(9) Commodity Market
(9) Commodity Market
COMMODITY MARKET
LEARNING OUTCOMES
After going through the chapter student shall be able to understand:
Introduction of Commodity Markets
Role of Commodity Markets
Commodity Market in India
CHAPTER OVERVIEW
Introduction
Problems
Application of Derivative in
Way Forward
Commodities
1. INTRODUCTION
Like financial markets which deal with money and shares, the commodity markets deal with trading
of ‘commodities’ like metals, raw material commodities like cotton, pulses etc. In fact, the commodity
market is the foremost form of market which was structured more of a barter of commodity
exchanges – usually dissimilar products – which later got one leg as money as time progressed. The
contemporary commodity market is as sophisticated as its stock market counterpart, with the only
distinction being commodities, instead of stocks, traded.
The commodity market is essential to understand how the prices get influenced by many factors
ranging from monsoon predictions to political decisions. The commodity market acts as the
barometer of how the markets perceive these factors, which in turn will impact the demand-supply
dynamics, thereby influencing the futures prices. This leads to a market driven price discovery
mechanism.
For example, a farmer will be very much interested to ‘lock in’ prices for his harvest of pulses next
crop season due in 3 months. Hence, he would ‘sell’ an estimated quantity, say 100 kilograms (kg.)
of his future produce at the future rate of ` 80 per kg, thereby assuring himself of a fixed price. A
wholesaler in pulses would similarly like to have a committed purchase price and would enter the
‘buy’ leg (futures long) at ` 80 per kg. Assume after 3 months, the contract closes out at 81 per kg.
That means the farmer has lost ` 1 per kg whereas the wholesaler has gained by Re 1 per kg. in
the futures contract. Of course, the contracts are settled in cash – rarely there is actual physical
delivery of the commodities involved.
a) Act as a platform for enabling farm produce growers and the end buyers to interact.
b) Enabling intermediaries to engage in representing both the demand and the supply side of
the commodity chain.
c) Price discovery.
Even today the above characteristics hold good in commodity exchanges. The added feature is of
course, a regulated market that is transparent, and real time.
In the present times, due to disruption in domestic business and exports, the volumes of individual
commodities listed under Agridex have remained low. However, for Agridex the only factor that is
important for the index is the overall market sentiment for the agricultural sector as it’s not just
dependent on a single agricultural commodity.
For example, if soybean mandi across the country remains closed but other commodity mandis are
open, the trading activities for soybean may remain low in futures as a commodity, but trading in the
Agridex, which is an overall index, will not be affected as other commodities trade will move it.
The Agridex futures exchange will also help market participants to take advantage of generating
returns with less risk and excessive research because they do not have to research individual
commodities. For trading on Agridex, one needs to only know specific news or reports about
agricultural commodities to get a sense of the price direction.
This is like the equity market wherein participants trade at the NIFTY index as Agridex also has a
base value of 1,000. Agridex also provides an opportunity for those already trading in equity markets
as well as with farm produce organisations, farmers, retail traders and others. (Source: The Print)
Another big problem is that the commodity markets have not been able to see the ‘exponential’
growth that is required for platforms to sustain it. The basic problem is ‘inclusion’ – farmers that form
the backbone of agri-based commodities are not able to connect to the market, even though both
MCX and NCDEX have created several awareness programs towards the same.
Political ramifications have also added to the woes – price sensitive commodities like sugar have
been on and off the futures platform.
(iv) Physical Delivery: Since the quality of goods commodities even in two different batches
cannot be same, the delivery of commodities becomes a challenging task. Stating otherwise,
this is the most distinguishing feature of commodity derivatives.
4.2 Pre-requisites for Futures trading on a Commodity Exchange
For a future to be traded on a Commodity Exchange, following are the prerequisites:
(i) Durability - Commodity should be storable and durable.
(ii) Homogeneity - The commodity should be homogeneous in nature.
(iii) Free from Control - The trading in commodities should be free from any type of price or
regulatory control.
(iv) Frequent Trading - The demand and supply should be large, leading to a daily fluctuation in
prices. Practically, it has been seen that even if the same commodities possess the above
characteristics, they are still required to be traded successfully.
4.3 Trading and Settlement Process
Broadly, commodity trading involves following three mechanisms:
(i) Order Matching Mechanism - Firstly, a trader places his/her order with any registered broker
who in turn enter the same into online terminal. In case order matches with opposite order
(one party buys and other party sells) the trade is said to be complete.
(ii) Trade Clearing Mechanism - The clearing of the matched order takes place through a
Registered Clearing House. The function of these clearing houses is as follows: -
(a) Follow up with parties
(b) Timely Settlement
(c) Delivery versus payment (DVP) of commodity traded.
(d) In case of non-delivery, settlement through fund transfer.
(iii) Processing of Delivery - The main issues to be considered in the delivery processes are as
follows:
(a) Availability of warehouse
(ii) Futures Contract: These are standardized forward contracts that are done through an
exchange, for a particular quantity of commodity at a particular future date and location, the
price is left undetermined.
(iii) ETCs: Exchange traded commodities are the commodities that are traded on a stock
exchange, just like a stock. They track the performance of an underlying commodity index
including total return indices based on a single commodity.
It is always possible that by harvest time, soybean prices will have increased significantly. If the
farmer sold the $13-a-bushel futures contracts, they would lose out on the potential increase in
soybean prices to $16 a bushel. Anyhow, the farmer has not incurred any losses by hedging the
soybean price at $13. And this is the basic purpose of hedging i.e. to protect from losses.
9%.
In case price movement in international markets is
more than the maximum daily price limit (currently
9%), the same may be further relaxed in steps of 3%.
Initial Margin Minimum 10% or based on Standard Portfolio Analysis
of Risk (SPAN) # whichever is higher.
Extreme Loss Margin Minimum 1 %
Additional and/ or SpecialMargin In case of additional volatility, an additional margin
(on both buy & sell side) and/ or special margin (on
either buy or sell side) at such percentage, as
deemed fit, will be imposed in respect of all
outstanding positions.
Maximum Allowable Open For individual clients: 4,80,000 barrels or 5% of the
Position market wide open position, whichever is higher for all
Crude Oil contracts combined.
For a member collectively for all clients: 48,00,000
barrels or 20% of the market wide open position,
whichever is higher for all Crude Oil contracts
combined.
Quality Specification Light Sweet Crude Oil confirming to the following
quality specification:
Sulfur 0.42% by weight or less,
API Gravity: Between 37 degree – 42 degrees
Due Date Rate (DDR) Due date rate shall be the settlement price, in
Indianrupees, of the New York Mercantile Exchange’s
(NYMEX)# Crude Oil (CL) front month contract on the
lasttrading day of the MCX Crude Oil contract. The
last available RBI USDINR reference rate will be used
for the conversion. The price so arrived will be
rounded off to the nearest tick.
For example, on the day of expiry, if NYMEX Crude
Oil (CL) front month contract settlement price is
$40.54 and the last available RBI USDINR reference
rate is 66.1105, then DDR for MCX Crude oil contract
would be Rs. 2680 per barrel (i.e. $40.54 * 66.1105
and rounded off to the nearest tick).
#A market division of Chicago Mercantile Exchange
Inc. (“CME Group”)
Settlement Mechanism The contract would be settled in cash
# Exchanges use SPAN to figure out margins and risk for F&O portfolios. In addition to several other
factors, SPAN analyzes the price and volatility of the underlying investment to calculate the
maximum loss that can occur for a portfolio and to provide the proper margin.
(b) Farmers that form the backbone of agriculturally based commodities are not able to
connect to the market.
(c) MCX and NCDEX have created several awareness programs.
(d) Political ramifications have also added to the woes – price sensitive commodities like
sugar have been on and off the futures platform.
4. ………… is a prerequisite for futures trading on a commodity exchange.
(a) Complexity
(b) Higher Cost
(c) Homogeneity
(d) Physical Delivery
5. ………… offers the entire bouquet of trades based on ferrous, non-ferrous metals, precious
metals, and even on weather and real-estate.
(a) London Metal Exchange
(b) Chicago Mercantile Exchange
(c) Eurex Exchange
Theoretical Questions
1. Discuss the role of commodity market and influence of commodity markets on prices.
2. Explain the problems with the Indian Commodity Markets and the way forward.
3. Explain how Commodity Derivatives are different from Financial Derivatives.
4. Discuss the trading and settlement process in commodity trading.
5. What is the standardized software to calculate margin requirements for futures developed by
CME and adopted by many agencies as benchmark software across the globe?
Practical Questions
1. A company is long on 10 MT of copper @ ` 474 per kg (spot) and intends to remain so for
the ensuing quarter. The standard deviation of changes of its spot and future prices are 4%
and 6% respectively, having correlation coefficient of 0.75.
What is its hedge ratio? What is the amount of the copper future it should short to achieve a
perfect hedge?
ANSWERS/SOLUTIONS
Answers to Multiple choice Questions:
1. (d) 2. (a) 3. (c) 4. (c) 5. (b)