later took
up the idea again in the spring of 1947 with Polish United Workers’ Party
leader Wladyslaw Gomulka.10 This shows that Stalin was thinking, albeit in
embryonic form, of an over-arching framework for collective diplomatic
confrontation with the West.
   In this period, the hardening U.S. and Western diplomatic attitude
caught Soviet attention. Soviet ambassador to Washington Nikolai Novi
kov’s lengthy September 1946 analysis of U.S. foreign policy demonstrates
Soviet concern over changing American policy, and to a certain extent laid
the basis for Stalin’s adjustment of his policy toward the United States.11 As
set out by Ambassador Novikov, “The foreign policy of the United States,
which reflects the tendencies of American monopolistic capital, is charac-
terized in the postwar period by a striving for world supremacy.” In line
with its “ ‘hard-line’ policy with regard to the Soviet Union,”
    [I]n the postwar period the United States no longer follows a policy of
    strengthening cooperation between the Big Three (or Four) but rather
    has striven to undermine the unity of these countries. The objective [is]
    to impose the will of other countries on the Soviet Union.
If George F. Kennan’s famous 8,000-word telegram laid the theoretical
basis for America’s Soviet containment policy, then Novikov’s analysis,
which was circulated at almost the same time, played a similarly important
role as a guide to a Soviet hard-line, counterattack policy toward the
United States.
In Stalin’s eyes: Marshall Plan equals containment
What really brought about a fundamental change in Soviet postwar foreign
policy, however, was the Marshall Plan unveiled in June 1947. Though
26   Stalin – from Yalta to the Far East
President Truman had announced his Truman Doctrine only shortly
before, Stalin had seen the Truman’s speech as mere rhetorical posturing
about how the United States would carry out its “containment” policy
toward the Soviet Union.12 But Stalin concluded that the Marshall Plan
was a substantial U.S. move to establish an anti-Soviet bloc, by – what Stalin
could not tolerate – trying to bring Eastern Europe under Western influ-
ence, and by assisting and rearming the Soviet Union’s old enemy,
Germany (i.e., Western Germany).13
   The Soviet Union’s response to the Marshall Plan brought a major
change in its foreign policy. To guarantee that Eastern Europe would
support the Soviet Union in creating a strong interest group opposed to
the West, Stalin decided that he needed to unify and harmonize the
actions of the governments and communist parties in Eastern Europe in
reaction to the Marshall Plan. As soon as the Soviet Union decided to
oppose the Marshall Plan, and it did at first hesitate and send mixed
signals, it fired off urgent cables to Eastern European Communist Party
leaders on July 8 and 9 suggesting they reject invitations and boycott the
Paris Conference to discuss the Marshall Plan. When the Czechoslovaks
nonetheless indicated they were eager to join the Marshall Plan, Stalin
summoned Czechoslovak leaders to Moscow, browbeating them into
accepting the Soviet position, as he did as well with the Poles.14 In late July
1947, when the Yugoslav and Bulgarian leaders announced that they were
consulting on a bilateral Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation and Mutual
Assistance, Stalin sternly criticized this “hasty” and “erroneous” action,
emphasizing that it “had not been coordinated with the Soviet
government.”15
   To resist the Marshall Plan and to strengthen Soviet influence and
control over Eastern Europe, between July 10 and August 28 the Soviet
government signed bilateral trade agreements with Bulgaria and five other
Eastern European countries, the so-called Molotov Plan. The Molotov Plan
solidified economic relations between the Soviet Union and the Eastern
Europe countries, brought them into the Soviet Union’s orbit and estab-
lished a Soviet–Eastern European economic group in opposition to
Western capitalism.
Stalin’s answer: Cominform conformity in Europe
The Soviet foreign policy change was signaled organizationally through a
new international communist coordinating mechanism, the Information
Bureau of the Communist and Workers’ Parties, the Cominform. But, in
marked contrast with the prewar Communist International, or Comintern,
the postwar Cominform was limited to Europe, and was clearly formed in
response to the threat posed to Soviet interests by the Marshall Plan. The
Cominform was not intended as a harbinger of world Communist revolu-
tion. Rather, Stalin sought a coordinating mechanism to strengthen
                                         Stalin – from Yalta to the Far East   27
control over Eastern Europe and the non-ruling communist parties of
Western Europe.16
   There were two policy consequences of the Cominform. Soviet-style polit-
ical regimes replaced democratic multi-party coalition governments in
Eastern Europe. And, criticism was leveled at the French and Italian Com-
munist parties for clinging to their strategy of legal, parliamentary struggle.
Moscow and its proxies urged instead that the Western European commu-
nist parties employ strikes and other revolutionary actions against their
countries’ capitalist governments. With the Cominform, and in the wake of
the Marshall Plan, Soviet foreign policy abandoned great power coopera-
tion, and was now oriented toward bloc-on-bloc struggle with the West.17
   Rooted in the confrontation between the United States and the Soviet
Union, the Cold War was manifested in geopolitical and ideological strug-
gle. As a result of World War II, the United States and the Soviet Union
were political and economic superpowers. Bursting forth from the Western
hemisphere, the United States abandoned its traditional isolationism. East
of the American homeland, in postwar Europe, depleted powers, notably
Great Britain, France and Italy, were forced to depend on American eco-
nomic and military power. To America’s west, a defeated Japan together
with a weak China and a weak Philippines provided a golden opportunity
and space for the United States to insert itself into Asia. The Soviet Union,
for its part, had moved beyond its prewar “isolated island” position. On
one side, having sent its armies into Europe and liberated the Eastern
European countries, the Soviet Union now occupied a vast security belt.
On the other side, as it expanded eastward, it promoted (recognition of )
Mongolian independence (in its diplomacy with the U.S. and China), and
dominated Northeast China and North Korea. It still coveted the Near
East. Thus, the United States and the Soviet Union, geopolitical rivals,
confronted each other on the Eurasian land mass.
   Ideologically, the United States and the Soviet Union were locked in
confrontation. The United States, flying the flag of “freedom” and “demo-
cracy,” and paving the way with its dollars and occupying armies, became
the leader of the capitalist world alliance, seeking to bring the whole world
into a U.S.-style “Free World.” For its part, the Soviet Union, waving the
banner of “proletarian internationalism,” strove to bring the recently lib-
erated “democratic” (Eastern European) countries and newly independ-
ent post-colonial countries into its orbit, and lead all of humanity toward
Stalinist-style communism.
Relative Soviet moderation in the Far East
But, the Cold War did not emerge in lockstep fashion around the world. It
developed eastward from Europe toward Asia.
  Whether Stalin shifted his diplomatic measures globally from peaceful
coexistence to world revolution, or whether he used different measures
28   Stalin – from Yalta to the Far East
simultaneously in different countries and regions, his basic aim was to
maintain and expand Soviet spheres of influence, and to ensure Soviet
national security interests. As the Soviet Union’s domestic economy
revived and developed, and the international situation changed, the direc-
tion of Soviet foreign policy gradually changed from moderation toward a
hard line, and, in the main, from great power cooperation toward bloc-on-
bloc confrontation.
    This does not mean every element of Soviet policy changed. Europe was
still the center of gravity of Soviet foreign policy. Soviet policy toward Asia
more often than not complemented its European policy. Consequently,
Stalin’s Asia policy evolved neither simultaneously with nor completely in
accord with his European policy. The opposite happened. To concentrate
power in Europe to confront the United States and the West, in Asia, the
Soviet Union maintained a relatively moderate and conservative policy,
albeit one based principally on expediency.
    Until 1950, in contrast to the direct bloc-on-bloc confrontation that
characterized the international situation in Europe, in the Far East, the
United States and the Soviet Union maintained an attitude of restraint,
especially in their policies toward Korea and China. In the end, however,
Soviet policy in Asia also shifted toward toughness and confrontation. In
1950, under the premise of “the change in the international situation,” the
Far East became the cockpit of an explosive crisis involving the United
States and the Soviet Union.
2      Korea
       The evolution of Soviet postwar
       policy
When the allied victory in Europe was assured, the United States, proceed-
ing from its conflicting aims of limiting its casualties in its final Pacific
assault and reining in Soviet postwar expansion in the Far East, urgently
sought a Soviet commitment that it would join in the war against Japan –
along with a clarification of Moscow’s political conditions. Stalin did not
commit himself quickly. Only at Yalta did the Soviet Union clarify its main
political condition for joining in the war against Japan: restoration of the
Russian sphere of influence as it was under the Czars, before Russia’s
defeat in the 1904–05 Russo-Japanese War. Later, with the rapid change in
the war situation, especially after the success of the U.S. atomic bomb test,
the United States was no longer as keen for the Soviet Union to move into
Asian affairs. But, after the United States dropped its atomic bombs on
Japan, when the Pacific situation was then already settled, Moscow, without
reaching agreement in its negotiations with the Chinese Nationalist gov-
ernment, and without receiving clear guarantees with respect to its polit-
ical condition for joining in the war in the Far East, hastily sent its troops
into Northeast China, launching a full-scale attack on the Japanese Army
and thereby gaining a favorable diplomatic position based on its military
presence.1
   As stipulated in the Yalta agreements, the Soviet Union aimed to
recover the Kuril Islands, South Sakhalin and nearby islets, all of which
had been occupied by Japan since the Russo-Japanese War. The Soviets
also wanted to join in the occupation of Japan. The achievement of this
latter aim would depend on the unfolding of American and Soviet military
power in the Far East. As a result of the contest of wills between the U.S.
and the Soviet Union in Asia, the Soviets were not able to share in the
occupation of Japan. However, events in Korea played out differently.
The 38th parallel: a hastily drawn line
Even as the American military was still fighting in the archipelago off the
southern main islands of Japan, the Soviet Army entered the Korean
peninsula in force. Japan’s unconditional surrender after the U.S.
30   Korea – the evolution of Soviet postwar policy
dropped its two atom bombs and the Soviet Union attacked the Japanese
Army in Northeast China created a power vacuum on the Korean penin-
sula. The United States had no alternative but to propose that it and the
Soviet Union jointly occupy Korea, with the two allied powers accepting
the surrender of Japanese forces in Korea north and south of the 38th par-
allel, respectively.2
   On August 15, 1945 President Truman notified Stalin that he had
approved “General Order Number One” for the surrender of Japanese
forces that was to be promulgated by the Supreme Commander for the
Allied Powers, General Douglas MacArthur. One of the items in the order
established the 38th parallel on the Korean peninsula as the line of demar-
cation between the American and Soviet zones for the purpose of accept-
ing the Japanese surrender.
   On August 16 Stalin replied that he “had nothing against the substance
of the order,” but then reminded President Truman of the Soviet Union’s
demand to acquire all the Kuril Islands, as agreed to at Yalta, and further,
made a strong, insistent case for the Soviet occupation of northern
Hokkaido. In an August 18 reply to Stalin, Truman agreed to modify
Order Number One to include the Kuril Islands in the area to be surren-
dered to the Commander-in-Chief of the Soviet Forces in the Far East.
However, he rebuffed Stalin with respect to northern Hokkaido, assuring
him only that “General MacArthur will employ Allied token forces, which
of course, includes Soviet forces, in so much of a temporary occupation of
Japan proper as he considers it necessary . . . to accomplish our Allied sur-
render terms.”3
   On September 2, after the Japanese surrender ceremony on the battle-
ship Missouri in Tokyo Bay, General MacArthur issued “General Order
Number One,” including the change requested by Stalin with respect to
the Kurils and the language Stalin had agreed to with respect to the divi-
sion of Korea. By the time the order to accept the surrender reached the
Soviet combat zone in Korea, some units of the Soviet forces had already
crossed the 38th parallel, and were moving on the road toward Seoul. But,
as soon as they received the order regarding the demarcation line, these
Soviet units swiftly withdrew north of the 38th parallel. On September 6,
U.S. forces entered and garrisoned Seoul.4
   While the United States hastily proposed the 38th parallel to limit the
expansion of the Soviet sphere of influence on the Korean peninsula, the
Soviet Union, considering deeper political issues, was very happy with the
38th parallel plan. But Washington was thinking about the Korean ques-
tion, while, as we have noted, Stalin’s eyes were fixed on northern
Hokkaido. Then State Department adviser Colonel Dean Rusk, who came
up with the 38th parallel proposal, estimated that had the Soviet Union,
based on its military posture, refused to accept the 38th parallel and pro-
posed a more southern line of demarcation, from a practical standpoint,
the U.S. would have been forced to accept such a revised plan. But, Stalin
                               Korea – the evolution of Soviet postwar policy   31
did not do this, rather he agreed without hesitation to the 38th parallel
plan. Stalin’s action both surprised Rusk at the time5 and later puzzled
some scholars.6
Stalin loses his bid to gain a foothold in Japan
Indeed, in the last stages of World War II, the Soviet Army was in an
unprecedentedly strong position, leading Stalin to assert smugly that,
“This war is not as in the past; whoever occupies a territory also imposes
on it his own social system. Everyone imposes his own system as far as his
army can reach.”7 Then, why did Stalin accept the 38th parallel? As a poli-
tician, Stalin had a deeper consideration. He accepted the 38th parallel
proposal as a bargaining ploy.
   In Stalin’s August 16 reply to Truman accepting the American surren-
der plan, he had proposed two important revisions: (1) that all of the
Kuril Islands should be turned over to Soviet military occupation, and (2)
that northern Hokkaido, one of the four Japanese main islands, should be
turned over to Soviet military occupation. Stalin especially stressed the
importance of the second point, noting that: “As is known, in 1919–21 the
Japanese occupied the whole of the Soviet Far East. Russian public opinion
would be gravely offended if the Russian troops had no occupation areas
in any part of the territory of Japan proper.” Finally, in a tone that allowed
for no debate, Stalin told Truman that, “I am most anxious that the
modest suggestions set forth above should not meet with any objections.”8
Clearly, Stalin was hoping to exchange U.S. occupation of Korea south of
the 38th parallel for Soviet occupation of a portion of Japan well to the
north of the 38th parallel.
   Based on the American experience with the division of Germany,
however, the United States could only limit the further expansion of
Soviet power in East Asia by unilaterally occupying Japan. The United
States might abandon Korea, but it was determined not to let the Soviet
Union have a hand in Japan. Truman, in his August 18 reply to Stalin,
agreed to Stalin’s first revision, designating the Kuril Islands as an area
within which the Soviet Union would accept the Japanese surrender. This
had already been clearly stipulated at Yalta. But, as we have seen, Truman
parried Stalin’s second requested revision, that Soviet forces be allowed
onto the Japanese main islands, saying merely that Soviet forces might play
a “token” role in the occupation of Japan.9
   On the one hand, Stalin in his August 22 reply expressed regret that
the United States had rejected the Soviet request, while, on the other
hand, even before sending his reply, on August 20 Stalin ordered Soviet
Army and naval forces to land on and garrison Hokkaido, giving as a
reason that Hokkaido was north of the 38th parallel. The Soviet represent-
ative to MacArthur’s headquarters, Lt. General Derevyanko, called on
General MacArthur and asserted that, whether or not the U.S. agreed,
32   Korea – the evolution of Soviet postwar policy
Soviet forces would land on and garrison Hokkaido. MacArthur rejected
this on the spot: “I told him that if a single Soviet soldier entered Japan
without my authority, I would at once throw the entire Russian (sic)
Mission, including himself, into jail.”10 The strong American reaction
stymied the Soviet plan to take over Hokkaido, and, since Stalin had
already agreed to the division of the Korean peninsula, what was done
could not be undone. He was forced to accept a fait accompli, ceding the
southern part of Korea to the United States and putting off the Korea
question off until the future. As will be seen, this opportunity only came in
1950.
Wartime Korean trusteeship planning
The Yalta plan for Korea called, however, not for a divided occupation by
the United States and the Soviet Union, but rather for a four-power trus-
teeship comprised of the United States, the Soviet Union, China and Great
Britain. At a meeting between the American and Soviet leaders at Yalta,
President Roosevelt had raised the issue of territorial trusteeships, propos-
ing that, until the Korean people were ready for self-government, Korea
should be administered under a trusteeship composed of a Soviet, an
American and a Chinese representative. When Roosevelt said a trusteeship
might last twenty to thirty years, Stalin countered “the shorter the period
the better.” Probably owing to British Foreign Secretary Anthony Eden’s
March 1944 rejection of an American proposal to put Korea and Indo-
china under postwar trusteeships, Roosevelt told Stalin that he felt it was
not necessary for Great Britain to join in a trusteeship for Korea.
   Stalin agreed to the trusteeship plan, but proposed that the British
should be invited to join in the Korea trusteeship. Thus, the plan for a
postwar Korean provisional trusteeship by China, the United States, the
Soviet Union and Great Britain was fixed at Yalta. In referring to the territ-
ories that would be under trusteeships, conference documents do not go
into specifics about the Korean trusteeship, merely noting that the issue of
trusteeships would be a “matter of subsequent agreement.”11 When
Truman sent his adviser, Harry Hopkins, to Moscow in May 1945, shortly
after he took office as president, Stalin reaffirmed his agreement to a four-
power trusteeship for Korea.12
   Nevertheless, while Soviet authorities were not oblivious to the Korean
issue, it was not high on their agenda, and, at the time, they had no firm
policy for postwar Korea. A June 1945 paper drafted in the Soviet Foreign
Ministry Second Far Eastern Division laid out Soviet thinking on Korea in
the months after the Yalta Conference.13 Prepared as background for Soviet
negotiators at the Potsdam Conference, the paper stressed that, except for
normal trade relations, “Japan must forever be excluded from Korea;” that
“the independence of Korea must be effective enough to prevent Korea
from being turned into a staging ground for future aggression against the
                              Korea – the evolution of Soviet postwar policy   33
USSR;” that Soviet security in the Far East would be guaranteed by “friendly
and close relations between the USSR and Korea;” that this “must be
reflected in the formation of a [future] Korean government;” and that, if a
trusteeship were established, the Soviet Union “must . . . participate promi-
nently in it.”14 This paper shows that the Soviet government was highly
focused on great power rivalry in the Far East. Moscow still considered Japan
to be a threat, so it wanted to prevent Japan from again turning Korea into a
springboard for expansion on the Asian continent. However, the Soviet
Union did not seek unilateral occupation or control of Korea, though, over
the longer term, it desired the formation of a Korean government that
would have “close, friendly relations” with the Soviet Union.
Early Soviet occupation policy
Through the end of 1949, Soviet policy toward Korea can be divided into
three stages: first, cooperating with the United States through the trustee-
ship to establish a unified Korean government friendly to the Soviet
Union; second, when this failed, strengthening the political and economic
power of the North Korean administration, and, on this basis, promoting
unification through an election aimed at forming a unitary Korean gov-
ernment that would maintain friendly policies toward the Soviet Union;
and, third, following the election held in South Korea and the establish-
ment of the Republic of Korea, working to establish an independent
North Korean government that met Soviet needs, and, on this basis, to
confront the United States.
   As foreshadowed above, Soviet Foreign Ministry documents indicate
that as late as September 1945 the Soviet government had no fixed polit-
ical plan for resolving the Korean issue. The Soviet Union at this point
supported the trusteeship system as a means to counter American gains in
the Pacific and to promote Soviet interests. As outlined in a Foreign Minis-
try position paper:
    The occupation of Korea by Soviet troops in the zone north of the
    38th parallel must be kept for the same period of time as the Ameri-
    can occupation of the remaining part of Korea. . . . Upon the conclu-
    sion of the occupation regime, presumably after two years, Korea must
    become a trust territory of the four powers, with the apportionment of
    three strategic regions, Pusan, Chejudo, and Inchon, which must be
    controlled by the Soviet military command. Insisting on the appor-
    tionment for the USSR of the strategic regions in Korea, we can exert
    pressure on . . . the Americans, using their wish to receive for them-
    selves strategic regions in the Pacific Ocean. In case the proposal
    about granting the Soviet Union these strategic regions in Korea
    meets with opposition, it is possible to propose joint Soviet-Chinese
    control over these strategic regions.15
34   Korea – the evolution of Soviet postwar policy
These documents indicate that in September 1945 Moscow’s objective was
to safeguard Soviet strategic interests in Northeast Asia through joint man-
agement over Korea. Stalin’s aim was not to gain control over the whole
Korean peninsula as he had done, for instance, with Poland in Europe. At
the outset, Stalin did not intend to divide the Korean peninsula or to uni-
laterally occupy North Korea. To the contrary, he was implementing a
much more complex strategy. Under the premise of controlling some mil-
itarily important positions, his strategy called for balancing Soviet and
American interests and influence on the Korean peninsula.16
   At least through the end of 1945, Soviet policy aimed to use both the
Soviet position of strength and a policy of cooperation with the United
States to establish a unified Korean government that was friendly to or at
least not antagonistic toward the Soviet Union. A Foreign Ministry back-
ground paper by (former) Soviet ambassador to Japan Jacob Malik, “On
the Question of a Unified Korean Government,” indicates that in Decem-
ber 1945 the Soviet Union was prepared to adopt election procedures to
establish a Korean provisional government. The paper argued that “It
would not be politically wise for the Soviet Union to oppose the estab-
lishment of a unified Korean government,” and further recommended:
(1) Support and announce the restoration of Korean independence and
sovereignty. (2) Pledge support for the establishment of a Korean provi-
sional government with the participation of all Korean social and polit-
ical organizations. (3) All of these organizations should elect a
provisional committee to prepare for the convocation of a constitutional
conference. (4) Before a constitutional conference is convened, in all
regions, democratic meetings among workers, peasants, intellectuals,
teachers, employees, hired workers and other groups should be held to
discuss and propose representatives to the constitutional convention and
candidates to be officials of a unified Korean government. (5) Set up a
special unified liaison committee of representatives of the Soviet Union
and the United States (if possible also to include representatives from
China and Great Britain) to take the responsibility for this organizational
work. (6) Set up a Soviet–U.S. mixed commission composed of Soviet
Army Headquarters and U.S. Army Headquarters representatives to
resolve urgent issues arising from the Soviet and American garrisoning
of forces in Korea.17
   To further cooperate with the United States, the Soviet Union did not
at first put a Communist in charge of the provisional government in north-
ern Korea. Sixty-six officers of the 88th Route Army Korean battalion led
by Kim Il-sung (who had been trained in the Soviet Far East) were on the
Soviet cargo ship Pugachev that docked in Wonsan on October 10, 1945.
But when the Administrative Bureau of the five provinces of northern
Korea was set up on November 19, nationalist leader and Pyong’an Namdo
Provincial People’s Committee leader Cho Man-sik, not Kim Il-sung, was
elected chairman. In this period, Soviet occupation authorities did not
                               Korea – the evolution of Soviet postwar policy   35
support Korean Communist Party propaganda, agitation and other
activities in the U.S. occupation zone in South Korea. Soviet Communist
 Party Central Committee International Bureau documents indicate that in
 the fall of 1945, though the Soviet authorities actively reorganized and
 guided the activities of the Korean Communist Party in the North, they
 did not extend this activity south of the 38th parallel.
    The Korean Communist Party headquarters in this period was located
 in Seoul. Korean Communist Party Chairman Pak Hon-yong only later
 went to North Korea where he was appointed vice premier and foreign
 minister. Despite sabotage and pressure from anti-Communist organiza-
 tions in South Korea, Soviet occupation authorities in the North repeat-
 edly turned down Korean Communist Party requests for help, even
 demurring from approaching U.S. occupation authorities to allow the
 Korean Communist Party to engage in legal activities. Instead, the Soviets
 asked the Korean Communists in the South to cooperate with U.S. occu-
 pation authorities, lecturing them that
    the correct strategic line can take place only through a correct under-
    standing of the international position of Korea. . . . The ideals of the
    United States, the leader of capitalism, and the Soviet Union, the
    fatherland of the proletariat, are to be expressed in Korea without
    contradiction.
U.S. occupation policy in the South was running into strong opposition in
this period and Korean Communist Party activities might have strength-
ened the party’s position there, but reports from Korea in 1945 contain no
mention of Soviet support for propaganda or agitation work in the south-
ern part of Korea.18
   Soviet economic policies in Korea in 1945 also indicate that Stalin then
had no plans for a long-term occupation of the Korean peninsula or North
Korea. In a briefing paper for the December 1945 Moscow Foreign Ministers’
Conference entitled “A Report on Japanese Military and Heavy Industry in
Korea,” Soviet Foreign Ministry adviser S. P. Suzdalev provided a detailed list
of Japanese assets left in Korea and offered three recommendations:
    (1) Japanese military and heavy industries in Korea were set up and
    maintained to serve Japan’s aggressive policy. Soviet occupation
    authorities must take these industries out of Japanese hands. (2) All
    Japanese military industry and heavy industries in northern Korea
    should be considered spoils of war belonging to the Red Army, since
    all of these enterprises, to a certain degree, served the Japanese Impe-
    rial Army in fighting the Red Army. The Red Army made very heavy
    sacrifices to take these enterprises out of Japanese hands. (3) Finally,
    Japanese military and heavy industries in northern Korea must be
    turned over as a part of the reparations to the Soviet Union to
36   Korea – the evolution of Soviet postwar policy
    compensate for the destruction inflicted by Japan on the Soviet
    Union, including the harm inflicted by Japan’s intervention in the
    Soviet Far East between 1918 and 1923.19
   Soviet occupation authorities assured the people of North Korea that
they would “guarantee protection of the properties of all Korean enter-
prises and will assist you in every manner possible to maintain the regular
activities of your enterprises.” On September 20 Stalin issued an order to
the Soviet Far East Army Commander, General A. M. Vasilevsky, the Mili-
tary Council of the Maritime Military Region and the Military Council of
the 25th Army to protect
    the private property of North Korean citizens . . . safeguard normal
    functioning of industrial, trade, municipal, and other enterprises . . .
    [and o]rder the troops in North Korea to obey discipline strictly, not
    insult the population and behave correctly.20
However, from October through mid-December 1945 “the Soviets seemed
to lose control of their troops,” who, in this period, engaged in wanton
depredations against Japanese and Koreans. As they had done with many
Japanese colonial-era factories in Manchuria, “the Soviets carted off many
North Korean factories.” American intelligence concluded that the Soviet
actions indicated that “the Russians would not intend to remain in North
Korea,” probably believing “that Korea could be unified under the four-
powers’ trusteeship.”21
   However, the Soviet Union also calculated that it would be very hard to
work with the United States to establish a unified Korean government
friendly to the Soviet Union. As Soviet Foreign Ministry Second Far
Eastern Division Deputy Director Zabrodin wrote:
    [T]he question is extremely complex, because of the multiplicity of
    political parties and groups, the lack of unity among them, and the
    solicitations of the United States. . . . Meanwhile, the character of the
    future government of Korea [will determine] the question of whether
    Korea will in the future be turned into a breeding ground of anxiety
    for us in the Far East or into one of the strong points of our security in
    the Far East.
Zabrodin concluded that a Korean government could be established in
one of two ways:
    (1) The creation of a Korean government on the basis of agreement
    between the governments of the USSR, USA and China. In the forma-
    tion of [this] government, the introduction . . . of Communists and
    genuinely democratic elements will meet with strong opposition from
                               Korea – the evolution of Soviet postwar policy   37
    the Korean reactionary elements, since the government will undoubt-
    edly be inclined in favor of closer relations with the Soviet Union. It
    also goes without saying that these reactionary elements will find
    support among the governments of the USA and China. (2) The con-
    vening of a Representative People’s Assembly, to which must be
    elected representatives of the entire Korean people (excluding
    traitors), by means of universal, secret and equal voting. The People’s
    Assembly must proclaim a Korean Republic and create a Korean
    People’s Government.22
Soviet–American face-off in Korea
Indeed, the United States and the Soviet Union locked in sharp conflict
over how and what kind of unitary, provisional Korean government to
establish. After the United States moved toward a hard-line policy in South
Korea, and especially after the U.S.–Soviet Joint Commission fell into
deadlock in early 1946, the Soviet Union began to change its initial policy
of cooperation with the U.S. aimed at forming a unified Korean govern-
ment. Instead, it began to assist in the political and economic develop-
ment of North Korea, aiming to bolster the North with the goal of
eventually establishing a unified Korean government friendly to the Soviet
Union through national, peninsula-wide elections. In the short term, the
Soviets therefore adopted Zabrodin’s second option.
   Soviet occupation authorities in North Korea quickly strengthened
their political and administrative control. After the Soviet Red Army
fought its way into Korea, it set up military management organizations
called garrison headquarters in all provinces and administrative organiza-
tions under its control, 113 in all. In this early period, the only task of the
garrison headquarters was to oversee property and arms seized from the
Japanese. However, after the August 15th liberation of Korea, various
autonomous management organizations were quickly set up throughout
Korea, including so-called People’s Committees, which gradually took on
responsibility for local management. These indigenous Korean local
organizations filled the power vacuum left by the collapse of Japanese
control, acting to protect public installations, transportation facilities and
enterprises, and stabilizing society.
   After the U.S. Army entered South Korea, it also set up a military gov-
ernment, but unlike the Soviets in the North, it banned the People’s Com-
mittees. Soviet military occupation authorities shortly thereafter
reorganized the People’s Committees in North Korea, renaming them
People’s Political Committees. By the end of August 1945, the reorganiza-
tion of the People’s Political Committees in the northern zone of occupa-
tion was basically complete. Every member of the People’s Political
Committees was either a nationalist or Communist, and Soviet occupation
authorities either directly or indirectly controlled these committees
38   Korea – the evolution of Soviet postwar policy
through their local garrison headquarters. Later, the duties of the local
garrison headquarters were sharply expanded to include all aspects of the
work of the local People’s Political Committees, thereby implementing a
regime similar to military control.23
    In October 1945 Marshal K. A. Meretskov, Commander of the Maritime
Military District of the Soviet Far Eastern High Command, authorized Col.
General I. M. Chistiakov, Commander of 25th Army, the Soviet Army of
occupation in North Korea, to set up a Civil Administration. Chistiakov in
turn appointed Major General A. A. Romanenko as commanding officer
of the new Soviet Civil Administration. Compared with the U.S. military
government in South Korea, the Soviet 25th Army Civil Administration
was fairly small. But, with the help of Communist Party members in the
People’s Political Committees, the Soviet Army firmly controlled the eco-
nomic and political life of North Korea.24
    At the beginning of 1946, during talks in the U.S.–Soviet Joint Commis-
sion, the situation became very complex, leading to sharp political con-
flict. On the one hand, the U.S. military government attempted to shift
the balance of power among various political forces in southern Korea. It
outlawed the Communist Party, strengthened state security organs and
encouraged moderate leftists to join in an American-controlled coalition
of leftists and rightists, all aimed at creating a political base wide enough
to hold a general election under southern control. Soviet occupation
authorities meanwhile were supporting their own political regime in
North Korea, preparing to establish a central provisional government in
the North.
Communist North Korea: born and nurtured
A Korean Provisional People’s Committee to govern northern Korean was
announced on February 8, 1946. In the new northern regime, Kim Il-sung
replaced Cho Man-sik. Cho, a respected anti-Japanese nationalist leader,
had made no secret that he viewed the Soviets as occupiers on a par with
the Japanese. Col. General Terentii Shtykov (who, in time, became the de
facto “supervisor of Soviet-sponsored state-building in North Korea” and
later the first Soviet ambassador to North Korea) had reported that Cho
was “nationalistic” and “anti-Soviet,” and recommended that he be
replaced by Kim. Stalin agreed, reportedly noting that, “Korea is a young
country. It needs a young leader.”25
    The Provisional People’s Committee in the North was thus a creature of
the Soviet occupation authorities. The archives of the former Soviet Com-
munist Party Central Committee in Moscow hold a large volume of mater-
ial related to Soviet drafts of a constitution and legal statutes for the North
Korean regime as well as many reports concerning Soviet assistance in
training political leaders and technical personnel, and in establishing
Soviet-style propaganda and social organizations in North Korea.26
                              Korea – the evolution of Soviet postwar policy   39
   As their influence spread, Soviet occupation authorities gradually
relaxed their direct control and management in the North. After the
Soviets authorized establishment of the Korean Provisional People’s Com-
mittee in February 1946, the Soviet Civil Administration staff was sharply
reduced. According to an American intelligence report, in September
1946 there were about 200 Soviet officers in the Civil Administration head-
quarters, with the number dropping to 60 by December 1946. A British
source estimated that the number of Soviet advisers to the North Korean
central government fell to about 30 by April 1947.27
   In the same period, the number of Soviet occupation forces was like-
wise sharply cut. Local security police took over when the Soviet Army
began to withdraw in December 1946. As the North Koreans increased
their own military and police forces, Soviet occupation troops were
reduced from 40,000 in 1946 to 10,000 in 1947. On April 3, 1947 Soviet
25th Army Commander Col. General Chistiakov was replaced by a lower
ranking officer, Lt. General G. P. Korotkov.28
   Russian archives bear out that, compared with the very difficult political
problems encountered by the United States in South Korea, Soviet control
over North Korea was much more effective, and Soviet policies and princi-
ples were conscientiously carried out. In a February 20, 1947 letter to
Stalin, the newly established Korean People’s Committee stated that,
“[T]he Korean people impatiently await the unification of South and
North Korea and the rapid creation of a unified democratic provisional
government of Korea.” Similarly, the Presidium of the Korean People’s
Committee responding to a letter from Molotov on March 1, 1947 stated
that, “[C]onsidering that Korea has until now not been unified, the people
of North Korea are applying all their efforts to realize national unification
of the country and creation of a democratic government based on
Moscow’s decision.” On August 15, 1947, the anniversary of the liberation
of Korea, responding to greetings from Soviet Foreign Minister Molotov,
Kim Il-sung stated that,
    [Y]our greeting . . . increases our belief that at the soonest possible
    time a united democratic Korean government will be created and
    Korea will be a fully independent state. I am convinced that as a result
    of the efforts of the Soviet Union and you personally, the question of
    the creation of a Provisional Democratic government for Korea will be
    resolved in the spirit of the Moscow agreement of the three Foreign
    Ministers, which responds to the interests of the entire Korean
    people.”29
To strengthen North Korea’s economic position, the Soviet Union
changed its predatory economic policy and began providing economic
assistance. Meretskov and Col. General Shtykov in a May 12, 1947 joint
telegram to Stalin stated that,
40   Korea – the evolution of Soviet postwar policy
    Without the help of Soviet or other foreign specialists, North Korean
    industry and rail transport cannot operate. We must without delay
    send Soviet engineers and technicians to North Korea, not only to
    help the People’s Committee to turn around the management of
    industry and transportation, but also to strengthen our government’s
    future position and influence in Korea.
        If Soviet experts do not arrive in North Korea before the unifica-
    tion of North and South Korea and the establishment of a Korean pro-
    visional government, the Korean provisional government, which will
    depend on foreign technical assistance, will inevitably invite American
    technicians to work in Korea. This will strengthen American influence
    in Korea and harm our national interest. Therefore, we beseech you
    to issue an instruction to send Soviet experts to North Korea at the
    earliest opportunity.30
This document by the Soviet military occupation authorities clearly shows
the new point of departure for Soviet policy toward Korea. In reaction,
Molotov added this comment: “Comrade Stalin, I believe we must support
this proposal.” Though Stalin’s comment is hard to make out on a copy of
this document, it is clear that he approved the proposal.
   In sum, during 1946 and 1947, though the United States and the Soviet
Union both now realized that there was no way for them to continue to
cooperate under the trusteeship arrangement, this recognition had not
yet led to the logical conclusion that independent governments should be
established in the South and the North. In this period the Americans and
the Soviets continued to work through Koreans under their control to
hold a general election and thereby establish a unified Korean provisional
government favorable to their respective interests. Scholars differ on
whether it was the Americans or the Soviets who first decided to establish
an independent government on the territory under their control.31 We
can conclude, however, that once events reached this point, at a time of
sharpening U.S.–Soviet confrontation in Europe, the division of the
Korean peninsula and the Korean people was predestined.
Division cemented: the ROK and the DPRK are established
Shortly after the Republic of Korea (ROK) was established in South Korea
(August 15, 1948), the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK)
was established in the North (September 10, 1948), receiving Soviet recog-
nition and assistance. Stalin informed Kim Il-sung on October 12, 1948
that:
    The Soviet government unswervingly upholds the right of the Korean
    people to form their own unified, independent state, welcomes the
    formation of the Korean government, and wishes it victory in its effort
                               Korea – the evolution of Soviet postwar policy   41
    to revive the Korean nation and develop democracy. The Soviet gov-
    ernment is prepared to establish diplomatic relations with the Demo-
    cratic People’s Republic of Korea, to exchange ambassadors, and,
    simultaneously, to establish appropriate economic relations.32
The Soviet Union clearly hoped North Korea would develop and
strengthen, check American influence on the peninsula, and create a pro-
tective security screen for the Soviet Union in the Far East.
   Stalin’s fundamental Korea policy, however, had not changed. Even
though there was no longer any way to cooperate with the United States in
Korea, the Soviet Union had no desire for open conflict with the United
States in Korea. Rather, Moscow’s aim was to establish a Korean govern-
ment friendly toward the Soviet Union. But, whereas it had formerly envis-
aged a friendly, neighboring state covering the whole Korean peninsula,
this was now only to be in northern Korea. The reason was simple: In
1948, when the Americans and the Soviets were in sharp conflict in
Europe, Stalin could not afford to put Korea at the top of his agenda. The
Soviet Union’s Europe-first foreign policy and its need, above all, to
recover from the tremendous human and material harm inflicted on it by
World War II, dictated that it place Northeast Asia in a subordinate
position.
   Stalin never considered setting up an Eastern European-style satellite
state in Korea or North Korea. The Soviet Union first urged that Soviet
and American forces withdraw simultaneously from the Korean peninsula.
Later, it announced that Soviet occupation troops would unilaterally with-
draw from North Korea, and promised to grant full, autonomous political
power to the (North) Korean people to a much greater degree than it had
granted in some Eastern European countries. In order to avoid provoking
the United States, Stalin even opposed diplomatic relations of an alliance
nature with the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, not to speak of
accepting responsibility for its unification goal.
Stalin sidesteps an alliance with the DPRK
Once Kim Il-sung’s government was established, his next order of business
was to form an alliance relationship with the Soviet Union that he could
rely on to strengthen the North’s position and influence in his effort to
unify Korea. Kim floated this request while preparing for an official visit to
the Soviet Union, but Stalin expressed no interest. A January 19, 1949
report to Moscow from Soviet ambassador to Pyongyang Terentii Shtykov
concerning the Korean delegation’s Moscow visit makes the Soviet posi-
tion clear:
    Regarding Kim Il-sung’s desire to conclude a Treaty of Friendship and
    Mutual Assistance with the Soviet Union during his visit, I explained
42   Korea – the evolution of Soviet postwar policy
    to Kim Il-sung and [Foreign Minister] Pak Hon-yong that at this time,
    with the country divided in two, it is not advisable to conclude such a
    treaty. It might be used by the South Korean reactionaries to oppose
    the Government of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea.
       My explanation made Kim Il-sung and Pak Hon-yong a little uneasy.
    Kim Il-sung hemmed and hawed in explaining his reasons for con-
    cluding a treaty. To bolster his argument, he said that the Chairman
    of the Presidium of the Supreme People’s Assembly, Kim Doobong,
    had repeatedly raised the question of concluding a Treaty of Friend-
    ship and Mutual Assistance with the Soviet Union, and that if, for
    whatever reason, a treaty cannot be concluded, then a secret agree-
    ment on Soviet assistance to Korea should be signed. After my addi-
    tional explanation, Kim Il-sung and Pak Hong-yong agreed that now is
    not the time to raise the question of concluding a Treaty of Friend-
    ship and Mutual Assistance.33
As a result, when Kim visited Moscow in March 1949, he merely signed an
economic and cultural agreement with the Soviet Union.
   Some Russian scholars believe that Kim took the opportunity of his visit
to lobby Stalin in favor of using military force to unify Korea, though this
claim is disputed by a participant in the March 1949 Stalin–Kim meeting.
Those who claim Kim raised the issue of using military force say that he
suggested that the situation then opened up the possibility and even
required the use of force to unify Korea. But, according to this account,
Stalin did not agree, citing the North’s inferior military position, the
Soviet–American 38th parallel agreement, and possible U.S. intervention.
Stalin reportedly suggested, however, that if the South attacked the North,
the North could launch a counterattack and try to unify Korea.34 In inter-
views in 1993 and 1994, Mikhail (M. S.) Kapitsa, Stalin’s interpreter in the
March 1949 meeting, asserted there was absolutely no discussion then
about resorting to military action.35
   A report in U.S. News and World Report (1993, no. 8) claimed that Stalin
compelled Kim to prepare a plan for an attack on the South, that Soviet
Armed Forces Minister Bulganin led a group of high-level advisers in
another meeting with Kim, and that a war plan was then drawn up, but the
report’s author provided no evidence to support his assertions and the
report lacks all credibility.36 What can be believed is that, in early 1949,
Stalin had no serious discussion with Kim concerning the use of military
force on the Korean peninsula, and that, at a minimum, he did not agree
to North Korea taking such an action.
   In sum, the Soviet Union first agreed to a trusteeship system, then sup-
ported the establishment of a unified Korean government, albeit one
friendly to the Soviet Union, and finally assisted North Korea in establish-
ing an independent government. However, while the tactics of Soviet policy
toward Korea changed, the basic goal remained the same: to maximize
                               Korea – the evolution of Soviet postwar policy   43
Soviet control and influence on the Korean peninsula while avoiding any
direct conflict that would lead the United States to adopt in reaction an
overly hard-line policy. This policy was remarkably similar in approach and
result to American postwar policy in Korea.37 At a time when Soviet foreign
policy was generally evolving from great power cooperation to bloc-on-bloc
confrontation, its policy in the Far East remained anchored in the Yalta
system. In the early postwar years, Soviet policy sought to limit confronta-
tion and conflict in Asia to the lowest possible level. This point is also borne
out in Soviet early postwar policy toward China.
3      China
       Twists and turns of Soviet postwar
       policy
Stalin’s postwar Far East strategy had two goals toward China. First, he
sought to erase Mongolia from China’s (political–historical) map and to
secure its uncontested independence, thereby creating a broad security
zone south of the Soviet Union. Second, he wanted to restore the Czarist-
era sphere of influence in Northeast China, gaining access to an ice-free
outlet on the Pacific. Stalin informed the United States of his first goal in
a December 14, 1944 meeting with Ambassador to Moscow W. Averell Har-
riman. Stalin nailed down America’s agreement to these Soviet goals in a
February 8, 1945 meeting with President Roosevelt at Yalta as well as in the
Yalta agreements. At the same time, Stalin reciprocated the U.S. assur-
ances. Soviet postwar China policy would support Chiang Kai-shek’s
Nationalist government and discourage Chinese Communist revolutionary
activity.1
   Hemming in Chiang Kai-shek, the United States and the Soviet Union
used sticks and carrots to prod the Nationalist government to accept Soviet
conditions. After the Soviet Red Army moved into Northeast China in
force, Chiang Kai-shek had little choice but to conclude the August 1945
Sino-Soviet Treaty of Friendship and Alliance.2 On the basis of this treaty,
which was to be in force for 30 years, the two sides also signed “An Agree-
ment on the Chinese Changchun Railway,” “An Agreement on Dalian,”
“An Agreement on Lushun Port,” and other associated documents.
Moscow’s gains in Northeast China paramount
By these agreements, the Soviet Union regained all the rights that Czarist
Russia had lost in Northeast China as a consequence of the Russo-Japanese
War of 1904–05. The Changchun Railroad would now be jointly owned
and operated by China and the Soviet Union, with the Changchun Railway
Bureau Director seconded from the Soviet Union. Dalian was declared a
free port, with the port manager also seconded from the Soviet Union. All
imported and exported goods destined for the Soviet Union that went
through Dalian or over the Changchun Railway were to be free of customs
duties, unlike similar goods destined for other parts of China. Lushun was
                           China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy   45
designated as a Chinese–Soviet joint use naval base, the chairman of the
naval base commission was to be seconded from the Soviet Union, and the
most important civilian administrative personnel in Lushun were subject
to appointment and removal by Soviet military authorities.3
   Right down until a new Sino-Soviet treaty was signed (with the People’s
Republic of China in 1950), the main goal of Soviet policy toward China
was to ensure the rights enumerated above. To accomplish this goal, Stalin
made some concessions and assurances to Chiang Kai-shek. He recognized
Chiang as China’s leader, and (in the immediate postwar period) advised
the Chinese Communist Party to submit to the Nationalist government’s
unified leadership.
Communists and Nationalists position for Civil War
As China’s anti-Japanese struggle (i.e., World War II) came to a close, the
Chinese Communist Party and its military, though still relatively weak vis-à-
vis the Nationalist Army, had achieved unprecedented strength, and now
constituted a serious threat to Nationalist Party rule over China. Accord-
ing to prominent Chinese scholar Zhang Baijia, when Mao Zedong turned
his attention to what to do in the postwar period, he was of two minds.
   Mao faced two theoretically antithetical options: long-term Nationalist–
Communist cooperation aimed at the peaceful reconstruction of China or
a possible break in Nationalist–Communist relations and renewed civil
war. On the eve of the end of the war, a central tenet of Chinese Commu-
nist strategy implied that it would work toward a cooperative, peaceful
relationship. In late April 1945, at the opening of the Chinese Communist
Party Seventh Congress, Mao defined the world’s main decisive and con-
trolling factor as the unity of the three great powers: Great Britain, the
United States and the Soviet Union. Because of this favorable interna-
tional situation, he proposed, the Nationalist Party might make conces-
sions and compromise with the Chinese Communist Party. Postwar China,
therefore, might move toward democracy, abolish one-party rule, imple-
ment democratic reforms, and establish a unified, multi-party government,
all leading, step-by-step, to the (Communist) political goal of implement-
ing “New Democracy” nationwide.
   However, if the Communist Party was prepared to work hard for peace,
the Nationalists, by contrast, were looking to rely above all on military
force. This was based on a pure power calculation: the Nationalists were
relatively strong, and the Communists were still relatively weak. But, based
on trends, the Nationalists’ decline was obvious, while the Communists
had growing momentum on their side. The Nationalists, to maintain their
monopoly on national political power, intended to use their existing mili-
tary superiority to check the strengthening Communist position. The
Nationalists wanted at the very least to quickly reduce Communist power
to the point where it could no longer pose a threat. The Communists, on
46   China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy
the other hand, wanted to postpone a showdown as long as possible, to
avoid a setback, to develop further, and to assure final victory.4
   In this situation, one of Chiang Kai-shek’s main policy goals was to limit
Soviet support for the Chinese Communists. In early July 1945, after the
start of Chinese–Soviet negotiations, Stalin proposed that China recognize
Mongolian independence. Chiang Kai-shek demanded as “a condition of
exchange” for the Nationalist government’s recognition of independent
Mongolia that “the Soviet Union, in the future, not support the Chinese
Communists or the Xinjiang rebellion,” and provide assurances concern-
ing “the sovereignty and administrative integrity of [China’s] three North-
east provinces.” Chiang Kai-shek also had China’s delegation head, Song
Ziwen, further clarify to the Soviet Union the Nationalist government’s
conditions that,
    The Chinese Communist Party must strictly follow central government
    military and political orders, that is, all parties must strictly follow
    national laws; however the government will treat all equally without
    discrimination, and once a national assembly is convened, and a gov-
    ernment is reorganized, it will accept them into the Executive Branch,
    though certainly not in a unity government.5
Since Stalin had already made this commitment to the United States, he
readily accepted Chiang Kai-shek’s conditions.
   Stalin enunciated three principles concerning Nationalist–Communist
relations: First, “China can only have one government, led by the Nation-
alist Party,” though it should allow the Communist Party and others to
participate in the government. Second, “the Chinese Government is highly
justified in requiring unified, national military and government regula-
tions,” and its unwillingness to establish a coalition government is a “legiti-
mate demand.” Third, all Soviet arms and other materiel “will be provided
only to the Central Government, and it will not provide arms to the Com-
munist Party.” Stalin also added significantly that, “In China, there is the
Nationalist Party. The other force is the Communist Party. But can the
Communist Party overturn the government? . . . If China and the Soviet
Union are allies, then nobody can overturn the Chinese government.”6
Stalin’s adoption of these measures to carry out his China policy cast a
cloud over already unstable and unharmonious relations between the
Chinese Communists and the Soviet Union.
   Starting with the signing of the Sino-Soviet Treaty of Friendship and
Alliance with the Nationalist government in August 1945 through signing
of the Sino-Soviet Treaty of Friendship, Alliance and Mutual Benefit with
Communist China in February 1950, Soviet policy toward China and its
relations with the Chinese Communist Party went through numerous
twists and turns.
                           China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy   47
Roots of Moscow’s distrust of the Chinese Communists
From 1934, when Mao Zedong led the Red Army on the Long March to
Yan’an and restored contacts with the Soviet Union and the Communist
International (Comintern), relations between the Chinese Communist
Party and the Soviet Union were fraught with mutual distrust and discord.
First, there was conflict over the strategy of subordination to the interna-
tional united front and the Comintern advocated by Moscow-returnee
Wang Ming and Mao’s policy of party autonomy during China’s anti-
Japanese united front period.
   Later, once the Soviet Union and the Comintern came to terms with
Mao’s leadership of the Chinese Communist Party, conflict arose over
wartime strategy and tactics. As Hu Qiaomu, Mao’s secretary, recalled,
    When a Soviet representative arrived in Yan’an, he immediately asked
    why the Chinese Communist Party did not mass its military force
    against the Japanese. The Soviet goal was for the Chinese Communist
    Party to field a large military force to remove Soviet concern over its
    rear area [i.e., over Japanese forces in northern China]. But the
    Chinese Communist Party then insisted on waging guerilla warfare,
    since it was incapable of large-scale warfare. The Soviet Union was very
    unhappy with this state of affairs, believing that the Chinese Commun
    ist Party did not want to support the Soviet Union.7
To a large degree, Mao’s dogged insistence on an independent, autono-
mous political stance for the Chinese Communist Party was aimed as much
at managing relations with Stalin and the Soviet-led Comintern as it was at
managing domestic relations with the Nationalists. The Chinese Commu-
nist Party’s evasion of Moscow’s directives aroused Stalin’s deep dissatisfac-
tion and suspicion.8 In Moscow’s view, Mao’s Yan’an party rectification
(purge) campaign (launched in February 1942) and the elevation of Mao
Zedong Thought at the Chinese Communist Party Seventh Congress (con-
vened in April 1945) were aimed at rooting out Soviet influence within the
Chinese Communist Party.9 Against this background, it is therefore not
surprising that Stalin told U.S. Ambassador W. Averell Harriman on June
22, 1944 that the “Chinese Communists are not real Communists, they are
‘margarine’ Communists,” implying that once conditions improved they
would abandon Communism.10 Relations between the Chinese and Soviet
Communist leaders became even more complex and strained after the
Soviet Red Army invaded Northeast China in August 1945.
Chinese Communists try to anticipate Soviet postwar policy
Nevertheless, when the Chinese Communists were forming their strategy
and policies for the final stage of the anti-Japanese struggle, they did not
48   China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy
know that Stalin had already decided to throw his support to the Chinese
Nationalist government. Mao thought the Soviet Union would help the
Chinese Communist Party once the war was over. In his final remarks to
the Seventh Party Congress in May 1945, he expressed the “great hope
[that] the international proletariat and the great Soviet Union will help
us,” and his belief that “help will surely come from the international prole-
tariat, otherwise Marxism doesn’t work.”11 Expecting that a Soviet troop
deployment into Northeast China would help their party, the Chinese
Communists adopted an activist policy, expanded areas under their
control, preparing for armed conflict with the Nationalist Party.
   On August 11, 1945 the Chinese Communist Party Central Committee
sent the following message to its regional party committees:
    Following the Soviet entry into the war, Japan has announced its sur-
    render. The Nationalist Party is actively preparing to ‘regain lost
    ground’ in our liberated areas, and gain fruit from the victory over
    Japan. The battle for control will be intense. . . . [O]ur party’s task is
    two-fold: (a) In the present stage, we have to concentrate our main
    strength to force the [Japanese] enemy and [its] puppet regimes to
    surrender to us. In light of actual conditions, we must attack those
    forces which will not surrender, gradually annihilate them, forcibly
    expand our liberated areas, occupy all the large and small cities and
    main transportation routes which we can or should occupy, seize
    weapons and supplies, and give a free hand to grass-roots armed mass
    organizations, all without the least hesitation. . . . (b) In the coming
    stage, the Nationalist Party may launch a large-scale offensive against
    us. Our party must prepare to mobilize our military forces and deal
    with a civil war . . . on a scale that will be dictated by circumstances.12
CCP leaders now focused their attention on the post-Japanese surrender
situation in Northeast China, moving People’s Liberation Army units
toward and into the Northeast. From Yan’an, Zhu De ordered units under
Lü Zhengcao from Shanxi and Suiyuan into Chahar and Jehol, units
under Zhang Xueshi from Hebei and Chahar into Jehol and Liaoning,
units under Wan Yi from Shandong and Hebei into Liaoning, and units
under Li Yunchang from the Hebei–Jehol–Liaoning border area into
Liaoning and Jilin.13
   At the same time the Chinese Communists adopted an offensive strat-
egy in northern and central China. On August 20 Mao cabled the CCP’s
Central China Bureau that,
    Your planned uprising in Shanghai is absolutely correct. We look
    forward to the thorough implementation of your plan, and will send
    strong armed forces into the city to help. If conditions are right for
    uprisings in other cities, act accordingly.
                          China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy   49
The same day Mao cabled CCP party bureaus in Shanxi, Chahar and
Hebei provinces directing that,
    You should swiftly organize armed uprisings . . . in Peiping, Tianjin,
    Tangshan, Baoding, and Shijiazhuang, seizing the chance to launch
    coordinated uprisings . . . to take these cities, the most important of
    which are Peiping [now Beijing] and Tianjin.14
Stalin warns Chinese Communists against civil war
Chinese Communist preparations to launch a broad offensive against the
Nationalists quickly came into conflict with the Soviet Union’s China
policy. By this time, the Soviets had signed the Sino-Soviet Treaty on
Friendship and Alliance with the Nationalists. The Soviet Red Army was
not in Northeast China to promote the Chinese Communist revolution. At
this point, U.S. Ambassador to China Patrick Hurley and Chiang Kai-shek
proposed Nationalist–Communist peace talks, inviting Mao to
Chongqing.15
   In two telegrams sent to the Chinese Communist leadership in mid-
August 1945 Stalin insisted that China had to avoid civil war, which, he
asserted, would lead to national catastrophe, and urged Mao to attend the
Chongqing talks promoted by Hurley and Chiang. Mao was angry over this
arm-twisting, but joint Soviet and American diplomatic pressure forced a
change in Chinese Communist strategy.16
   Given limited Chinese Communist strength at the time, there was no
way to successfully carry out an offensive strategy absent Soviet assistance.
Mao decided therefore to attend Chongqing talks with Chiang, while also
revising his strategy of attacking large cities. On August 21 Mao cabled the
party’s Central China Bureau canceling the planned uprising in Shanghai,
explaining that an uprising of this type would turn into an attack against
Chiang. On August 22 the CCP Central Committee and Central Military
Commission likewise rescinded instructions to occupy large cities.17
   On August 23 Mao made a lengthy speech at an enlarged Politburo
meeting: “The present situation is that the war with Japan is over and we
have entered the stage of peaceful reconstruction.” Mao continued that
conditions allowed for two possibilities: one was that the Chinese Commu-
nist Party could take over some big cities, the other was that they wouldn’t,
and Mao admitted that it then looked like they wouldn’t. They had tried
to take over some large cities, but had failed. There were two reasons: one
was that the Soviet Union, bound by the Chinese–Soviet Treaty of Friend-
ship and Alliance, could not help the Chinese Communists; the other was
that Chiang was using his internationally recognized status as head of the
legal government of China to force the Japanese to surrender only to his
Nationalist forces. The Chinese Communists were therefore entering the
period of peaceful reconstruction without having taken any major cities.
50   China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy
As for the Chongqing talks, Mao proposed that, “Comrade Zhou Enlai
immediately proceed to the negotiations, talk two days and then return.
[Ambassador] Hurley and I will then go. We cannot put this off. We have
to go, but I don’t think there is any danger.”18 In an August 26 speech,
Mao raised the possibility of Communist territorial concessions during the
Chongqing talks that would involve Communist pullbacks from areas in
southern China in exchange for Nationalist political concessions and/or
territorial concessions to the Communists elsewhere.19
Chinese Communists deploy forces to Northeast China
Based on experience, Chinese Communist leaders already thought that
Soviet help to the Chinese Communist Party would be limited. Even
before the Soviet Union sent its troops into Northeast China, while Nation-
alist representatives were in Moscow talking with Stalin, Wang Ruofei, then
a CCP representative charged with foreign affairs work, offered his analysis
of these talks. Wang noted that the treaty that the Soviets would be signing
with the Nationalists would naturally not be one “under which the Soviet
Union can freely support the Communist Party against the Nationalist
Party.” However, Soviet concessions to the Nationalists would not go
beyond two limits, he argued. The Soviets would not tolerate the emer-
gence of a pro-American, fascist government in China, and the Soviets
would not restrict the development of the Chinese Communists, even if
they might not be willing to assist the Chinese Communists.20 Wang’s
assessment proved to be quite accurate.
   The Chinese Communists calculated, however, that despite strains with
the Soviet leader and limits on Soviet China policy dictated by the interna-
tional situation in the Far East, the two Communist parties nevertheless
shared a common ideology. Moreover, the Chiang Kai-shek government’s
reliance on the United States provided some hope for the Chinese Com-
munists that, as they became stronger, the Soviet Union would lighten and
then abandon its restrictions on them. Therefore, Chinese Communist
policy at this time was based on the calculation that it might gain Soviet
support and assistance by reaching out and coordinating closely with
Soviet positions and actions in China.
   While carefully staying in step with the Soviet Red Army in the North-
east and managing the Chongqing talks, the CCP decided to deploy its
forces rapidly into the Northeast, seeking to occupy a wide swath of the
countryside, including small and medium-sized cities. As laid out in an
August 29 Central Committee message to local party branches, bound by
Soviet treaty obligations to the Nationalist government, “The [Soviet] Red
Army will undoubtedly refrain from formally consulting with us or assist-
ing us when our party and army enter the three northeastern provinces.”
However, continued the message, as long as Chinese Communist military
actions in the Northeast “do not directly affect the Soviet Union’s treaty
                          China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy   51
obligations, the Soviet Union will turn a blind eye and give us great sym-
pathy.”21 Another Central Committee message instructed that,
    [I]n the name of the Northeast Volunteer Army, you can unofficially,
    surreptitiously, and indirectly seize cities and rural areas unoccupied
    by the Soviet army, and you should send cadres into the cities you
    cannot reach to make unofficial contact with the Red Army.22
Conflicting Soviet signals
And yet, at the time, Chinese Communist leaders after all were still unclear
about overall Soviet policy toward China. At this juncture, the Soviet
Union was requesting that Nationalist troops enter the Northeast in
accord with Soviet commitments made to the United States and Chiang
Kai-shek, including in the August 1945 Sino-Soviet treaty. Stalin told
Ambassador Harriman on August 27 that he hoped the Nationalist govern-
ment “would send Chinese troops in the near future to take over from the
Russians in keeping order and controlling Japanese saboteurs.” Harriman
reported to Secretary of State James Byrnes that he believed that the Soviet
Union wanted to withdraw from Manchuria within three months, and he
therefore recommended that the Chinese government give “immediate
consideration” to deploying troops to the Northeast.23
   Stalin sought comprehensive implementation of the guarantees con-
tained in the Yalta Agreement, i.e., restoration of all the rights in China
that Czarist Russia had lost as a result of the Russo-Japanese War. Ideo-
logical considerations were at best of small political importance in Stalin’s
handling of relations with the Nationalist government. Thus, whether the
Soviet Red Army would “leave alone” or provide “sympathy to” Chinese
Communist forces in Northeast China would be decided solely on the
basis of Soviets’ needs as related to the Nationalist government in China
and the United States internationally. As a result, Chinese Communist
policy toward the Northeast had to constantly adapt as Soviet attitudes
changed.24
   By early September 1945, Chinese Communist forces from North China
were already closing in on or had entered the Northeast. On September
11, the Central Committee cabled its Shandong Bureau that,
    According to an investigative report by a person sent to Dalian by the
    East Shandong party committee, the situation in the Northeast is
    going quite well now for our party and army. To take advantage of the
    situation before the Nationalist Party and army arrive in the Northeast
    (it is estimated they will not arrive in the short term), and to enhance
    quickly our force level and strengthen our position in the Northeast,
    the Central Committee has decided to redeploy from Shandong four
    divisions (twelve regiments), totaling 25,000 to 30,000 soldiers, to
52   China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy
    arrive in the Northeast in groups by sea, and to send [PLA Political
    Commissar] Xiao Hua to provide unified leadership at the front.25
Soviet Red Army forces occupying Northeast China were not all on the
same page when it came to understanding and implementing Moscow’s
immediate postwar China policy. Some Soviet Red Army units, such as
those at Shanhaiguan, Dalian and Shenyang, expressed support for the
Chinese Communist forces,26 while elsewhere, conflict and friction grew
between Chinese Communist and Soviet Army units. There are many anec-
dotal Chinese accounts of such conflict, and documentary evidence of this
friction has also been found recently in Russian archives.
    In early September 1945 the Manchurian Committee of the Third Unit
of the CCP Shandong Bureau sent a letter to the Soviet Communist Party
complaining about poor Soviet Army discipline and conduct in Northeast
China. It asked the Soviet Army not to disarm Chinese Communist forces
entering Northeast China, and, further, to provide these forces with arms,
printing equipment and paper. These requests did not elicit a favorable
response. Soviet military authorities refused to provide printing equip-
ment and paper to the Chinese Communists, prohibited Chinese
Communist activities in Soviet-occupied areas, and reminded the Chinese
Communists that these questions would be decided by Chiang Kai-shek’s
government.27
    To clarify the Soviet stance and coordinate with the Chinese Commun
ists, two high-ranking Soviet military officers representing Marshal Rodion
Malinovsky, the Soviet Red Army commander in the Northeast, flew to
Yan’an on September 14. These Soviet officers conveyed Malinovsky’s oral
message that neither the Nationalist Army nor the Chinese Communist
Eighth Route Army should enter the Northeast before the Soviet Red
Army withdrew, and asked People’s Liberation Army Commander-in-Chief
Zhu De to order the withdrawal of Eighth Route Army units that had
reached Soviet-occupied areas near Shenyang, Dalian, Changchun and
Pingquan. They also informed the CCP that the Red Army would soon
withdraw. Then China could decide how Chinese forces should enter the
Northeast, and the Soviet Union would not interfere in this Chinese inter-
nal matter.28 Faced with this situation, the Chinese Communist Party
Central Committee’s strategic plan for gaining control of the Northeast
projected “a long-term struggle with the Nationalist Party,” noting that
forces entering the Northeast “need to concentrate on key cities and rural
areas contiguous with the Soviet Union, Korea, Mongolia and Jehol to
establish bases for long-term competition, and then to struggle for control
of the major cities along the South Manchuria railway.”29
    Shortly thereafter, the Five Power Foreign Ministers’ meeting in
London ended in failure. The Soviet Union and the United States were
unable to coordinate their positions on the Far Eastern question, and the
Soviet Union refused to join the Far Eastern Consultative Commission.
                          China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy   53
The United States was concerned that the Soviet Union would use the
Sino-Soviet treaty to control Northeast China, and repeatedly sought a
Soviet public guarantee that it would act in accord with the “Open Door”
principle.
Soviets react to specter of U.S. influence in Northeast China
When U.S. naval ships began to carry large numbers of Nationalist troops
to ports in North and Northeast China, the Soviets expressed deep
concern and great displeasure. In October the Soviets were offended when
a U.S. warship landed without prior notice in Dalian and its commanding
officer went on land to investigate the situation. Infuriated, Marshal
Malinovsky repeatedly raised this incident in stern terms with Nationalist
government officials. Zhang Jia (Chang Kia-ngau), a Nationalist Chinese
representative in talks with Malinovsky, observed in his diary that, “The
Soviets are unwilling to have us rely on the United States to transport our
troops. In other words, they are unwilling to have the United States
acquire a foothold in the Northeast.”30
   Displeased by American moves in Northeast China, Stalin adjusted his
Far Eastern strategy. To resist American pressure and put the brakes on
the Nationalists, the Soviet Union not only prevented Nationalist forces
from landing in Northeast China ports, but also indicated its support for a
Chinese Communist takeover of the Northeast. In early October the Soviet
Army proposed to the Chinese Communist Party Northeast Bureau and
the CCP Central Committee that they deploy 200,000 to 300,000 troops to
secure the Northeast, with the Soviet Army providing a large amount of
military equipment. In late October a Soviet Army representative encour-
aged the Northeast Bureau: “[In the Northeast] you should take control
and act . . . [to] quickly send personnel to control large industrial cities
and industries.” Furthermore, he continued, the Chinese Communists
“can gradually take the reins of the government,” with the Soviet Army
coordinating with Communist forces to fight the Nationalist army.31 The
Soviet Army representative even proposed that the Chinese Communist
Central Committee might move to Northeast China.
   Influenced by the new Soviet policy, on October 16 and 19 and Novem-
ber 1 the Chinese Communist Party Central Committee sent a series of
instructions to its field military units directing them to “change the former
dispersal plan,” “resolutely and completely annihilate Chiang forces from
whatever direction they enter the Northeast,” concentrate Chinese Com-
munist main forces along the line from Jinzhou, through Yingkou, to
Shenyang, and, “above all, defend Liaoning and Andong [Dandong], and
then seize control of the whole Northeast.” The overall CCP strategy was
to seize the Northeast and consolidate in North and Central China.32
   To implement this task, the Chinese Communists sorely needed the
Soviets to provide more help. Consequently, the Central Committee asked
54   China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy
the Soviet Army to postpone its withdrawal from the Northeast and
prevent Nationalist forces from landing in Northeast ports and taking
political power. The Soviets said it would be difficult to postpone their
withdrawal, but they agreed that before they withdrew, they would not
allow Nationalist forces to be airlifted to Changchun. The Soviet Army was
ready, moreover, to provide weaponry, communications and transporta-
tion equipment to the Chinese Communist forces, to allow the Chinese
Communist forces free rein in areas where the Nationalist forces had
landed, and, in Changchun, to allow the Chinese Communists to replace
all the city department heads, albeit not the mayor.33 Also, undoubtedly
owing to Soviet cooperation with the Chinese Communists, Nationalist
forces were unable to land at Dalian, Yingkou or Huludao.
Under Nationalist pressure, Soviets restrict Chinese
Communists
In quick order, however, Soviet policy in the Northeast shifted again. The
Soviets aimed on the one hand to prevent the insertion of American
power into the Northeast, and on the other hand to apply pressure on the
Nationalists. A Soviet representative was negotiating at this time with the
Nationalist government concerning the turnover of the Northeast and
bilateral economic cooperation. The Nationalists were demanding that
the turnover of the Northeast be completed before signing a bilateral eco-
nomic cooperation agreement, and the Soviets were demanding the exact
opposite. Both sides held their ground.34
    Chiang Kai-shek’s countermove effectively employed an array of sticks
and carrots. To put pressure on the Soviets, on the one hand, he ordered
the withdrawal of the Nationalist field headquarters in the Northeast, while,
at the same time, he offered some economic concessions, thereby seeking to
elicit Soviet political reciprocity. Sure enough, Chiang’s strategy worked.
    On November 17 the Soviet ambassador to China informed the Nation-
alists that:
    Chinese government troops can land without hindrance in [Chang-
    chun] and Mukden [Shenyang]. The Soviet Army will give them the
    assistance needed. . . . The Soviet Army strictly adheres to the Sino-
    Soviet treaty. With respect to the Communist Party in Manchuria, in
    the past the Soviet Army has not given it any assistance, and this con-
    tinues to be the case. . . . If the Chinese government desires . . . the
    Soviet Army . . . can postpone [its evacuation] for one or two months.
On November 20, the Soviet ambassador informed the Nationalist Foreign
Ministry that, “The Soviet government has instructed its Air Force
command to take measures necessary to guarantee the unhindered
landing of Chinese troops in [Changchun] and Mukden [Shenyang].”35
                          China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy   55
   After reaching agreement with Chiang Kai-shek, the Soviet Union again
restricted Chinese Communist activities in the Northeast. On November
19 Soviet military authorities in the Northeast informed the Chinese Com-
munist Northeast Bureau that, in accord with the Sino-Soviet Treaty of
Friendship and Alliance, the Soviet Union would be turning over the
Changchun Railway and cities along the railway to the Nationalists, and
therefore requested that Chinese Communist forces withdraw 50 km
behind the rail line, that they not enter the area under Soviet Army occu-
pation, and that they not fight with the Nationalists before the Soviet Army
withdrew from the Northeast. The Soviet representative threatened that,
“armed force would not be spared, if needed” to uphold Soviet interests,
including to expel Chinese Communist forces. Shortly afterwards, the
Soviet Army demanded that the Chinese Communists desist from under-
taking activities in major cities that would undermine the Sino-Soviet
treaty.36 In early December, Foreign Minister Molotov instructed the com-
manding officer of the Lushun naval base not to allow Chinese forces –
Nationalist or Communist – to enter the Soviet base. He stressed that,
“[Soviet military authorities] must resolutely oppose all Communist
attempts to restructure political and economic life inside the naval base as
they have done in their own base areas.”37
   At the same time this was occurring, in early and mid-November 1945,
two Nationalist armies were transported on 31 U.S. ships from Kowloon in
Hong Kong and Haiphong in Vietnam to Qinhuangdao. In succession,
they attacked and occupied Shanhaiguan, Suizhong, Jinzhou and strategic
points the Communist Eighth Route Army had seized from Japanese-allied
puppet armies. In the face of this sudden change in circumstances, the
Chinese Communists again adjusted their plans.
Chinese Communists reassess policy in the Northeast
On November 20 and 28, the Chinese Communist Party Central Commit-
tee sent two instructions to the Northeast Bureau. One directed that the
Northeast Bureau “quickly set up consolidated bases in eastern, northern
and western Manchuria, and strengthen work in Jehol and eastern Hebei.”
The other noted that, given the actions of the Soviet occupation authori-
ties, the Chinese Communist leadership acknowledged that “an indepen
dent Northeast” was impossible, and that the Chinese Communist main
forces should again disperse “to seize small and medium-sized cities, sec-
ondary rail lines and rural areas; work to create base areas; and carry out
long-term planning.”38
   CCP Politburo member Chen Yun and his colleagues on the frontline
in Northeast China, Gao Gang and Zhang Wentian acknowledged that the
fundamental goal of Soviet China policy was to uphold the Soviet Union’s
own interests. In a November 30 report to the Central Committee, they
pointed out that the goal of Soviet policy was “to preserve peace in the Far
56   China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy
East and world peace,” that Soviet policy toward the Nationalists and the
Communists in the Northeast would shift from time to time in support of
this goal, and that the Chinese Communist Party should be prepared for a
long struggle with the Nationalists in the Northeast. In sum, they argued,
the Chinese Communist Party should “avoid placing all [its] hopes on
Soviet assistance.”39 The term “preserve peace” was merely a Chinese Com-
munist mantra to save Soviet face. The abandonment of any illusions
about Soviet assistance by the Chinese Communist leadership indicates
that these leaders essentially understood the motivation of Stalin’s Far
Eastern policy.
    By December 1945, there had been a change for the better in relations
between the Soviet Union and the Nationalist government. In the Decem-
ber 1945 Moscow Conference of Foreign Ministers, the Soviet Union and
the United States were again on the same page with respect to China, with
both countries pledging support for a unified, Nationalist-led government.
Foreign Minister Molotov reiterated Soviet support for Chiang Kai-shek
and promised that Soviet and American aims were the same “on the issue
of support for China’s central government.”40
    Stalin spelled out this position in a December 30 meeting with Chiang
Kai-shek’s son, Chiang Ching-kuo. Stalin told the younger Chiang that the
Soviet Union had had three representatives in Yan’an, but withdrew them
all since it disagreed with the Chinese Communist Party’s move to scuttle
the Chongqing talks. The Soviet Union stood by the spirit of the Moscow
Conference of Foreign Ministers, said Stalin. The Chiang Kai-shek govern-
ment was the only legal Chinese government. China could not have two
governments and two armies. The Chinese Communists were not members
of the Soviet Communist Party, and the Comintern no longer existed.
Without a request from the Chinese Communist Party, the Soviet Union
would not give it advice. And, since the end of the Chongqing talks, the
Chinese Communists had not asked for Soviet advice. The Soviet Union
was not happy with Chinese Communist actions. If they asked for Soviet
advice, the Soviet Union would recommend that the Chinese Communists
act in the spirit of what had been shared with Chiang Ching-kuo. The
Chinese Communists wanted to enter Manchuria, but the Soviet Union
had not allowed that.41
    As this indicates, the Soviet Union had some reason to believe then that
its interests in the Far East could be realized through accommodation with
the United States and the Chiang Kai-shek government. Thus, when
General George Marshall arrived in China (in late December 1945) to
mediate Nationalist–Communist relations, the Soviet Union not only
rejected the Chinese Communist suggestion that Moscow join in Marshall’s
mediation effort, but urged the Chinese Communists to stop the civil war
and cooperate with the Nationalists to achieve democratic reforms. Moscow
warned the Chinese Communists that under no circumstances should they
fight in Northeast China, lest “all their forces be annihilated and this action
                            China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy   57
provoke the great danger that the American military might enter
Manchuria.”42
   Mao Zedong was so unhappy with the Soviet position that he decided to
indicate that he was inclined to strengthen relations with the United
States. Mao had Zhou Enlai convey to General Marshall on his behalf that,
“When I [Mao] go abroad, I want to go first to the United States.” Hu
Qiaomu later explained that, while it was tactically expedient to make this
political gesture toward the United States, on another plane, this state-
ment reflected unhappiness with the Soviet Union and a desire to attract
U.S. assistance.43
   Faced with this situation, the CCP Central Committee re-emphasized its
strategy toward Northeast China, i.e., that it would work to establish strong
bases far from big cities and main transportation lines in the Northeast.44
In other words, the Chinese Communists would depend on their own
strength and prepare for a long struggle with the Nationalists for control
of the Northeast.
Renewed Soviet–Nationalist tensions
In the spring of 1946, important developments forced the Soviet Union to
withdraw its troops from the Northeast and scale back its expectations with
respect to its economic position in Northeast China.
    First, Sino-Soviet negotiations on economic cooperation in the North-
east fell into stalemate. The disagreements revealed a wide gap between
Nationalist Chinese and Soviet ideas over the scope of bilateral economic
cooperation. Though the Soviet Union scaled back its demands for joint
management of enterprises, China made no concessions with respect to a
large number of heavy industrial, aviation and river navigation enterprises.
The two sides clung to opposing positions on whether the chairmen and
managers of joint enterprises should be appointed by the Chinese or
Soviet sides. The two sides also again disagreed over the timing of the
signing of the economic cooperation agreement. The Soviets wanted to
sign an agreement before its troops withdrew from China, and China
wanted to sign after the Soviet Army withdrew. As the date of the Soviet
withdrawal (February 1, 1946) drew near, there was no substantial progress
on Sino-Soviet economic cooperation.
    In pursuit of its economic interests in the Northeast, the Soviet Union
repeatedly threatened Nationalist China that it would not withdraw its
troops if the issue of economic cooperation was not resolved. The National-
ist government, bitter over its earlier concessions in the Northeast, vacillated
between soft and hard-line tactics. Chiang Kai-shek finally decided that, “If
the Soviets do not withdraw their troops, then we will not advance or discuss
the issue of economic cooperation. We will shelve it and see what
happens.”45 This “cool management” tactic left the Soviets to make their
intentions clear while the Nationalists appealed for international support.
58   China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy
    When Soviet forces continued to occupy the Northeast after February
1, 1946, Chinese (Nationalist) negotiators left Changchun, and Sino-
Soviet economic negotiations broke off. The Soviets later asked that the
negotiations resume. The Chinese government refused, but stated that it
would consider the Soviet request if negotiations were moved to Chong-
qing. With no resolution in sight, the deadline both sides had set for the
Soviet troop withdrawal passed, putting the Soviets on the diplomatic
defensive.46
    The issue of the Northeast then came to U.S. and wider international
attention. After the U.S. learned about the background of the Sino-
Soviet economic negotiations, on February 9, it sent notes to the Chinese
and Soviet governments asserting that their discussion of joint manage-
ment of industrial and mining operations in the Northeast infringed on
the “Open Door” policy. Great Britain threw its support behind the U.S.
position. General Marshall encouraged the Chinese government to resist
Soviet pressure and to make no commitments with respect to “war spoils”
or economic cooperation. Marshall told Foreign Minister Wang Shijie
that, “Time was running against the Soviet [Union], since the longer her
troops remain in Manchuria, the more clearly she becomes a deliberate
treaty wrecker in the eyes of the world.” On February 13, Secretary of
State Byrnes cabled Wang suggesting that if the Soviet Union’s economic
demands in Northeast China touched on the question of reparations,
they should be referred to the Far Eastern Commission for decision.47
The internationalization of the question of Sino-Soviet economic coop-
eration forced the Soviet Union to confront the issue with the United
States and Great Britain, further pressuring the Soviets to make a diffi-
cult choice.
    At the same time, the rise of anti-Soviet sentiment in China also
increased pressure on the Soviets to withdraw from the Northeast. On Feb-
ruary 11, 1946, to force the Soviet Union into an early withdrawal, the
United States and Great Britain published previously secret details regard-
ing the treatment of the Far East at the Yalta Conference. Shortly there
after, Nationalist Chinese newspapers published information about Soviet
economic demands and the suspension of the Soviet troop withdrawal,
stirring enormous Chinese popular anger.
    Massive anti-Soviet demonstrations broke out in Chongqing, Chang-
chun, Nanjing and other large cities, demanding the Soviets withdraw
immediately from the Northeast. Taking advantage of the situation,
Chiang Kai-shek made a strong statement reiterating that the Chinese gov-
ernment enjoyed complete sovereignty over Manchuria. Nationalist news-
papers then seized on a January 16, 1946 incident in which Zhang Xinfu, a
member of the technical staff involved in the turnover of the Northeast to
the Nationalists, was (mortally) wounded (by a Soviet soldier), thus further
stoking strong anti-Soviet sentiment.48
                          China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy   59
Forced to withdraw, Soviets tilt to the Chinese Communists
Given these circumstances, it was imperative that Soviet forces withdraw
from the Northeast. Stalin, however, was not happy to abandon the eco-
nomic benefits he had been on the verge of gaining, and he was especially
keen on seeing that the United States did not use the Soviet troop with-
drawal to gain a foothold in the Northeast. Though Stalin publicly paid lip
service to America’s “Open Door” policy, he felt, of course, that the U.S.
policy was designed for its own selfish reasons, warning the Nationalists
that, “[T]he Open door policy . . . is an instrument of imperialist aggres-
sion. Therefore, while opening its doors, China also should be prepared
to close its doors.”49
   In early 1946, after U.S. Special Envoy General Albert Wedemeyer
announced that the United States would transport Nationalist General Du
Yuming’s troops to Northeast China, Marshal Malinovsy candidly told
Nationalist representative Zhang Jia that the Soviet Union had consistently
opposed the insertion of U.S. power into the region. Zhang wrote in his
diary that, “Now that the United States has gone a step further in indicat-
ing its intention to support Chinese [Nationalist] military power in the
Northeast, Soviet concern and jealousy are bound to increase.”50
   The Soviet Union was now clearly concerned with, in its view, the
American military’s intrusion into Northeast China. As Stalin had made
clear to Chiang Ching-kuo in their December 30, 1945 meeting, the Soviet
Union was not willing to countenance an American or any other foreign
military presence in Manchuria, the “Soviet zone.”51 And now, the Soviet
Union itself could neither continue to militarily occupy Manchuria nor
rely on Nationalist cooperation to check the insinuation of U.S. power
into Northeast China. Therefore, it once again revised its policy, seeking
now to gain its objectives by assisting the Chinese Communist Party in
Northeast China.
Chinese Communists fill vacuum in the Northeast
Accordingly, the Soviet Red Army now withdrew precipitously from Shen-
yang, Siping and other large cities, affording Chinese Communist forces
the opportunity to enter and fill the vacuum. On March 8, 1946, a Soviet
Army representative officially informed the CCP Northeast Bureau that
the Soviet Red Army would be withdrawing from Fushun, Jilin and Shen-
yang, that the Red Army would not turn these areas over to the National-
ists, and that the Chinese Communists were free to act.52 And, in fact, on
March 9, without warning, Soviet occupation authorities in Shenyang
received orders to withdraw from Shenyang within two days, leaving Shen-
yang Garrison Commander I. Kovtun-Stankovich surprised.53
    Soviet occupation authorities turned over control of some areas to
Chinese Communist forces, notably areas outside the Chinese Changchun
60   China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy
Railroad and South Manchurian Railroad rights of way.54 On the verge of
 their withdrawal, Soviet Army authorities suggested that once they with-
 drew, the Chinese Communists were free to fight it out for control along
 the Changchun railway, and indicated that they supported CCP seizure of
 Changchun, Harbin and Qiqihar.55 Responding to a request by Xiao
Jingguang, Commander of the South Manchuria Military District of the
(CCP-controlled) Northeast Democratic Alliance Army and Han Guang,
CCP Secretary in Dalian, Soviet military authorities turned over to Com-
munist forces about 50 railroad box cars of captured Japanese arms along
with 20 trucks that had been shipped to the Northeast from Chongjin in
North Korea.56
    In response the Soviet policy shift, the Chinese Communists once again
significantly readjusted their plans for Northeast China. By early 1946
Chinese Communist leaders had gained a good grasp of the complex
international background to the Northeast China issue.
    At this point, in conjunction with a Nationalist–Communist agreement
on a ceasefire throughout China with the (significant) exception of the
Northeast, Chiang Kai-shek asked the Soviet Army to defer its withdrawal,
while simultaneously asking the United States to transport 250,000 Nation-
alist troops quickly to the Northeast to occupy Shenyang, Anshan, Yingkou
and other large cities. Seeking to take advantage of the opportunity pre-
sented by the ceasefire in the rest of China, Chiang wanted to launch a
large-scale advance in the Northeast to wipe out Chinese Communist
forces or to push them into far-off mountainous areas. Chiang hoped
thereby to put the Chinese Communists in an unfavorable position as a
prelude to resolving the Northeast issue by negotiations.
    The CCP Central Committee laid out the new situation in a March 5,
1946 instruction to the CCP Northeast Bureau. Drafted by Liu Shaoqi, the
instruction noted that the Soviets were seeking “economic cooperation” in
the Northeast, but had so far been rebuffed by Chiang and the Americans.
Meanwhile, the Nationalists were fanning a nationwide anti-Soviet move-
ment. In response, the Soviet Red Army had postponed its withdrawal. As
long as Chiang and the Americans were contending with the Soviet Union
over the Northeast, accommodation between the Chinese Communists
and the Nationalists was impossible. But, in view of the Nationalist-led anti-
Soviet movement, the Soviet Red Army might be more willing to help the
 Chinese Communists. The Northeast Bureau should, therefore, hold dis-
 cussions with Soviet authorities and report the result of these discussions
 to the Central Committee. Citing past experience, however, the Central
 Committee warned that the Northeast Bureau had to be very clear in these
 discussions, since, “in the future, when the Soviet Union resolves the issue
 of economic cooperation [in the Northeast], it might once again favor
 Chiang.”57
    The chance to occupy key positions in the Northeast following the
 Soviet troop withdrawal was a golden opportunity for the Chinese
                          China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy   61
 ommunists. Mao was prepared to exploit this opportunity with or without
C
Soviet support. On March 15, he cabled Zhou Enlai, then in Chongqing
negotiating with the Nationalists, that, “You cannot allow the Nationalists
to garrison Harbin, and must do all you can to see that neither side garri-
sons Fushun or Yingkou.” Mao stressed that Zhou should not listen uncrit-
ically to Soviet advice, terming the Soviets overly soft. In a March 16
instruction, Mao told Zhou that the CCP should make no territorial con-
cessions unless it received corresponding Nationalist political, military and
territorial concessions.58
   While stressing that there should be no unreciprocated concessions in
the Chongqing negotiations, the CCP Central Committee ordered its
forces in the Northeast to quickly undertake strong military measures. On
March 24, Mao instructed the Northeast Bureau that,
    Our party’s policy is to do all we can to seize Changchun and Harbin,
    along with the entire Chinese Eastern [Chinese Changchun] rail line,
    and to spare no sacrifice to prevent the occupation of Changchun,
    Harbin, and the China Eastern rail line by Chiang’s army.
Quickly contact the Soviet occupation authorities, ordered Mao,
    to permit our side to send forces to occupy Changchun and Harbin
    and the entire Chinese Eastern rail line . . . [m]obilize all you have to
    firmly control the Sipingjie region. If reactionary forces advance
    north, thoroughly annihilate them, preventing their advance on
    Changchun. . . . Our main forces in South Manchuria must resolutely
    wipe out any enemy advance on Liaoyang, Fushun, and related areas.
On March 25, Mao reiterated to the Northeast Bureau that until there was
a ceasefire in the Northeast, “You must make every effort and spare no sac-
rifice to protect strategic positions, especially in North Manchuria.” As for
Changchun, Harbin, Qiqihar and related areas, “Within a day or two of
the Soviet Army’s withdrawal, you must control them . . . to prevent the
[tripartite U.S.–Nationalist–Communist] ceasefire small teams, on their
arrival, from handing them over to Nationalist occupation.”59
    Chinese Communist forces at this point were now able to take advantage
of the opportunity presented by the fact that while the Soviet Army had
already withdrawn from the Chinese Changchun railway, the Nationalist
army was still held up in western Manchuria. Chinese Communist forces
thus quickly took over a number of southern Manchuria cities with substan-
tial industrial bases, including Andong, Benxi, Liaoyang, Haicheng, Fushun
and Tonghua. In mid-March, Communist forces occupied Siping, and, in
mid- and late April, they occupied the key cities of Changchun, Harbin and
Qiqihar, wiping out more than 30,000 Manchurian “puppet” troops and
armed bandits who were being used by the Nationalists. At this point, the
62   China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy
whole section north of Kaiyuan on the Changchun rail line was under
Chinese Communist control. Now, with North Manchuria securely at their
back and controlling internal lines of communication, Mao was resolved to
engage the Nationalists in strategic battles. In an April 19 instruction to the
Chongqing CCP delegation, Mao summed up his guidance in a slogan,
“Fight over every inch; never retreat.” In an April 20 telegram to the North-
east Bureau and Lin Biao, Mao proposed a policy of preparing “to turn
Changchun into Madrid.”60
   Chinese Communist Party’s policies in the Northeast at this time were
not entirely dependent on Stalin’s policies, but they were clearly closely
linked to Soviet support. This policy convergence caused Mao to over-
estimate Chinese Communist military power, and to make the error of
engaging the Nationalists in decisive combat in strategic areas. In mid-
1946, as a result of engaging in decisive, main force battles with the
Nationalists near Siping, Lin Biao’s forces suffered heavy losses and were
forced to withdraw in defeat.61 Chinese Communist leaders thereby real-
ized that,
    Though we have taken the two large cities of Changchun and Harbin,
    our first priority is in the rural areas and in the small and medium-
    sized cities. . . . We must delay the outbreak of national civil war as long
    as possible. [Our army’s] main force must not be afraid of losing
    areas, retreating, and leaving the enemy far behind, in order to gain
    time to rest and reequip, and to restore morale. . . . Our party must
    prepare for a prolonged fight.62
Enhanced Chinese Communist stature in Soviet eyes
After the Soviet Army withdrew from China, there was a major shift in the
interactions between the Soviet Union and the Chinese Communists.
Before it withdrew its army, the Soviet Union, with 1,000,000 men occupy-
ing Northeast China, was able to pursue its Far Eastern strategic interests
based on its strategic superiority in the Northeast. The Chinese Commun
ists and their military forces were then only a bargaining chip in Stalin’s
negotiations with the Nationalist government, and not a very important
bargaining chip at that. But, after the Soviet Red Army withdrew, the
Chinese Communists were the only factor the Soviets could use in their
China policy to check the Nationalist government’s policy toward the
Soviet Union and American power in China. As Chinese Communist mili-
tary strength grew, this factor grew more attractive in Stalin’s eyes.
    At the end of 1946, Soviet trade organizations openly established eco-
nomic relations with the CCP-controlled Northeast People’s Democratic
Administrative Commission, and the Soviet Union provided economic aid
to the Northeast liberated area. These moves reflected the beginning of a
“turn” in Soviet policy toward China. This does not mean, however, that
                           China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy   63
the Soviet Union now moved to total support for the Chinese Communist
Party.
    Stalin wanted to maintain relations with the Chinese Communists and
assist them in order to strengthen their power to check the United States
and Chiang. But, on the other hand, the Soviets still hoped to maintain
the Yalta system in Asia and to guarantee the Soviet Union’s political and
economic interests in China as recognized in the 1945 Sino-Soviet Treaty
of Friendship and Alliance. This balance required normal relations with
the Nationalist government and the maintenance of a certain distance
from the Chinese Communists. Once the Soviet Union rejected the Mar-
shall Plan and stirred up the Berlin crisis, Stalin was forced to focus on the
confrontation with the United States in the West. But in the East, he still
maintained a situation of relative détente. This meant that Stalin was not
in a position to throw his full support to the Chinese Communists in their
armed struggle to seize power even if he had wanted to do so.
    The Chinese Communist Party policy toward the Soviet Union was now
also nuanced and independent. Mao held that the Chinese Communist
revolution must stand on its own feet. The Soviet troop withdrawal from
Northeast China only strengthened the Chinese Communists in their
belief that they had to rely on their own resources to win revolutionary
victory.
    Mao’s policies now were not simply reactions to Stalin’s wishes.
However, Mao realized that only the Soviet Union would support the
Chinese revolutionary cause, and he therefore needed to show respect for
the Soviet Union as the leader of world communism. As a consequence,
after the Soviet Red Army withdrew from the Northeast, the Chinese Com-
munist Party stepped up the frequency of its requests for instructions and
its reports to Stalin. While the Chinese Communists were forced to adjust
their strategy in response to changing Soviet policy in the early postwar
period (late 1945 through early 1946), from the second half of 1946 until
the end of 1948, however, Soviet–Chinese Communist relations featured
greater subtlety and complexity.
    From the outset of the Chinese civil war in 1945, the Soviet Union’s
China policy generally paralleled that of the United States. However, the
Soviet Union sometimes played up its minor role in mediation between
the Nationalists and the Communists, seeking thereby to strengthen its
influence on “the China question” vis-à-vis the United States. Likewise,
Moscow pursued a pattern of subtle political duality: criticizing American
interference in Chinese domestic politics, while still signaling its intention
to coordinate with the U.S. on China policy.
    In December 1946, Stalin told Elliott Roosevelt, former President
Roosevelt’s son, that the Soviet Union was “ready to pursue a common
policy with the United States in Far Eastern questions.”63 Foreign Minister
Molotov, in an April 1947 letter to Secretary of State George C. Marshall
(who had ended his mediation of the Nationalist–Communist civil war and
64   China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy
returned to Washington in his new role), reaffirmed that Stalin’s
“common policy” referred to decisions adopted at the December 1945 Big
Three foreign ministers’ meeting regarding China: “In its relations with
China, the Soviet Government has upheld and upholds a policy of non-
interference in China’s internal affairs.”64 On the one hand, the Soviet
government supported and assisted the Chinese Communist administra-
tion in northern Manchuria and secretly supported Chinese Communists
in Soviet-occupied Dalian and Lushun.65 On the other hand, Soviet mili-
tary occupation authorities repeatedly invited the Nationalists to send a
negotiating team to Lushun. In April 1947, Soviet military authorities met
with Nationalist representatives on the question of the northern “border”
of the Lushun base, and, in June 1947, entertained a high-level Nationalist
delegation sent from Nanjing.66
Moscow offers to mediate between Nationalists and
Communists
In the summer of 1947, however, the Chinese people’s war of liberation
(i.e., the Chinese Communist offensive against the Nationalists) advanced
in ways that were problematical with respect to the Soviet goal of stability
in the Far East. Soviet policy toward China then shifted to promoting
peace talks between the Nationalists and the Communists. In October
1947, Soviet ambassador to Iran Ivan Sadchikov proposed to his Chinese
counterpart in Tehran, Ambassador Zheng Yitong, that the Soviet Union
mediate an end to the Chinese civil war. The Soviet ambassador tried to
convince Ambassador Zheng that the downturn in Soviet–American rela-
tions need not lead to a similar worsening in Chinese–Soviet relations.
Sadchikov told Zheng that Japanese and American imperialism were
common enemies of the Soviet Union and China, and that American
policy in pursuit of a peace treaty with Japan conflicted with Soviet and
Chinese interests. China and the Soviet Union could hold talks regarding
Xinjiang, Manchuria, and the conflict between the Nationalists and the
Communists, added Sadchikov.67
    According to telegrams from American Ambassador Leighton Stuart to
the State Department, (then) Soviet Military Attache General N. V. Rosh-
chin, prior to his return to Moscow in January 1948, had raised the issue
of possible Soviet mediation between the Nationalists and the Commun
ists. Nationalist intelligence had reportedly intercepted a telegram from
Moscow ordering its embassy in Nanjing to “bring about some arrange-
ment between [the] Kuomintang and [the] Communists.” Consequently,
in his farewell call on General Zhang Zhizhong, Roshchin signaled that
the Soviet Union wanted to arrange peace talks between the Nationalists
and the Communists.
    After Roshchin returned to China in February in his new role as Soviet
ambassador, Stuart reported that, “the return of Roshchin as Ambassador
                           China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy   65
may mean a Soviet desire to mediate at this time.” On the other hand,
“Chinese concurrence in [the] appointment of Roshchin does not neces-
sarily mean [the] Chinese Government has [the] immediate intention of
seeking Soviet mediation.” Stuart argued that “[mediation] is consistent
with general Soviet . . . aims. . . .” From the Chinese government’s stand-
point, said Stuart,
    Soviet mediation might before long become necessary and even desir-
    able. From [the] American standpoint any Soviet injection into [the]
    Chinese situation has objections . . . though we can see a possible situ-
    ation where such a Soviet move might be turned to our advantage.68
From Roshchin’s return to China on February 22, 1948 through early
1949, he worked hard to curry contacts with high Nationalist officials. In
June 1948, Roshchin proposed to a Chinese Nationalist Defense Ministry
official that talks be held to prevent the appearance of a “Cold War”
between China and the Soviet Union. He recommended that both sides
work to find a common position on a Chinese–Japanese treaty, and prom-
ised non-interference in China’s internal affairs, increased commercial
loans to the Nationalists and mutually beneficial economic development
projects along the Chinese–Soviet border.
   According to Roshchin, the Soviet Union sought to resist the influ-
ence of British and American imperialism, and believed widespread
investment in China would create conditions for China to industrialize
as Japan had done during the Meiji Restoration. Roshchin said that if
(Nationalist) China accepted his suggestion, they could easily resolve all
of the difficult issues in Sino-Soviet relations. If China did not adopt his
suggestion, however, the Soviet Union might be forced to establish a
“buffer zone” along its border with China to protect Soviet national
security interests.69
   When Roshchin met with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Shijie in
August 1948, he reiterated that the Soviet Union wanted to mediate the
Nationalist–Communist conflict and was willing to provide material assist-
ance to the Nationalists. The diplomatic record confirms that Chiang Kai-
shek accepted Stalin’s invitation to visit Moscow that September.
Ambassador Roshchin set up this (ultimately aborted) trip through Chiang
Ching-kuo.70
   In meeting with Nationalist officials, Roshchin suggested that one
reason the Soviets were interested in mediating the Chinese civil war was
their fear that Mao “might take a course of action similar to that of Tito.”
Ambassador Roshchin sought support for his efforts from the American
Embassy. There is evidence that his mediation efforts were looked upon
favorably by Nationalist officials.71 To the extent that Stalin’s goals in this
period tended to be similar to U.S. China policy, Soviet diplomatic activity
clearly ran counter to Chinese Communist Party wishes.
66   China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy
Mao wary of Soviet intent
By early 1946, Mao Zedong had concluded that Soviet and Chinese Com-
munist aims were not necessarily in alignment. The Soviets sought accom-
modation in Asia, while the Chinese Communists sought to survive and to
develop through domestic struggle. Therefore, in April 1946, Mao came
up with a new formulation, that while the Soviet Union and the United
States sought mutual accommodation, this did not mean that the people
of other countries (including China) had to pull back and compromise in
their internal struggles. On the contrary, they should engage in all-out rev-
olutionary struggle against domestic reactionary opponents. In Mao’s final
twist, Soviet–U.S. accommodation, in fact, was only possible under the con-
ditions created by the global revolutionary struggle.72
    Mao thus justified an independent road for the Chinese Communist
revolution. Confronting an international situation characterized by appar-
ent compromise between the Soviet Union and the United States, the
Chinese Communists needed to struggle for their own goals. With the jus-
tification of this theoretical formula, Mao underscored the need for
Chinese Communist self-reliance in preparation for a long struggle with
the Nationalists over Northeast China. As Mao explained (in July 1946) to
Luo Ronghuan, deputy political commissar of the Northeast Democratic
Unity Army (who was about to leave for medical treatment in the Soviet
Union), “We have to rely mainly on ourselves in the struggle for the
Northeast [so don’t place] too many demands [on the Soviets].”73
    By summer 1948, the People’s Liberation Army had achieved many
important victories, decisively changing the Chinese situation on the
ground. Even earlier, in December 1947, Mao had reported to Stalin that
the Chinese revolution had reached a turning point. The People’s Libera-
tion Army had by then pushed back the Nationalist Army and was on the
offensive.74
Chinese Communists advance, Stalin recalibrates
Even while Ambassador Roshchin was working to curry favor with Nation-
alist officials, changes on the ground in China and the fortune of the
Chinese revolution forced Stalin to reevaluate his China policy. In April
1948, the Soviet Foreign Ministry instructed its Nanjing Embassy to: (1)
adopt a policy of restraint in dealing with the Chinese government and its
officials, stressing Soviet non-interference in Chinese domestic affairs; (2)
carefully investigate and report on the measures and changes undertaken
by the Chinese government in foreign and defense policy and domestic
affairs; (3) pay close attention to factional struggle within the Chinese gov-
ernment and the Nationalist Party, and its political aims; (4) carefully
study American policy toward China, especially to expose its support for
Chiang Kai-shek’s anti-Soviet measures; (5) strengthen contacts with
                          China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy   67
“democratic and progressive” figures, while maintaining a cautious atti-
tude; (6) assure Soviet interests in China; and (7) use various channels
and means to strengthen propaganda friendly to the Soviet Union.75
   In May 1948, Stalin showed Mao’s telegram asking for assistance to his
confidant and personal adviser on China, I. V. Kovalev, stating that,
    Of course we will give New China all the help in our power. If social-
    ism is victorious in China, and our countries take the same path, then
    the global victory of socialism will be assured. We will then never con-
    front the threat of unforeseen difficulties. Therefore, we must do all
    we can to help the Chinese Communists.76
Stalin reiterated this assessment a few days later, just before Kovalev left
for China.
    During 1948, Soviet trade greatly increased with the Communist-
controlled area in Northeast China. Trade between Soviet foreign trade
organizations and the Chinese Communist-controlled Northeast Area
People’s Democratic Authority grew from 93 million rubles in 1947 to 151
million rubles in 1948.77 Local Chinese Communist officials in the North-
east also petitioned Moscow for economic assistance. In September 1948,
Lin Biao, commander of Chinese Red Army forces in the Northeast and a
CCP Northeast China Bureau secretary, asked Stalin to send 100 Soviet
technical advisers and engineers. In October, Gao Gang, also a CCP
Northeast China Bureau secretary, appealed to Stalin for railway equip-
ment and 20,000 tons of cotton. And in December, Gao Gang again
appealed to Soviet officials in Northeast China to supply railway and elec-
trical generating equipment.78
    In June 1948, at the invitation of the Northeast Liberated Area People’s
Democratic Authority, the Soviet government sent a Soviet railway special-
ist group including 50 engineers, 52 technicians, and 220 technical per-
sonnel and skilled workers. This group brought technical equipment,
including an emergency repair train, a caisson, a crane, and other
machinery and material needed for railway reconstruction: metal com-
ponents, steel rails, bridges and steel beams. Soviet aid helped greatly in
restoring railways in the Northeast Liberated Area. By December 15, 1948,
15,000 km along the Manchurian railway mainlines had been restored as
well as 120 large and medium-sized bridges totaling more than 9,000
meters in length. These included the 987-meter Songhua River Number 2
Bridge, the 320-meter Yinma River Bridge on the Harbin–Changchun line,
the 440-meter Songhua River Bridge on the Jilin–Changchun line, and 12
more large and medium-sized bridges.79
    With the CCP’s steady advance toward victory in the civil war, Mao paid
increasing attention to relations with the Soviet Union, especially as he
considered his party’s future foreign policy needs as a governing party. A
sign of Mao’s growing attention to Soviet policy direction was the CCP’s
68   China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy
pro-Soviet shift in its stance toward Yugoslavia. After Soviet relations with
Yugoslavia plummeted, on June 28, 1948, the Soviet-directed Cominform
issued a resolution condemning the Yugoslav Communist Party.80 In quick
order, on July 1, 1948, the CCP, while not a Cominform member, issued a
resolution supporting the Soviet position against Tito’s Yugoslavia Com-
munist Party.81
   CCP First Vice Chairman Liu Shaoqi’s November 1, 1948 anti-Tito
article, “On Internationalism and Nationalism,” which reaffirmed Chinese
Communist support for the Soviet position, was widely published in
China. Liu asserted that the world was divided into two camps, and that
“neutrality” was impossible. The question of whether or not to ally with
the USSR, Liu said, was a “dividing line between revolution and counter-
revolution.”82
Mao asks to visit Moscow, Stalin cautiously delays
From spring 1948, Mao repeatedly asked to visit Moscow. China’s civil war
had now reached a decisive stage. The Chinese Communists were now
strong enough to hold their own in talks. Anticipating his future govern-
ment’s foreign policy needs, Mao wanted to strengthen ties with Moscow
and seek its assistance.
   Mao’s visit to Moscow was set for mid-July 1948, but in a telegram
dated April 26, 1948 Mao wrote Stalin that he had decided to visit
Moscow “before the agreed date” to seek advice from the CPSU Central
Committee on political, military, economic and other issues. If possible,
he also wanted to visit the countries of Eastern Europe. Stalin, as he had
on at least one earlier occasion, first agreed to Mao’s visit and then
demurred.83
   On May 10, Stalin suggested that Mao delay his departure:
    In connection with . . . events in the regions where you will be staying
    and . . . the advance by troops under [Nationalist General] Fu Zuoyi . . .
    we are worried [about] your absence . . . and also about the safety of
    your journey. Would it not be better . . . to postpone your visit to us for
    awhile. . . .
Mao agreed, thanking Stalin for his advice and concern.84 However, on
July 4, Mao again proposed to visit the Soviet Union. On July 14, Stalin
again begged off, asking his representative, Andrei Orlov, to tell Mao that,
    In view of the start of the grain harvest, top party officials are leaving
    for the provinces in August, and will remain there until November.
    Therefore, the Central Committee requests Comrade Mao Zedong to
    delay his visit to Moscow until the end of November in order to have
    the opportunity to meet with all top party comrades.
                          China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy   69
Orlov told Moscow that based on his long acquaintance with Mao, his
smile and comment (“fine, fine”) on hearing this message “in no way indi-
cated that he was pleased with the telegram.” In fact, his bags were packed,
he was prepared to travel and he had not expected to be rebuffed.85
   Yet with an eye toward the looming need to manage external relations,
the closer the Chinese Communists came to power, the more Mao felt the
need to strengthen and clarify relations with the Soviet Union. Mao again
raised the issue of visiting Moscow. On August 28, 1948, Orlov reported to
Moscow following a conversation with Mao that, “whereas in 1947 he had
not been in any hurry to visit Moscow, now the situation had changed, and
he wished to leave for Moscow as soon as possible.”
   On September 28, Mao again cabled Moscow that,
    On a number of questions it is essential that I report personally to the
    [CPSU] Central Committee and to the boss. . . . I request that you
    convey this to the Central Committee and to comrade the boss. I sin-
    cerely hope they will give us instructions.86
Thus, in sincere, respectful language, Mao communicated the CCP’s
desire to receive Moscow’s guidance on important issues and its wish to
maintain unity with the Soviet Union. In day-to-day operations, Mao did
not follow Moscow in all things; but he recognized that after victory in the
Chinese civil war, he would need strong relations with the Soviet Union to
manage domestic economic reconstruction and to play on the interna-
tional stage.
   Stalin’s view of the Chinese Communists at this point now shifted in a
major way. His repeated refusals to meet personally with Mao reflected his
cautious approach. This did not mean, however, that the Soviet leader
would continue to refuse high-level contact with the Chinese Communists.
Therefore, when Mao asked to visit Moscow at the end of December, the
CPSU Politburo countered by deputing Politburo member and Stalin con-
fidant Anastas Mikoyan to travel secretly to China early in the New Year to
see Mao and other CCP leaders. Mikoyan’s goals were to understand
Chinese Communist intentions and to convey Soviet views on issues Mao
had raised or would raise in these talks.87
   At the end of 1948, both Stalin and Mao knew they had to reach out
and draw closer, though differences and contradictions remained between
the two.
4      Paving Mao’s road to Moscow
The Chinese Communist Party and the Soviet Union brought profoundly
different interests, views and goals to the table as they forged their alli-
ance, starting with their secret talks in January–February 1949 and ending,
after the Chinese Communist Party took power in October 1949, with
signing of the Sino-Soviet Treaty Friendship, Alliance and Mutual Assist-
ance in February 1950.
    Countering the United States, their common enemy, was the motivat-
ing factor and shared goal that led to their alliance. In the face of possible
U.S. interference, Mao sought Soviet assistance to complete the huge job
of unifying China, including Taiwan, and to rebuild China’s devastated
economy. Stalin wanted to draw on China’s strength to check U.S. power
and influence in Asia, while avoiding any direct involvement in a possible
Chinese–U.S. military conflict.
    Yet, the birth of New China under the Communists and the renewed
claims that flowed from Communist China’s sovereignty claims also threat-
ened the rights and privileges that the Soviet Union had only recently
gained in the Far East at Yalta and as a result of 1945 Sino-Soviet Treaty of
Friendship and Alliance with the Nationalist government.
    These differing approaches – toward the United States and their con-
flicting national interests – underlay the goals and conditions present at
the birth of the Sino-Soviet alliance. They were also unacknowledged,
looming factors that led over time to increasing tension and discord in the
alliance. In two sets of meetings between high-level Chinese and Soviet
party leaders during 1949, and then during Mao’s Moscow visit later that
year and into early 1950, consensus as well contradictions were evident.
Nevertheless, there was a shift in the way the two countries’ common and
divergent purposes played out. The trend was clear: Mao had chosen to
“lean to one side,” the Soviet side.
Mikoyan’s secret visit to Mao’s headquarters
By the winter of 1948–49, the situation in the Far East had changed dra-
matically. The Chinese Communist Party now controlled half of China
                                            Paving Mao’s road to Moscow   71
and, for the first time, was a factor in the overall Asian power balance.
Stalin sat up and took notice. On his behalf, in early 1949, then Foreign
Minister Vyachaslev Molotov and Deputy Foreign Minister Andrei
Vyshinsky cabled a new instruction to Stalin’s confidant in China, I. V.
Kovalev: “From now on, in all matters concerning China, communicate
only with comrade Filippov [Stalin].”1 Yet, despite Stalin’s increasing
attention to the rapid shift in power in China, it was still far from clear
what he would do as the Chinese Communists approached victory in the
Chinese civil war.
   Despite the Soviet Union’s thickening involvement with and support
for the Chinese Communists, as long as the Soviet Union retained diplo-
matic ties with the Nationalist government, which it did to the very end,
the Soviet role in China remained ambiguous. During January 1949, for
instance, just before Stalin’s secret envoy, Anastas Mikoyan, set off for the
Communist base in Xibaibo, there was a flurry of diplomatic activity after
Chiang Kai-shek’s January 8, 1949 attempt to interest the great powers in
mediating Nationalist–Communist peace talks. Against this background,
telegrams flew back and forth between Stalin and Mao, with Stalin initially
counseling Mao to adopt a less than categorically negative approach
toward Chiang’s proposal. Mao vigorously deflected Stalin’s advice, finally
telling the Soviet leader that the Chinese people should resolve their own
problems without foreign intervention.
   By the time Mikoyan arrived in Xibaibo on January 31, 1949, Stalin and
Mao had reached agreement on the issue of handling the Nationalist gov-
ernment peace talks proposal, with Stalin bowing to Mao’s desire for the
Soviet Union to stay out of this affair and let the Chinese Communist
revolution run its course. Mikoyan spoke with Mao and an array of other
high-level Chinese Communist leaders, leaving on February 7 after a week
of intensive discussions.
   Mao was Mikoyan’s main interlocutor, lecturing him almost non-stop
for three full days, February 1–3, on Chinese conditions and the CCP’s
positions and policies. According to Mao’s Russian interpreter, Shi Zhe,
Mikoyan did not appear to enjoy Mao’s rambling, didactic discourses.
However, through his talks, Mikoyan gained an understanding of the situ-
ation in China and in the Chinese Communist Party.2
   Conditions in China aside, the main issues between the Soviet Union
and the Chinese Communists were over Northeast China, principally
how to handle the Lushun naval base leasehold and jurisdiction over
the Chinese Changchun Railway; whether “Outer Mongolia” should
remain independent; and the degree of Soviet influence in Xinjiang, all
issues foreshadowed in the 1945 Sino-Soviet Treaty of Friendship and
Alliance signed with the Nationalist government. Compared with Mon-
golia and Xinjiang, the most difficult and ultimately most contentious
issue was to involve the balance of Soviet and Chinese interests in North-
east China.
72   Paving Mao’s road to Moscow
Mongolia: Soviet Nyet on return to China
Mao early on tactfully raised the issue of Mongolia, indicating that China
would like to reclaim Outer Mongolia (the Mongolian People’s Republic).
The Soviet reaction was firm. Stalin forestalled Mao’s approach by raising
the opposite question – of Outer Mongolia annexing China’s Inner Mon-
golia region. As recounted by Mikoyan in a 1960s-era report to the CPSU
Central Committee, Stalin’s message to Mao was that,
    The leaders of Outer Mongolia support the unification of all the Mon-
    golian regions of China with Outer Mongolia to form an independent
    and united Mongolian state. The Soviet government does not agree
    with this plan, since it means taking a number of regions from China,
    although this plan does not threaten the interests of the Soviet Union.
    We do not think that Outer Mongolia would agree to surrender its
    independence in favor of autonomy within the Chinese state, even if
    all the Mongolian regions are united in one autonomous entity.
Faced with this stiff message, Mao dropped the issue, noting merely that
he would “take note [and] not raise the question of the unification of
Mongolia.”3 Plainly, Stalin dug in his heels and stared down the Chinese
Communists on Mongolia, just as he had with the Nationalists during
negotiations on the 1945 Sino-Soviet treaty.
Xinjiang: Soviets pledge non-interference
When Chinese Communist leaders raised the issue of Soviet influence in
Xinjiang, Mikoyan stated categorically that the Soviet Union had no terri-
torial ambitions there. Mikoyan reported to Moscow that, “Mao enter-
tained suspicions regarding our plans in Xinjiang. He spoke of an
independence movement in the Ili district of Xinjiang,” and noted that
local insurgents reportedly had acquired Soviet-made artillery, tanks and
planes, and that there was a local autonomous Communist Party. Accord-
ing to Mikoyan,
    I told him quite clearly that we do not support the independence
    movement of the Xinjiang peoples, and even less do we wish to make
    any claims as regards Xinjiang territory, believing that Xinjiang was
    and should remain part of China.4
The Soviet Union had long-standing interests in Xinjiang. While the 1945
Sino-Soviet treaty had not touched on Xinjiang, during treaty negotia-
tions, Stalin had foresworn support for Xinjiang independence as a trade-
off for Chiang Kai-shek’s agreement to recognize (Outer) Mongolian
independence.5 Nevertheless, the Nationalists later had been forced to
                                           Paving Mao’s road to Moscow   73
turn back a Soviet attempt to guarantee its interests in Xinjiang through a
treaty with a regional government there.6
   It was impossible to overlook the fact that Moscow exercised consider
able influence in the Xinjiang region through a significant Soviet minority
presence.7 Soviet influence and control was exercised through the Associ-
ation of Soviet Citizens Abroad, “a country within a country,” not through
occupation of territory or by treaty. Stalin was thus in a good position to
concede on Xinjiang, and thereby deprive the Chinese Communists of any
justification to put Xinjiang on the agenda.
Northeast China: feeling each other out
On the sensitive issue of Soviet rights in the Northeast, Mao and Mikoyan
took a cautious, exploratory approach. Mao explained that some non-
Communist Chinese questioned why the Soviet Union should retain the
Lushun naval base after the CCP came to power. Noting that there were
Communists in both China and the Soviet Union, Mao said this made pos-
sible the Soviet retention of the Lushun naval base, and, in fact, the CCP
favored Soviet retention of the base until China could stand up to Japa-
nese aggression. Then the Soviet Union itself would no longer need the
base. Mao thus tactfully indicated China should eventually reclaim the
Lushun naval facility, but in the near future had no plan to do so.
   Mikoyan told Mao that the Soviet Union had decided to withdraw its
forces from Lushun as soon as Japan signed a peace treaty and the U.S.
withdrew its forces from Japan. However, should the CCP believe it appro-
priate for Soviet forces to withdraw immediately from the Lushun area,
the Soviet Union was prepared to do so. This offer was disingenuous,
however, since it was clear that the Chinese Communists had no desire to
see the immediate withdrawal of Soviet naval forces at Lushun.
   As expected, as soon as Mao and other CCP leaders heard the Soviet
position, they responded that it was not possible for Soviet forces to with-
draw immediately from the Lushun naval base, since this would only
benefit the U.S. Mao proposed to maintain secrecy, wait until Communist
power was firmly established and then reconsider the issue once China,
with Soviet assistance, was again on its feet. Mao said that the Chinese
people appreciated the 1945 Sino-Soviet treaty, but once China was in a
better situation, the two countries could sign a mutual assistance treaty
similar to the Soviet–Polish treaty. To Mikoyan “[I]t was clear that [Mao]
had some tactical considerations . . . he did not want to reveal.”8 Later
events bore out Mikoyan’s insight.
   Stalin worried most about the Changchun Railway. According to I. V.
Kovalev, who accompanied Mikoyan in Xibaipo, “On more than one occa-
sion, [Stalin] sent me radio telegrams asking what the true feelings of the
Chinese comrades were toward the Changchun Railway Treaty and
whether or not they felt it was really equitable.”9 Mikoyan told Chinese
74   Paving Mao’s road to Moscow
Communist leaders that the Soviet Union did not regard the Changchun
Railway Treaty as unequal,
    since this railway was built with mainly Russian resources. . . . It is possi-
    ble that in this treaty the principle of equity is not adhered to per-
    fectly, but we are prepared to discuss this question with our Chinese
    comrades and resolve it in a fraternal manner.
Referring vaguely to “minor discrepancies in determining property rights”
that needed resolution, Mao noted that some former railway enterprises
had been confiscated by the Nationalists and then returned to the railway
by the Chinese Red Army (People’s Liberation Army) when it took
control, leading to public criticism that the Nationalists had confiscated
these enterprises in accord with the 1945 Sino-Soviet treaty while the
Chinese Communists had violated the treaty. Mao proposed that CCP
Manchuria party chief Gao Gang and Kovalev jointly study the issue and
report to their respective party central committees.10
   Though Stalin was quite worried about the fate of the 1945 Sino-Soviet
treaty, Chinese Communist leaders in the Xibaibo meetings expressed no
clear opinion about the treaty, likely since they had not yet had a chance
to study the issue carefully. They focused instead on gaining greater Soviet
economic and military assistance.
Chinese Communists seek enhanced military and economic
aid
In a February 1 meeting, Zhou Enlai and Chinese Red Army (People’s Lib-
eration Army) Commander-in-Chief Zhu De raised the urgent need for
Soviet military equipment and advice, including anti-tank guns, tanks and
equipment for explosives and weapons production, as well as advisers on
military training, organization and weapons production. Zhou also sought
Soviet steel rails, gasoline, motor vehicles and other machinery and
materiel.
   During a February 2 meeting, Zhu De and Central Committee member
Ren Bishi stressed how the Soviet Union might help China economically.
Ren sketched CCP plans to turn the Northeast into a national military
industrial base for motor vehicles, airplanes, tanks and other military
equipment production, and floated three ways the Soviets could help:
through loans, joint economic ventures and Soviet-run concessionary
enterprises. He also solicited Soviet help in exploiting rare mineral
resources in Northeast China, including uranium, magnesium, molybde-
num and aluminum, noting that Japan had extracted a ton of uranium
from the Northeast. If the Soviet Union was interested, China could also
consider joint development ventures or invite the Soviet Union to run
concessionary enterprises to exploit these mineral resources. Stressing that
                                           Paving Mao’s road to Moscow   75
industrial development in the Northeast required skilled experts, and
noting that China was still employing Japanese specialists at the Anshan
Steel works, Ren asked the Soviet Union to send at least 500 economic spe-
cialists to China.
    In a February 3 meeting, CCP First Vice Chairman Liu Shaoqi proposed
that the Soviet Union assist China’s industrial development by sharing
socialist economic development experience and providing economic liter-
ature, experts, technicians and capital. He pressed Mikoyan to indicate
how much economic aid the Soviet Union could provide so China could
factor this into its economic plans. Mikoyan agreed in principle to provide
Soviet experts and other help in arms production, suggesting the Chinese
Communists draw up a list of what they sought, since he had to refer spe-
cific questions to Moscow.11
    While Chinese Communist leaders clearly urgently sought Soviet assist-
ance, Mao asserted that he would not take offense if Moscow could not
provide loans or other assistance. However, Mao still pressed the Soviet
Union to provide military materiel as soon as possible, and proposed to
send a delegation to Moscow to sign a loan agreement and discuss other
issues.12
Mikoyan’s reaction to Chinese Communist policies
Based on Mikoyan’s reports, the following were the policies adopted or
being considered by the CCP in early 1949 along with Mikoyan’s reaction
and advice:
   First, the Chinese Communists thought at that point (i.e., in early 1949)
that it was not urgent to take Nanjing, Shanghai and other big Chinese
cities, since they lacked sufficient expertise and wherewithal to supply
China’s big cities. Mikoyan, relaying CPSU Central Committee advice,
urged the CCP to rapidly occupy China’s larger cities “to strengthen the
party’s proletarian base.”
   Second, Mao boasted that, “Chinese peasants have more social con-
sciousness than all American workers and many British workers.” Mikoyan
felt the Mao and the CCP were over-reliant on the party’s rural base.
   Third, Mao was reluctant to quickly establish a government after taking
Nanjing, the Nationalist capital, since any such government would, he
thought, necessarily be a coalition government, which Mao feared would
lead to confusion. Mikoyan urged Mao to establish a coalition-based revo-
lutionary government right after occupying Nanjing or Shanghai, arguing
that this would strengthen the Communist Party’s hand, domestically and
internationally.
   Fourth, Mao was inclined not to pursue early foreign (i.e., non-Soviet
bloc) diplomatic recognition of a new revolutionary government, not
refusing outright recognition if offered by other governments, but not
agreeing to immediate diplomatic ties. This would give the new regime a
76   Paving Mao’s road to Moscow
freer hand in resolving issues involving foreign rights and interests in
China. Mikoyan questioned this view.
    Fifth, Mao repeatedly stressed that he wanted to accept the leadership
and direction of the Soviet Communist Party, that he was Stalin’s pupil,
that he supported a pro-Soviet policy and, furthermore, that he appreci-
ated Stalin’s concern for the Chinese revolution.
    Sixth, Liu Shaoqi said China’s transition to socialism would be gradual,
starting with greater planning, and with “the full offensive against capital-
ist elements” ten to 15 years off. Only then would China begin the transfer
of industrial and commercial enterprises to state control. However, Liu
asked for Soviet advice on this strategy.13
    While Mikoyan’s talks with the Chinese Communist leadership did not
settle any practical issues, his long discussions with Mao, his wide con-
tacts with other Chinese Communist leaders and – especially during this
period – Stalin’s frequent message exchanges with Mao provided both
sides with a better understanding of each other’s positions, intentions
and demands, as well as differences of view. This greater understanding
provided the basis for subsequent high-level exchanges, and was an
important step toward the Sino-Soviet alliance that was consummated in
February 1950.
Chinese Communist shifts after Mikoyan’s visit
In the wake of Mikoyan’s visit, Mao was more strongly convinced than ever
that New China’s economic development required an alliance with the
Soviet Union. In his March 13, 1949 Final Report of the Second Plenum
of the Chinese Communist Party Seventh Congress, Mao declared that,
    We cannot imagine being without the Soviet Union. . . . We must stand
    with the Soviet Union on the same front; we are allies. When we have
    a chance, we will make this clear in a statement; for now, we need to
    explain this to non-party persons, and make propaganda to this effect.
On April 3, the Chinese Communist Party with other (“democratic”)
Chinese parties issued a joint statement of opposition to the North Atlan-
tic Treaty. This statement, drafted by Mao, was the first public recognition
that the Soviet Union would be an ally of New China.14 In a related move,
while CCP leaders did not want to shut the door to the United States and
other Western countries, to gain Stalin’s trust, they frequently reported on
developments in these relations and sought Moscow’s guidance.
   At this time, while the Chinese Communists were urgently seeking
Soviet loans and assistance to revive China’s economy, Soviet loans were
not forthcoming.15 Some CCP leaders allegedly considered accepting
loans from capitalist countries, but Mao, arguing that the issue was very
sensitive, sought Stalin’s advice.
                                            Paving Mao’s road to Moscow   77
    In mid-April, Stalin’s confidant I. V. Kovalev reported to Stalin on his
three-hour April 9 meeting with Mao, Zhu De, Zhou Enlai and Liu Shaoqi.
Mao told Kovalev that the United States, using Citibank as a proxy, had
offered to loan $100–300 million to the Chinese Communist Party. Mao
said the CCP regarded this “as an attempt to lure us into this deal not for
[China’s benefit], but for the sake of getting American capitalism out of
its crisis . . . and enslaving the Chinese nation as they did under the Chiang
Kai-shek regime.” Mao informed Kovalev, however, that, in view of the cap-
italist countries’ special economic interests in Shanghai, the CCP would
communicate directly with them “in special cases while abstaining from
any official legalization of these diplomatic relations.”16
    Reacting to this report, Stalin cabled Kovalev:
    When you meet Mao Zedong, tell him the following: First, we believe
    the Chinese People’s Government should not refuse to establish
    formal relations with capitalist countries, including the United States,
    if these countries officially foreswear military, economic, and political
    support for Chiang Kai-shek and the Nationalist Government. . . .
    Second, we believe that, under the right conditions, China should not
    refuse to accept foreign loans from or trade with capitalist countries.
    The conditions for loans and trade should not impose a burden on
    China’s economy and its financial development which could later be
    used to infringe on China’s national sovereignty or its national
    industry.17
On the sensitive issue of Sino-American relations, Mao Zedong paid
special attention to Moscow’s opinion. Kovalev recalled that both before
and after crossing the Yangtze, Mao Zedong and Zhou Enlai on a number
of occasions provided him with information on relations with the United
States and other Western countries, seeking Soviet advice.18
   On May 23, Kovalev reported that Mao had briefed him on an early
May meeting between CCP representative Huang Hua and U.S. Ambas
sador Leighton Stuart. Stuart reportedly said the U.S. no longer supported
that Nationalists, offering this as proof that the U.S. Embassy had
remained in Nanjing (after the Nationalist government withdrew to
Guangzhou). He also reportedly stated that U.S. forces stationed in China
(ground and naval) would be withdrawn as soon as the People’s Libera-
tion Army entered major cities (i.e., Qingdao and Shanghai), expressed
hope for a widely representative coalition government, and pledged the
United States would recognize and establish relations with a coalition gov-
ernment that was supported by the whole Chinese nation.
   However, said Mao, Stuart’s statements were at odds with General
MacArthur’s actions. Just recently, MacArthur had deployed two U.S. army
regiments to Qingdao, and had strengthened U.S. naval forces at Shang-
hai. “Either Stuart was lying or the military (MacArthur) are ignoring the
78   Paving Mao’s road to Moscow
State Department.” Mao believed that Ambassador Stuart had “also lied
about the Americans’ alleged non-support for the Nationalist regime,”
which, said Mao, “is actively going on now.” As for Stuart’s statement
that the U.S. and other Western embassies were staying in Nanjing, Mao
said, “this is not in our interest either. We would be happy if all the cap-
italist embassies got out of China for good.” In a May 26 message, Stalin
asked Kovalev to convey his agreement with “Comrade Mao’s assessment
of American Ambassador Leighton Stuart,” and that, “the [CPSU]
Central Committee highly appreciates Comrade Mao Zedong’s
information.”19
   At the time, however, Soviet calculations were more complicated and
nuanced than Mao thought. On the one hand, the Soviet leader did not
welcome close contacts between the Chinese Communists and the United
States. On the other hand, he was concerned that the United States would
intervene militarily to thwart the Chinese Communist liberation effort.
Stalin’s main concern then was not that the Chinese Communists and the
United States would establish relations, but rather that the Chinese Com-
munists would engage in an extreme military action that would give the
U.S. a pretext for intervening militarily in the Chinese civil war. Should
the United States intervene militarily, the Soviet Union would face a hard
choice: If it joined in this conflict, it would become embroiled in an Asian
war with the United States; if it adopted an evasive stance, and the Chinese
Communists were defeated by the United States, Soviet interests in north-
ern China would be harmed.
   Despite the debate among historians as to whether Stalin tried to stop the
Chinese Communists from crossing the Yangtze, there is no available archi-
val material directly touching on the issue. It is evident from Ambassador
Roshchin’s activities and Stalin’s telegrams to Mao regarding the Soviet
offer to mediate, however, that the Soviet Union would have been content
had the Nationalists and the Communists ruled on opposite sides of the
Yangtze. Therefore, there were grounds for Mao’s repeated expressions in
later years of resentment toward Stalin on this score. Hu Qiaomu’s version,
that while Stalin did not formally propose that Chinese Communist forces
desist from attacking across the Yangtze, this is what the Soviet leader
intended, is believable.20 Soviet Ambassador Roshchin revealed a similar
concern. As reported by a U.S. Embassy Minister-Counselor on April 1,
1949, before the Chinese Communist army crossed the Yangtze, Roshchin
opined that, “when the Chinese Communists seized all of China, they would
be ‘riding the back of a tiger’ and confronted with situations impossible of
solution.”21
   Actually, perhaps the one “riding the back of a tiger” was Stalin. When
in April 1949 the People’s Liberation Army shelled the British frigate Ame-
thyst and the cruiser London22 during its campaign to cross the Yangtze, the
British Conservative Party in an emergency cabinet meeting called for a
declaration of war on Red China. I. V. Kovalev, then in Peiping, later said
                                            Paving Mao’s road to Moscow   79
that Moscow’s reaction made him feel “that we were facing a crisis. . . . With
the Soviet military on the Liaodong peninsula, including the Soviet fleet
at Lushun and other Pacific bases, on a war footing, we luckily avoided a
conflict despite heightened tensions.”23
Liu Shaoqi delegation to Moscow disguised as trade mission
Out of fear of provoking the United States, Stalin was still reluctant to
have an overt, close relationship with the Chinese Communists. In his May
26, 1949 cable to Kovalev, Stalin had also cautioned that: “We believe now
is not the right time to publicize the friendship between the Soviet Union
and Democratic China.”24 Based on this cautious view, Stalin asked that
the upcoming Chinese Communist delegation to Moscow to be led by Liu
Shaoqi be portrayed to the foreign press as a Northeast China trade dele-
gation led by Gao Gang.25
   The delegation arrived in Moscow on June 26, 1949.26 This visit was
the most significant diplomatic move by the Chinese Communists before
the establishment of the People’s Republic of China. The delegation
aimed to convey directly to Stalin Chinese Communist positions on key
foreign and domestic issues, to strengthen relations with the Soviet
Union, to pave the way for a meeting between Mao and Stalin, and to
create the basis for a Sino-Soviet alliance. More concretely, the delega-
tion sought access to Soviet economic development and management
experience, and greater economic and military assistance. Over a month
and a half, in numerous meetings with Stalin and other Soviet leaders,
Liu for the most part achieved the purpose of this visit. Some issues,
however, were left for Mao to resolve when he visited Moscow in the
winter of 1949–50.
   In Liu’s meetings and in his extensive July 4 written report addressed to
Stalin and the CPSU Central Committee, Liu briefed his Soviet hosts on
China’s domestic situation and the Chinese Communist strategy for estab-
lishing a new regime, and sought Soviet advice. Judging by Stalin’s selec-
tive underlining, comments and questions on a Russian version of the July
4 report, the Soviet leader read it with great care and interest.27 Among
the topics covered in Liu’s report were the potential applicability of the
Chinese revolutionary experience to other “colonial and semi-colonial
countries;” the CCP’s plan to include non-Communist parties in a new
coalition government; how the planned inclusion of China’s “national
bourgeoisie” in a CCP-controlled “people’s dictatorship” would differ from
Soviet-style “proletarian dictatorship;” the intended pro-Soviet tilt of New
China’s foreign policy; the increasing restrictions that would be placed
over foreign economic, journalistic, charitable and educational organiza-
tions operating in China; and the CCP’s cautious approach to establishing
diplomatic relations with “imperialist” countries.
80   Paving Mao’s road to Moscow
Fealty to Stalin proclaimed
On June 30, only a few days after Liu’s delegation arrived in Moscow, Mao
announced in his article “On the People’s Democratic Dictatorship” that
New China would implement a pro-Soviet foreign policy of “leaning to
one side.” In his July 4 report, Liu stressed the significance of Mao’s
statement:
    In our policy in international relations we shall certainly be at one
    with the USSR, and we have already made some explanations to this
    effect to the democratic parties and groups. (Yes!) [Note: Stalin’s
    comments are in parentheses]. Some non-partisan people criticized
    our policy for its pro-USSR slant, but Comrade Mao Zedong told them
    that our policy would be leaning toward the USSR, for it would be an
    error should we not stand . . . with the USSR . . . but take a middle
    road. Upon such explanations all democratic parties and groups,
    jointly with the CCP, signed and published a statement against the
    North Atlantic Pact.
As an indication of Soviet gratitude, Pravda published Mao’s “leaning to
one side” article in a special edition on July 6.
   Further conveying a strong sense of CCP fealty to the CPSU, Liu’s July 4
report stated that,
    The Soviet Communist Party is the chief headquarters of the interna-
    tional communist movement. . . . [T]herefore, the CCP submits to
    decisions of the Soviet Communist Party. . . . (No!) If on some ques-
    tions differences should arise between the CCP and the Soviet Com-
    munist Party, the CCP, having outlined its point of view, will submit
    and resolutely carry out decisions of the Soviet Communist Party.
    (No!) We believe it is necessary to establish closest mutual ties between
    the two parties [and] exchange appropriate authorized political rep-
    resentatives so as to . . . achieve better mutual understanding between
    our parties. (Yes!)28
Though Stalin waved aside the CCP pledge that it would follow CPSU
leadership, he seemed clearly moved by the Chinese Communist attitude.
In relations between the CPSU and the CCP, said Stalin, his most import-
ant mistake had been to ask the Chinese Communist Party to compromise
with the Nationalist Party in 1945. “Since we did not understand the situ-
ation, we gave the Chinese revolution bad advice, causing problems in
your work, and interfering with you.”
   “There was no interference,” said Liu. However, Stalin repeatedly apol-
ogized, saying that the Chinese Communist Party was a mature party; that
it had achieved rapid political, theoretical and economic achievements;
                                            Paving Mao’s road to Moscow   81
and that he expected the Chinese Communist Party to stand in the front
rank of the international Communist movement. “We are still your stu-
dents,” said Liu. Stalin responded that students can overtake their teach-
ers, and when the center of revolution moved from Europe to the East,
the Chinese Communist Party’s historical responsibility would increase.
The Soviet Union would fall behind, and China would advance rapidly
and would overtake its teacher. The interpreter, Shi Zhe, believed that
Stalin conveyed a sense of remorse and guilt.29
   Stalin proposed an international division of “revolutionary” labor
between China and the Soviet Union, with the CCP taking responsibility
for mentoring national democratic revolutionary movements in Eastern
colonial and semi-colonial countries where China’s revolutionary experi-
ence was relevant. While China worked on revolution in the East, the
CPSU would continue to work in the West.30
   Stalin asserted that after the death of Marx and Engels, the Western
European social democratic movement stagnated. As a result, the center
of revolution had shifted to the eastward (i.e., to Russia), and, said Stalin,
had now shifted again to China and East Asia:
    You should fulfill your [revolutionary] responsibility [in] East Asia.
    Maybe we Soviets are a bit stronger . . . when it comes to . . . Marxist
    theory. But when it comes to putting Marxist theory into practice, you
    have a lot of experience worthy of our study. We have already learned
    a lot from you.31
This was the first sign of Soviet respect for the Chinese Communist Party
in the history of Sino-Soviet inter-party relations.
Chinese Communists reiterate need for Soviet aid
Grand strategizing aside, Liu’s most important trip objective was to secure
greater Soviet assistance to China’s still unfinished revolution and, in the
future, to its post-revolutionary economic redevelopment.
   Stalin understood China’s urgent need was for economic assistance.
Deep into the evening of June 26 and the morning of June 27, only hours
after the Chinese delegation arrived in Moscow, Stalin discussed Soviet
assistance to China, reporting that the CPSU Central Committee had
decided to provide a U.S. $300 million loan to the Chinese Communist
Party at one percent interest, to be disbursed over five years in the form of
equipment, machinery and commodities. China would then have ten years
to repay the loan once it was fully allocated. Stalin proposed that the loan
agreement could first be signed between the representatives of the CPSU
Central Committee and CCP or, alternatively, between the Soviet govern-
ment and the Northeast China government. After a coalition government
was established in China, a state-to-state agreement could then be signed.
82   Paving Mao’s road to Moscow
   Stalin committed the Soviet Union to providing naval assistance, includ-
ing experts and minesweepers to help clear mines around Shanghai, as
well as to salvage sunken naval and commercial vessels. Stalin also prom-
ised that, “In response to your request for help in strengthening coastal
defense at Qingdao, we can dispatch a naval force to Qingdao. But, it
should be sent in the form of a visit after an all-China government is
established.”
   Responding to the CCP delegation’s request to establish an air link
between Moscow and Peiping (now Beijing), Stalin said, “We have already
made preparations, so we can start setting up this air route.” He also
agreed to help China establish an airplane assembly and repair facility.32
   The Soviets further agreed to help establish a naval school at Lushun,
set up coastal defenses, and build a rail line between Ulaanbaator in Mon-
golia and Zhangjiakou in China.33
   Liu asked Stalin to help establish a Chinese People’s Air Force, request-
ing 100–200 Yak fighters, 40–80 bombers, spare parts, and Japanese and
German heavy bombs, and training of Chinese aviators at a Soviet air school.
The Soviets agreed, but suggested an air school for Chinese aviators should
be set up in China, rather than in the Soviet Union.34 Responding to a CCP
request for help in countering Nationalist air attacks, Stalin agreed to send
Soviet air assets to provide defense around Lushun and Dalian. The two
sides also discussed cooperation on intelligence and counter-espionage.
When Gao and Liu complained that most of the Soviet intelligence network
in China was unreliable and was, in fact, working for the United States and
Chiang Kai-shek, and that a stop should be put to such uncontrolled activity,
Stalin agreed, stating that: “The situation requires us to unify our intelli-
gence efforts, and we are prepared to start immediately.”35
   Shortly after the delegation returned to China, the Soviet Union sped
up assistance to the Chinese Communists. In September, the Soviet
Council of Ministers decided to provide (Communist) China with 334
planes and artillery pieces, including 360 antiaircraft guns, all valued at
U.S.$26,500,000. The Soviet Union later provided another U.S.$31,500,000
worth of arms and technical equipment, and steel rails and fixed equip-
ment worth U.S.$6,300,000.36
Uncle Joe’s advice on Xinjiang
Liu’s visit also gained Soviet cooperation with regard to Xinjiang, an
important factor in strengthening understanding between the CCP and
the Soviet Union. While Stalin was sensitive about Soviet interests in
Northeast China, he was avuncular and magnanimous when it came to
Xinjiang, urging that,
    [The CCP] should not put off occupying Xinjiang, since delay could
    invite [British] intervention in Xinjiang. They could stir up the
                                             Paving Mao’s road to Moscow   83
    Moslems, including the Indian Moslems, to continue the civil war
    against the Communist Party. This should not be allowed since Xin-
    jiang has large petroleum reserves and cotton. . . . The proportion of
    [Han] Chinese is now less than five percent. After occupying Xinjiang
    you should bring this up to 30 percent.
To help China liberate (occupy) Xinjiang, Stalin offered to provide 40
fighter planes to “scatter and destroy” regional military leader Ma Bufang’s
cavalry.37
    The Chinese leadership reacted quickly to Stalin’s suggestion. Mao had
planned to solve the Xinjiang issue in 1950 or 1951, but, after receiving
Liu’s report, Mao decided to move forward the date for the attack on Xin-
jiang. With Mao’s instructions in hand, Liu told Stalin that Mao had
agreed with his recommendation to speed up the occupation of Xinjiang
and had “suggested that we clarify the issue of assistance on the part of
Soviet aviation and troop airlift.”38
    On July 25, Mao informed Liu that following the occupation of the
areas around Lanzhou in Gansu and Xining in Qinghai, the CCP could
prepare to move on Xinjiang in the fall of 1949. At the same time, he
instructed both Deng Liqun, who was then attached as a political secretary
to the delegation, to hurry to Ili in Xinjiang to set up radio communica-
tions, and Peng Dehuai, then PLA military commander in Northwest
China, to explore the possibility of occupying Xinjiang before the end of
1949.39 With Soviet help, Deng Liqun set up radio communications from
Ili to Mao and the Soviet Embassy, and met with reliable local leaders. A
short time later in 1949, the Chinese Communist Party achieved a (mostly)
political resolution of the Xinjiang question.40
    Stalin’s recommendation to move early into Xinjiang was not made out
of concern over Chinese interests, but rather from concern that Western
powers might infiltrate China’s Northwest, which bordered on the Soviet
Central Asian republics. Nevertheless, Stalin’s advice was instrumental in
promoting the CCP’s largely bloodless occupation of Xinjiang.
The 1945 Soviet–Nationalist treaty and Northeast China
Liu and Stalin came to no decision as to whether or not to conclude a new
Sino-Soviet treaty. As part of (what turned out to be) early stage negotiations
with Chinese Communist leaders over terms of a new Sino-Soviet treaty, it
was clear to Stalin that there would be a clash of interests over Soviet rights
and interests in Northeast China. This was the same knotty issue that had
been at the heart of the 1945 Sino-Soviet treaty negotiations with the Nation-
alist government.41 And, it was precisely on issues related to Northeast China
that negotiations between Stalin and Liu reached an impasse.
    Mao, as the founder of New China, was determined to protect national
sovereignty, and naturally wanted to rid China of all unequal treaties,
84   Paving Mao’s road to Moscow
including the 1945 Sino-Soviet treaty. And, Stalin, to protect Soviet inter-
ests in the Far East, wanted to uphold the existing 1945 bilateral treaty.
This issue, then, was at the heart of the clashing interests between China
and the Soviet Union. If the CCP leadership was not yet prepared to think
through the issue when Mikoyan raised it in his visit to Xibaibo, later in
1949, as the CCP prepared to take power in China, Mao was forced to con-
sider this extremely sensitive issue.
   After Mikoyan left China, CCP leaders began to consider what to do
about legacy Chinese treaties. Zhou told a group of non-Communist
opinion leaders on April 17, 1949 that, “Some foreign treaties must be
abrogated, while others need revision, and still others can be retained.”42
In discussing treaties that “need revision” or “can be retained,” he was
clearly thinking about the 1945 Sino-Soviet treaty.
   Before the Chinese Communist delegation led by Liu set off for
Moscow, Mao held a long discussion with Liu and CCP Soviet-expert Wang
Jiaxiang (later the first ambassador to Moscow from the People’s Republic
of China). Wang raised two questions: what to do about the 1945 Sino-
Soviet treaty once the Communists formed a new government, and how to
handle Soviet requests to protect its former underground intelligence
agents in China. According to Wang’s recollection, Mao merely said, “We
can talk about these two questions and see [what develops]”.43 The inten-
tion of the two sides, China and the Soviet Union, to feel each other out
on the question of the 1945 bilateral treaty is reflected in Liu’s July 4
report to Stalin and in Stalin’s annotation on the report.
    In establishing their diplomatic relations, the USSR and New China
    will have to give closer attention to [the 1945 Chinese–Soviet Treaty].
    [They could adopt] one of the following three options:
    1    The new government of China will state its complete acceptance
         of this treaty as valid, without any amendments whatsoever.
    2    Proceeding from the original text of the treaty, representatives of
         both governments will conclude a new treaty of friendship and
         alliance between the USSR and China, which, in conformity with
         the new situation, would be amended in style and substance.
    3    Representatives of the governments of both countries will
         exchange notes to the effect that the present treaty temporarily
         remains what it is but state that they are prepared to revise it at
         an opportune moment.
    Which of the above three variants is good? (Settle the issue upon Mao
    Zedong’s arrival in Moscow.)44
Forewarned by I. V. Kovalev’s reporting from China, Stalin avoided the
contentious Changchun Railway question in his meeting with Liu.
                                             Paving Mao’s road to Moscow   85
Mikoyan had conveyed the Soviet position in Xibaibo that the railway
treaty was an equal treaty, and should therefore be upheld. While the CCP
had subsequently not enunciated a clear position on the railway treaty
issue, Kovalev reported that Gao Gang and Chen Yun, his CCP interlocu-
tors on the Changchun railway issue, always insisted that the treaty was
equal and satisfactory, but, in his opinion, “[T]he Chinese secretly wanted
total control of the railroad and in practice were doing their best to wrest
management of the line from Soviet personnel.”45
   Stalin knew that the Chinese Communists were not proposing an immed
iate Soviet withdrawal from the Lushun naval base. Therefore, he restated
Mikoyan’s rhetorical argument that the Chinese Communists should decide
between two proposals. One was that the Soviet Union should not withdraw
for the time being, since they were effectively blocking U.S. and Nationalist
Chinese freedom of movement, thereby protecting Soviet interests and
Chinese Communist interests. The other was that the Soviet Union should
withdraw its forces immediately, thereby giving the Chinese Communists
greater political room for maneuver. Since Dalian was a free port, said Stalin,
China and the Soviet Union could operate it jointly even in the absence of
diplomatic relations between China and third countries. On the 1945 Sino-
Soviet treaty and what to do about it, Stalin noted that in his exchange of
telegrams with Mao, he had already declared that the 1945 treaty was
unequal. Since it was a product of relations with the Nationalists, it could not
be otherwise. But, as noted above, Stalin brushed aside the three options for
dealing with the 1945 treaty that Liu had proposed, saying simply that the
issue should be decided when Mao visited Moscow.46
   Though Liu said the old treaty could be extended, by presenting three
options for addressing the issue of treaty extension, the CCP leadership
indicated that it hoped to replace the 1945 treaty, while leaving substantial
room for discussion. Stalin certainly understood this, but it is clear from
what he said that he hoped to maintain the 1945 treaty as it was.
Stalin rebuffs request for aid to liberate Taiwan
During the Moscow talks, Taiwan emerged as a key point of contention
between the Chinese Communist leadership and the Soviet Union, with
Stalin neither prepared nor willing to give CCP leaders the help they
sought to resolve the Taiwan issue.
   Stalin repeatedly said that while he was not afraid of war, he was
opposed to war, and would do everything he could to prevent war, since
the Soviet Union needed 15 to 20 years of peace to rebuild its economy.47
But for the CCP, the liberation of Taiwan, the elimination of Chiang Kai-
shek and the unification of China were bedrock policies, and Mao was
banking on Soviet help to take Taiwan.
   In addressing the Taiwan issue in his July 4 report to Stalin, Liu tenden-
tiously claimed that “Since part of the Guomindang [Nationalist] forces
86   Paving Mao’s road to Moscow
on the island of Taiwan might take our side, the liberation of Taiwan
could take place even earlier than [autumn of 1949].”48 Internally, in mid-
July, Mao and other CCP leaders discussed creating an air fighter group to
provide air cover for a summer 1950 Taiwan Strait crossing aimed at cap-
turing Taiwan. This plan envisioned sending 300–400 military personnel
to the Soviet Union for aviation training and the purchase of about 100
airplanes from the Soviet Union.49 On July 26, the CCP Military Commis-
sion formed an air force leadership group comprised of the Central Mili-
tary Commission’s Air Force Office and the 14th Army Corps Headquarters
and units under its control, and decided to send PLA Air Force Com-
mander Liu Yalou and others to Moscow for detailed talks on the purchase
of aircraft, the hiring of experts and advisers, and Soviet help in starting
up an air school.50
   Earlier, on July 25, Mao sent an instruction to Liu Shaoqi, arguing the
necessity and urgency of occupying Taiwan:
    Great difficulties have mounted day by day in Shanghai since the
    [Nationalist] blockade began. To break the blockade, we must occupy
    Taiwan, but, without an air force, this is impossible. We would like you
    [Liu] to exchange ideas with Comrade Stalin on whether the USSR
    can help us, that is, train in Moscow 1,000 aviators and 300 airfield
    technicians within six to twelve months. Also, whether the USSR can
    sell us 100–200 fighter aircraft and 40–80 bombers to be used in the
    Taiwan operation. We would also like to ask for Soviet help in estab-
    lishing a naval fleet. We expect to have occupied the whole of the
    Chinese mainland, except for Tibet, by the second half of next year.
Mao proposed that the Soviet Air Force help liberate Taiwan, though,
characteristically, he couched the idea in a roundabout way.
    [I]f we employ Soviet help (that is, besides our request for Soviet help
    in training our aviators and selling us aircraft, we may have no choice
    but to ask the Soviet Union to send Soviet air force and naval experts,
    and aviators to join in military operations) in capturing Taiwan, could
    this harm American–Soviet relations?
       Please report all this to Comrade Stalin so he can consider our
    plans. . . . If these plans are generally acceptable, then we plan to send
    students to the USSR at once. Detailed aviator training plans are now
    being drawn up. We shall let you know later. After settling these issues,
    you can return to China.51
Despite his efforts, Liu was not able to secure Soviet help in a cross-Strait
operation against Taiwan.
   According to documents in the possession of I. V. Kovalev, in a tele-
gram to Moscow before the Chinese Communist delegation left for
                                            Paving Mao’s road to Moscow   87
Moscow, Mao asked Stalin for Soviet air and naval support in the libera-
tion of Taiwan, but did not receive a positive response. When Liu raised
the issue again in Moscow, Stalin immediately turned down the idea. He
told the Chinese delegation that the Soviet Union had suffered enormous
damage during World War II, with the country in ruins from its western
border to the Volga River. Soviet military support for an attack on Taiwan
would mean a clash with American air and naval forces that could lead to
a new world war. The Soviet Union had no reason to incur this risk. “If we,
the leaders, do this,” Stalin told Liu, “the Russian people would not under-
stand us. Moreover, they may throw us out if we undervalue their wartime
and postwar efforts and hardships.” Stalin proposed to refer the question
to an enlarged CPSU Politburo meeting. On July 27, he invited the
Chinese delegation to the CPSU Central Committee headquarters. There,
Liu, Gao Gang and Wang Jiaxiang joined in a meeting that included Mar-
shals Nikolai Bulganin and Aleksandr Vasilevsky. After Stalin reiterated his
earlier arguments, Liu withdrew China’s request for direct assistance for
an attack on Taiwan, indicating that the issue was now off the table.52
   Clearly, the respective abilities of the Chinese Communist Party and the
Soviet Union to satisfy the demands of the other side were limited by their
calculation of global issues and their respective long-term objectives.
Importantly, at the time, since the leaders of Communist China and the
Soviet Union shared a common ideology and common strategic views on
the international situation, an alliance served their mutual long-term inter-
ests. As a result, Mao (working through Liu) and Stalin strove to forge
understanding on the key issues where they agreed, and to achieve coop-
eration where they could on issues where they disagreed. This effort was
the basis for the overall success achieved in the meetings between Liu and
Stalin.
   From this viewpoint, Professor Chen Jian’s conclusion is apt: After Liu’s
visit to Moscow,
    The framework of Sino-Soviet strategic cooperation had been estab-
    lished. Mao and the CCP leadership, knowing Stalin’s attitude,
    became more confident in dealing with the United States and other
    ‘imperialist’ countries. To further change the ‘leaning-to-one-side’
    approach from rhetoric to reality, the CCP leadership now had every
    reason increasingly to base the CCP’s foreign policy on a strategic alli-
    ance with the Soviet Union.53
However, Liu’s visit to Moscow had not resolved some basic issues related
to conflicting national interests. Resolution of these issues awaited Mao’s
face-to-face meeting with Stalin.
5     Mao’s trip to Moscow
Within weeks after the People’s Republic of China was proclaimed on
October 1, 1949, preparations unfolded for Mao Zedong’s winter 1949–50
Moscow visit, during which Mao and Stalin took each other’s measure and,
after weeks of discussion, interspersed with sulking on Mao’s part and
deliberate reconsideration on Stalin’s part, finally concluded a new Sino-
Soviet treaty and formed an alliance.
    Communist China and the Soviet Union built their alliance principally
to manage the perceived American threat. The Chinese Communist Party,
even as it seized and solidified power, needed Soviet support to check any
U.S. intention to intervene in the Chinese civil war and to subvert the new
Communist government. The Soviet Union, in the context of its global
confrontation with the United States, needed China to counter American
power in Asia. As characterized by Professor Arne Westad, the Sino-Soviet
alliance was above all an anti-American coalition aimed at countering the
postwar rise of the United States in Asia and the American-led world capi-
talist system.1 On this point, China and the Soviet Union shared the same
goal. But there was also an important economic imperative behind the
Chinese Communists’ desire to conclude an alliance with the Soviet
Union. To revive China’s economy, the Chinese Communists needed
massive Soviet assistance.
Chinese economy in ruins
After winning the Chinese civil war, the new Chinese Communist govern-
ment faced an economy in ruins and a host of unfulfilled tasks. Its leader-
ship was fairly burning with impatience to revive the economy. China’s
confrontation with the West meant that its only hope was to gain Soviet
assistance. The Chinese leadership therefore put its difficult situation on
the front burner in talks with the Soviets.
   On October 28, 1949 Chinese Government Administrative Council Vice
Premier and Economic Commission Chairman Chen Yun told Soviet
Ambassador Roshchin that China’s financial and economic situation was
“complicated and difficult.” Foreign trade was at a standstill due to the
                                                   Mao’s trip to Moscow   89
Nationalist coastal blockade. Of China’s ports, only Tianjin was then han-
dling a small amount of export–import trade. China lacked technical per-
sonnel to revive its economy. Chen claimed the new government had
inherited only 20,000 engineers and technicians from the Nationalists, but
most were allegedly “reactionary and pro-American.” In the giant Anshan
steel complex in the Northeast, 62 of the 70 engineers were Japanese,
most of whom were “antagonistic toward Chinese, especially toward Com-
munist Party members.”2
    A Soviet Embassy Counselor painted a similarly grim picture of the dev-
astated Chinese economy diplomatic in a report filed in early 1950. When
important industrial centers like Tianjin, Shanghai, Chongqing and
Guangzhou had been liberated, he reported, over 75 percent of their
industrial enterprises were idle. The retreating Nationalist Army left a
landscape of destruction: bombed dams; tens of thousands of hectares of
ruined fields; missing or bombed railway locomotives and carriages;
ruined electric generating plants and warehouses; ruined transportation,
telegraph and radio-communication equipment; and sunken ships. When
the Nationalists abandoned Shanghai, they destroyed the international
wireless station, blew up the main workshops at the Jiangnan Shipyard and
the petroleum tanks at the Jiangwan airport, and scuttled four oil tankers
and ten ferries. When they fled Wuxi, the Nationalist forces set fire to
more than 1,000 trucks carrying industrial equipment from Shanghai. Of
the more than 100 railway bridges between Wuhan and Guangzhou, more
than 90 were bombed out. At Hankou, the Nationalists destroyed more
than 30 ships and bombed out all the rail bridges linking the three Wuhan
cities.3
    Given their preoccupation with the economy and development,
Chinese leaders put all their faith in an alliance with the Soviet Union. As
Liu Shaoqi, then Vice Chairman of the Central People’s government, said
on October 5, 1949, only days after the proclamation of the People’s
Republic of China, “to unite with the Soviet Union [is] the fundamental
state principle.”4
    However, Mao clearly knew he could not conclude a treaty with the
Soviet Union by simply begging for assistance. He needed to explain to
Stalin how a Sino-Soviet alliance would fundamentally benefit the Soviet
Union, not merely benefit China. Mao indeed sent this kind of message.
His starting point was to impress Moscow with the idea that to make polit-
ical cause against the United States, the Soviet Union needed China to
become stronger economically.
    Li Kenong, head of the CCP Intelligence Bureau and Mao Zedong’s
liaison with the Soviet Embassy, warned Ambassador Roshchin on Novem-
ber 17, 1949 that the United States had “hatched a plan for the Chinese
Communist Party to go over to the side of the Tito clique,” and was
seeking to expand U.S. “influence in China . . . to destroy Sino-Chinese
friendship.” Li told Roshchin that imperialist propaganda claimed that the
90   Mao’s trip to Moscow
Soviet Union was “seizing China’s grain and natural resources,” and that
the “unequal” 1945 Sino-Soviet treaty had resulted in China losing all of its
industrial equipment in Northeast China to the Soviet Union.5
   There is no information at present that the U.S., in fact, had “hatched a
plan for the Chinese Communist Party to go over to the side of the Tito
clique,” or how the Chinese Communists could possibly have known this.
But, in delivering this news, Li Kenong was reminding Moscow that in its
conflict with the U.S., it could not ignore China. Stalin long worried that
Mao might tilt toward Tito, but the Soviet leader was also worried about
New China’s relations with the United States. Mao certainly believed this,
telling Luo Longji, a Chinese Democratic League leader, that China was
“unable to accept U.S. assistance [since this] would arouse Soviet suspi-
cion.”6 Of course, Mao had to make China’s position clear. So Chinese
leaders told Moscow that the United States was not only continuing to
assist the Nationalist remnants on Taiwan, but was also trying to organize
counter-revolutionary organizations on the mainland. In sum, Mao sought
to clearly differentiate China’s positions toward the United States and the
Soviet Union, stressing the importance of close Sino-Soviet ties. But, at the
same time, Li’s message hinted at Chinese Communist dissatisfaction with
the 1945 Sino-Soviet treaty.
Trip preparations
Preparation for Mao’s visit to the Soviet Union began in earnest in October
1949. The Chinese envisioned a three-month trip, the first month in the
Soviet Union to sign a new Sino-Soviet treaty, the second month to tour
through some Eastern European countries, and the third month to rest and
recuperate at Sochi on the Black Sea. Stalin’s confidant and liaison to Mao, I.
V. Kovalev, at first recommended that Mao’s trip be kept secret.7
   On November 5, Kovalev conveyed Stalin’s views, welcoming Mao’s plan
to visit Moscow. Mao said that he wanted to see Stalin in December in
Moscow and pay his respects on Stalin’s 70th birthday. Since many coun-
tries would be sending delegations to Stalin’s birthday celebration, said
Mao, his trip to Moscow could be open in character.
   On November 8, Mao sent a telegram to Moscow on his trip, and on
November 10, he sent Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Zhou Enlai to
reiterate to Ambassador Roshchin not only that he (Mao) wanted to visit
the Soviet Union, but also that he wanted to discuss the 1945 Sino-Soviet
treaty. Zhou added that should Mao and Stalin decide to conclude a new
bilateral treaty, he was also prepared to travel to Moscow.8
   In a parallel approach, a November 9 telegram from the CCP Central
Committee instructed Chinese Ambassador Wang Jiaxiang in Moscow to
probe whether the Soviets would welcome Zhou’s arrival together with
Mao. This approach was meant to gauge where the Soviet leader stood on
revising the 1945 treaty. After noting that the Chinese leadership had
                                                     Mao’s trip to Moscow   91
already asked Stalin through his personal representative, I. V. Kovalev, to
decide the date for Mao’s travel to Moscow, the telegram continued that,
“As for whether Comrade Zhou Enlai should accompany Mao Zedong to
Moscow, or whether the question of his visit and its timing should be fixed
after Mao arrives in Moscow, please ask Stalin to consider and decide.”9
Ambassador Wang immediately conveyed this message to the CPSU
Central Committee.10 In reaction, Deputy Foreign Minister Andrei
Gromyko suggested to Stalin that since the Chinese had raised the issue of
the possible impact on the work of organizing the new Chinese govern-
ment should Mao and Zhou travel together to Moscow, the Soviets should
tell the Chinese that the Soviet government was prepared to accept what-
ever decision the Chinese made.11 This Soviet maneuver was a way of
hinting that the Soviet Union only wanted Mao to visit. The situation
described above indicates that both sides clearly exchanged views before
Mao’s visit to Moscow about what he wanted to discuss; there was really no
misunderstanding about what was up for discussion.
    To sum up, Mao’s goal in traveling to Moscow was, first, to secure as
much Soviet economic assistance as possible, and second, to conclude an
alliance with the Soviet Union, an alliance clothed in a new treaty. Mao,
however, had absolutely no confidence in the outcome of his visit, since
Stalin would not give him a clear answer on whether or not to bring Zhou
to Moscow. Mao could only set out alone (i.e., without Zhou), ostensibly
to offer birthday greetings to Stalin, but, in reality, to find out what cards
Moscow was holding.
    To further focus Stalin’s attention on his upcoming visit, Mao sum-
moned I. V. Kovalev on December 3, reporting that the Chinese Commu-
nist Party was coming under sharp domestic political pressure over his
upcoming visit to Moscow. Mao said that China’s non-Communist demo-
cratic parties opposed the visit, since, according to tradition, “foreign bar-
barians” always came to pay tribute to the Chinese emperor, not the other
way around. They also feared that Mao’s trip to Moscow would complicate
China’s relations with Western countries, and China would lose economic
assistance from these countries.12
    Mao’s pre-visit concern was well founded; from the start, his visit was
quite rocky. Shi Zhe, Mao’s Russian interpreter in Moscow, believes that
Mao and Stalin ran into difficulties and communication barriers at the
start of their first meeting, since “neither Stalin nor Mao Zedong could
fathom the other’s psychology or intentions.” This, claims Shi, led to mis-
understandings, starting with Stalin’s inability to understand what Mao
wanted when he said that he wanted to go home with something that was
“both pretty to look at and tasty.”13
    In contrast, Stalin’s interpreter and Russian scholar, N. T. Fedorenko,
has argued that Stalin and Mao “understood each other” from the start,
and “calmly reached agreement, with no difference of opinion” in their
discussions on the new treaty.14 But the reality was the opposite. Dialogue
92   Mao’s trip to Moscow
between Stalin and Mao hit an impasse from the start. Other Russian
scholars such as A. M. Ledovsky and B. T. Kulik have argued that Mao
traveled to Moscow principally for rest and recuperation, and his later
complaint about being cold-shouldered by Stalin is thus baseless.15 Archi-
val material, however, makes it abundantly clear that Mao, long before he
left China, had already made the goal of his visit to Moscow very clear. He
wanted to sign a new Sino-Soviet treaty of alliance.
Mao in Moscow
Mao reached Moscow on December 16, 1949; formal talks with Stalin
started six hours later. According to the Soviet record, the two leaders dis-
agreed in their first meeting over two important issues: what to do about
the 1945 bilateral treaty, and the liberation of Taiwan. Though both
leaders indicated they could make concessions with respect to the treaty,
in fact, there was no meeting of the minds. On Taiwan, Stalin refused to
offer direct assistance to China.16
   When Mao started to recount the CCP Central Committee’s discussion
of the 1945 Sino-Soviet Treaty of Friendship and Alliance in the wake of
Liu Shaoqi’s summer 1949 Moscow visit, Stalin responded that, “This ques-
tion we can discuss and decide.” He noted that the two sides could con-
tinue with the old treaty, announce impending changes or make changes
on the spot, but explained that,
    As you know, this treaty was concluded between the USSR and China
    as a result of the Yalta Agreement, which provided for the main points
    of the treaty (the question of the Kuril Islands, South Sakhalin, Port
    Arthur [Lushun], etc.). That is, the given treaty was concluded, so to
    speak, with the consent of America and England. Keeping in mind
    this circumstance, we, within our inner circle, have decided not to
    modify any of the points of this treaty for now, since a change in even
    one point could give America and England the legal grounds to raise
    questions about modifying . . . provisions concerning the Kuril Islands,
    South Sakhalin, etc. That is why we searched to find a way to modify
    the current treaty . . . by formally maintaining the Soviet Union’s right
    to station its troops in Port Arthur [Lushun] while, at the request of
    the Chinese government, actually withdrawing the Soviet armed forces
    currently stationed there. One could do the same with the Chinese
    Changchun Railroad, that is, to effectively modify the corresponding
    points of the agreement while formally maintaining its provisions,
    upon China’s request. If, on other hand, the Chinese comrades are
    not satisfied with this strategy, they can present their own proposals.
After Stalin set out the Soviet reluctance to change any of the formal pro-
visions of the 1945 Sino-Soviet treaty, Mao conceded that, “The present
                                                     Mao’s trip to Moscow   93
situation with regard to the Chinese Changchun Railroad and Lushun
corresponds with Chinese interests.” He also conceded that,
    In discussing the treaty in China we had not taken into account the
    American and English positions regarding the Yalta Agreement. We
    must act in a way that is best for the common cause. The question
    merits further consideration.
Then, Mao asked, “Should not Zhou Enlai visit Moscow in order to decide
the treaty question?” A message Mao had earlier sent before his trip to
Moscow had explicitly stated that Zhou’s responsibility in coming to
Moscow would be to sign a treaty. Therefore, in raising the issue again,
Mao was again signaling his intent to sign a new Sino-Soviet treaty. An
unhappy Stalin responded that, “No, this question you must decide for
yourselves. Zhou may be needed in regard to other matters.” The record
of the meeting indicates that on the Sino-Soviet treaty, though both sides
stated that they could compromise, the Soviet Union wanted to maintain
the old treaty, while China intended to sign a new bilateral treaty. This dif-
ference is obvious, though neither side stated its position baldly, since
both sides wanted to preserve room for diplomatic maneuver.
   When the discussion then turned to aid, trade and transport issues,
Mao directed his comments to Taiwan, noting that, “We would also like to
receive your assistance in creating a naval force.” He explained:
    Nationalist supporters have built a naval and air base on the island of
    Taiwan. Our lack of naval forces and aviation makes the occupation of
    the island by the People’s Liberation Army more difficult. With regard
    to this [issue], some of our generals have been voicing the opinion
    that we should request assistance from the Soviet Union, which could
    send volunteer pilots or secret military detachments to speed up the
    conquest of Taiwan.
Mao raised Taiwan after serious consideration, since, in meeting with Liu
Shaoqi, Stalin had made it abundantly clear that the Soviet Union did not
want to assist China in liberating Taiwan, lest it risk an open clash with the
United States. Mao thus proposed “volunteer pilots” or “secret military
detachments” as a way to keep the Soviet Union in the background but
still get its actual support. Seeking to dodge a direct refusal of Mao’s
request, Stalin suggested that, “Assistance has not been ruled out, though
one ought to consider the form of such assistance. What is most important
here is not to give the Americans a pretext to intervene.” But, continued
Stalin, “With regard to headquarters staff and instructors, we can give
them to you anytime. The rest we will have to think about.” Practically
speaking, this silenced Mao on the issue of Soviet assistance in the libera-
tion of Taiwan.
94   Mao’s trip to Moscow
   Mao was very unhappy with this first meeting.17 Kovalev observed that
over the next few days, Mao “stayed holed up, moody and dejected, in the
guest house.” To make his case clearer, on December 22, after joining in
the celebration of Stalin’s 70th birthday, Mao summoned Kovalev, asking
that a record of their conversation be reported to Stalin.
   Mao asked to see Stalin on December 23 or 24, proposed two altern-
ative agendas for the meeting and pressed for Stalin to decide between
these two agendas. Mao’s first proposed agenda foresaw the two leaders
reaching consensus on a new, revised Sino-Soviet treaty, a loan agreement,
a trade treaty and an air agreement. If Stalin agreed to the first agenda,
said Mao, Zhou Enlai would need to come immediately to Moscow to
oversee preparations for signing these agreements. Mao’s second notional
agenda merely envisioned the two leaders exchanging views on the issues
outlined in the first agenda. If the second agenda were adopted, there
would be no agreements to sign, and Zhou would not need to rush to
Moscow. Mao reiterated that Stalin should make the call.18 Despite Mao’s
prompting via Kovalev, in meeting with Mao on December 24, Stalin did
not raise the treaty issue, leaving Mao profoundly disappointed.19
   Years later, Mao was still nursing a deep sense of grievance over how he
was treated by Stalin. In his March 30, 1956 conversation with Soviet
Ambassador Pavel Yudin, Mao complained that Stalin’s silence in their
second (December 24, 1949) meeting had betrayed his lack of trust in the
Chinese Communist Party.
    One of the most important goals of our trip to Moscow was to con-
    clude a Sino-Soviet Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation, and Mutual
    Assistance. . . . The Chinese people had asked us whether the USSR
    would sign a treaty with New China, and why the treaty with the
    Nationalists remained in juridical force. The question of signing a
    treaty was very important for us, since it would decide the perspective
    for the future development of the People’s Republic of China. In my
    first meeting with Stalin, I posed the question of signing a treaty, but
    Stalin dodged the question. In my second meeting, I returned to this
    issue, showing him a CCP CC telegram containing a detailed request
    for a treaty. I proposed summoning Zhou Enlai to Moscow to sign the
    treaty, since he was Foreign Minister. Stalin, however, used this pro-
    posal as a pretext for refusal, saying, ‘It wouldn’t be appropriate, since
    the bourgeois press would say that the whole Chinese government had
    come to Moscow.’ Afterwards, Stalin avoided me. I phoned his apart-
    ment, but was told that Stalin was out, with the recommendation that
    I see Mikoyan. This treatment made me quite angry. . . . I decided it
    was best to stay in the guest house and do nothing.20
At this point, Stalin was still clearly reluctant to sign a new bilateral treaty.
On the one hand, Stalin feared losing the economic rights in Northeast
                                                    Mao’s trip to Moscow   95
China that he had wrested from Chiang Kai-shek in 1945; on the other
hand, he feared that if he forfeited these rights, the West might throw into
question the entire Yalta system, putting the Soviet Union in an awkward
international position. However, compared with the Soviet position at the
time of Mikoyan’s early 1949 visit to Xibaibo and Liu’s mid-summer 1949
visit to Moscow, the position articulated by Stalin in his first meeting with
Mao was an advance. He was now willing to “modify” provisions of the
1945 treaty and subsidiary agreements, as long as there was no change in
their form.
   Stalin no doubt thought that the Soviet Union had already made a huge
concession, but he didn’t realize that Mao put more emphasis precisely on
the form. Mao wanted to abrogate the existing Sino-Soviet treaty to
enhance the prestige of China’s new Communist leadership and to pres-
sure Western countries into sweeping away all unequal treaties.
   As Mao put it,
    Once Sino-Soviet relations are established in a new treaty, China’s
    workers, peasants, and intellectuals, as well as the left wing of the
    national bourgeoisie, will feel elated, and we will be able to isolate the
    right wing of the national bourgeoisie; internationally, we will have
    greater political capital to deal with the imperialist countries, and to
    evaluate the treaties formerly concluded between China and indi-
    vidual imperialist countries. [This] will put the People’s Republic in a
    more advantageous position, will force various capitalist countries to
    make accommodations with us, and will be helpful in forcing various
    countries to unconditionally recognize China, abolish old treaties,
    conclude new treaties, and restrain various capitalist countries from
    taking rash actions.21
The outcome of the December 24 meeting seemed to show that Stalin was
waiting for Mao to compromise. After his second meeting with Stalin, Mao
sulked out of dissatisfaction and pique, and proposed merely to rest and
return home early.
A new year
On January 1, 1950 Ambassador Roshchin called on Mao at Foreign Minis-
ter Andrei Vyshinsky’s direction. Since he still was not feeling well, said
Mao, he wanted to rest and recuperate for another week. During this
period he asked to see a number of Soviet leaders, one a day in the late
afternoons, for short, simple conversations, without any discussion of sub-
stantive issues. “In this period,” said Mao, “I want to discuss substantive
issues with Stalin personally.” Noting that he had originally planned to
travel extensively in the Soviet Union, Mao said that now, out of considera-
tion for his health and the long journey back home, he wanted to forego
96   Mao’s trip to Moscow
factory visits, reports and speeches, and planned to leave Moscow early, by
the end of January.22 It seems that except for discussing “substantive ques-
tions” with Stalin, Mao did not want to do much else.
   Faced with an uncompromising Mao, Stalin had to make a choice.
   In this period the Western press unexpectedly pressured Stalin. Since
Mao had not been mentioned in the Soviet press after his participation in
Stalin’s 70th birthday celebration, Moscow diplomats were asking about
his whereabouts. This fueled Western press speculation, including that
Mao had been placed under house arrest. This, in turn, put the Chinese
and the Soviets in an awkward position. Chinese Ambassador Wang
Jiaxiang proposed getting out of this predicament by having Mao submit
to a TASS interview during which he could explain the goals of his Moscow
visit.23
   On January 2, Pravda carried out a TASS interview with Mao. Mao said
that his primary goal in coming to Moscow was to decide what to do about
the Sino-Soviet Treaty of Friendship and Alliance and related issues. He
indicated that the amount of time he would spend in the Soviet Union
would “depend in part on the time needed to resolve issues related to the
interests of the People’s Republic of China.” Mao added that he “planned
to visit a few places and cities in the Soviet Union.”24
   Mao’s display of starkly different public and private faces was designed
to pressure Stalin into discussing a new treaty. Stalin’s decision to approve
of Mao’s use of the Soviet press to express his views was, in fact, an early
indication that the Soviet leader was now inclined toward compromise.
Mao later claimed that his Pravda interview “constituted a big step
forward.”25
   In this period Mao also used another set of events to bring Stalin
around. Mao told Ambassador Roshchin on January 1 that he had recently
“received a report from Beijing that the governments of Burma and India
had expressed their readiness to recognize the People’s Republic of
China.” The Chinese government would advise the Burmese and Indian
governments that, if they really wanted to improve relations with the
People’s Republic of China, they should first break relations with Chiang
Kai-shek and announce that they would categorically refuse to help the
Chiang Kai-shek regime. If the Burmese and Indians accepted this pro-
posal, they could dispatch delegations to Beijing for talks. Mao told Rosh-
chin another piece of news: “In the near future, England (sic) and other
British Commonwealth members would take steps toward recognition of
the People’s Republic of China.”26
   Mao had a tactical motive for telling the Soviets that Burma, India,
Britain and the British Commonwealth countries would be establishing
diplomatic relations with China. As Mao later noted, “It’s possible the
change in Stalin’s position was helped along by the Indians and British,
who recognized the PRC in January 1950.”27 Historian Sergei Goncharov
and others, for example, believe that Britain’s recognition of China was a
                                                    Mao’s trip to Moscow   97
big shock to Stalin, who would have seen it as a harbinger of Sino-U.S. rap-
prochement.28 In any case, at a time when Sino-Soviet talks were stale-
mated, the prospect of the rapid establishment of relations between China
and a number of countries, especially Western countries, doubtless
encouraged Stalin to more seriously consider concessions to China.
   Based on his reading of the Russian archival record, Professor Arne
Westad has argued that Mao changed Stalin’s calculus by acting through
the Soviet leader’s subordinates. As Westad has noted, while staying in
Moscow over the New Year holiday, Mao worked hard on First Deputy
Prime Minister Molotov, Vice Chairman of the Council of Ministers
Mikoyan, Ambassador Roshchin and others, leading these important
Soviet figures to believe that if Mao left Moscow without signing a new
treaty, his personal position and the Chinese Communist Party’s position
in China would suffer. Therefore, the Soviet Union had a responsibility to
support its new Communist neighbor. Among these Soviet figures,
Mikoyan took the lead, proposing to Stalin that he find a way to conclude
a new Sino-Soviet treaty on terms that would not damage Soviet interests.29
A new dawn
The stalemate broke on January 2; Stalin conceded. At 8 p.m. on the
evening of January 2, Molotov and Mikoyan went to Mao’s villa and asked
his views on concluding a Sino-Soviet treaty and other issues. Mao pro-
posed three options: (1) signing a new Sino-Soviet treaty; (2) issuing a
simple statement through the two countries’ press services that the two
countries were exchanging views on the old Sino-Soviet Treaty of Friend-
ship and Alliance, while actually deferring the issue; or (3) signing a
general statement on the essentials of bilateral relations. Molotov immedi-
ately expressed his support for the first option. Mao followed up: “Would
this replace the old treaty with a new treaty?” Molotov answered clearly:
“Yes.” On the spot Mao described how he proposed to proceed:
    My telegram will reach Beijing on January 3. Zhou Enlai will take five
    days to prepare, will leave from Beijing on January 9, and, after eleven
    days on the train, will get to Moscow on January 19. From January 20
    through the end of the month, for about ten days, we will negotiate
    and conclude various treaties, and, at the beginning of February, I will
    return to China with Zhou.30
Mao and Stalin now worked hard to foster the appearance of friendly
cooperation, smoothing over the differences that had cropped up between
China and the Soviet Union. On January 6, Foreign Minister Vyshinsky
called on Mao, with I. V. Kovalev and Chinese Ambassador Wang in
attendance. Vyshinsky brought news that China’s request for help in
restoring the disastrous condition of the Jilin hydroelectric generating
98   Mao’s trip to Moscow
station had been approved. The Soviet government would send four
experts to China within five days, and within a month, these experts would
draft a report and suggest measures to restore the Jilin hydroelectric
station. Mao voiced his gratitude, calling this Soviet assistance “of great sig-
nificance to China’s entire national economy.”31
   Vyshinsky also reported that in response to China’s request for fuel for
aeronautical training, and in accord with Soviet aeronautical standards
and its experts’ calculations, the Soviet Union would provide the requisite
fuel immediately, with repayment conditions to be decided during bilat-
eral trade talks in 1950. Mao also expressed his appreciation for this Soviet
assistance.
   The Soviet Foreign Minister made another proposal that piqued Mao’s
interest, namely that (Communist) China challenge the Nationalist claim
to China’s seat in the United Nations and seek to expel the Nationalist
representative from the UN Security Council. The Soviet Union would
support both steps. Moreover, the Soviet representative would declare
that, “he will not participate in the work done by the [UN Security]
Council so long as the [Nationalist Chinese] representative will be partici-
pating in it.” Mao quickly indicated “100 per cent agreement with this
proposal.”
   After this exchange, Mao further explained China’s position, indicating
that he would consider Soviet interests in concluding a new treaty. Mao
argued that a new treaty was necessary since two fundamentals of the old
bilateral treaty had ceased to exist. The Nationalists had been replaced
and Japan no longer constituted an armed force. As a consequence, many
Chinese were no longer content with the old treaty.
   Vyshinsky still cautiously told Mao that, “the question of a new treaty . . .
seems to be a complicated matter, since the signing of a new treaty or
reviewing of the existing treaty and the introduction of any kind of correc-
tions may be used as an excuse” by the Americans and the British to harm
Soviet and Chinese interests. “This is not desirable and must not be
allowed to occur,” said Vyshinsky. Mao replied that, “[T]his circumstance
must be taken into consideration when creating a formula for solving the
given problem.”
   Mao reiterated to I. V. Kovalev on January 9 that China would respect
the decisions that were endorsed by the Soviet Union at Tehran, Yalta and
Potsdam. And, pledged Mao, in renegotiating all existing treaties with the
capitalist countries signed by the Chiang Kai-shek government, China’s
starting point would be the agreements under discussion with the Soviet
Union.32
   To further demonstrate solidarity with the Soviet Union, Mao ordered
the closure of all U.S. consular, military and economic assistance facilities in
China. On January 13, he contacted Liu Shaoqi, who was then in charge in
Beijing, agreeing with his proposal to requisition U.S. and other foreign mil-
itary facilities in China, including U.S. consulates and property occupied by
                                                     Mao’s trip to Moscow   99
the U.S. Agency for Economic Assistance in Shanghai. On January 17, Mao
told the Soviets what he had done, explaining that he was “forcing” Ameri-
can consular representatives from China and would seek to delay diplomatic
recognition by the United States, since “the later the Americans receive
legal rights in China, the better it is for the People’s Republic of China.”33
   In the midst of this positive movement between Mao and Stalin,
however, the Soviets were unhappy over a serious misunderstanding
between Mao and Stalin regarding a planned joint reaction to U.S.
Secretary of State Dean Acheson’s January 12 National Press Club speech.
   Shi Zhe recalls that Stalin was irritated by Acheson’s attempt to sow
discord between China and the Soviet Union (by claiming in his speech
that the USSR intended to annex Manchuria). Acting through Molotov
and Vyshinsky, Stalin asked Mao to join the Soviet Union and Mongolia in
issuing similarly worded official statements condemning Acheson’s speech.
Mao, however, apparently “did not sufficiently understand what was meant
by an ‘official’ statement.” As a result, the Soviet Union and Mongolia
issued statements in the name of their foreign ministers, while the direc-
tor of the Chinese official news agency issued China’s statement. An
unhappy Stalin rebuked Mao for not implementing the originally agreed
upon plan, messing things up and providing the United States with an
opening. He added tartly that, “We all should keep our promises, coordi-
nate closely, march together, and, in this way, increase our strength.” Mao
was filled with pent-up anger, but said not a word.34
   Shi’s description of the incident as yet another “misunderstanding” is
contradicted by recently released documentary material. When Molotov
and Mao met on January 17, the Soviet First Deputy Premier clearly pro-
posed that the statement be issued in the name of the Chinese govern-
ment. Mao agreed to issue the statement, but asked “if it would not be
better for Xinhua [the Chinese News Agency] to make this kind of decla-
ration.” Molotov replied that, since the issue involved a speech by the U.S.
Secretary of State, a declaration should come from China’s foreign minis-
try, not a news agency. Mao then agreed, promising that he would have a
statement drafted and shown to the Soviet side in Moscow before it was
cabled to Beijing, where the Chinese Vice Foreign Minister, who was
acting for the Foreign Minister, would issue the statement.35 Clearly, this
event cannot be passed off as a “misunderstanding.” There is no way to
know now why Mao insisted on issuing the statement in the name of the
Chinese official news agency. But Mao held to his own view and was quite
unhappy over Stalin’s rebuke.
Zhou arrives, hard bargaining begins
In contrast to this contretemps, negotiations on the new Sino-Soviet treaty
started off in an atmosphere of friendship and geniality. Zhou Enlai got to
Moscow on January 20. On January 22, Stalin and Mao, together with
100   Mao’s trip to Moscow
Zhou, began discussing how to revise the 1945 bilateral treaty. Stalin came
armed with twelve documents related to a new treaty and side agreements,
all prepared for him by Soviet officials.36 While Stalin was well prepared, in
contrast, Mao and Zhou appear to have been a little passive in their first
meeting with Stalin.37
    Mao noted vaguely that, “The new treaty must include questions of
political, economic, cultural and military cooperation. Of most impor-
tance will be the question of economic cooperation.” But he expressed no
specific views. Stalin proposed and Mao agreed that the Soviet Union
would declare that the 1945 agreement on the Lushun naval base would
remain in force until a peace treaty with Japan was signed, after which
Soviet forces would withdraw. Stalin indicated that the Soviet Union did
not plan to retain any rights with respect to Dalian, but pointed out that
should Dalian remain a free port, this would serve the Anglo-American
“Open Door” policy. Mao agreed, and proposed that the Lushun could
serve as a base for joint Sino-Soviet military cooperation, while Dalian
“could serve as a base for Sino-Soviet economic collaboration.”
    Mao proposed that a new treaty should stipulate that the Changchun
Railroad would continue to be jointly operated and managed; however,
the Chinese should take the lead in railroad management. At the same
time, both sides should study shortening the duration of the railroad
agreement and specifying the amount of the investment held by each side.
Molotov replied that,
    The conditions governing the cooperation and joint administration of
    an enterprise by two interested countries usually provide for equal
    participation by both sides, as well as for alternation in the appoint-
    ment of replacements for management positions. In the old agree-
    ment, the administration of the railroad belonged to the Soviets;
    however, in the future we think it necessary to alternate in the crea-
    tion of management functions. Let’s say that such an alternation could
    take place every two–three years.
Zhou countered that,
    Our comrades believe that the existing management of the Chang-
    chun Railroad and the office of the director ought to be abolished
    and a railroad administration commission set up in their place, and
    that the offices of the commission chairman and of the director
    should be replaced by Chinese officials. However, given Comrade
    Molotov’s proposals, this question requires more thought.
Supporting Molotov, Stalin pointed out that, “If we are talking about joint
administration, it is important for the managing position to be alternated
[between the Soviet Union and China]. As for the duration of the
                                                 Mao’s trip to Moscow   101
agreement, we would not be against shortening it.” Molotov argued that
Zhou’s request to increase China’s investment ratio to 51 percent “would
go against the existing provision for parity.” Stalin added that, “Since we
already have a joint administration, we might as well have equal participa-
tion.” Mao acted at this point to smooth things over, but, throughout the
negotiations, the issue of how to manage the Changchun Railway proved
to be the main sticking point.
   This meeting set the basic principles for the treaty negotiations. After
some haggling, the two sides reached agreement. In comparing the
1950 treaty and side agreements with those reached in 1945, the main
changes were: the return of Lushun Port and the Changchun Railroad
to China, set at 30 years from 1945 in the earlier treaty, was now set to
coincide with the signing of a peace treaty with Japan, or no later than
the end of 1952; the administration of Dalian, formerly subject to Soviet
restrictions, was now under complete Chinese control; and the posts of
Changchun Railroad director and executive board chairman, and
Lushun Port Joint Military Commission chairman, formerly all selected
by the Soviet Union, now were to be filled in rotation by the Soviet
Union and China. On specific issues, especially China’s ownership and
management rights over the Changchun Railroad, the Soviet Union at
the outset leaned toward maintaining the substance of the 1945 agree-
ment, and China’s draft aimed to replace the 1945 agreement with new
content. As it turned out, Stalin made repeated concessions, for the
most part accepting the revised draft proposed by Zhou Enlai on
January 26, 1950.38
   In at least two cases of sharp disagreements between China and the
Soviet Union, the texts of the side agreements reached in Moscow remain
secret to the present day. In a February 13, 1950 discussion with Foreign
Minister Vyshinsky, Zhou said that he and Mao believed all the agreements
signed in Moscow should be made public. Zhou explained that the
Chinese texts of these agreements had been sent to Beijing and reported
to China’s Government Administrative Council. “If there is anything in the
signed agreements that cannot be made public,” Zhou pointed out, “we
need to explain this to the Government Administrative Council members.”
Zhou stressed that from China’s perspective, publication of all the signed
agreements would be helpful since it would raise the global prestige of
both China and the Soviet Union. Vyshinsky indicated that although
Zhou’s view was very clear, there was no arrangement between the two
countries that all the agreements should be made public. Therefore, the
question of publishing these documents needed to be discussed, and he
would report to Stalin on this issue.39 No documents have been found
regarding the continued discussion of this question, but the final outcome
was, in fact, that some of the agreements were not published. Among the
unpublished agreements, according to declassified Russian material, are
two issues worthy of scholarly attention.
102   Mao’s trip to Moscow
Bones of contention
One of these issues concerned Soviet military use of the Changchun
Railway.40
   In agreeing to the earlier return of the Changchun Railway to Chinese
control, the Soviet Union proposed that the Soviet Army should retain the
right to move on this rail line from Siberia through Manchuria to Vladi-
vostok. In discussions held between January 31 and February 2, China and
the Soviet Union set out very different views. Zhou agreed that the Soviet
Army should be able to move along with Changchun Railway under the
threat of war, but argued that the new agreement should also stipulate
that the Chinese Army and its equipment could be transported from Man-
churia to Yining in Xinjiang on the Soviet-controlled rail line linking
Chita, New Siberia and Alma Ata, and that the transport fee paid by the
Chinese Army should be set according to the fee then currently in force
for the Soviet Army.
   On February 1, Mikoyan replied that, to accommodate Chinese wishes,
they could change the text “to stipulate that army movement on the
Changchun Railway could occur were the Soviet Far East under threat of
war.” Mikoyan explained that, for the Soviet Army, the distance could be
cut in half by military movement along the rail line through Manchuria to
Vladivostok (i.e., compared with the Trans-Siberian Railway route), and,
further, that this would provide two lines for Soviet Army movement in
time of war. This was quite natural and understandable, claimed Mikoyan,
since this stipulation was aimed at an emergency situation, when the Soviet
Union was under actual threat of war in the Far East.
   However, argued Mikoyan,
    The Chinese proposal to have the right to move its army and military
    equipment on the rail line between Manchuria and Xinjiang is incor-
    rect. . . . The Soviet side believes this proposal is totally unacceptable. It
    is not that we oppose the movement of the Chinese army along our
    rail line, but because we believe that this is a counterproposal to the
    Soviet proposal to move the Soviet army on the Changchun rail line
    between Manchuria and Suifenhe. This is a form of covert opposition
    to the Soviet proposal.
Mikoyan and Vyshinsky continued that,
    [The Soviet side] is very surprised to have such an issue raised, since
    Zhou Enlai himself confirmed that, if the Soviet Union returned the
    Changchun Railway to China, the Chinese Government would agree
    to allow the Soviet Union to move its army on the Changchun Railway
    in any direction. . . . Now, when we have agreed to give the Changchun
    Railway back to China, the Chinese view has changed, and they oppose
                                                   Mao’s trip to Moscow   103
    moving our military on the Changchun Railway between Manchuria
    and Suifenhe.
In offering a detailed explanation of the Chinese proposal, Zhou “did the
utmost to prove that this was not at all a counterproposal or antagonistic
proposal.” He noted that the Chinese delegation had not started out with
the idea that the protocol would have an article stipulating military move-
ment by both sides. Logically speaking, said Zhou, this kind of movement
would flow naturally as a consequence of the Treaty of Friendship, Alli-
ance and Mutual Assistance. It should be easy to reach agreement regard-
ing the issue at any time as needed. If the draft agreement were to
stipulate that the Soviet military could move its forces on the Chinese
Changchun Railway, and, at the same time, China did not gain the right to
move its forces on Soviet territory, China would not be able to understand
this clause. Therefore, the Chinese delegation thought it needed to add a
provision that the Chinese side could move its military on the Soviet
railway between Northeast China and Xinjiang. Besides this, said Zhou,
the Chinese government proposed to use these rail lines to move grain
and other goods from Northeast China to provision its army in Xinjiang,
since this would save a lot of time and expense.
   Since both sides held their ground, Mikoyan finally suggested that if the
Chinese remained opposed to the Soviet proposal, then it could be taken
off the table, while keeping the existing protocol, and merely shortening
the period of validity from thirty to ten years. This implied that, as long as
the Soviet Union and China jointly owned the Changchun Railway, on the
basis of the already agreed upon 1952 expiration date, the 1945 agree-
ment could just be extended another three years (i.e., until the end of
1955).
   Naturally, Zhou could not agree to reopen the question of the period
of validity of the Changchun Railway agreement. Therefore, he could only
agree to the Soviet view on revision, which was that if the Soviet Far East
came under threat of war, the Soviet military could use the Changchun
Railway to move its troops. Still Zhou maneuvered. He noted that while
there might be no stipulation in the document, perhaps in a situation of
need, China could move its troops from Northeast China to Xinjiang over
the Siberian rail trunk lines. Mikoyan said that the fact that China’s pro-
posal to have the right to move its troops across Soviet territory had been
rejected did not exclude the possibility that, in a time of actual need,
under the alliance treaty, it could use the Soviet railways to move Chinese
troops. This concluded the discussion.
   However, this issue made a strong impression on the Soviets. As
Mikoyan said,
    As allies, the Soviet Union transferred without recompense property
    of immense value: the Changchun Railway, Dalian, Lushun port, and
104   Mao’s trip to Moscow
    all the rights that we held in these areas, and the Chinese side didn’t
    even want to agree to the Soviet Union moving its military on only one
    rail line. If the Chinese couldn’t even make this concession, what kind
    of allies were we?
This is how things stood. The Soviet impression was to a certain extent
reasonable. However, based on the principle of equality, the Chinese view
on revision of the railway agreement is also beyond criticism. Moreover,
China’s leaders, taking a long view, were clearly worried about the sugges-
tion that the Soviet Army had a right to move its troops on Chinese
territory.
    The second issue concerns the still secret Sino-Soviet “Additional
Agreement.”41
    Based on currently available Chinese material, albeit not archival mater-
ial, the Soviets insisted during negotiations that in addition to the new
Sino-Soviet treaty, the two sides should conclude and sign a secret “Addi-
tional Agreement.” This would stipulate that in the Soviet Far East and
Central Asia, and in China’s Northeast and Xinjiang, “no leasehold rights
are to be granted to foreigners, and, furthermore, no industrial, financial,
commercial, or other enterprise, organization, society, or group activities
in which third-country capital or citizens participate directly or indirectly
are permitted.” Mao was unhappy, but was forced to concede on this prin-
ciple. Chinese material reveals that during negotiations, on January 22,
Mao expressed reservations and was unwilling to sign this agreement.
However, after Stalin’s repeated insistence, “out of consideration of the
overall situation of Sino-Soviet unity, it was necessary to concede this
issue.”
    The Russian record of the January 22 Stalin–Mao meeting does not
touch on the “Additional Agreement” issue.42 There is need for caution,
however, since Chinese material on this issue does not consist of archival
documentation. Only publication of contemporary Chinese documents
may resolve this issue.
    It is a fact, however, that Mao later voiced great unhappiness over the
secret “Additional Agreement.” Many times in discussions Mao referred to
Northeast China and Xinjiang as two Soviet “colonies” or “spheres of influ-
ence.”43 Objectively, there was some basis for Chinese leaders to express
such unhappiness. The “Additional Agreement” on the surface seemed
fair, but, in fact, at the time, there were no “third-country” commercial
interests or foreign citizens engaged in commerce and industry in the
Soviet Far East or in Soviet Central Asia. The clause, therefore, restricted
China’s exercise of sovereignty in Northeast China and Xinjiang without
any real concession on the Soviet Union’s part. Concerning the separate
agreement at the time regarding joint stock companies, a subject on which
Mao later also railed,44 it is, in fact, unfair to blame the Soviets. As
recounted earlier, Chinese leaders had invited the Soviets to manage
                                                      Mao’s trip to Moscow   105
leased and joint stock companies in China during Mikoyan’s 1949 secret
visit to Xibaibo, an invitation that Mao had repeated in Moscow with spe-
cific reference to Xinjiang.45
Lingering Soviet dissatisfaction?
The new Sino-Soviet alliance benefited China and the Soviet Union politi-
cally, militarily, diplomatically and economically. Chinese and Soviet
understandings differed, however. The Sino-Soviet Treaty of Friendship,
Alliance and Mutual Assistance signed on February 14, 1950 generally
accorded with China’s wishes. While not all its provisions were satisfactory
from China’s point of view, the sovereignty and interests that China had
lost in 1945 would soon be recovered. As for Stalin, the outcome of the
treaty negotiations meant that Soviet strategic gains in the Far East, includ-
ing an ice-free port on the Pacific – secured in the Yalta Agreement and
the 1945 Sino-Soviet treaty – would be forfeited by the end of 1952, if not
earlier. Perhaps it was for this reason, to make up as much as possible for
this impending loss, that Stalin insisted on signing the secret “Additional
Agreement,” hoping thereby to counter American, British and Japanese
infiltration and influence in Northeast and Northwest China, two regions
that bordered on the Soviet Union.
   Stalin almost certainly did not believe that the outcome of his negotiations
with Mao and Zhou had fully satisfied Soviet requirements in the Far East.
The regional strategic goal Stalin had set out and implemented in 1945
matched Russia’s historical and traditional strategy in the Far East. After
World War II, comparing Soviet gains as a result of its (short) 1945 war with
Japan to Czarist Russia’s losses in the Russo-Japanese War, Stalin said that,
    [T]he defeat of the Russian troops in 1904 during the Russo-Japanese
    War left bitter memories in the minds of our people. It lay like a black
    stain upon our country . . . We of the older generation waited for this
    day for forty years, and now this day has arrived.46
   When Stalin realized after his meetings with Mao that the Soviet Union
would soon be forced to give up its only recently acquired ice-free port on
the Pacific, he was bound to search for a compensatory measure to foster
this traditional Russian strategic aspiration. As a result, the Korean issue
found its way onto Moscow’s agenda and Stalin’s map. At this time, only
the Korean peninsula could in some measure satisfy the Soviet Union’s
desire for a suitable base for its Pacific fleet, an ice-free port on the Pacific
Ocean that could be linked with the shortest possible rail link to the
eastern part of the Soviet Union. As a consequence, at this time, Stalin
changed his strategy toward the tense situation on the Korean peninsula.
Moscow turned abruptly then from its long-maintained defensive posture
in the Far East to a strategic offensive.
6      Stalin reverses his Korea policy
Scholars the world over have noted that documents in the Russian archives
show that Stalin changed his Korea policy in January 1950, that is, during
the time when he was negotiating the new Sino-Soviet treaty. Throughout
1949, though the standoff between North and South Korea had been very
tense, and arguably had teetered on the brink of civil war, Moscow stead-
fastly had resisted Kim Il-sung’s entreaties to unify Korea through military
force. Yet, in the early months of 1950, Stalin abruptly changed course.
What caused him to change his mind?
   The only direct, though vague reference to the rationale for the Soviet
policy change is captured in the phrase “in light of the changed interna-
tional situation.” Stalin employed this phrase in his May 14, 1950 telegram
to Mao, when Mao questioned the message that Kim had brought to him.
In his reply to Mao, Stalin for the first time acknowledged his agreement
in principle with Kim’s proposal to “move toward reunification.”1 What
did Stalin mean by “the changed international situation” and what was the
main reason for Stalin’s change of mind?
Multiple plausible causes
In the decades since the war, including in recent years, Russian and other
scholars around the world have advanced several theories about what led
Stalin to support a North Korean invasion of South Korea in June 1950, all
plausible, none mutually contradictory.2
    A. V. Torkunov and E. P. Ufimtsev, two Russian scholars of the Korean con-
flict, have argued that the phrase “the changed international situation” refers
above all to the Communist victory in China. As they see it, Stalin assessed that
the United States could now only concern itself with Chiang Kai-shek’s fate on
Taiwan, and would not want to be drawn into a conflict on the Korean penin-
sula. Like others, they argue that another key factor was the Soviet Union’s
breakout from the American nuclear monopoly. This meant that America
could no longer use the nuclear threat against the Soviet Union.3
    Russian scholar E. P. Bajanov has argued that by 1950 the maturation of
the Cold War led the Soviet Union to embrace the outbreak of war on the
                                          Stalin reverses his Korea policy   107
Korean peninsula. Stalin, in Bajanov’s view, regarded the newly established
NATO as a threat to the Soviet Union. As a counter strategy, Soviet control
of Korea would weaken U.S. control of Japan. And, the Communist victory
in China seemed to ensure success in Korea, especially at a time when
Stalin was also influenced by his recent acquisition of nuclear weapons
and the American loss of China.
   Russian–American scholar Sergei Goncharov has disputed that the
Soviet acquisition of nuclear weapons and the establishment of NATO
heavily influenced Stalin’s new Korea strategy. He points instead to the
impact on Soviet calculations to President Truman’s January 5, 1950 state-
ment and, above all, to Secretary of State Acheson’s January 12, 1950
National Press Club speech, which placed Korea outside the American
defensive perimeter. However, this was not the only factor, argues Gon-
charov. The situation in Germany and Europe, and concern about Japan,
also played a role.
   The American scholar John Garver has pointed to Japan as the main
reason for the change in Stalin’s formerly cautious approach, arguing that
Moscow believed that by 1950 the U.S. was intent on turning Japan into a
forward U.S. military base, something that the Soviet Union could not
tolerate.4
   In a different context, Goncharov, John Lewis and Xue Litai in their
joint book, Uncertain Partners, have concluded that Stalin changed his
Korea policy with several objectives in mind: to expand the Soviet Union’s
buffer zone in Asia, to gain a springboard for an attack on Japan in a
future global war, to test American will, to intensify Sino-American antago-
nism and, most importantly, to draw American power away from Europe.5
   The issues adduced by these scholars all help elucidate the factors or
considerations behind Stalin’s changed Korea policy. But they are not all
of equal weight, and they influenced Stalin’s decision at different levels.
Among these possible factors, the most important were the motives for the
change in policy, and next important were the conditions for carrying out
the new policy. Importantly, in implementing this important policy shift,
Stalin would be impinging on Soviet relations with the United States (here
including Japan), Korea and China. These relationships were not all of
equal weight. Most important was the impact on relations with China.
Next in importance was Stalin’s calculation of the U.S. policy response.
Korea: a place of Stalin’s choosing
Stalin’s agreement with Kim Il-sung’s strategy of unifying Korea by force
implies that he had decided to face a war in Northeast Asia. There were
two central premises behind this decision. First, the Soviet Union, already
in a hostile confrontation with the United States, had now decided on a
major rupture with Washington. With the outbreak of war in Korea, it
would face an indirect – and, in an extreme situation, even the possibility
108   Stalin reverses his Korea policy
of a direct – conflict with the United States. Second, the long-standing,
tense military standoff on the Korean peninsula had forced North Korea –
still under Soviet control – into making mental and material preparations
to cope with a war situation. Yet, this latter, Korea-specific predicate was in
place by the end of 1949, but then Stalin was still unwilling to change the
basic strategy toward Korea he had adopted in 1945. What had changed?
    After the Soviet Union adopted a fiercely antagonistic response to the
Marshall Plan, two great opposing blocs appeared on the international
scene. Conflict between the Soviet Union and the United States occurred
primarily in Europe, with the Cold War structure crystallizing between
June 1948 and May 1949. In the first Cold War crisis between the Soviet
Union and the West, the Berlin crisis, the Soviet Union flinched in the
face of an unyielding U.S. and Western position. Stalin had decided to
express Moscow’s determination and antagonistic attitude toward the
United States on the most sensitive East–West issue, the German question,
but he had not correctly calculated that Washington would start from a
policy of strength and adopt a tit-for-tat response. Moscow especially mis-
judged America’s economic power to resolve the Berlin question. Since
the balance of power was not favorable to the Soviet Union, in the end,
Stalin had to abandon his resort to open conflict with the United States in
Europe.6
    However, while Stalin now became more cautious about confrontation
in Europe, he had not abandoned his strategy of confronting the United
States. He just had to find the right conditions – a suitable time and place
of his choosing.
The 38th parallel: a high tension line
Even before the Berlin crisis, in Northeast Asia, the Korean peninsula was
in a very tense situation verging on war. From the drawing in 1945 of the
38th parallel as a supposedly temporary line of Soviet and American occu-
pation onward through 1950, Moscow-backed North Korea and
Washington-backed South Korea were in constant conflict. The situation
worsened after the authorities in the North and the South established sep-
arate, independent governments in late 1948. Syngman Rhee in the South
and Kim Il-sung in the North both wanted to unify Korea, by military
means if necessary. There was constant friction between the two states,
including live fire exchanges near the 38th parallel. And, especially after
Soviet occupation troops withdrew from North Korea, the Syngman Rhee
regime repeatedly threatened war and launched frequent, provocative
border incursions. But, throughout 1949, Stalin restrained Kim Il-sung
from overreacting.
   Soviet Army Chief of General Staff Sergei Shtemenko and Defense
Minister Alexander Vasilevsky reported to Stalin on April 20, 1949 that
after the withdrawal of Soviet troops, South Korean armed forces had
                                            Stalin reverses his Korea policy   109
repeatedly violated the 38th parallel provisions, with 37 violations between
January 1 and April 15, of which 24 occurred between March 15 and April
15.
    Incidents . . . consisted of small-scale clashes between security troops,
    usually at the company or battalion level, using light machine gun and
    mortar fire. . . . In all instances of violation, the initiative for opening
    fire lay with the “Southerners.”
       [D]uring March and April, the “Southerners” have brought a
    portion of their field army up to the 38th parallel. We cannot exclude
    the possibility [they] may undertake new provocative acts against
    North Korea government troops and may employ . . . greater troop
    strength than we have seen to date. [We] recommend the North
    Korean government Army Command take appropriate measures to
    prepare [for] possibly stronger provocative “Southerner” actions.7
On May 2, Soviet Ambassador to Pyongyang T. F. Shtykov reported to
Moscow that,
    The South Korean authorities have enlarged the size of their “National
    Defense Army” to carry out their plan to incur into the North. Accord-
    ing to intelligence, the “National Defense Army” grew from 53,600 on
    January 1 this year to 70,000 men at the end of the first quarter. At the
    same time, [the South Koreans] are emphasizing technical, mecha-
    nized, and special forces, with troops of these types growing [in
    number] one to three times.
Shtykov reported that the South Korean authorities had concentrated
more than 41,000 troops near the 38th parallel. “The war plan for the
attack on the North has been set and, in the First Brigade, has been com-
municated down to battalion commanders. It is assessed that it will be acti-
vated in June.”8
   Tension increased in June and July 1949. On June 18, Ambassador
Shtykov told Moscow that South Korean leaders were advocating “using
military means to resolve the issue of national unification . . . only with dif-
ferent opinions on timing.” He reported that the South Korean army and
police had openly crossed the 38th parallel many times in the Ongjin
region, that fighting was ongoing in this area and that the number of
South Korean troops along the border had increased. South Korean
troops on one occasion reportedly incurred 10 km into the North, retreat-
ing back across the 38th parallel only after a North Korean police brigade
was deployed. North Korean troops had occupied two tactically important
heights, but the two sides were still fighting for control of high ground.
Shtymenko also reported that Rhee, in reaction to the Ongjin incident,
stated on June 11 that, “We are drawing up an attack plan to inflict serious
110   Stalin reverses his Korea policy
damage on the Communists. This plan will be implemented in the next
two or three weeks.”9
   On July 13, Shtykov again cabled Foreign Minister Vyshinsky, reporting
on statements made by South Korean soldiers from the 2nd battalion of
the 18th regiment captured on the Ongjin peninsula:
    Their unit commander held several meetings in July at which he
    stated that the North Korean army planned to attack the South, and,
    therefore, the South Korean army must forestall the North, deliver a
    sudden attack on the North Korean army, and occupy North Korea
    before August 15 (Korean Liberation Day).
Shtykov noted further that,
    The [South Korean] 12th regiment’s task is to attack and capture the
    [heights] thirty kilometers west of Haeju. The 18th regiment’s task is
    to set off from Ongjin, and, together with the 13th regiment, which,
    according to our intelligence, is based near Kaesong, to attack north,
    envelop Haeju, annihilate the North Korean army group north of that
    city, and, within a week, occupy Haeju Province.
According to Shtykov, there was intelligence that Syngman Rhee had
stated that he would gain the initiative by “launching an attack on the
northern armed forces in July.”10
   By this time, U.S. occupation troops (but not U.S. military advisers) had
been withdrawn from Korea. As described by Professor Niu Jun, U.S. mili-
tary withdrawals from China (in May 1949) and South Korea (in June
1949) “indicated that the United States, by shrinking its force level and
defensive line, had fundamentally completed its strategic realignment in
Asia.”11
Soviet “defensive” military assistance to the DPRK in 1949
In the face of the U.S. pullout of its occupation troops, the South Korean
authorities stepped up their provocations and offensive preparations. As
seen by Moscow, the U.S. military withdrawal from South Korea was meant
“to give the South Korean military the freedom to act [and] loosen
restraints on the reactionary movement in South Korea.”12 As tension grew
on the peninsula, in June 1949, Moscow agreed to Kim’s request for mili-
tary assistance, supplying 100 military aircraft, 87 tanks, 57 armored
vehicles, 102 self-propelled cannons, 44 collapsible landing craft and small
rubber boats, ammunition and other military equipment.13
   But, at this point in 1949, Soviet assistance was intended to strengthen
the North’s defensive capability, not to encourage the North to go on the
attack.14 While some Soviet military figures advocated military action,
                                           Stalin reverses his Korea policy   111
 talin’s policy sought to relax the situation on the peninsula and do every-
S
thing possible to avoid direct involvement in the (the low-level) Korean
conflict. In line with this policy, Moscow approved Ambassador Shtykov’s
proposal that, in view of the U.S. troop withdrawal from South Korea,
Soviet forces should vacate their naval base at Seishin and military airfields
in Pyongyang and elsewhere in the North. Since these facilities might be
used by the Korean People’s Army, this put the Soviet Union in a passive
position.15 But, in this period, Moscow curbed Kim Il-sung from adopting
military measures that might lead to an escalation in conflict.
    While implementing its plan to unify Korea peacefully (i.e., through
political agitation in the South),16 Pyongyang was also strengthening its
military preparations. In the face of the southern threat, Kim Il-sung urged
that the time was right to unify Korea by military means.
Divided counsel on unleashing Kim
On September 3 Soviet Charge d’Affairs G. I. Tunkin reported that Mun
Il, Kim Il-sung’s private secretary, had reported that the North had reliable
information that South Korea would soon try to seize the portion of the
Ongjin peninsula above the 38th parallel and shell the cement plant in
Haiju city. Kim asked permission to begin military operations against the
South, aiming to seize the Ongjin peninsula and South Korean territory
east of the Ongjin peninsula, approximately to Kaesong, thereby shorten-
ing North Korea’s defensive line. If “the international situation permits,”
Kim was prepared to move further south. “Kim Il-sung is convinced that
they are in a position to seize South Korea in the course of two weeks,
maximum two months.” Tunkin assured Moscow that North Korea had
intercepted a South Korean order to begin shelling the Haiju cement
plant, “which the Southerners consider [a] military [objective].” Tunkin
noted, however, that “the time set . . . for the shelling had passed, and
nothing had happened.”17
    Then Soviet First Deputy Foreign Minister Andrei Gromyko, in reply,
instructed Tunkin on September 11 to see Kim as soon as possible to get a
clearer reading on the South Korean army, its numbers, arms and fighting
strength; the condition of the communist partisan movement in the
South; how the public would react if the North initiated an attack; what
kind of support the people in the South would give the northern army;
and how the North judged its own military strength. Gromyko also asked
Tunkin for his independent assessment of the situation and the advisabil-
ity of the North Korean proposal.18
    After meetings with Kim Il-sung and Pak Hon-yong, on September 14,
Charge Tunkin reported in detail on the military strength of South and
North Korea, Kim’s views and his own views. Tunkin reported that, “Kim
considers that the northern army is superior to the southern army in its
technical equipment (tanks, artillery, planes), its discipline, the training of
112   Stalin reverses his Korea policy
its officers and troops, and also morale.” But Kim wavered in his assess-
ment of how the Korean population would react if the North began a civil
war. At his most pessimistic, Kim felt that, “[I]f a civil war were drawn out,
[North Korea] will be in a politically disadvantageous position.” There-
fore, “[H]e does not propose to begin a civil war, but only to secure the
Ongjin peninsula and a portion of the territory of South Korea to the east
of this peninsula, for example to Kaesong.” If the Ongjin campaign suc-
ceeded, Kim hoped that it would be possible to “organize a number of
uprisings in South Korea,” and, should the southern army become demor-
alized, it might be possible to move further south. Kim and Pak believed
the United States would not send troops to intervene directly in a Korean
civil war.
    Charge Tunkin disagreed with Kim’s analysis, judging that, “The partial
operation outlined by Kim Il-sung can and probably will turn into a civil
war between north and south.” However, “the northern army is not strong
enough to carry out successful and rapid operations against the South.”
Moreover, “a drawn out civil war would be militarily and politically disad-
vantageous for the North.” Tunkin concluded that “under the indicated
conditions it is inadvisable to begin the partial operation conceived by
Kim Il-sung.”19
    On his return to post, Ambassador Shtykov disagreed with (his deputy)
Minister-Counselor Tunkin. In a long telegram to Stalin on September 15,
Shtykov supported Kim’s plan. The Soviet ambassador echoed Kim’s basic
idea, that the Korean people wanted unification, but if it were not possible
to unify Korea peacefully, without resort to force, “the issue of unification
could drag on for many years.” Given the time and opportunity, argued
Shtykov, South Korean reactionaries would “suppress the democratic
movement in the South . . . establish a more formidable military force in
order to attack northern Korea [and] destroy everything that has been
established in recent years in the North.”
    Shtykov analyzed the economic and political situation in North and
South Korea in detail, arguing that “the South Korean government’s polit-
ical footing [is] shaky,” and conditions on the peninsula were favorable to
the North. The Soviet ambassador did not exclude the possibility that the
Americans would intervene and vigorously support South Korea, and
admitted that the North Korean People’s Army was still not strong enough
in numbers or materiel to guarantee a complete annihilation of the south-
ern army and occupation of South Korea. Nevertheless, he believed that,
“it was both possible and appropriate to develop and provide assistance
and leadership to the guerilla movement” in South Korea. And, “under
favorable conditions,” it would be possible to use South Korean provoca-
tions on the 38th parallel to punish its violation of the 38th parallel and
occupy the Ongjin peninsula, Kaesong city and the surrounding area.
Appended to Shtykov’s telegram was a detailed comparison of North and
South Korean military strength.20
                                           Stalin reverses his Korea policy   113
   At the time, developments in Asia were all favorable to the Soviet policy
of global confrontation with the United States: the Chinese Communist
revolution was on the verge of victory; the U.S. military (with the excep-
tion of a military advisory group) had withdrawn from South Korea; there
were many indications of revolutionary fervor among the South Korean
people; and the political and economic situation in South Korea was
extremely unstable. Still Stalin refused to authorize the initiation of mili-
tary moves on the Korean peninsula.
Moscow tells Shtykov: just say Nyet
On September 24, the CPSU Politburo discussed the Korean situation and
instructed Ambassador Shtykov to tell Kim Il-sung and Foreign Minister
Pak Hon-yong that the Soviet Union could not sanction starting a war on
the Korean peninsula: “Since North Korea does not have the necessary
superiority of military forces in comparison with South Korea . . . a military
attack on the South is now completely unprepared for and therefore . . . is
not allowed.”
   To drive home the point, Shtykov warned the North Koreans leaders
that “a partial operation to seize the Ongjin peninsula and the region of
Kaesong,” by moving the North Korean border “almost to Seoul itself,”
would mean the “beginning of a war between North and South Korea, for
which North Korea is not prepared either militarily or politically [and]
give the Americans cause for any kind of interference in Korean affairs.”
Instead, Moscow directed North Korea to develop the partisan movement
in the South, create liberated areas and prepare for a general uprising in
the South.21
   Moscow’s instruction to Kim Il-sung through Shtykov shows that Soviet
policy in the fall of 1949 supported the unification of Korea only through
partisan and political struggle in the South rather than through overt
resort to military force by the North. Kim Il-sung and other North Korean
leaders accepted Moscow’s advice, albeit cooly,22 but did not stop their
military preparations.
   On October 14, another fierce fight broke out near the 38th parallel
when the North’s 3rd Police Guards Brigade attacked South Korean forces
that had occupied two points of high ground 1.5 km north of the 38th par-
allel. Stalin was not happy to learn that his ambassador – against instruc-
tions and without notice to Moscow – had given his tacit consent, had
helped plan the action and had then not reported to Moscow after the
fact. Gromyko severely rebuked Ambassador Shtykov both for acting
against his instructions and for not filing timely reports “on all actions
which are being planned and events which are occurring along the 38th
parallel,” and forbade him “to recommend to the government of North
Korea that it carry out active operations against South Korea absent
approval from the Central Committee.”23 Russian documents indicate that
114   Stalin reverses his Korea policy
from this point through to the end of 1949, Stalin upheld this policy of
restraint on the Korean peninsula.
    Despite thin evidence, consisting mainly of Khrushchev’s stream-of-
consciousness recollections, (not based on a diary or other records), some
present-day scholars still wonder whether Stalin and Kim held secret talks
in late 1949 and, if so, what they discussed. According to Khrushchev, Kim
came to Moscow in late 1949 wanting “to prod South Korea with the point
of a bayonet [and] touch off an internal explosion in the South.”24
    In a 1992 interview, M. C. Kapitsa, a former-ranking Soviet Foreign Min-
istry official, also claimed that Kim, encouraged by the Communist victory
in China, during a late 1949 Moscow visit, proposed “a full-scale conven-
tional attack against the South.” But, according to a high-ranking Russian
Foreign Ministry official with access to Soviet-era archives, there is no
record of any such Stalin–Kim meeting in late 1949. As Goncharov, Lewis
and Xue have concluded,
    It seems likely that the active flow of communication between Moscow
    and Pyongyang at this time has been misinterpreted as Kim–Stalin
    meetings. [But] what matters is the evolution of the exchanges, not
    whether specific visits did or did not occur.25
   To take a step back then, even if there had been a late 1949 Kim visit to
Moscow, as remembered by Khrushchev and Kapitsa, Stalin did not agree
with Kim’s proposal to launch a conventional war for a reunified Korea.
   The global antagonistic relationship between the Soviet Union and the
United States, and the high state of tension between the two Korean states
on the peninsula were the main predicates behind Stalin’s early 1950
decision to go to war. Why did Stalin not agree in late 1949 to use military
means to unify Korea? The Soviet archival material described above indi-
cates that Stalin had two concerns: that the United States might be drawn
into a Korean conflict, and that Pyongyang was not sufficiently prepared.26
1950: a new year, a new Soviet calculus
In the early months of 1950, Stalin fundamentally changed his policy
toward Korea.
   The issue of whether the United States might intervene in a Korean
conflict naturally played a very important role in Stalin’s decision-making.
But, logically speaking, Stalin would not decide to sanction starting a war
in Korea merely because the U.S. would not intervene. Rather, if he were
motivated to launch a war, the probable U.S. response would be a critical
factor in deciding whether or not to actually carry out a war plan. As will
be discussed below, when Moscow later judged that the U.S. would not
intervene and agreed to Kim’s military action, Stalin still carefully avoided
giving the United States a pretext to intervene. This concern about a
                                           Stalin reverses his Korea policy   115
 ossible U.S. reaction was therefore based mainly on tactical, not strategic,
p
considerations.
   Stalin’s decision in early 1950 was not based on whether or not
Pyongyang was in a good position to launch a military action against the
South – as had been laid out in the September 24, 1949 Politiburo direc-
tive to Kim. In fact, by the time Stalin changed his mind, the preparatory
work that had been suggested by the CPSU Politburo directive, namely a
ramp-up in partisan and political activity in the South, was further behind
than had been the case during most of 1949.27
   Stalin, true to form, never revealed his real thoughts and calculations
concerning the Korean question. But, if the overarching goal of Soviet
foreign policy was to further its national security interests, we should
analyze Stalin’s shift on Korea in light of the Soviet Union’s strategic goals
in the Far East.
   On January 19, shortly after Stalin agreed to negotiate a new treaty with
China, Ambassador Shtykov reported to Moscow on Kim Il-sung’s state of
mind as reflected during a small lunch held two days earlier at the North
Korean Foreign Ministry. The January 17 lunch was held to send off North
Korea’s ambassador to the China, Li Juyeon. After lunch, Kim excitedly
told two Soviet embassy counselors that with China now liberated, the next
issue was how to liberate South Korea:
    The people of the southern part of Korea trust me and rely on our
    armed might. Partisans will not resolve the question. The people of
    the South know that we have a good army. Lately I cannot sleep at
    night, thinking about how to resolve the question of the unification of
    the whole country. If the matter of the liberation of the people of the
    southern part of Korea and the unification of the country is drawn
    out, then I can lose the trust of the people of Korea.
Kim told one of the Soviet embassy counselors that, when he was in
Moscow,
    Comrade Stalin said to him that it was not necessary to attack the
    South; in case of an attack on the North by Syngman Rhee’s army, it is
    possible to go on the counteroffensive to the southern part of Korea.
    But since Syngman Rhee is still not instigating an attack . . . the libera-
    tion of the people of the southern portion of Korea and the unifica-
    tion of the country are being drawn out [and] he thinks that he needs
    to visit Comrade Stalin and receive an order and permission for offen-
    sive action by the People’s Army for the purpose of the liberation of
    the people of southern Korea.
The Soviet Embassy counselors sidestepped Kim’s feeler. Kim then took
Ambassador Shtykov aside, reiterating that he wanted to see Stalin to
116   Stalin reverses his Korea policy
discuss the situation in South Korea and the issue of launching an attack
on the South, claiming that the North Korean People’s Army was now
much stronger than Syngman Rhee’s army. If he could not meet Stalin,
said Kim, then he wanted to meet with Mao Zedong, after Mao’s return
from Moscow. Kim pressed Shtykov as to why he was not allowed to attack
the South on the Ongjin peninsula, which, he said, his army could take in
three days, with a general attack on Seoul following in several more days.
Shtykov reported to Moscow that Kim “was in a mood of some intoxica-
tion.” But, “[i]t was obvious that he began this conversation not acciden-
tally, but had thought it out earlier, with the goal of laying out his frame of
mind and elucidating our attitude toward these questions.”28
   As he had been instructed in the September 24, 1949 Politburo instruc-
tion, Shtykov held the line in his discussion with Kim: “On the question of
an attack on the Ongjin peninsula, I answered him that it is impossible to
do this.”
   Unexpectedly, however, after receiving Ambassador Shtykov’s report,
Stalin changed his attitude. On January 30, less than two weeks after Stalin
had been forced to accept the Chinese draft agreement on the Chang-
chun Railway, Lushun and Dalian, he adopted a new position on Korea,
personally cabling Ambassador Shtykov that:
    I understand the dissatisfaction of Comrade Kim Il-sung, but he must
    understand that such a large matter in regard to South Korea such as
    he wants to undertake needs large preparation. The matter must be
    organized so that there would not be too great a risk. If he wants to
    discuss this matter with me, then I will always be ready to receive him
    and discuss it with him. Transmit this to Kim Il-sung and tell him that
    I am ready to help him in this matter.29
According to documents that have thus far come to light, Stalin’s January
30 cable to Shtykov is the first indication that Stalin was considering giving
a green light to Kim’s military plan. Afterwards, events moved fairly
smoothly in the new policy direction.
   Excited by Stalin’s reply, Kim started to prepare to travel to Moscow. He
proposed organizing three more infantry divisions to raise total North
Korean army strength to ten divisions. To purchase equipment for the
three new infantry divisions, he wanted to use in 1950 a loan the Soviet
Union had allocated for use in 1951. Moscow replied immediately, totally
satisfying Kim’s request, and began to provide weapons on a large scale.30
   In late February 1950, Moscow sent Lt. General Alexandre Vasiliev to
North Korea to be the principal military adviser to Korean People’s Army,
with the task of strengthening the North Korean army’s organization and
command and control functions. As chief military adviser, Vasiliev
replaced Ambassador Shtykov, who had been double-hatted in this role
after the withdrawal of Soviet troops from North Korea.31
                                         Stalin reverses his Korea policy   117
   On March 9, Ambassador Shtykov reported to Moscow that, “to
strengthen the People’s Army and to fully equip it with arms, ammunition
and technical equipment,” North Korea wanted Moscow to provide
120–150 million rubles worth of military-technical equipment as outlined
in a list provided to the Soviet government. In return, North Korea prom-
ised to send more than 133 million rubles worth of gold, silver and mona-
zite concentrate to the Soviet Union in 1950. On March 18, Stalin agreed
to fully satisfy the North Korea request for arms, ammunition and techni-
cal equipment.32
   On March 20, Kim Il-sung asked to pay an unofficial visit to Moscow in
early April to discuss “ways and means of unifying the north and south of
the country . . . economic development prospects,” and other questions.
After Moscow quickly approved, Ambassador Shtykov reported on March
24 that he had finished arranging Kim’s trip. On March 29, Foreign Minis-
ter Vyshinsky informed Stalin that, “Kim Il-sung and [North] Korean
Foreign Minister Pak Hon-yong will depart Pyongyang for Moscow on
March 30. Soviet Ambassador to [North] Korea General Shtykov will
accompany them; they will arrival in Moscow on April 8.”33
   No documents have yet been found in the Russian archives regarding
the content of the April 1950 secret talks between Stalin and Kim; versions
of what happened in scholarly works are based on the recollections of
involved parties.34 However, an August 9, 1966 “Background Report on the
Korean War” drafted by the Soviet Foreign Ministry for CPSU General Sec-
retary Leonid Brezhnev and other Soviet leaders acknowledged that Stalin
gave his final approval of North Korea’s draft plan during Kim Il-sung’s
March–April (sic) 1950 visit to Moscow.35 Thus, while Stalin decided to
change his Korea policy in principle in January 1950, he gave his final
approval of Kim’s invasion of the South in April 1950.
   What happened to prompt Stalin to change his mind at this time? The
most important event at the time in Asia was the new strategic situation
that followed the Communist victory in China, namely, the new Sino-
Soviet alliance and a Treaty of Friendship, Alliance and Mutual Assistance.
   The role of the Chinese revolution and the Sino-Soviet alliance in spur-
ring changes in Stalin’s Korean and Far Eastern policies, however, is not
necessarily as thought by some scholars, namely, that since the Soviet
Union felt its position in the Far East was now stronger, it follows that
Moscow was more confident it could confront and defeat U.S. power on
the Korean peninsula.
   Actually, the opposite was true. The change in the political regime in
China and the signing of the new Sino-Soviet treaty made Stalin wonder if
Soviet interests in the Far East were threatened or, possibly, even lost.
Therefore, he felt compelled to change his policies to guarantee enduring
Soviet strategic goals in the Far East. As far as Moscow was concerned, the
establishment of New China was like a dual-edged sword. On the one
hand, it constituted a new Soviet security shield in Asia that surely
118   Stalin reverses his Korea policy
strengthened Soviet rights and interests in this region. On the other hand,
if this neighboring country should ever become big and powerful, it would
possibly become a threat to Soviet security and interests. In the same way,
the signing of the new Sino-Soviet treaty carried dual significance. The
new alliance surely strengthened Soviet political power in Asia. But, in
establishing the alliance, Stalin was forced to give up most of the political
and economic rights and interests that he had wrested from Chiang Kai-
shek in 1945. It is therefore possible to conclude that Stalin’s motive for
changing his Korean policy in early 1950 was based on a desire to main-
tain and protect Soviet political and economic interests in Asia, especially
in Northeast Asia. This was the crux of the issue for Stalin.
    As noted in the last chapter, in a certain sense, Stalin had no choice but
to sign the Sino-Soviet Treaty of Friendship, Alliance and Mutual Assist-
ance of February 1950. Yet, as a result of that treaty, in two or three years,
the Soviet Union would lose the significant rights and interests in the Far
East it had gained at Yalta and in the 1945 Sino-Soviet treaty with Chiang
Kai-shek. Therefore, if Stalin wished to maintain Soviet postwar aims in
the Far East, to make up for the rights and interests that would be lost by
signing the new bilateral treaty, he would have to do this outside of China.
In this context, the change in his Korea policy arguably was an opportunis-
tic response to new realities in Soviet relations with China.
    It would be obvious to Stalin that if war broke out on the Korean penin-
sula, whatever the result, the Soviet strategic goal in the Far East – acquisi-
tion of an outlet on the ocean and an ice-free port – would be guaranteed.
    If the war ended in victory, the Soviet Union would control the whole
Korean peninsula, and Inchon and Pusan would replace Lushun and
Dalian, which he had pledged to return to China. When Kim Il-sung met
Stalin in March 1949, the North Korean leader had proposed building a
short, direct rail link between Kraskino in the Soviet Far East and Aoji in
North Korea.36 Though this potential line was somewhat longer compared
to the Soviet rail link to North Korea via the Changchun Railway, the
Soviet railway system could be linked directly with the two major Pacific
Ocean ports of Inchon and Pusan, both south of the 38th parallel.
    Even if the war went poorly, the Soviet Union would achieve what it
wished if the resultant tense situation in Northeast Asia forced China to
ask Soviet forces to stay on in Lushun and Dalian. Moreover, based on the
new Sino-Soviet agreement, in the event of war, the Soviet Army had the
right to use the Changchun Railway, and, if this happened, the Chang-
chun Railway would effectively remain under Soviet control.
    Admittedly, speculating on what Stalin thought at this time about the
Korean issue is based on inference, but some facts can be adduced. As
World War II ended, Moscow focused on the Korean peninsula’s strategic
value in guaranteeing the security of the Soviet Far East. A June 1945
report by the Soviet Foreign Ministry Second Far East Division pointed out
the significance of expanding Soviet influence in Korea, noting that
                                           Stalin reverses his Korea policy   119
Czarist Russia’s struggle to oppose Japan in Korea had been “an histori-
cally justified act.” In the wake of World War II, “Japan must be forever
excluded from Korea, since a Korea under Japanese rule would be a con-
stant threat to the Soviet Far East.” The report advocated that Korea be
independent enough to keep it from again becoming a base for invasion
into continental Asia, whether by Japan or any other country intending to
pressure the Soviet Union in the Far East.37
    This report shows that in mid-1945 the Soviet Union regarded Japan as
its main threat in the Far East, but was not proposing then to control
Korea unilaterally. However, the Soviet government was even then keenly
aware of the possible resurgence of great power rivalry in Northeast Asia,
and thus wanted to prevent the Korean peninsula from becoming a spring-
board for expansion into continental Asia.
    The Soviet Union at this point paid especially close attention to three
strategic positions in the southern part of the Korean peninsula – Pusan,
Cheju Island and Inchon – linking these strategic positions conceptually
with the Lushun in Northeast China.
    A September 1945 report in the Russian Foreign Ministry archives
entitled “Notes on the Question of Former Japanese Colonies and Trust
Territories” argued that after two years of Soviet–American joint occupa-
tion of Korea, Moscow should urge transition to a four-nation (Soviet,
U.S., China and British) trusteeship, with three strategic areas, Pusan,
Cheju Island and Inchon, all south of the 38th parallel, under direct
Soviet military control. The Foreign Ministry hoped to gain these three
strategic positions in exchange for the U.S. desire to acquire trusteeships
over strategic islands in the Pacific. If this Soviet attempt encountered
opposition, the Foreign Ministry proposed that the Soviet Union appeal to
(then Nationalist) China, proposing joint Soviet–Chinese control of these
strategic positions in Korea.38
    A second Soviet Foreign Ministry report in September 1945 proposed
that, in any agreement on a four-nation trusteeship under United Nations
Charter Article 82 rules, Pusan, Cheju Island and Inchon should be
identified as strategic areas. The Soviet Foreign Ministry deemed these
three places essential for guaranteeing dependable sea lines of approach
to the joint Soviet–Chinese Lushun Naval Base, and argued that, under
UN Charter Article 82, they should be put under Soviet military
administration.39
    From all this, it is clear that, from the start of the postwar period, the
Korean peninsula occupied an important place in Soviet strategic thinking
in the Far East. As World War II ended, the Soviet Union gained its basic
strategic aims in the Far East under the Sino-Soviet Treaty of Friendship
and Alliance concluded with Chiang Kai-shek, even as it jointly occupied
Korea with the United States. Soon afterwards, when the U.S. and the
Soviet Union came into conflict, Stalin’s attention was first drawn to
Europe. By 1947, after the Soviet Union parted ways with the U.S., it
120   Stalin reverses his Korea policy
 asically abandoned any residual strategic pretensions with respect to
b
South Korea and contented itself with control over North Korea, turning
the North into a security buffer for the Soviet Far East region.
    Right up to Mao Zedong’s visit to Moscow in the winter of 1949–50, Sta-
lin’s intention was to maintain the existing 1945 Sino-Soviet treaty. In this
way, he could preserve existing Soviet extraterritorial rights and interests
in the Far East, and could avoid a crisis that might lead to a confrontation
with the United States. However, after talks with Mao in early 1950, Stalin
realized that the Soviet Union’s existing rights and interests in the Far East
would be lost. Therefore, Stalin then placed control of strategic objectives
on the Korean peninsula on his agenda.
    Dating back to Czarist Russia, there is a long Russian diplomatic tradi-
tion of “exchanging” spheres of influence. Stalin’s practice of exchanging
spheres of influence or occupied territory with the West in order to
promote Soviet security interests was thus not without precedent. Stalin
had done this not only in Europe – for instance on the Greek question –
but he also tried to do this out in the Far East with respect to the Korean
peninsula. As described in Chapter 2, when it came to drawing the 38th
parallel, Stalin tried to trade the American occupation of the southern
part of the Korean peninsula for Soviet occupation of a portion of Japa-
nese home island territory north of the 38th parallel. Owing to the Ameri-
can hard-line position, Stalin’s plan was frustrated, but his method and
intention of exchanging spheres of influence to attain other foreign stra-
tegic objectives is clear.
    Naturally, as the leader of the world Communist movement, Stalin also
had to be concerned about his reputation as a revolutionary. Moscow
could not repeatedly block the revolutionary demands of Asian countries,
especially after facts proved that the Soviet Union had made this error
with respect to the Chinese revolution, and Stalin did not want to be criti-
cized on the issue of the Korean revolution as well. However, Stalin, above
all, was a Great Russian chauvinist, and his concern over personal reputa-
tion took second place to national interests. It can be said, therefore, that
Stalin’s concern over Soviet strategic interests in the Far East drove his
decision to resort to military means on the Korean peninsula. In imple-
menting this policy, however, there were essential conditions that he could
not ignore.
America and China factors in Stalin’s eyes
In implementing his new policy of support for Kim Il-sung’s plan to
reunify Korea by resort to a military attack against South Korea, Stalin had
to calculate and manage correctly relations with both the United States
and China.
   According to available documentation, in managing relations with the
United States, Stalin had three considerations.
                                          Stalin reverses his Korea policy   121
   First, to the extent possible, he wanted to avoid direct military conflict
with the United States.
   With the Soviet Union already in a global confrontation with the United
States, Stalin knew that conflict and perhaps even war with the United
States could not be avoided, but he also knew that the Soviet Union did
not have sufficient strength to face this reality in the short term. The
outcome of the Berlin crisis made him especially uncertain of military
victory over his opponent, and, therefore, a hasty action that would place
the Soviet Union in conflict with the United States would be dangerous.
As a result, even while agreeing to support Kim Il-sung’s military plan,
Stalin provided only covert direction and behind-the-scenes military assist-
ance. At the very least, by avoiding overt Soviet involvement, Stalin
intended to gain plausible deniability vis-à-vis the United States.
   On June 20, when North Korea was stepping up its war preparations,
Ambassador Shtykov sent an urgent telegram to Moscow:
    Kim Il-sung asks [for] naval vessels to use in attacks and landings. Two
    vessels have arrived, but naval crews have not yet completed prepara-
    tions. He requests dispatch of ten Soviet advisers to employ on these
    vessels. I believe this request should be satisfied.
On June 22, Gromyko replied that, “We cannot accept your proposal. This
would give a pretext for [foreign] intervention.”40 As will be seen in some
detail, after the war broke out, Soviet actions were even more cautious.
    Based on Stalin’s care to avoid giving the United States a pretext for
intervening in Korea, we can make the following judgment: Stalin’s deter-
mination to take military action in Korea was not in any important sense
taken to confront the United States over its Japan policy. Though the U.S.
unilateral occupation of Japan had stirred strong Soviet dissatisfaction, by
1949 U.S. policy in Asia was mainly characterized by retrenchment of
American forces and defense lines. America’s return of sovereignty and
independence to Japan and the legalization of the U.S. force presence in
Japan both occurred after the start of the Korean War.41
    Soviet control over the Korean peninsula would of course help to
prevent the advance of Japanese militarism on the Asian continent, but,
with respect to Stalin’s motivation in backing the North Korean plan, he
certainly did not want to spur the United States to change its retrench-
ment policy. Unless the Soviet Union was determined to turn control over
the Korean peninsula into a springboard for attacking Japan, there was no
real significance to making this decision based on calculations about
Japan. And to attack Japan would, of course, bring on direct military con-
flict with the United States, which was against existing Moscow policy. Put
another way, if Stalin had thought the Soviet decision would lead to U.S.
intervention in Korea, things likely would have turned out completely
differently.
122   Stalin reverses his Korea policy
   Second, Stalin gradually moved toward the judgment that the United
States would not directly intervene should a military crisis develop in
Korea.
   During the summer and fall of 1949, when the Korean peninsula was in
a tense state, and Stalin was concerned about how the United States would
react, he asked Kim Il-sung and his Ambassador in Pyongyang for their
assessments. At that time, the North Korean leadership judged that, in
case of “a civil war in Korea,” the United States would not intervene
directly, but could assist the South from the sea and air, with American
military instructors helping to organize South Korean military resistance.42
   If Stalin had reservations about this North Korean assessment, high-
level statements by U.S. officials in early 1950 made a deep impression on
him. Moscow took note that the January 12 speech by Secretary of State
Dean Acheson had excluded Korea from the U.S. security sphere in the
western Pacific. According to V. P. Tkachenko, a former CPSU Central
Committee Korea expert, Stalin carefully studied the Acheson speech and
this had a major impact on his thinking.43
   When Kim visited Moscow in April 1950, Stalin again raised the issue of
possible U.S. involvement. On this occasion, Kim’s answer was quite firm.
According to his interpreter, Mun Il, Kim adduced four reasons to assure
Stalin that the United States would not join a war on the Korean
peninsula:
1   North Korea would gain a military victory within three days;
2   In South Korea, 200,000 Communist Party members would rise in
    revolt;
3   South Korean partisans would help the People’s Army in their fight;
    and
4   The United States would have no time to prepare.44
Stalin clearly accepted Kim’s assessment. Just after this secret meeting,
Stalin agreed to Kim’s plan to attack South Korea.
   Lt. General Yu Song-chol, who served as Chief of the Operations Direc-
torate of the North Korean forces at the start of the war, worked directly
on the invasion plan. (A North Korean “dissident” long exiled in the
former Soviet Union), in 1990, Yu visited Seoul where he was interviewed
by a South Korean paper. Yu recalled that the Soviet military advisory
group, judging that North Korea’s war plan would not succeed, drafted its
own plan, envisioning military exercises to prepare for a counterattack fol-
lowing an invasion of the North by the South. The Soviet-drafted war plan
included routes of march, combat orders for different units and directions
for different types of forces to coordinate their operations. Under the
plan, North Korea advancing units were divided into two routes, with the
First Front Army commanded by Kim Woong serving as the primary attack
force on Seoul, and the Second Front Army commanded by Mu Chong
                                            Stalin reverses his Korea policy   123
acting as a flanking force, enveloping Seoul from the south. The aim of
the plan was to take Seoul, since, at the time, the consensus was that mili-
tary action would end if Seoul was taken and there was an uprising in the
South, as was then expected.45 In actual fact, after the North Korean Peo-
ple’s Army took Seoul, its military advance stalled for some time.
   As indicated, Moscow assessed that after war broke out on the Korean
peninsula the United States would not directly intervene, or at least would
not do so before it was too late. With this condition of surety, Stalin agreed
to support North Korea’s military action against the South.
   Third, if America intervened, as Stalin saw it, China would have to get
involved and take control of the situation.
   Stalin always managed international affairs with great caution, so he
naturally would have considered how the Soviet Union would react if the
United States unexpectedly intervened. In this eventuality, Stalin expected
China to take responsibility, with the Chinese military directly confronting
the U.S. Based on this calculation, while he gave his “tacit but conditional”
approval to the North’s resort to military action, Stalin stressed that the
North Korean leader had to seek Mao’s views.
   According to M. C. Kapitsa, at Stalin’s last meeting with Kim in April
1950, the Soviet leader again urged Kim to consult Mao, reportedly
warning that, “If you should get kicked in the teeth, I shall not lift a finger.
You have to ask Mao for all the help.”46
   After Kim accepted Stalin’s directive and secretly visited Beijing to seek
Mao’s advice, the North Korean leader ran into Chinese doubts. In
response to Chinese questioning, on May 14, Stalin informed Mao that he
and his Soviet colleagues had taken the position that, “in light of the
changed international situation, they agreed with the Koreans regarding
the plan to move toward reunification.” However, Stalin added that, “the
question should be decided finally by the Chinese and Korean comrades
together, and in case of disagreement by the Chinese comrades the
decision . . . should be postponed pending further discussion.”47 In effect,
by forcing Mao to accept an established fact, Stalin’s basic intent was to
fob off all responsibility on China should the U.S. unexpectedly intervene.
This was Stalin’s method of managing relations with the United States.
   However, from Stalin’s point of view, managing relations with China
was more important and thornier than managing the U.S. factor.
   Faced with a tense situation in Northeast Asia, in relations with China,
Stalin had two mutually related and, it seems, also mutually contradictory
intentions.
   First, Stalin could not and would not allow the Soviet Union to get
bogged down in a possible conflict between China and the United States;
on the other hand, Stalin needed China as an ally and vanguard in the
Soviet Union’s confrontation with the United States in Asia.
   Second, in early 1950, Stalin faced demands from two directions: Kim
needed Soviet agreement and assistance to unify the Korean peninsula,
124   Stalin reverses his Korea policy
and, though Mao did not need Moscow’s approval to launch a campaign
to liberate Taiwan, he also needed Soviet military assistance to assure
success. Put differently, when Stalin was considering the issue of Korean
unification, he also had to confront the issue of the planned Chinese
Communist liberation of Taiwan. Comparing the two, Stalin naturally
thought it more beneficial to the Soviet Union to first resolve the Korean
issue. His reasoning was:
1	In considering possible U.S. interventions, Soviet assistance to Com-
   munist China in a Taiwan campaign would more likely involve the
   Soviet Union in a direct conflict with the U.S., since while the superbly
   confident Kim only asked for Soviet arms, Mao had asked for Soviet
   air and naval assistance to attack across the Taiwan Strait. After the
   People’s Liberation Army’s attack on Jinmen (Quemoy) failed in
   October 1949, Soviet help seemed even more vital. On January 11,
   1950, Liu Shaoqi reported to Mao in Moscow that,
         I have transmitted to you all the operational war material with
         regard to Zhoushan, Taiwan, Jinmen, and Hainan Island. Accord-
         ing to [PLA Commander] Su Yu’s report, if there is neither air
         support nor some measure of needed naval support, cross-sea
         amphibious offensive warfare [against Taiwan] is impossible, and
         recent reports regarding Hainan Island and Jinmen bear this out.48
However, Stalin feared that if the Soviet Union sent its air force into an
action against Taiwan this could lead the United States to intervene to
protect Taiwan, a point he made clearly in his meetings with Liu in
summer 1949 and Mao in winter 1949–50.
2	In considering Soviet bilateral relations with Pyongyang and Beijing,
   actions by North Korea, which depended entirely on Soviet aid and
   support, could be controlled by Moscow.49 Though the Soviet Union
   had an alliance with China, Stalin still neither trusted nor felt at ease
   with Mao.
3	In considering Soviet strategic interests in Asia, unification of the
   Korean peninsula by Kim at this time clearly accorded with Stalin’s
   strategic objectives. But Stalin had no assurance how Mao would
   behave if China strengthened its position as a result of the liberation
   of Taiwan. In that event, China might constitute a future potential
   threat to the Soviet Union.
  As Stalin would see it, based on these factors, he should give his
support to military action on the Korean peninsula, while Mao’s actions
should help serve Soviet strategic objectives. In fact, the outbreak of the
Korean War actually achieved this effect: on the one hand, it stopped
                                          Stalin reverses his Korea policy   125
Mao from launching a military campaign to liberate Taiwan, and, on the
other hand, it brought Chinese force and actions within the orbit of
Soviet strategy.
   Did Mao understand and support Kim’s plan to unify the Korean
nation? Was China’s position on the Korean peninsula issue in contradic-
tion with the Soviet position? Was Stalin clear about Mao’s attitude regard-
ing Korea? These questions, which still require answers based on further
research, are essential for understanding the measures taken by Stalin to
manage Beijing in the context of what was about to occur in Korea. Avail
able material shows that in mid-1949, before the Communist victory in the
Chinese civil war, Mao did not want to see the rise of tension and a slide to
war on China’s border. At that point, Stalin was very clear about the
Chinese Communist leadership’s attitude on the Korean issue.
Communist Chinese–North Korean talks in 1949
As early as May 1949, Mao and other Chinese leaders understood the tense
situation that had arisen on the Korean peninsula and the circumstances
under which the Korean Democratic People’s Republic required assist-
ance. Mao agreed to help, but did not support the initiation of war pre
parations by Kim.
   In late April 1949, at Kim Il-sung’s behest, Kim Il, head of Korean
People’s Army Political Department, paid a secret visit to China. During a
stopover in Shenyang, Kim Il met Gao Gang, as noted, then a leading CCP
figure in Northeast China. In Peiping (later Beijing), Kim Il met four
times with Zhu De and Zhou Enlai, and once with Mao, discussing the
Korean situation, the repatriation of Korean divisions in the People’s Lib-
eration Army, and the possible creation of an Eastern Cominform. There
are two reports in the Russian archives on the Kim Il visit to China, one
from Kim Il-sung to Soviet Foreign Minister Vyshinsky via Ambassador
Shtykov, the other from Mao to Stalin via I. V. Kovalev. There are differ-
ences in these two reports concerning Kim Il’s meeting with Mao.
   According to Kim Il-sung’s report to Vyshinsky, Mao noted that of the
three Korean divisions in the People’s Liberation Army, two were deployed
in Shenyang and Changchun, in China’s Northeast, and the other was still
engaged in combat. China was ready at any time to repatriate to North
Korea the two divisions garrisoned in Northeast China along with their
equipment. However, the other division could only be repatriated after
the end of hostilities in China, and at least one month beyond the end of
hostilities would be needed to arrange the repatriation of these troops.
Kim Il asked if China could supply ammunition for the three divisions,
and Mao replied that China could supply ammunition, and the Koreans
could have as much as they needed.
   Mao and Zhu asked probing questions about the Korean situation. Mao
said there could be military action in Korea at any time, so Kim Il-sung
126   Stalin reverses his Korea policy
should pay attention to the situation and thoroughly prepare. In Korea,
war might be either very fast or protracted. Mao said:
    Protracted war would not be good for you, since Japan then might get
    involved and help the South Korean ‘government’. You shouldn’t
    worry. The Soviet Union is at your side, and we are in the Northeast. If
    the need arises, we can quietly send Chinese troops; we all have black
    hair, no one can tell the difference.
   Mao wanted to know if a recent North Korean delegation to Moscow
had discussed the idea of creating an Eastern Cominform, and what the
Korean Worker’s Party Central Committee thought about the issue. Kim Il
said he knew nothing about the issue. Mao advised that it was too early to
set up an Eastern Cominform, since fighting was still going on in China
and Indochina, and the Korean situation was tense. If an Eastern Comin-
form were formed, this could be viewed as a military alliance.50
   On the issues of establishing an Eastern Cominform and assisting the
North Korean army with troops and arms, Mao’s report to Stalin basically
paralleled Kim Il-sung’s report. But Mao’s report of his discussion of the
Korean situation with Kim Il differed significantly from Kim Il-sung’s
report. According to Mao, he told Kim Il that if war occurred in Korea,
China would do all in its power, especially in providing arms to the repat-
riated Korean divisions discussed above. When Kim Il said that after the
U.S. army’s withdrawal from the South, the South might launch an attack
on North Korea with Japanese help, Mao urged North Korea to counterat-
tack, but to be careful if Japanese troops joined in. In that case, said Mao,
the enemy might be in a superior position.
   Most importantly, according to Mao’s account, he stressed to Kim Il
that,
    If the Americans leave, and the Japanese do not come in, in this situ-
    ation, we urge the Korean comrades not to launch an offensive on the
    South, but rather to wait for a more favorable situation, since, during
    such an offensive, [General] MacArthur can quickly send Japanese
    troops and arms to [South] Korea. And, we cannot quickly and force-
    fully come to your aid, since all of our main force has been deployed
    south of the Yangtze River. . . Should the Japanese invade Korea, we
    can quickly dispatch our crack troops to annihilate the Japanese
    army. . . [But we] can only take these steps after coordination with
    Moscow.51
As is evident from these two reports, Mao was concerned in mid-1949 that
North Korea might come under attack from the South. But, while Kim Il-
sung’s report to Foreign Minister Vyshinsky did not mention Mao’s opposi-
tion to launching a preemptive attack on the South, Mao’s report to Stalin
                                           Stalin reverses his Korea policy   127
clearly indicated that he had urged the North not to initiate such an
attack. As to which of these two reports is more accurate, the formula used
by Kim Il-sung in his September 12, 1949 meeting with Soviet Embassy
Charge Tunkin can serve as a touchstone. According to Tunkin, when Kim
discussed the military situation on the Korean peninsula, he mentioned
that,
    [I]n the spring of this year Mao stated that in his opinion the north-
    erners should not begin military action now, since, in the first place, it
    is politically disadvantageous and, in the second place, the Chinese
    friends are occupied at home and cannot give them serious help. 52
In sum, in the spring of 1949, Mao clearly did not support military action
against the South by North Korea, and held that this possibility should
only be considered after the end of the Chinese civil war and consultations
with the Soviet Union.
China repatriates Korean soldiers in the PLA
But what about Communist China’s repatriation to North Korea in 1949
and 1950 of ethnic Koreans in the People’s Liberation Army? Does this
action indicate that the Chinese Communist Party actually supported an
early North Korean military action against South Korea? Some scholars
have argued that China’s repatriation of Koreans from the People’s Liber-
ation Army is strong evidence of Communist China’s “collusion” in North
Korea’s invasion of South Korea.53 This theory, however, is baseless.
   There is, in fact, a long history behind the repatriation of Korean
troops who served in the Chinese Communist army. During the Anti-
Japanese War (World War II) and the later civil war between the Commu-
nists and the Nationalists, many Koreans entered Northeast China and
joined the Chinese Communist army. When the Anti-Japanese War ended,
Mu Chong, a North Korean military leader, led a regiment of 1,000
Korean soldiers back to North Korea. During the Chinese civil war, other
Korean troops continually returned to Korea.54
   A large-scale repatriation of Korean troops then occurred after Kim Il
met with Chinese Communist leaders in April–May 1949. There have been
various earlier accounts of the number and timing of the repatriation at this
time.55 Based on documents in the archives and recollections of contempo-
raries, a more up-to-date assessment can now be made. After the meeting
between Mao and Kim Il, about 37,000 Korean officers and soldiers com-
prising three divisions returned to Korea, first two divisions in July 1949 and
then the “third” (actually a composite) division in April 1950.
   After Mao met with Kim Il, he instructed Gao Gang to arrange for the
two Korean divisions garrisoned in Shenyang and Changchun to return to
North Korea in July and August 1949. These two divisions, the 164th and
128   Stalin reverses his Korea policy
the 166th, until then part of China’s Northeast Military Region, began to
enter Korea in July 1949. When they arrived in Korea, the 164th com-
prised 10,821 officers and soldiers, and the 166th comprised of 10,320
officers and soldiers.56
   The issue of repatriating the “third division” to Korea was raised in early
January 1950. At that time, Lin Biao informed Mao, then in Moscow, that
there were still more than 16,000 Korean troops in various all-Korean for-
mations in the People’s Liberation Army. Now that the Chinese Commu-
nist army had entered south China, Korean morale was deteriorating, and
some Koreans were asking to be sent home to Korea. With the civil war
now drawing to a close, Lin Biao proposed to repatriate these troops as
one division or as four or five regiments.
   The Chinese government then informed Kim Il-sung that, “owing to the
end of war operations, Korean troops now serving in the Chinese People’s
Liberation Army have less to do, and, if the Korean government wishes,
can be repatriated.” Kim approved, proposing that before repatriation,
most of the Korean troops still in the People’s Liberation Army should be
formed into a “Korean infantry division” comprised of two infantry regi-
ments, with the rest, officers and regular soldiers, filling out a full-strength
motorized regiment and a mechanized brigade. The North Korean leader
sent representatives to China for consultations. Given problems stationing
these troops in Korea, North Korea wanted them repatriated in four
months time. This force finally reached Wonsan on April 18, 1950.57
   There is no evidence that the Chinese leadership repatriated Korean
troops because it agreed to and supported military action to unify Korea.
Perhaps the 1949 repatriation to some degree reflected Mao’s fear that
North Korea might come under attack from South Korea, and thereby
demonstrated “internationalist” sympathy and support for the North
Korean revolutionary regime. More concretely, however, the repatriation
of the Korean divisions – especially the “third” division” in 1950 – was due,
on the one hand, to the desire of the Korean troops to return home, and,
on the other, to the fact that with the Chinese civil war virtually over,
China’s leaders were grappling with cost cutting and demobilization.58 The
explanation made long ago by Professor Allen Whiting remains persua-
sive: “Chinese Communist concern over military expenditures and prepa-
rations for a cutback in its armed forces during 1950 made such a transfer
expedient from Peking’s point of view.”59
   As discussed above, the Soviet leadership surely understood the Chinese
position regarding conflict in Korea in 1949. From reports by both
Pyongyang and Beijing, Stalin knew about the April 1949 exchange
between Mao and Kim Il-sung’s representative, Kim Il. Importantly, more-
over, throughout 1949 Chinese and Soviet leaders held the same view:
they did not support military action against South Korea by North Korea.
   Russian Professor Andrei Ledovsky found (in the Russian Presidential
archives) two telegrams that were exchanged between Mao and Stalin in
                                             Stalin reverses his Korea policy   129
mid-October 1949 on the Korean issue. Mao reportedly told Stalin that the
North Koreans wanted to use military force to resolve the issue of South
Korea, but Chinese leaders had urged them not to do so. Stalin, in reply,
said that he agreed completely with the Chinese view that a war should not
be started in Korea, and military means should not be used to unify Korea.
For the time being, North Korea was not well prepared, and the best way
ahead would be for it to organize guerrilla forces in South Korea.60
   Whether or not Mao and Stalin decided to support military action in
Korea during their winter 1949–50 meetings in Moscow has long been the
subject of great controversy. Now, a large amount of material and the
results of research confirm that in Moscow, in addition to a banquet and a
celebratory event, Stalin and Mao held three official meetings (December
16, 1949; December 24, 1949; and January 22, 1950) and a small meeting
(in late January) in which they discussed Secretary of State Dean Ache-
son’s January 12 National Press Club speech. So far as is known, however,
none of these meetings touched on military action by North Korea against
the South. In the December 24 meeting, though Mao and Stalin may have
discussed the Korean situation, they certainly did not discuss taking mili-
tary action on the Korean peninsula. And, from all we now know, it
appears that in January 1950, when Stalin and Kim Il-sung had just begun
to bruit possible military action in their exchanges through the Soviet
Embassy in Pyongyang, Stalin did not mention a word to Mao about his
decision (then only in principle) to support military action and to invite
Kim Il-sung to Moscow for consultation.
   Some may suspect, of course, that Stalin and Mao held secret meetings
that touched on using military force in Korea. The author has discussed
this issue with Professor Odd Arne Westad, who spent six years in Moscow
exploring Russian archives and interviewing many knowledgeable former
Soviet officials. According to M. C. Kapitsa, Stalin invited Mao to his
private dacha twice for meetings, with no officials present, and with Stalin
inviting only a personal friend in (Soviet) military intelligence to inter-
pret. In the second private meeting, on February 15, 1950, Stalin and Mao
reportedly discussed the Korean issue, but Kapitsa has provided no details.
However, as shown by the events following Stalin’s meeting with Kim in
April 1950, even if there was a secret meeting (or two) with Mao in
Moscow, Stalin likely did not discuss his decision regarding a North
Korean attack with Mao in Moscow.61
   After Kim returned to Pyongyang from his April trip to Moscow, on May
3, Stalin sent a telegram telling Mao that, “The Korean comrades have been
here. I will send you a special report on the results of the discussions with
them in a couple days.”62 In fact, however, Stalin did not then report
directly to Mao. Rather, based on Stalin’s request, Kim confirmed to Ambas-
sador Shtykov on May 12 that he had decided to make a secret trip to
Beijing. His purpose would be to inform China “of their intentions to unify
[Korea] through military means and . . . the results of their discussions . . . in
130   Stalin reverses his Korea policy
Moscow.” Kim also told Stalin that he did not need to ask for Chinese assist-
ance, “since all his requests were satisfied in Moscow and the necessary and
sufficient assistance was given him there.”63
Kim informs Mao of war plans
Kim and his party arrived by air in Beijing on May 13, and met that
evening with Mao and Zhou. No documentary material has been found on
this meeting. However, based on Soviet Ambassador Roshchin’s report to
Moscow, it seems the first Mao–Kim meeting did not go smoothly, and
broke off early. Roshchin reported that Zhou Enlai came to see him at
11:30 p.m. on May 13, asking that he send an immediate message to Stalin
on behalf of Mao. Zhou told Roshchin that,
    In the conversation with Comrade Mao Zedong, the Korean comrade
    informed him about the directives from Comrade Filippov [Stalin]
    that the present situation has changed . . . and that North Korea can
    [now] move toward actions; however, this question should be dis-
    cussed with China and personally with Comrade Mao.
In reporting Zhou’s visit, Ambassador Roshchin noted that, “Comrade
Mao Zedong would like to have personal clarifications from Comrade
Filippov [Stalin] on this question.” He added in closing that, “The Chinese
comrades are requesting an urgent answer.”64
   Clearly not trusting Kim’s explanation of the situation, Mao broke off
his meeting with Kim and asked for Stalin’s clarification overnight. This
event provides circumstantial evidence that Stalin had not raised this issue
(i.e., of supporting Kim’s desire to launch his forces into the South) while
Mao was still in Moscow. Only now, through the medium of Kim’s secret
visit to Beijing, did Stalin, it appears for the first time, inform Mao that his
attitude on the Korean issue had changed.
   On May 14, Foreign Minister Vyshinsky sent a message of reply from
Stalin to Mao:
    In a conversation with the Korean comrades Filippov [Stalin] and his
    friends expressed the opinion that, in light of the changed interna-
    tional situation, they agreed with the proposal of the Koreans to move
    toward reunification. In this regard a qualification was made, that the
    question should be decided finally by the Chinese and Korean com-
    rades together, and in case of disagreement by the Chinese comrades
    the decision . . . should be postponed pending further discussion. The
    Korean comrades can tell you the details of the conversation.65
In this circumstance, it was hard for Mao Zedong to suggest an opposing
view.66
                                           Stalin reverses his Korea policy   131
   To summarize, Stalin clearly understood that:
   First, China was accelerating its preparations to liberate Taiwan. Soviet
experts were training the first group of “fast-track” pilots to graduate from
a Chinese air force school, and China was continually pushing the Soviet
Union to speed up its provision of air and naval arms.67 In April 1950,
Zhou Enlai had sent Deputy Prime Minister Bulganin a list of “urgently
needed” naval vessels, aircraft and coastal artillery, asking that this equip-
ment be sent to China by the summer of 1950, or, at the latest, before
spring 1951.68
   Second, China did not want a military crisis or tension on China’s
northeastern border at this time,69 since the bulk of China’s military forces
were then concentrated in south China, opposite Taiwan. At this time,
there were fewer than 200,000 troops in China’s Northeast, including the
42nd Army, which had been assigned the task of opening virgin land.
Meanwhile, 16 armies had been concentrated on the southeast China
coast opposite Taiwan.70
   In view of these conditions, in reaching his decision on Korea, Stalin
took three related steps to manage the China factor in his Korean
decision.
1   Judging that at a time when China itself was asking for Soviet help in
    the liberation of Taiwan, it would be hard in Moscow to get Mao to
    agree to military action in Korea, Stalin was not in a position to seek
    Mao’s opinion until after he (Stalin) had reached final agreement
    with Kim.
2   In view of Communist China’s position in the Asian revolutionary
    movement, and hoping that China would take on future responsibility
    on the Korean question (if it became necessary), Stalin, after deciding
    the issue with Kim, still had to convey this decision to Mao and seek
    China’s approval.
3   Considering that China was then intensifying preparations to invade
    Taiwan, and that it appeared that China’s involvement was not then
    needed in Korea, since the U.S. would not intervene militarily in
    Korea, Stalin did not in the slightest way reveal details of the war plan
    on the Korean peninsula to Mao.71
The Korean War was the first great international issue faced after the for-
mation of the Sino-Soviet alliance, and also the greatest test of this rela-
tionship. In handling this issue, Stalin showed a (residual) lack of trust in
Mao, revealing, albeit not to the outside world, fissures in the relationship.
   In considering changing policy toward the Korean peninsula, Stalin
had two fundamental concerns about his new alliance with China: first,
that Mao would oppose Moscow’s Korea decision beforehand, and second,
that if the situation in Korea became difficult, Mao would refuse to be
drawn in, and would not follow Soviet direction. Therefore, Stalin, in
132   Stalin reverses his Korea policy
 anaging his relations with China, operated from detailed considerations
m
as described above. In this way, he sought to gain Chinese acceptance of
his policy and assure the achievement of Soviet strategic objectives. If the
war in Korea went smoothly, even though the Soviet Union would soon
lose its special rights in Northeast China, its losses would be offset and its
overall strategic interests in the Far East would still be guaranteed. If, on
the other hand, there were unexpected difficulties in Korea, China, as a
Soviet ally, would take responsibility, and the result would be the same,
achievement of Soviet strategic aims.
   In a nutshell, the starting point in Stalin’s strategy toward war in Korea
was to guarantee Soviet political and economic interests in the Far East,
while avoiding any direct, armed clash with the United States in the
region.72
7      North Korean forces cross the
       38th parallel
On June 25, 1950, the Korean People’s Army of North Korea crossed the
38th parallel and quickly advanced south. Against the expectations of
Mao, Kim or Stalin, within days the United States intervened militarily,
sending air, naval and land forces to and toward Korea, while simultan-
eously deploying the 7th fleet to the Taiwan Strait. Soon thereafter, the
armed forces of more than a dozen nations joined the international
“police action” to defend South Korea under the United Nations flag.
Four months later, as the North Korean army started to collapse and U.S.
forces approached Korea’s northern border, an army of tens of thousands
of Chinese – the so-called Chinese People’s Volunteers – crossed the Yalu
River into North Korea. From that point on, the Korean War involved the
largest number of countries and the largest military forces deployed in war
between World War II and the Vietnam War. “It was not so much a local
war as a localized general war.”1
   In its essence, the Korean War reflected the clash of the world’s two
great camps, with newly allied China and the Soviet Union playing major
roles in the war. China and the Soviet Union had their respective war
goals, strategies and tactics. The cooperation and discord between the two
affected the outcome of the war, greatly testing their alliance.
   Between the start of the war on June 25, 1950 and the entry of Chinese
troops on October 25, 1950, the policies and tactics adopted by China and
the Soviet Union toward the Korean War evolved along diametrically dif-
ferent lines: As North Korea’s war situation changed from good to bad,
Soviet policy moved from close participation in planning and preparation
for the initial military advance to studious avoidance of over-involvement
as the situation spiraled downward, at one point approaching a Soviet
decision to abandon North Korea.
   In contrast, Chinese policy and tactics transitioned from arguably rather
peripheral attention to the conflict as it began to an active defensive strat-
egy as the North began to collapse and China’s own border came under
threat, with China in the end deciding to send troops to help North Korea
under extremely unfavorable conditions.
134   North Korea crosses the 38th parallel
Soviet support for North Korea’s war plan
By spring 1950, Soviet policy began to reflect a strategy of military confronta-
tion with the United States, missing no opportunity to strengthen Soviet
influence and control in Asia. However, the Soviet Union itself was not pre-
pared for open conflict, and thus sought to avoid a direct military clash with
the United States. Chinese policy, by contrast, was based on nurturing the
nascent “New China,” but China did not hesitate to cross swords with the
world’s greatest superpower when it felt driven into a corner. At this point,
China’s leaders mobilized public opinion and troops under the slogan “Resist
America and Assist Korea, Defend our Homes and Protect our Nation.”
   The opening phase of the war went as well as the North Koreans and
their Soviet sponsors and advisers could have wished. A June 26, 1950
report from Soviet Ambassador Shtykov to General M. V. Zakharov,
Deputy Chief of Staff of the Soviet Red Army, described in detail the situ-
ation at the start of the war:
    The planning of the operation at the divisional level and the recon-
    naissance of the area was carried out with the participation of Soviet
    advisers.
        All preparatory measures for the operation were completed by June
    24th.
        . . . The political order of the Minister of Defense was read to the
    troops, which explained that the South Korean army had provoked a
    military attack by violating the 38th parallel and that the government
    of the DPRK had given an order to the Korean People’s Army to go
    over to the counterattack.
        The troops went to their starting positions by 24:00 hours on June
    24th. Military operations began at 4 hours 40 minutes local time. Artil-
    lery preparation was accompanied in the course of 20–40 minutes by
    direct fire and a ten-minute artillery barrage. The infantry rose and
    went on the attack in good spirits. In the first three hours individual
    units and formations advanced three to five kilometers.
        The attack of the troops of the People’s Army took the enemy com-
    pletely by surprise.
        . . . On the very first day the DPRK navy made two landings on the
    coast of the Sea of Japan. The first landing party was in the Kangnung
    area, and consisted of two battalions of naval infantry and around a
    thousand partisans. The second landing was in the Ulchin area, con-
    sisting of 600 partisans.
        . . . On June 26 troops of the People’s Army continued the attack
    and . . . advanced deep into the territory of South Korea. During June
    26 . . . the Ongjin peninsula and the area around Kaesong were com-
    pletely cleared and units of the 6th division made a forced landing . . .
    taking the populated area near Kimpo airport.
                                    North Korea crosses the 38th parallel   135
       Near Seoul, the 1st and 4th divisions have taken the cities of
    Munsan and Tongduchon and the 2nd division has taken the provin-
    cial capital of Chunchon. On the coast of the Sea of Japan the advance
    has continued. The port of Chuminjin has been captured.
       During the course of the day there has been no communication
    with the 12th Infantry Division, moving in the direction of Hongchon,
    or with the 3rd Infantry Division and the mechanized brigade attack-
    ing through Songuri toward Uijongbu.2
U.S. intervention: a surprise
But, in stark contrast to Soviet and North Korean expectations, the United
States immediately decided to enter the war and then steadily increased
the scope of its involvement. In American eyes, the North Korean People’s
Army’s crossing of the 38th parallel was viewed as the opening of a global
advance by the Communist bloc, and even perhaps the start of World War
III. The U.S. government therefore was determined to make a swift and
strong response.3
   The U.S. intervention took Stalin by surprise, and thereafter caused
him great concern throughout the war. On July 1, three days after the U.S.
Congress authorized a full-scale intervention in the Korean War, an agi-
tated Stalin cabled Ambassador Shtykov in Pyongyang:
    1   You do not report anything about what kind of plans the Korean
        command has. Does it intend to push on? Or has it decided to
        stop the advance? In our opinion, the attack must continue and
        the sooner South Korea is liberated the less chance there is for
        intervention.
    2   Communicate also how the Korean leaders regard the attacks on
        North Korean territory by American planes. Are they not fright-
        ened or do they continue to hold firm? Does the Korean govern-
        ment plan to make an open statement of protest against the
        attacks and the armed intervention? In our opinion, this should
        be done.
    3   We have decided to fulfill fully by July 10 the Koreans’ requests
        for the delivery of ammunition and other military equipment.4
Moscow received reports from Ambassador Shtykov on July 2 and 4. He
reported general elation in Pyongyang over the capture of Seoul, but that
the U.S. entry in the war, especially the U.S. bombings, was starting to
affect popular morale and to raise doubts about final victory. Some of the
North Korean leadership thought it would be difficult to fight the United
States and wanted to know what the Soviet Union thought. In addition to
forwarding Kim Il-sung’s request for the expedited delivery of more arms,
Shtykov asked Stalin for permission to allow two Soviet military advisers to
136   North Korea crosses the 38th parallel
accompany each North Korean army group, and for a group of Soviet
officers, including Lt. General Vasiliev, the chief Soviet military adviser to
the North Korean army, to be permanently stationed at the Korean
People’s Army frontline command in Seoul.5
   On July 6, Stalin approved Kim’s request for more arms6 but responded
laconically to his ambassador’s request to attach Soviet military advisers to
the North Korean front armies, noting simply that, “Concerning the loca-
tion of the chief military adviser Vasiliev, we consider it more useful for
him to be in Pyongyang.”7
   Though Stalin clearly wanted Pyongyang to achieve rapid victory, and
toward that end pledged ample military equipment and arms, he did not
want the outside world to know about the level of Soviet support for Kim.
Meanwhile, Moscow stalled and, as it had earlier promised Mao, did not
allow the Soviet representative to return to the UN Security Council.
Soviet advisers and “Kim’s affair”
At the start of the Korean War, there were more than 3,000 Soviet advisers
attached to the Korean People’s Army, one Soviet military adviser for every
forty-five Korean officers and soldiers. Soviet military advisers were
responsible for training North Korean troops and coordinating command
of the war. Even the Korean People’s Army war plan was formulated with
participation of the Soviet advisers.8 When the Korean People’s Army had
moved south of the 38th parallel, however, Stalin ordered the withdrawal
of all Soviet advisers attached to the North Korean army’s frontline units.
When Khrushchev asked Stalin why he did this, Stalin reportedly
“snapped” that there was a danger Soviet advisers might be taken prisoner,
and “We don’t want there to be evidence for accusing us of taking part in
this business. It’s Kim Il-sung’s affair.”9
   This was the Moscow backdrop against which Ambassador Shtykov
asked Stalin to allow Soviet military advisers to accompany frontline North
Korean forces south of the 38th parallel. Receiving no (favorable) reply
from Moscow, he conveyed to Stalin an imploring personal letter from
Kim Il-sung:
    Being confident of your desire to help the Korean people rid them-
    selves of the American imperialists, I am obliged to appeal to you with
    a request to allow the use of 25–35 Soviet military advisers in the front-
    line staff of the Korean Army and the staff of the 2nd Army Group,
    since [Korean] military cadres have not yet sufficiently mastered the
    art of commanding modern troops.10
Stalin could no longer avoid a decision, but he was extremely unhappy
with his ambassador’s handling of this issue. In reply, Stalin’s criticized
Shtykov for “incorrectly . . . promising the Koreans to send advisers without
                                      North Korea crosses the 38th parallel   137
asking us.” He sharply reminded Shtykov that, “You should remember that
you represent the USSR, not [North] Korea.” However, since Kim had
made a direct request and the situation was dire, Stalin caved, but still with
considerable reluctance. Soviet military advisers, he cautioned Shtykov,
should be sent to frontline headquarters and army group staffs in the
guise of Pravda reporters, not as military personnel. Stalin warned that
Shtykov was “personally responsible to the Soviet government for seeing
that [they] are not taken prisoner.”11 Stalin’s caution was clearly written all
over this exchange.
   At the same time, faced with the American military intervention in
Korea, Stalin began to explore how to use his new ally, China, to get out of
this difficult situation. On July 2, Soviet Ambassador Roshchin reported to
Moscow on a conversation he had held with Zhou Enlai. Zhou complained
that the North Koreans had ignored China’s warning and had underesti-
mated the possibility of a U.S. military intervention. (In what turned out
to be a prescient warning,) Zhou told Roshchin of Mao’s recommendation
to the North Koreans: Since American forces might land at Inchon, they
should set up a strong defense line behind Inchon. Zhou assured Rosh-
chin that three Chinese armies comprised of 120,000 soldiers were
deployed in the Shenyang area, and confirmed that if U.S. forces crossed
the 38th parallel, the Chinese military would join in resistance disguised as
North Koreans. He asked if the Soviet Air Force could provide cover for
these Chinese forces.12
   This exchange represented Stalin’s effort to have Roshchin test China’s
attitude on a possible intervention. However, as will be discussed below,
the Chinese leadership as a whole had still not considered the question of
dispatching troops to Korea, and had not even officially decided to mass
three armies in Northeast China. Zhou’s formulation, to a certain degree,
represented an attempt to manage as well as to test Stalin.
   Stalin reacted conscientiously, on July 5 sending Ambassador Roshchin
a message for Zhou: “We consider it correct to concentrate nine Chinese
divisions on the Chinese–Korean border for volunteer actions in North
Korea in case the enemy crosses the 38th parallel.” Stalin added that, “We
will do our best to provide air cover for these units.”13
   To urge China to pay closer attention to Korea, on July 8, Stalin again
instructed Roshchin:
    Communicate to Mao Zedong that the Koreans are complaining that
    there is no representative of China in Korea. A representative should
    be sent soon, so it will be possible to communicate and resolve ques-
    tions more quickly, if, of course, Mao Zedong considers it necessary to
    have communications with [North] Korea.14
After mid-August, the Korean War entered a period of stalemate. At this
point Stalin showed both greater anxiety and greater caution. Besides
138   North Korea crosses the 38th parallel
offering military guidance and equipment to the North Koreans, he began
to provide greater moral support. On August 28, he instructed Ambas
sador Shtykov to
    Verbally transmit the following to Kim Il-sung. If he demands it in
    written form – give it to him in written form, but without my
    signature.
       The [CPSU] Central Committee salutes Comrade Kim Il-sung and
    his friends for the great liberation struggle . . . which Comrade Kim Il-
    sung is leading with brilliant success. . . .
       Comrade Kim Il-sung should not be embarrassed by the fact that he
    does not have solid successes in the war against the interventionists,
    that the successes are sometimes interrupted by delays in the advance
    or even by some local setbacks. In such a war continuous successes do
    not occur. The Russians also did not have continuous successes during
    the civil war and even more so during the war with Germany . . .
    Comrade Kim Il-sung should not forget that Korea is not alone now,
    that it has allies, who are rendering and will render it aid. The posi-
    tion of the Russians during the Anglo-French–American intervention
    of 1919 was several times worse than the position of the Korean com-
    rades at the present time.
       Advise Comrade Kim Il-sung not to scatter the air force, but to con-
    centrate it on the front. It is necessary that each attack by the People’s
    Army on any portion of the front begin with a number of decisive
    blows by attack planes on the troops of the enemy, that the fighter
    planes defend the troops of the People’s Army from the blows of the
    enemy planes as much as possible. If it is necessary, we can throw in
    additional assault aircraft and fighter aircraft for the Korean air
    force.15
In sum, prior to the U.S. landing at Inchon, Soviet Union policy toward
the Korean War was constructive, but cautious. Stalin supported the North
Korean military offensive, but with the stipulation that the Soviet Union
would not openly or directly engage in the conflict. This was especially the
case after the U.S. entered the war. At this point, Stalin began to consider
bringing China into the war.
China’s early reaction to the war
In contrast to Soviet actions leading up to and during the early phase of
the war, the Chinese leadership was surprised by the sudden outbreak of
the Korean War. With no access to the war preparations taking place
between North Korea and its Soviet advisers, Chinese leaders lacked suffi-
cient mental and military preparation,16 and were therefore slow to adjust
their own domestic agenda in reaction to the outbreak of the war.
                                      North Korea crosses the 38th parallel   139
   On June 30, the same day the U.S. decided to enter the Korean War,
China promulgated a land reform law and kicked off a nationwide mass
land reform movement. Also on June 30, the CCP Central Committee
Demobilization Commission, in accord with an existing plan, promulgated
“The Decision of the Military Commission and the Government Adminis-
trative Council on Demobilization Work in 1950.” Mao Zedong and Zhou
Enlai signed this decision, which launched China’s largest military post-
civil war demobilization. Although some questioned whether demobiliza-
tion should be stopped and war preparations should be made owing to the
outbreak of the Korean War, Zhou directed that, “the General Staff and
the Foreign Ministry will closely follow the Korean War [but will] continue
to carry out demobilization work according to plan.”17
   Even China’s military plan to liberate Taiwan was not completely aban-
doned after the U.S. 7th Fleet entered the Taiwan Strait. In a meeting with
Chinese Navy Commander Xiao Jingguang on June 30, Zhou noted that
changed circumstances had heightened difficulties with respect to Taiwan
planning, since the United States was now blocking Taiwan. But, said
Zhou, while China would censure American interference with respect to
Taiwan, “The army’s plan will be to continue to demobilize, while step-
ping up naval and air force preparations and pushing back the date for
the liberation of Taiwan.”18 It seems that in the days right after the out-
break of the Korean War, Chinese leaders were not yet fully focused on
the war and its possible ramifications.
   Yet the Chinese government paid enough attention to show some
measure of support for North Korea. When the Korean War broke out,
China’s Ambassador to Pyongyang, Ni Zhiliang, was recuperating in
Wuhan. Consequently, on June 30, Zhou Enlai ordered Chai Junwu (also
known as Chai Chengwen), who had been posted to East Berlin, to
proceed instead to Pyongyang. There, as Charge and Political Counselor,
he was to maintain liaison with the North Koreans. Zhou told Chai before
he left a week later that,
    American land forces have now joined the Korean War and the U.S.
    imperialists will surely get more countries to send forces. It will, there-
    fore, be very hard to avoid a lengthy war in Korea. . . . We need to show
    our support for the Korean comrades; if there is some way we can
    help, have them make a request, and we will do all we can. The main
    tasks of the embassy now are to maintain liaison between the two
    parties and armies, and understand changes on the battlefield.19
In early July, to strengthen the officer corps of the North Korean army,
China agreed to send 200 ethnic Korean officers from the PLA’s North-
east China Military District to North Korea. In the same period, China also
agreed to Moscow’s request to ship military materiel bound for North
Korea over the Changchun Railway and through its air space. China also
140   North Korea crosses the 38th parallel
agreed to an expedited procedure to route rail traffic from the Sino-Soviet
border to Andong (Dandong) across the Yalu River from North Korea.20
   In the second week in July, about ten days after the U.S. entered the
Korean War, the Chinese leadership (as a whole) finally focused on
the battlefield situation in Korea, deciding (as Zhou had foreshadowed
to the Soviet Ambassador days earlier) on a large military deployment to
Northeast China as a precaution in the face of the U.S. intervention. At
Mao’s suggestion, Zhou convened the Central Military Commission on
July 7 and 10 to discuss defensive preparations in the Northeast. The Com-
mission issued a “Decision Regarding Protection of the Northeastern
Border,” and ordered the deployment prior to August 5 of 255,000 troops
(comprised of four armies, three artillery divisions and three air corps) to
form the Northeast Border Defense Army.21 By mid-July, the 38th, 39th,
40th and 42nd armies, under 13th Army Corps Commander Deng Hua,
had organized the defense in the Northeast. Until this point, Northeast
China had hosted the smallest military presence of all China’s strategic
regions, with only 1/27th of all troops deployed throughout China.22
   The standing up of the Northeast Border Defense Army and its assigned
task – to strengthen Chinese defensive force in the region – shows that
Northeast China had now become a more important Chinese military
concern. Importantly, when Zhou Enlai discussed the question of sending
Chinese troops to assist Korea during his early July meeting with Soviet
Ambassador Roshchin, he had stipulated that this could happen only if
American forces crossed the 38th parallel. At that time, with the Korean
People’s Army still advancing south, and with no prospect of the U.S. mili-
tary crossing the 38th parallel, the question of possibly deploying Chinese
forces still seemed remote.
Increasing the “China factor”
Chinese leadership concerns, however, soon deepened in response to the
changing situation in Korea. When the Chinese Communist Party Polit-
buro met on August 4, the North Korean advance had ground to a halt
and United Nations forces had stabilized a perimeter around Pusan. At
the August 4 Politburo meeting, Mao argued that,
    If the American imperialists are victorious, they will become dizzy with
    success, and then be in a position to threaten us. We have to help
    [North] Korea; we have to assist them. This can be in the form a volun-
    teer force, and be at a time of our choosing, but we must start to prepare.
Zhou added that:
    If the American imperialists crush North Korea, they will be swollen
    with arrogance, and peace will be threatened. If we want to assure
                                    North Korea crosses the 38th parallel   141
    victory, we must increase the China factor; this may produce a change
    in the international situation. We must take a long-range view.23
On August 5, Mao sent a telegram to Northeast Military District Com-
mander Gao Gang with the following instruction:
    All units of the Border Defense Army have now massed. They likely
    will have no combat mission in August, but need to prepare for
    possible combat in early September. . . . All units should complete
    preparations . . . and await an order to deploy into battle.
On August 18, he told Gao that,
    The time for the Border Defense Army to complete training and other
    preparatory work can be extended until the end of September. Please
    tighten oversight work, so that all preparations are completed before
    the end of September.
As conditions on the Korean front continued to worsen daily between late
August and early September, China made major changes in its strategic
dispositions, and Mao considered adding another eight armies to the four
that had already been deployed in the Northeast.24
   On August 25, at the 47th Session of the State Administrative Council,
Zhou Enlai commented that “the likelihood the Korean War will be pro-
longed has increased . . . the Korean people will have to fight a long war.
We have to support them. . . .” He relayed Mao’s directives to create a
three-year military development plan; increase air, artillery and armored
troop training; and prepare for war in the spring of 1951.
   On August 26, at the Second National Military Conference, Zhou
declared that help to North Korea was important for the (anti-imperialist)
struggle, and China should be prepared for a long, drawn-out fight:
    This time we are facing the American imperialists . . . not merely the
    Syngman Rhee puppet army. . . . This requires us to strengthen our
    preparatory work. We need to be fully prepared, and cannot ‘make
    last minute changes under the duress of battle,’ but must be ready to
    achieve victory.
On August 27, Mao instructed local officials to consider the relationship
between the political situation and the three-year military development
plan, and to be prepared to discuss the issue at the Fourth Plenum of the
Seventh Congress of the CCP and the National Political Consultative Con-
ference meeting planned for that November or December.25
   All this activity indicates that Chinese leaders were becoming increas-
ingly concerned over the deteriorating situation in Korea, and were more
142   North Korea crosses the 38th parallel
engaged with the issue with each passing day. However, as illustrated by
moves toward a “three year military development plan” and talk of avoid-
ing “[making] last minute changes under the duress of battle,” dispatch-
ing actual forces was still not on the agenda. At the time, Chinese leaders
were considering the situation mainly from the perspective of how to
prepare for all contingencies, rather than acting on a strategic plan.
Stalin reacts to the U.S. Inchon landing
On September 15, after U.S. (and South Korean) forces landed at Inchon,
the Korean situation changed rapidly, bringing Soviet and Chinese coun-
termeasures and attitudes into sharper focus.
   Stalin’s first reaction to the turnabout in the Korean situation was to
express irritation and misgivings. On September 18, he instructed Soviet
military adviser General Vasiliev and Ambassador Shtykov to tell Kim Il-
sung to redeploy four divisions of the Korean People’s Army from the
Naktong River frontline (near Pusan) to the vicinity of Seoul. On the same
day, Stalin ordered Soviet Defense Minister Marshal A. M. Vasilevsky to
urgently formulate a plan for the Soviet air defense of Pyongyang. This
was to include the deployment of several Soviet fighter squadrons with
radar and air defense battalions from the Soviet maritime region, includ-
ing Vladivostok, to airfields around Pyongyang. Stalin then urgently dis-
patched a special mission led by Soviet Army Deputy Chief of Staff General
M. V. Zhakharov (under the alias Matveev) with orders to halt the North
Korean advance on the defensive perimeter around Pusan, withdraw all
North Korean forces from the frontline along the Naktong River, and
redeploy these forces to the eastern and northeastern fronts to guard
Seoul. Stalin also repeatedly urged Vasilevsky to do all he could to provide
air protection to the Korean People’s Army and to establish an anti-air
system around Pyongyang and its environs.26
   The urgent measures set in motion by Stalin, had they been imple-
mented, would have inserted the Soviet Air Force into the war, sharply
departing from Stalin’s earlier consistent avoidance of a direct military
clash with the United States. In these desperate straits, maybe Stalin really
was thinking in new terms, since these new Korean developments directly
affected Soviet strategic interests in Northeast Asia. But, after weighing the
pros and cons, Stalin abandoned this plan.
   On September 23, responding to Stalin’s instructions, Vasilevsky
reported that the Soviet Air Force was preparing to deploy 40 fighter air-
craft from the Soviet Maritime region to airfields near Pyongyang, arriving
on October 1 and 2, to be operational on October 3. Vasilevsky warned,
however, that since air combat commands would have to be given by radio
in Russian, the U.S. military would realize after the first air engagement
that Soviet pilots were in action in the air over Pyongyang.27 Vasilevsky’s
warning apparently had its effect. As the military situation worsened and
                                    North Korea crosses the 38th parallel   143
the Americans crossed the 38th parallel, when North Korea urgently
needed Moscow’s direct military assistance, Stalin deployed neither his
land nor air forces to protect Pyongyang. Rather, he tossed the hot potato
to Mao.
   By September 26, the situation was extremely serious. Matveyev
(General Zakharov) reported from Pyongyang that,
    With their unhindered air dominance, which has caused aircraft-fright
    in the ranks of the People’s Army and in the rear areas, U.S. troops
    have managed to move from Suwon eastward and southeastward for
    25 to 30 kilometers and some of their troops have taken Sangju and
    Anto to the north and northeast of Taegu. . . . [T]ank units of the
    enemy’s Seoul group continue to advance toward Chongju, threaten-
    ing to encircle the KPA’s First Front Army. . . . [KPA troops,] having
    lost almost all their tanks and much artillery, are engaged in difficult
    battles to hold their positions. . . . [KPA] command and control is poor
    [and its communications work] intermittently. . . .28
Now, a restless and anxious Stalin sharply criticized both the North Korean
Army and its Soviet advisers. In a September 27 cable, he first excoriated
“the series of grave mistakes” in command and control, and tactics made by
the North Korean Army. Then he turned on the Soviet advisers, citing them
as “even more to blame for these mistakes.” He criticized their failure to
implement the timely withdrawal of four divisions from the central front
(near Pusan) to the area near Seoul, “erroneous and absolutely inadmissi-
ble” tank tactics, and “incompetence in intelligence matters.”
   Stalin stressed the failure of Ambassador Shtykov and the Soviet military
advisers in Korea “to grasp the strategic importance of the enemy’s assault
landing in Inchon.” Shtykov, noted Stalin, “even suggested that we bring
to trial the author of an article in Pravda about the U.S. assault landing.”
“This blindness” caused them to question the need to redeploy forces
from the south to the Seoul area, asserted Stalin, delaying the movement
of troops and thereby “losing a week to the enemy’s enjoyment.” Stalin
believed that had “they pulled out these divisions on time, this could have
changed the military situation around Seoul considerably.”29
   Stalin may have conveniently forgotten that Chinese leaders had sug-
gested in early July that he remind the North Koreans of the danger that
the U.S. military could land at Inchon or elsewhere behind the lines of the
Korean People’s Army. Kim Il-sung, anxious to wrap up victory, had
ignored China’s warning.30 In fact, before the U.S. landing at Inchon,
Stalin had also disregarded this possibility.
   In an October 1 telegram, Stalin complained that Ambassador Shtykov
had not provided his assessment and recommendations to the North
Koreans, “fostering the rocky mood of the North Korean leadership.”
Stalin further complained that,
144   North Korea crosses the 38th parallel
    [Matveev] still has not sent Moscow his own thorough evaluation of
    the military situation in Korea, not to mention the fact that he has
    failed to offer any proposals or advice relevant to the situation, thus
    making it difficult for us to make decisions concerning Korea.
This failure, complained Stalin, meant that the North Korean leadership
“to this day has no plan of defense . . . at and to the north of the 38th par-
allel, and has no plan for withdrawing its troops from South Korea.”31
   Stalin may have also forgotten that it was his own orders that severely
limited the activities of the Soviet military advisers in Korea. Soviet advisers
were under orders not to cross the 38th parallel under any circumstances,
sharply constraining their understanding of the battlefield situation and
their ability to exercise influence.
   After U.S. forces landed at Inchon on September 15, Stalin almost
immediately considered asking China to send troops. According to Shi
Zhe, within two days after the Inchon landing, Stalin cabled Mao, inquir-
ing whether China’s military deployments in the Northeast made it pos-
sible for it to send troops to Korea.32
China’s response as the North Koreans fall back
In fact, the worsening situation in Korea put China under pressure similar
to that faced by the Soviet Union; by this point, Mao was already thinking
about sending troops to come to North Korea’s aid. Given the desperate
situation, Chinese leaders began to prepare for war.
   On September 20, Zhou Enlai cabled Ambassador Ni Zhiliang in
Pyongyang with instructions to share the following with Kim Il-sung:
    1    Your thoughts about a lengthy war are correct.
    2    [The key task now is] to preserve your main force. . . . If the enemy
         takes Seoul, there is danger that the People’s Army’s route of
         retreat will be cut off.
    3    The main force of the People’s Army should concentrate a mobile
         reserve to identify the enemy’s weak points, then carve them up
         and annihilate them.
    4    . . . [D]ivide and pin down large numbers of the enemy [troops],
         using the overwhelming superiority of large troop numbers (three
         to five times) and fire power (more than two times) to surround
         small numbers of enemy troops that [have been] cut off (for
         instance, a regiment).
    5    Under the principle of protracted warfare . . . think long-term and
         forestall the tendency of the lower ranks to risk everything on a
         single engagement. The enemy wants a quick resolution and fears
         a drawn-out fight, but, for the Korean people, a quick resolution
         is impossible; victory can come only through protracted war.
                                     North Korea crosses the 38th parallel   145
Kim cabled back his agreement with this Chinese advice.33
  On the evening of October 1, Zhou sent Ambassador Ni another
message for Kim:
    With eight divisions [of the Korean People’s Army] already cut off,
    please consider whether or not it is possible to divide these eight divi-
    sions into two forces: with four divisions destroying their heavy
    weapons, breaking into a number of small detachments, and with-
    drawing north of the 38th parallel through gaps in the enemy’s lines;
    and with [the remaining] four divisions in South Korea dividing into a
    number of small detachments, engaging in guerilla warfare behind
    enemy lines with the help of the people, and tying up a large force of
    the enemy, so that they cannot advance north. . . . Your military forces
    must quickly withdraw north, the sooner, the better.
The next day, in another cable to Ni, Zhou emphasized that, beyond the
gist of his last telegram, Ni should tell Kim that,
    [T]o the maximum extent possible, he should divide up and withdraw
    to the north by various routes the military forces that have been sur-
    rounded by the enemy, while those military forces that cannot be with-
    drawn engage in guerilla warfare where they are. . . . [I]n this way,
    there is hope, and victory is possible.34
The issue of sending its own troops to Korea was now a pressing matter
before the Chinese leadership. On September 17, two days after the
Inchon landing, the Central Military Commission decided to dispatch
immediately to Korea a five-man advance group (accompanied by Chinese
Embassy officer Chai Chengwen) to get a handle on the situation, recon-
noiter the terrain and prepare the battlefield. When the group passed
through Shenyang, Chai passed a letter to Gao Gang from Mao, telling
Gao that, “It looks like it will be impossible not to send troops, so you
should do all you can to prepare.”35
A last-minute (unheard) message to the Americans
On September 25, Acting Chief of the General Staff, General Nie
Rongzhen, told Indian Ambassador Pannikar that, “China cannot stand
idly by if the Americans cross the 38th parallel.” Even if war inflicts great
harm on China, said Nie, it “has to make whatever sacrifice is necessary to
stop an aggressive American advance.”36
   In a September 30 speech (published October 1), Zhou reiterated a
warning aimed at the U.S. government: “The Chinese people certainly
cannot tolerate foreign aggression, and also cannot sit idly by while the
imperialists wantonly aggress against their neighbor.” The last half of this
146   North Korea crosses the 38th parallel
sentence was added to the draft37 with the intent of focusing U.S. attention
on the possibility that China would enter the war. But, at this time, with
General MacArthur determined to cross the 38th parallel, and the White
House and the Pentagon dizzy with success, Washington simply did not
hear China’s warning.
Kim asks for direct assistance
At this point, Kim Il-sung was forced to ask the Soviet Union and China
for direct military help. On September 28, the Korean Workers’ Party
Politburo discussed and approved a letter to Stalin asking the Soviets to
deploy their air force to help Korea. The Politburo also approved sending
a letter to Mao that “hinted about aid.”
   On September 29, Kim summoned Soviet Ambassador Shtykov, explain-
ing the situation facing his frontline troops: “[B]ecause of [our forces’]
poor discipline and failure to follow orders, the enemy has managed to
cut off the First Army Group and is moving to cut off the Second Army
Group.” Kim said that he had lost contact with Choe Yong-gon in Seoul,
and was worried the enemy would cross the 38th parallel. Noting that the
North Koreans had thought they could unify Korea on their own, Kim
admitted that now, “[S]hould the enemy cross the 38th parallel, [we]
simply cannot organize new forces, and cannot effectively resist the
enemy.”
   Shtykov reported to Moscow that,
    The military situation lately has worsened dramatically. The enemy
    has managed to cut off the entire First Army Group’s six divisions and
    two brigades [and] the Second Army Group’s seven divisions. Seoul
    has fallen. There are no reserve forces ready to provide any serious
    resistance to the enemy advancing to the 38th parallel. . . . The polit-
    ical situation is also getting more and more complicated. The enemy
    has stepped up the insertion of paratroops into North Korean terri-
    tory to gather intelligence on deliveries shipped from the Soviet
    Union and to organize subversive activities. Counter-revolutionary
    forces are cropping up in North Korea.
Kim, reported the Soviet ambassador, had wanted to ask his advice about
the letter to be sent to Stalin, but he had “dodged” the question.38
   In their September 29 letter to Stalin, Kim and North Korean Foreign
Minister Pak Hon-yong reported on their severe military losses in the wake
of the Inchon landing, and, anticipating the imminent fall of Seoul,
pleaded for Soviet military assistance or, failing that, Soviet pressure on
China to provide assistance.
   In some detail, Kim and Pak outlined the “perilous” military situation,
acknowledging street fighting in Seoul. Ominously, they reported that the
                                     North Korea crosses the 38th parallel   147
U.S. Air Force “totally dominate[s] the air space and perform[s] air raids
at the front and in the rear day and night.” Under this air cover, “On all
fronts . . . the enemy engage[s] us in combat at its free will and inflict[s]
great losses to our manpower and destroy[s] our armaments,” cutting off
communications and logistical supply and isolating North Korean forces
in the South.
   After pledging to fight to “the last drop of blood,” they pleaded that,
    at the moment when the enemy troops cross over the 38th parallel we
    will badly need direct military assistance from the Soviet Union. . . . If
    for any reason this is impossible, please help us by forming interna-
    tional volunteer forces in China and other people’s democracies to
    assist in our struggle.39
    The North Korean letter, received as “a very urgent” cable at 23:30 on
the evening of September 30 in the Soviet Armed Forces General Staff,
was decoded at 00:35 on October 1, typed up at 01:45, and sent to Stalin’s
dacha in the south at 02:50.40 Stalin’s response to Kim Il-sung’s request for
military assistance was reflected in messages he sent to Shtykov and
Matveev in Pyongyang and to Mao in Beijing.
    In his message to Shtykov and Matveev (Zakharov), Stalin instructed
that the North Koreans “must immediately mobilize all forces to prevent
the enemy from crossing the 38th parallel [but must also be prepared] to
fight the enemy north of the 38th parallel.” He appended several concrete
recommendations. Above all, however, he repeatedly stressed that North
Korea had the capacity to do all this on its own. Stalin warned his advisers
and North Korean leaders not to “underestimate the forces and capabil-
ities of the Korean Republic [the DPRK] in organizing defenses.”
    Responding to Kim’s plea for direct Soviet military assistance, Stalin
without any hesitation pushed this off to China, telling Kim that,
“[C]oncerning the question of providing [Soviet] military assistance . . . we
consider formation of volunteer units to be a more acceptable form of assist-
ance. We must first consult with our Chinese comrades on this issue.”41
    Stalin raised the issue of China sending troops to help Korea in an
October 1 message to Mao and Zhou. The Soviet leader’s tone was respect-
ful, but left no room for discussion: “I am far away from Moscow on vaca-
tion and somewhat detached from events in Korea. However, judging by
the information that I have received from Moscow today, I see that the
situation of our Korean friends is getting desperate.”
    After recounting the Korean situation in broad strokes, Stalin recom-
mended that,
    [I]f in the current situation you consider it possible to send troops to
    assist the Koreans, then you should move at least five–six divisions
    toward the 38th parallel at once so as to give our Korean comrades an
148   North Korea crosses the 38th parallel
    opportunity to organize combat reserves north of the 38th parallel
    under the cover of your troops. The Chinese divisions could be con-
    sidered as volunteers, with Chinese in command at the head, of
    course.
Stalin obviously did not want Mao to know that North Korea had made the
same request of the Soviet Union and had been turned down. Therefore,
as a final point, he added that, “I have not informed and am not going to
inform our Korean friends about this idea, but I have no doubt in my
mind that they will be glad when they learn of it.”42
   At this critical juncture, with North Korean troops reeling in the wake
of the Inchon landing, the responsibility for assisting North Korea landed
on Mao’s shoulders.
8      China decides
       “Whatever the sacrifice necessary”
Only months into the new Sino-Soviet alliance, whether or not China
would send its troops to assist Korea became the most important issue
between Stalin and Mao. This decision was the first great test of that alli-
ance and, from the record, it is clear many subtle considerations came
into play between the two leaders.
    As we saw, in forming their new alliance relationship, both leaders tried
first to figure out their opposite number’s psychology, then probed their
intentions, and only then took cautious steps. Stalin took this approach on
issues involving China. And, as will be explained below, Mao also took this
approach in considering issues in relations with the Soviet Union. Deeply
rooted historical factors engendered mutual suspicions between Mao and
Stalin; both were prone to misunderstandings.
    How did Mao react to Stalin’s proposal that China deploy its force to
Korea to assist North Korea? What did he think? There has been a lot of
international academic debate on this issue, all based on the discovery of
two separate, apparently contradictory October 2, 1950 messages from
Mao to Stalin on the issue of sending Chinese troops to Korea. The differ-
ences have excited great interest and attention among scholars of Sino-
Soviet relations and Korean War historians.
    When the first volume of Mao Zedong Documents after the Establishment of
the State was published by China in 1987, it contained (what was then por-
trayed as) an October 2 message from Mao to Stalin spelling out China’s
decision to send a volunteer force into the Korean conflict, and specifying
the number of troops to be sent, the deployment date and the initial battle
plan.
    For many years, scholars relied widely on this document in their
research. It was generally believed that on October 2, 1950, China had
conveyed to Moscow its agreement to send troops to Korea. At an aca-
demic symposium on the Cold War held in Washington in 1995, however,
a Russian scholar reported that another, quite different October 2, 1950
message from Mao to Stalin had been found in the Russian Presidential
Archives. In this message, sent in an October 3 telegram from Soviet
Ambassador Roshchin to Moscow, Mao rebuffed Stalin’s request, and
150   China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”
e numerated several reasons why China could not in the short term send
 troops to fight in the Korean War.
    At a January 1996 international scholarly symposium on the “Cold War
 in Asia,” the issue of these two conflicting messages and what they indicate
 was again a hot topic of conversation. Based on the message found in the
 Russian archives, Russian scholars held that Mao’s reply to Stalin, in sharp
 contrast to the version earlier published by China, showed “doubt and lack
 of confidence” on the part of the Chinese leader and “an unexpected twist
 in the Chinese position.” Russian scholars, in fact, questioned the validity
 or authenticity of the other October 2 message published by China.
    Comparing the two messages, similarly dated but with different content,
 Russian scholars argued that the document in the Russian archives could
 not possibly be “an elaborately concocted forgery,” while the document
 published by China “was unreliable [and] perhaps was inaccurate, unsent,
 or wrongly dated.” They also suggested that it was possible that “Chinese
 authorities altered or distorted the Chinese document’s content to fit an
 historical narrative they regarded as more ideologically or politically
 correct.”
    Furthermore, some scholars believed that the discovery of the message
 in the Russian archives “raised the question of whether the Mao Zedong
 October 2 through 14 telegraphed messages that had appeared in offi-
 cially sanctioned Chinese document collections and later in scholarly
 works were reliable or even authentic.” On this basis, they warned that
 people “should handle with extreme caution Chinese documents concern-
 ing Mao Zedong’s decision to join the Korean War.”1
    These mutually contradictory documents, which had uniquely been
 published and publicized separately by Beijing and Moscow, stand in stark
 contrast with each other and demand to be somehow reconciled.2 The
 reason for focusing on these divergent October 2 messages is that the
 outcome of this discussion is important to understanding the timing,
 content and process behind China’s decision to send troops to Korea.
    The content of the October 3, 1950 telegram sent from the Soviet
 Embassy in Beijing as well as other telegrams in the Russian archives from
 this period are similar in logic and diction. Based on textual analysis,
 therefore, the Russian-published October 2 message does not appear to be
 a forgery. As for the October 2 message published by China in its collec-
 tion of Mao Zedong manuscripts, the author understands from discussions
 with Chinese authorities that the original is actually a draft telegram in
 Mao’s hand. While a portion of this manuscript has been redacted, the
 excised part is principally a list of military items China was seeking from
 the Soviet Union. The redactions reportedly do not track with the October
 2 Mao message to Stalin published by Russia.
    Nevertheless, according to Chinese authorities, the published portion
 of the Chinese version (except for redactions) is the same as the original
 version in the archive. Thus, the document published by China is also
                          China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”   151
authentic, at least in the sense that it reflects a draft in Mao’s hand. This
document helps clarify what Mao and the Chinese leadership as a whole
thought about deploying troops and how they (ultimately) made their
decision at this time of greatest tension in the Korean War. Therefore, to
understand the issue, it is necessary to scrutinize and analyze the content
of these documents.
Mao’s October 2 message published by China
The October 2 telegram as published by China is from Mao to Stalin and
states:
    1   We have decided to send a portion of our army in the guise of a
        Volunteer Force to Korea to fight the military forces of the United
        States and its running dog, Syngman Rhee, and to assist [our]
        Korean comrades. We believe it is necessary to do this. If all of
        Korea is occupied by the Americans, Korean revolutionary forces
        will be basically defeated, and the American aggressors will run
        even more rampant, bringing great harm throughout the East.
    2   We think that since we have decided to dispatch Chinese military
        forces to Korea to battle the Americans, first, in order to be able
        to solve the issue, we have to prepare to annihilate and drive from
        Korea the aggressor armies of the United States and other coun-
        tries; second, since Chinese forces will fight with the Americans in
        Korea (though we will be doing this in the guise of a Volunteer
        Force), we have to prepare for the United States to declare that it
        is in a state of war with China, and to prepare for the possibility
        that the United States, at the very least, may use its air force to
        bomb many Chinese large cities and industrial areas, and its navy
        to attack coastal areas.
    3   . . . It would be most unfavorable if the Chinese forces in Korea
        were unable to annihilate en masse the American army, the two
        armies became stalemated, and the United States, having already
        openly entered into a state of war with China, then destroys the
        economic reconstruction plan that China has launched, and stirs
        up dissatisfaction against us on the part of the [Chinese] national
        bourgeoisie and some other elements of the people. (They are
        very afraid of war.)
    4   In the present situation, we have decided to start to [re]deploy on
        October 15th the twelve divisions that we have already deployed
        in southern Manchuria to an appropriate place in North Korea
        (not necessarily to the 38th parallel). On the one hand, it would
        engage any enemy [forces] that dare to advance north of the 38th
        parallel, in the first period, only fighting defensively, annihilating
        small enemy groups, and clarifying conditions. On the other
152   China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”
         hand, it would await the arrival of Soviet military materiel, and the
         arming of our forces, and then, in coordination with Korean com-
         rades, counter-attack and annihilate the American aggressor
         forces.
    5    . . . The enemy has air superiority, and, of the air forces we have
         started to train, by February 1951, we will be able to employ only
         300 or so aircraft in battle. . . .3
Mao’s October 2 message from the Russian archives
The telegram available to scholars by Russia (after dissolution of the Soviet
Union and the opening of Soviet-era archives) is an October 3 telegram
from Ambassador Roshchin that transmits an October 2 message from
Mao to Stalin together with Roshchin’s analysis. The content and tone of
Mao’s message here is quite different from the October 2 message or
“draft telegram” released by China in 1987 as a purportedly sent telegram.
    I received your telegram of 1 October 1950. We originally planned to
    move several volunteer divisions to North Korea to assist the Korean
    comrades when the enemy advanced north of the 38th parallel.
       However, having thought this over thoroughly, we now consider
    that such actions may entail extremely serious consequences.
       First, it would be very difficult to resolve the Korean question with a
    few divisions (our forces are extremely poorly equipped, there is no
    confidence in the success of military operations against American
    troops), and the enemy can force us to retreat.
       Second, it is most likely that this will provoke an open conflict
    between China and the United States, as a consequence of which the
    Soviet Union can also be dragged into war, and the question would
    thus become extremely large.
       Many comrades in the Chinese Communist Party Central Commit-
    tee judge that caution is necessary.
       Or course, not to send troops to provide assistance is very bad for
    the Korean comrades, who are now in such difficulty, and we feel this
    keenly; but if we advance several divisions and the enemy forces us to
    retreat; and this moreover provokes an open conflict between the
    United States and China, then our entire plan for peaceful construc-
    tion will be completely ruined, and many people in [China] will be
    dissatisfied (the wounds inflicted on the people by war have not yet
    been healed, we need peace).
       Therefore, it is better to act with restraint now, not dispatch forces,
    [and] actively prepare our forces to be in a better position to fight the
    enemy at the time of war with the enemy.
       Korea, while temporarily suffering defeat, will change the form of
    struggle to partisan war.
                          China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”   153
       We will convene a Central Committee meeting, with the main com-
    rades of various bureaus of the Central Committee in attendance. A
    final decision has not been taken on this question. This is our prelimi-
    nary telegram. We want to consult with you. If you agree, we are ready
    immediately to send Comrades Zhou Enlai and Lin Biao by plane to
    your sanatorium to report on the Chinese and Korean situations and
    discuss this issue.
       We await your reply. Mao Zedong
The personal views appended by Ambassador Roshchin probably had a
great impact on Stalin’s thinking and decision.
    1 In our view, Mao Zedong’s answer is indicative of a change in the
      original position of the Chinese leadership on the Korean ques-
      tion. It contradicts the earlier appraisal, which was repeatedly
      expressed in Mao Zedong’s conversations of with Yudin, Konov,
      and Kotov [and] Liu Shaoqi with me, which were reported at the
      time. In these conversation, it was noted by them that the people
      and the PLA [People’s Liberation Army] are ready to help the
      Korean people, the fighting spirit of the PLA is high, and it is
      able, if necessary, to defeat the American troops, regarding them
      as weaker than the Japanese.
    2 The Chinese government undoubtedly could send to Korea not
      only five–six battle-ready divisions but even more. It goes without
      saying that Chinese troops need to be equipped with antitank and
      artillery weapons.
    	  The reasons for the changes in the position of the Chinese are
      not yet clear to me. It is possible to suppose that it has been influ-
      enced by the international situation, the worsening situation in
      Korea [and] the intrigues of the Anglo-American bloc working
      through [Indian Prime Minister] Nehru, who has urged the
      Chinese toward patience and abstention [from intervening] in
      order to avoid catastrophe. Roshchin.4
It is fairly easy to understand why this telegram – declassified and released
by Russian archivists – is not in the Chinese archives. This telegram was
not sent directly from Mao to Stalin, but rather was a reply from Mao to
Stalin conveyed by way of the Soviet Ambassador in Beijing. Quite possibly,
Mao’s reply was made orally in a meeting with Ambassador Roshchin, and
then sent to Moscow with Mao’s approval after drafting and editing by the
Soviet ambassador. This would explain why no copy of this document
exists in the Chinese archives.
    If that is the case, however, then why is the “telegram” published by
China not in the Russian archives? As far as can be determined, the docu-
ment published by China is simply a draft that was not sent at the time.
154   China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”
According to a Chinese official with access, the original copy in the
Chinese archives has no time stamp or record of the sender. By contrast,
an October 2 telegram sent by Mao to Gao Gang and Deng Hua features a
time of transmission and a record that it was signed out for release by Yang
Shangkun. This only shows, of course, that there is no basis or evidence
that this document was ever actually transmitted. Two related questions
are why Mao did not send a message that he had clearly drafted, and why
he discussed another message on the same subject which was then sent by
Soviet Ambassador Roshchin.
   The principal reason Mao’s personal (draft) telegram was not sent is
that differences of opinion had arisen within the Chinese leadership, even
though Mao himself had long thought about this issue and, on several
occasions, had aired his views on sending troops to Korea with other
Chinese leaders. Mao’s mind appears to have been firmly set after the
American landing at Inchon. But based on presently available material,
the Chinese leadership before October 1 had not formally discussed the
issue of sending troops to Korea and had not yet reached consensus about
sending troops to Korea.
   Based on what is known, on October 1, after receiving Stalin’s message
asking that China dispatch troops to Korea, Mao convened an all-night
urgent session of the Central Committee Secretariat to discuss the Korean
situation and how to deal with it. Attending the meeting were Mao, Zhu
De, Zhou Enlai and Liu Shaoqi (Ren Bishi did not attend due to illness).
There were differences over whether or not to send troops, but, with
Zhou’s support, Mao’s proposal to send troops prevailed. The meeting
then decided to call an expanded meeting of the Central Committee Sec-
retariat the next day, to invite senior military leaders in Beijing to attend
and to discuss the issue again. After the meeting, Mao sent an urgent tele-
gram to Gao Gang to come to Beijing and ordered the Northeast Border
Defense Army to prepare for orders to deploy.5
   Also after the October 1 meeting, Mao drafted a telegram to Stalin,
though this draft telegram, while later published in China as if it had been
sent, was, in fact, not sent owing to questions that arose at the October 2
expanded Central Committee Secretariat meeting. According to (unpub-
lished) material still only available in China, and the reminiscences of
people involved in the October 2 expanded Central Committee Secretar-
iat meeting, Mao argued at the October 2 meeting that it was extremely
urgent to send troops to Korea. The meeting decided to put Peng Dehuai
in command of Chinese troops (after Lin Biao, Mao’s first choice,
declined), and to hold further discussions at an expanded Politburo
meeting on October 4. Mao then instructed Zhou to send a plane to Xi’an
to bring Peng Dehuai to Beijing to attend the October 4 Politburo
meeting.6
   The author has not seen detailed material on these discussions, but
based on the results of the meeting and an analysis of the tone of what
                          China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”   155
Mao told Ambassador Roshchin, Central Committee Secretariat members
in attendance were cautious about sending troops to Korea.7
   Although the Korean situation was critical, Mao likely felt constrained
by internal Chinese leadership disagreement to tell Stalin that China at
that point could not dispatch troops in the short term. Clearly, when Mao
told Roshchin that, “Many Chinese Communist Party Central Committee
comrades believe it is necessary to be cautious about this,” he was indicat-
ing internal differences on the issue of sending troops. The discussion
between Mao and Roshchin naturally reflected the discussion at the
October 2 meeting, but what actually occurred during the process of draft-
ing the two divergent October 2 Mao messages (one unsent and one sent)
awaits the further release of documents from the Chinese archives.
   Was Mao’s signal that the time was not yet right to send Chinese troops
to Korea, as understood by Ambassador Roshchin and Stalin, and later by
Russian scholars, an indication of Chinese “indecision” over sending
troops to assist Korea and a “change in [China’s] initial position on the
Korean issue”? We need to analyze these two messages together with Mao’s
statements and actions before and after the date of these two conflicting
“messages.”
   Based on the recollection of participants in the October 4 expanded
Politburo meeting, the decision to send Chinese troops into war in Korea
was extraordinarily difficult. Many of those present, citing existing hard-
ships, did not support sending troops, or argued in favor of putting off a
decision. The prevailing sentiment at the meeting was, “Unless there is no
alternative, this is a battle best not fought.”8
   At the same time, by all accounts, Mao conveyed the sense that the
decision to send troops to Korea was forced on him. He understood the
enormous hardships that China would face after entering the Korean War.
On this point, he agreed with the thoughts of other party leaders who
were against sending troops to Korea or argued in favor of putting off a
decision.
   After more than 20 years of war with Japan, followed by a brutal civil
war, China’s economy was exhausted. Inflation was skyrocketing, unem-
ployment rising, enterprises underutilized, agriculture in a perilous state
and modern transportation facilities largely destroyed. Industrial output
was running only at 30 percent of prewar highs; light manufacturing and
agricultural output were less than 70 percent of prewar levels.9 In 1950,
the rate of industrial machinery utilization was only about 45 percent.
With production in decline, unemployment was rising. On top of all this,
China had been hit with widespread flooding in 1949, leaving millions
dependent on public welfare.
   In Shanghai, China’s industrial center, unemployment was especially
acute owing to the Nationalist blockade and bombing. An April 14, 1950
Central Committee directive on unemployment relief revealed that, in the
most recent quarter, about 120,000 Shanghai workers had been newly laid
156   China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”
off. Life for unemployed workers was very hard, leading to a string of sui-
cides. U.S. and Nationalist agents were reportedly fanning discontent
among urban workers. Mismanagement of the crisis, the April 14 directive
concluded, could lead to great difficulties in the CCP’s urban work, “even
shaking the basis of people’s state power in the cities.”10
   Under these conditions, it was difficult to conceive of China sending
troops against the world’s greatest power, the United States. In this
context, a careful comparison of the October 2 messages published by
China and Russia is in order.
Two messages compared
In the October 2 message published by Russia, Mao laid out the reasons
for not sending troops at that time, including that Chinese military equip-
ment was inferior, that open conflict with the U.S. would lead to an escala-
tion of the issue, and that the disruption of China’s economy would foster
domestic discontent. These factors were also all indirectly or obliquely
referred to in the (draft) message published as a telegram by China.
   The difference was in the way the divergent documents posed these
questions. When in the first message (published by China) Mao talked
about how the war might unfold (“the two armies become stalemated”) or
about the basis for the initial war strategy (“only fighting defensively”), he
was revealing his concerns about a difficult situation.
   In the second message (declassified by Russia), Mao also indicated that,
“many comrades in the Chinese Communist Party Central Committee”
shared great concern about going to war in Korea. However, this does not
indicate that Mao had changed his own decision to send troops to Korea,
and also does not show indecisiveness on the issue (though many other
Chinese leaders waffled at the time).
   A rigorous side-by-side comparison and analysis of the two messages
shows that in the message published by Moscow, Mao had not changed his
objectives. He had merely changed his tactics for getting to them. He did
not directly and immediately respond to Stalin’s request, but rather
approached the issue in a roundabout way. Mao still personally advocated
sending troops, so he took pains to remind Stalin that, “We have not made
a final decision on this issue,” that he had called a Central Committee
meeting to discuss the question and that he wanted to send Zhou Enlai to
the Soviet Union to confer on the issue.
   There is, moreover, no basic contradiction between Mao’s statement
that, for the time being, he would not dispatch troops to Korea and the
Chinese leadership’s former agreement (in principle) to send troops.
Perhaps Russian scholars have not noticed, but on the occasions when
Chinese leaders talked about China sending troops, they always specified a
precondition for making this move, i.e., that the enemy had crossed the
38th parallel. When Mao and other Chinese leaders discussed this issue,
                          China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”   157
they always referred to this precondition. For instance, and importantly, in
(Prime Minister and Foreign Minister) Zhou Enlai’s October 3 1 a.m.
meeting with Indian Ambassador Panikkar, Zhou stressed that if American
troops (he did not include South Korean troops in his warning) crossed
the 38th parallel, China “would get involved.”11 At the time of the Zhou–
Panikkar meeting this precondition had not been met, at least according
to intelligence then in the hands of the Chinese leadership. 12
   Stalin’s October 1 telegram asking China to send troops to Korea was
set in the context of helping Korea to establish a defensive line to protect
the area north of the 38th parallel, but he did not clearly analyze the ser-
iousness of the situation. Therefore, when Mao conveyed his opinion that
the time was not yet ripe to deploy troops, he had a basis for doing so.
Mao thought that delaying a decision, while still preparing to intervene,
would allow China to confront the enemy with greater confidence once
the decision was made to fight.
   Mao was not then in a position to give Stalin a positive answer because
he needed time to build consensus within the Chinese Communist Party
leadership. While Mao had given very careful consideration to the issue
and had made his own decision in favor of assisting North Korea militarily,
China, in fact, faced many difficulties, and it was reasonable for Mao’s
peers to object to sending troops on hardship grounds. With most of the
Chinese leadership either opposed to sending troops or advocating
putting off a decision,13 it was clearly impossible at this stage for Mao to
provide a guarantee to the Soviet Union. Therefore, Mao called a number
of high-level meetings, working hard to bring his peers on board a
decision to send troops to Korea.
   At this key juncture, Peng Dehuai played a crucial role in forging
Chinese leadership consensus. On the afternoon of October 4, after he
was summoned to Beijing to attend an ongoing expanded Politburo
meeting, about which he had no advance knowledge, he found “the atmo-
sphere of the meeting . . . quite unusual,” with large differences of opinion.
He did not express an opinion at this time. On the morning of October 5,
at Mao’s request, Deng Xiaoping brought Peng to Mao’s office in the
Zhongnanhai central leadership compound. After determining that Peng
favored Chinese intervention, Mao asked Peng to command the Chinese
People’s Volunteers. Later, at the Politburo meeting on October 5, Peng
turned the situation around through his impassioned statement in favor of
sending troops.14
   Once the decision was made, China took immediate action. After the
Politburo meeting ended on October 5, Mao asked Zhou Enlai, Gao Gang
and Peng Dehuai to dinner to continue discussing the deployment of
Chinese troops to Korea. Mao emphasized that Chinese forces needed to
enter Korea as quickly as possible; he feared any delay could bring serious
consequences. Mao asked Gao and Peng to convey the party center’s
decision to commanders above the division level as soon as they arrived
158   China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”
back in Shenyang, and to prepare to deploy Chinese forces to Korea on
October 15. On October 6, Zhou chaired an enlarged meeting of the
Central Military Commission to decide logistical issues and personnel
assignments in preparation for the deployment to Korea.15
   While the Chinese leadership was finally on board, however, Mao was
not in a hurry to give Stalin a clear answer. At this point, Stalin was not as
sober and steady as Mao. After he received Mao’s cautious (October 2)
message through Ambassador Roshchin on October 3, Stalin decided to
evacuate Soviet personnel from North Korea.
Soviets prepare to withdraw
A few days earlier, on September 30, Deputy Foreign Minister Andrei
Gromyko reported to Stalin that Ambassador Shtykov in Pyongyang had
asked for authority to send some Soviet experts and non-essential person-
nel back home pending consultations with the North Korean government
and other Soviet government organizations. The Soviet Foreign Ministry
agreed in principle, but told Shtykov that, “You should not display any
initiative in raising the issue of the evacuation of Soviet specialists before
the Koreans do.” He was, however, authorized to repatriate personnel of
Soviet organizations after consultations via the Foreign Ministry with their
home ministries and agencies.16
   On October 5, the Soviet Foreign Ministry informed Ambassador
Shtykov that the CPSU Politburo (also on October 5) had authorized him
to evacuate Soviet experts after consultation with the North Korean gov-
ernment, as well as to approach other Soviet organizations concerning
their personnel in North Korea. This time no conditions were attached.17
Also on October 5, Shtykov sent another telegram recommending the
evacuation from North Korea of Soviet specialists and personnel, families
of Soviet citizens of Korean nationality (i.e., ethnicity), staff of the Soviet
air commandant’s office and, in extremis, all Soviet citizens. In reply,
Moscow authorized Shtykov to use his discretion regarding “the evacua-
tion of families of Soviet citizens of Korean nationality . . . the Soviet per-
sonnel of the air commandant’s office and families of Soviet military
advisers [and] in case of emergency, all Soviet citizens . . . to the territory
of the USSR and China.”18
   This exchange makes it appear that Stalin was very worried, and had
lost hope in the Korean situation. The onus of turning the situation
around was left now to China. Though Stalin was resigned to evacuating
Soviet personnel and citizens from North Korea, he turned again to
China, twice asking Mao to send troops immediately. Stalin’s tone was
increasingly determined and his arguments more insistent.
                           China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”   159
Stalin to Kim: it’s all up to Mao
In an October 8 message to Kim Il-sung, Stalin conveyed for the North
Korea leader’s enlightenment two messages he had sent to Mao pleading
for the dispatch of Chinese troops to Korea. Stalin’s intention clearly was
to place all responsibility for North Korea’s fate on Chinese shoulders.
Ambassador Shtykov was instructed to read the message and allow Kim to
copy it, but not to leave it, “because of its extreme confidentiality.”
    Comrade Kim Il-sung!
    My reply has been delayed because of my consultations with the
    Chinese comrades, which took several days. On 1 October, I sent a
    letter to Mao Zedong, inquiring whether he could dispatch to Korea
    immediately at least five or six divisions under the cover of which our
    Korean comrades could form reserve troops. Mao Zedong refused,
    saying that he did not want to draw the USSR into the war, that
    China’s army was ill-equipped technically, and that the war would
    cause great dissatisfaction in China. I replied to him with the follow-
    ing letter:
       ‘I considered it possible to turn to you with the question of five–six
    Chinese volunteer divisions because I was well aware of a number of state-
    ments by leading Chinese comrades regarding their readiness to move
    several armies in support of the Korean comrades if the enemy were to
    cross the 38th parallel. I explained the readiness of the Chinese com-
    rades to send troops to Korea by the fact that China was interested in pre-
    venting the danger of the transformation of Korea into a USA
    springboard or a bridgehead for a future militaristic Japan against China.
    While raising before you the question of dispatching troops to Korea,
    I considered five–six divisions a minimum, not a maximum, and I was
    proceeding from the following considerations of an international
    character:
    1   The USA, as the Korean events showed, is not ready now for a big
        war;
    2   Japan, whose militaristic potential has not yet been restored, is not
        capable of rendering military assistance to the Americans;
    3   The USA will be compelled to yield on the Korean question to
        China, behind which stands its ally, the USSR, and [the U.S.] will
        have to agree to such terms of the settlement of the Korean ques-
        tion that would be favorable to [North] Korea and that would not
        give the enemies a possibility of transforming Korea into their
        springboard;
    4   For the same reasons, the USA will not only have to abandon
        Taiwan, but also to reject the idea of a separate peace with the
        Japanese reactionaries, as well as to abandon their (sic) plans for
160   China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”
         revitalizing Japanese imperialism and converting Japan into their
         springboard in the Far East.
    In this regard, I proceeded from the assumption that China could not
    extract these concessions if it were to adopt a passive wait-and-see
    policy, and that, without serious struggle and an imposing display of
    force, not only would China fail to obtain all these concessions but it
    would not be able to get back even Taiwan which at present the
    United States clings to as its springboard not for Chiang Kai-shek, who
    has no chance to succeed, but for themselves or for a militaristic Japan
    of tomorrow.
       Of course, I took into account also that the USA, despite its unread-
    iness for a big war, could still be drawn into a big war out of [con-
    sideration of] prestige, which, in turn, would drag China into the war,
    and along with this draw into the war the USSR, which is bound with
    China by the Mutual Assistance Pact. Should we fear this? In my
    opinion, we should not, because together we will be stronger than the
    USA and England, while the other European capitalist states (with the
    exception of Germany which is unable to provide any assistance to the
    United States now) do not present serious military forces. If a war is
    inevitable, then let it be now, and not in a few years when Japanese
    militarism will be restored as an ally of the USA and when the USA
    and Japan will have a ready-made bridgehead in a form of the entire
    Korea run by Syngman Rhee.
       Such were the considerations and prospects of an international
    nature that I proceeded from when I was requesting a minimum of
    five–six divisions from you.’
       In response to this, on October 7, I received a letter from Mao, in
    which he expresses solidarity with the fundamental positions discussed
    in my letter and declares that he will dispatch to Korea nine, not six, divi-
    sions. But he will not send them now, but after some time. He also
    requested that I receive his representatives and discuss some details of
    the mission with them. Of course, I agreed to receive his representatives
    and to discuss with them a detailed plan of military assistance to Korea.19
Stalin’s strong advice to Mao was clearly intended to pressure China into
making a quick decision. Actually, at the time, not only had Mao already
made a decision, he had also conveyed China’s decision to Kim. On
October 8, Mao issued an order organizing the Chinese Volunteers force,
appointing Peng Dehuai as commander and political commissar of the
13th Army Group (comprised of four armies) and the Border Artillery
Command (comprised of three artillery divisions), and instructing Peng to
await a further order to go into action. Gao Gang was placed in command
of logistical arrangements. On October 8, Mao also advised Kim by tele-
gram of this decision.20
                          China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”   161
   Based on Kim Il-sung’s letter to Stalin, sent by Ambassador Shtykov to
Moscow on October 9, and from the similar tenor of Gromyko’s October
10 meeting in Moscow with North Korean Ambassador Chu Yong-ha, Kim
was well aware of China’s preparations to send troops to Korea. The North
Koreans were no longer urgently requesting (all-out Soviet) assistance,
rather they were now merely requesting Soviet training for their pilots,
radio operators and other technical personnel.21
   As revealed in an only recently released document from Russian
archives, on October 8, the same day he informed Kim, Mao also told
Moscow of his decision to send troops to Korea, including details of
China’s concrete arrangements:
    It was with pleasure that I received your reply telegram. The Central
    Committee of our party is in full agreement with your opinion. I have
    appointed Peng Dehuai as commander and political commissar of the
    Chinese People’s Volunteers Army.
       Comrade Gao Gang will take charge of guaranteeing logistics for
    the Volunteers Army. They flew this morning (October 8) from
    Beijing to Mukden (Shenyang).
       On or about October 15, the army will start to move into Korean
    territory.
       I have already conveyed the decision concerning the dispatch of
    the Chinese People’s Volunteers Army to Comrade Kim Il-sung.
       Comrade Zhou Enlai and Comrade Lin Biao boarded an airplane
    at eight this morning to fly to where you are. Please keep their mission
    secret.22
Zhou’s mission to the USSR
The purpose of the secret mission of Zhou Enlai and Lin Biao was to
determine how Stalin would carry out his commitment to provide military
equipment and air support to the Chinese Army. This was one of China’s
main conditions for sending troops to Korea to fight with the United
States.
   Both of the purported October 2 messages from Mao make clear that
Mao’s decision to deploy troops to Korea was premised on a sure and
quick victory. Only this outcome would resolve China’s concerns and
difficulties. And, as an ally, the Soviet Union was obligated, in the view of
Chinese leaders, to provide massive military assistance to China, especially
air support.23
   China’s top military leaders, in particular, were insisting on Soviet air
support. As early as August 31, Generals Deng Hua, Hong Xuezhi and Xie
Fang, all commanders in the Chinese People’s Volunteers, had recom-
mended to PLA Commander-in-Chief Zhu De that to achieve the plan for
a “quick war and a quick decision,” the first step was “to do everything
162   China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”
 ossible to organize massive air force involvement in the war.” They con-
p
tinued hopefully that,
    If the Soviet Army is able to give us more air [support] and greater
    technical assistance, the implementation of our plan will have a better
    material guarantee [of success]. If our air force requirements are not
    ready, then we will be forced to delay the timing of deployment.24
Testing time for the new alliance
With no clear agreement from the Soviet Union on the key issue of air
support, Mao delayed giving a direct answer to Stalin’s request. He only
conveyed China’s decision after Zhou was in the Soviet Union, in fact,
after Zhou’s initial meeting with Stalin. If, for Stalin, China’s decision on
whether or not to send troops to Korea constituted a test of the Sino-Soviet
alliance, for Mao, whether or not the Soviet Union would guarantee
needed military assistance was an even greater test of the Sino-Soviet alli-
ance relationship.
    Accounts and opinions vary widely about what happened in the meeting
between Zhou Enlai and Stalin at the Soviet leader’s Black Sea villa, at
least in part, because, even to this day, no documents or records about this
meeting have been made public. Therefore, we can only speculate on what
happened based on the recollections of those present or at least involved.
When recollections differ and primary material is lacking, we cannot
determine historical facts, but merely make deductive judgments based on
collateral material and logic. Therefore, we can delineate, albeit specula-
tively, only the main objectives and results of Zhou’s talks in the Soviet
Union.
    First of all, there are totally divergent explanations25 regarding the very
reasons for Zhou’s trip, not to speak of disagreement over the dates of the
Black Sea meeting.
    One stream of opinion is based on the memoirs of Shi Zhe, the Chinese
interpreter for the talks. Shi believes that the CCP Politburo had not yet
reached consensus before Zhou left Beijing and that Zhou arrived in the
Soviet Union carrying a brief against sending troops. From Shi’s vantage,
Zhou only discussed the issue of Soviet military assistance with Stalin after
receiving a telegram from Mao stating that a majority in the Chinese
leadership favored sending troops.26
    Another stream of opinion, based on the recollection of Kang Yimin,
also a member of Zhou’s party (albeit one who did not attend Zhou’s talks
with Stalin), holds that the objective of Zhou’s trip, in fact, was to tell
Stalin that China had decided to send troops, to discuss the reequipping
of the Chinese People’s Volunteers with Soviet arms and to arrange for
the Soviet Union to deploy its air assets in coordination with Chinese
ground forces.27
                          China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”   163
   Russian scholars, based on the memoir of Soviet interpreter N. T.
Fedorenko, believe that “Zhou Enlai and Lin Biao went to see Stalin with a
strong belief that China could not and should not intervene in Korea.”28
   The basis for Shi’s view is that at the outset of his meeting with Stalin,
Zhou laid out all the reasons for China not to send troops to Korea. On
this point, the Shi and Fedorenko memoirs agree. The basis for Kang’s
view is the final result of Zhou’s Soviet visit, specifically that there was
agreement in the end that China would send troops to Korea while the
Soviet Union would provide military assistance to China. Fedorenko’s view
is based principally on his firm belief that Zhou’s original intention was to
advocate forcefully that China not send troops to Korea.
   Zhou addressed this issue head-on on two later occasions. He told a
CCP Central Committee meeting in 1960 and then Kim Il-sung in 1971
that he had carried two options to Stalin, to send or not to send Chinese
forces, but that in offering this choice, China’s intention was to secure
Soviet air support for China’s entry into the Korean War.29
   Actually, before Zhou left China, the Chinese leadership had already
arranged to send troops. The October 6 Military Commission meeting
over which Zhou had presided did not discuss the question of whether or
not to dispatch Chinese troops, but rather how to deploy and supply them.
Zhou, therefore, knew before he left for the Soviet Union that China had
decided to deploy troops to Korea.
   When Zhou met with Stalin, however, he indeed first laid out the
reasons why it would be difficult for China to deploy troops to Korea. And,
as will be seen below, the initial outcome of the Black Sea meeting was
that China would not send troops. It can thus be deduced that Zhou
indeed carried two views to the Soviet Union, for and against sending
troops, but that the crux of the question was whether or not the Soviet
Union would employ its air force in coordination with China’s Volunteers
when they entered Korea. It is thus easy to see why Zhou first laid out all
the reasons why China should not send troops, though it had already
decided to send troops. This was a negotiating tactic, aimed at securing
more Soviet weaponry and a guarantee that Soviet air assets would cover
China’s Volunteers.
   One Russian scholar believes that Zhou was one of “the chief oppon-
ents within the CCP Central Committee Politburo of China’s entry into
the war,” and that Zhou “viewed his visit to Stalin as the last opportunity to
prevent China from entering the Korean War and to shift the burden of
saving Kim’s regime onto Stalin’s broad shoulders.” This interpretation is
baseless.30
   Though there had been differing views among Chinese leaders over
sending troops to Korea, they reached consensus to do so at the October 5
Politburo meeting. As described above, Zhou had always supported this
policy, and, after the Politburo reached consensus, he vigorously imple-
mented the decision. While chairing the October 6 Military Commission
164   China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”
meeting that reviewed preparations for sending in troops to Korea, Zhou
sought to convince the doubters:
    We don’t want to fight, but the enemy has forced this on us. He will
    soon be at the Yalu River. We can’t look on idly at impending danger.
    This is both helping Korea and defending ourselves. If one falls, the
    other will be in immediate danger.31
Still, compared with Mao’s idealism, Zhou, in his capacity as both Prime
Minister and Foreign Minister, was more of a pragmatist. If Mao put rel-
atively greater emphasis on China’s resolution and heroic spirit in
sending troops, Zhou put greater emphasis on the practical hardships
and the necessary conditions for deploying troops to Korea. In this way,
in his discussion with Stalin, Zhou first stressed the hardships China
faced in sending troops, and when Stalin said that in the immediate
future the Soviet Union was not ready to deploy sufficient air assets in
support of the war, Zhou then proposed that China also delay sending
in its troops.
   There are, however, differing versions of the outcome of the meeting
between Zhou and Stalin.
   According to Kang Yimin’s memoir,
    Stalin agreed initially to equip ten Chinese divisions, and also to
    deploy his air force to Northeast China to defend the areas around
    Andong [Dandong], and China’s large coastal cities. Consequently,
    during their talks, China and the Soviet Union reached total agree-
    ment on resisting America and aiding Korea. . . .
Some scholarly works have adopted this view.32
   Based on Fedorenko’s memoir, the Russian-American scholar Alex
andre Mansourov maintains that the talks between Stalin and Zhou went
on for two days, with no agreement. At this point, Zhou said he needed to
get new instructions from Beijing. Mansourov stoutly maintains that in the
talks, Stalin agreed without hesitation to the Chinese request for air cover,
and “never reneged on his promise to Mao to provide the CPV [Chinese
People’s Volunteers] with Soviet air cover.”33
   Most evidence indicates, however, that the Stalin–Zhou talks initially
agreed that, for the time being, the Soviet Union would not deploy its air
force, that neither the Soviets nor China would immediately deploy their
forces, and that they would both propose that North Korea withdraw as
soon as possible.
   In Shi Zhe’s memoir, he recounts Stalin’s proposal that, “China can
send a certain amount of its military force,” with the Soviet Union “provid-
ing weapons,” and “a certain portion of its air force to provide cover,” but
“this will be limited to the rear and along the forward positions, and
                          China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”   165
cannot penetrate to the enemy’s rear.” Later, as recounted by Shi, as a
result of their first meeting, Stalin and Zhou agreed to postpone any
decision on sending troops to Korea and to tell the North Koreans “to
prepare as soon as possible to retreat.”34
   According to Nikita Khrushchev, after the talks ended and Stalin
returned to Moscow, the Soviet leader said that Zhou had come on instruc-
tions from Mao to ask Stalin whether Chinese forces should be sent in to
stop the American and South Korean advance in the wake of the collapse
of the North Korean army. At first, Stalin and Zhou thought that it would
be fruitless for China to intervene. On the eve of Zhou’s return to China,
however, they decided that China should vigorously assist North Korea,
and Chinese troops then began massing on the border with North
Korea.35
   Based on research by Chinese scholars Li Haiwen and Zhang Xi,
Stalin and Zhou sent a joint telegram (on October 11 at 7 p.m.) to the
CCP Central Committee reporting the result of their first meeting. They
noted that the Soviet Air Force had not yet made any preparations, and
there was no way for it to mobilize on short notice. Therefore, they had
decided that, for the time being, neither China nor the Soviet Union
would deploy forces, and they wanted Kim Il-sung to withdraw north of
the Yalu River. The principal basis for the recommendation by Stalin
and Zhou was that the Soviet Air Force “needs two to two-and-a-half
months before it can deploy to assist the [Chinese] Volunteers to fight
in Korea.”36
   Mao and Zhou later referred to this issue. Mao said that, “We only wanted
assistance from their air force, but they wouldn’t do it.” Zhou also said:
    In sending in [Chinese] troops what we wanted was for their air force
    to assist us. . . . We asked, ‘Can you help with your air force?’ [Stalin]
    vacillated, saying that if China had difficulty, then it was better not to
    send troops, that if North Korea was lost, we would still be socialist,
    and China would still exist. . . . We just wanted the Soviet Union to
    send some of their air force, and then we could go in, but without the
    air force, we would be in trouble. Stalin said he could not send [his]
    air force.37
   Thus it is clear that the initial result of the Black Sea meeting between
Stalin and Zhou Enlai was that China would delay deploying troops to
fight in Korea, and, at the same time, both China and the Soviet Union
would propose that Kim withdraw his main forces from North Korea to
China.
   The long-bruited and long-sought joint Stalin–Zhou telegram of
October 11, 1950 reporting this consensus was finally published in Russia
in 2005. Fortunately, the published text is consistent with information pro-
vided in earlier, second-hand sources:
166   China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”
    Soviet Embassy in Beijing for immediate transmittal to Comrade Mao
    Zedong.
       Your representatives arrived today, and leading comrades of the
    [CPSU] and your representatives have had an opportunity to discuss
    the issue that is known to you.
       After exchanging opinions, the following has become clear:
    Chinese forces that are intended to render assistance are ill prepared,
    poorly armed, and short of artillery and tanks. It will be at least two
    months before it will be possible to provide air cover. And it will take
    at least six months to equip and train the designated army.
        If a sizable, well-equipped force does not render direct help within
    a month, in view of the instability in the part of Korea north of the
    38th parallel, Korea will be occupied by the Americans.
        Consequently, serious armed assistance can be provided to the
    Koreans only after half a year, that is, after the occupation of Korea by
    the Americans, or after it will no longer be needed.
        Taking into consideration the unfavorable domestic situation in
    China that, according Comrade Zhou Enlai’s report, will occur sub-
    sequent to China’s participation in the war, we have arrived unani-
    mously at the following conclusions:
        Despite favorable international conditions, the Chinese force,
    owing to its unpreparedness at the present time, should not cross the
    Korean border, so as to avoid falling into a disadvantageous situation.
        If the force has already crossed the border, it should not advance
    beyond the mountainous region along the Chinese border.
        An appropriate portion of the Korean army should occupy and
    defend the mountainous area north of Pyongyang and Wonsan, and a
    portion of the army should switch to a partisan role in the enemy’s
    rear.
        Superior elements of Koreans under arms and commanding cadres
    should be slowly and quietly brought out to Manchuria, where they
    will be formed into Korean divisions.
        Pyongyang and other strong points south of the mountainous
    region of North Korea should be evacuated at the earliest possible
    time.
        The USSR will do all that it can to satisfy the needs of the Chinese
    comrades for tanks, artillery, and airplanes to re-equip the Chinese
    Army.
       We await your decision.
    Signed: Filippov [Stalin]
    Zhou Enlai
    October 11, 195038
                          China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”   167
In the event, however, neither the prospect of receiving arms half a year in
the future nor the difficulties confronting China internally proved to be
stumbling blocks to sending Chinese troops. Mao had decided on October
5 to send troops and had fixed the date of deployment on October 15. So
he had already considered these conditions. But Mao was counting on the
Soviet Air Force to coordinate with and to help Chinese forces in the fight.
He had not thought that Stalin would be unwilling to mobilize his air
force to assist Chinese forces as they entered Korea. This is the nub of the
issue.
   Yet, in the end, in response to Stalin’s urging, and despite the mount-
ing danger and hardships to China, Mao decided to send Chinese troops
into the Korean War.39
   Stalin clearly was not inclined to recommend that China not deploy its
troops to come to the aid of North Korea. However, he was forced to agree
to postpone a decision after Zhou laid out the difficulties that China
would face if it did send troops. Mao’s main objective in sending Zhou to
talk with Stalin was to request Soviet air cover. Zhou, in representing Mao
in the talks with Stalin, without further instructions from Mao, certainly
had sufficient reason on the spot to indicate that China could not dispatch
troops. Before leaving Beijing, he had discussed with Mao having Stalin
guarantee the condition under which China would send troops. During
the talks, however, this condition was not met. The condition was that the
Soviet Union would provide sufficient air assistance, i.e., that the Soviet
Air Force would assist the Chinese People’s Volunteers entering the fight
in Korea. But Stalin did not satisfy China’s condition, that is, he did not
agree to the request that he send his air force to assist the Chinese forces
as they entered the Korean fight.
   Had the Soviet Union previously agreed to send its air force to assist
China, and had Stalin reneged on this commitment? This was the main
issue in the Black Sea talks between the Chinese and Soviet leaderships,
and it was a critical juncture in the bilateral alliance relationship that had
only been established in February 1950.
   In the Chinese Army’s entrance into Korea and its engagement with the
U.S. army, its most unfavorable military condition was its lack of an air
force. According to Russian documents, China had raised the air issue as
early as July 1950, and the two sides had exchanged views on the subject.
Zhou, in a meeting with Ambassador Roshchin on July 2, asked whether
the Soviet Air Force would be able to provide cover to Chinese forces that
entered Korea to fight.40
   As already noted, in response, Stalin directed his ambassador on July 5
to convey to Zhou that, “we will do our best to provide the air cover” for
Chinese divisions that might fight in Korea if the enemy crosses the 38th
parallel.41
   On July 13, Stalin sent a message to Mao and Zhou through Roshchin
noting that:
168   China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”
    It is not known to us whether you have decided to deploy nine
    Chinese divisions on the border with Korea. If you have made such a
    decision, then we are ready to send you a division of jet fighter planes
    – 124 aircraft for covering these troops. We intend to train Chinese
    pilots for two to three months with the help of our pilots and then
    transfer all equipment to your pilots. We intend to do the same thing
    with the [Soviet] air divisions in Shanghai.42
On July 22, Soviet Ambassador Roshchin sent a cable on behalf of Mao
regarding this issue that said in part:
    We plan to deploy the [Soviet] jet fighter division that you are using
    to cover our forces near Shenyang, with two regiments at Anshan, and
    one regiment at Liaoyang. In coordination with the fighter regiments
    of our mixed air brigade stationed in the Andong [Dandong] region,
    this would help provide air cover for our military forces as well as the
    Shenyang, Andong, and Fushun industrial areas.
Mao added that China “would be able to [accept] the turnover of all
weapons and equipment” from two Soviet air divisions before March or
April 1951.43
   On July 25, Soviet Foreign Minister Vyshinsky cabled instructions to
Roshchin that, “On the authorization of Filippov [Stalin], convey to Mao
Zedong or Zhou Enlai that we agree with the proposed procedure and
timeline for training Chinese pilots on jet planes.” Stalin sent another
message for Zhou on August 27:
    The Soviet government has satisfied your request [for] Soviet military
    advisers – specialists in [anti-aircraft defense] and [aviation] to the
    eastern and northeastern [Chinese] military districts. 38 advisers will
    be sent to China, of which ten will be [anti-aircraft] and 28 will be
    [aviation] specialists.44
Certainly, based on the telegrams cited above, the Chinese and Soviet sides
had fairly detailed discussions about Soviet assistance in setting up and train-
ing the new Chinese air force. But, while both Chinese and Soviet leaders
paid a lot of attention to air issues, whether in Mao’s or Stalin’s messages, the
issue of providing air cover for the Chinese Army’s possible engagement in
the Korean War was only touched on in passing and in principle.
   However judged, the task of the Soviet fighter division provided to
China appears to have been primarily to help guarantee air defense over
Northeast China. At the time, however, the Chinese and Soviets had not
clearly discussed two important points: First was the timing for the deploy-
ment of the Soviet Air Force. Would it deploy simultaneously with the
Chinese military move into North Korea or let the Chinese ground forces
                           China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”   169
move first? Second was the form of the Soviet Air Force assistance. Would
it be coordinated with Chinese ground forces entering Korea? Would it be
responsible only for the air defense of Chinese territory? Or, would it pos-
sibly also be responsible for the defense of the Chinese rear-area supply
line (even inside Korea) as well?
    Embodying the Soviet strategic principle of avoiding to the maximum
extent possible direct military conflict with the United States, Stalin clearly
preferred to put his energy into arming the Chinese air force and letting it
take on the job of doing battle in Korea. Furthermore, he wanted to avoid,
so far as he could, making a firm pledge on the issue of using the Soviet
Air Force. China’s request for Soviet air assistance was unequivocal,
however, since Soviet air coordination with Chinese ground forces enter-
ing Korea was critical for China. At the time, China still did not have a
substantial air force, and it realized that once the fighting started, it would
be highly dependent on Soviet air power.45
    Once the decision was made to deploy troops to Korea, Chinese com-
manders were again seized with the need for air cover. At an October 9
meeting of top commanders of the Chinese People’s Volunteers called by
Peng, many of these officers pressed the issue. As a result, while the
meeting was still in session, Peng and Gao sent an urgent telegram to Mao
posing some serious questions: “When our army goes abroad to fight, how
many fighters and bombers can the [Central] Military Commission deploy
to provide cover? When can they deploy and who will be in command?”
    Many top commanders in the Chinese People’s Volunteers General
Headquarters argued that if Chinese troops were sent in without
coordinated air support, they would be sitting ducks. At one point,
Chinese commanders even proposed that,
    [T]he original plan should be implemented only if there is an assur-
    ance that, within two to three months, there will be new equipment
    (and especially that the air force can be deployed). Otherwise, the
    idea of postponing the troop deployment is well-worth considering.46
The air force referred to here is the Soviet Air Force – China simply didn’t
have an air force worthy of the name. As a result of the October 11
meeting between Stalin and Zhou, however, it was now established that
the Soviet Air Force would postpone its deployment, and it was still not
clear what form Soviet air assistance would take. Consequently, the initial
result of the meeting between Stalin and Zhou was that, for the time
being, China would not send troops to Korea.
   Mao’s first response was to agree with the position taken in the joint
cable sent by Stalin and Zhou. On October 12, Ambassador Roshchin sent
two telegrams in succession, telling Stalin that Mao had agreed not to send
troops for the time being, and had already ordered the Chinese Army to
“cease implementation of the plan to move into Korea.”47
170   China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”
   At this point, Stalin received the news of another disaster. On the
morning of October 13, the Chief of the General Staff of the Soviet Navy
reported that in the early hours of that day in the Far East, a massive U.S.
naval flotilla comprised of a battleship, three heavy aircraft carriers, two
aircraft carrier escorts, three heavy cruisers, three cruisers, 12 destroyers, a
squadron of minesweepers and assault landing groups had been discov-
ered off the northeast coast of North Korea near Chongjin, which was
then under heavy bombardment from air and sea.48
   Given the strategic importance of the Chongjin area, Stalin quickly cal-
culated that the American military was set to carry out yet another amphib-
ious assault. This time it was not on the Inchon–Seoul line in the southern
part of Korea, but on the Pyongyang–Wonson line in northern Korea. The
rear of the Korean People’s Army was totally defenseless, and United
Nations forces could now advance without encountering any resistance
toward the Yalu and Tumen rivers on the Korean–Chinese and Korean–
Soviet borders. This for Stalin was indeed a decisive turn of events.
   Without the prospect of Chinese reinforcements and with the military
situation now so critical, Stalin had to make a quick decision. On the after-
noon of October 13, he sent a cable to Ambassador Shtykov for transmittal
to Kim Il-sung, reporting on his meeting with Zhou Enlai and Lin Biao,
apologetically informing Kim that Zhou had indicated that China was not
yet ready to enter the war. Stalin recommended that Kim’s best course
would be to withdraw his remaining forces to China and the Soviet Union.
Stalin instructed Shtykov to help Kim formulate the evacuation order.49
   With Stalin’s instructions in hand, Shtykov met that evening with Kim
and Pak Hon-yong, reporting that, “The content of the telegram caught
Kim Il-sung and Pak Hon-yong by surprise. Kim Il-sung stated that it was
very hard for them [to accept] but since there is such advice they will
fulfill it.” Kim asked Shtykov for Soviet help in drafting a withdrawal plan.
Arrangements for a withdrawal were made that evening.50
   Moscow took another important initiative on October 13. Foreign
Minister Andrei Vyshinsky, then representing the Soviet Union at the
United Nations, urged the United States in a meeting at Lake Success to
abandon its “get tough” policy and return to its wartime cooperation with
the Soviet Union. Vyskinsky pledged that the Soviet Union would be
willing to meet the United States “halfway.”51
   Just when it seemed Stalin had decided to abandon North Korea, China
then came to the opposite decision.
   When the October 11 joint telegram from Stalin and Zhou reached
Beijing, the situation there became tense. Given the five-hour time differ-
ence between the two capitals, the telegram arrived in Beijing in the early
hours of October 12. After the Soviet Embassy sent the cable to the CCP
Central Committee, it reached Mao in the mid-afternoon of October 12.52
   When Mao learned that the Soviet Union had decided not to send its
air force in the near term (to support China’s intervention), he sent two
                           China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”   171
urgent telegrams on October 12. Mao instructed Peng Dehuai and Gao
Gang in the Northeast, and Rao Shushi and Chen Yi in East China: “[F]or
the time being, do not carry out the order of October 9 . . . units of the
13th Army Group should remain in place and carry on with training; do
not go into action. . . .” Mao ordered Gao and Peng to Beijing for
consultations.53
   Fearing that Mao’s instruction would be delayed in transmission, Acting
Chief of the General Staff Nie Rongzhen hurried to the Central Military
Commission War Room at 7 p.m. to track down Peng Dehuai. Told by the
duty officer that Peng was inspecting the Andong (Dandong) river cross-
ing on the Yalu, Nie reached Peng by phone, telling him that the situation
had changed and that he must return to Beijing for a face-to-face
meeting.54
   Peng and Gao arrived in Beijing at noon on October 13. Mao convened
an emergency Politburo meeting that afternoon to discuss once again the
pros and cons of sending troops to Korea. Taking the lead, Mao worked to
persuade Peng and others that although the Soviet Union could not
provide air support over Korea in the early stage after China’s entrance
into the war, Stalin had agreed to provide air cover over Chinese territory
and massive amounts of military materiel to China.
   The final decision of the October 13 Politburo meeting was that even
without Soviet air cover in Korea in the foreseeable future, massive U.S.
Army advances meant that China must send troops immediately to help
North Korea, no matter what the hardships might be. The next day, Mao,
Peng and Gao made a detailed study of the battle plan for the Chinese
People’s Volunteers once they entered Korea.55
   Following the Politburo decision, Mao informed Zhou by telegram on
October 13 that,
    As a result of discussions with Politburo comrades, we unanimously
    agree that it is still to our advantage to send our forces to Korea. . . . If
    we do not deploy troops, and allow the enemy to push on to the Yalu
    River border, domestic and international reactionary arrogance will
    swell, and this will be harmful on all fronts.
Since the Chinese Volunteers would not have Soviet air cover over Korea,
said Mao, in the early stage of their intervention, they would only fight
against South Korean forces.56
   Mao directed Zhou to “stay in Moscow for a few days” to discuss with
Soviet leaders what form the Soviet provision of military equipment would
take, as well as the timing and form of any Soviet air deployment. Mao
proposed that,
    If we can use the lend lease method to maintain a budget of U.S.$200
    million for [domestic] economic and cultural projects and ordinary
172   China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”
    military needs, our forces [will] go into Korea with our minds at rest,
    and carry out a lengthy war while we maintain the unity of most
    people at home. Only if the Soviet Union is able within two to two-
    and-a-half months to provide air assistance to our Volunteers in
    Korea, and also to mobilize air cover over Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai,
    Ningbo, and Qingdao, can we then be free of the fear of compre-
    hensive bombing. But, if we are hit with American bombing within
    those two or two-and-a-half months, we will have to endure some
    losses.57
On October 14, Mao sent another cable to Zhou, reporting on plans for
the Chinese deployment to Korea, telling Zhou that the Chinese People’s
Volunteers would start to cross the Yalu on October 19, with all 260,000
Chinese troops scheduled to be in Korea by October 28.58
   A day earlier, on October 13, Mao had informed Soviet Ambassador
Roshchin of China’s decision to send troops to Korea, again stressing their
crucial need for air cover: “Past hesitations by our comrades occurred
because questions about the international situation, Soviet assistance, and
air cover were not clear to them.” But, said Mao, the Chinese Communist
leadership had decided China had “the absolute obligation to send troops
into Korea.” It would start with a “first echelon composed of nine divisions
[which] though poorly armed, could fight against the troops of Syngman
Rhee,” while China prepared a second echelon.
   Mao reiterated to Roshchin that, “The main thing that we need is air
power which will provide us with air cover. We hope to see it arrive as soon
as possible, but not later than within two months.” Mao said China could
not pay cash for armaments delivered and hoped to get arms on credit.
Zhou Enlai, said Mao, would have to meet again with Stalin to discuss this
matter.59
Stalin’s last-minute surprise
The Chinese leaders’ unilateral decision took Stalin by surprise. After
receiving Mao’s message, Stalin immediately instructed Ambassador
Shtykov to inform Kim that,
    I have just received a telegram from Mao Zedong in which he reports
    that the [Chinese Communist Party Central Committee] discussed the
    situation [in Korea] again and decided after all to render military
    assistance to the Korean comrades, regardless of the insufficient arma-
    ment of the Chinese troops. I am awaiting detailed reports . . . from
    Mao Zedong. In connection with this new decision . . . I ask you to
    postpone temporarily the implementation of the telegram sent to you
    yesterday about the evacuation of North Korea and the retreat of
    Korean troops to the north.60
                           China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”   173
After receiving another report from Roshchin, Stalin sent yet another
cable to Kim noting that, “After vacillations and a series of temporary
decisions, the Chinese comrades have at last made a final decision to
render assistance to Korea with troops.” Therefore, said Stalin, the recom-
mendations of the Chinese–Soviet leading comrades meeting (i.e., Stalin’s
meeting with Zhou) were annulled. The USSR would provide armaments
to China, but North Korea should work jointly with China to resolve con-
crete issues with respect to the entry of Chinese troops into Korea.61
   China had taken the decision to send troops to Korea, but the issue of
Soviet air cover remained under discussion. When Mao asked Stalin “to
provide air assistance to our Volunteers in Korea,” he was requesting
Soviet Air Force coordination with Chinese ground forces entering the
fight in Korea. That is to say, while Mao accepted that the deployment of
the Soviet Air Force would be delayed, he explicitly raised the issue of the
form that Soviet Air Force help would take when it arrived. Stalin, after
getting the news that China had decided to deploy troops, clearly and
carefully indicated that the Soviet Air Force would be deployed only to
protect Chinese territory and the Chinese Army’s rear area, and that this
assistance would not be directly coordinated with the Chinese Army as it
fought in Korea.
   After Zhou received Mao’s October 13 telegram, he met the same
evening with Soviet First Deputy Premier Molotov, conveying Mao’s
message, and requesting it be reported immediately to Stalin. On October
14, he received two more telegrams from Mao. The first presented the
latest information on the situation along both sides of the front line, and
initial thoughts about what would happen after China deployed the Vol-
unteers into Korea. Mao indicated that once the Chinese People’s Volun-
teers reached Korea, they would organize defense of the mountains north
of a line from Pyongyang to Wonson,
    to raise concern among the American and puppet armies, and then
    stop the forward advance. . . . In this way, our army will be able to avoid
    fighting and gain time to arm and train, to await the arrival of the
    Soviet air force, and only then to fight.
This telegram also again raised the issue of the need for a clear Soviet
response regarding the timing and form of Soviet Air Force assistance.
   Mao’s next telegram, on October 14, reported on the timing and dis
position of the Chinese deployment, explaining that the Chinese People’s
Volunteers would wait six months before advancing on Pyongyang and
Wonsan. Zhou relayed the content of these two cables at once to Stalin,
and Stalin had Molotov immediately inform Zhou that the Soviet Union
would send its air force only to protect Chinese territory, but would not be
prepared to enter the fight in Korea for at least two to two-and-a-half
months.62 It seems Stalin wanted to make sure that China’s leaders were
174   China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”
absolutely clear that Chinese forces should not count on Soviet air cover
as they launched their advance. In response to the emerging situation, on
October 17, Mao sent an urgent telegram ordering Peng Dehuai and Gao
Gang to Beijing for talks on October 18, and to await an official order
before deploying to Korea.63
    Clearly the degree to which the Soviet Union would provide air cover
and arms was an important factor in the strategic calculation of China’s
leaders as they decided to deploy troops to Korea. It was, therefore, a great
disappointment for Chinese leaders, including military leaders about to go
into a difficult fight, to learn that even after China had decided to enter
the conflict, the Soviet Union had limited its air force to covering China’s
rear area and would not coordinate directly with Chinese forces entering
the conflict.
    Therefore, when we refer to Mao’s and Zhou’s later complaints about
Soviet reluctance to deploy its air force, what we are really referring to is
the fact that the Soviet Air Force would not coordinate with the Chinese
ground forces entering the Korean fight. The constraints on Soviet Air
Force participation in the Korean War, when it did come, meant that
Soviet air cover would be limited only to protecting Chinese territory and
the rear area of the Chinese and North Korean supply lines.
    Thus, though Stalin had earlier indicated his willingness to provide air
assistance to Chinese forces, he decided at a critical juncture to delay
deployment of the Soviet Air Force, and, throughout the war, he pre-
cluded the Soviet Air Force from coordinating with the Chinese ground
forces fighting U.S. forces.
    To be fair, however, it would be a stretch to say that Stalin went back
completely on his earlier commitment to provide air assistance to the
Chinese forces. Stalin never said that he would not provide air assistance
to China, but merely clarified at the last minute that this assistance would
be limited to covering the Chinese rear area. This ability to walk a fine line
illustrates Stalin’s brilliant diplomatic tactics and slick and sly diplomatic
language. On this front, the Chinese leadership clearly lacked experience.
Until October 13, they had hoped for Soviet air cover. The principal aim
of Zhou’s last-minute visit to the Soviet Union was none other than to
underscore China’s central precondition for sending troops to Korea, that
the Soviet Air Force support and cover Chinese ground forces entering
the Korean fight. Only now, after China had decided to send troops to
Korea, was the Soviet Union indicating that the type of support China
desired was not on the cards. It is therefore understandable that Mao
would in later years express frustration and resentment toward Stalin on
this issue.
    Notwithstanding the lack of forward air cover, the main force of the
Chinese People’s Volunteers crossed the Yalu River on October 19. On
October 25, the Volunteers fought their first battle in China’s “War to
Resist U.S. Aggression and Assist Korea.”
                           China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”   175
The push and pull of assistance
As far as assisting North Korea, Stalin asked China to send troops while
Mao asked the Soviet Union to provide air support. If this can be called a
behind-the-scenes contest of wills between two allies, Stalin came out
ahead. At a time of great domestic economic hardship, and in an unfavo-
rable military situation that precluded assured victory, Mao’s decision to
send troops into battle in Korea was not based solely on Stalin’s request,
but was rooted in Mao’s own deep calculations. Stalin wanted at all costs to
keep the Soviet Union from being drawn into an open conflict with the
United States, and, at the point of danger, asked China to confront the
United States in Korea. Why did Mao bend all efforts to send Chinese
troops to Korea under conditions of extreme hardship?
    Historians have long debated this question and deduced various theo-
ries, of which two are compelling. The first is that Mao proceeded prima-
rily from considerations of national security.64 To protect China’s
industrial base in the Northeast and to prevent the emergence of reaction-
ary threats to its security, China was forced into a battle to keep the enemy
outside China’s gates. Various statements by Mao and other Chinese
leaders can be adduced as evidence to support this view. The second holds
that Mao, in fact, proceeded from revolutionary conviction, stoked with a
strong desire and sense of responsibility to defeat the American imperial-
ists, wanting thereby to promote revolution and raise China’s international
standing.65
    These theories flow from an analysis of Sino-U.S. relations. But the issue
can also be seen through the lens of Sino-Soviet relations. Though China’s
deployment of troops to Korea was not done merely to satisfy Stalin’s
request, Mao had to consider the Soviet factor.
    If Kim were defeated, the threat of war would likely loom over North-
east China. Moscow’s planned arrangements in the face of the worsening
situation actually increased this possibility. M. V. Zakharov (Matveev),
head of the Soviet military delegation in Korea, had recommended that
Kim move his remaining military forces across the Yalu to Northeast
China, and reorganize them there with the intent of reentering Korea.
When Stalin met Zhou, he accordingly proposed that the North Koreans
make an organized withdrawal, taking their main forces, arms, materiel
and officials into Northeast China so they could more easily reenter Korea.
Stalin even told the CCP Central Committee that he wanted Kim to organ-
ize a government-in-exile in Northeast China.66
    If the war expanded, Northeast China would become a battleground
between China and the United States. Mao would of course calculate that
if the United States invaded China, the Sino-Soviet Treaty of Friendship,
Alliance and Mutual Assistance would require that Stalin send several
hundred thousand troops from the Soviet Far East into Northeast China
to help China fight off the invaders.
176   China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”
   Stalin, in the October 1 telegram to Mao quoted above, had made it
quite clear that if the war expanded, based on the Sino-Soviet alliance, the
Soviet Union would join in the war. Mao could not forget that in 1945,
Stalin had used the excuse of fighting Japan to send troops into Northeast
China, and thereby had forced Chiang Kai-shek under duress to sign a
treaty that injured China’s interests. Mao also could not forget that the
leaders of New China (the People’s Republic of China) had carried out
very difficult negotiations with the Soviet Union concerning Northeast
China, with the return of the Changchun Railway, Lushun and Dalian as
stipulated in the new Sino-Soviet treaty having been gained only with great
effort on China’s part, like “taking meat out of a tiger’s mouth.” If the war
spread to China, and the Soviet Union again sent troops into the North-
east, this region would either be occupied by the United States or control-
led by the Soviet Union. That is to say, whether the war resulted in victory
or defeat, China would not be able to prevent the compromise of its sover-
eignty in the Northeast. The only way to prevent this eventuality was to
stop the war outside of China’s borders.67
   Based on an analysis of China’s strategy in deploying troops to Korea,
in the early stages of the Korean War, Sino-Soviet alliance relations clearly
were complex and delicate, reflecting the respective national security and
economic needs of the two countries. After the Soviet Union entered the
Cold War and fixed on a basic strategy of all-out contention with the
United States and the West, it needed an Eastern power like China to
provide a security screen in the Far East, and to act as a proxy to test U.S.
policy and strength. Therefore, Stalin was not forced to accept China’s
prerequisite (and, as it turned out, maximum) demand for sending troops
to Korea. On the contrary, at a time when Stalin thought that Soviet
strength was insufficient to engage the United States in an open and direct
military conflict, this is precisely when he needed China to take the lead in
opposing the United States, to draw in and exhaust the United States in
Asia. As Moscow saw it, this was China’s duty as an ally.
   China on its side faced serious disadvantages. The country, just
(re)established by the Chinese Communist Party, was poor and backward.
Facing imperialist hostility and pressure, China had to rely on the strength
of the socialist Soviet Union. It was on this basis that Mao decided to estab-
lish an alliance with the Soviet Union. Now, in a situation in which Ameri-
can troops were closing in on China’s northeastern border, China could
rely only on Soviet military and economic assistance to resist U.S.
encroachment and defend its national security interest.
   Mao’s precondition for sending forces to Korea to fight against the
United States was that he had to receive a Soviet guarantee of military
assistance. However, Stalin’s objectives and strategy during the war made it
impossible for him to fully satisfy China’s requests for military aid, espe-
cially for air support in the fight with the U.S. Thus, while there was a
unity of interest on the issue of the Korean War between Beijing and
                          China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”   177
Moscow, there were clear differences and contradictions regarding their
objectives and demands.
   Mao’s final decision to send forces to Korea resolved a crisis in the just
formed Sino-Soviet alliance, and gained China the initiative in relations
with the Soviet Union. Still, though Sino-Soviet disagreements and contra-
dictions remained, once China sent its forces to fight in Korea, harmony
and cooperation were the main trends in Sino-Soviet alliance relations.
9      A new stage in Sino-Soviet
       cooperation
Stalin long had strong doubts about Mao Zedong and the Chinese revolu-
tion, as is well known. He thought Mao was not a real Marxist, suspected
China had ulterior motives for aligning with the Soviet Union and feared
it might take the “Titoist” road. These doubts influenced Stalin’s behavior
when faced with the question of whether China would send troops to
Korea. Mao in his turn had to make a very tough call, as Stalin’s reaction
signaled that the Chinese Army would go into Korea without Soviet air
cover over its fighting front. In the end, Mao’s decision to send the
Chinese People’s Volunteers into Korea had a significant impact on Sta-
lin’s thinking.
    Chinese leaders understood what was on Stalin’s mind. Zhou Enlai
once said that, “[Stalin] changed his views at the time of the War to Resist
America and Assist Korea.”1 Mao also thought that, “one of the main
reasons Stalin came in some measure to trust the CCP” was “the outbreak
of the Korean War and the participation of the Chinese People’s Volun-
teers.”2 Genuine cooperation between the Soviet Union and China as
allies started only after China deployed its forces to Korea. During the
Korean War, the Soviet Union and China increased their mutual trust and
understanding – at the very least at the level of Stalin and Mao. Russian
historian D. Volkogonov has concluded that, “The Korean War undoubt-
edly strengthened Stalin’s confidence in Mao, thereby putting Sino-Soviet
relations on a positive footing as a whole.”3
Soviet air cover arrives earlier than promised
Stalin reacted unexpectedly after Mao decided to send Chinese troops
into Korea, ordering the Soviet Air Force to cover the Chinese forces’ rear
area and transport routes, rather than delay for another two months.
There are still no documents available bearing directly on Soviet air
deployments, but it appears that in early November 1950, less than two
weeks after the Chinese Army entered Korea, elements of the Soviet Air
Force joined the fight in the sky over the Chinese–Korean border. Based
on interviews with Soviet personnel who participated in the Korean air
                                    A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation   179
war, British journalist Jon Halliday has described in some detail the Soviet
Air Force entrance into the war and its engagement with the U.S. Air
Force.
   According to Halliday, “MiG-15s piloted by Russians apparently first
entered the Korean theater in early November 1950,” though sources “do
not agree whether they first entered combat in early November 1950 [the
predominant view] or mid-January 1951.” However, one “well-informed”
source told Halliday that, “The first MiG appeared over Korea on 1
November 1950; the first all-jet air battle was on November 8.” Another
source claimed that the first jet air battle occurred in late November,
without giving an exact date. Lt. Gen. G. A. Lobov, Commander of the
Soviet 303rd Air Defense Division, stated in his memoir that he went to
Sinuiju, in North Korea, “literally the day after a huge U.S. air raid.” There
was a huge air raid on Sinuiju (across the Yalu River from China) on
November 8, so it appears that Lobov was in China by the first week in
November.4
   A newly declassified report sheds some further light on the issue.
According to a November 2 war situation report to Stalin from Col.
General S. E. Zakharov, the Soviet military adviser in China, the first air
clash in the Korean War occurred on November 1, 1950. On that day,
eight Yak-9s of the North Korean air group “went into battle for the first
time” in the Anju region, reportedly downing two U.S. B-29s and a
Mustang. Two Yak-9s did not return from their mission. Soviet planes
joined the fight in the Andong–Sinuiju (Dandong–Sinuiju) area.
    Two F-82 planes were downed by our pilots in Mig-15s and two planes
    were brought down by antiaircraft artillery. In all, four planes [were
    downed]. We had no [Soviet] losses in the air battle . . . MiG-15s of
    Comrade [General] Belov flew from airbases at Shenyang and Anshan.
    In all, eight sorties were made from each airport.5
   For Stalin, the issue of air support was extremely sensitive. But by engag-
ing Soviet air assets in combat a week after the Chinese People’s Volun-
teers officially entered the war on October 25, albeit only in the rear area,
Stalin showed he was determined to support China. Later, as the war
developed, in response to China’s request, the Soviet air contingent was
strengthened. One week after the outbreak of the air war in Korea, Stalin
decided to send 120 MiG-15 fighter jets to China to reinforce General
Belov’s air force. Mao was very grateful, noting that “over the last twelve
days” Soviet pilots had “downed 23 invading American planes.”6
   Since Chinese rear-area supply lines were severely disrupted by enemy
aircraft, logistics for the Volunteers became very difficult. On February 23,
1951, Zhou Enlai, Nie Rongzhen and Peng Dehuai asked Soviet military
adviser General S. E. Zakharov to redeploy two air divisions from north of
the Yalu River to cover Chinese transport lines north of the 38th parallel.
180   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation
When Zakharov refused, Peng was extremely unhappy; on February 25
and 28, he approached Mao, asking him to appeal directly to Stalin.7
   As a result, on March 1, Mao sent a long, brutally frank telegram to
Stalin arguing that,
    The difficulty we are facing now in the Korean War is that the enemy
    holds an advantage in fire power, and our transportation capability is
    weak. Since we have no air cover, under enemy bombing we are losing
    30–40 percent of the materiel shipped to the front. . . . In Comrade Peng
    Dehuai’s opinion, it would be advisable if Soviet airmen took respons-
    ibility for covering airfields north of a line between Pyongyang and
    Wonsan. At the same time, it would be advisable if Soviet airmen were
    redeployed from their current airfields to airfields in Korea. . . . If this is
    not done, it will be impossible to repair the airfields on the territory of
    Korea, Chinese airmen will not be able to join the battle in Korea, and
    it will be extremely difficult to move tanks and guns. The resolution of
    this issue, however, needs to be decided with a view to the overall inter-
    national situation. Therefore, we do not know if this is possible.8
Stalin, now not as irresolute as he had been, immediately cabled back that,
    If you are able to leave two Chinese air force divisions in the Andong
    [now Dandong] area to cover the electric power station and the
    supply line there, we agree to transfer the 151st and the 324th fighter
    divisions under the command of General Belov to Korean territory to
    cover the Chinese and Korean rear area. If the Koreans have a metal
    runway, we can supply two more runways from the Soviet Union. . . . If
    you agree, we can supply you with anti-aircraft guns and ammunition
    to protect the airfields.9
On March 15, Stalin, via S. E. Zakharov, reminded Mao and Zhou that he
had agreed earlier to deploy two Soviet Air Force divisions to Korea “in
the rear of your troops, but with the condition that two Chinese fighter
divisions be placed in the Andong [Dandong] region to cover this area.”
However, said Stalin,
    [W]e now see that in view of forthcoming major operations, you will
    need the largest possible aviation force at the front. We have therefore
    decided to send to Andong from the USSR an additional fighter divi-
    sion so that the two Chinese fighter divisions designated to cover
    Andong can be sent to the front for use in operations there.10
Yet, with work to restore North Korean airfields repeatedly disrupted,
Soviet Air Force units that fought in rear areas of the Korean theater never
had the option of garrisoning in North Korea. At first, Soviet air units were
                                    A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation   181
garrisoned in China at Andong, across the Yalu River from North Korea,
but, in July 1951, these units moved to Miaogou, about 20 km west of
Andong. Then, since both Andong and Miaogou (in China) were vulner-
able to American attack, Dapu airfield, situated further inland in China,
was built and Soviet units moved there in 1952.11 Clearly, however, Stalin’s
views with respect to use of Soviet air power had gone far beyond his initial
caution, a step that would not have been possible without trust and confi-
dence in Mao and the Chinese Army.
   During the Korean War, Lobov’s 64th Air Defense Corps rotated twelve
divisions through the conflict, with the number of planes rising to about
150 by late spring 1951. About 75 percent of these planes were operational
at any one time. Also attached to the 64th Air Defense Corps in theater
were two anti-aircraft divisions, including fixed units along the Yalu River
and mobile units inside North Korea. Altogether, 72,000 Soviet airmen
cycled through combat tours during the Korean War, with 26,000 partici-
pating in the peak year of 1952.12
   Of the 1,600 to 1,700 U.S. and allied planes reported lost to “enemy
action” or “combat,” Russia claims credibly to have downed over 1,300 in
aerial combat and by ground fire and anti-aircraft artillery, while China
claims only 330 aerial combat “kills.” However, as pointed out by Halliday,
there are problems with these numbers, as there are with American esti-
mates of total Communist losses. If Russian claims that they lost only 345
planes in aerial combat and to a few other hostile acts are correct, then
the vast majority of “Red” planes lost in combat were Chinese and North
Korean.13 The scope and results attained by the Soviet Air Force in aerial
combat indicate that the Soviet Union participated strongly throughout
the Korean War. However, in a curious case of double deniability, the
Soviet Union and the United States both remained silent about Soviet
involvement in the air war over Korea.14
   Despite Stalin’s actions to cover the Chinese and North Korean rear
areas, he made it clear to his military advisers in China that he was com-
mitted to not deploying the Soviet Air Force on the front lines in Korea.
He chided another Soviet military adviser in China, Marshal Krasovsky, as
well as General Belov about the slow training of Chinese pilots: “You and
General Belov apparently intend to make professors rather than battle
pilots out of the Chinese pilots.” Noting that Chinese troops would not
fight without air cover, Stalin instructed his generals to:
    [C]reate more quickly a group of eight Chinese fighter divisions and
    send them to the front. This is now your main task. . . . It is necessary to
    arrange matters so that the Chinese rely only on their own aviation at
    the front.15
Soviet Air Force officers who participated in the Korean War have
confirmed that, “there was no coordination between their air units and
182   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation
Sino-Korean ground forces,” let alone with the joint Chinese–North
Korean air command. One Soviet pilot recounted that, “[T]he Chinese,
who had no experience in aerial combat, asked [us] to ‘protect’ them on
their first missions [but] we declined.” General Lobov asserted in an inter-
view that, “We did not have one bomber. Nor did we have even one bomb
[with which] to bomb U.S. ships. Not that it was our task.” Ace Soviet
aviator Pepelyayev, another Korean War veteran, confirmed that, “the Rus-
sians did not fly bombers in combat – and did not intend to.”16
The Chinese air force: trouble getting off the ground
Chinese documents also show that most air combat during the Korean
War occurred in the border areas between the Yalu and Chongju Rivers
and the Yalu and the Taedong Rivers. The main task of the nascent
Chinese air force as well as the Soviet Air Force was to cover transportation
corridors and restoration work on airfields, along with hydroelectric gen-
eration facilities, the Yalu River bridges, transportation lines to the front
and the area north of the Chongju River. Uniquely, the Chinese Eighth
Air Division flew two bombing runs in November 1951 to support a
ground operation against U.S. and South Korean forces manning an intel-
ligence station on Taehwado Island off the Korean west coast. (Soviet
advisers to the Eighth Division had returned home before this air
action.)17
   Despite Chinese actions, Stalin never satisfied Beijing’s initial (pre-
intervention) request, that the Soviet Air Force and the Chinese Army
coordinate their actions. However, Chinese leaders later expressed their
understanding and never raised the issue again. In every post-intervention
cable Mao sent asking for Soviet Air Force assistance, he was always careful
to note only that he needed Soviet air cover for Chinese rear-area commu-
nications and transportation. His cautious wording in the introduction to
these cables indicates his wariness of raising this issue, showing that he
truly understood the difficult position in which Stalin found himself. This
indicates that the two allies, China and the Soviet Union, had a tacit
understanding that, in actual combat, there could be no military coopera-
tion between their forces.
   This is of course not to say there were no differences of opinion
between China and the Soviet Union during the Korean War. Differences
arose over specific orders in the course of military campaigns and over the
use of specific tactics, but Stalin and Mao were able to exchange opinions
candidly, fostering the resolution of issues between them.
Mao’s obsession: mobile warfare
Mao’s experience in the Chinese civil war left him with the idée fixe, that,
when it came to issuing military orders, mobile warfare could overwhelm
                                    A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation   183
an enemy’s combat strength. Results in the early stage of the Korean War
strengthened Mao’s belief in the efficacy of mobile warfare and, even as
the war stalemated, he still advocated strongly for mobile warfare.
   On May 26, 1951, Mao sent a message to Chinese People’s Volunteers
Commander Peng Dehuai. After noting that it was proving difficult to
annihilate a U.S. division or even a regiment by outflanking and surround-
ing it, Mao advised that, “You should not be overly ambitious in every
battle. It is enough to ask every Chinese division to annihilate one or two
whole U.S. or British battalions in each battle.” “In the past, fighting
against Chiang Kai-shek’s New First Army, New Sixth Army, Fifth Army,
Eighteenth Army, and the Guangxi Seventh Army, we proceeded in stages
from this kind of small-scale to large-scale annihilation of the enemy.” Mao
at the same time advocated mobile warfare tactics to lure the enemy into a
trap: “[A]s for the place of battle, if the enemy is willing to advance, the
farther north the better, as long as the enemy does not go beyond the
Pyongyang–Wonsan line.”18
Stalin’s warning: the Americans are not foolish
When Mao shared this view with Stalin, Stalin suggested a different idea,
telling Mao,
    In my view, the plan you outlined in your cable is risky and can only
    be successfully employed once or twice. . . . The British and Americans
    will easily guess at such a plan, and will therefore change their tactics;
    you will not be able every time to draw their main force north without
    suffering losses. . . . Besides this, you need to consider that when the
    British and the Americans push north, they will establish new defense
    lines, one by one. Therefore, whenever you need to go on the offen-
    sive, it will be hard to break through the British and American defense
    lines without incurring massive losses, which, of course, is not desira-
    ble. . . . It is not convincing to argue by analogy to Chiang Kai-shek’s
    army. First, you are now facing a different army, and, second, there is
    no basis to believe that the British and American armies are as foolish
    as Chiang Kai-shek, and that they will allow you your choice of annihi-
    lating their whole army one battalion at a time.
Finally, Stalin reminded Mao that, “If Pyongyang should fall again into
enemy hands, not only would the morale of the Korean people and the
[North] Korean army plummet, this would also raise British and American
morale.”19
   Mao accepted this advice, and from then on the fighting settled into a
pattern of positional warfare. Until this point, exchanges between Stalin
and Mao were cautious, indirect or tentative, reflecting the lingering sus-
picion and lack of mutual understanding that still existed between them.
184   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation
But, on this one occasion, Stalin was able candidly to advance a contrary
point of view, indicating a turnabout in his view of Mao, a shift toward
enhanced confidence.
   Mao also showed growing trust in and respect for Stalin. Russian docu-
ments reveal that throughout the war, from the fighting to the peace talks,
from military strategy to operational instructions, and even on specific tac-
tical and logistical issues, Mao sought and respected Stalin’s advice.
   Chinese and Soviet leaders put special emphasis on firming up Sino-
Soviet friendship and bilateral relations. For instance, in a January 4, 1951
message to all party bureaus and military districts, Mao praised the CCP
Northeast China Bureau’s December 29, 1950 telegram instructing its
branches to promote good relations with Soviet Army personnel stationed
in the Northeast. Mao advised that, “All places with Soviet Army personnel
should adopt this attitude.”20
   As PLA General Ye Jianying told A. M. Malukhin, the Soviet Consul in
Guangzhou:
    Our Chinese Communist Party Central Committee has no secrets
    from the [CPSU] CC. I have worked in Shanghai, Yan’an and other
    places in north China, and I know this is the only view among the CCP
    leadership. I often take part in meetings of the CCP CC Politburo, so I
    know that the Politburo never adopts any resolutions behind the back
    of the Bolshevik [Soviet] Party Central Committee. Only the [CPSU]
    and the Soviet Union can and right now are providing friendly assist-
    ance to China. Naturally, therefore, the CCP and the PRC leadership
    must report on the true conditions in China to the Soviet party and
    government. Correct policies and friendly actions on the part of the
    Chinese are most important for the Chinese people and for Soviet
    friendship. This is Mao Zedong’s viewpoint.
Ye Jianying then cited this anecdote:
    In 1950, a leading comrade in the Chinese leadership complained to
    Mao Zedong about friction with a Soviet comrade in Beijing. In reac-
    tion, Mao Zedong reminded the Chinese leader that if relations with
    the Soviet side suffered a downturn, whatever the situation, the
    Chinese Communist Party Central Committee would in the first
    instance regard this as the fault of the Chinese leader.21
This is not to say that bilateral relations were without friction during the
Korean War. The two sides diverged on issues of national interest, espe-
cially evident, for example, with regard to rubber cultivation. Rubber,
which Stalin termed “liquid gold,” was a vitally needed strategic material
in the Soviet Union. Owing to the economic embargo imposed by the
Western powers, Stalin repeatedly proposed that China, on its own or in
                                   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation   185
cooperation with the Soviet Union, cultivate rubber in southern China
through a Sino-Soviet joint stock company. Mao was adamantly opposed.
He told Stalin that,
    After repeated investigation into this issue, we have concluded that we
    urgently need Soviet specialist and technical assistance, but, under
    present Chinese conditions, it would be inappropriate to form a Sino-
    Soviet joint stock company to develop rubber.
Mao suggested that the Soviet Union provide a loan and that China could
repay the loan in the form of more than 50 percent of the rubber pro-
duced, with the price set below the world market price.22
   In September 1952, when Zhou Enlai went to Moscow to sign an agree-
ment on the Chinese supply of rubber, Stalin said in their meeting that,
    We would like to receive from you 15 to 20 thousand tons of natural
    rubber each year. You, it seems, object, citing difficulties. The fact is
    that we have a tremendous need for natural rubber, since automobiles
    and trucks, which are also being sent to you, require large amounts of
    rubber.
When Zhou indicated that he was unable to guarantee such a large
request, Stalin said that, as long as China supplied the maximum amount
that it could, the language of the agreement could be softened. However,
if China were not able to supply this amount of rubber, the Soviet Union
would have to cut the Chinese truck order.23
   Nevertheless, there were few conflicts of this period, since China
depended predominantly on its Soviet ally for wartime military and eco-
nomic assistance, and Stalin actually provided a huge amount of assistance
to China.
Massive Soviet military assistance to China
In a significant way, China’s simple act of sending troops to Korea bol-
stered the Soviet Union’s strategic objectives and interests in the Far East.
Stalin was very clear on this point. However one looked at it, the Soviet
Union had a duty to support Chinese troops engaged in a life-and-death
struggle on the battlefield. Stalin indeed carried out this duty.
   And China needed the help. In weaponry alone, it was impossible for
China to meet the needs of this kind of modern war solely on its own.
China was not even up to the task of supplying enough ammunition. In
the first quarter of 1951, for instance, Korean battlefields required more
than 14,100 tons of ammunition; China’s own arsenals could produce only
about 1,500 tons. Only the Soviet Union was capable of meeting China’s
gaping need.24 Stalin basically satisfied the battlefield needs of Chinese
186   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation
forces, and, especially before the start of armistice talks, he supplied virtu-
ally everything China requested. Documents in the Russian archives reflect
this situation.
   On October 28, 1950, shortly after entering the conflict, Mao asked the
Soviet Union to supply various naval weapons, including high-speed
torpedo boats, floating mines, armored ships, small patrol boats, mine-
sweeping equipment and coastal artillery, and proposed that PLA Navy
Commander Xiao Jingguang travel to Moscow for talks on supply of these
arms, as well as plans to create the future Chinese navy. Stalin cabled his
agreement the next day.25
   On November 17, Zhou Enlai reported to Stalin that, “A new operation
will begin soon. Railroad bridges across the Yalu are under daily enemy air
bombardment.” In view of this situation, as well as the critical loss of
Chinese vehicles to bombing, Zhou asked Stalin to order the Soviet Army
on the Liaodong Peninsula to transfer immediately 500 automobiles for
Chinese Army use. Stalin answered on the same day:
    In order to speed up the transfer of the automobiles to you, orders
    have been given to our military command not to give you old automo-
    biles from Lushun, but to send new automobiles to the Manzhouli
    [border] railroad station, transferring to Chinese representatives 140
    automobiles on November 20 and 355 automobiles on November
    25–26.
He promised that another 1,000 automobiles would reach Manzhouli
before December 5.26 Within days of Zhou’s request for 15 Soviet military
advisers to help establish a PLA air force group being formed to take part
in Korean operations, the Soviet leader informed Zhou on February 16,
1951 that he would be sending military aviation advisers “who know China
and are familiar with the air war in Korea.”27
   To strengthen the air combat capability of the Chinese People’s Volun-
teers, Stalin also proposed to provide gratis a large number of new-type
aircraft. In a May 22, 1951 message he informed Mao that
    The air war along the Manchuria–North Korea border has finally con-
    vinced us that if MiG-15 jet fighters are put in the hands of outstand-
    ing aviators, they are completely capable of going up against the best
    American and British jet fighters, and, especially bombers.
       Up until now, you have received ten fighter aircraft divisions from
    the Soviet Union, six of which are MiG-9 fighter divisions and four of
    which are MiG-15 fighter divisions. In order for Chinese fighter avia-
    tion to become more militarily capable, you should replace the MiG-9
    fighters with MiG-15 fighters. To do this, we have to send you 372
    MiG-15s from the Soviet Union. Since we do not have enough aircraft,
    until now, it has not been possible to do so, but now we can do this.
                                    A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation   187
    We plan to provide these 372 MiG-15s to you free of charge, with
    payment only for the cost of shipping from the Soviet Union, which
    can be paid by military credit. As for the MiG-9s that you have, you can
    keep them for your large-scale training of jet aircraft aviators, or you
    can use them in combat against bombers and other not very modern
    fighters. Your pilots who already know how to fly MiG-9s can easily
    learn to master MiG-15s; it takes ten days or less for us to do this in the
    Soviet Union.
       We have made the following plan to send these 372 planes to
    China: the first batch of 72 planes will be provided to you before June
    20; other batches will arrive in succession, so that by early August you
    will have all 372 aircraft.28
Several days later, Stalin further explained this decision to the Chinese:
    We Russians made a mistake: Originally we thought that the MiG-9
    fighter would be more than competitive against the best Anglo-
    American jet fighters. Now, after air combat over North Korea, every-
    thing has become clear. The significance of this error is that, if we do
    not correct it, this will harm the air defense of China. Since the
    responsibility for this error rests entirely with us – the Russians – we
    must remedy this error, replacing the MiG-9 fighters with MiG-15
    fighters at our expense, that is, with no cost to China. Since we believe
    strengthening the air defense of our ally, China, is our goal, we cannot
    do otherwise. As for the MiG-9 fighters you now have, we originally
    were going to bring them back to the Soviet Union. But since you now
    need them much more than we do, we have decided to leave them at
    your disposal. Let this reciprocate the help you gave us in purchasing
    natural rubber.29
This move by Stalin showed the sincerity of the Soviet Union in its capacity
as ally, and Mao was appreciative. Judging by the exchange of telegrams
between the Chinese and Soviet leaders, alliance relations were clearly
strengthened through mutual assistance and cooperation.
   Of course, negotiations between China and the Soviet Union over mili-
tary assistance were not without conflicts and differences. Especially after
the war entered the stalemate stage of “fighting while talking,” and Mao
was still asking the Soviet Union for large-scale provision of equipment,
Stalin seemed to believe that Chinese military assistance requests were no
longer totally necessary or urgent.
   On May 25, 1951, during the latter stage of the fifth Chinese battle cam-
paign of the Korean War, Mao sent a delegation to Moscow co-led by Gao
Gang and PLA Chief of the General Staff Xu Xiangqian to negotiate the
purchase of Soviet arms for 60 divisions. According to the telegram sent
after the initial discussions between Xu and the Soviet General Staff, the
188   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation
Soviets maintained that, of the quantity of arms needed for these 60 divi-
sions, they could provide arms for only 16 divisions (including arms for
three Korean divisions) in 1951; the arms for the remaining 44 divisions
would be provided during 1952 and 1953.
   Mao, extremely unhappy with this news, sent a message to Stalin on
June 21, 1951 stating that,
    Our troops’ eight months of experience in conducting war in Korea
    has clearly shown the great difference in the equipment of our troops
    and the troops of the enemy, and the extreme necessity of improving
    the equipment of our troops. This is why we commissioned Comrade
    Gao Gang to appeal to you with a request for delivery to us of arms for
    sixty divisions, to which you had agreed. This is the minimum require-
    ment for our troops in Korea for the present year.
After spelling out his sharp disappointment with the message conveyed by
the Soviet General Staff in talks with Chinese representative, Mao
implored Stalin to reconsider:
    [To satisfy] the urgent needs of the Korean theater of military opera-
    tions, I ask you to study the applications transmitted by Comrade
    Gang . . . and explore the possibility of fulfilling all deliveries of rifles,
    artillery, tanks, airplanes, automobiles . . . and other military equip-
    ment, at 1/6th [of the total] monthly, from July to the end of the year,
    so that the various military units in the Korean theater . . . receive
    replenishment . . . for the conduct of military operations.30
In response, Stalin told Mao that,
    As concerns arms for 60 division then I must say to you directly that to
    fulfill this application in the course of a single year is physically
    impossible and altogether unthinkable. Our production and military
    specialists consider it completely impossible to provide arms for more
    than ten divisions in the course of 1951. The fulfillment of the appli-
    cation is possible, and that with great difficulty, only in the course of
    1951, ’52, ’53, and the first half of ’54, that is, over three years. Such is
    the final opinion of our production and military specialists. I have
    tried in every way to shorten these periods even if by half a year, but
    unfortunately, upon examination it has turned out that this is
    impossible.31
Negotiations started in early June and stretched through the end of
October. Under the agreement, the Soviet Union agreed to supply equip-
ment for 16 divisions during 1951, with the Soviet Union to supply equip-
ment for the remaining 44 divisions only by 1954, at the rate of one-third
                                   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation   189
of the remaining 44 divisions equipped every year.32 Through April 1952,
however, the Soviet Union actually supplied equipment for only four divi-
sions, most of which would go to the Korean People’s Army. Objectively
speaking, however, when Stalin cited Soviet production difficulties, he was
telling the truth, while Mao’s insistence on the urgent need for this equip-
ment was designed to modernize China’s military.
    During the Korean War, Chinese forces were rotated into the Korean
battle reequipped and redeployed with complete sets of Soviet equipment.
Wang Yazhi, an adviser in the War Bureau of the Central Military Commis-
sion and a secretary to Peng Dehuai, has recounted the situation in con-
siderable detail.33 In the early 1950s, according to Wang, China had 106
army divisions, of which 56 were equipped according to Soviet Army
strength, that is, the equipment that was discussed for 60 divisions during
the war, (including equipment for three divisions that was donated to the
Korean People’s Army and equipment for one division that was distributed
to Chinese military schools for training purposes). Another 50 Chinese
divisions were outfitted with domestically produced copies of Soviet mili-
tary equipment.
    As for the 56 divisions outfitted completely according to the Soviet
Army’s organizational table, every division (14,963 men) had three infan-
try regiments, an artillery regiment, a tank and self-propelled cannon regi-
ment, an independent anti-aircraft artillery battalion and an independent
57 mm anti-tank battalion. Each of the 12 battalions of the artillery regi-
ments was equipped with a 122 mm howitzer, a 76.2 mm field gun, and a
120 mm mortar; the tank and self-propelled cannon regiment received 24
T-34 tanks and 16 76 mm self-propelled artillery pieces; the independent
anti-aircraft artillery regiment equipment consisted of 12 37 mm artillery
pieces; and the independent anti-tank battalion equipment consisted of 12
57 mm anti-tank guns. Each division had 13,938 infantry weapons, 303
guns, 261 cars, 84 special vehicles, 517 horse wagons and 1,136 horses.
These forces were garrisoned principally in China; only three of these
Soviet-rearmed divisions made it to the Korean front. The main reason was
that the equipment arrived late, and, by the time all of the 56 Chinese divi-
sions were reequipped with Soviet arms, the war was almost over. The
second reason was that Soviet military equipment was not well suited to
the mountainous battle conditions in Korea.
    As for armor, once the Chinese People’s Volunteers entered the Korean
War, in November 1950, the Soviet Army honored a Sino-Soviet agree-
ment by dispatching ten Soviet tank and self-propelled cannon regiments
to China to establish and train Chinese tank and armored units. A force of
ten regiments established by China received Soviet equipment and train-
ing from its Soviet counterparts; its equipment consisted of 300 T-34 light
tanks, 60 IC-2 heavy tanks and 40 ICU-122 self-propelled artillery pieces.
China used this equipment to organize three tank divisions each with two
regiments (along with an additional motorized infantry regiment and an
190   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation
artillery regiment), three independent tank regiments and a base training
regiment.
   And, as for anti-aircraft artillery, China used 37 mm guns provided by
the Soviet Union to organize 101 independent anti-aircraft artillery battal-
ions, of which 53 battalions engaged in combat in Korea; 40 more battal-
ions were placed in air defense artillery divisions and regiments protecting
various large Chinese cities; four battalions were placed in tank divisions;
and four battalions were placed on naval bases. Additionally, there were
five field anti-aircraft artillery divisions and one urban defense anti-aircraft
artillery division. Twenty-four regiments were equipped with 85 mm anti-
aircraft artillery guns, and 14 regiments were equipped with 76.2 mm anti-
aircraft artillery guns. All of these forces saw service in the Korean War.
   The Chinese Army in the 1950s also used Soviet artillery equipment to
arm two rocket divisions (nine regiments), fourteen howitzer divisions,
two anti-tank artillery divisions, thirty-three anti-aircraft artillery regiments,
four searchlight regiments, one radar regiment and eight independent
radar battalions.
   Chinese engineering troops used Soviet construction equipment and
floating bridges to equip 28 engineering regiments, of which 13 fought in
Korea. Ten Chinese railroad divisions served in Korea. Along with other
railway personnel, they totaled over 150,000 men. Their engineering
equipment was basically all purchased from the Soviet Union.
   Communication and anti-chemical weapons equipment was also pur-
chased from the Soviet Union and used in communication and anti-
chemical weapons elements throughout the Chinese Army.
   Through early 1954, China stood up 28 air divisions and five independ-
ent air regiments with over 3,000 airplanes, all purchased from the Soviet
Union.
   Sino-Soviet discussions regarding Soviet assistance to China’s navy were
plagued by financial and technical issues, and went very slowly. The
Korean War was almost over before the first bilateral naval agreement,
“The Agreement on Providing Naval Equipment and Technical Assistance
in the Construction of Military Vessels,” was signed.
   Not all arms provided by the Soviet Union were modern and advanced.
Some arms were surplus American lend lease materiel given to the Soviet
Union during World War II. Soviet-provided naval ammunition, for
instance, was limited to U.S.-made 76.2 mm coastal guns.
   In May 1952, the Chinese Military Arms Industrial Commission decided
to produce 18 types of standard weapons. Three were to copy American
designs and fifteen were to be produced using Soviet blueprints. Later that
year, the Soviet Union sent experts to China with blueprints, but it later
came out that the Soviet blueprints were for weapons no longer in Soviet
production.
   In August 1952, Peng Dehuai went to Moscow to discuss strengthening
Chinese air forces. When Peng asked the Soviet Union to provide modern
                                   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation   191
Ilyushin-28 bombers, Stalin enthusiastically agreed, but with the condition
that China also buy 120 of the older Tu-4 bombers, enough to equip four
air divisions. Because it lacked sufficient funds to do so, China bought only
ten of the TU-4s, which, it turned out, were about to be phased out in
favor of the newly developed Tu-16 bombers.
   China used U.S.$20 million of a U.S.$3 billion Soviet loan to buy a fleet
of fast torpedo boats. However, the life of their overhauled main engines
was less than half that of new engines. Similarly, two submarines and four
destroyers later purchased for the Chinese Navy were also second-hand. In
the end, however, the Soviet Union was the only country able to provide
military assistance to China, and Soviet assistance undeniably enabled the
Chinese Army to achieve the results it did on the Korean battlefield.
Sino-Soviet economic relations take off
Sino-Soviet economic relations took off during the Korean War, even as
China’s engagement in the conflict exacerbated its already difficult eco-
nomic conditions. In September 1952, Zhou Enlai informed Stalin that
China’s military expenditures as a percentage of the total state budget had
risen from 44 percent in 1950 to 52 percent in 1951.34 The U.S. and
Western economic embargo of China had also greatly harmed China’s
economic development. Between the end of 1950 and July 1951, for
instance, the prices of imported raw materials and equipment generally
doubled, with some prices quadrupling, while China’s exports plum-
meted.35 As Zhou laid out to Soviet Ambassador Roshchin, China’s state
finances were extremely tight, and China remained hobbled by a severe
shortage of technical personnel.36
   The Soviet Union provided massive assistance to China, playing a major
role in China’s economic revival. In 1950, China asked the Soviet Union
for more than 280 million U.S. dollars worth of equipment related to met-
allurgy, mining, transportation, energy production, and metal rolling and
milling, all needed to revive China’s economy, and available only from the
Soviet Union. The Soviet Council of Ministers approved the shipment of
over U.S.$135 million worth of these goods to China, simultaneously
importing over U.S.$150 million worth of goods from China.37
   The volume of Sino-Soviet trade, valued in 1949 at U.S.$26,300,000,
increased nine-fold to U.S.$241,900,000 in 1950. Sino-Soviet trade, which
was ranked third in China’s overall trade volume in 1949, jumped to first
place in 1950.38 The Soviet Union sold China vital industrial inputs, includ-
ing machinery, tools, petroleum and steel, all at prices below international
market prices.
   In this period, the Soviet Union sent a large number of economic
experts and technicians to China, and hosted a large number of Chinese
personnel for study in the Soviet Union. At the outset of the Korean War,
the Chinese government asked the Soviet Union to extend for another
192   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation
year the term of 126 Soviet experts then working in China. At the same
time, it asked the Soviet Union to host a group of 133 Chinese economic
specialists (along with 33 interpreters) for a three- to six-month study tour.
Both Chinese requests were granted. By March 1952, there were 332 Soviet
advisers and instructors and 471 Soviet technical experts in China. When
some of these experts went back to the Soviet Union, on September 21,
1952, Zhou Enlai asked Soviet Deputy Prime Minister Molotov to send 239
more to China in 1952 and 1953.39 These Soviet experts played important
roles in China’s economic development.40
   In sum, the Korean War did not merely strengthen Sino-Soviet military
cooperation, it also strengthened and increased bilateral economic coop-
eration. As noted by Professor Arne Westad, China’s performance in the
war deeply impressed Stalin, leading him in his waning years to think seri-
ously about taking the Sino-Soviet alliance to a higher level through eco-
nomic and technical cooperation.41
Fighting without break: “Politics demand we break through
the 38th parallel”
From the day the Chinese People’s Volunteers crossed the Yalu River until
the armistice was signed, Mao and Stalin shared a fundamental common
understanding of the war situation and strategic policy. As a result, though
they may have started from different vantages, they readily reached
common views on some of the most significant wartime questions.
   Shortly after the Chinese People’s Volunteers entered Korea, they
carried out two very successful mobile warfare campaigns, not only liberat-
ing Pyongyang, but also pushing the front lines near to the 38th parallel.
At this point, sharp differences arose on the Chinese side over whether
immediately to launch a third campaign to advance south of the 38th par-
allel. As the Commander in Chief at the front, Peng Dehuai argued that
his army was exhausted after two campaigns, with a rising number of sick
personnel and an urgent need for rest and replenishment. Logistical
supply was intermittent, most of the army lacked winter clothes, and
ammunition and grain were not getting through in sufficient quantities.
As the Chinese forces advanced, moreover, these problems would worsen.
As a consequence, Peng recommended delaying a third campaign until
February–March 1951.42
   When the Chief of the PLA General Staff, General Nie Rongzhen, read
Peng’s December 8 telegram conveying his request to rest his troops, Nie
agreed that after more than two months of continuous fighting, the
Chinese Army was exhausted, the loss of materiel and equipment was
enormous, and the need for rest and replenishment was urgent. Moreo-
ver, in terms of the number of troops on the front line, the Chinese Army
no longer outnumbered its foes. Therefore, Nie asked Mao to delay the
next campaign for two months.43
                                   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation   193
   Mao disagreed, however, and strongly advocated a third campaign
immediately to break through the 38th parallel. In a December 13 tele-
gram to Peng, Mao argued that,
    At present, the United States, Britain, and other countries are
    demanding that our army stop north of the 38th parallel, in order to
    put all their forces in a better position to continue fighting. There-
    fore, our army must cross the 38th parallel. If it stops north of the
    38th parallel, this will be politically extremely disadvantageous.44
After he received Mao’s telegram, Peng and the Chinese People’s Volun-
teers headquarters staff agreed to discard their original plan to rest and
reorganize over the winter. Instead, they resolved to confront and over-
come their soldiers’ extreme fatigue, their lack of sufficient troops and
supplies, and other difficulties, and to launch a third campaign to fight
across the 38th parallel. As Peng summed up the situation,
    Now, since the political situation demands that we fight, and since
    Chairman Mao Zedong has ordered that we fight, and since we really
    will face a lot of hardships when we fight, therefore we must be
    extremely prudent and know when and where to stop. Politics
    demands that we break through the 38th parallel. Therefore, we will
    resolutely push forward. Afterwards, we will adopt a policy of steady
    advance.45
On December 19, Peng replied to Mao:
    As I see it, the Korean War will be relatively long and hard. The enemy
    has turned from offense to defense, and the United Nations’ combat
    forces have an advantage as the battlefront has shrunk, their armed
    forces are concentrated, and they have developed in depth. While
    American and puppet army morale is lower than it was before, they
    still have 260,000 men under arms. Looked at politically, it would be
    very bad for its camp if the enemy were to leave Korea precipitously. If
    two or three more of their divisions are annihilated, maybe they will
    withdraw and defend a few bridgehead positions, but they cannot
    immediately withdraw completely from Korea. Our army now should
    still advance steadily, so as not to undermine the vitality of our forces.
    My telegram to you of the 8th proposed, for the time being, we not
    fight across the ‘38th parallel,’ in order to replenish our equipment
    and get ready to resume fighting next spring. After receiving your
    reply cable of the 13th, I have obeyed your instruction to fight across
    ‘the 38th parallel.’ Barring some unforeseen event, we cannot be
    defeated, but there exists the possibility that our attack will be blunted
    or our victory limited.46
194   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation
Just before Mao’s exchange with Peng, Stalin and Mao had come to a tacit
understanding on whether or not to cross the 38th parallel. On December
4, the Soviet Union offered its own somewhat tendentious view. In a con-
versation with Deputy Foreign Minister Gromyko, Chinese Ambassador
Wang Jiaxiang probed Soviet views about whether the Americans, under
then existing conditions, might engage in talks on the Korean question
with China and the Soviet Union. Gromyko replied that, at the time, the
U.S. had had not proposed to settle the Korean situation peacefully. Fol-
lowing up, Wang Jiaxiang asked: “Looked at from a political viewpoint, if
it can continue to advance successfully, should the Chinese military cross
the 38th parallel?” Gromyko replied that, “In the present situation in
Korea, the old adage ‘strike while the iron is hot’ is quite apt.” Wang indi-
cated he shared that opinion. Though Wang and Gromyko had both
stated at the outset that their conversation was unofficial and merely
reflected their personal views, they were clearly feeling each other out on
the suggestions and reactions of their leaders.47
    On December 5, 11 Asian and African countries, including Burma,
Egypt and India, urged Chinese and North Korean military forces not to
cross the 38th parallel; the United Nations, led by Britain, India and other
countries, was simultaneously probing China’s conditions for a ceasefire.
In order to keep the initiative and appear positive, the Chinese govern-
ment drew up five conditions for an armistice: All foreign military forces
should withdraw from Korea; the U.S. military should withdraw from the
Taiwan Strait and Taiwan; the Korean issue should be resolved by the
Korean people themselves; the representative of the People’s Republic of
China should join the United Nations, replacing Chiang Kai-shek’s repre-
sentative; and the foreign ministers of the four great powers should
convene a conference to prepare a peace treaty with Japan. Mao did not
forget to check with the Soviets before issuing these conditions. Mid-
afternoon on December 7, Zhou Enlai called in Ambassador Roshchin,
handed him the Chinese conditions for ceasefire talks and said:
    [B]efore we send the present conditions for a cessation of military
    operations in Korea, the Chinese government wishes that Wu Xiuquan
    [the head of China’s special delegation to the UN] consult with the
    government of the USSR and asks the Soviet government to express
    its opinion on this question.
Zhou asked to receive a Soviet answer the same day.48
   The Soviet government replied immediately, indicating it “completely
agree[d] with [China’s] conditions for a ceasefire in Korea,” adding that,
“without the satisfaction of these conditions military action cannot be
ceased.” At the same time, the Soviet Union cautioned that, “while Seoul
is still not liberated the time has not arrived for China to show all its
cards,” but rather that China should insist that the United Nations and the
                                    A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation   195
United States first put forward their conditions.49 Also on December 7, in
order to coordinate the Soviet position with the Chinese proposal, the
CPSU Politburo instructed the Soviet UN delegation to add two conditions
to the Soviet ceasefire proposal, drawing on the Chinese conditions,
namely, “The immediate withdrawal of all foreign troops from Korea” and
“The resolution of the Korean question must be left to the Korean
people.”50
   Against this background, Mao could not agree to Peng’s recommenda-
tion to temporarily halt the Chinese advance. Clearly, when Mao referred
to “politics” in his telegram, he was not only speaking of Britain and the
United States, he was also referring to preserving the interests of the Soviet
Union, North Korea and other socialist countries. As Mao said in a Decem-
ber 29 cable,
    [If] our army spends the whole winter resting and reorganizing
    without acting, this will spur a lot of speculation in the capitalist coun-
    tries, and, in the countries in the democratic front, some will disap-
    prove, leading to a lot of debate.51
China’s volunteers run out of steam
While the third campaign ultimately achieved a degree of success, the
Chinese People’s Volunteers were by then a spent force. During the fight-
ing, there was a planned withdrawal of United Nations forces. Thus, while
Chinese and North Korean military forces occupied some territory, they
inflicted no great damage to the enemy’s combat strength.52 Since there
was no letup in the difficulties facing Chinese forces, after they broke
through the 38th parallel and captured Seoul on January 8, Peng ordered
that the People’s Volunteers, which had been fighting continuously since
entering Korea three months earlier, stop, rest and reequip. This time
Mao and Stalin supported Peng’s decision.
   The North Koreans and Soviet advisers in China, however, all strongly
opposed Peng’s order to stop the advance. On the afternoon of January 9,
the chief Soviet military adviser in China, Col. General Zakharov, came to
the war room of the PLA General Staff. When he learned that the cam-
paign had been ended and the forces in Korea had halted their advance,
he expressed dissatisfaction and incomprehension, saying that it was
unheard-of for victorious forces not to pursue the enemy and exploit the
fruits of victory. Peng’s order gave the enemy breathing space and for-
feited the chance to achieve a decisive victory, complained Zakharov. Even
after hearing PLA Chief of Staff Nie Rongzhen’s painstakingly detailed
description of the hardships faced by the Chinese People’s Volunteers,
Zakharov held to his opinion.
   In Pyongyang, Kim Il-sung, together with the new Soviet Ambassador,
Lt. General V. N. Razuvaev, also vigorously advocated that the Chinese
196   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation
People’s Volunteers continue to advance south. Kim and DPRK Foreign
Minister Pak Hon-yong sought an immediate meeting with Peng, at which
they expressed strong unhappiness with his decision to halt the advance of
the Volunteers. They then complained directly about Peng to Mao and
Stalin. But when these differences reached the top levels in China and the
Soviet Union, the dispute was smoothed over by Mao and Stalin; Stalin
said Peng was correct.53
   At the same time, however, Stalin also recommended that to avoid
international censure, the Chinese People’s Volunteers could stay north of
the 38th parallel and let the Korean People’s Army advance south. When
Kim again demanded that time for rest and reorganization be shortened
and the southward advance continued, Mao cabled Peng suggesting that
the Korean People’s Army be put on the front line south of the Han River,
while the Chinese Volunteers withdrew to Inchon and north of the Han
River to rest and regroup. Mao noted that the Korean People’s Army’s
advance south could be commanded by the North Korean government,
while the Chinese People’s Volunteers took the responsibility of defend-
ing Inchon, Seoul and the area north of the 38th parallel.54
   Since North Korea’s army was not able to penetrate deeply into enemy
territory on its own, Kim in the end had to accept Peng’s position. On
January 14, Mao cabled instructions to Peng and Kim (with a copy to
Stalin) ordering a two–three month period of rest and reorganization in
preparation for launching a new spring campaign (April–May) to finally
resolve “the South Korean question.” Without such preparations, warned
Mao, “[W]e can repeat the mistakes committed by [North] Korean troops
in the period from June to September 1950.”55
   Only the concerted efforts of the Chinese and Soviet leaders resolved
the difference in views between the Chinese and North Korean frontline
commanders and forged unity of purpose. Nevertheless, Mao and Stalin
agreed only to a temporary rest and reorganization period; they did not
advocate a complete halt in the advance. Their joint strategic goal was to
drive the American army out of South Korea, though realization of this
goal was actually no longer within their grasp.56 Thus, when the United
Nations Tripartite Korean Ceasefire Committee plan was adopted by the
United Nations General Assembly on January 13, 1951, the Chinese gov-
ernment rejected it outright.
UN ceasefire proposal: U.S. reluctantly agrees, China says no
The UN Tripartite Korean Ceasefire Committee proposed a five-step
process: a ceasefire; a political conference to restore peace; a multi-stage
withdrawal of foreign armed forces and the election by the Korean people
of a unified government through appropriate mechanisms; arrangements
for management of a unified Korea; and a quadripartite post-ceasefire
conference of Britain, the United States, the Soviet Union and Communist
                                    A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation   197
China to resolve a basket of Far Eastern questions, including Chinese rep-
resentation in the United Nations and the status of Taiwan.
   This new UN plan, shared only a few hours in advance with the United
States, put Washington in a bind. As Secretary of State Acheson put it:
    The choice whether to support or oppose this plan was a murderous
    one, threatening on one side, the loss of the [South] Koreans and the
    fury of Congress and press and, on the other, the loss of our majority
    in the United Nations.
In deciding to support the UN proposal, the State Department “did so in
the fervent hope and belief that the Chinese would reject it (as they did)
. . ..”57 Put in the position opposite to that of the United States, had China
accepted this proposal, it would have come out ahead one way or the
other. As Korean War historian Chen Jian has put it, an immediate cease-
fire would have allowed the Chinese People’s Volunteers to remain legally
in all the areas they had occupied to the south of the 38th parallel, and,
even if the ceasefire had failed, they would have had precious time to
rebuild their potential for advance.58
Pressure grows on Chinese and North Korean Forces
Just as Chinese and North Korean forces entered a period of rest and reor-
ganization, the new Commander of United Nations Forces, General
Matthew Ridgeway, launched a large-scale advance, putting the Chinese
People’s Volunteers and the Korean People’s Army in a very difficult posi-
tion. While not surprised by the enemy advance, Chinese People’s Volun-
teers Commander Peng was caught off balance by the speed of the enemy’s
quick turnaround after its hasty retreat in the face of his earlier advance.
   Top Chinese and North Korean commanders met to analyze the situ-
ation. They decided that Chinese and North Korean forces still urgently
needed to rest, recuperate and reequip before continuing the fight. After
consultation with the North Koreans, Peng cabled Mao on January 27 pro-
posing that, in reaction to the UN Tripartite Ceasefire Commission plan,
    [T]o increase dissension among the imperialist countries, perhaps
    news could be spread that the Chinese and [North] Korean armies
    support a limited ceasefire, and the [Korean] People’s Army and the
    [Chinese] Volunteers have withdrawn 15 to 20 kilometers north of a
    line between Osan, Taepyongri, and Tangu. If you agree, please
    spread this news from Beijing.59
But Mao was still fairly optimistic. On January 28, he ordered Peng to halt
rest and reorganization and continue to push southward. Mao demanded
that,
198   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation
    Our troops must immediately prepare for the fourth campaign, with
    the goal of destroying 20,000–30,000 American and [South Korean]
    puppet soldiers and occupying the area to the north of a line between
    Taejon and Anto. In preparing for this campaign, it is necessary to
    hold Inchon, the bridgehead position on the south side of the Han
    River, and Seoul, and lure enemy’s forces into the Suwon–Inchon
    area. After the campaign starts, North Korean and Chinese forces
    must break through the enemy’s defensive line near Wonju, and
    advance toward Yongsong and Anto.
Continuing, Mao stressed that,
    The withdrawal of Chinese and North Korean troops 15–30 kilometers
    to the north and release of a statement in support of a temporary
    ceasefire would be disadvantageous, since the enemy clearly wants to
    cease military operations only when our troops withdraw some dis-
    tance to the north and he can blockade the Han River.
Mao instructed Peng to explain this strategy at a commanders meeting, in
preparation for a fourth campaign. Mao then reported his decision to
Stalin, seeking his reassurance that “this is advisable from the point of view
of the international situation.” Stalin backed up Mao, assuring him that,
“From the international point of view it is undoubtedly advisable that
Inchon and Seoul not be seized by the enemy.”60 Later facts show that,
under the conditions at the time, there was absolutely no way to achieve
the goal of a fourth campaign as envisioned by Mao.
Stalemate: the war that wouldn’t end
Ultimately, after fighting near the 38th parallel stalemated, efforts by Mao
and Stalin led to a proposal for an immediate ceasefire by Soviet United
Nations representative Jacob Malik.
   Mao grasped the tremendous hardships faced by the Chinese People’s
Volunteers only after an early 1951 face-to-face meeting with Peng. After
the meeting, Mao told Stalin that,
    Unless the enemy suffers massive losses, it will not withdraw from
    Korea, and to inflict massive losses on the enemy will take time. There-
    fore, the Korean War will likely be prolonged. . . . Under these circum-
    stances, our army is planning to let the enemy advance to the area
    south and north of the 38th parallel, and proceed with a new, power-
    ful campaign only after the arrival of our second echelon of nine
    armies of the Volunteers.
Mao continued:
                                   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation   199
    [A]s long as the United States continues to fight, and the U.S. Army
    continues to receive massive supplies and prepare for a long war of
    attrition against our forces, our forces must be ready for a long war. In
    several years, and only after our forces eliminate hundreds of thou-
    sands of Americans, will they know real pain and withdraw. Only then
    will we resolve the Korean question.
Stalin responded to Mao’s assessment, with the two coming to a common
understanding.61 In the fighting after this point, the Chinese People’s Vol-
unteers stopped the American advance near the 38th parallel, but only at
the cost of huge sacrifices in dead, wounded, captured and missing in
action.62
   At the end of May 1951, at Mao’s direction, the Chinese Communist
Party Central Committee undertook a thorough review of China’s strategic
position in Korea. Nie Rongzhen summed up the process and results in
his memoir:
    After the Fifth Campaign, the Central Committee met to consider
    what the next step should be. Most of the comrades present at the
    meeting felt that our forces should stop in the vicinity of the 38th par-
    allel, continue fighting [in place] during the armistice talks, and strive
    to settle the issue through negotiations. I, too, agreed with this. In my
    opinion, by driving the enemy out of northern Korea, we had achieved
    our political objective. Stopping at the 38th parallel, which meant a
    return to the ‘status quo ante,’ would be easily acceptable to all
    quarters.
After discussion, the meeting fixed on the policy advocated by Nie and
most of his Central Committee “comrades.”63
“Talking and fighting”
On June 3, 1951, Kim Il-sung arrived in Beijing. Following talks between
the Chinese Communist Party Central Committee and the North Koreans,
the two sides reached broad strategic agreement. The agreed strategy was
to end the war through negotiations while preparing to fight a longer
war.64 However, in deciding how to implement this strategy, hard ques-
tions remained concerning how to finance frontline operations and how
to confront “a possible enemy landing on the sea coast in our rear.” To
resolve these issues, Mao asked Stalin to receive Kim and Gao Gang, along
with Lin Biao, who was then recuperating in the Soviet Union. With Sta-
lin’s agreement, Kim and Gao flew to Moscow for these discussions.65
   Stalin had already begun to think about peace talks. In early May 1951,
Soviet Representative at the United Nations Malik and Deputy Representa-
tive Semyon Tsarapkin contacted some Americans and revealed the Soviet
200   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation
desire to hold peace talks. On May 18, George Kennan, a U.S. diplomat
and Soviet expert then teaching at Princeton, was called to Washington to
meet with Secretary of State Acheson, where he was given the task of
meeting with Malik. In a June 5 (second) meeting with Kennan, Malik said
that the Soviet Union wanted a peaceful resolution of the Korean question
as rapidly as possible, but it could not properly take part in ceasefire talks.
If Kennan wanted his personal opinion, said Malik, he thought the United
States should contact the North Korean and Chinese governments.
Kennan noted that Malik did not refer at all to any wider Far Eastern inter-
national issues, such as Taiwan or a Japanese peace treaty. While the U.S.
State Department apparently had trouble fathoming Moscow’s intentions,
Malik’s formulation clearly indicated that the Soviet Union was promoting
peace talks without the conditions earlier advanced by China.66
   After their talks with Stalin, Kim and Gao reported to Mao on June 13.67
The same day, Stalin told Mao that, “We [three] agreed that an armistice
is now to our advantage.”68 Mao immediately (on June 13) conveyed to
Gao and Kim several thorny political questions related to armistice negoti-
ations. The two shared Mao’s observations with Stalin on June 14:
    Concerning how to raise the question of negotiations about an armi-
    stice, we consider it inadvisable for Korea and China . . . to advance
    this question at this time since the Korean army and the Chinese vol-
    unteer troops must occupy a defensive position for the next two
    months.
        It is better to act in this way:
    1 Wait for the enemy to make an appeal.
    2 It is hoped that on the basis of what was said by Kennan, the Soviet
      government would make an inquiry to the American government
      about an armistice.
    	  It is possible to bring this about in two ways simultaneously,
      namely that from one side the Soviet government makes an
      inquiry, and from the other – if the enemy puts forth the question
      of an armistice, then Korea and China will express their agree-
      ment to this. We ask you to share opinions about which is more
      advisable and decide with Comrade Filippov [Stalin].
    3 Conditions for the armistice: restoration of the border at the 38th
      parallel; apportion from both North Korea and South Korea an
      insignificant strip [to serve] as a neutral zone. A proposal that the
      neutral zone come only from the territory of North Korea will by
      no means be accepted. North and South Korea [should not] inter-
      fere with one another.
    	  As concerns the question of the entrance of China into the UN,
      we consider it is possible not to raise this question as a condition,
      since China can refer to the fact that the UN has in fact become
                                   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation   201
      an instrument of aggression, and therefore China does not at the
      present time attach a special significance to the question of
      entrance into the UN.
    	  You must think about whether it is worth raising the question of
      Taiwan as a condition. In order to bargain with them, we consider
      that this question should be raised.
    	  If America firmly insists that the question of Taiwan be resolved
      separately, then we will make a corresponding concession.69
As noted above, Soviet Representative Malik had told the Americans
through Kennan that the Soviet Union was not in a position to propose
truce talks. However, since the United States and China were both
unwilling to take the initiative to start peace talks, Stalin finally decided
that the Soviet Union, after all, had to make a proposal. On June 23, in a
radio address at the United Nations, Soviet representative Malik pro-
posed that both sides to the Korean conflict agree to an immediate
ceasefire. The U.S. confirmed that Malik’s statement represented the
official Soviet position in a June 27 meeting between U.S. Ambassador to
Moscow Alan Kirk and Soviet Deputy Foreign Minister Andrei Gromyko.
On June 30, the United Nations Military Commander, General Ridge-
way, made a ceasefire proposal in a radio broadcast.70 On July 1, China
and North Korea responded positively to Ridgeway’s proposal. From this
point on, the Korean War entered a long and bitter stage of “talking and
fighting.”
   If there had not been this kind of tacit cooperation between Stalin and
Mao, that is, if Stalin had maintained the firm position that the Soviet
Union could not make a proposal on the question of peace talks, the stale-
mated war would have gone on, and the conditions facing the North
Korean and Chinese armies would have become even more difficult.
   On June 24, the day after Malik’s radio address, Stalin sent a message to
Mao to make it clear that the new Soviet position was a positive move that
respected China’s views: “You must already know from Malik’s speech that
we have fulfilled our promise to raise the question of an armistice.”71
   In a June 30 message to Stalin, Mao acknowledged that, “Malik’s state-
ment secured us the initiative in the matter of conducting peace negotia-
tions.” At the same time, while accepting the U.S. proposal that two
military representatives from each side should participate in ceasefire
negotiations, Mao proposed to Stalin that, “If negotiations begin, it is
extremely necessary that you personally lead them, so that we do not find
ourselves in a disadvantageous position.”72 Later, in fact, though Stalin did
not directly coordinate the Chinese and North Korean sides during the
ceasefire talks, it is obvious from Russian documents that cables flew back
and forth between Moscow and Beijing during the negotiation process,
and that Stalin approved every concrete measure adopted and every plan
decided.
202   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation
   There are two important examples of this dynamic. In January 1952,
when the peace talks fell into stalemate, North Korean Foreign Minister
Pak Hon-yong told Chinese Commander Peng that, “the Korean people
throughout the country demand peace and do not want to continue the
war.” At this point, however, Mao held that it would be impossible to yield
under then unfavorable conditions. Stalin supported Mao and worked
with him to convince Kim Il-sung.73
   Later, ceasefire negotiations dragged on over the prisoners-of-war
exchange issue, which was of more concern to China than to North Korea.
On July 14, 1952, Kim wrote to Mao arguing that they should accept
American conditions in order to achieve a quick ceasefire. Mao replied on
July 15 that,
    [A]fter two days study . . . our comrades unanimously consider that, at
    present, when the enemy is subjecting us to furious bombardment,
    accepting a provocative and fraudulent proposal from the enemy,
    which does not signify in fact any kind of concession, is highly disad-
    vantageous for us.
Rejecting the enemy proposal, argued Mao, “will bring only one harmful
consequence – further losses for the Korean people and the Chinese
People’s Volunteers.” However, “the people of China and Korea, especially
their armed forces, have [been] tempered . . . in the struggle against
American imperialism.” Meanwhile, argued Mao, the war was sucking
American strength in Asia, giving the Soviet Union time to build the world
revolutionary movement, and delaying “a new world war.”
   Mao pledged to do all in the power of the Chinese people “to overcome
the difficulties of the Korean people,” and told Kim that, “If we are not
able to resolve your questions, then we will together with you appeal to
Filippov [Stalin] with a request to render assistance for the resolution of
these questions.” Kim accepted China’s view in a July 16 reply cable to
Mao, telling Stalin the same day that,
    In Kaesong, we must . . . work to speed up the signing of an armistice,
    implement a ceasefire, and exchange prisoners of war based on the
    Geneva Convention. This demand will be supported by all peace-
    loving people, and will get us out of the passive position in which we
    find ourselves in Kaesong.74
In a July 17 message to Mao, Stalin threw his support behind Mao’s position:
“We believe your position in the negotiations on an armistice to be com-
pletely correct. Today we received a report from Pyongyang that Comrade
Kim Il-sung also agrees with your position.”75 On August 20, in talks between
Stalin and Zhou, when Zhou reviewed the differences between China and
North Korea on the prisoners-of-war issue, Stalin indicated again that,
                                   A new stage in Sino-Soviet cooperation   203
    Mao Zedong is right. This war is getting on America’s nerves. The
    North Koreans have lost nothing, except for casualties that have suf-
    fered during the war. Of course, one needs to understand Korea –
    they have suffered many casualties. But we have to explain to them
    that this is an important matter. They need patience and lots of
    endurance.76
The Korean endgame and beyond
In sum, from the entrance of Chinese troops into Korea until Stalin’s
death in March 1953, Chinese and Soviet leaders, especially Mao and
Stalin, closely coordinated their steps and views on all the important issues
regarding the war in Korea.
   Stalin died while the military conflict and the peace talks in Korea
dragged on. If Stalin’s decision to take military action in Korea was the last
major decision of international consequence in his life, then Mao’s
decision to send the Chinese military to Korea was the first major decision
of the new Chinese republic that he had proclaimed on October 1, 1949.
   Cooperation between the Mao and Stalin on the Korean War estab-
lished a foundation for the further broad development of Sino-Soviet alli-
ance relations in the early years after the founding of New China. At the
same time, several factors – the Soviet Union’s political and economic
strength, Stalin’s prestige in the international communist movement and
within the Chinese Communist Party itself, and Stalin’s rapier-like diplo-
matic skills – put Mao in a passive, subordinate position. In time, these
looming factors played a subtle role in the ultimate decline of the Sino-
Soviet alliance relationship.
   After Stalin’s death, the Soviet Union’s new leaders changed its foreign
policies to favor more accommodation and détente with the West.
Although Mao probably favored a harder line, he had to follow the chang-
ing views of the new Soviet Union leaders77 and, in July 1953, the pro-
tracted and difficult Panmunjom armistice talks finally concluded, ending
the Korean War. Sino-Soviet relations entered a new stage, characterized
at first by apparent harmony, but over the course of the 1950s, by growing
sub-surface tension and finally open discord.
Notes
The endnotes to this edition are based on the endnotes in the first
Chinese edition (2003) and additional footnotes in the second Chinese
edition (2007) of this work, but there are several changes that should
benefit readers of this English-language edition.
   When the author cited Chinese translations of English-language
primary sources or secondary material, the translator has found and cited
the primary source or secondary material in English. Thus, for instance,
citations from the Foreign Relations of the United States (FRUS) series, a com-
pilation of U.S. diplomatic records, appear as they are in the FRUS series.
Similarly, whenever possible, the translator has found and cited Russian
primary source and secondary material when the author cited Chinese
translations of such material.
   The author placed copies of Russian primary source documents used in
his first edition in the Peking University Contemporary History Research
Centre, the Chinese University Research Service Centre in Hong Kong,
and the Academia Sinica Modern History Research Institute in Taipei.
   The vast majority of these documents are available abroad in English
translation or as copies of the original Russian archive documents. Most
are accessible on the Wilson Center’s Cold War International History
Project (CWIHP) digital archive website (www.wilsoncenter.org/program/
cold-war-international-history-project). These documents are indicated by
the abbreviation “CWIHP,” as are CWHIP Working Papers that are also
available on this site. The translator has often adapted CWIHP transla-
tions. The abbreviation “NSA” indicates referenced Russian documents
that are available at the National Security Archive in Washington, D.C.
   A number of other Russian documents cited by Shen were published
in Russian journals, sometimes in English translation in Far Eastern
Affairs, the sister publication of Problemy dal’nego vostoka, both then pub-
lished by the Institute of the Far East in Moscow, and sometimes in
Russian in Problemy dal’nego vostoka or other Russian journals. When
English translations of such documents were available, the translator
cited these translations, sometimes adapting them slightly for ortho-
graphic or other reasons.
                                                                        Notes   205
Note abbreviations
APRF       Arkhiv prezidenta Rossiskoi Federatsii (Russian Presidential Archive).
AVPRF      Arkhiv vneshneii politiki Rossiskoi Federatsii (Russian Foreign
           Policy Archive).
CWIHP      Cold War International History Project at the Woodrow Wilson
           Center for International Scholars, Washington, D.C.
FRUS       Foreign Relations of the United States, Washington, D.C.: U.S. Gov-
           ernment Printing Office, various years.
NSA        National Security Archive at the Gelman Library of The George
           Washington University, Washington, D.C.
RGASPI     Rossiiskii gosudarstvennyi arkhiv sotsial’no-politicheskoi istorii
           (Russian State Archive of Socio-Political History). Including
           former RTsKhIDNI (Russian Centre for the Preservation and
           Study of Documents of Recent History) and TsPA (CPSU
           Central Committee Archive).
Introduction
1 Adapted with permission from Yang Kuisong, “Sidalin weishenme zhichi
  Chaoxian zhanzheng – du Shen Zhihua zhu Mao Zedong, Sidalin yu Chaoxian
  zhanzheng” (Why Did Stalin Back the Korean War? On Reading Shen Zhihua’s
  Mao Zedong, Stalin and the Korean War), Ershiyi shiji (Twenty-first Century), Feb-
  ruary 2004. Yang’s review critiques the 2003 edition of Shen’s book. Yang is
  professor of history at Peking University and Shanghai’s East China Normal
  University, where he is also Director of the Institute of Contemporary Studies.
  He is the author of Mao Zedong yu Mosike de enen yuanyuan (Mao Zedong and
  Moscow – Gratitude and Enmity), Jiangxi renmin chubanshe, 1999.
2 Shen Zhihua first published the results of his research on the Korean War
  outside mainland China. Shen Zhihua, Chaoxian zhanzheng jiemi (Unveiling the
  Secrets of the Korean War), Hong Kong: Tiandi tushu youxian gongsi, 1995.
3 Khrushchev’s Talk with a Chinese Party Delegation, June 22, 1960, in “Mao
  Zedong yu waibin de tanhua huibian” (Compendium of Discussions between
  Mao Zedong and Foreign Guests). (Unpublished manuscript held by Yang
  Kuisong).
4 Telegram from Stalin to Mao, May 14, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 331.
  list 55.
5 See Chapter 2, p. 41.
6 See Chapter 6, pp. 117–18.
7 See Chapter 6, p. 118.
8 In an extensive untranslated appendix to this book, Shen adduces mountains
  of information on Soviet military and economic assistance to China during and
  after the Korean War. Other extensive appendices, none of which are trans-
  lated here, describe the clash of interests during negotiation of the 1950 bilat-
  eral treaty between China and the Soviet Union, Soviet air cover during the war
  and political considerations of both countries during the process of reaching a
  ceasefire in Korea.
9 The major exception, of course, was North Korea (see below), where the
  Soviets had nurtured the Korean Workers’ Party and the North Korean regime
  in the occupation period, and over which Moscow continued to exercise
  unique influence and ultimate control.
206   Notes
10 The Eurocentric Cominform (Communist Information Bureau) was set up by
   Stalin in September 1947 after the U.S. announcement of the Marshall Plan in
   May 1947 revealed fissures between Moscow and some Eastern European cap
   itals. The Cominform was an instrument of Soviet control over Eastern Euro-
   pean communist parties and regimes and influence over key Western European
   communist parties.
11 Report in Renmin ribao (People’s Daily), January 11, 1950, p. 1.
12 “Ribenren jiefangbde daolu” (The Road to Japanese Liberation), Renmin ribao,
   January 17, 1950.
13 Conversation between Stalin and Mao, Moscow, December 16, 1949. APRF,
   fond 45, opis 1, delo 329, listy 9–17. CWIHP. See Chapter 5, p. 92.
14 See Chapter 6, p. 116.
15 Telegram from Shtykov to Vyshinsky regarding meeting with Kim, May 12,
   1950. AVPRF, fond 059a, opis 5a, delo 3, papka 11, listy 100–3. CWIHP.
16 For an account of Soviet suspicions of possible sensitive leaks from within the
   Chinese Communist Party leadership, see “Mikoyan’s Secret Mission to China
   in January and February 1949,” Far Eastern Affairs, 1995, no. 3, pp. 75–6.
17 I. V. Kovalev, “Dialog Stalin s Mao Tsedunom” (Stalin’s Dialogue with Mao
   Zedong), Problemy dal’nego vostoka (Problems of the Far East), 1991, no. 6.
18 Telegram from Shtykov to Vyshinsky, May 15, 1949. NSA. See Chapter 6,
   p. 126.
19 Telegram from Shtykov to Vyshinsky regarding meeting with Kim, May 12,
   1950. AVPRF, fond 059a, opis 5a, delo 3, papka 11, listy 100–3. CWIHP.
1 Stalin: from Yalta to the Far East
 1 Robert Conquest, Stalin, Breaker of Nations, New York: Viking Penguin, 1991, pp.
   278–81. R. C. Raack, Stalin’s Drive to the West, 1938–1945: The Origins of the Cold
   War, Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 1995, pp. 165–7.
 2 Odd Arne Westad, Cold War and Revolution: Soviet–American Rivalry and the
   Origins of the Chinese Civil War, 1944–46, New York: Columbia University Press,
   1993, p. 118. Vladislav Zubok, “Stalin’s Goals in the Far East: From Yalta to the
   Sino-Soviet Treaty of 1950,” Paper for the International Conference on “The
   Cold War in Asia,” Hong Kong, January 1996.
 3 Elliot Roosevelt, “A Personal Interview with Stalin,” LOOK, vol. 11, no. 3 (Feb-
   ruary 4, 1947), p. 22.
 4 Felix Chuev, Molotov Remembers: Inside Kremlin Politics, ed. by Albert Resis,
   Chicago: Ivan R. Dee, 1993, p. 8.
 5 J. V. Stalin, Works, Moscow: Foreign Language Publishing House, 1952–55, vol.
   12, pp. 261–2. Quoted from “Political report of the Central Committee to the
   Sixteenth Congress of the C.P. S. U. (B.), June 27, 1930,” which appears on pp.
   242–385.
 6 Speech delivered by J. V. Stalin at an election meeting in the Stalin Election
   District, Moscow, February 9, 1946, in THIRTY YEARS OF THE SOVIET STATE:
   CALENDAR: 1917–1947, Moscow: Foreign Languages Publishing House, 1947.
   In February section (pages unnumbered).
 7 J. Stalin, Economic problems of socialism in the U.S.S.R., Moscow: Foreign Language
   Publishing House, 1952, p. 39.
 8 Bruce Kuniholm, The Origins of the Cold War in the Near East: Great Power Conflict
   and Diplomacy in Iran, Turkey, and Greece, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University
   Press, 1980. Natalia I. Yegorova, “The ‘Iranian Crisis’ of 1945–1946: A View
   from the Russian Archives,” CWIHP Working Paper no. 15 (1996).
 9 Stalin explained the reason for the Soviet withdrawal from Iran in a letter to
   Ja’afar Pishevari, head of the Democratic Party of Azerbaijan. While using a lot
                                                                            Notes   207
     of high-sounding language, Stalin indicated that he hoped to trade Soviet with-
     drawal from Iran for American (and British) withdrawal from other world
     areas, thereby preserving Soviet–U.S. parity and cooperation. AVPRF, fond 06,
     opis 7, papka 34, delo 544, listy 8–9. Cited in Yegorova, “The ‘Iranian Crisis,’ ”
     pp. 23–5.
10   L. Ia. Gibianskii, “Kak voznik kominform: po novim arkhivnim materialam”
     (How the Cominform Emerged: According to New Archival Material), Novaia i
     noveishaia istoriia (Modern and Contemporary History), 1993, no. 4, pp. 134–8.
11   This report was actually written at the direction of Foreign Minister Vyacheslav
     Molotov. According to Ambassador N. V. Novikov’s memoir, “This report can
     only be regarded as written by me in a qualified sense,” and Molotov was the
     unnamed co-author. See N. V. Novikov, Vospominaniia diplomata: zapiski,
     1938–1947 (Reminiscences of a Diplomat: A Memoir, 1938–1947), Moscow,
     Izdatel’tsvo politicheskoi literatury, 1989, p. 353. For an English translation, see
     “The Novikov Telegram: Washington, September 27, 1946,” Diplomatic History,
     1991, vol. 15, no. 4, pp. 527–37. (This translation includes Molotov’s underlin-
     ings and marginal notes on what was likely a pouched report, rather than a tel-
     egram. This issue of Diplomatic History includes commentaries by George
     Kennan and others on the origin of this analysis. Kennan speculates that Novi
     kov’s report possibly was drafted to share with and to influence governments
     under Soviet control in Eastern and Central Europe as well as to strengthen
     Molotov’s hand in foreign policy debates in Moscow. See pp. 539–63, and espe-
     cially 539–40).
12   Soviet press reaction to the Truman Doctrine was relatively mild. While Novoe
     Vremia (New Times; no date given) criticized the speech and its support for the
     “fascist” Greek and Turkish regimes, accusing the U.S. of seeking world hegem-
     ony, it predicted that “more far-sighted and circumspect people” in the U.S.
     would not support the Truman Doctrine. The Soviet Consul in New York
     claimed that the Truman Doctrine “provoked a serious wave of dissatisfaction
     among the populace.” He estimated that “70–80 per cent of the American
     people are opposed to granting aid to Greece and Turkey for the reasons given
     by Truman,” since they feared the Truman plan “could lead to war between the
     Soviet Union and the United States.” AVPRF, fond 0129, opis 31, papka 192,
     delo 12, list 19. Cited in Scott D. Parrish and Mikhail M. Narinsky, “New
     Evidence on the Soviet Rejection of the Marshall Plan, 1947: Two Reports,”
     CWIHP Working Paper no. 9 (1994), p. 12.
13   Parrish and Narinsky, “New Evidence: Two Reports.”
14   Parrish and Narinsky, “New Evidence: Two Reports,” pp. 25–32, 49–51.
15   Gibianskii, “Kak voznik kominform,” p. 142. For an analysis of the Soviet–Yugo-
     slav conflict, see Shen Zhihua, Sidalin yu Tietuo: Su Nan chongtu de qiyin ji qi
     jieguo (Stalin and Tito: The Origin and Consequences of the Soviet–Yugoslav
     Conflict), Guangxi shifan daxue chubanshe, 2002.
16   RGASPI (TsPa), fond 77, opis 3, delo 90, list 11. Cited in Gibianskii, “Kak
     voznik kominform,” p. 139.
17   See Shen Zhihua: “Gongchandang qingbaoju de jianli ji qi mubiao” (The
     Founding of the Cominform and its Goals), Zhongguo shehui kexue (Social Sci-
     ences in China), 1992, no. 3, pp. 172–87. See also Gibianskii, “Kak voznik kom-
     inform,” and Parrish and Narinsky, “New Evidence: Two Reports,” esp. pp. 4–5.
2 Korea – the evolution of Soviet postwar policy
 1 For a discussion of this process, see Shen Zhihua, “Sulian chubing Zhongguo
   dongbei: mubiao he jieguo” (The Soviet Armed Intervention in Northeast
   China: Aims and Consequences), Lishi yanjiu (Historical Research), 1994, no. 5.
208   Notes
 2 For more on the origin of the 38th parallel, see Shen Zhihua, “Sanbaxian de
   youlai ji qi zhengzhi zuoyong” (The Origin and Political Function of the 38th
   Parallel), Shanghai shifan daxue xuebao (Journal of Shanghai Teachers Univer-
   sity), 1997, no. 4.
 3 Message from Truman to Stalin, August 15, 1945; Message from Stalin to
   Truman, August 16, 1945; and Message from Truman to Stalin, August 18,
   1945, in Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the USSR, Stalin’s Correspondence with
   Roosevelt and Truman 1941–1945, New York: Capricorn Books, 1965, pp. 261–7.
 4 Joseph C. Goulden, Korea: The Untold Story of the War, New York: Times Books,
   1982, p. 20.
 5 FRUS, 1945, vol. 6, p. 1039.
 6 Lee Chong-sik, “Why Did Stalin Accept the 38th Parallel?” Journal of Northeast
   Asian Studies, Winter 1985, vol. 4, no. 4.
 7 Milovan Djilas, Conversations with Stalin, translated by Michael B. Petrovich, New
   York: Harcourt Brace and World, 1962, p. 114.
 8 Message from Stalin to Truman, August 16, 1945, in Stalin’s Correspondence, p.
   266.
 9 Message from Truman to Stalin, August 18, 1945, in Stalin’s Correspondence, p.
   267.
10 Message from Stalin to Truman, August 22, 1945, in Stalin’s Correspondence, pp.
   267–8. Douglas MacArthur, Reminiscences, New York: McGraw-Hill, 1964, pp.
   326–7.
11 FRUS, Conferences at Malta and Yalta, 1945, pp. 770, 858.
12 Harry S. Truman, Memoirs of Harry S. Truman: Volume One, Years of Decision,
   Garden City, NY: Doubleday and Company, 1955, p. 265.
13 In reading hundreds of pages of Soviet documents in the Russian archives,
   Korean War scholar Kathryn Weathersby found no documents suggesting or
   reflecting policy debate, indicating that there was no free flow of opinion
   within the Soviet government at this time. Soviet Foreign Ministry documents
   of the type mentioned here thus reflect top–down views. If not approved in
   principle, a proposal would not have been drafted and submitted. See Kathryn
   Weathersby, “Soviet Aims in Korea and the Outbreak of the Korean War,
   1945–1950: New Evidence from the Russian Archives,” CWIHP Working Paper
   no. 8 (1993), p. 11, footnote 18.
14 Zhukov and Zabrodin, Korea, Short Report, June 29, 1945. AVPRF, fond 0430,
   opis 2, papka 18, delo 5, listy 18–30. Cited in ibid., pp. 11–12.
15 Soviet Foreign Ministry, Notes on the Question of Former Japanese Colonies
   and Mandated Territories and Proposal on Korea, September 1945. AVPRF,
   fond 0431I, opis 1, papka 52, delo 8, listy 40–43. Cited in ibid., pp. 14–15.
16 In 1945, Stalin’s Korea policy was not as imagined by some South Korean schol-
   ars, namely, that the Soviet Union aimed from the beginning to divide Korea as
   part of its plan to implement global Communist domination. See Henry H. Em,
   “ ‘Overcoming’ Korea’s Division: Narrative Strategies in Recent South Korean
   Historiography,” Positions, 1993, vol. 1, no. 2, p. 453.
17 Report by Malik on Establishing a Unified Provision Korean Government,
   December 10, 1945. AVPRF, fond 0102, opis 1, papka 1, delo 15, listy 18–21.
   CWIHP unpublished.
18 Report from the Political Directorate of the Primorsky Military Region to the
   Central Committee, November 5, 1945. TsPA (RGASPI), fond 17, opis 128,
   delo 47, listy 19–21. Cited in Weathersby, “Soviet Aims in Korea”, p. 16.
19 Report by Suzdalev Concerning Japanese Military and Heavy Industries in
   Korea, December 1945. AVPRF, fond 0102, opis 1, papka 1, delo 15, listy 22–9.
20 Lee In Ho, “The Soviet Military Government in North Korea,” Korea Observer,
   1992, vol. 23, no. 4, pp. 525–7.
                                                                            Notes   209
21 Intelligence Summary, North Korea, no. 1, December 1, 1945, p. 6. Cited in
   ibid., p. 525.
22 Zabrodin, The Question of a Single Provisional Government for Korea, Decem-
   ber 1945. AVPRF, fond 0102, opis 1, papka 1, delo 15, listy 11–17. Cited in
   Weathersby, “Soviet Aims in Korea,” pp. 18–19.
23 For details, see Lee, “The Soviet Military Government,” pp. 529–31.
24 For details regarding the Soviet civil administration in North Korea, see ibid.,
   pp. 534–8.
25 Sergei Goncharov, John Lewis and Xue Litai, Uncertain Partners: Stalin, Mao,
   and the Korean War, Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 1993, pp. 132,
   326–7.
26 RGASPI (TsPA/RTsKhIDNI), fond, 17, opis 128, delo 1119. Cited in Weath-
   ersby, “Soviet Aims in Korea,” p. 22.
27 Intelligence Summary: North Korea”, July 15–31, 1947, p. 6. Cited in Lee, “The
   Soviet Military Government,” p. 545.
28 Ibid., p. 546.
29 These three letters are quoted in Weathersby, “Soviet Aims in Korea,” pp. 23–4.
   As pointed out by Weathersby, “The flaw in Soviet policy was that while Stalin
   was not interested in extending Soviet control into southern Korea [i.e., in the
   early postwar period], the highly nationalist communists whom Soviet occupa-
   tion officials placed in power in North Korea were quite determined to extend
   their authority over the rest of the country. . . . Stalin was therefore caught in his
   own rhetoric.” Ibid., pp. 23–4.
30 Telegram from Meretskov and Shtykov to Stalin, May 12, 1947. APRF, fond 45,
   opis 1, delo 346, listy 4–6. NSA.
31 See Paik Nak-chung, “From the Korean War to a Unified Korea, An Interview
   with Bruce Cummings,” Korea Journal, Winter 1992, vol. 32, no. 4, p. 10. Also
   Em, “ ‘Overcoming’ Korea’s Division”; Weathersby, “Soviet Aims in Korea,” pp.
   17–19; and Lee, “The Soviet Military Government,” p. 542.
32 Telegram from Stalin to Kim, October 12, 1948. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo
   346, list 10. NSA.
33 Telegram from Shtykov concerning a North Korean delegation visit to the
   Soviet Union, January 19, 1949. NSA.
34 Evgueni Bajanov, “Assessing the Politics of the Korean War, 1949–1951,”
   CWIHP Bulletin, 1995/1996, nos. 6–7, p. 54. A. V. Torkunov and E. P. Ufimtsev,
   Koreiskaia problema: novyi vzgliad (The Korean Problem: New Views), Moscow:
   Ankil, 1995, p. 15. The record of the March 5, 1949 discussion between Stalin
   and Kim does not support the conclusion that Kim pressed Stalin at this time
   to approve military action against the South. AVPRF, fond 59a, papka 11, delo
   3, listy 10–20. CWIHP. Of course, despite this record and Kapitsa’s recollection,
   it is possible there were other secret discussions between Stalin and Kim that
   have not been revealed.
35 Kim Hakjoon, “North Korean Leaders and the Origins of the Korean War,”
   Paper for the International Conference on “The Cold War in Asia,” Hong
   Kong, January 1996.
36 While some scholars believe the Soviet Union and North Korea signed a secret
   military agreement in March 1949, no documents have surfaced in support of
   this thesis.
37 For analyses of postwar American Korea policy, see Niu Jun, “Zhanhou Meiguo
   dui Chaoxian zhengce de qiyuan” (The Origin of American Postwar Korea
   Policy), Meiguo yanjiu, 1991, vol. 2; and Shen Zhihua, Chaoxian zhanzheng jiemi
   (Unveiling the Secrets of the Korean War), Hong Kong: Tiandi tushu youxian
   gongsi, 1995.
210   Notes
3 China – twists and turns of Soviet postwar policy
 1 For a discussion of this process, see Shen Zhihua, “Sulian chubing Zhongguo
   dongbei: mubiao he jieguo” (The Soviet Armed Intervention in Northeast
   China: Aims and Consequences), Lishi yanjiu (Historical Research), 1994, no.
   5.
 2 For a detailed treatment of the 1945 Sino-Soviet treaty negotiations, see Liang
   Jingchun, “1945 nian Zhong su youhao tongmeng tiaoyue qianding neimu”
   (Behind the Scenes of the 1945 Sino-Soviet Treaty of Friendship and Alliance),
   in Zhonggong zhongyang dangshi yanjiushi keyanju bianyichu bian (Chinese
   Communist Party Central Committee History Research Bureau Scientific
   Research Office transl. and ed.), Guowai Zhonggong dangshi Zhongguo gemingshi
   yanjiu yiwen ji (Compendium of Translated Documents on the Revolutionary
   History of the Chinese Communist Party Abroad), Beijing: Zhonggong dangshi
   chubanshe, 1991, pp. 223–43.
 3 For the Sino-Soviet treaty and agreements of August 14, 1945, see Wang Tieya
   ed., Zhongwai jiuyuezhang huibian (Compilation of Old Chinese Treaties),
   Beijing: Sanlian shudian, 1962, vol. 3, pp. 1327–38.
 4 Zhang Baijia, “Dui Chongqing tanpan yixie wenti de tantao” (An Inquiry into
   Some Questions Regarding the Chongqing Talks), Jindaishi yanjiu (Modern
   Chinese History Studies), 1993, no. 5, pp. 3–4. While analytically insightful,
   Zhang’s conclusion that the Chinese Communist Party advocated “Nationalist–
   Communist cooperation to implement peaceful reconstruction [of China] as a
   long-term policy and not a short-term tactic” is probably incorrect. It may be
   more accurate to say that the Chinese Communists implemented the two
   approaches of cooperation and preparation for armed struggle alternately
   based on changing circumstances.
 5 Qin Xiaoyi ed., Zhonghua Minguo zhongyao shiliao chubian – duiRi kangzhan shiqi,
   disanbian, zhanshi waijiao (Draft of Important Historical Material of the Repub-
   lic of China – The War Against Japan, Collection Three, Wartime Diplomacy),
   Taipei: Zhongguo guomindang zhongyang weiyuanhui dangshi weiyuanhui,
   1981, vol. 2, pp. 596, 594.
 6 Ibid., vol. 2, pp. 588, 602, and 609.
 7 Hu Qiaomu, Hu Qiaomu huiyi Mao Zedong (Hu Qiaomu Recalls Mao Zedong),
   Beijing: Renmin chubanshe, 1994, pp. 87–8.
 8 In 1973, at the depth of the long freeze in Sino-Soviet relations, Moscow pub-
   lished the diary of Stalin’s wartime personal representative in Yan’an, P.
   Vladimirov. Though strongly imbued with Vladimirov’s own anti-Mao senti-
   ment, Stalin’s antipathy toward Mao is also quite clear in this diary. For an
   English edition, see Peter Vladimirov, The Vladimirov Diaries, Yenan, China:
   1942–1945, Garden City, NY: Doubleday, 1975.
 9 Stalin’s unhappiness with Mao is evident in then Comintern General Secretary
   and Stalin confidant Georgi Dimitrov’s stark “private advice” to Mao regarding
   “unease” in Moscow over CCP internal politics. See Dimitrov’s letter to Mao,
   December 22, 1943. For a Chinese translation of this letter held in the CCP
   archives, see Zhonggong dangshi yanjiu (Chinese Communist Party Historical
   Studies), 1988, no. 3, pp. 88 and 61.
10 FRUS, 1944, vol. 6, pp. 799–800.
11 Mao Zedong: Concluding Remarks to the Chinese Communist Party Seventh
   Congress, 31 May 1945. In Mao Zedong zai qida de baogao he jianghua ji (Compila-
   tion of Mao Zedong’s Report and remarks at the Seventh Congress), Beijing:
   Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe, 1995, pp. 197, 199.
12 Central Committee Decision Concerning Our Party’s Task Following the Japa-
   nese Surrender, August 11, 1945. In Zhongyang dang’anguan bian (Central
                                                                            Notes   211
     Committee Archives, ed.): Zhonggong zhongyang wenxian xuanji (Selection of
     Chinese Communist Party Central Committee Documents), Beijing: Zhong-
     gong zhongyang dangxiao chubanshe, 1991, vol. 15, pp. 228–9.
13   Zhonggong zhongyang wenxian yanjiushi bian (Chinese Communist Party
     Central Committee Document Research Office, ed.), Liu Shaoqi nianpu
     (1898–1969) (Liu Shaoqi Chronology (1898–1969)), Beijing: Zhonggong
     zhongyang chubanshe, 1996, vol. 1, pp. 476–7. The former provinces of
     Chahar, Jehol and Suiyuan, created late in the Nationalist-era generally on the
     borderlands between Northeast China and Inner Mongolia, had complicated
     inter-war histories and, at war’s end, were heavily controlled by the Chinese
     Communists.
14   Zhonggong zhongyang wenxian yanjiushi bian (Chinese Communist Party
     Central Committee Documentary Research Office, ed.): Mao Zedong nianpu
     (1893–1949) (Mao Zedong Chronology (1893–1949)), Beijing: Renmin chu-
     banshe he Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe, 1993, vol. 3, p. 9. When the Nation-
     alists moved the capital from Peking (Beijing) to Nanking (Nanjing; Southern
     Capital) in 1927, they changed the name of the former capital to Peiping
     (Northern Peace). When the Communists took power in 1949, they returned
     the capital to the north and restored its previous name, Peking (Beijing).
15   For an exploration of the reason for and process behind Chiang Kai-shek’s pro-
     posal for Chongqing talks with the Communists, see Zhang, “Dui Chongqing
     tanpan.”
16   Shi Zhe, Zai lishi jüren shenbian: Shi Zhe huiyilu (Together with Historical Giants:
     Memoirs of Shi Zhe), Beijing: Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe, 1991, p. 308.
     The date of the telegrams from Stalin are in dispute, and the originals have not
     been found, but Mao and Zhou Enlai later both spoke about this issue, and
     what they said accords with Shi Zhe’s recollection. See also Hu, Hu Qiaomu
     huiyi Mao, pp. 401–2. P. Iudin, “Zapis besedi s tovarishchem Mao Tszedunom”
     (Record of Meetings with Comrade Mao Zedong), Problemy dal’nego vostoka
     (Problems of the Far East), 1994, no. 5, p. 105.
17   Mao Zedong nianpu, vol. 3, pp. 9–10.
18   Mao Zedong’s Speech to the Enlarged Meeting of the CCP Central Committee,
     August 23, 1945. Cited in Jin Chongji ed., Mao Zedong zhuan (1893–1949) (Biog-
     raphy of Mao Zedong (1893–1949)), Beijing: Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe,
     1996, pp. 727–9.
19   Mao Zedong’s Speech to the CCP Central Committee Politburo, August 26,
     1945. Cited in ibid., p. 730.
20   Comrade Wang Ruofei’s Report, August 3, 1945, available in Zhongguo renmin
     daxue zhonggong dangshi ziliaoshi (Chinese People’s University Chinese Com-
     munist Party History Material Office), no. 6442/1. Cited in Niu Jun, “Zhong Su
     tongmen de qiyuan” (The Origin of the Sino-Soviet Alliance), Paper for the
     Hong Kong International Conference on “The Cold War in Asia,” January
     1996.
21   Central Committee Instruction on Quickly Entering the Northeast and Con-
     trolling the Broad Countryside and Medium-sized and Small Cities, August 29,
     1945. In Zhonggong zhongyang wenjian xuanji, vol. 15, p. 257.
22   Central Committee Directive Regarding Issues that Need Attention in Proceed-
     ing to the Northeast, August 29, 1945. Cited in Yang Kuisong, Zhongjian didai de
     geming – Zhongguo geming de celue zai guoji beijingxia de yanbian (The Revolution
     in the Middle Zone – Chinese Revolutionary Tactics Seen Against the Back-
     ground of the Evolution of the International Environment), Beijing: Zhong-
     gong zhongyang dangxiao chubanshe, 1992, p. 405.
23   FRUS, 1945, vol. 7, p. 1026.
212   Notes
24 For this reason, many Chinese Communist memoirs understandably promote
   the view that relations between the Chinese Communist Party and the Soviet
   Red Army were severely strained during the Soviet occupation of Northeast
   China.
25 Liu Shaoqi nianpu, vol. 1, p. 489.
26 See Yang, Zhongjian didai, pp. 405–6.
27 RGASP [TsPA], fond 17, opis 128, delo 46, listy 19–21, 22–3. Cited in Brian
   Murray, “Stalin, the Cold War, and the Division of China: A Multi-Archival
   Mystery,” Cold War International History Project Working Paper no. 12, 1995,
   pp. 3–4. CWIHP.
28 Liu Shaoqi nianpu, vol. 1, p. 490. Telegram from the CCP Central Committee to
   the CCP Chongqing delegation, September 14, 1945. Document held by Shen.
29 Central Military Commission Directive on the Strategic Policy and Specific
   Deployments for Taking the Northeast, September, 28 1945, in Zhonggong
   zhongyang wenjian xuanji, vol. 15, p. 300.
30 Donald Gillin and Ramon Myers eds, Last Chance in Manchuria: The Diary of
   Chang Kia-ngau, Stanford, CA: Hoover, 1989, pp. 97–8, 105–6.
31 Document held by Shen.
32 Central Committee Instruction to Peng Zhen, Chen Yun and others on the
   Question of Preventing the Nationalist Party from Entering the Northeast,
   October 16, 1945; Central Committee Instruction to the Northeast Bureau on
   Concentrating its Main Force to Prevent the Chiang Army from Landing,
   October 19, 1945; Central Military Commission Instruction on War Deploy-
   ments, November 1, 1945. In Zhonggong zhongyang wenxian xuanji, vol. 15, pp.
   351, 364–6, 394–6.
33 Document held by Shen.
34 For details on the negotiations, see Xue Xiantian, ed., Zhong Su guojia guanxi
   shiliao huibian (1945–1949) (Collection of Historical Material on Sino-Soviet
   State Relations (1945–1949)), Beijing: Shehui kexue wenxian chubanshe, 1996,
   pp. 1–103.
35 Gillin and Myers, Last Chance in Manchuria, pp. 132–6.
36 Chen Yun, Some Opinions on Work in Manchuria, November 30, 1945. In
   Zhonggong zhongyang wenxian bianji weiyuanhui (Chinese Communist Party
   Central Committee Document Editorial Commission): Chen Yun wenxuan
   (1926–1949) (Selected Works of Chen Yun (1926–49)), Beijing: Renmin chu-
   banshe, 1984, p. 221. See also Liu Shaoqi nianpu, vol. 1, pp. 529–31. Document
   held by Shen.
37 Molotov to Marshal Meretskov, no date, but early December 1945, AVPRF, fond
   06, opis 7, delo 524, listy 16–17. Cited in Murray, “Stalin, the Cold War,” p. 5.
38 Central Committee Instruction to the Northeast Bureau on the Main Task
   After the Withdrawal from Large Cities, November 20, 1945; Central Commit-
   tee Instruction to the Northeast Bureau on the Development Strategy After the
   Withdrawal from Large Cities and the Main Rail Lines, November 28, 1945. In
   Zhonggong zhongyang wenjian xuanji, vol. 15, pp. 433–4, 447–8.
39 Chen Yun, Some Opinions on Work in Manchuria, November 30, 1945. Cited
   in Chen Yun wenxuan, pp. 221, 223.
40 For material on the Moscow Conference of Foreign Ministers, see Xue, ZhongSu
   guojia guanxi, pp. 196–209.
41 Memorandum of Conversation between Stalin and Chiang Ching-kuo, Decem-
   ber 30, 1945. Cited in A. M. Ledovskii, “Stalin i Chan Kaishi: Sekretnaia Missiia
   Syna Chan Kaishi v Moskvy, Dekabr’ 1945 – Yanvar’ 1946” (Stalin and Chiang
   Kai-shek: The Secret Mission of the Son of Chang Kai-shek to Moscow, Decem-
   ber 1945–January 1946), Novaia i noveishaia istoria (Modern and Contemporary
   History), 1996, no. 4, pp. 109–18.
                                                                          Notes   213
42 Telegram from Zhou Enlai to the Chinese Communist Party Central Commit-
   tee, July 17, 1946; Telegram from Peng Zhen Regarding a Friend’s Warning
   Not to Fight in the Northeast, January 26, 1946. Cited in Niu Jun, Cong Yan’an
   zouxiang shijie – Zhongguo gongchandang duiwai guanxi de qiyuan (From Yan’an to
   the World – The Origin of Chinese Communist Party Foreign Relations),
   Fujian renmin chubanshe, 1992, p. 228.
43 Hu, Hu Qiaomu huiyi, p. 88.
44 Mao Zedong, Build Stable Base Areas in the Northeast, December 28, 1945. In
   Selected Works of Mao Tse-tung, Beijing: Foreign Languages Press, 1961, vol. 4, pp.
   81–4. Telegram from Liu Shaoqi to Peng Zhen on the Need to Use (Your)
   Main Force to Establish Bases in East, West, and North Manchuria, December
   24, 1945. In Zhonggong zhongyang wenjian xuanji, vol. 15, pp. 512–13.
45 See Gillin and Myers, Last Chance in Manchuria, pp. 208, 243.
46 The 1945 Sino-Soviet treaty stipulated that Soviet troops were to be withdrawn
   from Northeast China by December 3, 1945, but after discussions between the
   Soviets and the Nationalist Chinese government, the withdrawal date was
   pushed back to February 1, 1946.
47 FRUS, 1946, vol. 9, pp. 427–8.
48 For related historical material, see Xue, ZhongSu guojia guanxi, pp. 168–95.
49 Gillin and Myers, Last Chance in Manchuria, pp. 207–8.
50 Ibid., p. 197.
51 Ledovskii, “Stalin i Chan Kaishi,” p. 119.
52 Yang, Zhongjian didai, pp. 429–30.
53 I. Kovtun-Stankevich: “Shenyang weishu siling” (Shenyang Garrison Com-
   mander), Zhong’E guanxi wenti (Issues in Chinese–Russian Relations), no. 28,
   October 1990, p. 43. (Not available outside China.)
54 Central Committee Instruction to the Northeast Bureau and the Chinese Com-
   munist Delegation to the Chongqing Talks, March 13, 1946. In Zhonggong
   zhongyang wenjian xuanj, vol. 16, p. 90. Before World War II, the “Chinese
   Eastern Railway” was the name commonly used in English works for the north-
   ern line of what is now called the Chinese Changchun Railroad. After the
   Russo-Japanese War of 1904–05, the southern section of (the formerly unified)
   Chinese Eastern Railway, i.e., the portion from Changchun to Lushun (Port
   Arthur), was given to Japan by the Treaty of Portsmouth of 1905. This section
   was called the South Manchurian Railway. After the defeat of Japan in World
   War II, the South Manchurian Railway and the Chinese Eastern Railway came
   under joint Soviet–Chinese administration, through the Sino-Soviet Treaty of
   August 14, 1945, and the administratively reunited line was renamed the
   Chinese Changchun Railway. In accord with a new Sino-Soviet agreement on
   the railway on February 14, 1950, the Soviet government transferred to the Peo-
   ple’s Republic of China, without compensation, all its rights in the joint admin-
   istration of the railway, along with all railway properties, on December 31,
   1952.
55 Documents held by Shen.
56 I. Lyudnikov: “Chuanyue daxing’anling” (Crossing Daxing’anling); Bo Yike:
   “Jiefang Shiming” (A mission for liberation), Zhong‘E guanxi wenti, no. 28,
   October 1990, pp. 13, 30. (Not available outside China.)
57 CCP Central Committee Instruction to the Northeast Bureau, 5 March 1946.
   Document held by Shen. Also see Liu Shaoqi nianpu, vol. 2, p. 24.
58 Mao Zedong nianpu, vol. 3, pp. 60, 62. As early as mid-February 1946, when
   Nationalist–Communist negotiations turned to the question of Northeast
   China, the CCP Central Committee understood that the Soviet Union, to show
   its even-handedness, “may want [us] to make more concessions to the National-
   ists.” See the CCP Central Committee telegram to the Northeast Bureau
214   Notes
     concerning the status of the ceasefire negotiations in the Northeast, February
     12, 1946. Cited in Niu, Cong Yan’an zouxing shijie, pp. 231–2.
59   CCP Central Committee Instruction to the Northeast (Bureau) on Controlling
     Changchun, Harbin and the Changchun Railway, and Defending Northern
     Manchuria, March 24, 1946; CCP Central Committee Instruction to Lin Biao,
     Peng Zhen and others on Resolutely Defending Strategic Points in the North-
     east in Advance of a Ceasefire, March 25, 1946. In Zhonggong zhongyang wenjian
     xuanji, vol. 16, pp. 100–2.
60   Mao Zedong nianpu, vol. 3, pp. 70–1. The People’s Front organized by the
     Spanish Communist Party and other leftist parties won the February 1936 elec-
     tion and established a coalition Spanish Republican government. On 18 July,
     General Franco attacked the Spanish Republican government, gaining the
     open assistance of Nazi Germany and Italy. In support of the Spanish Republi-
     can government, the Comintern and the Soviet Union organized a 50,000 man
     international corps that fought with the Spanish Republican People’s Army
     under the slogan “Defend Madrid.”
61   For details see Deng Ye, “Dongbei wenti yu Siping juezhan” (The Northeast
     Question and the Decisive battle of Siping), Lishi yanjiu, 2001, no. 4, pp. 57–71.
62   Mao Zedong nianpu, vol. 3, pp. 84–6.
63   Elliot Roosevelt, A Personal Interview with Stalin, p. 23. LOOK, vol. 11, no. 3
     (February 4, 1947).
64   A. S. Anikin, Istoriia diplomatii tom V (v dvukh knigakh) kniga pervaia (Diplomatic
     History Volume 5 (in two books) Book One), Moscow: Izdatel’stvo politicheskoi
     literatury, 1974), p. 156.
65   For details see Wang Peiping and Sun Baoyun, eds, Sulian hongjun zai Luda
     (The Soviet Red Army in Lushun and Dalian), Dalianshi shizhi bangongshi
     1995 nian bianyin (Dalian City Historical Annals Office 1995 Compilation)
     (unpublished).
66   Petrov to Guan Naiguang, March 7, 1947; Petrov-Wang Shijie meeting minutes,
     March 7 and 31, 1947; Petrov to Wang Shijie aide-memoire, April 16, 1947;
     Petrov to Wang Shijie aide-memoire, May 4, 1947; and Wang Shijie to Petrov
     aide-memoire, May 12, 1947. See ROC-MFA, 119.13/320.25. Cited in Murray,
     “Stalin, the Cold War,” p. 5.
67   Telegram from Ambassador Zheng Yitong in Tehran to the Foreign Ministry in
     Nanjing, October 19, 1947. See ROC-MFA, 112.1/61.11. Cited in Murray,
     “Stalin, the Cold War,” pp. 7–8.
68   Ambassador Leighton Stuart to the Secretary of State, February 24, 1948; Stuart
     to the Secretary, February 26, 1948; Stuart to the Secretary, March 8, 1948. For
     these telegrams, see John Leighton Stuart, The Forgotten Ambassador: The Reports of
     Leighton Stuart, ed. by Kenneth W. Rea and John C. Brewer, Boulder, CO: West-
     view Press, 1981, pp. 176–9, 185–8.
69   Report by the Defense Ministry Second Department to the Foreign Ministry,
     June 4, 1948. ROC-MFA 112.2/319.13. Cited in Murray, “Stalin, the Cold War,”
     p. 8.
70   Record of the Discussion between Foreign Minister Wang Shijie and Soviet
     Ambassador Roshchin, August 25, 1948. ROC-MFA 112.3/314.57. Cited in
     Murray, “Stalin, the Cold War,” pp. 8–9. Reportedly, Chiang Kai-shek’s visit to
     Moscow was cancelled at the last minute, but before he changed his mind the
     Soviet Union had sent an airplane for him.
71   An Opinion Regarding Adjustments in Our (ROC) Foreign Policy, September
     26, 1948. ROC-MFA 112.1/314.14. Cited in Murray, “Stalin, the Cold War,”
     p. 7. See also Stuart’s messages to the Secretary, July 15 and 30, 1948; Decem-
     ber 14 and 16, 1948, and June 6, 1948. In FRUS, 1948, vol. 7, pp. 360–1, 387–8;
     644, 655–6, 281–2.
                                                                          Notes   215
72 In April 1946, Mao wrote a short article later translated and published as,
   “Some Points in Appraisal of the Present International Situation.” In Selected
   Works of Mao, vol. 4, pp. 87–8. Originally shown only to top Chinese Communist
   Party leaders, Mao’s article was later disseminated at a December 1947 Central
   Committee meeting. Cited in Hu, Hu Qiaomu huiyi, pp. 432–3.
73 CCP Central Committee Telegram to Luo Ronghuan, July 30, 1946. Cited in
   Jin, Mao Zedong zhuan, p. 772.
74 Shi, Zai lishi jüren shenbian, p. 351.
75 April 1948 Foreign Ministry Political Instruction to the (Soviet) Ambassador
   to China (draft), AVPRF, fond 018, opis 10, papka 24, delo 21, listy 11–14.
   NSA.
76 I. V. Kovalev, “Dialog Stalina s Mao Tszedunom” (Stalin’s Dialogue with Mao
   Zedong), Problemy dal’nego vostoka, 1992, nos. 1–3, p. 77.
77 S. L. Tikhvinskii, Put Kitaia k obedineniiu i nezavisimosti 1898–1949 (China’s Road
   to Unification and Independence 1898–1949), Moscow: Vostochnaia literatura,
   1996, p. 420.
78 Murray, “Stalin, the Cold War,” p. 13.
79 O. B. Borisov and B. T. Koloskov, Sovetsko-Kitaiskie Otnosheniiia 1945–1980,
   (Soviet–Chinese Relations 1945–80), Moscow: Mysl, 1980, pp. 35–6.
80 For details see Shen Zhihua, Sidalin yu Tietuo: Su Nan chongtu de qiyin ji qi jieguo
   (Stalin and Tito: The Origin and Consequences of the Soviet–Yugoslav Con-
   flict), Guangxi shifan daxue chubanshe, pp. 29–40.
81 CCP Central Committee Resolution on the Question of the Yugoslav Commu-
   nist Party, July 1, 1948. (This resolution is not easy to find. For instance, it has
   not been published in the multi-volume collection of party documents, Zhong-
   gong zhongyang wenjian xuanji.)
82 Renmin ribao (People’s Daily), November 7, 1948. Dongbei ribao (Northeast
   Daily), November, 8 1948.
83 APRF, fond 39, opis 1, delo 31, listy 30–1, 34. Cited in Andrei Ledovsky,
   “Mikoyan’s Secret Mission to China in January and February 1949,” Far Eastern
   Affairs, 1995, no. 2, pp. 74–5.
84 APRF, fond 39, opis 1, delo 31, listy 33, 34. Ibid., p. 75.
85 APRF, fond 39, opis 1, delo 31, listy 37, 38. Ibid., pp. 75–6.
86 APRF, fond 39, opis 1, delo 31, list 42. Ibid., p. 77.
87 APRF, fond 39, opis 1, delo 31, list 44 and Memorandum of A. I. Mikoyan to
   the Presidium of the CPSU Central Committee on His Visit to China in January
   and February 1949, September 22, 1960. Ibid., p. 77, 79–80.
4 Paving Mao’s road to Moscow
 1 Cited in Sergei Goncharov, John Lewis and Xue Litai, Uncertain Partners: Stalin,
   Mao, and the Korean War, Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 1993, p. 32.
   Filippov was Stalin’s code name in ciphered telegrams to China.
 2 For details on Mao’s discussions with Mikoyan, see Shi Zhe, Zai lishi jüren shen-
   bian: Shi Zhe huiyilu (Together with Historical Giants: Memoirs of Shi Zhe),
   Beijing: Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe, 1991, pp. 375–86.
 3 Memorandum of A. I. Mikoyan to the Presidium of the CPSU Central Commit-
   tee on His Visit to China in January and February 1949, September 22, 1960.
   Cited in Andrei Ledovsky, “Mikoyan’s Secret Mission to China in January and
   February 1949, Far Eastern Affairs, 1995, no. 2, pp. 88–9.
 4 Ibid., pp. 87–8.
 5 For a discussion of the Soviet Union’s complicated relations with and shifting
   policies toward Xinjiang, and how this played out in postwar Sino-Soviet rela-
   tions, see Shen Zhihua, “ZhongSu jiemeng yu Sulian dui Xinjiang zhengce de
216   Notes
     bianhua” (The Sino-Soviet Alliance and the Evolution of Soviet Policy toward
     Xinjiang), Jindaishi yanjiu (Modern Chinese History Studies), 1999, no. 3.
 6   See Li Sheng, Xinjiang duiSu(E) maoyishi, 1600–1990 (History of Xinjiang–Soviet
     (Russian) Trade, 1600–1990), Xinjiang renmin chubanshe, 1993, Chapter 9.
 7   Shen Zhihua and Li Danhui have gathered information on the local “overseas
     Soviet” presence Xinjiang and its influence in the Ili region of Xinjiang in local
     archives and interviews. See Li Danhui, “Xinjiang Sulian qiaomin wenti de lishi
     kaocha, 1945–1965” (Historical Investigation Concerning Soviet Nationals in
     Xinjiang: 1945–1965), Lishi yanjiu (Historical Studies), 2003, no. 3.
 8   Cited in Ledovsky, “Mikoyan’s Secret Mission,” 1995, no. 2, p. 87. Also
     Ledovsky, “Mikoyan’s Secret Mission,” 1995, no. 3, pp. 83–4. The latter is the
     second part of Ledovsky’s article.
 9   Cited in I. V. Kovalev, “Dialog Stalina s Mao Tszedunom” (Stalin’s Dialogue
     with Mao Zedong), Problemy dal’nego vostoka (Problems of the Far East), 1992,
     nos. 1–3, p. 86.
10   APRF, fond 39, opis 1, delo 39, listy 78–9. Cited in Ledovsky, “Mikoyan’s Secret
     Mission,” 1995, no. 3, pp. 83–4.
11   For details on military and economic assistance issues raised by the Chinese
     side at the Xibaibo discussions, see APRF, fond 39, opis 1, delo 39, listy 29, 37,
     44. Cited in Ledovsky, “Mikoyan’s Secret Mission,” 1995, no. 3, pp. 78–82. Also
     see Pei Jianzhuang, Zhonghua renmin gongheguo waijiaoshi (1949–1956) (A diplo-
     matic history of the People’s Republic of China (1949–1956)), Beijing: Shijie
     zhishi chubanshe, 1994, p. 11.
12   Ledovsky, “Mikoyan’s Secret Mission,” 1995, no. 3, pp. 78–9, 82–3.
13   Ledovsky, “Mikoyan’s Secret Mission,” 1995, no. 2, pp. 85–6, 89, and 1995; no.
     3, pp. 85–7.
14   Hu Qiaomu, Hu Qiaomu huiyi Mao Zedong (Hu Qiaomu Recalls Mao Zedong),
     Beijing: Renmin chubanshe, 1994, p. 548.
15   In an April 1949 cable, Stalin said that he was prepared to engage in barter
     trade, but was not in a position immediately to satisfy Mao’s request for a loan,
     since this needed the approval of the Supreme Soviet. Stalin said he was not
     opposed to an immediate loan, but it could not be approved before all details
     were worked out. From Kovalev’s unpublished memoirs. Cited in Goncharov et
     al., Uncertain Partners, p. 63.
16   APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 331, listy 16–19. Cited in Sergei Tikhvinsky, “New
     Facts About Zhou Enlai’s ‘Secret Demarche’ and the CPC’s Informal Negotia-
     tions with the Americans in June 1949,” Far Eastern Affairs, 1994, no. 1, pp. 50–1.
17   APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 331, listy 24–5. Ibid., p. 51.
18   Kovalev, “Dialog Stalina s Mao,” 1992, nos. 1–3, pp. 83–4.
19   APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 331, listy 66–9. Cited in Tikhvinsky, “New Facts
     about Zhou,” pp. 51–2.
20   Hu, Hu Qiaomu huiyi, p. 88.
21   FRUS, 1949, vol. 8, pp. 217–18.
22   For details on the Amethyst Incident, see Kang Maozhao, “Yingjian Zishiying hao
     shijian” (The HMS Amethyst incident), in Waijiaobu waijiaoshi bianjishi (Foreign
     Ministry Diplomatic History Editorial Office): Xin Zhonguo waijiao fengyun –
     Zhongguo waijiaoshi huiyilu (New China’s Stormy Diplomacy: Reminiscences of
     Chinese Diplomatic History), Beijing: Shijie zhishi chubanshe, 1990, pp. 33–47.
23   Kovalev, “Dialog Stalina s Mao,” 1991, no. 6, p. 87.
24   APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 331, listy 73–5. Cited in Tikhvinsky, “New Facts
     about Zhou,” p. 52. As Tikhvinsky notes, the Chinese and Soviet press gave only
     low-key coverage to the July 17, 1949 meeting at which the Sino-Soviet Friend-
     ship Association was established, with the Soviet press failing to mention Zhou
     Enlai’s speech at the meeting and Chinese English-language radio cutting any
     reference to Zhou’s praise for Lenin and Stalin.
                                                                          Notes   217
25 APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 329, list 7. See A. M. Ledovskii, “Vizit v Moskvu del-
   egatsii kommiunisticheskoi partii Kitaia v iiune – avguste 1949” (The Moscow
   Visit of a Delegation of the Communist Party of China in June–August 1949),
   Problemy dal’nego vostoka, 1996, no. 4, p. 70. (This information is not contained
   in the translation of this article cited below in Far Eastern Affairs, the English-
   language journal of Moscow’s Institute of the Far East that publishes many, but
   far from all, of the articles first published in Problemy dal’nego vostoka.)
26 Many authors formerly placed Liu Shaoqi’s departure for Moscow in early July,
   based on Shi Zhe’s incorrect recollection; see Shi, Zai lishi jüren shenbian,
   p. 396. The importance of this issue is that if Liu’s trip to the Soviet Union
   started in early July, then Mao’s June 30 declaration that China was now
   “leaning to one side” was uttered to pave the road for Liu’s visit. But, in fact,
   Liu came to substantial agreement in his talks with Stalin on the nights of June
   26–27 (see below), and only then did Mao make it clear where he stood. This
   shows that Mao regarded Liu’s achievement as significant. Mao’s pro-Soviet
   “leaning to one side” statement put China in a precarious position between the
   Soviet Union and the United States.
27 Report from Liu Shaoqi to the CPSU Central Committee and Stalin, July 4,
   1949. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 328, listy 11–50. Cited in Andrei Ledovsky,
   “The Moscow Visit of a Delegation of the Communist Party of China in June to
   August 1949,” Far Eastern Affairs, 1996, no. 4, pp. 70–85.
28 Ibid., pp. 82, 84.
29 Telegram from Liu Shaoqi to the Central Committee Secretariat, July 27, 1949.
   (Hand-copied from Chinese archives and held by Shen.) Pei, Zhonghua waijia-
   oshi, p. 13. Shi, Zai lishi jüren shenbian, pp. 414–15.
30 Telegram from Liu to the Central Committee Secretariat, July 27, 1949. Ibid.,
   p. 412.
31 Telegram from Liu to the Central Committee Secretariat, July 27, 1949. Cited
   in Kovalev, “Dialog Stalina s Mao,” 1992, nos. 1–3, pp. 78–9.
32 Memorandum of Conversation between Stalin and a Chinese Communist Party
   Central Committee Delegation, June 27, 1949. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 329,
   listy 1–7. CWIHP.
33 Shi, Zai lishi jüren shenbian, p. 408.
34 Lu Liping, “Fu Su canyu tanpan yuanjian kongjun de huiyi” (Reminiscences of
   Traveling to the Soviet Union for Air Force Assistance Talks), Junshi shilin (Mil-
   itary Histories), 1994, no. 1, p. 25.
35 Cited in Goncharov et al., Uncertain Partners, p. 74. Goncharov et al. state that
   Stalin ordered Soviet Air Force units from Lushun to Shanghai to end Nation-
   alist air attacks, while Shen says that Stalin ordered Soviet Air Force units to
   organize air defenses around Lunshun and Dalian.
36 AVPRF, fond 07, opis 23a, papka 236, delo 18, listy 32–3, 126. Cited in B. Kulik,
   “Kitaiskaia narodnaia respublika v period stanovleniia, 1949–1952” (The
   People’s Republic of China in the Founding Period, 1949–1952), Problemy
   dal’nego vostoka, 1994, no. 6, p. 75.
37 Memorandum of Conversation between Stalin and a Chinese Communist Party
   Central Committee Delegation, June 27, 1949. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 329,
   listy 1–7. CWIHP.
38 Letter from Liu to Stalin, July 6, 1949. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 328, listy
   51–5. Cited in Andrei Ledovsky, “The Moscow Visit,” 1996, no. 5, p. 87.
39 Telegram from Mao to Liu, July 25, 1949. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 328, listy
   137–40. Cited in Andrei Ledovskii, Raisa Mirovitskaia and Vladimir Miasnikov,
   Russko-Kitaiskie otnosheniia v XX veke: materialy i dokumenty, tom V, kniga 2
   (Soviet–Chinese Relations in the 20th Century: Materials and Documents,
   Volume 5, Book 2), Moscow: Pamiatniki Istoricheskoi Mysli, 2005, pp. 170–1.
218   Notes
     Telegram from Peng Dehuai to Mao on Preparations to Occupy Xinjiang, in
     Zhonggong dangsi ziliao (Chinese Communist Party History Material), 1990, no.
     36, p. 2. See also Zhonggong zhongyang wenxian yanjiushi bian (Chinese Com-
     munist Party Central Committee Documentary Research Office, ed.): Mao
     Zedong nianpu (1893–1949) (Mao Zedong Chronology (1893–1949)), Beijing:
     Renmin chubanshe, Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe, 1993, vol. 3, p. 541.
40   For details on Deng Liqun’s actitivies in Xinjiang and the Soviet role, see Deng
     Liqun, “Xinjiang heping jiefang qianhou – Zhong Su guanxi zhi yiye” (The
     Peaceful Liberation of Xinjiang – From Start to Finish – A Page in Sino-Soviet
     relations), Jindaishi yanjiu (Modern Chinese History Studies), 1989, no. 5, pp.
     143–50.
41   Soviet diplomat M. C. Kapitsa recalled in a 1992 interview that, “One of the
     most serious reasons for Stalin’s distrust of Mao was Lushun, Dalian, and the
     Chinese Changchun Railroad.” Cited in Goncharov et al., Uncertain Partners, p.
     67.
42   Zhou Enlai: “Report on Problems Concerning the Peace Talks,” April 17, 1949.
     In Selected Works of Zhou Enlai, Beijing: Foreign Languages Press, 1989, vol. 1, p.
     360.
43   Xu Zehao, Wang Jiaxiang zhuan (Biography of Wang Jiaxiang), Beijing: Dangdai
     Zhongguo chubanshe, 1996, pp. 298–9.
44   Report from Liu to the CPSU Central Committee, July 4, 1949. APRF, fond 45,
     opis 1, delo 328, listy 11–50. Cited in Ledovsky, “The Moscow Visit,” 1996, no.
     4, p. 83.
45   Kovalev, “Dialog Stalina s Mao,” 1992, nos. 1–3, p. 86. Document from Kova-
     lev’s private archive cited in Goncharov et al., Uncertain Partners, pp. 63–4.
46   Hu Qiaomu huiyi, pp. 550–1. Pei, Zhonghua renmin gongheguo waijiaoshi, pp.
     12–13.
47   See Shi, Zai lishi jüren shenbian, pp. 406–7. Pei, Zhonghua waijiaoshi, pp. 12–13.
48   Report from Liu to the CPSU Central Committee, July 4, 1949. APRF, fond 45,
     opis 1, delo 328, listy 11–50. Cited in Ledovsky, “The Moscow Visit,” 1996, no.
     4, p. 71.
49   Letter from Mao to Zhou, July 10, 1949. Cited in Jin Chongji ed., Mao Zedong
     zhuan (1893–1949) (Biography of Mao Zedong (1893–1949)), Beijing:
     Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe, 1996, p. 924.
50   Mao Zedong nianpu, vol. 3, p. 529.
51   Telegram from Mao to Liu, July 25, 1949. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 328, listy
     137–40. Cited in Ledovsky, “The Moscow Visit,” 1996, no. 5, p. 91.
52   Kovalev, “Dialog Stalina s Mao,” 1991, no. 6, p. 88. Goncharov et al., Uncertain
     Partners, pp. 69–70.
53   Chen Jian, “The Sino-Soviet Alliance and China’s Entry into the Korean War,”
     Cold War International History Project Working Paper, no. 1 (1992), p. 17.
     CWIHP.
5 Mao’s trip to Moscow
 1 Odd Arne Westad, “The Sino-Soviet Alliance and the United States: Wars, Pol-
   icies, and Perceptions, 1950–1961,” Paper for the International Conference on
   “The Cold War in Asia,” Hong Kong, January 1996.
 2 Memorandum of Roshchin’s Discussion with Chen Yun, October 28, 1949.
   AVPRF, fond 0100, opis 42, papka 288, delo 19, listy 58–62.
 3 AVPRF, fond 0100, opis 43, papka 132, delo 313, listy 2–4. Cited in B. Kulik,
   “Kitaiskaia narodnaia respublika v period stanovleniia, 1949–1952” (The
   People’s Republic of China in the Founding Period, 1949–1952), Problemy
   dal’nego vostoka (Problems of the Far East), no. 5, p. 115.
                                                                          Notes   219
 4 Liu Shaoqi’s Report at the Meeting on the Foundation of the Sino-Soviet
   Society for Friendship and Cooperation, October 5, 1949. Cited in Remin ribao
   (People’s Daily), October 8, 1949.
 5 Memorandum of Roshchin’s Discussion with Li Kenong, November 17, 1949.
   ARPRF, fond 07, opis 22, delo 220, listy 67–73.
 6 FRUS, 1949, vol. 8, pp. 537–8.
 7 I. V. Kovalev, “Dialog Stalina s Mao Tsezdunom” (Stalin’s Dialogue with Mao
   Zedong), Problemy dal’nego vostoka, 1992, p. 89.
 8 Memorandum of Roshchin’s Discussion with Zhou Enlai, November 10, 1949.
   ARPRF, fond 0100, opis 42, papka 288, delo 19, listy 81–5. Cited in Andrei
   Ledovskii, Raisa Mirovitskaia and Vladimir Miasnikov, Russko-Kitaiskie otnosh-
   eniia v XX veke: materialy i dokumenty, tom V, kniga 2 (Soviet–Chinese Rela-
   tions in the 20th Century: Materials and Documents, Volume 5, Book 2),
   Moscow: Pamiatniki Istoricheskoi Mysli, 2005, pp. 218–19.
 9 Zhonggong zhongyang wenxian yanjiushi bian (Chinese Communist Party
   Central Committee Document Research Office, ed.): Jianguo yilai Mao Zedong
   wengao (Mao Zedong Documents Since the Founding of the State), Beijing:
   Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe, 1987, vol. 1, p. 131.
10 Memorandum on Lavrentiev’s Discussion with Wang Jiaxiang, November 10,
   1949. AVPRF, fond 100, opis 42, papka 288, delo 17, listy 27–9. Cited in Andrei
   Ledovskii et al., Russko-Kitaiskie otnosheniia, pp. 216–17.
11 Request for Instructions from Gromyko to Stalin, November 12, 1949. AVPRF,
   fond 07, opis 22a, papka 13, delo 198, listy 29–30.
12 Kovalev, “Dialog Stalina s Mao,” 1992, nos.1–3, p. 88.
13 Shi Zhe, Zai lishi jüren shenbian: Shi Zhe huiyilu (Together with Historical Giants:
   Memoirs of Shi Zhe), Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe, 1991, pp. 435–7.
14 N. T. Fedorenko, “Stalin i Mao Tszedun” (Stalin and Mao Zedong), Novaia i
   noveishaia istoriia (Modern and Contemporary History),1992, no. 5, p. 100.
15 Ledovsky has incorporated this view in his writings. See A. M. Ledovskii, “Pere-
   govori I. V. Stalina s Mao Tszedunom b dekabre 1949–fevrale 1950” (Talks of I.
   V. Stalin with Mao Zedong in December 1949–February 1950), Novaia i
   noveishaia istoriia, 1991, no. 1, p. 25.
16 Information below is cited from the record of the Stalin–Mao discussion on
   December 16, 1949. Conversation between Stalin and Mao, Moscow, December
   16, 1949. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 329, listy 9–17. CWIHP.
17 According to Chinese material, Mao reported to Liu Shaoqi in a December 18,
   1950 telegram that he had told Stalin that, “There is the view in Chinese public
   opinion that because the original treaty was concluded with the Chinese
   Nationalist Party, and since the Nationalist Party has fallen, the original treaty
   has lost its significance.” According to Mao, Stalin replied that, “The original
   treaty should be revised, [but] in about two years, and, moreover, there should
   be a relatively large revision.” Cited in Pei, Zhonghua waijiaoshi (Diplomatic
   History of the People’s Republic of China (1949–1956)), Beijing: Shijie zhishi
   chubanshe, 1994, p. 18.
18 Kovalev, “Dialog Stalina s Mao,” 1992, nos. 1–3, pp. 88–9.
19 Pei, Zhonghua waijiaoshi, p. 18. Unfortunately, to date, no documents concern-
   ing this conversation have been opened to the public in either the Chinese or
   the Russian archives. Stalin and Mao reportedly discussed principally Vietnam,
   Japan and India issues in this meeting.
20 P. Iudin, “Zapis besedi s tovarishchem Mao Tszedunom” (Record of Meetings
   with Comrade Mao Zedong), Problemy dal’nego vostoka, 1994, no. 5, pp. 105–6.
21 Mao Zedong wengao, vol. 1, pp. 211, 213.
22 Summary of Mao’s Meeting with Roshchin, January 1, 1950. AVPRF, fond 0100,
   opis 43, papka 10, delo 302, list 2. NSA.
220   Notes
23 Wang Dongxing, Wang Dongxing riji (Diary of Wang Dongxing), Beijing: Zhong-
   guo shehui kexue chubanshe, 1993, pp. 169–72. Shi, Zai lishi jüren shenbian, pp.
   438–9.
24 Mao Zedong wengao, vol. 1, p. 206.
25 Iudin, “Zapis besedi s Mao,” p. 106. Mao complained to Iudin (Yudin) in March
   1956 that the draft reply for his Pravda interview was actually written by Stalin, a
   charge Shen doubts based, among other factors, on Mao’s character. Whatever
   the facts, Mao got his message out.
26 Summary of Mao’s Meeting with Roshchin, January 1, 1950. AVPRF, fond 0100,
   opis 43, papka 10, delo 302, list 1. NSA.
27 Pei, Zhonghua waijiashi, p. 96. On January 5, 1950, British Foreign Secretary
   Bevin sent a cable to Zhou Enlai communicating Britain’s desire to recognize
   the People’s Republic of China, but Sino-British talks on diplomatic relations
   were later suspended over the Korean War. China established relations with
   India in April 1950 and with Burma in June 1950. In June 1954, China and
   Britain established diplomatic relations at the Chargé level.
28 Sergei Goncharov, John Lewis and Xue Litai, Uncertain Partners: Stalin, Mao,
   and the Korean War, Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 1993, p. 211.
29 Westad, “The Sino-Soviet Alliance.”
30 Mao Zedong wengao, vol. 1, p. 212.
31 Information below is cited from the record of the Mao–Vyshinsky discussion on
   January 6, 1950. Conversation between Vyshinsky and Mao, Moscow, January 6,
   1950. AVPRF, fond 0100, opis 43, delo 43, papka 302, listy 1–5. CWIHP.
32 Goncharov et al., Uncertain Partners, p. 248.
33 Zhongyang wenxian yanjiushi he Zhonghua remin gongheguo waijiaobu
   (Central Committee Archives Research Office and the Foreign Ministry of the
   PRC): Mao Zedong waijiao wenxuan (Selected Diplomatic Documents of Mao
   Zedong), Beijing: Shijie zhishi chubanshe, 1994, p. 125. Record of Discussion
   between Molotov, Vyshinsky and Mao, January 17, 1950. AVPRF, fond 07, opic
   23a, papka 18, delo 234, listy 1–7. CWIHP.
34 Shi, Zai lishi jüren shenbian, pp. 454–7.
35 Conversation of Molotov, Vyshinsky and Mao, January 17, 1950, AVPRF, fond
   07, opis 23a, delo 234, papka 18, listy 1–7. CWIHP.
36 See Report from Molotov et al. to Stalin, January 22, 1950. AVPRF, fond 07,
   opis 23a, papka 18, delo 235, listy 42–50.
37 Information below is cited from the discussion of Stalin, Mao and others on
   January 22, 1950. Minutes of Conversation between Stalin and Mao, Moscow,
   January 22, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 329, listy 29–38. CWIHP.
38 Text of the 28 January 1950 Soviet Revision of the Chinese Draft. AVPRF,
   fond 07, opis 23a, papka 20, delo 248, listy 74–9. For the texts of the 1950
   treaty and related agreements, see Qi Shirong, Dangdai shijieshi ziliao xuanji
   (Selected contemporary historical material), Beijing: Beijing shifan xueyuan
   chubanshe, 1990, vol. 1, pp. 518–23. For more on the negotiation process, see
   Shen Zhihua and S. Goncharov, “Zhong Su tiaoyue tanpan: yuanwang he
   jieguo” (Sino-Soviet Treaty Talks: Expectations and Results), Zhonggong
   dangshi yanjiu (Chinese Communist Party Historical Studies), 1998, nos. 2, 3.
   Also, see Pei, Zhonghua waijiaosji, pp. 23–5; Goncharov et al., Uncertain Part-
   ners, pp. 126–7; and Wu Xiuquan, Zai waijiabu banian de jingli (My Eight Years
   in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs), Beijing: Shijie zhishi chubanshe, 1983, pp.
   11–12, 17–18.
39 Summary of the Vishinsky’s Discussion with Zhou, February 13, 1950. AVPRF,
   fond 07, opis 23a, papka 18, delo 234, listy 75–6. Cited in Andrei Ledovskii et
   al., Russko-Kitaiskie otnosheniia, pp. 295–6.
                                                                          Notes   221
40 Information below is cited from Vishinsky’s reports to Stalin. Vishinsky’s
   Reports to Stalin, February 1–3, 1950. AVPRF, fond 07, opis 23a, papka 18, delo
   234, listy 8–13, 29–34, 50–5. Ibid., pp. 271–80, 281–3, 287–90.
41 Information below is sourced to Pei, Zhonghua waijiaoshi, p. 25, and Shi, Zai
   lishi jüren shenbian, p. 446.
42 Minutes of Conversation between Stalin and Mao, January 22, 1950. APRF,
   fond 45, opis 1, delo 329, listy 29–38. CWIHP.
43 See Mao Zedong’s Concluding Remarks at a January 1957 Meeting of Provincial
   and Municipal Party Secretaries, and His Remarks at the March 1958 Chengdu
   Conference. Cited in Dennis Twitchett and John K. Fairbank, The Cambridge
   History of China, Volume 14, The People’s Republic of China, Part I, Cambridge: Cam-
   bridge University Press, 1987, pp. 268–9. The speeches cited in this work are from
   the book Mao Zedong sixiang wansui (Long live Mao Zedong thought) published
   during the Cultural Revolution. Cited in Iudin, “Zapis besedi s Mao,” p. 106.
44 Mao expressed his resentment on this score in his July 21–2, 1958 discussions
   with Soviet Ambassador Iudin. Ibid. See also Wu Lengxi, Shinian lunzhan
   (1956–1966): Zhong Su guanxi huiyilu (Ten years of Polemics: Recollections of
   Sino-Soviet relations (1956–1966)), Beijing: Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe,
   1999, pp. 157–60. Mao Zedong waijiao wenxuan, pp. 322–33, especially p. 323.
45 Wang Yan et al., ed., Peng Dehuai zhuan (Biography of Peng Dehuai), Beijing:
   Dangdai Zhongguo chubanshe, 1993, p. 390. Zhonggong zhongyang wenxian
   yanjiushi bian (Chinese Communist Party Central Committee Document
   Research Office, ed.), Liu Shaoqi nianpu (1898–1969) (Liu Shaoqi Chronology
   (1898–1969)), Beijing: Zhonggong zhongyang chubanshe, 1996, vol. 2, p. 237.
46 Stalin’s address to the people, September 2, 1945, in THIRTY YEARS OF THE
   SOVIET STATE: CALENDAR: 1917–1947, “September” section (pages are
   unnumbered). These remarks were first published in Pravda on September 3,
   1945. Ironically, “older generation” Bolsheviks and Mensheviks, at least at the
   time, claimed to be encouraged by the Czarist defeat in the Russo-Japanese
   War. See V. I. Lenin, “The Fall of Port Arthur.” In Collected Works, Moscow:
   Foreign Languages Publishing House, 1962, vol. 8, pp. 47–55.
6 Stalin reverses his Korea policy
 1 Telegram from Stalin to Mao, May 14, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 331,
   list 55. NSA.
 2 The views reported below were expressed during a July 24–25, 1995 conference
   on the Korean War held in Washington. The author benefited from Kathryn
   Weathersby’s conference report. See Kathryn Weathersby, “Conference Report:
   The Korean War, An Assessment of the Historical Record, Korea–America
   Society,” Georgetown University, July 1995.
 3 See also A. V. Torkunov and E. P. Ufimtsev, Koreiskaia problema: noveii vzgliad
   (The Korean Problem: New Views), Moscow: Ankil, 1995, p. 32.
 4 See also John Garver, “Polemics, Paradigms, Responsibility, and the Origins of
   the U.S.–PRC Confrontation in the 1950s,” The Journal of American–East Asian
   Relations, 1994, vol. 3, no. 1, pp. 27–8.
 5 Sergei Goncharov, John Lewis and Xue Litai, Uncertain Partners: Stalin, Mao,
   and the Korean War, Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 1993, p. 152.
 6 See A. M. Narinsky, “Berlinskii krisis 1948–1949: Novye dokumenty iz rossiiskikh
   arkhivov” (The 1948–1949 Berlin Crisis: New Material from the Russian
   Archives), Novaia i noveishaia istoriia (Modern and Contemporary History),
   1995, no. 3, pp. 16–29.
 7 Telegram from Vasilevsky and Shtemenko to Stalin, April 20, 1949. NSA.
 8 Telegram from Shtykov from Pyongyang, May 2, 1949. NSA.
222   Notes
 9 Telegram from Shtykov to Vyshinsky, June 18, 1949. NSA.
10 Telegram from Shtykov to Vyshinsky, July 13, 1949. For details on the small-
   scale engagements that occurred along the 38th parallel in spring and summer
   1949, see John Merrill, Korea: The Peninsula Origins of the War, Newark, DE: Uni-
   versity of Delaware Press, 1989, pp. 130–51. (Translator’s note: Low-level armed
   conflict between South Korean and North Korean military forces began from
   1948 after the Republic of Korea was formed in the South and the Democratic
   People’s Republic was formed in the North. There were many military clashes
   along the 38th parallel, then just a line on the map, totally unlike the present
   Korean War armistice Demilitarized Zone.)
11 Niu Jun, “Zhanhou Meiguo dui Chaoxian zhengce de qiyuan” (The Origin of
   American Postwar Policy toward Korea), Meiguo yanjiu (American Studies),
   1991, vol. 2, p. 64.
12 Telegram from Vyshinsky to Shtykov, April 17, 1949. NSA.
13 Telegram from Shtykov to Stalin, May 1, 1949. APRF, fond 6, opis 9, delo 14,
   list 57. NSA. Telegram from Menshchikov and Shtemenko to Shtykov, June 4,
   1949. APRF, fond 6, opis 9, delo 14, listy 57–62. NSA. On Soviet military assist-
   ance also see Park Mun Su, “Stalin’s Foreign Policy and the Korean War:
   History Revisited,” Korea Observer, 1994, vol. 25, no. 3, p. 348; and Torkunov and
   Ufimtsev, Koreiskaia problema, p. 20.
14 Shtykov repeatedly told Moscow that the Korean People’s Army lacked military
   materiel, “had no power to put up [battle] resistance,” and “had important
   deficiencies in preparation for war.” Telegram from Shtykov to Molotov, Febru-
   ary 4, 1949; Telegram from Shtykov to Vyshinsky, April 20, 1949. APRF, fond 3,
   opis 65, delo 839, listi 13–14. NSA. On June 25, 1949, Shtykov’s report con-
   tended that the prerequisite for strengthening the North Korean Army’s war-
   fighting potential was to be faced with a “threat from the South.” See Torkunov
   and Ufimtsev, Koreiskaia problema, pp. 20–1.
15 Telegram from Shtykov to Vyshinsky, July 2, 1949. NSA.
16 For documents on this plan and its implementation, see telegrams from
   Shtykov to Vyshinsky, June 5 and 28, 1949. NSA.
17 Telegram from Tunkin to Vyshinsky, September 3, 1949, AVPRF, fond 059a,
   opis 5a, papka 11, delo 4, listy 136–8. CWIHP. CWIHP virtual archive incor-
   rectly ascribes this telegram to Shtykov vice Tunkin.
18 Telegram from Gromyko to Tunkin, September 11, 1949, AVPRF, fond 059a,
   opis 5a, papka 11, delo 3, list 45. CWIHP.
19 Telegram from Tunkin to Soviet Foreign Ministry, in reply to September 11,
   1949 telegram, September 14, 1949. AVPRF, fond 059a, opis 5a, papka 11, delo
   3, listy 46–53. CWIHP.
20 Telegram from Shtykov to Stalin, September 15, 1949. APRF, fond 3, opis 65,
   delo 776, listy 1–21. NSA.
21 Politburo’s decision to confirm the attached instructions to the Soviet ambassa-
   dor in Pyongyang, September 24, 1949. AVPRF, fond 059a, opis 5a, delo 3,
   papka 11, listy 75–7. CWIHP.
22 Telegram from Shtykov to Vyshinsky, October 14, 1950. NSA.
23 Telegram from Gromyko to Shtykov, October 26, 1949. Telegram from Shtykov
   to Gromyko, October 31, 1949. NSA.
24 Nikita Khrushchev, Khrushchev Remembers, transl. and ed. by Strobe Talbott,
   Boston: Little, Brown and Company, 1970, pp. 367–8.
25 Goncharov et al., Uncertain Partners, pp. 137–8.
26 For a review of scholarly views on this issue, see Shen Zhihua, “Chaoxian
   zhanzheng yanjiu zongshu: xin cailiao he xin kanfa” (Korean War Research
   Appraised: New Material and Views), Zhonggong dangshi yanjiu (Chinese Com-
   munist Party Historical Studies), 1996, no. 6.
                                                                       Notes   223
27 When the North Korean-controlled guerillas in the South were at their strong-
   est, in fall 1949, they were able to attack cities, and could match Republic of
   Korea forces in terms of armament. Despite several attempts to reinforce them
   with well-trained partisan units from the North, by spring 1950, the Republic of
   Korea government had suppressed this guerilla activity. See the Japanese
   history of land warfare in Korea (Rikusenshi kenkyu fukyukai, ed.) in Chinese,
   translation, Chaoxian zhanzheng (The Korean War), transl. by Gao Pei et al.,
   Beijing: Guofang daxue chubanshe, 1990, vol. 1, p. 4.
28 Telegram from Shtykov to Vyshinsky, January 19, 1950. AVPRF, fond 059a, opis
   5a, delo 3, papka 11, listy 87–91. CWIHP. (Translator’s note: Before the North
   Korean invasion of June 25, 1950, especially during 1949, there was tremen-
   dous violence in Korea, mainly in the South, with bloody guerilla fighting that
   cost tens of thousands of lives. Most, but not all, guerilla operations in the
   South were supported by North Korea. The Rhee regime’s successful suppres-
   sion of these uprisings was extremely brutal, but its very success, along with
   regimental-sized border clashes, probably was an impetus for Kim Il-sung to
   approach Stalin again, having been politely turned down on a visit to Moscow
   in March 1949, for a green light to invade the South.)
29 Telegram from Stalin to Shtykov, January 30, 1950. AVPRF, fond 059a, opis 5a,
   delo 3, papka 11, list 92. CWIHP.
30 Telegram from Shtykov to Stalin, January 31, 1950. AVPRF, fond 059a, opis 5a,
   papka 11, delo 3, listy 92–3. Telegram from Shtykov to Vyshinsky, February 7,
   1950. AVPRF, fond 059a, opis 5a, delo 4, papka 11, listy 145–6. January 31 and
   February 7, 1950 telegrams. CWIHP. Telegram from Vyshinsky to Shtykov, Feb-
   ruary 9, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 346, list 76. February 9, 1950 tele-
   gram. CWIHP unpublished.
31 Telegram from Shtykov to Maj. General A. M. Vasilevsky, February 23, 1950.
   AVPRF, fond 059a, opis 5a, papka 11, delo 4, list 148. CWIHP.
32 Telegram from Shtykov to Vyshinsky, March 9, 1950. AVPRF, fond 059a, opis
   5a, papka 11, delo 4, listy 149–50. CWIHP. Telegram from Stalin to Shtykov,
   with message for Kim Il-sung, March 18, 1950. AVPRF, fond 059a, opis 5a,
   papka 11, delo 4, list 142. CWIHP virtual archive provides a document from
   another Russian archive that, from all appearances, is the same as this second
   telegram.
33 Telegram from Shtykov to Vyshinsky, March 21, 1950. AVPRF, fond 059a, opis
   5a, papka 11, delo 3, listy 94–5. Telegram from Shtykov to Vyshinsky, March 24,
   1950. AVPRF, fond 059a, opis 5a, papka 11, delo 4, listy 96–7. CWIHP. Kathryn
   Weathersby, “The Soviet Role in the Early Phase of the Korean War: New Docu-
   mentary Evidence,” Journal of American–East Asian Relations, Winter 1993, vol. 2,
   no. 4, p. 441. Kim Chullbaum ed., “The Truth about the Korean War, Testi-
   mony 40 Years Later,” Seoul, 1991, pp. 3, 8. According to Russian historian
   Dmitri Volkogonov, prior to Kim Il-sung’s April 1950 Moscow visit, he held
   highly restricted talks with Stalin in Moscow in February 1950. Volkogonov’s
   claim, however, is not supported by Soviet documents declassified to date.
   Volkogonov – while claiming that Stalin “almost never kept records of import-
   ant matters” – also noted that he had checked and found no documents on the
   alleged February 1950 meeting in Russian Foreign Ministry archives.
34 Weathersby, “The Soviet Role,” p. 433. Kim, “The Truth,” pp. 105–6.
35 RGASPI (TsPa), fond 5, opis 58, delo 266, listy 122–31. Cited in Weathersby,
   “The Soviet Role,” p. 441.
36 Stalin’s meeting with Kim, March 5, 1949. AVPRF, fond 059a, opis 5a, delo 3,
   papka 11, listy 10–20. CWIHP.
37 Zhukov and Zabrodin: “Korea, Short Report,” June 29, 1945. AVPRF, fond
   0430, opis 2, delo 18, papka 5, listy 18–30. Cited in Kathryn Weathersby, “Soviet
224   Notes
     Aims in Korea and the Outbreak of the Korean War, 1945–1950: New Evidence
     from the Russian Archives,” CWIHP Working Paper no. 8, 1993, pp. 11–12.
     CWIHP.
38   Soviet Foreign Ministry Notes on the Question of Former Japanese Colonies
     and Mandated Territories, September 1945. AVPRF, fond 0431I, opis 1, delo
     52, papka 8, listy 40–3. Cited in Weathersby, “Soviet Aims in Korea,” p. 14.
39   Soviet MFA Proposal on Korea, September 1945. AVPRF, fond 0431I, opis 1,
     delo 52, papka 8, listy 44–5. Cited in Weathersby, “Soviet Aims in Korea,” p. 15.
40   Cited in Dmitri Volkogonov, “Sleduyet li etogo boyatsia” (Should We Fear
     This?), Ogonyok (Little Flame), 1993, no. 26, p. 29.
41   See Zi Zhongyun, Zhanhou Meiguo waijiao shi – cong Dulumen dao Ligen (American
     Postwar Diplomatic History – From Truman to Reagan), Beijing: Shijie zhishi chu-
     banshe, 1994, pp. 158–63, 204–5. For material on the Japan Peace Treaty from
     Russian archives, see B. N. Slavinskii, “San Frantsisskaia konferentsia 1951 g. po
     mirnomu uregulirovaniiu s iaponiei i sovetskaia diplomatiia” (The 1951 San Fran-
     cisco Conference: Peaceful Normalization with Japan and Soviet Diplomacy), Prob-
     lemy dal’nego vostoka (Problems of the Far East), 1994, no. 1, pp. 80–100.
42   Telegram from Gromyko to Tunkin at the Soviet Embassy in Pyongyang, Sep-
     tember 11, 1949. AVPRF, fond 059a, opis 5a, papka 11, delo 3, list 45. Telegram
     from Tunkin to Soviet Foreign Ministry, in reply to September 11, telegram,
     September 14, 1949. AVPRF, fond 059a, opis 5a, papka 11, delo 3, listy 46–53.
     CWIHP.
43   Goncharov et al., Uncertain Partners, pp. 101, 320.
44   Weathersby, “The Soviet Role,” p. 433.
45   For former North Korean Lt. Gen. Yu Song-chol’s recollections, see Vladimir
     Petrov, “Soviet Role in the Korean War Confirmed: Secret Documents Declassi-
     fied,” Journal of Northeast Asian Studies, 1994, vol. 3, pp. 63–7. Kim, “The Truth
     about the Korean War,” pp. 143–55.
46   Cited in Goncharov et al., Uncertain Partners, p. 145. Also see Kim, “The Truth
     about the Korean War,” p. 106.
47   Telegram from Stalin to Mao, May 14, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 331,
     list 55. NSA.
48   Telegram from Liu Shaoqi to the Central Committee Secretariat, July 27, 1949.
     In Zhonggong zhongyang wenxian yanjiushi bian (Chinese Communist Party
     Central Committee Document Research Office, ed.): Jianguo yilai Liu Shaoqi
     wengao (Liu Shaoqi Documents Since the Foundation of the State), Beijing:
     Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe, 1998, vol 1, p. 313.
49   Even on the question of whether or not North Korea should establish relations
     with the People’s Republic of China, North Korea sought the view of the Soviet
     Union. Telegram from Stalin to Shtykov, October 3, 1949. APRF, fond 45, opis
     1, delo 346, list 58. NSA.
50   Telegram from Shtykov to Vyshinsky, May 15, 1949. NSA.
51   Telegram from Kovalev to Stalin, May 18, 1949. APRV, fond 45, opis 1, delo
     331, listy 59–61.
52   Telegram from Tunkin to Soviet Foreign Ministry, in reply to September 11,
     1949 telegram, September 14, 1949. AVPRF, fond 059a, opis 5a, papka 11, delo
     3, listy 46–53. CWIHP.
53   For a short treatment of such “collusion” theorists, see Mineo Nakajima, “The
     Sino-Soviet Confrontation: Its Roots in the International Background of the
     Korean War,” The Australian Journal of Chinese Affairs, January 1979, no. 1, pp.
     19–47, especially pp. 28 and 43, footnote 472.
54   See Paik Nak-chung, “From the Korean War to a Unified Korea”, p. 13. Zeng
     Kelin: Rongma shenya de huiyi (Reminiscences of Army Life), Beijing: Jiefangjun
     chubanshe, 1992, p. 252.
                                                                          Notes   225
55 For a detailed discussion of the repatriation of ethnic Korean troops serving in
   the PLA to North Korea, see Chen Jian, China’s Road to the Korean War, New
   York: Columbia University Press, 1994, pp. 109–10.
56 Zhongguo renmin jiefangjun dongbei junqu silingbu, ed. (People’s Liberation
   Army Northeast Military Region Headquarters, ed.): Dongbei sannian jiefang
   zhanzheng junshi ziliao (Military Material on the Three-year War to Liberate the
   Northeast), October 1949, pp. 76–7 (not available outside China). Telegram from
   Shtykov to Stalin, September 15, 1949. APRF, fond 3, opis 65, delo 776, list 15.
57 Telegram from Moscow to Shtykov, January 8, 1950. Telegram from Shtykov to
   Moscow, January 11, 1950. NSA. See also Nie Rongzhen, Nie Rongzhen huiyilu
   (Memoirs of Nie Rongzhen), Beijing: Jiefangjun chubanshe, 1982, p. 744.
58 Military expenditures constituted the major portion of China’s 1949 state
   budget, with 60 percent of expenditures going to military personnel costs. If
   expenses for combat and logistical supplies are added, the proportion was even
   higher. In December 1949, Mao proposed using army troops for income-
   producing economic activity, and, in April 1950, he proposed to begin demobi-
   lization. See Zhongguo shehui kexueyuan, Zhongyang dang’anguan bian
   (Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and Central Committee Archives, ed.):
   1949–1951 nian Zhonghua renmin gongheguo jingji dang’an ziliao xuanbian: zonghe
   zhuan (Selection of Material from the the People’s Republic of China Eco-
   nomic Archives, 1949–51: Summary Volume), Zhongguo chengshi jingji shehui
   chubanshe, 1990, pp. 114–15, 120. Zhonggong zhongyang wenxian yanjiushi
   bian (Chinese Communist Party Central Committee Document Research
   Office, ed.): Jianguo yilai Mao Zedong wengao (Mao Zedong Documents Since
   the Founding of the State), vol. 1, pp. 182–3, 310.
59 Allen S. Whiting, China Crosses the Yalu: The Decision to Enter the Korean War, Stan-
   ford: Stanford University Press, 1960, p. 44.
60 From the author’s July 31, 1996 Moscow interview with Professor Ledovsky.
   Shen later found one of the two telegrams to which Ledovsky referred. Based
   on the telegram from Gromyko to Kovalev on November 5, 1949, it appears
   that, on October 21, Mao sent a telegram to Stalin indicating that he did not
   believe that North Korea should take military action at that time. Stalin replied
   that, “We support the view you expressed on this issue, and will share advice in
   this spirit with our Korean friends.” NSA.
61 The consensus of Korean War scholars is that Stalin did not discuss a North
   Korean attack on the South with Mao during the Chinese leader’s winter
   1949–50 visit to Moscow. Shi Zhe and Jia Peicai, both of whom were involved
   Mao’s discussions with Stalin, hold this view. See Chen Jian, China’s Road to the
   Korean War, pp. 112, 263, and Kim Hakjoon, “North Korean Leaders.” Profes-
   sor Bajanov, who has mastered a major portion of the relevant Russian archives,
   agrees. See Evgueni Bajanov, “Assessing the Politics of the Korean War,
   1949–1951,” CWIHP Bulletin, 1995/1996, nos. 6–7, p. 87. Bajanov points out
   that while Stalin was reconsidering his Korea policy during Mao’s time in
   Moscow, and discussed Korea with Mao, “according to all available data the
   Soviet dictator never mentioned to the Chinese guest his decision to launch an
   attack on the South as well as his invitation to Kim Il-Sung to come to Moscow.”
62 Telegram from Stalin to Mao, May 3, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 331, list
   54.
63 Telegram from Shtykov to Vyshinsky regarding meeting with Kim, May 12,
   1950. AVPRF, fond 059a, opis 5a, delo 3, papka 11, listy 100–3. CWIHP. (Trans-
   lator’s note: As related in this telegram, and as told to Ambassador Shtykov by
   Kim, the North Korean ambassador to Beijing had been rebuked for acting
   without authorization in discussing with Mao and Zhou Enlai the subject of
   Kim’s requested meeting with Mao. Disagreeing with Zhou, who suggested
226   Notes
     Kim’s meeting be official, Mao told the North Korean Ambassador that, “if you
     intend to begin military operations against the South in the near future, then
     [we] should not meet officially. . . .” Mao also reportedly opined that, “[T]he
     unification of Korea by peaceful means is not possible, solely military means
     are required to unify Korea. As regards the Americans, there is no need to be
     afraid of them. The Americans will not enter a third world war for such a small
     territory.” Thus, whether or not Stalin gave Mao a heads-up on his emerging
     decision while Mao was in Moscow, Mao had a heads-up from the North Korean
     ambassador in Beijing sometime (it is not clear when from the record) before
     Kim came to China to brief him. It is, of course, quite possible that Mao all
     along knew or suspected more than he was willing to share with his CCP Polit-
     buro colleagues in a timely fashion.)
64   Telegram from Roshchin to Moscow, May 13, 1950. AVPRF, fond 059a, opis 5a,
     papka 11, delo 3, listy 100–3. CWIHP.
65   Telegram from Stalin to Mao, May 14, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 331,
     list 55. NSA.
66   Xue Litai has proposed two reasons for Mao’s agreement with Kim’s plan to
     attack South Korea: First, in discussing the issue with Mao, Kim overstated Sta-
     lin’s enthusiasm for an attack on South Korea. Second, Mao had asked for
     Soviet assistance in an attack on Taiwan. If he had then indicated skepticism
     about Kim’s plan, Mao might have feared that this would stoke Stalin’s nervous-
     ness about a Chinese Communist attack on Taiwan. See Weathersby, “Confer-
     ence Report.”
67   AVPRF, fond 0100, opis 43, papka 4, delo 302, list 198. Cited in B. Kulik,
     “Kitaiskaia narodnaia respublika v period stanovleniia, 1949–1952” (The
     People’s Republic of China in the Founding Period, 1949–1952), Problemy
     dal’nego vostoka, 1994, no. 6, p. 75.
68   Zhonggong zhongyang wenxian yanjiushi bian (Chinese Communist Party
     Central Committee Document Research Office, ed.): Zhou Enlai nianpu,
     1949–1976 (Zhou Enlai Chronology, 1949–1976), Beijing: Zhongyang wenxian
     chubanshe, 1997, vol. 1, p. 37.
69   Soviet-era diplomat M. C. Kapitsa’s memoir provides evidence that the Soviets
     knew that the Chinese Communist Party Politburo opposed Kim Il-sung’s pro-
     posal. See Goncharov et al., Uncertain Partners, p. 146, where a Soviet diplomat is
     cited to the effect that, “throughout multiple bilateral talks on Kim’s proposal
     for war, the Soviets knew that the Chinese Politburo opposed the idea.”
     However, Goncharov et al. deduce that Mao was forced to respond positively to
     Kim’s initiative, lest he undercut his own argument that the Soviet Union
     should support an invasion of Taiwan.
70   Xu Yan, Diyici jiaoliang: kangMei yuanChao zhanzheng de lishi huigu yu fansi (The
     First Test: Recollections and Reflections on the History of the War to Resist
     America and Assist Korea), Zhongguo guangbo dianshi chubanshe, 1990, p. 16.
     Zhou Jun, “Xin Zhongguo chuqi renmin jiafangjun weineng suixing Taiwan
     jihua yuanyin chutan” (A Preliminary Exploration of the Reasons for the Inabil-
     ity of the People’s Liberation Army to Implement the Taiwan Campaign Plan
     in the Early New China period), Zonggong dangshi yanjiu, 1991, no. 1. pp. 67–9.
71   According to a former high-ranking North Korean supply officer, before the
     outbreak of the war, all Soviet weapons assistance to North Korea was sent by
     sea, not over the Chinese rail system. This was done to prevent China from
     learning about war preparations. Koreans who had returned from China were
     also excluded from war planning, again to maintain security and keep the
     Chinese in the dark. See Goncharov et al., Uncertain Partners, pp. 153 and 163.
72   All judgments of Stalin’s motivation for changing his Far Eastern policy are
     based on deductive analysis of historical material. No documentary proof has
                                                                       Notes   227
   been found to support such judgments. In historical research on the leader-
   ship of a country such as the Soviet Union, it is unusual to find direct docu-
   mentary evidence with which to interpret leadership motivations. Even when
   authentic documents are available, it is hard to say that the words recorded
   reflect the true intentions of the leader of such a political system.
7 North Korea crosses the 38th parallel
 1 Peter Calvocoressi, Survey of International Affairs, 1952, London: Oxford Univer-
   sity Press, 1956, p. 2.
 2 Telegram from Shtykov to Zakharov, June 26, 1950. From a collection of Soviet
   military documents obtained by the British Broadcasting Cooperation in 1994
   for a BBC documentary. CWIHP.
 3 For further analysis of the U.S. decision to intervene in the Korean War, see
   Shen Zhihua, “Meiguo shi zenyang juanru Chaoxian zhanzheng de?” (How Did
   the United States Get Into the Korean War?”), Shijie lishi, 1995, no. 3. See also
   Niu Jun, “Meiguo dui Chaoxian zhengce de yanbian” (The Evolution of U.S.
   Korea Policy), Meiguo yanjiu (American Studies), 1991, no. 1.
 4 Telegram from Stalin to Shtykov, July 1, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 346,
   list 104. CWIHP.
 5 Telegrams from Shtykov to Stalin, July 1 and 4, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1,
   delo 346, listy 105–7. CWIHP.
 6 In 1950, the Soviet Union provided 870 million rubles worth of military mater-
   iel to North Korea, almost three times the value of military assistance in 1949.
   (No foreign currency conversion factor is given.) See Sergei Goncharov, John
   Lewis and Xue Litai, Uncertain Partners: Stalin, Mao, and the Korean War, Stan-
   ford, CA: Stanford University Press, 1993, p. 147.
 7 Telegram from Stalin to Shtykov, July 6, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 346,
   list 140. CWIHP.
 8 See Shen Zhihua, Chaoxian zhanzheng jiemi (Unveiling the Secrets of the Korean
   War), Hong Kong: Tiandi tushu youxian gongsi, 1995, pp. 155–77.
 9 Nikita Khrushchev, Khrushchev Remembers, transl. and ed. by Strobe Talbott,
   Boston: Little, Brown and Company, 1970, p. 370.
10 Telegram from Shtykov to Stalin, transmitting a letter from Kim to Stalin, July
   8, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 346, listy 143–4. CWIHP.
11 Cited in Dimitri Volkogonov, “Sleduyet li etogo boyatsia” (Should We Fear
   This?), Ogonyok (Little Flame), 1993, no. 26, p. 29.
12 Cited in Evgueni Bajanov, “Assessing the Politics of the Korean War, 1949–1951,
   CWIHP Bulletin, 1995/1996, nos. 6–7, pp. 88–9.
13 Telegram from Stalin to Roshchin, with message for Zhou, July 5, 1950. APRF,
   fond 45, opis 1, delo 331, list 79. CWIHP.
14 Telegram from Stalin to Roshchin transmitting a message for Mao, July 8, 1950.
   APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 334, list 82. CWIHP.
15 Telegram for Kim, via Shtykov, August 28, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo
   347, listy 5–6, 10–11. CWIHP.
16 Three days after launching the war, Kim Il-sung sent a military officer to brief
   China on the war situation. According to Shi Zhe, Mao Zedong was very
   unhappy, telling Shi after the briefing that, “They are our close neighbor, but
   did not consult with us before the outbreak of the war, and only now have
   come to speak with us.” See Li Haiwen, “Zhongong zhongyang jiujing heshi
   jueding zhiyuanjun chuguo zhuozhan?” (When did the Chinese Communist
   Party Central Committee Finally Decide to Send Volunteers Abroad to Fight?),
   Dang de wenxian (Party Documents), 1993, no. 5, p. 85.
228   Notes
17 Lei Yingfu, “Kang Mei yuan Chao zhanzheng jige zhongda juece de huiyi” (Rec-
   ollections of Several Key Strategic Decisions in the War to Resist America and
   Assist Korea), Dang de wenxian, 1993, no. 6, p. 76.
18 Zhonggong zhongyang wenxian yanjiushi bian (Chinese Communist Party
   Central Committee Document Research Office, ed.): Zhou Enlai nianpu,
   1949–1976 (Zhou Enlai Chronology, 1949–1976), Beijing: Zhongyang wenxian
   chubanshe, 1997, vol. 1, p. 52. Zhou Jun, “Xin Zhongguo chuqi renmin jia-
   fangjun weineng suixing Taiwan jihua yuanyin chutan” (A Preliminary Explora-
   tion of the Reasons for the Inability of the People’s Liberation Army to
   Implement the Taiwan Campaign Plan in the Early New China Period), Beijing:
   Zonggong dangshi yanjiu, 1991, no. 1, p. 72. On August 11, the Central Military
   Commission agreed with People’s Liberation Army commander Chen Yi’s rec-
   ommendation to delay the campaign plan against Taiwan until after 1951.
19 Zhou Enlai nianpu, vol. 1, p. 51.
20 Zhou Enlai nianpu, vol. 1, p. 54. As noted above, with no Chinese ambassador in
   Pyongyang, on July 8, Stalin reminded Mao that he might want to send a repre-
   sentative to Pyongyang, “if, of course, Mao Zedong considers it necessary to
   have communications with [North] Korea.”
21 Zhonggong zhongyang wenxian yanjiushi bian (Chinese Communist Party
   Central Committee Document Research Office, ed.): Jianguo yilai Mao Zedong
   wengao (Mao Zedong Documents Since the Founding of the State), Beijing:
   Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe, 1987, vol. 1, p. 428. Li Ping, Kaiguo zongli Zhou
   Enlai (The PRC’s First Premier: Zhou Enlai), Beijing: Zhonggong zhongyang
   dangxiao chubanshe, 1994, p. 247.
22 Xu Yan, Diyici jiaoliang: kangMei yuanChao zhanzheng de lishi huigu yu fansi (The
   First Test: Recollections and Reflections on the History of the War to Resist
   America and Assist Korea), Beijing: Zhongguo guangbo dianshi chubanshe,
   1990, p. 16.
23 Bo Yibo, Ruogan zhongda juece yu shijian de huigu (Recollections of Some Import-
   ant Policies and Events), Beijing: Zhonggong zhongyang dangxiao chubanshe,
   1991, vol. 1, p. 43.
24 Mao Zedong wengao, vol. 1, pp. 454, 469, 485.
25 Zhou Enlai nianpu, vol. 1, pp. 68–70. Li, Kaiguo zongli Zhou Enlai, pp. 247–8. Lei,
   “KangMei yuanChao” (Continuation), Dang de wenxian, 1994, no. 1, p. 25. Mao
   Zedong wengao, vol. 1, p. 484.
26 Alexandre Mansourov, “Stalin, Mao, Kim, and China’s Decision to Enter the
   Korean War, September 16–October 15, 1950: New Evidence from the Russian
   Archives,” CWIHP Bulletin, 1995/1996, nos. 6–7, pp. 95–6.
27 Report from Vasilevsky to Stalin, September 23, 1950. APRF, fond 3, opis 65,
   delo 827, listy 81–2. CWIHP.
28 Telegram from Matveyev (General M. V. Zakarov) to Stalin, September 26,
   1950. APRF, fond 3, opis 65, delo 827, listy 103–6. CWIHP.
29 Telegram with Instructions from Stalin to Matveyev (General Zakharov) and
   Ambassador Shtykov, approved by the CPSU Politburo, September 27, 1950.
   APRF, fond 3, opis 65, delo 827, listy 90–3. CWIHP.
30 According to former Korean Workers’ Party Central Committee Secretary Im Un
   and North Korea ceasefire delegate Lee Sang-jo (North Koreans living in exile),
   Mao warned Kim to anticipate a U.S. landing at Inchon. According to Im, “Kim Il-
   sung ignored [Mao’s] warnings as matters unworthy of consideration, and
   ordered his men to keep [Mao’s advice] secret.” Cited in Chen Jian, China’s Road
   to the Korean War, New York: Columbia University Press, 1994, pp. 273, 275.
31 Vladimir Petrov, “Soviet Role in the Korean War Confirmed: Secret Documents
   Declassified,” Journal of Northeast Asian Studies, 1994, vol. 3, pp. 60–1.
32 Chen, China’s Road to the Korean War, p. 161.
                                                                      Notes   229
33 Zhou Enlai nianpu, vol. 1, p. 80.
34 Zhou Enlai nianpu, vol. 1, p. 83.
35 Chai Chengwen and Zhao Yongtian, Banmendian tanpan (Panmunjom Talks),
   Jiefangjun chubanshe, 1989, p. 79.
36 Joseph C. Goulden, Korea: The Untold Story of the War, New York: Times Books,
   1982, p. 281.
37 Li, Kaiguo Zongli Zhou Enlai, p. 249. Renmin ribao (People’s Daily) prominently
   published Zhou’s remarks on October 1. While Li claims the last half of the
   Chinese warning was added to the draft by Zhou, researchers at the Institute of
   Military Science told the author that, in fact, this addition to the draft is in
   Mao’s hand.
38 Telegram from Shtykov to Gromyko, September 30, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis
   1, delo 347, listy 46–9. CWIHP.
39 Telegram from Kim Il-sung and South Korean Communist leader Pak Hon-
   yong to Stalin, via Shtykov, September 30, 1950, APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo
   347, listy 41–5. CWIHP. CWIHP Virtual Archive gives the date of this message
   as September 29, though the telegram was sent on September 30.
40 Mansourov, “Stalin and China’s Decision,” p. 98.
41 Petrov, “Soviet Role in Korean War,” pp. 60–1.
42 Telegram from Stalin to Mao and Zhou, via Ambassador Roshchin, October 1,
   1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 347, listy 97–8. CWIHP.
8 China decides: “whatever the sacrifice necessary”
 1 Alexandre Mansourov, “Stalin, Mao, Kim, and China’s Decision to Enter the
   Korean War, September 16–October 15, 1950: New Evidence from the Russian
   Archives,” CWIHP Bulletin, 1995/1996, nos. 6–7, pp. 95, 106–7 (footnote 30).
 2 Chinese officials have told the author that no copy of the telegram published
   by Russia has been found in Chinese archives. Russian academics told the
   author at a January 1996 academic conference in Hong Kong that Russian
   archives hold no copy of the telegram published by China.
 3 Zhonggong zhongyang wenxian yanjiushi bian (Chinese Communist Party
   Central Committee Document Research Office, ed.): Jianguo yilai Mao Zedong
   wengao (Mao Zedong Documents Since the Founding of the State), Beijing:
   Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe, vol. 1, pp. 539–40.
 4 Telegram from Roshchin to Stalin, conveying an October 2, 1950 message from
   Mao to Stalin, October 3, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 334, listy 105–6.
   CWIHP.
 5 Chen Jian, China’s Road to the Korean War, New York: Columbia University Press,
   1994, p. 173. In researching his book, Chen extensively interviewed persons
   with contemporary and other knowledge of the Korean War, gaining the
   understanding of the situation described here from military figures. The
   author, through other channels, has confirmed Chen’s findings. Xu Yan told
   the author that his interviews confirmed the same facts.
 6 The author gathered information about this situation in the course of inter-
   viewing informed sources. These events are also described in Wang Yan et al.,
   ed., Peng Dehuai zhuan (Biography of Peng Dehuai), Beijing: Dangdai Zhong-
   guo chubanshe, 1993, p. 400.
 7 Chen in China’s Road to the Korean War (p. 175) states that the October 2
   meeting decided to send Chinese troops into Korea on or about October 15,
   and that Mao suggested before the end of the meeting that he convey this
   decision in a personal telegram to Stalin. Chen told the author that he wrote
   this based on the assumption that Mao’s October 2 cable (as published by
   China) had been sent.
230   Notes
 8 Shi Zhe, Zai lishi jüren shenbian: Shi Zhe huiyilu (Together with Historical Giants:
   Memoirs of Shi Zhe), Beijing: Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe, 1991, pp. 401–2.
   Nie Rongzhen huiyilu (Memoirs of Nie Rongzhen), Beijing: Jiefang chubanshe,
   1984, vol. 2, p. 735. (Translator’s note: The English-language edition of Nie
   Rongzhen’s memoirs, Inside the Red Star: The Memoirs of Marshal Nie Rongzhen, p.
   636, gives a more “heroic” version of the October 4 Politburo meeting, along
   with reference to Lin Biao’s dissent and fear when he was asked to command
   Chinese troops in Korea. See below for bibliographic information.) Also see
   Peng Dehuai’s October 14 address to high-level cadres of the Chinese People’s
   Volunteers, in Peng Dehuai zhuan ji bianxie zu (Peng Dehuai Biographical
   Research and Editorial Group), Peng Dehuai junshi wenxuan (Selection of Mili-
   tary Writings of Peng Dehuai), Beijing: Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe, 1988,
   pp. 320–1.
 9 Peng Min, chief ed., Dangdai zhongguo de jiben jianshe (The Basic Construction
   of Contemporary China), Beijing: Zhongguo shehui kexue chubanshe, 1989,
   vol. 1, pp. 4–5.
10 For these and other economic indicators, see Zhongguo shehui kexueyuan,
   Zhongyang dang’anguan bian (Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and Central
   Committee Archives, ed.): 1949–1951 nian Zhonghua renmin gongheguo jingji
   dang’an ziliao xuanbian: zonghe zhuan (Selection of Material from the People’s
   Republic of China Economic Archives, 1949–1951: Summary Volume), Beijing:
   Zhongguo chengshi jingji shehui chubanshe, 1990, pp. 23, 28–9 and 65.
11 Zhonggong zhongyang wenxian yanjiushi bian (Chinese Communist Party
   Central Committee Document Research Office, ed.): Zhou Enlai waijiao
   wenxuan (Selection of Zhou Enlai’s Diplomatic Documents), Beijing:
   Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe, 1991, pp. 25–7. When Indian Ambassador
   Panikkar told Zhou of press reports that South Korean troops had already
   crossed the 38th parallel, Zhou noted that China had read a press report that
   General Walker had led troops across the 38th parallel, but that it was unclear
   whether these were U.S. or South Korean troops.
12 As late as October 14, when the U.S. and South Korean armies had already
   broken through the Pyongyang defense perimeter, intelligence in the posses-
   sion of China was that, “It appears there is no final decision yet on whether and
   when the Americans will advance on Pyongyang.” “The American forces are
   still at the 38th peninsula.” Mao Zedong wengao, vol. 1, pp. 558, 560.
13 After extensive discussions with Chinese historians and reading “often self-
   serving” memoirs of participants in the October 4–5 Politburo meetings, Chen
   Jian concluded “that it would be safe to say that almost all members of the
   Politburo, except Mao, expressed reservations in different degrees about
   sending troops to Korea.” See Chen, China’s Road to the Korean War, p. 281, foot-
   note 78.
14 Interview with Yang Shangkun, July 20, 1984. See Wang, Peng Dehuai zhuan, pp.
   401–3.
15 Xu Yan, Diyici jiaoliang: kangMei yuanChao zhanzheng de lishi huigu yu fansi (The
   First Test: Recollections and Reflections on the History of the War to Resist
   America and Assist Korea), Beijing: Zhongguo guangbo dianshi chubanshe,
   1990, pp. 23–4. Chen, China’s Road to the Korean War, p. 185. Wang, Peng Dehuai
   zhuan, pp. 401–3.
16 Memorandum from Gromyko to Stalin, with draft cable to Shtykov, September
   30, 1950. APRF, fond 3, opis 65, delo 877, listy 123–5. CWIHP.
17 Telegram from Gromyko to Shtykov, approved by CPSU Poliburo, October 5,
   1950. APRF, fond 3, opis 65, delo 827, listy 121–2. CWIHP.
18 Memorandum from Gromyko and Vasilevsky to Stalin, attaching draft cable to
   Shtykov, October 6, 1950. APRF, fond 3, opis 65, delo 827, listy 126–7. CWHIP.
                                                                      Notes   231
19 Telegram from Stalin to Kim, via Ambassador Shtykov, October 8, 1950. APRF,
   fond 45, opis 1, delo 347, listy 65–7. CWIHP.
20 Mao Zedong wengao, vol. 1, pp. 543–5.
21 Telegram from Shtykov to Stalin, October 9, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo
   347, listy 72–3. CWIHP. Summary of the Meeting between Gromyko and Chu
   Yong-ha, October 10, 1950. APRF, fond 2, opis 65, delo 776, listy 157–8.
22 Telegram from Roshchin to Stalin, October 8, 1950. RGASPI, fond 558, opis
   11, delo 334, list 132. Cited in Novaia i noveishaia istoriia (Modern and Con-
   temporary History), 2005, no. 5, pp. 107–8.
23 In the portion that has been redacted from the October 2 telegram that has
   been released by China, Mao asked Stalin to provide a large amount of military
   equipment, including tanks, heavy artillery, other heavy and light arms, and
   several thousand vehicles. He also asked the Soviet Union to provide air
   support when Chinese forces entered North Korea.
24 Du Ping, Zai zhiyuanjun zongbu (In the Headquarters of the Volunteers),
   Beijing: Jiefangjun chubanshe, 1989, pp. 21–2.
25 Besides the memoirs of Zhou Enlai’s interpreter Shi Zhe, China has also pub-
   lished the memoirs of Zhou’s confidential secretary, Kang Yimin (see below).
   Mansourov told the author in October 1996 that, in interviewing Stalin’s inter-
   preter, N. T. Federenko, he had learned that Federenko had prepared minutes
   of the Black Sea meeting that would soon be published. However, to date, no
   documents from the Russian archives on the Black Sea meeting have been pub-
   lished. There are even different dates cited for this meeting. Zhonggong
   zhongyang wenxian yanjiushi bian (Chinese Communist Party Central Commit-
   tee Document Research Office, ed.): Zhou Enlai nianpu 1949–1976 (Zhou Enlai
   Chronology, 1949–1976), Beijing: Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe, 1997, vol. 1,
   p. 85 states that Zhou departed Beijing on October 8, reached Moscow on
   October 10, met with Stalin on the Black Sea on the afternoon of October 11
   and returned to Moscow on October 12. According to Shi Zhe, the meeting
   took place on October 10–11. Based on Fedorenko’s reported minutes, Russian
   scholars claim the meeting took place on October 9–10.
26 Li Haiwen, “Zhongong zhongyang jiujing heshi jueding zhiyuanjun chuguo
   zhuozhan?” (When did the Chinese Communist Party Central Committee
   Finally Decide to Send Volunteers Abroad to Fight?), Dang de wenxian, 1993,
   no. 5, pp. 85–8.
27 See Xiong Huayuan, “KangMei yuanChao zhanzheng qianxi Zhou Enlai mimi
   fangSu” (Zhou Enlai’s Secret Visit to the Soviet Union on the Eve of the War
   to Resist America and Assist Korea), Dang de wenxian, 1994, no. 3, p. 83. Zhang
   Xi, “Zhongguo renmin zhiyuanjun ruChao qianxi ‘turan zhanting’ de
   jingguo” (The ‘Temporary Halt’ on the Eve of the Chinese People’s Volun-
   teers’ Entry into Korea), Dangshi yanjiu ziliao (Party History Study Material),
   1993, no. 1, p. 3.
28 Mansourov, “Stalin and China’s Decision,” p. 103.
29 For Zhou Enlai’s July 31, 1960 Report to the CCP Central Committee Work
   Conference, see Li Ping, Kaiguo zongli Zhou Enlai (The PRC’s First Premier:
   Zhou Enlai), Beijing: Zhonggong zhongyang dangxiao chubanshe, 1994, p.
   252. For the explanation given by Mao and Zhou to Kim Il-sung in 1970 regard-
   ing China’s intent in sending Zhou to Moscow before dispatching Chinese
   troops to Korea, see Xiong, “KangMei yuanChao,” pp. 84–5.
30 See Mansourov, “Stalin and China’s Decision,” pp. 102–3.
31 Xu, Diyici jiaoliang, pp. 23–4. Li, Kaiguo zongli Zhou Enlai, p. 250.
32 For Kang’s recollection, see Qi Dexue, Chaoxian zhanzheng juece neimu (The
   Inside Story Behind Korean War Policy), Shenyang: Liaoning daxue chuban-
   she, 1991, pp. 62–3. However, Kang muddies the picture by reporting that,
232   Notes
     after Zhou returned to Moscow from the Black Sea, Molotov urged Zhou not to
     deploy Chinese troops and withdrew the Soviet offer to arm Chinese troops,
     but that Zhou angrily and successfully fought back against this alleged instance
     of Soviet cold feet. Quite possibly, Kang confused this alleged event with other
     aspects of the discussions regarding whether and how to assist North Korea.
     See also Pei Jianzhuang, Zhonghua renmin gongheguo waijiaoshi (1949–1956) (A
     Diplomatic History of the People’s Republic of China (1949–1956)), Beijing:
     Shijie zhishi chubanshe, 1994, p. 39. Also see Yang Feng’an and Wang
     Tiancheng, Jiashi Chaoxian zhanzheng de ren (The Men Who Conducted the
     Korean War), Beiing: Zhonggong zhongyang dangxiao chubanshe, 1993, p. 99.
     (The latter book is not available outside China.)
33   Mansourov, “Stalin and China’s Decision,” pp. 103, 105.
34   Shi, Zai lishi jüren shenbian, pp. 497–8, 500.
35   Nikita Khrushchev, “The Truth about the Korean War,” Far Eastern Affairs,
     1991, no. 1, p. 165.
36   See Li, “Zhonggong heshi jueding,” p. 88. Zhang, “Zhongguo ‘turan zhan
     ting,’ ” p. 3. Li and Zhang told the author that they were not aware that the
     October 11 joint telegram from Stalin and Zhou had been found in Chinese
     archives (but see below), though Mao’s telegram to Zhou on October 13 (see
     below) mentions this earlier telegram.
37   See Xiong, “KangMei qianxi,” p. 85. Li, Kaiguo zongli Zhou Enlai, p. 252.
38   Telegram from Stalin and Zhou to Mao, October 11, 1950. RGASPI, fond 558,
     opis 11, delo 334, listy 134–5. Cited in Novaia i noveishaia istoriia, 2005, no. 5,
     pp. 108–9.
39   A 1966 Soviet Foreign Ministry document states that China only sent troops to
     Korea under Soviet pressure. See Kathryn Weathersby, “The Soviet Role in the
     Early Phase of the Korean War: New Documentary Evidence,” Journal of Ameri-
     can–East Asian Relations, Winter 1993, vol. 2, no. 4, p. 443. However, this expla-
     nation is not in accord with the facts.
40   Evgueni Bajanov, “Assessing the Politics of the Korean War, 1949–1951, CWIHP
     Bulletin, 1995/1996, nos. 6–7, pp. 88–9.
41   Telegram from Stalin to Roshchin transmitting a message for Zhou, July 5,
     1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 331, list 79. CWIHP.
42   Telegram from Stalin to Zhou or Mao, via Roshchin, July 13, 1950. APRF, fond
     45, opis 1, delo 331, list 85. CWIHP.
43   Telegram from Roshchin to Stalin, July 22, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo
     334, listy 88–9. NSA.
44   Telegram from Vyshinsky to Roshchin, transmitting a message from Stalin to
     Zhou, July 25, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 334, list 90. CWIHP. Telegram
     from Stalin to Zhou, via Kotov, August 27, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo
     334, list 94. CWIHP.
45   At this time Soviet air assets in the region were impressive. According to a July
     1, 1950 estimate by the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Soviet air assets in the Far East
     included 2,200 fighters, 600 attack planes, 1,100 light bombers, 600 bombers,
     500 transport planes and 300 reconnaissance planes, for a total of 5,300 air-
     craft. In addition, the Soviet naval air force in the Far Eastern theater included
     550 fighters, 80 transport planes, 350 light bombers and 170 reconnaissance
     aircraft. See Paul Kesaris ed., Records of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Part II: 1946–1953,
     The Far East, Washington: A Microfilm Project of University Publishers of
     America, 1979, no. 9. The newly formed Chinese Fourth Air Force only
     deployed to its Liaoyang base in late October 1950 and to its Langtou base in
     Andong (now Dandong) on December 21, and only then did it start training
     with the Soviet Air Force. The first few Chinese Air Force planes joined the air
     war over Korea only on January 21, 1951. See “Zhongguo renmin jiefangjun
                                                                              Notes   233
     lishi ziliao congshu bianshen weiyuanhui” (Chinese People’s Liberation Army
     Historical Material Editorial Commission): Kongjun huiyi shiliao (Air Force His-
     torical Reminiscences), Beijing: Jiefangjun chubanshe, 1992, pp. 245–50.
46   Wang, Peng Dehuai zhuan, p. 404.
47   Telegrams from Roshchin to Stalin, October 12, 1950. RGASPI, fond 558, opis
     11, delo 334, listy 140–1. Cited in Novaia i noveishaia istoriia, 2005, no. 5, p. 109.
48   Memorandum from Golovko and Fokin to Stalin, October 13, 1950, APRF,
     fond 3, opis 65, delo 827, list 139. CWIHP.
49   Mansourov, “Stalin and China’s Decision,” p. 104.
50   Shtykov to Stalin Telegram, October 14, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 335,
     list 3. CWIHP. For details regarding Kim’s evacuation preparations, see Man-
     sourov, “Stalin and China’s Decision,” p. 104.
51   I. F. Stone, The Hidden History of the Korean War, New York and London: Monthly
     Review Press, 1952, p. 137.
52   Wang Yazhi, “KangMei yuanChao zhanzheng zhong de Peng Dehuai, Nie
     Rongzhen” (Peng Dehuai and Nie Rongzhen in the War to Resist America and
     Assist Korea), Junshi shilin (Military Histories), 1994, no. 1, p. 9.
53   Mao Zedong wengao, vol. 1, pp. 552–3.
54   Wang, “KangMei yuanChao,” pp. 8–9.
55   Chen, China’s Road to the Korean War, pp. 201–2. Wang, Peng Dehuai zhuan, pp.
     405–6. According to material cited by Chen, Peng was very angry on learning
     the Soviet Union would not provide air cover over Korea and even threatened
     to resign his command. This version of events, however, has not been con-
     firmed in other sources.
56   Mao Zedong wengao, vol. 1, p. 556.
57   Li, “Zhonggong heshi jueding,” p. 88. Xiong, “KangMei qianxi,” p. 86.
58   Mao Zedong wengao, vol. 1, pp. 560–1.
59   Telegram from Roshchin to Stalin, reporting a meeting with Mao, October 13,
     1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 335, listy 1–2. CWIHP. Listed as a “14
     October” telegram in the CWHIP virtual archive, but not on the document in
     translation, this telegram was received in Moscow on October 14. This docu-
     ment in the Russian archives and the telegram sent by Mao on October 13 to
     Zhou are virtually identical.
60   Telegram from Stalin to Kim, October 13, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo
     347, list 75. CWIHP. The date signed by Stalin on this telegram is October 13.
     However, Stalin only saw Roshchin’s telegram on the Chinese dispatch of
     troops to Korea in the early hours of October 14. This telegram, therefore,
     should have been dated October 14.
61   Telegram from Stalin to Kim, October 14, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo
     347, list 77. CWIHP.
62   For Mao’s two October 14, 1951 telegrams to Zhou Enlai, see Mao Zedong
     wengao, vol. 1, pp. 558–61. Also see Zhou Enlai nianpu, vol. pp. 86–7; Shi, Zai
     lishi jüren shenbian, p. 502; and Xiong, “KangMei qianxi,” pp. 85–7. Xiong in
     particular presents a very careful, detailed chronology of the messages between
     the Chinese and Soviet leaderships during Zhou’s visit to the Soviet Union to
     discuss the scope of Soviet assistance prior to the Chinese entry into the Korean
     War.
63   Wang, Peng Dehuai zhuan, p. 407. Mao Zedong wengao, vol. 1, p. 567.
64   Allen Whiting was the first Korean War scholar to argue that China proceeded
     primarily from national security considerations. Allen S. Whiting, China Crosses
     the Yalu: The Decision to Enter the Korean War, Stanford: Stanford University Press,
     1960.
65   In China’s Road to the Korean War, Chen vigorously argued that Mao and the
     Chinese leadership entered the Korean War primarily for ideological and
234   Notes
   “ revolutionary” reasons. The Russian scholar Kulik has also supported this view,
    drawing on Liu Shaoqi’s September 21, 1950 discussion with Soviet Ambassa-
    dor Roshchin. On the question of sending Chinese troops to Korea, Liu said
    that, “Chinese Communist Party leaders believe the Chinese revolution has still
    not come to its end. We need several more years to complete the revolution. If
    we are forced to fight the American aggressors, the date for the conclusion of
    our revolution will draw closer, since we are convinced that the American
    aggressors will be defeated.” See AVPRF, fond 0100, opis 43, papka 10, delo
    302, listy 266–7. Cited in Kulik, “Kitaiskaia narodnaia respublika v period
    stanovleniia, 1949–1952” (The People’s Republic of China in the Founding
    Period, 1949–1952), Problemy dal’nego vostoka (Problems of the Far East), 1994,
    no. 6, p. 79.
66 See Kim Chullbaum ed., “The Truth about the Korean War, Testimony 40
    Years Later,” Seoul, 1991, p. 107. Shi, Zai lishi jüren shenbian, pp. 496–7. Xu,
    Diyici jiaoliang, p. 22. John Toland, In Mortal Combat: Korea, 1950–1953, New
    York: William Morrow, 1991, p. 238.
67 See also Shen Zhihua, “Zhongguo chubing Chaoxian de juece guocheng”
    (China’s Decision-Making Process in Dispatching Troops to Korea), Dangshi
    yanjiu ziliao,1996, no. 1. (Not available outside China.)
9 A new stage in Sino-S oviet cooperation
 1 Selected Works of Zhou Enlai, Beijing: Foreign Languages Press, 1989, vol. 2, p. 308.
 2 P. Iudin, “Zapis besedi s tovarishchem Mao Tszedunom” (Record of Meetings
   with Comrade Mao Zedong), Problemy dal’nego vostoka (Problems of the Far
   East), 1994, no. 5, p. 107.
 3 Dmitri Volkogonov, Stalin: Triumph and Tragedy, transl. by Harold Shukman,
   New York: Grove Weidenfeld, 1991, p. 540.
 4 Jon Halliday, “Air Operations in Korea: The Soviet Side of the Story,” in
   William Williams ed., A Revolutionary War: Korea and the Transformation of the
   Postwar World, Chicago: Imprint Publications, 1993, pp. 149, 163.
 5 Telegram from S. E. Zakharov, the Soviet military representative in Beijing, to
   Stalin, November 2, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 335, listy 71–2. CWIHP.
   Andong (now Dandong) is a logistical hub on the Chinese side of the Yalu
   River. As noted on the CWIHP website, Zakharov was later asked about the
   accuracy of the information he reported.
 6 Telegram from Mao to Stalin, via Zakharov, November 15, 1950. APRF, fond
   45, opis 1, delo 335, list 116. CWIHP.
 7 Wang, Peng Dehuai nianpu (draft), (Peng Dehuai Chronology (draft)), mimeo-
   graphed copy, pp. 46–7. (Not available outside China.)
 8 Telegram from Mao to Stalin, March 1, 1951. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 337,
   listy 78–82. NSA.
 9 Telegram from Stalin to Mao, March 3, 1951. APRF, fond 456, opis 1, delo 337,
   list 89. NSA.
10 Telegram from Stalin to Mao or Zhou, via Zakharov, March 15, 1951. APRF,
   fond 45, opis 1, delo 337, list 118. CWIHP.
11 Halliday, “Air Operation in Korea,” p. 152.
12 Ibid., pp. 149–50.
13 Ibid., pp. 156–7.
14 Ibid., pp. 159–60.
15 Telegram from Stalin to Soviet Military Advisor in Beijing, Krasovsky, June 13,
   1951. APRF, fond 45, opis1, delo 339, list 47. CWIHP.
16 Halliday, “Air Operation in Korea,” pp. 154, 161. The lack of coordination
   between Soviet air cover in both the rear area and the front was confirmed in
                                                                            Notes   235
     Goncharov’s interviews: “[Soviet] planes gave minimal help to ground opera-
     tions, and the Soviet pilots made no effort to coordinate their sorties with those
     operations. See Sergei Goncharov, John Lewis and Xue Litai, Uncertain Partners:
     Stalin, Mao, and the Korean War, Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 1993,
     pp. 199–200.
17   Zhongguo renmin jiefangjun lishi ziliao congshu bianshen weiyuanhui
     (Chinese People’s Liberation Army Historical Material Editorial Commission):
     Kongjun huiyi shiliao (Air Force Historical Reminiscences), Beijing: Jiefangjun
     chubanshe, 1992, pp. 251–60, 309.
18   Zhonggong zhongyang wenxian yanjiushi bian (Chinese Communist Party
     Central Committee Document Research Office, ed.): Jianguo yilai Mao Zedong
     wengao (Mao Zedong Documents Since the Founding of the State), Beijing:
     Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe, vol. 2, pp. 331–2.
19   Telegram from Mao to Stalin, May 27, 1951. Telegram from Stalin to Mao, May
     29, 1951. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 338, listy 95–7, 98–9. Second telegram
     NSA.
20   Mao Zedong wengao, vol. 2, pp. 9–10.
21   Record of Ye Jianying Conversation with Malukhin, June 10, 1951. AVPRF, fond
     0100, opis 44, papka 15, delo 322. Cited in Kulik, “Kitaiskaia narodnaia respub-
     lika v period stanovleniia, 1949–1952” (The People’s Republic of China in the
     Founding Period, 1949–1952], Problemy dal’nego vostoka, 1994, no. 6, pp. 81–2.
22   Shi Zhe, Zai lishi jüren shenbian: Shi Zhe huiyilu (Together with Historical Giants:
     Memoirs of Shi Zhe), Beijing: Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe, 1991, pp. 522–3.
     Telegram from Mao to Stalin, March 28, 1952. APRF fond 45, opis 1, delo 342,
     list 129. NSA.
23   Minutes of Conversation between Stalin and Zhou, September 3, 1950. APRF,
     fond 45, opis 1, delo 329, listy 75–87. CWIHP.
24   Nie Rongzhen, Inside the Red Star: The Memoirs of Nie Rongzhen, Beijng: New
     World Press, 1988, p. 655.
25   Telegram from Mao to Stalin, via Roshchin, October 28, 1950. Telegram from
     Stalin to Mao, via Zakharov, October 29, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 334,
     listy 62–3, 64. CWIHP.
26   Telegram from Zhou to Stalin, November 17, 1950. Telegram from Stalin to
     Zhou, November 17, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 335, listy 122–3, 124.
     CWIHP.
27   Telegram from Zhou to Stalin, February 12, 1951. Telegram from Stalin to
     Zhou, via Zakharov, February 16, 1951. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 337, listy
     58–9, 60. First telegram NSA; second telegram CWIHP.
28   Telegram from Stalin to Mao, May 22, 1951. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 338,
     list 87. NSA.
29   Telegram from Stalin to Mao, May 26, 1951. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 338,
     list 91. NSA.
30   Telegram from Mao to Stalin, June 21, 1951. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 339,
     listy 64–5. CWIHP.
31   Telegram from Stalin to Mao, June 24, 1951. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 339,
     list 78. CWIHP.
32   See Hong Xuezhi, KangMei yuanChao zhanzheng huiyi (Recollection of the War
     to Resist American and Assist Korea), Beijing: Jiefangjun wenyi chubanshe,
     1991, p. 184.
33   The author gathered the detailed information below on the Soviet reequip-
     ment of Chinese forces in interviews with Wang Yazhi.
34   Minutes of Conversation between Stalin and Zhou, September 3, 1952. APRF
     fond 45, opis 1, delo 339, listy 75–87. CWIHP. Later published data are a bit
     lower, at 38.19 and 45.64 percent, respectively. See Zhongguo shehui
236   Notes
     kexueyuan, Zhongyang dang’anguan bian (Chinese Academy of Social Sci-
     ences, Central Committee Archives, ed.): 1949–1951 nian Zhonghua renmin
     gongheguo jingji dang’an ziliao xuanbian: zonghe zhuan (Selection of Material
     from the Economic Archives of the People’s Republic of China, 1949–1951:
     Summary Volume), Beijing: Zhongguo chengshi jingji shehui chubanshe,
     1990, pp. 872, 891.
35   Zhongguo shehui kexue yuan, Zhongyang dang’an guan (Chinese Academy of
     Social Sciences, Central Committee Archives): Zhonghua renmin gongheguo jingji
     dang’an ziliao xuan bian, 1949–1952: duiwai maoyi zhuan (Selection of Material
     from the Economic Archives of the People’s Republic of China, 1949–1952.
     Foreign Trade Volume), Beijing: Jingji guanli chubanshe, 1994, pp. 461–2.
36   Zhou Enlai’s Discussion with Roshchin, July 24, 1951. AVPRF, fond 0100, opis
     44, papka 32, delo 322, listy 48–9. Cited in Kulik, “Kitaiskaia narodnaia respub-
     lika,” 1994, no. 5, p. 115.
37   AVPRF, fond 07, opis 23a, papka 18, delo 236, listy 128–37; papka 18, delo 237,
     list 2. Cited in Kulik, “Kitaiskaya narodnaya respublika,” 1994, no. 6, p. 75.
38   Zhonghua duiwai maoyi zhuan, pp. 500–7.
39   AVPRF, fond 07, opis 23a, papka 16, delo 221, listy 44–5, 68–74; fond 06, opis
     12, papka 22, delo 337, listy 13–14. Quoted in Kulik, “Kitaiskaia narodnaia
     respublika,” 1994, no. 6, pp. 75–6.
40   For more information on the work of Soviet experts in China, see Shen Zhihua,
     Sulian zhuanjia zai Zhongguo (1948–1960) (Soviet Experts in China
     (1948–1960)), Beijing: Zhongguo guoji guangbo chubanshe, 2003.
41   Odd Arne Westad, “The Sino-Soviet Alliance and the United States: Wars, Pol-
     icies, and Perceptions, 1950–1961,” Paper for the International Conference on
     “The Cold War in Asia,” Hong Kong, 1996.
42   Du Ping, Zai zhiyuanjun zongbu (In the headquarters of the volunteers), Beijing:
     Jiefangjun chubanshe, 1989, p. 141.
43   Nie, Inside the Red Star, p. 640.
44   Mao Zedong wengao, vol. 1, p. 722.
45   Du, Zai zhiyuanjun zongbu, p. 99.
46   Wang Yan et al., ed., Peng Dehuai zhuan (Biography of Peng Dehuai), Beijing:
     Dangdai Zhongguo chubanshe, 1993, pp. 438–9.
47   Summary of a December 4, 1950 Discussion between Gromyko and Wang Jia
     xiang, December 5, 1950. APRF, fond 3, opis 65, delo 515, listy 35–7. NSA.
48   Telegram from Roshchin conveying message from Zhou to the Soviet govern-
     ment, December 7, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 336, listy 17–19. CWIHP.
49   Telegram from Gromyko to Roshchin, transmitting a message from Stalin to
     Zhou, December 7, 1950. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 336, listy 21–2. CWIHP.
50   CPSU Politburo decision with approved message to Vyshinsky in New York,
     December 7, 1950. APRF, fond 3, opis 65, delo 828, listy 23–4. CWIHP.
51   Mao Zedong wengao, vol. 1, p. 741.
52   See Peng Dehuai zhuan ji bianxie zu (Peng Dehuai Biographical Research and
     Editorial Group), Peng Dehuai junshi wenxuan (Selected Military Writings of
     Peng Dehuai), Beijing: Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe, 1988, p. 383.
53   Wang Yazhi, “Nie Rongzhen jiangjun zai kangMei yuanChao zhanzhong de
     liangci tanhua” (Two Conversations with General Nie Rongzhen (About) the
     War to Resist America and Assist Korea), Dangshi yanjiu ziliao (Party History
     Research Material), 1992, vol. 11, pp. 1–2. (Not available outside China.) Wang
     Yazhi, “KangMei yuanChao zhanzheng zhong de Peng Dehuai, Nie Rongzhen”
     (Peng Dehuai and Nie Rongzhen in the War to Resist America and Assist
     Korea), Junshi shilin (Military Histories), 1994, no. 1, p. 11.
54   Wang Yan, ed., Peng Dehuai nianpu (Peng Dehuai Chronology), Beijing:
     Renmin chubanshe, 1998, pp. 465–6.
                                                                         Notes   237
55 Telegram from Mao Zedong to Stalin, transmitting January 14, 1951 message
   from Mao to Peng with message for Kim, January 16, 1951. APRF, fond 45, opis
   1, delo 337, listy 1–3. CWIHP.
56 For an incisive analysis of this issue, see Xu Yan, Diyici jiaoliang: kangMei yuan-
   Chao zhanzheng de lishi huigu yu fansi (The First Test: Recollection and Reflec-
   tion on the History of the War to Resist America and Assist Korea), Beijing:
   Zhongguo guangbo dianshi chubanshe, 1990, pp. 69–70. Also see Xu Yan,
   “KangMei yuanChao zhanzhengshi yanjiu shuping” (Review of Historical
   Research on the War to Resist America and Assist Korea), Dangdai Zhongguoshi
   yanjiu (Contemporary Chinese Historical Studies), 1994, no. 1.
57 Dean Acheson, Present at the Creation: My Years in the State Department, New York:
   W. W. Norton and Company, 1960, p. 513.
58 Chen Jian, “China’s Strategy to End the Korean War,” Paper for the Interna-
   tional Conference on “The Cold War in Asia,” Hong Kong, January 1996. Also
   see Shen Zhihua and Yafeng Xia, “Mao Zedong’s Erroneous Decision During
   the Korean War: China’s Rejection of the UN Cease-fire Resolution in Early
   1951,” Asian Perspective, 2011, vol. 35, pp. 187–209. Shen and Xia argue that,
   “Because of the mistake, China completely lost its advantage on the Korean bat-
   tlefield and in the international area.”
59 Wang, Peng Dehuai nianpu, p. 446.
60 Telegram from Mao to Stalin, conveying telegram from Mao to Peng Dehuai,
   January 29, 1951. Telegram from Stalin to Mao, January 30, 1951. APRF, fond
   45, opis 1, delo 337, listy 41–3, 44. CWIHP.
61 Telegram from Mao to Stalin, March 1, 1951, in Mao Zedong wengao, vol. 2, pp.
   151–3. Telegram from Stalin to Mao, March 3, 1951. APRF, fond 45, opis 1,
   delo 337, list 89.
62 Xu Yan, Diyici jiaoliang: kangMei yuanChao zhanzheng de lishi huigu yu fansi (The
   First Test: Recollections and Reflections on the History of the War to Resist
   America and Assist Korea), Beijing: Zhongguo guangbo dianshi chubanshe,
   1990, p. 95.
63 Nie, Inside the Red Star, p. 641.
64 Xu, Diyici jiaoliang, p. 268.
65 Telegrams from Mao to Stalin, June 5 and 9, 1951. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo
   339, listy 23, 28–9. For the first telegram see CWIHP; the second telegram
   CWIHP unpublished.
66 FRUS, 1951, vol. 7, part 1, pp. 462, 507–11. Acheson, Present at the Creation,
   pp. 532–3.
67 For details on Stalin’s discussion with Kim and Gao, see Shi, Zai lishi jüren shen-
   bian, pp. 506–8.
68 Telegram from Stalin to Mao regarding meeting in Moscow with Gao Gang and
   Kim, June 13, 1951. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 339, listy 31–2. CWIHP.
69 Telegram from Mao to Gao Gang and Kim, June 13, 1951. APRF, fond 45, opis
   1, delo 339, listy 57–60. CWIHP.
70 Memorandum of the Discussion between Gromyko and Kirk, June 27, 1951.
   APRF, fond 3, opis 65, delo 828, listy 181–5. Chai Chengwen and Zhao Yong-
   tian, Banmendian tanpan (The Panmunjom Negotiations), Beijing: Jeifangjun
   chubanshe, 1992, pp. 122–8.
71 Telegram from Stalin to Mao, June 24, 1951. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 339,
   list 78. CWIHP.
72 Telegram from Mao to Stalin, 30 June 1951, APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 339,
   listy 90–1. CWIHP.
73 Telegram from Mao to Stalin, conveying January 22, 1952 telegram from Peng
   Dehuai to Mao and February 4, 1952 reply from Mao to Peng, February 8, 1952.
   APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 342, listy 81–3. CWIHP.
238   Notes
74 Telegram from Mao to Stalin, July 18, 1952, conveying July 15, 1952 telegram
   from Mao to Kim and July 16, 1952 telegram from Kim to Mao. APRF, fond 45,
   opis 1, delo 343, listy 72–5. CWIHP. Telegram from Razuvaev to Vasilevsky
   sending Kim message to Stalin, July 16, 1952. APRF, fond 45, opis 1, delo 342,
   listy 65–8.
75 Telegram from Stalin to Mao, via Krasovsky, July 17, 1952. APRF, fond 45, opis
   1, delo 348, list 69. CWIHP.
76 Minutes of Conversation between Stalin and Zhou, August 20, 1952. APRF,
   fond 45, opis 1, delo 329, listy 54–72. CWIHP. Despite this record, the Japanese
   scholar Wada Haruki believes that at the time when Zhou visited Moscow in
   1952, North Korea and the Soviet Union favored a quick ceasefire, but Stalin
   was forced to accept China’s position. See Wada Haruki, “Stalin and the Japa-
   nese Communist Party, 1945–1953: In Light of New Russian Archival Docu-
   ments,” Paper for the International Conference on “The Cold War in Asia,”
   Hong Kong, January 1996.
77 Given the paucity of declassified Chinese archival material, it is still difficult to
   hazard a conclusion about whether there was a basic difference of views
   between China and the Soviet Union during the process leading up to the end
   of the Korean War. For a discussion of this issue, see two papers presented at
   the January 1996 Hong Kong International Conference on China’s strategy to
   end the Korean War: Kathryn Weathersby, “Stalin and a Negotiated Settlement
   in Korea, 1950–1953;” and Fernado Orlandi, “The Alliance: Beijing, Moscow,
   the Korean War and its End.” For more recent analysis of this issue, see Peng
   Xianzhi and Li Jie, Mao Zedong yu kangMei yuanChao (Mao Zedong and the War
   to Resist America and Assist Korea), Beijing: Zhongyang wenxian chubanshe,
   2000. Also Shen Zhihua, “1953 nian Chaoxian tingzhan – ZhongSu lingdaoren
   de zhengzhi kaolu” (The 1953 Korean Ceasefire – The Political Calculations of
   Chinese and Soviet Leaders), Shijieshi (World History), 2001, No. 3. (Shen’s
   article is not available outside China.)
Selected bibliography and suggested
further reading
Bajanov, Evgueni. “Assessing the Politics of the Korean War, 1949–51,” Cold War
  International History Project Bulletin, 1995/1996, nos. 6–7, pp. 54, 87–91.
Casey, Steven, ed. “Special Issue: On the 60th Anniversary of the Korean War,” The
  Journal of Strategic Studies, vol. 33, no. 2 (April 2010).
Chen Jian. China’s Road to the Korean War: the Making of the Sino-American Confronta-
  tion, New York: Columbia University Press, 1994.
Goncharov, Sergei, John Lewis and Xue Litai. Uncertain Partners: Stalin, Mao, and
  the Korean War, Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 1993.
Mansourov, Alexandre. “Stalin, Mao, Kim, and China’s Decision to Enter the
  Korean War, September 16–October 15, 1950: New Evidence from the Russian
  Archives,” Cold War International History Project Bulletin, 1995/1996, nos. 6–7,
  pp. 94–107.
Merrill, John. Korea: The Peninsula Origins of the War, Newark, DE: University of Del-
  aware Press, 1989.
Shen Zhihua, “Chaoxian zhanzheng chuqi Su Zhong Chao sanjiao tongmeng de
  xingcheng: yi Zhong E jiemi dang’an wei jichu de yanjiu” (The Formation of the
  Sino-Soviet–North Korean Triangular Alliance in the Beginning Period of the
  Korean War: A Study Based on Declassified Archives in China and Russia), Guoli
  zhengzhi daxue lishi xuebao (History Bulletin of National Chengji University),
  2009, no. 31. (Includes a short English precis.)
Shen, Zhihua. “China and the Dispatch of the Soviet Air Force: The Formation of
  the Chinese–Soviet–Korean Alliance in the Early Stage of the Korean War,” The
  Journal of Strategic Studies, vol. 33, no. 2 (April 2010), pp. 211–30.
Shen Zhihua and Yafeng Xia, “Mao Zedong’s Erroneous Decision During the
  Korean War: China’s Rejection of the UN Cease-fire Resolution in Early 1951,
  Asian Perspectives 35 (2011).
Shen, Zhihua and Danhui Li, “After Leaning to One Side: China and Its Allies in
  the Cold War,” Washington, DC: Woodrow Wilson Center Press and Stanford,
  CA: Stanford University Press, 2011.
Stueck, William. The Road to Confrontation: American Policy toward China and Korea,
  1947–1950, Chapel Hill, NC: University of North Carolina Press, 1981.
Stueck, William. The Korean War: An International History, Princeton, NJ: Princeton
  University Press, 1995.
Weathersby, Kathryn. Soviet Aims in Korea and the Origins of the Korean War,
  1945–1950: New Evidence from the Russian Archives, Cold War International
  History Project Working Paper no. 8, Washington, DC: Cold War International
240   Selected bibliography and suggested reading
  History Project, Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, 1993. (www.
  wilsoncenter.org/program/cold-war-international-history-project)
Westad, Odd Arne, ed. Brothers in Arms: The Rise and Fall of the Sino-Soviet Alliance
  (1945–1963), Washington, DC and Stanford, CA: Woodrow Wilson Center Press
  and Stanford University Press, 1998.
Xia, Yafeng. “The Study of Cold War International History in China: A Review of
  the Last Twenty Years, Journal of Cold War Studies, vol. 10, no. 1 (winter 2008).
Yang Kuisong. Mao Zedong yu Mosike de enen yuanyuan (Mao Zedong and Moscow –
  Gratitude and Enmity), Jiangxi renmin chubanshe, 1999. (Yang’s endnotes and
  bibliography provide excellent references to primary source and secondary
  material in Chinese on Sino-Soviet relations.)
Index
38th parallel agreement 29–31, 42, 120;    ceasefire proposals 194–5, 196–7, 198,
  South Korea violations of 108–10, 112      199–203
                                           Chahar 48
Acheson, Dean 197, 200; National Press     Chai Junwu (Chai Chengwen) 139, 145
   Club speech (1950) 5, 99, 107, 122,     Chang Kia-ngau (Zhang Jia) 53, 59
   129                                     Changchun 54, 58, 60, 61, 62, 125
“Additional Agreement” (1950), Sino-       Changchun Railway 19, 44, 59–60, 61,
   Soviet 104–5                              92, 93, 118, 176, 213n54;
air force: Chinese 82, 86, 98, 131, 168,     administration of 71, 73–4, 100–1;
   182, 186–7, 190–1; Soviet see Soviet      Soviet military use of 6, 102–3
   Air Force; US 181                       Changchun Railway Treaty 73–4, 84–5
Amethyst frigate 78                        Cheju Island 119; see also Chejudo
Andong (Dandong) 53, 140, 168, 180,        Chejudo 33; see also Cheju Island
   181                                     Chen Jian 87
Anju region 179                            Chen Yi 171
Anshan 60, 168                             Chen Yun 55, 85, 88, 89
Anshan steel complex 89                    Chiang Ching-kuo 56, 59, 65
Anto 198                                   Chiang Kai-shek 6, 13, 49, 50, 57, 60,
Aoji-Kraskino rail link 118                  66, 106; and Burma 96; and India 96;
atomic bombs, US 29, 30                      and Manchuria 58; and Mongolia 46,
                                             72; and Nationalist–Communist
Bajanov, E. P. 106–7                         peace talks 71; and Sino-Soviet Treaty
Belov, General 179, 180, 181                 of Friendship and Alliance (1945)
Benxi 61                                     44, 119, 176; Soviet support for 54,
Berlin crisis 63, 108, 121                   55, 56; Stalin and 44, 45, 46, 65
Brezhnev, Leonid 117                       China 27, 34; air force 82, 86, 98, 131,
Britain 10, 24, 27, 34, 45, 58, 194; and     168, 182, 186–7, 190–1; army in
  ceasefire talks 196; and Korea             Korea see Chinese People’s
  trusteeship agreement 32;                  Volunteers; Britain and 96–7; civil
  recognition of People’s Republic of        war 5, 45–6, 49, 56–68, 71, 78, 127;
  China (PRC) 96–7; and Yalta                Communists see Chinese Communist
  agreement 18, 19                           Party; economy 88–90, 155–6, 191;
Bulganin, Nikolai 42, 87, 131                and Korea trusteeship system 32, 129;
Bulgaria 23, 25, 26                          and Korean War 3, 125–7, 130–2,
Burma 96, 194                                137, 138–42, 144–6 (ceasefire talks
Byrnes, James 51, 58                         194–5, 196–7, 200–1; prisoners-of-war
                                             issue 202; see also Mao Zedong and
Camranh Bay, Soviet naval base on 7          Korean War); land reform movement
capitalism 19, 21; crisis of 20              139; military expenditure 191,
242   Index
China continued                               50, 53, 62, 66, 71, 78, 89; and Lushun
  225n58; national security concerns          naval base 64; and Soviet Union
  175; Nationalists see Chinese               (economic cooperation agreement
  Nationalists; naval forces 93, 186,         57; support 54–5, 56, 65; tension
  190; Northeast see Northeast China;         between 57–8, 60; Treaty of
  Northeast Border Defense Army 140,          Friendship and Alliance (1945) 44,
  141; Northeast Liberated Area               49, 51, 70); and UN Security Council
  People’s Democratic Authority 67;           98; and US 50; and Xinjiang 72–3; see
  People’s Liberation Army see People’s       also Chiang Kai-shek
  Liberation Army; post-civil war           Chinese People’s Volunteers 133, 160,
  demobilization plans 139; railway           161, 162, 171, 172, 174, 198, 199;
  reconstruction 67; repatriation of          advance southwards 193, 196, 197–8;
  Koreans from People’s Liberation            capture of Seoul 195; loss of materiel
  Army 125, 127–30; revolution 5, 8, 9,       and equipment 192, 193; rest and
  10, 21; socialist transition 76; Soviet     reequipment 192, 193, 195, 197;
  technical experts in 191–2; and             Soviet air support for 162, 163, 164,
  Soviet Union 44–69, 70–87, 130–2            165, 167, 168–9, 178–82; Soviet
  (economic relations 57–8, 60, 62,           military assistance to 162, 185–91; as
  191–1; military assistance 74, 131,         spent force 195–6
  185–91; and Northeast China 44–5,         Chistiakov, Col. General I. M. 38, 39
  50, 51, 52, 53–4, 55, 57, 59, 73–4; and   Cho Man-sik 34, 38
  Taiwan campaign 124, 131; trade 67,       Choe Yong-gon 146
  191); and Taiwan 70, 85–7, 124, 125,      Chongjin 170 (US naval presence off)
  131, 139, 201; trade 67, 88–9, 191;       Chongju River 182
  UN representation 194, 197, 200–1;        Chongqing 89; anti-Soviet
  and US see United States, and China;        demonstrations 58; peace talks 49,
  US consulates and property in 98–9;         50, 56
  see also Mao Zedong                       Chu Yong-ha 161
Chinese Communist Party 5, 7, 8–9, 12,      Chuminjin 135
  13, 70, 88; Central China Bureau 48,      Chunchon 135
  49; Central Committee 49, 51, 52,         Churchill, Winston 22; “Iron Curtain”
  53–4, 55, 60, 61, 199; Central Military     speech 24–5
  Commission 49, 140, 158, 163–4;           Cold War 10, 27, 106–7, 108, 176
  fealty to CPSU 80–1; foreign              Cold War in Asia international
  diplomatic recognition of 75–6; Liu         symposium (1996) 150
  Shaoqi delegation to Moscow (June         Cominform (Communist Information
  1949) 79; and North Korean talks            Bureau) 9, 25, 26–7, 206n10; Eastern
  (1949) 125–7; Northeast Bureau 53,          125, 126
  55, 59, 61, 184; and Northeast China      Comintern (Communist International)
  issue 50–2, 55–7, 60–2, 73–4; policy on     20, 26, 47
  occupation of larger cities 75; rural     communist parties 9, 12; China see
  base 75; and socialist transition 76;       Chinese Communist Party; Eastern
  and Soviet postwar policy 44, 45–6,         Europe 23, 26; France 27; India 9;
  47–52, 53–5, 56–7, 59–69; Soviet            Italy 27; Japan 9; Korea 35; Soviet 8,
  respect for 80–1; and Soviet talks          12, 20, 80–1; Western Europe 27;
  (January–February 1949) 70–4 (on            Yugoslavia 68
  Mongolia 72; on Northeast China           containment policy, US 25, 26
  73–4; on Soviet military and economic     counter-espionage 82
  aid 74–5, 76, 81–2; on Taiwan 85–7;       Czechoslovakia 26
  on Xinjiang 72–3, 82–3); and US
  relations 70, 76, 77–8, 98–9              Dalian 6, 19, 44, 52, 54, 64, 85, 100,
Chinese Military Arms Industrial              101, 103, 118, 176
  Commission 190                            Dandong (Andong) 53, 140, 168, 180,
Chinese Nationalists 5, 8, 13, 45–6, 48,      181
                                                                        Index   243
demobilization, Chinese post-civil war      Hong Xuezhi, General 161
  139                                       Hongchon 135
Deng Hua, General 140, 154, 161             Hopkins, Harry 32
Deng Liqun 83                               Hu Qiaomu 47, 57, 78
Deng Xiaoping 157                           Huang Hua 77
Derevyanko, Lt. General 31–2                Huludao 54
Du Yuming, General 59                       Hurley, Patrick 49
Eastern Cominform 125, 126                  Inchon 6, 33, 118, 119, 196, 198; US
Eastern Europe 23, 25, 26; and                 landing at 142–4
  Cominform 26–7; communist parties         India 11, 96, 194; Communist Party 9
  23, 26; trade agreements with Soviet      intelligence cooperation 82
  Union 26                                  Iran 24, 25
economic aid: Soviet–Chinese 74–5, 76,      Italy 27; communist party 27
  81–2; Soviet–North Korea 39–40
economic cooperation, Sino-Soviet           Japan 4, 11, 27, 73, 101, 107, 159–60,
  57–8, 60, 62, 191–2                          194; Communist Party 9; and Korea
economy, China 88–90, 155–6, 191               119, 126 (assets in 35–6; exclusion
Egypt 194                                      from 32–3, 119; surrender in 30);
Europe: Soviet policy toward 18; see also      and Soviet Union 119 (Neutrality
  Eastern Europe                               Pact 20; occupation of Hokkaido 30,
                                               31–2); US occupation forces in 9, 29,
Far Eastern Consultative Commission            31, 73, 107, 119, 121; and World War
  52, 58                                       II 29 (surrender 29–30)
Fedorenko, N. T. 91, 163                    Jehol 48, 52, 55
Finland 19, 20                              Jiangwan airport 89
France 24, 27; communist party 27           Jilin 48, 59
Fushun 59, 61, 168                          Jilin hydroelectric station 97–8
                                            Jinmen 124
Gao Gang 55, 67, 74, 79, 87, 127, 145,      Jinzhou 55
  154, 157, 171, 174, 187, 199, 200; and    joint stock companies 104–5
  Changchun Railway treaty 85; and
  Kim Il-sung meeting 125; and logistics    Kaesong 112, 113, 134
  for Chinese Volunteers force 160, 161     Kang Yimin 162, 163, 164
Garver, John 107                            Kangnung 134
Germany 26, 107, 108, 160; post-war         Kapitsa, M. C. 42, 114, 123, 129
  division of 19; Soviet zone 23            Kennan, George 25, 200, 201
Gomulka, Wladyslaw 25                       Khrushchev, Nikita 114, 165; and Peng
Goncharev, Sergei 96, 107, 114                Zhen meeting (1960) 2–3
Greece 21, 120                              Kim Doobong 42
Gromyko, Andrei 91, 111, 113, 121,          Kim Il 12, 125, 128
  158, 161, 194, 201                        Kim Il-sung 2, 10–11, 34, 38, 39, 40,
Guangzhou 89                                  108, 115–16; advocates southern
                                              advance of Chinese People’s
Haicheng 61                                   Volunteers 195–6; and ceasefire talks
Haiju city 111                                199, 200, 202; and Mao secret talks
Hainan Island 124                             123, 130–2; and Northeast China
Halliday, Jon 179, 181                        government-in-exile 175; request for
Han Guang 60                                  Soviet/Chinese military help 146–7;
Han River 198                                 and Soviet Union alliance 41–2; and
Harbin 60, 61, 62                             Stalin advice on withdrawal of troops
Harriman, W. Averell 44, 47, 51               to China/Soviet Union 170, 172; and
Hebei 48, 55                                  Stalin secret talks 115–16, 117, 122;
Hokkaido, Soviet occupation of 30, 31–2       and Tunkin meeting 111–12, 127; on
244   Index
Kim Il-sung continued                         China’s transition to socialism 76;
  US intervention in Korean War 122;          delegation to Moscow (June 1949) 8,
  and war planning and                        12, 79, 81–2, 83, 84, 86, 87, 95; “On
  implementation 3, 4, 42, 106, 107,          Internationalism and Nationalism”
  113, 122, 125–6, 129–32                     article 68; on pro-Soviet foreign
Kim Woong 122                                 policy 80; and Soviet economic aid
Kirk, Alan 201                                75; on Taiwan issue 85–6, 87, 93, 124
Korea: 38th parallel agreement 29–31,       Liu Yalou 86
  42, 108–10, 120; Japan and see under      Lobov, General G. A. 179, 182
  Japan; neutral zone proposal 200;         London cruiser 78
  People’s Committees 37–9;                 Lublin Provisional Government 23
  provisional government 34, 37–8;          Luo Longji 90
  Soviet occupation of 29–30, 33–8, 39,     Luo Ronghuan 66
  40, 119, 120; and Soviet Union            Lushun 6, 7, 9, 19, 64, 71, 79, 93;
  (reversal of policy on 106–8, 114–15,       Chinese forces prohibited from
  116, 117, 120–4, 130, 131–2;                entering 55; as Chinese–Soviet joint
  trusteeship agreement 4, 32–3, 40,          naval base 44–5, 119; naval school at
  42, 119); unification of 4, 10, 12, 33,     82; return to China 101, 103, 118,
  34, 36, 37, 42, 196 (through military       176; Soviet withdrawal from 7, 73, 85,
  force 106, 107, 108, 112, 113–14); US       100
  and see under United States see also      Lushun Port Joint Military Commission
  North Korea; South Korea                    101
Korean Communist Party 35
Korean People’s Army 14, 134, 140,          Ma Bufang 83
  196, 197; Soviet military advisers        MacArthur, General Douglas 30, 31, 32,
  attached to 135–7; Soviet supply of        77–8, 146
  arms to 117, 189; strength of 111,        Malik, Jacob 34, 198, 199–200, 201
  112, 116, 117                             Malinovsky, Rodion 52, 53, 59
Korean Worker’s Party 12, 126, 146          Malukhin, A. M. 184
Koreans repatriated from PLA 125,           Manchuria 51, 55, 56, 58, 59, 61, 62, 64,
  127–30                                     99
Korotkov, Lt. General G. P. 39              Manzhouli 186
Kovalev, I. V. 13, 67, 71, 73, 77, 78–9,    Mao Zedong 2, 4, 7, 10, 12, 45, 61, 62,
  86, 90, 125; and Changchun Railway         63, 66, 116; and Chongqing peace
  issue 74, 84, 85; and Mao Moscow           talks 49; and Eastern Cominform
  visit 91, 94, 97, 98                       126; economic development
Kovtun-Stankovich, I. 59                     concerns 76–7; and Kim Il-sung
Kraskino-Aoji rail link 118                  secret talks 123, 130–3; and Korean
Krasovsky, Marshal 181                       War see below Mao Zedong and
Kulik, B. T. 92                              Korean War; “leaning to one side”
Kuril Islands 4, 10, 19, 29, 30, 31, 92      statement on pro-Soviet foreign
                                             policy 80; Long March 47; and
Ledovsky, Andrei 92, 128–9                   Mikoyan secret talks (January–
Lenin, V. I. 20                              February 1949) 70–4; Moscow visit
Lewis, John 107, 114                         (1949–50) 70, 88–105; Moscow visits
Li Haiwen 165                                proposed (1948) 68–9; and Sino-
Li Juyeon 12, 115                            Soviet “Additional Agreement” 104;
Li Kenong 89–90                              and Sino-Soviet alliance 76, 83–4, 92,
Li Yunchang 48                               94, 96, 97, 99–101, 162, 175, 176,
Liaodong Peninsula 79, 186                   177; and Stalin mutual respect; 184;
Liaoning 48, 53                              and Stalin rubber cultivation
Liaoyang 61, 168                             proposal 185; and Stalin talks
Lin Biao 62, 67, 128, 154, 161, 163, 199     (1949–50) 92–5, 129; and Taiwan
Liu Shaoqi 60, 77, 89, 98, 124, 154; on      issue 86–7, 92, 93, 124, 125; TASS
                                                                         Index   245
  interview with 96; on US intervention     Munsan 135
  in Korean War 140; and US relations
  57, 77; Yan’an party rectification        Naktong River 142
  (purge) campaign 47                       Nanjing 58, 75
Mao Zedong Documents after                  national security interests: Chinese 155,
  Establishment of the State 149              175; Soviet 18, 19–20, 23, 28
Mao Zedong and Korean War 125–7,            Nationalists, China see Chinese
  129, 130–2; ceasefire talks 200, 201,       Nationalists
  202; and Chinese advance southward        NATO 107
  193, 196, 197–8; deployment of            naval forces: China 93, 186, 190; North
  troops 149–77, 203 (and national            Korea 121
  security concerns 175, 178;               Near East 24, 25, 27
  preconditions relating to 156–7, 176;     Nehru, Pandit 153
  and Soviet air support 170–2, 175,        neutral zone proposal 200
  176, 179, 180, 182; and Soviet arms       Neutrality Pact, Soviet–Japanese 20
  supplies 188; telegrams (October          new world war, Stalin’s definition of 21
  1950) to Stalin relating to 149, 150–8,   Ni Zhiliang 139, 144, 145
  172; unilateral decision on 171–4);       Nie Rongzhen, General 145, 171, 179,
  and halting of Chinese advance 193,         192, 195, 199
  195, 196; and mobile warfare tactics      Niu Jun 110
  182–3; opposition to starting war 3;      Non-aggression Pact, Soviet–German 20
  on prolongation of war 198–9              North Atlantic Treaty 76
Marshall, George 56, 57, 58, 63             North Korea 27, 33, 38–40; and
Marshall Plan 25–6, 63, 108                   Chinese Communists talks (1949)
Matveev see Zakharov, General M. V.           125–7; Democratic People’s Republic
Meretskov, Marshal K. A. 38, 39–40            (DPRK) established (1948) 40–1;
Mgeladze, Akaki 19                            independent government established
Miaogou 181                                   (1948) 108; military strength 111–12,
Middle East 8                                 116, 117; naval force 121; People’s
Mikoyan, Anastas 7, 10, 13, 69, 75, 84,       Army see Korean People’s Army;
  97, 102–3, 103–4; secret visit to Mao’s     People’s Political Committees 37–9;
  headquarters (1949) 70–4, 75–6, 95,         provisional government 34, 37–8,
  105                                         38–9, 40; and Soviet Union (alliance
military assistance: Soviet–Chinese 74,       41–2; military assistance to 110–11,
  131, 162, 185–91; Soviet–North              116, 117, 135–7; occupation of
  Korea 110–11, 116, 117, 135–7               29–30, 33–8, 39, 40, 120; political/
military expenditure, China 191,              economic assistance to 37, 39–40, 42;
  225n58                                      support for war plan 106–8, 114–15,
mineral resources, Northeast China            116, 120, 122–3, 134–8, 142–4, 146–8;
  74–5                                        troop withdrawal from 4); and war
mobile warfare: Mao’s belief in 182–3;        (as initiator of 2, 3, 133; preparations
  Stalin’s warning against 183                108, 122–3); see also Kim Il-sung
Molotov Plan 26                             Northeast China 59, 104; Border
Molotov, Vyacheslav 10, 19, 39, 40, 55,       Defense Army 140, 141, 154;
  56, 71, 99, 173; on administration of       Chinese Communists and 50–2,
  Changchun Railway 100, 101; and             55–7, 60–2, 73–4; and Kim
  Mao’s trip to Moscow 97; on Soviet          government-in-exile 175; Mao’s
  policy towards China 63–4                   concerns for security of 175; mineral
Mongolia 19, 27, 44, 46, 52, 71, 72, 99;      resources 74–5; Soviet Union and
  see also Outer Mongolia                     44–5, 52, 53–4, 73–4, 94–5; US
Mu Chong 122, 127                             influence in 53–4
Mukden (Shenyang) 52, 54, 59, 60,           Novikov, Nikolai 25
  125, 168                                  nuclear weapons: Soviet Union 107; US
Mun Il 111, 122                               29, 30, 106
246   Index
Ongjin peninsula 109, 110, 111, 112,       Romanenko, Major General A. A. 38
 113, 116, 134                             Romania 23
Open Door policy 22, 53, 58, 59, 100       Roosevelt, Elliott 63
Orlov, Andrei 68–9                         Roosevelt, Franklin D. 22, 44
Outer Mongolia 71, 72; see also            Roshchin, General N. V. 3, 64–5, 78, 88,
 Mongolia                                    89, 90, 95, 96, 97, 149, 153, 169; and
                                             Mao Zedong 155; on Soviet air
Pak Hon-yong 35, 42, 111, 112, 113,          support for Chinese troops in Korea
  117, 146, 170, 196, 202                    168; and Zhou Enlai 130, 137, 140,
Panikkar, Indian Ambassador 157              167, 194
peaceful coexistence, principle of 18,     rubber cultivation 184–5
  19, 20, 21, 23                           Rusk, Dean 30, 31
peace talks: Korean War 194–5, 196–7,      Russo-Japanese War (1904–5) 6, 22, 29,
  198, 199–203; Nationalist–                 44, 51, 105
  Communist civil war 49, 50, 56, 71
Peng Dehuai 171, 174, 179, 180, 183,       Sadchikov, Ivan 64
  189; and campaign to advance south       Seoul 30, 116, 143, 198; Chinese
  of 38th parallel 192, 193; and             People’s Volunteers capture and
  ceasefire talks 197, 202; and Chinese      defence of 195, 196; North Korean
  air forces 190–1; as Commander in          People’s Army capture of 123, 135
  Chief 154, 157, 160, 161; and            Shandong 48
  occupation of Xinjiang 83; order to      Shanghai 75, 89, 155–6
  stop advance southwards 195              Shanhaiguan 52, 55
Peng Zhen, and Khrushchev meeting          Shanxi 48
  (1960) 2–3                               Shenyang (Mukden) 52, 54, 59, 60,
People’s Committees 37–9                     125, 168
People’s Liberation Army (PLA) 48, 52,     Shi Zhe 81, 91, 99, 144, 162, 163, 164–5
  66, 78, 125, 153; Koreans repatriated    Shtemenko, Sergei 108, 109
  from 125, 127–30                         Shtykov, Col. General Terentii 11, 38,
Philippines 27                               111, 125, 142, 143, 147, 161; and Kim
Poland 20, 23                                Il-sung 113, 115–16, 121, 129, 146; on
Potsdam Conference (1945) 18–19, 32,         Korean War opening phase 134–5,
  98                                         135–6; on North Korea (economic
Pravda 80, 96                                assistance to 39–40; and evacuation
prisoners-of-war 202–3                       of Soviet specialists 158; military
Pusan 6, 33, 118, 119, 140, 142              strength 112, 117; and Treaty of
Pyongyang 111, 115, 136, 192; Soviet air     Friendship 41–2); on South Korea
  defense of 142–3                           (military strength 112; war plan
                                             109–10, 112)
Qiqihar 60, 61                             Sino-Soviet “Additional Agreement”
                                             (1950) 104–5, 105
railways: reconstruction, China 67; see    Sino-Soviet alliance 187, 203; Mao and
  also Aoji-Kraskino rail link; South        76, 83–4, 92, 94, 96, 97, 99–101, 162,
  Manchurian Railroad; Changchun             175, 176, 177; Stalin and 4, 5–6, 17,
  Railway                                    84, 92, 94–5, 99–101, 105, 117–18,
Rao Shushi 171                               176
Razuvaev, Lt. General V. N. 195–6          Sino-Soviet Treaty of Friendship and
Red Army (Soviet) 23, 35, 37, 44, 49,        Alliance (1945) 6, 10, 44, 46, 49, 51,
  50, 51, 52, 59                             55, 63, 70, 71, 74, 83, 84, 85, 90, 92,
Ren Bishi 74, 75, 154                        95, 96, 98, 118, 119, 120, 176
Renmin ribao (People’s Daily) 9            Sino-Soviet Treaty of Friendship,
Rhee, Syngman 11, 108, 109–10, 115,          Alliance and Mutual Assistance
  160                                        (1950) 1, 4, 5–6, 8, 12, 17, 18, 45, 46,
Ridgeway, General Matthew 197, 201           70, 76, 99–105, 117, 118
                                                                       Index   247
Siping 59, 61, 62                            Marshall Plan 25–6, 63, 108; and
socialism in one country 20                  North Korea (alliance proposal 41–2;
socialist transition, Chinese 76             economic/political assistance 37,
Song Ziwen 46                                39–40, 42; evacuation of Soviet
Songhua River Bridge 67                      personnel and citizens from 158;
Songuri 135                                  military assistance 110–11, 116, 117,
South Korea 33; independent                  135, 136; occupation of 29–30, 33–8,
  government established (1948) 40,          39, 40, 119; opposition to unification
  108; military strength 111, 112;           through military force 106, 113–14;
  National Defense Army 109, 111;            support for war plan 106–8, 114–15,
  Republic established (1948) 40; US         116, 120, 122–3, 134–8, 142–4,
  occupation policy in 30, 35, 37, 38,       146–8); and Northeast China 44–5,
  40; US withdrawal of occupation            52, 53–4, 73–4, 94–5; nuclear
  troops 110, 111; violation of 38th         weapons 107; post-war reconstruction
  parallel provisions 108–10, 112; war       21; Red Army 23, 35, 37, 44, 49, 50,
  planning 109–10                            51, 52, 59; spheres of influence 19,
South Manchurian Railroad 52, 60             22, 23, 24, 28; trade (China 67, 191;
South Sakhalin 4, 10, 19, 29, 92             Eastern Europe 26); and Turkey 24;
Soviet Air Force 142, 182; losses during     and US (confrontational relations 18,
  Korean War 181; support for Chinese        88, 90, 107–8, 121, 123, 134, 176;
  intervention in Korea 161–2, 163,          cooperative relations 21, 22, 170);
  164, 165, 167, 168–9, 170–2, 173–4,        and Yalta system 4, 10, 17, 18, 22, 29,
  175, 176, 178–82, 182                      43; and Yugoslavia 68; see also Stalin,
Soviet–German Non-aggression Pact 20         Joseph
Soviet Union: and Berlin crisis 63;        Stalin, Joseph 2, 3; and Acheson
  buffer zone strategy 19, 23; and           National Press Club speech (1950)
  China 44–69, 70–87, 130–2                  99; and air support to Chinese troops
  (economic relations 57–8, 60, 62,          in Korea 164, 173–4, 179, 180–1; and
  191–2; military assistance 74, 131,        Changchun Railway 73, 84–5, 100–1;
  162, 185–91; and Northeast China           and China 123–4 (military assistance
  44–5, 50, 51, 52, 53–4, 55, 57, 59,        185–91; Nationalist–Communist
  73–4; and Taiwan campaign 124, 131;        relations 46, 56, 78, 80–1; relations
  trade 67, 191); and Chinese                with capitalist countries 77;
  Communist Party see under Chinese          revolution 8, 9, 10); death of 203;
  Communist Party; Communist Party           foreign policy see Soviet Union,
  (CPSU) 8, 12, 20, 80–1; “Eastern           foreign policy; and Kim Il-sung
  Front” 20; foreign policy 17–18, 21–8,     message on Chinese troop
  203 (confrontational 18, 23–5, 43,         deployment in Korea 159–61; and
  107–8, 121, 123; cooperation strategy      Kim Il-sung secret talks 115–16, 117,
  18–19, 21–2, 34, 43; in Europe 18, 23,     122; and Kim Il-sung withdrawal of
  25, 26–7; Far Eastern 4, 5, 6, 7, 8,       troops to China/Soviet Union 170,
  9–10, 17–18, 27–8, 29, 43, 117, 118;       172; and Korea (autonomy of 4;
  and national security interests 19,        recognition of Democratic People’s
  20–1, 23, 28, 115; Near East 24, 25,       Republic 40–1; 38th parallel
  27; and peaceful coexistence               proposal); and Korean War
  principle 18, 19, 20, 21, 23; world        (ceasefire talks 199–200, 201, 202–3);
  revolution perspective 19–20, 21, 23);     and Mao mutual respect 184; and
  and Iran 24; and Japan 119                 Mao proposed visits (1948) 68–9; and
  (Neutrality Pact 20; occupation of         Mao talks (1949–50) 92–5, 129; and
  Hokkaido 30, 31–2; war against 29);        Mao telegrams (October 1950) on
  and Korea trusteeship agreement 32,        deployment of Chinese troops in
  40, 42; and Korean War (ceasefire          Korea 149, 150–8, 172; and Mao’s
  talks 194, 195, 196, 199–200, 201;         Marxist credentials 178; and Mao’s
  prisoners-of-war issue 202); and           unilateral decision to deploy troops
248   Index
Stalin, Joseph continued                    trade: China 67, 88–9, 191; Sino-Soviet
  in Korea 172–4; and military                 67, 191; Soviet–Eastern Europe 26
  assistance to Chinese troops in           Treaties of Friendship: Soviet–North
  Korea 186–7, 188; and mobile                 Korean 41–2; Yugoslav–Bulgarian 26,
  warfare tactics 183; and Mongolian           see also Sino-Soviet Treaty of
  independence 46, 72; and national            Friendship
  security interests 18, 19, 20–1; new      Truman Doctrine 26, 207n12
  world war definition 21; and North        Truman, Harry 5, 22, 26, 30, 31, 107
  Korea war plan 3, 11, 12–13, 42,          trusteeship system 4, 32–3, 40, 42, 119
  147–8 (and Chinese attitude to 137;       Tsarapkin, Semyon 199–200
  and evacuation of Soviet personnel        Tumen River 7, 170
  and citizens from North Korea 158;        Tunkin, G. I. 111–12, 127
  opposition to unification through         Turkey 24, 25
  military force; 106; reversal of policy
  on 106–8, 114–15, 116, 117, 120–4,        U.S. News and World Report 42
  130, 131–2; and US intervention           U.S.–Soviet Joint Commission 37, 38
  135–6, 142–4); and Northeast China        Ufimtsev, E. P. 106
  94–5; and peaceful coexistence            Uijongbu 135
  strategy 18, 19, 20, 21; rubber           Ulchin 134
  cultivation proposal 184–5; and           United Nations 22, 133; and ceasefire
  Sino-Soviet alliance 4, 5–6, 17, 84,        talks 194–5, 196–7; Chinese
  92, 94–5, 99–101, 105, 117–18, 176;         representation in 194, 197, 200–1
  socialism in one country theory 20;       United Nations Charter Article 82 rules
  and Taiwan issue 85–7, 92, 93; and          119
  38th parallel proposal 30–1; and US       United Nations forces: advance on Yalu
  120–2, 160 (intervention in Korea           and Tumen rivers 170; around Pusan
  13–14, 122, 159; and Japan relations        140; and ceasefire 194; withdrawal of
  159–60; occupation of Japan 121;            195
  Open Door policy 59; and Taiwan           United Nations Security Council,
  issue 159); world revolution                Nationalist Chinese representative on
  perspective 19–20, 21; on Xinjiang          98
  82–3; and Yalta Agreement 10, 19,         United Nations Tripartite Korean
  51; and Zhou Enlai secret meeting           Ceasefire Committee 196, 197
  161–2, 163–5, 167; and Zhou joint         United States 4, 5, 8, 10, 11, 19, 24, 27,
  telegram (October 1950) 165–6,              29, 34, 45, 52, 70, 89; atomic bomb
  170                                         tests 29, 30; and China 53–4, 66, 77–8
Stuart, Leighton 13, 64–5, 77, 78             (military intrusion in Northeast 59;
Suizhong 55                                   and Nationalist–Communist relations
Suzdalev, S. P. 35                            56–7; and Soviet economic
                                              negotiations 58; US consulates and
Taedong River 182                             property requistioned 98–9); and
Taehwado Island 182                           Chinese Communist Party relations
Taiwan 11, 197; China and 70, 85–7,           70, 76, 77–8, 98–9; and Chinese
  124, 125, 131, 139, 201; Soviet Union       Nationalists 50; containment policy
  and 85–7, 92, 93; US and 5, 90, 93,         25, 26; and Japan 159–60
  106, 124, 139, 159, 194, 201                (occupation forces in 9, 29, 31, 73,
TASS 96                                       107, 119, 121); and Korea 43
Tehran conference (1943) 98                   (occupation in the South 30, 35, 37,
Tianjin 89                                    38, 40; trusteeship agreement 32, 40;
Tito, Marshal 68                              withdrawal of occupation troops 110,
Tkachenko, V. P. 122                          111); and Korean War (air force
Tongduchon 135                                losses 181; ceasefire talks 196–7;
Tonghua 61                                    intervention in 13–14, 114–15, 122,
Torkunov, A. V. 106                           123, 133, 135–6, 137, 140–1, 142–4,
                                                                        Index   249
 145–6, 159; naval presence off           Xue Litai 107, 114
 Chongjin 170); and Northeast China
 53–4; nuclear weapons 29, 30, 106;       Yalta Agreement (1945) 4, 10, 17, 18,
 Open Door policy 22, 53, 58, 59, 100;       19, 22, 29, 32, 43, 51, 58, 70, 92, 93,
 and Sino-Soviet alliance 18; and            98
 Soviet Union 120–2, 160                  Yalu River 170, 179, 181, 182
 (confrontational relations 18, 88, 90,   Yang Kuisong 1–16, 205n1
 107–8, 121, 123, 134, 176;               Yang Shangkun 154
 cooperative relations 21, 22, 170);      Yangtze River campaign 78
 and Taiwan issue 5, 90, 93, 106, 124,    Ye Jianying, General 184
 139, 159, 194, 201; and Yalta            Yi Chu-yon see Li Juyeon
 Conference 18                            Yingkou 54, 60, 61
United States Agency for Economic         Yinma River Bridge 67
 Assistance, Shanghai 99                  Yongsong 198
                                          Yu Song-chol, Lt. General 122
Vasilevsky, General A. M. 36, 87, 108,    Yudin, Pavel 94
  142–3                                   Yugoslavia 25, 26, 68
Vasiliev, Lt. General Alexandre 116,
  136, 142                                Zabrodin, Deputy Director 36–7
Versailles agreements 22                  Zakharov, General M. V. (Matveev)
Vietnam 7                                   134, 142, 143, 144, 147, 175
Vladivostok 7                             Zakharov, General S. E. 179–80, 195
Volkogonov, D. 178                        Zhang Baijia 45
Vyshinsky, Andrei 71, 95, 99, 101, 110,   Zhang Jia (Chang Kia-ngau) 53, 59
  117, 125, 126, 130; and Changchun       Zhang Wentian 55
  Railway 102–3; on Chinese air force     Zhang Xi 165
  training 168; and Jilin hydroelectric   Zhang Xinfu 58
  station 97–8; and US Lake Success       Zhang Zhizhong, General 64
  meeting 170                             Zheng Yitong 64
                                          Zhou Enlai 3, 50, 57, 61, 77, 130, 137,
Wan Yi 48                                   141, 154, 157, 178, 179; and ceasefire
Wang Jiaxiang 84, 87, 90, 91, 96, 97,       talks 194; and Central Military
  194                                       Commission 140, 158, 163–4; and
Wang Ming 47                                Changchun Railway 102, 103;
Wang Ruofei 50                              instructions on North Korean war
Wang Shijie 58, 65                          tactics 144–5; and Kim Il 125; and
Wang Yazhi 189                              Mao’s Moscow visit 91, 94; opposition
Wedemeyer, Albert 59                        to China’s entry into Korean War
Westad, Odd Arne 88, 97, 129, 192           163; and Panikkar meeting 157; and
Whiting, Allen 128                          post-civil war demobilization 139; on
world revolution perspective 19–20, 21,     principle of protracted warfare 144;
  23                                        and Roshchin meeting 167; and
World War II, Japan and 29                  rubber supply agreement 185; and
Wu Xiuquan 194                              Sino-Soviet Treaties 84, 90, 99–101;
                                            and Soviet military assistance 74, 131;
Xiao Jingguang 139, 186                     and Stalin joint telegram (October
Xibaibo Sino-Soviet secret meetings         1950) 165–6, 170; and Stalin secret
  (January–February 1949) 71–4, 95,         meeting 161–2, 163–5, 167; and US
  105                                       139, 145–6
Xie Fang, General 161                     Zhoushan 124
Xinjiang 64, 71, 72–3, 82–3, 104, 105     Zhu De 48, 74, 77, 125, 154, 161
Xu Xiangqian 187
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