Weekly Stock Performance Analysis
Weekly Stock Performance Analysis
10/9/2020 5.50%
DAMSTRA HOLDINGS ORDINARY D_DTC
EMPIRED LTD ORDINARY D_EPD
ENCOUNTER RESOURCES ORDINARY D_ENR
INTLLGNT INV ETH SH TMF UNITS D_INES -
MIRRABOOKA INVEST. ORDINARY D_MIR
SHRIRO HOLDINGS LTD ORDINARY D_SHM
WAM MICROCAP LIMITED ORDINARY D_WMI
10/16/2020 1.15%
ACORN CAP INV FUND ORDINARY D_ACQ
APOLLO MINERALS LTD ORDINARY D_AON
BEACON LIGHTING GRP ORDINARY D_BLX
COKAL LTD ORDINARY D_CKA
DROPSUITE LTD ORDINARY D_DSE
ECP EMERGING GROWTH ORDINARY D_ECP
EQUATORIAL RES LTD ORDINARY D_EQX
FORAGER AUST SHS FND ORDINARY UNITS D_FOR
10/23/2020 0.18%
8I HOLDINGS LTD CDI 1:1 D_8IH
ACORN CAP INV FUND ORDINARY D_ACQ
APIAM ANIMAL HEALTH ORDINARY D_AHX
CAPRAL LIMITED ORDINARY D_CAA
FONTERRA SHARE FUND UNIT FOR EXEMPT N D_FSF
HEARTS AND MINDS ORDINARY D_HM1
CODE TIGHTENED
10/30/2020 3.77%
PENGANA INT EQU LTD ORDINARY D_PIA
11/6/2020 4.27%
CORUM GROUP LIMITED ORDINARY D_COO
HEARTS AND MINDS ORDINARY D_HM1
ORECORP LTD ORDINARY D_ORR
PLATINUM ASIA LTD ORDINARY D_PAI
11/13/2020 3.35%
Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fu Ord FPC.AX
Imugene Ord Shs IMU.AX
L1 Long Short Fund Ord Shs LSF.AX
Lynas Corporation Ord Shs LYC.AX
Mainstream Group Holdings Ord Shs MAI.AX
Mcgrath Ord Shs MEA.AX
Mirrabooka Investment Ord Shs MIR.AX
11/20/2020 1.98%
Auctus Investment Group Ord Shs AVC.AX
Bnk Banking Corporation Ord Shs BBC.AX
Equatorial Resources Ord Shs EQX.AX
Kazia Therapeutics Ord Shs KZA.AX
Monash Absolute Investment Company Ord Sh MA1.AX
Universal Biosensors CDI UBI.AX
27/11/2020 1.14%
Australian Vintage Ord Shs AVG.AX
Core Lithium Ord Shs CXO.AX
Globe International Ord Shs GLB.AX
Lynas Corporation Ord Shs LYC.AX
Orecorp Ord Shs ORR.AX
Perpetual Equity Investment Ord Shs PIC.AX -
Race Oncology Ord Shs RAC.AX
ReadCloud Ord Shs RCL.AX
Regal Investment Fund Units RF1.AX
12/4/2020 0.71%
12/11/2020 0.17%
Adacel Technologies Ord Shs ADA.AX
Asaleo Care Ord Shs AHY.AX
Auctus Investment Group Ord Shs AVC.AX
12/25/2020 0.10%
1/8/2021
Argosy Minerals Ord Shs AGY.AX
Euroz Ord Shs EZL.AX
1/15/2021
Acorn Capital Investment Fund Ord Shs ACQ.AX
1/22/2021
Ellerston Asian Investment Ord Shs EAI.AX
Enova Mining Ord Shs ENV.AX
Hammer Metals Ord Shs HMX.AX
Havilah Resources Ord Shs HAV.AX
1/29/2021
Advanced Share Registry Ord Shs ASW.AX
Bounty Oil & Gas Ord Shs BUY.AX
2/5/2021
Civmec CDI CVL.AX
2/12/2021
2/19/2021
Cadence Capital Ord Shs CDM.AX
Easton Investments Ord Shs EAS.AX
Eclipx Group Ord Shs ECX.AX
Prime Financial Group Ord Shs PFG.AX
RedFlow Ord Shs RFX.AX
Simonds Group Ord Shs SIO.AX
2/26/2021
Capitol Health Ord Shs CAJ.AX
Fonterra Shareholders Fund Units FSF.AX
Joyce Corporation Ord Shs JYC.AX
Redbank Copper Ord Shs RCP.AX
Regal Investment Fund Units RF1.AX
Venturex Resources Ord Shs VXR.AX
Vitalharvest Freehold Trust Units VTH.AX
3/5/2021
Cadence Capital Ord Shs CDM.AX
3/12/2021
Australian Vintage Ord Shs AVG.AX
3/19/2021
3/26/2021
Nagambie Resources Ord Shs NAG.AX
4/2/2021
Forager Australian Shares FOR.AX
Lark Distilling Co Ord Shs LRK.AX
Oakajee Corporation Ord Shs OKJ.AX
Wam Research Ord Shs WAX.AX
4/9/2021
4/16/2021
Coventry Group Ord Shs CYG.AX
Dubber Corporation Ord Shs DUB.AX
Forager Australian Shares FOR.AX
4/23/2021
Accent Group Ord Shs AX1.AX
Coventry Group Ord Shs CYG.AX
4/30/2021
Apollo Tourism & Leisure Ord Shs ATL.AX
5/7/2021
Australian Bauxite Ord Shs ABX.AX
Marenica Energy Ord Shs MEY.AX
Microequities Asset Management Group Ord S MAM.AX
Naos Small Cap Opportunities Company Ord S NSC.AX
Propel Funeral Partners Ord Shs PFP.AX
Thorn Group Ord Shs TGA.AX
5/14/2021
Bci Minerals Ord Shs BCI.AX
Helix Resources Ord Shs HLX.AX
Sandon Capital Investments Ord Shs SNC.AX
5/21/2021
Global Health Ord Shs GLH.AX
5/28/2021
Microequities Asset Management Group Ord S MAM.AX
Straker Translations Ord Shs STG.AX
6/4/2021
CD Private Equity Fund I Unit CD1.AX
Healius Ord Shs HLS.AX
Karoon Energy Ord Shs KAR.AX
Prescient Therapeutics Ord Shs PTX.AX
SDI Ord Shs SDI.AX
6/11/2021
Antipodes Global Investment Company Ord Sh APL.AX
Avjennings Ord Shs AVJ.AX
Bci Minerals Ord Shs BCI.AX
Doriemus Plc CDI DOR.AX
L1 Long Short Fund Ord Shs LSF.AX
Naos Small Cap Opportunities Company Ord S NSC.AX
RPM Global Holdings Ord Shs RUL.AX
VGI Partners Global Investments Ord Shs VG1.AX
6/18/2021
Beston Global Food Company Ord Shs BFC.AX
CD Private Equity Fund II Units CD2.AX
CPT Global Ord Shs CGO.AX
Excelsior Capital Ord Shs ECL.AX
Patrys Ord Shs PAB.AX
6/25/2021
Aventus Group Stapled Units AVN.AX
Gowing Bros REIT GOW.AX
Maxitrans Industries Ord Shs MXI.AX
Shine Justice Ord Shs SHJ.AX
7/2/2021
E&P Financial Group Ord Shs EP1.AX
Euroz Ord Shs EZL.AX
7/9/2021
Grange Resources Ord Shs GRR.AX
7/16/2021
7/23/2021
Clime Investment Management Ord Shs CIW.AX
Cokal Ord Shs CKA.AX
Forager Australian Shares FOR.AX
Gowing Bros REIT GOW.AX
MCS Services Ord Shs MSG.AX
7/30/2021
Aspen Group REIT Stapled Units APZ.AX
Atlas Pearls Ord Shs ATP.AX
8/6/2021
Adbri Ord Shs ABC.AX
Centuria Capital Stapled Units CNI.AX
Garda Property Group Fund Units GDF.AX
8/20/2021
Cadence Capital Ord Shs CDM.AX
Elanor Investors Group Ord Shs ENN.AX
Ma Financial Group Ord Shs MAF.AX
National Storage REIT Stapled Units NSR.AX
Pact Group Holdings Ord Shs PGH.AX
Prime Financial Group Ord Shs PFG.AX
Redcape Hotel Group Stapled Units RDC.AX
Steadfast Group Ord Shs SDF.AX
8/27/2021
9/3/2021
Alumina Ord Shs AWC.AX
APN Industria Reit Stapled Units ADI.AX
Arena REIT Stapled Units ARF.AX
Argo Global Listed Infrastructur Ord shs ALI.AX
Aventus Group Stapled Units AVN.AX
Centuria Capital Stapled Units CNI.AX
9/10/2021
Auctus Investment Group Ord Shs AVC.AX
9/17/2021
Alligator Energy Ord Shs AGE.AX
Boss Energy Ord Shs BOE.AX
Centuria Capital Stapled Units CNI.AX
Energy Resources Of Australia Class A Ord Shs ERA.AX
GTI Resources Ord Shs GTR.AX
Hannans Ord Shs HNR.AX
Ingenia Communities Group Stapled Units INA.AX
9/24/2021
Ariadne Australia Ord Shs ARA.AX
Garda Property Group Fund Units GDF.AX
10/1/2021
HGL Ord Shs HNG.AX
10/8/2021
10/15/2021
10/22/2021
Apollo Consolidated Ord Shs AOP.AX
Senex Energy Ord Shs SXY.AX
10/29/2021
Australian Agricultural Company Ord Shs AAC.AX
11/5/2021
CVC Ord Shs CVC.AX
Michael Hill International Ord Shs MHJ.AX
Nzme Ord Shs NZM.AX
Shine Justice Ord Shs SHJ.AX
11/12/2021
11/19/2021
11/26/2021
CVC Ord Shs CVC.AX
Maggie Beer Holdings Ord Shs MBH.AX
Saunders International Ord Shs SND.AX
12/3/2021
Australian Pharmaceutical Industries Ord Shs API.AX
12/10/2021
Pengana Equity Trust Ord Shs PE1.AX -
12/17/2021
3p Learning Ord Shs 3PL.AX
Korvest Ord Shs KOV.AX
12/31/2021
3p Learning Ord Shs 3PL.AX
Discovex Resources Ord Shs DCX.AX
Superior Resources Ord Shs SPQ.AX
1/14/2022
Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ord Shs KPG.AX
Origin Energy Ord Shs ORG.AX
1/21/2022
N/A Signals
1/28/2022
N/A Signals
2/4/2022
Ashley Services Group Ord Shs ASH.AX
2/11/2022
Duxton Water Ord Shs D2O.AX
Terracom Oal Ord TER.AX
2/18/2022
Capricorn Metals Ord Shs Def CMM.AX
Horseshoe Metals Ord Shs HOR.AX
Red 5 Ord Shs RED.AX
2/25/2022
3/4/2022
Horizon Oil Ord Shs HZN.AX
Ignite Ord Shs IGN.AX
Image Resources Ord Shs IMA.AX
South32 Ord Shs S32.AX
Yancoal Australia Ord Shs YAL.AX
3/11/2022
AJ Lucas Group Ord Shs AJL.AX
3/18/2022
3/25/2022
N/A Signals
4/1/2022
N/A Signals
4/8/2022
Pathfinder Resources Ord Shs PF1.AX
4/15/2022
Ausgold Ord Shs AUC.AX
4/22/2022
4/29/2022
Orora Ord Shs ORA.AX
5/6/2022
Avecho Biotechnology Ord Shs AVE.AX
5/13/2022
N/A Signals
5/20/2022
Australian Agricultural Company Ord Shs AAC.AX
Reckon Ord Shs RKN.AX
Tyranna Resources Ord Shs TYX.AX
5/27/2022
6/3/2022
N/A Signals
12/9/2022
N/A Signals
VIX > 20
1/6/2023
Aroa Biosurgery Ord Shs ARX.AX
Danakali Ord Shs DNK.AX
1/13/2023
Qantas Airways Ord Shs QAN.AX
Webjet Ord Shs WEB.AX
1/20/2023
Myer Holdings Ord Shs MYR.AX
Red Hill Minerals Ord Shs RHI.AX
1/27/2023
Aroa Biosurgery Ord Shs ARX.AX
2/3/2023
Sky Network Television Ord Shs SKT.AX
2/10/2023
N/A Signals
2/17/2023
Prime Financial Group Ord Shs PFG.AX
2/24/2023
Connexion Telematics Ord Shs CXZ.AX
Helia Group Ord Shs HLI.AX
K & S Corporation Ord Shs KSC.AX
Lycopodium Ord Shs LYL.AX
3/3/2023
N/A Signals
3/10/2023
N/A Signals
3/17/2023
N/A Signals
3/24/2023
N/A Signals
3/31/2023
4/7/2023
Gentrack Group Ord Shs GTK.AX
4/14/2023
N/A Signals
4/21/2023
4/28/2023
N/A Signals
5/5/2023
N/A Signals
5/12/2023
5/19/2023
Birrabong Corporation Ord Shs BIR.AX
5/26/2023
Civmec CDI CVL.AX
6/2/2023
N/A Signals
6/9/2023
AGL Energy Ord Shs AGL.AX
Estia Health Ord Shs EHE.AX
Musgrave Minerals Ord Shs MGV.AX
Sigma Healthcare Ord Shs SIG.AX
6/16/2023
Birrabong Corporation Ord Shs BIR.AX
Insurance Australia Group Ord Shs IAG.AX
Legacy Iron Ore Ord Shs LCY.AX
Smartgroup Corporation Ord Shs SIQ.AX
Xanadu Mines Ord Shs XAM.AX
6/23/2023
Birrabong Corporation Ord Shs BIR.AX
Vysarn Ord Shs VYS.AX
6/30/2023
PSC Insurance Group Ord Shs PSI.AX
Stelar Metals Ord Shs SLB.AX
7/7/2023
7/14/2023
7/21/2023
Helia Group Ord Shs HLI.AX
IXUP Ord Shs IXU.AX
Magnum Mining and Exploration Ord Shs MGU.AX
Magontec Ord Shs MGL.AX
Morphic Ethical Equities Fund Ord Shs MEC.AX
Orcoda Ord Shs ODA.AX
7/28/2023
8/4/2023
8/11/2023
8/18/2023
8/25/2023
9/1/2023
9/8/2023
N/A Signals
CRITERIA 2: TECHNICAL - SETUP OPTIMISATION (Need 2/3 to Pass)
-week setup | Pattern: Connect 3 points on the chart - Low Point, Shakeout, Pivot
Point
Trigger Open Momentum Volatility Pattern
1.435 5.51% 5.44%
✓
☓
☓
☓
☓
☓
☓
☓
☓
☓
CRITERIA 3: FUNDAMENTAL - KEY INSIGHTS
Business Efficiency
N/A
KEY INSIGHTS
Business Economics
Attractive deal terms with $2m USD consideration.
Plans to raise $2.2m AUD to fund exploration and upfront payment.
Partnerships in place for long-term project scale.
Potentially a dud - but also very assymmetric.
GHTS
no
FP
maybe
no
no
no
no
no
no
maybe
maybe
IG
no
no
no
IG
no
no
no
no
no
maybe
no
no
no
no
no
maybe
no
no
no
no
no
no
maybe
no
maybe
no
maybe
no
no
maybe
no
FP
probs not
maybe
probs not
probs not
IG
no
no
no
maybe
no
maybe
maybe
IG
no
current
maybe
no
FP
IG
no
maybe
maybe
nah
nah
IG
nah
probs not
no
IG
no
maybe
no
IG
FP
no
failed
no
no
maybe
IG
no
probs not
probs not
no
FP
failed
no
no
no
nah
maybe
no
nah
no
maybe
no
maybe
no
no
no
nah
nah
IG
nah
IG
no
no
maybe
yes
no
maybe
nah
probs not
probs not
nah
nah
no
no
maybe
maybe
no
probs not
no
no
no
nah
no
maybe
no
no
maybe
no
nah
nah
no
maybe
yes
no
probs not
no
yes
nah
no
no
nah
no
no
no
nah
no
nah
no
nah
no
nah
no
no
nah
no
maybe
no
maybe
no
nah
maybe
maybe
no
maybe
yes
no
nah
no
maybe
no
N/A
no
no
no
no
nah
nah
no
no
nah
nah
no
no
nah
no
nah
no
no
maybe
no
nah
no
probs not
nah
no
nah
no
no
no
probs not
no
no
probs not
nah
no
no
no
no
no
nah
maybe
no
no
nah
no
no
probs not
nah
no
maybe
maybe
no
no
no
no
no
no
maybe
no
no
no
watch
no
nah
maybe
no
no
maybe
no
nah
nah
no
no
probs not
no
maybe
yes
no
maybe
nah
no
no
no
no
nah
nah
no
no
no
no
yes
no
no
maybe
no
nah
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
nah
no
no
no
no
no
nah
no
maybe
no
no
yes
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
maybe
no
nah
no
no
no
no
nah
no
nah
no
no
nah
no
no
hmm
no
no
no
no
no
maybe
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
yes
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
n/a
no
no
no
no
no
n/a
maybe
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
maybe
no
yes
no
no
no
no
no
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
buy
no
no
no
no
no
no
yes
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
BUY
-
-
watch
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Commen
Second signal, both of which were bullish with volume spikes. Annual report attractive. Sector good
Bullish with volume spike, with significant buying pressure. Annual report not as compelling. Volati
Sounds positive - some doubt over macro conditions, US election etc but will put some skin in the g
Potential for some future growth - numbers going in right direction. Doubt remains given macro co
Clear vision/growth plan & new chair (key personel change). Although numbers down Year on year
Number 1 supplier outside of China is huge given current circumstances. Stock sensitive to market
Board restructure and partnered with rio tinto. Increase in volume. A lot of doubt given industry an
Significant resistance crossover when closes @ $0.22 - this will be a genuine buy price
Hard to see archetype trades resulting from a trade like this in terms of its industry of investment f
Another interesting industry (BioTech) which needs to be thought about how it is approached. Tren
Another investment fund
Was referenced as a buy when reisistance surpassed (see 23/10/20) - this signal gives added confi
Looks overbought now but not necessarily - also generated a signal on 16/10 but was ignored.
Coming off long-run down trend
Unreliable industry although has trended in the past. Missed opportunity. There was absolutely no
~$45m ($76m cash on hand, and $7m in investments).
Sales on leading product tripled in 2020. Demand seems very strong. It looks like the leading playe
Finance/Investment
Finance/Investment
Promising drug that is mature in terms of its trialling. Will be ready to market soon if successful an
cap biotech companies, it is very low probability to invest in such companies with sufficent reward.
Finance/Investment
Has short-term resistance levels to compete with. If it can surpass $0.50 level it will make it a muc
Significant resistance level approaching just above current level. Will wait and see if it can break th
Given the price will put some skin in the game and see what happens. Chart looks sound. Fundame
Better options elsewhere I believe
-
Has gone through resistance which was the issue when previously scanned (6/11/20). Specialises i
Good growth - was actually a successful drug in the past before it was lost for some reason so it wo
Solid growth to date and has a lot of upside potential if it can become a staple of school curriculum
It presents well and is striving to become a global leader, but whether there is much residual value
margin the kicker. Looks overbought on technicals (error - prices can go higher than i can imagine)
It will tie up a lot of capital given its full margin requirements, combined with the fact my convictio
Nothing spectacular fundamentally. I don't completely understand the business except it is Air Traffi
Supply deficits forecast for the future and rising demand expected to grow significantly as a green
It seems we could be at the beginning of a uranium bull market after a long-term bear run set off b
Cannot get any margin which at that price is undesirable.
The chart looks really good as a base breakout, however the company has major cash problems an
Increase in volume on the breakout and in the last couple months. However, nothing very captivati
Hard company to get a hold on. Conducts R&D and then collects and licenses its patents. This is th
Consistent growth in key areas and well-positioned despite COVID (see evidence for full details). Pa
EBIT forecast to increase around 75%? however sales & revenue only slighly increase at <10%. Nu
Outsized opportunity potential relative to share price. Labelled as "company changing" if successfu
Was there enough evidence to participate in trade? Probably not. Hope scenario.
Not enough evidence. Total Directors/management ratio ownership has decreased from 35% to 22
Cannot invest given year-on-year numbers and the acceptance of challenging near-term outlook an
I think it can add more value, but do not think this fund is capable of becoming an archetype trade
short-term success.
Looks technically good. Volume upward sloping with respect to price pattern. See BMN (11/12/20).
and cash in bank.
Its main project is in Argentina - a big positive where the country could boom to become the power
Nothing super compelling despite positive outlook. Building a large entity with many subsidiaries (i
Key numbers have decreased slightly year-on-year, and demand/supply outlook for the upcoming y
Margin requirements make it a much less attractive investment given its price.
Choppy chart history. Cannot invest on current evidence.
Significant growth in sales and profit makes for compelling buy - and very low margin requirement
(Also 4/12/20). Is enjoying a long-run growth trend from 2015. This matches the fundamental story
should not change with the ongoing addition of new customers and further recurring revenue strea
Did not initially have the funds to purchase at market Monday morning, and when they were availa
Not a great looking chart. Pass
Not a great looking chart - although massive volume spike on trigger. Company changing strategy
If I was to make an investment it would be in parent company EZL.
Not immediately attracted as I don’t think it has the capability to be a true archetype. Needs full m
Heading towards a demand/supply imbalance in rare earths. Biggest opportunity lies in expanding
a big blow in preventing growth and production. Therefore, this reflects a significant threat for inve
evidence however is not overwhelming, although it should be well capitalised to meet the demand
improvement on profit (loss). Minimum risk trade if taken.
Pass.
An increase of 19% in both Profit and EPS, and 11% increase in EBITDA highlights a general increas
Still quite early in development phase. Hard to identify a differentiating moat although its extractio
into deep analysis which would have identified an enormous opportunity in terms of reward vs risk
I am quite interested in its 90% owned Envirostream business (battery e-waste company - possibly
PFS almost complete, with imminent results to dictate the share price. There is potential - but we d
Finalising a merger with Real Energy. Good looking chart. Has the management team to succeed -
Strongly growth and shareholder oriented. However, no real evidence. New code: PH2.
I like its stock selection process. Can it turn into an archetype? Will have to pass.
Good growth last 12 months and decent looking breakout chart. Strong long-term demand prospec
owned. Funding (FID) to get processed soon , followed by construction mid-year if everything is in
MOAT, although it is the largest salt project in Australia. Expecting uplift in share price for next yea
Nothing extraordinary that makes me keen to invest. Pass.
Big spike in price due to positive release of half-year results - which were significant. Pxm a concer
Did not take previous two signals in last few months, will not take it now.
What is striking on the company website, is the emphasis on building long-term shareholder value.
has also changed hands as the company overhauls almost its entire business. While the business h
Not the prettiest chart historically, although showing good healthy behaviour now. This includes inc
such as +95% gross revenue and +188% EBIT. It intrigues me a fair bit. I believe the share price w
situation. Just missed on patchy analysis. Should have been a buy.
High pxm and sub-optimal industry for mine. Pass.
Probably the best option of the Financials this week given pxm, further room for growth to market
Historical signals have all been poor. Financial results not superior and so not investing.
Sustainable storage battery manufacturing company. Is partnering with Optus under government i
Nothing outstanding, combined with uncertain market conditions means I will stay out.
Good growth strategy, but havent identified a MOAT. Half year results positive, however minor reve
Second signal. Pass again given the high pxm and margin.
Capital constraints mean this is not a viable option. Holds a large land/tenement position in the No
Pass.
Capital constraints mean this is not a viable option.
Some financial improvements to the company, but not a great deal to get excited about.
Chart far from ideal. Operates in the manufacture and production of pharmaceuticals, and heavily
increasing by 195% in the half-year results. Trying to press the Aus Govt to encourage more sovere
its medicines. If this was to be overhauled, it would create significant opportunity for the business.
Will pass for a second time, but keen to see how it progresses. Had the chance to re-analyse and b
Revenue has grown 118.8% in the year to end of 2020. NPAT up 253%. Missed opportunity to parti
The chart looks promising on first glance, but the fundamentals are not good for a young company
slightly increased).
Chart history suggests this will be a choppy journey and one that won't trend. Adds too much volat
Some good bottom line results, close to doubling from previous year. Top line revenue up just 9.5%
Chart looks a lot better than its historic technicals though. But all things considered, will take a pas
Healthy uptrend in place. Good margin and pxm combo. Significant growth upon previous periods -
elsewhere.
Passes what looks to be a critcal and healthy level of resistance (and old support). But nothing fund
Pass
Third signal now in quick succession. May have missed a good one, but there are opportunities all t
Fundamentals not there and this is illustrated by its scattered chart. On the way up but could only
Has just gone sideways since 2016. Better to preserve capital and wait for a stronger signal.
Opted not to participate at earlier passing resistance point (26/2/21). Vitalharvest owns one of the
really promising. Large gap up, held price. Green candle on big volume, followed by bullish buy sig
ongoing (driving prices up). Hard to get a definitive read on the overall stock with many different fo
Would like to see it go above $1.36 previous high before buying in. Financial results not enough to
Immediately caught my attention, because of siginificant volume spikes during the week as price w
Not going to go into analysis given industry, pxm and capital constraints.
Has shown an upward trajectory in recent months after a long time going sideways, due to postive
private spending) will have to take a pass. I'm struggling to fully understand the business. Future g
Historically volatile with no major trending movements.
Although good recent growth, pxm > 2 is not great. Must create best basket risk/reward trades and
Large breakout on the back of Glue Store acquisition. Very susceptible to economic conditions give
Back to back signals now and a powerful move past resistance. Full margin means a diminished va
Gained 32% this week on back of published results. It is the leader in its field - this is significant. Th
pcp), but revenue growth lagging a concern. Certainly heading in the right direction and the trends
platform, and most liquid. Also operates profitable Escrow payment platform. Could this become a
Similar to AX1 and its susceptibility to market conditions - it’s a risky investment. The chart illustra
Increased revenue 80% and net profits 422% pcp to December 2020 (half year) is very promising.
postive results. Constrained capital means no trade. Need to remind myself that opportunities pres
New zinc-lead discoveries found on site. Not investing based on this information. Hope investment.
Still a lot of uncertainty in the business and industry, however it is more concerned with RV's and m
Good stock doing good things. Very high market cap but I believe its validated. Market leader with
Acquisition of takeover assets currently in the works.
Has also been an archetypal stock over recent years despite long periods of consolidation. First go
commissioning, so still has a few hoops to jump through before commercial production but is nearl
Keeps going up with three signals in a short amount of time, however will not be partcipating.
All looks quite positive after a recent strategic acquisition and impressive zero debt (unlike most co
the asx). This is highlighted by the March 2020 period, which may well be difficult to recover from
Identifies strongly with the "Warren Buffett Way". Extremely shareholder focused. I need to grab a
The business is extremely cost intensive, this will be a massive hurdle considering there is not muc
Chart seems pretty choppy historically. Business slowly improving, but has hoops to jump through.
Speculative investment. Pass.
If there is an economic slowdown, the business will be noticeably affected. However, earnings and
Correction may well be around the corner, thus affecting the stock.
Poor technical chart for low market cap miner. Breakout has not penetrated resistance.Super specu
Already in this stock. Pyramid signal also given.
Not a great chart, and not one I want to include in my portfolio.
Appears better than the above, but again not one that fits in my portfolio of growth stocks especial
Does not interest me to indulge further. Look elsewhere.
Not worthy of an investment into my portfloio. Revenues decreasing for a growth business is a maj
See 16/4/21. Another signal and continued trend a positive, but opportunity cost and capital constr
dependent. I think I would prefer to invest in individual businesses. Watch.
Strong growth chart is encouraging, but we just don’t have the capital to take a punt.
Not interested in this speculative stock.
Does not fit my strategy. Pass.
Would rather focus my sights on other stocks within better growth industries.
Most likely scope for future growth. Opportunity cost, bang-for-buck and risk-reward balance the fa
May be a missed opportunity given it’s the third signal, but I cannot knock the analysis made from
Don't mind a speculative pick, but this is not the one. I will keep an eye on this stock to see how th
Good steady chart, but not in my circle of expertise or potential.
The chart is only going up, but strategy says look elsewhere.
Chart a bit sloppy, although price trending upwards. Didn't take first signal, so won't take this one.
Not the nicest chart, and another in the financial industry. This will not be an archetype.
Technically looks alright due to a solid resistance level, but lacks the volume spike on trigger candl
Chart seems pretty choppy.
Chart technicals are positive - large breakout on heavy volume. Still remains a highly speculative c
Support turned resistance line broken. Not an archetype although positive price trajectory. Volume
Large full body breakout above resistance a very bullish move. I do certainly like how they go abou
Certainly of some interest, trying to become the next great diamond developer in the world. Run u
Need to do more thorough research. May be a missed opportunity here.
Very large breakout candle on a very large volume. This on the back of news a larger company has
out on both sides of the transaction.
Another takeover with much larger company proposing a 100% takeover at $2.50 per share. At thi
Not what I want to be purchasing, however it has demonstrated very good trend strength and now
A CFD option, however it does not have a history of trending. Would have to be short-medium term
Has trended since first signal and broken out again. Watch.
Strong financial improvements and momentum in place. Also surpasses long-term resistance level.
metrics is really positive. Revenue up 70%, Net cash from operating activies up 669% and EBITDA
The business improving on its numbers. Large breakout candle, but not accompanied by large volu
Relatively newly listed. Large margin requirements given its market cap so risk-reward limited on i
Hugely speculative, so liquidity could be a concern. Would require a greater weight of evidence to
North America which is making that the sole focus. I am tempted to put some skin in the game, bu
The company is thriving to become the market leader in its niche. The numbers support this quest,
Not keen from looking at chart behaviour
Not interested.
Technicals look alright. Fundamentals have no clear long-term advantage over its rivals or in gener
Fourth signal in just a few months. I may regret sitting out of this one but was never in the hunt.
Another financials firm, but no real outstanding results or outlook. Technicals look sound but we ar
Hugely speculative, but don't discount on that fact. Hard to get real excited about the business.
Hits all-time highs on the charts on a bullish candle which is massive. Not a huge spike on volume,
position in the NZ geographical region, a massive plus. Expecting growth to continue, and will mon
Not a pretty long-term chart and not the investment opportunity I am looking for.
EPS has shown good growth over a few years now. Not overwhelmed with optimism so will take a p
Seems very sensitive to market sentiment and any disruptions that may arise. Must wait for the rig
Chart looks really good. Tempting to invest on technicals alone and look at a short term profit trade
Divergence/genuine breakout as the guide (note: if buying on a gap up, disregard ATR divergence
recent times (Metals & Mining). Use long-term Resources sector chart. Trading halt announced prio
Second in a row, but pass.
Interesting business which should see more medium term gains, but may see a pullback initially. W
Chart looks alright with bullish candle surpassing resistance. Price getting tightened up and the bre
Hits record highs, but probably not one to include into a growth portfolio. Not so much in my range
Similar to above, but willing to offer a better margin to price/market cap ratio. I don't fully understa
Dismissed the signal a few weeks back. Arguably a better signal this week. Exceeded $100m of infl
tailwinds in its business and performance in recent times is hard to dismiss, such as inflows and FU
Shit looking chart. Dismiss.
The chart over the last seven years is floating around the mean, with some pretty heavy candles a
current time, but a short term trade would make more sense. Goes against trading plan but potent
Decent looking chart with good momentum past resistance. No margin hurts so would not hold mu
Only 43m shares on issue so relatively few. Has gathered some recent momentum on the chart, bu
Good breakout above short-term consolidation. It has never had a fluent trend on the chart, so high
deal with, so best to stay out and look elsewhere.
Chart looks optimistic, but the really low market cap is concerning?? Only 15m shares on issue. Su
the chart suggests liquidity may be a real problem.
Has shown decent growth since outset of covid bottom. Margin attractive, but prices generally mov
mirror market returns and risk associated with that.
Chart looks really promising, breaks some good resistance. Long candle super bullish. Improving re
share then that represents significant opportunity in such a large addressable market which could
Passes the crucial $1 mark on the chart. Extremely strong polarity line between support and resista
miner. Has enjoyed some gap ups on the chart of recent times which is a very bullish sign, combin
shareholders as a focus. The half-year financials don't look great, but small cap miner could still be
Goes past tight congestion line. Poor PxM. Probably doesn't look like an archetype set up on the ch
share price trend. Too much doubt and the checklist just doesn't come together for this trade.
Strong long term uptrend in the last five or so years so has been an ultra strong performer. They a
several month intervals however, which would be quite frustrating as a holder. Have to remind my
At the elusive $4 mark, but gathering strong momentum. Fundamentals turning favourable and ha
zone. Possibly a short-term profit trade? All the news is good which may suggest it may be near a
Decent chart, but not the srchetypal trade I am looking for. Although margin requirement generous
Probably not company that I'm targeting. Leave outside circle of competence.
Good bullish candle, penetrating a long-term resistance level. Good financial results released. Upsi
Generally very slow growth on the chart. REIT's better as dividend payers.
Strong looking chart on initial assessment. Good growth in the business and one of the leaders in it
Super speculative. Some decent growth in terms of financials but nothing outstanding. Chart is tem
Subsidiary of MAF (above). Good candle but faces some serious resistance at this level. In fact, pro
Decided against it last week and now attracted another signal. May regret but not entering now at
Chart looks really good on first look. Classic breakout accompanied by large outlier volume. Owner
off pre-covid levels, so fair to assume not far off its fair value so little residual value. But this might
strong based on this assumption, and do not want on margin all things considered. Might be prove
would-be figures. Would have been a bold and savvy investment at the peak of the panic.
Australia’s largest asset finance broker distribution network a potential MOAT. Continues its strong
accelerating away. Volume displayed is questionable, so we will not participate.
Ultra speculative, but some warrant with bullish candle pentrating resistance on large volume. Ano
across significant 8,000km range. Possibly a short-term trade. We will have a crack given the price
price in recent moves up (and lack of volume on down bars) which gives me the confidence to trigg
Inching higher, but probably not the business I am targeting.
Capital best served elsewhere.
Australia's leading holistic marketing company. Some decent numbers reported, but it seems to be
spikes. Tempting to participate on chart presentation. For five years pre-covid, literally tracked side
Management have since implemented a share buyback strategy and have high profit margins in th
to see this business accelerating in a way to become an archetype trade. Took time to come to this
The chart was in a long-term downtrend prior to covid, now has bounced back nicely.. But is it artifi
capital protection. Better businesses elsewhere.
Really positive looking weekly chart (daily chart questionable). Strong momentum through resistan
building. Still some concerns given its industry. Also the cash-to-debt ratio unfavourable and some
in price like we have just had may be met by selling pressure. Looks a bit speccy. Cannot see it gro
Had the chance a couple weeks back, won't participate based on analysis conducted then. Cannot
Hard to get excited overall.
Long term concerns, as it competes with China. Chartwise, little bit rough and upside/downside rat
Not including such stocks in my growth portfolio.
Same as above.
Volatile chart, and outside my area of target. Pass.
Another riding the real estate wave. Not for me.
Not the ideal breakout, nor the ideal business. Pass.
Breaks above on higher relative volume, so a really positive set up. Enjoyed a 100% increase in pro
healthy business that can trend strongly. Has committed to delivering quarterly dividends, which m
term profit play from this break out point.
Breaks above period of resistance. Liquidity looks like it could be a real concern. Revenue up only 1
turned into a mega performer. Nothing to suggest that will change. Pass.
Another REIT, which has benefitted from sustained low interest rates. When they inevitably rise, th
Closes at long-term resistance point. Again, will pass given the interest rate cycle though this could
Low growth option. Pass.
Huge spike in price following full-year results. Certainly not what I want to be investing in however
The technicals are not bad, but given it would be going in my share portfolio it would likely be a slo
psychological $2 mark as well. Noticeable improvements in the business such as higher margins, 2
the attractive technicals.
Its not a good business, revenue has been declining for years and share price has fallen from grace
Leader in base metals with large reach across the globe and relatively low production costs across
management and heaps of cash on hand. Can't deny the technicals either which looks a good buy,
growth characteristics, I'll have to pass and wait for better opportunities.
Long bullish candle on slightly higher volume pushes above consolidation point. LIC company - con
covid bottom. Don't think this is the archetypal trade.
Good looking trend with nice breakout this week. Not the growth archetype we target though.
Finishes the week in a trading halt on the back of a good move up on highest ever volume week. D
The company invests into a portfolio of data centre business and assets, and acts as a fund expose
the financial year include operating revenue up 295% and operating EBITDA up 521%, with assets
follow-on investments. Fairly high gearing ratio target (30-40%) to assistance this vision. Wants to
Asia and Latin America. Represents a long-term play.
The numbers are sort of hovering around its mean in terms of performance, despite its gradual mo
A nice break above resistance on relatively high volume. The numbers definitely don't look overwh
which is certainly more attractive. Does not come across as an archetype, although could still do w
Decided against entering trade two weeks ago from signal. Analysed sufficiently and happy to let t
Another explorer of uranium deposits riding the wave of the spot price increase. Uranium smashed
Wait for uranium stocks to settle and then re-evaluate.
Pass.
Large price rise on large volume spike always a good sign. Historically a very choppy chart, which c
Also operates in the uranium space. Recently acquired new land holding in the US Great Divide Bas
Has recently secured opportunity to operate recycling of high purity metals and lithium-ion batterie
Not in my ball park.
Decided to not act on signal last time after much delibaration (13/8/21). The business still looks alr
this time around.
Another in the uranium space. Not the pick of the bunch.
Bullish engulfing pattern on the recent candle supports more short-term growth. Experincing good
the dumps in years gone by. No stand outfeatures, which means we let it go.
Chart does not look attractive. Quite speccy and large week-to-week fluctuations.
Has demonstrated good growth since two signal rejections in past year (4/12/20 & 26/2/21). No com
growth (Revenue up 30%, operating cash flow up 103%, NPAT up 784%, EPS up 71% and record di
positively. Very high pxm now but still relatively low market cap. Supply of only 28 million shares is
hindsight and the right time to invest. These levels add greater uncertainty as the signal is not as p
This is not my target market. Pass.
Strong couple months for the stock with decent surge in price. Solid growth in fundamentals, but n
Solid signal penetrating 10-month resistance. Really hard company to get a gauge on and its outlo
partnerships. Cash of $6m could signify potential to raise cash soon as it is a highly cash-intensive
deny the uptrend over the last couple years which is the best measure over how the business is tra
Second signal in a month. The financial results look really good for the end of year. Revenues up 1
one that deserves to be included in my portfolio.
Second signal within two months and breaks through $1 barrier. Expanding its WA based business
Revenue growth of 11% is not quite enough to become excited for what is to come despite recent
shot up during the week on news of entering into non-binding agreement to become acquired/mer
company. So our analysis really needs to be based on DDH stock and the prospect of this merger c
hole drilling business and the global leader in mineral deep hole directional drilling. Provides equip
increased 18% on FY20 and NPAT was up 21% so decent results coming through but its a pass all t
Gapped up on extremely large volume this week so an incredibly powerful signal. News confirms it
Gapped up on large volume this week, on news of potential takeover target at $4.40 per share. Suc
Chart looks healthy. Really solid historical resistance/support at the open so the stop would be set
growth look really healthy, but is it an archetype? I am not sure. Went ex-div on the Tuesday after
Half year sales increased from $22 to $25.7 (17% growth). I am looking for only the best stocks, so
is its competitive advantage? I think the scalability is certainly there as expands into more internat
anyway.
Mark Bouris is the chairman and founder. He has a track record having established Wizard Home L
growth in the business, it has just marginally grown its loan book each year. Technicals look quite g
Second signal within 10 weeks. Not the investable business I want to be in.
Nice looking bullish candle to break through resistance. Not the business or stock that will produce
pullbacks, particularly in property. Feel like we are at the high mid-point of cycle - there are better
Despite industry, it's an investment firm. Chart looks productive. Cannot see high growth in key me
Not the business or investment I am interested in, particularly with current margin.
A bit illiquid and not followed by institutions. Do not think this is an archetype stock. Wait for bette
Rejected earlier in the trend, don't believe it to be the stock worthy of investment.
Large bullish candle this week, again rejected earlier in the trend. Pull back likely. Wait for somethi
Market responded during the week to news of Defence contract award. Some good numbers report
Telstra and Rio on major projects. Looks a solid business, but how much future growth can we expe
held by one person - this is a negative. Does not leave much space for institutions to get involved.
must be strict with our selections and this is not it.
Breaks through solid line of resistance and looks like a good breakout chart. Operates in exploratio
have all been involved with successful LionOre Mining (which got bought out in 2007 for around $5
Newcrest and IGO across its portfolio of assets, which are doing most of the heavy lifting on the ex
there. $20m in cash so no concerns on the capital front. Good time to enter gold, with gold price hi
Real estate funds management business with $2.5b of assets across Australia and New Zealand. G
burn - leveraged to real estate and equity markets. Pass.
Received two signals in past two months. Is it an archetype? Doubtful, and I will stick to initial thes
Have considered this business in the past. Looks extended now. Looks to be doing good things but
Have received two signals for this stock in the past. Not the business or stock we want.
Really interesting movements this week. Has tracked sideways for about 16 months, and then this
either. Gold producer operating out of WA. Gapped up on news of fresh results coming out of lates
Another gold explorer making moves in the share price. Hard to identify any superior exploration ta
Breaks above resistance this week on bullish move. Has projects covering over 7,500 sq km. Well f
Woolworths proposal to takeover company. Not the situation to buy, even if it does continue to go
Has been listed for decades, and even with a long-term uptrend has only a sub $80m market cap.
a negative as any sudden selling will not be good.
Chart looks solid. Significant improvement on annual numbers most recently reported. A little bit to
Had two signals in recent months. I cannot bring myself to get excited by the business.
Also cannot get excited by this company or its long-term future outlook.
Cannot establish a MOAT, and is not the market leader. Is benefitting significantly from covid, so th
business than its competitors.
Am already invested here - will consider an optimal pyramid trade from here.
Not the company I want to invest in at this point. Does not tick enough boxes.
Penny dreadful. Avoid.
Some encouraging price and volume action, and news flow looks sound. No convincing buy criteria
Clear path to production middle of this year. Fully funded, but mostly made up of debt. Not a spect
Not sure if the scalability is there in the AUS market. Can't imagine it breaking into Chinese market
here.
Already in the trade - missed critical pyramid point by setting limit order too low. I will continue to
Largest supplier of gas on the east coast (Leader/Moat). Quote "A combination of rising seasonal de
the mid-2020s, the eastern and southern states of Queensland, New South Wales, Victoria and Sou
is generating higher revenues. Recently sold a 10% interest in Australia Pacific LNG for $2.12 billio
stopped out, but we would be in this for the long term. Set up looks really good.
Exited this trade prematurely and regretfully. My new strategy would have certainly kept me in thi
"SFM considers the interpreted mafic-ultramafic complex within the Mt Murray project has potentia
PGE discovery at Julimar. The target area high magnetic zone at Mt Murray is almost totally concea
Would be an ultra-speculative play. Need much harder evidence to take on the trade. No Moat app
Employment & training services provider. Doesn't look to be archetype trade. Good time to be pati
Chart looks good - significant demand coming through since low point, without significant red cand
debt of $26m, predominately due to wage remediation costs (orange flag). Potential opening up pl
significant lease costs. Avoid.
Unconvinced by chart pattern and demand levels coming through during setup.
Still cannot locate strong MOAT. Everything else at first signal looked good enough to buy. Small ph
Chart looks a abit speculative. Operating in the rare earths field. ABX Group is developing two high
Tasmanian bauxite projects, and 2) high-priced aluminium fluoride for aluminium smelters and lith
aluminium fluoride samples consistent with commercial grades of aluminium fluoride used in alum
real unique space (potentially revolutionary). In 2021, Alcore achieved a world first by producing al
security of supply of this critically important ingredient for Australasian aluminium smelters whilst
without an aluminium fluoride plant and has relied on imports, mainly from China, which have rece
the order of $50 million per annum at current prices of aluminium fluoride and projected operating
its plant in Bell Bay Tasmania and once in production, Alcore can expand into advanced technologi
case based on the supply/demand equation, and most importantly with Alcore looking to become A
stock on radar in ensuing months/years and see how fundamentals develop, at which point technic
Has had a great run already, and still only $27m market cap. Illiquidity seems like an issue (orange
trials environment, our mission is simple: we take care of your warehousing, distribution and logist
revolutionary, and in which one mistake would be fatal to the share price.
Trading halt during the week followed by voluntary suspension from official quotation - pending an
Had the opportunity three weeks ago, but decided there was insufficient evidence to invest. Pass a
Has two major sectors under its brands - food (and liquor) & building hardware. More specific, its m
boom being experienced, and consumers increasing preferences toward local produce and busines
archetype business, in which it is experiencing rapid growth or one that has a cataylst for significan
Small gap up, hitting new highs, large volume. Looks somewhat illiquid. Preparing drilling of two w
to define outcome, but probabilities not in its favour.
Chart beginning to show signs of liquidity. Has the "U" shape as set up with volume supporting. Loo
project is certainly eye-catching. Vanadium too - the catalyst of the share price. On the surface, I th
think its projects are A-grade quality, but it's tempting to make short-term trade based on chart.
Not worthy.
Liquidity value is only 251,240.. PROCEED WITH CAUTION. Interesting to note that the Company e
Medterra is America's most trusted brand in CBD and is now the best-selling brand in US grocery st
agreement with Team SAAS LLC (a software as a service portfolio company). SAAS will develop and
raw material for the manufacture of their own recreational cannabis products. Initial findings by SA
may increase the onset, duration or magnitude of effect. Avecho has now completed manufacturin
called TPM - the only drug delivery platform based on tocopheryl phosphate, an enhanced form of
Crude oil at highest point since GFC. While it may continue upwards, it currently looks unsustainab
an archetype trade. Pass.
Trend tracking
Preferable alright,
to the other but
twonot a stock I want
candidates. to ideal
Not the be in setup
- especially
given given its volatility
its at the in recent
top of a strong yearsr
trading
leading online travel agent” and has increased its market share by 57% since the pandemic began
Quite a nice looking chart. Fundamentals suggesting this stock is underpriced. Some positive assay
Chart too choppy,
bank $400m andpayable
($200m not interested
on first in the business.
shipment) plus a 0.75% royalty. Held $55m at end of last qua
have retained 100% of the rights to all non-ferrous minerals on the RHIOJV tenement package. Des
Could do worse in a rising interest rate environment. But I will be patient and wait for golden oppor
Extremely illiquid. Gapping up - way too early. Do not want to be stuck in this. Would not consider
Large spike though setup not ideal. Not a company I want to own.
Chart/setup not ideal, and history suggests to stay away.
Buy point looks extended on chart, and is a continuation rather than a true breakout. Tied to the m
Large candle up this week. Business success centred around Technegas product - used for respitat
catalyst for share price growth. Not convinced on the stock given liquidity/volume strength, low ris
The chart has had a nice run. Education business going well, however the fundamentals do not jum
Breaking up out of a 2-year sideways market is massive. Previously bullish on this stock. Definitely
range of favourable industry tailwinds in the global data protection space helped to drive record re
the first time.
Possible trade opportunity. EQ Resources Limited is the 100% owner of the Mt Carbine Tungsten m
start tungsten mining at the flagship project. Confirmed low-cost project. Very positive news flow a
Missed the boat with this one. May continue to run, but given its extended bullish candle and volat
will watch its price action for weeks to come.
Set up does not look ideal, though it passes long-term sideways resistance level. Spike in price on
high quality range of prescription and over-the-counter (OTC) pharmaceuticals, complementary me
defensive/value play. Not overly keen.
This looks interesting. Has only looked like a healthy chart (rather than highly illiquid) in past 10-15
investability based on the chart setup - though low liquidity. It is trying to build a large community
similar to business models of onlyfans.com and youtube. Its advanced features include live stream
services directly through the app, and also has spanish-speaking capabilities. If it can pull it off, it c
user engagement - from both customers and creators. Seems to aimed at businesses for workplace
if it has been released, which indicates it is definitely too early to invest but one to keep an eye on
Been here once, liquidity on the chart still looks an issue. Dismiss.
Exciting company in super computing, utilising algorithms to define complex data. Major income cl
fundamental level, every financial metric is hitting new highs and looks very positive. On a technic
the business may be vulnerable, but there is certainly a moat/revolutionary aspect to this business
Chart looks pretty textbook, however it fails to provide strong volume through the setup. T
divested their failed North American business. Interesting timing in this industry, an extern
and a clear demand/supply imbalance.
Another construction company. Not keen here though.
Not keen on this business.
10/8/2021
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1/20/2023
1/27/2023
2/3/2023
Berkeley Energia Ord Shs BKY.AX
Flight Centre Travel Group Ord Shs FLT.AX
Genetic Technologies Ord Shs GTG.AX
2/10/2023
2/17/2023
N/A Signals
2/24/2023
Australian Clinical Labs Ord Shs ACL.AX
Bathurst Resources Ord Shs BRL.AX
Inghams Group Ord Shs ING.AX
New Century Resources Ord Shs NCZ.AX
3/3/2023
Eq Resources Ord Shs EQR.AX
3/10/2023
Civmec CDI CVL.AX
Parkway Corporate Ord Shs PWN.AX
PM Capital Global Opportunities Fund Ord Shs PGF.AX
3/24/2023
N/A Signals
3/31/2023
Hammer Metals Ord Shs HMX.AX
Pharmaust Ord Shs PAA.AX
4/7/2023
Arovella Therapeutics Ord Shs ALA.AX
4/14/2023
Arovella Therapeutics Ord Shs ALA.AX
4/21/2023
4/28/2023
Blackmores Ord Shs BKL.AX
5/5/2023
5/19/2023
Austal Ord Shs ASB.AX
Power Minerals Ord Shs PNN.AX
5/26/2023
SILK Laser Australia Ord Shs SLA.AX
6/2/2023
Golden State Mining Ord Shs GSM.AX
6/9/2023
Macarthur Minerals Ord Shs MIO.AX
6/16/2023
Midas Minerals Ord Shs MM1.AX
6/23/2023
Otto Energy Ord Shs OEL.AX
Scorpion Minerals Ord Shs SCN.AX
6/30/2023
Regal Asian Investments Ord Shs RG8.AX
7/7/2023
7/14/2023
ClearVue Technologies Ord Shs CPV.AX
7/21/2023
Lodestar Minerals Ord Shs LSR.AX
7/28/2023
N/A Signals
8/4/2023
8/11/2023
8/18/2023
8/25/2023
9/8/2023
week setup | Pattern: Connect 3 points on the chart - Low Point, Shakeout, Pivot Point
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0.255 27.50% 15.75%
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0.115 74.24% 13.29% ✓
Business Economics
INSIGHTS
Relative to Market Cap Shares on Issue, Owner Operators
no
nah
no
no
no
maybe
no
no
yes
no
no
probs not
no
maybe
maybe
no
no
maybe
no
nah
maybe
maybe
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
yes
no
nah
no
no
no
no
maybe
no
no
no
yes
nah
no
no
no
not yet
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
yes
maybe
no
no
no
no
yes
no
no
no
no
maybe
no
no
no
no
maybe
no
nah
no
yes
no
no
no
no
no
maybe
no
maybe
no
maybe
probs not
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
N/A
yes
maybe
no
no
missed
yes
no
no
nah
no
nah
nah
no
no
maybe
maybe
no
nah
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
yes
no
no
soft
no
Strong Buy
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
nah
no
strong buy
no
no
no
no*
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
yes
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
buy
no
no
miss
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
watch
-
-
watch
BUY
-
-
BUY
-
SUPER (W
Reason for
Not a pretty chart. Liquidity a massive problem. 14 billion shares on issue is ridiculous - no per share h
Comments provided on ASX Weekly Scan tab for the corresponding week.
Chart looks too illiquid so we will pass on this basis. But one to keep an eye on operating in the magne
opportunity. The chart was certainly not too illiquid - quite a nice chart with evidence of strong deman
Not the ideal stock. Not much liquidity (not true?) due to top-end ownership but has taken off recently
Had many signals on the way up. Looks genuine on the chart, but regretfully did not get in at the star
in a market that looks short of supply and a demand level that will not be diminishing in the near futu
Share price increase in relation to market price increase of the commodity ferrosilicon. Specialises in
Chart looks promising on technicals. Given the dynamics it would have to be a short-term profit trade,
the share price. We may well be buying at the high point if we are to enter. Market price has gone nea
bit to run.
Does not break resistance and has come back a bit of its weekly highs. Market reacting to news that t
two key products that will dictate the company's successes are Snare and eMite. eMite has shown stro
of them. Operates in the cybersecurity space. I believe DSE is the better in industry.
Stock shot up mid-week but has already closed lower than the daily trigger close. So not sure if this sh
change to the business and there are much better options out there.
Spike after significant gold-copper porphyry discovery after first drill hole at El Palmar. Sunstone will e
discovery with huge potential". Sunstone is fully funded for ongoing exploration at El Palmar, with cas
could propel the company substantially. An ATR Divergence of 1.52 the only real negative from a tech
Another in coal operations. Daily volume suggests we could see a top reversal at this level so we will s
simply way too much supply, hence the very small price.
Declined last weeks signal. Now the stock looks a bit worse off having an ATR divergence shot up to 1
reduces risk-reward trade off quite substantially to a point of more uncertainty in price moves from he
Looks decent on the chart with a couple years of solid price growth. Big player in the gold sector. Cash
2,000m2. Will be producing up to 120,000oz/pa, this compared to Northern Star of 2m/pa a big compa
and uncertainty.
Backed up last weeks signal on higher volume, this time closing at its weekly high. Released two new
800%+) and $2.2m in new Snare sales YoY (up 46%). eMite operates in contact centre analytics secto
sure how good or scalable the products are.
Gapped up on extremely large volume this week. News confirmed high-grade heavy rare earths at its
when MD of Northern Minerals (NTU). That share price took off from 10 cents to $1 - and then plumme
other projects too aiming for gold discoveries. No drilling has been completed yet. Needs a driller and
similar project to production, so that gives confidence we can see uplift in share price. Extremely earl
outlooks. Nailed the analysis but didn't take the trade??? Everything was lined up perfectly - needed t
Upper tail more than double the size of the candle body so extremely concerning sell-off from a techn
grade zinc-lead discovery (sold-off substantially on the daily so not a good look). Really hard to gauge
Operating in highly-prospective Yandal region near Northern Star, and I really like how it has spent las
150,000 ounces to 600,000 ounces. Tier-1 mining region. May need to undertake capital raising soon
Chart looks promising. Hits multi-year high on multi-year high volume. Also got signal on main scan.
Looks a bit speculative. Three projects are focused on phosphate, potash and base metals. Focused o
based food demands in the Asia-Pacific region. Spike on heavy volume this week was on the back of T
infertilisers. The Term Sheet outlines Agriflex’s (wholly-owned subsidiary) appointment of Samsung as
Mexico. The initial term of the Term Sheet is for the first 3 years of production from Agriflex’s planned
marketing services for sales of an annual quantity equal to the lesser of 20% of the product from the
speculative on the eye which is not an archetypal set up. Will certainly need to raise capital to fund fu
the business as the market leader in this field in Australia and compete in global markets too. The Ard
we can get a good entry point (low risk) it's a buy.
Massive gap up on news of takeover target to hub24. Takeover = pass.
Uplift in price the last two weeks with two bullish candles - the latest on significant volume. Operates
Offtake Agreement for 100% of Plomosas Zinc Concentrates Extended for 2022. Despite move up ATR
believe the news to be especially good so it's a pass.
Has enjoyed significant price growth this past year. Increased its revenue by 24.4% in the latest full y
The volume spike this week was due to institutional buying from Capital H management. Achieved ex
have to prove its technology on a much larger scale (50,00 litres of water per day) with higher PFAS le
waste. Trial results will be released in the first half of FY22. The company has four divisions in which it
Directors have been buying up stock in recent weeks. Its recent Lymphoedema trial has had a succes
most advanced, noninvasive bioimpedance spectroscopy (BIS) device, which incorporates L-Dex techn
status and tissue composition in less than 30 seconds. SOZO platform revenue up 109% YOY. Already
raise $35m.
Looks illiquid on the chart. Only $20m market cap. In the lithium space, has recently acquired a projec
Large gap up after sale of Hong Kong operations and some assets at a 30% premium. Not the stock fo
Specialises in coal with operations in Australia and South Africa. News released during the week not a
Way too speculative and illiquid. No sigificant news has come out.
Cannot see any outstanding features or competitive advantages. Looking to develop phosphate and g
much rather invest capital on significant discovery. We have not received that yet. Holds over 720km
close to surface, which would mean deep discovery would be most likely here.
Gap up on higher volume, but still within a large choppy trading range. It is an agtech company lookin
catalyst to significantly power the business into the mainstream at this moment. Has recently partner
well they will be received. If we can see momentum in its products and sales it may be worth a look d
some credibility. Watch this space..
5.8 billion shares on issue is an issue. Has not even reached clinical trials yet, though that should not
Unexplained jump in price. Therefore, nothing to see here. Its main project is magnesium, but seems
Intrigued me a little bit when I got a signal a few weeks back. Has continued strongly. Large bullish ca
Operates a logistics technology business focusing on three sectors: Healthcare (transporting aged car
Aims to optimise logistics services for clients with seamless and efficient operations for businesses wh
efficient. Just turned profitable. Has shown good growth quarter upon quarter and if it can maintain cu
three quarters later. Business certainly in upward trajectory - will set a tight stop at reasonable level,
Ignored the main signal last week. This week saw higher volume and a move slightly higher, but pulle
certainly isn't shooting the lights out. The only investable idea in the business is Mark Bouris is leadin
Chart doesn't look like a perfect archetype, despite a good run up since covid. Recently raised $17.4m
the Wiluna (WA) nickel / cobalt and Botswana uranium projects. It is aiming to become a relevant sup
strategy sounds promising and is operating in a hot space. Looks like a lot more buyers are coming in
the perfect breakout we are looking for - its a pass.
Looks very interesting as a minnow lithium explorer. Only 88 million shares on issue. Management on
the candle body, so this is concerning - not a typical archetype launch pad. Spike in share price after 1
Cannot enter on such a candle set up. Nothing in investor presentation that screams "pick me", althou
Pure-play Lithium stock with main project in Chile (only 51% ownership). Not a proper set up. Pass.
Had opportunity to purchase when main signal given 13/8/21. Regret not partcipating, but the current
Looked at this during the week when release of much improved potential to its Julimar mine reserves.
Certainly operating in the right space - as the name suggests. Cash on hand is quite a problem, but sh
Looking at the chart, there was shocking illiquidity up until July when the price action started to resem
current technologies surround lignite ("brown coal" is considered the lowest rank of coal due to its rel
provide solutions through the transformation of lignite into clean energy and hydrogen production. Ho
have my doubts, and it is clear to me this business has been mismanaged in its slow response to the
competitors and the rest of the world. It has just hit inflection point but it definitely is not investment
Chart set up look really good first up. Green candles are noticeably bigger than red candles during the
in best financial position in a long time, with over $30m in cash and reducing debt. Has three mines (t
production. Purchased this asset at very good price. Rough diamond index price has hit 9-year high w
Africa, as it shares the spoils with government as well as JV partners. This is the main identifiable neg
Skin in the game - its a buy. Probably won't shoot the lights out but should be a solid, profitable positi
Cannot find any recent company presentations. Gapped up recently, buoyed by recent acquisitions w
although no clear stength in demand on the daily chart. I would much prefer to wait to see if these ten
greater and justified. Just $2 million cash on hand. Nothing more than a hope investment currently. Th
based in USA). Has potential. I would rather see how the stock continues to set up and go from there.
optimal low risk trade.
Declined last week to get involved. ATRD at 1.68 now so would expect consolidation in short-term. Re
still seems to be sufficient demand coming through. Intersting to note margin has come down to 40%
participating in past signals - but we can learn from it.
Large candle range this week on great volume. Hard to identify buyer demand increasing before this w
on these technicals. No significant news development to explain price increase. All key metrics actual
advantage of sustainable energy technology revolution. Has exlusive supply agreement with global pl
success of Tritium (who is also relatively small) - not an ideal situation. Potential takeover target but t
Massive comparitive volume this week on bullish candle. Strategy has shifted to almost a clean energ
the industry. It's an interesting model and the first of its kind listed on the ASX. Has not formed from a
Strong momentum in the price chart with a bullish candle penetrating to reach new highs. Huge poten
quarter is significant. Its trying to cover every industry with its technology, which may be too varied a
into revenue? I am unsure if its technology is market leading globally or if it is easily replicable. Has a
conviction at present to include in my portfolio, however if the company can validate its technology co
Seems alright. Most of its growth is derived from acquisitions - which is concerning. Probably not the i
Interesting one which took off massively on news of significant discovery. Not the time to opt into a sp
Not entering here - will be interesting to see how this stock develops.
Almost got signal two weeks ago on breakout which was the perfect time to buy. Will be interesting to
illiquid and not desirable.
"Globally significant" nickel & cobalt Mineral Resource and the numbers seem to stack up on paper. D
infrastructure surrounding the tenements. It's supply is massive (with decent grades) - the asymmetry
At DFS stage, with construction to begin 2023 and production not until 2025 (path to production is con
(such as recent major announcement) discoveries continue will prove to be a smart buy. It will be a m
There is enough contained nickel in the project for 147,000,000 EV's so the scale is unquestionable. E
management hold 10% of the company. Recent announcement of significant ore grade discovery drov
In long-term uptrend so chart looks sound. Catalyst for share price/volume increase this week was due
investment in newly-listed IPO NICO (NC1), a spin-off from Metals X (nickel assets). BSX has two proje
2024, then ramp-up thereafter. Base case economics look extremely healthy - 67% IRR, $2b NPV, 1.5
A bit extended now. Not here.
Looks ultra-speculative. Leave it alone.
Very large bullish candle (too large on revised algo), but closed at high. Targeting lithium in early pha
immediately see any hard evidence to suggest this could really run away - despite some decent assay
100% owned, including the Pioneer Dome project in WA which is a high-class lithium resource and is s
moat or significant news flow identified. It may succeed, but its a pass for now.
In JV to one of the world's highest-grade pre-production lithium deposits (51% interest). Cannot attain
Nice gap up on increased volume. 100% interest in the Alice River Gold project in an area spanning 37
some very good assays (evidence) from the first few drill holes (inc 17m at 9.3g/t au & 3m at 25.3g/t
otherwise hugely significant historic gold mine area. Very tight share structure bodes well. Looks seve
fundamental evidence look super impressive.
Large move up. No evidence to invest at this point, and not the optimal chart opportunity.
Operating in the gold and lithium space. This week reacted to news of maiden hole at main lithium pr
potential. Expect news flow to dictate how things play out in 2022 as there will be lots of exploration h
Another signal. Definitely not investing at this point.
Not going near this one.
Very large volume spike accompanying a gap up, illustrating good technicals. Based on really encoura
Interesting chart pattern, and a prime example of a short-term profit trade - had we entered earlier. N
See ASX weekly scan.
Has respectable 1.1Moz Au @ 1.2 g/t Au mineral resources base (total - not p.a - but to be expanded b
$11.6m cash on hand translates to EV of $32m. Has recorded significant results recently (such as 5m
severely undervauled based on evidence at hand. Cash burn and ongoing capital the glaring concern,
Going on a mini-run. Has a diversified approach of exploration projects all over the place in many met
jumps out here.
Not an exciting business initially. A lighting business roll up trying to grow through acquisition. They a
issue is mentionable - tightly held as top 2 shareholders hold over 70%. Order book increase from $3.
and $8.1M (FY21) to $15.1m (FY22 Forecast - on track to end H1). FOS ends 1H22 in a profitable and c
cap of $12.5m may be undervalued.
Very similar to CDT in its approach. Nothing to suggest investing. Looks like a trap.
Real opportunity here. Has just received the backing with $140m loan from NAIF - federal governmen
becoming Australia's next rare earths producer. Has already got multiple offtakes in place. Its grade o
than Lynas, this is the rare earths company to be backing. Highest margin vs all other projects is testa
world’s highest composition of neodymium and praseodymium.
Nice leg up this week. Operates in the oil sector, in Cuba and Australia. Some encouraging signs, but s
Very large bullish move this week. Its not one I want to invest in. Very cyclical stock, and one that won
Exiting this position will haunt me. Not entering now, but fuck I wish I was still in it. I must perfect syst
Chart
Looks pattern looks productive.
very speculative Not myhopeful
and is another archetype
bet opportunity.
- just price reacting to last news item. Is in a prospe
invest.
Claim to be leaders in scaffold and formwork supplying for the construction industry. Price has broken
fantastic, and I believe I could make some money in the short-term with further price increase. But we
growth. Its certainly a growing business, but I cannot identify a superior business advantage. Has man
catalyst for stock price depreciation.
Has enjoyed a smooth run up in price since October 2020. Got a 'spec buy' signal in Dec 2020, but tha
Australia's largest nickel-cobalt resource (MOAT factor tick). It is not a proper breakout as such, so if t
Chart looks quite productive with noticeable demand coming through. Not an investment case.
Immediately looks speculative. No sensitive news leading to a spike in the share price. Had $8.8m in t
and commercialisation. Pass probably.
Has the only coarse graphite mine that is fully permitted and development ready (Uley 2). Also owns t
coarse flake graphite deposits. Only global flake graphite producer that has prequalified with major Eu
with Sunlands Co., a leading thermal energy storage technology company for the supply of graphite. S
Compeitive advantage looks strong - if it can gain traction. The major risk is the lack of capital at the c
needs a lot of luck - basically betting on two small caps.
No sensitive news item driving the price up this week. A clean-out has recently been undertaken, but
"transparent and verified insights required to support Executives and Boards in tracking and tracing th
Speculation investment. "Could be" was the terms used - pass. Chart does not look all that desirable.
Good looking chart. Fundamentals not convincing.
Not an ideal chart. Along with news that does not generate excitement for the company's prospects.
Going along alright, but not the super investment trade.
Not a bad signal here - though set up not ideal. Still a hope proposition. Pass.
Chart and fundamentals both underwhelming. Bull spike due to director buying - no inflection point ha
Nothing outstanding here.
Currently holding.
Has just received "major project status" which is the federal government's formal recognition of a pro
mine viability. "Then there is our cobalt processing technology itself. Each stage of our process alread
parts of the process together (integrated mine and refinery) and engineer them to extract cobalt. Our
from pyrite and difficult host minerals is a game-changer" (revolutionary). Claims it will provide suffic
of the larger players. Has attracted the attention of More than 30 of the world’s largest battery manuf
values as a company. Only thing that concerns me at this point is the technicals, which have already h
portfolio requires a stake in this business. Better to wait for mini pull back if it comes, with no leverag
The 100% owned NiWest Nickel Cobalt Project is regarded as one of the largest and highest quality un
laterite project in Australia. During the quarter the Company witnessed increased interest in the NiWe
COB. Looks like a poorer less developed version, less yet still a viable opportunity.
Leveraging its technology and manufacturing capabilities across the natural resources and agriculture
fertilisers, and also a leader in explosives (mining drilling and blasting). Historically lousy business for
company. Despite positive tailwinds, does not generate enormous excitement in the stock.
Regretfully did not participate in trade last week, after small gap up (and not a long-term opportunity)
Technicals look really good. The news flow keeps delivering increasingly positive updates on intersect
The chart suggests higher speculation (more illiquid looking chart). Is volume demand there? Probabl
gas exploration company with world class onshore exploration licences in the Premier Cooper Eroman
discovering gas and the growing reserve base provides increasing confidence of becoming a gas prod
fundamentals underpinning the company are not strong enough for a buy at this current point.
Large breakout candle this week, but no highly sensitive news item to note. These (oil & gas explorers
easy dismissal. Chart looks positive, but cannot invest here.
Major price/volume spike this week off horizontal base. A large move without any real news pushing it
au Mineral Resource Estimate for 1.84m ounces). Recently raised $16.6m so cash on hand is no worrie
hole. Significant Resource upgrade planned for Q2 CY2022 (also maiden Ore Reserve expected June 2
see potential, but there is no distinguishing standout feature (such as large moat) or "substantial" ant
prudence. Verdict - wait for higher conviction trade.
Historically has not provided good signals. This is due to the stock's volatile nature. Large volume bols
means no trade will be taken. Also cannot identify a moat which is a necessity.
A trade that would be full of hope, but also one that represents significant risk/reward. It's projects loo
sort of confidence. Potash has never really been an archetype investment, and the fundamentals don
wait for better opportunity that has my confidence.
Over 7 billion shares on issue (orange flag). Operating in the lithium space. Already established, It's d
Sayona’s Abitibi Hub expected to be the most sustainable and cost-effective lithium production in Nor
Does not present as a standout archetype opportunity. Leave this alone and wait for real conviction st
Water & Waste company. Definitely some orange flags surrounding management (remuneration, turn
service. Receipts from customers fell from previous year - major warning sign. Costs can hardly keep
See 11/3/22. Good prospects, but I would like to gain increased conviction based on hard evidence tha
Sturec mine has dug up some good grades of gold and silver - 1. [email protected] g/t Au & 7.8 g/t Ag and 2
100% project ownership. Mineral Resource Estimate is 38.5Mt @1.23 g/t Au & 8.8 g/t Ag (includes 6.2
2.75 g/t Au). This seems to be globally significant, when putting all the pieces together. Also seems de
strong conviction.
Illiquid set up/chart. Definitely not worthy, at this stage.
Mineral sands developer and explorer with flagship Thunderbird, one of the world's largest, undevelop
50:50 joint venture for the project which is not ideal. Thunderbird is one of the largest and highest gra
the Eneabba (recently sold for $24m) and McCalls mineral sands projects, also in WA. BFS completed
business life cycle to invest, but I must be strict with my new trades.
Owns 74% of the world class, tier 1, Steelpoortdrift Vanadium project in South Africa. It is the world’s
the stock or the time to invest.
Gap up on massive volume is significant. News flow is very hot. Too many doubts (market opportunity
Not enough warrant to invest. Super signal in refinement process.
Not enough warrant to invest. Super signal in refinement process.
Not enough warrant to invest. Super signal in refinement process.
Not enough warrant to invest. Super signal in refinement process.
Not enough warrant to invest. Super signal in refinement process.
Since discovered signal that did not come up in scan.
Huge volume this week to support the move higher. Chart looks fine. News of cash offer proposal (@ $
Nice move up on large volume. Liquidity could be an issue, so would have to have ultra-conviction to
enough evidence at this point.
I like what I see. Lithium play located next door to Orocobre with significant upside. It's graphite proje
come in the way of exploration is worth betting on. We have estimated target resource which looks ve
Nothing outstanding to report at current, despite the increased share price. Aiming for lithium discove
Looks decent. Thought the business must be valued a lot higher initially. Importantly, industry conditi
wind, government/defence, coasts/ports & engineered reefs). $74m cash in bank (debt is $51m) is co
eased and positive industry (supply/demand) outlook. Cannot see a distinct competitive advantage ho
Australia's largest multi-brand reatil food/beverage franchise owner (brands include Donut King, Gloria
significant bear run (caught up with legal dramas etc). Has since traded sideways for 18 months which
characteristics would to put it under heavy consideration. Catalyst could be positive ACCC announcem
Provider of technology solutions (apps, back office, POS, etc) for hospitality, entertainment and venue
What does its revenue agreements structure look like? Quite exciting on the surface. $24m cash on h
Spike on news. Not worthy - porphery is capital intensive and highly unlikely.
Has put together a nice trend the last couple of years. Explorer and developer of gold in Cambodia - s
Big volume bar pushing price momentum. Good news flow momentum too. 60% owned Abra project. J
Looks highly unlikely based on chart. Fundamentals look fair, aided by low capital intensity. Would cer
Looks like an archetype - has an ultimate trend supported by all the fundamentals I look for with stron
Perfect cup with handle setup at first signal. Has had a mighty run, I will look for a fresh opportunity.
Nice little chart set up due to takeover with Catalyst metals. Cannot invest based on this.
Looks like a solid signal. Develops and markets a range of respiratory and regenerative products imclu
much smaller skin graff than normal from the patient/donor with quicker healing times. Has been app
conjunction with meshed autografting. Health care sector pretty strong so has the macro tailwind. Exp
repigmented. Also, Skin grafting is the standard of care for full-thickness, soft tissue reconstruction. In
accounting for more than 200,000 procedures in the U.S. so its uses may be able to extrapolated outs
Strong margin of 83% if it can execute its strategy to become a standard of care (which results suppo
Logistics & real estate business nearing top of its cyclical phase, hence why stock is tracking well. Qui
ideal so definitely not an archetype.
Adventure tourism company in Australia & New Zealand. Good enough looking chart but volume is a b
Very solid week on the charts, but generally volume low. Spike due to acquiring rare earths project. T
profit trade. Probably best to stay away and wait for an archetype.
This has come off a long-term downtrend, but has set a really nice base to launch from. Was as high a
change, including its CEO and board. Sells to large organisations software that interprets ordinary dat
to gather just how good its technology really is, but the technological capabilities do look unlimited. Is
direction again. CEO James Rubinsztein has turned around a company (and stock prospects of Infome
most comprehensive processor in the market. Needs some product improvements to become a power
consolidated
Another comingvery
offnicely and is worth
a long-term a crackWeekly
downtrend. at this spike
point.on
UNABLE TO BUY DUE
announcement TO RESTRICTION
of positive VIA
growth outlook
the point of cycle that is attractive - money is tight, so risks are higher on defaults and consumers mo
exciting.
Spanish Uranium developer looking to go into production with its wholly owned Salamanca project. No
catalyst worth taking a punt on, and chart does not scream archetype. Very much dependent on uran
in a relatively strong position balance sheet wise. Not now.
Graphite project in Tanzania. Big bull candle this week pushing off lows on no news. Testwork suggest
higher prices. JV with 60% ownership in downstream project. Evolution’s chosen flow sheet positions t
the thermally purified output, which provides a substantial competitive advantage to the overall e
sheet. Is this model exclusive to the business though? Similarities to Renascor business. DFS to be rel
see.
Chart actually looks very constructive. Nice even set up with green volume bars sticking up, with solid
world's only official music credits database. Not the most liquid stock, and only valued at $18m. While
all depend on launch & success of vinyl.com (Music marketplace), which my laptop blocked me from v
Chart looks alright (just passing liquidity test), breaking up. The base is a bit faulty. Looks like a faulty
stock has the desired strength.
This chart looks better. Base is nice and flat, with a strong breakthrough closing strongly well above tr
their condition dilligently. If it can break open the US market it will be worth its weighting in my portfo
point having entered US market with reimbusement model through Remote Physiologic Monitoring. Th
would like to see some strength, before breaking higher again from a solid base.
Seems very early on the story - hard to gauge given its operating in a niche which is quite complex. R
Dismissed last week and remain unconvinced on story, and now at a much more extended buy point.
Also produced signal 13/1. Risky jurisdiction (Cambodia), though cost economics are very sound. Good
higher, but that is OK. No major fundamental MOAT or any other qualities that are screaming out to m
Lithium miner which has been subject to a takeover bid from IGO and Tianqi since January. A spoiler b
19.55%, pushing the share price up on huge volume. Worth watching to see how it plays out, but cert
Big positive bull candle this week for the large Data Centres business on positive news. Not in my whe
Nice business model, though tied to cyclical industry. Probably not the time to enter given stage in ec
Chart looks decent enough, with some large up weeks accompanied with outsized volume which may
a portfolio of investments in data centres that it believes should benefit from the strong growth in dat
data centres in Asia Pacific that are exposed to Hyperscale cloud growth and regional/edge data centr
the pecking order in terms of leadership in the data centre industry. Would be getting on at 100% ma
Growth on news that full-year guidance expects to surpass previous forecast. Volume/Liquidity/Price s
The company owns 100% of its three WA projects. It hit large discovery in Oct 2022 with strong prese
resilient metal used in aviation & transport, manufacture of MRI scanners and other medical equipme
to its resistance to corrosion and biocompatibility. High grades hit at two separate tenements. The de
few market participants which currently control market share. Holds about $10m cash on hand. I belie
Capital raise announcement at $2.75 per share means hold off for time being and let market come ba
Already has two products in commercialisation, however the business, management, chart & liquidity
Not the business I am looking for.
Spike on news the company was awarded US$3 billion US Navy contract. Not ideal buy point, and fund
Not optimal on the chart or on the fundamentals.
Illiquidity could be an issue here. Nothing noteworthy meaning not investment grade quality.
Gapped up this week on a solitary volume bar. Last week liquidity filter only registered 12k, w
bonanza-grade gold discovered. Makes it a very interesting prospect. Holds 80% ownership in
sitting this one out and judge from the sidelines how this stock moves, with the excitement ar
requirements, and lacks real liquidity.
Not interested. Poor chart, and profit growth looks good mostly due to cost cuts in the busine
Again a solitary volume bar with no supporting volume throughout the setup. Nothing super c
Another one gapping up this week and going on with it. This was due to a contract win. Softw
systems into one place. Growth rates in key financial metrics of 10-25% (annually pcp) which
believe
Too it holds
much hope,anot
large and sustainable
enough evidence atmoat.
this point. It might well deliver good results now drill
Watch this space.
Similar business to Mach7 in that it is a software provider to the medical field, where it uses A
through the screening of breast cancer and mammogram procedures. There is nothing super
INCONCLUSIVE $4.19
INCONCLUSIVE $25.44
- NO TRADE
- #N/A
- #N/A
- #N/A
LUT #N/A
Missed the entry point when gapped down.
This did not show up in initial scan. Opted against entry on Monday.
system.
Monday.
TRENDPRO TRADING SY
52000 13.39%
DSE2 Shares Held Portfolio Size
Equity $110,000
Max Trade Risk 1.20%
$ Liquidity $1,127,000
Date In 4/24/2023 6/2/2023
Position (1) (2)
Entry Price 0.265 0.315
Margin 80% 80%
Shares 33000 19000
Stop Out 0.225 0.265
Trade Risk -1.20% -0.86%
Max Loss 1.20% 0.90%
Implied Loss 1.20% 0.86%
Size $8,745.00 $5,985.00
Outlay $6,996.00 $4,788.00
Comms In $7.00 $4.79
Comms Out
Shares sold
Sell Price
Date Out
Days Held 602 563
% of Position -15.09% -15.87%
% Total Equity
Slippage
0 0.00%
SRN
SRN
SRN Shares Held Portfolio Size
SRN Equity $100,000
SRN Max Trade Risk 1.70%
SRN $ Liquidity 305900
SRN Date In 3/14/2023 3/22/2023
SRN Position (1) (2)
SRN Entry Price 0.018 0.020
SRN Margin 100% 100%
SRN Shares 424861 142857
SRN Stop Out 0.016 0.017
SRN Trade Risk -0.85% -0.43%
SRN Max Loss 1.70% 1.45%
SRN Implied Loss 0.85% 0.85%
SRN Size $7,647.50 $2,857.14
SRN Outlay $7,647.50 $2,857.14
SRN Comms In $8.00 $8.00
SRN Comms Out $5.00 $2.50
SRN Shares sold 424861 142857
SRN Sell Price 0.017 0.017
SRN Date Out 4/28/2023 4/28/2023
SRN Days Held 45 37
SRN % of Position -11.11% -15.00%
SRN % Total Equity -0.44% -0.44%
0 0.00%
AVH
AVH
AVH Shares Held Portfolio Size
AVH Equity $110,000
AVH Max Trade Risk 1.15%
AVH $ Liquidity 2193000
AVH Date In 1/23/2023 2/3/2023
AVH Position (1) (2)
AVH Entry Price 2.450 2.710
AVH Margin 20% 20%
AVH Shares 2430 1983
AVH Stop Out 2.095 2.370
AVH Trade Risk -0.78% -0.61%
AVH Max Loss 1.15% 0.98%
AVH Implied Loss 0.78% 0.79%
AVH Size $5,953.50 $5,373.93
AVH Outlay $1,190.70 $1,074.79
AVH Comms In $4.76 $4.30
AVH Comms Out $4.85 $4.37
AVH Shares sold 2430 1983
AVH Sell Price 3.46 3.46
AVH Date Out 5/19/2023 5/19/2023
AVH Days Held 116 105
AVH % of Position -14.49% -12.55%
AVH % Total Equity 2.22% 1.34%
AVH Slippage 0.95% 0.78%
0 0.00%
1TT
1TT
1TT Shares Held Portfolio Size
1TT Equity $110,000
1TT Max Trade Risk 1.05%
1TT $ Liquidity 101400
1TT Date In 6/9/2023
1TT Position (1) (2)
1TT Entry Price 0.035 -
1TT Margin 100%
1TT Shares 72429
1TT Stop Out 0.028
1TT Trade Risk -0.46%
1TT Max Loss 1.05% 0.79%
1TT Implied Loss 0.46%
1TT Size $2,535.02
1TT Outlay $2,535.02
1TT Comms In $40.00
1TT Comms Out $5.00
1TT Shares sold 72429
1TT Sell Price 0.028
1TT Date Out 8/4/2023
1TT Days Held 56
1TT % of Position -20.00%
1TT % Total Equity -0.50%
1TT Slippage 0.00%
0 0.00%
VTM
VTM
VTM Shares Held Portfolio Size
VTM Equity $100,000
VTM Max Trade Risk 1.00%
VTM $ Liquidity 303200
VTM Date In 7/17/2023
VTM Position (1) (2)
VTM Entry Price 0.310 -
VTM Margin 100%
VTM Shares 18875
VTM Stop Out 0.257
VTM Trade Risk -1.00%
VTM Max Loss 1.00% 0.75%
VTM Implied Loss 1.00%
VTM Size $5,851.25
VTM Outlay $5,851.25
VTM Comms In $5.00
VTM Comms Out $5.00
VTM Shares sold 18875
VTM Sell Price 0.23
VTM Date Out 8/4/2023
VTM Days Held 18
VTM % of Position -17.10%
VTM % Total Equity -1.52%
VTM Slippage 0.51%
0 0.00%
DHG SHORT
DHG S
DHG S Shares Held Portfolio Size
DHG S Equity $100,000
DHG S Max Trade Risk 0.85%
DHG S $ Liquidity $20,380,000
DHG S Date In 8/18/2023
DHG SPosition (1) (2)
DHG S Entry Price 3.57 -
DHG S Margin 20%
DHG SShares -2165
DHG S Stop Out 3.96
DHG STrade Risk -0.85%
DHG SMax Loss 0.85% 0.34%
DHG S Implied Loss 0.85%
DHG SSize $7,729.05
DHG SOutlay $1,545.81
DHG S Comms In $10.00
DHG S Comms Out $5.00
DHG S Shares bought 2165
DHG S Buy Price 3.95
DHG S Date Out 9/8/2023
DHG S Days Held 21
DHG S Risk on Position -11.00%
DHG S % Total Equity -0.84%
DHG S Slippage 0.00%
O TRADING SYSTEM NEW LONG TRADE
- -
0.25%
-1.03% 0.00% $0
Avg Risk Slippage Profit per trade
- - -
- - -
- - -
0.00 0.00%
W/L Ratio Win/Loss EBR
Equity
Max Trade Risk
$ Liquidity
Date In
(9) (10) Position
Entry Price
Margin
Shares
- - Stop Out
Trade Risk
-23.63% -35.44% Max Loss
Implied Loss
Size
Outlay
Comms In
Comms Out
Shares sold
Sell Price
Date Out
Days Held
% of Position
% Total Equity
Slippage
-1.89 -1.89%
W/L Ratio Win/Loss
(9) (10)
- -
-16.11% -32.31%
1.12 0.39%
W/L Ratio Win/Loss
(9) (10)
- -
-10.88% -21.83%
-0.50 -0.50%
W/L Ratio Win/Loss
(9) (10)
- -
-20.67% -31.01%
-1.52 -1.52%
W/L Ratio Win/Loss
(9) (10)
- -
-19.70% -29.54%
-0.84 -0.84%
W/L Ratio Win/Loss
(9) (10)
- -
-18.59% -25.10%
CHART POS
595
-15.85%
CHART POST-ANALYSIS
- - -
- - -
Slippage
POSITION 3
521 497
-15.38% -15.13%
POSITION 3
- - -
- - -
Slippage
POSITION 4
493
-17.93%
ON 4
-0.27% 0.00% $0
Avg Risk Slippage Profit per trade
(9) (10)
- -
-19.69% -29.53%
POS
POSITION 5
POSITION 6
POSITION 6
POSITION 7
ON 7
POSITION 8 - SELL LOSERS
8 - SELL LOSERS & CONCENTRATE PORTFOLIO
TRATE PORTFOLIO
POS
POSITION 9 - SELL LOSERS & CONCE
LOSERS & CONCENTRATE PORTFOLIO
RTFOLIO
POSITION 10 - MAXIMUM HOL
0 - MAXIMUM HOLDINGS - SELL LOSERS & CON
LL LOSERS & CONCENTRATE PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO
BLA
BLANK 11
BLANK 12
BLANK 12
-327 7.72%
SEK SHORT Shares Held Portfolio Size
Equity $100,000
Max Trade Risk 0.85%
$ Liquidity $129,100,000
Date In 8/18/2023
Position (1) (2)
Entry Price 23.62 -
Margin 20%
Shares -327
Stop Out 26.22
Trade Risk -0.85%
Max Loss 0.85% 0.34%
Implied Loss 0.85%
Size $7,723.74
Outlay $1,544.75
Comms In
Comms Out
Shares bought
Buy Price
Date Out
Days Held 486
Risk on Position -11.00%
% Total Equity
Slippage
1.54% 0.01% $0.00
Cash Portion Illiquidity Trade Costs
Slippage
-142 10.17% 2.03%
Shares Held Portfolio Size Cash Portion
$100,000
1.12%
$280,800,000
8/18/2023
(1) (2) (3)
71.65 - -
20%
-142
79.53
-1.12%
1.12% 0.45% -0.37%
1.12%
$10,174.30
$2,034.86
486
-11.00%
0.00% $0.00 -1.12%
Illiquidity Trade Costs Avg Risk
Slippage
15.78% 3.16% 0.01%
Portfolio Size Cash Portion Illiquidity
$100,000
1.10%
$280,800,000
DSE2 10.71% 13.39% Editing this shape or saving this workbook into a d
chart.
EBR 3.50% 5.00%
DUG 6.94% 17.36%
BIO 4.46% 4.46%
CASH 74.39%
INVESTED 25.61% 40.21%
LIFETIME TRADES
TRADES AVG GAIN AVG LOSS W/L Ratio
7.42% -1.67% 4.44
#NAME?
$4,136.34 -$912.62 4.53
$140,000.00
$120,000.00
$140,000.00
$120,000.00
$100,000.00
$80,000.00
$60,000.00
$40,000.00
$20,000.00
$0.00
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33
PORTFOLIO METRICS
iting this shape or saving this workbook into a different file format will permanently break the
art.
20.00%
18.00%
16.00%
14.00%
12.00%
10.00%
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
ETIME TRADES
Adjusted Ratio ExpectancyBATTING AVERAGE
#NAME? #NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME? #NAME?
18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63
OLIO METRICS
PORTFOLIO WEIGHTINGS
20.00%
18.00% DUG
16.00%
14.00% DSE2
12.00%
10.00%
8.00%
6.00% EBR
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
RECENT TRADES
TRADES AVG GAIN AVG LOSS W/L Ratio
7.42% -1.67% 4.44
#NAME?
$4,136.34 -$912.62 4.53
51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 75 78 81 84 87 90 93
IO WEIGHTINGS
DUG
BIO
ENT TRADES
Adjusted RatioExpectancyBATTING AVERAGE
#NAME? #NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME? #NAME?
$40,000.00 Oct-20
-$61,145.72 35 10
$75,353.43 16 10
-$7,710.72 16 2
0
$67,642.71 67 ###
5 Tickers Number Position Stock Input Date In
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
Max positions
10 Stock Index Position Stock Stock(N) Date In
1 1 #NAME? #NAME?
1 2 #NAME? #NAME?
1 3 #NAME? #NAME?
1 4 #NAME? #NAME?
1 5 #NAME? #NAME?
1 6 #NAME? #NAME?
1 7 #NAME? #NAME?
1 8 #NAME? #NAME?
1 9 #NAME? #NAME?
1 10 #NAME? #NAME?
2 1 #NAME? #NAME?
2 2 #NAME? #NAME?
2 3 #NAME? #NAME?
2 4 #NAME? #NAME?
2 5 #NAME? #NAME?
2 6 #NAME? #NAME?
2 7 #NAME? #NAME?
2 8 #NAME? #NAME?
2 9 #NAME? #NAME?
2 10 #NAME? #NAME?
3 1 #NAME? #NAME?
3 2 #NAME? #NAME?
3 3 #NAME? #NAME?
3 4 #NAME? #NAME?
3 5 #NAME? #NAME?
3 6 #NAME? #NAME?
3 7 #NAME? #NAME?
3 8 #NAME? #NAME?
3 9 #NAME? #NAME?
3 10 #NAME? #NAME?
4 1 #NAME? #NAME?
4 2 #NAME? #NAME?
4 3 #NAME? #NAME?
4 4 #NAME? #NAME?
4 5 #NAME? #NAME?
4 6 #NAME? #NAME?
4 7 #NAME? #NAME?
4 8 #NAME? #NAME?
4 9 #NAME? #NAME?
4 10 #NAME? #NAME?
5 1 #NAME? #NAME?
5 2 #NAME? #NAME?
5 3 #NAME? #NAME?
5 4 #NAME? #NAME?
5 5 #NAME? #NAME?
5 6 #NAME? #NAME?
5 7 #NAME? #NAME?
5 8 #NAME? #NAME?
5 9 #NAME? #NAME?
TRADE LEDGER
Date Out Days Held P/L Outlay Size Slippage
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
Date Out Days Held P/L Outlay Size Slippage
Comms InComms Out Shares Exit Price Costs Dividends
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
Shares bought Buy Price
Comms In Comms Out Shares sold Sell Price Trade Costs Dividends
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
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CLIENT STATEMENT CHECKLIST
Month IG FP
Oct-20 ☑ ☑
Nov-20 ☑
Dec-20 ☑
Jan-21 ☑
Feb-21 ☑
Mar-21 ☑
Apr-21 ☑
May-21 ☑
Jun-21 ☑
Jul-21 ☑
Aug-21 ☑
Sep-21 ☑
Oct-21 ☑
Nov-21 ☑
Dec-21 ☑
Jan-22 ☑
Feb-22 ☑
Mar-22 ☑
Apr-22 ☑
May-22 ☑
Jun-22 ☑
Jul-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Oct-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
Jan-23
Feb-23
Mar-23
Apr-23
May-23
Jun-23
Jul-23
Aug-23
Sep-23
Oct-23
Nov-23
Dec-23
Jan-24
Feb-24
Mar-24
Apr-24
May-24
Jun-24
Jul-24
Aug-24
Sep-24
Oct-24
Nov-24
Dec-24
Split 1 Split 2
** SHORT P/L WRONG **
DIVIDENDS
Stock Date Per Share Quantity Total Dividend
CVL 3/26/2021 $0.01 4348 $ 43.48
VEE 4/19/2021 $0.0043 10000 $ 43.00
VEE 9/21/2021 $0.0045 10000 $ 45.00
CVL 12/17/2021 $0.01 4348 $ 43.48
TRADE COSTS (SHORT BORROWING)
Franking Credit Stock Date Amount
$ 18.63
$ -
$ -
$ 18.63
OPTIMAL ENTRY - SHORT TRADE
LEVEL MAX RISK IRR TYPE VOL
2.50% 90% ANY 30+
2.40% 90% ANY < 30
10 2.25% 65% ANY 30+
2.15% 65% ANY < 30
2.00% 45% SMA CROSS 30+
1.85% 45% SMA CROSS < 30
9
1.85% 30% SMA CROSS 30+
1.75% 30% SMA CROSS < 30
8 1.75% 45% BE or LUT 30+
1.70% MIN SMA CROSS 30+
1.60% 45% BE or LUT < 30
7
1.60% 30% BE or LUT 30+
1.50% MIN SMA CROSS < 30
1.50% MIN BE or LUT 30+
6
1.50% 30% BE or LUT < 30
1.50% 90% - 30+
1.30% MIN BE or LUT < 30
5 1.30% 90% - < 30
1.30% 65% - 30+
1.20% 65% - < 30
4
1.20% 45% - 30+
1.10% 45% - < 30
3
1.10% 30% - 30+
1.00% 30% - < 30
2
1.00% MIN - 30+
1 0.85% MIN - < 30
TYPE DEFINITION
BE Bearish Engulfing
LUT Long Upper Tail
SMA CROSS Candle Body through 100-week SMA
- Normal Bear
ANY Either BE, LUT or SMA CROSS
SETUP STRUCTURE
1. IN SUSTAINED CHOPPY BASE
2. HAD RECENT SELL OFF
3. 'WANING' TOP FROM PEAK
4. FIRST SETUP PIECE
INCONCLUSIVE
STOP AUTOMATION - LONG TRADE CRITERIA 2 - LONG TRADE
Price Range MAX Stop Multiplier Decimals
< 0.1 19% 0.81 3
0.1-0.29 18% 0.82 3
0.3-0.49 17% 0.83 3
0.5-0.99 16% 0.84 2
1.0-1.49 15.50% 0.845 2
1.5-2.49 15% 0.85 2
2.5-3.49 14.50% 0.855 2
3.5-4.49 14% 0.86 2
4.5-5.49 13.50% 0.865 2
5.5-6.49 13% 0.87 2
6.5-8.49 12.50% 0.875 2
>= 8.5 12% 0.88 2
% Gain % Loss G/L Ratio 30 % Win Rate 40 % Win Rate 50 % Win Rate
3% 1% 3 to 1 1.85% 5.96% 10.25%
6% 2% 3 to 1 3.40% 11.84% 20.96%
9% 3% 3 to 1 4.64% 17.58% 32.13%
12% 4% 3 to 1 5.57% 23.17% 43.70%
15% 5% 3 to 1 6.21% 28.57% 55.63%
18% 6% 3 to 1 6.55% 33.75% 67.90% Goldilocks
Zone
21% 7% 3 to 1 6.59% 38.69% 80.44%
24% 8% 3 to 1 6.36% 43.36% 93.22%
27% 9% 3 to 1 5.85% 47.73% 106.17%
30% 10% 3 to 1 5.08% 51.78% 119.24%
33% 11% 3 to 1 4.06% 55.51% 132.39%
36% 12% 3 to 1 2.80% 58.87% 145.53%
39% 13% 3 to 1 1.32% 61.87% 158.62%
42% 14% 3 to 1 -0.38% 64.49% 171.60%
45% 15% 3 to 1 -2.27% 66.72% 184.40%
48% 16% 3 to 1 -4.34% 68.55% 196.96%
51% 17% 3 to 1 -6.57% 69.97% 209.23%
54% 18% 3 to 1 -8.95% 70.99% 221.12%
Optimal Risk vs Reward 3.5:1
10 Trade Compounded Return on Investment
% Gain % Loss G/L Ratio 30 % Win Rate 33 % Win Rate 40 % Win Rate
3.5% 1% 3.5 to 1 3.34% 4.88% 8.04%
7.0% 2% 3.5 to 1 6.35% 9.51% 16.12%
10.5% 3% 3.5 to 1 9.02% 13.85% 24.19%
14.0% 4% 3.5 to 1 11.33% 17.89% 32.20%
17.5% 5% 3.5 to 1 13.29% 21.60% 40.12%
21.0% 6% 3.5 to 1 14.88% 24.96% 47.88%
24.5% 7% 3.5 to 1 16.12% 27.96% 55.44%
28.0% 8% 3.5 to 1 16.99% 30.59% 62.77%
31.5% 9% 3.5 to 1 17.51% 32.83% 69.81%
35.0% 10% 3.5 to 1 17.68% 34.69% 76.52%
38.5% 11% 3.5 to 1 17.51% 36.16% 82.87%
42.0% 12% 3.5 to 1 17.02% 37.23% 88.82%
45.5% 13% 3.5 to 1 16.20% 37.91% 94.34%
49.0% 14% 3.5 to 1 15.09% 38.21% 99.40%
52.5% 15% 3.5 to 1 13.70% 38.13% 103.98%
56.0% 16% 3.5 to 1 12.03% 37.67% 108.05%
59.5% 17% 3.5 to 1 10.11% 36.87% 111.60%
63.0% 18% 3.5 to 1 7.96% 35.71% 114.60%
66.5% 19% 3.5 to 1 5.59% 34.23% 117.05%
70.0% 20% 3.5 to 1 3.03% 32.43% 118.95%
Optimal Risk vs Rew
Optimal Risk vs Reward 4:1
10 Trade Compounded Return on Investment
% Gain % Loss G/L Ratio 30 % Win Rate 33 % Win Rate 40 % Win Rate
4% 1% 4 to 1 4.84% 6.58% 10.14%
8% 2% 4 to 1 9.36% 12.96% 20.52%
12% 3% 4 to 1 13.52% 19.08% 31.07%
16% 4% 4 to 1 17.29% 24.92% 41.73%
20% 5% 4 to 1 20.67% 30.44% 52.43%
24% 6% 4 to 1 23.64% 35.59% 63.10%
28% 7% 4 to 1 26.19% 40.35% 73.68%
32% 8% 4 to 1 28.30% 44.69% 84.09%
36% 9% 4 to 1 29.99% 48.60% 94.27%
40% 10% 4 to 1 31.24% 52.05% 104.16%
44% 11% 4 to 1 32.07% 55.03% 113.69%
48% 12% 4 to 1 32.48% 57.52% 122.81%
52% 13% 4 to 1 32.48% 59.54% 131.47%
56% 14% 4 to 1 32.09% 61.06% 139.60%
60% 15% 4 to 1 31.31% 62.09% 147.17%
64% 16% 4 to 1 30.16% 62.65% 154.13%
68% 17% 4 to 1 28.67% 62.72% 160.44%
72% 18% 4 to 1 26.85% 62.34% 166.07%
76% 19% 4 to 1 24.72% 61.50% 170.99%
80% 20% 4 to 1 22.31% 60.22% 175.19%
mal Risk vs Reward - Maths
Optimal Risk vs Reward 4.33:1 (CURRENT)
10 Trade Compounded Return on Investment
CURRENT
% Gain % Loss G/L Ratio 30 % Win Rate 33 % Win Rate 35 % Win Rate
4.33% 1% 4.33 to 1 5.85% 7.71% 8.66%
8.66% 2% 4.33 to 1 11.38% 15.27% 17.28%
12.99% 3% 4.33 to 1 16.55% 22.63% 25.79%
17.32% 4% 4.33 to 1 21.34% 29.72% 34.14%
21.65% 5% 4.33 to 1 25.72% 36.51% 42.26%
25.98% 6% 4.33 to 1 29.66% 42.94% 50.10%
30.31% 7% 4.33 to 1 33.14% 48.97% 57.60%
34.64% 8% 4.33 to 1 36.16% 54.56% 64.71%
38.97% 9% 4.33 to 1 38.69% 59.69% 71.39%
43.30% 10% 4.33 to 1 40.75% 64.32% 77.60%
47.63% 11% 4.33 to 1 42.32% 68.44% 83.29%
51.96% 12% 4.33 to 1 43.41% 72.02% 88.45%
56.29% 13% 4.33 to 1 44.02% 75.04% 93.03%
60.62% 14% 4.33 to 1 44.17% 77.51% 97.03%
64.95% 15% 4.33 to 1 43.88% 79.42% 100.43%
69.28% 16% 4.33 to 1 43.14% 80.76% 103.21%
73.61% 17% 4.33 to 1 41.99% 81.55% 105.36%
77.94% 18% 4.33 to 1 40.45% 81.79% 106.89%
82.27% 19% 4.33 to 1 38.53% 81.48% 107.80%
86.60% 20% 4.33 to 1 36.26% 80.65% 108.10%
Stock Trigger
Code Buy Date Open Close
EPD 10/16/2020 0.507 0.59
DSE 10/19/2020 0.081 0.12
IKE 10/19/2020 0.87 1.00
LYC 11/17/2020 3.09 3.28
VEE 11/19/2020 0.57 0.65
CXO 11/30/2020 0.049 0.063
RAC 11/30/2020 1.405 2.15
RCL 11/30/2020 0.54 0.68
SNS 12/7/2020 0.105 0.145
VBS 12/14/2020 1.20 1.49
BMN 12/15/2020 0.051 0.07
BFG 12/21/2020 1.485 1.66
EL8 1/4/2021 0.12 0.155
HVN 1/11/2021 4.7 4.99
TMH 1/27/2021 0.28 0.365
TMH (B) 2/10/2021 0.28 0.365
RNU 1/29/2021 0.018 0.03
CVL 2/8/2021 0.47 0.56
UWL 3/10/2021 2.14 2.30
MDC 3/10/2021 n/a n/a
DW8 3/22/2021 0.08 0.105
CXL 3/22/2021 2.16 2.27
MCA 3/22/2021 0.255 0.30
KPG 5/7/2021 2.36 2.75
PDN 6/15/2021 0.505 0.6
MYE 8/16/2021 0.97 1.09
AMS 8/19/2021 1.1 1.3
EPM 8/30/2021 0.027 0.039
CLU 9/7/2021 1.3 1.48
Stock Check
ATR Take
PYRAMIDS
Divergence Position?
LYC (2) 1/6/2021 1.10 1
CXO (2) 1/7/2021 1.67 0
BMN (2) 1/15/2021 1.77 0
CXO (3) 1/21/2021 2.03 0
LYC (3) 1/21/2021 1.22 1
LYC (4) 1/25/2021 1.43 1
CXO (4) 1/27/2021 2.17 0
CXO (5) 2/5/2021 2.17 0
DSE (2) 2/10/2021 1.49 1
HVN (2) 2/10/2021 1 1
TMH (2) 3/1/2021 2.14 0
LYC (5) 3/24/2021 1.49 1
DW8 (2) 4/9/2021 1.83 0
UWL (2) 6/7/2021 1.1 1
KPG (2) 7/9/2021 1.48 1
CXL (2) 8/9/2021 1.36 TRUE
FILTER FOR CHEAP COMPANIES? E.g. 12-period (day or week? Day preferred) volume filter.
hanging hands each day? This can be a guide to maximum position size for more illiquid stocks
x position size) of average traded daily volume. $50,000 per day = max $5,000 position size
Risk Entry
Maximum Actual Level Price Stop
IG $ 10.00
FP $ 5.00
FP $ 10.00
IG $ 5.00
FP $ 5.00
FP $ 9.06
IG $ 5.00
FP $ 30.00
FP $ 9.99
IG $ 5.00
FP $ 9.94
IG $ 5.00
FP $ 21.17
FP $ 5.60
FP $ 14.00
IG $ 5.00
FP $ 2.39
IG $ 5.00
FP $ 13.97
IG $ 5.00
FP $ 4.67
FP $ 8.21
IG $ 8.00
IG $ 8.00
FP $ 6.51
IG $ 8.00
FP $ 9.27
IG $ 8.00
FP $ 20.00
FP $ 34.78
IG $ 8.00
FP $ 5.52
FP $ 3.94
***
$ 448.61
IG $ 166.90 $ 134,149.37
FP $ 281.71 $ 70,536.18
Ledger Activity
Broker Comms
FP $ 10.82
IG $ 4.99
IG $ 9.98
IG $ 4.99
FP $ 10.00
FP $ 10.00
IG $ 4.99
IG $ 4.99
IG $ 4.99
FP $ 10.39
IG $ 9.98
FP $ 11.25
FP $ 9.00
FP $ 9.00
FP $ 9.00
FP $ 2.87
IG $ 8.00
FP $ 10.00
SPP $ -
IG $ 5.00
IG $ 5.00
IG $ 10.00
FP $ 10.00
SPP -
IG $ 5.00
FP $ 9.33
FP $ 6.97
FP $ 15.98
IG $ 8.00
IG $ 8.00
IG $ 8.00
IG $ 8.00
IG $ 8.00
IG $ 16.00
IG $ 8.00
IG $ 5.00
FP $ 5.52
FP $ 5.52
$ 300,552.62
26-Mar-21 43.48
19-Apr-21 43
17-Dec-21 43.48?
21-Sep-21 45
LONG PYRAMIDS
1 2 3 4
SHORT PYRAMIDS
1 2 3 4
5 6 7 8
3 5.25 8.75 13.125
9 10
19.69 29.53125
9 10
19.69 29.53125
Stock Exit
Code Sell Date Price Quantity
$ 2,319.30 FP $ - $ 5.00
avg margin
46.4%
Money Management
Buy Size Margin Outlay Risk
Turnover $ 300,552.62
ROIC #REF!
before TAX
Profit/Loss
Dividends Borrowing P/L
$ - -$ 891.89
$ - -$ 554.83
$ - -$ 691.73
$ - -$ 635.02
$ - -$ 808.05
$ - -$ 319.95
$ - -$ 735.98
$ - -$ 618.47
$ - -$ 1,084.97
$ 61.20 $ 635.55
$ - -$ 456.19
-$ 1,044.42
$ -
$ 269.62 $ 568.42
$ - -$ 1,724.33
$ - -$ 1,121.91
$ - $ 11,462.50
$ - $ 7,260.43
$ - $ 4,726.58
$ - $ 2,467.72
$ - -$ 846.68
$ - -$ 182.29
$ - -$ 430.82
$ - -$ 590.56
-$ 1,352.68
** -$ 608.33
** $ 141.42
** -$ 1,644.60
-$ 302.66
-$ 970.34
** -$ 1,217.06
** $ 2,474.71
-$ 47.03
-$ 458.73
$ 1,177.00
-$ 166.23
$ 4.39 -$ 340.56
$ 88.00 $ 2,198.67
-$ 685.26
-$ 15.00
$ 291.24
-$ 1,085.41
$ 8,493.94
$ 1,544.94
-$ 567.96
-$ 245.22
-$ 13.91
$ 4,248.41
$ 40.75
-$ 1,013.35
-$ 612.82
-$ 730.54
-$ 1,210.39
-$ 1,819.49
-$ 1,987.76
-$ 2,140.74
$ 3,517.00
$ 659.28
-$ 1,637.70
-$ 1,314.20
-$ 3,833.97
-$ 1,011.22
$ 86.96 $ 436.25
-$ 1,216.38
-$ 528.52
-$ 977.50
-$ 1,156.49
$ 3,191.10
$ 1,809.01
-$ 560.58
$ 6,855.64
$ 0.45 -$ 372.87
$ 3,888.08
$ 1,400.91
$ 937.91
-$ 7.49
$ 504.79
$ 4,153.36
-$ 2,158.60
-$ 43.74
-$ 948.33
-$ 752.43
-$ 1,014.57
-$ 2,859.01
-$ 2,781.31
$ 37,304.63
$ 9,748.77
$ 3,868.05
$ 3,725.37
$ 1,295.30
-$ 165.29
-$ 911.18
-$ 152.73
-$ 513.65
-$ 648.32
-$ 924.75
-$ 276.12
$ 3,999.36
$ 1,472.05
-$ 707.20
$ 1.56 -$ 1,697.42
** ***
$ 75,353.43
P/L #REF!
NEW FILTER FOR ENTRY:
take top 33% (10 of past 30 candles) and calculates number of green candles v red
RULES
< $5 no trade
6wk criteria 75% of 13wk criteria just have minimum rise for 20 wee
500m max??
75m 10
125m 9
175m 8
225m 7
275m 6
350m 5
450m 4
550m 3
650m 2
750m 1
+ 0
green candles v red
3 points 4 points
Min Growth Min Growth
40% 65%
41% 66%
42% 67%
43% 68%
44% 69%
45% 70%
46% 71%
47% 72%
48% 73%
49% 74%
50% 75%
NICE TO HAVES
ks (lowest open to prev high) OR
eeks (lowest open to prev high) Setup volume support
eriods) at trigger point
ve minimum rise for 20 weeks? 6 week will still be included if rise is enough
s outstanding & Price relationship -- is it possible to source the shares outstanding at different poin
Using Top 10
If there are any noticeable outliers, we can make the outlier equal to n
If ratio >= 1.50, then "Position" is eligible to be traded and turns light
TO CONTINUE HERE If trade taken, write "Buy"in which case cell turns dark green, indicatin
Notes (if not - ) However, we need to differentiate between red and green.
Perhaps if "Buy" written in red cell, then it should not turn dark green
"CLEAR AIR" -> TRIGGER BODY MUST BE AT LEAST HALF WAY ABOVE PREVIOUS BODY POINT?
BACK TO BACK GAP UPS (WEEKLY CHART) IS A NON-NEGOTIABLE SELL SIGNAL (WHERE ALL
e bars in setup (past 30 periods) -- use when > 200k liquidity -- Top 6 or Top 10
EXIT POINTS;
Climax Run - Profit
Outsized at top of trend - Pordit
6 4
1.4
hould not turn dark green but another colour all together - indicating its difference.
22 weeks
Stock Green Red RATIO Liquidity
A2M 123.69 54.33 2.28
AGI 2893.7 1382.4 2.09
ALD 12.11 6.184 1.96
LYC 269.52 104.42 2.58
CXO 104.58 91.66 1.14
LTR
PDN
FMG
CDA
FPH
JIN
KPG
LKE
UWL
ALL
e 31 weeks = 7 months
2 weeks = 5 months
must obey the ratio rule
or relative reducement is vol --Candle
exception
prev
to this rule when trigger has long upper
Stock Date 10-3 yield VIX V < 40 SMA
Trend Strength (IRR)
A2M1 8/9/2019 -0.26 17.97 YES
A2M2 8/23/2019 -0.45 19.87 -
A2M3 8/21/2020 0.54 22.54 YES
BHP1 4/15/2011 -
BHP2 2/22/2013
BHP3 8/20/2021
BSL1 6/27/2008
BSL2 8/17/2018
BSL3 8/20/2021
BXB1 3/27/1998
BXB2 8/25/2000
BXB3 6/22/2007
BXB4 11/9/2007
CDA1 2/28/2020
CDA2 8/20/2021
CPU1 5/7/1999
CPU2 12/22/2000
CROX1 9/12/2014
MFG1 8/23/2013
MFG2 2/28/2020
MFG3 7/9/2021
PPK1 9/17/2021
WOR1 1/11/2008
WOR2 3/30/2012
TNE
when trigger has long upper tail / stock in climax run
(Body, -1) Recession Outcome
tiny green Pre Good
small red Pre Neutral
tiny red Post Very Good
Poor
Very Good
Good
Poor
Good
very good
very good
very good
good
either volume spike or dominating volume
mini spike
mini spike
high volume,
dominating volume,
spike
volume big spike
First Peak Open Close
2,2, 2 =6 yes 16.79 15.23
2,2, 2=6 yes 15.05 13.59
2,2, 4 = 8 = 9 no +1 18.97 18.37
MISS
2,2,3 = 7 11.62 10.54
2,2,3 =7 11.56 10.86
2,2, 4 =8 incl 12.97 11.27
2,2, FAIL
2,2,5 = 9 not avail 9.51 8.53
2,2, FAIL
2,2,3 =7 70 55.76
2,2,3 = 7 not avail 55.9 51.21
ake the min value of these two maxes 20% may not revert 20%
40-50% may not revert to 50%
Entry Crtieria 1. Clear trend is defined (bottom left to top right). 5-year view. Must have
Exception to rule 1, is when a mini-uptrend takes place after dowturn started (such as MFG
Entry Criteria 2. Close below trading range (The LLV of previous 3 candles minimum), OR
ENTRY POINT:
If trigger candle < X%, Then buy at close.
Else, Buy at pullback (depends on size - scale system). Third of Half of trigger body, for exa
NSR short
Perhaps 10% risk buffer on position as intial stop. Never exceed 100% bounce back
type trend
2,1,0 2,2,1,0 Need to define character
TREND MUST BE EXACTLY 5
trading range -1 1. Prolonged Top - > 10 mo
2. Climax - x% increase in p
3. Strong Close below range
4. Long upper tail (H-O)/O >
Not available as option if strong close selected as an5. Dominating Volume - per
6. Bearish Engulfing must h
Not available as option if prolonged top selected as 7. Wholesale change to the
evious 3 candles minimum), OR High at All-Time (either climax top or prolonged Top). Quantify these tops.
DIVIDENDS
open 13.37
close 12.78
-4.41%
EXIT/PYRAMID LONG
(TEST LONG Intial STOPS - table method or short method)
Test new volume entry criteria
ADD DIVIDENDS PAID AND BORROWING COSTS (Only FP) TO TRACKER STOCKS
VOLUME SETUP/TRIGG
BUSINESS DIVERSION
1 4-7x 6-8x
2 7-10x 8-12x LOWEST CLOSE IN X P
3 10-15x 12-16x
4 15x 16+ LONG UPPER TAIL
uantify these tops. Trend Strength on a TWR basis - lowest close to highest close
DIVIDENDS
IRR 37.97%
BUSINESS DIVERSION
REND STRENGTH
TNE 41.0%
39.7%
28.7%
RULES OF THE SHORT TRADE:
Trend Strength
15-25% Time since HHV close
25-45% Volume
45-70% Close Below /
70%+ Upper Tail / Bearish Engulfin
Business Diversion
DATE MUST ALWAYS BE 5 YEARS TO HIGH, then take lowest close within that time
mimimum 15% pa
If not at high, can go back to hhv (close) then take prior 5 years from there
1.5x vol/green
80 vol weeks 1.8x vol/green
2.5x
3.5x
Above 50
Above 60
Above 70
w 100 SMA
weighting
40
20
25
10
5
0
CRITERIA x Value
Highest volume for x weeks:
If past 1 year since HHC, then must have closed below 100-week SMA (a
OR Med IRR and High vol
ome void?
Date 12/6/2022
Level 0.12
Price 0.395
Shares 4048
Buy Size $1,598.96
Margin 100%
Outlay $1,598.96
Broker IG
Comms $8.00
Price
Shares Sold
Sell Size
Comms
Days Held 78
Balance
% Gain/Loss
Broker FP FP FP
Comms
Days Held 37 28 21
Broker FP FP FP
Comms $4.76
Price
Shares Sold
Sell Size
Comms
Days Held
Balance
% Gain/Loss
EQUITY $ VOLUME LIQUIDITY
Date 3/13/2023
Level 0.00
Price 0.0180
Shares 183333
Buy Size $3,299.99
Margin 100%
Outlay $3,299.99
Broker IG
Comms
Price
Shares Sold
Sell Size
Comms
Days Held
Balance
% Gain/Loss
EQUITY $ VOLUME LIQUIDITY
XXX
Date
Max Risk
Act Risk
Level
Price
Initial Stop
Shares
Buy Size
Margin
Outlay
Broker
Comms
Price
Shares Sold
Sell Size
Comms
Days Held
Balance
% Gain/Loss
EQUITY $ VOLUME LIQUIDITY
Date 1/11/2023
Level 0.05
Price 0.425
Shares 11597
Buy Size $4,928.72
Margin 70%
Outlay $3,450.11
Broker FP
Comms $3.94
Price $0.4125
Comms $3.83
Days Held 9
Balance -$152.73
% Gain/Loss -0.13%
5 6 7 8 9
3.0% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
$825.00
NEW EQUITY $ VOLUME LIQUIDITY
$862.50
NEW EQUITY $ VOLUME LIQUIDITY
$862.50
NEW EQUITY $ VOLUME LIQUIDITY
$825.00
NEW EQUITY $ VOLUME LIQUIDITY
NEW EQUITY $ VOLUME LIQUIDITY
$862.50
10 11 12 13 14
2.5% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
Divid
SNAPSHOT
Per Share
Days Held (First Entry)
78
Average Risk
$485.76
Weighted Average Price
$0.40
Outlay (Total/Average)
$1,598.96
$1,598.96
Buy Commissions
$8.00
RECAP
Weighted Average Price
Shares Remaining
Analysis
P2+3
Divid
SNAPSHOT
Per Share
Days Held (First Entry)
37
Average Risk
$602.28
Weighted Average Price
$1.20
Outlay (Total/Average)
$10,349.45
$3,449.82
Buy Commissions
$16.56
RECAP
Weighted Average Price
$1.09
Shares Remaining
Analysis
0
P2+3
Outlay (Total/Average)
$3,764.53
$1,254.84
Buy Commissions
$4.76
RECAP
Shares Remaining
Analysis
P2+3
Outlay (Total/Average)
$3,299.99
$3,299.99
Buy Commissions
RECAP
Weighted Average Price
Shares Remaining
Analysis
P2+3
Average Risk
Outlay (Total/Average)
$0.00
Buy Commissions
RECAP
Weighted Average Price
Shares Remaining
Analysis
P2+3
Outlay (Total/Average)
$3,450.11
$3,450.11
Buy Commissions
$3.94
RECAP
Weighted Average Price
$0.41
Shares Remaining
Analysis
0
Dividends Received
Quantity Total Franking Date
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
TRADE ANALYSIS
Analysis
Entry
P2+3
P4+5
Dividends Received
Quantity Total Franking Date
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
TRADE ANALYSIS
Analysis
Entry Good.
P2+3 P2 good.
P4+5
Exit
Dividends Received
Quantity Total Franking Date
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
TRADE ANALYSIS
Analysis
Entry
P2+3
P4+5
Exit
Dividends Received
Quantity Total Franking Date
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
TRADE ANALYSIS
Analysis
Entry
P2+3
P4+5
Exit
Dividends Received
Quantity Total Franking Date
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
TRADE ANALYSIS
Analysis
Entry
P2+3
P4+5
Exit
Dividends Received
Quantity Total Franking Date
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
TRADE ANALYSIS
Hypothesis would be correct - it had all the hallmarks of an archetype with str
Analysis However, ommitted critical news which saw the business had sold their core b
Next time, we must leave enough time to analyse the business proper - espec
Entry Good.
P2+3 N/A
P4+5 N/A
Dividends Received
Per Share Quantity Total Franking Date
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
ANALYSIS
Dividends Received
Per Share Quantity Total Franking Date
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
ANALYSIS
Dividends Received
Per Share Quantity Total Franking Date
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
ANALYSIS
Dividends Received
Per Share Quantity Total Franking Date
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
ANALYSIS
Dividends Received
Per Share Quantity Total Franking Date
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
ANALYSIS
Dividends Received
Per Share Quantity Total Franking Date
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
ANALYSIS
s of an archetype with strong fundamentals and moat.
ness had sold their core business. Therefore, we must exit.
e business proper - especially news flow in smaller businesses.
the sale of core business.
ysis
Dividends Received
Per Share Quantity Total Franking
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
TRADE RESULTS
Dividends Received
Per Share Quantity Total Franking
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
TRADE RESULTS
Dividends Received
Per Share Quantity Total Franking
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
TRADE RESULTS
Dividends Received
Per Share Quantity Total Franking
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
TRADE RESULTS
Dividends Received
Per Share Quantity Total Franking
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
TRADE RESULTS
Dividends Received
Per Share Quantity Total Franking
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
TRADE RESULTS
Date
Franked
S
Date
Franked
S
Date
Franked
S
Date
Franked
S
Date
Franked
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Date
Franked
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Average Gain Average Loss
How to have open positions at top of page
Average RoR Total Return
KEY METRICS
Average Gain
Average Loss
Gain-to-Pain Ratio
Total Gain
Total Outlay
Reward/Risk Ratio
Return/Time Ratio
(dollar per day)
From first day
Average ROI
ROI
Annualised ROI
Rate of Return
Average Time held (Gains)
Average Time held (Losses)
Time Gains/Time Losses
Average Margin Used
Leverage v Full Margin
Alpha
Sharpe ratio
Sortino ratio
ould use relative strength v market once in position - looks to be divergence if Index moving up, stock cannot h
rnings week (mid Aug), must technicals be exact?
rgence if Index moving up, stock cannot hit same highs = good sign
TICKER ARCHETYPE SIGNAL DATE
D_ARB.AX ARB CORPORATION ORD 3/27/2009
MONADELPHOUS GROUP
D_MND.AX 8/27/2004
ORD
D_SSM.AX SERVICE STREAM ORD 5/15/2015
CLEANAWAY WASTE
D_CWY.AX 8/19/2016
MANAGEMENT ORD
PHOSLOCK ENVIRONMENTAL
D_PET.AX 4/1/2016
TECHNOLO ORD
13.1
TP Above MA 22.5
TP Above MA
25.6
17.61
< 13
13
15.9
21.7
19.5
20.5
40 (SUPER)
15.2
14.5
16.7
19
17.1
SUPER GAP UP 38.2 (SUPER)
(SUPER)
At 6-week
18.37
lows
12.5
13.1
12
13.4
12.1
19.2
SUPER Above MA 20.8 (SUPER)
13.3 (SUPER)
SUPER GAP UP 65.5 (SUPER)
9.6
15
15.4
17.8
14
14.7
17.3
21.6 13.6
16.5
10
16.3
16.3
11
13.4
12
21.7 (SUPER)
10
13.8
22
15.5
17.1
11
12.9
23.5
24.4
18.4
15
17.5
15.1
12.9
14
14
12.1
13.2
14.1
13.1
12
10
10
16.5
13
14.7
ber, 2010
N/A
15
< 20
ATR DIVERGENCE
SUPER Only
Too early to invest
very close
Too early to invest
missed signal
3.5 months after < 25
OOP
???
No good
OOP
INDUSTRY GROUP (MA Crossover) PYRAMIDING
Capital Goods
Capital Goods
Communication Services
Communication Services
Consumer Durables & Apparel NA
Consumer Services
Consumer Services
Consumer Services *
Consumer Services
Consumer Services *
Consumer Services
Consumer Services
Consumer Services
Diversified Financials
Diversified Financials
Diversified Financials
Diversified Financials
Diversified Financials
Diversified Financials
Energy
Energy
Energy
Food Retailing
Materials
Materials
Materials
Materials
Materials
Materials
Materials
Materials
Materials
Materials
Materials
Materials
Materials
Materials
Media & Entertainment
Pharma & BioTech
Real Estate
Real Estate
Real Estate
Retailing
Retailing
Retailing
Retailing
Retailing
Software & Services
Software & Services
Software & Services
Software & Services
Software & Services
Software & Services
Software & Services
Software & Services
Software & Services
Software & Services
Tech Hardware & Equipment
Transportation
Utilities
Utilities