Probability & Random Variable Paper 1 Practice Paper B & MS
Probability & Random Variable Paper 1 Practice Paper B & MS
6 and
P(A ∩ B) = 0.1. The values m, n, p and q are probabilities.
2. In a group of 16 students, 12 take art and 8 take music. One student takes neither art nor music.
The Venn diagram below shows the events art and music. The values p, q, r and s represent
numbers of students.
IB Questionbank Maths SL 1
(a) (i) Write down the value of s.
(b) (i) A student is selected at random. Given that the student takes music, write down the
probability the student takes art.
(ii) Hence, show that taking music and taking art are not independent events.
(4)
(c) Two students are selected at random, one after the other. Find the probability that the
first student takes only music and the second student takes only art.
(4)
(Total 13 marks)
3. Consider the events A and B, where P(A) = 0.5, P(B) = 0.7 and P(A ∩ B) = 0.3.
The Venn diagram below shows the events A and B, and the probabilities p, q and r.
(i) p;
(ii) q;
(iii) r.
(3)
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(b) Find the value of P(A | B′).
(2)
(c) Hence, or otherwise, show that the events A and B are not independent.
(1)
(Total 6 marks)
1
4. José travels to school on a bus. On any day, the probability that José will miss the bus is .
3
7
If he misses his bus, the probability that he will be late for school is .
8
3
If he does not miss his bus, the probability that he will be late is .
8
Let E be the event “he misses his bus” and F the event “he is late for school”.
The information above is shown on the following tree diagram.
(a) Find
(ii) P(F).
(4)
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(b) Find the probability that
(i) José misses his bus and is not late for school;
(ii) José missed his bus, given that he is late for school.
(5)
The cost for each day that José catches the bus is 3 euros. José goes to school on Monday and
Tuesday.
X (cost in euros) 0 3 6
1
P (X)
9
(3)
(d) Find the expected cost for José for both days.
(2)
(Total 14 marks)
5. The diagram below shows the probabilities for events A and B, with P(A′) = p.
IB Questionbank Maths SL 4
(b) Find P(B).
(3)
(a) Copy and complete the table below to show all nine equally likely outcomes.
3, 9
3, 10
3, 10
(2)
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(e) Anna plays a game where she wins $50 if S is even and loses $30 if S is odd.
Anna plays the game 36 times. Find the amount she expects to have at the end of the 36
games.
(3)
(Total 12 marks)
7. In a class of 100 boys, 55 boys play football and 75 boys play rugby. Each boy must play at
least one sport from football and rugby.
(a) (i) Find the number of boys who play both sports.
(ii) Write down the number of boys who play only rugby.
(3)
(ii) Given that the boy selected plays only one sport, find the probability that he plays
rugby.
(4)
Let A be the event that a boy plays football and B be the event that a boy plays rugby.
8. A four-sided die has three blue faces and one red face. The die is rolled.
Let B be the event a blue face lands down, and R be the event a red face lands down.
(i) P (B);
(ii) P (R).
(2)
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(b) If the blue face lands down, the die is not rolled again. If the red face lands down, the die
is rolled once again. This is represented by the following tree diagram, where p, s, t are
probabilities.
Guiseppi plays a game where he rolls the die. If a blue face lands down, he scores 2 and is
finished. If the red face lands down, he scores 1 and rolls one more time. Let X be the total
score obtained.
3
(c) (i) Show that P (X = 3) = .
16
(e) If the total score is 3, Guiseppi wins $10. If the total score is 2, Guiseppi gets nothing.
Guiseppi plays the game twice. Find the probability that he wins exactly $10.
(4)
(Total 16 marks)
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9. There are 20 students in a classroom. Each student plays only one sport. The table below gives
their sport and gender.
(i) Calculate the probability that the student is a male or is a tennis player.
(ii) Given that the student selected is female, calculate the probability that the student
does not play football.
(4)
(b) Two students are selected at random. Calculate the probability that neither student plays
football.
(3)
(Total 7 marks)
10. Let A and B be independent events, where P(A) = 0.6 and P(B) = x.
(i) find x;
IB Questionbank Maths SL 8
11. Two standard six-sided dice are tossed. A diagram representing the sample space is shown
below.
(a) Find
Find the value of k for which Elena’s expected number of points is zero.
(7)
(Total 13 marks)
IB Questionbank Maths SL 9
12. The Venn diagram below shows information about 120 students in a school. Of these, 40 study
Chinese (C), 35 study Japanese (J), and 30 study Spanish (S).
A student is chosen at random from the group. Find the probability that the student
IB Questionbank Maths SL 10
13. A bag contains four apples (A) and six bananas (B). A fruit is taken from the bag and eaten.
Then a second fruit is taken and eaten.
(a) Complete the tree diagram below by writing probabilities in the spaces provided.
(3)
(b) Find the probability that one of each type of fruit was eaten.
(3)
(Total 6 marks)
14. Let A and B be independent events such that P(A) = 0.3 and P(B) = 0.8.
2 1
15. Events E and F are independent, with P(E) = and P(E Ç F) = . Calculate
3 3
(a) P(F);
IB Questionbank Maths SL 11
1 3 7
16. Let A and B be events such that P(A) = , P(B) = and P(A B) = .
2 4 8
(c) Are the events A and B independent? Give a reason for your answer.
Working:
Answers:
(a) …………………………………………..
(b) …………………………………………..
(c) ……………………………………..........
(Total 6 marks)
17. A discrete random variable X has a probability distribution as shown in the table below.
x 0 1 2 3
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18. The probability distribution of the discrete random variable X is given by the following table.
x 1 2 3 4 5
x2
P(X = x) = , x {1, 2, k}, where k > 0.
14
20. In a game a player rolls a biased four-faced die. The probability of each possible score is shown
below.
Score 1 2 3 4
1 2 1
Probability x
5 5 10
IB Questionbank Maths SL 13
(b) Find E(X).
(3)
(c) The die is rolled twice. Find the probability of obtaining two scores of 3.
(2)
(Total 7 marks)
1
21. The probability of obtaining heads on a biased coin is .
3
(a) Sammy tosses the coin three times. Find the probability of getting
(ii) Amir wins $ 10 for each head obtained, and loses $ 6 for each tail.
Find his expected winnings.
(5)
(Total 10 marks)
ü¢
IB Questionbank Maths SL 14
1. (a) (i) n = 0.1 A1 N1
(iii) p = 7, r = 3 A1A1 N2 5
5
(b) (i) P(art|music) = A2 N2
8
(ii) METHOD 1
12 3
Part A1
16 4
METHOD 2
96 3
P(art) × P(music) = A1
256 8
IB Questionbank Maths SL 1
3
(c) P(first takes only music) = = (seen anywhere) A1
16
7
P(second takes only art)= (seen anywhere) A1
15
evidence of valid approach (M1)
3 7
e.g.
16 15
21 7
P(music and art)= A1 N2 4
240 80
[13]
(ii) q = 0.4 A1 N1
(iii) r = 0.1 A1 N1
2
(b) P(A│B′) = A2 N2
3
0.2
Note: Award A1 for an unfinished answer such as .
0.3
7
4. (a) (i) A1 N1
24
IB Questionbank Maths SL 2
(ii) evidence of multiplying along the branches (M1)
2 5 1 7
e.g. ,
3 8 3 8
adding probabilities of two mutually exclusive paths (M1)
1 7 2 3 1 1 2 5
e.g. ,
3 8 3 8 3 8 3 8
13
P(F) = A1 N2
24
1 1
(b) (i) (A1)
3 8
1
A1
24
(c)
X (cost in euros) 0 3 6
1 4 4
P (X)
9 9 9
A2A1 N3
4
5. (a) p= A1 N1
5
IB Questionbank Maths SL 3
(b) multiplying along the branches (M1)
1 1 12
e.g. ,
5 4 40
adding products of probabilities of two mutually exclusive paths (M1)
1 1 4 3 1 12
e.g. ,
5 4 5 8 20 40
14 7
P(B) = A1 N2
40 20
(c) appropriate approach which must include A′ (may be seen on diagram) (M1)
P( A B ) P( A B)
e.g. do not accept
P( B ) P( B)
4 3
P(A′│B) = 5 8 (A1)
7
20
12 6
P(A′│B) = A1 N2
14 7
[7]
6. (a)
3, 9 4, 9 5, 9
3, 10 4, 10 5, 10
3, 10 4, 10 5, 10
A2 N2
(b) 12, 13, 14, 15 (accept 12, 13, 13, 13, 14, 14, 14, 15, 15) A2 N2
1 3 3 2
(c) P(12) = , P(13) = , P(14) = , P(15) = A2 N2
9 9 9 9
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(e) METHOD 1
correct expression for expected gain E(A) for 1 game (A1)
4 5
e.g. 50 30
9 9
50
E(A) =
9
amount at end = expected gain for 1 game × 36 (M1)
= 200 (dollars) A1 N2
METHOD 2
attempt to find expected number of wins and losses (M1)
4 5
e.g. 36, 36
5 9
attempt to find expected gain E(G) (M1)
e.g. 16 × 50 – 30 × 20
E(G) = 200 (dollars) A1 N2
[12]
7. (a) (i) evidence of substituting into n(A B) = n(A) + n(B) – n(A ∩ B) (M1)
e.g. 75 + 55 – 100, Venn diagram
30 A1 N2
(ii) 45 A1 N1
METHOD 2
attempt to find P(only one sport), Venn diagram (M1)
25 45
e.g.
100 100
70 7
A1 N2
100 10
IB Questionbank Maths SL 5
45 9
(ii) A2 N2
70 14
3
8. (a) (i) P(B) = A1 N1
4
1
(ii) P(R) = A1 N1
4
3
(b) p A1 N1
4
1 3
s , t A1 N1
4 4
3
= AG N0
16
1 1 3 3
(ii) P(X = 2) = + or 1 (A1)
4 4 4 16
13
= A1 N2
16
IB Questionbank Maths SL 6
(d) (i)
X 2 3
P(X = x) 13 3
16 16
A2 N2
13 3
E(X) = 2 3 (A1)
16 16
35 3
= 2 A1 N2
16 16
78 39
P(win $10) = A1 N3
256 128
[16]
12 3
P(male or tennis) = A1 N2
20 5
6
P(not football | female) = A1 N2
11
IB Questionbank Maths SL 7
11 10
(b) P(first not football) = , P(second not football) = A1
20 19
11 10
P(neither football) = A1
20 19
110 11
P(neither football) = A1 N1
380 38
[7]
6 3
(iii) P(X =7|X > 5) = A2 N2
26 13
IB Questionbank Maths SL 8
(b) evidence of substituting into E(X) formula (M1)
10
finding P(X < 6) = (seen anywhere) (A2)
36
evidence of using E(W) = 0 (M1)
correct substitution A2
5 21 10
e.g. 3 1 k 0 , 15 + 21 – 10k = 0
36 36 36
36
k= (= 3.6) A1 N4
10
[13]
19
12. (a) 0.158 A1 N1
120
IB Questionbank Maths SL 9
13. (a)
3/9 A
A
4/10
6/9
B
4/9 A
6/10
B
5/9
B
A1A1A1 N3
4 6 6 4
(b) M1M1
10 9 10 9
48 8
, 0.533 A1 N1
90 15
[6]
IB Questionbank Maths SL 10
15. (a) For attempting to use the formula (P(E F) = P(E)P(F)) (M1)
Correct substitution or rearranging the formula A1
1
1 2 P E F
eg P(F), P(F) = , P(F) = 3
3 3 PE 2
3
1
P(F) = A1 N2
2
5
= 0.833 A1 N2
6
[6]
3
P( A B ) 8
(b) P(AïB) = (M1)
P( B ) 3
4
1
= (A1) (C2)
2
IB Questionbank Maths SL 11
17. (a) For summing to 1 (M1)
eg 0.1 + a + 0.3 + b = 1
a + b = 0.6 A1 N2
p = 0.31 A1 N2
4 2
19. (a) P(X = 2) A1 N1 1
14 7
1
(b) P(X = 1) = (A1)
14
k2
P(X = k) = (A1)
14
setting the sum of probabilities = 1 M1
1 4 k2
e.g. = 1, 5 + k2 = 14
14 14 14
k2 9
k2 = 9 accept A1
14 14
k=3 AG N0 4
IB Questionbank Maths SL 12
(c) correct substitution into E X xP( X x) A1
36 18
E X A1 N1 2
14 7
[7]
1 1
(c) (M1)
10 10
1
A1 N2
100
[7]
3
1
21. (a) (i) Attempt to find P(3H) = (M1)
3
1
= A1 N2
27
IB Questionbank Maths SL 13
1
(b) (i) Evidence of using np 12 (M1)
3
expected number of heads = 4 A1 N2
IB Questionbank Maths SL 14