Chính Sách Thương Mại Quốc Tế
Chính Sách Thương Mại Quốc Tế
trade organization.
WTO - the biggest organization. WTO members have to follow.
FTA: Free trade agreement. Vietnam has 16 FTA.
MOIT- Ministrate of industry trade - Bo cong thuong
WTO center.vn
chính sách của quốc gia đối với 1 sản phẩm của VN xuất khẩu ra thị trường đó
Macmap,
Intranet dô trademap
factbook
market profile
market research
fitch solution
trade policy review
CHAPTER 1: OVERVIEW OF TRADE AND INTERNATIONAL TRADE POLICY
PART 1: OVERVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE
- Trade is the act or business of exchanging goods or services for money (buying and
selling). → profitable activity.
- Objects: money or profit.
- International trade: Exchange of goods and services across borders, such as: territorial
borders, custom borders (custom control… there are many custom control, when it
crosses the borders, it is categorized as international trade. Vượt qua biên giới hải
quan, ở VN thì tồn tại rất nhiều biên giới hải quan… hàng hoá đi qua, làm thủ tục hải
quan, có nhiều control liên quan đến tiền tệ, hàng hoá..)
- International trade policy: Rules and regulations applied to parties that take part in
international trade. Objectives: Economic development.
- Nature and development trends of international trade: Tham khảo world economic
situation and prospects - wesp, IMF world economic outlook, Unctad trade and
development report, trong đó có Regional Economic outlook luôn, hoặc có thể
google từ khoá Global economy 2023/ international trade 2024 (UN WESP, IMF
WEO, UNCTAD Trade and Development report, UNCTAD Handbook of Statistics)
- Multilateralism: chủ nghĩa đa biên nhấn mạnh việc hợp tác giữa các chính phủ trong
thực thi các mục tiêu chung, cần sự hợp tác của nhiều nước trong 1 cơ chế đa biên để
thực hiện SDG, mang tính chất bắt buộc khi mình tiến vào các agreement đó.
- Kinds of trade:
+ Scope → Domestic trade and foreign trade (or national trade and international
trade)
+ Field → Trade in goods and trade in services (this class focuses on trade in
goods).
+ Domestic trade → Trade done within the country, also called Home trade or
National trade.
+ Foreign trade: trade between the host country and the rest of the world, also
called international trade, including importation and exportation of goods and
services. It also has other activities. → ACROSS THE BOUNDARY? → It’s
custom boundary → If the government sets the custom boundary, it is. Economic
boundary is one that sets the borders between economic regions..
+ Which is across the boundary? → goods (tangible), for services we
emphasize on the flow of currency for foreign exchange.
- Object of study: InTP and analysis of issues related to InTP such as international trade
theory, WTO agreements, import-export policy...
- Scope of study: InTP of Vietnam in comparison with InTP of some typical countries in
aspects of some selected fields/industries.
- Content:
+ Trade in Goods
+ Trade in services.
Additionally:
+ Trade -related intellectual properties.
+ Trade - related investment,
- Main characteristics of international trade:
+ High growth (much higher than GDP growth). This is true only for developing
countries, open economies… Some developed countries do not imply this.
+ Terribly affected in the context of the unstable world economy
+ Imbalanced growth among nations, areas and industries
+ Strongly emerging services recently
- Tendency of international trade:
+ Outbreak of scientific, technical and IT development
+ Tendency of internationalization of the world economic lifestyle: Hallyu.
+ Liberalization and protectionism. They used to be opposite. But now, they
combine two trends at the same time.
+ Competition and cooperation
+ Strong growth of service sector
+ Imbalance in growth and income distribution/ location. VD hưởng lương cao hơn,
nhưng đó chỉ là một phần nhỏ trong miếng bánh to hơn
+ Instability and unpredictability of the world economic environment.
2. Overall of WTO:
- The biggest intergovernmental organization.
- Reasons: multilateral trading system → common principles applicable to all members.
- Based on GATT 1947 (General Agreement on Tariff and Trade on 23.10.1947). They
tried to find a solution to maintain and keep peace after WWII. The US was the leading
country.
- Born in 1.1.1995, according to Marrakesh Agreement (mOROCCO, 15/4/1994). →
Renegotiate the old rules, policy → a newer version of GATT 1947, we have GAT 1994,
before the WTO was officially launched.
- 164 members that account for more than 95% world trade (July 2016).
3. Vietnam's FTA
a) FTA
Currently, Vietnam has joined 16 FTAs:
- AFTA: Asean
- ACFTA: Asean, China.
- AKFTA: Asean, Korea.
- AJCEP: Asean, Japan. With Japan: AJCEP - could not expect to import a lot, they
expect to invest more – Economic agreement (trade + investment) .
- VJEPA: Vietnam, Japan.
- AIFTA: Asean, India,
- AANZFTA: Asean, Australia, New Zealand.
- VCFTA: Vietnam, Chile,
- VKFTA: Vietnam, Korea,
- VN - EAEU FTA: Vietnam, Belarus, Armenia, Kazakhstan, kyrgyzstan
- CPTPP: VN, Canada, Mexico, Peru, Mexico, Chile, New Zealand, Australia, Japan,
Singapore, Brunei, Malaysia, Great Britain.
- AHKFTA: Asean, Hongkong. China excludes Hong Kong from the scope of agreement,
so if we signed the contract and do business with HK, we need to sign with HK. HK is
not allowed to join the same agreement with China.
- EVFTA: Vietnam, EU
- UKVFTA: Vietnam, UK,
- RCEP: Asean, China, Korea, Japan, Australia, New Zealand.
- VIFTA: VN, Israel.
- We have six partners in Asia (outside Asean): Japan, South Korea, China,... nhung chir
co 5 nuoc tham gia ICP → India và Hongkong không tham gia (hK k được phép tham
gia cùng hiệp định với trung quốc).
- Geopolitical tensions and a series of crises have led to changing narratives surrounding
trade and economic interdependence over the past decade. These tradesceptic
narratives have increasingly been translating into a more challenging global trade policy
landscape, which is illustrated, among other things, by an increase in trade concerns
and trade remedies notified to the WTO.
- The change in trade policies has begun to affect trade flows. The tariff escalation
between the United States and China has led to a slower growth in trade between the
world’s two largest economies. Moreover, since the onset of the war in Ukraine, data
have been showing first signs of trade reorientation along geopolitical lines.
- At the multi- and plurilateral levels, initiatives such as the WTO Trade Facilitation
Agreement, the WTO Agreement on Fisheries Subsidies, and the joint initiatives on
services domestic regulation, investment facilitation for development, and electronic
commerce are addressing key issues facing international trade.
TRADE IN 2023
In general, International trade declines in 2023. Reasons:
- Export ineffectively in East Asia and decline in demand of developed countries.
- Prices of goods decreased due to high inflation rate and high interest rate in US and EU.
While international trade on services increased by 7%, reached 500 billion USD in 2023.
- The underperformed economics in China after COVID, domestic demand and demand
for imported goods decreased significantly and the civil wars like Russia-Ukraine,
Palestine - Isreal.
- The ending months of 2023, the volume of traded goods increased slight by 0.8% as
people tried to control inflation rates and Chinese economics improved a bit.
-
VN'S ECONOMY IN 2023
- Vietnam is among the countries with fastest economic growth. GDP in 2023 reached
5.05% and has the tendency to increase with time, like quarter IV is higher than quarter
III (Lower than goals, but higher in Asia-pacific)
- Agriculture is still our mainstay in the economy. The growth in Value Added (VA) reached
3.83% - the highest index. Agriculture still maintained a high and stable growth despite
the dimmed economic weather. Some products displayed a significant increase in the
exported index: like Rice, reached 4,78 billion USD, increased by 38,4%.
- Ecommerce and E-economy of VN is ranked in the top 1 group worldwide (top 10, theo
statistics). The scale of Electronic retailing reached 20,5 billion USD, 7,5% total relating
revenue nationwide.
- Services sector is the leading sector in economic recovery. Thanks to services factors,
our economy can recover quickly from Covid.
- Export value decreased significantly by 12% due to the decreased demand in US, China
and EU.
- Real estate market is negatively affected by Government policy to control inflation rate
and the dimmed worldwide economic weather (due to the collapsed of many banks).
- VinFast electric car company is listed on the US stock exchange
- 2% VAT reduction from July 1
- The State Bank reduced operating interest rates four times
VN TRADE IN 2023
- Export, import turnover reached 683 billion USE, decreased 6,6% compared to 2022.
However, we still have a surplus as the decrease in export is lower than import, trade
surplus: 28 billion.
- Export turnover reaches 355,5 billion USD, decreased by 4.4% compared to 2022.
- Agriculture-related products still account for a bigger part in exporting proportion, 15%,
52,01 billion VND.
- US is the biggest importing country for Vietnam, while China imported most of our
products.
- For services, trade deficit is 9,47 USD.
Main characteristics:
1. High inflation rate and many governments tried to tackle it by raising benchmark interesr rate.
2. Geopolitical tensions harmed the world economy significantly, especially international trade.
3. Crisis of banks and other financial institutions in the US. The collapse of Sillicon Valley Bank,
Signature Bank... hit the headline.
4. China recovery after COVID was dissapointing while US bounced back strongly in terms of
economy.
5. The Gold price reached its new height in 2023, at 2.150 USD/oz.
6. The price of goods decreased due to high inflation rate and high interest rate.
7. Demand for imported goods of China, US decreased significantly due to dimmed economic
weather.
8. Vietnam is among the countries with fastest economic growth. GDP in 2023 reached 5.05%.
Vietnam also maintained trade surplus in 2023, at 28 billion.
CHAPTER 2: THEORY OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE
Why trade? → more product, better consumption, better satisfaction. It’s efficient in resource
allocation, better production process. It can gained more jobs
What determines trade partners? In the Ricardian model, countries will export goods that their
labor produces relatively efficiently and will import goods that their labor produces relatively
inefficiently. In other words, a country’s production pattern is determined by comparative
advantage.
Case samsung: they’re one of the biggest investors, contributing a big part of the exporting.
They pay tax to the government, the government pay pack to the public. But in reality, they
enjoy the investment-free tax, they actually don;t pay tax, just a destination for their production.
The fast economic growth, but social welfare is not included so much. (unbalance in distribution)
2. Absolute advantage
- Adam Smith (1776) argued that a country has an absolute advantage in the production
of a product when it is more efficient than any other country in producing it.
+ Countries should specialize in the production of goods for which they have an
absolute advantage and then trade these goods for goods produced by other
countries.
- Principle of Absolute Advantage:
+ In a two-nation, two-product world, international specialization and trade will be
beneficial when one nation has an absolute cost advantage in one good and the
other nation has an absolute cost advantage in the other good.
+ Absolute cost advantage means using less labor to produce a unit of output.
- Sources of Absolute Advantage
+ Natural advantages: Climate, soil, and mineral wealth. Ex: Vietnamese rice,
Brazilian coffee…
+ Acquired advantages: Special skills and techniques. Ex: Swiss watches,
Danish silver plates…
- EX:
VN JP
Rice 5T 4T
Car 3T 6T
VN JP
Rice 10T 0T
Car 0T 12T
1. New trade theory and porter theory of national competitive advantage justify limited and
selective government intervention to support the development of certain export-oriented
industries. Right now, theo KTH, thì giàu có không phụ thuộc vào có nhiều vàng. VD: Mỹ
vs VN, thì Mỹ giàu mạnh hơn vì mỹ có GDP lớn hơn VN.
2. Comparative Advantages:
- Adam smith emphasizes on the absolute advantages, preferring the products you can
produce better than the others, higher output, higher productivity. Labor was the only
production factor at that time. He can’t explain the big and the small country.Big country
can make every but small country does not → move to comparative advantage.
a) The Law of Comparative Advantage: The less efficient nation should specialize in and
export the good in which it is relatively less inefficient (where its absolute disadvantage
is least). The more efficient nation should specialize in and export that good in which it is
relatively more efficient(where its absolute advantage is greatest).
- Comparative advantage theory provides a strong rationale for encouraging free trade.
Total output íí higher, both countries benefit. → Trade is a positive sum game, here is
why:
VN JP World
Rice 8 12 20
Car 2 6 8
→ JP has absolute advantage in both products, VN is a small country, produces less than JP
and VN has absolute disadvantage.
→ Apply comparative advantage, use relative basic;
Nhật giữ lại ⅓ lực lượng để làm gạo, ⅔ sản xuất xe → tính ra được xe. Duy trì sản xuất của
nước lớn, là thiếu hụt khi nước bé chuyên môn hoá. Ở nhật bản, ngành xe hơi là ngành có lợi
thế, nên các ông ty đầu tư vào đó, gạo nhật bản k có lợi thế so sánh, (dựa trên hao phí lao
động, giờ công lao động), vì NB k có lợi thế, giá gạo của nhật sẽ cao. Vậy, cần có trade policy
để bảo vệ ngành gạo của nhật Ở VN, dù sao cũng k sản xuất xe nữa, nên cần apply free trade
thôi, nước nhỏ thì dễ áp dụng tự do hoá thương mại.
VN JP World
Rice 16 4 20
Car 0 10 = (6 + 6x2/3) 10
- Biện pháp nữa để xác định comparative advantage là dựa trên opportunity cost,
- Biện pháp ở trên là relative basis, relative comparative. Giờ mình dùng opportunity cost.
- In VN: 8R → 2/8C. Mỗi Tấn gạo bằng 2/8 chiếc xe
- In JP: 12R = 6C → 6/12C.Mỗi tấn gạo bằng 6/12 chiếc xe,
Ở nhật, tạo 1 tấn gạo thì tốn ½ cái xe, chi phí thì càng nhỏ càng tốt, còn sản lượng càng cao
càng tốt. Opp cost của VN sản xuất gạo, có chi phí cơ hội ít hơn nhật, nó sẽ là lợi thế so
sánh. Chú ý thời này để tính theo lao động mà thôi.
- VN là abundant in labor thì nên specialized labor intensive products. Còn NB thì
specialized car, VN xuất gạo và đổi lấy xe của nhật.
→ Cách tính của comparative advantage cũng có thể áp dụng cho cái absolute advantage. Cái
này thay thế được cho lý thuyết trước đó, nên vẫn có vài hạn chế, nhưng nó vẫn là lý thuyết
nền tảng cho đến hôm nay. Mô hình adam smiths, thì ông đơn giản, tối giản nhất mọi thứ, David
R thì cũng chỉ add in, nên người ta nhắc đến David, nhưng 80% là rely on Adam.
b) Assumptions:
- The world consists of two nations, each using a single input to produce two
commodities.
- In each nation, labor is the only input.
- Labor can move freely among industries within a nation but is incapable of moving
between nations.
- The level of technology is fixed.
- Costs don’t vary with the level of production & are proportional to the amount of labor
used.
→ Nhưng có hạn chế trong assumption, mọi người sản xuất như nhau, năng suất như nhau,
lao động có thể di chuyển tự do, nhưng không đc phép di chuyển giữa nước này nước kia, k
xuất khẩu yếu tố sản xuất. Productivity is unchanged. Chi phí sản xuất không biến động theo
quy mô, mà biến động theo số lượng giờ công lao động.
c) Opportunity cost:
- Opportunity cost of making more of one good (how much of one good must be given up
to make more of another)
- A country has a comparative advantage in producing a good if the opportunity cost of
producing that good is lower in the country than it is in other countries.
- A country with a comparative advantage in producing a good uses its resources most
efficiently when it produces that good compared to producing other goods.
- Revealed Comparative Advantage:
d) Summary of Ricardian model (Paul Krugman)
- 1. We examined the Ricardian model, the simplest model that shows how differences
between countries give rise to trade and gains from trade. In this model, labor is the
only factor of production, and countries differ only in the productivity of labor in
different industries.
- 2. In the Ricardian model, countries will export goods that their labor produces relatively
efficiently and will import goods that their labor produces relatively inefficiently. In other
words, a country’s production pattern is determined by comparative advantage.
- 3. We can show that trade benefits a country in either of two ways.
+ First, we can think of trade as an indirect method of production. Instead of
producing a good for itself, a country can produce another good and trade it for the
desired good. The simple model shows that whenever a good is imported, it must be
true that this indirect “production” requires less labor than direct production.
+ Second, we can show that trade enlarges a country’s consumption possibilities,
which implies gains from trade.
- 4. The distribution of the gains from trade depends on the relative prices of the goods
countries produce. To determine these relative prices, it is necessary to look at the
relative world supply and demand for goods. The relative price implies a relative wage
rate as well.
- 5. The proposition that trade is beneficial is unqualified. That is, there is no requirement
that a country be “competitive” or that the trade be “fair. In particular, we can show that
three commonly held beliefs about trade are wrong:
+ First, a country gains from trade even if it has lower productivity than its trading
partner in all industries.
+ Second, trade is beneficial even if foreign industries are competitive only
because of low wages.
+ Third, trade is beneficial even if a country’s exports embody more labor than its
imports.
- 6. Extending the one-factor, two-good model to a world of many commodities does not
alter these conclusions. The only difference is that it becomes necessary to focus
directly on the relative demand for labor to determine relative wages rather than to work
via relative demand for goods. Also, a many-commodity model can be used to illustrate
the important point that transportation costs can give rise to a situation in which some
goods are non traded.
- 7. While some of the predictions of the Ricardian model are clearly unrealistic, its basic
prediction—that countries will tend to export goods in which they have relatively high
productivity—has been confirmed by a number of studies.
- Tính mức độ thâm dụng yếu tố sản xuất, VN sẽ chuyên môn hoá gạo, vì có mức thâm
dụng lao động cao. Nhu cầu capital của mình sẽ giảm, nhưng demand cho labor cao
hơn nhiều. Khi đó giá lao động tăng, lãi suất cho capital sẽ giảm, khi nào hai cái đó
bằng nhau (factor price equalization), thì ta mất đi lợi thế về labor.
- Distribution of income: Nếu demand cho L cao thì giá tăng. Như vậy thì người sở hữu
cái đó, thì tăng lợi nhuận, ngược lại người nào có lợi thế về các yếu tố khác, thì không
được hưởng lợi từ thương mại quốc tế. ngành nào mà phải cạnh tranh với hàng nhập
khẩu, thì lợi nhuận ít. Còn cái ngành nào mà cạnh tranh, xuất khẩu được thì thường lợi
thế sẽ cao.
f) Does the Heckscher - Ohlin Theory Hold?
- Wassily Leontief (1953) theorized that since the U.S. was relatively abundant in capital
compared to other nations
→ The U.S. would be an exporter of capital intensive goods and an importer of labor-
intensive goods. However, he found that U.S. exports were less capital
intensive than U.S. imports.
- Since this result was at variance with the predictions of trade theory, it became known as
the Leontief Paradox.
g) Summary of H-O model (Paul Krugman):
- 1/ To understand the role of resources in trade, we develop a model in which two goods
are produced using two factors of production.
+ The two goods differ in their factor intensity, that is, at any given wage-rental
ratio, production of one of the goods will use a higher ratio of capital to labor than
production of the other.
- 2/ As long as a country produces both goods, there is a one-to-one relationship between
the relative prices of goods and the relative prices of factors used to produce the goods.
A rise in the relative price of the labor-intensive goods will shift the distribution of income
in favor of labor, and will do so very strongly: The real wage of labor will rise in terms of
both goods, while the real income of capital owners will fall in terms of both goods.
- 3/An increase in the supply of one factor of production expands production possibilities,
but in a strongly biased way: At unchanged relative goods prices, the output of the good
intensive in that factor rises while the output of the other good actually falls.
- 4/ A country that has a large supply of one resource relative to its supply of other
resources is abundant in that resource. A country will tend to produce relatively more
goods that use its abundant resources intensively. The result is the basic Heckscher-
Ohlin theory of trade: Countries tend to export goods that are intensive in the factors with
which they are abundantly supplied.
- 5/ Because changes in relative prices of goods have very strong effects on the relative
earnings of resources, and because trade changes relative prices, international trade
has strong income distribution effects. The owners of a country’s abundant factors gain
from trade, but the owners of scarce factors lose. In theory, however, there are still gains
from trade, in the limited sense that the winners could compensate the losers, and
everyone would be better off.
- 6/ In an idealized model, international trade would actually lead to equalization of the
prices of factors such as labor and capital between countries. In reality, complete factor-
price equalization is not observed because of wide differences in resources, barriers to
trade, and international differences in technology.
- 7/ Empirical evidence is mixed on the Heckscher-Ohlin model, but most researchers do
not believe that differences in resources alone can explain the pattern of world trade or
world factor prices. Instead, it seems to be necessary to allow for substantial
international differences in technology. Nonetheless, the Heckscher-Ohlin model does a
good job of predicting the pattern of trade between developed and developing countries
h) Theory of reciprocal Demand (Stuart Mill)
- Actual trading prices depend on the interaction of trading partners’ demands.
- Final terms of trade will be closer to the domestic price ratio of the nation with stronger
demand for the imported goods.
- Applies to nations of equal economic size, which will share gains nearly equally.
- Small nations trading with large ones can receive the bulk of gains from trade.
FOOD FOR THOUGHT:
VNese:
- Một sản phẩm mới, thì nước mua là developed country, Nó chạm tới maturity của
growth, khi mà nước khác bắt đầu sản xuất được mặt hàng, công nghệ có tính lan tỏa,
ai cũng sẽ tìm cách sản xuất thì họ cắt giảm nhu cầu nhập khẩu, tịnh tiến, k nhập nữa
trở thành nước xuất khẩu. Inventing countries có thể là bất cứ nước nào. giai đoạn
maturing product stage kết thúc khi họ k xuất nữa, mà họ tiến hành nhập, vì chi phí sản
xuất của họ cao. Khi đó developing và least developed country thì tham gia nhập khẩu
được. Sau đó, họ move production process sang các nước kém phát triển hơn, họ đầu
tư vào thay vì tự sản xuất. Specialization thì ngta tận dụng resource sẵn có ở các nước
đang phát triển, giups cho 1 sp giảm giá thành.
- Nước sáng chế ra, thì được bảo vệ bởi quyền sáng chế, được trả tiền bởi các follower.
> Business chỉ thành công khi 4 yếu tố này liên kết chặt chẽ với nhau. Đầu tiên là về chính
phủ, sẽ tác động tới môi trường kinh doanh, có cách quản lý, chính sách phù hợp, tạo ra lợi thế
cạnh tranh vững chắc. Chỉ cần 1 khâu yếu thì có thể sụp đổ.
*INTRA INDUSTRY:
- Intra Industry: 1 nước vừa nhập vừa xuất 1 mặt hàng. Thì gọi đó là thương mại nội
ngành, mua bán cùng 1 ngành. Tuy nhiên, ví dụ, Interindustry trong lĩnh vực máy bay là
tuyệt đối, nhập máy bay dù k xuất. → Either imports or export in a given sector of the
economy. SourceL Comparative advantage.
- Horizontal intra industry (both/and/same): nhập cùng 1 công đoạn, nhập hạt gạo, xuất
nhập hạt. do sự khác biệt về sản phẩm, về nhu cầu sử dụng. thường thì 1 tỷ lệ nhỏ thôi.
→ Both imports and exports in a given sector of the economy at the same stage of
processing. Source: Product differentiation. (
- Vertical intra-industry: (Both/and/ different): Thương mại nội ngành theo hàng dọc,
certival, chiếm đa số. nhập từng linh kiện, xuất ra 1 đơn vị sản phẩm hoàn chỉnh, gắn
liền với hđ gia công xuất khẩu, sản xuất hàng xuất khẩu. → Both imports and exports in
a given sector of the economy at different stages of processing. Source: Fragmentation
(Comparative advantage in some instances). (chiếm tỷ lệ cao)
Hệ số thương mại nội ngành: IIT = 1 thì chỉ có nội nhành, k có liên ngành.
IIT = 0 chỉ có liên ngành, k có nội ngành, tức là chỉ xuất hoặc chỉ nhật mặt hàng đó. VD máy
bay thì IIT = 0 vì chỉ nhập thôi chứ không xuất.
c) Unilateral preferences:
- Japan offers preferential tariff treatment to 131 developing economies under its GSP
scheme. Under Japan's regulations, 45 economies receive special treatment as least-
developed countries (LDCs).
- Under the GSP scheme, preferential tariff rates apply to 424 tariff lines at the nine-digit
level in Chapters 1 to 24, and to 3,291 tariff lines in Chapters 25 to 97. The main
exclusions are rice and rice products, meat and meat products, fish, dairy products,
pineapples, cereal products, textiles and clothing, leather and leather products, and
footwear. Preferential margins vary from one product to another. LDCs qualify for more
extensive product coverage (98% of tariff lines) and duty-free and quota-free treatment.
- Imports under Japan's GSP scheme have sharply fallen during the past years, most
notably due to the graduation of important former beneficiaries such as Brazil, China,
Malaysia, Mexico, and Thailand in 2019. Around 0.6% of total imports in 2021 entered
under GSP benefits from developing countries and LDCs. In 2020 and 2021,
Bangladesh, Cambodia, and Myanmar were the main beneficiaries of the Scheme
d) Other arrangements:
- Japan is a member of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC), which accounted
for 75.3% of its merchandise trade (imports and exports) in 2021. One of APEC's
objectives was to achieve free and open trade and investment by 2020.
2. TRADE POLICIES AND PRACTICES BY MEASURE
a) Custom procedure:
- Any person wishing to import goods must declare them to the Director-General of
Customs, obtain an import permit (after examination by the authorities), and pay
Customs duty and excise tax, if any. Nearly all customs difficulties result from first-time
applications. Japanese customs officials are generally helpful when it comes to
explaining procedures and regulations to overcome these issues. Employing an import
agent or customs broker may be necessary to help facilitate customs entry.
- All importers must file a declaration with Japan Customs. For most goods, the
declaration must be made after the goods have been taken into a bonded customs
(hozei) area or other designated place; items requiring approval by the Director-General
of Customs can be declared before they are taken to the hozei area. The declaration
must include details of the quantity and value of the goods to be imported as well as an
invoice, a packing list, freight account, insurance certificate, and certificate of origin (for,
inter alia, preferential tariff rates), where applicable. Additional documentation may be
required, for example, for goods requiring an import license or health certificate. Once
the documentation is verified by Customs, an import permit is issued.
- Imports are valued according to their c.i.f. (cost, insurance + freight) value, which is
taken to be the transaction value of the imports. Customs duty can be paid through a
multi-payment network system, which connects teller institutions (government
authorities) with financial institutions. No fee is charged by the government for the use of
this system; however, the financial institutions involved may collect variable fees. The
system is managed by the Japan Multi-Payment Network Management Organization
(JAMMO), a non-profit organization established by major financial institutions in Japan.
b) Rules of Origin:
1. Roles of import:
- Facilitating the national economic structure transfer in the direction of
industrialization and modernization;. Strategy: import substitution
industrialization.
+ What is the economic structure in Vietnam? Our GDP keeps increasing, that's a
good result from international integration. GDP will be demonstrated in 3 sectors'
share → economic structure (distribution of gross domestic product GDP across
economic sectors from 2012 to 2022. Services have the highest profitability → all
governments want to enlarge this sector. Little increase, slight improvement in
our economic structure. In Vietnam, GDP accounts for more than 40% GDP.
Meanwhile, Agriculture decreased in GDP.
+ About employment, services is the most profitable sector but accounts for more
than 37% of employment. Agriculture generates 12% of GDP but accounts for a
big part of employment.
- Promoting exports. When importing the materials, we process and then export other
products. → enhance exports. The government also supports enterprises that import to
make exporting products, otherwise they have high tax. ⇒ Main objectives of import
policy.
- Improving people’s life and incomes;
- Beggar-thy-neighbor policies: Có 1 cái bánh mà mình hưởng nhiều hơn, thì nước bạn
bị bần cùng hoá trong nền kinh tế. Vơ vét nguồn tài nguyên của nước bên cạnh, để lại
hậu quả cho nước đó.
- Trong 2 nguyên tắt quan trọng của WTO thì mình có non-discrimination principles: MFN
và NT.
→ MFN là apply tariff, vì mình phải equally treat other countries. It's because it's at the
border → impose import tariff.
→ NT thì apply non-tariff measures.
Nói chung cả 2 cái measures thì đều quan trọng, apply cho cả 2 nma có xíu khác biệt là vị đó.,
- Khi tác dụng thuế thì vẫn phải có deadweight loss - Thuế càng cao, deadweight loss
càng cao. Áp dụng thuế cao thì nước ngoài có thể trả đũa. VD trade tension giũaw
China vs US.
VN áp dụng 3 loại thuế xuất:
- Preferential tax rates (MFN tax rate) - thuế xuất/nhập khẩu ưu đãi, dựa trên nguyên tắt
MFN. Khi VN join WTO thì cam kết biểu thuế là 13,4%. Applied tariff thường alf thấp
hơn, có năm cao năm thấp, nma trung bình là 13.4%. Vì người ta nhập nhiều hàng miễn
thuế, thuế thấp á.
+ “Preferential tax rates (MFN Tax rate): Preferential tax rates are the rates
applicable to imported goods originated from countries or groups of countries
which have reached agreements on most-favored-nation (MFN) treatment in
trade relations with Vietnam. Preferential tax rates are specified for every goods
item in the Preferential Import Tariffs.”
- Specially preferential tax rates (fFTA tax rate): Áp dụng khi mà kí FTA với nươc skhacs
→ cỡ 16 cái tax cho 16 cái FTA. Trung bình biểu thuế FTA là cỡ 5% trở xuống..
- Ordinary tariff/ Non MFN tariff: thuế suất cao nhất trong 3 loại, cao hơn 50% so với thuế
suất MFN ở VN (cỡ 20%), nên importers họ cố gắng để hưởng 2 cái kia. Mặt hàng nào
mà MFN là 0, thì thuế TT cỡ 3-5%.
VN có 1 thoả thuận đặc biệt về thương mại với Lào và Cuba - không gọi là FTA, special trade
agreement. Lào thì mình có biên giới chung, quan hệ tốt nên mình muốn dành cho Lào để
hưởng lợi tốt hơn FTA bình thường.
- Nước nào mà đánh chương biểu thuế lớn 97,97,99 đồ á thì là ngoại lệ của nước đó.
Thuế các chương này thfi có thể cao hơn các chương trước. Chương 98 quy định thuế
suất ngoại lệ - Tuỳ vào các thoãi thuận riêng dành cho mặt hàng đó.
- Việc xác định trị giá tính thuế, chỉ học theo thứ tự 6 cái tên - áp dụng có ý nghĩa pháp lý,
nghĩa là đi theo thứ tự từ trên xuống (valuation method..) Thông thường thì áp dụng số
3 luôn, tại nó là similar thì dễ hơn identical. Nên dừng lại ở 3 phương pháp đầu tiên. 3
phương pháp dưới thì vấn đề hồ sơ nghiệp vụ khó hơn. 4 là lấy giá bán hàng nhập
khẩu, trừu chi phí ohats sinh. 5: trị giá tính toán, ít áp dụng lắm, cộng hết tất cả các yếu
tố cấu thành lên cái giá sản phẩm đó, nma mấy cái này thì khó define lắm, thường chỉ
dùng khi mà họ không dùng được các method khác. 6 là quyền của hải quan rất cao,
quyền doanh nghiệp giảm dần, quay ngược trở lại các pp trên, nma flexible điều chỉnh
trên cơ sở của pháp luật. Xuống pp này thì 3 tháng mới process, nên thông thường
mình dừng lại ở pp số 3.
Main point NTM:
- It helps to promote SDGs.
- Important for economic growth and jobs.
- It accounts for 90% of goba trade, subjected to NMT. increases trade cost 3x compared
to trade cost. Lack of transparency and uncertainty leads to unpredictability.
Some non tariff measures become non tariff barriers. The government has the authority to apply
NTM.
Bất kì biện pháp k phải tariff thì là nontariff, nó ảnh hưởng tmqt, ảnh hưởng số lượng, giá cả
chủng loại của hàng hoá được mua bán, làm tăng chi phí xuất khẩu, đặc biệt là cty vừa và nhỏ,
từ các cty nhỏ sang cty ở developed country có thể lên tới 3 lần. Chính phủ cx có quyền áp
dụng NTM để bảo vệ quyền và lợi ích trong nước, nhưng một số measures trở thành barrier phi
thuế quan, nếu được xem là barriers, thì chính phủ có nghĩa vụ cắt bỏ hạch giảm để support
international trade.
Vậy căn cứ vào cơ sở khoa học để phân oại thành measures và barriers. Barriers là k có cơ sở
khoa học, vượt quá mức cần thiết, vi phạm các qui định, thão thuận… → điều chỉnh, giảm hoặc
loại bỏ.
Trong 8 biện pháp thì có một vài cái k được thực thi vì vi phạm quy định.
Based line là mfm, theo wto. Thấp nhấp, thì những cái preferential tariff là những cái thuế cao
hơn WTO, thuế này đặc biệt, thường là theo các hiệp định FTA. Một số hđ CL Thấp như
Hongkong, asian, CN, chile, thuế vẫn cao, k giảm bao nhiêu so với wto, coverage thấp dưới
50%.
Tariff quotas, VN bảo lưu tariff quotas với 4 nhóm hàng. Trong đây có 2 loại, inquotas tariff rate -
applied MFM, eangf buộc như bình thường, out quotas tariff thì vượt. Thường thì out quotas rất
cao. Tariff quotas là dùng mức cao nhất.
slide 43
Non tariff measures:
Some popular NTMs:
- Quantitative restrictions: prohibition, quota, import licensing (non-automatic license:
không tự động được cấp giấy phép, VD máy in tiền).
- Trading rights: cá nhận được quyền xuất nhập khẩu các mặt hàng → nchung là tự do
xuất nhập.
- Para-tariff measures: surcharge, customs valuation: biện pháp tương đương với
thuế..Custom valuation,
- Price control: VN k áp dụng price control. mà áp dụng price factor control (quản lí yếu tố
cấu thành giá) như sản phẩm y tế, thuốc…
- Technical measures (Technical Barriers to Trade – TBT): bao gồm các biện pháp
Technical measures và SPS.
- Distribution restrictions: VN gần như k hạn chế về distribution. Trừ mặt hàng có liên
quan import licensing.
- Trade-related investment measures: VN k có hạn chế
- Administrative procedures:
- Trade remedies (anti-dumping, countervailing, safeguard measures). VN áp dụng ít, mà
nước ngoài thì áp dụng tới VN nhiều.
→Trends of tariffication: xu hướng thuế hoá các biện pháp phi thuế quan - các biện pháp
phi thuế quan thiếu rõ ràng, minh bạch gây ra tính không chắc chắn. Nên WTO
recommend là chuyển các biện pháp từ non tariff sang tariff measures - Convert of
shifting the non tariff measures to tariff measures.
Slide 44
Hai biện pháp là rào cản lớn nhất trong non tariff measure:
1. Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures:
- Measures that are applied to protect human or animal life from risks arising from:
additives, contaminants, toxins or disease-causing organisms in food.
- Geographical restrictions on eligibility: Imports of dairy products from countries.
Kiểu nếu qui định chung thì unfair, vì quá tình phát triển của nước chậm phát triển k bằng so với
các nước không phát triển bằng.
Depending on:
- Export objectives/goals
- Export missions/tasks
- Export direction and orientation
Mỗi QG đều có export strategy, với các tên gọi khác nhau, mà thường là chiến lược xuất khẩu.
Xem phần measures affecting exports. có customer procedure, valuation, licensing, danh mục
mặt hàng cấm XK. Export support and promotion.
+ Financial support: kịp thời xử lý tình huống, gây nhiều tranh cãi, tác động nhanh và
mạnh. Nhưng nó bị hạn chế trong WTO. Các biện pháp này đều gây tổn hại tới ngân
sách nhà nước, vì điều trực tiếp hoặc gián tiếp liên quan tới chi tiền
+ Export credit.
+ Subsidy
+ Exchange rate - điều hành tỷ giá hối đoái. Tỷ suất cao thì lợi cho doanh nghiệp,
Tuy nhiên gánh nặng nợ sẽ tăng nếu nâng tỷ giá hối đoái. Tuân thủ theo IMF.
+ Tax exemption. Tổn hại tài chính quốc gia
+ Others:
+ Exemption
+ Institutional reforms: thực hiện nhiều.
Tariff Subsidy Quota VER
Producers ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑
Consumers ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓
Government ↑ ↓ None None