Chap15a Ad Ec2
Chap15a Ad Ec2
• Aggregate output demanded (AQd) refers to the total value of final goods and
services demanded in an economy at a particular general price level over a
specified period.
HKDSE Notes on Macroeconomics Ch15A Aggregate Demand Page 2 of 26
Jargons
𝑨𝑨𝑨𝑨 = 𝑪𝑪 + 𝑰𝑰 + 𝑮𝑮 + 𝑵𝑵𝑵𝑵
𝑨𝑨𝑨𝑨 = 𝑪𝑪 + 𝑰𝑰 + 𝑮𝑮
• If the total exports of goods and services exactly equals total imports of goods
and services, net exports equals zero (NX = 0). The aggregate demands of an
open economy and a closed economy are the same.
HKDSE Notes on Macroeconomics Ch15A Aggregate Demand Page 4 of 26
P1 A
P2 B
AD
The following three effects explain why an exogenous change in general price level
will bring about an endogenous change in aggregate output demanded in an opposite
direction.
(i) Definition
• Wealth includes money (cash) and other monetary assets (deposits, shares and
bonds, etc.). These monetary assets are denominated in nominal values.
• The wealth effect refers to the change in the aggregate output demanded brought
about by to a change in wealth caused by a change in the general price level.
(i) Definition
• The nominal amount of money supply of an economy does not change with the
general price level.
• Interest rate effect refers to the change in the aggregate output demanded
brought about by a change in the interest rate caused by a change in the general
price level.
• Mechanism 1
→ Real interest rate ↓(↑) given the fixed nominal money supply
→ Real consumption and investment ↑(↓)
→ Aggregate output demanded ↑(↓)
ESM
r1
r2
MD
𝑀𝑀𝑆𝑆
General price level ↓ (↑) → Real money supply ( ) ↑(↓) → Purchasing power
𝑃𝑃
of the nominal money supply ↑(↓) → Excess supply (excess demand) in the
money market (given no change in real money demand) → Real interest rate ↓(↑)
→ Real consumption and investment ↑(↓) → Aggregate output / Quantity of
output demanded ↑(↓).
HKDSE Notes on Macroeconomics Ch15A Aggregate Demand Page 8 of 26
r1 ESM
r2
MD2 MD1
General price level ↓ (↑) → Transaction demand for money (in normal terms)
↓(↑) → Total demand for money ↓(↑) → Excess supply (excess demand) in the
money market (given no change in nominal money supply) → Nominal interest
rate ↓(↑) → Real consumption and investment ↑(↓) → Aggregate output /
Quantity of output demanded ↑(↓)
(i) Definition
• It is assumed that the general price levels of foreign countries do not change with
the domestic price level.
HKDSE Notes on Macroeconomics Ch15A Aggregate Demand Page 9 of 26
• The net exports effect refers to the change in the aggregate output demanded
brought about by a change in the real exchange rate caused by a change in the
general price level.
(ii) Nominal Exchange Rate vs Real Exchange Rate (for reference ONLY)
10 × 𝟓𝟓
𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅 𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒ℎ𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐 = = 3.33
𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏
HKDSE Notes on Macroeconomics Ch15A Aggregate Demand Page 10 of 26
• Example: HK$1 = RMB0.9; Price of Hong Kong good = HK$100; Price of PRC
good = RMB70
0.9 × 𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏
𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅 𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒ℎ𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻 𝐾𝐾𝐾𝐾𝐾𝐾𝐾𝐾 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 = = 1.29
𝟕𝟕𝟕𝟕
Point to note
• In theory, if goods and services are perfectly mobile across countries, the real
exchange rate should be ONE, otherwise arbitrage will emerge.
• In reality, there are non-tradeable goods and positive transaction and
transportation cost, real exchange rate seldom equals ONE.
• Mechanism 1
Domestic price level ↓(↑) → Interest rate ↓(↑) (interest rate effect) → Net capital
outflow (inflow) → Depreciation (Appreciation) of the domestic currency →
Domestic export prices in foreign currency ↓(↑) while its import prices in domestic
currency ↑(↓) → Volume of exports ↑(↓) while volume of imports ↓(↑) → Net
exports ↑(↓) if the price-elasticities of demand for exports and/or imports are
sufficiently high → Aggregate output demanded ↑(↓)
• Mechanism 2
Domestic general price level ↓ (↑) → Real exchange rate of domestic currency
↓(↑) → the relative price of domestic exports ↓(↑) while the relative price of
imports ↑(↓) → Net exports ↑(↓) if the price-elasticities of demand for exports
and/or imports are sufficiently high → Aggregate output / Quantity of output
demanded ↑(↓).
Points to note
The elaboration of the mechanism above MUST start with ‘When the general price
level (P) decreases / increases’ and end with ‘aggregate output demanded (Y)
increases / decreases’.
HKDSE Notes on Macroeconomics Ch15A Aggregate Demand Page 12 of 26
Sum up
HKDSE Notes on Macroeconomics Ch15A Aggregate Demand Page 13 of 26
• If factors other than price level changes (?), aggregate output demanded
changes at each and every price level. This is represented by a shift of the whole
aggregate demand curve.
• Aggregate demand consists of consumption expenditure, investment expenditure,
government expenditure and net exports. If one of these expenditure demands
increases (decreases) exogenously (not due to change in price level), the
aggregate demand curve will shift upwards (downwards) and to the right (left)
from AD 1 to AD 2 (AD 3 ).
• Changes in non-price demand determinants → exogenous ↑(↓) in C / I / G /
NX → Y↑(↓) at each and every price level → Rightwards (leftwards) shift of the
whole AD curve
Price level
When factors other than the price level lead to an increase (decrease) in private
consumption (C), the aggregate demand (AD) curve will shift rightwards (leftwards).
• ↓(↑) Income tax or ↑(↓) transfer payments / welfare allowance / tax rebate
→ disposable income ↑(↓) → C and AD ↑(↓)
• ↑(↓) wealth (drastic ↑/↓ in property / stock prices) → Ability to consume ↑(↓)
→ C & AD ↑(↓)
• Income redistribution from the rich to the poor → relative to the rich, the poor
tends to consume a larger proportion of their disposable income → C & AD↑(↓)
Point to note
When factors other than the price level lead to an increase (decrease) in investment
(I), the aggregate demand (AD) curve will shift rightwards (leftwards).
• ↓(↑) profits tax → net profit after tax ↑(↓) → more (less) profitable to invest
→ I and AD ↑(↓)
• Productivity of factor inputs ↑(↓) → new tools and machinery (e.g. a faster
computer) can ↑(↓) output given the same amount of resources → I & AD ↑(↓)
HKDSE Notes on Macroeconomics Ch15A Aggregate Demand Page 16 of 26
When factors other than the price level lead to an increase (decrease) in government
expenditure (G), the aggregate demand (AD) curve will shift rightwards (leftwards).
Point to note
When factors other than the price level lead to an increase (decrease) in net exports
(NX), the aggregate demand (AD) curve will shift rightwards (leftwards).
HKDSE Notes on Macroeconomics Ch15A Aggregate Demand Page 17 of 26
• ↑(↓) foreign price level → foreign products become relatively more expensive
(cheaper) → ↑ (↓) X and ↓M → NX & AD ↑(↓)
• ↓(↓) foreign interest rate → ↑(↓) foreign national income → ↑(↓)X → NX&
AD ↑(↓)
• Protectionist policies imposed on imports (e.g. tariff and quota) (ch. 22BC) →
↓M → NX& AD ↑
• Protectionist policies of trading partners imposed on domestic exports (ch.
22BC) → ↓X → NX& AD ↓
Checkpoints
2. Which of the following changes will not shift the aggregate demand curve?
A. A lower interest rate caused by a lower price level.
B. A lower interest rate caused by a lower money demand.
C. A lower exchange rate.
D. A lower income tax rate.
Learning outcomes
A87-7(a)(revised)
Suggest reasons, other than government policy, for shifts of the AD curve. (5 marks)
(i) Name any TWO demand side factors affecting national income. (2 marks)
(ii) The holding of the World Cup was favourable to the gross domestic product
(GDP) of the US. Explain this by referring to the TWO demand side factors
you mentioned in (i). (6 marks)
C↑: U.S. residents spent more on food, hotels, travelling and souvenirs
I↑: more hotels and transportation services are built and provided
Net Exports ↑: sales of souvenirs to tourists
C96-12(c)
The government has organised a worker retraining programme for the
unemployed. Explain, with ONE demand side factor and ONE supply side factor,
the effect of such a programme on Hong Kong's GDP. (5 marks)
HKDSE Notes on Macroeconomics Ch15A Aggregate Demand Page 22 of 26
C98-11(c)(i)
In a certain year the sales revenue of Japanese cars in Hong Kong decreased. This
was because the local demand for these cars dropped and the demand for re-export
of these cars to Mainland China also declined.
Explain the effects of the two changes in demand on Hong Kong's GDP. (4 marks)
- With less business, the middleman services / back-up services rendered for the
local demand for Japanese cars dropped in value. Thus the GDP fell.
- Similarly, the middleman services rendered for the re-export demand for
Japanese cars dropped in value. Thus the GDP fell.
C01-11(b)(i)
Suppose the government significantly reduces the stamp duty on the sale of property.
Explain how this would affect investment in the construction industry. (2 marks)
A03-5(b) (revised)
Suppose the corporate accounting scandals (such as the Enron and WorldCom
incidents) in the US have shaken investor confidence. Investors decide to rebalance
their portfolio by shifting away from stocks and corporate bonds into money or
government bonds. As a result, those firms which used to finance their investment
through debt and equity have to rely on their retained earnings and/or bank loans.
Explain how the change in the method of financing corporate investment would
affect the IS curve. (2 marks)
C04-10(c)
In 2003, SARS seriously affected Hong Kong's economy. To lessen the negative
effect of SARS on our economy, the government partially rebated the salaries tax to
taxpayers. Explain how the tax rebate could lead to an increase in the GDP of Hong
Kong. (4 marks)
C05-11(a)
Two measures included in the Closer Economic Partnership Arrangement or 'Cepa'
are:
As a result, overseas companies not based in Hong Kong can take advantage of Cepa
by partnering with a Cepa-qualified manufacturer or service provider in Hong Kong.
Source: Hong Kong SAR Government, 8 January 2005
C05-11(a)
Explain, separately, how the above two measures would affect the gross domestic
product of Hong Kong. (5 marks)
C08-11(d)(ii)
Trade deficit is a concern of many countries.
Suppose a country's export value of goods and services decreases by $3 billion. In
reality, the resulting decrease in GDP may be less than or more than $3 billion.
Explain a factor that would lead to a more-than $3 billion decrease in GDP.
(2 marks)
The amount of GDP derived from the spillover effect of the production of the
exports will also decrease.
C09-10(a)
The direct cross-strait flights between mainland China and Taiwan introduced in
2008 facilitate the trading activities between these two places. The GDP of Taiwan
would probably increase with the introduction of the direct cross-strait flights. With
reference to TWO demand-side factors, explain why there is such a possibility.
(4 marks)
HKDSE Notes on Macroeconomics Ch15A Aggregate Demand Page 25 of 26
• net exports: more net exports (or more export of services) due to more tourists
from mainland China
• consumption: more earnings and income will boost consumption expenditure
• investment: more investment (local and from the Mainland), e.g., more hotels and
trading
• government expenditure: more government expenditure, e.g., more on
infrastructure to facilitate the trade
C10-9(c)
For each of the following situations explain your answer with reference to ONE
demand-side factor. Why would the above expansion increase the gross domestic
product (GDP) of Hong Kong
(i) during the construction period? (2 marks)
• more tourists from mainland China and other places => increase in net exports
• more local visitors => increase in private consumption expenditure
• more employment => increase in private consumption expenditure
D10-7
Give two reasons why the aggregate demand curve is downward-sloping. (6 marks)
• interest rate effect: Price level decreases => real interest rate decreases =>
investment expenditure increases => income increases
• exchange rate effect: Price level decreases => exports becomes relatively cheaper
and imports becomes relatively more expensive => net exports increases =>
income increases
D13-4(a)
Give ONE reason to explain why the aggregate demand curve is downward sloping.
(3 marks)
• Wealth effect: As many of the assets in the economy are denominated in nominal
values, the higher the price level, the lower the purchasing power of money. This
reduces the wealth of the economy (in real terms). As a result, households and
firms reduce their purchases of all goods and services and the real output drops.
• Interest rate effect: As the price level rises, households and firms demand more
money to finance their transactions. Given the fixed supply of money, the
interest rate would rise. An increase in interest rate would cause decline in
investment and consumption and also the real output.
• Net exports effect: As the domestic price level rises, foreign-made goods
become relatively cheaper so the quantity demanded of imports increases.
However, the rise in the domestic price level also means that domestic-made
goods are relatively more expensive to foreign buyers so the quantity demanded
of exports decreases. When the volumes of exports decrease and of imports
increase, net exports will decrease (if the price-elasticities of demand for exports
and/or imports are sufficiently high). Because net exports are a component of
real GDP, the demand for real GDP declines as net exports decline.