Chapter 6: International Trade and Globalization
Chapter 6: International Trade and Globalization
The current account on the balance payments is split into 4 component parts
1. Trade in goods → balance of trade in goods = credits (exports of goods) – debits
(imports of goods)
2. Trade in services → balance of trade in services = credits – debits
This 2 first sections are used to record the incomes received from the sale of exports
to overseas residents and payments made to overseas residents to buy imports which
represent a leakage of incomes from the country
→ Balance trade surplus = when the total value of credits from trade in goods and
services exceeds the total value of debits
→ Balance trade deficit = when the total value of credits from trade in goods and
services is leed than the total value of debits
Balance of trade = balance trade in goods + balance trade in services
3. Primary income (factor rewards exchanged between residents and non residents
for the use of each other’s factors of production) = wages, rent and investment
incomes received from non residents (credit) – “ paid to non residents (debit)
4. Secondary income (transfers of monet or benefits between residents and non
residents) = current transfers received from non residents (credits) – ‘’ to non
residents (debits)
Calculating the current account balance
→ Current account surplus = when total credits exceed total debits → increases the
gross national income of a country (has earned more than paid)
→ Current account deficit = when total credits are less than total debits → reduces
the gross national income of a country (has paid more than received/ earned)
Current Account Deficit
When the financial outflows in the current account exceed the financial inflows, the
current account is in deficit.
Causes:
→ Higher exchange rate: if the currency is overvalued, imports will be cheaper and
therefore there will be a higher quantity of imports. Exports will become
uncompetitive and therefore there will be a fall in the quantity of exports.
→ Economic growth: if there is an increase in aggregate demand and national
income increases, people will have more disposable income to consume goods.
If producers cannot meet the domestic demand, consumers will have to imports
goods from abroad. Thus faster economic growth enables the possibility of a
current account deficit developing.
→ Decline in competitiveness: if export industries are in decline and cannot
compete with foreign countries, the exports fall, ushering in a deficit. This is a
major reason for many countries today experiencing current account deficits.
→ Inflation: this makes exports less competitive and imports more competitive
(cheaper).
→ Recession in other countries: if the country’s main trading partners experience
negative economic growth then they will buy less of the country’s exports,
worsening the current account.
→ Borrowing money: if countries are borrowing money from other countries to
finance their expenditure and growth, current account deficits will develop.
Correcting a current account deficit
→ Do nothing because a floating exchange rate should correct it: if there is a
trade deficit, a depreciation will occur as more currency is being spent than
received. Depreciation will make imports more expensive and exports
cheaper. As a result, domestic demand for imports will fall and foreign demand
for exports will rise, reducing the deficit.
→ Use contractionary fiscal policy: a government can cut public expenditure and
increase taxes to reduce total demand in the economy, which will reduce demand
for imports and improve the trade balance. However, a fall in demand may affect
firms in the economy who may cut output and employment in response.
→ Use contractionary monetary policy: a higher interest rate will attract more
direct inward investments and nullify the trade deficit. Higher interest rates will
also make borrowing from banks more expensive and increase the incentive to
save, thus discouraging consumers from spending. The govt. can also devalue
the exchange rate to improve export competitiveness and demand.
Current Account Surplus
When the financial inflows in the current account exceed the financial outflows, the
current account is in surplus.
Causes:
• Improved competitiveness: exports may have become more price-competitive
in the international market, due to perhaps, better labour productivity or low
prices.
• Growth in foreign countries: export demand may have risen due to trading
partners experiencing growth and higher incomes.
• High foreign direct investment: strong export growth can be the result of a high
level of foreign direct investment.
• Depreciation: a trade surplus might result from a currency depreciation .
• High domestic savings rates: high levels of domestic savings and low domestic
consumption of goods and services cause more products to be exported and
imports to fall.
• Closed economy: some countries have a low share of national income taken up
by imports, perhaps because of a range of tariff and non-tariff barriers.
Correcting a current account surplus:
• Do nothing because a floating exchange rate should correct it: if there is a
trade surplus, an appreciation will occur as more currency is being demanded.
An appreciation will make imports cheaper and exports expensive. As a result,
foreign demand for exports will fall and domestic demand for imports will rise,
reducing a trade surplus.
• Use expansionary fiscal policy: increasing public expenditure and cutting taxes
can boost total demand in an economy for imported goods and services.
• Use expansionary monetary policy: lower interest rates will make borrowing
from banks cheaper and increase the incentive to spend, thus encouraging
consumers to spend on imports and correct a trade surplus.
• Remove protectionist measures: reducing tariffs and quotas cause imports to
rise and close a surplus in the current account.