OutNotes - AFM Regular Concept Notes
OutNotes - AFM Regular Concept Notes
Audio Solutions
UNIQUE STRUCTURED
CONCEPT NOTES
OutNotes vs. ICAI Chapters
No. ICAI Chapter Name OutNotes Chapter Name
1 Financial Policy and Corporate Strategy Financial Policy and Corporate Strategy
2 Risk Management
Risk Management & Security Analysis
4 Security Analysis
5 Security Valuation
Equity Valuation
Equity & Business Valuation
13 Business Valuation
7 Securitization Securitization
Basics of AFM 1
Portfolio Management 73
Tables 288
Important Instructions
before we read this book...
This book has been creatively designed to help you understand and
remember the concepts easily. For this purpose, concepts have been
presented in diagrams and charts format. However, for theory topics,
answers must be written in simple pointers and paragraph format in
exams.
The purpose of text in Grey Colour is to give you the background of the
main concept, which will be more useful while reading first time. At the
time of revision, you should make use of colour coding & ignore grey text.
Below theory chapters & topics have more importance and should be
studied on priority to other chapters:
Chapters:
1. Start-Up Finance
2. Securitization
3. Financial Policy and Corporate Strategy
4. Risk Management
5. Security Analysis
No
of digits after decimal points
T ROE α
Returns Ke RF ECR T
Weights probabilities CNAV
1
2 Mutual Fund Units
or crore
Amount not in Lakhs million
Beta β
PVF IVF etc
Duration Macaulays modified
3 Correlation 8
Exchange Ratio M A
A. Basic Ratios
1) Earnings Per Share
4) Market Capitalization
Market Capitalisation (M-Cap) means total market value of equity shares of the company.
Example: Justdial Ltd has 1000 equity shares outstanding. Current market price is ₹ 15 per share.
Number of
Shareholding Pattern
Shares
Holding % 450
30%
Promoters 700 70% 70%
It is the total value of all equity shares of the It is that part of total market cap that is not
company. held by promoters i.e., held by general public
Calculation of M-Cap
15000 4500
Non promotes
Total
M cap holding
NA 15000 301
4500
5) Return on Equity
Return on Equity (ROE) is
the return (profit) earned by
the company on the capital EAES EPS
of equity shareholders as
per books. ESHF BUPS
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Adish Jain CA CFA
Basics of AFM
Equity Shareholders Funds (ESHF) or Net Worth is the total value of equity shareholders in the
net assets of the company as per books.
RES miss P L
_________________________________________________________________________________________
Eq share
capital Exp D8
The rate of discounting to be used always depends on the nature of cash flows:
Risk-free Cash Flows Real Risk Free Rate Nominal RiskFree Rate
1 1 92
Risky Cash Flows Real Risky Rate Nominal Risky Rate
193 19 2 93
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Adish Jain CA CFA
Basics of AFM
I
Technique PIÑO Po
3) Internal Rate of Return
CG yield Div yield
It is the discounting rate at which PV of cash inflows from an investment is equals to initial cash
outflow. It is calculated to determine the compounded rate of return actually earned (in case of
ex-post data) or to be earned (in case of ex-ante data) on any investment.
past
Example: future
Years CFs (₹)
0 - 110 p
I 121
1 11 110
2 121
PV Int FV PV IV Int
It 121 Trial
110 error
8 11 212 method
8 10 p.ae
Verifying the return earned:
Year Amount Invested Return 10.1
Accrued Return received Due Amount
110 11 11 110
2 110 11 121.00
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Adish Jain CA CFA
Basics of AFM
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
Single Sum:
Value of today’s ₹ 200 at the end of 5th year: Today’s value of ₹ 200 of 5th year end:
FV PV X PV FV PVFGoi.gl
FVFgo.gs
FV 1
PV X 1 10 7 11 101.5
200 1.611 200 0.621
322.2 124 2
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Adish Jain CA CFA
Basics of AFM
Annuity (A):
Regular Annuity
Value of all CFs at the end of 5th year assuming Value of all CFs today assuming CFs occur at
CFs occur at the end of the year: the end of the year:
It t t
11 1m PV Ax PVAFHO i.TT
m
m
m
200 3 791
758.2
FV AX FVAFcioi.si
200 60105
É 1221
Annuity Due
Value of all CFs at the end of 5th year assuming Value of all CFs today assuming CFs occur in
CFs occur in the beginning of the year. the beginning of the year.
11 8 11 8
1343.2 834
Perpetuity
PV
Not
possible
2 2000
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Adish Jain CA CFA
Basics of AFM
Nominal cash flows are the amount of future When effect of inflation is removed from such
revenues or expenses the company expects to future cash flows, they are called Real cash
receive or pay. Nominal cash flow has effect of flows. Real cash flow does not have effect of
inflation included in it. inflation included in it.
8
Relationship between Nominal
cash flow and Real cash flow: YES 1
Inflath
To calculate PV of nominal cash flow, nominal To calculate PV of real cash flow, real
discounting rate is used. discounting rate is used.
15.5
1 5.1.72
90.70
PV 100 8
90.70
11 155 72 PVO
11 10 1.72
74.96 r 74.96 8
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Adish Jain CA CFA
Basics of AFM
i e
operating op profit EBIT
margin Sales
Rov XX
COGS IEx depn XX
GP op
XP
Admin General Ex depn Xx
1 marketing distribution g XX
EBITDA XX
1 Amorth XX
Dep
EBIT operating profit XX
C1 Interest xx
PBT XX
c Tax xx
PAT XX
Ius
here
Equity & Business Valutaion
Equity & Business Valuation
Relative Valuation
• Equity Value Multiples Based Valuation
• Enterprise Value Multiples Based Valuation
• Chop - Shop Approach
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Adish Jain CA CFA
Equity & Corporate Valuation
Equity Share
PV Div Sales priie
Bonds
PV coupon Redemption Value
Any other asset
PV CFs from that asset
Common sense behind the principle:
Suppose a share can be sold @ ₹ 110 at _____________________________________________
the end of one year. Your required rate
of return is 10%. How much will you be 7 110
_____________________________________________
Rate 10.1
Interest return comp
onent from FV
Dividend Discount Models (DDMs) use dividends as the basis of calculating Intrinsic Value (IV-
what should be the valued) of shares.
Apply
Value of Share:
PV Ds 2 3
DDMJ
today
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Adish Jain CA CFA
Equity & Corporate Valuation
Rj RF β Rm RF
__________________________________________________________________________
or
__________________________________________________________________________
market risk premium
__________________________________________________________________________
risk
security premium
*CAPM is covered in detail in the chapter ‘Portfolio management’.
D Ke DI
Ke g g
Netproceeds
Po
Netproceeds Iggy 818
Preference # 3: Earning’s Yield
Ke EPS 08
TPE
__________________________________________________________________________
MPS Ratio
__________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________________
This model is applied when dividend grows at a constant rate for infinite number of years. Value
of share as per this model is PV of growing perpetuity.
Do
PY IDI
IVO De
D1 : ______________________________________
Div of year 1
dividends
08
of
g : ______________________________________
Constant growth Rate from 1 till a
ke g
Po sustainable growth rate
______________________________________
Y0 (& not Y1): Although dividend used in the formula is D1, but value so arrived is as at Y0 (&
not Y1)
g from D1 till D∞: g used in the formula is growth consistent from D1 till D∞. It does not include
the growth from D0 to D1. Hence, growth from D0 to D1 can be different.
g in EPS = g in D: Unless otherwise specified, dividend pay-out ratio is assumed to be constant.
Therefore, g in EPS is equal to g in DPS. I 22
EPS E
Calculation of Sustainable Growth Rate (g): for
RR ROE DPS
Formula of Growth: ___________________________________
50 55
g 10
___________________________________
opening closing
21000 ROE 10 EAES 100
yeart 40 Div 40
60 RE 260
9 7
61
ROE 10
year 2 1060 EAES 106
401 Div 42.4
60 RE 63.66
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
Since Gordon’s formula assumes constant pay-out ratio, growth in EPS, DPS, BVPS and MPS
is same at g %.
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Adish Jain CA CFA
Equity & Corporate Valuation
u years
Using Historical Data: not 5 years
Year 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Historical EPS or DPS
100 115 110 125 140
__________________________________________________________________________
FV PV 1 8
__________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________________
9 0.0878 08 8.78
__________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
ke
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
no
_____________________________________________________________________________
typified
_____________________________________________________________________________
GP
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
C
_
I
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Adish Jain CA CFA
Equity & Corporate Valuation
This model is applied when growth in dividend is not constant i.e., when dividend grows at
different rates for few years and then grows at a constant rate for infinite number of years.
Example:
I 115 0.893
2 D2 0 797
128.8
3 03 145.54 0.712
4 Dy 107.38 0.636
4 V4 167.38 1 10 1.1 0.636
Doke g
0.12 01
9205.9
6270.35
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Adish Jain CA CFA
Equity & Corporate Valuation
DI 115 0.893
7 Dr 128.8 0 797
3 03 145.54 0 712
TV3 167.38 0.712
3 836g
He 0.12 010
g
6267.70
Then, which alternative to follow in exams?
Alternative 1 will be preferred. However, in certain cases, alternative 2 will automatically look
more suitable because of the type of data given in the question. In such cases, it will be used.
Refer question number: __________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
Note 2
_____________________________________________________________________________
In
question while payout ratio
changing in future dont
_____________________________________________________________________________
is
the DP'S
_____________________________________________________________________________
g
apply on
and EPS
_____________________________________________________________________________
then calculateDAS
ratio
from
16 using payout
Adish Jain CA CFA
4) H Model
normal
____________________________________________________________________________
Gs Super
Do Gn Dox
____________________________________________________________________________
xH
9s Gn growth rate
Ff
____________________________________________________________________________
Ke 9m Ke gn gn
____________________________________________________________________________
normal growth
rate
____________________________________________________________________________
H transition period
2
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
Note: Use H-Model only when question specifically asks to do so.
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
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Equity & Corporate Valuation
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Adish Jain CA CFA
Equity & Corporate Valuation
FCFF FCFE
Calculation of FCF
Particulars Amount
Particulars Amount
EBIT Int t t XX
EBIT 61 t XX XX
Depn
XX
Dep Inv in WC xx
Inv in WC XX
Copex XX
Copex XX ft Repayment Borrowing XX
Prof div xx
It Redempt Issue of xx
pref shaves
FCFF XX FCFE XX
Relation b/w
FCFF and FCFE: _______________________________________________________________
Hence, when there will be no debt and preference share capital, FCFF = FCFE.
*Note: While calculating FCFF, interest will not be deducted from EBIT and tax will be calculated
directly on EBIT.
Discounting rate will be the required rate to return to the capital providers from whose
perspective valuation is done
Ko
KexWe kdxwd ke
ga
In the calculation of KO, weights (i.e., We, Wp and Wd) should be based on below priorities:
1. Target Capital Structure Ratio
2. Market Values (MVs)
3. Book Values (BVs)
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Adish Jain CA CFA
Equity & Corporate Valuation
Value of Firm:
VF PV FCFF
Value of Equity:
VE PV FCFE
Therefore, in case of: Therefore, in case of:
FCFFI FCFEI
Vp VE
ko Ke
2. Constant growth 2. Constant growth
FCFFI FCFEI
VF VE
ko g ke g
3. Variable growth 3. Variable growth
VF PV IFCFF.az n
VE PV FCFEI.rs n
PV Tvn PV Tun
Value of Equity can be calculated as... Value of Firm can be calculated as...
VE VE MV D
VF VET MV D
MV Pref mV pref
Note: There are some questions of valuation which are based on the logic of NPV or FCF Valuation.
They have been separately categorized as ‘NPV based questions of Valuation’ after question of
Cash Flow Based Valuation.
20
Adish Jain CA CFA
Equity & Corporate Valuation
These methods of valuations have Balance Sheet as its start point. It involves identifying the
individual tangible & non tangible assets, long-term liabilities and preference share capital held
by the company and assigning them value based on the exact method to be followed:
Replacement cost
Replaceable Value
Value of Equity is equal to the market value of Net Assets held by the company.
Particulars Amount
value
of All Assets.EE xxx
less Value of External liabilities XX
loss Value of prefence shares XX
Total Net Asset Value Net worth X
No
of Equity share
NAV share XX
per
Points to consider:
When MVs are not available, consider BVs.
Value of contingent liability will also be deducted if it is expected to materialize.
MV of preference share is also required to be deducted to arrive at the value of equity.
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Adish Jain CA CFA
g I
Tsp
Equity & Corporate Valuation
This method considers capitalization of earnings of the company to arrive at the value of the
2)company.
Walters Model
Future maintainable PAT
Practical
Value Questions: _______________________
of Business/Equity: X
Practice Problems: _______________________
Chitalization Rate
Reported PBT XX
Add Extra ordinary losses XX
less Extra ordinary Income XX
Add Add future income
less Add future expenses xx
Future maintainable DBT XXX
less Future tax rate
Future maintainable PAT XXX
É FD
Fair Value: given, weighted average of NAV
08 Aug and ECV will be calculated.
Fairprise
22
Adish Jain CA CFA
2 WALTERS MODEL Equity & Corporate Valuation
According to this model, the value of equity share is the PV (Dividend and Price appreciation)
earned by the shareholders every year till infinite period of time.
D Dividend
__________________________________
of fe E
__________________________________
Earning
Equity Ke CE D Retainted
__________________________________
Earnings
Use of Walters Model is not limited to calculation of value of share. It also helps in determining
the optimum payout. Optimum Payout means the payout at which price of the share is maximum.
Example: EPS is ₹100 & Ke is 12.5%. Calculate value of share if:
Payout = 0% Payout = 50% Payout = 100%
r = 12%
r = 10%
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Adish Jain CA CFA
Equity & Corporate Valuation
We can observe that some relationship between r and Ke can be drawn to determine the optimum
payout.
Conclusions:
Relationship
When Correlation between Share price and payout Optimum Payout:
Payout Ratio
r > Ke 0
Value y
Payout Ratio
r < Ke 100
Value
r = Ke
Indifferent Indifferent
Note that when question asks for optimum payout ratio, we will not just have to advise the
optimum payout ratio, buy also show the value of share in case of optimum payout ratio.
23.67
_____________________________________________________________________________
220 times
_____________________________________________________________________________
Comprafe
_____________________________________________________________________________
Industry
_____________________________________________________________________________
EPS
_____________________________________________________________________________
1 Price 20
_____________________________________________________________________________
Company EPS
_____________________________________________________________________________
65
_____________________________________________________________________________
whose valuation
is
being done
_____________________________________________________________________________
130.0
If
_____________________________________________________________________________
5
_____________________________________________________________________________
EPS
____________________________________________________________________________ PE of
the
of
co
comparable
Co s
24 financial value
Adish Jain CA CFA parameted multible
Equity & Corporate Valuation
E. Relative Valuation
Under this approach, we arrive at the value of equity or enterprise value by multiplying the Value
Multiples of comparable entities with the financial parameter on which that multiple is based.
Value so arrived is called as Relative Value or Value by Multiples.
Financial Parameter means any financial variable that demonstrate something about Scale of
F.PT operations (like sales), Profitability (like EBIT, net profit, etc) or Financial position (like Assets,
book value) of the company.
Value multiple means financial ratio of which numerator is value of equity or enterprise and
denominator is financial parameters like earnings, sales, BV, etc.
Comparable entity means entities in the same industry with similar risk characteristics.
or
Note that if question gives data of multiple comparable entities, then we will have to calculate
average value multiple of such entities. This average multiple will be then multiplied with the
given financial parameter to arrive at value of the company.
Below are the examples of Financial Parameters and respective Equity Value Multiples:
FP
Financial Parameter Equity Value Multiples Value of Equity =
Equity Value means value of only equity shareholders in the value of overall business. Enterprise
Value (EV) means value of firm as a whole for all classes of investors (capital providers).
Includes value of debt and preference share also.
Excludes surplus cash & cash equivalents
ENTERPRISE VALUE
MV MV mV Cash
shores Debt C E
Equity Pref
Since, EV (which is the numerator of EV Multiples) includes the claims of all the investors, then
financial parameter (which is the denominator) should also include the claims of all of them.
Hence, denominators of EV multiples will slightly vary as compared to Equity Value Multiples.
Below are the examples of Financial Parameters and respective EV Multiples:
FinancialFPI
Parameter EV Multiples Enterprise Value=
EBIT EV ratio FP
EBIT time
EV
sales Sales Ratio of me of the
Cop Empd
EV
capital Empd Talked comparable
entity or
Calculation of Value of Equity from EV: industry
Enterprise Value XX
Less:
MV Debt Xx
Less:
MV
Pref xx
Add:
Cash Cash
Eq X
value of Equity XXX
26
Adish Jain CA CFA
Equity & Corporate Valuation
no
p.fr 3) Chop - Shop Approach | Break-up Value Approach | Sum of Parts Approach
0.66 Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: _______________________
This method is applied when a company operated in different business segment. According to
this approach, Value of firm is equal to the sum of values of its different business segments,
where, values of these business segments is calculated using Value Multiples read in earlier two
methods.
Example: Let us say ITI has three divisions. Below are their names and relevant value multiples:
Value of firm:
Division Calculation Amount
Ratio based
_____________________________________________________________________________
Economic Value Added (EVA) is the excess return earned by the company over its WACC. In
simpler words, it the amount of earnings left with company after deducting capital charge of
debt, preference and even equity.
51
__________________________________________________________________________
28
Adish Jain CA CFA
Equity & Business Valuation
1. Capital Employed:
E PS mV
__________________________________________________________________________
mV mV D
__________________________________________________________________________
2. WACC:
Ke:
As per CAPM ke RF β Rm R
______________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________
Kd:
Ipostrax
Interest 1 1 t 08 Interest 1 t
______________________________________________________________ 1
mV debt
______________________________________________________________
of
WACC (Ko):
Kex 1 Kdx Wd
______________________________________________________________
We
______________________________________________________________
or Kex E Kd
______________________________________________________________
consider ETD
______________________________________________________________
MVs for Wedwd
Why interest is not deducted while calculating NOPAT even when it is tax deductible expense?
Since, Kd is calculated net of tax, it means that we have already taken tax benefit on interest in
our calculation. Note that same logic applies in the calculation of FCFF also, where we calculate
the tax directly on EBIT.
Value of firm using EVA Approach: Discussed in detail in the section of MVA.
Financial EBIT
_____________________________________________________________________________
Leverage
EBT
_____________________________________________________________________________
this actually
is
_____________________________________________________________________________
degree of financial
EBIT
_____________________________________________________________________________
leverage Int
EBT 29
Adish Jain CA CFA
Equity & Business Valuation
Market Value Added (MVA) is the excess of market value of firm (i.e., Equity, Preference Share
and Debt) over its book value (i.e., capital employed).
MV E PS D BV E PS D
Note that in the absence of actual market values of equity, preference capital or debt, MVA can
be calculated using Intrinsic Value of Firm (i.e., value of firm calculated using FCF models). The
value so arrived will be intrinsic MVA.
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
Note that, as already read, this method of valuation will give a correct value only when there is
no growth in NOPAT. But, if question asks us to do so, we will have to apply this method even
when there is growth. Refer question number:
30
Adish Jain CA CFA
Equity & Business Valuation
Rights issue is a way of raising funds in which company gives an option (called as Right) to its
existing shareholders to subscribe to the newly issued shares (called as Right shares) in
proportion to their holding.
The ratio in which right shares are issued against existing shares is called as Rights Ratio
Example:
Pre-right market price per share:
Po 100
Pre-right number of shares:
No 1000
To fund a project, company wants to raise:
20 000
Only two of these will be
Company offers rights in the ratio:
given 1 4
Issue price of right shares: 80
31
Adish Jain CA CFA
Equity & Business Valuation
PI
MI shares to be issued and Issue Price:
Calculation of Number of rights
1000 44 250
______________________________________________________________________
he shares
______________________________________________________________________
Pt 20,000250 280
______________________________________________________________________
share
______________________________________________________________________
N1 1000 250
______________________________________________________________________
shares
______________________________________________________________________
80
______________________________________________________________________
P1
Calculation of Ex-Right Price
___________________________________________________________________________
Ex Right prile
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
* Note that whenever question gives the data of future CFs to be generated from the project
(project for which rights issue has been made), rather than Subscription amount raised we
984
shall consider intrinsic value of that project i.e., PV of future CFs to be generated from it.
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Adish Jain CA CFA
Equity & Business Valuation
I 16
_______________________________________________
per right
Value of Right per Share: 216 4
_______________________________________________
4 per share
_______________________________________________
_______________________________________________
I
_______________________________________________
10,000
_______________________________________________
No change in wealth
Rights are ignored: _______________________________________________
100 9600
shares 96
_______________________________________________
9600
Decrease in wealth
33
Adish Jain CA CFA
Equity & Business Valuation
4) Concept of Buy-back
Issue
When a company buys its own equity
shares back from the market, it is called as Buy
Buy Back.
ZEZ
Unlike rights, the price at which shares COMPANY COMPANY
are bought back (Buyback Price) is
normally higher than its market price to
E E Buy
attract the investors.
The shares bought back by the
ET Back
company ceases to exist. pris
34
Adish Jain CA CFA
Equity & Business Valuation
Bonus issue means issue of further shares to the SHs in proportion to their existing shareholding
without any consideration. Shares so issued are called Bonus Shares.
Total number of Shares will increase by the number the bonus shares issued.
Note that, bonus does not involve any cash flow in the entire event and theoretically, total
market cap and total earnings of the company remains unchanged.
35
Adish Jain CA CFA
Equity & Business Valuation
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
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Adish Jain CA CFA
I
1 i
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
M&A deal in which purchase consideration is M&A deal in which purchase consideration is
redeemed by issuing equity shares of A Ltd. paid in cash.
37
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
1 : 2 or 0.5
___________________________________________________________________________
Method 1: When
MIX ER
ER & nT are given:
2,00000 12 1,00 000 shares
of Altd
Method 2: When PC &
Issue price are given: PC Ntx MPST 200,000 2100
E 2,00 00,000
of shares 0000000
Ffg
no
of 100 fares
L'd 200
There are various parameters based on which A Ltd & T Ltd can agree to an exchange ratio. For
example, EPS, MPS, BVPS, NPA Ratio (in case of banks), etc.
Means parameter
Higher is Better Lowes is bettes
which is better:
For example:
EPS MPS BUPS NPA ratio DIE rate
Exchange Ratio:
Parameterof Titd Parameter of A lid
Parameter of A lid Parameterof Titd
A T
Example EPS NPA
f Io
38
Adish Jain CA CFA 20 10
ER 1 2 ER 1 22
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
Note that:
ER is always based on per share parameters. For example: it can be based on EPS, MPS, BVPS
but not on total earnings, total market-cap or total net worth of the companies.
If question is silent about ER, always assume it to be based on MPS. Ex 05
It is possible to have exchange ratio higher than 1. This happens when per share parameter
of T Ltd are better than per share parameter of A Ltd.
5) Synergy
Synergy is when post-merger earnings or value of A Ltd is more than simple summation of pre-
merger earnings or value of A Ltd and T Ltd.
SV VAT VA VT VAT VA VT
Post-merger EPS & related calculation Post-merger MPS & related calculation
39
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
2,49000 80,000
_______________________________________________________________________________
1.60.000
30,000 20000
_______________________________________________________________________________
42
_______________________________________________________________________________
I 12 A ltd
_______________________________________________________________________________
per share of
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
It means EPS in A Ltd to the SHs of T Ltd, equivalent to every 1 share of T Ltd
_______________________________________________________________________________
112 6 2 old
_______________________________________________________________________________
per share
of Titd
40
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
Gain / (Loss)
41
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
Gain / (Loss)
42
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
Equivalent EPS 8 42
_______________________________________________________________________________
I 4 per share
_______________________________________________________________________________
Gain Post 8 4
_______________________________________________________________________________
lossto 5 17 mages
_______________________________________________________________________________
61 premerge
B. Maximum Exchange Ratio
b) When question specifically asks for ‘maximum exchange ratio’, it means we need to calculate the
maximum ER to which SHs of A Ltd will agree.
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
2 40,000 80,000 1 60,000 8
_______________________________________________________________________________
30,000 20,000 ER
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
ER 1.5
_______________________________________________________________________________
1
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
43
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
c) When question specifically asks for ‘minimum exchange ratio’, it means we need to calculate the
minimum ER to which SHs of T Ltd will agree.
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
80,000 1 160.000 ER 4
_______________________________________________________________________________
2,99000
30.000 20000 ER
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
ER 0.3 1
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
44
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
30,000
_______________________________________________________________________________
13.9 per
share
_______________________________________________________________________________
Note that if interest & tax rate are not given in the question, then it can be ignored.
NOT APPLICABLE
Since Equivalent EPS is calculated using ER and in case of a cash deal, there is no ER.
Ghae
_______________________________________________________________________________
n Int 1 7
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
1
_______________________________________________________________________________
2.41 81
0 1.61 0.2 6888 11 101
_______________________________________________________________________________
30 88
30000
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
46
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
40.8L
______________________________________________________________________________
0.4k
______________________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________________
102 shore
______________________________________________________________________________
pct
If question is silent about post-merger PE Ratio of A Ltd, it is assumed to be same as pre-
merger PE Ratio
47
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
102
1
_______________________________________________________________________________
per share
3) Gain/(loss) to SH of A Ltd and T Ltd in terms of MPS or Value
48
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
Understanding how does change in exchange ratio affects SHs of A Ltd and T Ltd:
A Ltd T Ltd
Case 2: If ER = 0.1 or 1:10
49
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
2.4 x 8.5 68
_______________________________________________________________________________
081 t.GL
0.3L ER
_______________________________________________________________________________
0 2L
_______________________________________________________________________________
ER 1.5 1
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
0 82 1 62 8.5 ER 24
_______________________________________________________________________________
2.41
_______________________________________________________________________________
0.3L 0.2L ER
_______________________________________________________________________________
ER 0.2 L
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________________
50
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
1
_______________________________________________________________________________
Alterative
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
4L 0 8 t t.GL 0 21 45 101 11 30
_______________________________________________________________________________
8.5
_______________________________________________________________________________
0 3L
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
118 15
_______________________________________________________________________________
Alternative
_______________________________________________________________________________
2
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
0841.62 8.5 0 21 45
_______________________________________________________________________________
24
_______________________________________________________________________________
03 L
_____________________________________________________________
106
For rest of the solution, we will continue with the post-merger MPS arrived under method 1...
Note that the first method (in which interest on PC in considered) is more preferable. However, in
the absence of interest rate, second method (in which entire PC is deducted) can be applied.
NOT APPLICABLE
Since, equivalent MPS is calculated using ER therefore, calculation of equivalent MPS is not possible
and also not needed.
51
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
52
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
53
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
102
_______________________________________________________________________________
51
Post
maga MPS 102
Equivalent MPS 51
1 I pre merges MPS 68 24
Gain loss per share 34 27
54
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
30,000 68 20.000 24 115,600007 68
_______________________________________________________________________________
30.000 70,000
_______________________________________________________________________________
ER
_______________________________________________________________________________
ER
_______________________________________________________________________________
1.5 L
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
30,000 68 20.000 24 115,600007 ER
_______________________________________________________________________________
24
30.000 70,000 ER
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
ER 0.2 L
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
55
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
56
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
Cashper
30,000 68 20,000 24 1560,000 share
_______________________________________________________________________________
20,00
30000
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
68
Cash per share 102
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________________
The minimum amount of cash PC which SHs of T Ltd would agree, will be its pre-merger MPS
because MPS is minimum amount that they will receive if they sell their shares in the market. Hence,
they would expect atleast that much of amount from A Ltd.
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
57
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
58
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
F. Demerger
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: ________________________
Demerger means a company selling one of its divisions or undertakings to another company or
creating an altogether separate company.
There are different types of demerger like sell-off, spin-off, split-up, etc. These have been covered
in details in theory notes. Practical question covered in our syllabus is based in spin-off. In spin-
off, a part of the business is separated and created as a separate entity. The existing shareholders
of the firm get proportionate ownership in the newly created entity.
There is no change in ownership and the same shareholders continue to own the newly created
entity.
Total number of shares of existing firm will remain same as before demerger.
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
59
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mergers, Acquisition & Corporate Restructuring
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
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____________________________________________________________________________________
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____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
60
Adish Jain CA CFA
Fixed Income Securities
Fixed Income Securities means investment instruments in which cash flows generated in future
(in the form of coupon and redemption value) are predetermined. It includes:
Money Market Fixed Income Securities: These securities have maturity of less than 1 year.
Example: Treasury Bills, Commercial Paper, Certificate of Deposit, etc.
Capital Market Fixed Income Securities: These securities have maturity of more than 1 year.
Example: Government Bonds, Corporate Bonds, etc. or more
61
Adish Jain CA CFA
Concept
Fixed Income Securities
Fixed v S
Floating Rate Bonds
1) Valuation of Bonds Refer pg no
of Derivatives
015
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: _______________________
Valuation of Bonds is simply based on Fundamental Principal of Valuation i.e., value of any asset
today is PV of all future cash flows generated from that asset.
4
8.1 f p p
C 8 8 8
piece Cp
CMP
Basics of TVM & its application: RRR or YTM
Reg rate
of return
IV Coupon RV
PV Interest Eu
Baghdad
MP Coupon RV
YTM
016 where
IV CMP
Conclusion: We will always have the amount of Coupons & RV. From the rest two (i.e., CMP/IV
or RRR/YTM), if anyone is given, we can find out the another one!
Discounting Rate used to calculate intrinsic value of bond will be Required Rate of Return
(RRR) or Yield-to-maturity (YTM) of the investor. It is also called as Cost of Debt (Kd) from
issuer point of view.
RRR is the rate of return that an investor can earn by investing in any other bond having
similar characteristics.
Concept Relat b w YTM Price
62 TTM Price
Adish Jain CA CFA
I 2 n no
of years Fixed Income Securities
no
of periods
cmp
Calculation of Intrinsic Value (i.e., what should be the value) of different types of bonds:
IV RV
Zero Coupon Bond
MP 11 Ytm
Eh
Perpetual Bond
m
Amortised Bond IV
Cmp
EE Imy EI mp
Note that compounding frequency of YTM or RRR is assumed to be same as frequency of coupon
payment. Simply saying, if coupons on the bond are paid semi-annually, then given YTM/RRR
(used for discounted) is also assumed to compound semi-annually.
9.25
2) Yield from Bonds: TYM, Current Yield & Realised Yield
an intuition
gives
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: _______________________
of discounting
rate
63
Adish Jain CA CFA
Fixed Income Securities
Amortised Bond
N.A
Annualised YTM
If frequency of coupons is not annual, then period
above calculated periodic YTM will not be K
annualised. Therefore, annualised YTM can TTM Tffompounding
be calculated from periodic YTM as:
Freq in a year
Note that Approximate method can be used to calculate YTM since it is easier. However, in the i e no
below two situations Precise method should be used: in
1. Question gives the data of PVFs to be used for trial & error method 9.12.13
coupons a year
2. YTM to be calculated will have to be further used in some other calculation (for example,
Duration, etc)
928
64
Adish Jain CA CFA
diff 6 00 Yields of bonds
spread the
YTM YTM Fixed Income Securities
Bond 1 Bonds
Investment Decision based on CMP vs IV and RRR vs YTM:
al If... Means... Pricing Status Action
0 1 2 3 4
I I 1
Eg 8,8
FVof pons
6
IE
0 40
reinvested
10.1
_____________________________________________________________________________
OF 95
_____________________________________________________________________________
IF
_____________________________________________________________________________
100 27.85
PV 1 81 FV
_____________________________________________________________________________
127.85
95 1 87 127 85
3) Valuation using Spot & Forward Interest Rates 8 7 71 P.a
compound
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: _______________________
65
Adish Jain CA CFA
Spot rates Rateof Jut applicable to a Borrowing lending which
starts from today
0 488
Fixed Income Securities
48 rates Rateof Gut applicable to a Borrowing lending
that starts from a
future date
Spot vs Forward Interest Rates
Octoday
5
f p I
FB
ÉÉffÉÉÉIgÉ FR 1 4
5.2
FR 2
5.51 FR 3 4
Er 8 61
Any given spot or forward rate can be used to compound (PV to FV) the cash flows or to
_____________________________________________________________________________
Note
discount (FV to PV) the cash flows only for that time period to which that given rate applies.
_____________________________________________________________________________
Value 80
_____________________________________________________________________________
1.8 2 1 1198874
1 05 5513
_____________________________________________________________________________
1072.07
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
FV Part FV Path 2
_____________________________________________________________________________
logically
ᵗx 11T FR1 2 1 5.2 72
_____________________________________________________________________________
1 5
54
_____________________________________________________________________________
FR1x2
_____________________________________________________________________________
Bond 80
_____________________________________________________________________________
price of 80
41.8 1.054 ios Fras 1.054 105
1080 67
FR3xy f1tFRz 1.054 1.05 Adish Jain CA CFA
bond C Acs interes
price paid to purchase a
Total is included in it
Fixed Income Securities
price calcuted after deducting aissued interest
price cleanpril from full price A bond is quoted in the
4)Dirty
Full Price vs Flat Price of a Bond Q 17 at this
market price
6m for 290
_____________________________________________________________________________
10
POICE 980.91
_____________________________________________________________________________
FULL
1 Accrued Interest 40
_____________________________________________________________________________
antrued coupon.ie 80 6 12
FLAT Price 940.91
5) Extension and Retirement Decisions
Whether to extend the existing bond?
025 L extend the same 20g
98
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
Evie EDCF
b) Modified Duration | ‘Volatility’ | ‘Sensitivity’
029 ie value ofBo
Modified Duration means approximate % change in
value of bond for each % change in interest rate.
TMI MD Macaulays
If interest rate increases, value of bond will decrease Duration
by modifies duration times percentage increase in
interest rate and vice versa. 1 YTM period
K Y TM
It denotes the risk of the bond and therefore, lower is
better. compfreq
UTM i to
approx
% Change in the price of Bond: Freq ofcoupo
Approx M D X ΔYTM
Δ in price
c) Immunization
V.TV 2Vo
55
Convexity
2 V0 x 1075m
4th
49 10
4
precise
Convexity Adjustment & % Change in price: assume some ITM Δ both sides
n
2
Δ in
MD ΔYTM Convexity ΔYTM
Bondprice
_____________________________________________________________________________
FV 1000 47M n 3
_____________________________________________________________________________
10
10
_____________________________________________________________________________
Coupon
Years PVF 1011 DCF W
h_____________________________________________________________________________
Coypon
1 100 0.909 go.g 9 091
_____________________________________________________________________________
the bonds is
_____________________________________________________________________________
value_of
recoved in patets over a
_____________________________________________________________________________
period of 3
_____________________________________________________________________________
years
Avg time taken
Ix 9.09.1
70 to recover
Adish Jain CA CFA 2x 8 26 10
3x 82.617
3 Y S
SONVERTIBLE BONDS
IMP
Debenture
SEitiisiijk.fi
convert Karo
Shares me
to debenture ki value Kimi
i
shares Shares Conversion parity price
shares Shares Debenture buy Kar ke
CMP shard mei convert kro.to
stores ki cost Kitui
conversion premium
MP ke comparision ma
Conversion price Kitna
jyada mi
Fixed Income Securities
CP TBill CoD
B. Money Market Fixed Income Securities C Bill holding
Call Money
Notice Money
Term Money
T-Bills, Commercial Paper & Certificate of Deposit: These instruments are issued at discount and
redeemed at its face value. These are issued by:
Treasury Bill
Gout
Commercial Paper
Corp
Certificate of Deposit
Bank
a) Discount Rate or Discount Yield
71
Rule of day countingIn for Disc Addon Yicel Adish Jain CA CFA
1 15 NOV 15 Jan start from next day 16 NOV i e G days
new month
2 3 4 13 Jan 9 date
1st Nov i e 766
3 1 Nov 15 Jan stoat from 1st Nov
Fixed Income Securities
i e 76 day
b) Holding Period Yield | Money Market Yield | Effective Annual Yield add on yield
Holding Period Yield is the
return earned during the
FV CMP IP 100
holding period of the security. IP CMP
ANNUALIZATION
Simple interest based compound interest based
Money market yield | Bond Equivalent Effective Annual Yield
Yield | Interest Rates | Yield | Investment
Rate 3651h
365 1 HPY 1
HPY
n
It is always calculated and mentioned on annualized basis by using Actual Number of Days & 365
days.
Bank Repomargin
RBI Bank RBI
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
295
It
_____________________________________________________________________________
95.26
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
Repurchase Agreement
Repurchase after 10 d
72
Repurchase price
Adish Jain CA CFA
95 1 10 4 109
3650
95.26
Reporate
Portfolio Management
73
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
74
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
Possible
Years Price (₹) Dividend (₹) Return (X)
Ex 42 92
E RA I K 4292 14.31
3
110 100 5
30 110 5 15 4.5
100
95 100 0 5
201 95 0 1
100
115 100 10
10 25
501 115 100 12 5
ECRA Hop 16
Note that in case of ex-post data, in the calculation of each year’s possible return, P 0 will be
respective year’s opening price, whereas in case of ex-ante data, P0 will be current year’s opening
price (i.e., price today) for all cases of possible returns.
75
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
Security X:
more
108 certainty
FD less futuation
100 less risk
Security Y:
150 lessee restainity
TCS
110
more futation
100 more risk
90
1
Higher is the dispersion of possible returns of securities, more we find the security risky. Variance
and Standard Deviation are most widely accepted measures of dispersion.
Risk of a security is measured by Variance (σ 2) or Standard Deviation (σ) of possible returns
of the security.
It shows: On an average, how much do the possible returns deviate from the expected return.
76
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
30 IT 4 5 15 16 1 111 30 0 3
20 5 5 16 21 6 21 4 20 88.2
50 25 25 16 9 1912 50 40.5
Ecp.se 16 129
p.dz
ECRA PXR 16
lpxdr 129.4
Vor 129 11.35
77
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
Similar to expected return of a security, Expected Return of Portfolio is the return that an investor
expects to earns on the portfolio.
2016
2017
2018
2019 200 300
78
Adish Jain CA CFA 2010 17 18 2019
I I Expirated return
of bperiod
80 ECRA 111
ECRB 161
Portfolio Management
2
Calculation the possible returns of Security A (X) & Security B (Y) and E(R A) & E(RB) thereon:
Years X Y
1 15 9
2 10 14
3 8 25
EN 48
33 Ey
33
ECR D Erin 3
11 J Eyn 48 3 16
Calculation of weight of security A (denoted by WA) & security B (denoted by WB): Caution!
Security A Security B
25 1 16 751 14 75
_____________________________________________________________________________
11
Verification: If we suppose the entire portfolio as a single security and calculate expected return:
Total Value of
Year Possible returns (X)
A B Portfolio
101
79
0 Adish Jain CA CFA
161
I 20
Portfolio Management
13 754
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
80
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
4) Risk – Portfolio
Risk of a Portfolio means on an average, how much do the possible returns of a portfolio deviate
from its expected return. Risk of Portfolio P is measured by Variance ( σP2) and Standard Deviation
(σP) of its possible returns.
Apparently, calculation of risk of the portfolio also seems like the weighted average risk of its
individual security. But it’s NOT!
Let’s understand this with the help of a portfolio of equity shares of J Ltd and K Ltd:
Case 1
garnRA sec A
1 1
µ titryersth
yo
return cotel ang
petB t.FR
g
1 1
NM
yelers
Case 2
1 1
mm
yeah years
81
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
Correlation means co-movement between two variables like returns of two securities.
Positive Correlation: When returns of the securities move in the same direction. Example: in
one period, both the securities give good returns and, in another period, both give bad
returns.
Negative Correlation: When returns of the securities move in the opposite direction. Example:
in a given period, when, one gives good returns, another gives bad returns and vice versa.
No Correlation: When returns of one security has no relation with returns of another.
Covariance measures the correlation between returns of two securities. Covariance between
the returns of securities- A & B is denoted by CovAB.
Being an absolute measure of interrelationship, it is incomplete to infer.
It is used to calculate correlation coefficient.
Casually referred as Correlation, Coefficient of Correlation measures degree of correlation
between returns of two securities. Correlation coefficient between the returns of securities-
A & B is denoted by rAB or ρAB.
It is a relative measure of interrelationship rAB = + / - xx
and complete to infer. It can tell us about
both, nature and degree of correlation.
degree
It can range from -1 to +1 and has no unit. direction of
correlation
of
correlation
Note that covariance and correlation between Whether the now
are
strongly
risk free security and any security is Zero. is same they
direction or correlated
82 opp direction to each other
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
TAWAY TBWB
2X TA WA TB WB JAB
In case of 3 securities in the portfolio:
Tp AWAY GWBP We
2X TAWA TB WB TAB
2x TB WB T We TBC
2 TWC TANAX JCA
Standard Deviation of portfolio P: σP
Tp 52
_____________________________________________________________________________
P ERA In
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
WA
_____________________________________________________________________________
8
ECRp
_____________________________________________________________________________ Tp
_____________________________________________________________________________
Price Y ECRB TB
_____________________________________________________________________________
B
Div WB
_____________________________________________________________________________
83
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
WA 251
I. Ex-post Data: CovAB | rAB |σP2 | σP
WB 751
Year X DX = (X – 𝑿) DX2 Y DY = (Y – 𝒀) D Y2 DX × DY
1 15 4 16 9 7 49 28
2 10 1 1 14 2 4 2
3 8 3 9 25 9 81 27
33 26 48 134 53
48 16
ECR EY 333 111 3
134
52 2
Edgy
44.66
dry 8.67 3
2
COVA B daxdy 33 17.67
n
WA 251
II. Ex-ante Data: CovAB | rAB |σP2 | σP
WB 75.1
P X P×X DX = (X – 𝑿 ) P × DX2
20 101 2 6 7.2
50 16 8 0 0
30 20 6 4 4 8
16 12
Y P×Y DY = (Y – 𝒀) P × D Y2 P × DX × DY
15 3 2 0.8 2.4
14 7 0.5 0
10 3 13 2.7 3.6
66
13 4
Calculation of CovAB and rAB
Particulars A B
x̅ 13
ECR ElPxn 161
J ECpxy
22 E pxdn 12 E pxdy 4
12 3.46 MY 2
COVAB Pxdrxdy 6
COVAB 0.87
TAB TaxB
358 2
2
1346 0.2572 2 0.7572
2 3 46 0.25 2 0.75 C 0.87
0.75 85
0.75 0.87 Adish Jain CA CFA
Tp
Portfolio Management YAE
III. Important points of consideration: E(RP) | Cov8AB | rABCOVAB
|σP2 | σP FABX TAX B
Calculating variance of the portfolio directly using covariance
TAWAY TB WB 2X TA WA TB WB JAB
FAWA GWBP IF We
2X WAWBX COVAB 2X WBW CX COVBC
2x WC WAX COUCA
r = -1 moderate r=0 r = +1
1 1 Margate
If we put r = +1 and -1 in the below formula of SD:
101 20 701 To
E(RP) = 18 50.1 24 701 21
Lysis rAB σP
+ 1.00
+ 0.50
0.00
- 0.50
- 1.00
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
87
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
With rest all inputs remaining the same, as the correlation between the securities reduces
from +1 to -1, risk of the portfolio reduces from highest to lowest. This is because, as
correlation reduces, securities offset the deviations of each other. It means that: lower the
correlation, lower the risk and better it is.
As already read, at r = +1, risk of the portfolio is equal weighted average of risk of individual
security and this is also the case of its highest risk. Hence, we can conclude that:
In all cases of correlation, except when r = +1, risk of the portfolio will be lower than
weighted average risk of individual securities.
This is the central theme of Modern Portfolio Theory. It says: Return of the portfolio is
weighted average but risk of the portfolio is normally* less than weighted average.
(*except when r = +1, which is practically also a rare possibility).
Hence, without sacrificing the expected return, we can reduce the risk by combing or
adding securities which are not perfectly positively correlated, to form a portfolio. This
process of combining or adding securities is called Diversification of the Portfolio
(discussed in detail later).
no
of digits after decimal points
Unit of measurement:
Units Return & Standard Deviation Variance & Covariance
Percentage 2 2
10 352
100 10022
Decimals 0.0352
4 9 10 6
3
Can weight of a security ever be negative? Concept of Short Selling
Selling the security, even when we don’t own it is called as Short Selling or Shorting. It is possible
through the scheme of Security Lending & Borrowing. In case of short selling, short position on
the asset gets created and is squared off when security is bought back in future.
Meaning as a:
Terms
Transaction Position
Having bought position
Long Buy the asset (i.e., bought the asset and not sold it yet)
Having sold position
Short Sell the asset (i.e., sold the asset and not bought it yet)
88
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
E(RRF)
RF
σRF
Zero
r Security, RF
Zero
Long Position
Weight
Short Position e
Weight
Following points are worth noting:
Since, short position in a security will have its negative value, therefore, while calculating
the total value of the portfolio, it will not be added to long position rather it will be deducted
from long position.
Total portfolio value will always be equal to the self-owned funds available with investor.
Total of weights of security is always 1 which is equal to total portfolio value.
980
89
with TRA WRA
Adish Jain CA CFA
Tp TRE WRF
RF
RA RA RI RI RI RA
013
Portfolio Management
TRAX URA
Calculate E(RP) and σP for given examples using below data:
TCS Infosys GOI Bonds
E(R)
σ
r
Example 1: Mr. A has ₹ 8000 to invest. He shorts shares of TCS for ₹ 2000 and invest ₹ 10,000 in
the shares of Infosys.
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
Example 2: Mr. B has ₹ 12,000 to invest. He invests ₹ 8,000 in the shares of Infosys and balance
in Government of India bonds.
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
90
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
Example 3: Mr. C finds share a TCS a multi-bagger but has just ₹ 3,000 to invest. He borrows a
sum of ₹ 9,000 and invest the entire amount available with him in the shares of Infosys.
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
Example 4: Mr. D is expecting that the share of TCS is going to do down. He shorts them for ₹
15,000 and lend the amount at risk free rate.
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
Example 5: Mr. E has ₹ 25000 to invest. He wants to invest the amount in the shares of SBI and
YES keeping weights as 1.2 and -0.2 respectively. Determine the amount and position of each of
the security.
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
91
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
specifically
5) Coefficient of Variation Apply only ask for it
when ICAI
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: _______________________
We should know that return is not the only factor to that helps us choose the best investment
option. Risk associated to the investment should also be considered in our analysis because risk
taken to earn that return is also important.
Example 1: Security E(R) σ Which Security looks better?
CV of A: CV of B:
92
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
Based on our analysis of risk and return, suppose we selected two risky securities to be combined
to form a portfolio. But the next big question is:
?
In what proportion, should they be combined to form the portfolio? Or
What should be the weights of the securities in the portfolio? Or
Of the total amount, how much should be invested in which security?
Suppose, we have selected securities A & B to be combined to form a portfolio.
15 1 201 121 16
With two securities, infinitely large number of portfolios can be created by keeping different
weight combinations of long and short positions. In our example below, we will consider a sample
of only eight such portfolios & calculate their return and risk:
σP
WA WB E(RP)
Case 1: r = 0.5 Case 2: r =
P 100 0 15 121
a 75 25 16.25 11.531
R 50 50 17.5
5 25 75 18.75 13 5
T
0 100 201 161
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
93
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
soso.es I
19
5
18
R
17
i
16 tfoliom
15 P
F i iz u f Risk
10 s
Of all the portfolios with different weights combinations, there will be one portfolio with a specific
weights’ combination, whose risk will be minimum. That portfolio is called Minimum Variance
Portfolio. In our example:
Case 1: ______________________________________________________________
portfolio m
Case 2: ______________________________________________________________
Note:
94
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
Case 1: r = Case 2: r =
COVAB 8 TAX B
0.5 12 16
96
WA 162 96 76.92
122 16 2 96
1 72.961
WB
23.08
When short selling is not allowed, we can’t have negative
weights in our portfolio. In such cases, whether two
securities will be able to construct minimum variance
portfolio with only long position (i.e., positive weights) or
not, depends upon rAB.
?
Can minimum variance be equal to even Zero? or
Can we create a risk-free portfolio with two risky securities?
95
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
Which securities should be included in the portfolio, depends on their risk return characteristics.
Once the securities have been selected to form a portfolio, next obvious question is in what
proportion they should be combined. An infinite large number of possible portfolios can be
created by making different combinations of weights of selected securities. These possible
portfolios are called as feasible portfolios.
According to this model, a risk averse investor (which is an assumption of this theory) will always
choose an efficient portfolio from the feasible portfolios. A portfolio is efficient portfolio if:
No other portfolio offers higher expected return for same risk, or,
No other portfolio has lower risk for same expected return.
To find out efficient portfolios, we must do mean-variance analysis i.e., analyse the return
(means) and risk (variance) of all feasible portfolios.
96
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
Shaded region in the graph represents risk return combination of all the feasible portfolios.
In our case:
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
Among all feasible portfolios, we can identify the portfolios that satisfies the condition of
efficient portfolios. It would be all those portfolios lying on dark-bold line.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
Efficient frontier is the dark-bold line containing all efficient portfolios. Portfolios laying
below this line are all inefficient portfolios because for the same risk as it, portfolio on
efficient frontier will offer higher return.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
Investor’s Optimum Portfolio (best one for an investor) should be chosen from efficient
frontier. It would depend upon maximum risk that are willing to take, minimum return they
need, ratio of risk to return they are comfortable with, etc.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
Note that this concept is more important from understanding and theory question point of view
and less from practical question point of view.
97
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
Impact of including risk free security on the return and risk of the portfolio of risky securities.
We will construct the first portfolio with WRS = 100% and WRF = 0% and then construct every next
portfolio by shifting 20% weight from RS to RF and see the impact on its risk and return.
We can observe that as we add risk free security in the portfolio of risky securities, its E(R) and
σ change linearly because correlation between RS and RF is zero.
In other words, E(RP) and σP reduces proportionately in a straight line.
98
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
Similar to MPT, the objective of CMT also is selection of optimal portfolio based on its risk and
return. It, however, goes beyond MPT. Let us understand it on risk - return space:
Similar to MPT, an efficient frontier is determined on the basis of feasible portfolios. Note
that, in case of CMT, feasible portfolios will be all possible portfolios of all risky securities in
the market.
A line is drawn between a portfolio of risk-free security and a portfolio on efficient frontier
such that the line is tangent to efficient frontier. So, let’s understand these three things:
a) Portfolio of risk-free security (Portfolio – RF) will have WRF = 100%. Expected return
of Portfolio – RF is Risk free rate of return (RF) and its risk is zero. In our case:
_____________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________
b) CMT is a special case of MPT in which the portfolio on the efficient frontier to which
the line is tangent, is a Market Portfolio (Portfolio – M).
99
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
Market Portfolio can be defined as a portfolio of all the risky securities in the market.
Since, practically no such portfolio exists, stock market index (like NIFTY, SENSEX) is
considered as a proxy of market portfolio.
Expected return of Portfolio – M is Expected return from market (E(RM)) and risk of the
Portfolio – M is Risk in the market (σM). In our case:
_____________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________
c) The line between market portfolio and portfolio of risk-free security actually
represents the risk and return of various portfolios that can be made from the different
combinations these two portfolios. This line is called as Capital Market Line (CML).
_____________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________
The objective of CMT is to explain that the portfolios lying on Capital Market Line are more
efficient than portfolios lying on efficient frontier.
We can observe that, other than Portfolio – M (which is a common portfolio between CML
and efficient frontier), for any given amount of risk, portfolio lying on CML is offering higher
return than the one lying on efficient frontier. In our case:
__________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________________
100
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
We know that in the Portfolio – M, WRS = 100% and WRF = 0%. Similarly, in the Portfolio – RF,
WRS = 0% and WRF = 100%. Hence, we can say that as we move from Portfolio – RF to portfolio
– M along the CML, WRF in the portfolio reduces to zero.
Moreover, as we move further to the right side beyond Portfolio – M, WRF starts becoming
negative and WRS starts becoming more than 1. Recollect positive weight of risk free security
means lending and negative weight means borrowing.
Note that the slope arrived above is a ratio called as Sharpe Ratio to be discussed as in later
section. Since, in case of CML, Sharpe Ratio is calculated using risk and return of the market,
therefore we can say that Slope of CML is Sharpe ratio of the Market.
Accordingly,
Equation of CML
101
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
This risk is faced by large number of This risk is faced by a specific company;
companies in the market; therefore, it cannot therefore, it can be avoided by diversification
be avoided by diversification of the portfolio. of the portfolio
102
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
iron
iron
The most diversified portfolio is portfolio of all the security in the market i.e., Market Portfolio,
commonly referred as Market. Observe that even market portfolio has systematic risk.
1 market portgio's toted risk
Index NiftySensex are is only its
systematics 103
used as proxyof what Adish Jain CA CFA
Which method to choose Future data Correlat method
Portfolio Management Past date only β cal regression
method
1) Systematic Risk: Beta - Individual Security B8 Cov Sys etc cal
correlation
method
17,18
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: _______________________
Sensitivity of Rs w r.t Rm
Systematic risk is faced by all the securities in the market and also by market as a whole.
Therefore, Systematic risk of the security is measured relative to that of market. Systematic risk
of a security A is measured by a statistical measure called Beta (𝜷A).
Δ in Return A Xx times
Ba in Return
1 Δ Mkt
0 No risk Bearing 0 0
-0.5
less than mkt 1 1.5
Eng n I J
PA Yam I Aim Ba
Ex n x̅
Tm Vorm
This formula can be used only when
historic data is given.
19
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: _______________________
Unsystematic risk is calculated by deducting systematic risk from total risk at variance level.
Systematic risk is converted from times to %2 so that it can be deducted from total risk.
Unsystematic Variance of Security A (σƐA2) and its Unsystematic Standard Deviation (σƐA):
FIBA fix β
TIM
8A m
1 85m
Systematic Standard Deviation Unsystematic Standard Deviation (σƐA)
105
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
020,21
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: _______________________
Systematic Risk of the portfolio also is measured by beta. Beta of portfolio P (𝜷P) is weighted
average beta of individual securities in the portfolio.
Unsystematic risk (Unsystematic Variance of portfolio P (σƐP2) and its Unsystematic Deviation
(σƐP)) can be calculated:
A. As a residual risk of the portfolio (similar to learnt in case unsystematic risk of a security).
- ² -
β - 5m
β
²
⑤ 8km 1 Tp 1 - 8 my
Vor
Sys var unsys
Note that breakup of systematic and unsystematic risk happens as variance level.
106
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
This model assumes that security prices are related to the market index and they move with it.
This relationship could be used to estimate the return & risk of a security or portfolio and
correlation between two securities.
A.Fetal
Risk of a security or portfolio
Systematic Variance Unsystematic Variance (σƐA2 or σƐP2)
Given in Q
mm β jp Ea
Given 08 Above formula
Tep
B of Te
Total Variance (σP2) Total Standard Deviation
(σP)
Oneys
88 t
Voy Total Vor
Notes:
σƐA2 has to be given directly. σƐP2 may be given directly or calculated using σƐA2 (as per
alternative B above).
Which model to be applied to calculate the portfolio risk has to be figured out by data
given and required part of the question.
107
Dependent slope Indeftie Adish Jain CA CFA
get
its'Istant
y
B km A
Portfolio Management
Pax
security Line
B. Expected return of a security or Portfolio determined by Characteristic
E(RA) or E(RP) can be determined with the help of Characteristic Line. It shows relationship
0229 between E(RM) (being independent variable) & E(RA) or E(RP) (being dependent variables).
create the eq
RA Y Steps to solve question:
1. Calculate 𝛽 A.
16 Take E(RM) and E(RA).
2. Calculate
14 3. By putting values of E(RM),
E(RA) and 𝛽 A in the
12
equation of Characteristic
10 Line, calculate αA.
by 4. In the final equation, put
8
calculated values of α and
6
ge
Slope
8 𝛽 A as constant & leave
E(RM) & E(RA) as variable.
8Eˢm βs Note: In case of portfolio,
027 According to this model, two securities are correlated to market only due to market.
m
0.8 0 6
JAB 8am JBM
A B
9 98 8
108
Adish Jain CA CFA
Portfolio Management
6) Capital Asset Pricing Model | Security Market Line refer next page
49
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: _______________________
Required Rate of Return is used in valuation of asset as a discounting rate. Required Rate of
Return for a security (Rj) can be determined with the help of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).
It shows the relationship between Rj (being dependent variable) and systematic Risk i.e., 𝛽 (being
independent variable).
Rm Re
Equation of CAPM: ___________________________________
Market Risk
Rj RF Bx Rm Re premium
___________________________________
Independent Security Risk
β Rm Rp
___________________________________
Depffate variable
Note that Rj and E(R ) are interchangeably
A ___________________________________
premium
used in the question.because security is assumed being valued Ipg 11
fair
Return
25 Graphical representation
R of CAPM equation is
Yanked Security Market Line
20
ECRA (SML).
Steps to solve SML question:
ECRB
1. From given data of Rj &
15 RM, create two linear
equations and solve
them for RF.
Rm 10
2. Create an equation with
overvalued RM & RF as constants
and Rj & 𝛽A as variable.
RF 5
Risk
Raffffle I 2 3 4 1H Rm 1011
m seca see see pm RF 5
051
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: _______________________
I in itI niiway
We have already leant to determine optimum portfolio based on Markowitz Theory. This is an unit of
alternative model to determine which securities should be included in the portfolio & in what
proportion. risken
Note that this is process driven & mechanical in nature.
learn this concept
through no 51 itself
____________________________________________________________________________________
D8
____________________________________________________________________________________
B08 5 08 H
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
compare
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
9 Reg Rate
____________________________________________________________________________________
we IV
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________ DN
IF CMP
____________________________________________________________________________________
Expirate
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
34 IV Reg Return
____________________________________________________________________________________
110
portfolio mgmt
Adish Jain CA CFA Eq
Business
Portfolio Management
p 41
Arbitrage Pricing Theory is used as an alternative to CAPM in the calculation of Required Rate of
Return. CAPM considers systematic risk as a whole through a single measure i.e., market risk
premium & beta Extra return
ftp Ef.eftforr.is e Factor risk premium
APT on the other hand identifies various risk factors individually that can affect the returns of the
security like inflation, interest rates, etc and tries to factor them in separately through respective
Factor Risk Premium & Factor Sensitivities (Factor Beta).
These ratios help to evaluate performance of a securities or portfolio based on return & risk.
Whose ability to take risk Whose ability to take risk Whose ability to take risk
increases (decreases) decreases (increases) increases (decreases)
Suitable to
linearly with the increase with the increase with the increase
investor…
(decrease) in the value of (decrease) in the value of (decrease) in the value of
portfolio. portfolio. portfolio.
Riskiness more most
Performs… less
Risk Risk Risk
n
PF EaE.se
dependency
on stock price
& diagram
y PF value
112
Adish Jain CA CFA
I
βA BOVA Diva βDivB DVB
Portfolio Management
Equity.BE WE Boiva
____________________________________________________________________________
DIV A WoivA
____________________________________________________________________________
Debt BD Div B
β DivB
____________________________________________________________________________
WD Wbivb
____________________________________________________________________________
Prism X equal to
____________________________________________________________________________
asset β
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
113
BE 4
3
βF E at Box DCI
Et D t
Adish Jain CA CFA
H
I 1
we wo
Portfolio Management
CONSTANT RATIO PLAN debt Be βE
4 If no
____________________________________________________________________________________
I flac to invest
____________________________________________________________________________________
30
Eq
Debt
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
on 3m 6M
____________________________________________________________________________________
I 1
____________________________________________________________________________________ I
70,000 90,000 70 84000 6800
70____________________________________________________________________________________
sell 6k
____________________________________________________________________________________
120,000 1000
100,000 120,000
____________________________________________________________________________________
Rebal
____________________________________________________________________________________
again
Not tasper
not
____________________________________________________________________________________ type
ideal allocation
ideal allocation
____________________________________________________________________________________
to E D
to E4 D
____________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________
Change in
No No Yes Yes
units?
Since opening and closing number of units
NAVO NO
Calm under
Example of Dividend Payout Plan v/s Dividend Reinvestment Plan:
NAVI 2T
NAVO IO
9800
15 19 i 25
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
25
_____________________________________________________________________________
Note that both NAV & Number of units (n) can be in fraction. n is calculated upto two decimal
points and NAV, upto two and four decimal points. For
any further calculation based
on NAV use a decimal points wala
2) Entry Load and Exit Load NAV
Entry Load (Front-end Load) is charged at the Exit Load (Back-end Load) is charged at the
time an investor purchases (or buys) the time an investor redeems (or sells) the mutual
mutual funds. funds.
Offer Redemption
Price: NAV I
Enterpad Price: NAV 1 Ex
ad
3) Expense Ratio
or
mgmt ER t
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: _______________________
112
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mutual Fund
Annualised Return
Or HPR 3650812
Effective Yield * n
where,
NAVIE 0 NAV end start of period
D Div distributed by MF As a 1 of FV ifi.mg
PG G i
n Holding period of mF
* For the purpose of this chapter, it is calculated by simple annualization of return, i.e., 12/n or
365/n.
Note that whenever question is silent, calculate both- holding period return and annualised
return. Also, Dividend paid is as a % of FV.
5) Tracking Error
Tracking error is the
d d
TELL
deviation of a fund’s return
from the benchmarks return n t
Note: Lower is better.
d RMF RBegygook ofevery period
113
Adish Jain CA CFA
Mutual Fund
___________________________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________________________
Issue price 12
___________________________________________________________________________________________
OpNAV diveat
___________________________________________________________________________________________
10 2p u
___________________________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________________________
Total NAV 36 AT
___________________________________________________________________________________________
6 Income 42
n 3 n
___________________________________________________________________________________________ 3
Income 6 Income 12
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
114
Adish Jain CA CFA
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
TO Gold t
A. Basics of Derivatives RIL RICE
Derivative is a contract that derives its value from the value of the…
Market where assets itself are Market where derivative contracts are
Meaning
traded for immediate delivery. traded for future delivery or settlement.
Basic Terminologies:
Position
Transaction
Meaning as a:
Position
C C
How to square-
off the position?
L ftp.igeiii tst
decidedhere ftpde
Spot vs Forward Interest rates (as learnt in Fixed Income Securities)
1 2
34
I 51 51Pa FR 1 2
FR 1 3
52 5.21 p 9 FR 2 3
53 5.51
p a
Stock Index
A stock Market Index is an indicator of overall performance of the stock exchange. Out of
thousands of shares listed on an exchange, top few shares (based on M-cap) lead the
performance of the exchange. To measure that performance, an index (i.e., a notional portfolio)
of these top few shares is created. This is Stock Market Index referred casually as Market.
Sensex
Nifty
NSE BSE
Go Price s 60.000 3M
expiry date
you
Buy
Fu
what Gold underlying
contract Asset
B S when 3m
much
Forward Price 62,000 Fwd Futures price
Futures
entering into a contract today
Meaning:
Buy or Long
YOU LONG to Buy the asset on a date
______________________________________________________________
future
Sell or short in me SHORT sell
____________________________________________________
Food futures
A Forward Contract is an agreement to buy or sell an asset of specified quality and quantity on
a specified future date at a price agreed today. A Futures Contract is a standardised forward
contract; standardised in terms of: Quality, Date and Quantity.
generally cash
Settlement Generallydelivery 121
till
on exipy date anytime
Adish Jain CA CFA
expiry
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
Basis:
S F
Contango Market Backwardation Market
generaly 1st
SEF
___________________________ SDF
___________________________
Basis Hue
___________________________ Basis It ve
___________________________
What
______________________________
is thepriie of what should be the
_____________________________
Fo So go II
F 5 COST OF CARRY
122
Adish Jain CA CFA
1. Treatment of Interest:
Sot tut FV 50
Identify the nature of compounding and ‘Spot + Interest’ can be calculated as:
5 1 87
F 5
CITY f Sx est F
FVF
É where,
8 Rate f interest p.ae I compounding treq.p.a.ie
t n Time till expiry of contract
no
of compounding igng
in terms of
years
I Note that whenever, question is silent about the type of compounding and values of e x are given,
question is to be solved using continuous compounding formula.
EE
E
Illustration: The current market price of the share is ₹ 70 and the risk-free rate of interest is 6%
p.a. Calculate the 3 month forward contract price based on that share. e
1.0151
g Re 6 Re 6 16 8 8 RF
stiff
Biffing
2 3
70 3 705 F 704 F 70 1 0.06
F 1 2
Fox 6.015 s
I 71.04
70 1.0151 7T
2. Treatment of Income
a) If income is given in absolute terms: Calculate the PV of the ‘Income’, deduct it from ‘Spot’
& then calculate the FV of ‘Spot – Income’:
the income
on 2m 3m If
1 is already on
5 xx Intome the expiry of con
PV Il then don't do PV
S PV II
f xxx
Rathed do
Interest INCSPOH I
925
days If e't value 123
n Dates days 365 doesn't match Adish Jain CA CFA
months months 12
silent it's p.a
Even
if Q is
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
Illustration: A 6-month forward contract on 100 shares with a price of ₹ 38 each is available.
The risk-free rate of interest is 10%. The share is expected to yield a dividend of ₹ 1.50 in 4
months from now. Determine the forward price. pay
in
am
9m
________________________________________________________________________________________
15
________________________________________________________________________________________
5 38
________________________________________________________________________________________
PV I
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
F XXX
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
F S PVCI 1 8 n
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
6
38 1 010
________________________________________________________________________________________
12
µ
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
238 38
________________________________________________________________________________________
b) If income is given in % terms (i.e., when dividend yield p.a. (y) is given): ‘Spot + Interest –
Income’ will be directly calculated as: as a i
of
MPs i e Spot
t
Cry
Sx
4 F Sx 1 n
F 1
F Sx
Illustration: Consider a 6-month forward on a security with 4% p.a. dividend yield. The risk-
free rate of interest is 10%. The asset’s current price is ₹ 25. Determine the forward price.
Re 10 Re 1 Re
B.im Euy 1 88 is.ie
2
2
F
F
S e
t
F 5 11 18 y n
25 6.10 0045 6
11 2 25 2010 0047 12
25 101 0.04 6 12
F 25.75 25 C 25.75
25 1 03045
25.76
124
Adish Jain CA CFA
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
3. Treatment of Storage Cost: Calculate the PV of ‘Storage Cost’, add it to ‘Spot – Income’ and
then calculate the FV of ‘Spot – Income + Storage Cost’:
am 6m 12m
im
Sxx Sexx IXX
PV II
PV SC
F XXX
Interest
4. Treatment of convinience yield: Treat it exacly same as income
5. Calculation of ex:
0.7
Calculating ex using interpolation:
1 21 22 m
1 2 3
002
It 0 21 0.022 8
2 1 8 1
1 02020
Settlement by Contract is settled on maturity date by taking or giving the delivery of the
Delivery asset by paying or receiving the contracted price.
gain loss
Settlement in Contract is settled on maturity date by squaring off the position and paying
Cash or receiving the difference between contracted price & settlement price
(i.e., closing price) as shown below:
Anett TCS spot priic
Entices ice
f
1200
8Effs'e of
zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
100
IT
Basis costofcarry for 6m
Basis on 6m
cost ofcarry 1 Jan 12m ex
30 Jun 31 Dec
for 12m
future
Case A Case B Case A Case B
Steps of arbitrage:
1. Calculate FFP
2. Compare & decide action today: If AFP is… (always comment on actual)
Files overvalued
____________________________________
are Elles undervalued
____________________________________
are
Cash & Carry Arbitrage Reverse Cash & Carry Arbitrage
I Buy Futures
aaysp.LY
I Sell Futures
2 Sell Spot
3 Borrow 3 Invest
Particulars
Today
7
Athis table simply will rheve cash
After 3 m
IFS
Future settle
spot
Borr 9Invest
Arpjtj.ie
127
08.9.12 Delivery Settlet Adish Jain CA CFA
Repay Buy
3m
E low
Lending charges
Long Term Investor Borrower & Normal buyer
& Lender Short Seller & seller
When share price of a company is expected to go down, profit can be made by selling it at higher
price & then buying back at a lower price. Short Selling means selling a share that a seller does
not own. Short selling can be done by borrowing the share and selling it. This entire process
happens under the mechanism called as SLBS:
1. Short Seller will borrow the shares from Lender by providing collateral or bank guarantee
against it.
2. Short Seller will then, sell the shares in the market with the expectation that its price will fall.
3. On a later date, Short Seller will buy the shares back so that it can be returned back to the
Lender.
4. Short Seller will return the shares back to the lender along with the Lending Charges.
Note that, if any dividend is declared on the share during the period of borrowing, the buyer of
the share will have the right over it and he will actually receive it. To compensate the lender for
loss of dividend, the borrower will pay the amount of dividend from his pocket to the lender.
Longposition short position
Normal Buying Short Selling
Bullish View: Buy today & sell later
Toast
89125
Bearish View: Sell today & buy later
Profit:
IF sale price OF Buyprice
Dividend is received from the company Dividend is to be paid to the lender
No charges applicable Collateral & Lending charges applicable
128
Adish Jain CA CFA
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
Move up
LONG
Move down
SHORT
Profit or loss on account of speculation can be calculated simply by applying the concept learnt
under heading: 2) Settlement of Futures and Forward Contract.
indaivafp.si
Position in Cash Market:
gy today
Action in Derivatives Market to hedge:
that
𝛽 P means: Δ in PF
Δ in mkt index
𝛽 P is calculated as:
Without
futures in
Pp Pax WACH BBXWB.fi
portfolio
BAX MVA BBX MVB
Pp MVA MVB it total PF value
With
futures in
portfolio
08
Beta of any security can be both _______________
Beta of cash and risk-free security is ______ & Beta of Market (Index) and Index
1
Futures is ______
wight
Short position in any security is taken as _____________________
Ve
08 ve mV 021
Adjusting 𝜷P means using Risk-free Securities & Index Futures
𝛽 P represents the systematic risk of the portfolio. Higher the beta, higher is the risk & vice-
versa. To increase or decrease the risk of the portfolio, beta can be increased or decreased
using Risk-Free Securities or Index Futures as discussed below:
130
Adish Jain CA CFA
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
Value of PT PP
Index Futures
VP Pp β of the
____________________________________
portfolio
to be hedged
____________________________________
Bt Target
If Beta
____________________________________
No of Vpx Bp Bp Pe Actual price
____________________________________
per
contracts
PEX M Index futures
____________________________________
Bt 1 times
50
Accordingly Target Wpa
WRF 50
100,000
50
50 Target achieved
100.000
βp
LONG I 100.000
10 20 5 10
Loss PF cashposition
profit in the
7) Margin on Futures
1. Initial Margin: It is the amount to be deposited with exchange as a security against probable
future losses on Futures Position. Such Gain or loss is adjusted from this margin on daily basis.
This is called as Mark to Market.
If question is silent, it is calculated as: Mt 35
where, µ = Daily Absolute Change
σ = Standard Deviation
2. Maintenance Margin: It is the lower limit to which margin cannot cross. Due to adjustment of
daily mark to market, if margin falls below this limit, it is brought back to the level of initial
margin by putting in money in margin account.
If question is silent, it is calculated as: 75 of Gutial margin
refer next page
Number of Future Contract: Multiplier:
Daily Change:
Standard Deviation:
Date Index Level Gain or loss Margin Call Margin Balance
132 Value of
futures Vpx CHR HRP
hedge
Adish Jain CA CFA
to
MARK TO MARKET
Daily
Initial margin 20.0
maintainance margin 50
settlement
price of Futures L
1000 short
Long Day
200 7200
300 100
20 L 3 1080 G 20
280 120
80 G 4 1160 L 80
360 Below mm 40
320 240
Till expiry of
the contract
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
Om 3m expiry date
Premium so 60.000 underlying
Esset St V15
β
After
GOLD
3M
fifth Beneficial
10 Exercise
Quantity gm
65000 Option Contract Lapse Non Beneficial
E= 0
Premium = 10
LAPSE E SEE
95 STEEL g g
g
10 98
L 10 G 10 G 30 L 30
case 2
133
Adish Jain CA CFA
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
An Option Contract gives its owner the right, but not the obligation
to buy or sell an underlying asset
on a pre-determined future date (the exercise date)
and at a pre-determined price i.e., the exercise price or strike price (E or X)
LONG
Option holder
Option Buyer
Pays the premium
Option Seller
Option write Receives the premium
SHORT
Gross Pay-off
5 E or Net Pay-off 6 1 Premium
on expiry CE STI P bit 8 6
Atpt
Types of Options:
Execrite Exercise only on
American Option Anytime European Option Expiry Date
Moneyness of options:
In the Money Out of the Money At the Money
Options When it makes sense When it does not make When we are
to exercise sense to exercise indifferent
Call
SSE SEE S E
Put
SEE STE
Breaking up the Option Premium
Calloption E
E 120 sure 140 120
Spot 140 Value of option if it is
exercised immediately 20
Value of an Option
30
____________________
Time
prem 30 20
value
Value over and above
the Intrinsic Value 10
B F
134
Adish Jain CA CFA
the an option
Finding premium on
g
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
e't 1 rn
lets assume n 1g R
8 12
pa It 2
1212
Calculation of Probability 1 12
120 xp 80 1 0 1 12 08
100 D 1.2 0.8
Rie 1 12
80
P 80.1
So so 2 1.2
U 00
11 P1 20
d Sd 8
00 0.8
go
Important Note: To calculate the value of an option, probabilities given in the question won’t be
used, rather probabilities calculated above will be used. However, to calculate expected return
from the options, probabilities given in the question will be used.
Δ in Payoff 30
Δ
go
up
Δ in spot prile go 120 80
of asset 0.25 075
Creating Risk-free Portfolio using Delta As per the golden rule of hedging, a long spot
position inspot
can be hedged:
Using Call Option Using Put Option
ex 5 C 7 ΔpxS PIT
0.25 Spot long 1 Call short 0 75 spot long 1 Put long
4 it 3 4 it
1 11 f it
Proof of Hedged or Risk-free Portfolio
H hedging gets over
Risk-free Portfolio created using Call Option: f on expifffact
Today After 1 year, if spot price turns out to be:
Particulars
Action Amount Action
120 80
Share 100.7 sell 120 80
1
Buy
4 Call Sell 28.56 Settle 40
E 110
Off 71.44 I F 80 80
136
Adish Jain CA CFA
12 RF
means no situation Jaha contract expiry period Ke
dauran spot that upside downside
prices mei 2Derivatives ggay
& Interest Rate Risk Management
Poo 0
Node got 500 144
2
80.1 Pud 14
Node Sud 96
50 100
Node 80
Sdu 96 Pdu 14
Sd 80
Sdd 64 Pdd 46
Ly
on
premium pitjdate
pep is iuting.E
Note: Probabilities depend upon R, u & d; therefore, whenever these factors are same for both
the periods, their probabilities will also be the same.
Ox 80 14 201 22.5
value
Node So 1012
Value 14 80 46 201 18.21
Node Sd 1.12
2.5 80 18.21 201
Value I 5.04
Node So 1.12
137
Adish Jain CA CFA
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
4 80 46 201 80
Value Max I 110
1.12
Node
Sd 30
75 80 30 201 110
Value Max 1 12 100
Node
So 10
According to CPPT,
Vet Vp 50
Actions when options are mispriced:
Call
Put
138
Adish Jain CA CFA
step 1 Step 2 sep 3 step 4
D1 NCI Vc
D2 N D2
Vp
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
where,
Value of
5 NCD N D2
Et
X
Call option: NCDA N D2
Area from Normal
distibut 2 value
for
DIED
D1:
i
E F t
Ln
L
N TE t time period till
expiry in terms
TF of years
D2:
D1
t h
D2 When question is silent,
3. Interest Rate (r) used in the formula is continuously compounded.
we can assume CCRRI.
ofreturnsof spot price
4. Rate (r) and standard deviation (σ) used in the formula are annualized and in decimals.
Note: Real Options (new topic as per SM 2024) is discussed in chapter ‘Advanced Capital Budgeting Decision’.
139
Adish Jain CA CFA
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
Lend 6 6m
Borrow FRA
3 9 Short
Long I t.ae
Notional principal
3m
After
For 6m
Forward Rate 6 1 p.a
Reference Rate Reporate 7 or 4
underlying Rate
FRA is a contract under which one party enters into a contract to notionally borrow or lend a
specified amount at a specified rate of interest for a specified time after a specified time.
Positions in FRA: Long or Buy is contract to Borrow | Short or Sell is contract to Lend
6M
for
If spot RR on settlement FRA Position
Understanding:
Gain or Loss on date turns out to be: Long Short
FRA:
Gain 11 1 loss 111
Higher than FR
7
Lower than FR
4 1055 2 1 gain 121.1
Calculating:
N P X RR FR h periodof
CaseySettlement Amount
Borrowing
or Gain or Loss on
RRA
FRA:
Note: Rate used to calculate the PV is spot RR on settlement date.
IEEE
Calculation related to adjustment of time period are to be made as:
If period is in months or days: months/12 or days/365 simple interest based
If period is in years: annual compounding formula
140
Adish Jain CA CFA
t.skftd hff fftffci
N
If
someone to do with Tum
has Rate Risk Management
nothing
Derivatives & Interest
who want
Bfrow on a
future date
2) Hedging through FRA
Path
Since PV under Path 1 & Path 2 is same, therefore FV as per Path 1 = FV as per Path 2
FR 12
It 01 6 1 It 0 12 12
12
Fair FR 13 33
141
Adish Jain CA CFA
8s short period ka spot rate
rate
L Long period Ka spot
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
If time period is in
months or days
1 8s n xn t 8in
If time period is in
years 1 8s 1
EY 1 8
Arbitrage: If actual FR (quoted by the bank) is different from the Fair FR (as calculated above),
then there is mispricing. Accordingly, follow below steps to make arbitrage profit.
When, actual FR is
is _________
111 i.e., less than Fair FR. is _________
15 i.e., more than Fair FR.
FRA is undervalued
Then, __________________________ overvalued
Then, __________________________
FRA is
Steps of Arbitrage: Steps of Arbitrage:
if
step Borrow 12
for
step 1 Borrow 1601 for 12m
FRA
É y
18 steps
Invest 10.1 for 6m
5M FRA 6 12 15
If sep 2 Invest
12m
12 108
If
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
Interest rate option gives its buyer, the right but not the legal obligation to notionally borrow or
lend an agreed amount at an agreed rate for a series of agreed time period.
Premium settlement date cie at the end ofrespegy.gg
of gross payoff
Notional Principital on 6m 12 18m
Duration 18m
111 10 9
Ref rate 6m Libor p 6mL 6mL 6m L
settle centfreq
Will you exercise?
Cap @ E =
10 Exercise Lapse
Option to Borrow
Spot RR Erate
Important Notes: 1. Premium is paid at the initiation of the contract for all reset periods.
2. Settlement for each period takes place at the end of respective period.
Example on Cap: Below are the spot interest rates for 4 quarters during the year. Calculate the
payoff of a long cap @ exercise rate of 8% and net interest on a borrowing of ₹1,000.
Net or
Interest Option Defffs
Option Pay SPEE
Interest on
Net 08
Effective Effective
Quarter
Rate exercised? off in (₹) borrowing (₹) interest (₹) interest (%)
Collar
Long Position
Long Cop Short Floor
IStrategy
cottination Short Position Floor Short cop
of
1008
Long
cop Premium
Note: paid on long position is reduced by premium received on short position.
144
Adish Jain CA CFA
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
Interest Rate Future (IRF) is a contract to buy or sell a Fixed Income Security (like T-Bill or
Government Bonds) of specified Quality on a specified Date at a specified Price.
Note that, underlying of an IRF can be a Fixed Income Security or an Interest Rate (just like FRA).
145
Adish Jain CA CFA
o underlying is a Fixed Income security
i IRF here is contract to Buy sell that FI security
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
Quotation:
expirtyoffutures
Capital Market
Debt Security
similar to Ex
_____________________________________________________
3m futures
futures
Got Bonds
_____________ on 71 Got Bond FV 000 Quoted
_____________________________________________________
_ underlying fffy.ge
aᵈ Settlement: securing
Note that the underlying asset of an IRF is a notional bond (which does not exist in reality
EE.si & is created only for the purpose of IRF) with a coupon of say 7%. When a trader buys or
sell an IRF, he is actually entering into a contract to buy or sell this notional bond on the
expiry date.
Invoice price
Settlement price ofFutures Spot price
X X of the
day when delively in spot mkt
is being done
of bond being
Conversion factor delivered
of Bond beingdelivered
Conversion Factor makes the given deliverable bond equivalent to 7% notional bond
for which contract was entered. Hence, irrespective of which bond is chosen by short
for delivery, long will receive the bond with correct value on settlement. Conversion
Factor will be given in the question.
Note: The bond which maximises the profit or minimises the loss is cheapest to deliver
& should be chosen for delivery.
146
Adish Jain CA CFA
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
Recollect from ‘Valuation of Bonds’ that prevailing interest rate affects price of the bond. From
the below discussion, we can say that interest rates ultimately affect IRF.
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
147
Adish Jain CA CFA
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
G. Swaps
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: ________________________
Swap means exchange. In context to finance, Swap is an agreement to exchange cash flows.
Three types of swaps have been covered in our syllabus:
Net Settlement Amount: Principal amount of the swap is not exchanged and is called as Notional
Principal. Swaps are settled on net basis & settlement amount is calculated as:
Duration 8 Em'ÉÑ
p c
A B
Eff.IE ae
rate
settlement Aunt
NP
notional
Principal 1lac Ey BE n
Net Interest Cost: It means the effective interest cost that a firm has to incur after adjusting
effect of swap transaction. Derivatives mkt
l
spot mkt spot mkt
10
A B
Banks
2 Banks
Payfix g Pay floating
148
Adish Jain CA CFA
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
Construction of swap involves simple process of making party to borrow opposite to their desire
and then arranging the swap such that they get their desired position.
Make sure that, at the end of the solution, construction of swap is explained in words also along
with diagram. Exact thought process depends on the purpose for which swap is arranged:
1. Conversion of fixed to floating and vice-versa
Example: Rigid Ltd wants to borrow at a fixed rate & Flexible Ltd at floating rate. But banks are ready
to give loan to Rigid Ltd at floating rate (Libor + 1%) and to Flexible Ltd as fixed rate (8%). In this case,
assuming they agree under the swap to reimburse each other the actual interest cost incurred, below
swap can be constructed:
1 deciding who
pay fix who
pay floating 149
Ans Rigid Back to floating de rua hai no swap kiAdish Jain CA CFA
me floating receive Korega so that uski flooding position
cancel to fooge no fixed ban poaye
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
A problem
Rigid Ltd 121 1T 10
L 5 extra
Lt 15 payment du
to desised
Flexible Ltd
9.1 4 3
A
Note that a gainful swap can be constructed only when total interest cost under Actual is less
than Desired.
tredka
Situation 1: When question specifies the payments to be exchanged under the swap: opposite borro
Continued example: Say, payments agreed under the swap were 8% vs. LIBOR flat (i.e., party koro
paying fir usse
fixed agrees to pay 8% and party paying floating agrees to pay LIBOR) swap
dcised P
Rigida Flexible g
41
Frothing
Actual Fixed
Floating
Net Interest Cost i.e., cost under ‘Actual + Swap’:
Rigid Ltd
2 1 L 8 9
Flexible Ltd
91 81 L 2 1.1
Savings i.e., Cost under Desired – Net Interest Cost
Rigid Ltd
91 3 5
121
facto
Flexible Ltd
31 FL 1 2 both the parties
150
Adish Jain CA CFA
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
Situation 2: When question specifies how the saving in ‘total interest cost’ because of swap
will be distributed between parties:
Continued example: Say, parties agree to share the gain (savings) on account of swap in the ratio 2:3.
4
mehangi
Fixed Disise Floating
ulated
9
Rigid Flexible
Utd assumed did
Floating
Actual Fixed
Floating sastri
Savings in Total Interest Cost & Share of Parties (%):
Particulars (%)
Asolute Comparative
____________________________________________________________________________
Advantage
____________________________________________________________________________
Advantage
Fixed ed
____________________________________________________________________________
Flating0 Flating
a
A 2 3 A Lt
____________________________________________________________________________
8 8
B lot 21A B 101
____________________________________________________________________________
D
ekhico.RO
____________________________________________________________________________
co Ko ek mkt mei done
Sasha dussiko dusse mkt mkt me sastad151
be
me Sastay Beneficial swap
arranged in
can
both types of
Adish Jain CA CFA
eg
Now, follow the process of situation 1 in reverse order as below. Make below calculations only
for one of the parties to the swap.
NIC 8
____________________________________ NIC 4 21
____________________________________
Note that when question ask only to calculate the net interest cost, there is no need to
construct a swap.
Calculating Fixed payment under the swap (by assuming Floating payment as LIBOR) using Net
Interest Cost:
Fixed 8
____________________________________
1 9 Fixed L 2 21
____________________________________
Fixed 7
____________________________________ Fixed 7
____________________________________
Fixed 7
____________________________________ Fixed 7
____________________________________
Verification (not for exams): We can verify the correctness of Fixed rate calculated above by
calculating the gain of other party to the swap as below:
152
Adish Jain CA CFA
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
In case of financial swap with a financial intermediary, thought process is similar with a small
extra calculation at the end.
rigid
I FI
flexion
1 Itd g 1
assumed
411 Cassini
eating
eating
Floating Actual Fixed
Particulars (%)
Point of difference: Here we would need to calculate the fixed leg for one party first & then
for another party in the next step:
Calculating Fixed payment under the swap for any one party:
Starting with Rigid Ltd Starting with Flexible Ltd
Calculating Fixed payment under the swap for the other party:
rigid EE.im
____________________________________
fEIdEkyYmmn
____________________________________
Effie rgiftz
____________________________________
4 g 1 8
____________________________________
8 4 0 g.it
Verification (not for exams): We can verify the correctness of Fixed rate calculated above by
calculating the gain of other party to the swap as below:
Ex An All in cost
____________________________________________________________________________
sy swap for
Elolacs is quoted at
7 5
____________________________________________________________________________
81
V15 6m libor Flat
____________________________________________________________________________
Example:
Period Libor Spot
155
Adish Jain CA CFA
Derivatives & Interest Rate Risk Management
2) Currency Swaps
Currency swap is an agreement to exchange on cash-flows on account of borrowing in two
different currencies. It takes place at three levels:
1. A spot exchange of principal
kid
2. Continuing exchange of interest payments during the term of the swap
3. Re-exchange of principal on maturity
f
Similar to interest rate swap, in this case also, companies borrow in currency other than currency
of their desire. But, with the help of swap, they ultimately incur outflows in their desired currency.
Note that from the point of view of practical questions on swaps, only 2nd part above i.e.,
continuing exchange of interest payment is relevant & thought process is same as interest rate
swaps.
3) Equity Swaps
An Equity Swap is an arrangement in which total return on equity or equity index in the form of
dividend and capital is exchanged with either a fixed or floating rate of interest.
NP
Net settlement rxfat.FI ig
Altel Betd
Equity
Return
settlement
Periods L Eq return
____________________________________________________________________________
1 81 7.1 A B 11
____________________________________________________________________________
3 71 21 A B 9
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
case of return
____________________________________________________________________________
negative equity
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
156
Adish Jain CA CFA
Refer after 164
pg
For B
Essin Food
Rate 1 Rate
1 misgin Alc Eckhart
Feed Inter Ensign
Spf ty Back
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
A. Basics of Forex
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: ________________________
1. Exchange Rates
In order to buy or sell the FC, we will need to exchange i.e., pay or receive the HC. The amount of
HC to be exchanged can be calculated with the help of Exchange Rates. It is the price of one
currency in terms of another currency and the process of exchanging one currency to another
currency is called Conversion. to hai
Taise
ye Apple 9,4 ifeng.at's
16 50 60 50 I 50
É 1 70 80 70 70
8
waise ye ko BIS Karne
One-way Quote: Single rate for buying & selling the base currency dfmsknci
For any currency rate quoted as A/B = x
B Base Fiska
Rate
______________________________________________________________________
Currency diya hai
A
Price currency Fiski
______________________________________________________________________
terms mei dige hai
x = Rate at which one unit of B can be bought or sold
Two-way Quote: Bid - Ask: Different rate for buying & selling the base currency
Bid
x = _____________________________________________________________________________________
Rate Rate which Dealer Bank will Buy
the Base B
_____________________________________________________________________________________
currency
Ask
y = _____________________________________________________________________________________
Offer Rate Rate which Dealer Bank will sell
Base
the
currency B
_____________________________________________________________________________________
Notes:
Rates are quoted as Bid/Ask from bank’s stand point. Kyuki Dukan
Ask rate is always higher than Bid rate. base
currency
Ki hai and
date base
158 Ka hai
Adish Jain CA CFA
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
BIS one
currency
2. Conversion from one currency to another another
against
Given exchange rate:
50 60
Buy $ 100 100 60 6000 PAY OF
5000
Recife
Sell $ 100 100 50
Buy ₹ 100 100 50 2 PAY OF
Amount to be
Multiply or Divide Rate used (x or y)
converted:
Given Quote:
21 60 2 60 70
A B R
12 1 60 00167
12 470 1
60
Inverted Quote:
B
A
08H 9 87
Hence, even after inversion, Ask is higher than Bid.
159
Adish Jain CA CFA
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
India
US
London
Note: Direct quote can be converted to Indirect quote using concept of inversion learnt above.
BIS no
IB mkt Jan 2 Banks Dealer Kebich
5. Concept of Exchange Margin
Merchant mkt Jaha Customer Deald Ke
Interbank Rates Rate at which banks buy or sell currencies to each other Is no
Merchant Rates Rate at which banks buy or sell currencies to the customers
Interbank Rate:
Bid 1 48 Ask I 50
+/- Margin 1
Margin 1 Margin
Merchant Rate:
Bid 21 47 52 Ask 50.5
Note that exchange margin is not be applicable to interbank transactions.
1 60 21 60 USD INR 60
1 115 1.5 GBP USD 1.5
f
Note: Institute may not follow above rule every time, therefore we will apply common sense by
looking at the given rate.
Situation 1: When rate is given for the currency that has been bought & sold.
You bought $10,000 @ ₹/$ 65 & sold it @ ₹/$ 68. Gain or loss on the transaction:
fu
Net Basis Erality
Gross Basis
Situation 2: When rate is given for the currency other than what has been bought or sold.
You bought $10,000 @ $/₹ 0.015 & sold it @ $/₹ 0.017. Gain or loss on the transaction:
E
_____________________________________________________________________________
HC
FC t
_____________________________________________________________________________
I 100 HE 001
5,1 161
Adish Jain CA CFA
5 5 0.01
HC E FC t
582 my
I
cimer or
I
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management calculated
using
cross
B. Cross Rates currency
A B B A
AIB R R
BIC Y GB y B
c Y
B A B
Al AB
d
c
y
B Ny Sf
Inverse of
GB BIA
Alps Bye
x.y
A B x y A B ay BIA
Nos nor
B C P 9 B
p q c p q
A B B A B R Y BIC
f In
C
9 P.BA
xp y.q.CA Bid Ask Bid Ask
CIB P 9 BA 1 I
y T.p.am Y K B
c q p
Bid Ask Bid Ask
162
Adish Jain CA CFA
Incase of 2 way que
Refer note of Pg 409ft scanner
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
60
E
PATHA
E
5000 2T
t 1.5 PATH
E 100
Actual 100
Fair t 60 15 90 Elt
C. Forward Contract
1. Forward Rate: Forward Premium and Discount
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: ________________________
Spot exchange rate is for buying & selling the currency immediately in the spot market.
Forward Exchange Rate is decided today, for buying & selling the currency at a future date in
the derivatives market.
5 F
Today’s Spot rate: 1$ = ₹60 | Today’s 6m Forward Rate: 1$ = ₹66
Calculation of Forward Rates using Forward Points, Forward Margin or Swap Points:
spread
Spot Rate xx
Premium Discount
Pfiffate
Question specifies Premium or Discount: Question is silent & format of swap points is:
Bid Ask
Premium: _____________ Low High: ____________
assume premium
Discount: _____________ High Low: ____________ assume
164
Adish Jain CA CFA
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
So 60 21 66
E ST Relate it with PPP
$ is expected to _________________ &
Appreciate ₹ is expected to _________________ pg17
Depreciate
Expected Spot Rate is an estimate of spot rate that is expected to prevail on a future date.
Expected appreciation or depreciation of base & price currency can be calculated similar to
forward premium & discount.
21 62 201
65 501
58 301
62 3
Using expected appreciation or depreciation: So I 60
Cases Logical Solution What ICAI follows*
$ appreciates by 10%
60 1 101 66
$ depreciates by 10%
60 1 10 1 54
₹ appreciates by 10%
₹ depreciates by 10%
* Note: ICAI makes calculation presuming appreciation or depreciation of base currency,
even when question clearly specifies depreciation or appreciation of price currency
respectively. So, when question says ‘price currency will appreciate by 10%’, we will have to
interpret it as ‘base currency will depreciate by 10%’ and solve accordingly.
165
Adish Jain CA CFA
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
Hedging Mechanism of Forwards: Since forward rate is known today with certainty, therefore
future HC cash flows, which will occur at this rate, are also certain. Hence, there will not be any
risk in FC exposures.
position to be
taken
Deciding Bid vs Ask Rate
depends upon position to FC receivable FC payable
be taken in the forward
contract. spPinittWould buy FC to pay
Would sell FC when received
Based on the golden rule of
hedging: In order to hedge,
do in derivatives market, Sell FC forward or Buy FC forward or
what you would do in spot buy HC forward today sell HC forward today
market.
derivatives
Approach for solving practical questions:
Objective of practical questions on hedging will be to calculate HC inflow (in case of export)
or HC outflow (in case of import) on account of FC exposure.
Whether to hedge an exposure (convert CFs using F) or leave it unhedged (convert CFs using
ST or E(ST)), depends on:
In case of export i.e., HC inflows: Higher the better
In case of import i.e., HC outflows: Lower the better
Only by looking at the rate, we can’t comment on what would be better: F or ST or E(ST),
because given rates may be indirect quotes.
Gain or loss due to forward contract will be same as learnt in basics.
166
Adish Jain CA CFA
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
Food discount
₹ will trade at ____________________________ approximately by _____________
FWD Premium
$ will trade at ____________________________ approximately by _____________
K
1 80 Sox
ftp hn
e
Sox 1 Sox
1 86 k got
tin time period till
expiry of Adish Jain CA
167
terms of years CFA
food in
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
On ₹: On $:
Note that this formula of calculating premium or discount will be used only when exchange
rates are not given.
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
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168
Adish Jain CA CFA
Because Rate used ty is Hedged Fixed Food
Ratel
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
so uncovered Arbitrage will be using ECS rather than
2. Covered Interest Arbitrage Food rate Q 34
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: ________________________
Covered Interest Arbitrage involves earning risk free profit on account of mispricing of variables
used in IRP equation, i.e., interest rates of two countries or, spot or forward exchnage rates
between its currencies.
It involves borrowing in one currency & investing in another. In any given situation, there are two
ways in which we can borrow in one currency & invest in another.
169
Adish Jain CA CFA
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
Process of Abritrage
Step 1: Borrow Currency A and compute outflow on maturity
Step 2: Convert the borrowed amount of currency A to currency B at spot rate
Step 3: Invest currency B for the same time period and calculate inflow at maturity
Step 4: Sell currency B forward & receive currency A.
Step 5: Gain: Inflow in step 4 – Outflow in step 1
We know that one of the above two ways will give profit & another will give loss. We can figure
out which way will give profit by evaluating forward rates. We normally assume that all other
variables of IRP equation are correctly priced and forward rate may be mispriced:
1. Calculate fair forward rate using IRP equation.
2. Compare actual forward rate to with it to determine whether actual base currency ($) is
undervalued or overvalued (always comment on actual).
is overvalued
___________________________________________________________________________
undervalued
___________________________________________________________________________
is
we will borrow in
170
Adish Jain CA CFA
cease without Derivatives.net
of hedge
Ñ
dg Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
Unlike forward hedge, money market hedge involves use of spot rate and FC & HC money market
(i.e., borrowing & investing). It involves creating a FC payable (through borrowing) or FC
receivable (through investing) against existing FC receivable or FC payable respectively.
Exported Imposter
FC Receivable FC Payable
14 o ly
1 1
Invest Borrow
HC El HC El
Heracaved If E
Hctober
E
3 paid 3
Steps to solve practical questions:
2. Sell borrowed FC at spot rate & receive HC 2. Buy FC to be invested at spot rate & pay HC
Note As already discussed, objective of hedging based question will be to find out best tool to
hedge FC exposure. Best hedging tool is the one which gives:
In case of exporter: most HC inflow
In case of importer: least HC outflow
Note Steps of CIA & MMH are similar. Imagination on timeline is important to avoid confusion.
171
Adish Jain CA CFA
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
It is based on ‘Law of one price’. It states that prices of similar products of two different countries
should be equal when measured in a common currency.
Absolute Form
1 16 260 21 60
Relative Form
Unlike absolute form (which talked about exchange rate at a particular point in time), relative
form talks about change in such exchange rates.
oy Ijn
1 US 5
1.05
rates
It Infation 21 62.86
z India 1 1
Go 66
Relative PPP states that exchange rate between two currencies is affected by the inflation rates
in those countries.
i
Expected Spot Rate: If inflation in India= 10% & US= 5%. Current spot ₹/$ 60.
ECS So
II p
60
1 5 5
Expected Appn/Depn in $: Base Currency Expected Appn/Depn in ₹:
price currency
ECS So 62 86 60 60 62.86
60 SELFISH 62 86
So
4 77 4.55
172
Apph
it
Adish Jain CA CFA
Depn
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
Real appreciation or depreciation: If actual spot rate after a year turns out to be:
71 65
Real appreciation in $: Real depreciation in ₹:
ST ELST 3.57
So
It is important to understand below differences between Forward rate & Expected spot rate.
Mathematically: =
Accordingly, expected spot rate can be estimated with the help of interest rates also.
St 21
65
_____________________________________________________________________________
due to
_____________________________________________________________________________
factors
other than
_____________________________________________________________________________
inflation
ECS 62.86
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
50 2 60 4yÉn
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________ 65
App 60
_ I 1 Deph
60
ty 173
Real Adish Jain CA CFA
65 286 6288560
APP
ep
This topic of the chapter is governed less by logics and more by the provision of Foreign Exchange
Dealers Association of India (FEDAI) rules.
contract entered Date Automatic
Effigy Concalation
Oy
Date on which AC
3m
forward contract
is cancelled: on
in 2m
3m 337
D
Rate to be used
for cancellation: Fwd Fid Fed Fate
Exported
175
Adish Jain CA CFA
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
Imported papers
Fwd
sell 1
Em 3m
g on
Bank
Buy Spot mcr
4m go.gs
Food sell XX
Bank
a xx
1
Swap (on the date): Gain:
Bank will passon to customde
84th
______________________
custogges
Loss: Bank will recover from customer
Net cash Inflow: Bank
2 Interest on outlay of funds
will pass on to customer
Net I
Net cash Outflow: Bank will recover from
OF customch
Interbank Mkt
Swap transaction to be entered by bank: 1 no exchange margin
Importer
Buy sell Swap
Sell Buy swap
Exporter
176
Adish Jain CA CFA
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
Food Buy
STIEFengaturity
Bank
Canterbank
meicover
BEEF xx
S. No. Component Gain or Net cash Inflow Loss or Net cash Outflow
TP
1
______________________
when contract expires
DON'T RECOVER
2 Cancellation Charges PAY to from
Rexchange diff customer customer
3 Interest on outlay of funds
of in interbank mkt
Swap transaction to be entered by bank:
IS
Importer sell
Buy Swap
Exporter
Buy sell
swap
Interest is charged from expiry date till the date customer arrives. However, if the customer
177
doesn’t arrive till the date of automatic cancellation, then interest is charged only till that day Adish Jain CA CFA
that is only for a period of three days.
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
An Exposure can be defined as a future cash receipt or payments whose magnitude is not certain
at the moment.
178
Adish Jain CA CFA
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
on 3M Inflow HC
Discount FC XX
FC xx higher is
food better
21 spot MC Exx
Outflow HC
lower is
shut better
HSE xx He Exx
179
Adish Jain CA CFA
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
in tugging
hedging starts here Hedging over
Take a position in futures contract Settlement of open positions
Points of consideration:
Futures expiring after the due date of the exposure should be chosen for the purpose of
hedging. Not the one expiring before the due date.
Futures given in the question is on the currency:
o that is the base currency of quoted futures price.
o for which contract size is given.
settlement
Neton futures on one currency is calculated in terms of other currency.
Profit or loss
Today
Example: Position entered in ₹/$ future at 61.50
In this case:
given futures is on GIL on it will in
Position Long Position Short Position
sdtqm.cat date
Expiry
180
Adish Jain CA CFA
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
Buy
In this case: ____________________________
futures sell
In this case: ____________________________
futures
21 65 2 0.021
181
Adish Jain CA CFA
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
Hedging through option can be done by buying Call or Put options (i.e., only long positions). For
the purpose of hedging, options are assumed to be settled by delivery.
on
Expiry date ofoptions
3m
Hedging starts hedging over
Take a position in option contract Settle the open positions
Decide between call & put Derivatives Settle hedged exposure Delivery
settlement
Number of contracts SPLIT Settle unhedged exposure
Points of consideration:
Option given in the question is on the currency:
o for which lot size is given
o that is the base currency of exercise price (E)
o other than the currency in which premium is quoted
Lot Size $20000 NA
Exercise ₹ 50/$ €/¥ 0.008
Premium ₹ 0.05 € 0.0002
Option is on:
Note that hedging can be done only using long position. Based on the golden rule of hedging:
Numr and Denr should be in same currency Numr and Denr should be in same currency
No. of contracts to be rounded off No. of contracts to be rounded off
No of 105.000 105000080.019
contracts 20,000
Etihad
2100000
5 25
55.26
ie 5 21 call option
contractilong
it 55 HE put
contract long
Settle the open positions on maturity:
1. Bifurcate the total exposure into hedged & unhedged (i.e., under-hedged & over-hedged) based on
the number of contracts taken
= No. of lots x size per lot = No. of contracts x size per lot x E
185
Adish Jain CA CFA
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
expt ftp OR
Nostro (Our account with you): This is a current account maintained by a domestic bank or
dealer with a foreign bank in the foreign currency.
Vostro (Your account with us): This is a current account maintained by a foreign bank with a
domestic bank in our home currency.
Loro Account (Their account with you): This is a current account maintained by one domestic
bank on behalf of other domestic bank with the foreign bank in the foreign currency.
187
Adish Jain CA CFA
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
Borrowing in FC Investment in FC
on 3m on 2
3m
Int
Borrow petty Invest red
y
Spattie 38 spattie 38
HEE HEE
IF 4 OF effective
Example: Cost of borrowing in FC ($) is 10%. Example: Rate of return in FC ($) is 10%.
If Then, cost in HC (₹) If Then, return in HC (₹) 74
FC ↑ by 5% FC ↑ by 5%
1 1 1.05 1 155 1 1 1.05 1 15.5
FC ↓ by 5% 1 1 0 95 1 4.5 FC ↓ by 5% 1 1 0 95 1 4.5
HC ↑ by 5% HC ↑ by 5%
HC ↓ by 5% HC ↓ by 5%
Note that if forward rate is given in place of E(ST), then replace appreciation & depreciation with
forward premium & discount respectively. Calculation of cost of borrowing or return on
investment will remain same.
188
Adish Jain CA CFA
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
Cash Management Systems in MNCs aims to optimize cash flow movement & utilize cash balance
optimally. If it is surplus we will sell the amount
Centralized CMS It deficit we will Buy the amount
pay
Excess cash balances of subsidiaries are pooled together with parent & cash deficit
requirements are met by the parent.
I ty
Parent India I
subs I 2 Interest
london me
I
NY
spfate
Decentralized CMS
Each subsidiary is viewed as separate undertaking from the parent and cash positions are
managed independently.
og ly
I Intrust E
India
attest t
london I me
antest
Ny
bulate
08 E ST
189
Adish Jain CA CFA
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
l l l
Bag
E E E NPV DR i
E E
So
I
1C ENPV
DR E ENPV HC
Note that
Final answer should be in terms of HC.
CFs in FC & HC should be discounted by DRFC & DRHC respectively.
Conversion of CFs from FC to HC may be done at forward rate or expected spot rate, given
directly or calculated using IRPT or PPPT.
190
Adish Jain CA CFA
also
Tfiid Budging
Foreign Exchange & International Financial Management
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192
Adish Jain CA CFA
Advanced Capital Budgeting
Decisions
Advanced Capital Budgeting Decisions
Risky
Real Risky Rate Nominal Resky Rate
193
Adish Jain CA CFA
Advanced Capital Budgeting Decisions
Conversion of CFs and Rate from Real to Nominal and viceversa. 17 189
1 nominal rate 1
reef 1 Inflation
premium
Techniques of incorporating Risk in Capital Budgeting Decisions
Probability
Statistical Techniques Variance or Standard Deviation
Coefficient of Variation
Sensitivity Analysis
Scenario Analysis
Other Techniques Simulation Analysis
Decision Tree
_____________________________________________________________________________
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194
Adish Jain CA CFA
Advanced Capital Budgeting Decisions
A. Statistical Techniques
1) Probability
Calculate the NPV of the project if initial investment is ₹ 10,000, discounting rate is 10% and
inflows are expected as follows:
E
_______________________________________________________________________
RFR
_______________________________________________________________________
7200
ERCF3
_______________________________________________________________________
8900
_______________________________________________________________________
Step 2 Calculate NPV using above expected inflows and given initial outflow:
195
Adish Jain CA CFA
Advanced Capital Budgeting Decisions
E
_______________________________________________________________________
CFB
_______________________________________________________________________
14400
Step 2 Calculate Variance (σ 2) of the cashflows:
2
2000 3100
02 3100 3000
_______________________________________________________________________
0.5
4000 3100 24.90.000
_______________________________________________________________________
x 0.3
TÉ 552 2000 1440077 01 14000 14400
_______________________________________________________________________ 0.6
16000 14400
_______________________________________________________________________
0 3 1440,000
Step 3 Calculate Standard Deviation (σ ) of the cashflows:
2490000 700
_______________________________________________________________________
TA Avg fluctuation
1440.000 1200 About
_______________________________________________________________________
TB in E
terms
Step 4 Calculate Coefficient of the Variation of the cashflows:
1 1 Ecr
in
_______________________________________________________________________
Ang fluctuation
Relates
CV 700 1200
CVB
_______________________________________________________________________
A
3100 14400
_______________________________________________________________________
B. Conventional Techniques
1) Risk Adjusted Discount Rate
15,16
This method involves using NPV for taking investment decision. As we know that the discount
rate used to calculate PV of cashflows from the project is the required rate of return from the
project. And the rate of return required depends on the risk involved.
Proiect
Reg Rate of Retor RF Rate Risk prem.mn
________________________________________________________________________________________
of a project
________________________________________________________________________________________
Add 9 return for
used to calculate taking additional risk
________________________________________________________________________________________
NPV
2) Certainty Equivalent Approach 14
CE method involves using NPV for taking investment decision. In this method, cash flows from
the project are adjusted to remove the effect of risk involved in them and the discounting rate
used has no effect of risk premium included into it.
Equivalent Certain CFs are calculated by multiplying Risky CFs with CE Coefficient (α).
Rate used to discount the CFs is a Risk-free Rate
4019 40.000
_______________________________________________________________________
2019 18000
_______________________________________________________________________
1
2 25k 0.85 21250
_______________________________________________________________________
197
Adish Jain CA CFA
Advanced Capital Budgeting Decisions
C. Other Techniques
1) Sensitivity Analysis
This method involves analyzing the % changes in NPV (or IRR in certain cases) of a project by
making the a particular % change in different variables (or inputs like initial cost, life of the
project, sales price, costs, etc.) that were used in calculating that NPV. This helps in identifying
the most crucial variable for which the project is most sensitive.
Details of a project having 3 years of life and 10% discounting rate:Ringwove dep D
Variables Particulars Amount
1 Initial Cost
I 1,00 000
E 50
2 Sales Price
3 Units Sold p.a. 2000
4 Fixed costs p.a.
30.000
Step 1 Calculate NPV of the project:
NII PV of Casey PV of
cash
50 2000
3
39000 1.00.000
II
74080
adversely
Step 2 Change all the variables one by one by a particular rate (%) and calculate revised NPVs.
A
Assumed
101
Initial Gst
_______________________________________________________________________
cost
If
_______________________________________________________________________
increase
101
by
Revised
Jutiial Cost Ilars 104
_______________________________________________________________________
gff
110.000
198
Adish Jain CA CFA
Advanced Capital Budgeting Decisions
Revised NPV
_______________________________________________________________________
150 150
_______________________________________________________________________
39000
211 2219239000 1
_______________________________________________________________________
150 1.10.000 64080
_______________________________________________________________________
21195.39000
_______________________________________________________________________
in NPV 64080 74080 13.5
_______________________________________________________________________
due to 10 74080
_______________________________________________________________________
Δ in initial cost
_______________________________________________________________________
174080
_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________
Δin Initial 174080 100000
_______________________________________________________________________
Cost to make
1.00.000
_______________________________________________________________________
NPV zero
ie 1001 negative 74 08
_______________________________________________________________________
Δ
_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________
Sale
price
Revised sale price
_______________________________________________________________________
50 10 45
Revised NPV
_______________________________________________________________________
145 145
_______________________________________________________________________
39000
212 2129239000 1
_______________________________________________________________________
Prob 10 50.1
_______________________________________________________________________
40.1
_______________________________________________________________________
3) Simulation Analysis
Simulation Analysis is a technique, in which infinite calculations are made to obtain the possible
outcomes and probabilities for any given action.
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
200
Adish Jain CA CFA
Advanced Capital Budgeting Decisions
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
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201
Adish Jain CA CFA
Advanced Capital Budgeting Decisions
Existing machine
D. Replacement Decision new machie
1) Replacement of Existing Machine 23.29
1 2 3
Assume
_____________________________________________________________________________
2.487 8 10
I_____________________________________________________________________________
174090
0.751
_____________________________________________________________________________
37550
_____________________________________________________________________________
If Incremental NPV
_____________________________________________________________________________
11640
_____________________________________________________________________________
positive
5
_____________________________________________________________________________
Replace
_____________________________________________________________________________
202
Adish Jain CA CFA
Advanced Capital Budgeting Decisions
Ophon Option
_____________________________________________________________________________
1 2
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
chaloo
_____________________________________________________________________________
chadao
By
_____________________________________________________________________________ 2y
PV
_____________________________________________________________________________
of
xx Initial cost
_____________________________________________________________________________
xx
XX maint'cost XX
_____________________________________________________________________________
operating
X
_____________________________________________________________________________
1 I
salvage value
xxx
_____________________________________________________________________________
x
NOT COMPARABLE PVAF
_____________________________________________________________________________
PVAF13y zy
_____________________________________________________________________________
Note: The concept of Adjusted Present Value has been discussed in the chapter of ‘Foreign Exchange’.
203
Adish Jain CA CFA
Advanced Capital Budgeting Decisions
_____________________________________________________________________________
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_____________________________________________________________+_______________
204
Adish Jain CA CFA
Risk Management & Security Analysis
A. Risk Management
1) Value at Risk (VaR)
Value at Risk is a measure of risk. Given a normal market condition, it tells us the maximum loss
that an investment might suffer in a given period and at given confidence level.
2 0
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
x̅
x_____________________________________________________________________________
Max loss we can afford at a given probabity
or confidence level
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
6 5 Returns which
_____________________________________________________________________________
of the period for
maxloss
of
to be calcuted
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
205
Adish Jain CA CFA
we might need to solve for anyof these
Risk Management & Security Analysis
_____________________________________________________________________________
times Max loss
2 x x̅
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
r
_____________________________________________________________________________
prob from normal distribution
table
_____________________________________________________________________________
for this 2
_____________________________________________________________________________
B. Security Analysis
Practical Questions: _______________________ Practice Problems: ________________________
EMA ___________________________________________________________
t
Py X a EMA e e 11 91
___________________________________________________________
Market Trends:
price
Time
206
Adish Jain CA CFA
Risk Management & Security Analysis
2) Run - Test
used to test Weak Form
Efficiency
_____________________________________________________________________________
t T 21h2 2nd na ne N2
_____________________________________________________________________________
M 21,1122 ni the net 72 1
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
No
n of positive changes nz No of negative changes
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
Ut t 5 upper limit
_____________________________________________________________________________
If 8 is with
_____________________________________________________________________________
thisrange then
no
of chong
_____________________________________________________________________________
in direction
Frp
_____________________________________________________________________________
µ to lower limit
_____________________________________________________________________________
t degree
of freedom
3) Serial Correlation Test Auto Correlation Test
Price
_____________________________________________________________________________
data of 20
years
_____________________________________________________________________________
oy log 20g
_____________________________________________________________________________
1
_____________________________________________________________________________
Absolute change Absolute change
_____________________________________________________________________________
series
series 2
_____________________________________________________________________________
Correlation 8
_____________________________________________________________________________
w two series
_____________________________________________________________________________
b
Not even w F
_____________________________________________________________________________
is serial correlation
If f is Miss weak form
efficient 207
Adish Jain CA CFA
Risk Management & Security Analysis
____________________________________________________________________________________
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208
Adish Jain CA CFA
Theory Topics
Table of content...
1. Financial Policy And Corporate Strategy ........................................................ 214
2. Risk Management ......................................................................................... 218
3. Advanced Capital Budgeting Decisions (Sm 2024) ......................................... 222
4. Security Analysis ............................................................................................ 224
5. Security Valuation ......................................................................................... 232
6. Portfolio Management .................................................................................. 235
7. Securitization ................................................................................................. 242
8. Mutual Funds ................................................................................................ 249
9. Derivatives Analysis And Valuation ............................................................... 257
10. Foreign Exchange Exposure And Risk Management ...................................... 264
11. International Financial Management ............................................................ 269
12. Interest Rate Risk Management .................................................................... 273
13. Business Valuation ........................................................................................ 275
14. Mergers, Acquisitions And Corporate Restructuring ...................................... 276
15. Start-Up Finance ............................................................................................ 279
209
Adish Jain CA CFA
Theory Topics
Startup Finance:
o Write a short note on Venture Capital Fund. (Nov 22)
o “A limited Partnership Entity, in India, is not recognised for the purpose of Venture Capital Fund” Do
you agree? Briefly explain the structure of Venture Capital Funds in India. (May 23)
o Discuss Bootstrapping as a mode of financing for startups and describe the various methods of
bootstrapping. (RTP, MTP)
o What is the mode of financing is called in Startups, when a person attempts to found & build a
company from personal finances or from the operating revenues of a new company. Explain briefly
the methods of this mode. (Dec 21)
o An individual attempts to found and build a company from personal finances or from the operating
revenues of the new company. What this method is called? Discuss any two methods. (Nov 20, Nov
22)
o Write the characteristics of Venture Capital Financing. (Nov 21)
o Peer - to - Peer Lending and Crowd funding are same and traditional methods of funding. Do you
agree? Justify your stand. (Nov 20, MTP Nov 23)
o Non-bank Financial Sources are becoming popular to finance Start-ups. Discuss. (Nov 20)
o Explain Indicative Risk Matrix of each stage of funding for Venture Capital Financing. (July 21)
o Venture Capital Funding passes through various stages. Discuss. (Nov 20)
o State briefly the basic characteristics of venture capital financing (Nov 19)
o What is a startup to avail the benefits of government scheme? (May 22, Nov 19)
o Explain Angel Investors. (May 22, Nov 18)
o Explain Pitch Presentation. List the methods for approaching a Pitch Presentation. (May 21)
o Explain briefly the sources for funding a Start-up. (May 23, May 19)
o Explain the advantages of bringing venture capital in the company. (May 18)
o Mr. R has completed his studies and wants to start his new online business. For a successful online
business there are various expenditure costs with regards to advertisement & application
development, to make the business successful he wants to raise funds. Explain some of the innovative
sources for funding a start-up. (RTP Nov 21)
o Compare and contrast start-ups and entrepreneurship. Describe the priorities and challenges which
start-ups in India are facing. (RTP Nov 19)
o EXPLAIN Startup India Initiative. (RTP Nov 18)
o ‘Venture Capital Financing is a unique way of financing Startup’. Discuss. (Answer: Characteristics of
Venture Capitals) (RTP May 21)
o Who are Angel Investors and how they are different from Venture Capitalists. (MTP Nov 21)
210
Adish Jain CA CFA
Theory Topics
o Explain alternatives available to offshore investors for making investments in Venture Capital Funds
in India. (MTP Nov 21)
o Explain the basic documents that are required to make up Financial Presentations during Pitch
Presentation. (MTP May 20)
o During Pitch Presentation to convince the investors to put money into the proposed business how
promoters deal with following points:
(i) Problem (ii) Solution (iii) Marketing/Sales (iv) Business Model (MTP Nov 23)
o NIYA Healthcare is a proprietary concern engaged in the manufacture and development of
pharmaceutical products since last five years. To scale up the business operations and increase the
present turnover which is hovering around 500 million, the proprietor decides to convert his existing
business into a Private Limited Company. He also wants to get access to various tax benefits, easier
compliances under the startup India initiative and get recognized as a startup company. Advise
whether NIYA Healthcare can be recognized as a startup company in view of the criteria considered
eligible for the startup recognition initiated by the Government of India? (Nov 23)
o "In Deal Structuring, in many structures to facilitate the exit, the Venture Capital may put a tag-along
clause". What do you mean by that clause? Explain Deal Structuring and Exit Plan to Venture Capital
Investment Process. (Nov 23)
Securitization
o What are the features of Securitization? (Nov 22)
o Explain the pricing of the securitized instruments. (Nov 21)
o Distinguish between Pass Through Certificates (PTC) and Pay Through Securities (PTS) (May 23)
o Participants are required for the success of the securitisation process. Discuss their roles. (Nov 21)
o The process of securitisation can be viewed as process of creation of additional financial product of
securities in the market backed by collaterals." What are the other features? Describe.
o Explain the benefits of Securitization from the perspective of both originator as well as the investor.
(May 18, Nov 19)
o State the main problems faced in Securitization in India? (Nov 19, May 21)
o Discuss about the Primary Participants in the process of Securitization. (Nov 18)
o Briefly explain the steps involved in Mechanism of Securitization. (May 19, May 18)
o Explain the Secondary Participants involved in the process of Securitization of Instruments. (RTP May
21)
o Distinguish between: Primary Participants and Secondary Participants in securitization. (RTP May 18)
o “While pricing the securitized instruments, it is important that it should be acceptable to both
originators as well as to the investors”. Explain. (MTP Nov 21)
o “Securitisation is the process of repackaging or rebundling of illiquid assets into marketable
securities”. EXPLAIN. (Answer: Steps of Securitization) (MTP May 22)
o Beside the primary participants other parties are too involved in the process of securitization. Explain
them briefly. (MTP Nov 23)
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o Not only Bundling and Unbundling is only feature of Securitisation, there are other features too of the
same. Explain. (MTP Nov 23)
o “Though in recent period of time the concept of securitisation has become popular in India as a source
of off-balance Sheet source of financing but its level of growth is still far behind” Explain. (Answer:
Problem faced by securitization in India) (MTP Nov 23)
o "Lack of existence of a well-developed debt market in India, is an obstacle that hinders the growth of
the Secondary Market of securitized or asset backed Securities". Is it true? What are the other
problems in Securitization Process (Nov 23)
Risk Management
o Briefly explain: (a) Compliance risk and (b) Operational risk (May 22)
o Which type of risk covers the default by the counterparty? List out the ways to manage this type of
risk. (Nov 21)
o What is Financial Risk. How different stakeholders view the financial risk? (Nov 18, MTP Nov 23)
o Describe the main features of Value-at-Risk (VAR). (May 21)
o List the main applications of Value at Risk (VAR). (Mov 22, May 19)
o Explain how an organization interested in making investment in foreign country can assess Country
Risk and mitigate this risk. (RTP May 21)
o EXPLAIN the main risk that can be faced by an overseas investor. (Answer: Political Risk) (MTP May
22)
o What do you mean by term “Counter Party Risk”. Explain various hints that may provide an indicator
of the same risk. (MTP Nov 23)
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o List out the four methods for Identification and Management of Financial Risk. What are the
parameters to identify the currency risk? (Nov 23, RTP Nov 19)
Security Analysis
o Describe briefly on which principles Technical Analysis is based. (Nov 21)
o In an efficient market, technical analysis may not work perfectly. However, with imperfections,
inefficiencies and irrationalities, which characterises the real world, technical analysis may be helpful.
Critically analyse the statement. (Nov 20)
o Explain various “Market Indicators”. (RTP Nov 20)
o EXPLAIN the challenges to Efficient Market Theory. (RTP Nov 18)
o Explain the factors affecting economic analysis. (RTP May 20)
o DESCRIBE the factors affecting Industry Analysis. (RTP May 19)
o EXPLAIN Dow Jones theory. (MTP Nov 18)
o Discuss the various techniques used in economic analysis. (MTP May 19)
o Describe the concept of ‘Evaluation of Technical Analysis’. (MTP May 19)
o Explain Random Walk theory. (MTP May 18)
o In a rational, well ordered and efficient market, technical analysis may not work very well". Is it true?
List out the reasons for this statement regarding Technical Analysis. (Nov 23)
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Operations
Marketing
Marketing
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Outcome of Financial Planning = Financial Objective, Financial decision-making & Financial measures
Financial objectives are to be decided at the very beginning so that rest of the decisions can be taken
accordingly. The objectives need to be consistent with the corporate mission and corporate objectives.
Financial decision making helps in analysing the financial problems that are being faced by the
corporate and accordingly deciding the course of action to be taken by it.
Financial measures like ratio analysis, analysis of cash flow statement is used to evaluate the
performance of the Company.
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CORPORATE FINANCIAL
Interface
STRATEGY PLAN
The interface of strategic management and financial policy will be clearly understood if we appreciate
the fact that the starting point of an organization is money and the end point of that organization is
also money.
Dimensions of interface between Corporate Strategic Management and Financial Policy:
(Interface in general means point of connection between two things. Here, ‘Dimensions of interface
between Corporate Strategic Management and Financial Policy’ means in which all ways, Corporate
Strategic Management is connected to Financial Policy)
a) Sources of Finance and Capital Structure Decisions
To support any expansion activity, funds may be mobilized (generated) through owner’s
capital (equity or preference shares) or borrowed capital (debt like debentures, public deposits,
etc.).
Along with mobilization of funds, policy makers must also decide on the capital structure i.e.,
appropriate mix of equity and debt capital. This mix varies from industry to industry.
Investment and Fund Allocation Decisions
A planner must frame policies for regulating investment in fixed and current assets.
Planners task is to make best possible allocation under resource constraints.
Investment proposals by different business units can be divided as:
Addition of new product by the firm (i.e., diversification)
Increasing the level of operation of an existing product (i.e., expansion)
Cost reduction or efficient utilization of resource
Dividend Policy Decisions
Dividend policy decision deals with the extent of earnings to be distributed as dividend and the
extent of earnings to be retained for future growth of the firm.
It may be noted from the above discussions that financial policy cannot be worked out in isolation of
corporate strategy. Since, financial planning and corporate strategy are interdependent of each other,
attention of the corporate strategy makers must be drawn while framing the financial plans not at a
later stage.
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SGR is a measure of how much a firm can grow without borrowing more money. After the firm has
passed this rate, it must borrow funds from another source to facilitate growth.
SGR is calculated as: ROE x (1- Dividend payment ratio)
Variables of SGR formula typically include:
1. Net profit margin on new and existing revenues;
2. Asset Turnover ratio,
3. Assets to equity ratio (Financial Leverage Ratio)
4. Retention rate
Sustainable growth models assume that the business wants to:
1. maintain a target capital structure without issuing new equity;
2. maintain a target dividend payment ratio; and
3. increase sales as rapidly as market conditions allow.
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2. RISK MANAGEMENT
1. Types of Risks a Business Faces
Strategic Risk Compliance Risk Operational Risk Financial Risk
It is the risk that Every business needs to It refers to the risk It refers to the risk
company’s strategy comply with rules and that company of unexpected
might become less regulations. If the company might fail to changes in
effective and fails to comply with laws manage day to day financial conditions
company struggles related to an area or operational prevailing in an
to achieve its goals. industry or sector, it will problems. economy such as
pose a serious threat to its prices, interest
It could be due to This type of risk
survival. rates, inflation, etc.
technological relates to internal
reasons, new It refers to the risk that risk as risk relates All these factors
competitors, shift company might not be able to ‘people’ as well have direct impact
in customer’s to company with the rules as ‘process’. on the profitability
demand, etc. and regulation applicable to of the company.
the business.
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Liquidity Risk
It refers to the inability of organization to meet it liabilities whenever they become due. This risk
arises when a firm is unable to generate adequate cash when needed. This type of risk is more
prevalent in banking business where there may be mismatch in maturities and receiving fresh
deposits pattern.
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Currency Risk
It refers to the risk of change in cash flows due to unfavourable changes in exchange rates. This risk
mainly affects the firms dealing in foreign currency denominated transactions. This risk can be
affected by cash flow adversely or favourably.
Hints used to identify this risk:
1. Government Action: The Government action of any country has impact on its currency, because
government has powers to enact laws and formulate policies that can affect flow to foreign
funds in an economy.
2. Nominal Interest Rate: As per interest rate parity (IRP), the currency exchange rate depends on
the nominal interest of that country.
3. Inflation Rate: As per Purchasing power parity theory, the currency exchange rate depends on
the inflation of that country.
4. Natural Calamities: Any natural calamity can have negative impact on the exchange rates.
5. War, Coup, Rebellion etc.: All these actions can have far reaching impact on currency’s exchange
rates (Coup means sudden change in government illegally & Rebellion means organised protest
against any authority).
6. Change of Government: The change of government and its attitude towards foreign investment
also helps to identify the currency risk.
Techniques to manage this risk:
Already covered in Foreign Exchange as Internal & External Hedging Techniques.
Political Risk
This type of risk is faced by and overseas investors, as the adverse action by the government of host
country may lead to huge loses.
Hints used to identify this risk:
1. Insistence on resident investors or labour.
2. Restriction on conversion of currency.
3. Confiscation of foreign assets by the local govt.
4. Price fixation of the products.
5. Restriction of remittance to home country.
Techniques to manage this risk:
1. Local sourcing of raw materials and labour.
2. Entering into joint ventures
3. Local financing
4. Prior negotiations
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3. Competition risk: These are risks related with competition in the market in which a company
operates. These risks are risk of entry of rival, product dynamism and change in taste and
preference of consumers etc.
4. Risk due to Economic Conditions: These are the risks which are related with macro-economic
conditions like changes in monetary policies by central banks, changes in fiscal policies like
introduction of new taxes and cess, inflation, changes in GDP, etc.
5. International risk: These are risk which are related with conditions which are caused by global
economic conditions like restriction on free trade, restrictions on market access, recessions,
bilateral agreements, political and geographical conditions etc.
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4. SECURITY ANALYSIS
1. Security Analysis and its approaches
Investment decision of securities to be bought, held or sold depends upon the return and risk profile
of that security. Security Analysis involves a systematic analysis of the risk-return profiles of various
securities to help a rational investor take an investment decision.
There are two approaches viz. fundamental analysis and technical analysis for carrying out Security
Analysis. In fundamental analysis, factors affecting risk-return characteristics of securities are looked
into while in technical analysis, demand and supply position of the securities along with prevalent
share price trends are examined.
Industry Analysis
Company Analysis
Fundamental analysis is based on the assumption that value of a share today is the present value of
future dividends expected by the shareholders, discounted at an appropriate discount rate and this
value is known as the 'intrinsic value of the share'(i.e., Fundamental Principal of Valuation). The
intrinsic value of a share, depicts the true value of a share. A share that is priced below the intrinsic
value must be bought, while a share quoting above the intrinsic value must be sold.
(Therefore, while calculating intrinsic value, we must analyse all those factors that can impact the
future revenue, earnings, cash flows or dividends of the company)
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Growth rate for National Income and GDP: The estimates of GDP growth rate further helps to
estimate growth rate of an industry and a company. For this purpose, it is also important to
know Real and Nominal GDP growth rates.
Inflation: Inflation is a strong determinant of demand in some industries mainly in consumer
product industry. Estimating inflation in an economy helps to estimate the expected revenue
from the product. Inflation can be measured either in terms of Retail prices or Wholesale prices.
Monsoon: Monsoon is also a key determinant of supply and demand of many products
therefore it is also of great concern to investors in stock market.
Interest Rates: Interest rates in an economy helps in estimating the flow of cash and savings
& consumption patterns in an economy.
b) Industry Analysis
Factors to be considered in Industry Analysis (It includes factors at industry level (say Pharma or
telecom as an industry) that can affect the future cash flows or dividends of all the companies
operating in that industries):
Product Life-Cycle: An industry usually exhibits high profitability in the initial and growth
stages, medium but steady profitability in the maturity stage and a sharp decline in
profitability in the last stage of growth. Therefore, understanding the product life-cycle is
important while estimating the future cash flows from any product.
Demand Supply Gap: Excess supply relative to demand reduces the profitability of the industry
because of the decline in prices, while insufficient supply tends to improve the profitability
because of higher price.
Barriers to Entry: Any industry with high profitability would attract new entrants. However,
the potential entrants to the industry face different types of barriers to entry. Restriction on
entry to new participants helps to analyse impact on the future revenues of the company
operating in that industry.
Government Attitude: The attitude of the government towards an industry is a crucial
determinant of future prospects of an industry.
Technology and Research: They play a vital role in the growth and survival of a particular
industry. Technology is subject to very fast change leading to obsolescence.
c) Company Analysis
Factors to be considered in Company Analysis (It includes company specific factors (say TCS or
Infosys as a company) that can affect the future cash flows or dividends of that company):
Net Worth and Book Value: Net Worth is sum of equity & preference share capital and free
reserves less intangible assets and any carry forward of losses. The total net worth divided by
the number of shares is the much talked about book value of a share. Though, book value may
not be a true indicator of Intrinsic Value of share.
Sources and Uses of Funds: The identification of sources and uses of funds is known as Funds
Flow Analysis. One of the major uses of funds flow analysis is to find out whether the firm has
used short-term sources of funds to finance long term assets. Since, financing long term assets
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using short term source of finance may create liquidity crunch to the firm while making
repayment of liabilities.
Cross-Sectional and Time Series Analysis: Analysis of financial statement is important to
evaluate fundamental strength of a company. It involves comparing a firm against some
benchmark figures for its industry (Cross-sectional) and analysing the performance of a firm
over time (time-series). The techniques that are used to do such proper comparative analysis
are: common-sized statement, and financial ratio analysis.
Growth Record: The growth in sales, net income, net capital employed and earnings per share
of the company in the past few years should be examined. Historical growth numbers are also
important to determine expected growth.
Quality of Management: Quality of management has to be seen with reference to the
experience, skills and integrity (ethics) of the people involved at board and managerial level.
Quality of management decides the confidence of investors on the decisions and action of
management. Shares will good management quality trades at premium as compared to shares
with low management quality.
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The movements of the market (or these indices) are divided into three classifications (all
happening at the same time):
The primary movement: It is the main trend of the market, which lasts from 1 year to 36
months or longer. This trend is commonly called bear or bull market.
The secondary movement: It is shorter in duration than the primary movement, and is
opposite to primary movement in direction. It lasts from 2 weeks to 1 month or more.
The daily fluctuations: They are the narrow day-to-day movements. These fluctuations are
also required to be studied thoroughly since they ultimately form the secondary and primary
movements.
The Dow Theory’s purpose is to determine where the market is and where is it going. The theory
states that if the highs and lows of the stock market are successively higher, then the market
trend is up and a bullish market exists. Contrarily, if the successive highs and successive lows are
lower, then the direction of the market is down and a bearish market exists.
b) Elliot Wave Theory
This theory was based on analysis of 75 years’ stock price movements and charts. Elliot found that
the markets exhibited certain repeated patterns or waves.
He defined price movements in terms of waves. As per this theory wave is a movement of the
market price from one change in the direction to the next change in the direction.
As per this theory, waves can be classified into two
parts:
Impulsive Patterns (Basic Waves): In this pattern,
there will be 3 or 5 waves ((i) to (v) in figure 1) in
a given direction (going upward or downward).
These waves shall move in the direction of the
basic movement. This movement can indicate bull
phase or bear phase.
Corrective Patterns (Reaction Waves): These 3
waves (a, b & c in figure 1) are against the
direction of the basic waves. Correction involves
correcting the earlier rise in case of bull market
and fall in case of bear market.
c) Random Walk Theory
This theory states that the behaviour of stock market prices is unpredictable and that there is no
relationship between the present prices of the shares and their future prices.
This theory says that the peaks and troughs in stock prices are just are statistical happening and
successive peaks and troughs are unconnected.
In the layman's language, it may be said that prices on the stock exchange behave exactly the
way a drunk would behave while walking in a blind lane, i.e., up and down, with an unsteady way
going in any direction he likes (i.e., without following a fixed pattern and in a totally unpredictable
manner).
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6. Charting Techniques
Technical analysts use three types of charts for analysing data
1. Bar Chart: In a bar chart, a vertical line (bar) represents the lowest to the highest price, with a short
horizontal line protruding from the bar representing the closing price for the period. Since volume and
price data are often interpreted together, it is a common practice to plot the volume traded,
immediately below the line and the bar charts.
2. Line Chart: In a line chart, lines are used to connect successive day’s prices. The closing price for each
period is plotted as a point. These points are joined by a line to form the chart. The period may be a
day, a week or a month.
3. Japanese Candlestick Chat: Like Bar chart this chart also shows the same information i.e., Opening,
Closing, Highest and Lowest prices of any stock on any day but this chart more visualizes the trend as
change in the opening and closing prices is indicated by the colour of the candlestick. While Black
candlestick indicates closing price is lower than the opening price the white candlestick indicates its
opposite i.e., closing price is higher than the opening price.
4. Point and Figure Chart: Point and Figure charts are more complex than line or bar charts. They are
used to detect reversals in a trend. For plotting a point and figure chart, we have to first decide the
box size and the reversal criterion.
7. Market Indicators
1. Breadth Index: It is an index that covers all securities traded. It is computed by dividing the net
advances or declines in the market by the number of securities traded (‘advances’ & ‘declines’ means
number of securities whose price has moved up & down respectively during the relevant period & ‘net’
means net of up & down). The breadth index either supports or contradicts the movement of the Dow
Jones Averages. If it supports the movement of the Dow Jones Averages, this is considered sign of
technical strength and if it does not support the averages, it is a sign of technical weakness
2. Volume of Transaction: The volume of shares traded in the market provides useful clues on how the
market would behave in the near future. A rising index/price with increasing volume would signal buy
behaviour because the situation reflects an unsatisfied demand in the market. Similarly, a falling
market with increasing volume signals a bear market and the prices would be expected to fall further.
3. Confidence Index: It is supposed to reveal how willing the investors are to take a chance in the market
It is the ratio of high-grade bond yields to low-grade bond yields. rising confidence index is expected
to precede a rising stock market, and a fall in the index is expected to precede a drop in stock prices.
4. Relative Strength Analysis: The relative strength concept suggests that the prices of some securities
rise relatively faster in a bull market or decline more slowly in a bear market than other securities i.e.
some securities exhibit relative strength. Investors will earn higher returns by investing in securities
which have demonstrated relative strength in past.
5. Odd - Lot Theory: This theory is a contrary - opinion theory. It assumes that the average person is
usually wrong and that a wise course of action is to pursue strategies contrary to popular opinion. The
odd-lot theory is used primarily to predict tops in bull markets, but also to predict reversals in
individual securities.
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3. Irrational Behaviour: It is generally believed that investors’ rationality will ensure a close
correspondence between market prices and intrinsic values. But in practice this is not true. The
market seems to function largely on hit or miss tactics rather than on the basis of informed beliefs
about the long-term prospects of individual enterprises.
4. Monopolistic Influence: A market is regarded as highly competitive. No single buyer or seller is
supposed to have undue influence over prices. But in reality, powerful institutions and big operators
have influence over the market. The monopolistic power enjoyed by them diminishes the
competitiveness of the market.
Method It involves forecasting future cashflows of the Predicts future price & its
company by analysing: direction using purely
historical data of share price,
Economy’s Macro factors: GDP, Interest rates,
its volume, etc.
Inflation, etc.
Company’s Micro factors: Profitability, Solvency
position, Operational efficiency, etc.
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5. SECURITY VALUATION
1. Immunization
We know that when interest rate (or yield) goes up, value of bond falls but return on re-investment
(of coupon receipts) improves and vice versa. Thus, an investor in bonds has to face two types of
interest rate risks (i.e., change in interest rates affects an investor in two ways):
Price Risk: Risk that price of bond will fall with the increase in interest rates and rise with its
decrease.
Reinvestment Risk: Risk that coupon receipts will be reinvested at a lower rate if interest rate
falls and at higher rate if interest rate rise.
We can see that, with the change in interest rates, two risks move in the opposite direction.
Through the process of immunization selection of bonds shall be in such manner that the effect of
above two risks shall offset each other. Duration of the bonds is that point where these two risks
exactly offset each other. If the duration of a bond is equal to its holding period, then we ensure
immunization of the same and hence, the bond is not having interest rate risk. It means that
immunization takes place when the changes in the YTM in market has no effect on the promised
rate of return on a bond.
It means that if a bond is bought today and rate of interest in the market changes, then, value of
bond portfolio (including the reinvested coupons) at the end of its duration (not maturity; duration
here means Macaulay’s Duration) will not change. This is because the decrease (increase) in value
of bond due to increase (decrease) in interest rates will be equal to the increase (decrease) in
income on reinvested coupons received till the end of duration.
Therefore, when a liability (say future planned cash outflow) is planned to be funded through the
sale of bond portfolio, duration of that bond portfolio (asset) should be made equals to the duration
of liability, so that even if the interest rates change, value of portfolio will not change and liability
can be fully funded through the sale of bond portfolio as planned.
supply of fund for different maturity periods for different market segments. Accordingly, shape of
yield curve can be sloping upward, falling or flat.
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directly proportional to the time spent in collecting the data and in understanding the firm being
valued.
2. Valuing a company is much more than evaluating the financial statements of a company and
estimating an intrinsic value based on numbers. This concept is getting more and more critical in
today’s day and age where most emerging business are valued not on their historical
performances captured in the financial statement but rather on a narrative driven factors like
scalability, growth potential, cross sell opportunities etc.
3. A lot of times, investors/users tend to focus on either numbers or the story without attempting to
reach a middle ground. In both these cases, investors will fail to capture opportunities that could
have been unlocked had they been willing to reach some middle ground between the two
concepts.
4. While it is true that a robust intrinsic value calculation using financial statements data and an
error-free model makes investing a more technical subject, in reality, emotions play a massive
role in moving stocks higher or lower.
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6. PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
1. Objectives of Portfolio Management
4. Security of Principal: Security of principal not only involves keeping the principal sum intact but
also its purchasing power (i.e., value of portfolio should increase atleast by the percentage of
inflation so that purchasing power of portfolio is maintained)
5. Capital Growth: It can be attained by investing in growth securities or by reinvesting the income
received on securities in the portfolio.
6. Stability of Income is important to facilitate planning of reinvestment or consumption of income
accurately and systematically.
7. Diversification (risk minimisation): The basic objective of building a portfolio is to reduce the risk
of loss by investing in various types of securities and over a wide range of industries.
8. Liquidity is desirable for the investor so as to take advantage of attractive opportunities upcoming
in the market.
9. Favourable Tax Status: The effective yield, an investor gets from his investment, depends on tax to
which it is subjected to. By minimising the tax burden, yield can be effectively improved.
time by estimating market movements. A variety of tools are employed for market timing
analysis namely business cycle analysis, moving average analysis, advance-decline analysis,
Econometric models.
2. Sector Rotation: It involves shifting funds from one sector to another based on sector outlook.
If a sector is expected to perform well in future, the portfolio manager might overweigh that
sector relative to market and under-weigh if the sector is expected to perform poor. (For
example, if an index has 25% value of stock in technology sector and portfolio on the other
hand, has invested 28% of the funds in stock of technology sector, then portfolio is overweight
on technology sector.)
3. Security Selection: Security selection involves a search for under-priced security. If one has to
resort to active stock selection, he may employ fundamental and technical analysis to identify
stocks which seems to promise superior return relative to risk.
4. Use of Specialised Investment Concept: To achieve superior return, one has to employ a
specialised concept with respect to investment in stocks. The concept which have been
exploited successfully are growth stock, neglected stocks, asset stocks, technology stocks,
etc.
b) Passive Portfolio Strategy
Passive strategy, on the other hand, rests on the belief that the capital market is fairly efficient
with respect to the available information. Basically, passive strategy involves creating a well-
diversified portfolio at a predetermined level of risk and holding the portfolio relatively unchanged
over time unless it became adequately diversified or inconsistent with the investor risk-return
preference.
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4. Matching Cash Flows: Another stable approach to immunize the portfolio is Cash Flow
Matching. This approach involves buying of Zero Coupon Bonds to meet the promised
payment out of the proceeds realized.
b) Active Portfolio Strategy
As mentioned earlier Active Strategy is usually adopted to outperform the market.
Common strategies by active investors of fixed income portfolio:
1. Forecasting Returns and Interest Rates: This strategy involves the estimation of return on
basis of change in interest rates. Since interest rate and bond values are inversely related, if
portfolio manager is expecting a fall in interest rate of bonds, he should buy with longer
maturity period. On the contrary, if he expected a fall in interest then he should sell bonds with
longer period.
Based on short term yield movement, three strategies can be followed:
a. Bullet Strategy: This strategy involves concentration of investment in one particular bond.
This type of strategy is suitable for meeting the fund after a point of time such as meeting
education expenses of children etc. For example, if 100% of fund meant for investing in
bonds is invested in 5-years Bond.
b. Barbell Strategy: As the name suggests this strategy involves investing equal amount in
short term and long term bonds. For example, half of fund meant for investment in bonds
is invested in 1-year Bond and balance half in 10-year Bonds.
c. Ladder Strategy: This strategy involves investment of equal amount in bonds with
different maturity periods. For example if 20% of fund meant for investment in bonds is
invested in Bonds of periods ranging from 1 year to 5 years.
2. Bond Swaps: This strategy involves regularly monitoring bond process to identify mispricing
and try to exploit this situation.
Some of the popular swap techniques are as follows:
a. Pure Yield Pickup Swap - This strategy involves switch from a lower yield bond to a higher
yield bonds of almost identical quantity and maturity. This strategy is suitable for portfolio
manager who is willing to assume interest rate risk as in switching from short term bond
to long term bonds to earn higher rate of interest, he may suffer a capital loss.
b. Substitution Swap - This swapping involves swapping with similar type of bonds in terms
of coupon rate, maturity period, credit rating, liquidity and call provision but with different
prices. This type of differences exits due to temporary imbalance in the market.
c. International Spread Swap – In this swap portfolio manager is of the belief that yield
spreads between two sectors is temporarily out of line and he tries to take benefit of this
mismatch. Since the spread depends on many factor and a portfolio manager can
anticipate appropriate strategy and can profit from these expected differentials.
d. Tax Swap – This is based on taking tax advantage by selling existing bond whose price
decreased at capital loss and set it off against capital gain in other securities and buying
another security which has features like that of disposed one.
3. Interest Rate Swap: Interest Rate Swap is another technique that is used by Portfolio Manager.
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Interest Rate Risk: This arises due to variability Business Risk: Business risk arises from
in the interest rates from time to time. Price of a variability in the operating profits of a company.
security has inverse relationship with interest Higher the variability in the operating profits of
rates. Discounting rate which is used to calculate a company, higher is the business risk. Such a risk
intrinsic value depends upon the interest rates. can be measured using operating leverage.
Purchasing Power Risk: It is also known as Financial Risk: It arises due to presence of debt
inflation risk. Inflation affects the purchasing in the capital structure of the company. It is also
power adversely which further affects the known as leveraged risk and expressed in terms
demand of a product. of debt-equity ratio. Excess of debt vis-à-vis
Market Risk: This risk affects the prices of any equity in the capital structure indicates that the
share positively or negatively in line with the company is highly geared and hence, has higher
market. Bullish or bearish trend in the market financial risk.
also affect the price of security in the market.
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How does investor’s expectation vary with variation in level of risk appetite?
Investor with high-risk appetite will invest in riskier securities such as Equity or Alternative
Investments and therefore they will seek higher returns.
Similarly, investor with low-risk appetite invest in low risky securities such as debt instruments.
Therefore, they expect lower rate of return.
Investor who wants to take moderate risk will invest in balanced funds and accordingly the return
they will expect will also be between the above two categories.
7. Assumptions of CAPM
1. Efficient market is the first assumption of CAPM. Efficient market refers to the existence of
competitive market where securities are bought and sold with full information of risk and return
available to all participants.
2. Investor has rational investment goals. Investors desire higher return for any acceptable level of
risk or the lowest risk for any desired level of return.
3. CAPM assumes that all assets are divisible and liquid.
4. Investors are able to borrow at a risk free rate of interest
5. Securities can be exchanged at no transaction cost like payment of brokerage, commissions or
taxes.
6. Securities or capital assets face no bankruptcy or insolvency.
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PF dependency
on stock price
(x axis: value of
share portfolio)
y axis: Value of Payoff Line: Linear Payoff Line: Concave
total portfolio) Payoff Line: Convex
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7. SECURITIZATION
1. Concept and Mechanism of Securitisation
The process of securitization typically involves the creation of pool of assets from the illiquid financial
assets, such as receivables or loans and their repackaging or rebundling into marketable securities.
These securities are then issued to investor. Example of such illiquid financial assets can be automobile
loans, credit card receivables, residential mortgages or any other form of future receivables.
Mechanism or steps involved in Securitisation process:
Step 1: Creation of Pool of Assets
The process of securitization begins with creation of pool of assets by originator (originator is the entity
who owns the illiquid financial assets). This involves segregating the assets backed by similar type of
mortgages in terms of interest rate, risk, maturity, etc.
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3. Features of Securitisation
1. Creation of Financial Instruments – The process of securities can be viewed as process of creation
of additional financial instruments in the market backed by collaterals.
2. Bundling and Unbundling – When all the assets are combined in one pool it is bundling and when
these are broken into instruments of fixed denomination it is unbundling.
3. Tool of Risk Management – In case of assets are securitized on non-recourse basis, then
securitization process acts as risk management as the risk of default is shifted from originator to
investor.
4. Structured Finance – In the process of securitization, financial instruments are structured in such
a way that they meet the risk and return profile of investors, and hence, these securitized
instruments are considered as best examples of structured finance.
5. Tranching – Portfolio of different receivable or loan or other illiquid asset is split into several parts
based on risk and return they carry, called ‘Tranche’.
6. Homogeneity – Under each tranche the securities issued are of homogenous nature and even
meant for small investors who can afford to invest in small amounts.
4. Benefits of Securitisation
From the point of Originator From the point of Investor
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3. Stripped Securities
Stripped Securities are created by dividing the cash flows associated with underlying securities
into two or more new securities. Those two securities are as follows:
i. Interest Only (IO) Securities
ii. Principle Only (PO) Securities
As each investor receives a combination of principal and interest, it can be stripped into two
portions as Principal and Interest.
Accordingly, the holder of IO securities receives only interest while PO security holder receives
only principal. Being highly volatile in nature these securities are less preferred by investors.
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5. Inadequate Debt Market: Lack of existence of a well-developed debt market in India is another
obstacle that hinders the growth of secondary market of securitized assets.
6. Ineffective Foreclosure laws: For many years efforts are on for effective foreclosure but still
foreclosure laws are not supportive to lending institutions and this makes securitized instruments
less attractive.
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competent people to design and perform effective monitoring controls may again prove to be
difficult.
C. Tokenization and its similarities with Securitization
Tokenization is a process of converting tangible and intangible assets into blockchain tokens. Digitally
representing anything has recently acquired a lot of traction. It can be effective in conventional
industries like real estate, artwork etc.
Since tokenization of illiquid assets attempts to convert illiquid assets into a product that is liquid and
tradable and hence to some extent it resembles the process of Securitization. Hence, following are
some similarities between Tokenization and Securitization:
a) Liquidity: First and foremost, both Securitization and Tokenization inject liquidity in the market for
the assets which are otherwise illiquid assets.
b) Diversification: Both help investors to diversify their portfolio thus managing risk and optimizing
returns.
c) Trading: Both are tradable hence helps to generate wealth.
d) New Opportunities: Both provide opportunities for financial institutions and related agencies to
earn income through collection of fees.
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8. MUTUAL FUNDS
1. Classification of Mutual Funds:
On the basis of:
1. Functions 2. Portfolio 3. Ownership
Open ended funds: Investor can make entry and exit Equity Funds: means Public Sector MF: are
any time directly with mutual fund. The capital of the the mutual funds that sponsored by
fund is unlimited and redemption period is indefinite. invest in stocks. companies of Public
Close ended Funds: Investor can buy directly from MF Debt Funds: means Sector.
during IPO or from the stock market after listing. the mutual funds that Private Sector MF: are
Similarly, redeem from MF at maturity or sell it in the invest in debt sponsored by
stock market before maturity. Capital is limited and securities. companies of Private
redemption is finite. Special Funds: Sector.
Interval Funds (SM 2024): It is a combination of an discussed below Foreign Mutual Funds
Open-Ended and a Close-Ended funds which can be are sponsored by
purchased or redeemed during pre-specified intervals foreign companies for
at prevailing NAVs. They are not required to be listed raising funds in India,
on the stock exchanges. They can make fresh issue of operate from India and
units during the specified interval period. Maturity invest in India.
period is not defined.
Growth Funds: invest in Bond Funds: They invest in fixed Index Funds: Every market has a stock Index
securities which have income securities e.g., government that measures the movement of the market.
long term capital bonds, corporate debentures, etc. Index funds follows the stock index and are
growth. These MF Bond funds are less volatile than stock low-cost funds. The investor will receive
provide long term funds and often produce regular whatever the market delivers.
capital appreciation to income. It has following risk: International Funds are located in India to
the investors. Interest Rate Risk: Risk of fluctuation raise money in India for investing globally.
Income Funds seek to in market value of bond due to Offshore Funds is a mutual fund located in
maximize present change in interest rate. India to raise money globally for investing in
income of investors by Credit Risk: Risk of default in India.
investing in safe stocks repayment of loans or interest by the Sector Funds: They invest their entire fund
paying high cash borrowers. in a particular sector say Technology,
dividends.
Prepayment Risk: Risk of repayment Pharma, etc.
Aggressive Funds look of money by the issuer of Bonds Quant Funds: works on a data-driven
for super normal returns before its maturity date. approach for stock selection and investment
for which investment is
Reinvestment Risk: Risk of investing decisions based on a pre-determined rules
made in start-ups, IPOs
the bond proceeds at a lower rate of using statistics or mathematics-based
and speculative shares.
interest. models. (discussed in details below)
Gilt Funds invest in Govt Securities.
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ETFs are listed on the stock exchanges and their prices are linked to underlying index. They can
be bought or sold any time during the market hours at a price which may be more or less than
its NAV. NAV of an ETF is the value of components of the benchmark index (i.e., the index that
ETF tracks).
There is no paper work involved for investing in ETF and they can be bought and sold just like
any other stock. They are attractive as investments because of their low cost tradability and
stock-like features.
Following types of ETF products are available:
a. Index ETFs - Most ETFs are index funds that hold securities and attempt to replicate the
performance of a stock market index.
b. Commodity ETFs - Commodity ETFs invest in commodities, such as precious metals and
futures.
c. Bond ETFs - Exchange-traded funds that invest in bonds are known as bond ETFs. They thrive
during economic recessions because investors pull their money out of the stock market and
into bonds.
d. Currency ETFs - The funds are total return products where the investor gets access to the FX
spot change, local institutional interest rates and a collateral yield.
B. Hedge Funds:
Hedge fund is a lightly regulated investment fund that escapes most regulations by being a
private investment vehicle being offered to selected clients.
It does not reveal anything about its operations and also charges performance fees.
Hedge funds are aggressively managed portfolio of investments which use advanced
investment strategies such as leveraged, long & short and derivative positions in both domestic
and international markets with the goal of generating higher returns.
Risk involved under hedge funds in higher than that under Mutual Funds
It is important to note that hedging is actually the practice of attempting to reduce risk, but
the goal of most hedge funds is to maximize return on investment.
C. Quant Funds:
Quant Fund works on a data-driven approach for stock selection and investment decisions based
on a pre-determined rules or parameters using statistics or mathematics-based models.
While an active fund manager selects the volume and timing of investments (entry or exit) based
on his\her analysis and judgement, in this type of fund, complete reliance is placed on an
automated programme that decides making decision for volume and timings of investments and
concerned manager has to act accordingly.
However, it is to be noted it does not mean that in this type of Fund there is no human intervention
at all, because the Fund Manager usually focuses on the robustness of the Models being used and
also monitors their performance on continuous basis and if required some modification is done in
the same.
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The prime advantage of Quant Fund is that it eliminates the human biasness and subjectivity and
using model-based approach also ensures consistency in strategy across the market conditions.
Sometime the term ‘Quant Fund Manager’ is confused with the term ‘Index Fund Manager’ but it
should be noted that both terms are different. While the Index Fund Manager entirely hands off
the investment decision purely based on the concerned Index, the Quant Fund Manager designs
and monitors models and makes decisions based on the outcomes.
D. Fixed Maturity Plans
Fixed maturity plans (FMPs) are a debt mutual funds that mature after a pre-determined time
period. FMPs are closely ended mutual funds in which an investor can invest during a New Fund
Offer (NFO). FMPs, which are issued during NFO, are later traded on the stock exchange where
they are listed. But, the trading in FMPs is very less. So, basically FMPs are not liquid instruments.
FMPs usually invest in Certificates of Deposits (CDs), Commercial Papers (CPs), Money Market
Instruments and Non-Convertible Debentures over fixed investment period. Sometimes, they also
invest in Bank Fixed Deposits.
Presently, most of the FMPs are launched with tenure of three years to take the benefit of
indexation.
The main advantage of Fixed Maturity Plans is that they are free from any interest rate risk
because FMPs invest in debt instruments that have the same maturity as that of the fund.
However, they carry credit risk, as there is a possibility of default by the debt issuing company.
So, if the credit rating of an instrument is downgraded, the returns of FMP can come down.
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6. Tracking Error
Tracking error can be defined as the divergence or deviation of a fund’s return from the return of
benchmark it is tracking (following). In other words, it is the error made by MF while tracking an
index, i.e., difference between ‘return from fund’ and ‘return from index which it was following’.
The passive fund managers design their investment strategy to closely track the benchmark index.
However, often it may not exactly replicate the index return. In such situation, there is possibility
of deviation between the returns.
Higher the tracking error, higher is the risk profile of the fund. Whether the funds outperform or
underperform their benchmark indices, it clearly indicates that of fund managers are not following
the benchmark indices properly. In addition to the same, other primary reason for tracking error
are Transaction cost, Fees charged by AMCs, Fund expenses and Cash holdings.
7. Side Pocketing
Understanding the lengthy yet simple concept:
Suppose, a mutual fund (say XYZ) has total investment of ₹1000 in the bonds of different
companies, out of which ₹200 is invested in a particular company (say Bad Ltd.). Now, if Bad Ltd
defaults in making the coupon payment or principal repayment on its bond, then, as per SEBI
norms, XYZ will have to write down such investment in its books and consequently NAV of the fund
will fall and also its credit ratings. Due to such event and out of fear, the unitholders might sell or
redeem their units at the reduced NAV which may be less than its true NAV because even if
investment in Bad Ltd is fully written down, there is possibility of recovering some amount from
Bad Ltd.
In such a situation, both XYZ and its unitholders will suffer. XYZ might suffer liquidity issue, if large
number to unit holders come to redeem their units. And, unitholders might sell their units at a NAV
lower than its true NAV.
To avoid such situations, XYZ will separate investment of ₹200 in Bad Ltd.’s bonds (now onwards
referred as risky or illiquid assets) from its other good investments of ₹800 and shift it in the SIDE
POCKET. So, now there are two categories of assets lying with XYZ- Good or liquid assets (of ₹800)
and risky or illiquid assets (of ₹200).
Note that, since XYZ has side-pocketed illiquid investments, the NAV of the fund will now reflect the
value of only liquid assets of ₹800. Therefore, for illiquid assets, unitholders are issued units of a
new scheme of mutual fund (now onwards referred as ‘new units’) in addition to original units
already held by them. This new scheme will represent the claim of unitholders in the risky assets of
₹200.
Hence, we can say that, unitholders will now have two types of units- original units (which represent
the claims in good or liquid assets) and new units (which represent the claim in risky assets)
Original units of the fund can be bought and sold normally as they were done earlier, but investors
are not interested to sell them, since, now they represent only liquid assets. Whereas, with respect
to new units, there are certain restrictions its sale imposed by SEBI due to which, they cannot be
redeemed for some period.
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Hence, side pocketing will help both XYZ and its unitholders to not suffer on the event of default by
any company.
Answer from exam point of view from Study Material:
Side Pocketing in Mutual Funds means separation of risky or illiquid assets from other investments
and cash holdings.
Whenever, the rating of a mutual fund decreases, the fund shifts the illiquid assets into a side
pocket so that unitholders can be benefitted atleast from the liquid assets held by the fund.
Consequently, the NAV of the fund will now reflect the value of only liquid assets.
The purpose is to also make sure that money invested in MF, which is linked to illiquid asset, gets
locked, until the MF recovers the money from the company.
Side Pocketing is beneficial for those investors who wish to hold the units of the original scheme for
long term. Therefore, the process of Side Pocketing ensures that liquidity is not the problem with
MF even in the circumstances of frequent allotments and redemptions of units.
In India, recent case of IL&FS has led to many discussions on the concept of side pocketing as IL&FS
and its subsidiaries have failed to fulfil its repayments obligations due to severe liquidity crisis. The
MF had given negative returns because they have completely written off their exposure to IL&FS
instruments.
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Treynor Ratio: Beta of a mutual fund measures volatility of a fund’s return to return from its
Benchmark i.e., systematic risk. Treynor Ratio measures performance of a mutual fund
against the systematic risk it has taken.
Sortino Ratio: A variation of Sharpe Ratio that considers and uses downside deviation instead
of total standard deviation in denominator.
B. Qualitative Parameters
1) Quality of Portfolio: Quality of securities in the portfolio of the Mutual Funds is an important
qualitative parameter. The reason is that the quality of the portfolio plays a big role in achieving
superior returns.
In Equity Funds, the quality of the portfolio is measured on the basis of allocation of funds in
top Blue-chip companies, how diversified is the portfolio or the style followed being followed.
In Debt Funds, the quality of portfolio is measured on the basis of credit quality, average
maturity and modified duration of the securities.
Not only that it is necessary that Mutual Fund should hold good quality stocks or securities, but it
is also necessary the investment should be as per the objective of the Fund.
2) Track record and competence of Fund Manager: Since Fund Manager takes investment
decisions, his competence and conviction play a very big role. The competence of a Fund Manager
is assessed from his knowledge and ability to manage in addition to past performance.
3) Credibility of Fund House Team: Team of the mutual fund also plays a big role towards the
investors’ interest. There are some other administrative tasks such as redemption of units,
crediting of dividend, providing adequate information etc. which play a crucial role in qualitative
assessment of any mutual fund.
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2) Constant Monitoring the Fund Performance: The role of a Fund Manager is not only to select the
securities, but also to evaluate them on a continuous basis. It is Fund Manager’s decision to enter
or exit market that maximises the wealth of unit holders. The performance of a Fund Manager is
not only judged on the basis of return but also on growth achieved above inflation and interest
rate.
3) Creation of Wealth and Protection: This role is a fundamental role of a Fund Manager. Though
wealth creation for investors is very important but reckless assumption to risk should be avoided.
The investments should be made after thorough Fundamental Analysis and Technical Analysis.
4) Control over the works outsourced to third parties: In many cases some of the works of the Funds
are required to be outsourced to any third party. In such cases, it is the duty of the Fund Manager
to exercise proper control over functioning of the third party to ensure error free operations.
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DELTA
1. PRICE: If price of the underlying asset:
It is the ratio by which value of an option will
Value of Call Option Put Option change due to change in price of underlying
Rises Increases Decreases asset. It is used for hedging through options.
Delta of call option is Positive.
Falls Decreases Increases
Delta of put option is Negative.
THETA
3. TIME: As the time passes and time period till
It indicates the change in the value of option for
expiry of the option reduces, price of call and
one day decrease in period till expiration. It is a
put option falls.
measure of time decay.
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1. Default Risk: Also called ‘credit risk’, it arises from the default of underlying party to the
instruments.
2. Interest Rate Risk: Also called Basis risk, it arises due to different basis of interest rates. For
example, asset may be based on floating interest rate but the liability may be based on fixed
interest rates. Commonly used techniques such as swaps, caps, floors, etc. can be used to mitigate
such risk.
3. Liquidity Risk: Another major type of risk by which CDOs are affected is liquidity risks as there
may be mismatch in coupon receipts and payments.
4. Prepayment Risk: This risk results from unscheduled or unexpected repayment of principal
amount underlying the security. Generally, this risk arises in case of falling interest rates as the
borrowers may pay back the money early.
5. Reinvestment Risk: This risk is generic in nature as the CDO manager may not find adequate
opportunity to reinvest the proceeds when allowed for substitutions.
6. Foreign Exchange Risk: Sometimes CDOs are comprised of debts and loans from countries other
than the country of issue. In such a case, in addition to above mentioned risks, CDOs are also
subject to the foreign exchange rate risk.
B. Credit Default Swaps
It is a combination of following 3 words:
Credit: Loan given
Default: Non payment
Swap: Exchange of Risk
Accordingly, CDS can be defined as an insurance (not in stricter sense) against the risk of default on a
debt security. Under this arrangement, one party (called buyer) needing protection against the default
pays a periodic premium to another party (called seller), who in turn takes the default risk if there is
any default on such debt security.
Main Features of CDS
1. CDS is a non-standardized private contract between the buyer and seller. Therefore, it is covered
in the category of Forward Contracts.
2. They are normally not traded on any exchange and hence remains free from the regulations of
Governing Body.
3. CDS can be purchased from third party to protect itself from default of borrowers.
4. An individual investor who is buying bonds from a company can purchase CDS to protect his
investment from insolvency of that company.
5. The cost or premium of CDS has a positive relationship with risk attached with loans. Therefore,
higher the risk attached to Bonds or loans, higher will be premium or cost of CDS.
6. If an investor buys a CDS without being exposed to credit risk of the underlying bond issuer, it is
called “naked CDS”.
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c. Electricity Swaps are financial contracts that enable their holders to pay a fixed price for underlying
electricity, regardless of the floating electricity price, or vice versa, over the contracted time.
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date when transaction was recorded’ was different from ‘the exchange rate on the date when
financial statements are reported.
Example: An exporter has sold goods worth $500 and exchange rate is ₹/$ 65. Now, at year end, if
exchange rate changes to ₹/$ 60. Loss due to Translation Exposure is (65-60)*500= ₹2,500.
B. Transaction Exposure: It refers to the gain/loss which arises due to difference in the exchange rates
on ‘the date when transaction was entered into’ and ‘the date when the transaction is settled’. It
deals with the higher or lower cash flows in home currency required to settle any obligation in
foreign currency.
Example: An importer purchased goods worth $100 and exchange rate is ₹/$ 55. Now, at the time
of payment, if exchange rate changes to ₹/$ 60. Loss due to Transaction Exposure is ₹500.
C. Economic Exposure: It refers to the extent to which economic value of a company can decline due
to change in exchange rates. Even if the company is not directly dealing in transactions
denominated in foreign currency, it is exposed to economic risk. The exposure is on account of
macro level factors such as:
Change in the prices of inputs used or output sold by competitors (giving them advantage)
Reduction in demand by the foreign importer due increased prices in his HC (if invoicing is done
in exporter’s HC, then importer will have to pay more in his HC to by same amount of FC)
Difference between Transaction and Economic Exposure:
Transaction Exposure Economic Exposure
Is direct in Nature Is indirect in Nature
Amount of exposure is known Amount of exposure in unknown
Faced by only firms who have entered into Faced by all the firms whether they have
FC transactions entered into FC transactions or not
Invoicing: Companies engaged in export and import are concerned with decisions relating to the
currency in which goods and services are to be traded (invoiced). Trading in a foreign currency
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gives rise to transaction exposure whereas, trading purely in a company's home currency has no
currency risk.
Leading & Lagging: Leading and Lagging refer to adjustments in the times of payments in
foreign currencies. Leading means advancing the timing of payments and receipts. Lagging
means postponing (delaying) the timing of payments and receipts. These techniques are aimed
at taking advantage of expected appreciation or depreciation of relevant currencies.
Settlement Netting or (only) Netting: Netting means adjusting receivable and payables. Under
this technique, group companies merely settle inter affiliate indebtedness for the net amount
owing. The reduced number and amount of transaction leads to savings in transaction cost (such
as buy/sell spreads in the spot and forward markets) and administrative cost resulting from
currency conversion.
Matching: Although, ‘netting’ and ‘matching’ are used interchangeably, there is a difference
between the two. Netting is a term applied to potential cash flows within group companies
whereas matching can be applied to both inter-company and to third-party balancing. Matching
is a mechanism whereby a company matches its foreign currency inflows with its foreign
currency outflows in respect of amount and approximate timing. Receipts in a particular
currency are used to make payments in that currency thereby reducing the need for a group of
companies to go to the foreign exchange markets only for the unmatched portion of foreign
currency cash flows.
Price Variation: Price variation involves increasing selling prices to counter the adverse effects
of exchange rate change.
Asset and liability management: can involve aggressive or defensive postures. In the aggressive
attitude, the firm increases exposure of inflows denominated in strong currencies or increases
exposure of outflows denominated in weak currencies. The defensive approach involves
matching cash inflows and outflows according to their currency of denomination, irrespective
of whether they are in strong or weak currencies.
5. Exposure Netting
Exposure Netting refers to offsetting exposure in one currency with exposure in the same or another
currency, where exchange rates are expected to move in such a way that loses (or gains) on the first
exposed position are offset by gains (or losses) on position in the second currency.
The objective of the exercise is to offset the likely loss in one exposure by likely gain in another.
This is a method of hedging foreign exchange exposure is different from forward and option contracts.
This method is similar to portfolio approach in handling systematic risk. (Recollect that to reduce the
beta of the portfolio, position on index futures was taken such that loss (gain) on portfolio is offset by
gain (loss) on index futures).
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Vostro (Your account with us): This is a current account maintained by a foreign bank with a domestic
bank in home currency.
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Loro Account (Their account with you): This is a current account maintained by one domestic bank
on behalf of other domestic bank in foreign bank in a foreign currency.
Indian Bank
(HDFC)
Foreign Bank
(Swiss Bank)
Indian Bank
SBI will call, the Nostro account of HDFC
(SBI)
maintained with Swiss bank, as Loro Account.
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Centralized CMS: Each branch’s cash position Decentralized CMS: Each branch is viewed as
is managed by single centralized authority. separate undertaking and cash positions are managed
separately.
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a type of foreign bond which gives the bondholder an option to convert the bond into the stocks
of the company. It is a mix of debt and equity instrument, as it acts like a bond by making regular
coupon and principal payments and also gives the bondholder an option to convert it into stock.
Benefit to investor: Buyer of this bond is benefitted by appreciation in the price of company’s
stock.
Benefit to issuer: Due to attached equity option, coupon rate on such bonds is relatively lower.
4. Euro Convertible Bond: Euro bonds are debt instrument denominated in a currency which is not
native to the country where the bonds are issued. Euro Convertible bond is a type of euro bond
which has an option, attached to it, to convert it into the equity shares of the company. Euro
option may carry two options:
Call option: Issuer has the option to call (buy) the bonds before redemption and issue equity
shares.
Put option: Investor (holder) has the option to put (sell) the bonds before redemption and get
equity shares against such bonds.
5. ADR and GDR: Since ADR and GDR are similar instruments and also because it becomes easy to
remember, they have been explained together. But these concepts may be asked individually in
exams, in which case below answer to be made specific. Depository receipt is a negotiable
certificate denominated in currency not native to the company issuing it, representing its one or
more local currency equity shares publicly traded in its home country. When such receipt is issued
in:
in US it is called ADR
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A. Benefits of IFC
1. Opportunity for qualified professionals working outside India come here and practice their
profession.
2. A platform for qualified and talented professionals to pursue global opportunities without leaving
their homeland.
3. Stops Brain Drain from India.
4. Bringing back those financial services transactions presently carried out abroad by overseas
financial institutions/entities or branches or subsidiaries of Indian Financial Market.
5. Trading of complicated financial derivative can be started from India.
B. Constituents of IFC
1. Highly developed Infrastructure: A leading edge infrastructure is a prerequisite for creating a
platform to offer internationally competitive financial services.
2. Stable Political Environment: Destabilized political environment brings country risk for investment
by foreign nationals. Hence, to accelerate foreign participation in growth of financial centre,
stable political environment is a prerequisite.
3. Strategic Location: The geographical location of the finance center should be strategic such as
near to airport, seaport and should have friendly weather.
4. Quality Life: The quality of life at the center should be good as center retains highly paid
professionals from own country as well from outside.
5. Rationale Regulatory Framework: Rationale legal regulatory framework is another prerequisite
of international finance center as it should be fair and transparent.
6. Sustainable Economy: The economy should be sustainable and should possess capacity to absorb
all the shocks as it will boost investors’ confidence.
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2. Swaption
An interest rate swaption is simply an option on interest rate swap. It gives the holder the right but
not the obligation to enter into an interest rate swap at a specific date in the future, at a particular
fixed rate and for a specified term.
A 3-month into 5-year swaption would mean an option to enter into a 5-year interest rate swap
after 3 months.
The swaption premium is expressed as basis points.
There are two types of swaption contracts: -
A fixed rate payer swaption gives the owner of the swaption the right but not the obligation
to enter into a swap where they pay the fixed leg and receive the floating leg.
A fixed rate receiver swaption gives the owner of the swaption the right but not the
obligation to enter into a swap in which they will receive the fixed leg, and pay the floating
leg.
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they form the basis of financial contracts such as bank overdrafts, loans, mortgages and are also used
in other complex financial transactions.
The benchmark rates are widely used in interest rate derivative transactions such as Forward, Future,
Option or Swap Contracts. The Benchmark rate also forms the basis for floating rate loans.
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2. Types of Mergers
1. Horizontal Merger: The two companies that merge, are in the same industry selling similar or
competing products. Normally the market share of the new consolidated company would be larger
and it is possible that it may move near monopoly to avoid competition.
2. Vertical Merger: This merger happens when two companies having buyer-seller relationship come
together to merge.
3. Conglomerate Mergers: Such mergers involve firms engaged in unrelated type of business
operations. In other words, the business activities of acquirer and the target are related neither
horizontally nor vertically.
4. Congeneric Merger: In these mergers, the acquirer and the target companies are related through
basic technologies, production processes or market. The acquired company represents an extension
of product-line or technologies of the acquirer.
5. Reverse Merger: Next question...
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5. Types of Demerger
1. Sell-off: A sell off is the sale of an asset, factory, division or subsidiary by one entity to another for
a purchase consideration payable either in cash or in the form of securities.
2. Split-up: This involves breaking up of the entire firm into separate legal entities for each business
division. The parent firm no longer legally exists and only the newly created entities survive
individually.
3. Spin-off: In this case, a part of the business is separated and created as a separate firm. The existing
shareholders of the firm get proportionate ownership. So, there is no change in ownership and the
same shareholders continue to own the newly created entity.
4. Equity Carve Outs: This is like spin off, however, some shares of the new company are sold in the
market by making a public offer. This brings cash in the company.
The target company no longer remains public after the leveraged buyout, hence the transaction
is also known as going private.
After an LBO, the target entity is managed by private investors, which makes it easier to have a
close control of its operational activities. The intention behind LBO transaction is to improve
operational efficiency of a firm and increase sales volumes, which leads to improved cash flows.
The extra cash flow generated will be used to pay back the debts in LBO transaction.
The LBO does not stay permanent. Once the LBO is successful in increasing profit margins & cash
flows and debt is paid back, it will go public again.
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Angel investors are focused on helping start-ups take their first steps, rather than the possible
profit they may get from the business.
Angel Investors typically invest their own money, unlike venture capitalists who invest money
pooled from many investors.
Angel investors are also called informal investors, angel funders, private investors, seed
investors or business angels. Angel Investors usually represent individuals, but the entity that
actually provides the funds may be an LLP, trust, an investment fund or some kinds of vehicle.
2. Venture Capital Funds
Venture capital is the money provided by professionals who invest in young and rapidly
growing companies that have the potential to develop into significant economic contributors.
Venture Capital Fund (just like a mutual fund) means investment vehicle that manage funds
of investors seeking to invest in startup and small businesses with exceptional growth
potential. Venture Capital funds invest in equity and debt instruments of these businesses.
Venture Capital Funds generally
o Finance new and rapidly growing companies
o Purchase equity securities
o Assist in the development of new products or services
o Add value to the company through active participation.
Investors in Venture Capital Funds include Financial Institutions, Banks, Pension Funds, HNIs,
etc.
3. Bootstrapping
English word ‘Bootstrap’ means ‘get oneself out a situation using existing resources’.
Bootstrapping means when an individual attempt to found and build a company from personal
finances or from the operating revenues of the new company.
Methods in which a start-up firm can bootstrap:
A. Trade Credit
When a person is starting his business, suppliers are reluctant to give trade credit. They
insist to make upfront payment for the goods supplied.
Preparing a well-crafted financial plan and convincing supplier about it can help to get
credit. For small business organization, the owner can be directly contacted and for big firm,
the Chief Financial Officer (CFO) can be contacted.
Along with financial plan, the owner or the CFO has to be explained about the business and
the need to get the first order on credit in order to launch the venture.
B. Factoring
This is a financing method where accounts receivable of a business organization is sold to a
commercial finance company to raise capital.
Factoring frees up the money that would otherwise be tied to receivables. This money can
be used to generate profit through other avenues of the company.
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It can also reduce costs associated with maintaining accounts receivable such as
bookkeeping, collections and credit verifications
C. Leasing
This method of bootstrapping involves taking the equipment on lease rather than
purchasing.
It reduces the amount of capital to be employed in the business along with reducing the risk
of incurring fixed capital expenditure.
Both lessor and lessee enjoy the tax benefit, respectively on depreciation on fixed asset and
lease rentals under the agreement.
has been raised till date, an explanation can be made regarding how much work has been
accomplished with the help of limited funds available with the company.
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6. Venture capitalists are experienced in the process of preparing a company for an initial public
offering (IPO) of its shares onto the stock exchanges.
Screening Screening process would help to select the company for further processing. The
screening decision would take place based on the information provided by the
company.
Due Diligence Due diligence is the process by which the VC would try to verify the correctness of the
documents taken. This is generally handled by external bodies, mainly renowned
consultants.
Deal The deal is structured in such a way that both parties win. In many cases, the
Structuring convertible structure is brought in to ensure that the promoter retains the right to
buy back the share. Besides, in many structures to facilitate the exit, the VC may put
a condition that promoter must sell a part of his stake along with the VC. Such a
clause is called tag-along clause.
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Post Investt In this section, the company has to adhere to certain guidelines like strong MIS,
Activity strong budgeting system, strong corporate governance and other covenants of the
VC and periodically keep the VC updated about certain milestones.
Exit plan Exit happens in two ways: one way is ‘sell to third party’. This sale can be in the form
of IPO or Private Placement to other VCs. The second way to exit is that promoter
would give a buy back commitment at a pre agreed rate.
Domestic Funds
Offshore Structure Unified Structure
Domestic Funds are the funds which Under this structure, an When both domestic and
raises money domestically. They are offshore investment vehicle offshore investors are
usually structured as: which is an LLC or LP expected to participate in
i) a domestic vehicle for the pooling registered outside India, the fund, a unified structure
of funds from the investor, and makes investments directly is used.
ii) a separate investment vehicle that into Indian portfolio
Overseas investors pool their
carries the duties of asset companies.
assets in an offshore vehicle
manager. The assets are managed by that invests in a locally
The choice of entity for the pooling the offshore manager, while managed trust, whereas
vehicle falls between a trust and a the investment advisor in domestic investors directly
company, with the trust form India carries out the due contribute to the trust.
prevailing due to its operational diligence and identifies
This trust makes the local
flexibility. deals.
portfolio investments with
Unlike most developed countries, the help of asset manager.
India does not recognize a LP.
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entrepreneurship concern is to attain opportunities with regard to the resources they currently
control.
3. A start-up generally does not have a major financial motive whereas an established
entrepreneurship concern mainly operates on financial motive.
Priority related to start-ups in India:
The priority is on bringing more and more smaller firms into existence. The objective is to
encourage self-employment rather than large, scalable concerns.
The focus is on need based, instead of opportunity based entrepreneurship.
Challenges related to start-ups in India:
The main challenge with the start-up firms is in getting the right talent. Lack of skilled workforce
can hinder the chances of a start-up succeeding.
Further, start-ups had to comply with numerous regulations which escalate its cost.
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has even reached the rural areas. India has the second-largest internet user base after China, and
companies as well as start-ups are leveraging this easy access to the internet.
4. Technology: Technology has made the various processes of business very quick, simple and
efficient. There have been major developments in software and hardware systems due to which
data storage and recording has become an easy task. Indian startups are now increasingly
working in areas of artificial intelligence and blockchain technologies which is adding to the
growth of businesses.
5. Variety of Funding Options Available: Earlier there were only some very traditional methods
available for funding a startup. Now, there are numerous options and opportunities available.
Start-up owners can approach angel investors, venture capitalists, seed funding stage investors,
etc.
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development of certain skills required. The organization should also place weight on
whether is there a need to search outside the organization.
Step 4. Bridge Leader: In family-owned business appointment of an outsider as ‘bridge leader’ will
help to develop the business and prepare young family members for leadership role.
C. Challenges in implementing Succession Planning
1. Founder mindset might be different than the corporate mindset: The way founder’s brains
are wired is different from the way that a traditional corporate manager thinks, and this puts
off seasoned corporate leaders from joining even matured start-ups.
2. Premature for startups to implement business succession: Certain startups are at early
growth stage and too much of processes would lead to growth slow-down and hence they
are not in a current stage for implementing business succession planning.
3. Founders are the face of startups: One cannot imagine a startup without a founder who
initiated the idea and executed it and in his/ her absence succession planning can become
difficult.
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Tables
Values of ex & Ln
X Ex ln (1+x) X Ex ln (1+x) X Ex ln (1+x)
0.01 1.01005 - 4.60517 0.51 1.66529 - 0.67334 1.01 2.74560 0.00995
0.02 1.02020 - 3.91202 0.52 1.68203 - 0.65393 1.02 2.77319 0.01980
0.03 1.03045 - 3.50656 0.53 1.69893 - 0.63488 1.03 2.80107 0.02956
0.04 1.04081 - 3.21888 0.54 1.71601 - 0.61619 1.04 2.82922 0.03922
0.05 1.05127 - 2.99573 0.55 1.73325 - 0.59784 1.05 2.85765 0.04879
0.06 1.06184 - 2.81341 0.56 1.75067 - 0.57982 1.06 2.88637 0.05827
0.07 1.07251 - 2.65926 0.57 1.76827 - 0.56212 1.07 2.91538 0.06766
0.08 1.08329 - 2.52573 0.58 1.78604 - 0.54473 1.08 2.94468 0.07696
0.09 1.09417 - 2.40795 0.59 1.80399 - 0.52763 1.09 2.97427 0.08618
0.10 1.10517 - 2.30259 0.60 1.82212 - 0.51083 1.10 3.00417 0.09531
0.11 1.11628 - 2.20727 0.61 1.84043 - 0.49430 1.11 3.03436 0.10436
0.12 1.12750 - 2.12026 0.62 1.85893 - 0.47804 1.12 3.06485 0.11333
0.13 1.13883 - 2.04022 0.63 1.87761 - 0.46204 1.13 3.09566 0.12222
0.14 1.15027 - 1.96611 0.64 1.89648 - 0.44629 1.14 3.12677 0.13103
0.15 1.16183 - 1.89712 0.65 1.91554 - 0.43078 1.15 3.15819 0.13976
0.16 1.17351 - 1.83258 0.66 1.93479 - 0.41552 1.16 3.18993 0.14842
0.17 1.18530 - 1.77196 0.67 1.95424 - 0.40048 1.17 3.22199 0.15700
0.18 1.19722 - 1.71480 0.68 1.97388 - 0.38566 1.18 3.25437 0.16551
0.19 1.20925 - 1.66073 0.69 1.99372 - 0.37106 1.19 3.28708 0.17395
0.20 1.22140 - 1.60944 0.70 2.01375 - 0.35667 1.20 3.32012 0.18232
0.21 1.23368 - 1.56065 0.71 2.03399 - 0.34249 1.21 3.35348 0.19062
0.22 1.24608 - 1.51413 0.72 2.05443 - 0.32850 1.22 3.38719 0.19885
0.23 1.25860 - 1.46968 0.73 2.07508 - 0.31471 1.23 3.42123 0.20701
0.24 1.27125 - 1.42712 0.74 2.09594 - 0.30111 1.24 3.45561 0.21511
0.25 1.28403 - 1.38629 0.75 2.11700 - 0.28768 1.25 3.49034 0.22314
0.26 1.29693 - 1.34707 0.76 2.13828 - 0.27444 1.26 3.52542 0.23111
0.27 1.30996 - 1.30933 0.77 2.15977 - 0.26136 1.27 3.56085 0.23902
0.28 1.32313 - 1.27297 0.78 2.18147 - 0.24846 1.28 3.59664 0.24686
0.29 1.33643 - 1.23787 0.79 2.20340 - 0.23572 1.29 3.63279 0.25464
0.30 1.34986 - 1.20397 0.80 2.22554 - 0.22314 1.30 3.66930 0.26236
0.31 1.36343 - 1.17118 0.81 2.24791 - 0.21072 1.31 3.70617 0.27003
0.32 1.37713 - 1.13943 0.82 2.27050 - 0.19845 1.32 3.74342 0.27763
0.33 1.39097 - 1.10866 0.83 2.29332 - 0.18633 1.33 3.78104 0.28518
0.34 1.40495 - 1.07881 0.84 2.31637 - 0.17435 1.34 3.81904 0.29267
0.35 1.41907 - 1.04982 0.85 2.33965 - 0.16252 1.35 3.85743 0.30010
0.36 1.43333 - 1.02165 0.86 2.36316 - 0.15082 1.36 3.89619 0.30748
0.37 1.44773 - 0.99425 0.87 2.38691 - 0.13926 1.37 3.93535 0.31481
0.38 1.46228 - 0.96758 0.88 2.41090 - 0.12783 1.38 3.97490 0.32208
0.39 1.47698 - 0.94161 0.89 2.43513 - 0.11653 1.39 4.01485 0.32930
0.40 1.49182 - 0.91629 0.90 2.45960 - 0.10536 1.40 4.05520 0.33647
0.41 1.50682 - 0.89160 0.91 2.48432 - 0.09431 1.41 4.09596 0.34359
0.42 1.52196 - 0.86750 0.92 2.50929 - 0.08338 1.42 4.13712 0.35066
0.43 1.53726 - 0.84397 0.93 2.53451 - 0.07257 1.43 4.17870 0.35767
0.44 1.55271 - 0.82098 0.94 2.55998 - 0.06188 1.44 4.22070 0.36464
0.45 1.56831 - 0.79851 0.95 2.58571 - 0.05129 1.45 4.26311 0.37156
0.46 1.58407 - 0.77653 0.96 2.61170 - 0.04082 1.46 4.30596 0.37844
0.47 1.59999 - 0.75502 0.97 2.63794 - 0.03046 1.47 4.34924 0.38526
0.48 1.61607 - 0.73397 0.98 2.66446 - 0.02020 1.48 4.39295 0.39204
0.49 1.63232 - 0.71335 0.99 2.69123 - 0.01005 1.49 4.43710 0.39878
0.50 1.64872 - 0.69315 1.00 2.71828 - 1.50 4.48169 0.40547
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Tables
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