D4.3 Climate Change - NB
D4.3 Climate Change - NB
● You are not allowed to talk during this activity! Communicate only using your pens.
● Add your knowledge, make corrections, make connections.
● Write down everything you know about climate change and the topics connected to it.
● Climate change
● Carbon cycle
● Feedback loops
● Systems & models
● Steady-state equilibrium & tipping point
● Ocean currents
● Climate and weather
D4.3 Climate change
https://showyourstripes.info/l/globe
Sustainable Development Goal
https://sdgs.un.org/goals/goal13 https://sdgs.un.org/goals/goal14
Guiding questions
D4.3.3 - Change form net carbon accumulation to net loss in boreal forests as an example of
a tipping point.
D4.3.4 - Melting of landfast ice and sea ice as examples of polar habitat change.
D4.3.5 - Changes in ocean currents altering the timing and extent of nutrient upwelling.
D4.3.11 - Increases to the number of insect life cycles within a year due to climate
change.
CAS idea
● Raise awareness of the impact of
emails and document in the cloud on
carbon footprint and climate change.
https://www.digitalcleanupday.org/
https://www.digitalcleanupday.org/
C4.2.20—Analysis of the Keeling Curve in terms of photosynthesis, respiration and
combustion
Include analysis of
both the annual
fluctuations and the
long-term trend.
● http://www.saps.org.uk/secondary/teachi
ng-resources/1402-interviews-with-scient
ists-drew-purves-on-computer-modelling-
ecology-and-climate-change
D4.2.4—Use of a model to investigate the effect of variables on ecosystem stability
D4.3.1 - Anthropogenic causes of climate change.
http://www.unep.org/geo/geo_ice/graphics.asp
D4.3.1 - Anthropogenic causes of climate change.
Greenhouse gases
● Greenhouse gases absorb longwave
infrared radiation (IR) and re-emit the
radiation into the atmosphere.
.
D4.3.1 - Anthropogenic causes of climate change.
https://awa.agriadapt.eu/en/
D4.3.1 - Anthropogenic causes of climate change.
A methane plume at least 3 miles (4.8 km) long billows in south Tehran,
Iran. The plume comes from a major landfill, where methane is a
byproduct of decomposition. (Image credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech)
https://www.livescience.com/nasa-detects-methane-plumes
D4.3.1 - Anthropogenic causes of climate change.
https://static.skepticalscience.com/images/evidence_greenhouse.jpg
D4.3.1 - Anthropogenic causes of climate change.
https://static.skepticalscience.com/images/evidence_greenhouse.jpg
D4.3.1 - Anthropogenic causes of climate change.
https://www.acs.org/content/acs/en/climatescience/greenhousegas
es/_jcr_content/articleContent/columnbootstrap_0/column0/image.
img.jpg/1374179911247.jpg
http://maps.grida.no/go/graphic/greenhouse_effect
D4.3.1 - Anthropogenic causes of climate change.
Climate vs weather
● Climate is a region’s general
pattern of weather conditions over
a long period of time.
● It is determined by average
insolation, precipitation and
temperature.
● Weather is the short term
atmospheric condition.
http://www.global-greenhouse-warming.com/climate
-weather.html
D4.3.1 - Anthropogenic causes of climate change.
http://radioviceonline.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/knorr2009_co2_sequestration.pdf
D4.3.1 - Anthropogenic causes of climate change.
http://priceoncarbon.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Ice-core-data.jpg
NOS - Correlation and causation
http://www.unep.org/geo/geo_ice/graphics.asp
NOS - Correlation and causation
Antarctic ice-core data show the long-term correlation until about 1900.
(Graphs by Robert Simmon, using data from Lüthi et al., 2008, and Jouzel et al.,2007.)
https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/CarbonCycle/images/epica_CO2_temperature.png
https://slideplayer.com/slide/8314356/
D4.3.1 - Anthropogenic causes of climate change.
https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/800/mcs/media/images/81202000/jpg/_81202675_77516274.jpg
NOS - Scientists working together/ Publishing data
International cooperation
● Scientists work together internationally,
publishing their data so that other scientists
are able to use it.
● https://gml.noaa.gov/
D4.3.1 - Anthropogenic causes of climate change.
http://beyondpenguins.ehe.osu.edu/issue/energy-and-the-polar-environme
nt/solar-energy-albedo-and-the-polar-regions
C4.1.6 - Negative feedback control of population size by density-dependent factors.
Positive feedback
● Positive feedback – a change in
state of the system causes more of
that change to occur.
● The system moves away from
equilibrium.
● Destabilizing as it increases
change.
https://www.pngkey.com/detail/u2e6t4o0q8e6r5e6_feed
back-loops-diagram-positive-feedback-loop/
D4.3.2 - Positive feedback cycles in climate change.
● Increased temperatures
leads to increased release
of carbon dioxide (and
methane) from natural
systems
● Which leads to increased
temperature
● Causing more release of
GHGs and repeat of the
cycle.
● This is a positive
feedback loop.
https://slideplayer.com/slide/14098415/86/images/32/The+Carbon+Dioxi
de+Positive+Feedback+Loop.jpg
D4.3.2 - Positive feedback cycles in climate change.
http://visibleearth.nasa.gov/view.php?id=60636
D4.3.2 - Positive feedback cycles in climate change.
Changes in albedo
Changes in albedo take place due to:
● Desertification
● Deforestation
● Loss of polar ice and glaciers.
● Changes in cloud cover.
https://www.e-education.psu.edu/meteo469/node/130
D4.3.2 - Positive feedback cycles in climate change.
● Warm temperatures
● Reduced albedo
● Warmer temperatures
http://beyondpenguins.ehe.osu.edu/issue/energy-and-the-polar-environme
nt/solar-energy-albedo-and-the-polar-regions
D4.3.2 - Positive feedback cycles in climate change.
Thawing permafrost
● Permafrost is ground that is frozen
all year round.
● Large amounts of carbon are
locked away in the frozen soil.
● Temperature increases
● Thawing of the ground
● Decomposition of detritus by
decomposer
● Increased release of carbon
dioxide and methane
● Temperature increases.
Jeff Vanuga/ Getty
https://www.intelligentliving.co/rapidly-thawing-permafrost-could-double-
greenhouse-gas-emissions/
D4.3.2 - Positive feedback cycles in climate change.
https://www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-are-the-worlds-peatlands-better-protected-after-cop26/
D4.3.2 - Positive feedback cycles in climate change.
D4.3.2 - Positive feedback cycles in climate change.
https://science.thewire.in/environment/85-fresh-forest-fires-reported-in-ut
tarakhand-over-last-24-hours/
D4.3.3 - Change from net carbon accumulation (sink) to net loss (source) in boreal forests as an
example of a tipping point.
https://s3.wp.wsu.edu/uploads/sites/609/2018/11/understanding-soil-carbon-1188x792.jpg
D4.2.2 - Requirements for stability in ecosystems.
Tipping point
https://static1.squarespace.com/static/546d2a7ce4b0372616465f0f/t/548db97ae4b0999c4d88e167/1418574202763/
D4.3.3 - Change from net carbon accumulation to net loss in boreal forests as an example of a
tipping point.
Legacy carbon
● Trees in forests photosynthesis,
removing carbon dioxide from the
air, making them carbon sinks.
https://s3.wp.wsu.edu/uploads/sites/609/2018/11/understanding-soil-carbon-1188x792.jpg
D4.3.3 - Change from net carbon accumulation to net loss in boreal forests as an example of a
tipping point.
https://wallpaperset.com/snowy-forest-wallpaper
D4.3.3 - Change from net carbon accumulation to net loss in boreal forests as an example of a
tipping point.
Forest browning
Lack of water reduces photosynthesis this
causes:
● Lower primary productivity
● Less carbon dioxide removed from the
atmosphere
● Pine needles losing their chlorophyll
causing forest browning.
● If the drought continues the forest dies,
effectively causing deforestation.
https://www.yourweather.co.uk/news/science/why-europe-s-forests-turning
-brown-summer-weather-climate-change.html
D4.3.3 - Change from net carbon accumulation to net loss in boreal forests as an example of a
tipping point.
Tipping point
● Continued drought leads to more forest
fires.
https://useruploads.socratic.org/RYAr9ksERDizfUVsQOqr_upwelling.jpg
D4.3.5 - Changes in ocean currents altering the timing and extent of nutrient upwelling.
Ocean currents
● Ocean currents are mainly caused by
changes in water density due to
temperature and salinity.
https://www.worldatlas.com/oceans/what-is-the-ocean-conveyor-belt.html
D4.3.5 - Changes in ocean currents altering the timing and extent of nutrient upwelling.
Nutrient upwelling
● Deep ocean currents are forced
upwards when they reach a
continental shelf.
● This brings nutrient rich water to
the surface water where the light
can penetrate.
● Carbon is fixed by
photosynthesis giving high
primary productivity and energy
enters the marine food chains.
● Dead organisms sink to the
bottom of the ocean and
decompose.
https://useruploads.socratic.org/RYAr9ksERDizfUVsQOqr_upwelling.jpg
https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Jochen-Kaempf/publication/307434835/figure/fig11/AS:601718358306830@1520472244610/Locations-of-significant-
coastal-upwelling-regions-in-the-world-ocean.png
D4.3.5 - Changes in ocean currents altering the timing and extent of nutrient upwelling.
El Niño
● During a neutral phase
prevailing trade winds blow
warm ocean water westwards,
drawing up nutrient richwater.
https://blog.metservice.com/El-Nino-explained
D4.3.5 - Changes in ocean currents altering the timing and extent of nutrient upwelling.
El Niño
● During an El Niño year the trade
winds blow eastwards, warm
water accumulates in front of the
coast of south America.
https://blog.metservice.com/El-Nino-explained
D4.3.5 - Changes in ocean currents altering the timing and extent of nutrient upwelling.
El Niño
● El Niño events occur every 2 - 7
years.
https://www.vox.com/2015/8/17/9164499/el-nino-2015
D4.3.6 - Poleward and upslope range shifts of temperate species.
https://i.pinimg.com/originals/49/79/3c/49793cec86cd6e
002baaf9fd0ae73f7e.jpg
D4.3.6 - Poleward and upslope range shifts of temperate species.
Changes in species’ elevational limits for Mt. Karimui upper elevational limits (A), Mt. Karimui lower elevational limits (B), and
Karkar Island upper elevational limits (C).
Changes in species’ elevational limits between historical and modern resurveys are plotted against historical elevational limits
measured in the 1960s (19, 20).
Points on the solid zero-change lines represent species with unchanged elevational limits.
D3.2.15 - Box-and-whisker plots to represent data for continuous variable
Box-and-whisker plots
https://blog.minitab.com/en/statistics-and-quality-data-analysis/how-to-think-outside-the-boxplot &
https://www.medcalc.org/manual/box-and-whisker-plot.php
D3.2.15 - Box-and-whisker plots to represent data for continuous variable
Box-and-whisker plots
https://www.statology.org/when-to-use-box-plot/
D4.3.6 - Poleward and upslope range shifts of temperate species.
Shift rates of temperate-zone and tropical montane organisms in resurveys documenting distributional responses to
temperature increases. Shift rates represent the average upslope shift (m) documented in a resurvey compared with the
predicted upslope shift (m) given local temperature increase. A shift rate of 1 signifies observed shifts that match
predicted shifts. Boxplots with median and quartile values for temperate-zone and tropical shift rates are overlain on
points summarizing shift rates of temperate-zone (n = 28) and tropical (n = 7) resurveys of a variety of taxonomic
groups.
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1318190111
ToK
Mini discussion:
Scientists use data and measurable evidence to reach conclusions. But
are there some types of evidence that are less reliable than others?
Often when evaluating the reliability of data and assessing the level of
confidence, scientists look at the overall characteristics of the study,
including samples size, range of results or the methodologies uses,
such as whether or not the data was measured directly or by proxy.
https://s3.amazonaws.com/eit-planttoolbox-prod/media/images/Picea_mariana_Treeti_xFEGqYByxzqC.jpeg
D4.3.6 - Poleward and upslope range shifts of temperate species.
Biome shift
● Increasing
temperatures cause
biomes to shift.
● On average globally
biomes move with a
speed of 0.42 km/yr
https://bpb-us-w2.wpmucdn.com/sites.gsu.edu/dist/0/134/files/2014/12/Bio
mesShift_small-sxlagh.png
Linking Question
Mini discussion:
Ocean warming
● Increase in atmospheric
temperatures cause
increase in ocean
temperatures.
Corals
• Zooxantellae (algea) live inside the
tissues of reef corals in a mutualistic
relationship.
• Zooxanthellae is a photosynthetic
algae and provides coral with glucose,
amino acids and oxygen.
• Coral provides zooxanthellae with
protection close to the water surface
where there is lots of light for
photosynthesis.
Pearl-spotted owlet peeping out • Zooxanthellae improve coral’s
of its nest, Roodeplaatdam Dam, nutrition enabling them to make their
South Africa. [photo Johann hard exoskeletons making coral reefs
Grobbelaar ©] very productive ecosystems.
D4.3.7 - Threats to coral reefs as an example of potential ecosystem collapse.
https://sea-birdscientific.com/pH/BlogPostAssets/images/oa_sbs_infographic.jpg
D4.3.7 - Threats to coral reefs as an example of potential ecosystem collapse.
Ocean acidification
● Increased carbon dioxide in the
atmosphere leads to more diffusing into the
oceans.
● CO2 will react with the water to form
carbonic acid which dissociates to form
hydrogen (H+)and hydrogen carbonate ions
(HCO3-), making the pH of the water more
acidic.
● The extra H+ will react with the carbonate
ions (CO32-) making it less available for
organisms that need it to build their
skeleton (e.g.coral) and shells.
● A further drop in pH will cause existing
skeletons and shells to dissolve.
http://www.odec.ca/projects/2014/obri14i/VSF2014/BACKGROUN
D_files/droppedImage.jpg
D4.3.7 - Threats to coral reefs as an example of potential ecosystem collapse.
D4.3.7 - Threats to coral reefs as an example of potential ecosystem collapse.
Mini inquiry:
1. What are the impacts of climate change at each
level of biological organization?
https://sdgs.un.org/goals/goal13
D4.3.8 - Afforestation, forest regeneration and restoration of peat forming wetlands as approaches
to carbon sequestration.
Carbon sequestration
● Carbon sequestration is the capture
of carbon and its storage.
https://housedemocrats.wa.gov/ramos/2020/03/09/legislative-news-legislat
ure-passes-ramos-bipartisan-carbon-sequestration-bill/
D4.3.8 - Afforestation, forest regeneration and restoration of peat forming wetlands as approaches
to carbon sequestration.
Reforestation & Afforestation
● Reforestation (=forest regeneration)
is the planting of trees in forests that
have been depleted by forestry
practices or after clear cutting.
https://peatlands.org/peat/rate-of-peat-accumulation-and-terrestrialisation/ &
https://news.mongabay.com/2022/06/draining-tropical-peatlands-for-oil-palms-isnt-just-bad-its-unnecessary-study-shows/
D4.3.8 - Afforestation, forest regeneration and restoration of peat forming wetlands as approaches
to carbon sequestration.
Restoration of peat forming wetlands
https://ecologi.com/articles/blog/reforestation-vs-rewilding
ToK
Mini discussion:
Scientists do not always agree on the best
approach to solve a problem. See the debate about
carbon sequestration on the previous slide.
● How can we decide between the judgements of
experts if they disagree with each other?
Discuss with the people beside you.
Quizlet D4.3 SL
https://quizlet.com/de/953158918/d43-climate-change-flash-cards/?i=1194sh&x=1jqt
Additional higher level content
D4.3.9 - Phenology as research into the timing of biological events.
D4.3.11 - Increases to the number of insect life cycles within a year due to climate
change.
CAS idea
https://www.worldatlas.com/r/w1200/upload/52/23/07/shutterstock-688946812.jpg
Jan Boer https://www.natuurfotografie.nl/vogeltrek-kijken-tips-en-bestemmingen-voor-elk-weertype/
D4.3.9 - Phenology as research into the timing of biological events. (HL)
Phenology
● Phenology is the study of periodical
events that are synchronized with the
seasons.
Phenology in plants
https://www.worldatlas.com/r/w1200/upload/52/23/07/shutterstock-688946812.jpg
D4.3.9 - Phenology as research into the timing of biological events. (HL)
Phenology in plants
https://www.cultivariable.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/potato-flower-2.jpg and
https://www.plantshop.me/media/product/Poinsettia_Red-plantshopme.jpg
D4.3.9 - Phenology as research into the timing of biological events. (HL)
Phenology in birds
● Many birds migrate between a
summer and winter habitat, to
maximise resource use.
CAS idea
● https://www.globe.gov/ and
https://globenederland.nl/
● Speak to Mr. Brouwers for more
information
D4.3.10 - Disruption to the synchrony of phenological events by climate change. (HL)
https://www.naturetoday.com/intl/nl/nature-reports/message/?msg=14734
D4.3.10 - Disruption to the synchrony of phenological events by climate change. (HL)
Assignment
● Complete the IB Data analysis
question on Great tit and climate
change.
https://www.naturetoday.com/intl/nl/nature-reports/message/?msg=14734
D4.3.10 - Disruption to the synchrony of phenological events by climate change. (HL)
Reindeer migration
● In Greenland the food plants for reindeer
(caribou), use temperature to determine
when to emerge.
● The different plants will emerge in different
areas throughout the year.
● Reindeer migrate to where their food
plants emerge. They use daylength to
determine when to move.
● Arctic mouse-ear chickweed (Cerastium
arcticum) is an essential plant for reindeer
when nursing calves.
y Scott Grant
BB
https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-a3qodbDyAV4/UkA2Jz06UdI/AAAAAAAAMV8/N-OjWPvSuFM/s
1600/caribou+and+calf+last+light+in+gros+morne.jpg and
https://www.shutterstock.com/image-photo/close-arctic-mouseear-chickweed-cerastium-600
nw-2260468137.jpg
D4.3.10 - Disruption to the synchrony of phenological events by climate change. (HL)
y Scott Grant
BB
https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-a3qodbDyAV4/UkA2Jz06UdI/AAAAAAAAMV8/N-OjWPvSuFM/s1600/caribou+and+cal
f+last+light+in+gros+morne.jpg and
https://www.shutterstock.com/image-photo/close-arctic-mouseear-chickweed-cerastium-600nw-2260468137.jpg
D4.3.11 - Increases to the number of insect life cycles within a year due to climate change. (HL)
https://gd.eppo.int/media/data/taxon/D/DENCMI/pics/1024x0/13759.jpg
https://thumbs.dreamstime.com/b/damage-tree-european-spruce-bark-beetle-ips-typographus-e
uropean-spruce-bark-beetle-calamity-tatra-spruce-bark-158434440.jpg
D4.3.11 - Increases to the number of insect life cycles within a year due to climate change. (HL)
Spruce trees
● Healthy spruce trees can survive a
moderate number of Spruce tree beetle
attacks.
https://www.naturephoto-cz.com/photos/birds/strix-aluco-96418.jpg
D4.3.12 - Evolution as a consequence of climate change. (HL)
Tawny owls
https://www.naturephoto-cz.com/photos/birds/strix-aluco-96418.jpg
D4.3.12 - Evolution as a consequence of climate change. (HL)
● Analyse the graphs on this and the next slide. What conclusion can you make?
● Graph a shows survival of grey and brown tawny owls in relation to snow depth.
● Graph b shows snow depth over time.
● Graph c shows estimated survival of grey and brown tawny owls over time.
● See the article here: https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms1213
D4.3.12 - Evolution as a consequence of climate change. (HL)
Mini inquiry:
1. What are the impacts of climate change at each
level of biological organization?
Mini discussion:
● What are the drivers of climate change?