Unilever Investor Event 2024 Cfo Presentation
Unilever Investor Event 2024 Cfo Presentation
22 November 2024
FERNANDO FERNANDEZ
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
Unilever Investor Event
22 November 2024
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements, including 'forward-looking statements' within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, concerning the
financial condition, results of operations and businesses of the Unilever Group (the 'Group'). All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements.
Words and terminology such as 'will', 'aim', 'expects', 'anticipates', 'intends', 'looks', 'believes', 'vision', 'ambition', 'target', 'goal', 'plan', 'potential', 'work towards', 'may', 'milestone', 'objectives', 'outlook',
'probably', 'project', 'risk', 'seek', 'continue', 'projected', 'estimate', 'achieve' or the negative of these terms, and other similar expressions of future performance, results, actions or events, and their negatives,
are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements also include, but are not limited to, statements and information regarding Unilever's acceleration of its Growth Action
Plan, Unilever's portfolio optimisation towards global or scalable brands, the capabilities and potential of such brands, the various aspects of the separation of Ice Cream and its future operational model,
strategy, growth potential, performance and returns, Unilever's productivity programme, its impacts and cost savings over the next three years and operation dis-synergies from the separation of Ice Cream,
the Group's emissions reduction targets and other climate change related matters (including actions, potential impacts and risks associated therewith). Forward-looking statements can be made in writing
but also may be made verbally by directors, officers and employees of the Group (including during management presentations) in connection with this presentation. These forward-looking statements are
based upon current beliefs, expectations and assumptions regarding anticipated developments and other factors affecting the Group. They are not historical facts, nor are they guarantees of future
performance or outcomes. All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers
should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements.
Because these forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, a number of which may be beyond the Group's control, there are important factors that could cause actual
results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. Among other risks and uncertainties, the material or principal factors which could cause actual results to
differ materially from the forward-looking statements expressed in this presentation are: Unilever's ability to successfully separate Ice Cream and realise the anticipated benefits of the separation; Unilever's
ability to successfully execute and consummate its productivity programme in line with expected costs to achieve expected savings; Unilever's global brands not meeting consumer preferences; Unilever's
ability to innovate and remain competitive; Unilever's investment choices in its portfolio management; the effect of climate change on Unilever's business; Unilever's ability to find sustainable solutions to its
plastic packaging; significant changes or deterioration in customer relationships; the recruitment and retention of talented employees; disruptions in Unilever's supply chain and distribution; increases or
volatility in the cost of raw materials and commodities; the production of safe and high quality products; secure and reliable IT infrastructure; execution of acquisitions, divestitures and business
transformation projects; economic, social and political risks and natural disasters; financial risks; failure to meet high and ethical standards; and managing regulatory, tax and legal matters..
The forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation. Except as required by any applicable law or regulation, the Group expressly disclaims any intention, obligation or undertaking
to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in the Group's expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or
circumstances on which any such statement is based. New risks and uncertainties arise over time, and it is not possible for us to predict those events or how they may affect us. In addition, we cannot assess
the impact of each factor on our business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statements.
Further details of potential risks and uncertainties affecting the Group are described in the Group's filings with the London Stock Exchange, Euronext Amsterdam and the US Securities and Exchange
Commission, including in the Annual Report on Form 20-F 2023 and the Unilever Annual Report and Accounts 2023.
2
INTRODUCTION
Key messages
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ACCELERATING
OUR TRANSFORMATION
ACCELERATING OUR TRANSFORMATION
800
24%
26% 25%
€ m
85%
PC Foods
24 BG-led markets
Cost savings, more than offsetting
Starting from 1 Jan 2025 IC separation on track for end 2025
operational separation dis-synergies
Source: 9M 2024 turnover split excluding Ice Cream, Foods previously referred to as Nutrition 5
ACCELERATING OUR TRANSFORMATION
6
ACCELERATING OUR TRANSFORMATION
Ice Cream has low complementarity with the other Business Groups
Innovation/R&D
• Pursue a distinct strategy and financial model
Marketing for a capital-intensive category with seasonality
7
ACCELERATING OUR TRANSFORMATION
+5.0
Underlying
sales growth +3.8% %
Bigger innovations
• A stepped-up brand investment on Power Brands
CAGR 2019-2023
Ice Cream Unilever
• Developing new consumption occasions,
e.g. Magnum Bon Bons
+0.5
Operational improvements
Underlying
volume growth -1.0% % • Distribution gains
CAGR 2019-2023 • Improved service levels
Ice Cream Unilever
• Rigour in pricing and promotions
-330bps -240bps
Underlying
operating • 9M USG +3.6% with volume up +1.5%
margin • Expect positive UVG and UOM expansion in 2024
2023 vs 2019 Ice Cream Unilever
8
ACCELERATING OUR TRANSFORMATION
Full separation
Separation route guided by shareholder value creation and by end of 2025
execution certainty – demerger remains most likely route
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ACCELERATING OUR TRANSFORMATION
10
ACCELERATING OUR TRANSFORMATION
+130bps
Gross margin
+20bps
Underlying
sales growth
CAGR 2019-2023
2023
Underlying
operating
margin +90bps
2023
+20bps
Underlying
volume growth
+90bps
CAGR 2019-2023 Underlying
ROIC
2023
Unilever excl. Ice Cream based on simple extraction of Ice Cream financials. Underlying ROIC excl. IC based on 2023 unaudited balance sheet allocations to Business Groups 12
ACCELERATING OUR TRANSFORMATION
13
ACCELERATING OUR TRANSFORMATION
14
ACCELERATING OUR TRANSFORMATION
800
Reduce process complexity
Simplified and duplication
15
ACCELERATING OUR TRANSFORMATION
• 24 Business Group-led markets • Reduce layers, increase spans of • Differentiated tech platforms for
with end-to-end accountability control and eliminate duplication growth in BG-led markets
Dedicated Customer Development • Off-the-shelf tech solutions with
for each Business Group • Consumer and customer-facing
resources prioritised simplified processes in 1UL markets
• 1UL scale in markets of limited • AI tools enhancing productivity
critical mass • Transactional activities concentrated in
offshore and outsourced hubs and reducing cost
Competitive and flexible cost base
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ACCELERATING OUR TRANSFORMATION
Phase 1: Europe
Q2’24 Europe design 1 Jan 2025 New org and
Q4’24 Implementing in markets operating model in place
€800m where local consultation
programme concluded
announced Q3’24 European works council
consultation complete
March
Now 2025
2024 & beyond
*Non-people cost savings identified by cost categories, e.g. IT, outsourced services, workplace/facilities, T&E 17
VALUE
CREATION
10-year trends
VALUE CREATION
Avg UVG 0.9% vs best-in-class at 2.3% and real GDP growth at 2.9% Significant margin decline post Covid-19
Underlying volume growth, % Gross margin, %
1.0%
2.1%
0.9%
Volume
0.8%
1.9%
1.2% 1.6% 1.6% Gross margin
42.7% 43.1%
43.7% 44.0%
43.5%
0.2% 42.2% 42.3%
41.4% 42.2%
-2.1% 40.2%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
15.0%
14.8%
Profit
14.7%
Brand investment
14.1% 14.0% 14.0% 14.0% 14.3%
8.6
9.5 9.5
9.9
9.4 9.6 9.7 9.9
8.3
13.1% 13.0%
7.5
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
19
10-year trends
VALUE CREATION
Average UVG 0.9% vs best-in-class at 2.3% and real GDP growth at 2.9%
Underlying volume growth, %
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
20
10-year trends
VALUE CREATION
43.7% 44.0%
43.5%
43.1%
42.7%
42.2% 42.3%
41.4% 42.2%
40.2%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
21
10-year trends
VALUE CREATION
14.8% 15.0%
14.7%
14.1% 14.0% 14.0% 14.0%
14.3%
13.1% 13.0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
22
10-year trends
VALUE CREATION
9.9 9.9
9.5 9.5 9.4 9.6 9.7
8.6
8.3
7.5
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
23
Multi-year framework
VALUE CREATION
Sustain around 100% Around 2x net debt / EBITDA High teens ROIC
cash conversion over time Strong single A credit ratings
ALLOCATION
Capacity and margin expansion Bolt-on M&A focused on US, India Attractive dividend (~60% payout)
Long-term investment in brands No transformational M&A Share buyback with surplus cash
*TSR peers for Remuneration: Beiersdorf, Church & Dwight, Coca-Cola, Colgate-Palmolive, Danone, Estée Lauder, General Mills, Haleon, Henkel, Kenvue, Kimberly-Clark, 24
Kraft Heinz, L’Oréal, Mondelēz, Nestlé, PepsiCo, Procter & Gamble, Reckitt Benckiser **Underlying ROIC = Underlying operating profit after tax / annual average invested capital
VALUE CREATION
GROWTH ALGORITHM
2%+ Gross margin Profit
ALGORITHM
GROWTH
Cash conversion
CASH
ALLOCATION
Capital allocation
CAPITAL
25
Volume growth
VALUE CREATION
North Europe
America
21% 18%
of Group of Group
turnover turnover
+2.5
FY 2019 9M 2024 9M 2024 excl. Ice Cream
6% % UVG
23% 28% FY 2023
94%
77% 72%
15
Attractive portfolio built in Prestige Beauty consecutive quarters of
and Wellbeing double-digit growth in
Prestige Beauty and Wellbeing
Decisive action on pruning of non-strategic or
value brands
Strong premium innovation programme across Business Groups First signals of success – need to sustain
+2.9 %
UVG
9M 2024
+290bps BMI % TO
H1 2024 vs PY +19 %
9M 2023 9M 2024
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Gross margin
VALUE CREATION
44% 44.5%
Net productivity gains from
42% interventions in procurement
and step-up in capex for margin
40%
30
Gross margin
VALUE CREATION
2%+ volume
Fixed cost leverage
Consistent and positive mix
gross margin
expansion is key
to ensure
competitive brand
investment levels
Higher capex & 2% per unit cost reduction
lower complexity in production & logistics
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Gross margin
VALUE CREATION
~1 %
1
Competitive buying
Enhanced procurement
insights, buyer skills, and AI-
powered tech to unlock
benefits of Unilever scale
32
Gross margin
VALUE CREATION
2
Production savings
1
- Network optimization
- Production automation
%
- Labour productivity
Distribution savings
2
- Network transformation
- Travel less, load more programme
- Operational and buying efficiencies
per unit cost reduction p.a.
in production & logistics 3 Complexity reduction
- SKU reductions
- Specification reductions
- Powered by tech and AI tools
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Gross margin
VALUE CREATION
55%+
30% 42%+
-7.3% Cash
92% 110%
conversion
-8.2%
Free cash flow
-8.5% €bn 6.5
-9.0%
-9.2% 4.8
*Cash conversion is defined as FCF excl. tax on disposals as a proportion of net profit, excl. P&L on disposal, and income from JVs, associates and non-current investments 35
**Working capital % of turnover based on average year-end positions
Capital allocation
VALUE CREATION
Capacity and margin expansion Bolt-on M&A focused on US, India Attractive sustainable
Long-term investment in brands No transformational M&A dividend and share buybacks
Driving organic growth through: Rotating portfolio into premium: • Dividend growth follows profit
• Superior R&D and brand equity • Selective bolt-on M&A growth over time
building investment • Payout of underlying EPS ~60%
• Further pruning
• Capacity expansion • SBB with surplus cash
Driving net productivity through:
• More capex for SC optimisation
• Restructuring
36
Capital allocation
VALUE CREATION
21% 19.2bn
BMI % of turnover
2021-2023
€ capital
returns
14.3% 15-16%
13.0%
Portfolio rotated since 2017
Dividend vs share buyback, % of total
+
2021-2022 2023 2024
13%
Capex % of turnover
60%
Div 74% 74%
SBB
2.9% ~3%
a further 40%
2.5% 26% 26%
After IC separation
2021-2022 2023 2024 2021 2022 2023
37
Multi-year framework
VALUE CREATION
Sustain around 100% Around 2x net debt / EBITDA High teens ROIC
cash conversion over time Strong single A credit ratings
ALLOCATION
Capacity and margin expansion Bolt-on M&A focused on US, India Attractive dividend (~60% payout)
Long-term investment in brands No transformational M&A Share buyback with surplus cash
*TSR peers for Remuneration: Beiersdorf, Church & Dwight, Coca-Cola, Colgate-Palmolive, Danone, Estée Lauder, General Mills, Haleon, Henkel, Kenvue, Kimberly-Clark, 38
Kraft Heinz, L’Oréal, Mondelēz, Nestlé, PepsiCo, Procter & Gamble, Reckitt Benckiser **Underlying ROIC = Underlying operating profit after tax / annual average invested capital
Summary
Key messages
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